Download evaluation/intensity/intensity_final.json from euler314/typhoon-predict: direct link, hf CLI and curl.
- Browser
- Download file 195 kB
-
https://huggingface.co/euler314/typhoon-predict/resolve/main/evaluation/intensity/intensity_final.json
- Command line
-
hf download hf://euler314/typhoon-predict/evaluation/intensity/intensity_final.json
-
curl -L -o intensity_final.json https://huggingface.co/euler314/typhoon-predict/resolve/main/evaluation/intensity/intensity_final.json
195 kB
| { | |
| "status": "complete_verified", | |
| "created_at_utc": "2026-09-30T20:03:17.229500+00:00", | |
| "cohort_storms": 270, | |
| "cohort_daily_issues": 1473, | |
| "eligible_intensity_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "excluded_missing_current_intensity": 1339, | |
| "protocol_sha256": "596e1bc74ea7cb023d54bc4356c919898d8336460cb66e98b337b8f91c5b211c", | |
| "runner_report_sha256": "8e00bc83626c808313343af9ee0cafe0b45021ac605a31c09ede710bc78ee9a2", | |
| "postprocessor_sha256": "42fd80254484ac1d390aa2830ab5fdaef1895d3dacdf74ddf23d4aba6c553215", | |
| "curve_protocol": { | |
| "version": "unshifted-six-hour-intensity-curves-v1", | |
| "minimum_curve_points": 6, | |
| "shape_error": "(1 - centred cosine similarity) / 2; exact common UTC leads; remove mean and scalar magnitude, preserve time order and sign; no lag optimization, time warping, shift or fit; flat truth or either flat model makes both shape scores unavailable.", | |
| "trend_error": "Fraction of adjacent exact six-hour changes with a different sign, including flat vs non-flat. Sign deadband = 0 (strict native changes); no joining across missing leads.", | |
| "tendency_mae": "MAE of predicted minus observed adjacent six-hour changes, in kt/6h, hPa/6h or km/6h.", | |
| "aggregation": "Paired common lead mask -> daily issue mean -> mean of days per storm -> equal storm weights, same as track. Radius quadrants are averaged within the daily issue; no pooling long-lived storms or quadrant counts across storms.", | |
| "radius": "Native 1.1 RMW and NE/SE/SW/NW R34/R50/R64 kilometre outputs versus exact USA reports in nautical miles * 1.852; radii, not diameters. No native 1.2 radius head: do not score experimental pressure radii as a calibrated official equivalent. RMW must be positive; reported zero wind-radius extents are valid.", | |
| "uncertainty": "Whole-storm bootstrap, fixed 2000 replicates, seed 4712; development uncertainty, not untouched-holdout certification." | |
| }, | |
| "source_hashes": { | |
| "windows": "cb8d7291aa8140124ca522feb448a1d44124b018efc4ba1d54824b60a4f73451", | |
| "basin": "71e5f1bb46c44e5936c506a3f8af021c1fe94c238ed030c05c66e8f342374b6d", | |
| "basin_q": "7e9104b9abbab2fcedff92b5d6c3f7d3e1c56562cceefdabf89e69a9fd30794a", | |
| "mslp": "9f6a4ec7b2f6beadfa1075af9176d2a653e39a824d504d989e5e56e19c571521", | |
| "geography": "f5471471da4a1e15f85fbfb2529065806281357c8e50cb272fcd2b02e8553b96", | |
| "native_plan": "117eb291e385a326191be2f73182ed6dcbf0e9f99745780ac9e49a29def3d8da", | |
| "native_pressure": "16cc1b153aeee5eff4b67337b599892dcd86a5716554596b8031048035d247ba", | |
| "ensemble_code": "5eb27eb3f0b1da09eea0c260c25e887b0f9784933fc4c71c3132b00eadd85b5e", | |
| "model_code": "5dab06c20224cf48c51302122455ee7e16948f977bf4b760fd8aff5d443ab0bc", | |
| "baseline_code": "6c05941fd93baaca04508877edc69f8f0394b70e0a64e734ef0d2c1e8832246a", | |
| "base_code": "5c9473993a19d0fed00055494b5c1f50c1006aaf46551ff50145f67048c3374a", | |
| "v11_code": "f54ba3ef272ab3685c7bb6787fd607815559633b5c7a04c38e1f51fd379bfb54", | |
| "v11_base_code": "21f6af46b5809002da8c02701d083fc0502fa77af167bcb85c5fd7a021ae222d", | |
| "cohort": "965184f1e5ab3fcb52e304f39b38583a14f753870aa2295f2d01942a441dcfd6", | |
| "ibtracs": "4348af2679b4be0d53ec630bccda759044663a1f57e2bbd5c1d19428aab562fc", | |
| "intensity_code": "b600e606743635008355ad5a51c0d95a6a7edaec5657b0ddaa5934bff0060a30", | |
| "temporal_code": "889c7a03279ee8ed7678bc6f90050140220c89a926c914181343e53b9e1af017", | |
| "local_weather_q": "e77f3bc9e58ec027d9a5bc6bdfba26238e3c2ab13b09a175d0078e6dfeb3e3a1", | |
| "runner": "32cacf3107bbd0045974b51f214f31942402923b7a2ece29b2086709de00577f", | |
| "v11_manifest.json": "cd4cc073391b7832f55272a2b184355e9e2b95384a60d01f571cdb6aeba06b3d", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_calibration.json": "022579fdcf77f50a943026de433eb54a79bb152ba57c98f41c140dc048cec76c", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_intensity_seed0.pt": "f26a55bb3db6e88a69656e2633e8316f71698866d4be4c336a1b2524a5f58401", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_intensity_seed1.pt": "74c379bda87dd52a3d7558d58110d104e427d7972ad59e2dca02b4e61b641e1c", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_intensity_seed2.pt": "7023a827ebc100d19a70183e5ffe9f23023da58c178eb9fcd668d681a2c90b53", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_norm_stats.npz": "98041bbffbfab691a91101b44429d591ae665351e65fda3e374a19c4f13e7d14", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_structure_seed0.pt": "46a2d38cae5ce1cb727f589d5dbd969a05480aaf32e3b33d4b7ab3e285beb42a", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_structure_seed1.pt": "13d1840bc8f4d7bb144dad2d1c07dd9f8ea8cf7bdd81675788431672e9755b8e", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_structure_seed2.pt": "f46a8f03b4723baa4fd9068877b3a4006edf898f084e2dd7be6be90ea44dd562", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_temporal_seed0.pt": "251ae688062543dfa748f46840054d4e2bb54d0701b2b73f8f51c976f9ac3c78", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_temporal_seed1.pt": "9c705fea9bc73b0971be8949d777c22d6bede38b40134f34f00f1082eb081b49", | |
| "v11_trackformer_1_1_temporal_seed2.pt": "c90ce4dc0a409585bf5a81f0747248be086c2698be9a790296a1dc56a9ca76ae" | |
| }, | |
| "verification": { | |
| "all_frozen_original_forecasts_sha256_valid": true, | |
| "actual_distinct_input_members_per_replay": 50, | |
| "verified_member_replays": 134, | |
| "maximum_original_pressure_difference_hpa": 0.0, | |
| "all_wind_means_from_members_verified": true | |
| }, | |
| "metrics": { | |
| "pressure_USA_hpa": { | |
| "label": "USA central pressure", | |
| "unit": "hPa", | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 12.835629459598886, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 11.001035192109809, | |
| 14.648647902545894 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 12.552942457392373, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 10.505632645525033, | |
| 14.737855544671032 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.82694053005818, | |
| "1.2": 10.720576046135479 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.255339285714284, | |
| "1.2": 5.865419661748977 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.027002645502648, | |
| "1.2": 20.425430698939735 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.505208333333326, | |
| "1.2": 6.504219670613609 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.0318253968254, | |
| "1.2": 5.0755721803695515 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.275926587301583, | |
| "1.2": 22.328013863215375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.720666666666663, | |
| "1.2": 9.806293741861953 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.425500000000001, | |
| "1.2": 14.163123982747392 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 29.614291666666666, | |
| "1.2": 32.29048385450575 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.08179487179487, | |
| "1.2": 15.112124693259215 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.146808823529412, | |
| "1.2": 15.661866469439339 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.46384656084656, | |
| "1.2": 10.504130845811627 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.554444444444433, | |
| "1.2": 7.106451144748247 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.853999999999996, | |
| "1.2": 24.52784466552734 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.58050000000001, | |
| "1.2": 24.74216247558593 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.678934453781497, | |
| "1.2": 13.254871189423032 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.408264705882356, | |
| "1.2": 11.911801015517288 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.348850877192977, | |
| "1.2": 11.889789125676737 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.501431578947367, | |
| "1.2": 22.22602920692846 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.8095, | |
| "1.2": 6.902953002929686 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.386695488721806, | |
| "1.2": 16.699611507559187 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.186500000000018, | |
| "1.2": 11.990158813476569 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.62828125, | |
| "1.2": 5.072979846954348 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.662393939393937, | |
| "1.2": 9.177172178326245 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.8567424242424266, | |
| "1.2": 4.224882969711759 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.68098538011696, | |
| "1.2": 8.79363626758954 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.071089285714285, | |
| "1.2": 9.75760124424526 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.61312499999999, | |
| "1.2": 3.9168678283691563 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.357069444444441, | |
| "1.2": 9.10053490992955 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.893333333333345, | |
| "1.2": 5.880505879720033 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 26.508981481481484, | |
| "1.2": 23.63844556342231 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.16334375, | |
| "1.2": 22.32140873463948 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.173520833333328, | |
| "1.2": 15.218135518391929 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.528352941176458, | |
| "1.2": 12.73191661161535 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.241067982456137, | |
| "1.2": 14.260217521533637 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.420000000000005, | |
| "1.2": 5.414341491699213 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.837500000000006, | |
| "1.2": 17.09288734436035 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.009500000000001, | |
| "1.2": 8.634514241536458 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.022250000000005, | |
| "1.2": 3.4453850555419976 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.073368421052637, | |
| "1.2": 3.7273372320877876 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": -0.2826870022065157, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -2.099149420226982, | |
| 1.450806067883321 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 131, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.2763205474129595, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.22440202075867835, | |
| 0.3355535525447231 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.33632305145318214, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.2683984209450624, | |
| 0.4151210402035321 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.20284123096462062, | |
| "1.2": 0.2160712126699663 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.06539138918832689, | |
| "1.2": 0.29254892088636086 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.08417055655777343, | |
| "1.2": 0.09366510532987991 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.33084007202578314, | |
| "1.2": 0.2892987086695668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7920852394621134, | |
| "1.2": 0.1171637994340694 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.029340391195327137, | |
| "1.2": 0.358865714186003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.350539643356947, | |
| "1.2": 0.6842501335899949 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.13609595883480577, | |
| "1.2": 0.2657883212943126 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.16041082398517031, | |
| "1.2": 0.2528674138085465 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2700732041116606, | |
| "1.2": 0.4719784750520324 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.27340895652628827, | |
