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Archive 4 checkpoints (1-4)

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paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261002T002920Z-deck-extra-metrics-scsemi-prep/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scsemi/tools/check_units.py ADDED
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+ #!/usr/bin/env python
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+ """Dry run of scSemiProfiler queue files (CPU only; never imports torch; writes nothing under work/ or generated/).
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+
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+ For every cv / budget line of the given queue files, in queue order:
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+ 1. runs the real input builder in --check-only mode (tools/prepare_draw_inputs.py: split, LoRA RUN.json and
6
+ CAL_BUDGET checks for budget lines, modeled genes, every representative's cells, depth, condition NPZ);
7
+ 2. checks the representatives / targets against the LoRA run of the same fold: cv lines against
8
+ runs/<ds>/fold<k>/real_lora/RUN.json (train + inner-val rows; test rows), budget lines against lora_n<n>
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+ (the builder already refuses a mismatch) and, for reuse_cv lines, that the representatives are a subset of the
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+ same fold's cv line, that line comes earlier in the queue, and no target is a cv representative;
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+ 3. replicates upstream initsetup's bulk PCA (normalize_total 1e4, log1p, sc.tl.pca) and the nearest-representative
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+ assignment, then estimates GPU time from the measured few-pair receipts (pretrain 0.0488 s per representative
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+ cell; target 8.0 s + 0.0188 s per cell of its representative; README "Time") and disk (sample_sc ~0.78 x
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+ (8 n^2 + 12 n G) bytes per representative, geneset_scores 23.4 KB per cell, pretrain checkpoints 2 x 17.7 MB,
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+ per-target model 21.3 MB, rep_sc.h5ad 3.3 KB per cell);
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+ 4. records whether the work dir / output already exist (the queue skips validated outputs and resumes partial ones).
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+ usage: CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES='' check_units.py --out validation/check_units_<queue>.json QUEUE [QUEUE ...]
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+ [--runs-extra DIR (<ds>/fold<k>/<run>/RUN.json copied from another host)]
19
+ """
20
+ from __future__ import annotations
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+
22
+ import argparse
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+ import json
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+ import os
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+ import sys
26
+ import tempfile
27
+ import time
28
+ from datetime import datetime, timezone
29
+ from pathlib import Path
30
+
31
+ if os.environ.get("CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES") != "":
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+ raise SystemExit("run with CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES=''")
33
+
34
+ import numpy as np
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+
36
+ HERE = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]
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+ TASK = HERE.parent
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+ sys.path.insert(0, str(HERE / "tools"))
39
+ sys.path.insert(0, str(TASK / "tools"))
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+ import prepare_draw_inputs as PDI # noqa: E402
41
+ import prepare_dataset as PD # noqa: E402
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+
43
+ PRETRAIN_S_PER_CELL = 0.0488 # 232 representative pretrains (stage 1 + 2), 25 few-pair draws, both hosts
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+ TARGET_S0, TARGET_S_PER_CELL = 8.0, 0.0188 # 1,830 targets: s = 8.0 + 0.0188 x cells of the assigned representative
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+ PREP_S_PER_CELL = 0.0015 # CPU prepare (scprocess + cell graph) incl. lean hvset, few-pair prepared.json
46
+ CKPT_MB, SEMI_MB, REPSC_KB, GS_KB = 17.7, 21.3, 3.3, 23.4
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+ N_SETS = 2922
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+
49
+
50
+ def sample_sc_bytes(n: int, g: int) -> float:
51
+ return 0.78 * (8.0 * n * n + 12.0 * n * g)
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+
53
+
54
+ def parse(queue: Path):
55
+ for raw in queue.read_text().splitlines():
56
+ line = raw.strip()
57
+ if not line or line.startswith("#"):
58
+ continue
59
+ f = line.split("|")
60
+ if f[0] == "offload": # offload|DATASET|cv: file moves only, nothing to dry-run
61
+ continue
62
+ mode, ds, j = f[0], f[1], int(f[2])
63
+ opts = [x for x in (f[3].split(",") if len(f) > 3 else []) if x]
64
+ n = int(f[4]) if mode == "budget" else None
65
+ yield {"line": line, "mode": mode, "ds": ds, "fold": j, "opts": opts, "n": n}
66
+
67
+
68
+ def assignment(ds: str, reps: list[str], targets: list[str], pidx: list[int], cache: dict) -> dict:
69
+ """Upstream initsetup PCA + update_membership on this split's bulk rows (replica of the wrapper's prepare)."""
70
+ import anndata
71
+ import scanpy as sc
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+ if ds not in cache:
73
+ cache.clear()
74
+ d = PD.load(TASK / "data" / ds)
75
+ z = np.load(TASK / "data" / ds / "cells_panel6k.npz", allow_pickle=False)
76
+ panel = z["panel_gene_ids"].astype(str)
77
+ gpos = {g: i for i, g in enumerate(d["gene_ids"])}
78
+ cache[ds] = (d, np.asarray([gpos[g] for g in panel], dtype=np.int64))
79
+ d, pcanon = cache[ds]
80
+ pos = {s: i for i, s in enumerate(d["sample_ids"])}
81
+ rows = np.sort(np.asarray([pos[s] for s in reps + targets], dtype=np.int64))
82
+ B = d["bulk"][rows][:, pcanon[np.asarray(pidx, dtype=np.int64)]].astype(np.float64)
83
+ a = anndata.AnnData(B)
84
+ sc.pp.normalize_total(a, target_sum=1e4)
85
+ sc.pp.log1p(a)
86
+ n_comps = 100 if a.X.shape[0] > 100 else a.X.shape[0] - 1
87
+ sc.tl.pca(a, n_comps=n_comps)
88
+ pca = np.asarray(a.obsm["X_pca"], dtype=np.float64)
89
+ sids = d["sample_ids"][rows].tolist()
90
+ ridx = [sids.index(r) for r in reps]
91
+ out = {}
92
+ for t in targets:
93
+ i = sids.index(t)
94
+ dist = [float(((pca[j] - pca[i]) ** 2).sum() ** 0.5) for j in ridx]
95
+ out[t] = reps[int(np.argmin(dist))]
96
+ return out
97
+
98
+
99
+ def main(argv=None) -> int:
100
+ ap = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__, formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter)
101
+ ap.add_argument("queues", nargs="+", type=Path)
102
+ ap.add_argument("--out", type=Path, required=True)
103
+ ap.add_argument("--runs-extra", type=Path, default=None)
104
+ a = ap.parse_args(argv)
105
+ units, seen_cv, cache, fails = [], {}, {}, []
106
+ tmpd = Path(tempfile.mkdtemp(prefix="check_units_"))
107
+ for q in a.queues:
108
+ for u in parse(q):
109
+ t0 = time.monotonic()
110
+ ds, k, mode, n = u["ds"], u["fold"], u["mode"], u["n"]
111
+ u["queue"] = str(q)
112
+ if mode == "cv":
113
+ work = HERE / "work" / ds / "cv" / f"fold{k}"
114
+ out = TASK / "generated" / ds / f"fold{k}" / "scsemi__raw.npz"
115
+ args = ["--dataset", ds, "--mode", "cv", "--fold", str(k)]
116
+ elif mode == "budget":
117
+ work = HERE / "work" / ds / "budget" / f"fold{k}" / f"n{n}"
118
+ out = TASK / "generated" / ds / f"fold{k}" / f"scsemi_n{n}__raw.npz"
119
+ args = ["--dataset", ds, "--mode", "budget", "--fold", str(k), "--n", str(n)]
120
+ else:
121
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: mode {mode} not checked here")
122
+ continue
123
+ summ_p = tmpd / f"{ds}_{mode}{k}_{n}.json"
124
+ try:
125
+ PDI.main(args + ["--work", str(work), "--check-only", "--check-out", str(summ_p)])
126
+ except SystemExit as e:
127
+ if e.code not in (0, None):
128
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: builder refused: {e.code}")
129
+ u["builder_ok"] = False
130
+ units.append(u)
131
+ continue
132
+ s = json.loads(summ_p.read_text())
133
+ u.update({"builder_ok": True, "work": str(work), "out": str(out), "n_reps": len(s["reps"]),
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+ "n_targets": len(s["targets"]), "n_rep_cells": s["n_rep_cells"], "modeled_genes": s["modeled_genes"],
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+ "equals_scorer_genes": s["equals_scorer_genes"], "depth": s["depth"],
136
+ "work_state": ("prepared" if (work / "prepared.json").exists() else
137
+ "inputs" if (work / "inputs/inputs_manifest.json").exists() else
138
+ "exists" if work.exists() else "absent"),
139
+ "output_exists": out.exists(), "output_validated": (out.with_suffix(".validation.json")).exists()})
140
+ if not s["equals_scorer_genes"]:
141
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: modeled genes differ from the scorer's scoring genes")
142
+ # LoRA donor lists
143
+ if mode == "cv":
144
+ rj = TASK / "runs" / ds / f"fold{k}" / "real_lora" / "RUN.json"
145
+ if not rj.exists() and a.runs_extra is not None:
146
+ rj = a.runs_extra / ds / f"fold{k}" / "real_lora" / "RUN.json"
147
+ if rj.exists():
148
+ run = json.loads(rj.read_text())
149
+ fit = sorted(list(run["train_rows"]) + list(run["inner_val_rows"]))
150
+ u["lora_run"] = str(rj)
151
+ u["reps_equal_lora_all_fit_rows"] = sorted(s["reps"]) == fit
152
+ u["targets_equal_lora_test_rows"] = sorted(s["targets"]) == sorted(run["test_rows_never_loaded_for_training"])
153
+ u["lora_rows"] = {"train": len(run["train_rows"]), "inner_val": len(run["inner_val_rows"])}
154
+ if not (u["reps_equal_lora_all_fit_rows"] and u["targets_equal_lora_test_rows"]):
155
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: representatives / targets differ from {rj}")
156
+ else:
157
+ u["lora_run"] = None
158
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: no real_lora RUN.json to check against")
159
+ seen_cv[(ds, k)] = s
160
+ else:
161
+ u["budget"] = {key: s["budget"][key] for key in ("lora_run", "n_train_rows", "n_inner_val_rows")}
162
+ u["reps_equal_lora_fit_rows"] = True # the builder refuses otherwise (and checks CAL_BUDGET.json)
163
+ cvs = seen_cv.get((ds, k))
164
+ if "reuse_cv" in u["opts"]:
165
+ if cvs is None:
166
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: reuse_cv but the cv line of {ds} fold {k} is not earlier in the queue")
167
+ else:
168
+ u["reps_subset_of_cv_reps"] = set(s["reps"]) <= set(cvs["reps"])
169
+ u["targets_disjoint_from_cv_reps"] = not (set(s["targets"]) & set(cvs["reps"]))
170
+ if not (u["reps_subset_of_cv_reps"] and u["targets_disjoint_from_cv_reps"]):
171
+ fails.append(f"{u['line']}: representatives not within / targets inside the cv representatives")
172
+ # assignment, cost, disk
173
+ asg = assignment(ds, s["reps"], s["targets"], s.get("modeled_panel_index") or [], cache) \
174
+ if s.get("modeled_panel_index") else None
175
+ cells = s["rep_cells"]
176
+ G = s["modeled_genes"]
177
+ reuse = "reuse_cv" in u["opts"]
178
+ pre_s = 0.0 if reuse else PRETRAIN_S_PER_CELL * s["n_rep_cells"]
179
+ if asg is not None:
180
