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import Mathlib
import OAI.Probability.Ballisticity.Estimates.RecordIndexTime
namespace OAI
section
section
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Pointwise Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Pointwise Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical BoundedContinuousFunction
namespace DirectionalTransience
noncomputable def cappedExp (t : ℝ) (N : ℕ) : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ :=
BoundedContinuousFunction.ofNormedAddCommGroup (fun x => min (N : ℝ) (Real.exp (t*x)))
(by fun_prop) N (fun x => by
rw [Real.norm_eq_abs,abs_of_nonneg (le_min (Nat.cast_nonneg _) (Real.exp_pos _).le)]
exact min_le_left _ _)
lemma cappedExp_nonneg (t : ℝ) (N : ℕ) (x : ℝ) : 0 ≤ cappedExp t N x :=
le_min (Nat.cast_nonneg _) (Real.exp_pos _).le
lemma integral_cappedExp_tendsto (m : ℝ) (v : ℝ≥0) (t : ℝ) :
Tendsto (fun N => ∫ x, cappedExp t N x ∂gaussianReal m v) atTop
(𝓝 (Real.exp (m*t+v*t^2/2))) := by
have hh := tendsto_integral_of_dominated_convergence (μ := gaussianReal m v)
(F := fun N : ℕ => fun x => cappedExp t N x) (f := fun x => Real.exp (t*x))
(fun x => Real.exp (t*x)) (fun N => (cappedExp t N).continuous.measurable.aestronglyMeasurable)
(integrable_exp_mul_gaussianReal t) (fun N => ae_of_all _ (fun x => by
rw [Real.norm_eq_abs,abs_of_nonneg (cappedExp_nonneg _ _ _)]
exact min_le_right _ _)) (ae_of_all _ (fun x => by
apply tendsto_const_nhds.congr'
filter_upwards [tendsto_natCast_atTop_atTop.eventually (eventually_ge_atTop (Real.exp (t*x)))] with N hN
exact (min_eq_right hN).symm))
have he : (∫ x, Real.exp (t*x) ∂gaussianReal m v) = Real.exp (m*t+v*t^2/2) := by
simpa only [mgf,id_eq] using (mgf_gaussianReal (p := gaussianReal m v) (X := id) (μ := m) (v := v) (by simp) t)
rwa [he] at hh
lemma gaussian_mean_eq_of_test_domination (m₁ m₂ : ℝ) (v : ℝ≥0) {p : ℝ} (hp : 0 < p)
(h : ∀ f : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ, (∀ x, 0 ≤ f x) →
p*(∫ x, f x ∂gaussianReal m₁ v) ≤ ∫ x, f x ∂gaussianReal m₂ v) : m₁ = m₂ := by
have hmgf (t : ℝ) : Real.log p + m₁*t ≤ m₂*t := by
have hh := le_of_tendsto_of_tendsto ((integral_cappedExp_tendsto m₁ v t).const_mul p)
(integral_cappedExp_tendsto m₂ v t)
(Eventually.of_forall (fun N => h (cappedExp t N) (cappedExp_nonneg t N)))
rw [← Real.exp_log hp,← Real.exp_add] at hh
have := Real.exp_le_exp.mp hh
linarith
by_contra hne
have hh := hmgf ((1-Real.log p)/(m₁-m₂))
have he : (m₁-m₂)*((1-Real.log p)/(m₁-m₂)) = 1-Real.log p :=
mul_div_cancel₀ _ (sub_ne_zero.mpr hne)
nlinarith
lemma weak_test_domination {μ ν : ℕ → ProbabilityMeasure ℝ} {M N : ProbabilityMeasure ℝ}
(hμ : Tendsto μ atTop (𝓝 M)) (hν : Tendsto ν atTop (𝓝 N)) {p : ℝ} (hp : 0 ≤ p)
(hdom : ∀ i, ENNReal.ofReal p • (μ i : Measure ℝ) ≤ (ν i : Measure ℝ))
(f : ℝ →ᵇ ℝ) (hf : ∀ x, 0 ≤ f x) :
p*(∫ x, f x ∂(M : Measure ℝ)) ≤ ∫ x, f x ∂(N : Measure ℝ) := by
apply le_of_tendsto_of_tendsto
((ProbabilityMeasure.tendsto_iff_forall_integral_tendsto.mp hμ f).const_mul p)
(ProbabilityMeasure.tendsto_iff_forall_integral_tendsto.mp hν f)
apply Eventually.of_forall
intro i
have h := integral_mono_measure (hdom i) (ae_of_all _ hf) (f.integrable (ν i))
simpa only [integral_smul_measure,ENNReal.toReal_ofReal hp,smul_eq_mul] using h
end DirectionalTransience
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical
namespace DirectionalTransience
abbrev RecordWord {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) :=
{w : List (Direction d) // wordPath 0 w ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.length}
lemma recordWord_prefix {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k)
{X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val) : X ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.val.length :=
(recordIndexPrefix_prefix ℓ k w.val.length X (wordPath 0 w.val) hX).mpr w.property
lemma recordWord_position {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k)
{X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val) :
recordIndexPosition ℓ k X = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length := by
