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Core synthetic time-series generator.
This module implements the configuration dataclass plus component builders for
trend, seasonal/cycle, noise, and events. The main entry point is
`generate_series`, which returns all components for downstream benchmarking.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import math
from dataclasses import asdict, dataclass, field
from typing import Any, Dict, List, Optional, Sequence, Tuple
import numpy as np
@dataclass
class SeriesConfig:
"""Configuration describing a single synthetic time-series scenario."""
length: int = 512
dt: float = 1.0
trend_type: str = "none"
trend_params: Dict[str, Any] = field(default_factory=dict)
cycle_types: List[str] = field(default_factory=list)
cycle_params_list: List[Dict[str, Any]] = field(default_factory=list)
noise_type: str = "white"
noise_params: Dict[str, Any] = field(default_factory=dict)
event_type: str = "none"
event_params: Dict[str, Any] = field(default_factory=dict)
snr_level: str = "medium"
random_seed: Optional[int] = None
def make_time_axis(length: int, dt: float = 1.0) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
"""
Return time indices `t` and normalized time `u` in [0, 1].
Args:
length: Number of time steps.
dt: Sampling interval.
Returns:
Tuple of (t, u) arrays with shape `(length,)`.
"""
t = np.arange(length, dtype=float) * dt
u = np.linspace(0.0, 1.0, length)
return t, u
def _center_and_scale(x: np.ndarray, target_amp: float = 1.0) -> np.ndarray:
"""Center component and scale to target amplitude (max abs)."""
if not np.any(x):
return np.zeros_like(x)
centered = x - np.mean(x)
max_abs = np.max(np.abs(centered))
if max_abs < 1e-12:
return np.zeros_like(centered)
return centered * (target_amp / max_abs)
def _moving_average(x: np.ndarray, window: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""Simple moving average with same-length output."""
window = max(1, int(window))
if window == 1:
return x
kernel = np.ones(window) / window
return np.convolve(x, kernel, mode="same")
def make_trend(
t: np.ndarray,
u: np.ndarray,
trend_type: str,
params: Dict[str, Any],
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Dict[str, Any]]:
"""
Generate trend component T(t) according to `trend_type`.
Supported trend_type:
- "none"
- "linear"
- "poly"
- "exp"
- "logistic"
- "piecewise"
- "rw_smooth"
"""
trend_type = (trend_type or "none").lower()
params = dict(params or {})
length = len(t)
if trend_type == "none":
return np.zeros(length), {}
if trend_type == "linear":
slope = params.get("slope", np.random.uniform(-2.0, 2.0))
intercept = params.get("intercept", 0.0)
raw = slope * (u - 0.5) + intercept
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(raw, amplitude), {
"slope": slope,
"intercept": intercept,
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if trend_type == "poly":
degree = int(params.get("degree", 2))
coeffs = params.get("coeffs")
if coeffs is None:
coeffs = np.random.uniform(-1.0, 1.0, degree + 1)
raw = np.polyval(coeffs, u * 2 - 1)
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(raw, amplitude), {
"degree": degree,
"coeffs": list(np.asarray(coeffs).tolist()),
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if trend_type == "exp":
alpha = params.get("alpha", 0.5)
beta = params.get("beta", 2.0)
raw = alpha * np.exp(beta * (u - 0.5))
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(raw, amplitude), {
"alpha": alpha,
"beta": beta,
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if trend_type == "logistic":
K = params.get("K", 1.0)
r = params.get("r", 10.0)
u0 = params.get("u0", 0.5)
raw = K / (1.0 + np.exp(-r * (u - u0)))
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(raw, amplitude), {
"K": K,
"r": r,
"u0": u0,
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if trend_type == "piecewise":
num_breaks = params.get("num_breaks", np.random.randint(1, 3))
breakpoints = params.get(
"breakpoints",
sorted(np.random.uniform(0.2, 0.8, num_breaks)),
)
slopes = params.get(
"slopes",
np.random.uniform(-2.0, 2.0, len(breakpoints) + 1),
)
values = np.zeros_like(u)
last_u = 0.0
value = 0.0
bp_iter = breakpoints + [1.0]
for idx, bp in enumerate(bp_iter):
mask = (u >= last_u) & (u <= bp)
interval_u = u[mask] - last_u
values[mask] = value + slopes[idx] * interval_u
if interval_u.size:
value = values[mask][-1]
last_u = bp
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(values, amplitude), {
"breakpoints": breakpoints,
"slopes": list(np.asarray(slopes).tolist()),
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if trend_type == "rw_smooth":
step_scale = params.get("step_scale", 0.3)
smooth_window = params.get("smooth_window", length // 20 or 5)
increments = np.random.normal(0.0, step_scale, length)
raw = np.cumsum(increments)
smooth = _moving_average(raw, smooth_window)
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
return _center_and_scale(smooth, amplitude), {
"step_scale": step_scale,
"smooth_window": smooth_window,
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported trend_type '{trend_type}'.")
