Download 42/replication_package/model_replication/Main Moving/simulate.m from chuxuan/REPRO-Bench: direct link, hf CLI and curl.
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https://huggingface.co/datasets/chuxuan/REPRO-Bench/resolve/main/42/replication_package/model_replication/Main%20Moving/simulate.m
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hf download 'hf://datasets/chuxuan/REPRO-Bench/42/replication_package/model_replication/Main Moving/simulate.m'
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curl -L -o simulate.m https://huggingface.co/datasets/chuxuan/REPRO-Bench/resolve/main/42/replication_package/model_replication/Main%20Moving/simulate.m
30.4 kB
| close all | |
| set(groot, 'DefaultAxesLineWidth', 1.5); | |
| set(groot, 'DefaultLineLineWidth', 4); | |
| set(groot, 'DefaultAxesTickLabelInterpreter','latex'); | |
| set(groot, 'DefaultLegendInterpreter','latex'); | |
| set(groot, 'DefaultAxesFontSize',24); | |
| N = 25000; | |
| T = p.T; | |
| A = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % Liquid Assets | |
| O = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % fraction of loan outstanding | |
| Th = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % initial mortgage size | |
| H = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % house size | |
| C = zeros(2*N, T); % consumption | |
| L = zeros(2*N, T); % liquidity after making housing choice | |
| D = zeros(2*N, T); % discrete choice: 1 ... 5 | |
| Y = zeros(2*N, T); % income | |
| V = zeros(2*N, T); % value function | |
| Pall = zeros(2*N, 5, T); | |
| Vall = zeros(2*N, 5, T); | |
| Mind = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % number of your mortgage (1, 2, 3, ...) | |
| Hind = zeros(2*N, T + 1); % number of your house (1, 2, 3) | |
| Curt = zeros(2*N, T); % indicator for whether curtail mortgage | |
| % First simulate history of shocks to income | |
| rng(100); | |
| Z = zeros(2*N, T); | |
| E = zeros(2*N, T); | |
| index = nodeunif(N, 1e-14, 1 - 1e-14); | |
| unif = index(randperm(N)); unif = [unif; 1 - unif]; % mirror sampling | |
| Fzcum = [0; cumsum(Fz)]; % cumulative ergodic for initial conditions | |
| [~, bin] = histc(unif, Fzcum); % bin is the index of initial draw of z | |
| Z(:,1) = bin; | |
| unif = index(randperm(N)); unif = [unif; 1 - unif]; % mirror sampling | |
| Fecum = [0; cumsum(we)]; % cumulative ergodic for transitory shock | |
| [~, bin] = histc(unif, Fecum); % bin is the index of e transitory shock | |
| E(:,1) = bin; | |
| Y(:,1) = p.lambdat(1)*p.zgrid(Z(:,1)).*p.egrid(E(:,1)); | |
| for t = 2 : T | |
| unif = index(randperm(N)); unif = [unif; 1 - unif]; % mirror sampling | |
| Fzcum = [zeros(2*N, 1), cumsum(Fzz(Z(:,t-1), :), 2)]; | |
| Z(:,t) = ((unif < Fzcum(:, 2:end)).*(unif >= Fzcum(:,1:end-1)))*(1 : 1 : p.nz)'; | |
| unif = index(randperm(N)); unif = [unif; 1 - unif]; | |
| [~, bin] = histc(unif, Fecum); % bin is the index of e transitory shock | |
| E(:,t) = bin; | |
| Y(:,t) = p.lambdat(t)*p.zgrid(Z(:,t)).*p.egrid(E(:,t)); | |
| end | |
| U = rand(2*N, T); % random variable that determines choice probability (adjustment cost) | |
| Delta = rand(2*N, T); % random variable that determines maintenance shock | |
| Delta = p.delta(1)*(Delta <= p.pidelta(1)) + p.delta(2)*(Delta > p.pidelta(1)); | |
| % period 1 all are renters with 0 wealth | |
| t = 1; | |
| Whinterp = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, (1: 1: p.no*p.nt*p.nh*p.nz)'}, reshape(wh(:, t), p.nl, p.no*p.nt*p.nh*p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| Wrinterp = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, (1: 1: p.nz)'}, reshape(wr(:, t), p.nl, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| state = (1 + interest(A(:, t), p)).*A(:,t); % others irrelevant here | |
| [Lall, Oall, Thall, Hall, V(:,t), Pall(:, 1: 3, t), Vall(:, 1 : 3, t)] = solveh(state, Whinterp, Wrinterp, p, p.thetay(t), 'r', state(:,1), Y(:, t), Z(:, t)); | |
| Pcum = [zeros(2*N, 1), cumsum(Pall(:, 1: 3, t), 2)]; | |
