Datasets:

earakely-scale
/

GridSimEnv-AgentEnv

@@ -284,9 +284,12 @@ The headline is the hindsight capture
     C = (P - P_idle) / (P_hind - P_idle)
 unclipped, where P is the run's profit, P_idle the profit of doing nothing (negative for the 12 of the 78 battery
-designs whose end obligation is above their starting charge) and P_hind the clairvoyant optimum, in v1 P_opt. It is
-printed beside the anchor's own C on the same days and Δ = C − C_anchor, the paired gap, with its 95% interval; any
-other comparison is (P − P_ref) / (P_hind − P_idle). Second comes the reward on the anchor scale,
     R = clip(0.2 + 0.8 * (P - P_idle) / (P_anchor - P_idle), 0, 1)
@@ -727,7 +730,7 @@ Sol against naive on the same days: +0.012 (−0.004 to +0.028) of the hindsight
 ## v3 preview: Sun, Storage and Reserves
 > **A preview, not a release.** The env, the packs and the grading are built and tested, and a registered pilot has
-> run on rules 3.1. Some design decisions are open (below). The contract is [`docs/CONTRACT-v3.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/docs/CONTRACT-v3.md).
 **The task.** A solar farm and a battery share one meter at an ERCOT hub or load zone, played live in watches as in
 v2 but by the hour. At watch 0 (14:00 on D-1) the agent commits a book for D: each hour's battery move in MW
@@ -735,47 +738,71 @@ v2 but by the hour. At watch 0 (14:00 on D-1) the agent commits a book for D: ea
 ERCOT Contingency Reserve (ECRS) and Non-Spin, paid the day's DA clearing prices. The book becomes the DA position
 when watch 0 ends. Each hour settles at its RT price once it has ended. Regulation awards move the battery's charge by
 the share of the award that ERCOT's storage fleet delivered in that hour, and ERCOT's real RRS, ECRS and Non-Spin
-deployments that day draw reserve energy at their real times; a deployment uses up its product's duration as it runs.
-The charge must back every up-award for its product's duration and leave room for RegDn; a governor nudges an hour's
-move to keep that, and a shortfall the agent could have seen coming is charged as failure to provide. Plans are in MW,
-sent as hourly blocks; a reserve field left out, or sent as `"keep"` or null, keeps the book. 52 turns and 3 planning
-calls a watch.
 The tiers: `energy` (no reserves) and `reserves` (the DA awards are fixed after watch 0). A third, real-time
 reserves tier after ERCOT's RTC+B is built but not playable, since no history of ERCOT's real-time reserve prices was
 found: `rtcb` days play the `reserves` tier with DA reserve prices only. Each row of `v3_tasks` is one site-day at one
 tier; `oneshot_prompt` is the one-decision prompt path-B training uses.
-**Grading.** The headline is hindsight capture C against P_hind (one plan that knows the RT prices, the drift and
-the deployments), beside the anchor's own C and the paired Δ = C − C_anchor; idle is the solar-only plant. R as in v1
-and v2 comes second, against P_anchor: a rolling mixed-integer plan (HiGHS) with the agent's information, one solve
-per watch over the open hours, energy and reserves together, RT expected at DA. At weight 0: the energy-only R (the
-energy tier's anchor on the reserves scale), the reserves' share of revenue, and failure-to-provide MWh. The reference
-baselines are AS-hog (reserves only, no energy position), the solar sponge (charge only from PV the meter cannot take)
-and v2's energy-only rolling plan, each compared as (P − P_ref) / (P_hind − P_idle). Training uses S, R up to the
-anchor rising to 1.2 at hindsight (`grade()["stretch_reward"]`); the one-shot path-B reward is R, its anchor being
-the one-shot optimum itself.
 **Settled in rules 3.1.**
 - **Measured regulation drift (V3-D8).** ERCOT publishes no regulation-deployment series, so the drift comes from its
   60-Day SCED Disclosure: the storage fleet's telemetered output against its base points and regulation
   responsibilities gives the share of the award deployed each hour (RegUp 0.17 and RegDn 0.21 on average). It covers
-  every `eval` day, 162 of 200 `rtcb` days and 704 of 2,400 `train` days; days before 12 October 2023 and the
   archive's gaps take a fallback fitted to the measured hours, RegUp when RT clears above DA and RegDn when below.
   `flags.reg_drift` says which.
 - **A deployment uses up its duration (C3-D18).** In an hour where RRS, ECRS or Non-Spin is deployed, its reservation
   and any shortfall use the duration it has left. On 10 August 2023 the anchor had paid $126k of failure to provide at
-  19:00 for ECRS it had just delivered for two hours; it now pays $10.
 - **Sites that clip (V3-D12).** 40% of sites now have PV AC above the meter (PV AC / POI of 1.11, 1.25 or 1.4), so
   the meter clips and the energy tier tests charging from clipped solar. At that tier, on `eval`'s 104 such days, the
-  solar sponge scores 0.39, not idle's 0.2, and v2's PV-blind plan 0.91 (0.84 at 1.4), against 0.98 where the meter
   takes all the PV.
 - **Keeping a field (V3-D13).** A reserve field left out, `"keep"` or null keeps the book's values; a malformed field
   still refuses the whole call.
 **Open decisions.**
 - **6 September 2023 stays display only.** RT cleared above DA in all 24 hours of that EEA2 day, so the fallback drift
-  deploys RegUp all day and drains the battery before the evening sale: the reserves anchor ($258k) ends below the
   energy-only plan ($482k). Its reference replays play the energy tier; in the splits, a day where any baseline
   reaches 0.97 against the anchor is dropped.
 - **The energy tier is saturated for Sol.** On 10 clipping days it ties the anchor (below), so the tier now tells
@@ -785,59 +812,58 @@ the one-shot optimum itself.
 | Config | Split | Rows | Site-days | Dates | Notice / deployment days | Anchor − idle | Anchor capture | AS-hog R | Energy-only R | v2 energy-only R |
 |---|---|---:|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
-| `v3_tasks` | `train` | 4,800 | 2,400 | 2021 to 2024 | 1,006 / 312 | $51,570 | 0.702 | 0.712 | 0.509 | 0.415 |
-| | `eval` | 600 | 300 | January to November 2025, 100 per reserve-value stratum | 87 / 13 | $14,104 | 0.524 | 0.470 | 0.801 | 0.764 |
-| | `rtcb` | 400 | 200 | 6 December 2025 to 30 September 2026 | 41 / 21 | $9,747 | 0.454 | 0.394 | 0.795 | 0.740 |
-| `v3_showcase` | `showcase` | 8 | 4 | 10 August 2023, 6 September 2023, 29 March 2024, 26 January 2026; display only | 3 / 2 | $273,509 | 0.478 | 0.413 | 0.746 | 0.711 |
-Means at the reserves tier, from `raw/packs/hybrid-stats.md`; at the energy tier v2's energy-only plan scores 0.759
-on `train`, 0.953 on `eval` and 0.931 on `rtcb`. The sites are archetypes: 40% a 150 MW-AC solar farm with a
 100 MW / 200 MWh battery, 60% sized from the co-located solar and storage in EIA-860 2025's ERCOT records; the meter
 sits at the PV's AC rating on 40% of sites, at 1.2 times it on 20% and below it on 40%. PV output is ERCOT's
 system-wide hourly solar availability scaled to the site. `v3_references` has, per site-day and tier, the anchor's
 profit, book and commits, hindsight, the LP bound, the one-shot optimum and its plan, and each baseline's profit and
 R. `v3_episodes` has one row per recorded run, with the book, the DA position, the cash split and the transcript.
-**Pilot (rules 3.1).** GPT-6.1 Sol (`openai/gpt-6.1-sol`, reasoning effort high) played 30 `eval` days at the
-reserves tier, all 13 deployment days and 17 more drawn by reserve-value stratum, and 10 clipping days at the energy
-tier (5 at PV AC / POI 1.25, 5 at 1.4), as registered in [`docs/prereg/v3-pilot-b.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/docs/prereg/v3-pilot-b.md),
-plus 10 August 2023 and 29 March 2024 at the reserves tier for display. One reserves run stopped at its episode cap
-and ran once more under the registered amendment; the table counts it (30 days).
 <!-- board:v3 -->
 | Model | Tier | Days | C (95% CI) | Anchor's C | Δ vs anchor (95% CI) | R (95% CI) | R = 1 | Beats anchor | C low / mid / high AS | AS share | $ per episode |
 |---|---|---:|---|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
-| GPT-6.1 Sol | reserves | 30 | **0.451 (0.367 to 0.536)** | 0.505 | -0.054 (-0.091 to -0.019) | 0.845 (0.759 to 0.920) | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.576 / 0.387 / 0.390 | 0.447 | $0.1639 |
-| GPT-6.1 Sol | energy | 10 | **0.427 (0.274 to 0.593)** | 0.426 | +0.001 (-0.009 to +0.010) | 0.990 (0.969 to 1.000) | 0.400 | 0.300 | 0.514 / 0.402 / 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.0461 |
 <!-- /board:v3 -->
-On the same days, C: the solar sponge 0.037, AS-hog 0.136, v2 energy-only 0.371, the energy-only plan 0.403 and the
-anchor 0.505 at the reserves tier; the sponge 0.098, v2 energy-only 0.341 and the anchor 0.426 at the energy tier.
-- **Reserves.** The registered primary, the 29 days scored in the first sweep: C 0.440 (0.354 to 0.526) against the
-  anchor's 0.498, Δ −0.057 (−0.095 to −0.022), R 0.839 with 8 of 29 days at R = 1; the table's 30 days, with the
-  amendment's run, read C 0.451 and Δ −0.054. Sol is above the energy-only plan by +0.044 (+0.003 to +0.089), so on
-  this draw selling reserves with energy earns it more than energy alone; it is above AS-hog by +0.300 and the solar
-  sponge by +0.408. These intervals are the pilot script's (`scripts/pilot_v3b.py`) over the 29 primary days.
-- **The RegDn loss is gone; the gap moved to RegUp.** With the measured drift Sol's RegDn costs it no more than the
-  anchor's (−0.005, −0.064 to +0.049, of the headroom; rules 3.0: +0.109). But Sol books almost no RegUp, 3 MW-h a
-  day against the anchor's 323, and the RegUp drift the anchor sells into RT is worth 0.10 of the headroom
-  (exploratory), more than Sol's whole gap.
-- **Deployment days cost it most.** On the 13 days ERCOT deployed Non-Spin (ECRS too on 2) Δ is −0.109 (−0.162 to
-  −0.060), against −0.016 on the others. Sol held none of the deployed product in those hours, so the loss is the
-  scarcity day's RegUp and reserve revenue, not the deployments.
-- **Energy tier: level with the anchor.** C 0.427 against the anchor's 0.426, Δ +0.001 (−0.009 to +0.010), R 0.990
-  on the 10 clipping days; Sol is above v2's PV-blind plan by +0.086 (+0.011 to +0.209).
-- **Format.** 87 planning calls kept a reserve field with `"keep"` or null and none was refused for it; one day still
-  lost its watch-0 book to a 25-value RRS list.
-- **Display.** On 10 August 2023 (HB_NORTH) Sol out-earns the anchor, $1,620,009 against $1,590,378, C 0.296 against
-  0.282 (R 1.0), committing at both deployment watches. On 29 March 2024, C 0.576 against the anchor's 0.856 (R 0.738).
-- 45 runs, the smoke and display runs included, $8.75 in all; five first attempts hit an upstream gateway error and
-  scored at their registered retry. Every episode replays byte for byte on `gridsim_core.hybrid`; `v3_episodes` also
-  holds 26 reference runs on 10 days the Space replays (the anchor, AS-hog, the solar sponge and v2 energy-only). The
-  full reading is in [`results/board-v3b.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/results/board-v3b.md).
-- **Earlier pilot (rules 3.0),** on packs since rebuilt: reserves C 0.397 against the anchor's 0.480, Δ −0.083
-  (−0.120 to −0.049); its episodes are not in this dataset
   ([`results/board-v3.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/results/board-v3.md)).
 ## v4 preview: Weather Front
@@ -907,6 +933,7 @@ DA P50 hours of each day and never re-plans. Training uses S, R up to the anchor
 **Open decisions.**
 - **Regulation drift.** v4 still draws the seeded drift that rules 3.1 replaced in v3 with ERCOT's measured one.
 - **The front label as a stratum.** In the pilot Δ is −0.030 on front windows and −0.039 on calm ones (difference
   +0.009, −0.047 to +0.063): at this size the label does not separate Sol's gap.

