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Remove raw run table; the card carries the results

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  1. eval/SCOREBOARD.md +0 -90
  2. eval/scoreboard.json +0 -1325
eval/SCOREBOARD.md DELETED
@@ -1,90 +0,0 @@
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- # Scoreboard
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-
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- Updated: 2026-11-11T17:27:40Z · Goal: A risk-management analyst at a Turkish bank asks a question in Turkish about a given risk data-mart schema; one small model (Gemma 4 E4B) writes a correct SQL query (portable to Oracle/PostgreSQL), a 1-3 sentence Turkish summary of the result with faithful numbers, and a short chart spec (type, x, y, title) a renderer draws. R&D goal: CPT + SFT with off-policy logit distillation + RL (RFT, short GRPO) on one student, each stage measured, within 12 active hours and a 20 USD envelope.
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- Target: "sql_execution clearly above the untuned student (CI excludes 0) on the sealed holdout; turkish_understanding, turkish_summary and chart_spec do not drop; forgetting within noise"
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- **Best:** loop / eval 0.894 [0.819, 0.954] · vs untuned student +0.320 [0.244, 0.387]
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- Total spend: 15.72 USD
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-
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- Intervals come from a 2000-fold family bootstrap; a difference whose interval excludes zero is real.
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-
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- ## runs/bakeoff/cases.jsonl (50 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | chart_spec | sql_execution | turkish_summary | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | bakeoff-openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash / openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash (frontier) | deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash | 0.900 [0.879, 0.947] | – | 1.000 | 0.923 | 0.692 | 1.000 | 0.040 | 4.332 | – | older verifier |
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- | bakeoff-openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash / openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash (frontier) | z-ai/glm-5.3-flash | 0.960 [0.909, 1.000] | – | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.846 | 1.000 | 0.020 | 8.409 | – | older verifier |
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- | bakeoff-openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro / openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro (frontier) | xiaomi/mimo-v2.6-pro | 0.880 [0.842, 0.923] | – | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.538 | 1.000 | 0.060 | 5.671 | – | older verifier |
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- | bakeoff / openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash-rescore (frontier) | z-ai/glm-5.3-flash | 1.000 [1.000, 1.000] | – | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 8.409 | – | rescore |
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- | bakeoff / openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash-rescore (frontier) | deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash | 0.980 [0.966, 1.000] | – | 1.000 | 0.923 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 | 4.332 | – | rescore |
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- | bakeoff / openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro-rescore (frontier) | xiaomi/mimo-v2.6-pro | 0.980 [0.930, 1.000] | – | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.923 | 1.000 | 0.020 | 5.671 | – | rescore |
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-
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- ## eval/cases/dev.jsonl (24 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | sql_execution | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | base / eval-probe (experiment) | google/gemma-4-E4B-it | 0.542 [0.500, 0.750] | – | 0.583 | 0.500 | 0.292 | 26.848 | – | |
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-
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- ## eval/cases/dev.jsonl (160 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | chart_spec | sql_execution | turkish_summary | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | base / eval-dev (student) | google/gemma-4-E4B-it | 0.573 [0.502, 0.641] | – | 0.912 | 0.523 | 0.812 | 0.431 | 0.494 | 5.206 | – | baseline |
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- | teacher / eval-dev (frontier) | openrouter:z-ai/glm-5.3-flash | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | -0.573 [-0.641, -0.501] | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | – | – | invalid |
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- | run1 / eval-dev (experiment) | run1 | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | -0.573 [-0.641, -0.501] | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | – | – | invalid; ⚠ regression: chart_spec, sql_execution, turkish_summary, turkish_understanding |
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- | run1 / dev (experiment) | run1 | 0.722 [0.650, 0.777] | +0.148 [0.081, 0.204] | 0.988 | 0.725 | 0.800 | 0.604 | 0.375 | 6.706 | – | |
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- | run2 / dev (experiment) | run2 | 0.752 [0.662, 0.821] | +0.178 [0.077, 0.250] | 1.000 | 0.738 | 0.738 | 0.688 | 0.319 | 5.870 | – | |
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- | rft1 / dev (experiment) | rft1 | 0.786 [0.691, 0.863] | +0.212 [0.110, 0.294] | 1.000 | 0.750 | 0.887 | 0.717 | 0.244 | 5.978 | – | |
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- | rft1 / export-dev (experiment) | rft1 | 0.797 [0.700, 0.872] | +0.223 [0.124, 0.302] | 1.000 | 0.762 | 0.900 | 0.729 | 0.237 | 6.032 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-t0 | 0.819 [0.734, 0.883] | +0.245 [0.173, 0.302] | 1.000 | 0.750 | 1.000 | 0.767 | 0.131 | 3.700 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-t0r2 | 0.838 [0.735, 0.906] | +0.264 [0.202, 0.321] | 1.000 | 0.783 | 0.950 | 0.800 | 0.163 | 3.282 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-t1r2 | 0.838 [0.759, 0.889] | +0.264 [0.206, 0.313] | 1.000 | 0.838 | 0.863 | 0.775 | 0.281 | 3.555 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-k5r2 | 0.866 [0.793, 0.926] | +0.292 [0.216, 0.359] | 1.000 | 0.850 | 0.925 | 0.817 | 0.175 | 17.995 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-k5r2t07 | 0.850 [0.747, 0.921] | +0.277 [0.216, 0.338] | 1.000 | 0.833 | 0.825 | 0.825 | 0.181 | 16.406 | – | |