| unif = rand(2*N, 1); | |
| D(:, t) = ((unif < Pcum(:, 2:end)).*(unif >= Pcum(:,1:end-1)))*(1 : 1 : 3)'; | |
| ind = sub2ind([2*N, 3], (1 : 1 : 2*N)', D(:,t)); | |
| L(:, t) = Lall(ind); | |
| O(:, t + 1) = Oall(ind); | |
| Th(:, t + 1) = Thall(ind); | |
| H(:, t + 1) = Hall(ind); | |
| % Find consumption | |
| rent = H(:, t + 1) == 0; | |
| Chint = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, p.ogrid, p.tgrid, p.hgrid, p.zgrid}, reshape(ch(:, t), p.nl, p.no, p.nt, p.nh, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| Crint = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, p.zgrid}, reshape(cr(:, t), p.nl, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| cmin = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(rent, t), p, 'r', amax); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| cmax = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(rent, t), p, 'r', amin); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| C(rent, t) = max(min(Crint(L(rent, t), p.zgrid(Z(rent, t))), cmax), cmin); | |
| [~, A(rent, t+1)] = savings(C(rent,t), L(rent, t), p, 'r'); % none of the other state variables matter | |
| cmin = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(~rent, t), p, 'h', amax); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| cmax = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(~rent, t), p, 'h', amin); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| C(~rent,t) = max(min(Chint(L(~rent, t), O(~rent, t+1), Th(~rent, t+1), H(~rent, t+1), p.zgrid(Z(~rent, t))), cmax), cmin); | |
| [~, A(~rent, t+1)] = savings(C(~rent,t), L(~rent,t), p, 'h'); | |
| Hind(:, t + 1) = D(:, t) > 1; | |
| Mind(:, t + 1) = D(:, t) == 3; | |
| for t = 2 : T | |
| Whinterp = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, (1: 1: p.no*p.nt*p.nh*p.nz)'}, reshape(wh(:, t), p.nl, p.no*p.nt*p.nh*p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| Wrinterp = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, (1: 1: p.nz)'}, reshape(wr(:, t), p.nl, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| rent = H(:, t) == 0; | |
| % Renters | |
| state = (1 + interest(A(rent, t), p)).*A(rent, t); % others don't matter directly | |
| ntemp = numel(find(rent)); | |
| [Lall, Oall, Thall, Hall, V(rent,t), Pall(rent, 1 : 3, t), Vall(rent, 1 : 3, t)] = solveh(state, Whinterp, Wrinterp, p, p.thetay(t), 'r', state(:,1), Y(rent, t), Z(rent, t)); | |
| Pcum = [zeros(ntemp, 1), cumsum(Pall(rent, 1 : 3, t), 2)]; | |
| D(rent, t) = ((U(rent, t) < Pcum(:, 2:end)).*(U(rent, t) >= Pcum(:,1:end-1)))*(1 : 1 : 3)'; | |
| ind = sub2ind([ntemp, 3], (1 : 1 : ntemp)', D(rent, t)); | |
| L(rent, t) = Lall(ind); | |
| O(rent, t + 1) = Oall(ind); | |
| Th(rent, t + 1) = Thall(ind); | |
| H(rent, t + 1) = Hall(ind); | |
| Hind(rent, t + 1) = Hind(rent, t) + (D(rent, t) > 1); | |
| Mind(rent, t + 1) = Mind(rent, t) + (D(rent, t) == 3); | |
| % Homeowners | |
| ntemp = numel(find(~rent)); | |
| state = [(1 + interest(A(~rent, t), p)).*A(~rent, t) - Delta(~rent, t).*H(~rent, t), O(~rent, t), Th(~rent, t), H(~rent, t)]; % others don't matter directly | |
| hind = lookup1(p.hgrid, H(~rent, t), 1); | |
| tind = lookup1(p.tgrid, Th(~rent, t), 1); | |
| [Lall, Oall, Thall, Hall, V(~rent,t), Pall(~rent, :, t), Vall(~rent, :, t)] = solveh(state, Whinterp, Wrinterp, p, p.thetay(t), 'h', state(:,1), Y(~rent, t), Z(~rent, t), hind, tind); | |
| Pcum = [zeros(ntemp, 1), cumsum(Pall(~rent, :, t), 2)]; | |
| D(~rent, t) = ((U(~rent, t) < Pcum(:, 2:end)).*(U(~rent, t) >= Pcum(:,1:end-1)))*(1 : 1 : 5)'; | |
| ind = sub2ind([ntemp, 5], (1 : 1 : ntemp)', D(~rent, t)); | |
| L(~rent, t) = Lall(ind); | |
| O(~rent, t + 1) = Oall(ind); | |
| Th(~rent, t + 1) = Thall(ind); | |
| H(~rent, t + 1) = Hall(ind); | |
| Hind(~rent, t + 1) = Hind(~rent, t) + (D(~rent, t) == 2 | D(~rent, t) == 3); | |
| Mind(~rent, t + 1) = Mind(~rent, t) + (D(~rent, t) == 3 | D(~rent, t) == 4); | |