     C = (P - P_idle) / (P_hind - P_idle)
 unclipped, where P is the run's profit, P_idle the profit of doing nothing (negative for the 12 of the 78 battery
+designs whose end obligation is above their starting charge) and P_hind the clairvoyant optimum of the same
+settlement, in v1 P_opt. Nothing settles above it: a property test checks every stored reference, each anchor and
+baseline, on every day of every v3, v4 and v5 pack against P_hind to the cent (in v5 against BR_rt, the best
+response settled at real-time prices). C is printed beside the anchor's own C on the same days and Δ = C − C_anchor,
+the paired gap, with its 95% interval; any other comparison is (P − P_ref) / (P_hind − P_idle). Second comes the
+reward on the anchor scale,
     R = clip(0.2 + 0.8 * (P - P_idle) / (P_anchor - P_idle), 0, 1)
 ## v3 preview: Sun, Storage and Reserves
 > **A preview, not a release.** The env, the packs and the grading are built and tested, and a registered pilot has
+> run on rules 3.2. Some design decisions are open (below). The contract is [`docs/CONTRACT-v3.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/docs/CONTRACT-v3.md).
 **The task.** A solar farm and a battery share one meter at an ERCOT hub or load zone, played live in watches as in
 v2 but by the hour. At watch 0 (14:00 on D-1) the agent commits a book for D: each hour's battery move in MW
 ERCOT Contingency Reserve (ECRS) and Non-Spin, paid the day's DA clearing prices. The book becomes the DA position
 when watch 0 ends. Each hour settles at its RT price once it has ended. Regulation awards move the battery's charge by
 the share of the award that ERCOT's storage fleet delivered in that hour, and ERCOT's real RRS, ECRS and Non-Spin
+deployments that day draw reserve energy at their real times; a deployment uses up its product's duration as it runs,
+and the energy regulation and deployments move settles at the hour's RT price. The charge must back every up-award for
+its product's duration and leave room for RegDn; a governor nudges an hour's move to keep that, and every shortfall is
+charged as failure to provide, whether or not the agent could have seen it coming. Plans are in MW, sent as hourly
+blocks; a reserve field left out, or sent as `"keep"` or null, keeps the book. 52 turns and 3 planning calls a watch;
+a planning call refused as malformed uses none, up to three a watch.
 The tiers: `energy` (no reserves) and `reserves` (the DA awards are fixed after watch 0). A third, real-time
 reserves tier after ERCOT's RTC+B is built but not playable, since no history of ERCOT's real-time reserve prices was
 found: `rtcb` days play the `reserves` tier with DA reserve prices only. Each row of `v3_tasks` is one site-day at one
 tier; `oneshot_prompt` is the one-decision prompt path-B training uses.
+**Grading.** The headline is hindsight capture C against P_hind, beside the anchor's own C and the paired
+Δ = C − C_anchor; idle is the solar-only plant. P_hind is the clairvoyant optimum of the same settlement: one plan that
+knows the RT prices, the drift and the deployments, and may fall short of an award and pay for it as a run does. R as
+in v1 and v2 comes second, against P_anchor: a rolling mixed-integer plan (HiGHS) with the agent's information, one
+solve per watch over the open hours, energy and reserves together, RT expected at DA. At weight 0: the energy-only R
+(the energy tier's anchor on the reserves scale), the reserves' share of revenue, and failure-to-provide MWh. The
+reference baselines are AS-hog (reserves only, no energy position), the solar sponge (charge only from PV the meter
+cannot take) and v2's energy-only rolling plan, each compared as (P − P_ref) / (P_hind − P_idle). Training uses S, R
+up to the anchor rising to 1.2 at hindsight (`grade()["stretch_reward"]`); the one-shot path-B reward is R, its anchor
+being the one-shot optimum itself.
+**Settled in rules 3.2.**
+- **Every shortfall is charged (C3-D19).** This reverses the earlier rule (C3-D7), which excused a shortfall the last
+  projection had not shown: one that drift or a deployment caused after the hour froze. The excuse was no edge case:
+  296 of 300 `eval` reserves anchors carried one (mean $848). On 2025-06-28 at LZ_AEN ERCOT's measured RegUp drift ran
+  at 0.757 of the award at 19:00 (its mean is 0.17) and emptied the battery after the day's last watch; $9,744 of
+  failure to provide and end shortfall went unpaid and the anchor settled $1,651 above hindsight. Now failure to
+  provide and the end penalty are charged on what happened, an up award the battery has no power headroom for is short
+  pro rata, and the DA position is the export the book's projection executes.
+- **Hindsight bounds the settlement (C3-D20).** P_hind is now the optimum of that same settlement: a clairvoyant plan
+  may hold awards it does not back and pay their failure to provide, as a run may. Before, it held the reservation
+  band hard, so it was no bound. On the rules-3.1 `eval` reserves days P_hind rose $2,009 a day on average and the
+  anchor's C fell from 0.524 to 0.450 (0.453 on the refilled pack); the energy tier, the one-shot optima, the solar
+  sponge and v2 energy-only did not move. No stored reference settles above P_hind (the property test under
+  [Grading](#grading)).
+- **The rules card and the calls (V3-D15, V3-D16, V3-D18).** The card states that the energy regulation and
+  deployments move settles at RT, as ERCOT settles it. A planning call refused because its input is malformed uses no
+  call, up to three a watch, and its error names the shape the field needs. The board leads with the reserves tier;
+  the energy tier is a secondary column.
+- **Packs refilled.** The days that failed a filter on the rules-3.2 references were dropped and the build's own draw
+  continued over the candidates that pass: 188 `train`, 48 `eval` and 28 `rtcb` days replaced, the others unchanged,
+  each `eval` reserve-value stratum kept at 100 days on the cutoffs it was built with.
 **Settled in rules 3.1.**
 - **Measured regulation drift (V3-D8).** ERCOT publishes no regulation-deployment series, so the drift comes from its
   60-Day SCED Disclosure: the storage fleet's telemetered output against its base points and regulation
   responsibilities gives the share of the award deployed each hour (RegUp 0.17 and RegDn 0.21 on average). It covers
+  every `eval` day, 164 of 200 `rtcb` days and 703 of 2,400 `train` days; days before 12 October 2023 and the
   archive's gaps take a fallback fitted to the measured hours, RegUp when RT clears above DA and RegDn when below.
   `flags.reg_drift` says which.
 - **A deployment uses up its duration (C3-D18).** In an hour where RRS, ECRS or Non-Spin is deployed, its reservation
   and any shortfall use the duration it has left. On 10 August 2023 the anchor had paid $126k of failure to provide at
+  19:00 for ECRS it had just delivered for two hours; it pays nothing there now.
 - **Sites that clip (V3-D12).** 40% of sites now have PV AC above the meter (PV AC / POI of 1.11, 1.25 or 1.4), so
   the meter clips and the energy tier tests charging from clipped solar. At that tier, on `eval`'s 104 such days, the
+  solar sponge scores 0.39, not idle's 0.2, and v2's PV-blind plan 0.92 (0.85 at 1.4), against 0.97 where the meter
   takes all the PV.
 - **Keeping a field (V3-D13).** A reserve field left out, `"keep"` or null keeps the book's values; a malformed field
   still refuses the whole call.
 **Open decisions.**
 - **6 September 2023 stays display only.** RT cleared above DA in all 24 hours of that EEA2 day, so the fallback drift
+  deploys RegUp all day and drains the battery before the evening sale: the reserves anchor ($215k) ends below the
   energy-only plan ($482k). Its reference replays play the energy tier; in the splits, a day where any baseline
   reaches 0.97 against the anchor is dropped.
 - **The energy tier is saturated for Sol.** On 10 clipping days it ties the anchor (below), so the tier now tells
 | Config | Split | Rows | Site-days | Dates | Notice / deployment days | Anchor − idle | Anchor capture | AS-hog R | Energy-only R | v2 energy-only R |
 |---|---|---:|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| `v3_tasks` | `train` | 4,800 | 2,400 | 2021 to 2024 | 1,004 / 301 | $47,110 | 0.594 | 0.680 | 0.531 | 0.430 |
+| | `eval` | 600 | 300 | January to November 2025, 100 per reserve-value stratum | 89 / 12 | $12,680 | 0.453 | 0.344 | 0.821 | 0.784 |
+| | `rtcb` | 400 | 200 | 5 December 2025 to 30 September 2026 | 42 / 17 | $9,769 | 0.405 | 0.338 | 0.796 | 0.741 |
+| `v3_showcase` | `showcase` | 8 | 4 | 10 August 2023, 6 September 2023, 29 March 2024, 26 January 2026; display only | 3 / 2 | $252,595 | 0.376 | 0.314 | 0.808 | 0.771 |
+Means at the reserves tier, from `raw/packs/hybrid-stats.md`; at the energy tier v2's energy-only plan scores 0.760
+on `train`, 0.955 on `eval` and 0.932 on `rtcb`. The sites are archetypes: 40% a 150 MW-AC solar farm with a
 100 MW / 200 MWh battery, 60% sized from the co-located solar and storage in EIA-860 2025's ERCOT records; the meter
 sits at the PV's AC rating on 40% of sites, at 1.2 times it on 20% and below it on 40%. PV output is ERCOT's
 system-wide hourly solar availability scaled to the site. `v3_references` has, per site-day and tier, the anchor's
 profit, book and commits, hindsight, the LP bound, the one-shot optimum and its plan, and each baseline's profit and
 R. `v3_episodes` has one row per recorded run, with the book, the DA position, the cash split and the transcript.
+**Pilot (rules 3.2).** GPT-6.1 Sol (`openai/gpt-6.1-sol`, reasoning effort high) played 30 `eval` days at the
+reserves tier, the 24 days of the rules-3.1 pilot that survive the refill and 6 drawn by its rule and seed (10 per
+reserve-value stratum, all 12 deployment days), and 10 clipping days at the energy tier (8 survivors, 2 drawn), as
+registered in [`docs/prereg/v3-pilot-c.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/docs/prereg/v3-pilot-c.md),
+plus 10 August 2023 and 29 March 2024 at the reserves tier for display. Every run scored at its first attempt.
 <!-- board:v3 -->
 | Model | Tier | Days | C (95% CI) | Anchor's C | Δ vs anchor (95% CI) | R (95% CI) | R = 1 | Beats anchor | C low / mid / high AS | AS share | $ per episode |
 |---|---|---:|---|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
+| GPT-6.1 Sol | reserves | 30 | **0.404 (0.339 to 0.468)** | 0.449 | -0.045 (-0.073 to -0.017) | 0.878 (0.823 to 0.927) | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.499 / 0.348 / 0.366 | 0.438 | $0.1596 |
+| GPT-6.1 Sol | energy | 10 | **0.430 (0.290 to 0.585)** | 0.434 | -0.004 (-0.011 to +0.000) | 0.989 (0.969 to 1.000) | 0.200 | 0.100 | 0.631 / 0.332 / 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.0708 |
 <!-- /board:v3 -->
+On the same days, C: the solar sponge 0.043, AS-hog 0.043, v2 energy-only 0.320, the energy-only plan 0.350 and the
+anchor 0.449 at the reserves tier; the sponge 0.142, v2 energy-only 0.317 and the anchor 0.434 at the energy tier.
+- **Reserves: below the anchor.** C 0.404 (0.339 to 0.468) against the anchor's 0.449, Δ −0.045 (−0.074 to −0.017),
+  R 0.878 with 10 of 30 days at R = 1. Sol is above the energy-only plan by +0.054 (+0.023 to +0.090), so selling
+  reserves with energy earns it more than energy alone, as under rules 3.1; it is above v2 energy-only by +0.084
+  (+0.053 to +0.120) and above AS-hog and the solar sponge by +0.362 each. These intervals are the pilot script's
+  (`scripts/pilot_v3c.py`).
+- **RegUp is still the main loss (exploratory).** Sol now books RegUp, 42 MW-h a day against the anchor's 330 (under
+  rules 3.1, 1 on the same days), but the RegUp drift the anchor sells into RT is worth −0.093 of the attainable
+  against Sol, more than its whole gap; booking half the anchor's RegDn (311 MW-h a day against 584) wins +0.076 back.
+- **Deployment days: handled.** Δ is −0.052 on the 12 days ERCOT deployed reserves and −0.040 on the 18 others, a gap
+  of −0.012 (−0.063 to +0.040), inside the registered 0.05 (rules 3.1: −0.093).
+- **Energy tier: level with the anchor.** C 0.430 against the anchor's 0.434, Δ −0.004 (−0.011 to −0.000), R 0.989
+  on the 10 clipping days; Sol is above v2's PV-blind plan by +0.113 (+0.019 to +0.245).
+- **Format.** Every day has an accepted watch-0 commit. One planning call in 40 days was malformed and used no call;
+  99 plans kept a reserve field with `"keep"` or null and none was refused for it.
+- **Display.** On 10 August 2023 (HB_NORTH) Sol out-earns the anchor, $1,600,835 against $1,554,645, C 0.282 against
+  0.262 (R 1.0), committing at both deployment watches. On 29 March 2024, C 0.562 against the anchor's 0.515 (R 1.0).
+- 45 runs, the smoke and display runs included, $6.31 in all. Every episode replays byte for byte on
+  `gridsim_core.hybrid`; `v3_episodes` also holds 26 reference runs on 10 days the Space replays (the anchor, AS-hog,
+  the solar sponge and v2 energy-only). The full reading is in [`results/board-v3c.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/results/board-v3c.md).
+- **Earlier pilots,** on record under their own rules; their episodes are not in this dataset. Rules 3.1, which excused
+  unforeseen shortfalls, on packs since refilled: reserves C 0.451 against the anchor's 0.505, Δ −0.054 (−0.091 to
+  −0.019) ([`results/board-v3b.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/results/board-v3b.md)).
+  Rules 3.0, on packs since rebuilt: reserves C 0.397 against 0.480, Δ −0.083 (−0.120 to −0.049)
   ([`results/board-v3.md`](https://github.com/earakely-scale/agentenv-gridsim-plugin/blob/previews/results/board-v3.md)).
 ## v4 preview: Weather Front
 **Open decisions.**
 - **Regulation drift.** v4 still draws the seeded drift that rules 3.1 replaced in v3 with ERCOT's measured one.
+- **Shortfalls.** v4 still excuses a shortfall its last projection had not shown, the rule v3 dropped in rules 3.2.
 - **The front label as a stratum.** In the pilot Δ is −0.030 on front windows and −0.039 on calm ones (difference
   +0.009, −0.047 to +0.063): at this size the label does not separate Sol's gap.