+ inf_s = sum(TARGET_S0 + TARGET_S_PER_CELL * cells[asg[t]] for t in s["targets"])
181
+ u["targets_per_rep_max"] = max(list(asg.values()).count(r) for r in set(asg.values()))
182
+ else:
183
+ inf_s = len(s["targets"]) * (TARGET_S0 + TARGET_S_PER_CELL * np.mean(list(cells.values())))
184
+ u["gpu_hours"] = {"pretrain": round(pre_s / 3600, 2), "infer": round(inf_s / 3600, 2),
185
+ "total": round((pre_s + inf_s) / 3600, 2)}
186
+ u["cpu_prepare_hours"] = round(PREP_S_PER_CELL * s["n_rep_cells"] / 3600, 2)
187
+ u["disk_gb"] = {"transient_sample_sc": round(sum(sample_sc_bytes(c, G) for c in cells.values()) / 1e9, 1),
188
+ "transient_geneset_scores": round(GS_KB * 1e3 * s["n_rep_cells"] / 1e9, 1),
189
+ "persistent_inputs": round(REPSC_KB * 1e3 * s["n_rep_cells"] / 1e9, 1),
190
+ "persistent_pretrain_ckpts": 0.0 if reuse else round(2 * CKPT_MB * len(cells) / 1e3, 1),
191
+ "persistent_target_models": round(SEMI_MB * len(s["targets"]) / 1e3, 1)}
192
+ u["largest_rep_cells"] = max(cells.values())
193
+ u["check_seconds"] = round(time.monotonic() - t0, 1)
194
+ units.append(u)
195
+ print(json.dumps({k_: u.get(k_) for k_ in ("line", "n_reps", "n_targets", "n_rep_cells", "gpu_hours",
196
+ "reps_equal_lora_all_fit_rows", "reps_subset_of_cv_reps")}),
197
+ flush=True)
198
+ tot = {"units": len(units), "gpu_hours": round(sum(u.get("gpu_hours", {}).get("total", 0) for u in units), 1),
199
+ "pretrain_hours": round(sum(u.get("gpu_hours", {}).get("pretrain", 0) for u in units), 1),
200
+ "infer_hours": round(sum(u.get("gpu_hours", {}).get("infer", 0) for u in units), 1),
201
+ "cpu_prepare_hours": round(sum(u.get("cpu_prepare_hours", 0) for u in units), 1)}
202
+ res = {"written_utc": datetime.now(timezone.utc).isoformat(), "host": os.uname().nodename,
203
+ "queues": [str(q) for q in a.queues], "all_ok": not fails, "failures": fails, "totals": tot,
204
+ "cost_model": {"pretrain_s_per_cell": PRETRAIN_S_PER_CELL, "target_s": [TARGET_S0, TARGET_S_PER_CELL],
205
+ "prep_s_per_cell": PREP_S_PER_CELL, "ckpt_mb": CKPT_MB, "semi_mb": SEMI_MB,
206
+ "rep_sc_kb_per_cell": REPSC_KB, "geneset_scores_kb_per_cell": GS_KB},
207
+ "units": units}
208
+ a.out.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
209
+ a.out.write_text(json.dumps(res, indent=1) + "\n")
210
+ print(json.dumps({"out": str(a.out), "all_ok": not fails, "failures": fails[:10], **tot}))
211
+ return 0 if not fails else 1
212
+
213
+
214
+ if __name__ == "__main__":
215
+ sys.exit(main())
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261002T002920Z-deck-extra-metrics-scsemi-prep/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/sec07_rank_sweep_slide_text.json ADDED
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1
+ {
2
+ "section": "07-rank",
3
+ "slides": [
4
+ {
5
+ "title": "LoRA rank: r = 4, 16, 64",
6
+ "layout": "full",
7
+ "figures": [
8
+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/figures/sec07_rank_sweep.png"
9
+ ],
10
+ "keywords": [
11
+ "ImMicro r64, all pairs: coverage 0.78 → 0.82",
12
+ "ImMicro r4, all pairs: L1 0.162 → 0.186",
13
+ "Kept r16; r64 precision 0.92 → 0.90"
14
+ ],
15
+ "footnote": "LoRA fine-tune of the final model (f01 6k·1x·E16) with rank r and alpha = r, same recipe as the deck's r = 16 runs (early stop on 7–8 inner-val pairs, 20k step cap); n = training pairs, nested subsets; donor-level 5-fold CV, each pair scored once by its fold model (pooled call). Trainable parameters r4 324,056, r16 1,296,224, r64 5,184,896. ImMicro n = 5: r4: L1 0.162, P/C 0.937 / 0.789 (L1 vs r16 -0.009, Wilcoxon p 0.00088, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.171, P/C 0.946 / 0.839; r64: L1 0.177, P/C 0.946 / 0.847 (L1 vs r16 +0.005, Wilcoxon p 0.0076, 107 donors) | ImMicro n = 20: r4: L1 0.171, P/C 0.925 / 0.715 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.32, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.172, P/C 0.920 / 0.755; r64: L1 0.172, P/C 0.905 / 0.794 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 107 donors) | ImMicro n = all: r4: L1 0.186, P/C 0.933 / 0.712 (L1 vs r16 +0.024, Wilcoxon p 9.8e-09, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.162, P/C 0.924 / 0.784; r64: L1 0.161, P/C 0.904 / 0.816 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.89, 107 donors) | Sepsis n = 5: r4: L1 0.426, P/C 0.907 / 0.742, logFC r 0.27, DEG 2 (L1 vs r16 -0.002, Wilcoxon p 0.97, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.428, P/C 0.911 / 0.767, logFC r 0.29, DEG 5; r64: L1 0.429, P/C 0.906 / 0.766, logFC r 0.31, DEG 1 (L1 vs r16 +0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 82 donors) | Sepsis n = 20: r4: L1 0.378, P/C 0.929 / 0.769, logFC r 0.31, DEG 14 (L1 vs r16 -0.003, Wilcoxon p 0.58, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.380, P/C 0.927 / 0.807, logFC r 0.37, DEG 18; r64: L1 0.376, P/C 0.911 / 0.808, logFC r 0.43, DEG 18 (L1 vs r16 -0.004, Wilcoxon p 0.046, 82 donors) | Sepsis n = all: r4: L1 0.363, P/C 0.923 / 0.789, logFC r 0.48, DEG 18 (L1 vs r16 +0.002, Wilcoxon p 0.77, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.362, P/C 0.926 / 0.829, logFC r 0.53, DEG 23; r64: L1 0.367, P/C 0.907 / 0.824, logFC r 0.55, DEG 26 (L1 vs r16 +0.005, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 82 donors). r64 vs r16 brings small gains in coverage and disease signal but slightly lower precision and no composition change; r4 is worse with many pairs; at n = 5 the ranks are mixed. r = 16 is kept. Scores: scores/<cohort>/lora_rank_20261001/pooled (r4, r64) and scores/<cohort>/pooled{,_deg} (r16); table: scores/<cohort>/rankcal_20261001.md.",
16
+ "footnote_short": "Sepsis, all pairs: r64 logFC r 0.53 → 0.55, DEG 23 → 26; r4 0.48, DEG 18. Pooled 5-fold scores.",
17
+ "numbers": [
18
+ {
19
+ "value": "ImMicro all pairs coverage r16 0.784 -> r64 0.816; precision 0.924 -> 0.904; L1 r16 0.162, r4 0.186 (Wilcoxon p 9.8e-09)",
20
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/immicro/pooled/summary.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/immicro/lora_rank_20261001/pooled/summary.json, per_donor.csv"
21
+ },
22
+ {
23
+ "value": "Sepsis all pairs logFC r r16 0.527, r64 0.553, r4 0.476; DEG 23 / 26 / 18",
24
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json, contrast.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/lora_rank_20261001/pooled/summary.json, contrast.csv"
25
+ },
26
+ {
27
+ "value": "trainable parameters: r4 324056, r16 1296224, r64 5184896",
28
+ "source": "runs/<cohort>/fold<k>/<arm>/RUN.json (trainable.n_trainable)"
29
+ }
30
+ ]
31
+ }
32
+ ],
33
+ "scripts": [
34
+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/tools/sec07_rank_sweep.py"
35
+ ],
36
+ "generated_from": "tools/sec07_rank_sweep.py (rerun to refresh; do not edit by hand)"
37
+ }
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261002T002920Z-deck-extra-metrics-scsemi-prep/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/sec09_extra_slide_text.json ADDED
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1
+ {
2
+ "section": "09-extra",
3
+ "slides": [
4
+ {
5
+ "title": "5 donors: realism beyond precision/coverage",
6
+ "layout": "full",
7
+ "figures": [
8
+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/figures/sec09_extra_fewpair.png"
9
+ ],
10
+ "keywords": [
11
+ "Classifier AUC: LoRA-5 best in 25/25 draws",
12
+ "E_N: LoRA-5 below scSemi-5 in 25/25 draws",
13
+ "Still separable: LoRA-5 AUC 0.89–0.95"
14
+ ],
15
+ "footnote": "Same 5-donor draws as the previous slides; every metric on exactly the scored cells (scores_extra/, tools/extra_metrics.py). Real side for AUC and MMD² = held-out real cells of the same samples (R2), projected like the generated cells; real vs real = R2 vs R3 (AUC 0.49–0.50). Classifier AUC: 5-fold CV ROC AUC of a kNN classifier (k = 5) separating real from generated cells, 0.5 = indistinguishable; bars start at 0.5. MMD²: unbiased, Gaussian kernel, bandwidth = median distance among real cells. E_N: scSemiProfiler's normalized error (Wang et al. 2024, eq. 17–18), their code's squared L2 on all cells, per-arm PCA-100; real vs real = within-sample half split (0.07–0.38); every generated arm is above 1. LoRA-5 best of the 4 arms in 25/25 draws on kNN AUC, 25/25 on RF AUC, 25/25 on 1-NN accuracy, 23/25 on MMD², 22/25 on E_N. LoRA-5 better than scSemi-5, zero-shot and zero-shot + calibration on both AUCs, 1-NN accuracy and coverage at k = 3, 5, 10 in every draw. E_N scSemi-5 vs LoRA-5 (cohort means): ImMicro 3.65 vs 1.55; Sepsis 3.83 vs 1.46; Imperial 2.04 vs 1.28; Giroux 3.79 vs 1.99; Ji 4.27 vs 2.60; LoRA-5 lower in 25/25 draws. Draws where LoRA-5 is worse (cohort means in brackets): vs zero-shot + calibration: Sepsis precision k5 1/5 (0.778 vs 0.752), precision k10 2/5 (0.906 vs 0.899); Imperial MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0156 vs 0.0218), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0443 vs 0.0673), E_N (all cells) 3/5 (1.28 vs 1.22), precision k3 2/5 (0.610 vs 0.598), precision k5 2/5 (0.726 vs 0.719), precision k10 2/5 (0.853 vs 0.845); Giroux MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0178 vs 0.0257), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0584 vs 0.0838), precision k5 1/5 (0.995 vs 0.981), precision k10 1/5 (1.000 vs 0.996). LoRA-5 AUC per draw 0.88–0.97 (kNN), RF cohort means 0.90–0.96: a classifier still tells generated from real cells. Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/.",
16
+ "footnote_short": "E_N: scSemiProfiler's own error metric. Misses only vs calibration, e.g. Imperial E_N 1.28 vs 1.22.",
17
+ "numbers": [
18
+ {
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+ "value": "LoRA-5 best of 4 arms (draws): kNN AUC 25/25, RF AUC 25/25, 1-NN 25/25, MMD² 23/25, E_N 22/25",
20
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
21
+ },
22
+ {
23
+ "value": "E_N LoRA-5 < scSemi-5 in 25/25 draws; cohort means scSemi-5 vs LoRA-5: ImMicro 3.65 vs 1.55; Sepsis 3.83 vs 1.46; Imperial 2.04 vs 1.28; Giroux 3.79 vs 1.99; Ji 4.27 vs 2.60",
24
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/en.csv (cellset all, distance sq)"
25
+ },
26
+ {
27
+ "value": "LoRA-5 kNN AUC cohort means: ImMicro 0.943, Sepsis 0.936, Imperial 0.918, Giroux 0.893, Ji 0.955; per draw 0.878–0.975",
28
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
29
+ },
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+ {
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+ "value": "real vs real: kNN AUC ImMicro 0.502, Sepsis 0.501, Imperial 0.498, Giroux 0.495, Ji 0.491; E_N ImMicro 0.382, Sepsis 0.100, Imperial 0.260, Giroux 0.145, Ji 0.073",
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+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
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+ },
34
+ {
35
+ "value": "LoRA-5 worse than a comparator (draws): vs zero-shot + calibration: Sepsis precision k5 1/5 (0.778 vs 0.752), precision k10 2/5 (0.906 vs 0.899); Imperial MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0156 vs 0.0218), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0443 vs 0.0673), E_N (all cells) 3/5 (1.28 vs 1.22), precision k3 2/5 (0.610 vs 0.598), precision k5 2/5 (0.726 vs 0.719), precision k10 2/5 (0.853 vs 0.845); Giroux MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0178 vs 0.0257), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0584 vs 0.0838), precision k5 1/5 (0.995 vs 0.981), precision k10 1/5 (1.000 vs 0.996)",
36
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
