| { |
| "allocation_gpus": 4, |
| "cache_policy": "Fresh process and Ray/runtime identifiers per period. Shared immutable model snapshot and identical preparation; writable compiler/cache policy identical between periods and recorded by runner. Order randomization does not eliminate all thermal/cache carryover. No hardware-confinement claim from a mask alone.", |
| "classifier": { |
| "C": 1.0, |
| "class_weight": "balanced", |
| "convergence": "ConvergenceWarning or nonfinite parameters is a hard failure", |
| "decision": "argmax; no probability calibration or safety interpretation", |
| "implementation": "sklearn.linear_model.LogisticRegression", |
| "max_iter": 10000, |
| "multi_class": "multinomial", |
| "penalty": "l2", |
| "random_state": 20260915, |
| "scaling": "Training-fold StandardScaler", |
| "solver": "lbfgs" |
| }, |
| "collection_order_seed": 2026091503, |
| "comparison": "Two versus four task GPUs on the same four-GPU allocation; matched global prompts, compound level, seed, source and horizon. Generated responses may differ; this is the total execution consequence, not identical tensor work or pure memory sharding.", |
| "component_regression": "Ordinary nonnegative least squares with intercept, maxiter10000, float64. Only configurations with three completed repeats supply numerical targets, their maximum external completed peak. Feature divisors=max(training-completion feature max,1). This is empirical whole-run component regression, not exact tensor liveness or a sum/max of measured stage peaks. Intercept and coefficients jointly fit runtime/activation effects; coefficients are not causal components.", |
| "cost": "Report full permitted fitting pool's actual attempts separately from donor-copy selected subset. Completed-only regression still reports full pool acquisition. Existing source reuse has zero incremental GPU collection; a cold start does not. CPU fitting/prediction time separately.", |
| "cost_scope": "Both periods reserve four GPUs. Report task-provisioned GPU-time (2*t2+4*t4), reservation during invocations 4*(t2+t4), and whole allocation4*T separately. Include failed/unresolved work; queue wait is separate. None is utilization-weighted time.", |
| "data_sha256": { |
| "data/codecontests/heavy_tail/test.parquet": "e9d077a023de7f80aa013c5541c33b5978a43e203ce916045bc72c4fe5c62a82", |
| "data/codecontests/heavy_tail/train.parquet": "0bc6ec8fd7ef1618a604417faa4bb13cb9a0117dcffb75685b2c80c1da95f697", |
| "data/gsm8k/test.parquet": "0dcd50ed32caa9d8f434d4e3ef8031bc3e49b0f823655a53be5c002e727f17dd", |
| "data/gsm8k/train.parquet": "8fb13a0cd8621e5fcacdee3ffe28b3a369975478ea7ab514781f3f190cba2488", |
| "data/math/test.parquet": "e0cb48b1e49874c71f4a02dff944eba08844067d98dc5bdc89c004644e6b597d", |
| "data/math/train.parquet": "4aa303577e968be6f810600730c970b14be659a9ae9072cc2afefd04d67e7cb8" |
| }, |
| "device_capacity_mib": 40960, |
| "donor_rule": "Same workload and compound level required. Prefer same GPU count, then same architecture-family prior, then smallest absolute log parameter-count ratio; tie-break by configuration_id. A missing exact GPU match uses a disclosed different-GPU donor. No outcomes affect donor selection.", |
| "evaluation_seeds": [ |
| 151, |
| 152, |
| 153 |
| ], |
| "failure_policy": "No reruns/replacements/requeues. Each period has a persistent launch ledger. Continue the second period after any first-period outcome only after all four devices pass identity/cleanup/idle checks. Otherwise retain not-started. Missing GPU identity/evidence is unresolved, not OOM. Early validated OOM need not reach full worker initialization. Do not drop incomplete pairs.", |
| "feature_scope": "Architecture/checkpoint-header and configured shape volumes only. Largest-unit proxy=max(largest decoder block, root non-block elements, largest weight tensor); not an observed wrapping map. Checkpoint-boundary and vocabulary-output volumes are predictive covariates, not exact live activation totals. No source identity, dataset name, compound level, actual generated length or outcome appears as a numeric feature.", |
