Archive 4 checkpoints (1-4)
Browse files- paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/README.md +595 -0
- paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/queues/ye2026_sepsis_scratch_20261005.txt +10 -0
- paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/tools/compare_scratch.py +60 -0
- paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/rare_states_screen_20261004/tools/sepsis_states.py +252 -0
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/README.md
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| 1 |
+
# Within-dataset fine-tuning of the final model on paired bulk + scRNA data
|
| 2 |
+
|
| 3 |
+
User decision (2026-09-27): release the pseudobulk-pretrained final model as something users fine-tune on their own paired bulk + scRNA data. Validate it inside each paired dataset: split donors, fine-tune on the training donors' real bulk → their cells, and test on held-out donors. Start with ImMicro and Ye 2026 sepsis, run the same way. Feasibility of other datasets: `FEASIBILITY.md`.
|
| 4 |
+
|
| 5 |
+
## Setup
|
| 6 |
+
|
| 7 |
+
- **Base model:** `runs/f01_6k_1x_seed20260627/checkpoint_epoch_016.pt` (sha 8c7cd0e8…), EMA weights. E16 is also the best-validation epoch (0.13691).
|
| 8 |
+
- **Data** (`data/<dataset>/`):
|
| 9 |
+
- `features.npz`: bulk and pseudobulk on the 20,097 axis, with measured masks.
|
| 10 |
+
- `cells_panel6k.npz`: retained cells on the 6k panel. Each row's cells sum exactly to its pseudobulk.
|
| 11 |
+
- **ImMicro:** 107 donors, 392,251 baseline cells. Built by `tools/build_immicro_cells.py`.
|
| 12 |
+
- **Sepsis:** 85 pairs, 82 pass identity checks, 610,713 cells. Built by the pairing agent; details in `data/ye2026_sepsis/QC_REPORT.md`. The GEX is 5′ even though GEO says 3′.
|
| 13 |
+
- **Folds** (`tools/prepare_dataset.py`):
|
| 14 |
+
- Donor-level 5-fold, stratified by group (ImMicro pool; sepsis clinical group).
|
| 15 |
+
- About 10 % of each fold's training donors are inner-validation, used only for early stopping.
|
| 16 |
+
- Identity-failed sepsis rows sit in fold −1 and are never used.
|
| 17 |
+
- **Conditions:**
|
| 18 |
+
- Fixed depth (K = 1000, one depth anchor), the published `build_realbulk_conditions.py` arithmetic.
|
| 19 |
+
- No test donor's single-cell depth or cell count enters its condition.
|
| 20 |
+
- The ImMicro raw and pseudo NPZs equal the published fixed ones bit for bit.
|
| 21 |
+
- Paired calibration α is fitted on each fold's training donors only.
|
| 22 |
+
- **Training** (`tools/ft_sdd.py`):
|
| 23 |
+
- Pretraining loss, bf16, AdamW, grad clip 5, EMA 0.999, donor-balanced batches of 256.
|
| 24 |
+
- Up to 20,000 steps. Inner-validation loss is checked every 250 steps and the best EMA state is kept.
|
| 25 |
+
- Modes: full (54.2 M trainable parameters), LoRA r = 16 (1.3 M, merged before saving), condition encoder only (9.5 M).
|
| 26 |
+
- Output checkpoints keep the base schema, so `scripts/sample_sdd_standalone.py` samples them unchanged.
|
| 27 |
+
- **Sampling:** test donors only, 1,500 cells each, seed 20260927, DDIM 50, EMA, Bernoulli read-out. GPU only through `tools/run_queue.sh` → `ml-run`.
|
| 28 |
+
- **Scoring** (`tools/score_ft.py`, `tools/score_fold.sh`):
|
| 29 |
+
- Frozen f01common scANVI six-type gate. Metrics: composition L1, precision/coverage (PCA-50, k = 10, reference = the scored donors' observed cells), pseudobulk r, donor recovery top-1.
|
| 30 |
+
- For sepsis, also per-cell-type sepsis-vs-control logFC r against observed and against bulk broadcast.
|
| 31 |
+
- Validated against the published ImMicro native arms: composition L1 and labels are identical.
|
| 32 |
+
- Precision/coverage depends on the reference draw and on how many donors are scored, so compare arms within a fold.
|
| 33 |
+
- **Giroux: sex-linked genes excluded from the disease metrics** (user decision 2026-10-01). Its moderate vs mild contrast is fully confounded with sex (scored subjects 4 F / 0 M vs 0 F / 5 M). Giroux logFC r, partial r, top-50 DEG and the broadcast baseline are reported from `scores_nosex/giroux2022/`, scored with `score_ft.py --exclude-genes data/sex_linked_genes/sex_linked_genes_exclude.csv` (196 genes: chrY non-PAR + X-inactivation escape genes of Tukiainen 2017; PAR genes kept) and the original frozen labels (`--reuse-labels`). Details: `scores_nosex/README.md`, `data/sex_linked_genes/README.md`.
|
| 34 |
+
|
| 35 |
+
## ImMicro fold 0 pilot (22 test donors; real bulk input unless noted)
|
| 36 |
+
|
| 37 |
+
| arm | comp L1 ↓ | precision | coverage | pseudobulk r | donor top-1 | monocyte % (obs 18.5) |
|
| 38 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 39 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 0.484 | 0.910 | 0.423 | 0.892 | 0.05 | 37.0 |
|
| 40 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal (fold α) | 0.168 | 0.985 | 0.725 | 0.882 | 0.14 | 14.7 |
|
| 41 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk | 0.188 | 0.993 | 0.722 | 0.881 | 0.09 | 13.7 |
|
| 42 |
+
| FT condition encoder only | 0.204 | 0.979 | 0.728 | 0.892 | 0.14 | 13.0 |
|
| 43 |
+
| FT LoRA r = 16 | 0.153 | 0.992 | **0.915** | 0.901 | 0.18 | 14.8 |
|
| 44 |
+
| **FT full** | **0.147** | 0.987 | 0.841 | **0.912** | **0.32** | 14.7 |
|
| 45 |
+
| FT on pseudobulk (sc only), raw input | 0.426 | 0.725 | 0.257 | 0.929 | 0.18 | 23.4 |
|
| 46 |
+
| FT on pseudobulk (sc only), paired-cal input | 0.231 | 0.954 | 0.816 | 0.917 | 0.18 | 14.3 |
|
| 47 |
+
|
| 48 |
+
Leave-one-out composition null of the observed cells: 0.163. Chance donor top-1: 0.045.
|
| 49 |
+
|
| 50 |
+
Selected inner-validation loss (pretrained 0.10985):
|
| 51 |
+
- full 0.10071, still falling at the 20,000-step cap;
|
| 52 |
+
- LoRA 0.10127;
|
| 53 |
+
- condition encoder 0.10429.
|
| 54 |
+
|
| 55 |
+
**Reading (one fold, one seed):**
|
| 56 |
+
- Real-bulk fine-tuning beats every zero-shot arm, including the pseudobulk input.
|
| 57 |
+
- It also beats sc-only adaptation. The sc-only model with paired calibration reaches similar coverage (0.82), so coverage comes largely from adapting to the cohort. Composition and donor specificity, however, need the paired bulk: L1 0.147 vs 0.231, top-1 0.32 vs 0.18.
|
| 58 |
+
- LoRA and full are close: LoRA covers more of the observed cells, full is more donor-specific.
|
| 59 |
+
- The condition encoder alone captures about 60 % of full's inner-validation gain but does not beat zero-shot calibration, so it was dropped.
|
| 60 |
+
|
| 61 |
+
## ImMicro, all five folds (107 donors, each scored by the fold model that never trained on it)
|
| 62 |
+
|
| 63 |
+
Per-fold scores, fold mean ± SD (`scores/immicro/AGGREGATE.md`):
|
| 64 |
+
|
| 65 |
+
| arm | comp L1 ↓ | precision | coverage | pseudobulk r |
|
| 66 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 67 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 0.454 ± 0.032 | 0.877 | 0.424 | 0.892 |
|
| 68 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal | 0.199 ± 0.029 | 0.976 | 0.725 | 0.880 |
|
| 69 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk | 0.204 ± 0.016 | 0.986 | 0.721 | 0.881 |
|
| 70 |
+
| FT LoRA r = 16 | 0.162 ± 0.017 | 0.989 | **0.919** | 0.900 |
|
| 71 |
+
| **FT full** | **0.157 ± 0.020** | 0.981 | 0.851 | **0.914** |
|
| 72 |
+
| sc-only FT, raw input | 0.444 ± 0.021 | 0.678 | 0.237 | 0.927 |
|
| 73 |
+
| sc-only FT, paired-cal input | 0.240 ± 0.015 | 0.955 | 0.829 | 0.917 |
|
| 74 |
+
|
| 75 |
+
**Donor-level composition L1, paired Wilcoxon over 107 donors** (FT full vs each arm):
|
| 76 |
+
|
| 77 |
+
| comparison | Δ L1 | FT full better in | p |
|
| 78 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 79 |
+
| vs zero-shot paired cal | −0.042 | 68 % | 1e-7 |
|
| 80 |
+
| vs zero-shot pseudobulk | −0.048 | 74 % | 4e-8 |
|
| 81 |
+
| vs sc-only FT + paired cal | −0.083 | 91 % | 2e-16 |
|
| 82 |
+
| vs LoRA | −0.005 | 58 % | 0.14 |
|
| 83 |
+
| vs leave-one-out cohort-mean null (0.161) | −0.007 | 50 % | 0.64 |
|
| 84 |
+
|
| 85 |
+
**Across-donor correlation of generated vs observed cell-type fraction (T / B / Mono / NK):**
|
| 86 |
+
- FT full: 0.79 / 0.80 / 0.83 / 0.81
|
| 87 |
+
- zero-shot paired cal: 0.67 / 0.71 / 0.85 / 0.49
|
| 88 |
+
- zero-shot pseudobulk: 0.71 / 0.77 / 0.90 / 0.60
|
| 89 |
+
|
| 90 |
+
**Donor top-1:** 0.15 ± 0.10 for FT full vs 0.13 for zero-shot paired cal. The fold-0 value of 0.32 did not replicate.
|
| 91 |
+
|
| 92 |
+
**Pooled scoring** (`scores/immicro/pooled/`: one call over all 107 donors, reference = all 107 donors' observed cells, so absolute precision/coverage are lower than the per-fold values):
|
| 93 |
+
|
| 94 |
+
| arm | precision / coverage | depth-matched precision / coverage |
|
| 95 |
+
|---|---|---|
|
| 96 |
+
| FT LoRA | 0.924 / 0.784 | 0.961 / 0.962 |
|
| 97 |
+
| FT full | 0.890 / 0.695 | 0.946 / 0.950 |
|
| 98 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal | 0.905 / 0.527 | 0.944 / 0.769 |
|
| 99 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk | 0.936 / 0.524 | 0.965 / 0.741 |
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
**Reading:**
|
| 102 |
+
- Fine-tuning on real bulk removes the real-bulk bias.
