intermediates / in-progress /clean-heldout /prereg_commitment.json
jalenluorion's picture
full-stream overlap scan + pre-registration commitment (sha256 of the doc) before 32e9 scoring
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{"what": "sha256 of CLEAN-HELDOUT.md (sections 7.1 and 8: primary metric and predictions for the 32e9 pairs) at the time of pre-registration, before any 32e9 checkpoint other than B was scored",
"doc_sha256": "a36bed088d68ef6372a69d8f3aba69618aeddeb49c5bd78175f202afa27eb1ee",
"written": "2026-10-30T20:20:29-04:00",
"primary_metric": "doc_disjoint_heldout, windows with full-32e9-stream 13-gram found fraction >= 0.5 dropped (1,578 of 2,048 kept), paired per-window bootstrap",
"prediction_B_minus_dense1B_32e9_primary": {"point": -0.142, "80pct": [-0.156, -0.124], "95pct": [-0.165, -0.101]},
"prediction_shift_B_minus_A": {"point": -0.002, "range": [-0.006, 0.003]},
"prediction_shift_Blrn_minus_B": {"point": 0.0, "range": [-0.003, 0.003]},
"prediction_shift_220M_router_pairs_8e9": {"range": [-0.003, 0.003]},
"prediction_220M_store_minus_dense220_32e9_primary": {"point": -0.164, "range": [-0.187, -0.135]},
"found32e9_npz_sha256": "dc4f10b98c4e5f4d57045e9fd86796616c9f75894006b98ae08cf3ce1dba5141"}