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Commit
f9c8f1b
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1 Parent(s): b6e3b56

갱신: dashboards JSON (mapBuild)

Browse files
landing/dashboards/finance-us.json CHANGED
The diff for this file is too large to render. See raw diff
 
landing/dashboards/macro.json CHANGED
@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
1
  {
2
  "version": "v20",
3
- "asOf": "2026-10-20",
4
  "kr": {
5
  "market": "KR",
6
  "phase": null,
@@ -18,7 +18,7 @@
18
  "quadrant": "stagflation",
19
  "quadrantLabel": "스태그플레이션",
20
  "growth": "falling",
21
- "growthSignal": -12.0,
22
  "inflation": "rising",
23
  "inflationSignal": 0.55,
24
  "assetImplication": {
@@ -32,7 +32,7 @@
32
  "confidence": "high",
33
  "description": "성장 둔화 + 물가 상승 — 금·TIPS·현금 방어, 주식·채권 불리"
34
  },
35
- "computedAt": "2026-10-20T01:00:32.675167+00:00"
36
  },
37
  "us": {
38
  "market": "US",
@@ -43,8 +43,8 @@
43
  "observedInputs": 7,
44
  "totalInputs": 8,
45
  "signals": [
46
- "HY 스프레드 안정 (331bp)",
47
- "수익률곡선 평탄화 (+0.38%)",
48
  "CPI 4.0% — 물가 과열, 둔화 전조"
49
  ],
50
  "sectorStrategy": {
@@ -72,15 +72,15 @@
72
  "confidence": "high",
73
  "description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리"
74
  },
75
- "computedAt": "2026-10-20T01:00:32.763923+00:00"
76
  },
77
  "transmission": {
78
  "target": "KR:market",
79
  "stockCode": null,
80
  "market": "KR",
81
  "sectorKey": null,
82
- "asOf": "2026-10-20",
83
- "dataAsOf": "2026-10-19",
84
  "drivers": [
85
  {
86
  "id": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
@@ -102,17 +102,17 @@
102
  "sourceLineage": {
103
  "source": "FRED",
104
  "sourceSeriesId": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
105
- "date": "2026-10-16",
106
- "value": 3.31,
107
- "previousDate": "2026-10-15",
108
- "previousValue": 3.23,
109
- "change": 0.08000000000000007,
110
  "unit": "%p",
111
  "artifactPath": "macro/fred/observations.parquet",
112
  "asOfPolicy": "observation_date <= price_as_of",
113
  "status": "observed"
114
  },
115
- "signal": "rising"
116
  },
117
  {
118
  "id": "BASE_RATE",
@@ -262,11 +262,11 @@
262
  "sourceLineage": {
263
  "source": "ECOS",
264
  "sourceSeriesId": "USDKRW",
265
- "date": "2026-10-19",
266
- "value": 1330.3,
267
- "previousDate": "2026-10-16",
268
- "previousValue": 1331.4,
269
- "change": -1.1000000000001364,
270
  "unit": "원",
271
  "artifactPath": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet",
272
  "asOfPolicy": "observation_date <= price_as_of",
@@ -479,8 +479,8 @@
479
  ],
480
  "evidenceLabel": "OBS",
481
  "sourceRef": "macro.transmission:edge:hy-risk-premium",
482
- "driverSignal": "rising",
483
- "impactDirection": "headwind",
484
  "resolvedEvidenceLevel": "observed",
485
  "companyEvidenceCoverage": 0.0,
486
  "matchedCompanyRequirements": [],
@@ -579,8 +579,8 @@
579
  "id": "driver:BAMLH0A0HYM2",
580
  "driverId": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
581
  "status": "observed",
582
- "date": "2026-10-16",
583
- "value": 3.31,
584
  "unit": "%p",
585
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2"
586
  },
@@ -624,8 +624,8 @@
624
  "id": "driver:USDKRW",
625
  "driverId": "USDKRW",
626
  "status": "observed",
627
- "date": "2026-10-19",
628
- "value": 1330.3,
629
  "unit": "원",
630
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW"
631
  }
@@ -653,15 +653,15 @@
653
  "version": "1"
654
  },
655
  "time": {
656
- "asOf": "2026-10-20",
657
- "dataAsOf": "2026-10-19",
658
  "period": null,
659
- "knowledgeBoundary": "2026-10-20"
660
  },
661
  "status": "partial",
662
  "conclusion": {
663
- "label": "거시 전파 경로 혼재",
664
- "summary": "거시 전파 경로 혼재입니다. 거시 관측 6/6개를 확인했지만 개별 회사 재무 근거에는 아직 바인딩되지 않았습니다."
665
  },
666
  "confidence": {
667
  "level": "medium",
@@ -672,10 +672,10 @@
672
  {
673
  "id": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
674
  "label": "미국 HY 스프레드",
675
- "value": 3.31,
676
  "unit": "%p",
677
- "signal": "rising",
678
- "change": 0.08000000000000007,
679
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2"
680
  },
681
  {
@@ -717,10 +717,10 @@
717
  {
718
  "id": "USDKRW",
719
  "label": "원/달러",
720
- "value": 1330.3,
721
  "unit": "원",
722
  "signal": "falling",
723
- "change": -1.1000000000001364,
724
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW"
725
  }
726
  ],
@@ -731,7 +731,7 @@
731
  "kind": "macroObservation",
732
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2",
733
  "status": "observed",
734
- "observedAt": "2026-10-16",
735
  "detail": "미국 HY 스프레드 최신 관측과 직전 변화"
736
  },
737
  {
@@ -771,7 +771,7 @@
771
  "kind": "macroObservation",
772
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW",
773
  "status": "observed",
774
- "observedAt": "2026-10-19",
775
  "detail": "원/달러 최신 관측과 직전 변화"
776
  }
777
  ],
@@ -965,7 +965,7 @@
965
  "regime": {
966
  "kr": {
967
  "market": "KR",
968
- "computedAt": "2026-10-20T01:00:35.154953+00:00",
969
  "forecast": {
970
  "models": {
971
  "lei": {
@@ -1007,19 +1007,19 @@
1007
  },
1008
  "us": {
1009
  "market": "US",
1010
- "computedAt": "2026-10-20T01:00:35.343136+00:00",
1011
  "forecast": {
1012
  "models": {
1013
  "probit": {
1014
- "probability": 0.1378,
1015
  "probabilityRounded": 0.15,
1016
  "zone": "low",
1017
  "zoneLabel": "낮음",
1018
- "spread": 0.88,
1019
  "horizon": "12M",
1020
  "timeKind": "leading",
1021
  "precisionNote": "Estrella-Mishkin 고정계수·표준오차 미산출(점추정)",
1022
- "asOf": "2026-10-19",
1023
  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
1024
  "staleAfterDays": 7
1025
  },
@@ -1035,7 +1035,7 @@
1035
  "staleAfterDays": 45
1036
  },
1037
  "lei": {
1038
- "level": 6289439.5,
1039
  "mom6m": null,
1040
  "signal": "expansion",
1041
  "signalLabel": "확장",
@@ -1044,7 +1044,7 @@
1044
  "overlapNote": "term-spread·initial-claims 내포(probit/Sahm 부분 상관)",
1045
  "horizon": "6-9M",
1046
  "timeKind": "leading",
1047
- "asOf": "2026-08-01",
1048
  "staleAfterDays": 75
1049
  },
1050
  "hamilton": {
@@ -1064,12 +1064,12 @@
1064
  "missing": []
1065
  },
1066
  "rates": {
1067
- "spread10y3m": 0.88,
1068
  "sign": "+",
1069
  "curveShape": "steep_normal",
1070
  "curveShapeLabel": "가파른정상",
1071
  "curveSource": "NelsonSiegel.interpretation",
1072
- "asOf": "2026-10-19",
1073
  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
1074
  "staleAfterDays": 7,
1075
  "missing": []
 
