bench: path 6 learning-curve heads (n/u arms, 125-1000 drafts x 3 seeds, TMT PIO MH3), comparison pools, reports, calendar

bench/learncurve.MH3.json

@@ -0,0 +1,396 @@
+{
+ "MH3": {
+  "set": "MH3",
+  "drafts": 297,
+  "margins": [
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.5042697161563328,
+    "se": 0.020298432224506616,
+    "better": 0.9259259259259259,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7941174836767477
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.5132997233749983,
+    "se": 0.0200919726873229,
+    "better": 0.936026936026936,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7922223943190995
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.5203332096938098,
+    "se": 0.020664833923015612,
+    "better": 0.9461279461279462,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8090207868853458
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s0",
+    "margin": 0.2623146900908296,
+    "se": 0.021055954419854705,
+    "better": 0.7643097643097643,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8174132762959565
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s1",
+    "margin": 0.42979449837913913,
+    "se": 0.020917345060362746,
+    "better": 0.8855218855218855,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8344437178061307
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s2",
+    "margin": 0.1622223393188553,
+    "se": 0.021259386330264286,
+    "better": 0.622895622895623,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7769995986415448
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s0",
+    "margin": 0.43810172074998033,
+    "se": 0.02013890995001631,
+    "better": 0.9225589225589226,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7982377277801885
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s1",
+    "margin": 0.4507341482391291,
+    "se": 0.020826728756089,
+    "better": 0.898989898989899,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7810851620460985
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s2",
+    "margin": 0.44841291098241526,
+    "se": 0.02050890861573498,
+    "better": 0.898989898989899,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8046011278212281
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s0",
+    "margin": 0.5159989023383982,
+    "se": 0.020464416410908747,
+    "better": 0.9427609427609428,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8037904545321461
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s1",
+    "margin": 0.5188533117810048,
+    "se": 0.020696000257314176,
+    "better": 0.9326599326599326,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7952772418686677
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s2",
+    "margin": 0.504073959304678,
+    "se": 0.02050413825852246,
+    "better": 0.9427609427609428,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8073923743122432
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3",
+    "margin": 0.5962893024001271,
+    "se": 0.020867029011508317,
+    "better": 0.9764309764309764,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7601499429542756
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s1",
+    "margin": 0.5915833543510775,
+    "se": 0.02065394260136787,
+    "better": 0.9831649831649831,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7767718543228495
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s2",
+    "margin": 0.5922531791479106,
+    "se": 0.021148819375059597,
+    "better": 0.9730639730639731,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7637443542992272
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "signals",
+    "margin": 0.17409823170062003,
+    "se": 0.026318995903685423,
+    "better": 0.6868686868686869,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8525112083404207
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.6017814706160242,
+    "se": 0.021332317875902975,
+    "better": 0.9730639730639731,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7832021618042839
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.6085500101130599,
+    "se": 0.020322207584039513,
+    "better": 0.9797979797979798,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7920768297332732
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.5899345226273637,
+    "se": 0.020921521394125477,
+    "better": 0.9764309764309764,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.790377358140738
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s0",
+    "margin": 0.4167720991627084,
+    "se": 0.02119922082673929,
+    "better": 0.8821548821548821,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7717179008394655
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s1",
+    "margin": 0.39087209919052274,
+    "se": 0.021473458534717695,
+    "better": 0.8787878787878788,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7882685710028458
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s2",
+    "margin": 0.34408719792070336,
+    "se": 0.021041543630656433,
+    "better": 0.8484848484848485,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8110673222439005
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s0",
