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import OAI.Probability.PosteriorReplicas.Regression.Conclusions
namespace OAI
open MeasureTheory ProbabilityTheory Set Filter
open scoped ENNReal NNReal RealInnerProductSpace
noncomputable section
universe u
namespace PosteriorRegression
namespace Learner
structure UniformAdmissible {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
(L : Learner d M T Ω) (ρ : Measure Ω) : Prop where
transition : ∀ᵐ ω ∂ρ, ∀ t a,
AEMeasurable (fun obs => (L.transition t ω a obs).2) (observationReference d)
uniform_experiment : AEMeasurable
(fun z : UnitSphere d × (Ω × Samples d T) => L.estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2)
((uniformSphere d).prod (ρ.prod (sampleLaw d T)))
lemma Admissible.uniformAdmissible {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
{L : Learner d M T Ω} {ρ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ]
(hL : L.Admissible ρ) : L.UniformAdmissible ρ := by
have : SigmaFinite (observationReference d) := by unfold observationReference; infer_instance
refine ⟨?_,hL.uniform_experiment⟩
simp only [ae_all_iff]
intro t a
filter_upwards [ae_fiber_aemeasurable (hL.transition t a).prod_swap] with ω hω
exact measurable_snd.comp_aemeasurable hω
lemma UniformAdmissible.angularSuccess_nullMeasurable {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u}
[MeasurableSpace Ω] {L : Learner d M T Ω} {ρ : Measure Ω}
(hL : L.UniformAdmissible ρ) (ε : ℝ) :
NullMeasurableSet {z : UnitSphere d × (Ω × Samples d T) |
angularError z.1 (L.estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2) ≤ ε}
((uniformSphere d).prod (ρ.prod (sampleLaw d T))) := by
apply nullMeasurableSet_le _ aemeasurable_const
exact Real.continuous_arccos.measurable.comp_aemeasurable
((measurable_subtype_coe.comp_aemeasurable hL.uniform_experiment).inner
(measurable_subtype_coe.comp measurable_fst).aemeasurable)
lemma UniformAdmissible.linear_success_bound {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
{L : Learner d M T Ω} {ρ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ]
(hL : L.UniformAdmissible ρ) (hd : 0 < d) (hT : 4*T ≤ d) {ε : ℝ} (hε : ε ≤ 1/10) :
L.uniformSuccess ρ ε ≤ ENNReal.ofReal (21/32 : ℝ) := by
classical
have : NeZero d := ⟨hd.ne'⟩
have hmeas := ae_fiber_aemeasurable hL.uniform_experiment
unfold uniformSuccess
refine (prod_null_set_bound (hL.angularSuccess_nullMeasurable ε)
(c := ENNReal.ofReal (21/32 : ℝ)) ?_).trans_eq (by simp)
filter_upwards [hmeas] with z hz
let U : Submodule ℝ (Vector d) := Submodule.span ℝ (Set.range z.2)
have hdim : Module.finrank ℝ U ≤ T := by
have h := finrank_span_le_card (R := ℝ) (Set.range z.2)
apply h.trans
rw [Set.toFinset_range]
exact (Finset.card_image_le).trans_eq (by simp)
have hU : 4 * Module.finrank ℝ U ≤ Module.finrank ℝ (Vector d) := by
simpa only [Vector, finrank_euclideanSpace_fin] using (Nat.mul_le_mul_left 4 hdim).trans hT
change sphereLaw {s : UnitSphere d | angularError s (L.estimate s z.1 z.2) ≤ ε} ≤ _
