Upload GeoDisasterBenchmark (attempt 1) (part 11)

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
+  "acquisition_dates": [
+    "2024-07-30",
+    "2024-08-31"
+  ],
+  "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+  "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:14Z",
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+  "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+  "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 0.0,
+  "raw_nan_pct_before_gapfill": 0.0,
+  "scale_m": 250,
+  "scene_coverage": 1.0,
+  "sha256": "76ce959421ee2f6574ce7ff929ee93a09bef8556b929868d79ff50a7c306cafe",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+  "source_mode": "gee_live",
+  "units": "index"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/viirs_lst__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
+{
+  "band_or_field": "LST_1KM and QC",
+  "citation_url": "https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/NASA_VIIRS_002_VNP21A1D",
+  "constant": false,
+  "crs": "EPSG:4326",
+  "derivation": "mask QC mandatory QA bits=0, data-quality bits=0, and cloud bits=0; aggregate median; use nearest-neighbor export so sparse QA-valid native pixels remain valid and masked pixels are not interpolated into observations; if no pixel passes QA, omit this optional non-question input and record a rejection rather than gap-filling it",
+  "fetch_provenance": {
+    "output": {
+      "bytes": 4622,
+      "constant": false,
+      "export_grid": {
+        "crs": "EPSG:4326",
+        "height": 128,
+        "width": 128
+      },
+      "maximum": 324.44000244140625,
+      "mean": 316.6566467285156,
+      "minimum": 310.2799987792969,
+      "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+      "path": "work/rebuilt/drought/000018/rasters/viirs_lst__target.tif",
+      "resampling": "nearest",
+      "sha256": "5f86e00e4e595ce5fa144c7bc0096dec8c36049efe3140a05b0041e4fb367f64",
+      "units": "K",
+      "valid_fraction": 1.0
+    },
+    "request": {
+      "aoi_geometry": {
+        "coordinates": [
+          [
+            [
+              -119.57979331234118,
+              36.586317952560066
+            ],
+            [
+              -119.41979331234118,
+              36.586317952560066
+            ],
+            [
+              -119.41979331234118,
+              36.74631795256006
+            ],
+            [
+              -119.57979331234118,
+              36.74631795256006
+            ],
+            [
+              -119.57979331234118,
+              36.586317952560066
+            ]
+          ]
+        ],
+        "type": "Polygon"
+      },
+      "end_date_inclusive": "2024-08-15",
+      "start_date": "2024-08-15"
+    },
+    "upstream": {
+      "aggregation": "median of QA-valid observations",
+      "bands": [
+        "LST_1KM",
+        "QC"
+      ],
+      "collection": "NASA/VIIRS/002/VNP21A1D",
+      "image_count": 32,
+      "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+      "resampling": "nearest",
+      "units": "K",
+      "window_end_exclusive": "2024-08-31",
+      "window_start": "2024-07-30"
+    }
+  },
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/viirs_lst__target.tif",
+  "handle": "viirs_lst__target",
+  "license": "NASA LP DAAC data are freely accessible; citation requested",
+  "maximum": 324.44000244140625,
+  "minimum": 310.2799987792969,
+  "modality": "land_surface_temperature",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 0.0,
+  "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+  "nodata": -9999.0,
+  "product": "VNP21A1D.002 Day LST and Emissivity Daily 1 km",
+  "provider": "NASA LP DAAC",
+  "scale_m": 1000,
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_source_sidecar_v2",
+  "sha256": "5f86e00e4e595ce5fa144c7bc0096dec8c36049efe3140a05b0041e4fb367f64",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "NASA LP DAAC — VNP21A1D.002 Day LST and Emissivity Daily 1 km",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "temporal_rule": "median of QA-valid daytime observations from target date minus 16 days through target date plus 16 days (exclusive), matching the benchmark drought composite window",
+  "transform": [
+    0.0012499999999999734,
+    0.0,
+    -119.57979331234118,
+    0.0,
+    -0.0012499999999999734,
+    36.74631795256006
+  ],
+  "units": "K",
+  "upstream_identifier": "NASA/VIIRS/002/VNP21A1D",
+  "valid_fraction": 1.0
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/tabular/worldpop.json

@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
+{
+  "constant": false,
+  "download": {
+    "download_crs": "EPSG:4326",
+    "download_shape": [
+      128,
+      128
+    ],
+    "download_transform": [
+      0.0012499999999999734,
+      0.0,
+      -119.57979331234118,
+      0.0,
+      -0.0012499999999999734,
+      36.74631795256006,
+      0.0,
+      0.0,
+      1.0
+    ]
+  },
+  "maximum": 282.0322570800781,
+  "minimum": 0.0,
+  "provider": "WorldPop",
+  "resampling": "bilinear_to_aoi_grid",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_source_sidecar_v2",
+  "sha256": "7f61e1937e36a78bfb921929e0a88df17519aed6103086a5a62b15d02becbda2",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source_label": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "units": "people_per_pixel",
+  "upstream_identifier": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop",
+  "valid_fraction": 0.99896240234375,
+  "year": 2020
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/trajectories/A.json

@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:14Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_value": 0.467933,
+        "target_valid_pixel_count": 16384,
+        "target_source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "baseline_mean": 0.450554,
+        "baseline_std": 0.026649,
+        "baseline_years_used": 6,
+        "n_baseline_observations": 6,
+        "z_score": 0.652164,
+        "anomaly_class": "normal",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "target_statistic": "finite_aoi_pixel_mean"
+      },
+      "tool": "ComputeTemporalAnomaly"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+        "answer": {
+          "value": 0.652164,
+          "units": "z_score"
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "ndvi_z_score": 0.652164,
+          "baseline_mean": 0.450554
+        }
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+        "answer": {
+          "value": 0.652164,
+          "units": "z_score"
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "ndvi_z_score": 0.652164,
+          "baseline_mean": 0.450554
+        }
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000018__A",
+  "final": {
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+    "answer": {
+      "value": 0.652164,
+      "units": "z_score"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "ndvi_z_score": 0.652164,
+      "baseline_mean": 0.450554
+    }
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:14Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_value": 0.467933,
+        "target_valid_pixel_count": 16384,
+        "target_source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "baseline_mean": 0.450554,
+        "baseline_std": 0.026649,
+        "baseline_years_used": 6,
+        "n_baseline_observations": 6,
+        "z_score": 0.652164,
+        "anomaly_class": "normal",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "target_statistic": "finite_aoi_pixel_mean"
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "ComputeTemporalAnomaly"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2",
+  "anomaly_contract": "drought_modis_raster_target_anomaly_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/trajectories/B.json

