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| import Mathlib | |
| import OAI.Probability.Ballisticity.Estimates.RecordIndexTime | |
| namespace OAI | |
| section | |
| section | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Pointwise Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Pointwise Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical BoundedContinuousFunction | |
| namespace DirectionalTransience | |
| noncomputable def cappedExp (t : ℝ) (N : ℕ) : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ := | |
| BoundedContinuousFunction.ofNormedAddCommGroup (fun x => min (N : ℝ) (Real.exp (t*x))) | |
| (by fun_prop) N (fun x => by | |
| rw [Real.norm_eq_abs,abs_of_nonneg (le_min (Nat.cast_nonneg _) (Real.exp_pos _).le)] | |
| exact min_le_left _ _) | |
| lemma cappedExp_nonneg (t : ℝ) (N : ℕ) (x : ℝ) : 0 ≤ cappedExp t N x := | |
| le_min (Nat.cast_nonneg _) (Real.exp_pos _).le | |
| lemma integral_cappedExp_tendsto (m : ℝ) (v : ℝ≥0) (t : ℝ) : | |
| Tendsto (fun N => ∫ x, cappedExp t N x ∂gaussianReal m v) atTop | |
| (𝓝 (Real.exp (m*t+v*t^2/2))) := by | |
| have hh := tendsto_integral_of_dominated_convergence (μ := gaussianReal m v) | |
| (F := fun N : ℕ => fun x => cappedExp t N x) (f := fun x => Real.exp (t*x)) | |
| (fun x => Real.exp (t*x)) (fun N => (cappedExp t N).continuous.measurable.aestronglyMeasurable) | |
| (integrable_exp_mul_gaussianReal t) (fun N => ae_of_all _ (fun x => by | |
| rw [Real.norm_eq_abs,abs_of_nonneg (cappedExp_nonneg _ _ _)] | |
| exact min_le_right _ _)) (ae_of_all _ (fun x => by | |
| apply tendsto_const_nhds.congr' | |
| filter_upwards [tendsto_natCast_atTop_atTop.eventually (eventually_ge_atTop (Real.exp (t*x)))] with N hN | |
| exact (min_eq_right hN).symm)) | |
| have he : (∫ x, Real.exp (t*x) ∂gaussianReal m v) = Real.exp (m*t+v*t^2/2) := by | |
| simpa only [mgf,id_eq] using (mgf_gaussianReal (p := gaussianReal m v) (X := id) (μ := m) (v := v) (by simp) t) | |
| rwa [he] at hh | |
| lemma gaussian_mean_eq_of_test_domination (m₁ m₂ : ℝ) (v : ℝ≥0) {p : ℝ} (hp : 0 < p) | |
| (h : ∀ f : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ, (∀ x, 0 ≤ f x) → | |
| p*(∫ x, f x ∂gaussianReal m₁ v) ≤ ∫ x, f x ∂gaussianReal m₂ v) : m₁ = m₂ := by | |
| have hmgf (t : ℝ) : Real.log p + m₁*t ≤ m₂*t := by | |
| have hh := le_of_tendsto_of_tendsto ((integral_cappedExp_tendsto m₁ v t).const_mul p) | |
| (integral_cappedExp_tendsto m₂ v t) | |
| (Eventually.of_forall (fun N => h (cappedExp t N) (cappedExp_nonneg t N))) | |
| rw [← Real.exp_log hp,← Real.exp_add] at hh | |
| have := Real.exp_le_exp.mp hh | |
| linarith | |
| by_contra hne | |
| have hh := hmgf ((1-Real.log p)/(m₁-m₂)) | |
| have he : (m₁-m₂)*((1-Real.log p)/(m₁-m₂)) = 1-Real.log p := | |
| mul_div_cancel₀ _ (sub_ne_zero.mpr hne) | |
| nlinarith | |
| lemma weak_test_domination {μ ν : ℕ → ProbabilityMeasure ℝ} {M N : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ} | |
| (hμ : Tendsto μ atTop (𝓝 M)) (hν : Tendsto ν atTop (𝓝 N)) {p : ℝ} (hp : 0 ≤ p) | |
| (hdom : ∀ i, ENNReal.ofReal p • (μ i : Measure ℝ) ≤ (ν i : Measure ℝ)) | |
| (f : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ) (hf : ∀ x, 0 ≤ f x) : | |
| p*(∫ x, f x ∂(M : Measure ℝ)) ≤ ∫ x, f x ∂(N : Measure ℝ) := by | |
| apply le_of_tendsto_of_tendsto | |
| ((ProbabilityMeasure.tendsto_iff_forall_integral_tendsto.mp hμ f).const_mul p) | |
| (ProbabilityMeasure.tendsto_iff_forall_integral_tendsto.mp hν f) | |
| apply Eventually.of_forall | |
| intro i | |
| have h := integral_mono_measure (hdom i) (ae_of_all _ hf) (f.integrable (ν i)) | |
| simpa only [integral_smul_measure,ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hp,smul_eq_mul] using h | |
| end DirectionalTransience | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical | |
| namespace DirectionalTransience | |
| abbrev RecordWord {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) := | |
| {w : List (Direction d) // wordPath 0 w ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.length} | |
| lemma recordWord_prefix {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k) | |
| {X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val) : X ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.val.length := | |
| (recordIndexPrefix_prefix ℓ k w.val.length X (wordPath 0 w.val) hX).mpr w.property | |
| lemma recordWord_position {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k) | |
| {X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val) : | |
| recordIndexPosition ℓ k X = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length := by | |
| rw [recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ k w.val.length X (recordWord_prefix ℓ k w hX)] | |