| Curt(~rent, t + 1) = (Curt(~rent, t) == 1 | (O(~rent, t+1) <= (1 + p.rm)*O(~rent, t) - p.mbar - 1e-5)) & (D(~rent, t) == 5) & (O(~rent, t+1) > 0); | |
| % Find consumption | |
| rent = H(:, t + 1) == 0; | |
| Chint = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, p.ogrid, p.tgrid, p.hgrid, p.zgrid}, reshape(ch(:, t), p.nl, p.no, p.nt, p.nh, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| Crint = griddedInterpolant({p.lgrid, p.zgrid}, reshape(cr(:, t), p.nl, p.nz), intmeth, 'linear'); | |
| cmin = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(rent, t), p, 'r', amax); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| cmax = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(rent, t), p, 'r', amin); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| C(rent, t) = max(min(Crint(L(rent, t), p.zgrid(Z(rent, t))), cmax), cmin); | |
| [~, A(rent, t+1)] = savings(C(rent,t), L(rent, t), p, 'r'); % none of the other state variables matter | |
| cmin = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(~rent, t), p, 'h', amax); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| cmax = bisect('savings', 1e-13, 1e5, L(~rent, t), p, 'h', amin); % c that implies a' = amin | |
| C(~rent,t) = max(min(Chint(L(~rent, t), O(~rent, t+1), Th(~rent, t+1), H(~rent, t+1), p.zgrid(Z(~rent, t))), cmax), cmin); | |
| [~, A(~rent, t+1)] = savings(C(~rent,t), L(~rent,t), p, 'h'); | |
| end | |
| Asave = A; | |
| Osave = O; | |
| Thsave = Th; | |
| Hsave = H; | |
| Csave = C; | |
| Lsave = L; | |
| Dsave = D; | |
| Ysave = Y; | |
| Zsave = Z; | |
| Esave = E; | |
| Vsave = V; | |
| Pallsave = Pall; | |
| Vallsave = Vall; | |
| Usave = U; | |
| Deltasave = Delta; | |
| %{ | |
| figure(2) | |
| id = 1; | |
| subplot(2,2,1), plot([C(id, 1 : p.T)', Y(id, 1 : p.T)']); | |
| title('Consumption and Income', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| h = legend('consumption', 'income'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| set(h,'Interpreter','latex'); | |
| subplot(2,2,2), plot([A(id, 1 : p.T + 1)', H(id, 1 : p.T + 1)'.*(1 - O(id, 1 : p.T + 1)'.*Th(id, 1 : p.T + 1)')]); | |
| title('Wealth', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| h = legend('liquid', 'illiquid'); | |
| set(h,'Interpreter','latex'); | |
| subplot(2,2,3), plot([H(id, 2 : p.T + 1)', (p.R/p.alpha)^(-1/p.sigma)*C(id, :)']) | |
| title('Housing', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| xlabel('age', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| subplot(2,2,4), plot(O(id, 1 : p.T + 1)'.*Th(id, 1 : p.T + 1)') | |
| title('LTV', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| xlabel('age', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| figure(3) | |
| subplot(2,2,1), plot([mean(C(:, 1 : p.T))', mean(Y(:, 1 : p.T))']); | |
| title('Consumption and Income', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| xlabel('age', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| legend('consumption', 'income') | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| subplot(2,2,2), plot([mean(A)', mean(H.*(1 - Th.*O))']); | |
| title('Wealth', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| h = legend('liquid', 'illiquid'); | |
| set(h,'Interpreter','latex'); | |
| subplot(2,2,3), plot([mean(H)']); | |
| title('Housing Stock', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| subplot(2,2,4), plot([mean(Th.*H.*O)'./mean(H)']); | |
| title('LTV', 'Interpreter','Latex'); | |
| set(gca, 'ygrid', 'on') | |
| %} | |
| W = A + H.*(1 - Th.*O); | |
| Debt = H.*Th.*O; | |
| Yh = p.phi^(1 + 1/p.gamma)*C.^(-p.sigma/p.gamma); % home production | |
| Rent = p.R*(p.R/p.alpha)^(-1/p.sigma)*C.*(H(:, 2:end) == 0); | |
| Debttilde = zeros(2*N, T + 1); | |
| Debttilde(H > 0) = (Debt(H > 0) - p.F0m)./(1 + p.F1m); | |
| %{ | |
| % Check aggregate resource constraint | |
| % transaction costs: | |
| Ftrans = (H(:, 1 : end - 1) == 0).*(D == 3).*(p.F0m + p.F1m*Debttilde(:, 2:end)) + ... % mortgage origination cost for renters | |