+    "margin": 0.5334708911791605,
+    "se": 0.020260945346919277,
+    "better": 0.9663299663299664,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7911797658478057
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s1",
+    "margin": 0.5002003235567049,
+    "se": 0.02070560518605769,
+    "better": 0.9461279461279462,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.8042658516711896
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s2",
+    "margin": 0.5040887312149802,
+    "se": 0.020868796070303373,
+    "better": 0.9427609427609428,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7903543099459638
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s0",
+    "margin": 0.5676777619273782,
+    "se": 0.02054047966999284,
+    "better": 0.9663299663299664,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7872245788966851
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s1",
+    "margin": 0.5580591283006775,
+    "se": 0.020769329230832616,
+    "better": 0.9730639730639731,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7995386881733547
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s2",
+    "margin": 0.5363013162330373,
+    "se": 0.020401384632690395,
+    "better": 0.9764309764309764,
+    "n": 297,
+    "commitment": 0.7748104074650136
+   }
+  ],
+  "curve": [
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": 0.284777175929608,
+    "lo": 0.1622223393188553,
+    "hi": 0.42979449837913913,
+    "spread": 0.26757215906028387,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.021077561936827246
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.44574959332384156,
+    "lo": 0.43810172074998033,
+    "hi": 0.4507341482391291,
+    "spread": 0.012632427489148779,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.020491515773946763
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.5129753911413603,
+    "lo": 0.504073959304678,
+    "hi": 0.5188533117810048,
+    "spread": 0.01477935247632678,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.02055485164224846
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.5126342164083802,
+    "lo": 0.5042697161563328,
+    "hi": 0.5203332096938098,
+    "spread": 0.016063493537477047,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.02035174627828171
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": 0.3839104654246448,
+    "lo": 0.34408719792070336,
+    "hi": 0.4167720991627084,
+    "spread": 0.07268490124200505,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.021238074330704473
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.5125866486502818,
+    "lo": 0.5002003235567049,
+    "hi": 0.5334708911791605,
+    "spread": 0.033270567622455616,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.020611782201093446
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.554012735487031,
+    "lo": 0.5363013162330373,
+    "hi": 0.5676777619273782,
+    "spread": 0.03137644569434084,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.020570397844505286
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.6000886677854825,
+    "lo": 0.5899345226273637,
+    "hi": 0.6085500101130599,
+    "spread": 0.01861548748569619,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.02085868228468932
+   }
+  ],
+  "rule": {
+   "n": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.5126342164083802,
+    "full_lo": 0.5042697161563328,
+    "full_hi": 0.5203332096938098,
+    "smallest_within": 500,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": 0.284777175929608,
+      "lo": 0.1622223393188553,
+      "hi": 0.42979449837913913,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.44574959332384156,
+      "lo": 0.43810172074998033,
+      "hi": 0.4507341482391291,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.5129753911413603,
+      "lo": 0.504073959304678,
+      "hi": 0.5188533117810048,
+      "within": true
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.5126342164083802,
+      "lo": 0.5042697161563328,
+      "hi": 0.5203332096938098,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   },
+   "u": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.6000886677854825,
+    "full_lo": 0.5899345226273637,
+    "full_hi": 0.6085500101130599,
+    "smallest_within": 1000,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": 0.3839104654246448,
+      "lo": 0.34408719792070336,
+      "hi": 0.4167720991627084,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.5125866486502818,
+      "lo": 0.5002003235567049,
+      "hi": 0.5334708911791605,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.554012735487031,
+      "lo": 0.5363013162330373,
+      "hi": 0.5676777619273782,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.6000886677854825,
+      "lo": 0.5899345226273637,
+      "hi": 0.6085500101130599,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   }
+  },
+  "overlays": {
+   "signals": {
+    "mean": 0.17409823170062003,
+    "lo": 0.17409823170062003,
+    "hi": 0.17409823170062003,
+    "seeds": 1
+   },
+   "r2s3": {
+    "mean": 0.5933752786330384,
+    "lo": 0.5915833543510775,
+    "hi": 0.5962893024001271,
+    "seeds": 3
+   }
+  }
+ }
+}

