forecasts @ 6 files, 46 replay artifacts
Browse files- README.md +11 -6
- data/baseline-gfsmos.jsonl +20 -0
- data/baseline-nbm.jsonl +20 -0
- data/gencast-spread.json +1 -1
- data/graphcast-tempseries.json +0 -0
- data/nwp-guidance-and-settlements.jsonl +160 -0
- data/own-models.jsonl +280 -0
- replay/lineage.json +205 -1
- replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.json +782 -0
- replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.md +224 -0
- replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl +0 -0
- replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl +0 -0
- replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl +0 -0
README.md
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@@ -21,12 +21,12 @@ the paper's replay experiments (`docs/EXPERIMENTS.md` in the
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| file | what | lines / bytes |
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| `data/nwp-guidance-and-settlements.jsonl` | as-of daily extremes from seven public NWP models (Open-Meteo previous-runs API) at leads 0-5, plus official settlements (ACIS / NWS CLI) | 23,
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| `data/own-models.jsonl` | station-day extremes from OpenThomas' own GraphCast / Pangu inference runs, with issue timestamps | 2,
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| `data/gencast-spread.json` | per station-day ensemble spread of the latest GenCast run (sigma multiplier input) | 3,
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| 27 |
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| `data/graphcast-tempseries.json` | coarse global 2m-temperature daily series from the latest GraphCast run | 112,
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| 28 |
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| `data/baseline-nbm.jsonl` | as-of NBM daily max/min per station (IEM MOS archive), the official-guidance baseline | 1,
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| `data/baseline-gfsmos.jsonl` | as-of GFS MOS daily max/min per station (IEM MOS archive) | 1,
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## Frozen replay datasets and experiment results
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@@ -55,6 +55,8 @@ agent could not have known at decision time.
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.md`
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.json`
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.md`
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| 58 |
- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.json`
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- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.md`
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- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-12.json`
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@@ -64,11 +66,13 @@ agent could not have known at decision time.
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-12.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-high9-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-low1-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-low2-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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@@ -77,6 +81,7 @@ agent could not have known at decision time.
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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## Conventions
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| file | what | lines / bytes |
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| `data/nwp-guidance-and-settlements.jsonl` | as-of daily extremes from seven public NWP models (Open-Meteo previous-runs API) at leads 0-5, plus official settlements (ACIS / NWS CLI) | 23,882 |
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| 25 |
+
| `data/own-models.jsonl` | station-day extremes from OpenThomas' own GraphCast / Pangu inference runs, with issue timestamps | 2,800 |
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| 26 |
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| `data/gencast-spread.json` | per station-day ensemble spread of the latest GenCast run (sigma multiplier input) | 3,283 |
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| 27 |
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| `data/graphcast-tempseries.json` | coarse global 2m-temperature daily series from the latest GraphCast run | 112,397 |
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| 28 |
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| `data/baseline-nbm.jsonl` | as-of NBM daily max/min per station (IEM MOS archive), the official-guidance baseline | 1,960 |
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| 29 |
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| `data/baseline-gfsmos.jsonl` | as-of GFS MOS daily max/min per station (IEM MOS archive) | 1,960 |
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## Frozen replay datasets and experiment results
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.md`
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.json`
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| 57 |
- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.md`
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.json`
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- `replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.md`
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- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.json`
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- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.md`
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- `replay/results-llm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-12.json`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-12.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-high9-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-low1-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-low2-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-11.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-13.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-14.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-15.jsonl`
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- `replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl`
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## Conventions
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data/baseline-gfsmos.jsonl
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@@ -1938,3 +1938,23 @@
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 57.0}
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| 1939 |
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 99.0}
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| 1940 |
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 78.0}
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| 1938 |
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 57.0}
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| 1939 |
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 99.0}
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| 1940 |
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 78.0}
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| 1941 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 90.0}
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| 1942 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 72.0}
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| 1943 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 98.0}
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| 1944 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 76.0}
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| 1945 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 78.0}
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| 1946 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 68.0}
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| 1947 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 98.0}
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| 1948 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 79.0}
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| 1949 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 83.0}
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| 1950 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 54.0}
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| 1951 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 77.0}
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| 1952 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 68.0}
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| 1953 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 90.0}
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| 1954 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 80.0}
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| 1955 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 76.0}
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| 1956 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 61.0}
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| 1957 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 82.0}
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| 1958 |
+
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 60.0}
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| 1959 |
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{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 98.0}
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| 1960 |
+
{"source": "gfsmos", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 77.0}
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data/baseline-nbm.jsonl
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@@ -1938,3 +1938,23 @@
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{"source": "nbm", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 57.0}
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| 1939 |
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 99.0}
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| 1940 |
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 78.0}
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| 1938 |
{"source": "nbm", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 57.0}
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| 1939 |
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 99.0}
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| 1940 |
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "runtime": "2026-09-14T12:00:00", "value": 78.0}
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| 1941 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 91.0}
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| 1942 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 72.0}
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| 1943 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 99.0}
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| 1944 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 75.0}
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| 1945 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 74.0}
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| 1946 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 68.0}
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| 1947 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 100.0}
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| 1948 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 80.0}
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| 1949 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 84.0}
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| 1950 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 53.0}
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| 1951 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 74.0}
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| 1952 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 65.0}
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| 1953 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 90.0}
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| 1954 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 79.0}
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| 1955 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 79.0}
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| 1956 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 60.0}
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| 1957 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 83.0}
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| 1958 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 59.0}
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| 1959 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 97.0}
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| 1960 |
+
{"source": "nbm", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "runtime": "2026-09-15T12:00:00", "value": 77.0}
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data/gencast-spread.json
CHANGED
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@@ -1 +1 @@
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{"issued_at": "2026-09-
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| 1 |