def make_cycle(
t: np.ndarray,
u: np.ndarray,
cycle_type: str,
params: Dict[str, Any],
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Dict[str, Any]]:
"""
Generate a single cycle component S(t) for a given cycle_type.
Supported cycle_type:
- "single_sine"
- "multi_harmonic"
- "sawtooth"
- "square"
- "multi_seasonal"
- "amp_modulated"
- "freq_drifting"
- "regime_cycle"
"""
length = len(t)
cycle_type = (cycle_type or "single_sine").lower()
params = dict(params or {})
def _default_period() -> float:
return params.get("period", np.random.uniform(20.0, 80.0))
if cycle_type == "single_sine":
period = _default_period()
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
phase = params.get("phase", np.random.uniform(0, 2 * np.pi))
comp = amplitude * np.sin(2 * np.pi * t / period + phase)
return comp, {"period": period, "amplitude": amplitude, "phase": phase}
if cycle_type == "multi_harmonic":
base_period = params.get("base_period", np.random.uniform(30.0, 60.0))
harmonics = int(params.get("harmonics", 3))
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
coeffs = params.get("coeffs", np.random.uniform(0.3, 1.0, harmonics))
comp = np.zeros(length)
for idx in range(1, harmonics + 1):
comp += coeffs[idx - 1] * np.sin(2 * np.pi * idx * t / base_period)
comp = _center_and_scale(comp, amplitude)
return comp, {
"base_period": base_period,
"harmonics": harmonics,
"coeffs": list(np.asarray(coeffs).tolist()),
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if cycle_type == "sawtooth":
period = _default_period()
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
saw = 2 * ((t / period) % 1) - 1
return amplitude * saw, {"period": period, "amplitude": amplitude}
if cycle_type == "square":
period = _default_period()
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
square = np.sign(np.sin(2 * np.pi * t / period))
return amplitude * square, {"period": period, "amplitude": amplitude}
if cycle_type == "multi_seasonal":
periods = params.get(
"periods",
[np.random.uniform(20.0, 40.0), np.random.uniform(60.0, 120.0)],
)
amplitudes = params.get("amplitudes", [0.7, 0.5])
comp = np.zeros(length)
used_periods: List[float] = []
used_amplitudes: List[float] = []
for per, amp in zip(periods, amplitudes):
comp += amp * np.sin(2 * np.pi * t / per)
used_periods.append(per)
used_amplitudes.append(amp)
return comp, {"periods": used_periods, "amplitudes": used_amplitudes}
if cycle_type == "amp_modulated":
carrier_period = params.get("carrier_period", _default_period())
amp0 = params.get("amp0", 0.5)
amp1 = params.get("amp1", 1.5)
modulation = amp0 + (amp1 - amp0) * u
comp = modulation * np.sin(2 * np.pi * t / carrier_period)
return comp, {
"carrier_period": carrier_period,
"amp0": amp0,
"amp1": amp1,
}
if cycle_type == "freq_drifting":
period0 = params.get("period0", np.random.uniform(30.0, 70.0))
delta = params.get("delta", np.random.uniform(-15.0, 15.0))
amplitude = params.get("amplitude", 1.0)
inst_period = period0 + delta * u
inst_freq = 1.0 / np.maximum(inst_period, 1e-3)
dt = t[1] - t[0] if len(t) > 1 else 1.0
phase = 2 * np.pi * np.cumsum(inst_freq) * dt
comp = amplitude * np.sin(phase)
return comp, {
"period0": period0,
"delta": delta,
"amplitude": amplitude,
}
if cycle_type == "regime_cycle":
split = params.get("split", 0.5)
amp_a = params.get("amp_a", 1.0)
amp_b = params.get("amp_b", 0.4)
per_a = params.get("period_a", np.random.uniform(25.0, 40.0))
per_b = params.get("period_b", np.random.uniform(50.0, 80.0))
comp = np.zeros(length)
split_idx = int(length * split)
comp[:split_idx] = amp_a * np.sin(2 * np.pi * t[:split_idx] / per_a)
comp[split_idx:] = amp_b * np.sin(2 * np.pi * t[split_idx:] / per_b)
return comp, {
"split": split,
"amp_a": amp_a,
"amp_b": amp_b,
"period_a": per_a,
"period_b": per_b,
}
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported cycle_type '{cycle_type}'.")