| "1.2": 0.5408106914993305 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5235923927439542, | |
| "1.2": 0.6163670381019309 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.335025951563911, | |
| "1.2": 0.28895801032164736 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3031878298051391, | |
| "1.2": 0.6800999977614426 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.07547024744800135, | |
| "1.2": 0.27848485973739134 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.45375592916300456, | |
| "1.2": 0.4262774803242595 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.29916515448156894, | |
| "1.2": 0.14415671676253045 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.11485343744199496, | |
| "1.2": 0.035729648708032836 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.15967954471116444, | |
| "1.2": 0.3257414836114634 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5079323133588887, | |
| "1.2": 0.1993200547130146 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4138413866062444, | |
| "1.2": 0.26313484512514757 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.30298854215993887, | |
| "1.2": 0.12186565209276262 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.17013789455626901, | |
| "1.2": 0.10059539715207866 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5171870286376906, | |
| "1.2": 0.12990553796109902 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1002137757376172, | |
| "1.2": 0.11910557205468905 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3148230608055807, | |
| "1.2": 0.642266813026447 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.40966290501653635, | |
| "1.2": 0.4146662892145464 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5535767133274299, | |
| "1.2": 0.9370533017585785 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18570764349543045, | |
| "1.2": 0.5883240600016797 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21706879259960465, | |
| "1.2": 0.9389991880753612 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.04810092804047609, | |
| "1.2": 0.09612031488892915 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4329481330279538, | |
| "1.2": 0.3865604402539661 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.09029399386222556, | |
| "1.2": 0.22648201910075638 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.05065117017419091, | |
| "1.2": 0.08732530182616252 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18272332753832493, | |
| "1.2": 0.7038085138929157 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.26248613345881966, | |
| "1.2": 0.5883156244276039 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23472316136999316, | |
| "1.2": 0.28640570764305917 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.22339874379365324, | |
| "1.2": 0.05335874995656462 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.12881078725391584, | |
| "1.2": 0.05912030197263289 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7456175081300412, | |
| "1.2": 0.13106464124053002 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.06000250404022265, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.023846751915374803, | |
| 0.14239699775711898 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.4669814787429919, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.4137366637728528, | |
| 0.5211436135736397 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.49021961920554225, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.44024877319161493, | |
| 0.543626166531276 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4208959899749373, | |
| "1.2": 0.4470551378446115 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.48201952845915697, | |
| "1.2": 0.6151464634436771 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18837818528221004, | |
| "1.2": 0.2140192109232357 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6070175438596491, | |
| "1.2": 0.598830409356725 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5208333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 0.4375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23530073297875156, | |
| "1.2": 0.49667248815855625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.525, | |
| "1.2": 0.3 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.368421052631579, | |
| "1.2": 0.3947368421052631 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3235294117647059, | |
| "1.2": 0.2708978328173375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7023809523809523, | |
| "1.2": 0.5416666666666667 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5723684210526316, | |
| "1.2": 0.6200657894736842 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.45500251382604323, | |
| "1.2": 0.47628624099212336 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5, | |
| "1.2": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7368421052631579, | |
| "1.2": 0.8157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10526315789473684, | |
| "1.2": 0.2631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7253418803418804, | |
| "1.2": 0.8501709401709402 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4753289473684211, | |
| "1.2": 0.40213815789473684 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.24951267056530213, | |
| "1.2": 0.19688109161793368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.404093567251462, | |
| "1.2": 0.5532163742690057 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.631578947368421, | |
| "1.2": 0.5526315789473684 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5664160401002506, | |
| "1.2": 0.529657477025898 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3157894736842105, | |
| "1.2": 0.21052631578947367 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5382433356117566, | |
| "1.2": 0.5549100022784232 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5142857142857142, | |
| "1.2": 0.4285714285714286 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4318181818181818, | |
| "1.2": 0.38181818181818183 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4449317738791423, | |
| "1.2": 0.6361737677527151 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6100250626566416, | |
| "1.2": 0.6025062656641603 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8666666666666667, | |
| "1.2": 0.9333333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5737080257204096, | |
| "1.2": 0.49928554417718507 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2, | |
| "1.2": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.16615067079463364, | |
| "1.2": 0.27347781217750256 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5212519936204147, | |
| "1.2": 0.5080940988835726 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5142857142857142, | |
| "1.2": 0.6190476190476191 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.17763157894736842, | |
| "1.2": 0.26644736842105265 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5928362573099415, | |
| "1.2": 0.7042606516290726 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.631578947368421, | |
| "1.2": 0.5789473684210527 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3333333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 0.6666666666666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3508771929824561, | |
| "1.2": 0.2631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.513157894736842, | |
| "1.2": 0.4736842105263158 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5871623503202451, | |
| "1.2": 0.43135616819827344 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.023238140462550284, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.014488190607650499, | |
| 0.0633333878881624 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 4.03925136137668, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 3.5391544414327143, | |
| 4.566226822514788 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 4.237404759221886, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 3.751273063249088, | |
| 4.747260117670149 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.15343045112782, | |
| "1.2": 4.4785885593347405 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.4507031436056284, | |
| "1.2": 1.3533803255826584 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.16817178693339, | |
| "1.2": 6.391752873483024 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.130116959064325, | |
| "1.2": 2.743955820540941 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.018541666666671, | |
| "1.2": 2.879793421427415 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.7606617316292223, | |
| "1.2": 5.432499947639386 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.809500000000005, | |
| "1.2": 4.59376306152343 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.199298245614037, | |
| "1.2": 4.317855246025225 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.412275541795655, | |
| "1.2": 7.88842654579565 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.620714285714274, | |
| "1.2": 2.52774628412155 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.270024671052625, | |
| "1.2": 5.166052735981188 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.328250377073895, | |
| "1.2": 4.9885759392315165 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.041249999999991, | |
| "1.2": 7.39483978271484 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.5389473684210504, | |
| "1.2": 5.45079043739721 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.864210526315781, | |
| "1.2": 5.349464047080585 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.6601049145299018, | |
| "1.2": 3.188186950892267 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.8789967105263188, | |
| "1.2": 2.677969277030542 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.582670565302148, | |
| "1.2": 5.33771976820442 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.834947368421055, | |
| "1.2": 6.024964740240096 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.0163157894736874, | |
| "1.2": 2.7940373149671105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.893099415204686, | |
| "1.2": 5.631426768928345 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.491578947368441, | |
| "1.2": 6.35981284693668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.7929571656413867, | |
| "1.2": 2.794870894374054 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.503571428571425, | |
| "1.2": 4.829345014299692 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.7141363636363725, | |
| "1.2": 3.406706332120015 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.4987747145641883, | |
| "1.2": 2.7135692158558076 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.2992080200501266, | |
| "1.2": 3.407028929746244 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.7393333333333354, | |
| "1.2": 1.81281233723959 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.570204215289354, | |
| "1.2": 3.1768041497975763 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.7469999999999914, | |
| "1.2": 2.6019594726562447 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.193560371517024, | |
| "1.2": 5.513940637547168 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.327588915470498, | |
| "1.2": 5.622480532510814 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.4217142857142813, | |
| "1.2": 4.362970714750749 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.189967105263149, | |
| "1.2": 4.981109841999261 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.9905910609857944, | |
| "1.2": 3.4314677561773546 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.9363157894737, | |
| "1.2": 2.2825885973478535 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.912000000000004, | |
| "1.2": 6.992739420572927 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.265614035087721, | |
| "1.2": 4.6505363812362885 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.1409210526315796, | |
| "1.2": 2.002073765804892 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.202786131996655, | |