bench/learncurve.PIO.json

@@ -0,0 +1,396 @@
+{
+ "PIO": {
+  "set": "PIO",
+  "drafts": 294,
+  "margins": [
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.44684770666861595,
+    "se": 0.01857064413582456,
+    "better": 0.9387755102040817,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.6872461683029245
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.4344951471882639,
+    "se": 0.018385784289628282,
+    "better": 0.9251700680272109,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.6932262958495661
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.45525665387957287,
+    "se": 0.018149257640862095,
+    "better": 0.9319727891156463,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.6887008609757236
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s0",
+    "margin": 0.28748276863770983,
+    "se": 0.017605299589307778,
+    "better": 0.8503401360544217,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.772074369052647
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s1",
+    "margin": 0.34981354675239423,
+    "se": 0.017582601780525547,
+    "better": 0.8945578231292517,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7530219638259011
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s2",
+    "margin": 0.327450621598921,
+    "se": 0.018109036862360497,
+    "better": 0.8367346938775511,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.6563964169189782
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s0",
+    "margin": 0.41305225548640095,
+    "se": 0.017219672221510912,
+    "better": 0.9251700680272109,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7789980505836495
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s1",
+    "margin": 0.40817196720550447,
+    "se": 0.018094722888397422,
+    "better": 0.9115646258503401,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7830220301841351
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s2",
+    "margin": 0.4145199960696938,
+    "se": 0.01718047373614313,
+    "better": 0.9251700680272109,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7620092279577777
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s0",
+    "margin": 0.3470900270933795,
+    "se": 0.018891303941247828,
+    "better": 0.8707482993197279,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.6605377510325593
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s1",
+    "margin": 0.45840565702515934,
+    "se": 0.017591544538155767,
+    "better": 0.9523809523809523,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7953643792184922
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s2",
+    "margin": 0.4352279907833284,
+    "se": 0.017792102641596492,
+    "better": 0.9285714285714286,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7397709721780473
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3",
+    "margin": 0.5978725462084703,
+    "se": 0.017716057437073978,
+    "better": 0.9727891156462585,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7509423037614033
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s1",
+    "margin": 0.597222087087579,
+    "se": 0.01744757906840713,
+    "better": 0.9727891156462585,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7476312599184096
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s2",
+    "margin": 0.6014371315904032,
+    "se": 0.017539559836357684,
+    "better": 0.9795918367346939,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.738532823010606
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "signals",
+    "margin": 0.24269724053819708,
+    "se": 0.0195615662406216,
+    "better": 0.7857142857142857,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.8082341867114841
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.5988316486747683,
+    "se": 0.017438923796185488,
+    "better": 0.9761904761904762,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7346303986693025
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.5945448367352764,
+    "se": 0.01753027402556826,
+    "better": 0.9761904761904762,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7313547789930004
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.5967276043213398,
+    "se": 0.017689398892077133,
+    "better": 0.9761904761904762,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7338506919610893
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s0",
+    "margin": 0.46497005218062126,
+    "se": 0.017660811428273356,
+    "better": 0.9489795918367347,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7789309799286019
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s1",
+    "margin": 0.49413660878815413,
+    "se": 0.017736086122605865,
+    "better": 0.9489795918367347,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7501067076129007
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s2",
+    "margin": 0.46288423750740115,
+    "se": 0.017981830225026366,
+    "better": 0.9421768707482994,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7208113834232958
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s0",
+    "margin": 0.5616763027425293,
+    "se": 0.0177133416491755,
+    "better": 0.9659863945578231,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7144545847356654
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s1",
+    "margin": 0.5374163424546359,
+    "se": 0.017327263400580235,
+    "better": 0.9625850340136054,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7342883209576647
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s2",
+    "margin": 0.5177096437522654,
+    "se": 0.017799588158247944,
+    "better": 0.9591836734693877,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7108981732509091
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s0",
+    "margin": 0.5813456082183966,
+    "se": 0.017136691584664073,
+    "better": 0.9795918367346939,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7445167645171848
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s1",
+    "margin": 0.5735403950326633,
+    "se": 0.01744714171101257,
+    "better": 0.9795918367346939,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7641205446405334
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s2",
+    "margin": 0.569232843371018,
+    "se": 0.017881868264097885,
+    "better": 0.9795918367346939,
+    "n": 294,
+    "commitment": 0.7532825423660073
+   }
+  ],
+  "curve": [
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": 0.32158231232967505,
+    "lo": 0.28748276863770983,
+    "hi": 0.34981354675239423,
+    "spread": 0.062330778114684404,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017765646077397942
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.41191473958719976,
+    "lo": 0.40817196720550447,
+    "hi": 0.4145199960696938,
+    "spread": 0.006348028864189337,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01749828961535049
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.41357455830062245,
+    "lo": 0.3470900270933795,
+    "hi": 0.45840565702515934,
+    "spread": 0.11131562993177985,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.018091650373666696
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.44553316924548425,
+    "lo": 0.4344951471882639,
+    "hi": 0.45525665387957287,
+    "spread": 0.020761506691308995,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01836856202210498
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": 0.47399696615872555,
+    "lo": 0.46288423750740115,
+    "hi": 0.49413660878815413,
+    "spread": 0.03125237128075298,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017792909258635196
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.5389340963164768,
+    "lo": 0.5177096437522654,
+    "hi": 0.5616763027425293,
+    "spread": 0.043966658990263974,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017613397736001225
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.5747062822073593,
+    "lo": 0.569232843371018,
+    "hi": 0.5813456082183966,
+    "spread": 0.012112764847378665,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01748856718659151
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.5967013632437949,
+    "lo": 0.5945448367352764,
+    "hi": 0.5988316486747683,
+    "spread": 0.004286811939491986,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01755286557127696
+   }
+  ],
+  "rule": {
+   "n": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.44553316924548425,
+    "full_lo": 0.4344951471882639,
+    "full_hi": 0.45525665387957287,
+    "smallest_within": 1000,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": 0.32158231232967505,
+      "lo": 0.28748276863770983,
+      "hi": 0.34981354675239423,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.41191473958719976,
+      "lo": 0.40817196720550447,
+      "hi": 0.4145199960696938,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.41357455830062245,
+      "lo": 0.3470900270933795,
+      "hi": 0.45840565702515934,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.44553316924548425,
+      "lo": 0.4344951471882639,
+      "hi": 0.45525665387957287,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   },
+   "u": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.5967013632437949,
+    "full_lo": 0.5945448367352764,
+    "full_hi": 0.5988316486747683,
+    "smallest_within": 1000,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": 0.47399696615872555,
+      "lo": 0.46288423750740115,
+      "hi": 0.49413660878815413,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.5389340963164768,
+      "lo": 0.5177096437522654,
+      "hi": 0.5616763027425293,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.5747062822073593,
+      "lo": 0.569232843371018,
+      "hi": 0.5813456082183966,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.5967013632437949,
+      "lo": 0.5945448367352764,
+      "hi": 0.5988316486747683,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   }
+  },
+  "overlays": {
+   "signals": {
+    "mean": 0.24269724053819708,
+    "lo": 0.24269724053819708,
+    "hi": 0.24269724053819708,
+    "seeds": 1
+   },
+   "r2s3": {
+    "mean": 0.5988439216288175,
+    "lo": 0.597222087087579,
+    "hi": 0.6014371315904032,
+    "seeds": 3
+   }
+  }
+ }
+}