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+ },
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+ {
39
+ "value": "cross-check: 720 cohort × arm × metric values equal scores_extra/{fewshot,pooled}_headline.csv",
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+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/fewshot_headline.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/pooled_headline.csv"
41
+ }
42
+ ]
43
+ },
44
+ {
45
+ "title": "5-fold: realism beyond precision/coverage",
46
+ "layout": "full",
47
+ "figures": [
48
+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/figures/sec09_extra_fivefold.png"
49
+ ],
50
+ "keywords": [
51
+ "Every metric: LoRA first in 5/5 cohorts",
52
+ "Ji whole blood: E_N 1.9 vs 7.1–10.1",
53
+ "Still separable: LoRA AUC 0.87–0.94"
54
+ ],
55
+ "footnote": "Donor-level 5-fold CV; each pair scored once by the fold model that never trained on its donor (one pooled call per cohort, all cross-fitted pairs). Arms as on the 5-fold slide. Metric definitions as on the 5-donor realism slide. LoRA first among the 4 arms in all 5 cohorts on 12/12 headline metrics (kNN and RF AUC, 1-NN accuracy, MMD² at σ = m and summed, E_N all cells, precision and coverage at k = 3, 5, 10). LoRA kNN AUC ImMicro 0.941, Sepsis 0.886, Imperial 0.866, Giroux 0.881, Ji 0.908; real vs real ImMicro 0.505, Sepsis 0.506, Imperial 0.496, Giroux 0.501, Ji 0.494. E_N LoRA vs other arms: ImMicro 1.56 vs 1.77–4.83; Sepsis 1.20 vs 1.40–5.29; Imperial 1.13 vs 1.19–4.05; Giroux 1.70 vs 2.24–4.48; Ji 1.95 vs 7.08–10.13. scSemiProfiler 5-fold CV not available yet (no extra-metric unit with set scsemi__raw). Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/.",
56
+ "footnote_short": "Donor-level 5-fold CV, one pooled call per cohort. E_N: scSemiProfiler's own error metric.",
57
+ "numbers": [
58
+ {
59
+ "value": "LoRA first among 4 arms in all 5 cohorts on 12/12 metrics",
60
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
61
+ },
62
+ {
63
+ "value": "Ji E_N: LoRA 1.948; Zero-shot, real bulk 10.125, Zero-shot + calibration 7.076, sc-only fine-tune (+ calibration) 7.215",
64
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
65
+ },
66
+ {
67
+ "value": "LoRA kNN AUC (pooled): ImMicro 0.941, Sepsis 0.886, Imperial 0.866, Giroux 0.881, Ji 0.908",
68
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
69
+ },
70
+ {
71
+ "value": "scSemiProfiler, all training pairs: not available",
72
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/sec09_extra_scsemi_status.csv"
73
+ }
74
+ ]
75
+ },
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+ {
77
+ "title": "5 donors: precision/coverage at k = 3, 5, 10",
78
+ "layout": "full",
79
+ "figures": [
80
+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/figures/sec09_extra_ksens.png"
81
+ ],
82
+ "keywords": [
83
+ "Smaller k lowers every set, real included",
84
+ "Coverage: LoRA-5 first at all k, 25/25",
85
+ "Precision: LoRA-5 first in 20–23/25 draws"
86
+ ],
87
+ "footnote": "Precision and coverage recomputed with k = 3, 5, 10 nearest-neighbour balls in the scorer's PCA-50 (k = 10 reproduces the main-slide values exactly). Means over the 5 draws per cohort; error bars = SD; grey = real vs real (R1 vs R2, same samples). Both metrics fall with smaller k for every set including the real control (real coverage at k = 3: 0.92–0.99), so compare arms with the real row, not with 1. Expected coverage of a perfect generator (Naeem et al. 2020, eq. 9) at k = 3/5/10: 0.88/0.97/1.00 in every cohort. LoRA-5 first on coverage at every k in 25/25 draws; on precision in 23/21/20 of 25 draws (k = 3/5/10); not first: Sepsis 0/1/2, Imperial 2/2/2, Giroux 0/1/1 draws at k = 3/5/10, beaten by zero-shot + calibration. 5-fold pooled design (not drawn): coverage ranking of the 4 arms across k unchanged; LoRA first at every k in 5/5 cohorts. Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/metrics.csv.",
88
+ "footnote_short": "5 donors, 5 draws per cohort; error bars = SD over draws. k = 10 is the value on the main slides.",
89
+ "numbers": [
90
+ {
91
+ "value": "LoRA-5 first on coverage at k = 3, 5 and 10: 25/25 draws",
92
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
93
+ },
94
+ {
95
+ "value": "LoRA-5 first on precision (draws) at k = 3/5/10: 23/21/20 of 25",
96
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
97
+ },
98
+ {
99
+ "value": "real vs real coverage at k = 3: ImMicro 0.932, Sepsis 0.925, Imperial 0.919, Giroux 0.993, Ji 0.980",
100
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
101
+ },
102
+ {
103
+ "value": "every set falls with smaller k (cohort means): True",
104
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
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+ }
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+ ]
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+ }
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+ ],
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+ "scripts": [
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+ "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/tools/sec09_extra_metrics.py"
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+ ],
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+ "generated_from": "tools/sec09_extra_metrics.py (rerun to refresh; do not edit by hand)",
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+ "scsemi_cv_cohorts": []
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+ }
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261002T002920Z-deck-extra-metrics-scsemi-prep/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/slides_spec.json ADDED
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+ {
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+ "deck": {
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+ "output_pptx": "PBISC-Diffusion_paper_summary_20260930.pptx",
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+ "paths": "figure paths are relative to the deck folder",
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+ "note": "footnote = on-slide text (max 2 lines, may be a shortened copy); footnote_full = section author's full text, put in speaker notes when it differs. Generated slide text: section 9 main slides from data/sec09_slide_text.json (sec09_index), other generated slides from the file named in text_source (data/sec09_extra_slide_text.json, data/sec07_rank_sweep_slide_text.json); refresh with tools/sync_sec09_text.py after rerunning the scripts that write them."
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+ },
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+ "slides": [
8
+ {
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+ "kind": "title",
10
+ "title": "PBISC-Diffusion: bulk-to-single-cell generation",
11
+ "subtitle": "Paper summary · 2026-09-30"
12
+ },
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+ {
14
+ "kind": "agenda",
15
+ "title": "Outline",
16
+ "items": [
17
+ "Model overview: diffusion from bulk to cells",
18
+ "Backbone: SDD, scDiffusion, bulk conditioning",
19
+ "Architecture ablation: width, context, gene panel",
20
+ "SLE benchmark vs scSemiProfiler",
21
+ "Real bulk ≠ pseudobulk: why zero-shot fails",
22
+ "Fine-tuning on paired bulk–sc data",
23
+ "LoRA: compute and ablations (K diversification)",
24
+ "How many bulk–sc pairs are needed",
25
+ "Paired-cohort validation vs scSemiProfiler",
26
+ "Next: cohorts with a paired subset (planned)"
27
+ ]
28
+ },
29
+ {
30
+ "kind": "content",
31
+ "section": "1",
32
+ "section_label": "1 Model overview",
33
+ "title": "PBISC-Diffusion: bulk in, cells out",
34
+ "layout": "full",
35
+ "figures": [
36
+ "figures/sec01_slide_a.png"
37
+ ],
38
+ "keywords": [
39
+ "Train pair: K-cell pseudobulk → each member cell"
40
+ ],
41
+ "footnote": "Fig. 1b redraw. Final model corpus: 33.1M train cells; K = 1–4,000 cells per pseudobulk.",
42
+ "footnote_full": "Top: deck redraw of manuscript Fig. 1b (larger labels; cells differ by x_T and the Bernoulli support draw, Methods 'Support read-out'). Bottom: corpus of final run f01_6k_1x_seed20260627 (index fingerprint matches). Cells per dataset = base + overlay rows (Model 7 e2_full_source/e2_full_index manifests); 33.1M cells in the donor-level 80/10/10 train split. Registered K grid = 8,192 recipes/epoch. Plus 3,658 top-up recipes over 16 epochs (196-283 per epoch, K 1-4,000), so every train cell is a target once (ALLCELL_DATA_CONTRACT.json coverage_after_topup).",
43
+ "sources": "tools/sec01_overview.py; data/sec01_model_numbers.csv, data/sec01_corpus_datasets.csv, data/sec01_recipe_k.csv"
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+ },
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+ {
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+ "kind": "content",
47
+ "section": "1",
48
+ "section_label": "1 Model overview",
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+ "title": "Denoiser: joint value + support diffusion",
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+ "layout": "diagram",
51
+ "figures": [
52
+ "figures/sec01_fig1a_denoiser.png"
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+ ],
54
+ "keywords": [
55
+ "6,000 genes · 54.2M params · Bernoulli support draw"
56
+ ],
57
+ "footnote": "Fig. 1a redraw. Final model f01 6k 1x, epoch 16, EMA; 50 DDIM steps.",
58
+ "footnote_full": "Deck redraw of manuscript Fig. 1a (larger labels, legend dropped). Purple dashed = soft self-conditioning feedback; gold dashed = context to all blocks. Final model f01_6k_1x_seed20260627, checkpoint_epoch_016, EMA; 7 blocks 1024-1024-512-256-512-1024-1024 (effective_config.json, RUN_STATUS.json). Sampling: 50 DDIM steps, η = 0, drawn support read-out, keep gene if u < σ(logit) (methods.tex l.58, l.99). 16 epochs = 16 disjoint 8,192-recipe slots = one pass over the 131,072-recipe pool (manuscript: part 16).",
59
+ "sources": "tools/sec01_overview.py; data/sec01_model_numbers.csv, data/sec01_fig1_label_pt.csv"
60
+ },
61
+ {
62
+ "kind": "content",
63
+ "section": "2",
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+ "section_label": "2 Backbone",
65
+ "title": "Backbone: SDD → PBISC-Diffusion",
66
+ "layout": "diagram",
67
+ "figures": [
68
+ "figures/sec02_backbone_compare.png"
69
+ ],
70
+ "keywords": [
71
+ "Kept from SDD: value + bit, skip-MLP",
72
+ "Changed: bulk condition, masked loss, Bernoulli read-out"
73
+ ],
74
+ "footnote": "SDD: Ostheimer et al., arXiv 2502.02448. scDiffusion: Luo et al., Bioinformatics 2024.",
75
+ "sources": "tools/sec02_backbone.py; data/sec02_backbone_compare.csv, data/sec02_slide_text.csv, data/refs/",
76
+ "footnote_full": "Luo et al., Bioinformatics 2024; Ostheimer et al., arXiv 2502.02448 (code 1d5423c). PBISC: final model f01 6k 1x, part 16. σ = sigmoid; Bernoulli is the final read-out; the logit > 0 cut is also reported."
77
+ },
78
+ {
79
+ "kind": "content",
80
+ "section": "2",
81
+ "section_label": "2 Backbone",
82
+ "title": "Bulk conditioning",
83
+ "layout": "diagram",
84
+ "figures": [
85
+ "figures/sec02_bulk_conditioning.png"
86
+ ],
87
+ "keywords": [
88
+ "Same bulk condition for every generated cell",
89
+ "Final: no cell types, proportions, sum constraint",
90
+ "18,006 → 512 context into every block"
91
+ ],
92
+ "footnote": "Final model f01 6k 1x. Bar heights schematic.",
93
+ "sources": "tools/sec02_backbone.py; data/sec02_bulk_conditioning.csv, data/sec02_slide_text.csv",
94
+ "footnote_full": "Final model f01 6k 1x, part 16. Bar heights schematic."