| "1.2": 1.9415836797601056 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.19815339784520652, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.004763107170061342, | |
| 0.40974524079477515 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "pressure_JMA_hpa": { | |
| "label": "JMA central pressure", | |
| "unit": "hPa", | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 13.53233861138585, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 11.61176396029504, | |
| 15.52134793177567 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 12.837077366789085, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 10.568428588860188, | |
| 15.317429973569501 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.34331179138322, | |
| "1.2": 11.703452651250938 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.515566206239585, | |
| "1.2": 5.2138589682954075 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.376333333333337, | |
| "1.2": 9.235204935709637 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.767333333333325, | |
| "1.2": 7.182624471028643 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.160347222222226, | |
| "1.2": 10.5054147889879 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.819499999999996, | |
| "1.2": 22.421791503906253 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.816250000000004, | |
| "1.2": 14.068842041015618 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 16.765999999999995, | |
| "1.2": 15.888891560872393 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 33.628249999999994, | |
| "1.2": 35.57717123413086 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.339789473684217, | |
| "1.2": 4.21100486514443 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.022875, | |
| "1.2": 14.398029205322267 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.994666666666662, | |
| "1.2": 7.465028991699211 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.353499999999997, | |
| "1.2": 7.970803344726562 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.051500000000004, | |
| "1.2": 30.95869189453125 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 25.18250000000001, | |
| "1.2": 26.692162475585928 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.106599999999998, | |
| "1.2": 15.233801806640624 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.233499999999998, | |
| "1.2": 9.197484207153312 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.514166666666664, | |
| "1.2": 9.550676635742184 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.11473333333333, | |
| "1.2": 17.6822790500217 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.673, | |
| "1.2": 9.603841674804691 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 24.109499999999997, | |
| "1.2": 17.263570757184716 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.83350000000001, | |
| "1.2": 11.211368530273443 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.582999999999997, | |
| "1.2": 7.130459701538087 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.876000000000002, | |
| "1.2": 6.467401000976576 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.330750000000004, | |
| "1.2": 10.008655059814439 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.69125, | |
| "1.2": 7.6226065877278595 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.396571428571427, | |
| "1.2": 7.8138881574358265 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.252999999999991, | |
| "1.2": 2.596179565429702 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.902874999999998, | |
| "1.2": 13.292660873413086 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.527250000000006, | |
| "1.2": 8.330050506591792 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 29.291333333333338, | |
| "1.2": 25.913026631673176 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.043791666666664, | |
| "1.2": 24.22071369719923 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.34449999999999, | |
| "1.2": 11.834624542236337 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.414500000000002, | |
| "1.2": 15.182893585205075 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.278749999999999, | |
| "1.2": 15.791598281860354 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.120000000000005, | |
| "1.2": 5.419938781738279 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.013000000000005, | |
| "1.2": 19.863902587890625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.3595, | |
| "1.2": 9.24962630208333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.621750000000002, | |
| "1.2": 5.179063644409182 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.523000000000004, | |
| "1.2": 4.329809570312498 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": -0.6952612445967646, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -2.6817828222321465, | |
| 1.1969787610686224 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.2925933579756391, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.23987721466548576, | |
| 0.3560063675881183 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.2881538887577524, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.23524683898336454, | |
| 0.3466145717190148 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10085344254915628, | |
| "1.2": 0.1979711652652661 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.08171069356808501, | |
| "1.2": 0.3528570059291829 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.05815901668284177, | |
| "1.2": 0.06279330722734826 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.17007062837853845, | |
| "1.2": 0.268241491572961 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.39077500228486767, | |
| "1.2": 0.9266480742928866 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.08369061121194594, | |
| "1.2": 0.39311126773539073 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.28712675946306204, | |
| "1.2": 0.5011190285936475 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2174433327673384, | |
| "1.2": 0.2722525415997634 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.16308673489253023, | |
| "1.2": 0.24557140642171987 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6488213203527471, | |
| "1.2": 0.24659537027323528 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.28600605975325094, | |
| "1.2": 0.3506774517130279 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5063593130832402, | |
| "1.2": 0.3162376825243375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9584177332359326, | |
| "1.2": 0.1334530509060497 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.22764883848458634, | |
| "1.2": 0.6048478121628982 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.05655869274130243, | |
| "1.2": 0.33785130105314515 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.36947535507922896, | |
| "1.2": 0.4890148924730351 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23256684361494678, | |
| "1.2": 0.125335219936134 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.14539246892943206, | |
| "1.2": 0.03324571232756651 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1439652155464357, | |
| "1.2": 0.2679032860363654 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.26678397907720974, | |
| "1.2": 0.08111589002400224 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3355665495210773, | |
| "1.2": 0.19476557324329447 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.29032587984334923, | |
| "1.2": 0.09971105875261799 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.25977908413950257, | |
| "1.2": 0.3181111083651109 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21642145364582743, | |
| "1.2": 0.0695262199254372 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4790561850373183, | |
| "1.2": 0.30994624205763827 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.29729698824613604, | |
| "1.2": 0.5883257347081196 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3217258381865341, | |
| "1.2": 0.2703520806273575 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5323284343541932, | |
| "1.2": 0.43046441606348335 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.24464506902893043, | |
| "1.2": 0.5008291229605821 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.41421558917760026, | |
| "1.2": 0.22906810745201006 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.022514316930755285, | |
| "1.2": 0.031120497655673613 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3601111962516354, | |
| "1.2": 0.32495472935635655 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5187692921905025, | |
| "1.2": 0.1836754525515063 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.04210874693329475, | |
| "1.2": 0.0954543087316887 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2744153428801301, | |
| "1.2": 0.5960166544502199 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.31738355901357573, | |
| "1.2": 0.3183476487385998 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.34279612066632104, | |
| "1.2": 0.4961580080510335 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3161533931859231, | |
| "1.2": 0.05475194124583712 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1947260495823152, | |
| "1.2": 0.11862816335435052 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5284831885139629, | |
| "1.2": 0.08910552395121606 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": -0.0044394692178866685, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.08362149503870228, | |
| 0.07128703593911373 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.5959767782365983, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.5408234571747053, | |
| 0.6522421012127438 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.5999158960986554, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.546827869305617, | |
| 0.6541694614228113 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4928724526247746, | |
| "1.2": 0.5574456503249072 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4732638888888889, | |
| "1.2": 0.6618055555555555 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3157894736842105, | |
| "1.2": 0.3508771929824561 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7368421052631579, | |
| "1.2": 0.7192982456140351 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5823529411764705, | |
| "1.2": 0.807843137254902 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5921052631578947, | |
| "1.2": 0.6842105263157894 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.763157894736842, | |
| "1.2": 0.7894736842105263 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7192982456140351, | |
| "1.2": 0.7105263157894738 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.48684210526315785, | |
| "1.2": 0.43421052631578944 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7821637426900585, | |
| "1.2": 0.7032163742690059 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6842105263157894, | |
| "1.2": 0.6710526315789473 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7894736842105262, | |
| "1.2": 0.7719298245614036 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8947368421052632, | |
| "1.2": 0.631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.894736842105263, | |
| "1.2": 0.9736842105263157 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21052631578947367, | |
| "1.2": 0.3157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6736842105263159, | |
| "1.2": 0.6947368421052632 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7236842105263157, | |
| "1.2": 0.6973684210526315 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3333333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 0.2807017543859649 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5139318885448916, | |
| "1.2": 0.6006191950464397 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5263157894736842, | |
| "1.2": 0.42105263157894735 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6992481203007518, | |
| "1.2": 0.6390977443609023 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3157894736842105, | |
| "1.2": 0.15789473684210525 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6710526315789473, | |
| "1.2": 0.6710526315789473 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5789473684210527, | |