apply sphere_reflection_success_bound U hU
· exact nullMeasurableSet_le
(Real.continuous_arccos.measurable.comp_aemeasurable
((measurable_subtype_coe.comp_aemeasurable hz).inner measurable_subtype_coe.aemeasurable))
aemeasurable_const
· intro s hs ht
let t := sphereIsometry U.reflection s
have he : L.estimate s z.1 z.2 = L.estimate t z.1 z.2 := by
apply L.estimate_congr_labels
intro i
have hi : z.2 i ∈ U := Submodule.subset_span (Set.mem_range_self i)
have he := U.reflection.inner_map_map (z.2 i) s.val
rw [(Submodule.reflection_eq_self_iff (z.2 i)).2 hi] at he
exact he.symm
have hs' : dist s.val (L.estimate s z.1 z.2).val ≤ ε := by
apply (chord_le_arccos s (L.estimate s z.1 z.2)).trans
simpa only [Set.mem_ofPred_eq, angularError, real_inner_comm] using hs
have ht' : dist t.val (L.estimate t z.1 z.2).val ≤ ε := by
apply (chord_le_arccos t (L.estimate t z.1 z.2)).trans
simpa only [Set.mem_ofPred_eq, angularError, real_inner_comm] using ht
calc
_ = dist s.val t.val := rfl
_ ≤ dist s.val (L.estimate s z.1 z.2).val + dist (L.estimate s z.1 z.2).val t.val := dist_triangle _ _ _
_ ≤ ε + ε := by rw [he, dist_comm (L.estimate t z.1 z.2).val t.val] at *; exact add_le_add hs' ht'
_ ≤ 1/5 := by linarith
lemma UniformAdmissible.streaming_success_bound {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
{L : Learner d M T Ω} {ρ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ]
(hL : L.UniformAdmissible ρ) (hd : 3 ≤ d) {ε : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε)
{a q : ℕ} (ha : 2*a ≤ d-1) (hq : 2 ≤ q) (hqa : 2*q ≤ a) :
L.uniformSuccess ρ ε ≤
(T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) * (ENNReal.ofReal ((3 : ℝ)*4^d) * ENNReal.ofReal (ε^a)) *
streamFactor (E := Vector d) (J := State M) q ^ (T/q+1) := by
have : NeZero d := ⟨by omega⟩
have hp := ((MeasurePreserving.id (uniformSphere d)).prod
(Measure.measurePreserving_swap (μ := sampleLaw d T) (ν := ρ))).comp
(measurePreserving_prodAssoc (uniformSphere d) (sampleLaw d T) ρ)
let S := {z : UnitSphere d × (Ω × Samples d T) |
angularError z.1 (L.estimate z.1 z.2.1 z.2.2) ≤ ε}
have hS : NullMeasurableSet S ((uniformSphere d).prod (ρ.prod (sampleLaw d T))) :=
hL.angularSuccess_nullMeasurable ε
have he := hp.measure_preimage hS
have hb := prod_null_set_bound (hS.preimage hp.quasiMeasurePreserving)
(c := (T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) * (ENNReal.ofReal ((3 : ℝ)*4^d) * ENNReal.ofReal (ε^a)) *
streamFactor (E := Vector d) (J := State M) q ^ (T/q+1))
(by
filter_upwards [hL.transition] with ω hω
exact L.frozen_success_bound ω hd hω hε ha hq hqa)
simpa only [he, measure_univ, mul_one, S, uniformSuccess] using hb
lemma UniformAdmissible.streaming_success_bound_real {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
{L : Learner d M T Ω} {ρ : Measure Ω} [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ]
(hL : L.UniformAdmissible ρ) (hd : 3 ≤ d) {ε : ℝ} (hε : 0 < ε)
{a q : ℕ} (ha : 2*a ≤ d-1) (hq : 2 ≤ q) (hqa : 2*q ≤ a)