@@ -0,0 +1,274 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:11Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "by_class": "@SPI_RELATIVE",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "by_class": {
+          "q1_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 0.0,
+            "mean_value": null,
+            "pixel_count": 0
+          },
+          "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 2481.492,
+            "mean_value": -0.041437,
+            "pixel_count": 1600
+          },
+          "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 15579.592,
+            "mean_value": 1.325197,
+            "pixel_count": 10048
+          },
+          "q4_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 7336.016,
+            "mean_value": 1.574433,
+            "pixel_count": 4736
+          }
+        },
+        "dominant_class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "mask_applied": null,
+        "mask_pixel_count": null,
+        "max": 1.862008,
+        "mean": 1.263782,
+        "median": 1.357383,
+        "min": -0.041437,
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_valid_pixels": 16384,
+        "nan_pct": 0.0,
+        "percentiles": {
+          "p05": -0.041437,
+          "p50": 1.357383,
+          "p95": 1.862008
+        },
+        "pixel_area_m2": 15501.159,
+        "std": 0.463278,
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "ComputeRegionStats"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
+          "class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+          "dominant_fraction": 0.613281
+        },
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "evidence": {
+          "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+          "by_class": {
+            "q1_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            },
+            "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 2481.492,
+              "mean_value": -0.041437,
+              "pixel_count": 1600
+            },
+            "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 15579.592,
+              "mean_value": 1.325197,
+              "pixel_count": 10048
+            },
+            "q4_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 7336.016,
+              "mean_value": 1.574433,
+              "pixel_count": 4736
+            }
+          },
+          "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+          "dominant_class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+          "mask_pixel_count": null
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "answer": {
+          "class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+          "dominant_fraction": 0.613281
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+          "by_class": {
+            "q1_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            },
+            "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 2481.492,
+              "mean_value": -0.041437,
+              "pixel_count": 1600
+            },
+            "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 15579.592,
+              "mean_value": 1.325197,
+              "pixel_count": 10048
+            },
+            "q4_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 7336.016,
+              "mean_value": 1.574433,
+              "pixel_count": 4736
+            }
+          },
+          "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+          "dominant_class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+          "mask_pixel_count": null
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000018__B",
+  "final": {
+    "answer": {
+      "class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+      "dominant_fraction": 0.613281
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+      "by_class": {
+        "q1_low_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 0.0,
+          "mean_value": null,
+          "pixel_count": 0
+        },
+        "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 2481.492,
+          "mean_value": -0.041437,
+          "pixel_count": 1600
+        },
+        "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 15579.592,
+          "mean_value": 1.325197,
+          "pixel_count": 10048
+        },
+        "q4_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 7336.016,
+          "mean_value": 1.574433,
+          "pixel_count": 4736
+        }
+      },
+      "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+      "dominant_class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+      "mask_pixel_count": null
+    },
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:11Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "by_class": {
+          "q1_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 0.0,
+            "mean_value": null,
+            "pixel_count": 0
+          },
+          "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 2481.492,
+            "mean_value": -0.041437,
+            "pixel_count": 1600
+          },
+          "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 15579.592,
+            "mean_value": 1.325197,
+            "pixel_count": 10048
+          },
+          "q4_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 7336.016,
+            "mean_value": 1.574433,
+            "pixel_count": 4736
+          }
+        },
+        "dominant_class": "q3_mid_high_spi",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "mask_applied": null,
+        "mask_pixel_count": null,
+        "max": 1.862008,
+        "mean": 1.263782,
+        "median": 1.357383,
+        "min": -0.041437,
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_valid_pixels": 16384,
+        "nan_pct": 0.0,
+        "percentiles": {
+          "p05": -0.041437,
+          "p50": 1.357383,
+          "p95": 1.862008
+        },
+        "pixel_area_m2": 15501.159,
+        "std": 0.463278,
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "ComputeRegionStats"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/trajectories/C.json

@@ -0,0 +1,598 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:11Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:14Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
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+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
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+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+      },
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+          "2024-08-31"
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
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+          128
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+        "source": "ECMWF/ERA5_LAND/DAILY_AGGR volumetric_soil_water_layer_1",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "m3_m3"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handles": [
+          "chirps_spi__target",
+          "modis_ndvi__target",
+          "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+        ],
+        "metric": "iou",
+        "minimum_iou": 0.3
+      },
+      "output": {
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "correlation_basis": "thresholded_binary_masks",
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": {
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+            "undefined_reason": "constant_mask",
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          },
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": {
+            "defined": true,
+            "undefined_reason": null,
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          }
+        },
+        "pairwise_iou": {
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.0,
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+        },
+        "pairwise_pct_delta": {
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 200.0,
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+        "per_source": {
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+            "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+            "scale_m": 5500,
+            "units": "z_score"
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+            "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
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+            "units": "m3_m3"
+          },
+          "modis_ndvi": {
+            "area_ha": 7394.163,
+            "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+            "scale_m": 250,
+            "units": "index"
+          }
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+        "required_correlation_pair_count": 3,
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+        "score_contract": "iou",
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi",
+          "chirps_spi__era5_soil_moisture"
+        ],
+        "valid_correlation_pair_count": 1,
+        "verdict": "sources_disagree",
+        "weakest_source": "chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "tool": "CompareAcrossSources"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
+          "agree": false,
+          "median_pairwise_iou": 0.0,
+          "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+          "minimum_iou": 0.3,
+          "verdict": "sources_disagree"
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "evidence": {
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+          "pairwise_iou": {
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+            "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.0,
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+          },
+          "per_source": {
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+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+              "scale_m": 5500,
+              "units": "z_score"
+            },
+            "era5_soil_moisture": {
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+              "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+              "scale_m": 9000,
+              "units": "m3_m3"
+            },
+            "modis_ndvi": {
+              "area_ha": 7394.163,
+              "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+              "scale_m": 250,
+              "units": "index"
+            }
+          },
+          "stress_mask_contract": "per_source_train_pixel_q25_v1",
+          "threshold_fit_split": "train",
+          "thresholds": {
+            "chirps_spi__target": -0.1381913721561432,
+            "era5_soil_moisture__target": 0.13093407452106476,
+            "modis_ndvi__target": 0.38769999146461487
+          },
+          "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+        },
+        "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "answer": {
+          "agree": false,
+          "median_pairwise_iou": 0.0,
+          "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+          "minimum_iou": 0.3,
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+          "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
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+          "pairwise_iou": {
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+            "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.0,
+            "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.177262
+          },
+          "per_source": {
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+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+              "scale_m": 5500,
+              "units": "z_score"
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+              "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+              "scale_m": 9000,
+              "units": "m3_m3"
+            },
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+              "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+              "units": "index"
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+          },
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+          "threshold_fit_split": "train",
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+            "era5_soil_moisture__target": 0.13093407452106476,
+            "modis_ndvi__target": 0.38769999146461487
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+          "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+        },
+        "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000018__C",
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+      "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+      "minimum_iou": 0.3,
+      "verdict": "sources_disagree"
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+          "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+          "scale_m": 5500,
+          "units": "z_score"
+        },
+        "era5_soil_moisture": {
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+          "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+          "scale_m": 9000,
+          "units": "m3_m3"
+        },
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+          "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+          "units": "index"
+        }
+      },
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+      "threshold_fit_split": "train",
+      "thresholds": {
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+        "era5_soil_moisture__target": 0.13093407452106476,
+        "modis_ndvi__target": 0.38769999146461487
+      },
+      "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+    },
+    "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:11Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
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+          128
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+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
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+          "2024-08-31"
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+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
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+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
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+          128
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+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
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+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
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+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:13Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/era5_soil_moisture__target.tif",
+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+        "modality": "era5_soil_moisture",
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+        "units": "m3_m3"
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+      "step": 3,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "correlation_basis": "thresholded_binary_masks",
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": null,
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": -0.109507
+        },
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+            "undefined_reason": "constant_mask",
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          },
+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": {
+            "defined": false,
+            "undefined_reason": "constant_mask",
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          },
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+            "undefined_reason": null,
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          }
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+        },
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+            "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+            "units": "z_score"
+          },
+          "era5_soil_moisture": {
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+            "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
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+          },
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+            "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+          "chirps_spi__era5_soil_moisture"
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+        "valid_correlation_pair_count": 1,
+        "verdict": "sources_disagree",
+        "weakest_source": "chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "step": 4,
+      "tool": "CompareAcrossSources"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/trajectories/D.json