| "1.2": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5, | |
| "1.2": 0.47368421052631576 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6929824561403509, | |
| "1.2": 0.7456140350877193 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8045112781954887, | |
| "1.2": 0.7969924812030075 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8421052631578947, | |
| "1.2": 0.8421052631578947 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.618421052631579, | |
| "1.2": 0.644736842105263 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.42105263157894735, | |
| "1.2": 0.5263157894736842 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2631578947368421, | |
| "1.2": 0.3157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6679197994987469, | |
| "1.2": 0.7147034252297411 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5789473684210527, | |
| "1.2": 0.6052631578947368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3684210526315789, | |
| "1.2": 0.4473684210526315 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6447368421052632, | |
| "1.2": 0.763157894736842 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8421052631578947, | |
| "1.2": 0.7368421052631579 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.47368421052631576, | |
| "1.2": 0.47368421052631576 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.43859649122807015, | |
| "1.2": 0.3508771929824561 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.47368421052631576, | |
| "1.2": 0.4473684210526316 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7543859649122807, | |
| "1.2": 0.6666666666666666 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.003939117862057108, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.02516355533441446, | |
| 0.030902780273293528 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 3.2764304567833364, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 2.797293328559514, | |
| 3.7620074742823815 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 3.4271251330970296, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 2.939473105674014, | |
| 3.910403566567408 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.3916878168271305, | |
| "1.2": 3.0247135423450047 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.5974409722222167, | |
| "1.2": 1.8251998392740907 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.9875438596491195, | |
| "1.2": 4.910814208984372 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.4184210526315755, | |
| "1.2": 3.05303274054276 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.049607843137259, | |
| "1.2": 3.1824890160654125 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.813552631578939, | |
| "1.2": 3.4022984233655436 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9684210526315837, | |
| "1.2": 1.4924367804276275 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.70824561403509, | |
| "1.2": 4.942170131750275 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.090921052631576, | |
| "1.2": 7.277529585988909 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.2655263157894732, | |
| "1.2": 1.0914936319987096 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.295657894736841, | |
| "1.2": 4.128329965691819 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.1849122807017516, | |
| "1.2": 1.9109433465254841 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.9236842105263074, | |
| "1.2": 1.7648834549753294 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.8415789473684185, | |
| "1.2": 4.55657862613076 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.43263157894737, | |
| "1.2": 6.178189119037825 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.356842105263156, | |
| "1.2": 3.815723105982727 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.7680263157894727, | |
| "1.2": 2.814174804687492 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.528245614035092, | |
| "1.2": 4.403093582956415 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.80170897832817, | |
| "1.2": 4.771001817827253 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.9857894736841994, | |
| "1.2": 1.7889007889597135 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.409022556390977, | |
| "1.2": 5.004376541940795 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.854736842105251, | |
| "1.2": 5.395971743935038 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.7564473684210586, | |
| "1.2": 2.03356870952405 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.964999999999999, | |
| "1.2": 2.267049528423118 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.7626315789473628, | |
| "1.2": 2.1200316740337137 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.003947368421053, | |
| "1.2": 2.0220913963987113 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.2003007518797, | |
| "1.2": 2.3744066832119395 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.6468421052631679, | |
| "1.2": 0.936951390316614 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.6278947368421113, | |
| "1.2": 3.2999407637746723 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.6128947368421045, | |
| "1.2": 2.767359490645558 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.446842105263149, | |
| "1.2": 5.293695475260422 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.929116019214697, | |
| "1.2": 4.409291994673268 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.502631578947363, | |
| "1.2": 3.5078303608141432 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.441052631578954, | |
| "1.2": 4.690906147203942 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.0423684210526334, | |
| "1.2": 3.3824670249537494 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.961578947368414, | |
| "1.2": 2.172334562602798 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.689473684210528, | |
| "1.2": 6.632091899671058 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.80842105263159, | |
| "1.2": 4.614998029742328 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.466447368421059, | |
| "1.2": 2.510554183156872 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.5191228070175502, | |
| "1.2": 1.3150912100808707 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.15069467631369296, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.03077521190411432, | |
| 0.3339415930977086 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "auxiliary_wind_vs_USA_1min_kt": { | |
| "label": "Wind against USA 1-minute reference", | |
| "unit": "kt", | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 16.981548974338057, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 14.618731637926944, | |
| 19.350933126261232 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 25.027704177855444, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 21.22265432632751, | |
| 29.107524887715748 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 16.953604072398186, | |
| "1.2": 34.73433506366678 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.85742261904762, | |
| "1.2": 20.009389530198384 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.869505291005293, | |
| "1.2": 31.408267513890745 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.131666666666668, | |
| "1.2": 32.34408380883932 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.464920634920635, | |
| "1.2": 11.275316961682032 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.328172619047619, | |
| "1.2": 46.96859918284416 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.1235, | |
| "1.2": 2.6343623981475823 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.72116666666667, | |
| "1.2": 35.74792453193664 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 39.23920833333332, | |
| "1.2": 52.99135941470993 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.950076923076923, | |
| "1.2": 12.954916399564498 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.970838235294117, | |
| "1.2": 33.91917166258307 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.95751851851852, | |
| "1.2": 11.411587289899744 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.369999999999997, | |
| "1.2": 14.655193888346354 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 25.1465, | |
| "1.2": 27.390778514862063 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 36.659000000000006, | |
| "1.2": 60.49854836559295 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.658281232492996, | |
| "1.2": 16.08496913828703 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.361132352941176, | |
| "1.2": 19.242170169921483 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.295307017543863, | |
| "1.2": 33.63774409933257 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.68201052631579, | |
| "1.2": 39.43138987275174 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.923250000000003, | |
| "1.2": 15.472980731487272 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 31.492793233082704, | |
| "1.2": 28.298835218644676 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.9675, | |
| "1.2": 33.740130851745604 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.573083333333334, | |
| "1.2": 19.524742968794733 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.570151515151515, | |
| "1.2": 16.3216258800391 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.167840909090911, | |
| "1.2": 7.976906633377075 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.021502923976607, | |
| "1.2": 17.91628001499943 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.08119642857143, | |
| "1.2": 21.293297558145863 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.494375, | |
| "1.2": 27.17332689523697 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.682488095238096, | |
| "1.2": 12.087146869341531 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.445833333333335, | |
| "1.2": 13.853017961184184 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 29.346999999999998, | |
| "1.2": 41.159169383437536 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.64827604166667, | |
| "1.2": 33.91377236248553 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.2479375, | |
| "1.2": 10.142157303333281 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.203970588235293, | |
| "1.2": 35.52446255835365 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.476390350877193, | |
| "1.2": 24.854557290336537 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.476000000000003, | |
| "1.2": 32.73598746824264 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.911249999999999, | |
| "1.2": 18.519467821121218 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.694333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 13.58122030067444 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.521749999999999, | |
| "1.2": 13.811983093619347 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.575204678362574, | |
| "1.2": 25.866990142560145 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 8.046155203517387, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 5.017025342481611, | |
| 11.311987015204082 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 131, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.27093703265993235, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.20698059632226384, | |
| 0.3447723761984108 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.3851381881571589, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.31662750311843063, | |
| 0.45739291661995185 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10609061942145499, | |
| "1.2": 0.5223490991514994 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18234561969264768, | |
| "1.2": 0.5767080550055905 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.04339894795622016, | |
| "1.2": 0.21417428352083667 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.13643367732084372, | |
| "1.2": 0.36368779485583475 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10633900825237577, | |
| "1.2": 0.686601602441506 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.03552588412539187, | |
| "1.2": 0.3565193142569098 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9674313796087937, | |