95
+ },
96
+ {
97
+ "kind": "content",
98
+ "section": "3",
99
+ "section_label": "3 Architecture ablation",
100
+ "title": "Width & context ablation: loss saturation",
101
+ "layout": "full",
102
+ "figures": [
103
+ "figures/sec03_width_loss.png"
104
+ ],
105
+ "keywords": [
106
+ "Trunk x4: val loss −31% (0.197 → 0.136)",
107
+ "ctx x4, prop hint: loss = 1x",
108
+ "1x flat E8; trunk x4 still falling"
109
+ ],
110
+ "footnote": "Old 6k panel (1% floor); one validation set. 16x: memory-floor stop after part 2.",
111
+ "say": "All arms share the 6k panel (1% floor), corpus, seed and schedule; validation = 192 recipes x 64 cells. ctx x4, both x4 and 16x were read from server_2 snapshots.",
112
+ "sources": "tools/sec03_width_loss.py; data/sec03_width_loss.csv, data/sec03_width_saturation.csv, data/sec03_width_loss_headline.csv"
113
+ },
114
+ {
115
+ "kind": "content",
116
+ "section": "3",
117
+ "section_label": "3 Architecture ablation",
118
+ "title": "Width & context ablation: benchmark",
119
+ "layout": "full",
120
+ "figures": [
121
+ "figures/sec03_width_bench.png"
122
+ ],
123
+ "keywords": [
124
+ "trunk x4: loss −31%, no DEG gain",
125
+ "Prop hint: oracle = predicted, L1 worse",
126
+ "1x kept: ties ctx x4, 54M vs 102M"
127
+ ],
128
+ "footnote": "SLE, 42 donors, 2,980 genes; old 6k panel. ctx x4: better L1 (0.161 vs 0.197).",
129
+ "say": "Bars = mean of parts 14-16 with the cut p > 0.5; diamonds = Bernoulli read-out (4 width arms only). Prop hint = 9 L1 cell-type proportions; older panel, not the final model.",
130
+ "sources": "tools/sec03_width_bench.py; data/sec03_width_bench.csv, data/sec03_width_bench_summary.csv, data/sec03_width_bench_headline.csv"
131
+ },
132
+ {
133
+ "kind": "content",
134
+ "section": "3",
135
+ "section_label": "3 Architecture ablation",
136
+ "title": "Gene context: 2k / 3k / 6k / 15k",
137
+ "layout": "full",
138
+ "figures": [
139
+ "figures/sec03_panel.png"
140
+ ],
141
+ "keywords": [
142
+ "6k ≈ 3k: 3k r, DEG inside 6k seed range",
143
+ "2k best L1; 15k worst r, L1",
144
+ "6k kept: first panel with CLEC9A (cDC1)"
145
+ ],
146
+ "footnote": "SLE, 42 donors, 1,006 genes in every panel. 6k: 5 seeds; base seed best of 5 on r and DEG.",
147
+ "say": "Runs f01_{2k,3k,6k,p15k}_1x, part 16, Bernoulli, EMA, DDIM 50. Different gene axis from the previous slide, so the two slides cannot be compared. Loss curves are divided by each panel's own part-16 value.",
148
+ "sources": "tools/sec03_panel.py; data/sec03_panel_bench.csv, data/sec03_panel_seeds.csv, data/sec03_panel_loss.csv, data/sec03_panel_headline.csv"
149
+ },
150
+ {
151
+ "kind": "content",
152
+ "section": "4",
153
+ "section_label": "4 SLE benchmark",
154
+ "title": "SLE benchmark: PBISC vs scSemiProfiler",
155
+ "layout": "full",
156
+ "figures": [
157
+ "figures/sec04_sle_benchmark.png"
158
+ ],
159
+ "keywords": [
160
+ "42 held-out donors, sc-pseudobulk input",
161
+ "Beats scSemiProfiler on all three metrics",
162
+ "Copying bulk logFC scores higher (backup)"
163
+ ],
164
+ "footnote": "GSE135779, 42 held-out donors (30 SLE / 12 HC). PBISC: 5 seeds, mean ± SD; scSemiProfiler: 1 run.",
165
+ "sources": "tools/sec04_sle_benchmark.py; data/sec04_sle_benchmark.csv, data/sec04_sle_numbers.csv",
166
+ "footnote_full": "GSE135779, 42 held-out donors (30 SLE / 12 HC). PBISC f01 6k E16, 5 seeds (mean ± SD); baselines 1 draw. scSemiProfiler also gets real sc of 14 in-cohort donors (1,500 cells each). Dashed: input bulk logFC copied to every type (backup)."
167
+ },
168
+ {
169
+ "kind": "content",
170
+ "section": "4",
171
+ "section_label": "4 SLE benchmark",
172
+ "title": "SLE benchmark: per cell type",
173
+ "layout": "full",
174
+ "figures": [
175
+ "figures/sec04_sle_per_celltype.png"
176
+ ],
177
+ "keywords": [
178
+ "Beats scSemiProfiler in T, B, Mono, NK",
179
+ "Loses in Other; DC r ties, fewer DEGs",
180
+ "DC: ~15 generated cells per donor"
181
+ ],
182
+ "footnote": "Same 42 donors, 1,006 genes. PBISC: 5 seeds, mean ± SD; scSemiProfiler: 1 run. Other: top-50 of 12.",
183
+ "say": "PBISC's DC top list in the base seed has only 13 genes, because few DC cells are generated.",
184
+ "sources": "tools/sec04_sle_benchmark.py; data/sec04_sle_per_celltype.csv, data/sec04_sle_numbers.csv",
185
+ "footnote_full": "Same 42 donors, 1,006 genes. PBISC 5 seeds (mean ± SD), baselines 1 draw. Tick %: share of 251,179 real cells. Other top-50 is out of 12 truth genes. Bulk copy: r 0.68, top-50 113 (backup)."
186
+ },
187
+ {
188
+ "kind": "content",
189
+ "section": "5",
190
+ "section_label": "5 Real bulk vs pseudobulk",
191
+ "title": "Real bulk ≠ pseudobulk (model input)",
192
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
193
+ "figures": [
194
+ "figures/sec05_condition_space.png"
195
+ ],
196
+ "keywords": [
197
+ "Real bulk: 2.46 D from own pseudobulk",
198
+ "95% of squared offset is one shift",
199
+ "Shift removed (diagnostic): own donor 7.5% → 75.7%"
200
+ ],
201
+ "footnote": "ImMicro, 107 healthy donors. Model input space (log1p CPM). D = median donor-to-donor distance.",
202
+ "say": "The two pseudobulk clusters on PC1 are sc pools DB1-3 vs DB4-7, so the pairing lines cross mainly because of sc batch. Shift removal subtracts the mean offset of the other 106 donors; a bulk-only deployment would not have them.",
203
+ "sources": "tools/sec05_condition_space.py; data/sec05_condition_space_numbers.csv, data/sec05_condition_space_coords.csv",
204
+ "footnote_full": "ImMicro, 107 healthy donors. Model inputs (log1p CPM, 5,508 genes), not learned ctx. D = median donor-to-donor distance; PCA-30 values are lower bounds (full space 3.19 D, 0.91 shared). Shift removal is a diagnostic that uses paired pseudobulks. Pseudobulk PC1 is sc pool batch (pool R² 0.96 on PC1)."
205
+ },
206
+ {
207
+ "kind": "content",
208
+ "section": "5",
209
+ "section_label": "5 Real bulk vs pseudobulk",
210
+ "title": "Consequence: cells off-manifold",
211
+ "layout": "two_figures",
212
+ "figures": [
213
+ "figures/sec05_cells_umap.png",
214
+ "figures/sec05_cells_metrics.png"
215
+ ],
216
+ "keywords": [
217
+ "Monocytes: raw 30.6% vs real 16.7%",
218
+ "Same noise: 19% of T cells become monocytes",
219
+ "Precision: raw 0.36 vs pseudobulk 0.92"
220
+ ],
221
+ "footnote": "ImMicro, 107 donors; same starting noise for every input. Coverage: raw 0.08, sc pseudobulk 0.51.",
222
+ "footnote_full": "ImMicro, 107 donors. Final model f01 6k 1× E16 (DDIM 50, EMA); each cell starts from the same noise under every input. Precision/coverage from one scoring call. Composition L1: raw 0.455, pseudobulk 0.166, cohort-mean null 0.161. The UMAP is fitted on real cells and overstates overlap.",
223
+ "sources": "tools/sec05_cells_offmanifold.py; data/sec05_cells_metrics.csv, data/sec05_cells_umap_coords.csv"
224
+ },
225
+ {
226
+ "kind": "content",
227
+ "section": "5",
228
+ "section_label": "5 Real bulk vs pseudobulk",
229
+ "title": "Consequence: disease direction flips",
230
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
231
+ "figures": [
232
+ "figures/sec05_behcet_direction.png"
233
+ ],
234
+ "keywords": [
235
+ "CD16 gap: raw −3.97 vs observed +4.94",
236
+ "C1Q flip vanishes at common depth",
237
+ "sc pseudobulk: right sign in 5/5 seeds"
238
+ ],
239
+ "footnote": "Behçet. Bulk GSE198533 (9 BD / 10 HC); sc GSE198616 (4 / 4, different people) gives observed and pseudobulk.",
240
+ "say": "Raw bulk gives the wrong sign for CD16 and C1Q in 5/5 seeds. At one common monocyte depth the C1Q gap is −0.08 ± 0.09 pp (1/5 seeds positive), so the C1Q flip is a depth effect; the CD16 flip stays at −3.59. sc pseudobulk of the 8 sc donors gives the observed sign in 5/5 seeds (CD16 +5.48, C1Q +1.82). Observed p is descriptive (4 vs 4). No paired data in this cohort, so no fine-tune here.",
241
+ "sources": "tools/sec05_behcet_direction.py; data/sec05_behcet_direction.csv",
242
+ "footnote_full": "Behçet, final model. Bulk GSE198533 (BD 9, HC 10), 5,000 cells per sample; observed = sc GSE198616 (BD 4, HC 4, different people; descriptive p). At common depth, raw CD16 is −3.59 (seed 0) and raw C1Q is −0.08 ± 0.09 pp."
243
+ },
244
+ {
245
+ "kind": "content",
246
+ "section": "6",
247
+ "section_label": "6 Paired fine-tuning",
248
+ "title": "Fine-tuning with paired bulk + sc",
249
+ "layout": "diagram",
250
+ "figures": [
251
+ "figures/sec06_ft_method.png"
252
+ ],
253
+ "keywords": [
254
+ "LoRA 2–14 min vs pretraining 15.9 h"
255
+ ],
256
+ "footnote": "Base: final model f01 6k 1x E16. Times from 40 LoRA runs on this host.",
257
+ "sources": "tools/sec06_finetune_method.py; data/sec06_ft_method.csv",
258
+ "footnote_full": "Receipts: immicro/fold0/real_lora and ye2026_sepsis/fewshot_n5/draw0/lora RUN.json. Base: f01_6k_1x E16. Times: 40 local LoRA runs."
259
+ },
260
+ {
261
+ "kind": "content",
262
+ "section": "7",
263
+ "section_label": "7 LoRA ablations",
264
+ "title": "Full vs LoRA vs cond.-encoder-only",
265
+ "layout": "full",
266
+ "figures": [
267
+ "figures/sec07_ft_modes.png"
268
+ ],
269
+ "keywords": [
270
+ "LoRA ≈ full FT, 42× fewer params",
271
+ "Cond.-encoder-only ≈ ZS + cal. on ImMicro",
272
+ "LoRA beats both on coverage"
273
+ ],
274
+ "footnote": "Fold 0, cond.-enc. vs ZS + cal.: coverage 0.73 vs 0.73 / 0.74 vs 0.63, L1 p 0.06 / 0.93 (ImMicro / sepsis).",
275
+ "sources": "tools/sec07_ft_modes.py; data/sec07_ft_modes_accuracy.csv, data/sec07_ft_modes_compute.csv, data/sec07_ft_modes_wilcoxon.csv",
276
+ "footnote_full": "Base f01_6k_1x E16. ImMicro / sepsis; paired Wilcoxon on donor values, uncorrected. Full vs LoRA L1 p 0.25 / 0.71 (pooled); 42× fewer trainable params (1.3 M). Zero-shot + calibration: α_g = mean CPM(pseudobulk_g) / mean CPM(bulk_g) over the fold's 85–86 / 65–66 paired training donors (train + inner-val); bulk CPM × α, renormalised. The sc-only FT never saw real bulk, so it is fed calibrated bulk. Raw → calibrated zero-shot (pooled): L1 0.45 → 0.20 / 0.51 → 0.40, coverage 0.19 → 0.53 / 0.07 → 0.43, sepsis logFC r −0.01 → 0.12. LoRA vs ZS + cal. (pooled): coverage 0.78 vs 0.53 / 0.83 vs 0.43 (p 7e-19 / 4e-15); L1 0.16 vs 0.20 (p 2e-7) / 0.36 vs 0.40 (p 0.19); logFC r 0.53 vs 0.12. Fold 0, cond.-enc. vs ZS + cal.: L1 0.20 vs 0.17 (p 0.06) / 0.38 vs 0.39 (p 0.93), coverage 0.73 vs 0.73 (p 0.68) / 0.74 vs 0.63 (p 7e-4). Fold 0, LoRA: coverage 0.91 / 0.86; vs cond.-enc. p 4e-5 / 1e-3, vs ZS + cal. p 6e-5 / 3e-4; L1 vs cond.-enc. p 3e-5 / 0.52, vs ZS + cal. p 0.29 / 0.96. sc-only FT (+ cal.), pooled: coverage 0.62 / 0.73, logFC r 0.30. Open = fold-0 pilot; compare same marker only. Per-step time: runs early-stop differently."
277
+ },
278
+ {
279
+ "kind": "content",
280
+ "section": "7",
281
+ "section_label": "7 LoRA ablations",
282
+ "title": "K diversification: no gain",
283
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
284
+ "figures": [
285
+ "figures/sec07_k_aug.png"
286
+ ],
287
+ "keywords": [
288
+ "No gain; keep single K 1000",
289
+ "Multi-K slightly worse on ImMicro (p 0.04)",
290
+ "Inner-val loss Δ ≤ 1.2e-4"
291
+ ],
292
+ "footnote": "LoRA r16, 5-fold pooled. p = paired Wilcoxon on donor L1, uncorrected.",
293
+ "sources": "tools/sec07_k_aug.py; data/sec07_k_aug.csv, data/sec07_k_aug_wilcoxon.csv, data/sec07_k_aug_inner_val_delta.csv",
294
+ "footnote_full": "LoRA r16 on f01_6k_1x E16, 5-fold pooled. p: paired Wilcoxon, donor L1 vs plain LoRA, uncorrected. Recipes arm: K 1000 real bulk + ½-batch pretraining pseudobulk, no multi-K."