bench/learncurve.TMT.json

@@ -0,0 +1,396 @@
+{
+ "TMT": {
+  "set": "TMT",
+  "drafts": 300,
+  "margins": [
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.3135793434666085,
+    "se": 0.01745155533034319,
+    "better": 0.8733333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.720991473627319
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.3392263821901687,
+    "se": 0.016836175158270864,
+    "better": 0.8833333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7468325497569815
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.3402242658717711,
+    "se": 0.01660852061081117,
+    "better": 0.9133333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7320030099462252
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s0",
+    "margin": 0.14939718378687794,
+    "se": 0.017859894471125747,
+    "better": 0.6666666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.764856705324089
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s1",
+    "margin": -0.06810500241247097,
+    "se": 0.019612847984341052,
+    "better": 0.39,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.6771410351217797
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n125s2",
+    "margin": -0.21415445795012403,
+    "se": 0.018659782779345695,
+    "better": 0.24666666666666667,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.761611662269557
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s0",
+    "margin": 0.20963818205620768,
+    "se": 0.018494613298584008,
+    "better": 0.7266666666666667,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.800114374107748
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s1",
+    "margin": 0.2485519635411592,
+    "se": 0.017377777981142567,
+    "better": 0.8066666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.8144069771331532
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n250s2",
+    "margin": 0.11800513380817731,
+    "se": 0.01844615390974214,
+    "better": 0.6,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.8486693184091999
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s0",
+    "margin": 0.24479155228245655,
+    "se": 0.017277729834080185,
+    "better": 0.7866666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7720944773902374
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s1",
+    "margin": 0.2850030785667096,
+    "se": 0.017718450098787118,
+    "better": 0.85,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7733408110594926
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "n500s2",
+    "margin": 0.2353146417775372,
+    "se": 0.017682353917235664,
+    "better": 0.7733333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7782260147357934
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3",
+    "margin": 0.432424359061426,
+    "se": 0.017827544127657614,
+    "better": 0.9266666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7532257919039616
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s1",
+    "margin": 0.43682276505479223,
+    "se": 0.01796502069621142,
+    "better": 0.9266666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7822241823941968
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "r2s3s2",
+    "margin": 0.4416467998221008,
+    "se": 0.01776139192047205,
+    "better": 0.93,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7700043125849967
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "signals",
+    "margin": 0.08807706096697498,
+    "se": 0.020126934763837704,
+    "better": 0.6266666666666667,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.8581487631243857
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s0",
+    "margin": 0.45170200483898876,
+    "se": 0.017656092973988406,
+    "better": 0.9433333333333334,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7149960707125813
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s1",
+    "margin": 0.44850741063658567,
+    "se": 0.017208583175406997,
+    "better": 0.9366666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7308604954228114
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u1000s2",
+    "margin": 0.4609048420740224,
+    "se": 0.017400506379287105,
+    "better": 0.95,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7213832553512007
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s0",
+    "margin": 0.2577148963935583,
+    "se": 0.017291215671672664,
+    "better": 0.8,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7638487055552864
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s1",
+    "margin": 0.2970536512030822,
+    "se": 0.017058667022282474,
+    "better": 0.8533333333333334,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7166343737794126
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u125s2",
+    "margin": 0.1997742571855522,
+    "se": 0.01881555389527376,
+    "better": 0.73,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7936373936638228
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s0",
+    "margin": 0.3591202481405907,
+    "se": 0.017648592353363853,
+    "better": 0.8833333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7777739233948553
