mdm_coverage / server /phase3 /schedule_benchmark.py
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Archive MDM experiment code, results, audits, and environment records (part 3)
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#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Exact full-output TV benchmarks for frozen fair-pair exchangeable oracles.
Only Python's standard library is required. All probabilities and reported
distance comparisons use Fraction; floats are for presentation and timing.
See schedule_math.md for the symmetry and full-output-TV justification.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import argparse
from collections import defaultdict
from fractions import Fraction
from functools import lru_cache
import hashlib
from itertools import permutations, product
import json
import math
from pathlib import Path
import sys
import time
def shown(value):
value = Fraction(value)
return {"rational": str(value), "float": float(value)}
def exact(value):
if isinstance(value, dict):
return Fraction(value["rational"])
return Fraction(value)
def sha256(path):
return hashlib.sha256(Path(path).read_bytes()).hexdigest()
def compositions(n, parts):
"""All ordered weak compositions, in lexicographic order."""
if parts == 1:
yield (n,)
return
for first in range(n + 1):
for rest in compositions(n - first, parts - 1):
yield (first,) + rest
def floor_root_power(n, exponent, root):
"""floor(n**(exponent/root)), by exact integer inequalities."""
if not 0 <= exponent <= root or root < 1 or n < 1:
raise ValueError("Invalid integer-root arguments")
target = n**exponent
lo, hi = 0, n + 1
while hi - lo > 1:
middle = (lo + hi) // 2
if middle**root <= target:
lo = middle
else:
hi = middle
if not lo**root <= target < (lo + 1)**root:
raise AssertionError("Integer root invariant failed")
return lo
def geometric_batches(n, r):
cumulative = [0] + [floor_root_power(n, j, r) for j in range(1, r)] + [n]
return tuple(b - a for a, b in zip(cumulative, cumulative[1:]))
def equal_batches(n, r):
cumulative = [j * n // r for j in range(r + 1)]
return tuple(b - a for a, b in zip(cumulative, cumulative[1:]))
class ExactFairOracle:
def __init__(self, witness):
self.n = int(witness["n"])
self.tau = exact(witness["tau"])
self.weights = tuple(map(exact, witness["weights"]))
self.probabilities = tuple(map(exact, witness["probabilities"]))
if self.n < 1 or not 0 < self.tau < 1:
raise ValueError("Need positive n and a positive teacher")
if len(self.weights) != len(self.probabilities) or not self.weights:
raise ValueError("Mismatching or empty mixture arrays")
if sum(self.weights) != 1 or any(w < 0 for w in self.weights):
raise ValueError("Weights must be nonnegative and sum exactly to one")
if any(not 0 < p < 1 for p in self.probabilities):
raise ValueError("Every component must be strictly positive")
self.predictive = lru_cache(None)(self._predictive)
self.binomial = lru_cache(None)(self._binomial)
self.teacher_binomial = lru_cache(None)(lambda size: self.binomial(size, self.tau))
self.evaluate = lru_cache(None)(self._evaluate)
def _predictive(self, completed, mismatches):
likelihood = tuple(w * p**mismatches * (1 - p)**(completed - mismatches)
for w, p in zip(self.weights, self.probabilities))
return sum(q * p for q, p in zip(likelihood, self.probabilities)) / sum(likelihood)
@staticmethod
def _binomial(size, rate):
return tuple(Fraction(math.comb(size, m)) * rate**m * (1 - rate)**(size - m)
for m in range(size + 1))
def _evaluate(self, batches):
"""TV on the joint vector of mismatch counts, not just its sum."""