295
+ },
296
+ {
297
+ "kind": "content",
298
+ "section": "8",
299
+ "section_label": "8 Pairs needed",
300
+ "title": "Pairs needed: composition, coverage, training steps",
301
+ "layout": "full",
302
+ "figures": [
303
+ "figures/sec08_pairs_realism.png"
304
+ ],
305
+ "keywords": [
306
+ "Calibration lifts coverage to 0.53 / 0.43",
307
+ "More pairs do not help calibration",
308
+ "LoRA, 5+7 pairs: coverage 0.84 / 0.77"
309
+ ],
310
+ "footnote": "ImMicro / sepsis, 5-fold CV (107 / 82 donors). N+7 = N training + 7 early-stop pairs; squares: same pairs.",
311
+ "footnote_full": "0 = no LoRA training: zero-shot on real bulk (pale) and zero-shot + calibration (dark blue). Calibration α_g = mean CPM(pseudobulk_g) / mean CPM(bulk_g) over all paired training donors of the fold (train + inner-val: 85–86 / 65–66, the same donors LoRA 'all' trains and early-stops on); bulk CPM × α, renormalised. ImMicro L1 axis is broken (zero-shot 0.455). Raw → calibrated: coverage 0.19 → 0.53 / 0.07 → 0.43, L1 0.455 → 0.199 / 0.511 → 0.401. L1 at 5+7 pairs vs raw zero-shot: 0.171 vs 0.455 (ImMicro, p 7e-18), 0.428 vs 0.511 (sepsis, p 0.04). LoRA vs ZS + cal.: coverage higher at every n in both cohorts (p ≤ 4e-15); L1 lower on ImMicro (all pairs 0.162 vs 0.199, p 2e-7) but not on sepsis (0.362 vs 0.401, p 0.19; 5+7 pairs 0.428). With α from the same 5 pairs (few-pair call, its own donors; LoRA fixed 3k steps, no inner-val): coverage 0.54 vs LoRA 0.79 (ImMicro), 0.43 vs 0.69 (sepsis). 20k step cap reached by ImMicro folds 1/5 (10), 4/5 (20), 5/5 (40, all); last 2k steps <0.4% of total loss drop. Squares: zero-shot + calibration with alpha fitted on exactly the pairs each LoRA run saw (N training + its inner-val pairs). Coverage stays 0.52-0.53 (ImMicro) and 0.43-0.44 (sepsis) from 5+7 pairs to all; composition L1 0.19-0.20 / 0.40-0.41. LoRA vs calibration at equal pairs, donor L1: ImMicro better at every n (p <= 0.03); sepsis 5+7 not different (0.428 vs 0.412, p 0.68), lower from 10+7 but not significant (p 0.08-0.32).",
312
+ "say": "Keywords say +7; 2 of 5 sepsis folds use 8 inner-val pairs.",
313
+ "sources": "tools/sec08_pairs_needed.py; data/sec08_pairs_realism.csv, data/sec08_selected_steps.csv, data/sec08_slide_numbers.csv"
314
+ },
315
+ {
316
+ "kind": "content",
317
+ "section": "8",
318
+ "section_label": "8 Pairs needed",
319
+ "title": "Pairs needed: donor and disease signal",
320
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
321
+ "figures": [
322
+ "figures/sec08_pairs_signal.png"
323
+ ],
324
+ "keywords": [
325
+ "Calibration alone: logFC r ≤ 0.12",
326
+ "LoRA r above broadcast from 10+7 pairs",
327
+ "LoRA DEG passes calibration at 20+7"
328
+ ],
329
+ "footnote": "Sepsis: 61 case vs 21 control. logFC r = mean over T / B / Mono / NK. Raw zero-shot: logFC r −0.01, DEG 9.",
330
+ "footnote_full": "Zero-shot on real bulk: logFC r −0.01, DEG 9, NK r 0.49; zero-shot + calibration (α from all 85–86 / 65–66 fold pairs): 0.12, 11, 0.50; LoRA with all pairs: 0.53, 23, 0.70. LoRA passes ZS + cal. from 5+7 pairs on logFC r (0.29), from 20+7 on DEG (18) and from 20+7 on NK r (0.56). ≤10 pairs: NK r (0.20/0.40) and DEG (5/8) below both zero-shot points. ImMicro fraction r: T at or above raw zero-shot from 20 pairs, at or above ZS + cal. (0.67) from 40; Mono only with all. DEG gain is Mono/DC; T overlap 3 (zero-shot), 5 (ZS + cal.) → 0–1 from 20 pairs; NK 0 at every LoRA n (broadcast T 3, NK 2). Squares: calibration with alpha from the same pairs as each LoRA run. Sepsis logFC r 0.08 / 0.10 / 0.10 / 0.12 (5 / 10 / 20 / 40 + 7 pairs) vs LoRA 0.29 / 0.42 / 0.37 / 0.48; partial r about 0 vs 0.25-0.40; top-50 DEG 12 / 10 / 7 / 7 vs 5 / 8 / 18 / 22. ImMicro NK r 0.50-0.53 at every n vs LoRA 0.20 / 0.40 / 0.56 / 0.70.",
331
+ "sources": "tools/sec08_pairs_needed.py; data/sec08_pairs_signal.csv, data/sec08_slide_numbers.csv"
332
+ },
333
+ {
334
+ "kind": "content",
335
+ "section": "9",
336
+ "section_label": "9 Paired validation",
337
+ "sec09_index": 0,
338
+ "title": "Five paired cohorts",
339
+ "layout": "full",
340
+ "figures": [
341
+ "figures/sec09_cohorts.png"
342
+ ],
343
+ "keywords": [
344
+ "403 paired samples, 275 donors",
345
+ "Only identity-pass pairs; donor-level splits",
346
+ "Ji bulk: whole blood, not PBMC"
347
+ ],
348
+ "footnote": "Usable pair = passed identity check and ≥ 200 cells: 403 of 430 pairs; donor-level splits.",
349
+ "footnote_full": "Usable pair = passed the pairing identity check and >= 200 cells (fold >= 0 in data/<cohort>/folds.csv); dropped 15 identity-fail, 11 borderline and 1 low-cell pairs of 430. ImMicro: no identity flag, all used. Imperial, Giroux, Ji: several pairs per donor. Case vs control = samples in scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json. Giroux 'moderate' = GEO 'severe' (paper term); its moderate vs mild subjects are 4F/0M vs 0F/5M (scored), so its disease metrics exclude sex-linked genes. Labels: data/<cohort>/QC_REPORT.md; ImMicro: GEO GSE314922/GSE314416.",
350
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_paired_validation.py; data/sec09_cohorts.csv, data/sec09_quoted_numbers.csv, data/sec09_slide_text.json",
351
+ "numbers": [
352
+ {
353
+ "value": "403 paired samples (sum of usable rows)",
354
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json (n_usable_rows)"
355
+ },
356
+ {
357
+ "value": "275 donors (sum of usable donors)",
358
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json (n_usable_donors)"
359
+ },
360
+ {
361
+ "value": "dropped 15 identity-fail, 11 borderline, 1 < 200 cells, of 430",
362
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/features.npz (identity_pass, identity_check); samples.csv (n_cells); /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/tools/prepare_dataset.py (MIN_CELLS)"
363
+ },
364
+ {
365
+ "value": "ImMicro 107 pairs / 107 donors",
366
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/immicro/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json"
367
+ },
368
+ {
369
+ "value": "Sepsis 82 pairs / 82 donors; sepsis 61 vs control 21",
370
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/summary.json"
371
+ },
372
+ {
373
+ "value": "Imperial 157 pairs / 57 donors; COVID+ 113 vs COVID− 34 (+10 recovery, neither)",
374
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/imperial_eskd/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/imperial_eskd/pooled/summary.json"
375
+ },
376
+ {
377
+ "value": "Giroux 24 pairs / 9 donors; moderate 11 vs mild 13",
378
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/giroux2022/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json"
379
+ },
380
+ {
381
+ "value": "Ji 33 pairs / 20 donors; ChILI 18 vs ICI control 15",
382
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ji2025_chili/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ji2025_chili/pooled/summary.json"
383
+ }
384
+ ]
385
+ },
386
+ {
387
+ "kind": "content",
388
+ "section": "9",
389
+ "section_label": "9 Paired validation",
390
+ "sec09_index": 1,
391
+ "title": "5 donors: LoRA vs scSemiProfiler — cells",
392
+ "layout": "full",
393
+ "figures": [
394
+ "figures/sec09_fewpair_cells.png"
395
+ ],
396
+ "keywords": [
397
+ "LoRA-5 > scSemi-5: coverage, precision 5/5",
398
+ "Beats zero-shot + calibration: coverage 5/5",
399
+ "Lower L1 than calibration: ImMicro only"
400
+ ],
401
+ "footnote": "5 draws per cohort; test = all other usable pairs. Calibration α from the same 5 donors. scANVI labels.",
402
+ "footnote_full": "Base f01 6k·1x·E16 (EMA, DDIM 50) + LoRA r=16, 3,000 steps. LoRA-5 / scSemi-5 = LoRA / scSemiProfiler trained on the same 5 donors (5–15 pairs); test = all other usable pairs. Zero-shot = base model without fine-tuning, fed each test pair's real bulk as measured; zero-shot + calibration = the same model fed that bulk after gene-wise calibration, alpha fitted on the same 5 training donors' pairs (both in the same call as LoRA-5). scSemi-5 scored in a separate call, same test set and reference (sha-checked); 25/25 draws. Verdict = better in >= 80% of shared draws. LoRA-5 lower L1 than scSemi-5 in 4/5 (Giroux split 3/5). LoRA-5 > zero-shot + calibration: coverage 5/5, precision 3/5, depth-matched 5/5 and 3/5 cohorts; > zero-shot (real bulk): coverage 5/5, precision 5/5, depth-matched 5/5 and 4/5. Depth-matched P/C vs scSemi-5: same ranking, coverage LoRA-5 0.83–0.97 vs scSemi-5 0.15–0.28. Composition L1, LoRA-5 minus zero-shot + calibration, per-donor Wilcoxon (gain = p < 0.05): ImMicro -0.03 (p 2e-10), Sepsis +0.02 (p 0.79), Imperial +0.02 (p 0.38), Giroux -0.06 (p 0.38), Ji -0.01 (p 0.70); minus zero-shot (real bulk): ImMicro -0.27 (p 2e-18), Sepsis -0.04 (p 0.15), Imperial -0.35 (p 2e-08), Giroux -0.11 (p 0.04), Ji -0.23 (p 0.02). scANVI labels; P/C = PCA-50, k=10 balls. Scores: scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/.",
403
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_paired_validation.py; data/sec09_fewpair_cells.csv, data/sec09_scsemi_status.csv, data/sec09_slide_text.json",
404
+ "numbers": [
405
+ {
406
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 coverage (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.792 vs 0.036 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.694 vs 0.080 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.737 vs 0.059 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.961 vs 0.607 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.707 vs 0.145 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
407
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
408
+ },
409
+ {
410
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 precision (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.952 vs 0.518 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.906 vs 0.728 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.853 vs 0.330 (5/5, lora); Giroux 1.000 vs 0.992 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.978 vs 0.840 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
411
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
412
+ },
413
+ {
414
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 comp_l1 (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.176 vs 0.233 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.466 vs 0.612 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.503 vs 0.602 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.256 vs 0.270 (3/5, split); Ji 0.513 vs 0.592 (4/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 4/5",
415
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
416
+ },
417
+ {
418
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 coverage_dm (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.966 vs 0.284 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.834 vs 0.158 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.863 vs 0.152 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.974 vs 0.238 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.908 vs 0.150 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
419
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
420
+ },
421
+ {
422
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 precision_dm (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.975 vs 0.829 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.914 vs 0.504 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.881 vs 0.429 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.995 vs 0.426 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.974 vs 0.564 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
423
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
424
+ },
425
+ {
426
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration coverage (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.792 vs 0.535 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.694 vs 0.428 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.737 vs 0.634 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.961 vs 0.944 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.707 vs 0.114 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
427
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_cal)"
428
+ },
429
+ {
430
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration precision (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.952 vs 0.904 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.906 vs 0.899 (3/5, split); Imperial 0.853 vs 0.845 (3/5, split); Giroux 1.000 vs 0.996 (4/5, lora); Ji 0.978 vs 0.782 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 3/5",
431
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_cal)"
432
+ },
433