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- | run4 / dev (experiment) | run4 | 0.777 [0.687, 0.852] | +0.203 [0.123, 0.280] | 1.000 | 0.750 | 0.850 | 0.704 | 0.375 | 8.329 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | run4-loop-k5r2 | 0.881 [0.819, 0.935] | +0.308 [0.241, 0.366] | 1.000 | 0.883 | 0.850 | 0.850 | 0.156 | 27.918 | – | |
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- | grpo2 / dev (experiment) | grpo2 | 0.781 [0.695, 0.852] | +0.208 [0.135, 0.280] | 1.000 | 0.750 | 0.825 | 0.725 | 0.325 | 9.489 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | grpo2-loop-k5r2 | 0.894 [0.819, 0.954] | +0.320 [0.244, 0.387] | 1.000 | 0.892 | 0.925 | 0.850 | 0.169 | 28.351 | – | |
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- | rft2 / dev (experiment) | rft2 | 0.797 [0.702, 0.875] | +0.223 [0.146, 0.300] | 1.000 | 0.775 | 0.963 | 0.696 | 0.331 | 11.448 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft2-loop-rft2-k5r2 | 0.887 [0.787, 0.956] | +0.314 [0.248, 0.376] | 1.000 | 0.858 | 0.950 | 0.858 | 0.144 | 35.439 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft2-loop-rft2-k1r2-t0 | 0.863 [0.784, 0.931] | +0.289 [0.215, 0.361] | 1.000 | 0.867 | 1.000 | 0.767 | 0.138 | 6.566 | – | |
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-
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- ## knowledge/forgetting/general_tr_en.jsonl (240 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | forgetting | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | base / eval-forgetting (student) | google/gemma-4-E4B-it | 0.867 [0.821, 0.908] | – | 0.867 | 0.000 | 0.595 | – | baseline |
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- | run1 / eval-forgetting (experiment) | run1 | 0.000 [0.000, 0.000] | -0.867 [-0.908, -0.821] | 0.000 | 0.000 | – | – | invalid; ⚠ regression: forgetting |
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- | run1 / forgetting (experiment) | run1 | 0.787 [0.729, 0.838] | -0.079 [-0.125, -0.037] | 0.787 | 0.000 | 0.599 | – | ⚠ regression: forgetting |
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- | run2 / forgetting (experiment) | run2 | 0.787 [0.733, 0.838] | -0.079 [-0.121, -0.042] | 0.787 | 0.000 | 0.611 | – | ⚠ regression: forgetting |
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- | rft1 / forgetting (experiment) | rft1 | 0.804 [0.750, 0.854] | -0.062 [-0.113, -0.017] | 0.804 | 0.000 | 0.631 | – | ⚠ regression: forgetting |
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- | rft2 / forgetting (experiment) | rft2 | 0.850 [0.800, 0.896] | -0.017 [-0.067, 0.029] | 0.850 | 0.000 | 0.665 | – | |
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-
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- ## runs/teacher-full/cases.jsonl (160 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | chart_spec | sql_execution | turkish_summary | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | bakeoff-openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash / openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash (frontier) | z-ai/glm-5.3-flash | 0.994 [0.981, 1.000] | – | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 0.983 | 0.000 | 10.628 | – | |
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- | bakeoff-openrouter-google_gemma-4-31b-it / openrouter-google_gemma-4-31b-it (frontier) | google/gemma-4-31b-it | 0.931 [0.894, 0.969] | – | 1.000 | 0.933 | 0.800 | 0.950 | 0.069 | 5.132 | – | |
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-
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- ## data/prompts/rft_cases.jsonl (1567 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | report | sql_execution | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | run2 / train-samples (experiment) | run2 | 0.770 [0.752, 0.789] | – | 0.875 | 0.741 | 0.344 | 3.367 | – | |
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-
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- ## eval/cases/holdout.jsonl (100 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | chart_spec | sql_execution | turkish_summary | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | base / holdout (student) | google/gemma-4-E4B-it | 0.532 [0.410, 0.655] | – | 0.800 | 0.531 | 0.900 | 0.375 | 0.500 | 6.296 | – | baseline |
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- | rft1 / holdout (experiment) | rft1 | 0.675 [0.615, 0.743] | +0.142 [0.080, 0.205] | 1.000 | 0.650 | 0.900 | 0.562 | 0.340 | 6.162 | – | |
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-
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- ## eval/cases/holdout2.jsonl (125 cases)
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-
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- | Run | Model | Score avg@N [95% interval] | Δ vs untuned student | chart_spec | sql_execution | turkish_summary | turkish_understanding | Critical failures | Latency p50 (s) | Cost (USD) | Note |
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- |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- | rft1 / holdout2 (experiment) | rft1 | 0.750 [0.672, 0.824] | +0.190 [0.054, 0.310] | 1.000 | 0.710 | 0.942 | 0.680 | 0.336 | 6.553 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | rft1-loop-k5r2 | 0.796 [0.732, 0.856] | +0.236 [0.114, 0.344] | 1.000 | 0.800 | 0.846 | 0.730 | 0.248 | 13.693 | – | |
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- | run4 / holdout2 (experiment) | run4 | 0.744 [0.680, 0.818] | +0.184 [0.086, 0.294] | 1.000 | 0.715 | 0.865 | 0.680 | 0.376 | 9.291 | – | |
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- | loop / eval (experiment) | run4-loop-k5r2 | 0.868 [0.824, 0.920] | +0.308 [0.216, 0.372] | 1.000 | 0.910 | 0.808 | 0.810 | 0.200 | 31.140 | – | |
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- | base / holdout2 (student) | google/gemma-4-E4B-it | 0.560 [0.514, 0.618] | – | 1.000 | 0.530 | 0.712 | 0.445 | 0.496 | 6.226 | – | baseline |
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
eval/scoreboard.json DELETED
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- {
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- "updated": "2026-11-11T17:27:40Z",