| "1.2": 0.08831305763284569 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.13215538309872388, | |
| "1.2": 0.6623013654190144 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.20699003253353954, | |
| "1.2": 0.4548222196246001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2850164953282398, | |
| "1.2": 0.40744799929948056 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.348344037491299, | |
| "1.2": 0.7605818364747537 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8799270467815515, | |
| "1.2": 0.23569826149758646 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3064518438494626, | |
| "1.2": 0.5370220435958422 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2722481803808855, | |
| "1.2": 0.3048027795820901 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.0514988747373723, | |
| "1.2": 0.47994095723317676 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.31442061168796964, | |
| "1.2": 0.7402406777636386 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21367341074316543, | |
| "1.2": 0.5137977995366636 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.0808377891705533, | |
| "1.2": 0.15614375169552003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2283835720661715, | |
| "1.2": 0.3410225237364397 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.30239382806418363, | |
| "1.2": 0.09056353542062115 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.40906559993659464, | |
| "1.2": 0.2858488658505191 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.32827055238653496, | |
| "1.2": 0.24570173527493339 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.08473208104024375, | |
| "1.2": 0.08181143466878689 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3784620039224874, | |
| "1.2": 0.06455366176861849 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.20065024691824906, | |
| "1.2": 0.6289269405735208 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.20438263116628516, | |
| "1.2": 0.3429594877348057 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.39633213617242796, | |
| "1.2": 0.39614501087619824 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7745552793304424, | |
| "1.2": 0.45875126749829515 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2538201100580309, | |
| "1.2": 0.5008203266578458 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1388631870063914, | |
| "1.2": 0.957701395631243 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.03562937425588336, | |
| "1.2": 0.2278116850668569 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.41228879949894753, | |
| "1.2": 0.4198577670734502 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.06677683973262594, | |
| "1.2": 0.1596350153529995 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.06960729232287571, | |
| "1.2": 0.2844699717427065 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5628759894730584, | |
| "1.2": 0.6178845487739416 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.20954438019206023, | |
| "1.2": 0.8016099573442392 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.26353309765344646, | |
| "1.2": 0.23787346758910483 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2278057130878841, | |
| "1.2": 0.020721509862518268 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.07968477622368389, | |
| "1.2": 0.04700467293000374 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5406949737082956, | |
| "1.2": 0.13269984627131937 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.11420115549722656, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.005024546404972715, | |
| 0.2163119136744539 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.5609958815765704, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.4940037240661636, | |
| 0.6314997615970309 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.607560916689448, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.556164913495929, | |
| 0.6615467507108314 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.46600877192982454, | |
| "1.2": 0.730576441102757 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.600440581090736, | |
| "1.2": 0.6050845439390331 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2059220449313329, | |
| "1.2": 0.44828133682622845 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5543859649122806, | |
| "1.2": 0.6116959064327485 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7083333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 0.6458333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2616165224524357, | |
| "1.2": 0.6691341853880555 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.0, | |
| "1.2": 0.55 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5175438596491228, | |
| "1.2": 0.631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3103715170278638, | |
| "1.2": 0.41408668730650156 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7678571428571428, | |
| "1.2": 0.8035714285714286 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6299342105263157, | |
| "1.2": 0.7458881578947368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.889894419306184, | |
| "1.2": 0.705714764538294 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.875, | |
| "1.2": 1.0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7894736842105263, | |
| "1.2": 0.6052631578947368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10526315789473684, | |
| "1.2": 0.3157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7475641025641026, | |
| "1.2": 0.909508547008547 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.48848684210526316, | |
| "1.2": 0.5411184210526316 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.26705653021442494, | |
| "1.2": 0.3011695906432748 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4988304093567251, | |
| "1.2": 0.6035087719298246 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6052631578947368, | |
| "1.2": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6040100250626567, | |
| "1.2": 0.6194653299916457 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3684210526315789, | |
| "1.2": 0.21052631578947367 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5645591250854408, | |
| "1.2": 0.577717019822283 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4642857142857143, | |
| "1.2": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7181818181818183, | |
| "1.2": 0.8090909090909091 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6656223893065998, | |
| "1.2": 0.6636034530771373 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.681704260651629, | |
| "1.2": 0.6085213032581454 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8666666666666667, | |
| "1.2": 0.5333333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7012979280781139, | |
| "1.2": 0.7473803286496785 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2, | |
| "1.2": 1.0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.27347781217750256, | |
| "1.2": 0.4809081527347781 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5558612440191387, | |
| "1.2": 0.6053827751196172 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7238095238095238, | |
| "1.2": 0.8261904761904761 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23026315789473684, | |
| "1.2": 0.5805921052631579 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7809106098579783, | |
| "1.2": 0.6739766081871346 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.631578947368421, | |
| "1.2": 0.631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5333333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 0.6 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3508771929824561, | |
| "1.2": 0.3157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5526315789473684, | |
| "1.2": 0.513157894736842 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6830966304650515, | |
| "1.2": 0.4674185463659148 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.04656503511287762, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| -0.013453963213760281, | |
| 0.11478407527943012 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 5.036539994869878, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 4.402809786651741, | |
| 5.67134401163438 | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "1.2": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 5.456703680276679, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 4.816319830063834, | |
| 6.123004319744833 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.38218515037594, | |
| "1.2": 6.476114479868036 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.714556442010003, | |
| "1.2": 4.882186806486219 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.36977454949591, | |
| "1.2": 8.352963913243526 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.2463625730994154, | |
| "1.2": 5.7727958558288925 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.1775, | |
| "1.2": 3.093852413495382 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.702491466222117, | |
| "1.2": 7.254763521745248 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.3165, | |
| "1.2": 2.077352598190307 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.260263157894737, | |
| "1.2": 5.721454632407739 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.725441176470587, | |
| "1.2": 11.26575426414655 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.2741666666666673, | |
| "1.2": 2.3429990505604517 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.882105263157896, | |
| "1.2": 7.052156335899705 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.1747712418300655, | |
| "1.2": 3.4850866561821405 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.3575, | |
| "1.2": 2.8745051002502437 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.366842105263158, | |
| "1.2": 5.650080407795154 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.588421052631579, | |
| "1.2": 6.009866046905517 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.494181623931624, | |
| "1.2": 5.0506413710162175 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.3949753289473685, | |
| "1.2": 4.10424467921257 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.519600389863548, | |
| "1.2": 7.365113656302409 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.628543859649122, | |
| "1.2": 7.794211757314133 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.530263157894738, | |
| "1.2": 4.9950933295802065 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.695050125313282, | |
| "1.2": 7.653796965998216 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.929473684210528, | |
| "1.2": 9.129021632545872 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.968840168603327, | |
| "1.2": 3.0971796510213534 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.2848571428571445, | |
| "1.2": 7.179791548865183 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.339681818181818, | |
| "1.2": 3.95006441116333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.931615845168477, | |
| "1.2": 3.3177240235325485 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.32137343358396, | |
| "1.2": 4.518547713043097 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.8513333333333335, | |
| "1.2": 2.373982048034668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.58129673731841, | |
| "1.2": 3.9970971234806045 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.337000000000001, | |
| "1.2": 7.273579706192019 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.678720330237357, | |
| "1.2": 7.195558520101542 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.519016746411483, | |
| "1.2": 7.5834879605762495 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.160809523809527, | |
| "1.2": 4.512091413407097 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.9037500000000005, | |
| "1.2": 6.8345613223627995 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.756422305764411, | |
| "1.2": 4.899201821759032 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.0178947368421065, | |
| "1.2": 4.128122998287803 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.313333333333333, | |