|
| 103 |
+
- It beats the pseudobulk input, which was the zero-shot ceiling.
|
| 104 |
+
- It improves the across-donor ranking of T, B and NK fractions.
|
| 105 |
+
- It does not beat the observed cohort mean on per-donor composition L1. Healthy donors vary little, so that null is strong.
|
| 106 |
+
- Full is better on composition; LoRA gives wider coverage.
|
| 107 |
+
|
| 108 |
+
## Sepsis, all five folds (82 identity-passed pairs: 61 sepsis, 21 controls; cross-fitted)
|
| 109 |
+
|
| 110 |
+
Pooled scoring over all 82 donors (`scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/`). The contrast is computed over all 61 vs 21 donors. The per-fold contrast (4–5 controls per fold) is too noisy to use.
|
| 111 |
+
|
| 112 |
+
| arm | comp L1 ↓ | precision | coverage | sepsis-vs-control logFC r (T / B / Mono / NK; mean) | r of bulk broadcast | partial r beyond broadcast |
|
| 113 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
|
| 114 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 0.511 | 0.614 | 0.067 | −0.11 / 0.06 / 0.07 / −0.07; **−0.01** | 0.316 | −0.095 |
|
| 115 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal | 0.401 | 0.903 | 0.431 | 0.04 / 0.16 / 0.25 / 0.04; **0.12** | 0.278 | 0.039 |
|
| 116 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk (sc-derived input) | **0.233** | 0.915 | 0.480 | 0.55 / 0.50 / 0.40 / 0.43; **0.47** | 0.730 | 0.210 |
|
| 117 |
+
| FT LoRA | 0.362 | **0.926** | **0.829** | 0.63 / 0.57 / 0.58 / 0.34; **0.53** | 0.316 | **0.469** |
|
| 118 |
+
| **FT full** | 0.372 | 0.866 | 0.795 | 0.62 / 0.60 / 0.63 / 0.29; **0.53** | 0.316 | **0.468** |
|
| 119 |
+
| sc-only FT, raw input | 0.472 | 0.606 | 0.134 | 0.01 / 0.22 / 0.34 / 0.03; 0.15 | 0.316 | 0.038 |
|
| 120 |
+
| sc-only FT, paired-cal input | 0.360 | 0.863 | 0.726 | 0.25 / 0.32 / 0.52 / 0.10; 0.30 | 0.278 | 0.190 |
|
| 121 |
+
|
| 122 |
+
Leave-one-out composition null: 0.515. Observed monocyte %: 20.8; the FT arms generate 18.0–18.5 %.
|
| 123 |
+
|
| 124 |
+
Per-fold means are in `scores/ye2026_sepsis/AGGREGATE.md`. The fold-level ranking is the same: FT full L1 0.372 ± 0.083 vs zero-shot paired cal 0.404 ± 0.071.
|
| 125 |
+
|
| 126 |
+
**Donor-level composition L1** (paired Wilcoxon, 82 donors):
|
| 127 |
+
|
| 128 |
+
| comparison | Δ L1 | p |
|
| 129 |
+
|---|---:|---:|
|
| 130 |
+
| FT full vs zero-shot paired cal | −0.029 | 0.24 |
|
| 131 |
+
| FT LoRA vs zero-shot paired cal | −0.039 | 0.19 |
|
| 132 |
+
| FT full vs sc-only FT + cal | +0.011 | 0.80 |
|
| 133 |
+
| FT full vs zero-shot pseudobulk | +0.138 | 2e-7 |
|
| 134 |
+
| FT full vs null | −0.144 (better in 72 %) | 7e-6 |
|
| 135 |
+
|
| 136 |
+
**Across-donor fraction correlation (T / B / Mono / NK):**
|
| 137 |
+
- FT full: 0.68 / 0.79 / 0.60 / 0.68
|
| 138 |
+
- zero-shot paired cal: 0.64 / 0.71 / 0.60 / 0.59
|
| 139 |
+
- zero-shot pseudobulk: 0.91 / 0.95 / 0.97 / 0.80
|
| 140 |
+
|
| 141 |
+
**Reading:**
|
| 142 |
+
- **Disease signal is the sepsis result.**
|
| 143 |
+
- Fine-tuned models generate cells whose per-cell-type sepsis-vs-control logFC agrees with the observed cells at r 0.53. Zero-shot calibrated bulk gives 0.12.
|
| 144 |
+
- They beat the real-bulk broadcast baseline in every cell type (T 0.62 vs 0.26, B 0.60 vs 0.28, Mono 0.63 vs 0.55, NK 0.29 vs 0.19). In SLE the zero-shot model lost to broadcast.
|
| 145 |
+
- The partial r beyond broadcast is 0.47 (zero-shot 0.04).
|
| 146 |
+
- They also exceed zero-shot generation from the sc-derived pseudobulk (0.47).
|
| 147 |
+
- **The paired bulk matters.** sc-only fine-tuning with paired-cal input reaches 0.30.
|
| 148 |
+
- **Composition does not improve over zero-shot calibration** (n.s.) and stays far behind the pseudobulk input: the sepsis real bulk carries weak composition information, monocytes especially (r 0.60).
|
| 149 |
+
- **Coverage roughly doubles** (0.43 → 0.80–0.83).
|
| 150 |
+
- **Full and LoRA are equivalent here.** LoRA has the higher precision.
|
| 151 |
+
|
| 152 |
+
## Sepsis fold 0 pilot (17 test donors: 12 sepsis, 5 controls; real bulk input unless noted)
|
| 153 |
+
|
| 154 |
+
Early stopping selected fewer steps than for ImMicro:
|
| 155 |
+
|
| 156 |
+
| arm | selected step | inner-val loss (pretrained 0.12500) |
|
| 157 |
+
|---|---:|---:|
|
| 158 |
+
| full | 3,750 | 0.11344 |
|
| 159 |
+
| LoRA | 6,500 | 0.11357 |
|
| 160 |
+
| condition encoder | 5,500 | 0.11606 |
|
| 161 |
+
| sc-only (pseudobulk) | 20,000 | 0.11275 (pretrained 0.11720, pseudobulk conditions) |
|
| 162 |
+
|
| 163 |
+
| arm | comp L1 ↓ | precision | coverage | donor top-1 | monocyte % (obs 24.6) | sepsis-vs-control logFC r, mean of T/B/Mono/NK | partial r beyond bulk broadcast |
|
| 164 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 165 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 0.451 | 0.879 | 0.181 | 0.41 | 37.3 | 0.064 | −0.035 |
|
| 166 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal | 0.388 | 0.984 | 0.626 | 0.41 | 25.7 | 0.255 | 0.161 |
|
| 167 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk | **0.236** | 0.990 | 0.700 | **0.65** | 29.5 | 0.328 | 0.187 |
|
| 168 |
+
| FT condition encoder | 0.380 | 0.983 | 0.741 | 0.35 | 17.5 | 0.261 | 0.181 |
|
| 169 |
+
| FT LoRA r = 16 | 0.373 | 0.986 | 0.858 | 0.47 | 15.3 | 0.487 | **0.410** |
|
| 170 |
+
| FT full | 0.388 | 0.978 | **0.871** | 0.35 | 16.2 | **0.489** | 0.393 |
|
| 171 |
+
| FT sc only, raw input | 0.422 | 0.928 | 0.351 | 0.47 | 29.6 | 0.167 | 0.030 |
|
| 172 |
+
| FT sc only, paired-cal input | 0.396 | 0.979 | 0.850 | 0.35 | 21.7 | 0.465 | 0.357 |
|
| 173 |
+
|
| 174 |
+
- The leave-one-out composition null is 0.513: donors differ far more than in ImMicro.
|
| 175 |
+
- Contrast = per-cell-type log2 fold change of donor-averaged mean CP10K, over genes detected in ≥ 1 % of observed cells of the type.
|
| 176 |
+
- **Bulk broadcast baseline** (the input real bulk's sepsis-vs-control logFC copied to every cell type):
|
| 177 |
+
- mean r 0.482 (T 0.393, B 0.470, Mono 0.702, NK 0.361);
|
| 178 |
+
- with pseudobulk instead of real bulk: 0.668.
|
| 179 |
+
|
| 180 |
+
**Reading (one fold, one seed, only 5 controls):**
|
| 181 |
+
- Fine-tuning roughly doubles the per-cell-type disease-signal agreement (0.26 → 0.49).
|
| 182 |
+
- For the first time the generated cells carry a clear part beyond the bulk broadcast (partial r ≈ 0.4). In SLE the zero-shot model gave about 0.2.
|
| 183 |
+
- By cell type, FT beats broadcast for T and B, but not for monocytes (0.57 vs 0.70).
|
| 184 |
+
- Most of the gain comes from adapting to the cohort: sc-only FT with the paired-cal input reaches 0.465 / 0.357.
|
| 185 |
+
- Composition is not improved by any real-bulk arm (0.37–0.39 vs zero-shot pseudobulk 0.236). FT arms under-produce monocytes (15–17 % vs 24.6 %).
|
| 186 |
+
- So in sepsis the real bulk does not carry the donors' composition to the model, unlike ImMicro. One candidate cause not yet checked: granulocyte or low-density-neutrophil signal in sepsis PBMC bulk.
|
| 187 |
+
|
| 188 |
+
## Sepsis top-50 DEG (added 2026-09-28; `scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled_deg/`)
|
| 189 |
+
|
| 190 |
+
**Definition:** the NC benchmark's own `bulk2sc-paper/scripts/evaluate_generated_vs_truth.py`, imported, not copied (`welch_bh_deg`, `top_deg_genes`).
|
| 191 |
+
- Per cell type: donor pseudobulk on the 5,975 scoring genes, log1p CPM, two-sided Welch test, BH correction.
|
| 192 |
+
- List: genes with FDR < 0.05, ranked by |logFC|, top 50.
|
| 193 |
+
- Score: the number of genes shared by the observed and generated lists, summed over T/B/Mono/NK/DC (maximum 250). The SLE "81" is the same kind of sum.
|
| 194 |
+
|
| 195 |
+
| arm | T | B | Mono | NK | DC | sum / 250 | logFC r |
|
| 196 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 197 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | −0.01 |
|
| 198 |
+
| zero-shot paired cal | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0.12 |
|
| 199 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0.47 |
|
| 200 |
+
| sc-only FT + cal | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0.30 |
|
| 201 |
+
| LoRA 5 pairs | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.29 |
|
| 202 |
+
| LoRA 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.42 |
|
| 203 |
+
| LoRA 40 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 0.48 |
|
| 204 |
+
| LoRA all (58) | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0.53 |
|
| 205 |
+
| full all | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0.53 |
|
| 206 |
+
|
| 207 |
+
Real-bulk broadcast list: 21.
|
| 208 |
+
|
| 209 |
+
**Reading:**
|
| 210 |
+
- With enough pairs, top-50 DEG doubles over zero-shot calibration (11 → 23–24).
