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byAK and the research community

Oct 21

Weather Jiu-Jitsu: Exploring the Feasibility of Control Paradigms in Weather Foundation Models

Weather Jiu-Jitsu is a control paradigm for extreme climatological events, inspired by chaos theory. As a proposition, small, precise, targeted, and cost-inexpensive perturbations can redirect trajectories of a large dynamical system. This strategy has been demonstrated analytically in the Lorenz-63 system, where a naturally chaotic trajectory switching between two attractors can be confined to a single attractor, indefinitely, via arbitrarily small perturbations. This paper examines the feasibility of Microsoft's Aurora -- a 1.3 billion parameter global atmospheric model -- as a test bed for this strategy. This paper explores three questions: (1) Is Aurora a reliable enough simulation environment to serve as a meaningful testbed? (2) Are the perturbations required to redirect its trajectories small enough to be physically plausible? (3) Does Aurora's learned latent space (the parametric estimators on climatological attributes) yield any apparent, structured, and/or perhaps interpretable features that can convey a geo/atmospheric response to initial conditions? We find evidence consistent with all three: Aurora's modeled trajectories respond to perturbations beyond measurement drift, the perturbation magnitudes required are small relative to the model's own forecast uncertainty, and its latent representations exhibit directional structure that responds to Jiu-Jitsu-type interventions, even though that structure does not separate extreme from normal states outright. These results should be read as feasibility diagnostics rather than a demonstration of control: we do not implement or test an actual steering intervention on Aurora, and several of our findings, particularly around the model's latent-space geometry, are exploratory.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 29

IMBUE: Improving Interpersonal Effectiveness through Simulation and Just-in-time Feedback with Human-Language Model Interaction

Navigating certain communication situations can be challenging due to individuals' lack of skills and the interference of strong emotions. However, effective learning opportunities are rarely accessible. In this work, we conduct a human-centered study that uses language models to simulate bespoke communication training and provide just-in-time feedback to support the practice and learning of interpersonal effectiveness skills. We apply the interpersonal effectiveness framework from Dialectical Behavioral Therapy (DBT), DEAR MAN, which focuses on both conversational and emotional skills. We present IMBUE, an interactive training system that provides feedback 25% more similar to experts' feedback, compared to that generated by GPT-4. IMBUE is the first to focus on communication skills and emotion management simultaneously, incorporate experts' domain knowledge in providing feedback, and be grounded in psychology theory. Through a randomized trial of 86 participants, we find that IMBUE's simulation-only variant significantly improves participants' self-efficacy (up to 17%) and reduces negative emotions (up to 25%). With IMBUE's additional just-in-time feedback, participants demonstrate 17% improvement in skill mastery, along with greater enhancements in self-efficacy (27% more) and reduction of negative emotions (16% more) compared to simulation-only. The improvement in skill mastery is the only measure that is transferred to new and more difficult situations; situation specific training is necessary for improving self-efficacy and emotion reduction.

  • 6 authors
·
Feb 19, 2024

VR for Acupuncture? Exploring Needs and Opportunities for Acupuncture Training and Treatment in Virtual Reality

Acupuncture is a form of medicine that involves inserting needles into targeted areas of the body and requires knowledge of both Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) and Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM). The process of acquiring such knowledge and using it for practical treatment is challenging due to the need for a deep understanding of human anatomy and the ability to apply both TCM and EBM approaches. Visual aids have been introduced to aid in understanding the alignment of acupuncture points with key elements of the human body, and are indispensable tools for both learners and expert acupuncturists. However, they are often not enough to enable effective practice and fail to fully support the learning process. Novel approaches based on immersive visualization and Virtual Reality (VR) have shown promise in many healthcare settings due to their unique advantages in terms of realism and interactions, but it is still unknown whether and how VR can possibly be beneficial to acupuncture training and treatment. Following participatory design protocols such as observations and semi-structured interviews with eight doctors and nine students, we explore the needs and pain points of current acupuncture workflows at the intersection of EBM and TCM in China and the United States. We highlight opportunities for introducing VR in today's acupuncture training and treatment workflows, and discuss two design approaches that build on 11 specific challenges spanning education, diagnosis, treatment, and communication.

  • 4 authors
·
Dec 12, 2023