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{"issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:34:31.955758+00:00", "source": "OpenThomas \u00b7 GenCast", "members": 9, "ref_sigma": {"0": 1.39, "1": 1.57, "2": 1.92, "3": 1.93, "4": 1.83, "5": 2.53, "6": 2.87}, "spread": {"nyc": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 1.81, "low": 1.02}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 1.72, "low": 1.59}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 3.14, "low": 1.44}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 1.67, "low": 1.54}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 2.35, "low": 1.9}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 3.26, "low": 2.64}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 3.46, "low": 2.89}}, "aus": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 2.17, "low": 0.86}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.0, "low": 1.55}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 3.01, "low": 1.7}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.23, "low": 1.02}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 1.52, "low": 0.72}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 3.06, "low": 1.7}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 3.36, "low": 1.71}}, "chi": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 1.33, "low": 1.53}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.01, "low": 1.2}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 2.97, "low": 2.61}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.21, "low": 3.4}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 3.4, "low": 4.74}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 5.88, "low": 5.8}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 5.8, "low": 5.2}}, "mia": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 0.49, "low": 1.44}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 1.1, "low": 1.17}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 0.81, "low": 1.47}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 1.57, "low": 1.07}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 0.69, "low": 0.51}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 0.96, "low": 1.38}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 1.61, "low": 1.62}}, "lax": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 1.63, "low": 1.13}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 1.88, "low": 1.33}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 2.92, "low": 1.57}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 1.6, "low": 1.48}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 1.41, "low": 1.7}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 2.67, "low": 1.25}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 2.85, "low": 1.71}}, "phl": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 1.34, "low": 0.87}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.55, "low": 1.55}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 3.13, "low": 1.47}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.0, "low": 2.17}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 2.97, "low": 2.36}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 2.88, "low": 2.95}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 2.46, "low": 2.5}}, "den": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 3.8, "low": 1.49}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 1.48, "low": 4.31}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 7.75, "low": 3.06}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.6, "low": 2.05}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 5.22, "low": 3.1}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 4.94, "low": 2.42}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 6.58, "low": 3.85}}, "dal": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 1.76, "low": 0.92}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.34, "low": 1.28}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 2.05, "low": 0.89}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.31, "low": 2.03}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 2.37, "low": 1.77}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 1.51, "low": 1.29}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 4.26, "low": 2.11}}, "atl": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 2.74, "low": 0.67}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.14, "low": 0.95}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 1.8, "low": 0.7}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 1.86, "low": 1.35}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 2.69, "low": 1.71}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 1.35, "low": 2.36}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 2.66, "low": 3.29}}, "sat": {"2026-09-11": {"high": 2.17, "low": 0.86}, "2026-09-12": {"high": 2.0, "low": 1.55}, "2026-09-13": {"high": 3.01, "low": 1.7}, "2026-09-14": {"high": 2.23, "low": 1.02}, "2026-09-15": {"high": 1.52, "low": 0.72}, "2026-09-16": {"high": 3.06, "low": 1.7}, "2026-09-17": {"high": 3.36, "low": 1.71}}}}
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data/graphcast-tempseries.json
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data/nwp-guidance-and-settlements.jsonl
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| 23720 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 5, "mean": 74.45, "spread": 3.51, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 77.3, "icon_seamless": 74.8, "gem_seamless": 68.0, "ukmo_seamless": 74.4, "jma_seamless": 77.9}}
|
| 23721 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 6, "mean": 95.68, "spread": 2.92, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.1, "icon_seamless": 98.9, "gem_seamless": 95.5, "ukmo_seamless": 92.9, "jma_seamless": 91.6}}
|
| 23722 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.65, "spread": 2.64, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.5, "icon_seamless": 74.9, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.8, "jma_seamless": 79.1}}
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| 23720 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 5, "mean": 74.45, "spread": 3.51, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 77.3, "icon_seamless": 74.8, "gem_seamless": 68.0, "ukmo_seamless": 74.4, "jma_seamless": 77.9}}
|
| 23721 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 6, "mean": 95.68, "spread": 2.92, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.1, "icon_seamless": 98.9, "gem_seamless": 95.5, "ukmo_seamless": 92.9, "jma_seamless": 91.6}}
|
| 23722 |
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.65, "spread": 2.64, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.5, "icon_seamless": 74.9, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.8, "jma_seamless": 79.1}}
|
| 23723 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 78.69, "spread": 1.32, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 79.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 77.7, "icon_seamless": 77.6, "gem_seamless": 80.4, "ukmo_seamless": 80.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 77.2, "jma_seamless": 78.2}}
|
| 23724 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 61.03, "spread": 2.43, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 57.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 59.6, "icon_seamless": 63.2, "gem_seamless": 60.0, "ukmo_seamless": 64.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 60.7, "jma_seamless": 61.5}}
|
| 23725 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 80.4, "spread": 2.37, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 82.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 83.4, "icon_seamless": 79.4, "gem_seamless": 80.0, "ukmo_seamless": 80.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 76.2, "jma_seamless": 80.2}}
|
| 23726 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 68.87, "spread": 1.62, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 67.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 67.3, "icon_seamless": 69.9, "gem_seamless": 67.8, "ukmo_seamless": 71.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 69.7, "jma_seamless": 68.9}}
|
| 23727 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 80.6, "spread": 1.93, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 84.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 81.8, "icon_seamless": 79.4, "gem_seamless": 79.7, "ukmo_seamless": 79.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 79.3, "jma_seamless": 80.1}}
|
| 23728 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 68.96, "spread": 1.83, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 68.0, "icon_seamless": 68.8, "gem_seamless": 70.2, "ukmo_seamless": 71.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 70.2, "jma_seamless": 66.0}}
|
| 23729 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 71.74, "spread": 1.15, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 71.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 71.5, "icon_seamless": 69.6, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 71.7, "jma_seamless": 72.3}}
|
| 23730 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 60.36, "spread": 3.2, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 56.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 59.3, "icon_seamless": 58.5, "gem_seamless": 61.9, "ukmo_seamless": 63.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 64.9, "jma_seamless": 57.3}}
|
| 23731 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 68.22, "spread": 2.95, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 65.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 65.4, "icon_seamless": 69.7, "gem_seamless": 71.3, "ukmo_seamless": 71.5, "jma_seamless": 66.1}}
|
| 23732 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 62.8, "spread": 2.63, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 59.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 61.7, "icon_seamless": 64.7, "gem_seamless": 65.2, "ukmo_seamless": 65.3, "jma_seamless": 60.8}}
|
| 23733 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 70.3, "spread": 2.11, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.7, "icon_seamless": 68.0, "gem_seamless": 70.0, "ukmo_seamless": 71.6, "jma_seamless": 73.8}}
|
| 23734 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 61.58, "spread": 1.87, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 59.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 61.7, "icon_seamless": 64.3, "gem_seamless": 61.3, "ukmo_seamless": 59.9, "jma_seamless": 63.0}}
|
| 23735 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 69.16, "spread": 7.46, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 66.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 66.9, "icon_seamless": 65.4, "gem_seamless": 64.6, "jma_seamless": 82.4}}
|
| 23736 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 63.06, "spread": 4.87, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 60.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 63.7, "icon_seamless": 61.6, "gem_seamless": 58.5, "jma_seamless": 71.1}}
|
| 23737 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "nyc", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 72.0}
|
| 23738 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "nyc", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 57.0}
|
| 23739 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 81.31, "spread": 0.73, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 81.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 81.1, "icon_seamless": 81.9, "gem_seamless": 81.5, "ukmo_seamless": 82.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 79.9, "jma_seamless": 81.0}}
|
| 23740 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 61.39, "spread": 2.15, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 58.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 59.5, "icon_seamless": 61.4, "gem_seamless": 63.0, "ukmo_seamless": 64.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 60.4, "jma_seamless": 62.6}}
|
| 23741 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 83.27, "spread": 1.97, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 84.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 86.0, "icon_seamless": 81.3, "gem_seamless": 82.5, "ukmo_seamless": 80.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 83.9, "jma_seamless": 84.2}}
|
| 23742 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 69.39, "spread": 0.68, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 69.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.7, "icon_seamless": 69.3, "gem_seamless": 68.4, "ukmo_seamless": 70.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 68.6, "jma_seamless": 69.9}}
|
| 23743 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 83.1, "spread": 1.51, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 85.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 84.9, "icon_seamless": 82.0, "gem_seamless": 83.0, "ukmo_seamless": 83.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 82.0, "jma_seamless": 81.3}}
|
| 23744 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 70.5, "spread": 1.33, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 70.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 70.7, "icon_seamless": 69.2, "gem_seamless": 68.9, "ukmo_seamless": 71.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 70.4, "jma_seamless": 72.9}}
|
| 23745 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 77.31, "spread": 2.76, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 71.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.7, "icon_seamless": 77.7, "gem_seamless": 78.1, "ukmo_seamless": 78.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 79.9, "jma_seamless": 76.6}}
|
| 23746 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 64.67, "spread": 2.11, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 63.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 63.3, "icon_seamless": 62.1, "gem_seamless": 67.1, "ukmo_seamless": 67.9, "meteofrance_seamless": 64.8, "jma_seamless": 64.0}}
|
| 23747 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 75.63, "spread": 5.46, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 69.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 72.8, "icon_seamless": 81.0, "gem_seamless": 83.5, "ukmo_seamless": 75.1, "jma_seamless": 71.5}}
|
| 23748 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 65.2, "spread": 2.67, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 62.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 62.4, "icon_seamless": 63.9, "gem_seamless": 67.2, "ukmo_seamless": 68.9, "jma_seamless": 66.3}}
|
| 23749 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 72.15, "spread": 3.93, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 71.9, "icon_seamless": 69.3, "gem_seamless": 71.7, "ukmo_seamless": 72.2, "jma_seamless": 79.5}}
|
| 23750 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 64.95, "spread": 2.51, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 62.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 64.6, "icon_seamless": 66.1, "gem_seamless": 63.8, "ukmo_seamless": 63.4, "jma_seamless": 69.4}}
|
| 23751 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 72.8, "spread": 6.99, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 67.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.1, "icon_seamless": 68.4, "gem_seamless": 68.1, "jma_seamless": 82.4}}
