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Nov 11

Beyond Calibration: Do a Typed-Decision Model's Probabilities Obey the Probability Axioms?

Typed-decision models such as TypeSafe's Jev answer a declared yes/no or multiple-choice question about a state with a probability instead of text, and their evaluations report accuracy and calibration. Neither requires that the probabilities a model gives to logically related questions fit together item by item, which is what a system that acts on those probabilities needs. We test this property, coherence, with a battery of logically linked questions that needs no labels. For 160 items from ChaosNLI and PubMedQA, each with three mutually exclusive labels, we ask whether the label is X, whether it is not X, whether it is one of the other two labels, and which label applies. On 480 negation pairs, Jev's probabilities for "the label is X" and "the label is not X" miss summing to one by 0.064 on average (95% CI 0.055 to 0.072). Qwen3.8-27B, run from its official BF16 weights, misses by 0.293 with first-token probabilities and by 0.122 with verbalized probabilities. The gap to the first-token readout persists on pairs where both systems give similar probabilities, without double-negation labels, and after averaging Jev's repeated calls. Jev is not coherent either: its violations are about five times its repeat noise, and it over-endorses statements about single labels, so that its three single-label probabilities sum to 1.14 on average. The two systems also fail differently. Qwen3.8-27B's first-token readout under-endorses the complement of a label whether or not the question contains "not", rejecting both a statement and its negation in 196 of 480 pairs, and it does not become more coherent where it is more confident, whereas Jev's violations concentrate where its answer is uncertain. Because the checks need no labels, they expose biases that appear only when question forms are compared, and inconsistencies within items.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 26

Tree-Ising: Repairing Language Models with Bit-Level Ising Edits

Weight-space programming, introduced in recent MIT work by Takehi et al., enables a frontier LLM agent to read a network's weights and write a repair. Their GPT-6 Astra agent corrected the reasoning loops of Qwen3.5-0.8B without gradients, using 158 agent turns, 89.7 million tokens, and 50 forward-pass requests. Our method, Tree-Ising, casts this repair as a sparse discrete optimization problem over the model's own BF16 weights. Forward statistics define an objective that weakens a loop direction, strengthens a concluding direction, and preserves the layer's output on productive tokens. Within a state-tree representation, where lossless BF16 storage acts as a special case, the admissible edits are sign flips and exponent shifts that preserve all shared group exponents and mantissas. We decompose this objective exactly into independent QUBO (Ising) problems, one per output row, which we solve on a GPU using simulated annealing or quantum-inspired simulated bifurcation. On the agent's two layers, Tree-Ising achieves 54.6% on MATH-500, outperforming the agent's edit (51.7%) under the same evaluation protocol, while the base model scores 7.9% as reported. The simulated bifurcation solver yields a statistically indistinguishable repair at 55.1%. Both solvers outperform the agent edit across all five math benchmarks, with statistically significant improvements on MATH-500 and GSM8K after correcting for multiple comparisons. Our approach modifies 13% to 17% fewer weights and reduces BF16 bit flips by a factor of 2.2 to 2.3. It requires only four forward-pass requests and zero LLM tokens, with the annealing recipe costing about $0.90 in GPU time. On Qwen3.5-2B, with layers and dose selected using only the base model, the same recipe increases greedy GSM8K accuracy from 21.6% to 69.4%. As a proof of concept, we execute an eight-variable repair subproblem using QAOA on an IBM Heron processor.