| "features": [ |
| "actor_shards_gib", |
| "adapter_optimizer_gib", |
| "generation_budget_gib", |
| "generation_replica_gib", |
| "largest_unit_proxy_gib", |
| "checkpoint_boundary_volume_gib", |
| "vocabulary_output_volume_gib", |
| "actor_parameter_offload" |
| ], |
| "frozen_at_utc": "2026-09-15T13:33:20.483317+00:00", |
| "gpus": "NVIDIA A100-SXM4-40GB", |
| "input_sha256": { |
| "benchmark/attempts.csv": "397c8caaf0d3abe06587fd649c181fe71d5b8b5f5e24e0591cc7e56d38e275c1", |
| "benchmark/configurations.csv": "3a77c96a67b82e01d23fb6f7a440cba23041bed1dae2749072cb9abb5b5d239d", |
| "benchmark/estimation/matrix.csv": "1ff175e22c76bf1af3857b4ae57cd4f78bafe0d280a295d696e96815ef85e9c8", |
| "benchmark/estimation/model_metadata.json": "2f0ce16c13e72900d2a60f9b7ad28d4dc5ed43d7915d8a88925ba9c5ffd684ad", |
| "benchmark/estimation/targets.csv": "f2481278127fa726f24297d81fc9df46e999315fe543167ed398e671fffa522f", |
| "benchmark/outcomes.csv": "af05cd91ed1de843735cc188e5e54dbd1645b3ed91c97f503ac3de67bc5f61c9", |
| "memory_tuner/estimation_baselines.py": "0658f92a18147fd67909ca49fa3dc32020217cfd61d34651161c95baa80dd55a", |
| "memory_tuner/model_memory_metadata.py": "8845a1197b49d9463ebe5dc8c953463dd2106361c54e7b12244057c48aaa2712", |
| "memory_tuner/plan_estimation_study.py": "16855f584441528870fcca38c3a19eafd1234c3eacb9b43cc9eebdd4bd6ad862" |
| }, |
| "label_mapping": "Component regression first rejects a positive resident-actor startup-budget check as memory_failure. Otherwise regression peak > capacity predicts memory_failure; otherwise > margin predicts above_margin; otherwise within_margin. This is an evaluated heuristic, not a claim that every allocation failure requires an observed capacity crossing.", |
| "memory_margin_limit_mib": 38912, |
| "model": "Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct", |
| "model_revision": "a09a35458c702b33eeacc393d103063234e8bc28", |
| "outcome_rule": "A configuration has a repeated memory label only if all three seed slots have validated memory outcomes. Any diagnosed memory failure then implies memory_failure; otherwise any completed peak above38912MiB implies above_margin; otherwise within_margin. Unresolved/not-started slots remain explicit with known failure/margin flags, not replaced or discarded.", |
| "pair_order_seed": 2026091501, |
| "planned_pairs": 18, |
| "planned_processes": 36, |
| "prior_visibility": "Old labels and prior manuscript findings were public during design. Retrospective holdout is not blind method development. Historical7B exploratory work used other workflows and is excluded from fitting/selection. New standardGRPO predictions are frozen before their outcomes, not an unseen-family/hardware evaluation.", |
| "prospective_design": "All 90 old configurations fit predictions for 12 new 7B configurations before execution.", |
| "protocol_version": "estimation-1.0", |
| "randomization": "9 two-GPU-first and 9 four-GPU-first pairs, balanced as closely as possible within each three-seed workload/level cell. Each of six two-of-four allocation-ordinal subsets occurs three times, assigned independently of period order. Physical UUIDs resolve before either period.", |
| "resource_cap": { |
| "gpus_per_allocation": 4, |
| "idle_timeout_seconds": 180, |
| "initial_allocations": 18, |
| "max_concurrent_allocations": 3, |
| "maximum_reserved_gpu_hours": 66, |
| "payload_timeout_seconds": 1500, |
| "requeue": false, |
| "retries": 0, |
| "wall_minutes_per_allocation": 55 |
| }, |
| "retrospective_design": "Three leave-model-family-out folds, 60 fitting / 30 test configurations each.", |
| "source_configuration_ids": [ |
| "cfg-072bd7669d20f8fa", |
| "cfg-0d9ba9215ab5683e", |
| "cfg-0f540d3f6fe4661b", |
| "cfg-0f8a31ef7ac4c551", |
| "cfg-10644b5d0a82d5c3", |
| "cfg-1432bb8a4d9c3b8c", |
| "cfg-17e69bcf1b041bd9", |