rw [recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ k w.val.length X (recordWord_prefix ℓ k w hX)]
exact hX _ le_rfl
lemma recordWord_cylinders_disjoint {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k : ℕ) :
Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k => Disjoint (wordCylinder 0 u.val) (wordCylinder 0 v.val)) := by
intro u v huv
apply Set.disjoint_left.mpr
intro X hu hv
have h1 := recordWord_prefix ℓ k u hu
have h2 := recordWord_prefix ℓ k v hv
by_cases hlen : u.val.length = v.val.length
· exact huv (Subtype.ext (word_eq_of_cylinders 0 u.val v.val X hu hv hlen))
· exact Set.disjoint_left.mp (recordIndexPrefix_disjoint ℓ k hlen) h1 h2
lemma conditioned_recordWord_cover {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν]
(ℓ : Vector d) (htrans : DirectionallyTransient ν ℓ) {k : ℕ} (hk : 0 < k) :
∀ᵐ X ∂conditionedLaw ν ℓ, ∃ w : RecordWord ℓ k, X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val := by
filter_upwards [conditioned_recordIndexPrefix_exists ν ℓ htrans hk,
(conditionedLaw_absolutelyContinuous ν ℓ).ae_le (annealed_nearest_neighbor ν),
(conditionedLaw_absolutelyContinuous ν ℓ).ae_le (annealed_initial ν)] with X hrec hnn h0
obtain ⟨n,hn⟩ := hrec
obtain ⟨w,hw,hcy⟩ := exists_word_prefix X hnn n
rw [h0] at hcy
have hp : wordPath 0 w ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ k w.length := by
apply (recordIndexPrefix_prefix ℓ k w.length X (wordPath 0 w) hcy).mp
simpa only [hw] using hn
exact ⟨⟨w,hp⟩,hcy⟩
lemma recordWord_position_add {d : ℕ} (ℓ : Vector d) (k j : ℕ) (w : RecordWord ℓ k)
{X : Path d} (hX : X ∈ wordCylinder 0 w.val)
(hD : (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ∈ NoDrop ℓ 0)
(hR : ∃ m, (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ j m) :
recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j) X = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length +
recordIndexPosition ℓ j (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) := by
let n := w.val.length
let Z : Path d := fun i => X (n+i)-X n
have he : (fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) = Z := by
funext i
rw [show wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length = X n from (hX _ le_rfl).symm]
rw [he] at hD hR ⊢
obtain ⟨m,hm⟩ := hR
have hpre := recordWord_prefix ℓ k w hX
have hDX : X ∈ NoDrop ℓ 0 := recordIndexPrefix_noDrop ℓ k n
⟨hpre,(suffix_noDrop_iff ℓ X n).mp hD⟩
have ha : X ∈ RecordIndexPrefix ℓ (k+j) (n+m) := by
refine ⟨Nat.add_pos_left hpre.1 m,?_,?_,fun i _ => hDX i⟩
· exact (strictRecord_suffix_iff ℓ X hpre.2.1 hm.1).mp hm.2.1
· rw [recordCount_add ℓ X hpre.2.1,hpre.2.2.1,hm.2.2.1]
rw [recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ (k+j) (n+m) X ha,
recordIndexPosition,recordIndexTime_eq ℓ j m Z hm]
change X (n+m) = wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length+(X (n+m)-X n)
rw [← hX n le_rfl]
abel
lemma conditioned_prefix_mass_le_raw {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d)) [IsProbabilityMeasure ν]
(ℓ : Vector d) (hp : annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) ≠ 0)
(A : Set (Path d)) (hA : MeasurableSet A) :
annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) * conditionedLaw ν ℓ A ≤ annealedLaw ν A := by
rw [conditionedLaw,Measure.smul_apply,smul_eq_mul,Measure.restrict_apply hA,← mul_assoc,
ENNReal.mul_inv_cancel hp (measure_ne_top _ _),one_mul]
exact measure_mono Set.inter_subset_left
lemma conditioned_record_convolution_domination {d : ℕ} (ν : Measure (Row d))
[IsProbabilityMeasure ν] (ℓ : Vector d) (htrans : DirectionallyTransient ν ℓ)
{k j : ℕ} (hk : 0 < k) (hj : 0 < j) :
annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0) •
(independentConditionedPairLaw ν ℓ).map (fun P =>
recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) ≤
(conditionedLaw ν ℓ).map (recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) := by
let μ := conditionedLaw ν ℓ
let p := annealedLaw ν (NoDrop ℓ 0)
have hp : p ≠ 0 := ne_of_gt (noDrop_positive_of_directionallyTransient ν ℓ htrans)
let : IsProbabilityMeasure μ := conditionedLaw_probability ν ℓ hp
apply Measure.le_iff.mpr