|
| 23752 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 65.74, "spread": 5.12, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 64.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 68.6, "icon_seamless": 65.2, "gem_seamless": 58.5, "jma_seamless": 72.2}}
|
| 23753 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "phl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 79.0}
|
| 23754 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "phl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 58.0}
|
| 23755 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 86.83, "spread": 1.65, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 87.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 84.2, "icon_seamless": 87.5, "gem_seamless": 84.9, "ukmo_seamless": 87.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 88.8, "jma_seamless": 87.1}}
|
| 23756 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 78.6, "spread": 1.66, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 76.1, "icon_seamless": 79.6, "gem_seamless": 78.3, "ukmo_seamless": 80.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 80.5, "jma_seamless": 77.7}}
|
| 23757 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 86.33, "spread": 2.24, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 85.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 85.1, "icon_seamless": 88.1, "gem_seamless": 89.1, "ukmo_seamless": 84.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 88.7, "jma_seamless": 83.9}}
|
| 23758 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 77.99, "spread": 2.06, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 75.6, "icon_seamless": 78.6, "gem_seamless": 78.2, "ukmo_seamless": 79.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 81.3, "jma_seamless": 77.6}}
|
| 23759 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 86.69, "spread": 2.65, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 86.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 83.4, "icon_seamless": 86.7, "gem_seamless": 91.0, "ukmo_seamless": 88.9, "meteofrance_seamless": 84.0, "jma_seamless": 85.9}}
|
| 23760 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 76.76, "spread": 1.42, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.2, "icon_seamless": 77.2, "gem_seamless": 76.1, "ukmo_seamless": 78.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 77.8, "jma_seamless": 76.0}}
|
| 23761 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 85.43, "spread": 2.67, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 86.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.6, "icon_seamless": 90.4, "gem_seamless": 85.8, "ukmo_seamless": 85.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 83.4, "jma_seamless": 83.4}}
|
| 23762 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 77.2, "spread": 2.86, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 81.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.8, "icon_seamless": 75.0, "gem_seamless": 78.5, "ukmo_seamless": 79.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 77.2, "jma_seamless": 73.8}}
|
| 23763 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 87.83, "spread": 3.6, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 93.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.9, "icon_seamless": 88.9, "gem_seamless": 88.1, "ukmo_seamless": 85.2, "jma_seamless": 88.4}}
|
| 23764 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 75.65, "spread": 3.85, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 82.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 71.9, "icon_seamless": 75.3, "gem_seamless": 76.1, "ukmo_seamless": 77.1, "jma_seamless": 71.5}}
|
| 23765 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 87.72, "spread": 3.13, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 91.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 83.1, "icon_seamless": 86.4, "gem_seamless": 86.7, "ukmo_seamless": 87.7, "jma_seamless": 90.7}}
|
| 23766 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 77.67, "spread": 3.35, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 83.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 76.5, "icon_seamless": 77.6, "gem_seamless": 76.8, "ukmo_seamless": 78.9, "jma_seamless": 73.0}}
|
| 23767 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 87.08, "spread": 3.58, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 91.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.2, "icon_seamless": 85.7, "gem_seamless": 88.6, "jma_seamless": 87.0}}
|
| 23768 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 78.08, "spread": 3.37, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 83.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.6, "icon_seamless": 77.7, "gem_seamless": 75.1, "jma_seamless": 75.5}}
|
| 23769 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "mia", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 93.0}
|
| 23770 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "mia", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 80.0}
|
| 23771 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 88.03, "spread": 1.88, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 90.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 88.8, "icon_seamless": 87.6, "gem_seamless": 87.3, "ukmo_seamless": 86.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 90.4, "jma_seamless": 85.3}}
|
| 23772 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 72.09, "spread": 1.71, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 70.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.9, "icon_seamless": 71.6, "gem_seamless": 74.4, "ukmo_seamless": 71.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 73.8, "jma_seamless": 73.1}}
|
| 23773 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 89.54, "spread": 2.62, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 92.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 91.2, "icon_seamless": 89.6, "gem_seamless": 86.9, "ukmo_seamless": 86.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 92.2, "jma_seamless": 87.4}}
|
| 23774 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 67.9, "spread": 2.52, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 66.8, "icon_seamless": 65.3, "gem_seamless": 65.5, "ukmo_seamless": 69.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 72.4, "jma_seamless": 67.1}}
|
| 23775 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 94.54, "spread": 2.37, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 96.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.7, "icon_seamless": 93.9, "gem_seamless": 92.9, "ukmo_seamless": 90.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 96.1, "jma_seamless": 95.1}}
|
| 23776 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 72.21, "spread": 2.39, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.8, "icon_seamless": 71.2, "gem_seamless": 69.7, "ukmo_seamless": 73.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 75.6, "jma_seamless": 70.9}}
|
| 23777 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 90.07, "spread": 6.61, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 93.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 93.3, "icon_seamless": 78.8, "gem_seamless": 95.0, "ukmo_seamless": 88.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 97.6, "jma_seamless": 84.6}}
|
| 23778 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 74.71, "spread": 3.16, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 70.8, "icon_seamless": 72.7, "gem_seamless": 73.3, "ukmo_seamless": 77.1, "meteofrance_seamless": 80.4, "jma_seamless": 74.1}}
|
| 23779 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 88.22, "spread": 2.92, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 91.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 87.3, "icon_seamless": 84.1, "gem_seamless": 91.0, "ukmo_seamless": 90.1, "jma_seamless": 85.8}}
|
| 23780 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 72.0, "spread": 1.58, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 72.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 70.2, "icon_seamless": 71.1, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 74.6, "jma_seamless": 71.0}}
|
| 23781 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 87.28, "spread": 3.68, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 90.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 86.2, "icon_seamless": 85.2, "gem_seamless": 89.9, "ukmo_seamless": 90.5, "jma_seamless": 81.4}}
|
| 23782 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 72.32, "spread": 3.06, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 73.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.5, "icon_seamless": 68.7, "gem_seamless": 72.1, "ukmo_seamless": 77.2, "jma_seamless": 72.8}}
|
| 23783 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 86.48, "spread": 3.56, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 89.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 83.0, "icon_seamless": 88.0, "gem_seamless": 89.7, "jma_seamless": 82.3}}
|
| 23784 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 70.0, "spread": 1.34, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 71.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 70.6, "icon_seamless": 68.1, "gem_seamless": 69.1, "jma_seamless": 71.2}}
|
| 23785 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "atl", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 90.0}
|
| 23786 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "atl", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 75.0}
|
| 23787 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 98.54, "spread": 1.55, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 99.0, "icon_seamless": 100.4, "gem_seamless": 98.1, "ukmo_seamless": 98.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 99.2, "jma_seamless": 95.4}}
|
| 23788 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 82.31, "spread": 1.74, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 80.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.9, "icon_seamless": 81.5, "gem_seamless": 80.7, "ukmo_seamless": 83.1, "meteofrance_seamless": 85.5, "jma_seamless": 82.1}}
|
| 23789 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 97.37, "spread": 1.5, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.6, "icon_seamless": 98.9, "gem_seamless": 95.3, "ukmo_seamless": 96.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 98.0, "jma_seamless": 95.8}}
|
| 23790 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 82.57, "spread": 3.19, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 79.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 84.7, "icon_seamless": 82.6, "gem_seamless": 77.1, "ukmo_seamless": 83.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 86.8, "jma_seamless": 83.6}}
|
| 23791 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 97.36, "spread": 2.01, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 100.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.8, "icon_seamless": 97.5, "gem_seamless": 95.7, "ukmo_seamless": 95.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 99.8, "jma_seamless": 95.7}}
|
| 23792 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 81.94, "spread": 3.32, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 83.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.0, "icon_seamless": 81.7, "gem_seamless": 75.2, "ukmo_seamless": 81.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 85.5, "jma_seamless": 84.0}}
|
| 23793 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 98.33, "spread": 1.81, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.8, "icon_seamless": 99.8, "gem_seamless": 95.6, "ukmo_seamless": 97.9, "meteofrance_seamless": 100.3, "jma_seamless": 96.3}}
|
| 23794 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 81.46, "spread": 3.78, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 82.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 81.8, "icon_seamless": 81.6, "gem_seamless": 73.4, "ukmo_seamless": 82.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 85.4, "jma_seamless": 83.2}}
|
| 23795 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 97.77, "spread": 1.88, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.9, "icon_seamless": 99.8, "gem_seamless": 96.0, "ukmo_seamless": 97.2, "jma_seamless": 95.3}}
|
| 23796 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 80.13, "spread": 2.39, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 81.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 80.3, "icon_seamless": 81.7, "gem_seamless": 75.5, "ukmo_seamless": 80.0, "jma_seamless": 81.5}}
|
| 23797 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 96.77, "spread": 5.09, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 100.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.4, "icon_seamless": 102.9, "gem_seamless": 96.2, "ukmo_seamless": 95.0, "jma_seamless": 88.1}}
|
| 23798 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 80.23, "spread": 3.55, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 83.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.1, "icon_seamless": 81.3, "gem_seamless": 77.9, "ukmo_seamless": 82.1, "jma_seamless": 82.8}}
|
| 23799 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 95.66, "spread": 4.94, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.5, "icon_seamless": 101.0, "gem_seamless": 92.3, "jma_seamless": 89.1}}
|
| 23800 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 79.94, "spread": 4.45, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 83.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.8, "icon_seamless": 82.3, "gem_seamless": 73.4, "jma_seamless": 77.3}}
|
| 23801 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "dal", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 101.0}
|
| 23802 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "dal", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 81.0}
|
| 23803 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 96.57, "spread": 3.66, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 96.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.5, "icon_seamless": 97.2, "gem_seamless": 96.7, "ukmo_seamless": 97.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 101.0, "jma_seamless": 89.1}}
|