1
  {
2
  "version": "v20",
3
+ "asOf": "2026-10-21",
4
  "kr": {
5
  "market": "KR",
6
  "phase": null,
 
18
  "quadrant": "stagflation",
19
  "quadrantLabel": "스태그플레이션",
20
  "growth": "falling",
21
+ "growthSignal": -23.0,
22
  "inflation": "rising",
23
  "inflationSignal": 0.55,
24
  "assetImplication": {
 
32
  "confidence": "high",
33
  "description": "성장 둔화 + 물가 상승 — 금·TIPS·현금 방어, 주식·채권 불리"
34
  },
35
+ "computedAt": "2026-10-21T00:32:36.274185+00:00"
36
  },
37
  "us": {
38
  "market": "US",
 
43
  "observedInputs": 7,
44
  "totalInputs": 8,
45
  "signals": [
46
+ "HY 스프레드 안정 (329bp)",
47
+ "수익률곡선 평탄화 (+0.33%)",
48
  "CPI 4.0% — 물가 과열, 둔화 전조"
49
  ],
50
  "sectorStrategy": {
 
72
  "confidence": "high",
73
  "description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리"
74
  },
75
+ "computedAt": "2026-10-21T00:32:36.352040+00:00"
76
  },
77
  "transmission": {
78
  "target": "KR:market",
79
  "stockCode": null,
80
  "market": "KR",
81
  "sectorKey": null,
82
+ "asOf": "2026-10-21",
83
+ "dataAsOf": "2026-10-20",
84
  "drivers": [
85
  {
86
  "id": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
 
102
  "sourceLineage": {
103
  "source": "FRED",
104
  "sourceSeriesId": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
105
+ "date": "2026-10-19",
106
+ "value": 3.29,
107
+ "previousDate": "2026-10-16",
108
+ "previousValue": 3.31,
109
+ "change": -0.020000000000000018,
110
  "unit": "%p",
111
  "artifactPath": "macro/fred/observations.parquet",
112
  "asOfPolicy": "observation_date <= price_as_of",
113
  "status": "observed"
114
  },
115
+ "signal": "falling"
116
  },
117
  {
118
  "id": "BASE_RATE",
 