@@ -0,0 +1,187 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": null,
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/low_chirps_spi.tif",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "modality": "train_relative_low_chirps_spi_footprint",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "derived from CHIRPS SPI and train-only normalization",
+        "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+        "units": "binary"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "asset_types": [
+          "schools"
+        ],
+        "buffer_m": 5000,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+        "critical_infrastructure": {
+          "schools": {
+            "in_buffer": 0,
+            "in_footprint": 0,
+            "nearest": {
+              "distance_m": null,
+              "name": null
+            }
+          }
+        },
+        "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+        "footprint_area_ha": 0.0,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+        "population_within_buffer": 0.0,
+        "population_within_footprint": 0.0
+      },
+      "tool": "QueryExposure"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
+          "schools_in_footprint": 0
+        },
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "evidence": {
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+          "critical_infrastructure": {
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+              "in_footprint": 0,
+              "nearest": {
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+                "name": null
+              }
+            }
+          },
+          "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+          "footprint_area_ha": 0.0,
+          "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+          "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+          "population_within_footprint": 0.0
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "answer": {
+          "schools_in_footprint": 0
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+          "critical_infrastructure": {
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+              "nearest": {
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+                "name": null
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+          "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+          "population_within_footprint": 0.0
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
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+  "final": {
+    "answer": {
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+      "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+      "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+      "population_within_footprint": 0.0
+    },
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": null,
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000018/rasters/low_chirps_spi.tif",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "modality": "train_relative_low_chirps_spi_footprint",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "derived from CHIRPS SPI and train-only normalization",
+        "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+        "units": "binary"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000018",
+        "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+        "critical_infrastructure": {
+          "schools": {
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+            "in_footprint": 0,
+            "nearest": {
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+              "name": null
+            }
+          }
+        },
+        "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+        "footprint_area_ha": 0.0,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+        "population_within_buffer": 0.0,
+        "population_within_footprint": 0.0
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "QueryExposure"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/aoi.geojson

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+{
+  "features": [
+    {
+      "geometry": {
+        "coordinates": [
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+      "properties": {},
+      "type": "Feature"
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+  ],
+  "type": "FeatureCollection"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/available_handles.json

@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
+{
+  "baselines_available": [
+    "chirps_spi",
+    "era5_soil_moisture",
+    "modis_ndvi_anomaly"
+  ],
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "handles": [
+    "chirps_spi__target",
+    "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+    "low_chirps_spi",
+    "modis_ndvi__target",
+    "viirs_lst__target"
+  ],
+  "osm_categories": [
+    "hospitals",
+    "schools",
+    "fire_stations",
+    "police_stations",
+    "power_substations",
+    "water_treatment",
+    "highways",
+    "rail_stations"
+  ],
+  "sample_id": "drought__000020",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_available_handles_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/baselines/chirps_spi.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+date,value,is_target
+2018-08-15,120.023076,false
+2019-08-15,46.878942,false
+2020-08-15,111.737733,false
+2021-08-15,152.271896,false
+2022-08-15,54.252569,false
+2023-08-15,30.897883,false
+2024-08-15,148.772823,true

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/baselines/era5_soil_moisture.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+date,value,is_target
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+2019-08-15,0.425006,false
+2020-08-15,0.450187,false
+2021-08-15,0.433471,false
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data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/baselines/modis_ndvi_anomaly.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+date,value,is_target
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+2019-08-15,0.403288,false
+2020-08-15,0.64918,false
+2021-08-15,0.440931,false
+2022-08-15,0.67552,false
+2023-08-15,0.555807,false
+2024-08-15,0.616989,true

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/drought_normalization.json

@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+{
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+      "units": "z_score"
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+      "units": "m3_m3"
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+      "units": "index"
+    }
+  },
+  "stress_mask_rule": "each source value is below its training-pixel q25",
+  "test_data_used_for_fit": false,
+  "train_sample_ids": [
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+    "000002",
+    "000004",
+    "000006",
+    "000008",
+    "000010",
+    "000012",
+    "000013",
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+    "000016",
+    "000017",
+    "000020",
+    "000021",
+    "000022",
+    "000024",
+    "000026",
+    "000028",
+    "000030"
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+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/gt/A.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
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+  "min_tool_calls": 3,
+  "provenance": {
+    "computed_at": "2026-10-14T12:04:27Z",
+    "computed_by": "experimental/c05_true_source_rebuild/rebuild_downstream.py",
+    "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+    "anomaly_contract": "drought_modis_raster_target_anomaly_v2"
+  },
+  "required_tools": [
+    "LoadCachedRaster",
+    "ComputeTemporalAnomaly",
+    "Terminate"
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_gt_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/gt/B.json