|
| 211 |
+
- It only reaches the broadcast level, and almost all of it is monocytes.
|
| 212 |
+
- T and NK overlap is near zero because the generated T cells produce almost no significant genes (12 vs 1,578 observed for full). The disease signal is in the right direction (logFC r 0.6) but too weak for FDR-based DEG calls.
|
| 213 |
+
- Paper note: `methods.tex:87` describes CP10K, but the evaluator uses CPM.
|
| 214 |
+
|
| 215 |
+
## New datasets and the few-pair scenario (started 2026-09-28)
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
**Datasets** (built by agents with the same QC/identity rules; details in each `data/<ds>/QC_REPORT.md`):
|
| 218 |
+
|
| 219 |
+
| dataset | bulk | sc | usable pairs (donors) | contrast |
|
| 220 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 221 |
+
| Imperial ESKD COVID (Gisby 2022 + Stephenson 2025) | PBMC, htseq | 10x 5′ CITE atlas | 157 (57 patients; longitudinal) | covid_positive vs covid_negative |
|
| 222 |
+
| Giroux 2022 (Duke outpatient COVID) | PBMC, NuGEN SoLo total RNA (no RPL/RPS/MT genes) | 10x 5′ v1 | 24 (9 subjects) | severe vs mild |
|
| 223 |
+
| Ji 2025 ChILI | **PAXgene whole blood**, QuantSeq 3′ | 10x 5′ | 33 (20 patients) | ChILI (TOL, FU1) vs ICI controls (BC, AC) |
|
| 224 |
+
|
| 225 |
+
Dataset notes:
|
| 226 |
+
- **Imperial:** pairs are matched on the metadata swab day. The day in the bulk column name counts from symptom onset.
|
| 227 |
+
- **Giroux:** the author bulk table lacks the exposed and healthy subjects.
|
| 228 |
+
- **Ji:** the bulk is whole blood, so this is a whole-blood → PBMC test.
|
| 229 |
+
|
| 230 |
+
**Rules:**
|
| 231 |
+
- Rows with fewer than 200 cells are excluded (strict-QC protocol minimum). Only Imperial is affected.
|
| 232 |
+
- The scorer now accepts several samples per donor: the scored unit is the sample, and the composition null leaves out every sample of that donor.
|
| 233 |
+
|
| 234 |
+
**Few-pair scenario** (`tools/prepare_fewshot.py`, `make_fewshot_queue.sh`, `score_fewshot.sh`):
|
| 235 |
+
- **Training donors:** 5, stratified by case/control where the dataset has one. All their pairs are used.
|
| 236 |
+
- **Training:** LoRA for a fixed 3,000 steps with no inner validation (`ft_sdd.py --train-donors-file --fixed-steps`).
|
| 237 |
+
- **Test:** every other usable donor.
|
| 238 |
+
- **Comparators:**
|
| 239 |
+
- zero-shot raw;
|
| 240 |
+
- zero-shot paired cal, with alpha from the **same 5 pairs**;
|
| 241 |
+
- zero-shot pseudobulk (reference).
|
| 242 |
+
- **Repeats:** 5 draws.
|
| 243 |
+
- **Datasets:** also run on ImMicro and sepsis so all five datasets share the protocol.
|
| 244 |
+
|
| 245 |
+
**Also run:** the 5-fold CV of `make_cv_queue.sh` on each new dataset (zero-shot ×3, LoRA on all training donors, sc-only control).
|
| 246 |
+
|
| 247 |
+
**Hosts:**
|
| 248 |
+
- Imperial runs entirely on server_2 (GPU and scoring; outputs about 110 GB). `tools/run_queue_s2.sh` is the server_2 env copy of `run_queue.sh`.
|
| 249 |
+
- The rest runs on server_1.
|
| 250 |
+
- Scored ImMicro and sepsis generations were moved to server_2, sha-checked, with `.moved` markers (`tools/move_generated.sh`).
|
| 251 |
+
|
| 252 |
+
## Results: few-pair scenario (LoRA on 5 donors, fixed 3,000 steps; test = every other donor; mean ± SD over 5 draws)
|
| 253 |
+
|
| 254 |
+
| dataset | arm | comp L1 | precision | coverage | case-control logFC r | partial r beyond broadcast | top-50 DEG (sum) |
|
| 255 |
+
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 256 |
+
| ImMicro | zero-shot cal (same 5 pairs) | 0.203 ± 0.011 | 0.904 | 0.535 | — | — | — |
|
| 257 |
+
| ImMicro | **LoRA 5** | **0.176 ± 0.012** | **0.952** | **0.792** | — | — | — |
|
| 258 |
+
| sepsis | zero-shot cal | 0.446 ± 0.046 | 0.899 | 0.428 | 0.10 ± 0.04 | 0.00 | 9.4 ± 2.6 |
|
| 259 |
+
| sepsis | **LoRA 5** | 0.466 ± 0.044 | 0.906 | **0.694** | **0.35 ± 0.16** | **0.31** | 16.4 ± 6.7 |
|
| 260 |
+
| Ji (whole blood) | zero-shot cal | 0.514 ± 0.016 | 0.782 | 0.114 | 0.14 ± 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.0 |
|
| 261 |
+
| Ji (whole blood) | **LoRA 5** | 0.513 ± 0.115 | **0.978** | **0.707** | **0.33 ± 0.08** | **0.30** | 0.2 |
|
| 262 |
+
|
| 263 |
+
Composition, LoRA 5 vs zero-shot cal (paired over donor-draws):
|
| 264 |
+
- ImMicro: better in 69 %, p 3e-24.
|
| 265 |
+
- Sepsis: p 0.96.
|
| 266 |
+
- Ji: p 0.60.
|
| 267 |
+
|
| 268 |
+
Real-bulk broadcast r:
|
| 269 |
+
- sepsis 0.32, top-50 DEG 20;
|
| 270 |
+
- Ji 0.23.
|
| 271 |
+
|
| 272 |
+
Zero-shot from the sc-derived pseudobulk (reference):
|
| 273 |
+
- ImMicro L1 0.211;
|
| 274 |
+
- sepsis L1 0.237, r 0.48, DEG 20.8;
|
| 275 |
+
- Ji L1 0.171, r 0.18.
|
| 276 |
+
|
| 277 |
+
## Results: Ji 2025, 5-fold (33 pairs pooled; 18 ChILI vs 15 controls; whole-blood bulk → PBMC cells)
|
| 278 |
+
|
| 279 |
+
| arm | comp L1 | precision | coverage | ChILI-vs-control logFC r (T/B/Mono/NK; mean) | partial r | top-50 DEG |
|
| 280 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
|
| 281 |
+
| zero-shot raw | 0.738 | 0.717 | 0.055 | 0.18/−0.08/0.22/0.02; 0.08 | 0.03 | 0 |
|
| 282 |
+
| zero-shot cal | 0.501 | 0.740 | 0.106 | 0.23/0.00/0.21/0.13; 0.14 | 0.11 | 0 |
|
| 283 |
+
| zero-shot pseudobulk (reference) | 0.173 | 0.985 | 0.685 | 0.28/−0.06/0.32/0.03; 0.14 | 0.03 | 5 |
|
| 284 |
+
| **LoRA (all training donors)** | 0.504 | **0.971** | **0.857** | **0.48/0.24/0.79/0.41; 0.48** | **0.45** | **15** |
|
| 285 |
+
| sc-only FT, raw input | 0.596 | 0.718 | 0.094 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0 |
|
| 286 |
+
| sc-only FT, cal input | 0.609 | 0.694 | 0.113 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0 |
|
| 287 |
+
|
| 288 |
+
Baselines:
|
| 289 |
+
- Real-bulk broadcast: r 0.24, DEG 4.
|
| 290 |
+
- Leave-donor-out composition null: 0.452.
|
| 291 |
+
|
| 292 |
+
**Reading:**
|
| 293 |
+
- Whole-blood bulk is far from PBMC; the zero-shot arms fall outside the observed cell space.
|
| 294 |
+
- LoRA on the paired whole-blood bulk brings the cells back (coverage 0.86), and the ChILI signal agrees with the observed cells at r 0.48 (monocytes 0.79).
|
| 295 |
+
- The sc-only control does not work here (coverage 0.11), so the paired bulk is what teaches the whole-blood → PBMC map.
|
| 296 |
+
- Composition stays at zero-shot-cal level and worse than the cohort mean: whole-blood bulk does not carry PBMC composition.
|
| 297 |
+
|
| 298 |
+
## Results: Imperial and Giroux (2026-09-28)
|
| 299 |
+
|
| 300 |
+
**Imperial ESKD COVID** (157 samples / 57 patients; COVID+ 113 vs COVID− 34 samples; runs and scores on server_2, copied to `scores/imperial_eskd/`)
|
| 301 |
+
|
| 302 |
+
| setting | arm | comp L1 | precision | coverage | COVID logFC r (T/B/Mono/NK; mean) | partial r | top-50 DEG |
|
| 303 |
+
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|
|
| 304 |
+
| 5 pairs | zero-shot cal | 0.506 | 0.845 | 0.634 | 0.68 | 0.41 | 104 |
|
| 305 |
+
| 5 pairs | **LoRA 5** | 0.503 | 0.853 | **0.737** | **0.75** | **0.60** | **114** |
|
| 306 |
+
| 5-fold | zero-shot cal | 0.494 | 0.842 | 0.639 | 0.68/0.62/0.71/0.70 | 0.41 | 111 |
|
| 307 |
+
| 5-fold | **LoRA** | **0.376** (p 7e-11) | 0.847 | **0.850** | **0.90/0.75/0.79/0.83; 0.82** | **0.69** | **143** |
|
| 308 |
+
| 5-fold | sc-only FT + cal | 0.461 | 0.691 | 0.555 | 0.81 | 0.63 | 129 |
|
| 309 |
+
|
| 310 |
+
Baselines:
|
| 311 |
+
- Real-bulk broadcast: r 0.66, DEG 84 (75 in the 5-pair setting).
|
| 312 |
+
- Zero-shot from the sc pseudobulk: L1 0.300, r 0.68.
|
| 313 |
+
- Composition null: 0.505.
|
| 314 |
+
|
| 315 |
+
**Giroux 2022** (24 pairs / 9 subjects; severe 11 vs mild 13)
|
| 316 |
+
|
| 317 |
+
| setting | arm | comp L1 | coverage | severe-vs-mild r | partial r | top-50 DEG |
|
| 318 |
+
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 319 |
+
| 5 pairs | zero-shot cal | 0.288 | 0.944 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 1.8 |
|
| 320 |
+
| 5 pairs | **LoRA 5** | 0.256 | 0.961 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 11.6 |
|
| 321 |
+
| 5-fold | zero-shot cal | 0.266 | 0.906 | 0.31 | 0.14 | 12 |
|
| 322 |
+
| 5-fold | **LoRA** | 0.258 | 0.928 | **0.50** | **0.33** | **25** |
|
| 323 |
+
|
| 324 |
+
- Here the real-bulk broadcast beats every generated arm: r 0.64, DEG 39 (5-pair: r 0.54, DEG 25).
