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| ########################################################### | |
| ##### ESLR - DATA MANIPULATION CHECKS - AgCensus Data ##### | |
| ########################################################### | |
| rm(list = ls()) # Clear variables | |
| require(foreign) | |
| require(ggplot2) | |
| require(RColorBrewer) # creates nice color schemes | |
| require(scales) # customize scales | |
| require(plyr) # join function | |
| require(dplyr) | |
| require(rdrobust) # rd estimation tools | |
| require(stargazer) # format tables | |
| require(haven) | |
| require(readstata13) | |
| require(TOSTER) | |
| require(benford.analysis) # Tests for data manipulation | |
| par(mar=c(1,1,1,1)) | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Load IV Censo Agropecuario Data (with reform data): | |
| censo_ag_wreform <- read.dta13(file="Data/censo_ag_wreform.dta") | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Making Standarized Coefficient Plots: | |
| # Set aesthetics: | |
| aesthetics <- list( | |
| theme_bw(), | |
| theme(legend.title=element_blank(), | |
| #legend.justification=c(0,0), | |
| #legend.position= "right", #c(1,0), | |
| #panel.grid.minor=element_blank(), | |
| #panel.grid.major=element_blank(), | |
| plot.background=element_rect(colour="white",fill="white"), | |
| panel.grid.major=element_blank(), | |
| panel.grid.minor=element_blank(), | |
| axis.text.x=element_text(angle=45, face="bold",hjust=1), | |
| axis.title.y=element_text(face="bold.italic"), | |
| axis.title.x=element_text(face="bold.italic"))) | |
| ######################################## | |
| censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Qt_ap <- censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Yield * censo_ag_wreform$AREA_HECTAREA | |
| censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Qt_ap <- censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Yield * censo_ag_wreform$AREA_HECTAREA | |
| censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Qt_ap <- censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Yield * censo_ag_wreform$AREA_HECTAREA | |
| censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Qt_ap <- censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Yield * censo_ag_wreform$AREA_HECTAREA | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Testing Bunching in the Staple Crop Output Data: | |
| # MAIZE: | |
| bfd.coops1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| bfd.haciendas1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops1$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas1$data$data.digits) | |
| bfd.coops <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| bfd.haciendas <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas$data$data.digits) | |
| # Beans: | |
| bfd.coops1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| bfd.haciendas1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops1$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas1$data$data.digits) | |
| bfd.coops <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| bfd.haciendas <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas$data$data.digits) | |
| # Coffee: | |
| bfd.coops1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| bfd.haciendas1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops1$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas1$data$data.digits) | |
| bfd.coops <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| bfd.haciendas <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas$data$data.digits) | |
| # Sugar Cane: | |
| bfd.coops1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| bfd.haciendas1 <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=1) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops1$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas1$data$data.digits) | |
| bfd.coops <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==1 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| bfd.haciendas <- benford(censo_ag_wreform$SugarCane_Qt_ap[censo_ag_wreform$Above500==0 & abs(censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist) < 150], number.of.digits=2) | |
| ks.test(bfd.coops$data$data.digits, | |
| bfd.haciendas$data$data.digits) | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Functions to trim (prone to huge outliers, especially when standardizing) | |
| winsor1 <- function (x, fraction=.01) | |
| { | |
| if(length(fraction) != 1 || fraction < 0 || | |
| fraction > 0.5) { | |
| stop("bad value for 'fraction'") | |
| } | |
| lim <- quantile(x, probs=c(fraction, 1-fraction),na.rm = TRUE) | |
| x[ x < lim[1] ] <- lim[1] #lim[1] 8888 | |
| x[ x > lim[2] ] <- lim[2] #lim[2] 8888 | |
| x | |
| } | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Differences in Bunching: | |
| # Create indicator = 1 if ends on 0 or 5: | |
| censo_ag_wreform <- mutate(censo_ag_wreform, | |