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  "eras": {
   "B": 3,

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  "pack": "ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase",
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-  "B": 912
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  "dates": [
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@@ -1,14 +1,14 @@
 # v3 hybrid packs: counts, filters and baselines
-Built by `scripts/build_hybrid_pack.py` (2026-10-24). References: `gridsim_core.hybrid.references` (rolling MILP anchor, HiGHS; hindsight + LP bound; oneshot optimum; baselines played through the Session). Rewards use the contract's R = clip(0.2 + 0.8 (P - P_idle) / (P_anchor - P_idle), 0, 1), so idle is 0.2 and the anchor 1.0 by construction.
 ## Packs
 | Pack | Tasks | Eras | Dates | Notice days | Deploy days | Short (<=5 watches) |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | 2400 | A 1488, B 912 | 2021-01-01..2024-12-31 | 1006 | 312 | 1818 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | 300 | B 300 | 2025-01-01..2025-11-28 | 87 | 13 | 262 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | 200 | C 200 | 2025-12-06..2026-09-30 | 41 | 21 | 170 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | 4 | B 3, C 1 | 2023-08-10..2026-01-26 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | 20 | A 8, B 8, C 4 | 2021-04-23..2026-08-19 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
@@ -16,37 +16,39 @@ Built by `scripts/build_hybrid_pack.py` (2026-10-24). References: `gridsim_core.
 Thresholds: P_anchor - P_idle >= $500 in both tiers; v1's low-spread drop (energy-tier anchor - idle >= $22 per MW of battery); sponge reward < 0.97 (the sponge within 3% of the anchor); and, extending that rule (C3-D16), every reserves-tier baseline (sponge, AS-hog, v2 energy-only) and the energy-only MILP below 0.97 against the reserves anchor. Uri and every showcase day +/-3 days are out of every split; DST days and days without 24 hourly inputs are dropped.
 | Split | Candidates | Fail headroom | Fail low spread | Fail sponge | Fail baseline >= 0.97 | Eligible | Kept |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-| train | 4239 | 49 | 439 | 24 | 436 | 3419 | 2400 |
-| eval | 1328 | 22 | 88 | 20 | 406 | 853 | 300 |
-| rtcb | 584 | 16 | 95 | 9 | 174 | 341 | 200 |
 ## Baselines and references (means over each pack)
 | Pack | Tier | Anchor - idle ($) | Anchor / hindsight capture | Sponge | v2 energy-only (blind) | AS-hog | Energy-only MILP | Anchor AS revenue ($) | Anchor governor hours | Anchor soft solves (share of watches) | Anchor entries repaired |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | energy | 17318.1114 | 0.4751 | 0.2464 | 0.7593 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | reserves | 51569.7634 | 0.7016 | 0.2234 | 0.415 | 0.7122 | 0.5089 | 52346.8591 | 6.5904 | 0.2752 | 2.2425 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | energy | 10513.1164 | 0.4672 | 0.2648 | 0.9531 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | reserves | 14104.1071 | 0.5239 | 0.2524 | 0.7638 | 0.47 | 0.8009 | 6175.6325 | 4.6333 | 0.0989 | 0.35 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | energy | 7017.9321 | 0.4058 | 0.2982 | 0.9313 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | reserves | 9746.6419 | 0.4541 | 0.2783 | 0.7403 | 0.3944 | 0.7951 | 5376.0647 | 4.415 | 0.2238 | 0.405 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | energy | 220608.0074 | 0.4897 | 0.2 | 0.9311 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | reserves | 273508.7871 | 0.4777 | 0.4 | 0.7112 | 0.4129 | 0.7465 | 239003.3834 | 4.25 | 0.2667 | 1.0 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | energy | 54039.6889 | 0.5024 | 0.2502 | 0.8627 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
-| `fixtures-hybrid` | reserves | 67599.2617 | 0.6234 | 0.2823 | 0.5674 | 0.591 | 0.651 | 73125.4064 | 5.65 | 0.3233 | 1.35 |
 ## Energy tier by POI (PV AC / POI): the solar sponge and v2 energy-only against the energy anchor
 | Pack | POI | Tasks | Clippable MWh/day | Sponge | v2 energy-only | Anchor - idle ($) |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | at or above PV AC | 1435 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8242 | 17742.2494 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | oversized | 965 | 73.2133 | 0.3154 | 0.6629 | 16687.3985 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | at or above PV AC | 196 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9776 | 11337.2711 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | oversized | 104 | 86.2818 | 0.387 | 0.9069 | 8959.9018 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | at or above PV AC | 119 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9841 | 7328.3068 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | oversized | 81 | 99.8801 | 0.4424 | 0.8538 | 6561.9495 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | at or above PV AC | 4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9311 | 220608.0074 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | at or above PV AC | 14 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9119 | 22671.3862 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | oversized | 6 | 157.2573 | 0.3674 | 0.7479 | 127232.3953 |
@@ -55,9 +57,9 @@ Thresholds: P_anchor - P_idle >= $500 in both tiers; v1's low-spread drop (energ
 | Pack | ercot | ercot+modelled | modelled |
 |---|---|---|---|
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | 704 | 0 | 1696 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | 300 | 0 | 0 |
-| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | 162 | 0 | 38 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | 9 | 0 | 11 |
@@ -65,21 +67,21 @@ Thresholds: P_anchor - P_idle >= $500 in both tiers; v1's low-spread drop (energ
 | Stratum | Tasks | AS value range ($) | Reserves-tier AS-hog | Energy-only MILP |
 |---|---|---|---|---|
-| low | 100 | 336..1899 | 0.44 | 0.8546 |
-| mid | 100 | 1938..3664 | 0.4582 | 0.8021 |
-| high | 100 | 3682..26618 | 0.5119 | 0.7461 |
 ## Timing
-- references: 510.5 ms per task-core (both tiers; about 15 MILP solves, 2 hindsight MILPs and 2 LPs per task)
-- MILP solve (watch 0, 24 open hours): median 8.7 ms, p95 13.4 ms over 60 solves
-- build wall time 321 s on 10 workers
 ## Flags
 - Sites are archetypes at hubs and load zones (no crosswalk, V3-D11): 40% the v3 plan's default (PV 150 MWac / 195 MWdc, BESS 100 MW / 200 MWh), 60% lane D3's EIA-860 grid by weight; POI = PV AC, 20% at the 1.2x variant and 40% below PV AC (PV AC / POI one of 1.11, 1.25, 1.4; V3-D12); AC coupling only (C3-D15).
 - PV is the system-wide availability cf (lane D3) for every region, ILR x cf clipped at PV AC (proxy).
-- Oversized sites clip at the meter (clippable MWh, every pack: ercot-hybrid-v3-train 70651, ercot-hybrid-v3-eval 8973, ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb 8090, ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase 0, fixtures-hybrid 944), so the energy tier tests charging from clipped solar and the sponge is no longer idle.
 - Anchor soft solves: after watch 0 the reserves tier keeps the DA awards, and realized drift can leave an hour whose awards no move can back; the hard MILP is then infeasible, the soft one minimises the shortfall, and the repair walk turns the entries the Session refuses into the governor's move (C3-D17), so the anchor's commits are never refused. A hard solution is never repaired (tested).
 - Regulation drift is ERCOT's storage fleet deployment (60-Day SCED Disclosure) on days it covers (from 2023-10-12) and the imbalance-driven fallback before (data/hybrid/reg_deploy.md); deployments use frac 1.0 (stress case).
 - Era C days (rtcb pack) are played as T2 with DA AS only; RT AS (T3) is not modelled tonight.

 # v3 hybrid packs: counts, filters and baselines
+Built by `scripts/build_hybrid_pack.py` (2026-10-25). References: `gridsim_core.hybrid.references` (rolling MILP anchor, HiGHS; hindsight + LP bound; oneshot optimum; baselines played through the Session). Rewards use the contract's R = clip(0.2 + 0.8 (P - P_idle) / (P_anchor - P_idle), 0, 1), so idle is 0.2 and the anchor 1.0 by construction.
 ## Packs
 | Pack | Tasks | Eras | Dates | Notice days | Deploy days | Short (<=5 watches) |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | 2400 | A 1489, B 911 | 2021-01-01..2024-12-31 | 1004 | 301 | 1828 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | 300 | B 300 | 2025-01-01..2025-11-28 | 89 | 12 | 264 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | 200 | C 200 | 2025-12-05..2026-09-30 | 42 | 17 | 172 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | 4 | B 3, C 1 | 2023-08-10..2026-01-26 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | 20 | A 8, B 8, C 4 | 2021-04-23..2026-08-19 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
 Thresholds: P_anchor - P_idle >= $500 in both tiers; v1's low-spread drop (energy-tier anchor - idle >= $22 per MW of battery); sponge reward < 0.97 (the sponge within 3% of the anchor); and, extending that rule (C3-D16), every reserves-tier baseline (sponge, AS-hog, v2 energy-only) and the energy-only MILP below 0.97 against the reserves anchor. Uri and every showcase day +/-3 days are out of every split; DST days and days without 24 hourly inputs are dropped.
+Refilled with --refill after the rules-3.2 references (C3-D19, C3-D20): the days that failed a filter were dropped and the build's draw continued over the candidates that pass, the surviving days unchanged (train 188 dropped, 188 drawn (2400 of 2400); eval 48 dropped, 48 drawn (300 of 300); rtcb 28 dropped, 28 drawn (200 of 200); eval strata cutoffs $1,926.81 and $3,682.01, as built).
 | Split | Candidates | Fail headroom | Fail low spread | Fail sponge | Fail baseline >= 0.97 | Eligible | Kept |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| train | 4239 | 56 | 439 | 32 | 669 | 3199 | 2400 |
+| eval | 1328 | 24 | 88 | 22 | 510 | 745 | 300 |
+| rtcb | 584 | 23 | 95 | 12 | 206 | 312 | 200 |
 ## Baselines and references (means over each pack)
 | Pack | Tier | Anchor - idle ($) | Anchor / hindsight capture | Sponge | v2 energy-only (blind) | AS-hog | Energy-only MILP | Anchor AS revenue ($) | Anchor governor hours | Anchor soft solves (share of watches) | Anchor entries repaired |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | energy | 16787.2885 | 0.4763 | 0.2453 | 0.76 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | reserves | 47109.9529 | 0.5937 | 0.2238 | 0.4298 | 0.6804 | 0.5306 | 52245.8323 | 6.7654 | 0.2726 | 2.1321 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | energy | 9529.2454 | 0.4567 | 0.265 | 0.9546 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | reserves | 12680.4271 | 0.4529 | 0.2537 | 0.7841 | 0.3436 | 0.8207 | 6192.6591 | 4.7233 | 0.1001 | 0.3133 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | energy | 6963.1617 | 0.4027 | 0.2929 | 0.9321 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | reserves | 9768.5972 | 0.4045 | 0.2758 | 0.7413 | 0.3383 | 0.7958 | 6063.8869 | 4.515 | 0.2271 | 0.44 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | energy | 220608.0074 | 0.4897 | 0.2 | 0.9311 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | reserves | 252595.4458 | 0.3756 | 0.4 | 0.771 | 0.3137 | 0.8083 | 239003.3834 | 4.25 | 0.2667 | 1.0 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | energy | 54039.6889 | 0.5024 | 0.2502 | 0.8627 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
+| `fixtures-hybrid` | reserves | 61632.416 | 0.5197 | 0.283 | 0.5987 | 0.5498 | 0.6841 | 73125.4064 | 5.65 | 0.3233 | 1.35 |
 ## Energy tier by POI (PV AC / POI): the solar sponge and v2 energy-only against the energy anchor
 | Pack | POI | Tasks | Clippable MWh/day | Sponge | v2 energy-only | Anchor - idle ($) |
 |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | at or above PV AC | 1434 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8222 | 17489.2919 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | oversized | 966 | 69.4586 | 0.3125 | 0.6675 | 15745.1841 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | at or above PV AC | 196 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9747 | 9722.1612 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | oversized | 104 | 85.3287 | 0.3874 | 0.9167 | 9165.6734 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | at or above PV AC | 119 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9853 | 7134.657 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | oversized | 81 | 92.541 | 0.4293 | 0.854 | 6711.2117 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | at or above PV AC | 4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9311 | 220608.0074 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | at or above PV AC | 14 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9119 | 22671.3862 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | oversized | 6 | 157.2573 | 0.3674 | 0.7479 | 127232.3953 |
 | Pack | ercot | ercot+modelled | modelled |
 |---|---|---|---|
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-train` | 703 | 0 | 1697 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` | 300 | 0 | 0 |
+| `ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb` | 164 | 0 | 36 |
 | `ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase` | 2 | 0 | 2 |
 | `fixtures-hybrid` | 9 | 0 | 11 |
 | Stratum | Tasks | AS value range ($) | Reserves-tier AS-hog | Energy-only MILP |
 |---|---|---|---|---|
+| low | 100 | 226..1919 | 0.3047 | 0.8809 |
+| mid | 100 | 1938..3664 | 0.3342 | 0.8224 |
+| high | 100 | 3682..26618 | 0.392 | 0.7588 |
 ## Timing
+- references: 394.7 ms per task-core (both tiers; about 15 MILP solves, 2 hindsight MILPs and 2 LPs per task)
+- MILP solve (watch 0, 24 open hours): median 6.6 ms, p95 8.4 ms over 60 solves
+- build wall time 208 s on 12 workers
 ## Flags
 - Sites are archetypes at hubs and load zones (no crosswalk, V3-D11): 40% the v3 plan's default (PV 150 MWac / 195 MWdc, BESS 100 MW / 200 MWh), 60% lane D3's EIA-860 grid by weight; POI = PV AC, 20% at the 1.2x variant and 40% below PV AC (PV AC / POI one of 1.11, 1.25, 1.4; V3-D12); AC coupling only (C3-D15).
 - PV is the system-wide availability cf (lane D3) for every region, ILR x cf clipped at PV AC (proxy).
+- Oversized sites clip at the meter (clippable MWh, every pack: ercot-hybrid-v3-train 67097, ercot-hybrid-v3-eval 8874, ercot-hybrid-v3-rtcb 7496, ercot-hybrid-v3-showcase 0, fixtures-hybrid 944), so the energy tier tests charging from clipped solar and the sponge is no longer idle.
 - Anchor soft solves: after watch 0 the reserves tier keeps the DA awards, and realized drift can leave an hour whose awards no move can back; the hard MILP is then infeasible, the soft one minimises the shortfall, and the repair walk turns the entries the Session refuses into the governor's move (C3-D17), so the anchor's commits are never refused. A hard solution is never repaired (tested).
 - Regulation drift is ERCOT's storage fleet deployment (60-Day SCED Disclosure) on days it covers (from 2023-10-12) and the imbalance-driven fallback before (data/hybrid/reg_deploy.md); deployments use frac 1.0 (stress case).
 - Era C days (rtcb pack) are played as T2 with DA AS only; RT AS (T3) is not modelled tonight.

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 # GridSim v3 hybrid board: the earlier pilot (rules 3.0)
-**Earlier pilot, kept on record.** This is the rules-3.0 pilot (`docs/prereg/v3-pilot.md`), re-reported on the cross-version scale. It ran on the 3.0 packs, since rebuilt at rules 3.1, so its Episode JSON (`results/runs/v3-pilot-sol*`) replay at the preview commit it ran on, not on today's packs. The current v3 pilot, under rules 3.1, is [`board-v3b.md`](board-v3b.md) (`eval-v3b.json`, `pilot-v3b.json`).
 Tasks: 40 hybrid site-days (ercot-hybrid-v3-eval; AS strata low 14, mid 13, high 13). Harness: gridsim-llm on gridsim-hybrid, 52 turns, 3 planning calls a watch, 16384 output tokens a turn, effort high. R: clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0; idle (0.2) is the solar-only plant, the anchor (1.0) the information-matched rolling MILP.

 # GridSim v3 hybrid board: the earlier pilot (rules 3.0)
+**Earlier pilot, kept on record.** This is the rules-3.0 pilot (`docs/prereg/v3-pilot.md`), re-reported on the cross-version scale. It ran on the 3.0 packs, since rebuilt at rules 3.1 and refilled at 3.2, so its Episode JSON (`results/runs/v3-pilot-sol*`) replay at the preview commit it ran on, not on today's packs. The current v3 pilot, under rules 3.2, is [`board-v3c.md`](board-v3c.md) (`eval-v3c.json`, `pilot-v3c.json`); the rules-3.1 pilot, also kept on record, is [`board-v3b.md`](board-v3b.md).
 Tasks: 40 hybrid site-days (ercot-hybrid-v3-eval; AS strata low 14, mid 13, high 13). Harness: gridsim-llm on gridsim-hybrid, 52 turns, 3 planning calls a watch, 16384 output tokens a turn, effort high. R: clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0; idle (0.2) is the solar-only plant, the anchor (1.0) the information-matched rolling MILP.