|
| 325 |
+
- The severe-vs-mild difference is shared across cell types.
|
| 326 |
+
- **Superseded for the disease metrics (2026-10-01):** severity is confounded with sex (scored 4 F / 0 M vs 0 F / 5 M) and the
|
| 327 |
+
observed and broadcast DEG lists were led by chrY genes. Without the 196 sex-linked genes (`scores_nosex/giroux2022/`):
|
| 328 |
+
|
| 329 |
+
| setting | arm | severe-vs-mild r | partial r | top-50 DEG |
|
| 330 |
+
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 331 |
+
| 5 pairs | zero-shot cal | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.0 |
|
| 332 |
+
| 5 pairs | **LoRA 5** | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.2 |
|
| 333 |
+
| 5-fold | zero-shot cal | 0.27 | 0.13 | 0 |
|
| 334 |
+
| 5-fold | **LoRA** | **0.46** | **0.32** | **5** |
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
- The real-bulk broadcast still beats every arm on r (5-fold 0.58, 5-pair 0.49) but not on DEG: the observed lists
|
| 337 |
+
shrink (5-fold max 123 → 101) and every overlap, broadcast included, falls to 0–5 (5-fold broadcast 5 = LoRA 5).
|
| 338 |
+
- chrY-only exclusion (`scores_nochrY/`) gives nearly the same numbers; the same exclusion moves the sex-balanced
|
| 339 |
+
cohorts' pooled r by ≤ 0.007 and DEG by ≤ 1 (`scores_nosex/README.md`).
|
| 340 |
+
|
| 341 |
+
## Five-dataset summary (LoRA vs zero-shot paired calibration)
|
| 342 |
+
|
| 343 |
+
| dataset (bulk) | cell realism (coverage) | composition | disease signal vs zero-shot | vs real-bulk broadcast |
|
| 344 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 345 |
+
| ImMicro (PBMC, healthy) | ↑ both settings | ↑ both settings (≈ cohort-mean null) | n/a | n/a |
|
| 346 |
+
| sepsis (PBMC) | ↑ | = | ↑ (0.12 → 0.35 with 5 pairs, 0.53 with all) | above (r); ≈ (DEG) |
|
| 347 |
+
| Ji (whole blood) | ↑↑ (0.11 → 0.71–0.86) | = | ↑ (0.14 → 0.33 / 0.48) | above (r and DEG) |
|
| 348 |
+
| Imperial (PBMC) | ↑ | = with 5 pairs, ↑ with all | ↑ (0.68 → 0.75 / 0.82; DEG 104 → 114 / 143) | above (r and DEG) |
|
| 349 |
+
| Giroux (PBMC, 9 subjects; sex-linked genes excluded) | ≈ (already high) | = | ↑ (0.23 → 0.30 / 0.27 → 0.46) | below (r); DEG ≈ 0 for all |
|
| 350 |
+
|
| 351 |
+
## Recommended protocol (user decision 2026-09-28: recommend LoRA)
|
| 352 |
+
|
| 353 |
+
1. **Backbone:** the public pseudobulk-pretrained final model (6k, 1×, E16), frozen.
|
| 354 |
+
2. **Paired data:** the user's paired bulk + scRNA from the same sample (raw counts, canonical 20,097 axis, measured masks); check identity (sex genes, expression match).
|
| 355 |
+
- Hold out about 10 % of the pairs, and at least 5–7 donors, for early stopping.
|
| 356 |
+
3. **Condition:** real bulk at the fixed-depth policy (K = 1000, one depth anchor). No single-cell depth or cell count is needed at inference.
|
| 357 |
+
4. **LoRA training** (`tools/ft_sdd.py --mode lora`):
|
| 358 |
+
- Rank 16, alpha 16, on all 22 denoiser Linear layers (1.30 M trainable parameters).
|
| 359 |
+
- AdamW with lr 5e-4, warmup 200 steps, weight decay 0. Grad clip 5, bf16, EMA 0.999.
|
| 360 |
+
- Donor-balanced batches of 256 cells: draw a donor uniformly, then one of its cells; the condition is that donor's real bulk.
|
| 361 |
+
- Inner-validation loss every 250 steps; stop after 2,000 steps without improvement; cap at 20,000 steps; keep the best EMA state.
|
| 362 |
+
- Merge the LoRA into the weights; the standard sampler then works unchanged.
|
| 363 |
+
5. **Apply** only to bulk made with the same bulk protocol as the training pairs.
|
| 364 |
+
|
| 365 |
+
**What was run** (LoRA, per fold):
|
| 366 |
+
|
| 367 |
+
| dataset | train donors | inner-val donors | train cells | selected step | cell-epochs at selection | wall time |
|
| 368 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---|---:|
|
| 369 |
+
| ImMicro | 78–79 | 7 | ~290 k | 19,500–20,000 (cap reached, loss still falling) | ~17–18 | ~13 min |
|
| 370 |
+
| sepsis | 58–59 | 7–8 | ~410–426 k | 3,750–13,000 (early stop) | 2.4–8.0, mostly ~4 | 4–11 min |
|
| 371 |
+
|
| 372 |
+
**Open questions being tested:**
|
| 373 |
+
- The minimum number of pairs is not known.
|
| 374 |
+
- Whether varied K helps is not known.
|
| 375 |
+
|
| 376 |
+
## LoRA learning curve (2026-09-28)
|
| 377 |
+
|
| 378 |
+
One nested subset per fold and n; the inner-validation donors (7–8) sit outside the training subset.
|
| 379 |
+
|
| 380 |
+
**Sepsis** (pooled over all 82 donors; contrast 61 vs 21):
|
| 381 |
+
|
| 382 |
+
| training pairs | comp L1 | precision | coverage | sepsis-vs-control logFC r (T/B/Mono/NK; mean) | partial r beyond broadcast | selected steps |
|
| 383 |
+
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---|
|
| 384 |
+
| 0 (zero-shot paired cal) | 0.401 | 0.903 | 0.431 | 0.04/0.16/0.25/0.04; 0.12 | 0.04 | — |
|
| 385 |
+
| 5 | 0.428 | 0.911 | 0.767 | 0.36/0.37/0.25/0.19; 0.29 | 0.25 | 2,000–3,000 |
|
| 386 |
+
| 10 | 0.390 | 0.916 | 0.786 | 0.54/0.49/0.33/0.32; 0.42 | 0.37 | 2,000–3,250 |
|
| 387 |
+
| 20 | 0.380 | 0.927 | 0.807 | 0.43/0.33/0.47/0.24; 0.37 | 0.30 | 2,500–4,000 |
|
| 388 |
+
| 40 | 0.365 | 0.922 | 0.818 | 0.57/0.52/0.52/0.29; 0.48 | 0.40 | 3,000–7,000 |
|
| 389 |
+
| 58 (all) | 0.362 | 0.926 | 0.829 | 0.63/0.57/0.58/0.34; 0.53 | 0.47 | 3,750–13,000 |
|
| 390 |
+
|
| 391 |
+
Reference rows:
|
| 392 |
+
- Real-bulk broadcast: mean r 0.32.
|
| 393 |
+
- sc-only FT with all 58 donors + paired cal: 0.30.
|
| 394 |
+
- Zero-shot from the sc-derived pseudobulk: 0.47, with composition 0.233.
|
| 395 |
+
|
| 396 |
+
**ImMicro** (folds 0–3, 86 donors, per-fold scoring; the selected-step column includes fold 4):
|
| 397 |
+
|
| 398 |
+
| training pairs | comp L1 (better than zero-shot cal in, p) | coverage | across-donor fraction r (T/B/Mono/NK) | selected steps |
|
| 399 |
+
|---:|---|---:|---|---|
|
| 400 |
+
| 0 (zero-shot paired cal) | 0.206 | 0.724 | 0.65/0.68/0.85/0.47 | — |
|
| 401 |
+
| 5 | 0.176 (70 %, 4e-5) | 0.920 | 0.62/0.71/0.82/0.19 | 2,750–5,000 |
|
| 402 |
+
| 10 | 0.193 (60 %, 0.05) | 0.890 | 0.56/0.72/0.75/0.45 | 3,250–19,500 |
|
| 403 |
+
| 20 | 0.178 (70 %, 1e-4) | 0.898 | 0.63/0.73/0.78/0.61 | 5,250–20,000 (4 of 5 folds at cap) |
|
| 404 |
+
| 40 | 0.171 (73 %, 3e-5) | 0.910 | 0.69/0.75/0.82/0.70 | cap |
|
| 405 |
+
| 78–79 (all) | 0.168 (65 %, 6e-6) | 0.917 | 0.74/0.75/0.88/0.72 | cap |
|
| 406 |
+
|
| 407 |
+
**Reading:**
|
| 408 |
+
- **Five pairs already fix most of the systematic real-bulk shift.**
|
| 409 |
+
- Coverage jumps from 0.43/0.72 to 0.77/0.92.
|
| 410 |
+
- ImMicro composition drops from 0.206 to 0.176.
|
| 411 |
+
- **Donor-level ranking and the disease signal keep improving with more pairs.**
|
| 412 |
+
- ImMicro NK r goes 0.19 → 0.45 → 0.61 → 0.70 → 0.72.
|
| 413 |
+
- Sepsis contrast goes 0.29 → 0.42 → 0.37 → 0.48 → 0.53. The dip at 20 is one subset per fold, so it is noise-level.
|
| 414 |
+
- About 10 pairs already beat the real-bulk broadcast in sepsis.
|
| 415 |
+
- With few pairs, early stopping lands at about 2,000–3,000 steps. That is a usable fixed schedule when no pairs can be spared for inner validation.
|
| 416 |
+
|
| 417 |
+
**ImMicro, all five folds pooled (107 donors; reference = all 107 donors):**
|
| 418 |
+
|
| 419 |
+
| training pairs | comp L1 (vs zero-shot cal, p) | across-donor NK r |
|
| 420 |
+
|---:|---|---:|
|
| 421 |
+
| 5 | 0.171 (2e-5) | 0.20 |
|
| 422 |
+
| 10 | 0.188 (0.06) | 0.40 |
|
| 423 |
+
| 20 | 0.172 (4e-5) | 0.56 |
|
| 424 |
+
| 40 | 0.171 (1e-4) | 0.70 |
|
| 425 |
+
| all | 0.162 (2e-7) | 0.70 |
|
| 426 |
+
|
| 427 |
+
Zero-shot paired cal gives L1 0.199.
|
| 428 |
+
|
| 429 |
+
## K augmentation (2026-09-28)
|
| 430 |
+
|
| 431 |
+
**Sepsis, pooled over 82 donors; each arm vs plain LoRA:**
|
| 432 |
+
|
| 433 |
+
| arm | comp L1 | coverage | sepsis-vs-control r (mean) | partial r beyond broadcast |
|
| 434 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 435 |
+
| plain LoRA (K = 1000) | 0.362 | 0.829 | 0.527 | 0.469 |
|
| 436 |
+
| multi-K real bulk (K 250–4000) | 0.366 (p 0.70) | 0.819 | 0.509 | 0.447 |
|
| 437 |
+
| + half-batch pretraining recipes | 0.365 (p 0.73) | 0.817 | 0.496 | 0.431 |
|
| 438 |
+
|
| 439 |
+
- Inner-validation losses were within 0.0001 of plain LoRA in every fold.