  • 2 authors
·
Nov 9 1

Lost in the bf16 Cast: Exporting Ternary Language Models Can Revert Most Low-Learning-Rate Code Changes

Ternary language models such as BitNet b1.58, Falcon-E and BitCPM are fine-tuned with higher-precision latent weights and deployed as ternary codes produced by an export step that, in the labs' documented pipelines, first casts the latents to bf16. We audit those pipelines across three labs. In released checkpoints, fp32 quantization of the shipped latents disagrees with the deployed codes on 0.83-1.77% of codes in Falcon-E and BitCPM and on 1.530% in BitNet 2B-4T; for Falcon-E and BitCPM most disagreements are products that bf16 rounding lands exactly on the threshold, which ties-to-even maps to zero, and the unmodified onebitllms exporter reproduces all four Falcon-E releases byte for byte. At fine-tuned endpoints, with learning rates selected to match a nominal learning-rate-to-bf16-ULP ratio, the documented export lowers greedy GSM8K strict accuracy from 58.79% to 0.78% for Falcon-E-1B-Base and from 36.13% to 0.39% for BitCPM-CANN-0.5B, and a bf16 save and reload lowers BitNet 2B-4T's strict accuracy by 27.54 points while its last-number accuracy rises. Two compatibility remedies, writing the training quantizer's codes directly or adjusting the bf16 inputs until the unchanged tools emit them, each met a 4-point strict-accuracy non-inferiority criterion against online evaluation in all three models. In two model families, randomized interventions on the initial distance from the threshold support distance-dependent selection of the codes that fine-tuning changes.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 5

QuEST: Stable Training of LLMs with 1-Bit Weights and Activations

One approach to reducing the massive costs of large language models (LLMs) is the use of quantized or sparse representations for training or deployment. While post-training compression methods are very popular, the question of obtaining even more accurate compressed models by directly training over such representations, i.e., Quantization-Aware Training (QAT), is still open: for example, a recent study (arXiv:2411.04330v2) put the "optimal" bit-width at which models can be trained using QAT, while staying accuracy-competitive with standard FP16/BF16 precision, at 8-bits weights and activations. We advance this state-of-the-art via a new method called QuEST, which is Pareto-competitive with FP16, i.e., it provides better accuracy at lower model size, while training models with weights and activations in 4-bits or less. Moreover, QuEST allows stable training with 1-bit weights and activations. QuEST achieves this by improving two key aspects of QAT methods: (1) accurate and fast quantization of the (continuous) distributions of weights and activations via Hadamard normalization and MSE-optimal fitting; (2) a new trust gradient estimator based on the idea of explicitly minimizing the error between the noisy gradient computed over quantized states and the "true" (but unknown) full-precision gradient. Experiments on Llama-type architectures show that QuEST induces stable scaling laws across the entire range of hardware-supported precisions, and can be extended to sparse representations. We provide GPU kernel support showing that models produced by QuEST can be executed efficiently. Our code is available at https://github.com/IST-DASLab/QuEST.

NeMo-DCR: Bit-Exact Delta-Compressed Refit for Scalable Agentic RL at Trillion-Parameter Scale

Agentic reinforcement learning (RL) disaggregates training from rollout, so each policy update must reach the rollout clusters before the next batch. Transferring a full 1T checkpoint for such weight synchronization (refit) takes 87.5 min between two AWS regions. Measurements of BF16 training show that about 1% of weights change their stored values per step. Recent systems exploit this sparsity but fall short on placement, exactness, or efficiency: they reimplement placement rules, assemble full tensors, rebuild values arithmetically, or use a cross-cluster collective, and none fully recovers from mid-refit failures. We present NeMo-DCR (Delta-Compressed Refit), which sends only changes yet is bit-exact: receivers obtain the same parameter and buffer bits as a dense refit. For placement, fixed affine mappings project changes from training shards into the checkpoint's canonical coordinates, residual conversion covers the other changes, and the serving runtime's native loader places all changes in receiver storage. For exactness, compressible XOR masks carry affine changes whose projection and loader preserve stored bits, and overwrites carry the others. Receivers apply both in place, retries overwrite partial writes, and a joint commit binds the policy to the baseline for the next delta. For efficiency, object storage or a relay tree streams payloads during delta construction, without a cross-cluster collective. Even at 3% and 5% change rates, NeMo-DCR refits of 30B-1T models are 12-40times faster than a transport-only full-checkpoint reference. A 1T relay-tree refit at 3% takes 150 s instead of 87.5 min, making refits practical for cross-cluster agentic RL at trillion-parameter scale.