| exact hX _ le_rfl | |
| lemma recordWord_cylinders_disjoint {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) : | |
| Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k => Disjoint (wordCylinder 0 u.val) (wordCylinder 0 v.val)) := by | |
| intro u v huv | |
| apply Set.disjoint_left.mpr | |
| intro X hu hv | |
| have h1 := recordWord_prefix ℓ k u hu | |
| have h2 := recordWord_prefix ℓ k v hv | |
| by_cases hlen : u.val.length = v.val.length | |
| · exact huv (Subtype.ext (word_eq_of_cylinders 0 u.val v.val X hu hv hlen)) | |
| · exact Set.disjoint_left.mp (recordIndexPrefix_disjoint ℓ k hlen) h1 h2 | |
| lemma conditioned_recordWord_cover {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] | |
| (ℓ : Vector d) (htrans : DirectionallyTransient ν ℓ) {k : ℕ} (hk : 0 < k) : | |
| ∀ᵐ X ∂conditionedLaw ν ℓ, ∃ w : RecordWord ℓ k, X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val := by | |
| filter_upwards [conditioned_recordIndexPrefix_exists ν ℓ htrans hk, | |
| (conditionedLaw_absolutelyContinuous ν ℓ).ae_le (annealed_nearest_neighbor ν), | |
| (conditionedLaw_absolutelyContinuous ν ℓ).ae_le (annealed_initial ν)] with X hrec hnn h0 | |
| obtain ⟨n,hn⟩ := hrec | |
| obtain ⟨w,hw,hcy⟩ := exists_word_prefix X hnn n | |
| rw [h0] at hcy | |
| have hp : wordPath 0 w ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.length := by | |
| apply (recordIndexPrefix_prefix ℓ k w.length X (wordPath 0 w) hcy).mp | |
| simpa only [hw] using hn | |
| exact ⟨⟨w,hp⟩,hcy⟩ | |
| lemma recordWord_position_add {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k j : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k) | |
| {X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val) | |
| (hD : (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ∈ NoDrop ℓ 0) | |
| (hR : ∃ m, (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ j m) : | |
| recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j) X = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length + | |
| recordIndexPosition ℓ j (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) := by | |
| let n := w.val.length | |
| let Z : Path d := fun i => X (n+i)-X n | |
| have he : (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) = Z := by | |
| funext i | |
| rw [show wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length = X n from (hX _ le_rfl).symm] | |
| rw [he] at hD hR ⊢ | |
| obtain ⟨m,hm⟩ := hR | |
| have hpre := recordWord_prefix ℓ k w hX | |
| have hDX : X ∈ NoDrop ℓ 0 := recordIndexPrefix_noDrop ℓ k n | |
| ⟨hpre,(suffix_noDrop_iff ℓ X n).mp hD⟩ | |
| have ha : X ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ (k+j) (n+m) := by | |
| refine ⟨Nat.add_pos_left hpre.1 m,?_,?_,fun i _ => hDX i⟩ | |
| · exact (strictRecord_suffix_iff ℓ X hpre.2.1 hm.1).mp hm.2.1 | |
| · rw [recordCount_add ℓ X hpre.2.1,hpre.2.2.1,hm.2.2.1] | |
| rw [recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ (k+j) (n+m) X ha, | |
| recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ j m Z hm] | |
| change X (n+m) = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length+(X (n+m)-X n) | |
| rw [← hX n le_rfl] | |
| abel | |
| lemma conditioned_prefix_mass_le_raw {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] | |
| (ℓ : Vector d) (hp : annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) ≠ 0) | |
| (A : Set (Path d)) (hA : MeasurableSet A) : | |
| annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) * conditionedLaw ν ℓ A ≤ annealedLaw ν A := by | |
| rw [conditionedLaw,Measure.smul_apply,smul_eq_mul,Measure.restrict_apply hA,← mul_assoc, | |
| ENNReal.mul_inv_cancel hp (measure_ne_top _ _),one_mul] | |
| exact measure_mono Set.inter_subset_left | |
| lemma conditioned_record_convolution_domination {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) | |
| [IsProbabilityMeasure ν] (ℓ : Vector d) (htrans : DirectionallyTransient ν ℓ) | |
| {k j : ℕ} (hk : 0 < k) (hj : 0 < j) : | |
| annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) • | |
| (independentConditionedPairLaw ν ℓ).map (fun P => | |
| recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) ≤ | |
| (conditionedLaw ν ℓ).map (recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) := by | |
| let μ := conditionedLaw ν ℓ | |
| let p := annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) | |
| have hp : p ≠ 0 := ne_of_gt (noDrop_positive_of_directionallyTransient ν ℓ htrans) | |
| let : IsProbabilityMeasure μ := conditionedLaw_probability ν ℓ hp | |
| apply Measure.le_iff.mpr | |
| intro A hA | |
| let B := fun w : RecordWord ℓ k => | |