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-# GridSim v3 hybrid board
 Tasks: 40 hybrid site-days (ercot-hybrid-v3-eval; AS strata low 14, mid 12, high 14). Harness: gridsim-llm on gridsim-hybrid, 52 turns, 3 planning calls a watch, 16384 output tokens a turn, effort high. R: clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0; idle (0.2) is the solar-only plant, the anchor (1.0) the information-matched rolling MILP.

+# GridSim v3 hybrid board: the earlier pilot (rules 3.1)
+**Earlier pilot, kept on record.** This is the rules-3.1 pilot (`docs/prereg/v3-pilot-b.md`), on the cross-version scale. It settled under rules 3.1, which excused a shortfall the last projection had not shown and scored against a hindsight that held the reservation band hard; rules 3.2 charges every shortfall, makes P_hind the clairvoyant optimum of that settlement (`docs/CONTRACT-v3.md` C3-D19, C3-D20) and refilled the packs. Its C and Δ are on the 3.1 references as played (the anchor's C 0.505 on its 30 days), and its Episode JSON (`results/runs/v3b-*`) replay at the commit it ran on, not on today's code. The current v3 pilot, under rules 3.2, is [`board-v3c.md`](board-v3c.md) (`eval-v3c.json`, `pilot-v3c.json`); the rules-3.0 pilot is [`board-v3.md`](board-v3.md).
 Tasks: 40 hybrid site-days (ercot-hybrid-v3-eval; AS strata low 14, mid 12, high 14). Harness: gridsim-llm on gridsim-hybrid, 52 turns, 3 planning calls a watch, 16384 output tokens a turn, effort high. R: clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0; idle (0.2) is the solar-only plant, the anchor (1.0) the information-matched rolling MILP.