| "1.2": 7.602006876627607 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.399649122807017, | |
| "1.2": 4.750397788599919 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.6965789473684207, | |
| "1.2": 3.4979873800277708 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.668457254246728, | |
| "1.2": 3.152709429009782 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ], | |
| "paired_delta_1_2_minus_1_1": { | |
| "mean": 0.4201636854068, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.16741774248730623, | |
| 0.7045955584839403 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "native_1_1_radius_USA_km": { | |
| "RMW": { | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 22.198212379696162, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 18.51976342756817, | |
| 26.172125242863956 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.3052788112816 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 26.934323412698415 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.521351322751325 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.73208333333334 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.494761904761916 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.571350396825398 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 46.89625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.134450000000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.573905555555555 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 27.388384615384624 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.050804411764705 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 53.20268253968254 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 36.18444444444445 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.943500000000004 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.318200000000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 38.51662633053221 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 24.909794117647056 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.402935087719296 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.098164210526315 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.201750000000004 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.649014285714285 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.458800000000004 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.613822916666669 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.85484848484849 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.60507575757576 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 57.3755350877193 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.425874436090226 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 41.022666666666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.954838095238095 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 29.933333333333334 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.782555555555557 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.484502083333332 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.466812500000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.44085882352941 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.954872807017548 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.0325 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.813750000000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.736499999999996 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.842249999999998 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.099043859649125 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 39, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 129, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.32856769657079304, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.2752307553993995, | |
| 0.3864505210188147 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.12454082601878406 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.06249425608567165 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18501688751650383 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3057094500636368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5285569574159195 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.17047331751887343 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.07918628167677347 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3707708047384298 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.19134174187697625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.29901081591429046 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3496341885194541 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7396161519996587 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2571617946792146 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.06960116734274457 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8603730136171183 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2501271014546249 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.15781197287575816 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.34863867419545475 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.34561195221300023 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4056453100837185 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23383100497317638 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.16847586016526195 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4174291042648913 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.07771660215912987 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4295908925271777 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.394182571091313 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4992779615825034 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5627267249742156 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1544768388376268 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.30266411427979073 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5356799156552308 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.25353068809171003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2683186809304354 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4019659704427623 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6085282858135066 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5532169376821671 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.12811155599788468 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1858188985332896 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5372748924522498 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.738579928449317, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.7031737732923395, | |
| 0.7721883213052427 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6640559732664996 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.709335556084782 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6407874890847026 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7356725146198831 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4480299542219047 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7083333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7982456140350878 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7321981424148607 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6904761904761905 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7401315789473684 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6038210155857214 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.75 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5789473684210527 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.631578947368421 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9259615384615385 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7269736842105263 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.52046783625731 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7859649122807018 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8157894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7644110275689223 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7368421052631579 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7279334700387332 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7071428571428571 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6681818181818182 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7746449456975771 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8409145034532031 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6153846153846154 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8911050250059539 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7089783281733747 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7022727272727273 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7238095238095238 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6282894736842105 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7910401002506267 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8421052631578947 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9333333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7017543859649124 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9605263157894736 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8802561960456697 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 40, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 134, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 9.599480076554618, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 8.23642368996416, | |
| 11.06234649886314 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.642877819548873 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.644697547035008 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.30563134079543 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.79292397660819 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.601041666666667 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.7328299859755 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N24147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.415833333333332 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.740421052631579 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.375159442724458 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024246N22147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.712499999999997 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.57407730263158 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024259N12145", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.384539969834087 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024267N29129", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.130000000000003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.11842105263158 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.474842105263158 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.98506581196581 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.007697368421053 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.603346978557504 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.203566081871346 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.173947368421052 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.665340852130326 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.695789473684212 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.881263157894739 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.226 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.091545454545457 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.48282581453634 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.69164467730412 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025212N26130", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.866153846153843 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 2.283512383900929 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.323999999999998 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.825417956656347 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.610056140350878 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.822880952380954 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.400871710526317 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.229545739348372 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 5.617368421052631 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.432666666666665 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.763157894736842 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.4698684210526314 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.979873294346977 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "R34": { | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 35, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 124, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 60.92730426196189, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 53.27373871067296, | |