| (fun Y => wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length + recordIndexPosition ℓ j Y) ⁻¹' A | |
| have hB (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : MeasurableSet (B w) := | |
| hA.preimage (measurable_const.add (measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ j)) | |
| let R : Set (Path d) := (⋃ m, RecordIndexPrefix ℓ j m) ∩ NoDrop ℓ 0 | |
| have hRm : MeasurableSet R := | |
| (MeasurableSet.iUnion (measurableSet_recordIndexPrefix ℓ j)).inter (measurableSet_noDrop ℓ 0) | |
| have hR : ∀ᵐ Y ∂μ, Y ∈ R := by | |
| filter_upwards [conditioned_recordIndexPrefix_exists ν ℓ htrans hj, | |
| conditionedLaw_noDrop ν ℓ] with Y hY hD | |
| exact ⟨Set.mem_iUnion.mpr hY,hD⟩ | |
| let E := fun w : RecordWord ℓ k => | |
| (fun X : Path d => fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ⁻¹' | |
| (B w ∩ R) ∩ wordCylinder 0 w.val | |
| have hEm (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : MeasurableSet (E w) := | |
| ((hB w).inter hRm).preimage (by fun_prop) |>.inter (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val) | |
| have hEd : Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k => Disjoint (E u) (E v)) := | |
| fun u v huv => (recordWord_cylinders_disjoint ℓ k huv).mono Set.inter_subset_right Set.inter_subset_right | |
| have hEsub (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : E w ⊆ (recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) ⁻¹' A := by | |
| intro X hX | |
| have hadd := recordWord_position_add ℓ k j w hX.2 hX.1.2.2 | |
| (Set.mem_iUnion.mp hX.1.2.1) | |
| change recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j) X ∈ A | |
| rw [hadd] | |
| exact hX.1.1 | |
| have hmass (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : μ (E w) = annealedLaw ν (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w) := by | |
| have he : μ (B w ∩ R) = μ (B w) := measure_congr (hR.mono fun Y hY => propext ⟨fun h => h.1,fun h => ⟨h,hY⟩⟩) | |
| rw [show μ (E w) = annealedLaw ν (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w ∩ R) from | |
| conditioned_record_word_factor ν ℓ w.val w.property.2.1 w.property.2.2.2 | |
| (B w ∩ R) ((hB w).inter hRm) (fun _ h => h.2.2),he] | |
| have hCd : Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k => | |
| Disjoint (wordCylinder 0 u.val ×ˢ B u) (wordCylinder 0 v.val ×ˢ B v)) := by | |
| intro u v huv | |
| apply Set.disjoint_left.mpr | |
| exact fun P hu hv => Set.disjoint_left.mp (recordWord_cylinders_disjoint ℓ k huv) hu.1 hv.1 | |
| have heq : (μ.prod μ) ((fun P => recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) ⁻¹' A) = | |
| ∑' w : RecordWord ℓ k, μ (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w) := by | |
| simp_rw [← Measure.prod_prod] | |
| rw [← measure_iUnion hCd (fun w => (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val).prod (hB w))] | |
| apply measure_congr | |
| filter_upwards [Measure.quasiMeasurePreserving_fst.ae (conditioned_recordWord_cover ν ℓ htrans hk)] with P hP | |
| obtain ⟨w,hw⟩ := hP | |
| apply propext | |
| constructor | |
| · intro h | |
| change recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2 ∈ A at h | |
| exact Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨w,hw,by simpa only [B,Set.mem_preimage,← recordWord_position ℓ k w hw] using h⟩ | |
| · intro h | |
| obtain ⟨v,hv,hBv⟩ := Set.mem_iUnion.mp h | |
| change recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2 ∈ A | |
| simpa only [B,Set.mem_preimage,← recordWord_position ℓ k v hv] using hBv | |
| rw [Measure.smul_apply,smul_eq_mul,Measure.map_apply | |
| (show Measurable (fun P : Path d × Path d => recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) from | |
| ((measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ k).comp measurable_fst).add | |
| ((measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ j).comp measurable_snd)) hA, | |
| Measure.map_apply (measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) hA] | |
| change p * (μ.prod μ) _ ≤ μ _ | |
| rw [heq,← ENNReal.tsum_mul_left] | |
| calc | |
| _ ≤ ∑' w : RecordWord ℓ k, μ (E w) := by | |
| apply ENNReal.tsum_le_tsum | |
| intro w | |
| rw [hmass,← mul_assoc] | |
| gcongr | |
| exact conditioned_prefix_mass_le_raw ν ℓ hp _ (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val) | |
| _ = μ (⋃ w : RecordWord ℓ k, E w) := (measure_iUnion hEd hEm).symm | |
| _ ≤ _ := measure_mono (Set.iUnion_subset hEsub) | |
| end DirectionalTransience | |
| open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter | |
| open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical BoundedContinuousFunction | |
| end | |
| end | |
| end OAI | |