| (H(:, 1 : end - 1) > 0).*(D <= 3).*(p.Fs*H(:, 1 : end - 1)) + ... % house selling costs for homeowners | |
| (H(:, 1 : end - 1) > 0).*(D == 3 | D == 4).*(p.F0m + p.F1m*Debttilde(:, 2:end)); % mortgage origination cost for homeowners | |
| t = 1:T; | |
| rl = interest(A(:, t), p); | |
| err_agg = norm(vec(C(:,t) + H(:, t+1) + A(:, t+1) + (1 + p.rm)*Debt(:, t) + Rent(:,t) - Yh(:,t) - Y(:,t) - (1 + rl).*A(:, t) - H(:, t).*(1 - Delta(:,t)) - Debt(:, t+1) + Ftrans(:,t))); | |
| fprintf('Err in Agg Resource Constr = %9.2e \n', err_agg); | |
| %} | |
| fsell = mean(vec(D <= 3 & H(:, 1 : end-1) > 0))/ mean(vec(H(:, 1 : end-1) > 0))*4; | |
| fmortg = mean(vec(Th(:,1:end-1).*O(:,1:end-1) > 0 & H(:, 1 : end-1) > 0)) / mean(vec(H(:, 1 : end-1) > 0)); | |
| agewealthratio = mean(vec(W(:, 41*4 + 1 : end))) / mean(vec(W(:, 2 : 41*4))); | |
| reqpayment = p.mbar*Th(:, 1:end - 1).*H(:, 1:end - 1).*(O(:, 1:end - 1) > 0).*(D == 5); | |
| actpayment = ((1 + p.rm)*Debt(:, 1 : end - 1) - Debt(:, 2 : end)).*(D == 5); | |
| fcurtail = sum(vec(D == 5) & vec(O(:, 1:end-1) > 0) & vec(Curt(:, 1:end - 1) > 0))/sum(vec(D == 5) & vec(O(:, 1:end-1) > 0)); | |
| PTI = reqpayment(reqpayment > 0)./Y(reqpayment > 0); | |
| HY = H(:, 2:end)./Y/4; | |
| Age = zeros(2*N, T); % mortgage age | |
| for t = 2 : T | |
| Age(:,t) = (Age(:,t-1) + 1/4).*(Age(:,t-1) > 0 & D(:,t) == 5) + 1/4.*(D(:,t) == 3 | D(:,t) == 4); | |
| end | |
| Age = Age - 1/4; | |
| Age = floor(Age); | |
| LTV = O.*Th; | |
| % Let's compute refinance statistics the way Denis did in PSID data (imagine we track people every 2 years) | |
| dates = 5 : 8 : p.T; % interview dates: Jan 1 1999, Jan 1 2001, Jan 1 2003 ... | |
| Ya = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % annual income: 1998, 2000, 2002 | |
| Ra = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % refinance between 1998-2000, 2000-2002 ... | |
| Na = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % eligible to be counted as refinancer | |
| Aa = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % liquid assets at the time of the interview | |
| Ha = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % house value at interview | |
| LTVa = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % LTV at interview | |
| dLTVa = zeros(2*N, numel(dates) - 1); % change in LTV | |
| for i = 1 : numel(dates) - 1 | |
| Ya(:, i) = sum(Y(:, dates(i) - 4 : 1 : dates(i) - 1), 2); | |
| Ra(:, i) = LTV(:, dates(i + 1)) > 1.05*LTV(:, dates(i)) & Hind(:, dates(i+1)) == Hind(:, dates(i)) & LTV(:, dates(i)) > 0 & H(:, dates(i)) > 0; | |
| Na(:, i) = Hind(:, dates(i+1)) == Hind(:, dates(i)) & LTV(:, dates(i)) > 0 & H(:, dates(i)) > 0; | |
| Aa(:, i) = A(:, dates(i)); | |
| Ha(:, i) = H(:, dates(i)); | |
| LTVa(:, i) = LTV(:, dates(i)); | |
| dLTVa(:, i) = LTV(:, dates(i + 1)) - LTV(:, dates(i)); | |
| end | |
| AYa = Aa./Ya; | |
| AWa = Aa./(Aa + (1 - LTVa).*Ha); | |
| AWa(isnan(AWa)) = 0; | |
| fextract = sum(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)/sum(Na(:) > 0); | |
| medextract = median(dLTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)./LTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)); | |
| meanextract = mean(dLTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)./LTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)); | |
| meddLTV = median(dLTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)); | |
| meandLTV = mean(dLTVa(Ra(:) > 0 & Na(:) > 0)); | |
| AWrefimean = mean(AWa(Ra == 1 & Na == 1)); | |
| AWinacmean = mean(AWa(Ra == 0 & Na == 1)); | |
| AYrefimean = mean(AYa(Ra == 1 & Na == 1)); | |
| AYinacmean = mean(AYa(Ra == 0 & Na == 1)); | |
| AWrefimed = median(AWa(Ra == 1 & Na == 1)); | |
| AWinacmed = median(AWa(Ra == 0 & Na == 1)); | |
| AYrefimed = median(AYa(Ra == 1 & Na == 1)); | |
| AYinacmed = median(AYa(Ra == 0 & Na == 1)); | |
| LTV = LTV(:, 2:end); % not sure why, check | |
| moment_model = zeros(57, 1); | |
| moment_model(1) = mean(vec(H(:, 2 : end) > 0)); | |
