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build: macro regime us.json

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  1. macro/regime/us.json +23 -8
macro/regime/us.json CHANGED
@@ -1,18 +1,18 @@
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  {
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  "market": "US",
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- "computedAt": "2026-07-27T23:14:00.980106+00:00",
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  "forecast": {
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  "models": {
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  "probit": {
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- "probability": 0.166,
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  "probabilityRounded": 0.15,
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  "zone": "moderate",
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  "zoneLabel": "보통",
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- "spread": 0.69,
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  "horizon": "12M",
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  "timeKind": "leading",
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  "precisionNote": "Estrella-Mishkin 고정계수·표준오차 미산출(점추정)",
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- "asOf": "2026-07-27",
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  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
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  "staleAfterDays": 7
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  },
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@
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  "staleAfterDays": 45
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  },
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  "lei": {
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- "level": 6231489.92,
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  "mom6m": null,
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  "signal": "expansion",
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  "signalLabel": "확장",
@@ -57,18 +57,33 @@
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  "missing": []
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  },
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  "rates": {
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- "spread10y3m": 0.69,
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  "sign": "+",
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  "curveShape": "steep_normal",
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  "curveShapeLabel": "가파른정상",
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  "curveSource": "NelsonSiegel.interpretation",
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- "asOf": "2026-07-27",
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  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
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  "staleAfterDays": 7,
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  "missing": []
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  },
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  "gar": {
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- "status": "표본 부족·표시 보류"
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  },
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  "regimeBand": {
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  "status": "레짐 분리 약함",
 
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  {
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  "market": "US",
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+ "computedAt": "2026-07-28T23:14:27.153494+00:00",
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  "forecast": {
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  "models": {
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  "probit": {
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+ "probability": 0.1629,
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  "probabilityRounded": 0.15,
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  "zone": "moderate",
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  "zoneLabel": "보통",
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+ "spread": 0.71,
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  "horizon": "12M",
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  "timeKind": "leading",
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  "precisionNote": "Estrella-Mishkin 고정계수·표준오차 미산출(점추정)",
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+ "asOf": "2026-07-28",
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  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
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  "staleAfterDays": 7
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  },
 
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  "staleAfterDays": 45
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  },
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  "lei": {
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+ "level": 6231498.22,
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  "mom6m": null,
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  "signal": "expansion",
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  "signalLabel": "확장",
 
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  "missing": []
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  },
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  "rates": {
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+ "spread10y3m": 0.71,
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  "sign": "+",
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  "curveShape": "steep_normal",
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  "curveShapeLabel": "가파른정상",
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  "curveSource": "NelsonSiegel.interpretation",
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+ "asOf": "2026-07-28",
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  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
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  "staleAfterDays": 7,
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  "missing": []
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  },
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  "gar": {
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+ "gar5": -0.46,
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+ "gar25": 1.31,
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+ "median": 2.08,
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+ "gar75": 2.84,
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+ "gar95": 4.67,
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+ "skewness": 0.05,
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+ "tailRisk": "moderate",
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+ "tailRiskLabel": "보통",
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+ "currentFCI": -0.277,
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+ "observations": 98,
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+ "horizon": 4,
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+ "timeKind": "forward",
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+ "seriesNote": "FCI(NFCI 대용) 조건부 GDP 성장률 분위(점추정 아닌 조건부 분포)",
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+ "asOf": "2026-04-01",
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+ "staleAfterDays": 120,
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+ "revisionLabel": "분기 GDP·수정 대상"
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  },
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  "regimeBand": {
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  "status": "레짐 분리 약함",