262
  "sourceLineage": {
263
  "source": "ECOS",
264
  "sourceSeriesId": "USDKRW",
265
+ "date": "2026-10-20",
266
+ "value": 1328.1,
267
+ "previousDate": "2026-10-19",
268
+ "previousValue": 1330.3,
269
+ "change": -2.2000000000000455,
270
  "unit": "원",
271
  "artifactPath": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet",
272
  "asOfPolicy": "observation_date <= price_as_of",
 
479
  ],
480
  "evidenceLabel": "OBS",
481
  "sourceRef": "macro.transmission:edge:hy-risk-premium",
482
+ "driverSignal": "falling",
483
+ "impactDirection": "tailwind",
484
  "resolvedEvidenceLevel": "observed",
485
  "companyEvidenceCoverage": 0.0,
486
  "matchedCompanyRequirements": [],
 
579
  "id": "driver:BAMLH0A0HYM2",
580
  "driverId": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
581
  "status": "observed",
582
+ "date": "2026-10-19",
583
+ "value": 3.29,
584
  "unit": "%p",
585
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2"
586
  },
 
624
  "id": "driver:USDKRW",
625
  "driverId": "USDKRW",
626
  "status": "observed",
627
+ "date": "2026-10-20",
628
+ "value": 1328.1,
629
  "unit": "원",
630
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW"
631
  }
 
653
  "version": "1"
654
  },
655
  "time": {
656
+ "asOf": "2026-10-21",
657
+ "dataAsOf": "2026-10-20",
658
  "period": null,
659
+ "knowledgeBoundary": "2026-10-21"
660
  },
661
  "status": "partial",
662
  "conclusion": {
663
+ "label": "거시 순풍 경로 우세",
664
+ "summary": "거시 순풍 경로 우세입니다. 거시 관측 6/6개를 확인했지만 개별 회사 재무 근거에는 아직 바인딩되지 않았습니다."
665
  },
666
  "confidence": {
667
  "level": "medium",
 
672
  {
673
  "id": "BAMLH0A0HYM2",
674
  "label": "미국 HY 스프레드",
675
+ "value": 3.29,
676
  "unit": "%p",
677
+ "signal": "falling",
678
+ "change": -0.020000000000000018,
679
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2"
680
  },
681
  {
 
717
  {
718
  "id": "USDKRW",
719
  "label": "원/달러",
720
+ "value": 1328.1,
721
  "unit": "원",
722
  "signal": "falling",
723
+ "change": -2.2000000000000455,
724
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW"
725
  }
726
  ],
 
731
  "kind": "macroObservation",
732
  "sourceRef": "macro/fred/observations.parquet#BAMLH0A0HYM2",
733
  "status": "observed",
734
+ "observedAt": "2026-10-19",
735
  "detail": "미국 HY 스프레드 최신 관측과 직전 변화"
736
  },
737
  {
 
771
  "kind": "macroObservation",
772
  "sourceRef": "macro/ecos/observations.parquet#USDKRW",
773
  "status": "observed",
774
+ "observedAt": "2026-10-20",
775
  "detail": "원/달러 최신 관측과 직전 변화"
776
  }
777
  ],
 
965
  "regime": {
966
  "kr": {
967
  "market": "KR",
968
+ "computedAt": "2026-10-21T00:32:46.789229+00:00",
969
  "forecast": {
970
  "models": {
971
  "lei": {
 
1007
  },
1008
  "us": {
1009
  "market": "US",
1010
+ "computedAt": "2026-10-21T00:32:46.962199+00:00",
1011
  "forecast": {
1012
  "models": {
1013
  "probit": {
1014
+ "probability": 0.1406,
1015
  "probabilityRounded": 0.15,
1016
  "zone": "low",
1017
  "zoneLabel": "낮음",
1018
+ "spread": 0.86,
1019
  "horizon": "12M",
1020
  "timeKind": "leading",
1021
  "precisionNote": "Estrella-Mishkin 고정계수·표준오차 미산출(점추정)",
1022
+ "asOf": "2026-10-20",
1023
  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
1024
  "staleAfterDays": 7
1025
  },
 
1035
  "staleAfterDays": 45
1036
  },
1037
  "lei": {
1038
+ "level": 6289444.03,
1039
  "mom6m": null,
1040
  "signal": "expansion",
1041
  "signalLabel": "확장",
 
1044
  "overlapNote": "term-spread·initial-claims 내포(probit/Sahm 부분 상관)",
1045
  "horizon": "6-9M",
1046
  "timeKind": "leading",
1047
+ "asOf": "2026-09-01",
1048
  "staleAfterDays": 75
1049
  },
1050
  "hamilton": {
 
1064
  "missing": []
1065
  },
1066
  "rates": {
1067
+ "spread10y3m": 0.86,
1068
  "sign": "+",
1069
  "curveShape": "steep_normal",
1070
  "curveShapeLabel": "가파른정상",
1071
  "curveSource": "NelsonSiegel.interpretation",
1072
+ "asOf": "2026-10-20",
1073
  "seriesId": "T10Y3M",
1074
  "staleAfterDays": 7,
1075
  "missing": []