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- "objective": "A risk-management analyst at a Turkish bank asks a question in Turkish about a given risk data-mart schema; one small model (Gemma 4 E4B) writes a correct SQL query (portable to Oracle/PostgreSQL), a 1-3 sentence Turkish summary of the result with faithful numbers, and a short chart spec (type, x, y, title) a renderer draws. R&D goal: CPT + SFT with off-policy logit distillation + RL (RFT, short GRPO) on one student, each stage measured, within 12 active hours and a 20 USD envelope.",
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- "success": "sql_execution clearly above the untuned student (CI excludes 0) on the sealed holdout; turkish_understanding, turkish_summary and chart_spec do not drop; forgetting within noise",
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- "axes_targets": [
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- {
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- "axis": "sql_execution",
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- "target": null
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- },
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- {
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- "axis": "turkish_understanding",
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- "target": null
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- },
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- {
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- "axis": "turkish_summary",
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- "target": null
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- },
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- {
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- "axis": "chart_spec",
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- "target": null
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- },
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- {
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- "axis": "forgetting",
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- "target": null
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- }
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- ],
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- "total_usd": 15.7159,
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- "sets": [
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- {
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- "cases": "runs/bakeoff/cases.jsonl",
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- "n": 50,
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- "cases_hash": "sha256:d6e6e9f283bb06dc003de8f14184a305aac838d281aa23c6a1f855ac5c51321d",
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- "axes": [
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- "chart_spec",
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- "sql_execution",
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- "turkish_summary",
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- "turkish_understanding"
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- ],
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- "baseline": null,
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- "rows": [
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- {
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- "run": "bakeoff-openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash / openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash",
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- "model": "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash",
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- "role": "frontier",
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- "avg": 0.9,
46
- "ci": [
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- 0.8788,
48
- 0.9474
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- ],
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- "base": false,
51
- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": true,
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- "critical_rate": 0.04,
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- "latency_p50": 4.332,
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- "simulated": false,
56
- "invalid": false,
57
- "rescore": false,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 0.9231,
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- "turkish_summary": 0.6923,
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- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
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- "chart_spec": 1.0
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- }
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- },
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- {
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- "run": "bakeoff-openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash / openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash",
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- "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash",
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- "role": "frontier",
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- "avg": 0.96,
70
- "ci": [
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- 0.9091,
72
- 1.0
73
- ],
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- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": true,
77
- "critical_rate": 0.02,
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- "latency_p50": 8.409,
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- "simulated": false,
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- "invalid": false,
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- "rescore": false,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 1.0,
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- "turkish_summary": 0.8462,
85
- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
86
- "chart_spec": 1.0
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- }
88
- },
89
- {
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- "run": "bakeoff-openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro / openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro",
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- "model": "xiaomi/mimo-v2.6-pro",
92
- "role": "frontier",
93
- "avg": 0.88,
94
- "ci": [
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- 0.8421,
96
- 0.9231
97
- ],
98
- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
100
- "stale_verifier": true,
101
- "critical_rate": 0.06,
102
- "latency_p50": 5.671,
103
- "simulated": false,
104