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s1",
+    "margin": 0.3672413996273611,
+    "se": 0.01689833322531316,
+    "better": 0.9133333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7258113934701289
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u250s2",
+    "margin": 0.3473936709475313,
+    "se": 0.017055926254101086,
+    "better": 0.9,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.784874027712211
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s0",
+    "margin": 0.41569272959166836,
+    "se": 0.01748273362937992,
+    "better": 0.9333333333333333,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7340183202186714
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s1",
+    "margin": 0.42012085768715157,
+    "se": 0.017241238170385042,
+    "better": 0.9266666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7312963968750045
+   },
+   {
+    "policy": "u500s2",
+    "margin": 0.3929575370691674,
+    "se": 0.016972045254265322,
+    "better": 0.9266666666666666,
+    "n": 300,
+    "commitment": 0.7697415562425757
+   }
+  ],
+  "curve": [
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": -0.04428742552523902,
+    "lo": -0.21415445795012403,
+    "hi": 0.14939718378687794,
+    "spread": 0.36355164173700194,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.018710841744937496
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.1920650931351814,
+    "lo": 0.11800513380817731,
+    "hi": 0.2485519635411592,
+    "spread": 0.13054682973298187,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.018106181729822906
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.2550364242089011,
+    "lo": 0.2353146417775372,
+    "hi": 0.2850030785667096,
+    "spread": 0.0496884367891724,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017559511283367656
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "n",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.3310099971761828,
+    "lo": 0.3135793434666085,
+    "hi": 0.3402242658717711,
+    "spread": 0.02664492240516264,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01696541703314174
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 125,
+    "mean": 0.2515142682607309,
+    "lo": 0.1997742571855522,
+    "hi": 0.2970536512030822,
+    "spread": 0.09727939401753,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01772181219640963
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 250,
+    "mean": 0.35791843957182773,
+    "lo": 0.3473936709475313,
+    "hi": 0.3672413996273611,
+    "spread": 0.019847728679829757,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017200950610926035
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 500,
+    "mean": 0.4095903747826624,
+    "lo": 0.3929575370691674,
+    "hi": 0.42012085768715157,
+    "spread": 0.027163320617984155,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.01723200568467676
+   },
+   {
+    "arm": "u",
+    "size": 1000,
+    "mean": 0.4537047525165323,
+    "lo": 0.44850741063658567,
+    "hi": 0.4609048420740224,
+    "spread": 0.012397431437436712,
+    "seeds": 3,
+    "se": 0.017421727509560836
+   }
+  ],
+  "rule": {
+   "n": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.3310099971761828,
+    "full_lo": 0.3135793434666085,
+    "full_hi": 0.3402242658717711,
+    "smallest_within": 1000,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": -0.04428742552523902,
+      "lo": -0.21415445795012403,
+      "hi": 0.14939718378687794,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.1920650931351814,
+      "lo": 0.11800513380817731,
+      "hi": 0.2485519635411592,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.2550364242089011,
+      "lo": 0.2353146417775372,
+      "hi": 0.2850030785667096,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.3310099971761828,
+      "lo": 0.3135793434666085,
+      "hi": 0.3402242658717711,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   },
+   "u": {
+    "full_size": 1000,
+    "full_mean": 0.4537047525165323,
+    "full_lo": 0.44850741063658567,
+    "full_hi": 0.4609048420740224,
+    "smallest_within": 1000,
+    "sizes": {
+     "125": {
+      "mean": 0.2515142682607309,
+      "lo": 0.1997742571855522,
+      "hi": 0.2970536512030822,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "250": {
+      "mean": 0.35791843957182773,
+      "lo": 0.3473936709475313,
+      "hi": 0.3672413996273611,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "500": {
+      "mean": 0.4095903747826624,
+      "lo": 0.3929575370691674,
+      "hi": 0.42012085768715157,
+      "within": false
+     },
+     "1000": {
+      "mean": 0.4537047525165323,
+      "lo": 0.44850741063658567,
+      "hi": 0.4609048420740224,
+      "within": true
+     }
+    }
+   }
+  },
+  "overlays": {
+   "signals": {
+    "mean": 0.08807706096697498,
+    "lo": 0.08807706096697498,
+    "hi": 0.08807706096697498,
+    "seeds": 1
+   },
+   "r2s3": {
+    "mean": 0.436964641312773,
+    "lo": 0.432424359061426,
+    "hi": 0.4416467998221008,
+    "seeds": 3
+   }
+  }
+ }
+}