(hs : (2/3 : ℝ≥0∞) ≤ L.uniformSuccess ρ ε) :
(2/3 : ℝ) ≤ ((T : ℝ)+1) * ((3 : ℝ)*4^d * ε^a) *
((32768 : ℝ)^d * ((2 : ℝ)^M)^(1/(q : ℝ)))^(T/q+1) := by
have hb := hs.trans (hL.streaming_success_bound hd hε ha hq hqa)
have ht : (T+1 : ℝ≥0∞) *
(ENNReal.ofReal ((3 : ℝ)*4^d) * ENNReal.ofReal (ε^a)) *
streamFactor (E := Vector d) (J := State M) q ^ (T/q+1) ≠ ∞ := by
apply ENNReal.mul_ne_top
· apply ENNReal.mul_ne_top (by simp)
exact ENNReal.mul_ne_top ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top
· exact ENNReal.pow_ne_top (streamFactor_ne_top q)
have hr := ENNReal.toReal_mono ht hb
simpa [ENNReal.toReal_div, ENNReal.toReal_ofNat, ENNReal.toReal_mul,
ENNReal.toReal_add, ENNReal.toReal_natCast, ENNReal.toReal_one,
ENNReal.toReal_ofReal (by positivity : (0 : ℝ) ≤ 3*4^d),
ENNReal.toReal_ofReal (by positivity : 0 ≤ ε^a), streamFactor,
ENNReal.toReal_pow, ← ENNReal.toReal_rpow, finrank_euclideanSpace_fin,
Fintype.card_fin, State, Nat.cast_pow, Nat.cast_ofNat, Vector] using hr
end Learner
def UniformSubquadraticMemory : Prop :=
∃ c : ℝ, 0 < c ∧ ∀ M : ℕ → ℕ,
Asymptotics.IsLittleO atTop (fun d => (M d : ℝ)) (fun d => (d : ℝ) ^ 2) →
∃ d₀ : ℕ, ∀ d : ℕ, d₀ ≤ d → ∀ T : ℕ, ∀ ε : ℝ,
0 < ε → ε ≤ 1 / 10 →
∀ (Ω : Type u) [MeasurableSpace Ω] (ρ : Measure Ω), IsProbabilityMeasure ρ →
∀ L : Learner d (M d) T Ω, L.UniformAdmissible ρ →
(2 / 3 : ℝ≥0∞) ≤ L.uniformSuccess ρ ε →
c * (d : ℝ) * Real.log (1 / ε) ≤ (T : ℝ)
lemma source_fixed_quadratic_memory {d M T : ℕ} {Ω : Type u} [MeasurableSpace Ω]
{A : ℝ} (hA : 0 < A) (hd : 32 ≤ d) (hM : (M:ℝ) ≤ A*(d:ℝ)^2)
{ε : ℝ} (hε : 0<ε) (hε10 : ε≤1/10)
(ρ : Measure Ω) [IsProbabilityMeasure ρ] (L : Learner d M T Ω)
(hL : L.UniformAdmissible ρ) (hs : (2/3 : ℝ≥0∞) ≤ L.uniformSuccess ρ ε) :
(1 / (4*(400000+100*A))) * (d : ℝ) * Real.log (1/ε) ≤ (T : ℝ) := by
have hT : d ≤ 4*T := by
by_contra h
have hb := hs.trans (hL.linear_success_bound (by omega) (by omega) hε10)
have hr := ENNReal.toReal_mono ENNReal.ofReal_ne_top hb
norm_num [ENNReal.toReal_div] at hr
let q := (d-1)/4
let a := 2*q
have hq : 2 ≤ q := by dsimp [q]; omega
have hqa : 2*q ≤ a := le_rfl
have ha : 2*a ≤ d-1 := by dsimp [a, q]; omega
have hdq : d ≤ 8*q := by dsimp [q]; omega
have hda : d ≤ 4*a := by dsimp [a]; omega
exact precision_from_stream_bound hd hT (by omega) hdq hda hM hA hε (by linarith)
(hL.streaming_success_bound_real (by omega) hε ha hq hqa hs)
theorem source_subquadratic_memory : UniformSubquadraticMemory.{u} := by
refine ⟨1/(4*(400000+100*(1:ℝ))),by positivity,?_⟩
intro M hM
obtain ⟨d₂, hd₂⟩ := eventually_atTop.1 hM.eventuallyLE
refine ⟨max 32 d₂, ?_⟩
intro d hd T ε hε hε10 Ω _ ρ hρ L hL hs
have : IsProbabilityMeasure ρ := hρ
have hmem : (M d : ℝ) ≤ 1 * (d : ℝ)^2 := by
have hm := hd₂ d (by omega)
simpa only [Real.norm_eq_abs, abs_of_nonneg (Nat.cast_nonneg (M d) : (0 : ℝ) ≤ M d),
abs_of_nonneg (sq_nonneg (d : ℝ)), one_mul] using hm
exact source_fixed_quadratic_memory (by norm_num) (by omega) hmem hε hε10 ρ L hL hs
end PosteriorRegression
end
end OAI