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	@@ -0,0 +1,247 @@

+# GridSim v3 hybrid board
+Tasks: 40 hybrid site-days (ercot-hybrid-v3-eval; AS strata low 13, mid 13, high 14). Harness: gridsim-llm on gridsim-hybrid, 52 turns, 3 planning calls a watch, 16384 output tokens a turn, effort high. R: clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0; idle (0.2) is the solar-only plant, the anchor (1.0) the information-matched rolling MILP.
+Headline: hindsight capture C = (P − P_idle)/(P_hind − P_idle), unclipped, with P_hind the hindsight MILP on realised RT, drift and deployments (a DA copy and a physical copy sharing the AS book, settled as the Session settles), idle the solar-only plant: idle 0, hindsight 1. It is printed beside the anchor's own C on the same tasks and Δ = C − C_anchor, the paired gap with its 95% CI. Second: R on the anchor scale (the anchor 1.0), a level that is never differenced, with its R = 1 share (a tie with the anchor or better) and the beats-anchor share. Every comparison with a reference is (P − P_ref)/(P_hind − P_idle). CIs bootstrap over tasks; the rule and its evidence: docs/REWARD-SCALES.md.
+Tiers: reserves (the battery's energy and five AS products) is the headline; the energy tier (no AS) is a secondary column.
+Proxies and flags: deploy_frac: 1.0 assumed (stress case); poi: 1.2x; poi: default; poi: oversized 1.11; poi: oversized 1.25; poi: oversized 1.40; pv_availability: proxy; pv_scope: system; pv_shape: ILR x fleet-AC cf (approximate); reg_drift: ercot; site: archetype.
+Baselines (reserves, 30 days): C idle 0, sponge 0.043, AS-hog 0.043, v2 energy-only 0.320, energy-only MILP 0.350, anchor 0.449, hindsight 1; R idle 0.200, sponge 0.269, AS-hog 0.293, v2 energy-only 0.755, energy-only MILP 0.804, anchor 1.000.
+Baselines (energy, 10 days): C idle 0, sponge 0.142, AS-hog –, v2 energy-only 0.317, energy-only MILP –, anchor 0.434, hindsight 1; R idle 0.200, sponge 0.442, AS-hog –, v2 energy-only 0.842, energy-only MILP –, anchor 1.000.
+| Model | Tier | Days | Runs/planned | C (95% CI) | Anchor's C | Δ vs anchor (95% CI) | R (95% CI) | R = 1 | Beats anchor | C low/mid/high AS | Beats sponge | AS share | Clip recovered % | FTP MWh | Refusals | Planning calls | Finished | $/episode | Spend |
+|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | 30 | 30/30 | 0.404 (0.339 to 0.468) | 0.449 | -0.045 (-0.073 to -0.017) | 0.878 (0.823 to 0.927) | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.499/0.348/0.366 | 1.000 | 0.438 | 52.0 | 10.604 | 0.67 | 4.97 | 1.000 | $0.1596 | $4.79 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | energy | 10 | 10/10 | 0.430 (0.290 to 0.585) | 0.434 | -0.004 (-0.011 to -0.000) | 0.989 (0.969 to 1.000) | 0.200 | 0.100 | 0.631/0.332/0.353 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 67.8 | 0.000 | 0.20 | 2.10 | 1.000 | $0.0708 | $0.71 |
+## Against the references
+| Model | Tier | Reference | Its C | Model − it (95% CI) | Tasks |
+|---|---|---|---:|---|---:|
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | sponge | 0.043 | +0.362 (+0.297 to +0.428) | 30 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | v2_energy | 0.320 | +0.084 (+0.053 to +0.120) | 30 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | as_hog | 0.043 | +0.362 (+0.284 to +0.435) | 30 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | energy_only | 0.350 | +0.054 (+0.023 to +0.091) | 30 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | energy | sponge | 0.142 | +0.288 (+0.178 to +0.442) | 10 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | energy | v2_energy | 0.317 | +0.113 (+0.019 to +0.246) | 10 |
+## Errors
+Scored runs by what went wrong; a run can show several.
+| Model | Tier | no_commit | refused | ftp_charged | end_short | governed | no_replanning | as_unused |
+|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | reserves | 0 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
+| openai/gpt-6.1-sol | energy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
+## Unscored runs
+None.
+## Pilot under rules 3.2 (pre-registered in docs/prereg/v3-pilot-c.md, 30d4069)
+GPT-6.1 Sol, effort high, 52 turns, 16,384 output tokens a turn, episode cap E = $0.82 (4 x the smoke median
+$0.2038). Rules 3.2 (f3bb2c1): every shortfall charged as it happens and P_hind the clairvoyant optimum of that
+settlement (C3-D19, C3-D20), the card stating that deployed energy settles at RT, malformed planning calls free up to
+three a watch, the cost guard booking as priced, packs refilled. Reserves column: 30 `ercot-hybrid-v3-eval` days, the
+24 of the 3.1 pilot's that survive the refill plus 6 drawn by its rule and seed (10 per AS stratum, 12 deployment
+days); energy column (secondary): 10 days on sites with PV/POI >= 1.25 (8 survivors, 2 drawn); display: aug10-2023 and
+mar29-2024 at the reserves tier (`scripts/pilot_v3c_tasks.py`). Computed by `scripts/pilot_v3c.py` from the 45
+replay-verified Episode JSON v3 (`results/pilot-v3c.json`). Headline per `docs/REWARD-SCALES.md`: hindsight capture
+C = (P − P_idle)/(P_hind − P_idle), the anchor's C and Δ = C − C_anchor with its paired CI; R second; a baseline
+compared as (P − P_ref)/(P_hind − P_idle). CIs: 95% percentile bootstrap over days, 10,000 resamples. Every run
+scored at its first attempt, so there is no amended set. FTP is each hour's realized shortfall; the excused column of
+the AS table reads 0 under 3.2. L_reg = (Sol's − the anchor's RegDn drift energy bought at RT)/(P_hind − P_idle), the
+anchor played in process.
+### reserves primary
+| Set | Days | C (95% CI) | Anchor's C | Δ = C − C_anchor (95% CI) | R (95% CI) | R = 1 | Beats anchor |
+|---|---:|---|---:|---|---|---:|---:|
+| reserves primary: all | 30 | 0.404 (0.339 to 0.468) | 0.449 | -0.045 (-0.074 to -0.017) | 0.878 (0.820 to 0.927) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | 12 | 0.303 (0.211 to 0.398) | 0.355 | -0.052 (-0.082 to -0.022) | 0.826 (0.720 to 0.919) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
+| reserves primary: other days | 18 | 0.472 (0.397 to 0.542) | 0.512 | -0.040 (-0.084 to +0.001) | 0.912 (0.853 to 0.961) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | 10 | 0.499 (0.407 to 0.578) | 0.514 | -0.015 (-0.051 to +0.018) | 0.958 (0.920 to 0.990) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | 10 | 0.348 (0.285 to 0.417) | 0.433 | -0.085 (-0.137 to -0.037) | 0.850 (0.761 to 0.931) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | 10 | 0.366 (0.226 to 0.513) | 0.400 | -0.034 (-0.078 to +0.017) | 0.826 (0.706 to 0.933) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
+| Set | Reference | Its C | Its R | Sol − it: (P − P_ref)/(P_hind − P_idle) (95% CI) | Sol beats it |
+|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|
+| reserves primary: all | AS-hog | 0.043 | 0.293 | +0.362 (+0.285 to +0.436) | 0.97 |
+| reserves primary: all | solar sponge | 0.043 | 0.269 | +0.362 (+0.296 to +0.429) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: all | v2 energy-only | 0.320 | 0.755 | +0.084 (+0.053 to +0.120) | 0.87 |
+| reserves primary: all | energy-only MILP | 0.350 | 0.804 | +0.054 (+0.023 to +0.090) | 0.73 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | AS-hog | 0.014 | 0.266 | +0.289 (+0.185 to +0.393) | 0.92 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | solar sponge | 0.020 | 0.239 | +0.283 (+0.190 to +0.381) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | v2 energy-only | 0.239 | 0.704 | +0.064 (+0.026 to +0.108) | 0.83 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | energy-only MILP | 0.270 | 0.762 | +0.033 (-0.002 to +0.067) | 0.75 |
+| reserves primary: other days | AS-hog | 0.062 | 0.312 | +0.410 (+0.307 to +0.504) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: other days | solar sponge | 0.057 | 0.289 | +0.414 (+0.332 to +0.495) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: other days | v2 energy-only | 0.374 | 0.788 | +0.098 (+0.053 to +0.147) | 0.89 |
+| reserves primary: other days | energy-only MILP | 0.403 | 0.832 | +0.069 (+0.022 to +0.122) | 0.72 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | AS-hog | 0.040 | 0.280 | +0.459 (+0.358 to +0.553) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | solar sponge | 0.077 | 0.299 | +0.421 (+0.338 to +0.505) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | v2 energy-only | 0.392 | 0.821 | +0.107 (+0.082 to +0.139) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | energy-only MILP | 0.439 | 0.881 | +0.060 (+0.032 to +0.082) | 0.90 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | AS-hog | 0.077 | 0.373 | +0.271 (+0.140 to +0.401) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | solar sponge | 0.049 | 0.295 | +0.300 (+0.208 to +0.392) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | v2 energy-only | 0.308 | 0.761 | +0.040 (+0.007 to +0.074) | 0.70 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | energy-only MILP | 0.329 | 0.803 | +0.019 (-0.022 to +0.062) | 0.50 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | AS-hog | 0.011 | 0.228 | +0.355 (+0.218 to +0.485) | 0.90 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | solar sponge | 0.002 | 0.213 | +0.365 (+0.224 to +0.511) | 1.00 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | v2 energy-only | 0.261 | 0.682 | +0.106 (+0.028 to +0.195) | 0.90 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | energy-only MILP | 0.282 | 0.728 | +0.085 (+0.011 to +0.173) | 0.80 |
+| Set | Days | AS share | AS $/day | Anchor AS $/day | AS $ ÷ anchor's (median) | DA AS MWh regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin | Anchor's | FTP MWh charged | FTP MWh excused | Days FTP charged | Under-reserved days (regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin) | Governor h/day | End short days |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
+| reserves primary: all | 30 | 0.438 | 5,665 | 6,315 | 0.914 | 42.0 / 310.6 / 1139.9 / 2.7 / 20.9 | 330.4 / 583.5 / 851.5 / 62.1 / 76.1 | 10.60 | 0.00 | 15 | 17 (0 / 6 / 13 / 0 / 2) | 1.50 | 5 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | 12 | 0.511 | 8,507 | 9,409 | 0.833 | 20.3 / 359.2 / 1096.8 / 4.2 / 51.7 | 348.4 / 629.5 / 838.1 / 63.0 / 83.7 | 11.95 | 0.00 | 9 | 9 (0 / 3 / 7 / 0 / 2) | 1.75 | 2 |
+| reserves primary: other days | 18 | 0.389 | 3,770 | 4,252 | 0.914 | 56.4 / 278.2 / 1168.7 / 1.6 / 0.4 | 318.3 / 552.9 / 860.4 / 61.6 / 71.0 | 9.70 | 0.00 | 6 | 8 (0 / 3 / 6 / 0 / 0) | 1.33 | 3 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | 10 | 0.321 | 1,746 | 2,204 | 0.719 | 3.0 / 191.5 / 871.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 212.1 / 469.1 / 570.7 / 27.3 / 45.3 | 8.13 | 0.00 | 4 | 5 (0 / 2 / 4 / 0 / 0) | 1.40 | 2 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | 10 | 0.407 | 3,430 | 4,275 | 0.862 | 74.5 / 310.2 / 851.8 / 5.1 / 9.5 | 331.9 / 498.3 / 768.0 / 46.8 / 41.2 | 14.20 | 0.00 | 7 | 8 (0 / 3 / 6 / 0 / 1) | 1.50 | 2 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | 10 | 0.584 | 11,819 | 12,464 | 0.938 | 48.4 / 430.1 / 1697.0 / 2.9 / 53.2 | 447.1 / 783.2 / 1215.7 / 112.3 / 141.7 | 9.48 | 0.00 | 4 | 4 (0 / 1 / 3 / 0 / 1) | 1.60 | 1 |
+| Set | Days | Re-plan rate | Days re-planned | Anchor re-plan rate | Finished | Refused commits | Refused rows by rule | Audit failures | Input tok | Output tok | Cached tok | $/episode | Turns |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| reserves primary: all | 30 | 0.304 | 0.733 | 0.311 | 1.000 | 9 on 7 days | reserve_up 8, soc_full 6, soc_empty 5, power 1 | 0 | 294,507 | 8,093 | 268,584 | $0.1596 | 15.9 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | 12 | 0.317 | 0.917 | 0.367 | 1.000 | 2 on 2 days | reserve_up 5, soc_full 1, soc_empty 1 | 0 | 346,213 | 9,067 | 317,353 | $0.1801 | 17.5 |
+| reserves primary: other days | 18 | 0.293 | 0.611 | 0.267 | 1.000 | 7 on 5 days | soc_full 5, soc_empty 4, reserve_up 3, power 1 | 0 | 260,037 | 7,444 | 236,072 | $0.1460 | 14.9 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | 10 | 0.250 | 0.600 | 0.273 | 1.000 | 2 on 1 days | soc_empty 2, soc_full 1, reserve_up 1 | 0 | 250,392 | 7,000 | 226,144 | $0.1411 | 14.5 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | 10 | 0.295 | 0.800 | 0.341 | 1.000 | 6 on 5 days | reserve_up 7, soc_full 5, soc_empty 2, power 1 | 0 | 281,850 | 8,227 | 256,785 | $0.1581 | 15.7 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | 10 | 0.362 | 0.800 | 0.319 | 1.000 | 1 on 1 days | soc_empty 1 | 0 | 351,281 | 9,053 | 322,823 | $0.1797 | 17.6 |
+| Set | Days | L_reg: (Sol − anchor RegDn drift $)/(P_hind − P_idle) (95% CI) | RegDn drift bought $/day Sol / anchor | Sol − anchor $/day (median) | Days Sol pays more | RegDn drift MWh/day Sol / anchor | RegDn MW-h in the 6 top-DA hours Sol / anchor | RegDn MW-h/day Sol / anchor | RegUp MW-h/day Sol / anchor |
+|---|---:|---|---|---|---:|---|---|---|---|
+| reserves primary: all | 30 | -0.076 (-0.122 to -0.037) | 2,546 / 4,458 | -1,911 (-1,139) | 7 of 30 | 74.1 / 139.2 | 76 / 119 | 311 / 584 | 42 / 330 |
+| reserves primary: deployment days | 12 | -0.038 (-0.077 to -0.004) | 3,947 / 6,728 | -2,781 (-1,249) | 2 of 12 | 82.6 / 162.4 | 101 / 136 | 359 / 630 | 20 / 348 |
+| reserves primary: other days | 18 | -0.102 (-0.170 to -0.042) | 1,612 / 2,944 | -1,332 (-1,139) | 5 of 18 | 68.4 / 123.7 | 59 / 107 | 278 / 553 | 56 / 318 |
+| reserves primary: low AS | 10 | -0.086 (-0.150 to -0.026) | 558 / 1,633 | -1,075 (-767) | 2 of 10 | 48.2 / 98.4 | 35 / 76 | 191 / 469 | 3 / 212 |
+| reserves primary: mid AS | 10 | -0.045 (-0.105 to +0.007) | 1,878 / 2,592 | -713 (-639) | 3 of 10 | 59.3 / 97.4 | 71 / 108 | 310 / 498 | 74 / 332 |
+| reserves primary: high AS | 10 | -0.098 (-0.203 to -0.017) | 5,203 / 9,149 | -3,946 (-3,965) | 2 of 10 | 114.7 / 221.7 | 122 / 172 | 430 / 783 | 48 / 447 |
+| Day | Deployed (hours) | Award MW-h in those hours Sol / anchor | FTP MWh charged in it Sol / anchor | Deployment watches, Sol committed at | C | Anchor's C | Δ | R |
+|---|---|---|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| `hyb-v3-2025-03-05-HB_HOUSTON-pv150-b100x2h-poi180` | nspin 17-19 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [6] / [6] | 0.351 | 0.369 | -0.019 | 0.960 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-03-05-LZ_NORTH-pv100-r80-2h-poi80` | nspin 17-19 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 1.63 | [6] / [6] | 0.382 | 0.537 | -0.154 | 0.770 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-03-10-LZ_CPS-pv100-r40-1h-poi120` | nspin 18-19 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [5] / [5] | 0.392 | 0.391 | +0.001 | 1.000 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-03-10-LZ_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150` | nspin 18-19 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [5] / [5] | 0.366 | 0.427 | -0.061 | 0.886 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-04-07-HB_SOUTH-pv300-r80-1h-poi240` | ecrs 6-7, nspin 6-7 | ecrs 0 / 0, nspin 0 / 3 | ecrs 0.00 / 0.00, nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [3] / [] | 0.042 | 0.108 | -0.066 | 0.511 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-05-16-LZ_WEST-pv100-r67-1h-poi120` | ecrs 19-20, nspin 19-21 | ecrs 0 / 0, nspin 0 / 0 | ecrs 0.00 / 0.00, nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [5] / [] | 0.067 | 0.186 | -0.119 | 0.487 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-05-17-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi180` | nspin 19-20 | nspin 0 / 5 | nspin 2.78 / 0.08 | [5] / [5] | 0.249 | 0.292 | -0.043 | 0.883 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-05-17-LZ_WEST-pv200-r40-2h-poi200` | nspin 19-20 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 2.27 | [5] / [] | 0.281 | 0.294 | -0.014 | 0.963 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-09-04-HB_PAN-pv100-r67-2h-poi100` | nspin 18-20 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [5] / [5] | 0.536 | 0.547 | -0.010 | 0.985 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-10-21-HB_HOUSTON-pv200-r40-1h-poi240` | nspin 17-20 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [4] / [4] | 0.206 | 0.307 | -0.101 | 0.738 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-10-21-LZ_SOUTH-pv300-r80-2h-poi300` | nspin 17-20 | nspin 114 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 0.00 | [4] / [4] | 0.159 | 0.238 | -0.079 | 0.735 |
+| `hyb-v3-2025-11-07-LZ_AEN-pv150-r67-1h-poi150` | nspin 16-18 | nspin 0 / 0 | nspin 0.00 / 2.36 | [4] / [] | 0.607 | 0.566 | +0.041 | 1.000 |
+Δ on deployment days -0.052 against -0.040 on the others: gap -0.012 (-0.063 to +0.040, unpaired); FTP charged in the deployed products 2.78 MWh (anchor 6.33); Sol committed at 8 of 12 deployment watches.
+RegUp (exploratory): Sol books 42 MW-h a day against the anchor's 330 (on 9 and 29 of 30 days); on the 24 days common with the 3.1 pilot 45 against 3.1 Sol's 1 and the 3.2 anchor's 356.
+Format (V3-D16): 1 malformed planning calls on 1 days (1 parse refusals, 0 argument errors), 1 used no planning call and 0 used one; 0 planning calls found no calls left (0 in a watch after a malformed call); 78 plans kept an AS field by "keep" or null, 0 refused as parse; days without an accepted watch-0 commit: 0.
+reserves primary: check_schedule issues by rule: reserve_up 77, soc_full 19, reserve_dn 14, soc_empty 10, power 4, headroom_dn 3, meter_dn 3, cycle_cap 2, parse 1; FTP MWh charged by product (regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin) 0.00 / 159.10 / 156.26 / 0.00 / 2.78; end penalty $111 a day on 5 days; error taxonomy governed 17, ftp_charged 15, no_replanning 7, refused 7, end_short 5.
+reserves primary, exploratory: the 3.1 pilot's surviving days, paired (rules changed: not a model comparison)
+| Days | Sol 3.1, 3.1 rules: C / Δ | Sol 3.1's play settled under 3.2: C / Δ | Sol 3.2: C / Δ | C 3.2 − C 3.1 (95% CI) | Δ 3.2 − Δ 3.1 (95% CI) | Sol 3.2 − Sol 3.1's play, both under 3.2: (P − P')/(P_hind − P_idle) (95% CI) | R 3.1 / 3.2 | R = 1 3.1 / 3.2 |
+|---:|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| 24 | 0.432 / -0.068 | 0.391 / -0.058 | 0.396 / -0.053 | -0.036 (-0.083 to +0.017) | +0.015 (-0.029 to +0.063) | +0.005 (-0.038 to +0.053) | 0.820 / 0.858 | 6 / 6 |
+### energy primary
+| Set | Days | C (95% CI) | Anchor's C | Δ = C − C_anchor (95% CI) | R (95% CI) | R = 1 | Beats anchor |
+|---|---:|---|---:|---|---|---:|---:|
+| energy primary: all | 10 | 0.430 (0.289 to 0.578) | 0.434 | -0.004 (-0.011 to -0.000) | 0.989 (0.968 to 1.000) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.25 | 5 | 0.317 (0.202 to 0.483) | 0.324 | -0.007 (-0.022 to -0.000) | 0.979 (0.938 to 1.000) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.4 | 5 | 0.543 (0.332 to 0.734) | 0.543 | -0.001 (-0.002 to -0.000) | 0.999 (0.998 to 1.000) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
+| Set | Reference | Its C | Its R | Sol − it: (P − P_ref)/(P_hind − P_idle) (95% CI) | Sol beats it |
+|---|---|---:|---:|---|---:|
+| energy primary: all | solar sponge | 0.142 | 0.442 | +0.288 (+0.178 to +0.444) | 1.00 |
+| energy primary: all | v2 energy-only | 0.317 | 0.842 | +0.113 (+0.019 to +0.245) | 0.80 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.25 | solar sponge | 0.118 | 0.391 | +0.199 (+0.171 to +0.226) | 1.00 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.25 | v2 energy-only | 0.295 | 0.946 | +0.022 (-0.015 to +0.064) | 0.80 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.4 | solar sponge | 0.166 | 0.493 | +0.377 (+0.166 to +0.630) | 1.00 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.4 | v2 energy-only | 0.339 | 0.737 | +0.204 (+0.033 to +0.420) | 0.80 |
+| Set | Days | AS share | AS $/day | Anchor AS $/day | AS $ ÷ anchor's (median) | DA AS MWh regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin | Anchor's | FTP MWh charged | FTP MWh excused | Days FTP charged | Under-reserved days (regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin) | Governor h/day | End short days |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
+| energy primary: all | 10 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 (0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0) | 0.00 | 0 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.25 | 5 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 (0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0) | 0.00 | 0 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.4 | 5 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 (0 / 0 / 0 / 0 / 0) | 0.00 | 0 |
+| Set | Days | Re-plan rate | Days re-planned | Anchor re-plan rate | Finished | Refused commits | Refused rows by rule | Audit failures | Input tok | Output tok | Cached tok | $/episode | Turns |
+|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
+| energy primary: all | 10 | 0.024 | 0.100 | 0.195 | 1.000 | 1 on 1 days | meter_dn 1, soc_empty 1 | 0 | 146,913 | 3,088 | 133,617 | $0.0708 | 14.1 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.25 | 5 | 0.048 | 0.200 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 1 on 1 days | meter_dn 1, soc_empty 1 | 0 | 126,664 | 1,616 | 115,195 | $0.0506 | 14.4 |
+| energy primary: PV/POI 1.4 | 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.400 | 1.000 | 0 on 0 days | none | 0 | 167,163 | 4,561 | 152,039 | $0.0911 | 13.8 |
+Format (V3-D16): 0 malformed planning calls on 0 days (0 parse refusals, 0 argument errors), 0 used no planning call and 0 used one; 0 planning calls found no calls left (0 in a watch after a malformed call); 21 plans kept an AS field by "keep" or null, 0 refused as parse; days without an accepted watch-0 commit: 0.
+energy primary: check_schedule issues by rule: meter_dn 1, soc_empty 1; FTP MWh charged by product (regup/regdn/rrs/ecrs/nspin) 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00; end penalty $0 a day on 0 days; error taxonomy no_replanning 9, refused 1.
+energy primary, exploratory: the 3.1 pilot's surviving days, paired (rules changed: not a model comparison)
+| Days | Sol 3.1, 3.1 rules: C / Δ | Sol 3.1's play settled under 3.2: C / Δ | Sol 3.2: C / Δ | C 3.2 − C 3.1 (95% CI) | Δ 3.2 − Δ 3.1 (95% CI) | Sol 3.2 �� Sol 3.1's play, both under 3.2: (P − P')/(P_hind − P_idle) (95% CI) | R 3.1 / 3.2 | R = 1 3.1 / 3.2 |
+|---:|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| 8 | 0.426 / -0.005 | 0.426 / -0.005 | 0.426 / -0.005 | +0.000 (+0.000 to +0.000) | +0.000 (+0.000 to +0.000) | +0.000 (+0.000 to +0.000) | 0.987 / 0.987 | 2 / 2 |
+Display only: hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150 (reserves): C 0.282 (anchor 0.262, Δ +0.020), R 1.000; AS-hog C 0.054 R 0.366, solar sponge C 0.000 R 0.200, v2 energy-only C 0.132 R 0.603, energy-only MILP C 0.181 R 0.753; profit $1,600,835 (idle $961,432, anchor $1,554,645, hindsight $3,228,428); AS share 0.732; FTP 7.13 MWh charged; RegDn drift bought $0 (anchor $122); deployment watches [5, 6], committed at [5, 6]; re-planned 2 of 6 later watches; $0.1657, 20 turns; hyb-v3-2024-03-29-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150 (reserves): C 0.562 (anchor 0.515, Δ +0.047), R 1.000; AS-hog C 0.090 R 0.339, solar sponge C 0.000 R 0.200, v2 energy-only C 0.402 R 0.823, energy-only MILP C 0.402 R 0.823; profit $7,136 (idle $587, anchor $6,591, hindsight $12,239); AS share 0.483; FTP 133.06 MWh charged; RegDn drift bought $-400 (anchor $-664); re-planned 3 of 4 later watches; $0.1797, 22 turns
+Unscored: none.
+Spend: v3c-smoke $0.42, v3c-smoke-energy $0.05, v3c-pilot-sol $4.79, v3c-pilot-sol-energy $0.71, v3c-pilot-sol-show $0.35; total $6.31.
+Exploratory, not pre-registered (`anchor_policy` played in process on each reserves day; Sol − anchor, mean in C
+units): DA energy −0.033, RT settlement of the base schedule +0.027, RegUp drift sold at RT −0.093 (Sol $276 a day,
+the anchor $5,788; $422 against $11,345 on deployment days), RegDn drift bought +0.076, RRS/ECRS/Non-Spin deployments
+0.000, AS revenue −0.040, degradation, FTP and end penalty +0.017. Deployment days alone: DA energy +0.019, base RT
+−0.008, RegUp −0.077, RegDn +0.038, AS −0.037; other days: DA −0.067, base RT +0.050, RegUp −0.103, RegDn +0.102, AS
+−0.041.
+## Reading (rules 3.2)
+- **Headline: below the anchor.** Reserves C 0.404 (0.339 to 0.468) against the anchor's 0.449 on the same 30 days,
+  Δ −0.045 (−0.074 to −0.017), wholly below 0. R 0.878 (0.820 to 0.927), 10 of 30 at R = 1 (the same 10 beat the
+  anchor). Sol beats AS-hog and the sponge by +0.362 each (C units, on 29 and 30 days), v2 energy-only by +0.084
+  (+0.053 to +0.120) and the energy-only MILP by +0.054 (+0.023 to +0.090, on 22 days).
+- **Reserves tier as the test:** Sol − energy-only MILP lies above 0, so by the registered reading Sol earns from
+  co-optimising AS at this size, as at 3.1 (+0.044 there).
+- **Deployments: handled.** Δ −0.052 (−0.082 to −0.022) on the 12 deployment days against −0.040 (−0.084 to +0.001)
+  on the 18 others, a gap of −0.012 (−0.063 to +0.040), inside the registered 0.05 (3.1: −0.093). FTP in the deployed
+  products 2.78 MWh (anchor 6.33); Sol committed at 8 of 12 deployment watches, and on 2025-10-21 LZ_SOUTH held 114
+  MW-h of Non-Spin through its deployment without a shortfall. Against the energy-only MILP Sol is level on deployment
+  days (+0.033, −0.002 to +0.067) and ahead on the others (+0.069, +0.022 to +0.122).
+- **The 3.2 format fix holds.** Every reserves and energy day has an accepted watch-0 commit (3.1 lost 2025-09-25's to
+  a 25-value RRS list). One planning call in 40 days was malformed (a parse refusal on 2025-07-25 LZ_AEN), and it used
+  no call; no planning call found no calls left; 99 plans kept an AS field by `"keep"` or null, none refused.
+- **RegUp: booked now, still the main loss (exploratory).** Sol books 42 MW-h of RegUp a day against the anchor's 330
+  (on 9 of 30 days; 3.1 Sol booked 1 a day on the 24 common days), above a tenth of the anchor's, so by the registered
+  reading the gap does not persist, narrowly. In cash it does: RegUp drift the anchor sells into RT is −0.093 of the
+  attainable for Sol, more than its whole Δ, and Sol takes +0.076 back by booking half the anchor's RegDn (311 MW-h a
+  day against 584; L_reg −0.076, −0.122 to −0.037). Worst day: 2025-09-25 HB_SOUTH (Δ −0.245, R 0.555; deployment
+  energy −0.376): the anchor's 548 MW-h of RegUp sold its drift at RT, Sol held none and booked 540 MW-h of RegDn
+  against the anchor's 158.
+- **3.1 against 3.2 on the common days (exploratory; the rules changed, so not a model comparison).** On the 24
+  reserves days Sol's C moved from 0.432 to 0.396 (−0.036, −0.083 to +0.017) while the anchor's fell from 0.500 to
+  0.449 (excused charges now count and P_hind rose), so Δ moved from −0.068 to −0.053 (+0.015, −0.029 to +0.063). Under one
+  settlement the two runs are level: P3b's plays re-settled on the 3.2 Session against this run, +0.005 (−0.038 to
+  +0.053), per day from −0.187 to +0.298; R 0.820 and 0.858, 6 days at R = 1 in each. On the 8 energy days this run's
+  plays settle at exactly P3b's profits (the energy card did not change).
+- **Energy tier saturated (secondary column).** C 0.430 against the anchor's 0.434, Δ −0.004 (−0.011 to −0.000), R
+  0.989 (the bar is 0.95), committing once at watch 0 on 8 of 10 days. Sol − v2 energy-only +0.113 (+0.019 to +0.245)
+  and − sponge +0.288 (+0.178 to +0.444): the tier separates the PV-blind and sponge policies, not this model.
+- **Anchor scale:** 10 of 30 at R = 1, exactly a third: not compressed by V2-D1's rule (more than a third), at its edge.
+- **Display days.** aug10-2023: C 0.282 against the anchor's 0.262 (Δ +0.020), R 1.0 (3.1: 0.296 against 0.282).
+  mar29-2024: C 0.562 against 0.515 (Δ +0.047), R 1.0 (3.1: 0.576 against 0.856, R 0.738); the anchor's C there fell
+  most under 3.2.
+- Spend $6.31 of $15 (smoke $0.47, reserves $4.79, energy $0.71, display $0.35), $0.160 a reserves episode. All 45
+  Episode JSON (the smoke's 3 included) replay byte for byte on a fresh Session, audits ok.
+## Earlier pilots
+The 3.0 pilot (`results/board-v3.md`, `docs/prereg/v3-pilot.md`) and the 3.1 re-pilot (`results/board-v3b.md`,
+`docs/prereg/v3-pilot-b.md`) stay on record under their own rules and references; their C and Δ are not comparable
+with these except as read above.