@@ -0,0 +1,47 @@
+{
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+    "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+    "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+    "mask_pixel_count": null
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+  "min_tool_calls": 3,
+  "provenance": {
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+    "computed_by": "experimental/c05_true_source_rebuild/rebuild_downstream.py",
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+    "LoadCachedRaster",
+    "Terminate"
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+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/gt/C.json

@@ -0,0 +1,61 @@
+{
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+    "median_pairwise_iou": 0.0,
+    "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+    "minimum_iou": 0.3,
+    "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+  },
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__C",
+  "evidence": {
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+    "median_pairwise_iou": 0.0,
+    "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+    "minimum_iou": 0.3,
+    "pairwise_iou": {
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+      "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.009798,
+      "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.0
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+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+      "era5_soil_moisture": {
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+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+        "scale_m": 9000,
+        "units": "m3_m3"
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+      "modis_ndvi": {
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+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+        "units": "index"
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+    "stress_mask_contract": "per_source_train_pixel_q25_v1",
+    "threshold_fit_split": "train",
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+  "provenance": {
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+    "computed_by": "experimental/c05_true_source_rebuild/rebuild_downstream.py",
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+    "LoadCachedRaster",
+    "Terminate"
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+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_gt_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/gt/D.json

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+{
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+  },
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__D",
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+    "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+    "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+    "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
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+  "min_tool_calls": 3,
+  "provenance": {
+    "computed_at": "2026-10-14T12:04:27Z",
+    "computed_by": "experimental/c05_true_source_rebuild/rebuild_downstream.py",
+    "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild"
+  },
+  "required_tools": [
+    "LoadCachedRaster",
+    "QueryExposure",
+    "Terminate"
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+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_gt_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/metadata.json

@@ -0,0 +1,45 @@
+{
+  "accepted": true,
+  "aoi_id": "drought__sample_000020",
+  "built_at": "2026-05-17T04:46:25Z",
+  "candidate_index": 20,
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "domain_label": "Drought",
+  "end_date": "2024-08-15",
+  "event_name": "Deccan drought AOI 20",
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+  "sample_id": "sample_000020",
+  "source_contract_version": "c05_true_source_v1",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "source_mode_expected": "gee_live",
+  "split": "hidden_test",
+  "start_date": "2024-08-15",
+  "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+  "window_label": "2024-08-15"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/osm/pois.geojson

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data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/quality_report.json

@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
+{
+  "all_sources_ok": true,
+  "c05_exact_source_overlay": true,
+  "c05_overlay_completed_at": "2026-10-14T11:58:47Z",
+  "completed_at": "2026-05-17T04:46:52Z",
+  "derived_completed_at": "2026-10-14T12:03:58Z",
+  "derived_ok": true,
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "gapfilled_layers": [
+    "viirs_lst__target"
+  ],
+  "nan_pct_max": 0.0,
+  "panels_completed_at": "2026-10-14T12:04:10Z",
+  "panels_ok": true,
+  "raw_nan_pct_max_before_gapfill": 5.9814453125,
+  "sample_id": "sample_000020",
+  "scene_coverage_min": 1.0,
+  "source_count": 4,
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/questions/A.json

@@ -0,0 +1,44 @@
+{
+  "available_handles": [
+    "modis_ndvi__target"
+  ],
+  "available_tools": [
+    "ReadData",
+    "PrepareScene",
+    "ComputeStats",
+    "TaskComplete"
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__A",
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "expected_answer_shape": {
+    "status": "string",
+    "answer": {
+      "value": "float",
+      "units": "string"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "ndvi_z_score": "float",
+      "baseline_mean": "float"
+    }
+  },
+  "family": "A",
+  "question_text": "What is the AOI-mean MODIS NDVI z-score for Deccan drought AOI 20 on 2024-08-15, using finite pixels in the declared target raster and the six declared same-season historical baseline observations?",
+  "sample_id": "drought__000020",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_question_v2",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "tool_budget_max": 4,
+  "tool_budget_min": 4,
+  "anomaly_contract": {
+    "version": "drought_modis_raster_target_anomaly_v2",
+    "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+    "target_statistic": "arithmetic mean of finite AOI pixels",
+    "baseline": "six non-target values in modis_ndvi_anomaly.csv",
+    "standard_deviation": "sample standard deviation (ddof=1)",
+    "formula": "(target_aoi_mean - baseline_mean) / baseline_sample_std",
+    "target_date_source": "the single is_target=true baseline row",
+    "valid_ndvi_range": [
+      -1.0,
+      1.0
+    ]
+  }
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/questions/B.json

@@ -0,0 +1,84 @@
+{
+  "available_handles": [
+    "chirps_spi__target"
+  ],
+  "available_tools": [
+    "ReadData",
+    "PrepareScene",
+    "ScoreHazard",
+    "TaskComplete"
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__B",
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "expected_answer_shape": {
+    "status": "string",
+    "answer": {
+      "class": "string",
+      "dominant_fraction": "float"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "dominant_class": "string",
+      "by_class": {
+        "q1_low_spi": {
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "pixel_count": "integer",
+          "mean_value": "float"
+        },
+        "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "pixel_count": "integer",
+          "mean_value": "float"
+        },
+        "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "pixel_count": "integer",
+          "mean_value": "null"
+        },
+        "q4_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "pixel_count": "integer",
+          "mean_value": "null"
+        }
+      },
+      "analysis_scope": "string",
+      "mask_pixel_count": "null",
+      "classification_contract": "string"
+    }
+  },
+  "family": "B",
+  "question_text": "What is the dominant train-relative CHIRPS SPI pixel quartile over Deccan drought AOI 20 on 2024-08-15?",
+  "sample_id": "drought__000020",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_question_v2",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "tool_budget_max": 4,
+  "tool_budget_min": 4,
+  "classification_contract": {
+    "version": "drought_train_relative_spi_quartiles_v2",
+    "source_handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+    "fit_split": "train",
+    "fit_aoi_count": 18,
+    "fit_valid_pixel_count": 294912,
+    "intervals": {
+      "q1_low_spi": [
+        -1e+30,
+        -0.1381913721561432
+      ],
+      "q2_mid_low_spi": [
+        -0.1381913721561432,
+        0.6701323390007019
+      ],
+      "q3_mid_high_spi": [
+        0.6701323390007019,
+        1.3935534954071045
+      ],
+      "q4_high_spi": [
+        1.3935534954071045,
+        1e+30
+      ]
+    },
+    "interval_rule": "lower-inclusive, upper-exclusive",
+    "analysis_scope": "all finite AOI pixels",
+    "dominance": "maximum pixel count; ties use declared class order",
+    "interpretation": "benchmark-relative SPI quartiles, not universal drought severity"
+  }
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/questions/C.json