nvidia NVIDIA
·
Oct 5 2

FineQuant: Unlocking Efficiency with Fine-Grained Weight-Only Quantization for LLMs

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance across various language tasks but pose challenges for practical deployment due to their substantial memory requirements. Furthermore, the latest generative models suffer from high inference costs caused by the memory bandwidth bottleneck in the auto-regressive decoding process. To address these issues, we propose an efficient weight-only quantization method that reduces memory consumption and accelerates inference for LLMs. To ensure minimal quality degradation, we introduce a simple and effective heuristic approach that utilizes only the model weights of a pre-trained model. This approach is applicable to both Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) and dense models without requiring additional fine-tuning. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method, we first analyze the challenges and issues associated with LLM quantization. Subsequently, we present our heuristic approach, which adaptively finds the granularity of quantization, effectively addressing these problems. Furthermore, we implement highly efficient GPU GEMMs that perform on-the-fly matrix multiplication and dequantization, supporting the multiplication of fp16 or bf16 activations with int8 or int4 weights. We evaluate our approach on large-scale open source models such as OPT-175B and internal MoE models, showcasing minimal accuracy loss while achieving up to 3.65 times higher throughput on the same number of GPUs.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 16, 2023

Memory-Bound but Not Bandwidth-Limited: The Physical AI Inference Gap in Batch-1 LLM Decode

Physical AI systems, including robots, autonomous vehicles, embodied agents and edge copilots, often run a different inference workload from cloud LLM serving: single-stream, batch-1 autoregressive decode, where one robot, camera feed or user session waits on the next token. This workload is usually described as memory-bandwidth-bound. Each decode step streams model weights and the active KV cache, so latency should scale with peak HBM bandwidth. We show that this account is true but incomplete. We measure batch-1 decode for three 7 to 8B-class GQA transformers across four NVIDIA GPUs: H100 SXM5, A100-80GB SXM4, L40S and L4. We evaluate context lengths from 2048 to 16384, producing 44 valid cells under a controlled bf16 SDPA setup. The achieved fraction of peak HBM bandwidth falls as peak bandwidth rises. On the headline Qwen-2.5-7B ctx=2048 cell, an L4 reaches roughly 81 percent of its analytic memory floor, while an H100 reaches only 27 percent. Physical-AI decode is memory-dominated, but faster memory does not translate into proportional latency gains. We test the missing term with a CUDA Graphs A/B experiment. On H100 at ctx=2048, CUDA Graphs improves decode latency by 1.259x across N=10 fresh sessions, with a 95 percent bootstrap confidence interval of 1.253 to 1.267. On L4, the same intervention gives only 1.028x. This isolates a launch-side overhead that becomes visible on fast GPUs but remains mostly hidden on slower, bandwidth-bound GPUs. The deployment implication is that memory savings matter only when the runtime realises them. On L4, bf16 decode sits close to the memory floor, but common quantised paths do not recover the expected 4x weight-traffic reduction: bnb-nf4 reaches 59.36 ms/step and AutoAWQ+Marlin reaches 45.24 ms/step from a 62.32 ms bf16 baseline. GPTQ+ExLlamaV2, with Ada-tuned int4 kernels, reaches 17.36 ms/step.