| moment_model(2) = mean(vec(W(:, 2 : end))) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(3) = mean(vec(H(:, 2 : end))) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(4) = mean(vec(Debt(:, 2 : end))) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(5) = mean(vec(A(:, 2 : end))) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(6) = median(vec(A(:, 2 : end))) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(7) = mean(A(H > 0)) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(8) = median(A(H > 0)) /mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(9) = mean(vec(A(:,2:end) <= 0)); | |
| moment_model(10) = mean(vec(A(:,2:end) <= 4/26*Y)); % HTM with liquid assets < 2 weeks | |
| moment_model(11) = sum(vec(A(:,2:end) <= 0) & vec(H(:, 2:end) > 0))/sum(vec(H(:, 2:end) > 0)); | |
| moment_model(12) = sum(vec(A(:,2:end) <= 4/26*Y) & vec(H(:, 2:end) > 0))/sum(vec(H(:, 2:end) > 0)); | |
| moment_model(13) = fextract; | |
| moment_model(14) = mean(vec(Yh))/mean(vec(C)); | |
| moment_model(15) = agewealthratio; | |
| moment_model(16) = fcurtail; | |
| moment_model(17) = fsell; | |
| moment_model(18) = fmortg; | |
| moment_model(19) = medextract; | |
| moment_model(20) = meddLTV; | |
| moment_model(21 : 25) = prctile(vec(A(:, 2 : end)), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90])/mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(26 : 30) = prctile(A(H == 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90])/mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(31 : 35) = prctile(A(H > 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90])/mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(36 : 40) = prctile(Th(H > 0 & Debt > 0).*O(H > 0 & Debt > 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90]); | |
| moment_model(41 : 45) = prctile((1 - Th(H > 0).*O(H > 0)).*H(H > 0)./W(H > 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90]); | |
| moment_model(46 : 50) = prctile(vec(W(:,2:end)), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90])/mean(vec(Y))/4; | |
| moment_model(51 : 55) = prctile(PTI, [10; 25; 50; 75; 90]); | |
| moment_model(56 : 60) = prctile(HY(HY > 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90]); | |
| moment_model(61 : 65) = prctile(Age(Age >=0 & LTV > 0), [10; 25; 50; 75; 90]); | |
| moment_model(66) = AWrefimean; | |
| moment_model(67) = AWinacmean; | |
| moment_model(68) = AYrefimean; | |
| moment_model(69) = AYinacmean; | |
| moment_model(70) = AWrefimed; | |
| moment_model(71) = AWinacmed; | |
| moment_model(72) = AYrefimed; | |
| moment_model(73) = AYinacmed; | |
| moment_data = [0.64; 1.45; 1.82; 0.83; 0.46; 0.07; 0.53; 0.15; 0.26; 0.41; 0.20; 0.32; 0.15; 0.23; 2.00; 0.22; 0.08; 0.71; 0.21; 0.11; | |
| -0.04; 0; 0.07; 0.48; 1.50; -0.05; 0; 0.01; 0.15; 1; -0.04; 0.01; 0.15; 0.68; 1.69; | |
| 0.18; 0.39; 0.62; 0.77; 0.88; 0.36; 0.64; 0.87; 0.99; 1.04; 0; 0.04; 0.73; 2.34; 3.94; | |
| 0.05; 0.08; 0.11; 0.17; 0.24; 1.02; 1.62; 2.48; 3.78; 6.43; 0; 1; 3; 6; 10; | |
| 0.09; 0.21; 0.34; 1.39; 0.04; 0.16; 0.03; 0.18]; | |
| clc | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('Left Column: Model, Right Column: Data\n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('Table 11, A. Moments Used in Calibration \n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('I. Aggregate Moments\n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('fraction homeowners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(1), moment_data(1)]); | |
| fprintf('wealth to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(2), moment_data(2)]); | |
| fprintf('housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(3), moment_data(3)]); | |
| fprintf('mortgage debt to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(4), moment_data(4)]); | |
| fprintf('mean liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(5), moment_data(5)]); | |