|
| 440 |
+
- Neither augmentation helps: every metric is equal or slightly worse.
|
| 441 |
+
|
| 442 |
+
**ImMicro, pooled over 107 donors:**
|
| 443 |
+
|
| 444 |
+
| arm | comp L1 (vs plain LoRA, p) | precision | coverage | across-donor r (T/B/Mono/NK) |
|
| 445 |
+
|---|---|---:|---:|---|
|
| 446 |
+
| plain LoRA | 0.162 | 0.924 | 0.784 | 0.74/0.75/0.86/0.70 |
|
| 447 |
+
| multi-K | 0.168 (p 0.04, worse) | 0.928 | 0.775 | 0.74/0.76/0.85/0.66 |
|
| 448 |
+
| recipes | 0.161 (p 0.75) | 0.933 | 0.766 | 0.78/0.78/0.86/0.65 |
|
| 449 |
+
|
| 450 |
+
Inner-validation losses were within 0.0001 of plain LoRA in every fold.
|
| 451 |
+
|
| 452 |
+
**Conclusion:**
|
| 453 |
+
- Varying K brings no gain in either dataset. On the real-bulk side K is only a scale label.
|
| 454 |
+
- Recipes repeat the pretraining task, which does not teach the real-bulk mapping.
|
| 455 |
+
- The protocol keeps a single K = 1000 for the real-bulk condition.
|
| 456 |
+
|
| 457 |
+
## Running (2026-09-28)
|
| 458 |
+
|
| 459 |
+
- **LoRA learning curve:**
|
| 460 |
+
- n training donors ∈ {5, 10, 20, 40}, nested and stratified (sepsis keeps its case:control ratio), subset seed 1000 + fold.
|
| 461 |
+
- Inner-validation and test rows are unchanged. `--train-n` in `ft_sdd.py`.
|
| 462 |
+
- Queues `*_lora_learning_curve.txt`: sepsis first, then ImMicro.
|
| 463 |
+
- **K augmentation** (`tools/ft_sdd_aug.py`, queues `*_lora_aug.txt`, after the learning curve):
|
| 464 |
+
- `lora_multik`: each training cell sees its donor's real bulk at K ∈ {250, 500, 1000, 2000, 4000}, with the per-cell depth kept.
|
| 465 |
+
- `lora_recipe`: half of each batch comes from one pretraining-style recipe. A recipe is K cells of one training donor (K from the pretraining grid, capped at that donor's cell count); its condition is their full-axis pseudobulk at recipe size K.
|
| 466 |
+
- Recipes need the full-axis cells in `data/<dataset>/cells_full.npz`, built by `tools/build_full_cells.py`. Their panel columns equal `cells_panel6k.npz` and their per-row sums equal `pseudo_raw_sum`.
|
| 467 |
+
- **Automation:** fold scoring, aggregation and pooled scoring follow automatically (`ft-lc-finalize-*`, `ft-aug-finalize-*` units).
|
| 468 |
+
|
| 469 |
+
## Queue
|
| 470 |
+
|
| 471 |
+
- Sepsis fold 0 pilot (same eight arms) → ImMicro folds 1–4 → sepsis folds 1–4.
|
| 472 |
+
- Arms for folds 1–4: zero-shot raw/cal/pseudo, FT full, FT LoRA, sc-only FT control.
|
| 473 |
+
- Chained as systemd user units (`ft-*`), logs in `logs/`.
|
| 474 |
+
|
| 475 |
+
## Additions of 2026-10-02 (CPU analyses + one GPU sampling step)
|
| 476 |
+
|
| 477 |
+
**No-pair x = 0 of the learning curve: exon-length-corrected zero-shot.** The learning curve's x = 0 used zero-shot +
|
| 478 |
+
calibration with alpha from every training pair of the fold, which is not "0 pairs" (user, 2026-10-02). It is replaced
|
| 479 |
+
by two arms that use no paired data:
|
| 480 |
+
- the real bulk as measured (pooled `zs__raw`);
|
| 481 |
+
- the same bulk after exon-length correction (`zs__len`). Counts are divided by the Ensembl union-exon kb, using the
|
| 482 |
+
`conditions_more` rule imported unchanged. The rest is the same fixed-depth arithmetic.
|
| 483 |
+
|
| 484 |
+
How the `zs__len` arm was built and scored:
|
| 485 |
+
- **Conditions:** `tools/build_tpm_zeroshot.py` writes `data/<ds>/zeroshot_tpm_20261002/all_usable_tpm.npz`. The raw arm
|
| 486 |
+
rebuilt through the same path equals `fewshot_n5/all_usable_raw.npz` bit for bit. Sepsis loses 112 measured genes
|
| 487 |
+
that have no valid length.
|
| 488 |
+
- **Sampling:** `tools/sample_lockwait.sh` runs the same sampler flags as `sample_queue.sh` and queues on the GPU lock
|
| 489 |
+
through `ml-run`. Seed 20260927 gives the same per-cell noise as the raw all-usable arm. Outputs:
|
| 490 |
+
`generated/<ds>/zeroshot_tpm_20261002/zs__tpm_all.npz`, server_1, with receipts.
|
| 491 |
+
- **Scoring:** `tools/score_tpm_zeroshot.sh` writes `scores/<ds>/zeroshot_tpm_20261002/pooled/`. It uses the same
|
| 492 |
+
donors and reference cells as `scores/<ds>/pooled`, and its `zs__raw` arm reproduces the pooled call. The pooled raw
|
| 493 |
+
NPZ and conditions were read from sha-checked copies of the server_2 originals; the copies were deleted after
|
| 494 |
+
scoring.
|
| 495 |
+
|
| 496 |
+
| pooled, 5-fold donors | composition L1 | precision | coverage | sepsis logFC r | sepsis top-50 DEG |
|
| 497 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 498 |
+
| ImMicro, as measured / length-corrected / calibration (all pairs) | 0.455 / 0.420 / 0.199 | 0.680 / 0.889 / 0.905 | 0.192 / 0.505 / 0.527 | | |
|
| 499 |
+
| Sepsis, as measured / length-corrected / calibration (all pairs) | 0.511 / 0.557 / 0.401 | 0.614 / 0.816 / 0.903 | 0.067 / 0.399 / 0.431 | −0.01 / 0.11 / 0.12 | 9 / 11 / 11 |
|
| 500 |
+
|
| 501 |
+
Length correction alone recovers most of the coverage that calibration gives, without any pair. It does not fix
|
| 502 |
+
composition (ImMicro L1 0.42; sepsis gets worse) or the disease signal (r 0.11). Deck section 8 and paper Fig. 3 now
|
| 503 |
+
show both no-pair points at x = 0. The rightmost point is labelled with its training-pair count (78–79 / 58–59), not
|
| 504 |
+
"all".
|
| 505 |
+
|
| 506 |
+
**Rank and threshold-free disease metrics: `scores_contrast/`** (tools/contrast_extra.py, `contrast_extra_limma.R`,
|
| 507 |
+
`contrast_extra_tables.py`; README and TABLES.md there).
|
| 508 |
+
- **Metrics:** for every few-pair draw and every pooled call, it adds Spearman logFC r, the split-half ceiling
|
| 509 |
+
(observed vs observed, Spearman–Brown), limma-voom top-50 DEG, the chance overlap of both DE tests, CAT curves
|
| 510 |
+
(same sign, chance k / 2G) and RBO.
|
| 511 |
+
- **Checks:** 135 / 135 reproduction checks pass against the scorer's Pearson r, partial r and Welch top-50.
|
| 512 |
+
- **Findings:**
|
| 513 |
+
- The ceiling (0.88–0.96 split-half, 0.96–0.99 noise-free) is not limiting.
|
| 514 |
+
- Spearman is lower than Pearson for generated arms.
|
| 515 |
+
- In sepsis the broadcast is ahead of LoRA on Spearman and on limma top-50 (pooled 36 vs 18), while CAT and RBO
|
| 516 |
+
favour LoRA.
|
| 517 |
+
- Imperial and Ji favour LoRA on every metric; Giroux favours the broadcast on every metric.
|
| 518 |
+
- Repeated samples of one patient (Imperial, Giroux, Ji) count as separate samples in both DE tests, as in the scorer.
|
| 519 |
+
|
| 520 |
+
## No-pretraining ablation, sepsis fold 0 (2026-10-05)
|
| 521 |
+
|
| 522 |
+
**Question (user).** Is pretraining needed at all? The same model was trained from scratch on the cohort and compared
|
| 523 |
+
with the pretrained arms on the same fold-0 test donors (17: 12 sepsis, 5 controls).
|
| 524 |
+
|
| 525 |
+
**Setup.**
|
| 526 |
+
- `tools/ft_sdd_aug.py --init random`: every denoiser weight (54.2 M) is re-initialised as at the start of pretraining
|
| 527 |
+
(a fresh `ConditionalSBDDenoiser(model_config)`, torch seed 20260627) and the whole network is trained.
|
| 528 |
+
- The checkpoint still supplies the architecture, the 6k panel, the value scaler and the bulk conditioner's z-score
|
| 529 |
+
constants. These are preprocessing, not learned weights.
|
| 530 |
+
- Training: pretraining lr 2e-4, batch 256, EMA 0.999. Inner-validation selection, evaluated every 1,000 steps,
|
| 531 |
+
patience 10, at most 100k steps.
|
| 532 |
+
- Queue: `queues/ye2026_sepsis_scratch_20261005.txt`, run with `GATE=thermal` (new option in `run_queue_aug.sh` and
|
| 533 |
+
`sample_queue.sh`: thermal gate only, then wait in ml-run's lock flock, so the run interleaves with the scSemi queue).
|
| 534 |
+
- Same training donors, conditions (real bulk, K = 1,000), test rows and sampling seed as the pretrained arms.
|
| 535 |
+
- Scoring:
|
| 536 |
+
- `tools/score_scratch.sh` makes one `score_ft.py` call over all 8 arms. The comparison NPZs were copied back from
|
| 537 |
+
spark-0110 and sha-checked. Their composition, precision, coverage and logFC r reproduce `scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0`
|
| 538 |
+
exactly.
|
| 539 |
+
- `tools/compare_scratch.py` → `scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005/ablation_table.csv`.
|
| 540 |
+
- `extra_metrics.py --design scored` → `scores_extra/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005/`.
|
| 541 |
+
- Donor-level table: `ablation_extra_donor.csv`.
|
| 542 |
+
- Rare states: `plans/rare_states_screen_20261004` (`sepsis_states.py --scope fold0`).
