Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:11.674516+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:44.402176+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -38,7 +38,7 @@
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
-  "window_reference_time": "2026-09-18T04:38:07.262963+00:00",
+  "window_reference_time": "2026-09-18T04:43:40.032885+00:00",
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
     "prequential-v1": 8381

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:04.337571+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.426889+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/online_status.json

@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
 {
-  "status": "ok",
+  "status": "partial",
   "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
   "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-  "started_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.330819+00:00",
-  "finished_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:11.704809+00:00",
+  "started_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:36.679996+00:00",
+  "finished_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:44.431878+00:00",
   "data_source": "ts_bench",
   "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
   "task_count": 1,
@@ -11,7 +11,13 @@
   "issued_forecasts": 0,
   "resolved_forecasts": 0,
   "pending_tasks": 8,
-  "failed_forecasts": [],
+  "failed_forecasts": [
+    {
+      "model": "*",
+      "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
+      "error": "Source is stale: first target period already started"
+    }
+  ],
   "models": {
     "Chronos-2": {
       "model": "Chronos-2",
@@ -19,7 +25,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998270+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073657+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "TiRex": {
@@ -28,7 +34,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998290+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073680+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "TimesFM-2.5": {
@@ -37,7 +43,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998294+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073685+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Toto-1.0": {
@@ -46,7 +52,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998298+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073688+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Moirai-2.0": {
@@ -55,7 +61,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998301+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073691+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Chronos-Bolt": {
@@ -64,7 +70,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998304+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073694+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "TabPFN-TS": {
@@ -73,7 +79,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998308+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073697+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Sundial": {
@@ -82,7 +88,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998316+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073707+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Moving-Average": {
@@ -91,7 +97,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998321+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073712+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "ETS": {
@@ -100,7 +106,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998324+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073717+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "ARIMA": {
@@ -109,7 +115,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998327+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073721+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     },
     "Seasonal-Naive": {
@@ -118,7 +124,7 @@
       "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
       "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
       "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:03.998330+00:00",
+      "evaluated_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:37.073726+00:00",
       "resolved_tasks": []
     }
   },
@@ -143,7 +149,7 @@
     "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
   },
   "push_status": "ok",
-  "pushed_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:23.737431+00:00",
+  "pushed_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:56.208102+00:00",
   "push_detail": "HF Hub API",
   "canonical_history_rows": 30769,
   "latest_scored_release_time": "2026-09-18T03:55:00+00:00"

results/publication_status.json

@@ -1 +1 @@
-{"push_status": "ok", "pushed_at": "2026-09-18T04:38:23.737431+00:00"}
+{"push_status": "ok", "pushed_at": "2026-09-18T04:43:56.208102+00:00"}