| fprintf('fraction borrowers who extract = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [round(moment_model(13)/2*100)/100, round(moment_data(13)/2*100)/100]); | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('II. Distribution of Liquid Assets\n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| fprintf('10th pctile = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(21), moment_data(21)]); | |
| fprintf('25th pctile = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(22), moment_data(22)]); | |
| fprintf('50th pctile = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(23), moment_data(23)]); | |
| fprintf('75th pctile = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(24), moment_data(24)]); | |
| fprintf('90th pctile = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(25), moment_data(25)]); | |
| fprintf('\n') | |
| % if printr | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('Homeownership Rate = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(1), moment_data(1)]); | |
| % fprintf('Aggregate Wealth to Income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(2), moment_data(2)]); | |
| % fprintf('Aggregate Housing to Income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(3), moment_data(3)]); | |
| % fprintf('Aggregate Debt to Income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(4), moment_data(4)]); | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('Aggregate Liquid assets to Income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(5), moment_data(5)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median Liquid assets to Income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(6), moment_data(6)]); | |
| % fprintf('Mean Liquid assets to Income Owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(7), moment_data(7)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median Liquid assets to Income Owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(8), moment_data(8)]); | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('Fraction HTM (A <= 0) = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(9), moment_data(9)]); | |
| % fprintf('Fraction HTM (A <= 1/26 income) = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(10), moment_data(10)]); | |
| % fprintf('Fraction HTM (A <= 0) Owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(11), moment_data(11)]); | |
| % fprintf('Fraction HTM (A <= 1/26 income) Owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(12), moment_data(12)]); | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('Fraction of Borrowers who extract last 2 years = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(13), moment_data(13)]); | |
| % fprintf('Non-Market Production to Consumption = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(14), moment_data(14)]); | |
| % fprintf('Mean wealth retirees / workers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(15), moment_data(15)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('Fraction of Borrowers Ahead on Payments = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(16), moment_data(16)]); | |
| % fprintf('Fraction of Homeowners who sell = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(17), moment_data(17)]); | |
| % fprintf('Fraction of Homeowners with mortgage = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(18), moment_data(18)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median increase in balance extract = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(19), moment_data(19)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median increase in LTV extract = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(20), moment_data(20)]); | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(21), moment_data(21)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(22), moment_data(22)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(23), moment_data(23)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(24), moment_data(24)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile liquid assets