+ {
434
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration comp_l1 (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.176 vs 0.203 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.466 vs 0.446 (2/5, split); Imperial 0.503 vs 0.506 (2/5, split); Giroux 0.256 vs 0.288 (2/5, split); Ji 0.513 vs 0.514 (3/5, split) -> LoRA verdicts 1/5",
435
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_cal)"
436
+ },
437
+ {
438
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration coverage_dm (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.966 vs 0.780 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.834 vs 0.658 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.863 vs 0.681 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.974 vs 0.937 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.908 vs 0.357 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
439
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_cal)"
440
+ },
441
+ {
442
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration precision_dm (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.975 vs 0.940 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.914 vs 0.909 (3/5, split); Imperial 0.881 vs 0.868 (3/5, split); Giroux 0.995 vs 0.989 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.974 vs 0.658 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 3/5",
443
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_cal)"
444
+ },
445
+ {
446
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) coverage (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.792 vs 0.190 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.694 vs 0.076 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.737 vs 0.114 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.961 vs 0.472 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.707 vs 0.066 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
447
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_raw)"
448
+ },
449
+ {
450
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) precision (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.952 vs 0.677 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.906 vs 0.625 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.853 vs 0.500 (5/5, lora); Giroux 1.000 vs 0.980 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.978 vs 0.799 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
451
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_raw)"
452
+ },
453
+ {
454
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) comp_l1 (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.176 vs 0.445 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.466 vs 0.510 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.503 vs 0.806 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.256 vs 0.351 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.513 vs 0.721 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
455
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_raw)"
456
+ },
457
+ {
458
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) coverage_dm (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.966 vs 0.213 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.834 vs 0.073 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.863 vs 0.151 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.974 vs 0.549 (5/5, lora); Ji 0.908 vs 0.199 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 5/5",
459
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_raw)"
460
+ },
461
+ {
462
+ "value": "LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) precision_dm (same-draw means; LoRA-better draws/n; verdict): ImMicro 0.975 vs 0.671 (5/5, lora); Sepsis 0.914 vs 0.595 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.881 vs 0.561 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.995 vs 0.996 (2/5, split); Ji 0.974 vs 0.480 (5/5, lora) -> LoRA verdicts 4/5",
463
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (arms lora5, zs_raw)"
464
+ },
465
+ {
466
+ "value": "coverage cohort means over all draws: LoRA-5 ImMicro 0.792, Sepsis 0.694, Imperial 0.737, Giroux 0.961, Ji 0.707; scSemi-5 ImMicro 0.036, Sepsis 0.080, Imperial 0.059, Giroux 0.607, Ji 0.145; zero-shot + calibration ImMicro 0.535, Sepsis 0.428, Imperial 0.634, Giroux 0.944, Ji 0.114; zero-shot ImMicro 0.190, Sepsis 0.076, Imperial 0.114, Giroux 0.472, Ji 0.066",
467
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json and draw<j>_scsemi5/summary.json"
468
+ },
469
+ {
470
+ "value": "LoRA-5 minus zero-shot + calibration composition L1, per-donor Wilcoxon (draw-averaged): ImMicro -0.027, n=107, p=2.2e-10; Sepsis +0.018, n=82, p=0.79; Imperial +0.016, n=57, p=0.38; Giroux -0.065, n=8, p=0.38; Ji -0.012, n=20, p=0.7 -> gain in 1/5",
471
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/per_donor.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/folds.csv"
472
+ },
473
+ {
474
+ "value": "LoRA-5 minus zero-shot (real bulk) composition L1, per-donor Wilcoxon (draw-averaged): ImMicro -0.270, n=107, p=2.2e-18; Sepsis -0.044, n=82, p=0.15; Imperial -0.348, n=57, p=1.6e-08; Giroux -0.107, n=8, p=0.039; Ji -0.232, n=20, p=0.017 -> gain in 4/5",
475
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/per_donor.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/folds.csv"
476
+ },
477
+ {
478
+ "value": "scSemiProfiler draws used / LoRA draws: ImMicro 5/5, Sepsis 5/5, Imperial 5/5, Giroux 5/5, Ji 5/5",
479
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/sec09_scsemi_status.csv"
480
+ },
481
+ {
482
+ "value": "training pairs per draw: ImMicro 5, Sepsis 5, Imperial 12–15, Giroux 12–14, Ji 7–9; test pairs: ImMicro 102, Sepsis 77, Imperial 142–145, Giroux 10–12, Ji 24–26",
483
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json (n_train_rows, n_test_rows)"
484
+ },
485
+ {
486
+ "value": "LoRA r = 16; 3000 fixed steps; base runs/f01_6k_1x_seed20260627/checkpoint_epoch_016.pt; sampling: test donors only, 1,500 cells each, seed 20260927, DDIM 50, EMA, Bernoulli read-out",
487
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/immicro/fewshot_n5/draw0/lora/RUN.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/README.md"
488
+ },
489
+ {
490
+ "value": "P/C definition: precision/coverage/density (PCA-50 + k = 10 balls fitted on the scored donors' observed R1 cells); PCA components in every summary.json = 50",
491
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/tools/score_ft.py"
492
+ }
493
+ ]
494
+ },
495
+ {
496
+ "kind": "content",
497
+ "section": "9",
498
+ "section_label": "9 Paired validation",
499
+ "sec09_index": 2,
500
+ "title": "5 donors: LoRA vs scSemiProfiler — disease signal",
501
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
502
+ "figures": [
503
+ "figures/sec09_fewpair_disease.png"
504
+ ],
505
+ "keywords": [
506
+ "LoRA-5 > scSemi-5: DEG 2/4, logFC r 2/4",
507
+ "logFC r: LoRA-5 > calibrated zero-shot 4/4",
508
+ "Giroux: broadcast r beats all arms"
509
+ ],
510
+ "footnote": "Giroux: sex-linked genes excluded (severity confounded with sex: 4F/0M vs 0F/5M). Top-50 DEG over 5 types.",
511
+ "footnote_full": "Same draws and verdict rule as the previous slide; DEG tie = half the draws equal or mean gap < 1 gene. logFC r = mean over T/B/Mono/NK of case-vs-control log2FC r (generated vs observed); top-50 DEG = Welch+BH overlap summed over 5 types (max 250; Giroux 1–63, Ji 75–250 per draw). Giroux test = 2 vs 2 subjects per draw. LoRA-5-better draws (verdict): vs scSemi-5 logFC r Sepsis split 3/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux scSemi-5 0/5, Ji lora 5/5; DEG Sepsis lora 5/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux tie 1/5, Ji tie 1/5. Vs zero-shot + calibration: logFC r Sepsis lora 4/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux lora 4/5, Ji lora 5/5; DEG Sepsis lora 4/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux tie 1/5, Ji tie 1/5. Vs zero-shot (real bulk): logFC r Sepsis lora 5/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux split 3/5, Ji lora 5/5; DEG Sepsis lora 4/5, Imperial lora 5/5, Giroux tie 1/5, Ji tie 1/5. Broadcast = the input real bulk's own logFC. Giroux: moderate vs mild subjects are 4F/0M vs 0F/5M (scored; all paired subjects 4F/1M vs 0F/5M; sex from bulk chrY expression = sc = GEO), so its disease metrics (logFC r, partial r, top-50 DEG, broadcast) exclude 196 sex-linked genes (43 chrY non-PAR + 153 X-inactivation escape / variable-escape genes of Tukiainen et al. 2017; PAR genes kept), 65 of them scoring genes; same labels and cells as before (scores_nosex/giroux2022/). Scores: scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/.",
512
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_paired_validation.py; data/sec09_fewpair_disease.csv, data/sec09_slide_text.json",
513
+ "numbers": [
514
+ {
515
+ "value": "Giroux sex by contrast arm (subjects, F/M): scored moderate 4F/0M vs mild 0F/5M; all paired 4F/1M vs 0F/5M",
516
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/giroux2022/features.npz (sex_bulk_expr = sex_sc_expr = sex_geo); /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/giroux2022/folds.csv"
517
+ },
518
+ {
519
+ "value": "Giroux sex-linked genes excluded from the disease metrics: 196 listed (43 chrY non-PAR + 153 X escape), 65 of 5563 scoring genes",
520
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/sex_linked_genes/sex_linked_genes_exclude.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/sex_linked_genes/BUILD.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json (gene_exclusion)"
521
+ },
522
+ {
523
+ "value": "Top-50 DEG LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 (shared-draw means; LoRA-better / tied draws; verdict): Sepsis 16.4 vs 5.2 (5/5, 0 tied, lora); Imperial 113.6 vs 46.8 (5/5, 0 tied, lora); Giroux 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie); Ji 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie)",
524
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
525
+ },
526
+ {
527
+ "value": "Top-50 DEG LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration (shared-draw means; LoRA-better / tied draws; verdict): Sepsis 16.4 vs 9.4 (4/5, 0 tied, lora); Imperial 113.6 vs 103.8 (5/5, 0 tied, lora); Giroux 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie); Ji 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie)",
528
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
529
+ },
530
+ {
531
+ "value": "Top-50 DEG LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) (shared-draw means; LoRA-better / tied draws; verdict): Sepsis 16.4 vs 10.0 (4/5, 0 tied, lora); Imperial 113.6 vs 105.6 (5/5, 0 tied, lora); Giroux 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie); Ji 0.2 vs 0.0 (1/5, 4 tied, tie)",
532
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
533
+ },
534
+ {
535
+ "value": "logFC r LoRA-5 vs scSemi-5 (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws; verdict): Sepsis 0.350 vs 0.402 (3/5, split); Imperial 0.749 vs 0.562 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.297 vs 0.397 (0/5, other); Ji 0.333 vs 0.153 (5/5, lora)",
536
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
537
+ },
538
+ {
539
+ "value": "logFC r LoRA-5 vs zero-shot + calibration (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws; verdict): Sepsis 0.350 vs 0.096 (4/5, lora); Imperial 0.749 vs 0.676 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.297 vs 0.228 (4/5, lora); Ji 0.333 vs 0.140 (5/5, lora)",
540
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
541
+ },
542
+ {
543
+ "value": "logFC r LoRA-5 vs zero-shot (real bulk) (shared-draw means; LoRA-better draws; verdict): Sepsis 0.350 vs -0.024 (5/5, lora); Imperial 0.749 vs 0.638 (5/5, lora); Giroux 0.297 vs 0.255 (3/5, split); Ji 0.333 vs 0.087 (5/5, lora)",
544
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json and contrast.csv (Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/)"
545
+ },
546
+ {
547
+ "value": "Sepsis broadcast logFC r 0.320 vs best arm 0.402; broadcast DEG 20.0 vs best arm 16.4 (means over all draws; arms: zero-shot, zero-shot + calibration, scSemi-5, LoRA-5)",
548
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json"
549
+ },
550
+ {
551
+ "value": "Imperial broadcast logFC r 0.656 vs best arm 0.749; broadcast DEG 74.8 vs best arm 113.6 (means over all draws; arms: zero-shot, zero-shot + calibration, scSemi-5, LoRA-5)",
552
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/imperial_eskd/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json"
553
+ },
554
+ {
555
