CPM-jev / calibration.json
link921's picture
Release v0.1 research preview files
257d034 verified
Raw History Blame Contribute Delete
8.64 kB
{
"temperature": 1.0087398771573446,
"fitted_on": "calibration",
"selected_on": "validation",
"use_temperature": false,
"default_prediction": "raw",
"validation_raw": {
"count": 14111,
"top1_accuracy": 0.8263765856424067,
"nll": 0.6840500261181026,
"brier_score": 0.011582265527708373,
"ece": 0.16699567031458232,
"signed_calibration_error": -0.1669956703145823,
"kl_divergence": 0.02310311772478613,
"confidence_analysis": {
"correct": {
"count": 11661,
"mean": 0.6960411451404903,
"median": 0.6765217781066895,
"std": 0.19690960502309285,
"p25": 0.50345379114151,
"p75": 0.8713327646255493
},
"incorrect": {
"count": 2450,
"mean": 0.4848931847786417,
"median": 0.500392496585846,
"std": 0.07416498496851862,
"p25": 0.5000284314155579,
"p75": 0.5010085254907608
}
},
"confidence_histogram": [
{
"bucket": "0.0-0.1",
"sample_count": 0,
"average_confidence": null,
"empirical_accuracy": null,
"signed_gap": null
},
{
"bucket": "0.1-0.2",
"sample_count": 0,
"average_confidence": null,
"empirical_accuracy": null,
"signed_gap": null
},
{
"bucket": "0.2-0.3",
"sample_count": 148,
"average_confidence": 0.27538005906987834,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.46621621621621623,
"signed_gap": -0.1908361571463379
},
{
"bucket": "0.3-0.4",
"sample_count": 667,
"average_confidence": 0.3564207344755776,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.664167916041979,
"signed_gap": -0.3077471815664014
},
{
"bucket": "0.4-0.5",
"sample_count": 1160,
"average_confidence": 0.4550788116095395,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.7741379310344828,
"signed_gap": -0.3190591194249433
},
{
"bucket": "0.5-0.6",
"sample_count": 4972,
"average_confidence": 0.5200908452703985,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.6351568785197104,
"signed_gap": -0.11506603324931186
},
{
"bucket": "0.6-0.7",
"sample_count": 1678,
"average_confidence": 0.6489259644685684,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9713945172824792,
"signed_gap": -0.32246855281391074
},
{
"bucket": "0.7-0.8",
"sample_count": 1540,
"average_confidence": 0.7498124199641215,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9935064935064936,
"signed_gap": -0.24369407354237205
},
{
"bucket": "0.8-0.9",
"sample_count": 1412,
"average_confidence": 0.8490157142154894,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9936260623229461,
"signed_gap": -0.14461034810745677
},
{
"bucket": "0.9-1.0",
"sample_count": 2534,
"average_confidence": 0.9746775966087663,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9984214680347278,
"signed_gap": -0.02374387142596146
}
],
"selective_accuracy": [
{
"threshold": 0.5,
"coverage": 0.8600382680178584,
"accuracy": 0.844676994067238,
"risk": 0.15532300593276205,
"sample_count": 12136
},
{
"threshold": 0.6,
"coverage": 0.5076890369215505,
"accuracy": 0.9900893355667225,
"risk": 0.009910664433277483,
"sample_count": 7164
},
{
"threshold": 0.7,
"coverage": 0.3887747147615336,
"accuracy": 0.9958075100255195,
"risk": 0.004192489974480518,
"sample_count": 5486
},
{
"threshold": 0.8,
"coverage": 0.279639997165332,
"accuracy": 0.996705524581855,
"risk": 0.003294475418144982,
"sample_count": 3946
},
{
"threshold": 0.9,
"coverage": 0.17957621713556798,
"accuracy": 0.9984214680347278,
"risk": 0.0015785319652722452,
"sample_count": 2534