| 23804 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 77.77, "spread": 1.91, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.5, "icon_seamless": 76.7, "gem_seamless": 75.8, "ukmo_seamless": 78.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 81.6, "jma_seamless": 76.8}}
|
| 23805 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 94.63, "spread": 3.49, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 94.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.9, "icon_seamless": 95.4, "gem_seamless": 97.4, "ukmo_seamless": 96.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 95.2, "jma_seamless": 87.1}}
|
| 23806 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 78.13, "spread": 3.04, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 80.3, "icon_seamless": 74.6, "gem_seamless": 74.3, "ukmo_seamless": 79.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 82.6, "jma_seamless": 78.0}}
|
| 23807 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 96.19, "spread": 2.73, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.9, "icon_seamless": 96.0, "gem_seamless": 96.5, "ukmo_seamless": 95.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 97.9, "jma_seamless": 90.7}}
|
| 23808 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 76.31, "spread": 2.23, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 75.2, "icon_seamless": 74.5, "gem_seamless": 73.6, "ukmo_seamless": 78.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 79.5, "jma_seamless": 77.8}}
|
| 23809 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 96.59, "spread": 3.34, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.5, "icon_seamless": 97.3, "gem_seamless": 94.2, "ukmo_seamless": 95.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 100.3, "jma_seamless": 90.8}}
|
| 23810 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 73.91, "spread": 4.02, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 70.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 75.7, "icon_seamless": 69.4, "gem_seamless": 69.9, "ukmo_seamless": 75.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 80.3, "jma_seamless": 75.6}}
|
| 23811 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 95.67, "spread": 2.93, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.9, "icon_seamless": 94.7, "gem_seamless": 95.8, "ukmo_seamless": 96.3, "jma_seamless": 90.5}}
|
| 23812 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 73.68, "spread": 3.42, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 72.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.1, "icon_seamless": 74.3, "gem_seamless": 67.9, "ukmo_seamless": 73.9, "jma_seamless": 75.5}}
|
| 23813 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 96.85, "spread": 3.45, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 98.4, "icon_seamless": 100.4, "gem_seamless": 97.0, "ukmo_seamless": 93.3, "jma_seamless": 92.1}}
|
| 23814 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 75.37, "spread": 2.92, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 72.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.7, "icon_seamless": 74.6, "gem_seamless": 73.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.9, "jma_seamless": 79.3}}
|
| 23815 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 97.02, "spread": 4.1, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 99.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 99.5, "icon_seamless": 99.8, "gem_seamless": 96.8, "jma_seamless": 90.0}}
|
| 23816 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.72, "spread": 3.06, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 73.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 79.0, "icon_seamless": 73.9, "gem_seamless": 72.9, "jma_seamless": 79.1}}
|
| 23817 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "aus", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 102.0}
|
| 23818 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "aus", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 77.0}
|
| 23819 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 74.7, "spread": 1.45, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.8, "icon_seamless": 73.9, "gem_seamless": 75.8, "ukmo_seamless": 75.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 71.8, "jma_seamless": 75.2}}
|
| 23820 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 67.41, "spread": 2.45, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.8, "icon_seamless": 68.6, "gem_seamless": 69.1, "ukmo_seamless": 67.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 64.2, "jma_seamless": 63.7}}
|
| 23821 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 75.21, "spread": 4.66, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 79.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.2, "icon_seamless": 77.0, "gem_seamless": 82.8, "ukmo_seamless": 71.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 71.2, "jma_seamless": 71.0}}
|
| 23822 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 66.27, "spread": 1.92, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 67.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 67.4, "icon_seamless": 68.7, "gem_seamless": 66.8, "ukmo_seamless": 66.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 63.1, "jma_seamless": 64.3}}
|
| 23823 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 72.73, "spread": 3.7, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.2, "icon_seamless": 73.7, "gem_seamless": 77.2, "ukmo_seamless": 73.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 66.0, "jma_seamless": 69.7}}
|
| 23824 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 64.7, "spread": 1.52, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 65.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 65.2, "icon_seamless": 65.5, "gem_seamless": 63.6, "ukmo_seamless": 66.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 62.1, "jma_seamless": 64.1}}
|
| 23825 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 79.43, "spread": 5.67, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 70.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 81.3, "icon_seamless": 84.3, "gem_seamless": 80.1, "ukmo_seamless": 87.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 76.6, "jma_seamless": 75.2}}
|
| 23826 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 64.47, "spread": 3.03, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 66.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 62.0, "icon_seamless": 64.0, "gem_seamless": 70.4, "ukmo_seamless": 62.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 63.1, "jma_seamless": 62.8}}
|
| 23827 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 69.17, "spread": 2.61, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 66.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 69.1, "icon_seamless": 72.8, "gem_seamless": 71.8, "ukmo_seamless": 68.0, "jma_seamless": 66.7}}
|
| 23828 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 64.28, "spread": 2.17, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 62.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 66.5, "icon_seamless": 67.4, "gem_seamless": 64.1, "ukmo_seamless": 62.8, "jma_seamless": 62.3}}
|
| 23829 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 72.57, "spread": 6.13, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.3, "icon_seamless": 79.6, "gem_seamless": 63.7, "ukmo_seamless": 66.7, "jma_seamless": 77.1}}
|
| 23830 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 62.85, "spread": 2.84, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 63.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 62.3, "icon_seamless": 66.5, "gem_seamless": 59.8, "ukmo_seamless": 59.6, "jma_seamless": 65.4}}
|
| 23831 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 70.98, "spread": 5.25, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 75.3, "icon_seamless": 68.1, "gem_seamless": 63.1, "jma_seamless": 73.7}}
|
| 23832 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 63.22, "spread": 3.95, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 62.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 63.1, "icon_seamless": 61.5, "gem_seamless": 59.3, "jma_seamless": 69.8}}
|
| 23833 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "chi", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 85.0}
|
| 23834 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "chi", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 68.0}
|
| 23835 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 96.5, "spread": 3.24, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.9, "icon_seamless": 97.8, "gem_seamless": 97.0, "ukmo_seamless": 96.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 99.2, "jma_seamless": 89.5}}
|
| 23836 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 77.01, "spread": 2.49, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 77.3, "icon_seamless": 77.0, "gem_seamless": 72.5, "ukmo_seamless": 78.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 79.8, "jma_seamless": 79.1}}
|
| 23837 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 94.54, "spread": 2.79, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 96.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 93.5, "icon_seamless": 95.1, "gem_seamless": 95.9, "ukmo_seamless": 95.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 97.0, "jma_seamless": 88.7}}
|
| 23838 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 77.09, "spread": 1.87, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 77.8, "icon_seamless": 76.2, "gem_seamless": 74.2, "ukmo_seamless": 78.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 78.8, "jma_seamless": 79.1}}
|
| 23839 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 93.33, "spread": 3.69, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 96.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 95.4, "icon_seamless": 96.2, "gem_seamless": 94.1, "ukmo_seamless": 94.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 90.8, "jma_seamless": 86.1}}
|
| 23840 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 76.67, "spread": 1.46, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 75.7, "icon_seamless": 77.2, "gem_seamless": 73.8, "ukmo_seamless": 77.3, "meteofrance_seamless": 77.9, "jma_seamless": 77.8}}
|
| 23841 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 94.76, "spread": 2.56, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 97.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.2, "icon_seamless": 95.9, "gem_seamless": 93.5, "ukmo_seamless": 95.1, "meteofrance_seamless": 95.6, "jma_seamless": 89.6}}
|
| 23842 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 74.64, "spread": 2.17, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 73.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 76.4, "icon_seamless": 75.3, "gem_seamless": 70.3, "ukmo_seamless": 75.9, "meteofrance_seamless": 75.8, "jma_seamless": 75.6}}
|
| 23843 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 94.72, "spread": 2.46, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 97.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 96.0, "icon_seamless": 95.4, "gem_seamless": 94.4, "ukmo_seamless": 94.8, "jma_seamless": 90.2}}
|
| 23844 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 74.07, "spread": 3.18, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 74.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 76.7, "icon_seamless": 74.4, "gem_seamless": 68.0, "ukmo_seamless": 74.4, "jma_seamless": 76.6}}
|
| 23845 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 95.7, "spread": 2.94, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.1, "icon_seamless": 99.0, "gem_seamless": 95.5, "ukmo_seamless": 92.9, "jma_seamless": 91.6}}
|
| 23846 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 75.65, "spread": 2.55, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.3, "icon_seamless": 75.2, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.8, "jma_seamless": 79.0}}
|
| 23847 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 95.44, "spread": 3.31, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 98.4, "ecmwf_ifs025": 97.1, "icon_seamless": 96.7, "gem_seamless": 95.1, "jma_seamless": 89.9}}
|
| 23848 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.98, "spread": 2.76, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.0, "icon_seamless": 76.6, "gem_seamless": 71.4, "jma_seamless": 78.2}}
|
| 23849 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "sat", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 101.0}
|
| 23850 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "sat", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 79.0}
|
| 23851 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 71.0}
|
| 23852 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 55.0}
|
| 23853 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 81.0}
|
| 23854 |
+
{"type": "settlement", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "value": 69.0}
|
| 23855 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 76.35, "spread": 3.48, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 77.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.6, "icon_seamless": 78.6, "gem_seamless": 77.8, "ukmo_seamless": 74.4, "meteofrance_seamless": 74.0, "jma_seamless": 74.3, "graphcast": 71.5}}
|
| 23856 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 66.91, "spread": 2.33, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 66.3, "ecmwf_ifs025": 67.1, "icon_seamless": 68.0, "gem_seamless": 61.4, "ukmo_seamless": 68.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 68.0, "jma_seamless": 68.1, "graphcast": 68.2}}
|
| 23857 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 74.55, "spread": 2.99, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 73.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 80.2, "icon_seamless": 77.1, "gem_seamless": 75.3, "ukmo_seamless": 72.1, "meteofrance_seamless": 72.3, "jma_seamless": 74.5, "graphcast": 71.1}}
|
| 23858 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 65.79, "spread": 3.24, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 64.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 67.3, "icon_seamless": 67.0, "gem_seamless": 58.1, "ukmo_seamless": 67.5, "meteofrance_seamless": 67.1, "jma_seamless": 67.4, "graphcast": 67.2}}
|
