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Oct 16

Explaining El Niño Forecasts with the Average Gradient Outer Product

An important and unresolved problem in the physical sciences is explaining the predictions made by neural networks. Several explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have been proposed to address this problem, including gradient XAI, Integrated Gradients, and GradientSHAP. We evaluate the baseline XAI methods according to four scores: sensitivity (XAI patterns strongly affect predictions), attribution (XAI patterns reproduce the change in prediction relative to a baseline), robustness (XAI patterns remain stable for nearby inputs), and coherence (XAI patterns are spatially smooth). We also introduce a new method, average gradient outer product (AGOP) XAI, that uses global gradient information to identify an important direction for a specific input. We apply XAI to neural network predictions of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) based on data from the Zebiak-Cane model. AGOP XAI achieves the highest attribution, robustness, and coherence scores in the architecture and lead-time comparisons reported here. Its sensitivity is surpassed by gradient XAI, which is maximally sensitive by definition. Beyond diagnosing neural-network behavior, AGOP XAI can generate candidate hypotheses about physical mechanisms. The method highlights an equatorial thermocline-depth signal consistent with recharge oscillator physics, together with a southeastern-Pacific lobe that may be specific to the Zebiak-Cane model. Finally, we test the physical relevance of AGOP using optimized perturbations that move the Zebiak-Cane model along AGOP explanation coordinates. Such perturbations can suppress the selected extreme events or, from a near-neutral ensemble, generate strong El Niño or La Niña events 10 months later.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 30

XARP Tools: An Extended Reality Platform for Humans and AI Agents

Artificial intelligence (AI) and extended reality (XR) are increasingly combined in applications such as motor skill training, personalized feedback, and embodied task guidance. Yet developing AI-XR systems remains challenging due to fragmented toolchains that push developers into ad hoc integrations, diverting their attention away from essential design concerns such as interactivity and context awareness. To address this issue, we present XARP (XR Agent-ready Remote Procedures), a toolkit for AI-XR development designed for both human developers and AI agents. XARP implements JSON-based remote procedure calls that allow server-side Python to control XR clients, providing a high-level abstraction over low-level integration details. Humans can use XARP as a Python library to write XR applications with reduced implementation overhead. AI agents operate with the same abstraction to dynamically call tools to generate XR applications at runtime in response to context changes and user requests. XARP offers Model Context Protocol (MCP) connectivity that allows third-party agents and tools to leverage XR capabilities, previously unavailable. We conducted three case studies that demonstrate XARP supports a variety of AI-XR applications, including AI-guided fencing, drone assistance, and room layout design. We evaluated XARP in a walkthrough study with 24 AI and XR developers. UTAUT scores indicate high potential for adoption, and participants reported that XARP can reduce authoring time, lower entry barriers for developers unfamiliar with AI or XR, and enable the implementation of novel AI-XR systems.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 6, 2025

A Comprehensive Guide to Explainable AI: From Classical Models to LLMs

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) addresses the growing need for transparency and interpretability in AI systems, enabling trust and accountability in decision-making processes. This book offers a comprehensive guide to XAI, bridging foundational concepts with advanced methodologies. It explores interpretability in traditional models such as Decision Trees, Linear Regression, and Support Vector Machines, alongside the challenges of explaining deep learning architectures like CNNs, RNNs, and Large Language Models (LLMs), including BERT, GPT, and T5. The book presents practical techniques such as SHAP, LIME, Grad-CAM, counterfactual explanations, and causal inference, supported by Python code examples for real-world applications. Case studies illustrate XAI's role in healthcare, finance, and policymaking, demonstrating its impact on fairness and decision support. The book also covers evaluation metrics for explanation quality, an overview of cutting-edge XAI tools and frameworks, and emerging research directions, such as interpretability in federated learning and ethical AI considerations. Designed for a broad audience, this resource equips readers with the theoretical insights and practical skills needed to master XAI. Hands-on examples and additional resources are available at the companion GitHub repository: https://github.com/Echoslayer/XAI_From_Classical_Models_to_LLMs.

  • 27 authors
·
Dec 1, 2024

Towards integration of Privacy Enhancing Technologies in Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is a crucial pathway in mitigating the risk of non-transparency in the decision-making process of black-box Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. However, despite the benefits, XAI methods are found to leak the privacy of individuals whose data is used in training or querying the models. Researchers have demonstrated privacy attacks that exploit explanations to infer sensitive personal information of individuals. Currently there is a lack of defenses against known privacy attacks targeting explanations when vulnerable XAI are used in production and machine learning as a service system. To address this gap, in this article, we explore Privacy Enhancing Technologies (PETs) as a defense mechanism against attribute inference on explanations provided by feature-based XAI methods. We empirically evaluate 3 types of PETs, namely synthetic training data, differentially private training and noise addition, on two categories of feature-based XAI. Our evaluation determines different responses from the mitigation methods and side-effects of PETs on other system properties such as utility and performance. In the best case, PETs integration in explanations reduced the risk of the attack by 49.47%, while maintaining model utility and explanation quality. Through our evaluation, we identify strategies for using PETs in XAI for maximizing benefits and minimizing the success of this privacy attack on sensitive personal information.

  • 4 authors
·
Jul 6, 2025

Automated Detection of Malignant Lesions in the Ovary Using Deep Learning Models and XAI

The unrestrained proliferation of cells that are malignant in nature is cancer. In recent times, medical professionals are constantly acquiring enhanced diagnostic and treatment abilities by implementing deep learning models to analyze medical data for better clinical decision, disease diagnosis and drug discovery. A majority of cancers are studied and treated by incorporating these technologies. However, ovarian cancer remains a dilemma as it has inaccurate non-invasive detection procedures and a time consuming, invasive procedure for accurate detection. Thus, in this research, several Convolutional Neural Networks such as LeNet-5, ResNet, VGGNet and GoogLeNet/Inception have been utilized to develop 15 variants and choose a model that accurately detects and identifies ovarian cancer. For effective model training, the dataset OvarianCancer&SubtypesDatasetHistopathology from Mendeley has been used. After constructing a model, we utilized Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) models such as LIME, Integrated Gradients and SHAP to explain the black box outcome of the selected model. For evaluating the performance of the model, Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F1-Score, ROC Curve and AUC have been used. From the evaluation, it was seen that the slightly compact InceptionV3 model with ReLu had the overall best result achieving an average score of 94% across all the performance metrics in the augmented dataset. Lastly for XAI, the three aforementioned XAI have been used for an overall comparative analysis. It is the aim of this research that the contributions of the study will help in achieving a better detection method for ovarian cancer.

  • 7 authors
·
Mar 11