| "cfg-18285c3cb50308d4", |
| "cfg-1c5278f8be90a50a", |
| "cfg-2afbe250af9cd3e1", |
| "cfg-301e4dae7048c6ec", |
| "cfg-30f98456fdb322c1", |
| "cfg-32977d5aa42a41cb", |
| "cfg-338d9224eb9d2f3a", |
| "cfg-352f4dbc55fbcd3c", |
| "cfg-371ae37408089efe", |
| "cfg-399f6b038d6f65f9", |
| "cfg-3c86a11fdb8455cb", |
| "cfg-3dc042a103546eac", |
| "cfg-3f0f48a3c570a0c8", |
| "cfg-49d9bccfe873f5c6", |
| "cfg-5244d13eac3116ad", |
| "cfg-55811d23c5144bb7", |
| "cfg-5839ccf95c2c1722", |
| "cfg-5ff9621270e710ed", |
| "cfg-61c14de21a34d0e6", |
| "cfg-62f371a80968a0ba", |
| "cfg-6a4562db98b38d6f", |
| "cfg-6d54ac65d934f404", |
| "cfg-714c540f76d9525d", |
| "cfg-73c06764ba28a56b", |
| "cfg-78c440d3891ddbc2", |
| "cfg-7a0e81934d3398ee", |
| "cfg-7a9a974958c57abc", |
| "cfg-7df2428553b76877", |
| "cfg-7f23cab692546e3f", |
| "cfg-835067f7405e89a2", |
| "cfg-896685010703c0fb", |
| "cfg-89ca48ce88ea694e", |
| "cfg-8bd7050cd7f49e78", |
| "cfg-9160dc45a0171a10", |
| "cfg-93d4f41e600c9079", |
| "cfg-966f5804dc918967", |
| "cfg-96ccf395b84393f7", |
| "cfg-97107ceba8bf0cbe", |
| "cfg-9758870c0a0b4d69", |
| "cfg-9c461415e6bb9702", |
| "cfg-9f624ec22aa3dde0", |
| "cfg-a026693bae37d30b", |
| "cfg-a23a9ffc1f670139", |
| "cfg-a24e9cdd2f6143f2", |
| "cfg-a3987314cb2f9f12", |
| "cfg-a94bf7877633dfda", |
| "cfg-aa33c72e0a449b9c", |
| "cfg-acfa4acda15c3599", |
| "cfg-b5007322fb2e1772", |
| "cfg-b5352215babfeba6", |
| "cfg-b56fb353c2f2fa3e", |
| "cfg-b8dd70ab682c13b2", |
| "cfg-b8e90bd69c9744ea", |
| "cfg-bae2977da7957f72", |
| "cfg-bfb83ff32b7fd921", |
| "cfg-c0605c1607caa079", |
| "cfg-c2a8e6e8e140e109", |
| "cfg-c3f0ad157d299d39", |
| "cfg-ca71b56dc3189305", |
| "cfg-cad8341dbbff10ba", |
| "cfg-cc2c35944156e5d4", |
| "cfg-cc5f4f0c2e1256ba", |
| "cfg-cc900fb7731c3f49", |
| "cfg-cd3974595f9db882", |
| "cfg-d02503f8c9804a2d", |
| "cfg-d138048feeb8fe5d", |
| "cfg-d4a213515805a9a7", |
| "cfg-d9397d15f234d541", |
| "cfg-db87c67536995ab0", |
| "cfg-e117f15dd5ccfb30", |
| "cfg-e2a205be8efba055", |
| "cfg-e8893b12558f51dd", |
| "cfg-e91942abb5b4f847", |
| "cfg-ea5a23a40ad5ca50", |
| "cfg-ea92cccc91029465", |
| "cfg-f009e9e3891c06f4", |
| "cfg-f03e4e98c682240e", |
| "cfg-f439d2dd90137a80", |
| "cfg-f75b68f479767290", |
| "cfg-fad1b555f8b37235", |
| "cfg-fbe1c0422f98cb38", |
| "cfg-fd4d4789145230df", |
| "cfg-fd5bb0db68b0dae3" |
| ], |
| "source_configurations": 90, |
| "source_selection": "Only 72 boundary and 18 four_gpu source configurations; all prior7B exploration, other controls and the 48-invocation prospective admission panel are excluded. No new two-GPU outcome updates predictions for four GPUs or vice versa.", |
| "source_studies": [ |
| "boundary", |
| "four_gpu" |
| ], |
| "startup_check": "Separate one-sided diagnostic only for resident actor: 4(P+R)/G+u*C>C. Shared-reference counted once; generation budget includes its replica/cache. Assumes actor shards resident before vLLM free-memory check. Passing does not predict completion or margin compliance; no target observation used.", |
| "status": "specified_before_fitting_and_new_standard_grpo_outcomes", |
| "subset_seed": 2026091502, |
| "target_configuration_ids": [ |
| "est-qwen25-7b-gsm8k-c2-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-gsm8k-c2-4gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-gsm8k-c3-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-gsm8k-c3-4gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-math-c2-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-math-c2-4gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-math-c3-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-math-c3-4gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-code_heavy_tail-c2-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-code_heavy_tail-c2-4gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-code_heavy_tail-c3-2gpu", |
| "est-qwen25-7b-code_heavy_tail-c3-4gpu" |
| ], |
| "target_configurations": 12, |
| "task_gpu_counts": [ |
| 2, |
| 4 |
| ] |
| } |
|
|