| 23859 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 75.67, "spread": 3.66, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 82.3, "icon_seamless": 78.4, "gem_seamless": 75.4, "ukmo_seamless": 73.1, "meteofrance_seamless": 73.1, "jma_seamless": 76.8, "graphcast": 70.4}}
|
| 23860 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 63.21, "spread": 3.26, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 58.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 63.7, "icon_seamless": 61.8, "gem_seamless": 58.9, "ukmo_seamless": 67.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 63.3, "jma_seamless": 65.9, "graphcast": 66.5}}
|
| 23861 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 77.49, "spread": 4.31, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 78.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 85.2, "icon_seamless": 80.4, "gem_seamless": 76.9, "ukmo_seamless": 75.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 74.8, "jma_seamless": 78.3, "graphcast": 70.4}}
|
| 23862 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 64.75, "spread": 3.73, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 69.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 65.1, "icon_seamless": 64.2, "gem_seamless": 56.5, "ukmo_seamless": 67.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 64.6, "jma_seamless": 65.0, "graphcast": 65.8}}
|
| 23863 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 76.36, "spread": 4.54, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 78.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 84.9, "icon_seamless": 77.8, "gem_seamless": 73.6, "ukmo_seamless": 74.6, "jma_seamless": 75.0, "graphcast": 70.6}}
|
| 23864 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 66.61, "spread": 2.67, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 69.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 68.4, "icon_seamless": 66.0, "gem_seamless": 61.7, "ukmo_seamless": 68.7, "jma_seamless": 65.5, "graphcast": 66.3}}
|
| 23865 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 75.71, "spread": 3.7, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 81.7, "icon_seamless": 79.3, "gem_seamless": 75.1, "ukmo_seamless": 74.5, "jma_seamless": 73.2, "graphcast": 70.7}}
|
| 23866 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 66.41, "spread": 2.85, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 65.8, "icon_seamless": 66.7, "gem_seamless": 60.3, "ukmo_seamless": 67.9, "jma_seamless": 68.5, "graphcast": 67.6}}
|
| 23867 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.65, "spread": 2.88, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 73.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 79.3, "icon_seamless": 79.1, "gem_seamless": 75.0, "ukmo_seamless": 72.4, "jma_seamless": 74.4}}
|
| 23868 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "lax", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 66.0, "spread": 2.0, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 68.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 65.6, "icon_seamless": 64.9, "gem_seamless": 62.8, "ukmo_seamless": 66.8, "jma_seamless": 67.7}}
|
| 23869 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 81.64, "spread": 2.87, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 81.1, "ecmwf_ifs025": 83.0, "icon_seamless": 79.9, "gem_seamless": 82.4, "ukmo_seamless": 85.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 78.5, "jma_seamless": 84.7, "graphcast": 77.7}}
|
| 23870 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "lead": 0, "mean": 53.86, "spread": 2.87, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 53.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 54.4, "icon_seamless": 53.2, "gem_seamless": 50.9, "ukmo_seamless": 50.0, "meteofrance_seamless": 56.1, "jma_seamless": 59.1, "graphcast": 54.2}}
|
| 23871 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 77.96, "spread": 3.81, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 82.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 78.3, "icon_seamless": 78.3, "gem_seamless": 84.0, "ukmo_seamless": 74.7, "meteofrance_seamless": 74.8, "jma_seamless": 77.4, "graphcast": 73.4}}
|
| 23872 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "lead": 1, "mean": 61.86, "spread": 2.76, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 62.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 62.5, "icon_seamless": 62.8, "gem_seamless": 60.2, "ukmo_seamless": 55.8, "meteofrance_seamless": 63.8, "jma_seamless": 64.6, "graphcast": 62.3}}
|
| 23873 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 80.64, "spread": 2.05, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 80.6, "ecmwf_ifs025": 80.4, "icon_seamless": 82.6, "gem_seamless": 83.4, "ukmo_seamless": 81.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 81.4, "jma_seamless": 77.3, "graphcast": 78.2}}
|
| 23874 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "lead": 2, "mean": 59.16, "spread": 2.39, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 59.2, "ecmwf_ifs025": 59.7, "icon_seamless": 57.9, "gem_seamless": 56.5, "ukmo_seamless": 56.2, "meteofrance_seamless": 61.4, "jma_seamless": 63.3, "graphcast": 59.1}}
|
| 23875 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 74.91, "spread": 2.59, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 79.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 74.1, "icon_seamless": 76.4, "gem_seamless": 76.1, "ukmo_seamless": 74.9, "meteofrance_seamless": 75.9, "jma_seamless": 72.2, "graphcast": 70.7}}
|
| 23876 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "lead": 3, "mean": 56.35, "spread": 2.56, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 56.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 55.9, "icon_seamless": 55.3, "gem_seamless": 52.4, "ukmo_seamless": 54.6, "meteofrance_seamless": 59.0, "jma_seamless": 60.7, "graphcast": 56.4}}
|
| 23877 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 69.46, "spread": 3.0, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 72.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 67.4, "icon_seamless": 70.3, "gem_seamless": 70.3, "ukmo_seamless": 72.6, "jma_seamless": 69.8, "graphcast": 63.8}}
|
| 23878 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "lead": 4, "mean": 54.94, "spread": 1.9, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 53.8, "ecmwf_ifs025": 54.9, "icon_seamless": 54.2, "gem_seamless": 54.2, "ukmo_seamless": 57.2, "jma_seamless": 57.8, "graphcast": 52.5}}
|
| 23879 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 72.36, "spread": 2.59, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 75.9, "ecmwf_ifs025": 71.3, "icon_seamless": 75.8, "gem_seamless": 72.4, "ukmo_seamless": 71.7, "jma_seamless": 69.8, "graphcast": 69.6}}
|
| 23880 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "lead": 5, "mean": 52.23, "spread": 2.85, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 55.0, "ecmwf_ifs025": 51.6, "icon_seamless": 53.8, "gem_seamless": 47.1, "ukmo_seamless": 51.6, "jma_seamless": 55.4, "graphcast": 51.1}}
|
| 23881 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "high", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 75.18, "spread": 4.57, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 80.5, "ecmwf_ifs025": 72.0, "icon_seamless": 81.1, "gem_seamless": 75.0, "ukmo_seamless": 71.6, "jma_seamless": 70.9}}
|
| 23882 |
+
{"type": "guidance", "station": "den", "kind": "low", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "lead": 6, "mean": 54.7, "spread": 3.24, "models": {"gfs_seamless": 56.7, "ecmwf_ifs025": 54.3, "icon_seamless": 55.3, "gem_seamless": 48.4, "ukmo_seamless": 56.8, "jma_seamless": 56.7}}
|
data/own-models.jsonl
CHANGED
|
@@ -2518,3 +2518,283 @@
|
|
| 2518 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
|
| 2519 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 88.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
|
| 2520 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
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| 2518 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
|
| 2519 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 88.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
|
| 2520 |
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-13T00:37:25.083741+00:00"}
|
| 2521 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2522 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 57.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2523 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2524 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2525 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2526 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2527 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 80.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2528 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2529 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2530 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2531 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2532 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 64.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2533 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2534 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 55.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2535 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 95.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2536 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2537 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2538 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2539 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2540 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2541 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2542 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2543 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2544 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2545 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2546 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2547 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 86.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2548 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2549 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2550 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2551 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2552 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2553 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2554 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2555 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 74.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2556 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2557 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2558 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2559 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2560 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 64.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2561 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2562 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2563 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2564 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2565 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 85.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2566 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 80.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2567 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2568 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2569 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2570 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2571 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 85.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2572 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2573 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 84.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2574 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2575 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2576 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2577 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2578 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2579 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2580 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 68.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2581 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2582 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2583 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2584 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2585 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2586 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2587 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2588 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2589 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2590 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2591 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 74.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2592 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 57.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2593 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2594 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2595 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2596 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2597 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2598 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2599 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2600 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2601 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2602 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 68.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2603 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2604 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2605 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2606 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 55.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2607 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2608 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 54.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2609 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2610 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 62.