Daily Papers

The success of chain-of-thought (CoT) in complex reasoning can be attributed to a textual scaffolding effect: explicit intermediate results can be examined, reused, and composed to support subsequent reasoning, much as scaffolding supports a building under construction. However, mainstream multimodal LLMs lack an equivalent scaffold for visual distinctions that are difficult to express in concise verbal descriptions. We therefore ask: Can native visual representations become first-class citizens alongside language, providing a visual scaffold for reasoning? We define native multimodal reasoning as reasoning in which native visual representations and language jointly carry reusable intermediate states. As a concrete implementation, the visual scaffolding mechanism we proposed lets the MLLM autonomously initiate a retrieval action at any reasoning step. A lightweight retriever selects native visual features, which are then incorporated directly into the evolving CoT and remain available to subsequent steps. To evaluate this mechanism under controlled visual demands, we introduce NMR-Bench, comprising Burden Counting and Path Tracing. With 88M added parameters (approximately 2%) on Qwen3-VL-4B-Thinking, our model achieves 66.43% and 72.50% accuracy, respectively, surpassing the evaluated GPT-5.5 and Gemini 3.1 Pro baselines. Controlled interventions show that changing selected visual content affects task accuracy and can redirect subsequent visual selection even when intervening text is held fixed. These findings show that native visual states can function as intermediate reasoning material and point toward reusable scaffolds for additional modalities.

Complex numerical time series analysis often demands multi-step reasoning capabilities beyond current models' reach. Tasks like medical diagnosis and weather forecasting require sequential reasoning processes - including counterfactual analysis, logical deduction, knowledge application, and multi-modal contextual integration - that existing time series models cannot explicitly perform. While recent research has shown large language models (LLMs) can achieve sophisticated Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning through reinforcement learning (RL), these advances have primarily focused on mathematical and coding domains, with LLMs still demonstrating poor performance on time series tasks. We introduce Chain Of thought for Understanding Numerical Time Series (COUNTS), the first framework that trains LLMs to perform CoT reasoning across diverse time series tasks using RL with verifiable rewards. Our approach employs a Residual Vector-Quantized VAE to create high-fidelity discrete tokens that seamlessly integrate into a pre-trained LLM's vocabulary. COUNTS undergoes a two-stage training process: first, supervised fine-tuning on time series analysis tasks to master our novel representations, followed by Group Relative Policy Optimization training on verifiable problems using prompting strategies that encourage explicit reasoning steps before producing final answers. Our experiments demonstrate that this RL-driven approach with intermediate CoT reasoning significantly enhances LLM performance across various time series analysis tasks, opening new possibilities for complex temporal data reasoning.

Generalised object counting aims to estimate the number of instances of an arbitrary object category from a single image, but many recent methods can struggle on structurally complex objects due to limited spatial modelling. We present UpCount, a class-agnostic counter designed to better preserve spatial structure. UpCount strengthens the visual representation by extracting multi-layer features from a ViT-B/16 encoder and reassembling them into a refined multi-scale pyramid that is spatially refined using Dense Prediction Transformers and FeatUp, yielding features with improved structural and spatial sensitivity; a proposal--verification counting head then identifies repeated patterns and produces a density map for the final count. On FSC-147, UpCount achieves 12.39 MAE and 100.89 RMSE on the test set, and it transfers effectively to vehicle counting on CARPK (6.27 MAE, 8.79 RMSE). Code: https://github.com/r28112072-rgb/upcount

Systematic under-counting effects are observed in data collected across many disciplines, e.g., epidemiology and ecology. Under-counted tensor completion (UC-TC) is well-motivated for many data analytics tasks, e.g., inferring the case numbers of infectious diseases at unobserved locations from under-counted case numbers in neighboring regions. However, existing methods for similar problems often lack supports in theory, making it hard to understand the underlying principles and conditions beyond empirical successes. In this work, a low-rank Poisson tensor model with an expressive unknown nonlinear side information extractor is proposed for under-counted multi-aspect data. A joint low-rank tensor completion and neural network learning algorithm is designed to recover the model. Moreover, the UC-TC formulation is supported by theoretical analysis showing that the fully counted entries of the tensor and each entry's under-counting probability can be provably recovered from partial observations -- under reasonable conditions. To our best knowledge, the result is the first to offer theoretical supports for under-counted multi-aspect data completion. Simulations and real-data experiments corroborate the theoretical claims.

LLM agents fail mid-episode -- they loop, cascade tool errors, drift off goal, fabricate results, or silently absorb corrupted content -- and the standard remedy, judging every step with a second LLM, costs more than the agent itself. We ask how much detection is achievable from observable step telemetry alone, using monitors costing microseconds per step and trained only on healthy runs. On 2,823 committed agent episodes across three frameworks, three local models (qwen2.5 7b/3b, llama3.1 8b) and a commercial API (gemini-2.5-flash), a one-class echo-state-network ensemble with CUSUM alarms detects 0.71 of failures at a 5% false-alarm budget (AUROC 0.872). Its advantage over a memoryless baseline is a monotone function of post-onset horizon (+0.09 at <=3 steps, +0.40 at >=9), predicting its own failure region out of sample on AFTraj-2K. Ranking transfers with no retraining to two corpora from other groups (AFTraj-2K 0.745, ATBench 0.779). Monitors carry two burdens: a per-deployment healthy null (they do not transfer -- AUROC 0.527 cold against 0.885 recalibrated) and a residual false-alarm rate. We add a layer carrying neither: deterministic verification, which recomputes a run's stated total from the tool results it actually received and confirms every required call was made. Head-to-head it catches 60% of failures (96% with the coverage check) at 0 of 63 false positives against the monitor's 54% at 17%, transfers unchanged to llama3.1:8b (110 of 110 at 0 of 10), and trips on 0 of 1825 healthy episodes. Detection is then closed into repair: each flagged run is rolled back and re-run live, recovering 45% of failures against a 16% resampling control (p=0.0005) and lifting task success from 52% to 73% for about one extra model call per run. The system runs at ~200 microseconds per step, three orders of magnitude below a judge call. Code, traces and results are released.