forecastgen-artifacts / proxy_results /sparse_proxy_results.json
dvader13's picture
Add files using upload-large-folder tool
4bc0c95 verified
Raw History Blame Contribute Delete
17.8 kB
{
"metadata": {
"train_tasks": [
"aime",
"gpqa",
"hmmt"
],
"test_tasks": [
"supergpqa",
"mmlupro",
"usaco"
],
"models": [
"Ministral-3-14B-Reasoning-2512",
"Ministral-3-3B-Reasoning-2512",
"Ministral-3-8B-Reasoning-2512",
"Nemotron-Cascade-14B-Thinking",
"Nemotron-Cascade-8B-Thinking",
"Olmo-3-32B-Think",
"Qwen3-0.6B",
"Qwen3-1.7B",
"Qwen3-14B",
"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Thinking-2507",
"Qwen3-32B",
"R1-Distill-Llama-70B",
"R1-Distill-Llama-8B",
"R1-Distill-Qwen-14B",
"R1-Distill-Qwen-32B",
"R1-Distill-Qwen-7B",
"SmolLM3-3B"
],
"n_features": 80,
"feature_names": [
"ce_loss:entropy",
"ce_loss:freq",
"ce_loss:gauss_nll",
"ce_loss:inv_entropy",
"ce_loss:inv_freq",
"ce_loss:prob",
"ce_loss:surprise",
"ce_loss:uniform",
"entropy:entropy",
"entropy:freq",
"entropy:gauss_nll",
"entropy:inv_entropy",
"entropy:inv_freq",
"entropy:prob",
"entropy:surprise",
"entropy:uniform",
"margin:entropy",
"margin:freq",
"margin:gauss_nll",
"margin:inv_entropy",
"margin:inv_freq",
"margin:prob",
"margin:surprise",
"margin:uniform",
"rank:entropy",
"rank:freq",
"rank:gauss_nll",
"rank:inv_entropy",
"rank:inv_freq",
"rank:prob",
"rank:surprise",
"rank:uniform",
"reciprocal_rank:entropy",
"reciprocal_rank:freq",
"reciprocal_rank:gauss_nll",
"reciprocal_rank:inv_entropy",
"reciprocal_rank:inv_freq",
"reciprocal_rank:prob",
"reciprocal_rank:surprise",
"reciprocal_rank:uniform",
"top_1_correct:entropy",
"top_1_correct:freq",
"top_1_correct:gauss_nll",
"top_1_correct:inv_entropy",
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"top_1_correct:prob",
"top_1_correct:surprise",
"top_1_correct:uniform",
"top_2_correct:entropy",
"top_2_correct:freq",
"top_2_correct:gauss_nll",
"top_2_correct:inv_entropy",
"top_2_correct:inv_freq",
"top_2_correct:prob",
"top_2_correct:surprise",
"top_2_correct:uniform",
"top_3_correct:entropy",
"top_3_correct:freq",
"top_3_correct:gauss_nll",
"top_3_correct:inv_entropy",
"top_3_correct:inv_freq",
"top_3_correct:prob",
"top_3_correct:surprise",
"top_3_correct:uniform",
"top_5_correct:entropy",
"top_5_correct:freq",
"top_5_correct:gauss_nll",
"top_5_correct:inv_entropy",
"top_5_correct:inv_freq",
"top_5_correct:prob",
"top_5_correct:surprise",
"top_5_correct:uniform",
"wrong_confidence:entropy",
"wrong_confidence:freq",
"wrong_confidence:gauss_nll",
"wrong_confidence:inv_entropy",
"wrong_confidence:inv_freq",
"wrong_confidence:prob",
"wrong_confidence:surprise",
"wrong_confidence:uniform"
],
"max_sparsity": 2,
"objectives_run": [
"nnls",
"spearman_direct",
"pairwise_hinge",
"soft_spearman",
"exhaustive_grid"
],
"expert_overrides": {
"aime": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
],
"gpqa": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
],
"hmmt": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
],
"supergpqa": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
],
"mmlupro": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
],
"usaco": [
"kimi-k2.5-suffix-1000",
"minimax-m2.5-suffix-1000",
"qwen3next-suffix-1000"
]
},
"expert_exclusions": "none"
},
"results": {
"nnls": {
"objective": "nnls",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.5802569442658317,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5038555171054306,
"2": 0.5802569442658317
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5038555171054306,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.43803713955158596,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686275,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960785
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
44,
8
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:entropy"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5802569442658317,
"coefficients": [
0.28986906093212395,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.46871200926808365,
"gpqa": 0.6519607843137255,
"hmmt": 0.6200980392156864
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.6151960784313726,
"mmlupro": 0.661764705882353,
"usaco": 0.607843137254902
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.6282679738562092
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:entropy"
],
"coefficients": [
0.28986906093212395,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.46871200926808365,
"gpqa": 0.6519607843137255,
"hmmt": 0.6200980392156864
},
"mean_spearman": 0.5802569442658317,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.6151960784313726,
"mmlupro": 0.661764705882353,
"usaco": 0.607843137254902
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.6282679738562092
}
},
"spearman_direct": {
"objective": "spearman_direct",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.722080038377117,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5038555171054306,
"2": 0.722080038377117
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5038555171054306,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.43803713955158596,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686275,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960785
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
44,
12
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.722080038377117,
"coefficients": [
1.0,
0.8615150407299678
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6515342327784095,
"gpqa": 0.8284313725490197,
"hmmt": 0.6862745098039217
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8946078431372549,
"mmlupro": 0.8627450980392157,
"usaco": 0.7303921568627452
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.829248366013072
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:inv_freq"
],
"coefficients": [
1.0,
0.8615150407299678
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6515342327784095,
"gpqa": 0.8284313725490197,
"hmmt": 0.6862745098039217
},
"mean_spearman": 0.722080038377117,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8946078431372549,
"mmlupro": 0.8627450980392157,
"usaco": 0.7303921568627452