},
{
"threshold": 0.95,
"coverage": 0.13273332860888667,
"accuracy": 0.9983982915109451,
"risk": 0.0016017084890549427,
"sample_count": 1873
}
]
},
"validation_temperature_scaled": {
"count": 14111,
"top1_accuracy": 0.8263057189426688,
"nll": 0.6840468913421749,
"brier_score": 0.011582336771387319,
"ece": 0.16813608304214336,
"signed_calibration_error": -0.16813608304214334,
"kl_divergence": 0.023099982948858303,
"confidence_analysis": {
"correct": {
"count": 11660,
"mean": 0.694681208951386,
"median": 0.6747364841480057,
"std": 0.19693845421787254,
"p25": 0.5021719095333224,
"p75": 0.8689303683324948
},
"incorrect": {
"count": 2451,
"mean": 0.4844752492122222,
"median": 0.5003890293824186,
"std": 0.07420726284342961,
"p25": 0.500027128879432,
"p75": 0.5009866390613054
}
},
"confidence_histogram": [
{
"bucket": "0.0-0.1",
"sample_count": 0,
"average_confidence": null,
"empirical_accuracy": null,
"signed_gap": null
},
{
"bucket": "0.1-0.2",
"sample_count": 0,
"average_confidence": null,
"empirical_accuracy": null,
"signed_gap": null
},
{
"bucket": "0.2-0.3",
"sample_count": 151,
"average_confidence": 0.2751785209954829,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.46357615894039733,
"signed_gap": -0.18839763794491443
},
{
"bucket": "0.3-0.4",
"sample_count": 674,
"average_confidence": 0.35612814661984515,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.6646884272997032,
"signed_gap": -0.3085602806798581
},
{
"bucket": "0.4-0.5",
"sample_count": 1168,
"average_confidence": 0.45463179276212934,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.7782534246575342,
"signed_gap": -0.3236216318954049
},
{
"bucket": "0.5-0.6",
"sample_count": 4987,
"average_confidence": 0.5201110232818913,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.6360537397232805,
"signed_gap": -0.1159427164413892
},
{
"bucket": "0.6-0.7",
"sample_count": 1673,
"average_confidence": 0.6487813857971743,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9719067543335326,
"signed_gap": -0.3231253685363583
},
{
"bucket": "0.7-0.8",
"sample_count": 1546,
"average_confidence": 0.7495579579669318,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9935316946959897,
"signed_gap": -0.24397373672905787
},
{
"bucket": "0.8-0.9",
"sample_count": 1409,
"average_confidence": 0.8491268025105129,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.99361249112846,
"signed_gap": -0.14448568861794708
},
{
"bucket": "0.9-1.0",
"sample_count": 2503,
"average_confidence": 0.9749893213960854,
"empirical_accuracy": 0.9984019176987615,
"signed_gap": -0.023412596302676114
}
],
"selective_accuracy": [
{
"threshold": 0.5,
"coverage": 0.8587626674225781,
"accuracy": 0.8444462782637399,
"risk": 0.15555372173626014,
"sample_count": 12118
},
{
"threshold": 0.6,
"coverage": 0.5053504358302033,
"accuracy": 0.9901837049502173,
"risk": 0.009816295049782653,
"sample_count": 7131
},
{
"threshold": 0.7,
"coverage": 0.38679044716887534,
"accuracy": 0.9957860021986076,
"risk": 0.004213997801392422,
"sample_count": 5458
},
{
"threshold": 0.8,
"coverage": 0.277230529374247,
"accuracy": 0.996676891615542,
"risk": 0.00332310838445804,
"sample_count": 3912
},
{
"threshold": 0.9,
"coverage": 0.1773793494436964,
"accuracy": 0.9984019176987615,
"risk": 0.0015980823012384793,
"sample_count": 2503
},
{
"threshold": 0.95,
"coverage": 0.131599461413082,
"accuracy": 0.9983844911147012,
"risk": 0.001615508885298822,
"sample_count": 1857
}
]
}
}