@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
+{
+  "available_handles": [
+    "chirps_spi__target",
+    "modis_ndvi__target",
+    "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+  ],
+  "available_tools": [
+    "ReadData",
+    "PrepareScene",
+    "CompareSources",
+    "TaskComplete"
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__C",
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "expected_answer_shape": {
+    "status": "string",
+    "answer": {
+      "agree": "bool",
+      "metric": "string",
+      "median_pairwise_iou": "float",
+      "minimum_iou": "float",
+      "verdict": "string"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "agree": "bool",
+      "metric": "string",
+      "median_pairwise_iou": "float",
+      "minimum_iou": "float",
+      "verdict": "string",
+      "thresholds": {
+        "chirps_spi__target": "float",
+        "modis_ndvi__target": "float",
+        "era5_soil_moisture__target": "float"
+      },
+      "threshold_fit_split": "string",
+      "stress_mask_contract": "string",
+      "pairwise_iou": {
+        "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": "float",
+        "chirps_spi__era5_soil_moisture": "float",
+        "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": "float"
+      },
+      "per_source": {
+        "chirps_spi": {
+          "handle": "string",
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "scale_m": "integer",
+          "units": "string"
+        },
+        "modis_ndvi": {
+          "handle": "string",
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "scale_m": "integer",
+          "units": "string"
+        },
+        "era5_soil_moisture": {
+          "handle": "string",
+          "area_ha": "float",
+          "scale_m": "integer",
+          "units": "string"
+        }
+      }
+    }
+  },
+  "family": "C",
+  "question_text": "Do the train-relative bottom-quartile CHIRPS SPI, MODIS NDVI, and ERA5 soil-moisture stress masks reach median pairwise IoU 0.30 for Deccan drought AOI 20?",
+  "sample_id": "drought__000020",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_question_v2",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "tool_budget_max": 5,
+  "tool_budget_min": 5,
+  "agreement_contract": {
+    "version": "drought_train_relative_stress_iou_v2",
+    "source_handles": [
+      "chirps_spi__target",
+      "modis_ndvi__target",
+      "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+    ],
+    "mask_rule": "source pixel < that source's training-pixel q25",
+    "fit_split": "train",
+    "fit_aoi_count": 18,
+    "fit_valid_pixel_count_per_source": 294912,
+    "pair_metric": "intersection over union on common valid co-registered cells",
+    "aggregate": "median of three rounded pairwise IoUs",
+    "minimum_iou": 0.3,
+    "empty_union_rule": "IoU=1 when both source masks are empty"
+  }
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/questions/D.json

@@ -0,0 +1,56 @@
+{
+  "available_handles": [
+    "low_chirps_spi"
+  ],
+  "available_tools": [
+    "ReadData",
+    "PrepareScene",
+    "ScoreHazard",
+    "EstimateExposure",
+    "TaskComplete"
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__D",
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "expected_answer_shape": {
+    "status": "string",
+    "answer": {
+      "schools_in_footprint": "integer"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "population_within_footprint": "float",
+      "population_source": "string",
+      "footprint_area_ha": "float",
+      "critical_infrastructure": {
+        "schools": {
+          "in_footprint": "integer",
+          "in_buffer": "integer",
+          "nearest": {
+            "name": "null",
+            "distance_m": "null"
+          }
+        }
+      },
+      "footprint_handle": "string",
+      "distance_method": "string",
+      "asset_geometry_contract": "string"
+    }
+  },
+  "family": "D",
+  "question_text": "How many schools are inside the train-relative bottom-quartile CHIRPS SPI footprint for Deccan drought AOI 20?",
+  "sample_id": "drought__000020",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_question_v2",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "tool_budget_max": 6,
+  "tool_budget_min": 6,
+  "exposure_contract": {
+    "version": "drought_school_low_spi_exposure_v2",
+    "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+    "footprint_derivation": "chirps_spi__target < training-pixel q25",
+    "threshold": -0.1381913721561432,
+    "threshold_fit_split": "train",
+    "requested_asset": "one representative point per cached OSM school feature",
+    "membership": "authoritative GeoJSON representative point maps to a positive raster cell",
+    "context_buffer_m": 5000,
+    "distance_method": "local azimuthal-equidistant distance to positive cell centers"
+  }
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
+  "acquisition_dates": [
+    "2024-07-30",
+    "2024-08-31"
+  ],
+  "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+  "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:27Z",
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+  "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+  "modality": "chirps_spi",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 0.0,
+  "raw_nan_pct_before_gapfill": 0.0,
+  "scale_m": 5500,
+  "scene_coverage": 1.0,
+  "sha256": "c20d3a488bc8e705420963c486bd842aba83c3c56accdf0ac5b2140412f9547d",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+  "source_mode": "gee_live",
+  "units": "z_score"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/era5_soil_moisture__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
+  "acquisition_dates": [
+    "2024-07-30",
+    "2024-08-31"
+  ],
+  "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+  "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:31Z",
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/era5_soil_moisture__target.tif",
+  "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+  "modality": "era5_soil_moisture",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 0.0,
+  "raw_nan_pct_before_gapfill": 0.0,
+  "scale_m": 9000,
+  "scene_coverage": 1.0,
+  "sha256": "3c66813848b9fd0b32430a97ea6fa30b66831df03ad0507d5b416108cdd437a7",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "ECMWF/ERA5_LAND/DAILY_AGGR volumetric_soil_water_layer_1",
+  "source_mode": "gee_live",
+  "units": "m3_m3"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/low_chirps_spi.json

@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
+{
+  "constant": false,
+  "derived_from": [
+    "chirps_spi__target",
+    "drought/000020/drought_normalization.json"
+  ],
+  "formula": "chirps_spi < train_pixel_q25",
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/low_chirps_spi.tif",
+  "handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+  "maximum": 1.0,
+  "minimum": 0.0,
+  "modality": "train_relative_low_chirps_spi_footprint",
+  "scale_m": 5500,
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_derived_sidecar_v2",
+  "sha256": "7deb787fed6184b5fe17bbfd9ac38a0e19221fd8aa6b4231f357d49d40f2a7fd",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "derived from CHIRPS SPI and train-only normalization",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "threshold": -0.1381913721561432,
+  "threshold_fit_split": "train",
+  "units": "binary",
+  "valid_fraction": 1.0
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
+  "acquisition_dates": [
+    "2024-07-30",
+    "2024-08-31"
+  ],
+  "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+  "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:33Z",
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+  "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+  "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 0.0,
+  "raw_nan_pct_before_gapfill": 0.0,
+  "scale_m": 250,
+  "scene_coverage": 1.0,
+  "sha256": "60795206dba86131ecca6bedddbca91557479e664314ecbe3e57bb072fc7a798",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+  "source_mode": "gee_live",
+  "units": "index"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/viirs_lst__target.json

