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Show the value line plots and tree graphs in the card

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  1. README.md +29 -8
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@@ -115,14 +115,35 @@ by ranking actions.
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  ## Figures
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- Two seeds per task, 26 of each:
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-
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- - **`figures/convergence/`** — the root's running estimate after each continuation, with a
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- ±1 s.e. band. The band assumes independent draws; a tree's are not, since simulations
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- share prefixes, so it is honest about when an estimate has settled and optimistic as a
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- confidence interval.
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- - **`figures/trees/`** — the whole search tree, each node filled by its subtree value on a
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- red→yellow→green ramp and ringed if it ended.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  ## Reading it
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  ## Figures
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+ Two seeds per task — 26 of each, as SVG under `figures/` and as PNG under `figures/png/`.
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+
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+ ### The root's value, as the evidence arrives
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+ The running estimate of `V(root)` after each of the 48 continuations, with a ±1 s.e. band.
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+ The band assumes independent draws; a tree's are not, since simulations share prefixes — so
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+ it is honest about when an estimate has settled and optimistic as a confidence interval.
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+
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+ A task the policy is good at, and one it is not:
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+
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+ ![place_bowl_in_dishrack_ks seed 50000](https://huggingface.co/datasets/mahgoobi/mcts-value-data/resolve/main/figures/png/convergence_place_bowl_in_dishrack_ks_seed50000.png)
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+ ![move_cup_put_pen_in_cup seed 50000](https://huggingface.co/datasets/mahgoobi/mcts-value-data/resolve/main/figures/png/convergence_move_cup_put_pen_in_cup_seed50000.png)
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+ The estimate is noisy for the first handful of continuations and settles by roughly twenty —
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+ which is what the budget of 48 was chosen against.
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+ ### The search tree, valued
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+ Every node filled by its subtree value on a red→yellow→green ramp, sized by the endings
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+ behind that value, and ringed if it ended. The ring is the tier; the fill is the value.
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+ ![put_milktea_on_shelf seed 50000](https://huggingface.co/datasets/mahgoobi/mcts-value-data/resolve/main/figures/png/trees_put_milktea_on_shelf_seed50000.png)
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+ The shape is the point: progressive widening spends the budget near the root, so the tree is
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+ wide and shallow — 8 children at depth 1, 40 at depth 2 — and each of those runs out to the
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+ horizon as a spine of nodes that share one value until the ending that set it.
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+ ![put_stapler_next_to_mouse seed 50000](https://huggingface.co/datasets/mahgoobi/mcts-value-data/resolve/main/figures/png/trees_put_stapler_next_to_mouse_seed50000.png)
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  ## Reading it
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