bench/learncurve.calendar.parquet

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:cc8e37fac48a1f2ac38f166aaefca609d7fe72df0fd3af9b81d0f71fa6382156
+size 9277

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n1000s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:308ac6d70bc36da6fc534015b349bdcb7d5f493bb3208cf39d3114aaef8cfd36
+size 4278511

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n1000s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:3eadba78f1b34bc25bd9690a2358a5aeb91bcf199d150232046b2ecc1cbb7279
+size 4278511

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n125s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:234e95b226bf735e7d545e7e6551cf0f77b52297c8ba928622a09b603df0020c
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n125s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:2ee193c8d77c24cd9d19b3537ef4a89b9d620256c52ca00f3be67437139b6928
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n125s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:a2b1bd7a21bac1dce95f1fb8663a9fe9304e47dcaeb7d814d55550b1de1d09f2
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n250s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:aff4a106ec32220887580b76b0238d9b8feecc6638b75ab12d1486c46ef4c7a8
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n250s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:114940308ec10b7efd6569e0c84f9d4f0fcf7c1bceb96df69ed2156cab85c052
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n250s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:5e62b7025d6dd57d1eb2e0902bea86c80ea8a53ba326334b19670bfb3fc4cbef
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n500s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:caf8016bf1398797396485aff4578137b4a47b3094f1648ef002eac8c4f5fc28
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n500s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:1954ef85454f49eca9ad3aecb45238ba5108b2cd63162705f9a4e20ff8e22554
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.n500s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:70160fc1a93231bf87e0ae0b4f13df00a5d66a00b4c90f8f0dec4eee0b92ee18
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u1000s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:9b7e4ddb008a91206bb85c3d7aa58b266186c468c9e4b8cf3138ae9af979adbd
+size 4278575

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u1000s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:dabf0ee434559f87509c3ae8397d15c282b10035f3a20bb18ed737b9c2aa6a09
+size 4278575

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u1000s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:0fdbac335aa53e3afa6f2a88d74eb707f5ff69b7239cb088892e28252ff2e046
+size 4278575