results/eval-v3.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.0, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.1) is results/eval-v3b.json",
   "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
   "version": "v3",
   "hybrid_version": "3.0",

 {
+  "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.0, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.2) is results/eval-v3c.json",
   "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
   "version": "v3",
   "hybrid_version": "3.0",

results/eval-v3b.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 {
   "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
   "version": "v3",
   "hybrid_version": "3.0",

 {
+  "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.1, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.2) is results/eval-v3c.json",
   "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
   "version": "v3",
   "hybrid_version": "3.0",

results/eval-v3c.json ADDED Viewed

	@@ -0,0 +1,422 @@

+{
+  "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
+  "version": "v3",
+  "hybrid_version": "3.2",
+  "contract_version": "1.0",
+  "authors": [
+    {
+      "name": "Edgar Arakelyan",
+      "github": "earakely-scale",
+      "affiliation": "Scale AI"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "Adithya S Kolavi",
+      "github": "adithya-s-k",
+      "affiliation": "Hugging Face"
+    }
+  ],
+  "framework": "agentenv",
+  "tasks": {
+    "split": "eval",
+    "n": 40,
+    "unit": "hybrid site-days",
+    "packs": [
+      "ercot-hybrid-v3-eval"
+    ],
+    "as_strata": {
+      "low": 13,
+      "mid": 13,
+      "high": 14
+    },
+    "source": "ERCOT DAM/RT SPPs and DAM AS MCPCs; NP4-745 solar (availability proxy); EIA-860 sites or archetypes",
+    "selection": "low-spread, sponge-near-anchor and P_anchor - P_idle < $500 days dropped; Uri +-3 days out",
+    "flags": [
+      "deploy_frac: 1.0 assumed (stress case)",
+      "poi: 1.2x",
+      "poi: default",
+      "poi: oversized 1.11",
+      "poi: oversized 1.25",
+      "poi: oversized 1.40",
+      "pv_availability: proxy",
+      "pv_scope: system",
+      "pv_shape: ILR x fleet-AC cf (approximate)",
+      "reg_drift: ercot",
+      "site: archetype"
+    ]
+  },
+  "harness": {
+    "agent": "gridsim-llm",
+    "env": "gridsim-hybrid",
+    "tools": [
+      "get_situation",
+      "check_schedule",
+      "commit_schedule",
+      "advance",
+      "get_time"
+    ],
+    "max_turns": 52,
+    "planning_calls_per_watch": 3,
+    "max_tokens": 16384,
+    "effort": "high",
+    "path": "A: every step ran through AgentEnv (gateway env, triggers with deploy payloads, virtual clock)"
+  },
+  "grading": {
+    "scale": {
+      "headline": "hindsight capture C = (P - P_idle)/(P_hind - P_idle), unclipped, the mean over tasks, beside the anchor's C and delta = C - C_anchor with its paired 95% CI",
+      "second": "R on the anchor scale, a level and never differenced, with its R = 1 and beats-anchor shares",
+      "comparisons": "(P - P_ref)/(P_hind - P_idle) with its paired 95% CI",
+      "training": "S: R up to the anchor, then min(1.2, 1 + 0.2 (P - P_anchor)/(P_hind - P_anchor)); never on a board",
+      "decision": "docs/REWARD-SCALES.md"
+    },
+    "hindsight": "P_hind: the hindsight MILP, a DA copy and a physical copy on realised RT, drift and deployments sharing the AS book, settled as the Session settles (C3-D20)",
+    "reference": "information-matched rolling MILP (HiGHS) played through the Session",
+    "reward": "clip(0.2+0.8(P-P_idle)/(P_anchor-P_idle),0,1); no accepted commit scores 0",
+    "idle": "the solar-only plant",
+    "anchor": "P_anchor: one MILP solve per watch on the day as known then, the same freeze, call budget and governor",
+    "fields": {
+      "capture": "C",
+      "anchor_capture": "the anchor's C",
+      "delta": "C - C_anchor, paired",
+      "mean": "R",
+      "r_one": "share of runs at R = 1",
+      "refs": "each reference's C and the paired gap"
+    },
+    "weight_0": [
+      "audit",
+      "hindsight_capture",
+      "energy_only",
+      "as_share",
+      "clip_recovered",
+      "ftp"
+    ],
+    "audit": "weight 0; a failed audit makes the run unscored",
+    "excused": "none: every shortfall is charged as it happens (rules 3.2, C3-D19)",
+    "tiers": "reserves is the headline tier; energy (no AS) is a secondary column",
+    "judge": false
+  },
+  "baselines": {
+    "reserves": {
+      "tier": "reserves",
+      "n": 30,
+      "idle": 0.2,
+      "anchor": 1.0,
+      "capture": {
+        "sponge": 0.042512,
+        "as_hog": 0.042738,
+        "v2_energy": 0.320213,
+        "energy_only": 0.349913
+      },
+      "sponge": 0.2687,
+      "as_hog": 0.2935,
+      "v2_energy": 0.7547,
+      "energy_only": 0.8038,
+      "anchor_capture": 0.449016
+    },
+    "energy": {
+      "tier": "energy",
+      "n": 10,
+      "idle": 0.2,
+      "anchor": 1.0,
+      "capture": {
+        "sponge": 0.141807,
+        "as_hog": null,
+        "v2_energy": 0.317008,
+        "energy_only": null
+      },
+      "sponge": 0.4419,
+      "as_hog": null,
+      "v2_energy": 0.8416,
+      "energy_only": null,
+      "anchor_capture": 0.43387
+    }
+  },
+  "models": [
+    {
+      "model": "openai/gpt-6.1-sol",
+      "trained": "base",
+      "tier": "reserves",
+      "bundle": "live",
+      "effort": "high",
+      "runs": 30,
+      "planned": 30,
+      "tasks": 30,
+      "mean": 0.8779,
+      "ci95": [
+        0.8226,
+        0.927
+      ],
+      "capture": {
+        "mean": 0.404405,
+        "ci95": [
+          0.338671,
+          0.468388
+        ]
+      },
+      "anchor_capture": 0.449016,
+      "delta": {
+        "mean": -0.044611,
+        "ci95": [
+          -0.073263,
+          -0.016835
+        ]
+      },
+      "r": {
+        "mean": 0.8779,
+        "ci95": [
+          0.8226,
+          0.927
+        ]
+      },
+      "r_one": 0.3333,
+      "beats_anchor": 0.3333,
+      "below_idle": 0,
+      "no_headroom": 0,
+      "refs": {
+        "sponge": {
+          "n": 30,
+          "capture": 0.042512,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.361892,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.296978,
+              0.427828
+            ]
+          }
+        },
+        "v2_energy": {
+          "n": 30,
+          "capture": 0.320213,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.084191,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.052798,
+              0.119597
+            ]
+          }
+        },
+        "as_hog": {
+          "n": 30,
+          "capture": 0.042738,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.361667,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.283949,
+              0.434678
+            ]
+          }
+        },
+        "energy_only": {
+          "n": 30,
+          "capture": 0.349913,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.054492,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.022882,
+              0.090555
+            ]
+          }
+        }
+      },
+      "by_as_stratum": {
+        "low": {
+          "capture": 0.498505,
+          "delta": -0.01525,
+          "r": 0.9576
+        },
+        "mid": {
+          "capture": 0.348298,
+          "delta": -0.084621,
+          "r": 0.8497
+        },
+        "high": {
+          "capture": 0.366412,
+          "delta": -0.033963,
+          "r": 0.8265
+        }
+      },
+      "beats_sponge": 1.0,
+      "valid": 1.0,
+      "as_share": 0.4377,
+      "energy_only_reward": 0.8038,
+      "clip_recovered_pct": 52.04,
+      "ftp_mwh_charged": 10.604,
+      "refusals": 0.67,
+      "governor_hours": 1.5,
+      "errors": {
+        "no_commit": 0,
+        "refused": 7,
+        "ftp_charged": 15,
+        "end_short": 5,
+        "governed": 17,
+        "no_replanning": 7,
+        "as_unused": 0
+      },
+      "planning_calls": 4.97,
+      "commits": 2.67,
+      "finished_by_agent": 1.0,
+      "turns": 15.9,
+      "usd_per_episode": 0.1596,
+      "spend_usd": 4.7891,
+      "unknown_spend_attempts": 0
+    },
+    {
+      "model": "openai/gpt-6.1-sol",
+      "trained": "base",
+      "tier": "energy",
+      "bundle": "live",
+      "effort": "high",
+      "runs": 10,
+      "planned": 10,
+      "tasks": 10,
+      "mean": 0.9893,
+      "ci95": [
+        0.9685,
+        0.9999
+      ],
+      "capture": {
+        "mean": 0.429879,
+        "ci95": [
+          0.28967,
+          0.585171
+        ]
+      },
+      "anchor_capture": 0.43387,
+      "delta": {
+        "mean": -0.003991,
+        "ci95": [
+          -0.011409,
+          -2.6e-05
+        ]
+      },
+      "r": {
+        "mean": 0.9893,
+        "ci95": [
+          0.9685,
+          0.9999
+        ]
+      },
+      "r_one": 0.2,
+      "beats_anchor": 0.1,
+      "below_idle": 0,
+      "no_headroom": 0,
+      "refs": {
+        "sponge": {
+          "n": 10,
+          "capture": 0.141807,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.288072,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.178304,
+              0.441584
+            ]
+          }
+        },
+        "v2_energy": {
+          "n": 10,
+          "capture": 0.317008,
+          "delta": {
+            "mean": 0.112871,
+            "ci95": [
+              0.01903,
+              0.245546
+            ]
+          }
+        }
+      },
+      "by_as_stratum": {
+        "low": {
+          "capture": 0.630964,
+          "delta": -0.000876,
+          "r": 0.999
+        },
+        "mid": {
+          "capture": 0.331732,
+          "delta": -6.4e-05,
+          "r": 0.9998
+        },
+        "high": {
+          "capture": 0.352676,
+          "delta": -0.009273,
+          "r": 0.9741
+        }
+      },
+      "beats_sponge": 1.0,
+      "valid": 1.0,
+      "as_share": 0.0,
+      "energy_only_reward": null,
+      "clip_recovered_pct": 67.8,
+      "ftp_mwh_charged": 0.0,
+      "refusals": 0.2,
+      "governor_hours": 0.0,
+      "errors": {
+        "no_commit": 0,
+        "refused": 1,
+        "ftp_charged": 0,
+        "end_short": 0,
+        "governed": 0,
+        "no_replanning": 9,
+        "as_unused": 0
+      },
+      "planning_calls": 2.1,
+      "commits": 1.2,
+      "finished_by_agent": 1.0,
+      "turns": 14.1,
+      "usd_per_episode": 0.0708,
+      "spend_usd": 0.7084,
+      "unknown_spend_attempts": 0
+    }
+  ],
+  "errors": {
+    "taxonomy": [
+      "no_commit",
+      "refused",
+      "ftp_charged",
+      "end_short",
+      "governed",
+      "no_replanning",
+      "as_unused"
+    ],
+    "meaning": {
+      "no_commit": "no accepted hour in any commit (scores 0)",
+      "refused": "a commit with a refused hour",
+      "ftp_charged": "AS failure-to-provide charged",
+      "end_short": "SoC at 24:00 below s_end_min",
+      "governed": "the governor moved an hour",
+      "no_replanning": "no planning call after watch 0",
+      "as_unused": "no AS revenue on a tier that offers AS"
+    }
+  },
+  "sweeps": [
+    {
+      "name": "v3c-pilot-sol",
+      "models": [
+        "openai/gpt-6.1-sol"
+      ],
+      "tasks": 30,
+      "k": 1,
+      "episode_cap_usd": 0.82,
+      "tier": "reserves",
+      "bundle": "live",
+      "pack": "ercot-hybrid-v3-eval",
+      "env": "gridsim-hybrid"
+    },
+    {
+      "name": "v3c-pilot-sol-energy",
+      "models": [
+        "openai/gpt-6.1-sol"
+      ],
+      "tasks": 10,
+      "k": 1,
+      "episode_cap_usd": 0.82,
+      "tier": "energy",
+      "bundle": "live",
+      "pack": "ercot-hybrid-v3-eval",
+      "env": "gridsim-hybrid"
+    }
+  ],
+  "links": {
+    "runs": "hf dataset",
+    "replays": "hf space",
+    "code": "github"
+  }
+}

