mdm_coverage / server /phase3 /plot_phase3.py
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Archive MDM experiment code, results, audits, and environment records (part 3)
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"""Publication figures from completed exact/certified phase-three outputs."""
import argparse
from fractions import Fraction
import json
from pathlib import Path
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg")
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
BLUE, RED, TEAL, VIOLET, GRAY = "#0F4D92", "#B64342", "#42949E", "#9A4D8E", "#555555"
def val(x):
return float(Fraction(x["rational"] if isinstance(x, dict) else x))
def style():
plt.rcParams.update({"font.family": "DejaVu Sans", "font.size": 19,
"axes.labelsize": 22, "axes.titlesize": 20, "xtick.labelsize": 18,
"ytick.labelsize": 18, "legend.fontsize": 18, "legend.frameon": False,
"axes.spines.top": False, "axes.spines.right": False, "axes.linewidth": 1.5,
"lines.linewidth": 2.8, "lines.markersize": 8, "axes.titlepad": 14,
"pdf.fonttype": 42, "ps.fonttype": 42, "savefig.facecolor": "white"})
def save(fig, folder, name):
folder.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
for ext in ("pdf", "png"):
fig.savefig(folder / f"{name}.{ext}", dpi=300, bbox_inches="tight", pad_inches=.16)
plt.close(fig)
def schedules(data, folder):
assert data["status"] == "complete" and data["self_test"]["passed"]
rows = data["rows"]
n = max(r["n"] for r in rows)
specs = [("geometric", "tv_exact", "Geometric, fixed labels", BLUE, "o", "-"),
("equal", "tv_exact", "Equal, fixed labels", RED, "s", "-"),
("best_fixed", "tv_exact", "Best fixed-label batches", TEAL, "^", "-"),
("best_symmetrized", "symmetrized_tv_exact", "Best batches + random labels", VIOLET, "x", "--")]
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(14.2, 7.5))
fig.subplots_adjust(left=.09, right=.985, bottom=.37, top=.87, wspace=.30)
for ax, K in zip(axes, (3, 4)):
group = sorted((r for r in rows if r["n"] == n and r["K"] == K),
key=lambda r: Fraction(r["budget"]))
B = [val(r["budget"]) for r in group]
for key, field, label, color, marker, line in specs:
ax.plot(B, [val(r[key][field]) for r in group], color=color,
marker=marker, ls=line, label=label)
lo = np.array([val(r["all_policy"]["lower"]) for r in group])
hi = np.array([val(r["all_policy"]["upper"]) for r in group])
mid = (lo+hi)/2
ax.errorbar(B, mid, yerr=np.array([mid-lo, hi-mid]), color=GRAY,
fmt="d:", capsize=5, markerfacecolor="white", zorder=6,
label="Certified all-policy optimum")
ax.set(xlabel="Joint-KL budget $B$", ylabel="Full-output TV",
title=rf"$n={n}$ pairs, $K={K}$ rounds", xticks=B)
ax.set_ylim(bottom=0)
h, l = axes[0].get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(h, l, loc="lower center", bbox_to_anchor=(.53,.055), ncol=2,
columnspacing=1.5, handlelength=2.6, fontsize=18)
fig.text(.53, .015, "One frozen model per budget; identical model across round counts.",
ha="center", fontsize=17, color=GRAY)
save(fig, folder, "fixed_schedule_benchmark")
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(13.8, 6.4))
fig.subplots_adjust(left=.10, right=.985, bottom=.27, top=.86, wspace=.30)
for ax, K in zip(axes, (3, 4)):
for n, color, marker in zip(sorted({r["n"] for r in rows}),
(BLUE, RED, TEAL), ("o", "s", "^")):
group = sorted((r for r in rows if r["n"] == n and r["K"] == K),
key=lambda r: Fraction(r["budget"]))
lo = np.array([val(r["geometric_excess_over_optimum_lower"]) for r in group])
hi = np.array([val(r["geometric_excess_over_optimum_upper"]) for r in group])
mid = (lo+hi)/2
ax.errorbar([val(r["budget"]) for r in group], mid,
yerr=np.array([mid-lo,hi-mid]), fmt=marker+"-", color=color,