+ "value": "Giroux broadcast logFC r 0.492 vs best arm 0.397; broadcast DEG 0.0 vs best arm 0.2 (means over all draws; arms: zero-shot, zero-shot + calibration, scSemi-5, LoRA-5)",
556
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json"
557
+ },
558
+ {
559
+ "value": "Ji broadcast logFC r 0.234 vs best arm 0.333; broadcast DEG 1.0 vs best arm 0.2 (means over all draws; arms: zero-shot, zero-shot + calibration, scSemi-5, LoRA-5)",
560
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ji2025_chili/fewshot_n5/draw<j>{,_scsemi5}/summary.json"
561
+ },
562
+ {
563
+ "value": "DEG maximum per draw: Sepsis 250, Imperial 250, Giroux 1–63, Ji 75–250",
564
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/summary.json (deg_top50_max; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex)"
565
+ },
566
+ {
567
+ "value": "Giroux test subjects per draw: 2 vs 2 (moderate vs mild); test pairs 10–12",
568
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/giroux2022/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json (train_donors); /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/giroux2022/folds.csv (group)"
569
+ }
570
+ ]
571
+ },
572
+ {
573
+ "kind": "content",
574
+ "section": "9",
575
+ "section_label": "9 Paired validation",
576
+ "text_source": {
577
+ "file": "data/sec09_extra_slide_text.json",
578
+ "index": 0
579
+ },
580
+ "title": "5 donors: realism beyond precision/coverage",
581
+ "layout": "full",
582
+ "figures": [
583
+ "figures/sec09_extra_fewpair.png"
584
+ ],
585
+ "keywords": [
586
+ "Classifier AUC: LoRA-5 best in 25/25 draws",
587
+ "E_N: LoRA-5 below scSemi-5 in 25/25 draws",
588
+ "Still separable: LoRA-5 AUC 0.89–0.95"
589
+ ],
590
+ "footnote": "E_N: scSemiProfiler's own error metric. Misses only vs calibration, e.g. Imperial E_N 1.28 vs 1.22.",
591
+ "footnote_full": "Same 5-donor draws as the previous slides; every metric on exactly the scored cells (scores_extra/, tools/extra_metrics.py). Real side for AUC and MMD² = held-out real cells of the same samples (R2), projected like the generated cells; real vs real = R2 vs R3 (AUC 0.49–0.50). Classifier AUC: 5-fold CV ROC AUC of a kNN classifier (k = 5) separating real from generated cells, 0.5 = indistinguishable; bars start at 0.5. MMD²: unbiased, Gaussian kernel, bandwidth = median distance among real cells. E_N: scSemiProfiler's normalized error (Wang et al. 2024, eq. 17–18), their code's squared L2 on all cells, per-arm PCA-100; real vs real = within-sample half split (0.07–0.38); every generated arm is above 1. LoRA-5 best of the 4 arms in 25/25 draws on kNN AUC, 25/25 on RF AUC, 25/25 on 1-NN accuracy, 23/25 on MMD², 22/25 on E_N. LoRA-5 better than scSemi-5, zero-shot and zero-shot + calibration on both AUCs, 1-NN accuracy and coverage at k = 3, 5, 10 in every draw. E_N scSemi-5 vs LoRA-5 (cohort means): ImMicro 3.65 vs 1.55; Sepsis 3.83 vs 1.46; Imperial 2.04 vs 1.28; Giroux 3.79 vs 1.99; Ji 4.27 vs 2.60; LoRA-5 lower in 25/25 draws. Draws where LoRA-5 is worse (cohort means in brackets): vs zero-shot + calibration: Sepsis precision k5 1/5 (0.778 vs 0.752), precision k10 2/5 (0.906 vs 0.899); Imperial MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0156 vs 0.0218), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0443 vs 0.0673), E_N (all cells) 3/5 (1.28 vs 1.22), precision k3 2/5 (0.610 vs 0.598), precision k5 2/5 (0.726 vs 0.719), precision k10 2/5 (0.853 vs 0.845); Giroux MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0178 vs 0.0257), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0584 vs 0.0838), precision k5 1/5 (0.995 vs 0.981), precision k10 1/5 (1.000 vs 0.996). LoRA-5 AUC per draw 0.88–0.97 (kNN), RF cohort means 0.90–0.96: a classifier still tells generated from real cells. Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/.",
592
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_extra_metrics.py; data/sec09_extra_fewpair.csv, data/sec09_extra_quoted_numbers.csv; plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/ (README.md, TABLES.md)",
593
+ "numbers": [
594
+ {
595
+ "value": "LoRA-5 best of 4 arms (draws): kNN AUC 25/25, RF AUC 25/25, 1-NN 25/25, MMD² 23/25, E_N 22/25",
596
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
597
+ },
598
+ {
599
+ "value": "E_N LoRA-5 < scSemi-5 in 25/25 draws; cohort means scSemi-5 vs LoRA-5: ImMicro 3.65 vs 1.55; Sepsis 3.83 vs 1.46; Imperial 2.04 vs 1.28; Giroux 3.79 vs 1.99; Ji 4.27 vs 2.60",
600
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/en.csv (cellset all, distance sq)"
601
+ },
602
+ {
603
+ "value": "LoRA-5 kNN AUC cohort means: ImMicro 0.943, Sepsis 0.936, Imperial 0.918, Giroux 0.893, Ji 0.955; per draw 0.878–0.975",
604
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
605
+ },
606
+ {
607
+ "value": "real vs real: kNN AUC ImMicro 0.502, Sepsis 0.501, Imperial 0.498, Giroux 0.495, Ji 0.491; E_N ImMicro 0.382, Sepsis 0.100, Imperial 0.260, Giroux 0.145, Ji 0.073",
608
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
609
+ },
610
+ {
611
+ "value": "LoRA-5 worse than a comparator (draws): vs zero-shot + calibration: Sepsis precision k5 1/5 (0.778 vs 0.752), precision k10 2/5 (0.906 vs 0.899); Imperial MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0156 vs 0.0218), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0443 vs 0.0673), E_N (all cells) 3/5 (1.28 vs 1.22), precision k3 2/5 (0.610 vs 0.598), precision k5 2/5 (0.726 vs 0.719), precision k10 2/5 (0.853 vs 0.845); Giroux MMD² (σ = m) 1/5 (0.0178 vs 0.0257), MMD² (σ sum) 1/5 (0.0584 vs 0.0838), precision k5 1/5 (0.995 vs 0.981), precision k10 1/5 (1.000 vs 0.996)",
612
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
613
+ },
614
+ {
615
+ "value": "cross-check: 720 cohort × arm × metric values equal scores_extra/{fewshot,pooled}_headline.csv",
616
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/fewshot_headline.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/pooled_headline.csv"
617
+ }
618
+ ]
619
+ },
620
+ {
621
+ "kind": "content",
622
+ "section": "9",
623
+ "section_label": "9 Paired validation",
624
+ "sec09_index": 3,
625
+ "title": "All pairs, 5-fold",
626
+ "layout": "full",
627
+ "figures": [
628
+ "figures/sec09_fivefold.png"
629
+ ],
630
+ "keywords": [
631
+ "LoRA tops coverage 5/5, logFC r 4/4",
632
+ "Ji whole blood: LoRA 0.86, others 0.06–0.11",
633
+ "Giroux: broadcast r 0.58 > LoRA 0.46"
634
+ ],
635
+ "footnote": "Donor-level 5-fold CV. Giroux: sex-linked genes excluded (severity confounded with sex: 4F/0M vs 0F/5M).",
636
+ "footnote_full": "Donor-level 5-fold CV; each pair scored once, by the fold model that never trained on its donor (one pooled call per cohort). LoRA r=16 on all training donors' real bulk, early stop on inner-val donors. Zero-shot = base model without fine-tuning, fed the test pair's real bulk as measured; zero-shot + calibration = the same model fed gene-wise calibrated bulk (alpha fitted on the fold's training donors); sc-only fine-tune (+ calibration) = full fine-tune on training donors' sc pseudobulk, fed calibrated bulk. Base f01 6k·1x·E16. LoRA best of 4 arms: coverage 5/5, logFC r 4/4, top-50 DEG 4/4. Broadcast = raw real bulk. Sepsis DEG from pooled_deg. Giroux: moderate vs mild subjects are 4F/0M vs 0F/5M (scored; all paired subjects 4F/1M vs 0F/5M; sex from bulk chrY expression = sc = GEO), so its disease metrics (logFC r, partial r, top-50 DEG, broadcast) exclude 196 sex-linked genes (43 chrY non-PAR + 153 X-inactivation escape / variable-escape genes of Tukiainen et al. 2017; PAR genes kept), 65 of them scoring genes; same labels and cells as before (scores_nosex/giroux2022/). Scores: scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json.",
637
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_paired_validation.py; data/sec09_fivefold.csv, data/sec09_slide_text.json",
638
+ "numbers": [
639
+ {
640
+ "value": "LoRA best of 4 arms: coverage 5/5, logFC r 4/4, top-50 DEG 4/4",
641
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (Sepsis DEG: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json)"
642
+ },
643
+ {
644
+ "value": "Ji coverage: zero-shot 0.055, zero-shot + calibration 0.106, sc-only (+ calibration) 0.113, LoRA 0.857",
645
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ji2025_chili/pooled/summary.json"
646
+ },
647
+ {
648
+ "value": "Giroux logFC r: broadcast 0.575 vs LoRA 0.461; DEG broadcast 5 vs LoRA 5",
649
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json"
650
+ },
651
+ {
652
+ "value": "LoRA logFC r vs broadcast: Sepsis 0.527 vs 0.316, Imperial 0.819 vs 0.661, Giroux 0.461 vs 0.575, Ji 0.479 vs 0.240",
653
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (Sepsis DEG: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json)"
654
+ },
655
+ {
656
+ "value": "coverage LoRA / zero-shot + calibration / zero-shot / sc-only (+ calibration): ImMicro 0.784 / 0.527 / 0.192 / 0.623, Sepsis 0.829 / 0.431 / 0.067 / 0.726, Imperial 0.850 / 0.639 / 0.112 / 0.555, Giroux 0.928 / 0.906 / 0.281 / 0.908, Ji 0.857 / 0.106 / 0.055 / 0.113",
657
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (Sepsis DEG: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json)"
658
+ },
659
+ {
660
+ "value": "logFC r LoRA / zero-shot + calibration / zero-shot / sc-only (+ calibration): Sepsis 0.527 / 0.123 / -0.012 / 0.296, Imperial 0.819 / 0.679 / 0.644 / 0.808, Giroux 0.461 / 0.269 / 0.334 / 0.344, Ji 0.479 / 0.142 / 0.084 / 0.245",
661
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (Sepsis DEG: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json)"
662
+ },
663
+ {
664
+ "value": "top-50 DEG LoRA / zero-shot + calibration / zero-shot / sc-only (+ calibration): Sepsis 23 / 11 / 9 / 15, Imperial 143 / 111 / 106 / 129, Giroux 5 / 0 / 1 / 0, Ji 15 / 0 / 0 / 0",
665
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (Sepsis DEG: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json; Giroux: /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_nosex/giroux2022/pooled/summary.json)"
666
+ },
667
+ {
668
+ "value": "Pooled n (pairs / donors): ImMicro 107/107, Sepsis 82/82, Imperial 157/57, Giroux 24/9, Ji 33/20",
669
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/pooled/summary.json (n_donors); /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json"
670
+ },
671
+ {
672
+ "value": "early stopping: About 10 % of each fold's training donors are inner-validation, used only for early stopping",
673
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/README.md"
674
+ }
675
+ ]
676
+ },
677
+ {
678
+ "kind": "content",
679
+ "section": "10",
680
+ "section_label": "10 Paired-subset cohorts",
681
+ "title": "Next: cohorts with a paired subset (planned)",
682
+ "layout": "figure_keywords",
683
+ "figures": [
684
+ "figures/sec10_paired_subset_cohorts.png"
685
+ ],
686
+ "keywords": [
687
+ "Train LoRA on pairs, generate bulk-only",
688
+ "Sepsis controls: 21 paired + 54 bulk-only",
689
+ "ChILI pre-ICI: 11 bulk, 4 unpaired sc"
690
+ ],
691
+ "footnote": "Counts from pairing manifests. Model: f01 6k 1x E16 + LoRA r16.",
692
+ "say": "Planned: no LoRA cells exist yet for any bulk-only sample. Ji bulk is PAXgene whole blood. Only 7 of the Arunachalam pairs are strict same-visit pairs. Asan is omitted because it has no donor map.",
693
+ "sources": "tools/sec10_paired_subset_cohorts.py; data/sec10_cohort_counts.csv, data/sec10_bulk_only_groups.csv, data/sec10_quoted_numbers.csv",
694
+ "footnote_full": "Counts from pairing manifests. QC = identity check (Imperial also >=200 cells); sex-flag = bulk sex differs from metadata or is ambiguous. Not shown: Asan (no donor map), Giroux (24 pairs, 17 bulk-only; broadcast beats LoRA). Model: f01 6k 1x E16 + LoRA r16."
695
+ },
696
+ {
697
+ "kind": "divider",
698
+ "title": "Backup"
699
+ },
700
+ {
701
+ "kind": "content",
702
+ "section": "4",
703
+ "section_label": "Backup · 4 SLE benchmark",
704
+ "backup": true,
705
+ "title": "Bulk broadcast baseline",
706
+ "layout": "full",
707
+ "figures": [
708
+ "figures/sec04_sle_broadcast.png"
709
+ ],
710
+ "keywords": [
711
+ "Bulk logFC copied: r 0.68 vs 0.37",
712
+ "Type-specific part: partial r 0.21",
713
+ "scSemiProfiler: r 0.32, partial r 0.17"
714
+ ],
715
+ "footnote": "SLE, 42 donors, 1,006 genes. Partial r: both logFCs residualised on bulk logFC.",
716
+ "sources": "tools/sec04_sle_benchmark.py; data/sec04_sle_broadcast.csv, data/sec04_sle_numbers.csv",
717
+ "footnote_full": "SLE held-out, 42 donors, 1,006 genes; PBISC 5 seeds. Partial r: truth and method logFC residualised on bulk logFC. Broadcast has no residual, so it is not scored. Split-half and BayesPrism checks: sle_broadcast/RESULTS.md."