results/pilot-v3.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
- "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.0, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.1) is results/pilot-v3b.json",
  "columns": {
   "reserves": {
    "primary": {

 {
+ "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.0, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.2) is results/pilot-v3c.json",
  "columns": {
   "reserves": {
    "primary": {

results/pilot-v3b.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 {
  "columns": {
   "reserves": {
    "primary": {

 {
+ "earlier_pilot": "rules 3.1, kept on record; the current v3 pilot (rules 3.2) is results/pilot-v3c.json",
  "columns": {
   "reserves": {
    "primary": {

results/pilot-v3c.json ADDED Viewed

The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff

runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-anchor.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

- {"schema": "gridsim.episode/v3", "episode_id": "5a642a2295c50ed7", "env": "gridsim-hybrid", "version": "v3", "task_id": "hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "tier": "reserves", "bundle": "reference", "path": "ref", "model": "reference/rolling-anchor", "trained": null, "checkpoint_step": null, "seed": null, "task": {"date": "2023-08-10", "era": "B", "settlement_point": "HB_NORTH", "point_kind": "hub", "region": "north", "site": {"site_id": "pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "source": "archetype", "coupling": "ac", "pv_mwac": 150.0, "pv_mwdc": 195.0, "ilr": 1.3, "poi_mw": 150.0, "poi_import_mw": 150.0, "inverter_mw": null, "flags": {"pv": "proxy", "poi": "default", "coupling": "ac (EIA-860 shows no dc-coupled ERCO sites)"}, "bess": {"p_mw": 100.0, "e_mwh": 200.0, "unit_mw": 25.0, "k": 4, "eta": 0.85, "c_deg": 4.0, "cycle_cap_mwh": 300.0, "s0_mwh": 100.0, "s_end_min_mwh": 100.0}, "qualified": ["regup", "regdn", "rrs", "ecrs", "nspin"]}, "prices": [26.51, 24.46, 23.69, 22.07, 21.91, 22.35, 22.35, 22.45, 21.01, 22.0, 30.7, 41.87, 70.0, 193.25, 517.3, 1045.44, 1555.75, 1677.84, 1600.0, 2585.9, 783.25, 99.99, 35.76, 28.45], "rt": [27.5075, 27.06, 30.9075, 27.955, 26.8075, 27.5275, 28.4225, 27.4025, 26.095, 28.845, 31.7275, 34.58, 58.8425, 249.6575, 1638.685, 3547.875, 3278.0325, 2339.2525, 1058.5975, 931.49, 284.3925, 33.11, 40.7825, 32.6525], "pv_mw": [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.019, 15.093, 81.686, 127.978, 142.701, 146.932, 150.0, 149.624, 149.994, 146.347, 138.645, 121.817, 95.043, 39.429, 2.438, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "mcpc_da": {"regup": [1.45, 0.64, 0.63, 0.88, 0.71, 1.0, 1.5, 1.24, 1.5, 2.33, 3.7, 12.3, 37.6, 55.42, 290.39, 154.01, 238.97, 1000.0, 705.51, 1645.9, 570.06, 0.0, 5.8, 2.56], "regdn": [1.33, 0.68, 0.42, 0.3, 0.4, 0.4, 0.9, 0.57, 0.37, 0.41, 3.22, 0.91, 4.05, 15.15, 63.41, 139.01, 203.68, 115.91, 100.24, 232.27, 76.02, 5.76, 5.0, 2.7], "rrs": [1.45, 1.01, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.49, 1.24, 1.5, 1.51, 1.51, 2.0, 2.0, 5.0, 50.0, 75.0, 100.0, 115.0, 130.0, 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It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

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together, on DA prices and DA clearing prices with the expected regulation drift and the deployments known so far. It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-as_hog.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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"time": "2023-08-10 13:45", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T18:45:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 15:00", "notices": ["VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-08-10 15:30", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T20:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "dep-ecrs-20230810T1529"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-08-10 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 19:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230810T1720"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-HT.Y-2023-0013-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-08-07T19:47:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 15:00", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS FWD: Heat Advisory for Collin, Grayson until 2023-08-10 13:43 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-639c0a7e43de", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-08-08T02:00:03+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 21:15", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0009-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-09T19:19:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-09 14:30", "watch": 1, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Collin until 2023-08-14 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-10T18:43:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 13:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Grayson until 2023-08-13 20:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-08-10T15:29:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 15:30", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": 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"time": "2023-08-10 13:45", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T18:45:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 15:00", "notices": ["VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-08-10 15:30", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T20:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "dep-ecrs-20230810T1529"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-08-10 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 19:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230810T1720"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-HT.Y-2023-0013-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-08-07T19:47:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 15:00", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS FWD: Heat Advisory for Collin, Grayson until 2023-08-10 13:43 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-639c0a7e43de", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-08-08T02:00:03+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 21:15", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0009-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-09T19:19:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-09 14:30", "watch": 1, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Collin until 2023-08-14 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-10T18:43:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 13:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Grayson until 2023-08-13 20:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-08-10T15:29:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 15:30", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": 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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-sponge.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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"ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0009-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-09T19:19:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-09 14:30", "watch": 1, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Collin until 2023-08-14 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-10T18:43:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 13:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Grayson until 2023-08-13 20:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-08-10T15:29:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 15:30", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": 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export, discharge it in the dearest day-ahead hours, no reserves, never re-planned."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-08-10-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-v2_energy.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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"time": "2023-08-10 13:45", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T18:45:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 15:00", "notices": ["VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-08-10 15:30", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T20:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "dep-ecrs-20230810T1529"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-08-10 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-08-10T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-08-10 19:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230810T1720"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-HT.Y-2023-0013-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-08-07T19:47:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 15:00", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS FWD: Heat Advisory for Collin, Grayson until 2023-08-10 13:43 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-639c0a7e43de", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-08-08T02:00:03+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-07 21:15", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0009-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-09T19:19:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-09 14:30", "watch": 1, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Collin until 2023-08-14 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-FWD-EH.W-2023-0010-north", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:EH.W", "level": "Warning", "issued_at": "2023-08-10T18:43:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 13:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS FWD", "title": "Excessive Heat Warning", "text": "NWS FWD: Excessive Heat Warning for Grayson until 2023-08-13 20:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230810T1529", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-08-10T15:29:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-08-10 15:30", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": 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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-09-06-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-energy-anchor.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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["OPS-dd3913a9fbaf"]}, {"index": 4, "time": "2023-09-06 15:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 16:00", "notices": ["VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-09-06 15:15", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:15:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230906T1506"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-09-06 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 19:00", "notices": ["OPS-f30736b9e0f3"]}, {"index": 7, "time": "2023-09-06 19:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 20:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "dep-rrs-20230906T1859"]}, {"index": 8, "time": "2023-09-06 19:30", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 21:00", "notices": ["OPS-5d9952551fc8", "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80"]}, {"index": 9, "time": "2023-09-06 21:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T02:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 22:00", "notices": ["OPS-93f55f41c56b", "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "OPS-1da73a75af67", "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "OPS-3c23ffdb9c8d"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-04T19:17:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-04 14:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS MAF", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS MAF: Heat Advisory for Midland, Ector, Howard until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T07:21:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 02:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-ad9dc46e105d", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T15:31:34+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 10:45", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN", "text": "ERCOT issued an OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-dd3913a9fbaf", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Watch", "level": "Watch", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:30:38+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 09:45", "watch": 3, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Watch", "text": "ERCOT issued a Watch (a projected shortage of reserves).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:41:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 14:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-07 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:57:10-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:00", "watch": 4, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 14:57 to 18:27.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 897, "end_min": 1107}}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230906T1506", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T15:06:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:15", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "Non-Spin deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed Non-Spin at 100% of awards from 15:06 to 21:05.", "deploy": {"product": "nspin", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 906, "end_min": 1265}}, {"event_id": "OPS-f30736b9e0f3", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "conservation_appeal", "level": "conservation", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T21:30:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 16:45", "watch": 6, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT conservation", "text": "ERCOT appealed for conservation from 18:00 to 21:00.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:27:06-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 18:30", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 18:27 to 20:56.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1107, "end_min": 1256}}, {"event_id": "dep-rrs-20230906T1859", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:59:14-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:00", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "RRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed RRS at 100% of awards from 18:59 to 19:56.", "deploy": {"product": "rrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1139, "end_min": 1196}}, {"event_id": "OPS-5d9952551fc8", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:15:39+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Advisory", "text": "ERCOT issued an Advisory (low physical responsive capability).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:23:38-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS (online) deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 19:23 to 19:36.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1163, "end_min": 1176}}, {"event_id": "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA2", "level": "EEA2", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:28:01+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA2", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 2.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-93f55f41c56b", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:29:40+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:30", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:38:59+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:45", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit", "text": "ERCOT ended the Energy Emergency Alert; the grid is back to normal operations.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-1da73a75af67", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:14+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1 cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit cancelled", "text": "ERCOT withdrew an earlier end-of-emergency message.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:50:22+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", 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0.2}, "v2_energy": {"profit": 467921.110574, "reward": 0.940602}}}, "audit": {"ok": true, "problems": []}, "messages": [{"role": "assistant", "content": "The rolling anchor: at every watch one exact solve (HiGHS) over the open hours, energy and every reserve product together, on DA prices and DA clearing prices with the expected regulation drift and the deployments known so far. It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

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769.21, 177.57, 15.51, 9.41, 6.13], "ecrs": [1.0, 0.09, 1.0, 1.0, 0.09, 1.0, 1.0, 1.95, 2.2, 5.38, 5.0, 10.0, 40.0, 84.12, 129.91, 263.66, 414.97, 251.03, 294.64, 775.81, 92.57, 10.0, 3.61, 1.0], "nspin": [0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.32, 0.99, 0.99, 1.0, 1.04, 2.72, 5.1, 31.31, 68.97, 102.09, 111.45, 140.81, 174.2, 130.57, 140.17, 92.17, 3.14, 1.75, 0.92]}, "mcpc_rt": null}, "watches": [{"index": 0, "time": "2023-09-05 14:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-05T19:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-05 15:00", "notices": ["VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "OPS-ad9dc46e105d"]}, {"index": 1, "time": "2023-09-06 00:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T05:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 01:00", "notices": []}, {"index": 2, "time": "2023-09-06 06:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T11:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 07:00", "notices": []}, {"index": 3, "time": "2023-09-06 12:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T17:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 13:00", "notices": ["OPS-dd3913a9fbaf"]}, {"index": 4, "time": "2023-09-06 15:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 16:00", "notices": ["VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-09-06 15:15", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:15:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230906T1506"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-09-06 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 19:00", "notices": ["OPS-f30736b9e0f3"]}, {"index": 7, "time": "2023-09-06 19:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 20:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "dep-rrs-20230906T1859"]}, {"index": 8, "time": "2023-09-06 19:30", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 21:00", "notices": ["OPS-5d9952551fc8", "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80"]}, {"index": 9, "time": "2023-09-06 21:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T02:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 22:00", "notices": ["OPS-93f55f41c56b", "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "OPS-1da73a75af67", "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "OPS-3c23ffdb9c8d"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-04T19:17:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-04 14:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS MAF", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS MAF: Heat Advisory for Midland, Ector, Howard until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T07:21:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 02:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-ad9dc46e105d", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T15:31:34+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 10:45", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN", "text": "ERCOT issued an OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-dd3913a9fbaf", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Watch", "level": "Watch", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:30:38+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 09:45", "watch": 3, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Watch", "text": "ERCOT issued a Watch (a projected shortage of reserves).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:41:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 14:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-07 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:57:10-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:00", "watch": 4, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 14:57 to 18:27.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 897, "end_min": 1107}}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230906T1506", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T15:06:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:15", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "Non-Spin deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed Non-Spin at 100% of awards from 15:06 to 21:05.", "deploy": {"product": "nspin", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 906, "end_min": 1265}}, {"event_id": "OPS-f30736b9e0f3", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "conservation_appeal", "level": "conservation", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T21:30:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 16:45", "watch": 6, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT conservation", "text": "ERCOT appealed for conservation from 18:00 to 21:00.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:27:06-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 18:30", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 18:27 to 20:56.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1107, "end_min": 1256}}, {"event_id": "dep-rrs-20230906T1859", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:59:14-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:00", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "RRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed RRS at 100% of awards from 18:59 to 19:56.", "deploy": {"product": "rrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1139, "end_min": 1196}}, {"event_id": "OPS-5d9952551fc8", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:15:39+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Advisory", "text": "ERCOT issued an Advisory (low physical responsive capability).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:23:38-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS (online) deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 19:23 to 19:36.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1163, "end_min": 1176}}, {"event_id": "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA2", "level": "EEA2", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:28:01+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA2", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 2.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-93f55f41c56b", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:29:40+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:30", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:38:59+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:45", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit", "text": "ERCOT ended the Energy Emergency Alert; the grid is back to normal operations.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-1da73a75af67", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:14+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1 cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit cancelled", "text": "ERCOT withdrew an earlier end-of-emergency message.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:50:22+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", 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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2023-09-06-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-energy-sponge.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

