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arxiv:2610.08682

Non-perturbative finite connectivities in supercritical Bernoulli percolation on Z^d with dgeq 3

Published on Oct 6
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Abstract

Sharp Ornstein-Zernike asymptotics for finite supercritical connections in Bernoulli percolation are established via renewal structures and coarse-graining without requiring mass separation.

We solve a longstanding problem in Bernoulli percolation: we derive sharp Ornstein--Zernike asymptotics for the probability that two distant points are connected by a finite cluster in the whole supercritical regime. Our proof has two main ingredients. First, the renewal structure from Fridbergh and Hammond (2024) yields an a priori bound on cluster volume. Second, we adapt the coarse-graining and irreducible-cluster framework of Companion, Ioffe, Velenik (2008) to finite supercritical connections. The main distinction from the subcritical analysis is that our argument does not require a separation of masses between irreducible and unrestricted finite connections. The volume bound and a modified coarse-graining construction instead provide stretched-exponential tails for the effective random-walk increments, which suffice to obtain the sharp asymptotics.

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