typhoon-predict / evaluation /release_data /soudelor_video.json
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Add verified 50-member Soudelor, Mangkhut and Meranti films; refresh Fung-wong
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{
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"2015-08-03T18:00:00Z",
"2015-08-04T00:00:00Z",
"2015-08-04T06:00:00Z",
"2015-08-04T12:00:00Z",
"2015-08-04T18:00:00Z",
"2015-08-05T00:00:00Z"
],
"source_sha256": {
"track_build/basin_all_int8.npz": "71e5f1bb46c44e5936c506a3f8af021c1fe94c238ed030c05c66e8f342374b6d",
"track_build/basin_slp_atlas_float16.npy": "9f6a4ec7b2f6beadfa1075af9176d2a653e39a824d504d989e5e56e19c571521",
"output/automatic-forecast-cache/geography.npz": "f5471471da4a1e15f85fbfb2529065806281357c8e50cb272fcd2b02e8553b96"
},
"subset_sha256": "d4088aa71e5f9d9b39f160993c312ab2f59a59dd057c2ba0dc27e307a7ffa1b2",
"physical_weather_sha256": "24ef01ade0ecc400388444dd45efe9deaaad5f52ed97d871895a145c0c681c81",
"normalized_input_sha256": "2cad11d38a54c0ab41c8366793b2bae7febecae89609aeda3e016180df8b1ccd",
"issue_observation": {
"name": "SOUDELOR",
"storm_id": "2015211N13162",
"issue_time_utc": "2015-08-05T00:00:00Z",
"lat": 19.5,
"lon": 134.9,
"motion": [
-136.26825395228352,
22.23999999999992
],
"pressure_hpa": 930.0,
"wind_kt": 95.0
},
"motion_note": "Only current and exact previous six-hour observed coordinates; east/north km per six hours.",
"causal": true,
"future_labels_used_for_inference": false
},
"observed_csv_sha256": "4348af2679b4be0d53ec630bccda759044663a1f57e2bbd5c1d19428aab562fc",
"observed_route_source": "Exact matching-timestamp IBTrACS LAT/LON; display verification only.",
"observed_pressure_source": "IBTrACS TOKYO_PRES JMA best track, not JMA forecasts; missing labels remain missing.",
"field_source": "Equal-weight physical means of all 50 basin and fixed-issue regional fields; no directly averaged moving grids.",
"native_history_available": false,
"grid_note": "0.25-degree regional reconstruction sampling, not native effective resolution. Basin sampling is 2.5 degrees. Coarse basin only outside the fixed regional patch.",
"regional_bounds": [
120.0,
150.0,
4.5,
34.5
],
"first_forecast_lead_outside_regional_hours": 90,
"metrics": {
"mean_track_error_km": 120.55338024247541,
"track_error_120h_km": 354.3977091200638,
"central_pressure_mae_hpa": 9.860003662109374,
"pressure_valid_leads": 20,
"position_valid_leads": 20
},
"selection": "Calendar issue chosen before running these forecasts, without screening errors. Historical development showcase; dates may overlap checkpoint fitting/validation years. Not an untouched test or evidence of no overfitting.",
"video": {
"file": "docs/trackformer_1_2_soudelor.mp4",
"duration_seconds": 23,
"forecast_states": 20,
"codec": "H.264",
"encoder": "h264_videotoolbox",
"sha256": "5fcc26588a75007c50255e92a55ff7442b405995072324850632258a40443bce",
"playback": "Each six-hour state held for 1 second; final frame held 3 seconds extra. No interpolated forecast states."
},
"video_layout": {
"overview_bounds": [
100,
180,
0,
60
],
"closeup_bounds": [
113.0,
138.0,
16.0,
33.0
],
"pressure_colors": "Blue below 1013.25 hPa; red above. Fixed range throughout each film.",
"map_graticule": false,
"geographic_route_adjustment": false
}
}