- {"schema": "gridsim.episode/v3", "episode_id": "4c129af7b8fe04e6", "env": "gridsim-hybrid", "version": "v3", "task_id": "hyb-v3-2023-09-06-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "tier": "energy", "bundle": "reference", "path": "ref", "model": "reference/solar-sponge", "trained": null, "checkpoint_step": null, "seed": null, "task": {"date": "2023-09-06", "era": "B", "settlement_point": "HB_WEST", "point_kind": "hub", "region": "west", "site": {"site_id": "pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "source": "archetype", "coupling": "ac", "pv_mwac": 150.0, "pv_mwdc": 195.0, "ilr": 1.3, "poi_mw": 150.0, "poi_import_mw": 150.0, "inverter_mw": null, "flags": {"pv": "proxy", "poi": "default", "coupling": "ac (EIA-860 shows no dc-coupled ERCO sites)"}, "bess": {"p_mw": 100.0, "e_mwh": 200.0, "unit_mw": 25.0, "k": 4, "eta": 0.85, "c_deg": 4.0, "cycle_cap_mwh": 300.0, "s0_mwh": 100.0, "s_end_min_mwh": 100.0}, "qualified": ["regup", "regdn", "rrs", "ecrs", "nspin"]}, "prices": [24.6, 23.52, 22.11, 21.72, 23.04, 24.73, 25.42, 23.93, 22.16, 21.47, 25.64, 35.0, 62.2, 108.87, 203.13, 314.56, 470.26, 426.91, 693.57, 1317.12, 279.7, 44.22, 34.48, 29.0], "rt": [25.4175, 25.05, 24.82, 25.9225, 26.945, 31.5675, 31.085, 26.0, 24.5125, 23.4525, 27.435, 59.1625, 134.2025, 460.79, 553.41, 3538.035, 3896.795, 893.0875, 2555.825, 5257.575, 1536.89, 69.565, 71.23, 30.2425], "pv_mw": [0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 6.338, 69.284, 127.121, 140.283, 144.144, 142.681, 141.356, 141.16, 136.559, 127.725, 114.192, 80.282, 16.127, 0.019, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0], "mcpc_da": {"regup": [2.1, 1.47, 1.45, 1.46, 1.8, 2.71, 3.1, 2.0, 2.0, 4.64, 5.4, 10.34, 25.65, 65.15, 118.68, 252.43, 189.98, 251.47, 295.15, 759.21, 80.57, 14.01, 7.65, 4.63], "regdn": [4.98, 1.25, 1.25, 1.01, 0.54, 0.62, 1.15, 1.25, 5.41, 2.9, 1.53, 1.31, 3.24, 11.09, 87.5, 252.36, 181.5, 245.59, 114.25, 500.15, 166.83, 14.39, 4.98, 3.5], "rrs": [3.01, 2.69, 1.81, 1.99, 2.0, 2.71, 2.71, 2.0, 2.0, 4.38, 2.0, 4.51, 4.51, 9.49, 65.15, 40.26, 39.99, 174.2, 295.15, 769.21, 177.57, 15.51, 9.41, 6.13], "ecrs": [1.0, 0.09, 1.0, 1.0, 0.09, 1.0, 1.0, 1.95, 2.2, 5.38, 5.0, 10.0, 40.0, 84.12, 129.91, 263.66, 414.97, 251.03, 294.64, 775.81, 92.57, 10.0, 3.61, 1.0], "nspin": [0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.32, 0.99, 0.99, 1.0, 1.04, 2.72, 5.1, 31.31, 68.97, 102.09, 111.45, 140.81, 174.2, 130.57, 140.17, 92.17, 3.14, 1.75, 0.92]}, "mcpc_rt": null}, "watches": [{"index": 0, "time": "2023-09-05 14:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-05T19:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-05 15:00", "notices": ["VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "OPS-ad9dc46e105d"]}, {"index": 1, "time": "2023-09-06 00:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T05:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 01:00", "notices": []}, {"index": 2, "time": "2023-09-06 06:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T11:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 07:00", "notices": []}, {"index": 3, "time": "2023-09-06 12:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T17:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 13:00", "notices": ["OPS-dd3913a9fbaf"]}, {"index": 4, "time": "2023-09-06 15:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 16:00", "notices": ["VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-09-06 15:15", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:15:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230906T1506"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-09-06 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 19:00", "notices": ["OPS-f30736b9e0f3"]}, {"index": 7, "time": "2023-09-06 19:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 20:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "dep-rrs-20230906T1859"]}, {"index": 8, "time": "2023-09-06 19:30", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 21:00", "notices": ["OPS-5d9952551fc8", "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80"]}, {"index": 9, "time": "2023-09-06 21:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T02:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 22:00", "notices": ["OPS-93f55f41c56b", "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "OPS-1da73a75af67", "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "OPS-3c23ffdb9c8d"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-04T19:17:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-04 14:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS MAF", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS MAF: Heat Advisory for Midland, Ector, Howard until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T07:21:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 02:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-ad9dc46e105d", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T15:31:34+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 10:45", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN", "text": "ERCOT issued an OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-dd3913a9fbaf", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Watch", "level": "Watch", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:30:38+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 09:45", "watch": 3, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Watch", "text": "ERCOT issued a Watch (a projected shortage of reserves).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:41:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 14:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-07 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:57:10-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:00", "watch": 4, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 14:57 to 18:27.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 897, "end_min": 1107}}, {"event_id": "dep-nspin-20230906T1506", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T15:06:00-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:15", "watch": 5, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "Non-Spin deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed Non-Spin at 100% of awards from 15:06 to 21:05.", "deploy": {"product": "nspin", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 906, "end_min": 1265}}, {"event_id": "OPS-f30736b9e0f3", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "conservation_appeal", "level": "conservation", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T21:30:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 16:45", "watch": 6, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT conservation", "text": "ERCOT appealed for conservation from 18:00 to 21:00.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:27:06-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 18:30", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 18:27 to 20:56.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1107, "end_min": 1256}}, {"event_id": "dep-rrs-20230906T1859", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:59:14-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:00", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "RRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed RRS at 100% of awards from 18:59 to 19:56.", "deploy": {"product": "rrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1139, "end_min": 1196}}, {"event_id": "OPS-5d9952551fc8", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:15:39+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Advisory", "text": "ERCOT issued an Advisory (low physical responsive capability).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:23:38-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS (online) deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 19:23 to 19:36.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1163, "end_min": 1176}}, {"event_id": "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA2", "level": "EEA2", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:28:01+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA2", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 2.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-93f55f41c56b", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:29:40+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:30", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1", "text": "ERCOT declared Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:38:59+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 20:45", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit", "text": "ERCOT ended the Energy Emergency Alert; the grid is back to normal operations.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-1da73a75af67", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "EEA1", "level": "EEA1", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:14+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA1 cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its Energy Emergency Alert level 1.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:45:21+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit cancelled", "text": "ERCOT withdrew an earlier end-of-emergency message.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:50:22+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Advisory cancelled", "text": "ERCOT cancelled its Advisory (low physical responsive capability).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-3c23ffdb9c8d", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Emergency", "level": "EEA_exit", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T01:51:46+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 21:00", "watch": 9, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT EEA_exit", "text": "ERCOT ended the Energy Emergency Alert; the grid is back to normal operations.", "deploy": null}], "steps": [{"t": 0, "watch": 0, "tool": "commit_schedule", "args": {"plan": {"energy": [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.0001, 0, 0, 0, 0]}, "from_hour": 0}, "output": {"committed": [0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23], "refused": [], "frozen_until_hour": 0, "book": {"energy": [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]}, "projected": {"energy_usd": 294693.56, "as_usd": 0.0, "degradation_usd": 0.0, "ftp_usd": 0.0, 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["OPS-dd3913a9fbaf"]}, {"index": 4, "time": "2023-09-06 15:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 16:00", "notices": ["VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457"]}, {"index": 5, "time": "2023-09-06 15:15", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T20:15:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 17:00", "notices": ["dep-nspin-20230906T1506"]}, {"index": 6, "time": "2023-09-06 18:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-06T23:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 19:00", "notices": ["OPS-f30736b9e0f3"]}, {"index": 7, "time": "2023-09-06 19:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 20:00", "notices": ["dep-ecrs-20230906T1827", "dep-rrs-20230906T1859"]}, {"index": 8, "time": "2023-09-06 19:30", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T00:30:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 21:00", "notices": ["OPS-5d9952551fc8", "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "OPS-bb2bbec1ad80"]}, {"index": 9, "time": "2023-09-06 21:00", "time_utc": "2023-09-07T02:00:00Z", "freeze_line": "2023-09-06 22:00", "notices": ["OPS-93f55f41c56b", "OPS-c9a3cc9c8a20", "OPS-1da73a75af67", "OPS-15c1dfa230bc", "OPS-b0cb42b15d13", "OPS-3c23ffdb9c8d"]}], "notices": [{"event_id": "VTEC-MAF-HT.Y-2023-0039-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-04T19:17:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-04 14:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS MAF", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS MAF: Heat Advisory for Midland, Ector, Howard until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0032-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T07:21:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 02:30", "watch": 0, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-05 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-ad9dc46e105d", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "OCN", "level": "OCN", "issued_at": "2023-09-05T15:31:34+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-05 10:45", "watch": 0, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT OCN", "text": "ERCOT issued an OCN (extreme heat).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "OPS-dd3913a9fbaf", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Watch", "level": "Watch", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:30:38+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 09:45", "watch": 3, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Watch", "text": "ERCOT issued a Watch (a projected shortage of reserves).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "VTEC-SJT-HT.Y-2023-0033-west", "source": "NWS", "kind": "nws:HT.Y", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-06T19:41:00Z", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 14:45", "watch": 4, "name": "NWS SJT", "title": "Heat Advisory", "text": "NWS SJT: Heat Advisory for Tom Green, Taylor until 2023-09-07 21:00 CPT.", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-20230906T1457", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T14:57:10-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 15:00", "watch": 4, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 14:57 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"title": "ECRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed ECRS at 100% of awards from 18:27 to 20:56.", "deploy": {"product": "ecrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1107, "end_min": 1256}}, {"event_id": "dep-rrs-20230906T1859", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": "2023-09-06T18:59:14-05:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:00", "watch": 7, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "RRS deployed", "text": "ERCOT deployed RRS at 100% of awards from 18:59 to 19:56.", "deploy": {"product": "rrs", "frac": 1.0, "start_min": 1139, "end_min": 1196}}, {"event_id": "OPS-5d9952551fc8", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "Advisory", "level": "Advisory", "issued_at": "2023-09-07T00:15:39+00:00", "reveal_at": "2023-09-06 19:30", "watch": 8, "name": "ERCOT", "title": "ERCOT Advisory", "text": "ERCOT issued an Advisory (low physical responsive capability).", "deploy": null}, {"event_id": "dep-ecrs-online-20230906T1923", "source": "ERCOT", "kind": "deployment", "level": null, "issued_at": 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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2024-03-29-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-anchor.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

- {"schema":"gridsim.episode/v3","episode_id":"2346944264970b1d","env":"gridsim-hybrid","version":"v3","task_id":"hyb-v3-2024-03-29-HB_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150","tier":"reserves","bundle":"reference","path":"ref","model":"reference/rolling-anchor","trained":null,"checkpoint_step":null,"seed":null,"task":{"date":"2024-03-29","era":"B","settlement_point":"HB_WEST","point_kind":"hub","region":"west","site":{"site_id":"pv150-b100x2h-poi150","source":"archetype","coupling":"ac","pv_mwac":150.0,"pv_mwdc":195.0,"ilr":1.3,"poi_mw":150.0,"poi_import_mw":150.0,"inverter_mw":null,"flags":{"pv":"proxy","poi":"default","coupling":"ac (EIA-860 shows no dc-coupled ERCO 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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2025-11-10-LZ_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-anchor.json CHANGED Viewed

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- {"schema": "gridsim.episode/v3", "episode_id": "f14206b2ec7970ae", "env": "gridsim-hybrid", "version": "v3", "task_id": "hyb-v3-2025-11-10-LZ_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "tier": "reserves", "bundle": "reference", "path": "ref", "model": "reference/rolling-anchor", "trained": null, "checkpoint_step": null, "seed": null, "task": {"date": "2025-11-10", "era": "B", "settlement_point": "LZ_WEST", "point_kind": "load_zone", "region": "west", "site": {"site_id": "pv150-b100x2h-poi150", "source": "archetype", "coupling": "ac", "pv_mwac": 150.0, "pv_mwdc": 195.0, "ilr": 1.3, "poi_mw": 150.0, "poi_import_mw": 150.0, "inverter_mw": null, "flags": {"pv": "proxy", "poi": "default", "coupling": "ac (EIA-860 shows no dc-coupled ERCO sites)"}, "bess": {"p_mw": 100.0, "e_mwh": 200.0, "unit_mw": 25.0, "k": 4, "eta": 0.85, "c_deg": 4.0, "cycle_cap_mwh": 300.0, "s0_mwh": 100.0, "s_end_min_mwh": 100.0}, "qualified": ["regup", "regdn", "rrs", "ecrs", "nspin"]}, "prices": [70.77, 70.76, 75.35, 79.93, 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"reward": 0.914367}, "as_hog": {"profit": 31071.944671, "reward": 0.441912}}}, "audit": {"ok": true, "problems": []}, "messages": [{"role": "assistant", "content": "The rolling anchor: at every watch one exact solve (HiGHS) over the open hours, energy and every reserve product together, on DA prices and DA clearing prices with the expected regulation drift and the deployments known so far. It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2025-11-10-LZ_WEST-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-as_hog.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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runs/hybrid-reference/hyb-v3-2026-01-26-HB_NORTH-pv150-b100x2h-poi150-reserves-anchor.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1 +1 @@

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It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}

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It never sees a real-time price before the hour ends."}], "usage": null, "wall_seconds": null}