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| "validated_wind_averaging_seconds": null, |
| "validated_surface_height_m": null, |
| "rmw": "issue-time reported RMW carried forward unchanged; persistence baseline", |
| "official_scoring_allowed": false |
| }, |
| "aggregation": "diagnose each physical forecast member then equal-weight mean", |
| "estimates": { |
| "wind_estimate_kt": { |
| "mean": 34.3562894347763, |
| "p10": 33.36315146942052, |
| "p90": 35.34654353724137, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "rmw_persistence_km": { |
| "mean": 22.223999999999997, |
| "p10": 22.224, |
| "p90": 22.224, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r34_NE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 15.846698861031065, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 24.07000717123992, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r34_SE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 15.846698861031065, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 24.07000717123992, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r34_SW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 15.846698861031065, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 24.07000717123992, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r34_NW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 15.762638718330637, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 23.85792603461197, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r50_NE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r50_SE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r50_SW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r50_NW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r64_NE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r64_SE_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r64_SW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| }, |
| "r64_NW_estimate_km": { |
| "mean": 0.0, |
| "p10": 0.0, |
| "p90": 0.0, |
| "valid_members": 50, |
| "total_members": 50 |
| } |
| }, |
| "official_scoring_allowed": false |
| } |
| } |
| ], |
| "official_wind_or_radius_skill_score": null, |
| "physical_50_member_means_verified": true, |
| "observed_plus_zero_alignment_verified": true, |
| "coverage": { |
| "wind_estimate_kt": 20, |
| "rmw_persistence_km": 20, |
| "r34_NE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r34_SE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r34_SW_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r34_NW_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r50_NE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r50_SE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r50_SW_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r50_NW_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r64_NE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r64_SE_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r64_SW_estimate_km": 20, |
| "r64_NW_estimate_km": 20 |
| }, |
| "warning": "Retrospective development examples, not untouched tests. RMW is persistence; no validated wind-period calibration.", |
| "chart": "soudelor_wind_radius.png", |
| "source_receipt_sha256": "b772fb329d021af79b4e1cceb67983e720e58d850a09e886b8a8ddc7b436e38f", |
| "source_reference": "Original immutable /Volumes/D member archive; original files unchanged." |
| } |
|
|
