Daily Papers

Foundation models (FMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their success has not yet translated to time series forecasting. Existing time series foundation models (TSFMs), often based on transformer variants, struggle with generalization across varying context and target lengths, lack adaptability to different sampling rates, and are computationally inefficient. We introduce FlowState, a novel TSFM architecture that addresses these challenges through two key innovations: a state space model (SSM) based encoder and a functional basis decoder. This design enables continuous-time modeling and dynamic time-scale adjustment, allowing FlowState to inherently generalize across all possible temporal resolutions, and dynamically adjust the forecasting horizons. In contrast to other state-of-the-art TSFMs, which require training data across all possible sampling rates to memorize patterns at each scale, FlowState inherently adapts its internal dynamics to the input scale, enabling smaller models, reduced data requirements, and improved efficiency. We further propose an efficient pretraining strategy that improves robustness and accelerates training. Despite being the smallest model, FlowState outperforms all other models and is state-of-the-art for the GIFT-ZS and the Chronos-ZS benchmarks. Ablation studies confirm the effectiveness of its components, and we demonstrate its unique ability to adapt online to varying input sampling rates.

Long-horizon tasks require LLM agents to continually draw on information from earlier interactions. However, retaining the full history increases context costs, while compressing it risks losing details needed later, and the relevance of historical information often becomes apparent as the task progresses. To address these challenges, we propose FlowState, which treats execution state as memory that can be retained and revisited across requests, unifying current decision-making with the reuse of historical information. FlowState preserves semantically typed state nodes, their relations, and references to raw tool observations, separating persistent retention from on-demand access. Within a single execution loop, Incremental State Update (ISU) maintains the current state based on new inputs and feedback, while Progressive State Access (PSA) progressively reveals historical states and supporting evidence as needed during reasoning. Together, these mechanisms enable agents to reassess prior decisions in light of new information and guide subsequent actions. Compared with a full-context baseline using the same DeepSeek-V4-Flash model, FlowState improves the average success rate on MemoryArena and the average pass rate on τ^3-Bench by 4.55 and 13.95 percentage points, respectively, while reducing total token consumption by 43.2% and 40.6%. These results demonstrate the performance and efficiency advantages of FlowState on long-horizon tasks.