|
| 543 |
+
|
| 544 |
+
**Results** (inner-val loss of the selected state; pretrained start 0.125, random start 1.78):
|
| 545 |
+
|
| 546 |
+
| arm | inner-val | comp L1 ↓ | coverage (dm) | C2ST kNN AUC ↓ | MMD² ↓ | pseudobulk r | logFC r (partial) | across-donor composition r | own donor top-1 | donor spread gen/obs |
|
| 547 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 548 |
+
| zero-shot (pretrained) | – | 0.451 | 0.18 (0.16) | 0.990 | 0.346 | 0.883 | 0.06 (−0.04) | 0.61 | 7/17 | 0.92 |
|
| 549 |
+
| pretrained + LoRA, 5 pairs | 0.1143 | **0.363** | 0.81 (0.92) | 0.919 | 0.072 | 0.893 | 0.23 (0.13) | **0.70** | 4/17 | **0.66** |
|
| 550 |
+
| **scratch, 5 pairs** | 0.1223 | 0.448 | 0.80 (0.92) | 0.911 | 0.069 | 0.936 | 0.18 (0.14) | **0.17** | 1/17 | **0.28** |
|
| 551 |
+
| pretrained + LoRA, 58 pairs | 0.1136 | **0.373** | 0.86 (0.96) | 0.882 | 0.052 | 0.894 | 0.49 (0.41) | 0.77 | **8/17** | 0.74 |
|
| 552 |
+
| pretrained + full FT, 58 pairs | 0.1134 | 0.388 | 0.87 (0.95) | 0.880 | 0.050 | 0.903 | 0.49 (0.39) | 0.75 | 6/17 | 0.66 |
|
| 553 |
+
| **scratch, 58 pairs** (100k steps, still improving) | 0.1154 | 0.398 | 0.86 (0.94) | 0.886 | 0.056 | 0.914 | **0.58 (0.51)** | 0.68 | 4/17 | 0.63 |
|
| 554 |
+
| pretrained + LoRA + recipes, 58 pairs | 0.1135 | 0.385 | 0.87 (0.95) | 0.887 | 0.054 | 0.892 | 0.45 (0.36) | **0.81** | 6/17 | 0.67 |
|
| 555 |
+
| **scratch + recipes, 58 pairs** (100k steps) | 0.1155 | 0.385 | **0.88 (0.95)** | 0.888 | 0.066 | 0.911 | **0.54 (0.49)** | 0.77 | 4/17 | 0.72 |
|
| 556 |
+
|
| 557 |
+
Reference rows:
|
| 558 |
+
- bulk broadcast logFC r 0.48;
|
| 559 |
+
- composition leave-one-out null 0.513;
|
| 560 |
+
- real-vs-real C2ST kNN AUC 0.57.
|
| 561 |
+
|
| 562 |
+
Top-50 DEG overlap is 0–1 in every arm: with 12 vs 5 donors the observed Welch + BH lists are nearly empty, so it does
|
| 563 |
+
not separate the arms here.
|
| 564 |
+
|
| 565 |
+
Rare states (generated / observed, depth-matched):
|
| 566 |
+
|
| 567 |
+
| state | LoRA, 5 pairs | scratch, 5 pairs | LoRA, 58 pairs | full FT, 58 pairs | scratch, 58 pairs | scratch + recipes |
|
| 568 |
+
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
|
| 569 |
+
| MS1 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.46 |
|
| 570 |
+
| C1Q-high | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 0.92 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
|
| 571 |
+
| plasmablast | 1.87 | 1.12 | 3.47 | 3.28 | 1.24 | 1.18 |
|
| 572 |
+
|
| 573 |
+
**Reading (one fold, 17 donors).**
|
| 574 |
+
1. **Cell realism and diversity do not need pretraining.**
|
| 575 |
+
- The model trained from scratch matches the pretrained arms on coverage, precision, C2ST, MMD and E_N.
|
| 576 |
+
- It does so with 58 pairs and also with only 5 pairs (35k cells).
|
| 577 |
+
2. **Disease signal does not need pretraining when there are dozens of pairs.**
|
| 578 |
+
- With 58 pairs, scratch gives the best logFC r: 0.58 vs 0.49, higher in all four cell types (T 0.64, B 0.62,
|
| 579 |
+
Mono 0.59, NK 0.46).
|
| 580 |
+
- With 5 pairs it is close to LoRA-5 (0.18 vs 0.23; partial r 0.14 vs 0.13).
|
| 581 |
+
3. **What pretraining buys is the donor-specific bulk → composition map.**
|
| 582 |
+
- With 5 pairs, scratch cannot tell donors apart:
|
| 583 |
+
- across-donor composition r is 0.17 vs 0.70;
|
| 584 |
+
- donor spread is 0.28 vs 0.66;
|
| 585 |
+
- comp L1 0.448 is as bad as zero-shot.
|
| 586 |
+
- With 58 pairs the gap narrows (0.68 vs 0.77).
|
| 587 |
+
- Recipe augmentation closes most of it (0.77; spread 0.72; comp L1 0.385).
|
| 588 |
+
- Recipes are in effect a small cohort-level version of pretraining.
|
| 589 |
+
4. **Cost.**
|
| 590 |
+
- Scratch needs 66k–100k steps: 61–86 min on GB10, and the 58-pair arms were still improving at the cap.
|
| 591 |
+
- LoRA needs 3k–7k steps: about 5 min.
|
| 592 |
+
5. **Before any claim,** folds 1–4 are needed (pooled 82 donors, as for the LoRA learning curve). Not run yet; needs
|
| 593 |
+
user approval.
|
| 594 |
+
|
| 595 |
+
**Storage.** The three checkpoints and NPZs are on spark-0110 at the same paths, sha-checked, with `.moved` markers.
|
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/queues/ye2026_sepsis_scratch_20261005.txt
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,10 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
# ye2026_sepsis no-pretraining ablation (user request 2026-10-05): same architecture, every denoiser weight randomly
|
| 2 |
+
# initialised as at the start of pretraining (--init random), full training at the pretraining lr 2e-4, inner-val early
|
| 3 |
+
# stopping (eval every 1000, patience 10, max 100k steps). Same fold-0 donors, conditions, test rows and sampling seed
|
| 4 |
+
# as the LoRA arms real_lora / lora_n5 / lora_recipe.
|
| 5 |
+
train|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_full|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/conditions_raw_fixed.npz|0|full|2e-4|--init|random|--max-steps|100000|--eval-every|1000|--patience|10
|
| 6 |
+
sample|ye2_f0_scratch_full|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_full/checkpoint_ft.pt|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/test_raw.npz|20260927|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/generated/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_full__raw.npz
|
| 7 |
+
train|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_n5|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/conditions_raw_fixed.npz|0|full|2e-4|--init|random|--max-steps|100000|--eval-every|1000|--patience|10|--train-n|5|--subset-seed|1000|--strata-regex|sepsis
|
| 8 |
+
sample|ye2_f0_scratch_n5|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_n5/checkpoint_ft.pt|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/test_raw.npz|20260927|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/generated/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_n5__raw.npz
|
| 9 |
+
train|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_recipe|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/conditions_raw_fixed.npz|0|full|2e-4|--init|random|--max-steps|100000|--eval-every|1000|--patience|10|--recipe-frac|0.5
|
| 10 |
+
sample|ye2_f0_scratch_recipe|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_recipe/checkpoint_ft.pt|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/data/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/test_raw.npz|20260927|/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/generated/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/scratch_recipe__raw.npz
|
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927/tools/compare_scratch.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,60 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
#!/usr/bin/env python3
|
| 2 |
+
"""No-pretraining ablation table (2026-10-05): fold-0 sepsis arms from scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005
|
| 3 |
+
(one score_ft.py call: comparison arms + --init random arms on the same 17 test donors) plus each fine-tuning run's
|
| 4 |
+
selected inner-validation loss. Partial r = mean over T/B/Monocyte/NK of partial_r_generated_given_broadcast
|
| 5 |
+
(mean_cp10k). Writes scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005/ablation_table.csv and prints it.
|
| 6 |
+
usage: compare_scratch.py
|
| 7 |
+
"""
|
| 8 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 9 |
+
|
| 10 |
+
import json
|
| 11 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 12 |
+
|
| 13 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 14 |
+
|
| 15 |
+
TASK = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]
|
| 16 |
+
SC = TASK / "scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005"
|
| 17 |
+
RUNS = TASK / "runs/ye2026_sepsis/fold0"
|
| 18 |
+
ORDER = [("zs__raw", None, "zero-shot (pretrained, no pairs)"),
|
| 19 |
+
("lora_n5__raw", "lora_n5", "pretrained + LoRA, 5 pairs"),
|
| 20 |
+
("scratch_n5__raw", "scratch_n5", "from scratch, 5 pairs"),
|
| 21 |
+
("real_lora__raw", "real_lora", "pretrained + LoRA, 58 pairs"),
|
| 22 |
+
("real_full__raw", "real_full", "pretrained + full FT, 58 pairs"),
|
| 23 |
+
("scratch_full__raw", "scratch_full", "from scratch, 58 pairs"),
|
| 24 |
+
("lora_recipe__raw", "lora_recipe", "pretrained + LoRA + recipes, 58 pairs"),
|
| 25 |
+
("scratch_recipe__raw", "scratch_recipe", "from scratch + recipes, 58 pairs")]
|
| 26 |
+
|
| 27 |
+
|
| 28 |
+
def main() -> int:
|
| 29 |
+
s = json.load(open(SC / "summary.json"))
|
| 30 |
+
h = s["headline"]
|
| 31 |
+
c = pd.read_csv(SC / "contrast.csv")
|
| 32 |
+
c = c[(c.statistic == "mean_cp10k") & c.celltype.isin(["T cell", "B cell", "Monocyte", "NK cell"])]
|
| 33 |
+
rows = []
|
| 34 |
+
for arm, run, desc in ORDER:
|
| 35 |
+
if arm not in h:
|
| 36 |
+
continue
|
| 37 |
+
x = h[arm]
|
| 38 |
+
rj = RUNS / run / "RUN.json" if run else None
|
| 39 |
+
r = json.load(open(rj)) if rj and rj.exists() else {}
|
| 40 |
+
cc = c[c.arm == arm]
|
| 41 |
+
rows.append({"arm": arm, "what": desc,
|
| 42 |
+
"inner_val_loss": r.get("selected_inner_val_loss"), "selected_step": r.get("selected_step"),
|
| 43 |
+
"comp_l1": x["comp_l1"], "precision": x["precision"], "coverage": x["coverage"],
|
| 44 |
+
"coverage_dm": x["coverage_dm"], "pb_r_median": x["pb_r_median"], "mono_pct_gen": x["mono_pct_gen"],
|
| 45 |
+
"logfc_r": x["contrast_mean_cp10k_r_gen"], "partial_r": cc.partial_r_generated_given_broadcast.mean(),
|
| 46 |
+
"deg_top50_4type": x["deg_top50_sum_4type"]})
|
| 47 |
+
t = pd.DataFrame(rows)
|
| 48 |
+
any_arm = next(iter(h.values()))
|
| 49 |
+
ref = {"comp_l1_obs_loo_null": any_arm["comp_l1_obs_loo_null"], "mono_pct_obs": any_arm["mono_pct_obs"],
|
| 50 |
+
"logfc_r_broadcast": any_arm["contrast_mean_cp10k_r_broadcast"],
|
| 51 |
+
"deg_top50_broadcast": any_arm["deg_top50_sum_broadcast"]}
|
| 52 |
+
t.to_csv(SC / "ablation_table.csv", index=False)
|
| 53 |
+
with pd.option_context("display.width", 250, "display.max_columns", 20):
|
| 54 |
+
print(t.round(4).to_string(index=False))
|
| 55 |
+
print("reference:", json.dumps({k: round(v, 4) for k, v in ref.items()}))
|
| 56 |
+
return 0
|
| 57 |
+
|
| 58 |
+
|
| 59 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 60 |
+
raise SystemExit(main())
|
paper-releases/pbisc-diffusion/updates/20261005T063808Z-no-pretraining-ablation-f0/diffusion/dataset/server_1/model8/plans/rare_states_screen_20261004/tools/sepsis_states.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,252 @@
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| 1 |
+
#!/usr/bin/env python3
|
| 2 |
+
"""Rare states on held-out donors of the Ye 2026 sepsis paired cohort (real bulk, LoRA; CPU only; 2026-10-05).