if sum(batches) != self.n or any(b < 0 for b in batches):
raise ValueError("Batch sizes must be nonnegative and sum to n")
positive_difference = Fraction(0)
q_total_count = defaultdict(Fraction)
joint_count_cells = 0
def descend(j, completed, mismatches, q_prefix, p_prefix):
nonlocal positive_difference, joint_count_cells
if j == len(batches):
joint_count_cells += 1
positive_difference += max(Fraction(0), q_prefix - p_prefix)
q_total_count[mismatches] += q_prefix
return
size = batches[j]
q_batch = self.binomial(size, self.predictive(completed, mismatches))
p_batch = self.teacher_binomial(size)
for new_m, (q, p) in enumerate(zip(q_batch, p_batch)):
descend(j + 1, completed + size, mismatches + new_m,
q_prefix * q, p_prefix * p)
descend(0, 0, 0, Fraction(1), Fraction(1))
if sum(q_total_count.values()) != 1:
raise AssertionError("The exact schedule output does not sum to one")
teacher_total_count = self.teacher_binomial(self.n)
symmetrized_tv = sum(abs(q_total_count[m] - teacher_total_count[m])
for m in range(self.n + 1)) / 2
if symmetrized_tv > positive_difference:
raise AssertionError("Total-count data processing inequality failed")
if len([b for b in batches if b]) == 1:
one_batch_tv = sum(abs(p - q) for p, q in zip(
teacher_total_count, self.binomial(self.n, self.predictive(0, 0)))) / 2
if symmetrized_tv != positive_difference or positive_difference != one_batch_tv:
raise AssertionError("One nonempty batch must equal its direct binomial TV")
return positive_difference, symmetrized_tv, joint_count_cells
def row(self, batches):
tv, sym_tv, cells = self.evaluate(tuple(batches))
return {"batch_sizes": list(batches), "tv_exact": shown(tv),
"symmetrized_tv_exact": shown(sym_tv), "joint_count_cells": cells}
def literal_laws(oracle):
"""Full labeled 2n-coordinate P and R; no count transition kernels."""
teacher, model = {}, {}
for x in product((0, 1), repeat=2 * oracle.n):
m = sum(x[i] != x[oracle.n + i] for i in range(oracle.n))
teacher[x] = Fraction(1, 2**oracle.n) * oracle.tau**m * (1 - oracle.tau)**(oracle.n - m)
model[x] = Fraction(1, 2**oracle.n) * sum(
w * p**m * (1 - p)**(oracle.n - m)
for w, p in zip(oracle.weights, oracle.probabilities))
if sum(teacher.values()) != 1 or sum(model.values()) != 1:
raise AssertionError("Literal input laws do not normalize")
return teacher, model
def literal_policy_law(oracle, batches, pair_order, model):
"""Products of literal heads frozen before each coordinate batch."""
coordinate_batches = [tuple(range(oracle.n))]
offset = 0
for size in batches:
coordinate_batches.append(tuple(oracle.n + pair_order[j]
for j in range(offset, offset + size)))
offset += size
@lru_cache(None)
def head(revealed, values, coordinate, bit):
denominator = sum(p for x, p in model.items()
if all(x[i] == v for i, v in zip(revealed, values)))
numerator = sum(p for x, p in model.items()
if x[coordinate] == bit
and all(x[i] == v for i, v in zip(revealed, values)))
return numerator / denominator
law = {}
for x in model:
probability = Fraction(1)
revealed = ()
for batch in coordinate_batches:
values = tuple(x[i] for i in revealed)
for coordinate in batch:
probability *= head(revealed, values, coordinate, x[coordinate])
revealed += batch
law[x] = probability
if sum(law.values()) != 1:
raise AssertionError("Literal policy law does not normalize")
return law
def self_tests():
started = time.perf_counter()
checks = []
literal_cases = 0
for n, batches in ((2, (1, 1)), (2, (0, 2, 0)), (3, (1, 2)),
(3, (2, 1)), (3, (1, 0, 2)), (3, (1, 1, 1))):
oracle = ExactFairOracle({"n": n, "tau": "1/4",
"weights": ["2/3", "1/3"],
"probabilities": ["1/4", "1/2"]})
teacher, model = literal_laws(oracle)
fixed = literal_policy_law(oracle, batches, tuple(range(n)), model)
fixed_tv = sum(abs(teacher[x] - fixed[x]) for x in teacher) / 2
sym_law = dict.fromkeys(teacher, Fraction(0))
for ordering in permutations(range(n)):
law = literal_policy_law(oracle, batches, ordering, model)
for x in sym_law:
sym_law[x] += law[x] / math.factorial(n)
sym_tv = sum(abs(teacher[x] - sym_law[x]) for x in teacher) / 2
calculated_tv, calculated_sym, _ = oracle.evaluate(batches)
if fixed_tv != calculated_tv or sym_tv != calculated_sym:
raise AssertionError("Independent full 2n-coordinate cross-check failed")
literal_cases += 1