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u125s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:6e04f281c580add021e4fd983dd3424206fbfaf37cd79b0f208ffb49e31c9ca9
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u125s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:12ae4a3fd9ed69736bc055fc4bed79b2fd479c2633f59ed05dfef41616d54714
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u125s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:b66371ccdf15b7c91c78e075d4250241f4a220567076b22d83da9d5e5b7b9d80
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u250s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:216c017bbb029a0221c123cd14c8e3d1c2acfe3fa2ef88c7335844e6cdef609f
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u250s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:0580b22db2f93977874094df3b5c4ee5df044faa09dee41b0ab45941354b8006
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u250s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:5862f7fbb14aa1ed20484c7748b6ad946fcc0b4a368d8e289c5954248c2f4fc6
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u500s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:a6ca1112e88aa6aafec68599c036b8b4a2e8558717ab1cf2bce96d3eab8f05b4
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u500s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:36207253e95b95a4e1ed589b3056195db7192f9bcc3bee72ce4bf5d510788885
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.MH3.v7.u500s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:3cc2197da10137af42a91d43cf229607a5b4110758668532c5c87ff91fd73d14
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n1000s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:d9f8883f30967e8afeafb0c14710efa7f37def5af7540b7b990472ff6a1537b8
+size 4278511

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n1000s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:318f8105642aa94fbf43138f92429ea91a2a28c9f02e2ff7c7a8933b4cd39913
+size 4278511

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n125s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:ed69045e3ee5b32941d4e776554255f23bf6239ab67e799c949a50622d49cb84
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n125s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:4ac87fb3939b74f12a4537703c76a10d9c593cc67708f6decb7b05f133385d2e
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n125s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:5541f68703d66b08ac31270e3ecde8657feaf39891a593535e4e4148d2090853
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n250s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:8dbd07cef73b1dd973f14251d2905bde39267864e0ae0c3dc01d86fe048a37c9
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n250s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:549d72468d80fe5e3ae823d9b4e61312212150f4da91c3eb87ce8fef85bb920d
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n250s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:a06cb7604ce902bcbdc88eb20dea87bb91b89e2bf9b02be03b19165d45b28826
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n500s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:df6e71161929209088aa5c46871a6d05523a2d398c4baf16de1868a7b2e70ca3
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n500s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:4f21a0bc7349bdfb2ef978537430f75280369ab42630f01a1d6c9f6bdcf7fd5f
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.n500s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:043e4253e7d7e6d8bc35105c459e0af321f1904eb610ed8c09a82dddf7053e0f
+size 4278473

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u1000s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:be13dd9a46c554938b5850ae2c60fc755d28336ce63ea4d8eb16255bf19e38b2
+size 4278575

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u1000s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:2b517158506748ff4e630fa13f9b47d894cb2aa5a4c33af81520e107b745619b
+size 4278575

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u1000s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:eb2675fb741a6d0339e1af9634d4e9f2a7e78757e348684b4c7bfda7d72ae373
+size 4278639

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u125s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:30c72f229541e591646eaee04a87003e2e0da2843871951822580e41148f5c1a
+size 4278601

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u125s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:30ce59e1c8c55a2417e04024818349a148b048a4d17dd5b7f59fc299526e5807
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u125s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:4a80ea44d3e36cfa5b7761ecaa0694164167dd30d404f7f0934555f2bcd3a7f5
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u250s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:197fa0c42b01883ed9b184f6b27831b4e6bf0542d50babc575700dff7bff3599
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u250s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:3c5514843781d02679659e1bd9800a46ea66b1f41614a6e731b26d67e63dcd51
+size 4278601

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u250s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:186c439a1e956dd22bd6826361ab049419558fecb267a90ef0e1a4ea5dbaba3a
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u500s0.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:84557396fce6c5b1bc4272affb085f82da6ced4992bee279f30d794b6ad84ab3
+size 4278537

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u500s1.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:cece7d2345947000454120d05c4aac6635904cf27af4962dc5589473faff21a9
+size 4278601

bench/pickhead.q.PIO.v7.u500s2.pt

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
+oid sha256:5a339b14d4611a200b48245b5556d3467af5d765cb9933392d0101f85516def2
+size 4278537