718
+ },
719
+ {
720
+ "kind": "content",
721
+ "section": "5",
722
+ "section_label": "Backup · 5 Real bulk vs pseudobulk",
723
+ "backup": true,
724
+ "title": "Same shift in three paired cohorts",
725
+ "layout": "full",
726
+ "figures": [
727
+ "figures/sec05_shift_cohorts.png"
728
+ ],
729
+ "keywords": [
730
+ "Shared shift in all 3 cohorts"
731
+ ],
732
+ "footnote": "Model inputs only, no generation. PCA fitted per cohort on sc pseudobulks.",
733
+ "sources": "tools/sec05_shift_cohorts.py; data/sec05_shift_cohorts.csv",
734
+ "footnote_full": "Model inputs only, no generation. PCA is fitted on each cohort's sc pseudobulks (Arunachalam: 11 PCs, n = 12). D uses same-condition pairs only for Randolph and Arunachalam. Shift removal is a leave-one-out diagnostic."
735
+ },
736
+ {
737
+ "kind": "content",
738
+ "section": "6",
739
+ "section_label": "Backup · 6 Paired fine-tuning",
740
+ "backup": true,
741
+ "title": "Evaluation design",
742
+ "layout": "full",
743
+ "figures": [
744
+ "figures/sec06_eval_design.png"
745
+ ],
746
+ "keywords": [
747
+ "Donor-level splits; test donors never trained",
748
+ "5-fold: other folds · few: 5 donors",
749
+ "Giroux few-pair trains 12–14 of 24 pairs"
750
+ ],
751
+ "footnote": "Bars: Ye 2026 sepsis. QC-failed pairs excluded.",
752
+ "sources": "tools/sec06_finetune_method.py; data/sec06_eval_design.csv, data/sec06_eval_design_sepsis_roles.csv",
753
+ "footnote_full": "Counts: data/<cohort>/folds.csv and fewshot_n5/DRAWS.json; QC-failed pairs (fold −1) excluded. Bars: Ye 2026 sepsis."
754
+ },
755
+ {
756
+ "kind": "content",
757
+ "section": "7",
758
+ "section_label": "Backup · 7 LoRA ablations",
759
+ "backup": true,
760
+ "text_source": {
761
+ "file": "data/sec07_rank_sweep_slide_text.json",
762
+ "index": 0
763
+ },
764
+ "title": "LoRA rank: r = 4, 16, 64",
765
+ "layout": "full",
766
+ "figures": [
767
+ "figures/sec07_rank_sweep.png"
768
+ ],
769
+ "keywords": [
770
+ "ImMicro r64, all pairs: coverage 0.78 → 0.82",
771
+ "ImMicro r4, all pairs: L1 0.162 → 0.186",
772
+ "Kept r16; r64 precision 0.92 → 0.90"
773
+ ],
774
+ "footnote": "Sepsis, all pairs: r64 logFC r 0.53 → 0.55, DEG 23 → 26; r4 0.48, DEG 18. Pooled 5-fold scores.",
775
+ "footnote_full": "LoRA fine-tune of the final model (f01 6k·1x·E16) with rank r and alpha = r, same recipe as the deck's r = 16 runs (early stop on 7–8 inner-val pairs, 20k step cap); n = training pairs, nested subsets; donor-level 5-fold CV, each pair scored once by its fold model (pooled call). Trainable parameters r4 324,056, r16 1,296,224, r64 5,184,896. ImMicro n = 5: r4: L1 0.162, P/C 0.937 / 0.789 (L1 vs r16 -0.009, Wilcoxon p 0.00088, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.171, P/C 0.946 / 0.839; r64: L1 0.177, P/C 0.946 / 0.847 (L1 vs r16 +0.005, Wilcoxon p 0.0076, 107 donors) | ImMicro n = 20: r4: L1 0.171, P/C 0.925 / 0.715 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.32, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.172, P/C 0.920 / 0.755; r64: L1 0.172, P/C 0.905 / 0.794 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 107 donors) | ImMicro n = all: r4: L1 0.186, P/C 0.933 / 0.712 (L1 vs r16 +0.024, Wilcoxon p 9.8e-09, 107 donors); r16: L1 0.162, P/C 0.924 / 0.784; r64: L1 0.161, P/C 0.904 / 0.816 (L1 vs r16 -0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.89, 107 donors) | Sepsis n = 5: r4: L1 0.426, P/C 0.907 / 0.742, logFC r 0.27, DEG 2 (L1 vs r16 -0.002, Wilcoxon p 0.97, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.428, P/C 0.911 / 0.767, logFC r 0.29, DEG 5; r64: L1 0.429, P/C 0.906 / 0.766, logFC r 0.31, DEG 1 (L1 vs r16 +0.001, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 82 donors) | Sepsis n = 20: r4: L1 0.378, P/C 0.929 / 0.769, logFC r 0.31, DEG 14 (L1 vs r16 -0.003, Wilcoxon p 0.58, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.380, P/C 0.927 / 0.807, logFC r 0.37, DEG 18; r64: L1 0.376, P/C 0.911 / 0.808, logFC r 0.43, DEG 18 (L1 vs r16 -0.004, Wilcoxon p 0.046, 82 donors) | Sepsis n = all: r4: L1 0.363, P/C 0.923 / 0.789, logFC r 0.48, DEG 18 (L1 vs r16 +0.002, Wilcoxon p 0.77, 82 donors); r16: L1 0.362, P/C 0.926 / 0.829, logFC r 0.53, DEG 23; r64: L1 0.367, P/C 0.907 / 0.824, logFC r 0.55, DEG 26 (L1 vs r16 +0.005, Wilcoxon p 0.66, 82 donors). r64 vs r16 brings small gains in coverage and disease signal but slightly lower precision and no composition change; r4 is worse with many pairs; at n = 5 the ranks are mixed. r = 16 is kept. Scores: scores/<cohort>/lora_rank_20261001/pooled (r4, r64) and scores/<cohort>/pooled{,_deg} (r16); table: scores/<cohort>/rankcal_20261001.md.",
776
+ "sources": "tools/sec07_rank_sweep.py; data/sec07_rank_sweep.csv, data/sec07_rank_sweep_runs.csv; plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/<cohort>/rankcal_20261001.md",
777
+ "numbers": [
778
+ {
779
+ "value": "ImMicro all pairs coverage r16 0.784 -> r64 0.816; precision 0.924 -> 0.904; L1 r16 0.162, r4 0.186 (Wilcoxon p 9.8e-09)",
780
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/immicro/pooled/summary.json; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/immicro/lora_rank_20261001/pooled/summary.json, per_donor.csv"
781
+ },
782
+ {
783
+ "value": "Sepsis all pairs logFC r r16 0.527, r64 0.553, r4 0.476; DEG 23 / 26 / 18",
784
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/summary.json, contrast.csv; /home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores/ye2026_sepsis/lora_rank_20261001/pooled/summary.json, contrast.csv"
785
+ },
786
+ {
787
+ "value": "trainable parameters: r4 324056, r16 1296224, r64 5184896",
788
+ "source": "runs/<cohort>/fold<k>/<arm>/RUN.json (trainable.n_trainable)"
789
+ }
790
+ ]
791
+ },
792
+ {
793
+ "kind": "content",
794
+ "section": "9",
795
+ "section_label": "Backup · 9 Paired validation",
796
+ "backup": true,
797
+ "text_source": {
798
+ "file": "data/sec09_extra_slide_text.json",
799
+ "index": 1
800
+ },
801
+ "title": "5-fold: realism beyond precision/coverage",
802
+ "layout": "full",
803
+ "figures": [
804
+ "figures/sec09_extra_fivefold.png"
805
+ ],
806
+ "keywords": [
807
+ "Every metric: LoRA first in 5/5 cohorts",
808
+ "Ji whole blood: E_N 1.9 vs 7.1–10.1",
809
+ "Still separable: LoRA AUC 0.87–0.94"
810
+ ],
811
+ "footnote": "Donor-level 5-fold CV, one pooled call per cohort. E_N: scSemiProfiler's own error metric.",
812
+ "footnote_full": "Donor-level 5-fold CV; each pair scored once by the fold model that never trained on its donor (one pooled call per cohort, all cross-fitted pairs). Arms as on the 5-fold slide. Metric definitions as on the 5-donor realism slide. LoRA first among the 4 arms in all 5 cohorts on 12/12 headline metrics (kNN and RF AUC, 1-NN accuracy, MMD² at σ = m and summed, E_N all cells, precision and coverage at k = 3, 5, 10). LoRA kNN AUC ImMicro 0.941, Sepsis 0.886, Imperial 0.866, Giroux 0.881, Ji 0.908; real vs real ImMicro 0.505, Sepsis 0.506, Imperial 0.496, Giroux 0.501, Ji 0.494. E_N LoRA vs other arms: ImMicro 1.56 vs 1.77–4.83; Sepsis 1.20 vs 1.40–5.29; Imperial 1.13 vs 1.19–4.05; Giroux 1.70 vs 2.24–4.48; Ji 1.95 vs 7.08–10.13. scSemiProfiler 5-fold CV not available yet (no extra-metric unit with set scsemi__raw). Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/.",
813
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_extra_metrics.py; data/sec09_extra_fivefold.csv, data/sec09_extra_scsemi_status.csv; plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/",
814
+ "numbers": [
815
+ {
816
+ "value": "LoRA first among 4 arms in all 5 cohorts on 12/12 metrics",
817
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
818
+ },
819
+ {
820
+ "value": "Ji E_N: LoRA 1.948; Zero-shot, real bulk 10.125, Zero-shot + calibration 7.076, sc-only fine-tune (+ calibration) 7.215",
821
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
822
+ },
823
+ {
824
+ "value": "LoRA kNN AUC (pooled): ImMicro 0.941, Sepsis 0.886, Imperial 0.866, Giroux 0.881, Ji 0.908",
825
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/pooled/{metrics,en}.csv"
826
+ },
827
+ {
828
+ "value": "scSemiProfiler, all training pairs: not available",
829
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/presentations/2026-09-30--paper-summary--r00/data/sec09_extra_scsemi_status.csv"
830
+ }
831
+ ]
832
+ },
833
+ {
834
+ "kind": "content",
835
+ "section": "9",
836
+ "section_label": "Backup · 9 Paired validation",
837
+ "backup": true,
838
+ "text_source": {
839
+ "file": "data/sec09_extra_slide_text.json",
840
+ "index": 2
841
+ },
842
+ "title": "5 donors: precision/coverage at k = 3, 5, 10",
843
+ "layout": "full",
844
+ "figures": [
845
+ "figures/sec09_extra_ksens.png"
846
+ ],
847
+ "keywords": [
848
+ "Smaller k lowers every set, real included",
849
+ "Coverage: LoRA-5 first at all k, 25/25",
850
+ "Precision: LoRA-5 first in 20–23/25 draws"
851
+ ],
852
+ "footnote": "5 donors, 5 draws per cohort; error bars = SD over draws. k = 10 is the value on the main slides.",
853
+ "footnote_full": "Precision and coverage recomputed with k = 3, 5, 10 nearest-neighbour balls in the scorer's PCA-50 (k = 10 reproduces the main-slide values exactly). Means over the 5 draws per cohort; error bars = SD; grey = real vs real (R1 vs R2, same samples). Both metrics fall with smaller k for every set including the real control (real coverage at k = 3: 0.92–0.99), so compare arms with the real row, not with 1. Expected coverage of a perfect generator (Naeem et al. 2020, eq. 9) at k = 3/5/10: 0.88/0.97/1.00 in every cohort. LoRA-5 first on coverage at every k in 25/25 draws; on precision in 23/21/20 of 25 draws (k = 3/5/10); not first: Sepsis 0/1/2, Imperial 2/2/2, Giroux 0/1/1 draws at k = 3/5/10, beaten by zero-shot + calibration. 5-fold pooled design (not drawn): coverage ranking of the 4 arms across k unchanged; LoRA first at every k in 5/5 cohorts. Scores: scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/metrics.csv.",
854
+ "sources": "tools/sec09_extra_metrics.py; data/sec09_extra_ksens.csv; plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/",
855
+ "numbers": [
856
+ {
857
+ "value": "LoRA-5 first on coverage at k = 3, 5 and 10: 25/25 draws",
858
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
859
+ },
860
+ {
861
+ "value": "LoRA-5 first on precision (draws) at k = 3/5/10: 23/21/20 of 25",
862
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
863
+ },
864
+ {
865
+ "value": "real vs real coverage at k = 3: ImMicro 0.932, Sepsis 0.925, Imperial 0.919, Giroux 0.993, Ji 0.980",
866
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
867
+ },
868
+ {
869
+ "value": "every set falls with smaller k (cohort means): True",
870
+ "source": "/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/scores_extra/<cohort>/fewshot_n5/draw<j>/{metrics,en}.csv"
871
+ }
872
+ ]
873
+ }
874
+ ]
875
+ }