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.829248366013072
}
},
"pairwise_hinge": {
"objective": "pairwise_hinge",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.70041817636994,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5038555171054306,
"2": 0.70041817636994
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5038555171054306,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.43803713955158596,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686275,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960785
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
44,
8
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:entropy"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.70041817636994,
"coefficients": [
1.0,
0.8160187134197638
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6233133526392316,
"gpqa": 0.823529411764706,
"hmmt": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8431372549019609,
"mmlupro": 0.8333333333333335,
"usaco": 0.7794117647058825
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8186274509803922
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:entropy"
],
"coefficients": [
1.0,
0.8160187134197638
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6233133526392316,
"gpqa": 0.823529411764706,
"hmmt": 0.6544117647058824
},
"mean_spearman": 0.70041817636994,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8431372549019609,
"mmlupro": 0.8333333333333335,
"usaco": 0.7794117647058825
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8186274509803922
}
},
"soft_spearman": {
"objective": "soft_spearman",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.7143130836291549,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5038555171054306,
"2": 0.7143130836291549
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5038555171054306,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.43803713955158596,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686275,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960785
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
44,
12
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.7143130836291549,
"coefficients": [
0.9973068140739522,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6380372901031505,
"gpqa": 0.8333333333333335,
"hmmt": 0.6715686274509804
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.875,
"mmlupro": 0.8651960784313727,
"usaco": 0.7843137254901962
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8415032679738562
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq",
"entropy:inv_freq"
],
"coefficients": [
0.9973068140739522,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.6380372901031505,
"gpqa": 0.8333333333333335,
"hmmt": 0.6715686274509804
},
"mean_spearman": 0.7143130836291549,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.875,
"mmlupro": 0.8651960784313727,
"usaco": 0.7843137254901962
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8415032679738562
}
},
"exhaustive_grid": {
"objective": "exhaustive_grid",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5106209150326797,
"2": 0.7736928104575164
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5106209150326797,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.4583333333333333,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686274,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960784
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
12,
76
],
"selected_features": [
"entropy:inv_freq",
"wrong_confidence:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"coefficients": [
2.381685551976158,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.7230392156862745,
"gpqa": 0.8455882352941176,
"hmmt": 0.7524509803921569
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8406862745098039,
"mmlupro": 0.8578431372549021,
"usaco": 0.8014705882352942
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8333333333333334
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"entropy:inv_freq",
"wrong_confidence:inv_freq"
],
"coefficients": [
2.381685551976158,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.7230392156862745,
"gpqa": 0.8455882352941176,
"hmmt": 0.7524509803921569
},
"mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8406862745098039,
"mmlupro": 0.8578431372549021,
"usaco": 0.8014705882352942
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8333333333333334
}
}
},
"best_objective": "exhaustive_grid",
"best_result": {
"objective": "exhaustive_grid",
"best_K": 2,
"best_mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"k_scores": {
"1": 0.5106209150326797,
"2": 0.7736928104575164
},
"k_details": {
"1": {
"selected_indices": [
44
],
"selected_features": [
"top_1_correct:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.5106209150326797,
"coefficients": [
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.4583333333333333,
"gpqa": 0.6348039215686274,
"hmmt": 0.4387254901960784
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8382352941176472,
"mmlupro": 0.7916666666666667,
"usaco": 0.6544117647058824
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.7614379084967321
},
"2": {
"selected_indices": [
12,
76
],
"selected_features": [
"entropy:inv_freq",
"wrong_confidence:inv_freq"
],
"mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"coefficients": [
2.381685551976158,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.7230392156862745,
"gpqa": 0.8455882352941176,
"hmmt": 0.7524509803921569
},
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8406862745098039,
"mmlupro": 0.8578431372549021,
"usaco": 0.8014705882352942
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8333333333333334
}
},
"final_model": {
"selected_features": [
"entropy:inv_freq",
"wrong_confidence:inv_freq"
],
"coefficients": [
2.381685551976158,
1.0
],
"per_task_spearman": {
"aime": 0.7230392156862745,
"gpqa": 0.8455882352941176,
"hmmt": 0.7524509803921569
},
"mean_spearman": 0.7736928104575164,
"test_per_task_spearman": {
"supergpqa": 0.8406862745098039,
"mmlupro": 0.8578431372549021,
"usaco": 0.8014705882352942
},
"test_mean_spearman": 0.8333333333333334
}
}
}