|
| 3 |
+
|
| 4 |
+
Arms: the pooled, cross-fitted arms of plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927 (generated/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/
|
| 5 |
+
<arm>.npz on spark-0110; every donor's cells come from the fold model that never trained on it; 82 donors x 1,500
|
| 6 |
+
cells; real bulk at K = 1,000). No new generation. The same scANVI labels as the benchmark are reused
|
| 7 |
+
(scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/arms/<arm>/labels), so the generated counts must be the benchmark's own Poisson read-out:
|
| 8 |
+
one draw over the whole NPZ (poisson_readout.poisson_integerise, seed 20260916, rows in NPZ order), then the rows of
|
| 9 |
+
generated_cells.parquet. `extract` checks this cell by cell against the benchmark's recorded umi_scoring_genes.
|
| 10 |
+
|
| 11 |
+
[--scope pooled|fold0] (default pooled; fold0 = fold-0 test donors incl. the 2026-10-05 no-pretraining arms)
|
| 12 |
+
extract ARM < NPZ bytes on stdin (ssh spark-0110 cat .../pooled/ARM.npz | sepsis_states.py extract ARM)
|
| 13 |
+
sha256 of the stream must equal the pooled receipt (generated/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/ARM.log, output_sha256).
|
| 14 |
+
Writes work/sepsis/ARM.npz: per labelled cell, counts of every marker gene of tools/states.json, the library on
|
| 15 |
+
the dataset's measured panel genes, donor, AIFI L1/L2. Nothing large is written.
|
| 16 |
+
analyze ARM [ARM ...]
|
| 17 |
+
Observed side: every cell of the scored donors (data/ye2026_sepsis/cells_panel6k.npz, benchmark observed labels).
|
| 18 |
+
States, thinning and counts exactly as tools/screen.py (one thinning constant per arm and marker state: observed
|
| 19 |
+
parent median library -> generated parent median library on the measured panel genes; label states as they
|
| 20 |
+
are). Per arm and state: "X of N" on both sides, generated / observed, Spearman over donors, and contrasts
|
| 21 |
+
(adult sepsis vs adult HC, paediatric sepsis vs paediatric HC, all sepsis vs all controls incl. ICU controls).
|
| 22 |
+
Outputs: out/sepsis_{summary,contrasts,per_donor}.csv
|
| 23 |
+
"""
|
| 24 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 25 |
+
|
| 26 |
+
import hashlib
|
| 27 |
+
import importlib.util
|
| 28 |
+
import io
|
| 29 |
+
import json
|
| 30 |
+
import sys
|
| 31 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 32 |
+
|
| 33 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 34 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 35 |
+
import scipy.sparse as sp
|
| 36 |
+
from scipy.stats import spearmanr
|
| 37 |
+
|
| 38 |
+
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent))
|
| 39 |
+
from screen import call_state, parent_mask, state_cols # noqa: E402
|
| 40 |
+
|
| 41 |
+
PLAN = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1]
|
| 42 |
+
M8 = Path("/home/sj_server_1/PBISC/immun-pbmc-fm/model_8_sparse_data_diffusion")
|
| 43 |
+
FT = M8 / "plans/paired_finetune_intradataset_20260927"
|
| 44 |
+
DATA = FT / "data/ye2026_sepsis"
|
| 45 |
+
# scope -> (generated dir with <arm>.npz + receipt <arm>.log, scores dirs searched in order for arms/<arm>/, work dir,
|
| 46 |
+
# output prefix). "pooled": the cross-fitted 82-donor arms; "fold0": the fold-0 test donors, incl. the
|
| 47 |
+
# no-pretraining (--init random) arms of 2026-10-05 scored in fold0_scratch_20261005.
|
| 48 |
+
SCOPES = {
|
| 49 |
+
"pooled": (FT / "generated/ye2026_sepsis/pooled", [FT / "scores/ye2026_sepsis/pooled/arms"],
|
| 50 |
+
PLAN / "work/sepsis", "sepsis"),
|
| 51 |
+
"fold0": (FT / "generated/ye2026_sepsis/fold0",
|
| 52 |
+
[FT / "scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0_scratch_20261005/arms", FT / "scores/ye2026_sepsis/fold0/arms"],
|
| 53 |
+
PLAN / "work/sepsis/fold0", "sepsis_fold0"),
|
| 54 |
+
}
|
| 55 |
+
REF = FT / "scoring_cache/ye2026_sepsis/reference.npz"
|
| 56 |
+
OBS_LABELS = FT / "scoring_cache/ye2026_sepsis/observed_labels/labels/labels.parquet"
|
| 57 |
+
CANON = Path("/home/sj_server_1/gblee/datalake/paired-pbmc-bulk-sc/processing/strict_qc_v1_20260913/reference/"
|
| 58 |
+
"canonical_genes.tsv")
|
| 59 |
+
POISSON_PY = M8 / "plans/aifi_scanvi_rebuild_20260916/poisson_readout.py"
|
| 60 |
+
POISSON_SEED = 20260916
|
| 61 |
+
THIN_SEED = 20261004
|
| 62 |
+
CONTRASTS = [("adult sepsis vs adult HC", ["adult_sepsis"], ["adult_HC"]),
|
| 63 |
+
("paediatric sepsis vs paediatric HC", ["ped_sepsis"], ["ped_HC"]),
|
| 64 |
+
("all sepsis vs all controls", ["adult_sepsis", "ped_sepsis"],
|
| 65 |
+
["adult_HC", "adult_ICU_ctrl", "ped_HC", "ped_ICU_ctrl"])]
|
| 66 |
+
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
+
def load_poisson():
|
| 69 |
+
spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location("poisson_readout", POISSON_PY)
|
| 70 |
+
mod = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec)
|
| 71 |
+
spec.loader.exec_module(mod)
|
| 72 |
+
return mod
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
|
| 75 |
+
def marker_genes(states: list[dict]) -> list[str]:
|
| 76 |
+
out = []
|
| 77 |
+
for st in states:
|
| 78 |
+
for g in st.get("genes", []) + [x for grp in st.get("require_any", []) for x in grp] + st.get("exclude", []):
|
| 79 |
+
if g not in out:
|
| 80 |
+
out.append(g)
|
| 81 |
+
return out
|
| 82 |
+
|
| 83 |
+
|
| 84 |
+
def panel_setup(states: list[dict]) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, list[str], np.ndarray]:
|
| 85 |
+
"""6k panel ids, measured-gene mask (any sample of the dataset), marker symbols present, their panel columns."""