capsize=5, label=rf"$n={n}$")
ax.axhline(0, color=GRAY, lw=1, ls=":")
ax.set(xlabel="Joint-KL budget $B$", ylabel="TV above all-policy optimum",
title=rf"Geometric fixed labels: $K={K}$", xticks=[.02,.05,.10])
ax.ticklabel_format(axis="y", style="plain", useOffset=False)
h,l = axes[0].get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(h,l,loc="lower center",bbox_to_anchor=(.54,.07),ncol=3,fontsize=20)
fig.text(.54,.015,"Arithmetic enclosures; connecting lines are guides, not fitted laws.",
ha="center",fontsize=17,color=GRAY)
save(fig,folder,"geometric_schedule_overhead")
def biased(data, folder):
cases = [c for c in data["cases"] if c.get("status") == "certified"]
if not cases:
raise ValueError("No certified biased cases available for a result figure")
ns = sorted({c["n"] for c in cases})
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(13.8, 7.2))
fig.subplots_adjust(left=.10,right=.985,bottom=.34,top=.86,wspace=.31)
round_specs = [(2,BLUE,"o"),(3,RED,"s"),(4,TEAL,"^")]
for ax,n in zip(axes,ns[:2]):
group = [c for c in cases if c["n"] == n]
model = next(m for m in data["models"] if m["n"] == n)
biases = sorted({Fraction(c["a"]) for c in data["cases"] if c["n"] == n})
for K,color,marker in round_specs:
if not any(c["K"] == K for c in data["cases"] if c["n"] == n):
continue
found = {Fraction(c["a"]):c for c in group if c["K"] == K}
lo = np.array([val(found[a]["certificate"]["tv_lower"]) if a in found else np.nan for a in biases])
hi = np.array([val(found[a]["certificate"]["tv_upper"]) if a in found else np.nan for a in biases])
mid=(lo+hi)/2
ax.errorbar(list(map(float,biases)),mid,yerr=np.array([mid-lo,hi-mid]),
fmt=marker+"-",color=color,capsize=5,label=rf"$K={K}$")
ax.axhline(val(model["diagnostics"]["model_tv"]),color=GRAY,ls="--",label="Serial model TV")
ax.set(xlabel="Representative bias $a$",ylabel="Certified optimum TV",
title=rf"$n={n}$ pairs",xticks=list(map(float,biases)))
endpoints = [val(model["diagnostics"]["model_tv"])]
endpoints += [val(c["certificate"][key]) for c in group for key in ("tv_lower","tv_upper")]
span = max(endpoints)-min(endpoints)
padding = max(span*.16, .0005)
ax.set_ylim(min(endpoints)-padding,max(endpoints)+padding)
missing = sum(c.get("status") != "certified" for c in data["cases"] if c["n"] == n)
if missing:
ax.text(.04,.04,f"{missing} missing cases (see report)",transform=ax.transAxes,fontsize=17)
if len(ns)==1:
n=ns[0]
group=sorted((m for m in data["models"] if m["n"]==n),key=lambda m:Fraction(m["a"]))
axes[1].plot([float(Fraction(m["a"])) for m in group],
[val(m["diagnostics"]["all_context_head_error"]) for m in group],
color=VIOLET,marker="d")
axes[1].axhline(.25,color=GRAY,ls=":")
axes[1].set(xlabel="Representative bias $a$",ylabel="Worst conditional-head TV",
title="All-context accuracy check",xticks=[.25,.4,.5])
axes[1].set_ylim(bottom=0)
h,l=axes[0].get_legend_handles_labels()
fig.legend(h,l,loc="lower center",bbox_to_anchor=(.54,.14),ncol=4,fontsize=18)
fig.text(.54,.015,"Vertical axes zoomed; n=6 evaluated at K=3,4 only.\nFixed mismatch mixture and KL at each n.\nUniform head errors are measured, not assumed equal across biases.",
ha="center",va="bottom",fontsize=17,color=GRAY,linespacing=1.2)
save(fig,folder,"biased_depth_sensitivity")
if __name__ == "__main__":
parser=argparse.ArgumentParser()
parser.add_argument("--run-dir",type=Path,required=True)
parser.add_argument("--figure-dir",type=Path)
args=parser.parse_args()
style()
output=args.figure_dir or args.run_dir/"figures"
schedules(json.loads((args.run_dir/"schedules.json").read_text()),output)
biased(json.loads((args.run_dir/"biased_results.json").read_text()),output)
print("Exported three PDF/PNG figure pairs.",flush=True)