def make_all_cycles(
t: np.ndarray,
u: np.ndarray,
cycle_types: Sequence[str],
cycle_params_list: Sequence[Dict[str, Any]],
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, List[Dict[str, Any]]]:
"""Sum multiple cycle components, returning the aggregate and metadata."""
cycle_types = list(cycle_types or [])
cycle_params_list = list(cycle_params_list or [])
if cycle_types and len(cycle_types) != len(cycle_params_list):
raise ValueError("cycle_types and cycle_params_list must align in length.")
if not cycle_types:
return np.zeros(len(t)), []
total = np.zeros(len(t))
details: List[Dict[str, Any]] = []
for c_type, c_params in zip(cycle_types, cycle_params_list):
comp, used = make_cycle(t, u, c_type, c_params)
total += comp
details.append({"type": c_type, "params": used})
return total, details
def make_noise(
length: int,
noise_type: str,
params: Dict[str, Any],
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Dict[str, Any]]:
"""
Generate noise sequence eps_t.
Supported noise_type:
- "none"
- "white"
- "ar1"
- "arma"
- "garch_like"
- "bursty"
"""
noise_type = (noise_type or "white").lower()
params = dict(params or {})
if noise_type == "none":
return np.zeros(length), {}
if noise_type == "white":
sigma = params.get("sigma", 0.5)
eps = np.random.normal(0.0, sigma, length)
return eps, {"sigma": sigma}
if noise_type == "ar1":
phi = params.get("phi", 0.6)
sigma = params.get("sigma", 0.5)
eps = np.zeros(length)
innovations = np.random.normal(0.0, sigma, length)
for i in range(1, length):
eps[i] = phi * eps[i - 1] + innovations[i]
return eps, {"phi": phi, "sigma": sigma}
if noise_type == "arma":
phi = params.get("phi", 0.5)
theta = params.get("theta", 0.4)
sigma = params.get("sigma", 0.4)
eps = np.zeros(length)
innovations = np.random.normal(0.0, sigma, length)
for i in range(1, length):
eps[i] = phi * eps[i - 1] + innovations[i] + theta * innovations[i - 1]
return eps, {"phi": phi, "theta": theta, "sigma": sigma}
if noise_type == "garch_like":
omega = params.get("omega", 0.1)
alpha = params.get("alpha", 0.3)
beta = params.get("beta", 0.5)
sigma = np.zeros(length)
eps = np.zeros(length)
sigma[0] = math.sqrt(omega / (1 - alpha - beta + 1e-6))
for i in range(1, length):
sigma[i] = math.sqrt(
omega + alpha * eps[i - 1] ** 2 + beta * sigma[i - 1] ** 2
)
eps[i] = sigma[i] * np.random.normal()
return eps, {"omega": omega, "alpha": alpha, "beta": beta}
if noise_type == "bursty":
sigma = params.get("sigma", 0.3)
burst_sigma = params.get("burst_sigma", 1.5)
num_bursts = params.get("num_bursts", max(1, length // 100))
burst_len = params.get("burst_len", max(3, length // 50))
eps = np.random.normal(0.0, sigma, length)
for _ in range(num_bursts):
start = np.random.randint(0, length - burst_len + 1)
eps[start : start + burst_len] += np.random.normal(
0.0, burst_sigma, burst_len
)
return eps, {
"sigma": sigma,
"burst_sigma": burst_sigma,
"num_bursts": num_bursts,
"burst_len": burst_len,
}
raise ValueError(f"Unsupported noise_type '{noise_type}'.")
def make_events(
length: int,
event_type: str,
params: Dict[str, Any],
) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, Dict[str, Any]]:
"""
Generate event component E(t), e.g. level shifts and spikes.