@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
+{
+  "band_or_field": "LST_1KM and QC",
+  "citation_url": "https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/NASA_VIIRS_002_VNP21A1D",
+  "constant": false,
+  "crs": "EPSG:4326",
+  "derivation": "mask QC mandatory QA bits=0, data-quality bits=0, and cloud bits=0; aggregate median; use nearest-neighbor export so sparse QA-valid native pixels remain valid and masked pixels are not interpolated into observations; if no pixel passes QA, omit this optional non-question input and record a rejection rather than gap-filling it",
+  "fetch_provenance": {
+    "output": {
+      "bytes": 1658,
+      "constant": false,
+      "export_grid": {
+        "crs": "EPSG:4326",
+        "height": 128,
+        "width": 128
+      },
+      "maximum": 314.3800048828125,
+      "mean": 309.9627990722656,
+      "minimum": 303.1400146484375,
+      "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+      "path": "work/rebuilt/drought/000020/rasters/viirs_lst__target.tif",
+      "resampling": "nearest",
+      "sha256": "383bdff1af23f3edebd04b572a25dfd0a775ba3b84bd363c97d7dd89417dbe77",
+      "units": "K",
+      "valid_fraction": 0.1033935546875
+    },
+    "request": {
+      "aoi_geometry": {
+        "coordinates": [
+          [
+            [
+              76.76486471917093,
+              17.485320091792005
+            ],
+            [
+              76.92486471917093,
+              17.485320091792005
+            ],
+            [
+              76.92486471917093,
+              17.645320091792
+            ],
+            [
+              76.76486471917093,
+              17.645320091792
+            ],
+            [
+              76.76486471917093,
+              17.485320091792005
+            ]
+          ]
+        ],
+        "type": "Polygon"
+      },
+      "end_date_inclusive": "2024-08-15",
+      "start_date": "2024-08-15"
+    },
+    "upstream": {
+      "aggregation": "median of QA-valid observations",
+      "bands": [
+        "LST_1KM",
+        "QC"
+      ],
+      "collection": "NASA/VIIRS/002/VNP21A1D",
+      "image_count": 32,
+      "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+      "resampling": "nearest",
+      "units": "K",
+      "window_end_exclusive": "2024-08-31",
+      "window_start": "2024-07-30"
+    }
+  },
+  "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/viirs_lst__target.tif",
+  "handle": "viirs_lst__target",
+  "license": "NASA LP DAAC data are freely accessible; citation requested",
+  "maximum": 314.3800048828125,
+  "minimum": 303.1400146484375,
+  "modality": "land_surface_temperature",
+  "n_bands": 1,
+  "nan_pct": 89.66064453125,
+  "native_resolution_m": 1000,
+  "nodata": -9999.0,
+  "product": "VNP21A1D.002 Day LST and Emissivity Daily 1 km",
+  "provider": "NASA LP DAAC",
+  "scale_m": 1000,
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_source_sidecar_v2",
+  "sha256": "383bdff1af23f3edebd04b572a25dfd0a775ba3b84bd363c97d7dd89417dbe77",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source": "NASA LP DAAC — VNP21A1D.002 Day LST and Emissivity Daily 1 km",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "temporal_rule": "median of QA-valid daytime observations from target date minus 16 days through target date plus 16 days (exclusive), matching the benchmark drought composite window",
+  "transform": [
+    0.0012499999999999734,
+    0.0,
+    76.76486471917093,
+    0.0,
+    -0.0012499999999999734,
+    17.645320091792
+  ],
+  "units": "K",
+  "upstream_identifier": "NASA/VIIRS/002/VNP21A1D",
+  "valid_fraction": 0.1033935546875
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/tabular/worldpop.json

@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
+{
+  "constant": false,
+  "download": {
+    "download_crs": "EPSG:4326",
+    "download_shape": [
+      128,
+      128
+    ],
+    "download_transform": [
+      0.0012499999999999734,
+      0.0,
+      76.76486471917093,
+      0.0,
+      -0.0012499999999999734,
+      17.645320091792,
+      0.0,
+      0.0,
+      1.0
+    ]
+  },
+  "maximum": 23.64642906188965,
+  "minimum": 0.7394227385520935,
+  "provider": "WorldPop",
+  "resampling": "bilinear_to_aoi_grid",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_source_sidecar_v2",
+  "sha256": "ffc79ca8443e9280cebbcecbd3bf6dce58d1b388b2bf16173e32d3040bfab708",
+  "shape": [
+    128,
+    128
+  ],
+  "source_label": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+  "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+  "units": "people_per_pixel",
+  "upstream_identifier": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop",
+  "valid_fraction": 0.9886474609375,
+  "year": 2020
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/trajectories/A.json

@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:33Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_value": 0.616989,
+        "target_valid_pixel_count": 16384,
+        "target_source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "baseline_mean": 0.555158,
+        "baseline_std": 0.111398,
+        "baseline_years_used": 6,
+        "n_baseline_observations": 6,
+        "z_score": 0.555048,
+        "anomaly_class": "normal",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "target_statistic": "finite_aoi_pixel_mean"
+      },
+      "tool": "ComputeTemporalAnomaly"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+        "answer": {
+          "value": 0.555048,
+          "units": "z_score"
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "ndvi_z_score": 0.555048,
+          "baseline_mean": 0.555158
+        }
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+        "answer": {
+          "value": 0.555048,
+          "units": "z_score"
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "ndvi_z_score": 0.555048,
+          "baseline_mean": 0.555158
+        }
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__A",
+  "final": {
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE",
+    "answer": {
+      "value": 0.555048,
+      "units": "z_score"
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "ndvi_z_score": 0.555048,
+      "baseline_mean": 0.555158
+    }
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:33Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "target_handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "target_date": "2024-08-15",
+        "target_value": 0.616989,
+        "target_valid_pixel_count": 16384,
+        "target_source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "baseline_mean": 0.555158,
+        "baseline_std": 0.111398,
+        "baseline_years_used": 6,
+        "n_baseline_observations": 6,
+        "z_score": 0.555048,
+        "anomaly_class": "normal",
+        "method": "z_score",
+        "target_statistic": "finite_aoi_pixel_mean"
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "ComputeTemporalAnomaly"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2",
+  "anomaly_contract": "drought_modis_raster_target_anomaly_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/trajectories/B.json