checks.append(f"{literal_cases} literal full-output fixed/random-permutation TV identities, n=2,3")
target_cases = 0
for n in (2, 3, 8, 16):
oracle = ExactFairOracle({"n": n, "tau": "1/4", "weights": ["1"],
"probabilities": ["1/4"]})
for r in (1, 2, 3):
for batches in {geometric_batches(n, r), equal_batches(n, r), (n,) + (0,) * (r - 1)}:
tv, sym_tv, _ = oracle.evaluate(batches)
if tv != 0 or sym_tv != 0:
raise AssertionError("R=P must be sampled exactly in at least two rounds")
target_cases += 1
checks.append(f"{target_cases} exact-target schedule zero-TV controls, n=2,3,8,16")
for n in range(1, 33):
for r in range(1, 5):
for j in range(1, r + 1):
root = floor_root_power(n, j, r)
if not root**r <= n**j < (root + 1)**r:
raise AssertionError("Exact geometric schedule root failure")
checks.append("exact integer geometric-root inequalities n=1,...,32, r=1,...,4")
return {"passed": True, "checks": checks, "elapsed_seconds": time.perf_counter() - started}
def benchmark(witness, certificate, rounds):
started = time.perf_counter()
oracle = ExactFairOracle(witness)
for key in ("n", "tau", "weights", "probabilities"):
if witness[key] != certificate[key]:
raise ValueError(f"Frozen witness/certificate mismatch in {key}")
if not (certificate["model"]["kl_budget_certified"]
and certificate["model"]["head_bound_certified"]):
raise ValueError("An input model lacks certified KL/head constraints")
if exact(certificate["model"]["kl_budget"]) != exact(witness["budget"]):
raise ValueError("Witness and certificate KL budgets differ")
if exact(certificate["model"]["head_bound"]) != exact(witness["head_bound"]):
raise ValueError("Witness and certificate head bounds differ")
case = next(c for c in certificate["cases"] if int(c["K"]) == rounds)
lower, upper = exact(case["tv_lower_certified"]), exact(case["tv_upper_certified"])
if not 0 <= lower <= upper <= 1:
raise ValueError("Invalid all-policy certificate interval")
r = rounds - 1
geometric, equal = geometric_batches(oracle.n, r), equal_batches(oracle.n, r)
all_rows = []
for batches in compositions(oracle.n, r):
row = oracle.row(batches)
if exact(row["tv_exact"]) < lower or exact(row["symmetrized_tv_exact"]) < lower:
raise AssertionError("A legal exact schedule violates the all-policy lower certificate")
all_rows.append(row)
if len(all_rows) != math.comb(oracle.n + r - 1, r - 1):
raise AssertionError("Weak-composition enumeration is incomplete")
minimum = min(exact(x["tv_exact"]) for x in all_rows)
minimum_sym = min(exact(x["symmetrized_tv_exact"]) for x in all_rows)
fixed_ties = [x for x in all_rows if exact(x["tv_exact"]) == minimum]
sym_ties = [x for x in all_rows if exact(x["symmetrized_tv_exact"]) == minimum_sym]
best_fixed, best_sym = fixed_ties[0], sym_ties[0]
row = {
"id": witness["id"], "n": oracle.n, "budget": witness["budget"], "K": rounds,
"weights": witness["weights"], "probabilities": witness["probabilities"],
"model_tv": certificate["model"]["model_tv_exact"],
"actual_kl_lower": certificate["model"]["kl_lower"],
"actual_kl_upper": certificate["model"]["kl_upper"],
"all_policy": {"lower": shown(lower), "upper": shown(upper)},
"geometric": oracle.row(geometric), "equal": oracle.row(equal),
"best_fixed": best_fixed, "best_symmetrized": best_sym,
"enumeration": {"schedule_count": len(all_rows),
"best_fixed_tie_batch_sizes": [x["batch_sizes"] for x in fixed_ties],
"best_symmetrized_tie_batch_sizes": [x["batch_sizes"] for x in sym_ties],
"all_schedules": all_rows},
"geometric_excess_over_optimum_lower": shown(max(Fraction(0), exact(oracle.row(geometric)["tv_exact"]) - upper)),
"geometric_excess_over_optimum_upper": shown(exact(oracle.row(geometric)["tv_exact"]) - lower),
"best_fixed_excess_over_optimum_lower": shown(max(Fraction(0), minimum - upper)),
"best_fixed_excess_over_optimum_upper": shown(minimum - lower),
"head_cache_entries": oracle.predictive.cache_info().currsize,
"elapsed_seconds": time.perf_counter() - started,
}
return row
def main():
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__)
parser.add_argument("--witnesses", type=Path, required=True)
parser.add_argument("--certificates", type=Path, required=True)
parser.add_argument("--output", type=Path, required=True)
parser.add_argument("--self-test", action="store_true")
args = parser.parse_args()