| 68.55162711113965 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 39.65300879329004 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 54.69372395833332 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 80.91635069444446 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 59.51964120370371 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 39.45124999999999 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 46.169890376984135 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 41.8469466545165 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 63.20582675438598 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 63.43487259615385 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 95.04079166666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 38.66000000000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 58.50291666666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 97.06222631448412 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 98.96948513645225 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 36.678302631578944 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 42.28347355769231 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 51.462434210526325 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 50.958333333333336 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 28.40973944193062 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 44.51437500000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 89.055 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 62.97879877645503 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 65.27595684523808 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 33.01951937134503 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 101.96812500000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 76.05778265107213 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 63.584337239583334 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 39.215265625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 42.53220588235294 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 92.96701055194806 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 108.05326923076925 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 24.047031249999996 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 72.46116666666668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 59.47313870614035 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 70.33345238095238 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 31, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 111, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.310651537028258, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.2662734353177101, | |
| 0.3563960813595174 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.23739751127722641 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.14220952045878116 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.15588702809900457 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4157801360953887 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5452868815954972 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2806128343306265 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.12953637105030286 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6092937558921894 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.33938016293500745 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.37501693110566003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4059573117778649 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2631659885010325 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10976740911506419 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.44923800439926814 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.22498674434167373 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3827086375561812 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3913495021632322 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.36893640662964866 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.392216152467629 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.43433896930070354 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.19400213718638631 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.270117327463785 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.29681535868724884 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.34147470764804255 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21156452720061322 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1780485544733738 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.10028450419555898 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2057638180599063 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3717523315273956 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.30604235182272244 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5012657705189819 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 35, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 124, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.6125229212520312, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.5501544038946806, | |
| 0.6707427058258162 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5441341161970861 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5446428571428571 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2395800106326422 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6738265002970886 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7163577306766161 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5939757481940146 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.523780345471522 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6096955128205128 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.58125 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.55 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.46853318250377074 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6539674349271872 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.42639933166248956 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5178571428571429 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.49866408101702214 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5294117647058824 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6875 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6833333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 1.0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7958333333333334 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6234677603098656 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5410853443941679 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.0 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5868736383442266 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6446072567783094 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7761904761904761 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7105263157894737 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7218749999999999 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6666666666666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6052631578947368 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6980042016806722 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8999999999999999 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 35, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 124, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 23.48454690424734, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 20.41400920689123, | |
| 27.01389135138918 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.218488360793343 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.588071428571432 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 32.683164805954284 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 32.59801871657755 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024224N27154", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 27.562500000000007 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.061568544759336 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 16.641430732929138 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.3587485410831 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 25.97877804487179 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 24.996250000000003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.830000000000002 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024278N11150", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.541 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 41.75918926133206 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.582180225891523 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.980110902255642 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.184496753246755 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.967324606765782 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.884264705882352 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025182N22149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.891588541666668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025184N20122", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.562833333333337 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025191N19142", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 3.164999999999999 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025203N20124", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 27.283854166666668 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025205N13145", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 28.202292663476875 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025218N19149", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 25.830754933383613 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025245N19129", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 54.43375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025260N13138", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 28.112197712418297 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025261N23166", | |
| "daily_issues": 8, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.347764354066985 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025266N11137", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.58890476190476 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025276N20147", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.358314144736845 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025280N13147", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 30.690875000000005 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025289N13140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.842499999999998 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025305N08140", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.74383333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025308N09144", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 44.14021929824562 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2025328N07132", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.80804044117647 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2026014N08133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.540833333333333 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "R50": { | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 16, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 59, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 36.39081252649259, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 25.441825032813995, | |