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2611 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2612 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 59.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2613 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2614 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 56.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2615 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2616 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 52.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2617 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2618 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 51.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2619 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 95.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2620 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 80.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2621 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 92.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2622 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2623 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2624 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2625 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2626 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2627 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2628 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2629 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 86.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2630 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2631 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 80.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2632 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2633 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 87.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2634 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2635 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2636 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2637 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 85.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2638 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2639 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2640 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2641 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2642 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2643 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2644 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2645 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2646 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2647 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 94.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2648 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-15", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2649 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2650 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2651 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2652 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2653 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2654 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2655 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2656 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2657 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2658 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2659 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 87.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2660 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-16T09:33:53.869907+00:00"}
|
| 2661 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2662 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2663 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2664 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2665 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2666 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2667 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2668 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 61.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2669 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2670 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2671 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 68.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2672 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2673 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2674 |
+
{"station": "nyc", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 57.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2675 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 93.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2676 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2677 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2678 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2679 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2680 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2681 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2682 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2683 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2684 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2685 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 92.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2686 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2687 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 89.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2688 |
+
{"station": "aus", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2689 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 73.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2690 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2691 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2692 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2693 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2694 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2695 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2696 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2697 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2698 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 64.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2699 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 63.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2700 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 60.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2701 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 61.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2702 |
+
{"station": "chi", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 57.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2703 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 86.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2704 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2705 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2706 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2707 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2708 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2709 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2710 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2711 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2712 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2713 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2714 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2715 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 82.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2716 |
+
{"station": "mia", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2717 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2718 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2719 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2720 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2721 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2722 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2723 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2724 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2725 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2726 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2727 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2728 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2729 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 68.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2730 |
+
{"station": "lax", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2731 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2732 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 61.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2733 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2734 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2735 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2736 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2737 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 74.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2738 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 65.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2739 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2740 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 66.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2741 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2742 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 62.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2743 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 62.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2744 |
+
{"station": "phl", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 58.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2745 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2746 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 54.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2747 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2748 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 61.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2749 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2750 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 59.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2751 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2752 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 55.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2753 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 64.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2754 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 51.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2755 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 68.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2756 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 51.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2757 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2758 |
+
{"station": "den", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 54.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2759 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 95.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2760 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 81.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2761 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 92.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2762 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 79.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2763 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2764 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 78.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2765 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2766 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2767 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2768 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.0, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2769 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 84.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2770 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2771 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.1, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2772 |
+
{"station": "dal", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2773 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2774 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2775 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 84.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2776 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 67.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2777 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 88.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2778 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 69.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2779 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 87.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2780 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 72.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2781 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 83.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2782 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2783 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 86.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2784 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 71.2, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2785 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 84.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2786 |
+