intro A hA
let B := fun w : RecordWord ℓ k =>
(fun Y => wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length + recordIndexPosition ℓ j Y) ⁻¹' A
have hB (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : MeasurableSet (B w) :=
hA.preimage (measurable_const.add (measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ j))
let R : Set (Path d) := (⋃ m, RecordIndexPrefix ℓ j m) ∩ NoDrop ℓ 0
have hRm : MeasurableSet R :=
(MeasurableSet.iUnion (measurableSet_recordIndexPrefix ℓ j)).inter (measurableSet_noDrop ℓ 0)
have hR : ∀ᵐ Y ∂μ, Y ∈ R := by
filter_upwards [conditioned_recordIndexPrefix_exists ν ℓ htrans hj,
conditionedLaw_noDrop ν ℓ] with Y hY hD
exact ⟨Set.mem_iUnion.mpr hY,hD⟩
let E := fun w : RecordWord ℓ k =>
(fun X : Path d => fun i => X (w.val.length+i)-wordPath 0 w.val w.val.length) ⁻¹'
(B w ∩ R) ∩ wordCylinder 0 w.val
have hEm (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : MeasurableSet (E w) :=
((hB w).inter hRm).preimage (by fun_prop) |>.inter (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val)
have hEd : Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k => Disjoint (E u) (E v)) :=
fun u v huv => (recordWord_cylinders_disjoint ℓ k huv).mono Set.inter_subset_right Set.inter_subset_right
have hEsub (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : E w ⊆ (recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) ⁻¹' A := by
intro X hX
have hadd := recordWord_position_add ℓ k j w hX.2 hX.1.2.2
(Set.mem_iUnion.mp hX.1.2.1)
change recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j) X ∈ A
rw [hadd]
exact hX.1.1
have hmass (w : RecordWord ℓ k) : μ (E w) = annealedLaw ν (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w) := by
have he : μ (B w ∩ R) = μ (B w) := measure_congr (hR.mono fun Y hY => propext ⟨fun h => h.1,fun h => ⟨h,hY⟩⟩)
rw [show μ (E w) = annealedLaw ν (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w ∩ R) from
conditioned_record_word_factor ν ℓ w.val w.property.2.1 w.property.2.2.2
(B w ∩ R) ((hB w).inter hRm) (fun _ h => h.2.2),he]
have hCd : Pairwise (fun u v : RecordWord ℓ k =>
Disjoint (wordCylinder 0 u.val ×ˢ B u) (wordCylinder 0 v.val ×ˢ B v)) := by
intro u v huv
apply Set.disjoint_left.mpr
exact fun P hu hv => Set.disjoint_left.mp (recordWord_cylinders_disjoint ℓ k huv) hu.1 hv.1
have heq : (μ.prod μ) ((fun P => recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) ⁻¹' A) =
∑' w : RecordWord ℓ k, μ (wordCylinder 0 w.val)*μ (B w) := by
simp_rw [← Measure.prod_prod]
rw [← measure_iUnion hCd (fun w => (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val).prod (hB w))]
apply measure_congr
filter_upwards [Measure.quasiMeasurePreserving_fst.ae (conditioned_recordWord_cover ν ℓ htrans hk)] with P hP
obtain ⟨w,hw⟩ := hP
apply propext
constructor
· intro h
change recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2 ∈ A at h
exact Set.mem_iUnion.mpr ⟨w,hw,by simpa only [B,Set.mem_preimage,← recordWord_position ℓ k w hw] using h⟩
· intro h
obtain ⟨v,hv,hBv⟩ := Set.mem_iUnion.mp h
change recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2 ∈ A
simpa only [B,Set.mem_preimage,← recordWord_position ℓ k v hv] using hBv
rw [Measure.smul_apply,smul_eq_mul,Measure.map_apply
(show Measurable (fun P : Path d × Path d => recordIndexPosition ℓ k P.1 + recordIndexPosition ℓ j P.2) from
((measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ k).comp measurable_fst).add
((measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ j).comp measurable_snd)) hA,
Measure.map_apply (measurable_recordIndexPosition ℓ (k+j)) hA]
change p * (μ.prod μ) _ ≤ μ _
rw [heq,← ENNReal.tsum_mul_left]
calc
_ ≤ ∑' w : RecordWord ℓ k, μ (E w) := by
apply ENNReal.tsum_le_tsum
intro w
rw [hmass,← mul_assoc]
gcongr
exact conditioned_prefix_mass_le_raw ν ℓ hp _ (measurableSet_wordCylinder 0 w.val)
_ = μ (⋃ w : RecordWord ℓ k, E w) := (measure_iUnion hEd hEm).symm
_ ≤ _ := measure_mono (Set.iUnion_subset hEsub)
end DirectionalTransience
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal BigOperators Topology Classical BoundedContinuousFunction
end
end
end OAI