Datasets:
DOI:
License:
{
"what": "item 10: accuracy, AUC and the probe's mean margin at the four references",
"why": "accuracy and AUC are capped at 1.000, so they stop carrying information once the probe separates the sets perfectly; the margin is not capped and can keep moving. Whether it does is what section 4.3 asks.",
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"resid_2240|verdict|L18": "pretrain_iter_0484865",
"resid_2240|verdict|L20": "pretrain_iter_0484865",
"resid_2240|verdict|L17": "pretrain_iter_0484865",
"resid_2240|verdict|L19": "pretrain_iter_0484865"
},
"margin_by_leg_paired": {
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"n_up": 128,
"n_down": 36,
"sign_test_p": 2.704921623416343e-13,
"wilcoxon_p": 2.89307687423571e-17
},
"83.9B_to_end": {
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},
"4.19B_to_end": {
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},
"across_the_trained_references": {
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"median_auc_range": 6.6126353530648885e-06,
"median_margin_range": 2.6757057073268076,
"median_margin_first_to_last": [
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],
"margin_change_as_a_fraction_of_the_first": 0.07165414150477126,
"accuracy_and_auc_are_flat": true,
"margin_turns": true,
"sentence": "Across the three trained references the median accuracy moves by 0.002 and the median AUC by 0.000 -- both pinned at the ceiling -- while the median margin moves over a range of 2.676, 19% of its value at 4.19 B. It does not move in one direction: it rises to 83.9 B for 128 of 164 constructs (p = 3e-13) and falls again to the end for 149 of 164 (p = 6e-29), leaving it 7% above its starting value. So the margin still moves where accuracy and AUC do not."
},
"minutes": 0.004812097549438477,
"provenance": {
"inputs": [
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],
"reference": null,
"battery_prompt_hash": "570b42db13f8fe5772b8d1a9ad7d55d6fa1279dae5948ad94e8363789bcbc1ad",
"code_commit": "6195cdc",
"design": "9-Paper-1/2610-18Oct_PAPER-1-Design.md sha256 47f6a664\u2026"
}
}
{
"what": "item 10: accuracy, AUC and the probe's mean margin at the four references",
"why": "accuracy and AUC are capped at 1.000, so they stop carrying information once the probe separates the sets perfectly; the margin is not capped and can keep moving. Whether it does is what section 4.3 asks.",
"definition": {
"space": "resid_2240|verdict",
"accuracy": "held-out accuracy, eight folds held out by core, mean over folds",
"auc": "held-out ROC AUC, same folds",
"mean_margin": "mean signed distance from the decision boundary over held-out rows, in the probe's own units; positive means on the correct side",
"control_mean_margin": "the same quantity for the control probe, which is what gives the margin a scale",
"share_on_the_right_side": "fraction of held-out rows with a positive margin",
"ceiling": "accuracy >= 0.99 and AUC >= 0.99",
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]
},
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