Supported event_type:
- "none"
- "level_shift"
- "spikes"
- "mixed"
"""
event_type = (event_type or "none").lower()
params = dict(params or {})
if event_type == "none":
return np.zeros(length), {}
events = np.zeros(length)
shift_points_used: List[int] = []
spike_idx_used: List[int] = []
if event_type in {"level_shift", "mixed"}:
num_shifts = params.get("num_shifts", 1)
shift_magnitude = params.get("shift_magnitude", 1.0)
points = params.get("shift_points")
if points is None:
start = max(1, length // 4)
end = max(start + 1, length - length // 4)
candidate = np.arange(start, end)
count = min(num_shifts, len(candidate))
if count > 0:
points = sorted(
np.random.choice(candidate, count, replace=False).tolist()
)
else:
points = []
shift_points_used = list(points)
for idx, point in enumerate(points):
events[point:] += shift_magnitude * (idx + 1)
if event_type in {"spikes", "mixed"}:
num_spikes = params.get("num_spikes", max(1, length // 40))
spike_magnitude = params.get("spike_magnitude", 2.5)
spike_idx = params.get("spike_idx")
if spike_idx is None:
count = min(num_spikes, length)
if count > 0:
spike_idx = np.random.choice(length, count, replace=False).tolist()
else:
spike_idx = []
spike_idx_used = list(spike_idx)
if spike_idx:
events[spike_idx] += spike_magnitude * np.random.choice(
[-1, 1], len(spike_idx)
)
used_params = {
k: v
for k, v in {
"num_shifts": params.get("num_shifts", len(shift_points_used)),
"shift_magnitude": params.get("shift_magnitude"),
"shift_points": shift_points_used,
"num_spikes": params.get("num_spikes", len(spike_idx_used)),
"spike_magnitude": params.get("spike_magnitude"),
"spike_idx": spike_idx_used,
}.items()
if v is not None
}
return events, used_params
def scale_noise_to_snr(
signal: np.ndarray,
noise: np.ndarray,
snr_level: str = "medium",
) -> np.ndarray:
"""
Rescale noise to achieve a rough SNR level ("low", "medium", "high").
SNR here is defined as signal_rms / noise_rms.
"""
snr_targets = {"high": 5.0, "medium": 2.0, "low": 1.0}
target = snr_targets.get((snr_level or "medium").lower(), 2.0)
signal_rms = np.sqrt(np.mean(signal**2)) if np.any(signal) else 0.0
noise_rms = np.sqrt(np.mean(noise**2)) if np.any(noise) else 0.0
if noise_rms == 0.0:
return np.zeros_like(noise)
if signal_rms == 0.0:
return noise
desired_noise_rms = signal_rms / target
scale = desired_noise_rms / noise_rms
return noise * scale
def generate_series(config: SeriesConfig) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Generate a synthetic time series with components y = T + S + E + eps.
Args:
config: Series configuration.
Returns:
Dict containing arrays for the components and metadata.
"""
if config.random_seed is not None:
np.random.seed(config.random_seed)
t, u = make_time_axis(config.length, config.dt)
trend, trend_info = make_trend(t, u, config.trend_type, config.trend_params)
cycle_types = list(config.cycle_types or [])
cycle_params_list = list(config.cycle_params_list or [])
if len(cycle_params_list) < len(cycle_types):
cycle_params_list.extend(
{} for _ in range(len(cycle_types) - len(cycle_params_list))
)
elif len(cycle_params_list) > len(cycle_types):
cycle_params_list = cycle_params_list[: len(cycle_types)]
cycles, cycle_info = make_all_cycles(
t,
u,
cycle_types,
cycle_params_list,
)
events, event_info = make_events(
config.length, config.event_type, config.event_params
)
noise, noise_info = make_noise(
config.length, config.noise_type, config.noise_params
)
clean = trend + cycles + events
noise_scaled = scale_noise_to_snr(clean, noise, config.snr_level)
y = clean + noise_scaled
meta = {
"config": asdict(config),
"trend": {"type": config.trend_type, "params": trend_info},
"cycles": cycle_info,
"events": {"type": config.event_type, "params": event_info},
"noise": {"type": config.noise_type, "params": noise_info},
"snr_level": config.snr_level,
}
return {
"t": t,
"y": y,
"trend": trend,
"season": cycles,
"events": events,
"noise": noise_scaled,
"clean": clean,
"meta": meta,
}
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