{"station": "atl", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 70.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2787 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 93.7, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2788 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-16", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.3, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2789 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2790 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-17", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.9, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2791 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2792 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-18", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 77.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2793 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2794 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-19", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2795 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 91.6, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2796 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-20", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 75.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2797 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 92.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2798 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-21", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.8, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2799 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "high", "model": "graphcast", "value": 90.5, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
| 2800 |
+
{"station": "sat", "target_date": "2026-09-22", "kind": "low", "model": "graphcast", "value": 76.4, "issued_at": "2026-09-17T01:44:37.156739+00:00"}
|
replay/lineage.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -113,9 +113,48 @@
|
|
| 113 |
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1632689809734343
|
| 114 |
}
|
| 115 |
},
|
| 116 |
-
"status": "
|
| 117 |
"created": "2026-09-01T16:59:59.269327+00:00",
|
| 118 |
"note": "held-in $-3.00 vs $-6.22 (+$3.22), held-out $-1.32 vs $-3.08"
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
| 119 |
}
|
| 120 |
],
|
| 121 |
"meta_cycles": [
|
|
@@ -2412,6 +2451,171 @@
|
|
| 2412 |
],
|
| 2413 |
"promoted": null,
|
| 2414 |
"reason": "no candidate cleared the gate; champion holds"
|
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|
|
|
|
| 2415 |
}
|
| 2416 |
]
|
| 2417 |
}
|
|
|
|
| 113 |
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1632689809734343
|
| 114 |
}
|
| 115 |
},
|
| 116 |
+
"status": "retired",
|
| 117 |
"created": "2026-09-01T16:59:59.269327+00:00",
|
| 118 |
"note": "held-in $-3.00 vs $-6.22 (+$3.22), held-out $-1.32 vs $-3.08"
|
| 119 |
+
},
|
| 120 |
+
{
|
| 121 |
+
"id": 4,
|
| 122 |
+
"parent": 3,
|
| 123 |
+
"params": {
|
| 124 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.1494,
|
| 125 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.6301,
|
| 126 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 127 |
+
"forecast_prompt": null
|
| 128 |
+
},
|
| 129 |
+
"proposer": "random",
|
| 130 |
+
"operator": "decision",
|
| 131 |
+
"rationale": "archive mutation",
|
| 132 |
+
"evidence": "Track record: 45 settled, win rate 22%, avg win $242.74 vs avg loss $-130.95, Brier 0.410 (0.25 = coin flip).\n- climate and weather: 45 settled, win rate 22%, pnl $-2155.73\nRecent losing settlements:\n- Will the maximum temperature be >87\u00b0 on Sep 15, 2026? ($-167.64)\n- Will the maximum temperature be 82-83\u00b0 on Sep 15, 2026? ($-266.42)\n- Will the maximum temperature be <84\u00b0 on Sep 12, 2026? ($-22.14)\n- Will the maximum temperature be 79-80\u00b0 on Sep 12, 2026? ($-20.16)\n- Will the minimum temperature be 76-77\u00b0 on Sep 2, 2026? ($-22.80)\n- Will the minimum temperature be 76-77\u00b0 on Aug 19, 2026? ($-25",
|
| 133 |
+
"scores": {
|
| 134 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 135 |
+
"n": 29,
|
| 136 |
+
"win_rate": 0.13793103448275862,
|
| 137 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.07896551724137933,
|
| 138 |
+
"total_pnl": -2.2900000000000005,
|
| 139 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1829836600776407,
|
| 140 |
+
"avg_win": 0.75,
|
| 141 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.21160000000000004,
|
| 142 |
+
"fees": 0.48000000000000015
|
| 143 |
+
},
|
| 144 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 145 |
+
"n": 5,
|
| 146 |
+
"win_rate": 0.0,
|
| 147 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.36800000000000005,
|
| 148 |
+
"total_pnl": -1.8400000000000003,
|
| 149 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.16386102323032112,
|
| 150 |
+
"avg_win": 0.0,
|
| 151 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.36800000000000005,
|
| 152 |
+
"fees": 0.1
|
| 153 |
+
}
|
| 154 |
+
},
|
| 155 |
+
"status": "active",
|
| 156 |
+
"created": "2026-09-16T12:39:30.589935+00:00",
|
| 157 |
+
"note": "held-in $-2.29 vs $-2.93 (+$0.64), held-out $-1.84 vs $-2.64"
|
| 158 |
}
|
| 159 |
],
|
| 160 |
"meta_cycles": [
|
|
|
|
| 2451 |
],
|
| 2452 |
"promoted": null,
|
| 2453 |
"reason": "no candidate cleared the gate; champion holds"
|
| 2454 |
+
},
|
| 2455 |
+
{
|
| 2456 |
+
"ts": "2026-09-16T12:39:30.595608+00:00",
|
| 2457 |
+
"operator": "decision",
|
| 2458 |
+
"rows": 2305,
|
| 2459 |
+
"rollback": "",
|
| 2460 |
+
"candidates": [
|
| 2461 |
+
{
|
| 2462 |
+
"params": {
|
| 2463 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.08,
|
| 2464 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.6,
|
| 2465 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 2466 |
+
"forecast_prompt": "default"
|
| 2467 |
+
},
|
| 2468 |
+
"proposer": "llm",
|
| 2469 |
+
"rationale": "Hard upper bound on min_edge suppresses trade frequency; lowering it tests if capturing moderate-edge opportunities scales with the 1.85x win/loss payout ratio.",
|
| 2470 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 2471 |
+
"n": 251,
|
| 2472 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3147410358565737,
|
| 2473 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.06430278884462154,
|
| 2474 |
+
"total_pnl": -16.140000000000008,
|
| 2475 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1246853610428155,
|
| 2476 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5637974683544303,
|
| 2477 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.35279069767441873,
|
| 2478 |
+
"fees": 4.649999999999986
|
| 2479 |
+
},
|
| 2480 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 2481 |
+
"n": 51,
|
| 2482 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
|
| 2483 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.042352941176470614,
|
| 2484 |
+
"total_pnl": -2.1600000000000015,
|
| 2485 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.11761692787848511,
|
| 2486 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5682352941176472,
|
| 2487 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.34764705882352936,
|
| 2488 |
+
"fees": 0.9500000000000005
|
| 2489 |
+
},
|
| 2490 |
+
"verdict": "held-in gain $-13.21 < $0.50 margin"
|
| 2491 |
+
},
|
| 2492 |
+
{
|
| 2493 |
+
"params": {
|
| 2494 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.1,
|
| 2495 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.4,
|
| 2496 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 2497 |
+
"forecast_prompt": "default"
|
| 2498 |
+
},
|
| 2499 |
+
"proposer": "llm",
|
| 2500 |
+
"rationale": "Losses concentrate in narrow temperature bins where market prices may be efficient; reducing market weight lets the model drive decisions on residual mispricing.",
|
| 2501 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 2502 |
+
"n": 377,
|
| 2503 |
+
"win_rate": 0.35543766578249336,
|
| 2504 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.04429708222811673,
|
| 2505 |
+
"total_pnl": -16.700000000000006,
|
| 2506 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.17280247318312603,
|
| 2507 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5160447761194027,
|
| 2508 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.3532921810699589,
|
| 2509 |
+
"fees": 6.8899999999999375
|
| 2510 |
+
},
|
| 2511 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 2512 |
+
"n": 72,
|
| 2513 |
+
"win_rate": 0.375,
|
| 2514 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.02555555555555558,
|
| 2515 |
+
"total_pnl": -1.8400000000000019,
|
| 2516 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1705738017391899,
|
| 2517 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5196296296296296,
|
| 2518 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.3526666666666667,
|
| 2519 |
+
"fees": 1.330000000000001
|
| 2520 |
+
},
|
| 2521 |
+
"verdict": "held-in gain $-13.77 < $0.50 margin"
|
| 2522 |
+
},
|
| 2523 |
+
{
|
| 2524 |
+
"params": {
|
| 2525 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.06,
|
| 2526 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.6,
|
| 2527 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 2528 |
+
"forecast_prompt": "default"
|
| 2529 |
+
},
|
| 2530 |
+
"proposer": "llm",
|
| 2531 |
+
"rationale": "Test if increased trade volume compensates for the 22% win rate, staying within hard bounds to avoid overfitting to recent noise.",
|
| 2532 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 2533 |
+
"n": 364,
|
| 2534 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3434065934065934,
|
| 2535 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.046648351648351676,
|
| 2536 |
+
"total_pnl": -16.98000000000001,
|
| 2537 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.10725979005222297,
|
| 2538 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5221599999999998,
|
| 2539 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.34414225941422594,
|
| 2540 |
+
"fees": 6.599999999999944
|
| 2541 |
+
},
|
| 2542 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 2543 |
+
"n": 69,
|
| 2544 |
+
"win_rate": 0.36231884057971014,
|
| 2545 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.03086956521739133,
|
| 2546 |
+
"total_pnl": -2.1300000000000017,
|
| 2547 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.10480115353025639,
|
| 2548 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5292000000000001,
|
| 2549 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.3490909090909091,
|
| 2550 |
+
"fees": 1.270000000000001
|
| 2551 |
+
},
|
| 2552 |
+
"verdict": "held-in gain $-14.05 < $0.50 margin"
|
| 2553 |
+
},
|
| 2554 |
+
{
|
| 2555 |
+
"params": {
|
| 2556 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.1494,
|
| 2557 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.6301,
|
| 2558 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 2559 |
+
"forecast_prompt": "default"
|
| 2560 |
+
},
|
| 2561 |
+
"proposer": "random",
|
| 2562 |
+
"rationale": "archive mutation",
|
| 2563 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 2564 |
+
"n": 29,
|
| 2565 |
+
"win_rate": 0.13793103448275862,
|
| 2566 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.07896551724137933,
|
| 2567 |
+
"total_pnl": -2.2900000000000005,
|
| 2568 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1829836600776407,
|
| 2569 |
+
"avg_win": 0.75,
|
| 2570 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.21160000000000004,
|
| 2571 |
+
"fees": 0.48000000000000015
|
| 2572 |
+
},
|
| 2573 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 2574 |
+
"n": 5,
|
| 2575 |
+
"win_rate": 0.0,
|
| 2576 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.36800000000000005,
|
| 2577 |
+
"total_pnl": -1.8400000000000003,
|
| 2578 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.16386102323032112,
|
| 2579 |
+
"avg_win": 0.0,
|
| 2580 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.36800000000000005,
|
| 2581 |
+
"fees": 0.1
|
| 2582 |
+
},
|
| 2583 |
+
"verdict": "pass"
|
| 2584 |
+
},
|
| 2585 |
+
{
|
| 2586 |
+
"params": {
|
| 2587 |
+
"risk.min_edge": 0.1448,
|
| 2588 |
+
"risk.market_prior_weight": 0.5589,
|
| 2589 |
+
"weather_anchor_delta": 0.15,
|
| 2590 |
+
"forecast_prompt": "default"
|
| 2591 |
+
},
|
| 2592 |
+
"proposer": "random",
|
| 2593 |
+
"rationale": "archive mutation",
|
| 2594 |
+
"held_in": {
|
| 2595 |
+
"n": 89,
|
| 2596 |
+
"win_rate": 0.19101123595505617,
|
| 2597 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.12022471910112363,
|
| 2598 |
+
"total_pnl": -10.700000000000003,
|
| 2599 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.18206288264002748,
|
| 2600 |
+
"avg_win": 0.626470588235294,
|
| 2601 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.2965277777777777,
|
| 2602 |
+
"fees": 1.630000000000001
|
| 2603 |
+
},
|
| 2604 |
+
"held_out": {
|
| 2605 |
+
"n": 17,
|
| 2606 |
+
"win_rate": 0.058823529411764705,
|
| 2607 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.2764705882352942,
|
| 2608 |
+
"total_pnl": -4.700000000000001,
|
| 2609 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1717035074434424,
|
| 2610 |
+
"avg_win": 0.54,
|
| 2611 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.32750000000000007,
|
| 2612 |
+
"fees": 0.32
|
| 2613 |
+
},
|
| 2614 |
+
"verdict": "held-in gain $-7.77 < $0.50 margin"
|
| 2615 |
+
}
|
| 2616 |
+
],
|
| 2617 |
+
"promoted": 4,
|
| 2618 |
+
"reason": "promote: held-in $-2.29 vs $-2.93 (+$0.64), held-out $-1.84 vs $-2.64"
|
| 2619 |
}
|
| 2620 |
]
|
| 2621 |
}
|
replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.json
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,782 @@
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|
| 679 |
+
"this_source": {
|
| 680 |
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"n": 740,
|
| 681 |
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"win_rate": 0.37027027027027026,
|
| 682 |
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"pnl_per_contract": -0.031391891891891885,
|
| 683 |
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"total_pnl": -23.229999999999993,
|
| 684 |
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"avg_edge_priced": 0.13689900101998284,
|
| 685 |
+
"avg_win": 0.4956934306569343,
|
| 686 |
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"avg_loss": -0.34130901287553644,
|
| 687 |
+
"fees": 13.2899999999998,
|
| 688 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 689 |
+
"max_drawdown": 26.200000000000014,
|
| 690 |
+
"daily_mean": -0.34161764705882375,
|
| 691 |
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"daily_sd": 1.501050985336426,
|
| 692 |
+
"daily_sharpe": -0.22758563859325406,
|
| 693 |
+
"t_stat": -1.876719253587267,
|
| 694 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 695 |
+
-0.06544631306597672,
|
| 696 |
+
0.0006741573033707625
|
| 697 |
+
]
|
| 698 |
+
},
|
| 699 |
+
"consensus_on_same_rows": {
|
| 700 |
+
"n": 671,
|
| 701 |