- "invalid": false,
105
- "rescore": false,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 1.0,
108
- "turkish_summary": 0.5385,
109
- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
110
- "chart_spec": 1.0
111
- }
112
- },
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- {
114
- "run": "bakeoff / openrouter-z-ai_glm-5.3-flash-rescore",
115
- "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3-flash",
116
- "role": "frontier",
117
- "avg": 1.0,
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- "ci": [
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- 1.0,
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- 1.0
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- ],
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- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": false,
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- "critical_rate": 0.0,
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- "latency_p50": 8.409,
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- "simulated": false,
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- "invalid": false,
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- "rescore": true,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 1.0,
132
- "turkish_summary": 1.0,
133
- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
134
- "chart_spec": 1.0
135
- }
136
- },
137
- {
138
- "run": "bakeoff / openrouter-deepseek_deepseek-v4.1-flash-rescore",
139
- "model": "deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash",
140
- "role": "frontier",
141
- "avg": 0.98,
142
- "ci": [
143
- 0.9659,
144
- 1.0
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- ],
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- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": false,
149
- "critical_rate": 0.0,
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- "latency_p50": 4.332,
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- "simulated": false,
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- "invalid": false,
153
- "rescore": true,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 0.9231,
156
- "turkish_summary": 1.0,
157
- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
158
- "chart_spec": 1.0
159
- }
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- },
161
- {
162
- "run": "bakeoff / openrouter-xiaomi_mimo-v2.6-pro-rescore",
163
- "model": "xiaomi/mimo-v2.6-pro",
164
- "role": "frontier",
165
- "avg": 0.98,
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- "ci": [
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- 0.9302,
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- 1.0
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- ],
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- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": false,
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- "critical_rate": 0.02,
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- "latency_p50": 5.671,
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- "simulated": false,
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- "invalid": false,
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- "rescore": true,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 1.0,
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- "turkish_summary": 0.9231,
181
- "turkish_understanding": 1.0,
182
- "chart_spec": 1.0
183
- }
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- }
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- ],
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- "holdout": false
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- },
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- {
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- "cases": "eval/cases/dev.jsonl",
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- "n": 24,
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- "cases_hash": "sha256:6c9654ef96f61edb1f0ed0bb4ed00e4a43283c62edfeb7b6753999a0b358d20d",
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- "axes": [
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- "sql_execution",
194
- "turkish_understanding"
195
- ],
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- "baseline": null,
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- "rows": [
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- {
199
- "run": "base / eval-probe",
200
- "model": "google/gemma-4-E4B-it",
201
- "role": "experiment",
202
- "avg": 0.5417,
203
- "ci": [
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- 0.5,
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- 0.75
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- ],
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- "base": false,
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- "usd": null,
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- "stale_verifier": false,
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- "critical_rate": 0.2917,
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- "latency_p50": 26.848,
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- "simulated": false,
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- "invalid": false,
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- "rescore": false,
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- "by_axis": {
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- "sql_execution": 0.5833,
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- "turkish_understanding": 0.5
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- }
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- }
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- ],
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- "holdout": false
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- },
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- {
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- "cases": "eval/cases/dev.jsonl",
225
- "n": 160,
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- "cases_hash": "sha256:35e152e3be377a60b1b9c1d67bc785596ef793fc5fdf19fd8c224cb6c9535171",
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- "axes": [
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- "chart_spec",
229
- "sql_execution",
230
- "turkish_summary",
231
- "turkish_understanding"
232
- ],
233
- "baseline": "base / eval-dev",
234
- "rows": [
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- {
236
- "run": "base / eval-dev",
237
- "model": "google/gemma-4-E4B-it",
238
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