to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(25), moment_data(25)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile liquid assets renters = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(26), moment_data(26)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile liquid assets renters = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(27), moment_data(27)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile liquid assets renters = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(28), moment_data(28)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile liquid assets renters = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(29), moment_data(29)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile liquid assets renters = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(30), moment_data(30)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile liquid assets owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(31), moment_data(31)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile liquid assets owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(32), moment_data(32)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile liquid assets owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(33), moment_data(33)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile liquid assets owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(34), moment_data(34)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile liquid assets owners = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(35), moment_data(35)]); | |
| % | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile LTV, borrowers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(36), moment_data(36)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile LTV, borrowers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(37), moment_data(37)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile LTV, borrowers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(38), moment_data(38)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile LTV, borrowers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(39), moment_data(39)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile LTV, borrowers = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(40), moment_data(40)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 Share Housing Wealth in Owner Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(41), moment_data(41)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 Share Housing Wealth in Owner Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(42), moment_data(42)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 Share Housing Wealth in Owner Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(43), moment_data(43)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 Share Housing Wealth in Owner Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(44), moment_data(44)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 Share Housing Wealth in Owner Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(45), moment_data(45)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(46), moment_data(46)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(47), moment_data(47)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(48), moment_data(48)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(49), moment_data(49)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile Wealth = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(50), moment_data(50)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile PTI = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(51), moment_data(51)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile PTI = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(52), moment_data(52)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile PTI = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(53), moment_data(53)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile PTI = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(54), moment_data(54)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile PTI = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(55), moment_data(55)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(56), moment_data(56)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(57), moment_data(57)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(58), moment_data(58)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(59), moment_data(59)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile housing to income = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(60), moment_data(60)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('10 pctile mortgage age = %9.0f %9.0f\n', [moment_model(61), moment_data(61)]); | |
| % fprintf('25 pctile mortgage age = %9.0f %9.0f\n', [moment_model(62), moment_data(62)]); | |
| % fprintf('50 pctile mortgage age = %9.0f %9.0f\n', [moment_model(63), moment_data(63)]); | |
| % fprintf('75 pctile mortgage age = %9.0f %9.0f\n', [moment_model(64), moment_data(64)]); | |
| % fprintf('90 pctile mortgage age = %9.0f %9.0f\n', [moment_model(65), moment_data(65)]); | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf(' Mean Liquid Assets to Wealth: Refi = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(66), moment_data(66)]); | |
| % fprintf(' Mean Liquid Assets to Wealth: Dont = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(67), moment_data(67)]); | |
| % %fprintf(' Mean Liquid Assets to Income: Refi = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(68), moment_data(68)]); | |
| % %fprintf(' Mean Liquid Assets to Income: Dont = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(69), moment_data(69)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median Liquid Assets to Wealth: Refi = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(70), moment_data(70)]); | |
| % fprintf('Median Liquid Assets to Wealth: Dont = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(71), moment_data(71)]); | |
| % %fprintf('Median Liquid Assets to Income: Refi = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(72), moment_data(72)]); | |
| % %fprintf('Median Liquid Assets to Income: Dont = %9.2f %9.2f\n', [moment_model(73), moment_data(73)]); | |
| % | |
| % % Calculate life time value | |
| % | |
| % Hs = H(:, 2 : p.T + 1).*(H(:, 2 : p.T + 1) > 0) + (p.R/p.alpha)^(-1/p.sigma)*C.*(H(:, 2 : p.T + 1) == 0); | |
| % | |
| % U = C.^(1 - p.sigma)/(1 - p.sigma) + p.alpha*Hs.^(1 - p.sigma)/(1 - p.sigma) - p.phi^(1 + 1/p.gamma)/(1 + p.gamma)*C.^(-p.sigma*(1 + 1/p.gamma)); | |
| % | |
| % rl = 1./(1 + exp(-p.r1*(A(:,p.T+1) - p.r2)))*(p.rh - p.rl) + p.rl; | |
| % | |
| % V = sum(p.beta.^(0 : 1 : p.T - 1).*U, 2) + p.beta^p.T*p.B*(p.wbar + (1 + p.rl)*A(:,p.T+1) + (1 - p.Fs - (1 + p.rm)*O(:,p.T+1).*Th(:,p.T+1)).*H(:,p.T+1)).^(1 - p.sigma)/(1 - p.sigma); | |
| % | |
| % V = ((1 - p.sigma)*(1 - p.beta)/(1 - p.beta^p.T)*mean(V))^(1/(1 - p.sigma)); | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n') | |
| % fprintf('Life Time Value, CEV = %9.4f \n', V); | |
| % | |
| % end | |
| % | |
| % weights = zeros(numel(moment_data), 1); | |
| % | |
| % weights(1) = 10; | |
| % weights(2 : 8) = 1; | |
| % weights(5 : 6) = 10; % mean/median liquid assets | |
| % weights(10) = 1; | |
| % weights(12) = 1; | |
| % weights(13) = 20; | |
| % weights(14:15) = 1; | |
| % weights(17) = 1; | |
| % weights(30) = 1; | |
| % weights(35) = 1; | |
| % | |
| % | |
| % weights = weights/sum(weights); | |
| % | |
| % err_mom = (moment_model - moment_data)./(1 + moment_data); | |
| % err_mom = (weights'*err_mom.^2).^(1/2); | |
| % | |
| % if exist('x', 'var') | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('%5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f %5.6f \n', [x(:)', err_mom]); | |
| % | |
| % else | |
| % | |
| % fprintf('\n'); | |
| % fprintf('value of objective = %5.6f \n', err_mom); | |
| % fprintf('\n'); | |
| % | |
| % end | |