| 52.38642395690914 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 19.838960938921023 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 23.215520833333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 46.257895658263315 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.950333333333336 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 37.41557450918964 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 17.87657229138 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 61.417796353156646 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 25.019698660714287 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 37.437083333333334 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 47.18180555555556 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 45.64640277777778 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 124.96051266339869 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 24.388297448165872 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.359785714285715 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 34.40144785307286 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.885312500000001 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 13, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 46, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.3507091818907747, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.26347838422694453, | |
| 0.4620730743678596 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.17654911695306064 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2906369848807544 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4385336099107465 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.38659605303145744 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.1548519734301884 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.47394940117464823 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.38320336639860814 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.8573383473589097 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4721212015491825 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.19867380449398128 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.18890536119316037 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3225191180463302 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.21534102615904466 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 16, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 58, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.600032592393753, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.5229674041020919, | |
| 0.6828989411805035 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6194548011512298 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.59375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.27697649572649574 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.9791666666666666 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7250816993464053 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6383071393762183 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5989440247252747 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.48908730158730157 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.75 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.859375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5326388888888889 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.47741436925647446 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4583333333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5186584249084248 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.45833333333333326 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 16, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 58, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 15.783173088388576, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 12.185080663424607, | |
| 20.02764946803982 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 7.0705247416274215 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024198N08130", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.451875000000003 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.388051103988605 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024218N23143", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 4.293750000000001 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 22.30810316113625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.307703460038987 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.930064531822342 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.456155753968257 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024269N14150", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.735624999999999 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.725735294117648 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024293N13141", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 27.206953125 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 36.13189898989899 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.200356725146198 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.87135416666667 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 13.959701694139195 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.492916666666664 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "R64": { | |
| "mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 12, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 45, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 26.78090511551558, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 18.295165658465223, | |
| 41.29431159747336 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.05967747728462 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.942083333333333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 20.557772435897434 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.32864928610333 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 28.802094780219782 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.9449375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.861911764705887 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 102.1901388888889 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.379476601571806 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 15.45075 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 21.376369318181823 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.477 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "shape_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 10, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 39, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.37060836382484885, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.30171909684982195, | |
| 0.42788978465577865 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2482639623396855 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.42781051414626625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4607305156363588 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.35515138226657744 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.2948949453681784 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.5072283789263384 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4600719940190343 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.16420338832921813 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.39866097762759034 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.3890675795892411 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "trend_error": { | |
| "valid_storms": 12, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 45, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 0.6520443203424208, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 0.5961481669556501, | |
| 0.7042105181719153 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6563492063492063 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.4669312169312169 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7934027777777778 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6746369949494949 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6773008241758242 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.684375 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.765625 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.45949074074074076 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.571420083184789 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6875 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.7 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 0.6875 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "tendency_mae": { | |
| "valid_storms": 12, | |
| "valid_daily_issues": 45, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": { | |
| "equal_storm_mean": 12.453859359491497, | |
| "bootstrap_95_percent_interval": [ | |
| 9.20430184654228, | |
| 16.751276289506805 | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "storm_scores": [ | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024141N03142", | |
| "daily_issues": 7, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.543319444444444 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024201N12133", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 14.29559523809524 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024225N22135", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 11.184461805555555 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024233N15148", | |
| "daily_issues": 6, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 8.132794868326117 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024244N09137", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 12.619710050366301 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024253N11148", | |
| "daily_issues": 4, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.197562500000002 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024270N24128", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 10.628750000000002 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024298N13150", | |
| "daily_issues": 3, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 33.14983796296296 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024307N06143", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.508217944147358 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024312N14145", | |
| "daily_issues": 2, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 18.5296875 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024313N10169", | |
| "daily_issues": 5, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 9.21575 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| { | |
| "storm_id": "2024314N07151", | |
| "daily_issues": 1, | |
| "models": { | |
| "1.1": 6.4406250000000025 | |
| } | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "native_1_2_radius": { | |
| "status": "unavailable", | |
| "reason": "No native radius head; not zero error." | |
| }, | |
| "limits": [ | |
| "Development comparison, not an unused holdout: older storms overlap original 1.1 training; the later 1.2 fitting period makes earlier hindcasts retrospective. Pipelines differ.", | |
| "1.1 nominal one-minute output versus 1.2 auxiliary scalar against USA_WIND. Not a calibrated surface-wind or architecture-ablation claim. JMA 10-minute wind is not converted or pooled.", | |
| "No matched native 1.2 radius head. No radius MAE or radius-skill ranking is claimed.", | |
| "Temporal shape ignores level and amplitude. Read it with MAE and unshifted timelines.", | |
| "Curve metric protocol is a separately versioned post-hoc descriptive addition, not a preregistered untouched-test hypothesis. No selection or fitting on forecast errors." | |
| ] | |
| } | |