  • 1 authors
·
May 27 2

SplitZip: Ultra Fast Lossless KV Compression for Disaggregated LLM Serving

Contemporary systems serving large language models (LLMs) have adopted prefill-decode disaggregation to load-balance between the compute-bound prefill phase and the memory-bound decode phase. Under this design, prefill workers generate a KV cache that must be transferred to decode workers before generation can begin. With these workers residing on different physical systems, this transfer becomes a significant bottleneck to serving LLMs at scale, especially for long-input and agentic workloads. Existing lossless codecs are unsuitable here as they primarily target offline weight compression, run on CPUs, or use variable-length coding whose compression cannot keep up with KV production during prefill. We introduce SplitZip, a GPU-friendly lossless compressor for KV cache transfer that preserves KV tensors bitwise and integrates into existing serving frameworks without modifying model execution. SplitZip exploits redundancy in floating-point exponents of KV activations, encoding frequent exponent values with fixed-length codes and routing rare exponents through a sparse escape stream of (position, value). A calibrated top-16 exponent codebook eliminates online histogramming, while the regular dense path and sparse escape correction make both encoding and decoding efficient on GPUs. On real BF16 activation tensors, SplitZip achieves 613.3 GB/s compression throughput and 2181.8 GB/s decompression throughput, outperforming prior lossless compressors on the critical codec path. End-to-end transfer experiments show up to 1.32times speedup for BF16 KV cache transfer, 1.30times speedup for TTFT, and 1.23times increase in Request Throughput. The same approach extends to FP8 KV caches, providing up to 1.14times compression over native E5M2. Code is available at https://github.com/Intelligent-Microsystems-Lab/SplitZip

  • 2 authors
·
Jun 22

To FP8 and Back Again: Quantifying the Effects of Reducing Precision on LLM Training Stability

The massive computational costs associated with large language model (LLM) pretraining have spurred great interest in reduced-precision floating-point representations to accelerate the process. As a result, the BrainFloat16 (BF16) precision has become the de facto standard for LLM training, with hardware support included in recent accelerators. This trend has gone even further in the latest processors, where FP8 has recently been introduced. However, prior experience with FP16, which was found to be less stable than BF16, raises concerns as to whether FP8, with even fewer bits than FP16, can be a cost-effective option for LLM training. We argue that reduced-precision training schemes must have similar training stability and hyperparameter sensitivities to their higher-precision counterparts in order to be cost-effective. However, we find that currently available methods for FP8 training are not robust enough to allow their use as economical replacements. This prompts us to investigate the stability of reduced-precision LLM training in terms of robustness across random seeds and learning rates. To this end, we propose new evaluation techniques and a new metric for quantifying loss landscape sharpness in autoregressive language models. By simulating incremental bit reductions in floating-point representations, we analyze the relationship between representational power and training stability with the intent of aiding future research into the field.

  • 5 authors
·
May 28, 2024

Do We Need the Largest LLMs for Every Clinical Decision?

Large clinical language models often require multi-GPU infrastructure, limiting local deployment. We introduce CERTA, a decision-level statistical certificate that determines when a quantized model may substitute for its native BF16 reference and escalates decisions that cannot be certified to it. Across eleven instruction-tuned models, both general-purpose and domain-adapted, from three families (7-72B), we evaluated 2,500 clinical-verification decisions from de-identified patient contexts (2,484 patients), with patient-disjoint calibration and testing. In the higher-power operational analysis, round-to-nearest 8-bit quantization at BF16 storage served 99.8-100% of held-out decisions across all eleven models; formal finite-sample guarantees were assessed separately using the exact split-sample procedure. In the same operational analysis, the class-conditional 4-bit frontier reduced the amortized, BF16-equivalent deployment cost to 25.8% and 27.3% of the BF16 reference for Qwen2.5-72B and HuatuoGPT-o1-72B, respectively, with measured peak memory of 43.0 and 42.7 GB, below the nominal capacity of a single 48 GB accelerator. Deployment on that specific hardware was not directly tested. Under the exact split-sample certificate, which also accounts for configuration selection, these costs were 26.7% and 27.9%. On external disease named-entity benchmarks against human annotations, the frontier-selected NF4 configurations had a mean absolute F1 change of 0.045 on both datasets, with substantial model-specific variation. CERTA converts compression from a fixed precision choice into a risk-controlled deployment policy for this verification task.

  • 2 authors
·
Oct 16