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"win_rate": 0.3710879284649776,
|
| 702 |
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"pnl_per_contract": -0.03298062593144559,
|
| 703 |
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"total_pnl": -22.12999999999999,
|
| 704 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1363886906531941,
|
| 705 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5165060240963854,
|
| 706 |
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"avg_loss": -0.35720379146919445,
|
| 707 |
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"fees": 12.279999999999824,
|
| 708 |
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"days": 68,
|
| 709 |
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"max_drawdown": 24.960000000000004,
|
| 710 |
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"daily_mean": -0.32544117647058834,
|
| 711 |
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"daily_sd": 1.4564610900864836,
|
| 712 |
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"daily_sharpe": -0.22344652987005914,
|
| 713 |
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"t_stat": -1.842587288663971,
|
| 714 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 715 |
+
-0.06998520710059172,
|
| 716 |
+
0.0009090909090908904
|
| 717 |
+
]
|
| 718 |
+
},
|
| 719 |
+
"brier_source": 0.16561274685729474,
|
| 720 |
+
"brier_consensus": 0.16321429893134437
|
| 721 |
+
}
|
| 722 |
+
},
|
| 723 |
+
"simulation": [
|
| 724 |
+
{
|
| 725 |
+
"variant": "flat",
|
| 726 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 727 |
+
"final": 875.97,
|
| 728 |
+
"return": -0.124,
|
| 729 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.2235,
|
| 730 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 731 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 732 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 733 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 734 |
+
},
|
| 735 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 736 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 241.32
|
| 737 |
+
},
|
| 738 |
+
{
|
| 739 |
+
"variant": "kelly",
|
| 740 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 741 |
+
"final": 727.95,
|
| 742 |
+
"return": -0.2721,
|
| 743 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.6682,
|
| 744 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 745 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 746 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 747 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 748 |
+
},
|
| 749 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 750 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 1121.28
|
| 751 |
+
},
|
| 752 |
+
{
|
| 753 |
+
"variant": "kelly+caps",
|
| 754 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 755 |
+
"final": 545.76,
|
| 756 |
+
"return": -0.4542,
|
| 757 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.7238,
|
| 758 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 759 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 760 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 761 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 762 |
+
},
|
| 763 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 764 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 1019.32
|
| 765 |
+
},
|
| 766 |
+
{
|
| 767 |
+
"variant": "kelly+caps+kill",
|
| 768 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 769 |
+
"final": 1158.11,
|
| 770 |
+
"return": 0.1581,
|
| 771 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.1777,
|
| 772 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 773 |
+
"entered": 10,
|
| 774 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 775 |
+
"edge": 74,
|
| 776 |
+
"kill-switch": 587
|
| 777 |
+
},
|
| 778 |
+
"halted_on": "2026-07-19",
|
| 779 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 250.24
|
| 780 |
+
}
|
| 781 |
+
]
|
| 782 |
+
}
|
replay/results-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.md
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,224 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
# Replay experiments · ['2026-07-10', '2026-09-15'] · 3543 rows · 68 days · stations atl, aus, chi, dal, den, lax, mia, nyc, phl, sat
|
| 2 |
+
|
| 3 |
+
## E1 ablation
|
| 4 |
+
|
| 5 |
+
| rule | min_edge | w | bias | n | win | PnL/ct | 95% CI (day bootstrap) | total | maxDD | t |
|
| 6 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 7 |
+
| naked model vs market | 0.080 | 0.00 | False | 1577 | 38% | -0.037 | [-0.055, -0.019] | -59.08 | 62.04 | -4.09 |
|
| 8 |
+
| + learned station bias | 0.080 | 0.00 | True | 1487 | 37% | -0.037 | [-0.058, -0.017] | -55.51 | 59.58 | -3.64 |
|
| 9 |
+
| + market-prior blend (production) | 0.080 | 0.50 | True | 671 | 37% | -0.033 | [-0.070, +0.001] | -22.13 | 24.96 | -1.84 |
|
| 10 |
+
| control: no blend, edge bar raised to match trade count | 0.190 | 0.00 | True | 664 | 38% | -0.033 | [-0.069, +0.001] | -21.92 | 24.28 | -1.85 |
|
| 11 |
+
|
| 12 |
+
## E2 grid (PnL/ct, n)
|
| 13 |
+
|
| 14 |
+
| w \ min_edge | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
|
| 15 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 16 |
+
| 0.00 | -0.036 (2163) | -0.037 (1949) | -0.037 (1722) | -0.037 (1487) | -0.041 (1309) | -0.037 (1141) | -0.034 (914) | -0.032 (606) |
|
| 17 |
+
| 0.25 | -0.035 (1988) | -0.036 (1682) | -0.039 (1394) | -0.037 (1174) | -0.039 (956) | -0.040 (789) | -0.030 (562) | -0.051 (336) |
|
| 18 |
+
| 0.50 | -0.036 (1598) | -0.040 (1230) | -0.034 (916) | -0.033 (671) | -0.036 (481) | -0.054 (354) | -0.071 (217) | -0.130 (67) |
|
| 19 |
+
| 0.75 | -0.034 (826) | -0.043 (422) | -0.066 (226) | -0.155 (90) | -0.102 (36) | -0.077 (18) | +0.035 (6) | — |
|
| 20 |
+
|
| 21 |
+
## E6 by station
|
| 22 |
+
|
| 23 |
+
| group | n | win | PnL/ct | total |
|
| 24 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 25 |
+
| atl | 57 | 35% | -0.125 | -7.12 |
|
| 26 |
+
| aus | 114 | 30% | -0.070 | -8.03 |
|
| 27 |
+
| chi | 59 | 47% | +0.083 | +4.92 |
|
| 28 |
+
| dal | 71 | 34% | -0.050 | -3.55 |
|
| 29 |
+
| den | 80 | 40% | -0.079 | -6.35 |
|
| 30 |
+
| lax | 79 | 34% | -0.057 | -4.51 |
|
| 31 |
+
| mia | 59 | 41% | +0.040 | +2.35 |
|
| 32 |
+
| nyc | 67 | 37% | +0.008 | +0.52 |
|
| 33 |
+
| phl | 55 | 36% | -0.042 | -2.30 |
|
| 34 |
+
| sat | 30 | 50% | +0.065 | +1.94 |
|
| 35 |
+
|
| 36 |
+
## E6 by week
|
| 37 |
+
|
| 38 |
+
| group | n | win | PnL/ct | total |
|
| 39 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 40 |
+
| 2026-W28 | 30 | 43% | +0.026 | +0.79 |
|
| 41 |
+
| 2026-W29 | 62 | 34% | -0.066 | -4.07 |
|
| 42 |
+
| 2026-W30 | 57 | 47% | +0.074 | +4.24 |
|
| 43 |
+
| 2026-W31 | 81 | 41% | -0.036 | -2.94 |
|
| 44 |
+
| 2026-W32 | 71 | 35% | -0.062 | -4.43 |
|
| 45 |
+
| 2026-W33 | 69 | 30% | -0.089 | -6.13 |
|
| 46 |
+
| 2026-W34 | 70 | 46% | +0.052 | +3.67 |
|
| 47 |
+
| 2026-W35 | 74 | 32% | -0.051 | -3.74 |
|
| 48 |
+
| 2026-W36 | 64 | 28% | -0.119 | -7.63 |
|
| 49 |
+
| 2026-W37 | 72 | 38% | -0.023 | -1.68 |
|
| 50 |
+
| 2026-W38 | 21 | 38% | -0.010 | -0.21 |
|
| 51 |
+
|
| 52 |
+
## E6 by kind
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
| group | n | win | PnL/ct | total |
|
| 55 |
+
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 56 |
+
| high | 594 | 37% | -0.038 | -22.63 |
|
| 57 |
+
| low | 77 | 35% | +0.006 | +0.50 |
|
| 58 |
+
|
| 59 |
+
## sources
|
| 60 |
+
|
| 61 |
+
```json
|
| 62 |
+
{
|
| 63 |
+
"nbm": {
|
| 64 |
+
"path": "/home/tom/.openthomas/paper/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl",
|
| 65 |
+
"digest": "db35ec8b079880bc",
|
| 66 |
+
"rows": 3543,
|
| 67 |
+
"paired_rows": 3543,
|
| 68 |
+
"this_source": {
|
| 69 |
+
"n": 692,
|
| 70 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3236994219653179,
|
| 71 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.05355491329479771,
|
| 72 |
+
"total_pnl": -37.06000000000002,
|
| 73 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1314130627482218,
|
| 74 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5180803571428569,
|
| 75 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.3271581196581198,
|
| 76 |
+
"fees": 12.219999999999825,
|
| 77 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 78 |
+
"max_drawdown": 40.54,
|
| 79 |
+
"daily_mean": -0.5450000000000002,
|
| 80 |
+
"daily_sd": 1.3506079338745114,
|
| 81 |
+
"daily_sharpe": -0.4035219891212616,
|
| 82 |
+
"t_stat": -3.327527566812604,
|
| 83 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 84 |
+
-0.08661383285302594,
|
| 85 |
+
-0.022163742690058497
|
| 86 |
+
]
|
| 87 |
+
},
|
| 88 |
+
"consensus_on_same_rows": {
|
| 89 |
+
"n": 671,
|
| 90 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3710879284649776,
|
| 91 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.03298062593144559,
|
| 92 |
+
"total_pnl": -22.12999999999999,
|
| 93 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1363886906531941,
|
| 94 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5165060240963854,
|
| 95 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.35720379146919445,
|
| 96 |
+
"fees": 12.279999999999824,
|
| 97 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 98 |
+
"max_drawdown": 24.960000000000004,
|
| 99 |
+
"daily_mean": -0.32544117647058834,
|
| 100 |
+
"daily_sd": 1.4564610900864836,
|
| 101 |
+
"daily_sharpe": -0.22344652987005914,
|
| 102 |
+
"t_stat": -1.842587288663971,
|
| 103 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 104 |
+
-0.06998520710059172,
|
| 105 |
+
0.0009090909090908904
|
| 106 |
+
]
|
| 107 |
+
},
|
| 108 |
+
"brier_source": 0.1631641536890314,
|
| 109 |
+
"brier_consensus": 0.16321429893134437
|
| 110 |
+
},
|
| 111 |
+
"gfsmos": {
|
| 112 |
+
"path": "/home/tom/.openthomas/paper/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl",
|
| 113 |
+
"digest": "98b9584ddf9a7540",
|
| 114 |
+
"rows": 3543,
|
| 115 |
+
"paired_rows": 3543,
|
| 116 |
+
"this_source": {
|
| 117 |
+
"n": 740,
|
| 118 |
+
"win_rate": 0.37027027027027026,
|
| 119 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.031391891891891885,
|
| 120 |
+
"total_pnl": -23.229999999999993,
|
| 121 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.13689900101998284,
|
| 122 |
+
"avg_win": 0.4956934306569343,
|
| 123 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.34130901287553644,
|
| 124 |
+
"fees": 13.2899999999998,
|
| 125 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 126 |
+
"max_drawdown": 26.200000000000014,
|
| 127 |
+
"daily_mean": -0.34161764705882375,
|
| 128 |
+
"daily_sd": 1.501050985336426,
|
| 129 |
+
"daily_sharpe": -0.22758563859325406,
|
| 130 |
+
"t_stat": -1.876719253587267,
|
| 131 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 132 |
+
-0.06544631306597672,
|
| 133 |
+
0.0006741573033707625
|
| 134 |
+
]
|
| 135 |
+
},
|
| 136 |
+
"consensus_on_same_rows": {
|
| 137 |
+
"n": 671,
|
| 138 |
+
"win_rate": 0.3710879284649776,
|
| 139 |
+
"pnl_per_contract": -0.03298062593144559,
|
| 140 |
+
"total_pnl": -22.12999999999999,
|
| 141 |
+
"avg_edge_priced": 0.1363886906531941,
|
| 142 |
+
"avg_win": 0.5165060240963854,
|
| 143 |
+
"avg_loss": -0.35720379146919445,
|
| 144 |
+
"fees": 12.279999999999824,
|
| 145 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 146 |
+
"max_drawdown": 24.960000000000004,
|
| 147 |
+
"daily_mean": -0.32544117647058834,
|
| 148 |
+
"daily_sd": 1.4564610900864836,
|
| 149 |
+
"daily_sharpe": -0.22344652987005914,
|
| 150 |
+
"t_stat": -1.842587288663971,
|
| 151 |
+
"ci95_pnl_per_contract": [
|
| 152 |
+
-0.06998520710059172,
|
| 153 |
+
0.0009090909090908904
|
| 154 |
+
]
|
| 155 |
+
},
|
| 156 |
+
"brier_source": 0.16561274685729474,
|
| 157 |
+
"brier_consensus": 0.16321429893134437
|
| 158 |
+
}
|
| 159 |
+
}
|
| 160 |
+
```
|
| 161 |
+
|
| 162 |
+
## simulation
|
| 163 |
+
|
| 164 |
+
```json
|
| 165 |
+
[
|
| 166 |
+
{
|
| 167 |
+
"variant": "flat",
|
| 168 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 169 |
+
"final": 875.97,
|
| 170 |
+
"return": -0.124,
|
| 171 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.2235,
|
| 172 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 173 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 174 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 175 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 176 |
+
},
|
| 177 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 178 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 241.32
|
| 179 |
+
},
|
| 180 |
+
{
|
| 181 |
+
"variant": "kelly",
|
| 182 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 183 |
+
"final": 727.95,
|
| 184 |
+
"return": -0.2721,
|
| 185 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.6682,
|
| 186 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 187 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 188 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 189 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 190 |
+
},
|
| 191 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 192 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 1121.28
|
| 193 |
+
},
|
| 194 |
+
{
|
| 195 |
+
"variant": "kelly+caps",
|
| 196 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 197 |
+
"final": 545.76,
|
| 198 |
+
"return": -0.4542,
|
| 199 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.7238,
|
| 200 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 201 |
+
"entered": 93,
|
| 202 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 203 |
+
"edge": 578
|
| 204 |
+
},
|
| 205 |
+
"halted_on": null,
|
| 206 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 1019.32
|
| 207 |
+
},
|
| 208 |
+
{
|
| 209 |
+
"variant": "kelly+caps+kill",
|
| 210 |
+
"bankroll": 1000.0,
|
| 211 |
+
"final": 1158.11,
|
| 212 |
+
"return": 0.1581,
|
| 213 |
+
"max_drawdown": 0.1777,
|
| 214 |
+
"days": 68,
|
| 215 |
+
"entered": 10,
|
| 216 |
+
"rejected": {
|
| 217 |
+
"edge": 74,
|
| 218 |
+
"kill-switch": 587
|
| 219 |
+
},
|
| 220 |
+
"halted_on": "2026-07-19",
|
| 221 |
+
"daily_pnl_max_dd": 250.24
|
| 222 |
+
}
|
| 223 |
+
]
|
| 224 |
+
```
|
replay/rows-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl
ADDED
|
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|
|
|
replay/rows-gfsmos-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl
ADDED
|
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See raw diff
|
|
|
replay/rows-nbm-2026-07-09-to-2026-09-16.jsonl
ADDED
|
The diff for this file is too large to render.
See raw diff
|
|
|