@@ -0,0 +1,274 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:27Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "by_class": "@SPI_RELATIVE",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "by_class": {
+          "q1_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 13837.838,
+            "mean_value": -0.267532,
+            "pixel_count": 7536
+          },
+          "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 16240.787,
+            "mean_value": 0.067885,
+            "pixel_count": 8848
+          },
+          "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 0.0,
+            "mean_value": null,
+            "pixel_count": 0
+          },
+          "q4_high_spi": {
+            "area_ha": 0.0,
+            "mean_value": null,
+            "pixel_count": 0
+          }
+        },
+        "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "mask_applied": null,
+        "mask_pixel_count": null,
+        "max": 0.284586,
+        "mean": -0.086393,
+        "median": -0.138191,
+        "min": -0.397634,
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_valid_pixels": 16384,
+        "nan_pct": 0.0,
+        "percentiles": {
+          "p05": -0.380131,
+          "p50": -0.138191,
+          "p95": 0.246875
+        },
+        "pixel_area_m2": 18358.536,
+        "std": 0.212688,
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "ComputeRegionStats"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
+          "class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+          "dominant_fraction": 0.540039
+        },
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "evidence": {
+          "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+          "by_class": {
+            "q1_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 13837.838,
+              "mean_value": -0.267532,
+              "pixel_count": 7536
+            },
+            "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 16240.787,
+              "mean_value": 0.067885,
+              "pixel_count": 8848
+            },
+            "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            },
+            "q4_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            }
+          },
+          "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+          "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+          "mask_pixel_count": null
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "answer": {
+          "class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+          "dominant_fraction": 0.540039
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+          "by_class": {
+            "q1_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 13837.838,
+              "mean_value": -0.267532,
+              "pixel_count": 7536
+            },
+            "q2_mid_low_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 16240.787,
+              "mean_value": 0.067885,
+              "pixel_count": 8848
+            },
+            "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            },
+            "q4_high_spi": {
+              "area_ha": 0.0,
+              "mean_value": null,
+              "pixel_count": 0
+            }
+          },
+          "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+          "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+          "mask_pixel_count": null
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__B",
+  "final": {
+    "answer": {
+      "class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+      "dominant_fraction": 0.540039
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "analysis_scope": "whole_aoi",
+      "by_class": {
+        "q1_low_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 13837.838,
+          "mean_value": -0.267532,
+          "pixel_count": 7536
+        },
+        "q2_mid_low_spi": {
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+          "mean_value": 0.067885,
+          "pixel_count": 8848
+        },
+        "q3_mid_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 0.0,
+          "mean_value": null,
+          "pixel_count": 0
+        },
+        "q4_high_spi": {
+          "area_ha": 0.0,
+          "mean_value": null,
+          "pixel_count": 0
+        }
+      },
+      "classification_contract": "train_only_chirps_spi_pixel_quartiles_v1",
+      "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+      "mask_pixel_count": null
+    },
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
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+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:27Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "by_class": {
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+            "mean_value": 0.067885,
+            "pixel_count": 8848
+          },
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+            "pixel_count": 0
+          },
+          "q4_high_spi": {
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+            "mean_value": null,
+            "pixel_count": 0
+          }
+        },
+        "dominant_class": "q2_mid_low_spi",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+        "mask_pixel_count": null,
+        "max": 0.284586,
+        "mean": -0.086393,
+        "median": -0.138191,
+        "min": -0.397634,
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
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+        "nan_pct": 0.0,
+        "percentiles": {
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+          "p50": -0.138191,
+          "p95": 0.246875
+        },
+        "pixel_area_m2": 18358.536,
+        "std": 0.212688,
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "ComputeRegionStats"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/trajectories/C.json

@@ -0,0 +1,598 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:27Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "UCSB-CHG/CHIRPS/DAILY same-window z-score",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "z_score"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:33Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 250,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "MODIS/061/MOD13Q1 NDVI",
+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "index"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [
+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
+        ],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:31Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/era5_soil_moisture__target.tif",
+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+        "modality": "era5_soil_moisture",
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+          128
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+        "source_mode": "gee_live",
+        "units": "m3_m3"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
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+        "handles": [
+          "chirps_spi__target",
+          "modis_ndvi__target",
+          "era5_soil_moisture__target"
+        ],
+        "metric": "iou",
+        "minimum_iou": 0.3
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "agreement_class": "low",
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "correlation_basis": "thresholded_binary_masks",
+        "grid_signatures": {
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+            "shape": [
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+              128
+            ],
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+              0.0,
+              76.76486471917093,
+              0.0,
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+            "shape": [
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+              128
+            ],
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+              17.645320091792
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+              128
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+        "metric": "iou",
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+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.0
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": -0.055634,
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": null
+        },
+        "pairwise_correlation_details": {
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+            "defined": false,
+            "undefined_reason": "constant_mask",
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          },
+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": {
+            "defined": true,
+            "undefined_reason": null,
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          },
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": {
+            "defined": false,
+            "undefined_reason": "constant_mask",
+            "valid_pixel_count": 16384
+          }
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.009798,
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.0
+        },
+        "pairwise_pct_delta": {
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 184.836,
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 200.0
+        },
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+          "chirps_spi__modis_ndvi": 0.531189,
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.981873
+        },
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+            "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+            "units": "z_score"
+          },
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+            "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
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+            "units": "m3_m3"
+          },
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+            "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+        "require_all_pairs_defined": null,
+        "required_correlation_pair_count": 3,
+        "score": 0.0,
+        "score_contract": "iou",
+        "undefined_correlation_pairs": [
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+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture"
+        ],
+        "valid_correlation_pair_count": 1,
+        "verdict": "sources_disagree",
+        "weakest_source": "chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "tool": "CompareAcrossSources"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
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+          "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
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+          "verdict": "sources_disagree"
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+            "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture": 0.0
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+              "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+        "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+      },
+      "output": {
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+          "metric": "median_pairwise_iou",
+          "minimum_iou": 0.3,
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+              "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+              "units": "z_score"
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+              "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
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+              "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+              "units": "index"
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+          },
+          "stress_mask_contract": "per_source_train_pixel_q25_v1",
+          "threshold_fit_split": "train",
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+            "era5_soil_moisture__target": 0.13093407452106476,
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+          "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+        },
+        "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__C",
+  "final": {
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+          "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
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+          "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
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+        },
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+          "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
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+      "threshold_fit_split": "train",
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+        "era5_soil_moisture__target": 0.13093407452106476,
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+      "verdict": "sources_disagree"
+    },
+    "status": "SOURCES_DISAGREE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
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+          "2024-07-30",
+          "2024-08-31"
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:27Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/chirps_spi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "chirps_spi__target",
+        "modality": "chirps_spi",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
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+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
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+          "2024-08-31"
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
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+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:33Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/modis_ndvi__target.tif",
+        "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+        "modality": "modis_ndvi_anomaly",
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+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": "2026-05-17T04:46:31Z",
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/era5_soil_moisture__target.tif",
+        "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+        "modality": "era5_soil_moisture",
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+        "scale_m": 9000,
+        "shape": [
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+      "step": 3,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
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+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "correlation_basis": "thresholded_binary_masks",
+        "grid_signatures": {
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+          "era5_soil_moisture": {
+            "area_ha": 0.0,
+            "handle": "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+            "scale_m": 9000,
+            "units": "m3_m3"
+          },
+          "modis_ndvi": {
+            "area_ha": 545.26,
+            "handle": "modis_ndvi__target",
+            "scale_m": 250,
+            "units": "index"
+          }
+        },
+        "require_all_pairs_defined": null,
+        "required_correlation_pair_count": 3,
+        "score": 0.0,
+        "score_contract": "iou",
+        "undefined_correlation_pairs": [
+          "chirps_spi__era5_soil_moisture",
+          "modis_ndvi__era5_soil_moisture"
+        ],
+        "valid_correlation_pair_count": 1,
+        "verdict": "sources_disagree",
+        "weakest_source": "chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "step": 4,
+      "tool": "CompareAcrossSources"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/trajectories/D.json