| Maize_Bunch = ifelse(Maize_Qt_ap %% 10 == 0,1,0), | |
| Beans_Bunch = ifelse(winsor1(Beans_Qt_ap,fraction = 0.025) %% 10 == 0,1,0), | |
| Coffee_Bunch = ifelse(Coffee_Qt_ap %% 10 == 0,1,0), | |
| Sugar_Bunch = ifelse(SugarCane_Qt_ap %% 10 == 0,1,0)) | |
| # RD - Bunching: | |
| num_ests <- 1*4 | |
| rd_estimates <-data.frame(estimates = rep(0, num_ests), ses = rep(0, num_ests), | |
| y_var = rep(0,num_ests), | |
| label = rep(0, num_ests)) | |
| count<-1 | |
| rdests <- rdrobust(y = (censo_ag_wreform$Maize_Bunch), | |
| x=censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist,c = 0,p = 1,q=2, | |
| bwselect = "mserd", cluster=censo_ag_wreform$Expropretario_ISTA) | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("estimates")] <- rdests$coef[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("ses")] <- rdests$se[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("y_var")] <- "Maize" | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("label")] <- paste("","Bunching at multiples of 10",sep="") | |
| count<-count+1 | |
| rdests <- rdrobust(y = (censo_ag_wreform$Beans_Bunch), | |
| x=censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist,c = 0,p = 1,q=2, | |
| bwselect = "mserd", cluster=censo_ag_wreform$Expropretario_ISTA) | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("estimates")] <- rdests$coef[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("ses")] <- rdests$se[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("y_var")] <- "Beans" | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("label")] <- paste("","Bunching at multiples of 10",sep="") | |
| count<-count+1 | |
| rdests <- rdrobust(y = (censo_ag_wreform$Coffee_Bunch), | |
| x=censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist,c = 0,p = 1,q=2, | |
| bwselect = "mserd", cluster=censo_ag_wreform$Expropretario_ISTA) | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("estimates")] <- rdests$coef[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("ses")] <- rdests$se[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("y_var")] <- "Coffee" | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("label")] <- paste("","Bunching at multiples of 10",sep="") | |
| count<-count+1 | |
| rdests <- rdrobust(y = (censo_ag_wreform$Sugar_Bunch), | |
| x=censo_ag_wreform$norm_dist,c = 0,p = 1,q=2, | |
| bwselect = "mserd", cluster=censo_ag_wreform$Expropretario_ISTA) | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("estimates")] <- rdests$coef[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("ses")] <- rdests$se[1] | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("y_var")] <- "Sugar Cane" | |
| rd_estimates[count,c("label")] <- paste("","Bunching at multiples of 10",sep="") | |
| count<-count+1 | |
| ######################################## | |
| ## Making Standarized Coefficient Plots: | |
| # Set aesthetics: | |
| aesthetics <- list( | |
| theme_bw(), | |
| theme(legend.title=element_blank(), | |
| #legend.justification=c(0,0), | |
| #legend.position= "right", #c(1,0), | |
| #panel.grid.minor=element_blank(), | |
| #panel.grid.major=element_blank(), | |
| plot.background=element_rect(colour="black",fill="white"), | |
| panel.grid.major=element_blank(), | |
| panel.grid.minor=element_blank(), | |
| axis.text.x=element_text(angle=45, face="bold",hjust=1), | |
| axis.title.y=element_text(face="bold.italic"), | |
| axis.title.x=element_text(face="bold.italic"))) | |
| ######################################## | |
| # Clean data for plotting: | |
| alpha<- 0.05 | |
| Multiplier <- qnorm(1 - alpha / 2) | |
| # Find the outcome var for each regression: | |
| data <-rd_estimates | |
| # Replace y_var with nice names: | |
| # Now, keep only the betas of interest: | |
| betas <- data | |
| dim(betas) | |
| betas<- betas[seq(dim(betas)[1],1),] | |
| # Create Matrix for plotting: | |
| MatrixofModels <- betas[c("y_var", "estimates","ses","label")] | |
| colnames(MatrixofModels) <- c("IV", "Estimate", "StandardError", "Group") | |
| MatrixofModels$IV <- factor(MatrixofModels$IV, levels = c( "Sugar Cane", | |
| "Coffee", | |
| "Beans", | |
| "Maize")) | |
| MatrixofModels$Group <- factor(MatrixofModels$Group) #levels = c(1,2), labels = c("Local Linear Polynomials","Local Quadratic Polynomials")) | |
| # Plot: | |
| OutputPlot <- qplot(IV, Estimate, ymin = Estimate - Multiplier * StandardError, | |
| ymax = Estimate + Multiplier * StandardError, data = MatrixofModels, geom = "pointrange", | |
| ylab = NULL, xlab = NULL, facets=~ Group) | |
| OutputPlot <- OutputPlot + geom_hline(yintercept = 0, lwd = I(7/12), colour = I(hsv(0/12, 7/12, 7/12)), alpha = I(5/12)) | |
| OutputPlot <- OutputPlot + theme_bw() + ylab("\n RD Coefficient Estimate (Above 500 ha)") + aesthetics + xlab("") | |
| # Save: | |
| OutputPlot + coord_flip() #+ scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(-1, 1,0.25)) | |
| ggsave(filename="./Output/CoefPlot_Bunching.pdf") | |