|
| 86 |
+
d = np.load(DATA / "cells_panel6k.npz", allow_pickle=False)
|
| 87 |
+
panel = d["panel_gene_ids"].astype(str)
|
| 88 |
+
measured = d["panel_measured"].any(0)
|
| 89 |
+
canon = pd.read_csv(CANON, sep="\t", dtype=str)
|
| 90 |
+
sym2id = dict(zip(canon.gene_symbol, canon.gene_id))
|
| 91 |
+
pos = {g: i for i, g in enumerate(panel)}
|
| 92 |
+
syms = [g for g in marker_genes(states) if sym2id.get(g) in pos and measured[pos[sym2id[g]]]]
|
| 93 |
+
return panel, measured, syms, np.asarray([pos[sym2id[g]] for g in syms], dtype=np.int64)
|
| 94 |
+
|
| 95 |
+
|
| 96 |
+
def cmd_extract(arm: str, scope: str) -> None:
|
| 97 |
+
gen_dir, score_dirs, work, _ = SCOPES[scope]
|
| 98 |
+
sdir = next((d / arm for d in score_dirs if (d / arm / "generated_cells.parquet").exists()), None)
|
| 99 |
+
if sdir is None:
|
| 100 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: no scored labels in {score_dirs}")
|
| 101 |
+
states = json.loads((PLAN / "tools/states.json").read_text())
|
| 102 |
+
panel, measured, syms, cols = panel_setup(states)
|
| 103 |
+
raw = sys.stdin.buffer.read()
|
| 104 |
+
sha = hashlib.sha256(raw).hexdigest()
|
| 105 |
+
want = json.loads((gen_dir / f"{arm}.log").read_text())["output_sha256"]
|
| 106 |
+
if sha != want:
|
| 107 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: streamed NPZ sha256 {sha[:12]} != pooled receipt {want[:12]}")
|
| 108 |
+
d = np.load(io.BytesIO(raw), allow_pickle=False)
|
| 109 |
+
del raw
|
| 110 |
+
if not np.array_equal(d["gene_ids"].astype(str), panel):
|
| 111 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: NPZ gene_ids differ from the 6k panel")
|
| 112 |
+
rates = np.ascontiguousarray(d["generated_counts"], dtype=np.float32)
|
| 113 |
+
n_rows = rates.shape[0]
|
| 114 |
+
full = load_poisson().poisson_integerise(rates, seed=POISSON_SEED, chunk_rows=4096)
|
| 115 |
+
del rates
|
| 116 |
+
gc = pd.read_parquet(sdir / "generated_cells.parquet")
|
| 117 |
+
lab = pd.read_parquet(sdir / "labels/labels.parquet")
|
| 118 |
+
if len(gc) != len(lab) or not (lab.sample_id.astype(str).str.removesuffix("|generated").values == gc.donor.values).all():
|
| 119 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: generated_cells and labels are not row-aligned")
|
| 120 |
+
X = full[gc.npz_row.to_numpy()].tocsr()
|
| 121 |
+
del full
|
| 122 |
+
ref = np.load(REF, allow_pickle=False)
|
| 123 |
+
umi = np.asarray(X[:, ref["score_idx"]].sum(1)).ravel()
|
| 124 |
+
if not np.array_equal(umi, gc.umi_scoring_genes.to_numpy()):
|
| 125 |
+
bad = int((umi != gc.umi_scoring_genes.to_numpy()).sum())
|
| 126 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: Poisson read-out does not reproduce the benchmark ({bad} cells differ)")
|
| 127 |
+
lib = np.asarray(X[:, np.flatnonzero(measured)].sum(1)).ravel()
|
| 128 |
+
M = X[:, cols].toarray().astype(np.int32)
|
| 129 |
+
work.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
|
| 130 |
+
np.savez_compressed(work / f"{arm}.npz", markers=M, marker_symbols=np.asarray(syms), lib_measured=lib,
|
| 131 |
+
donor=np.asarray(gc.donor, dtype=str), aifi_l1=np.asarray(lab.aifi_l1, dtype=str),
|
| 132 |
+
aifi_l2=np.asarray(lab.aifi_l2, dtype=str),
|
| 133 |
+
receipt=json.dumps({"arm": arm, "npz_sha256": sha, "npz_rows": int(n_rows),
|
| 134 |
+
"cells": int(len(gc)), "poisson_seed": POISSON_SEED,
|
| 135 |
+
"umi_scoring_genes_reproduced": True}))
|
| 136 |
+
print(json.dumps({"arm": arm, "sha256_ok": True, "cells": int(len(gc)), "donors": int(gc.donor.nunique()),
|
| 137 |
+
"poisson_reproduced": True, "median_lib_measured": float(np.median(lib))}))
|
| 138 |
+
|
| 139 |
+
|
| 140 |
+
def observed(states: list[dict], donors: list[str]) -> dict:
|
| 141 |
+
_, measured, syms, cols = panel_setup(states)
|
| 142 |
+
d = np.load(DATA / "cells_panel6k.npz", allow_pickle=False)
|
| 143 |
+
X = sp.csr_matrix((d["data"], d["indices"], d["indptr"]), shape=tuple(d["shape"]))
|
| 144 |
+
obs = pd.read_parquet(DATA / "cells_obs.parquet", columns=["sample_id", "group"])
|
| 145 |
+
lab = pd.read_parquet(OBS_LABELS)
|
| 146 |
+
if len(lab) != X.shape[0] or not (lab.npz_row.to_numpy() == np.arange(X.shape[0])).all():
|
| 147 |
+
raise SystemExit("observed labels not aligned with cells_panel6k.npz")
|
| 148 |
+
keep = np.flatnonzero(obs.sample_id.isin(donors).to_numpy())
|
| 149 |
+
Xk = X[keep]
|
| 150 |
+
return {"markers": Xk[:, cols].toarray().astype(np.int32), "marker_symbols": syms,
|
| 151 |
+
"lib": np.asarray(Xk[:, np.flatnonzero(measured)].sum(1)).ravel(),
|
| 152 |
+
"donor": obs.sample_id.to_numpy()[keep].astype(str),
|
| 153 |
+
"lab": lab.iloc[keep][["aifi_l1", "aifi_l2"]].reset_index(drop=True),
|
| 154 |
+
"groups": obs.drop_duplicates("sample_id").set_index("sample_id").group}
|
| 155 |
+
|
| 156 |
+
|
| 157 |
+
def cmd_analyze(arms: list[str], scope: str) -> None:
|
| 158 |
+
_, _, work, prefix = SCOPES[scope]
|
| 159 |
+
states = json.loads((PLAN / "tools/states.json").read_text())
|
| 160 |
+
gens = {a: np.load(work / f"{a}.npz", allow_pickle=False) for a in arms}
|
| 161 |
+
donors = sorted(set(gens[arms[0]]["donor"]))
|
| 162 |
+
for a in arms:
|
| 163 |
+
if sorted(set(gens[a]["donor"])) != donors:
|
| 164 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{a}: scored donors differ from {arms[0]}")
|
| 165 |
+
ob = observed(states, donors)
|
| 166 |
+
groups = ob["groups"]
|
| 167 |
+
rng = np.random.default_rng(THIN_SEED)
|
| 168 |
+
per, summ, con = [], [], []
|
| 169 |
+
for arm in arms:
|
| 170 |
+
g = gens[arm]
|
| 171 |
+
syms = list(g["marker_symbols"].astype(str))
|
| 172 |
+
if syms != ob["marker_symbols"]:
|
| 173 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"{arm}: marker columns differ from the observed side")
|
| 174 |
+
sym2col = {s: i for i, s in enumerate(syms)}
|
| 175 |
+
lg = pd.DataFrame({"aifi_l1": g["aifi_l1"], "aifi_l2": g["aifi_l2"]})
|
| 176 |
+
for st in states:
|
| 177 |
+
po, pg = parent_mask(ob["lab"], st["parent"]), parent_mask(lg, st["parent"])
|
| 178 |
+
if st["kind"] == "label":
|
| 179 |
+
ho = ob["lab"].aifi_l2.isin(st["labels"]).to_numpy() & po
|
| 180 |
+
hg = lg.aifi_l2.isin(st["labels"]).to_numpy() & pg
|
| 181 |
+
ht, thin = ho, 1.0
|
| 182 |
+
else:
|
| 183 |
+
ident = {s: s for s in syms}
|
| 184 |
+
_, pcols, req, exc = state_cols(st, ident, sym2col)
|
| 185 |
+
c = pcols + [x for r in req for x in r] + exc
|
| 186 |
+
thin = min(1.0, float(np.median(g["lib_measured"][pg])) / float(np.median(ob["lib"][po])))
|
| 187 |
+
co = ob["markers"][:, c].astype(np.int64)
|
| 188 |
+
ho = call_state(co, st, len(pcols), req, exc) & po
|
| 189 |
+
ct = rng.binomial(co, thin) if thin < 1.0 else co
|
| 190 |
+
ht = call_state(ct, st, len(pcols), req, exc) & po
|
| 191 |
+
hg = call_state(g["markers"][:, c], st, len(pcols), req, exc) & pg
|
| 192 |
+
rows = []
|
| 193 |
+
for s in donors:
|
| 194 |
+
mo, mg = ob["donor"] == s, g["donor"] == s
|
| 195 |
+
rows.append({"arm": arm, "state": st["name"], "donor": s, "group": groups.get(s),
|
| 196 |
+
"obs_parent": int((po & mo).sum()), "obs_state": int((ho & mo).sum()),
|
| 197 |
+
"obsthin_state": int((ht & mo).sum()),
|
| 198 |
+
"gen_parent": int((pg & mg).sum()), "gen_state": int((hg & mg).sum())})
|
| 199 |
+
t = pd.DataFrame(rows)
|
| 200 |
+
t["obsthin_pct"] = 100 * t.obsthin_state / t.obs_parent.where(t.obs_parent > 0)
|
| 201 |
+
t["gen_pct"] = 100 * t.gen_state / t.gen_parent.where(t.gen_parent > 0)
|
| 202 |
+
per.append(t)
|
| 203 |
+
ok = t[["gen_pct", "obsthin_pct"]].dropna()
|
| 204 |
+
rho = float(spearmanr(ok.gen_pct, ok.obsthin_pct).correlation) if len(ok) > 2 else np.nan
|
| 205 |
+
ro = 100 * t.obsthin_state.sum() / max(t.obs_parent.sum(), 1)
|
| 206 |
+
rg = 100 * t.gen_state.sum() / max(t.gen_parent.sum(), 1)
|
| 207 |
+
summ.append({"arm": arm, "state": st["name"], "thin": round(thin, 3),
|
| 208 |
+
"gen": f"{int(t.gen_state.sum()):,} / {int(t.gen_parent.sum()):,}",
|
| 209 |
+
"obs_thinned": f"{int(t.obsthin_state.sum()):,} / {int(t.obs_parent.sum()):,}",
|
| 210 |
+
"obs_native_n": int(t.obs_state.sum()), "gen_pct": rg, "obs_pct": ro,
|
| 211 |
+
"gen_over_obs": rg / ro if ro else np.nan, "spearman_donors": rho})
|
| 212 |
+
for name, A, B in CONTRASTS:
|
| 213 |
+
ga, gb = t[t.group.isin(A)], t[t.group.isin(B)]
|
| 214 |
+
con.append({"arm": arm, "state": st["name"], "contrast": name, "n_a": len(ga), "n_b": len(gb),
|
| 215 |
+
"obs_a": f"{int(ga.obsthin_state.sum())} / {int(ga.obs_parent.sum())}",
|
| 216 |
+
"obs_b": f"{int(gb.obsthin_state.sum())} / {int(gb.obs_parent.sum())}",
|
| 217 |
+
"gen_a": f"{int(ga.gen_state.sum())} / {int(ga.gen_parent.sum())}",
|
| 218 |
+
"gen_b": f"{int(gb.gen_state.sum())} / {int(gb.gen_parent.sum())}",
|
| 219 |
+
"obs_diff": ga.obsthin_pct.mean() - gb.obsthin_pct.mean(),
|
| 220 |
+
"gen_diff": ga.gen_pct.mean() - gb.gen_pct.mean()})
|
| 221 |
+
C = pd.DataFrame(con)
|
| 222 |
+
C["same_direction"] = np.sign(C.obs_diff) == np.sign(C.gen_diff)
|
| 223 |
+
S = pd.DataFrame(summ)
|
| 224 |
+
out = PLAN / "out"
|
| 225 |
+
pd.concat(per).to_csv(out / f"{prefix}_per_donor.csv", index=False)
|
| 226 |
+
S.to_csv(out / f"{prefix}_summary.csv", index=False)
|
| 227 |
+
C.to_csv(out / f"{prefix}_contrasts.csv", index=False)
|
| 228 |
+
with pd.option_context("display.width", 250, "display.max_columns", 30, "display.max_rows", 500):
|
| 229 |
+
print(S.round(3).to_string(index=False))
|
| 230 |
+
print(C.round(2).to_string(index=False))
|
| 231 |
+
|
| 232 |
+
|
| 233 |
+
def main() -> int:
|
| 234 |
+
args = sys.argv[1:]
|
| 235 |
+
scope = "pooled"
|
| 236 |
+
if "--scope" in args:
|
| 237 |
+
i = args.index("--scope")
|
| 238 |
+
scope = args[i + 1]
|
| 239 |
+
del args[i:i + 2]
|
| 240 |
+
if scope not in SCOPES:
|
| 241 |
+
raise SystemExit(f"--scope must be one of {list(SCOPES)}")
|
| 242 |
+
if len(args) >= 2 and args[0] == "extract":
|
| 243 |
+
cmd_extract(args[1], scope)
|
| 244 |
+
elif len(args) >= 2 and args[0] == "analyze":
|
| 245 |
+
cmd_analyze(args[1:], scope)
|
| 246 |
+
else:
|
| 247 |
+
raise SystemExit(__doc__)
|
| 248 |
+
return 0
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
|
| 251 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 252 |
+
sys.exit(main())
|