@@ -0,0 +1,187 @@
+{
+  "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+  "calls": [
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": null,
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/low_chirps_spi.tif",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "modality": "train_relative_low_chirps_spi_footprint",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "derived from CHIRPS SPI and train-only normalization",
+        "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+        "units": "binary"
+      },
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "asset_types": [
+          "schools"
+        ],
+        "buffer_m": 5000,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+        "critical_infrastructure": {
+          "schools": {
+            "in_buffer": 0,
+            "in_footprint": 0,
+            "nearest": {
+              "distance_m": null,
+              "name": null
+            }
+          }
+        },
+        "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+        "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+        "population_within_buffer": 22951.096,
+        "population_within_footprint": 13398.032
+      },
+      "tool": "QueryExposure"
+    },
+    {
+      "args": {
+        "answer": {
+          "schools_in_footprint": 0
+        },
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "evidence": {
+          "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+          "critical_infrastructure": {
+            "schools": {
+              "in_buffer": 0,
+              "in_footprint": 0,
+              "nearest": {
+                "distance_m": null,
+                "name": null
+              }
+            }
+          },
+          "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+          "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+          "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+          "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+          "population_within_footprint": 13398.032
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "output": {
+        "answer": {
+          "schools_in_footprint": 0
+        },
+        "evidence": {
+          "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+          "critical_infrastructure": {
+            "schools": {
+              "in_buffer": 0,
+              "in_footprint": 0,
+              "nearest": {
+                "distance_m": null,
+                "name": null
+              }
+            }
+          },
+          "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+          "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+          "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+          "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+          "population_within_footprint": 13398.032
+        },
+        "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+      },
+      "tool": "Terminate"
+    }
+  ],
+  "case_id": "drought__000020__D",
+  "final": {
+    "answer": {
+      "schools_in_footprint": 0
+    },
+    "evidence": {
+      "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+      "critical_infrastructure": {
+        "schools": {
+          "in_buffer": 0,
+          "in_footprint": 0,
+          "nearest": {
+            "distance_m": null,
+            "name": null
+          }
+        }
+      },
+      "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+      "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+      "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+      "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+      "population_within_footprint": 13398.032
+    },
+    "status": "TASK_COMPLETE"
+  },
+  "intermediate_answers": [
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "acquisition_dates": [],
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "clear_fraction_in_aoi": null,
+        "fetched_at_build_time": null,
+        "geotiff_path": "source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000020/rasters/low_chirps_spi.tif",
+        "handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "modality": "train_relative_low_chirps_spi_footprint",
+        "n_bands": 1,
+        "scale_m": 5500,
+        "shape": [
+          128,
+          128
+        ],
+        "source": "derived from CHIRPS SPI and train-only normalization",
+        "source_mode": "provider_exact_rebuild",
+        "units": "binary"
+      },
+      "step": 1,
+      "tool": "LoadCachedRaster"
+    },
+    {
+      "output": {
+        "aoi_id": "drought__000020",
+        "asset_geometry_contract": "cached_feature_representative_point_v1",
+        "critical_infrastructure": {
+          "schools": {
+            "in_buffer": 0,
+            "in_footprint": 0,
+            "nearest": {
+              "distance_m": null,
+              "name": null
+            }
+          }
+        },
+        "distance_method": "local_azimuthal_equidistant_cell_center_v1",
+        "footprint_area_ha": 13837.838,
+        "footprint_handle": "low_chirps_spi",
+        "population_source": "WorldPop/GP/100m/pop 2020 population-count clip",
+        "population_within_buffer": 22951.096,
+        "population_within_footprint": 13398.032
+      },
+      "step": 2,
+      "tool": "QueryExposure"
+    }
+  ],
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_multi_hazard_trajectory_v2"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000021/aoi.geojson

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+{
+  "features": [
+    {
+      "geometry": {
+        "coordinates": [
+          [
+            [
+              39.48596913168032,
+              3.1289721725283055
+            ],
+            [
+              39.64596913168032,
+              3.1289721725283055
+            ],
+            [
+              39.64596913168032,
+              3.2889721725283056
+            ],
+            [
+              39.48596913168032,
+              3.2889721725283056
+            ],
+            [
+              39.48596913168032,
+              3.1289721725283055
+            ]
+          ]
+        ],
+        "type": "Polygon"
+      },
+      "properties": {},
+      "type": "Feature"
+    }
+  ],
+  "type": "FeatureCollection"
+}

data/source_assets/multi_hazard/drought/000021/available_handles.json

@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
+{
+  "baselines_available": [
+    "chirps_spi",
+    "era5_soil_moisture",
+    "modis_ndvi_anomaly"
+  ],
+  "domain": "drought",
+  "handles": [
+    "chirps_spi__target",
+    "era5_soil_moisture__target",
+    "low_chirps_spi",
+    "modis_ndvi__target",
+    "viirs_lst__target"
+  ],
+  "osm_categories": [
+    "hospitals",
+    "schools",
+    "fire_stations",
+    "police_stations",
+    "power_substations",
+    "water_treatment",
+    "highways",
+    "rail_stations"
+  ],
+  "sample_id": "drought__000021",
+  "schema_version": "geodisaster_available_handles_v2"
+}