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license: mit
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license: mit
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tags:
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- extreme
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- instabilities
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# ExtremeEventSensor
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This dataset accompanies the NeurIPS 2026 paper *Mechanism-Aware Ensemble Conditioning for Data-Limited Emulation of Extreme Events*.
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**TLDR:** Small ensembles of perturbed, low-cost simulations reveal locally unstable directions in the dynamics. We use that information to guide learned corrections to coarse trajectories.
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## What’s included
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- **LowDim:** Trajectories from a three-dimensional nonlinear system exhibiting bursts, including reference, coarse, nudged, and perturbed ensemble simulations.
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- **QG:** Data from a two-layer quasigeostrophic model, including upper and lower streamfunction with additional topography. Includes fields from reference, coarse, nudged, and ensemble simulations.
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For a short demonstration, see the [blog post](https://www.mit.edu/~thieli/writing/neurips/). Full details about methods and examples are in the [paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.30746), and the accompanying code is on [GitHub](https://github.com/thisisisi/ExtremeEventSensor).
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