# Large exact denominators are research outputs, not untrusted integer text.
if hasattr(sys, "set_int_max_str_digits"):
sys.set_int_max_str_digits(0)
started = time.perf_counter()
witnesses = json.loads(args.witnesses.read_text())
certificates = json.loads(args.certificates.read_text())
if witnesses.get("status") != "complete":
raise ValueError("Input witness selection must be complete")
by_id = {w["id"]: w for w in certificates["witnesses"]}
if len(by_id) != len(certificates["witnesses"]):
raise ValueError("Duplicate certificate ids")
witness_ids = [w["id"] for w in witnesses["witnesses"]]
if len(set(witness_ids)) != len(witness_ids) or set(witness_ids) != set(by_id):
raise ValueError("Witness and certificate id sets must match without duplicates")
output = {
"schema_version": 1, "status": "running",
"metadata": {
"witnesses_sha256": sha256(args.witnesses),
"certificates_sha256": sha256(args.certificates),
"source_sha256": sha256(__file__),
"arithmetic": "exact fractions; floats are display only",
"rounds": [3, 4],
"policy": "Round 1 samples all fair A coordinates; fixed labeled B batches follow, with frozen pre-batch heads.",
"fixed_tv": "Full-output TV equals TV of the JOINT vector of batch mismatch counts.",
"symmetrized_tv": "Different policy: draw a uniform random permutation of pair labels before generation; marginalize that private randomness. Full-output TV then equals total mismatch count TV.",
"optimization": "All ordered nonnegative compositions n into K-1 batches; oracle-specific optimum only within this schedule family, not an all-policy optimum or a uniformly chosen minimax schedule.",
"tie_rule": "Record all exact ties; selected best is first in lexicographic batch-size order.",
"geometric": "Cumulative sizes c_j=floor(n^(j/r)), c_0=0,c_r=n, computed by integer inequalities.",
"equal": "Cumulative sizes c_j=floor(j*n/r), r=K-1.",
},
"self_test": self_tests() if args.self_test else {"passed": None, "checks": []},
"rows": [],
}
args.output.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
if args.output.exists():
raise FileExistsError("Refusing to overwrite an existing result")
with args.output.open("x") as stream:
json.dump(output, stream, indent=2)
stream.write("\n")
for witness in witnesses["witnesses"]:
for rounds in (3, 4):
row = benchmark(witness, by_id[witness["id"]], rounds)
output["rows"].append(row)
args.output.write_text(json.dumps(output, indent=2) + "\n")
print(f"SCHEDULE {row['id']} K={rounds}: geometric={row['geometric']['tv_exact']['float']:.10g}, "
f"equal={row['equal']['tv_exact']['float']:.10g}, best-fixed={row['best_fixed']['tv_exact']['float']:.10g}, "
f"best-sym={row['best_symmetrized']['symmetrized_tv_exact']['float']:.10g}, "
f"compositions={row['enumeration']['schedule_count']}, elapsed={row['elapsed_seconds']:.3f}s", flush=True)
output["status"] = "complete"
output["summary"] = {
"witness_count": len(witnesses["witnesses"]), "row_count": len(output["rows"]),
"schedule_evaluations": sum(r["enumeration"]["schedule_count"] for r in output["rows"]),
"all_schedules_above_certified_lower": True,
"all_data_processing_checks_passed": True,
"elapsed_seconds": time.perf_counter() - started,
}
args.output.write_text(json.dumps(output, indent=2) + "\n")
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()