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Nov 3

OS-Bench: Evaluating SWE Agents on Cross-OS Code Migration

Language-model (LM) agents are increasingly evaluated on repository-level software engineering (SWE) benchmarks derived from GitHub issues and pull requests. Although these benchmarks cover a broad range of development tasks, they provide limited insight into a common yet technically distinct challenge: migrating an existing implementation from one operating system (OS) to another while preserving behavior on both. We introduce OS-Bench, an executable benchmark for cross-OS code migration between Linux and Windows. Motivated by case studies showing that cross-platform features are frequently implemented on one OS before support is added for another, OS-Bench identifies migration opportunities by comparing execution coverage collected from the same repository on both systems. Platform-specific regions are then verified, organized into five migration scenarios, and transformed into repository-level tasks with target-platform tests and source-platform regression tests. The resulting benchmark contains 140 validated tasks from 111 repositories across C, C++, C#, Go, and Rust, comprising 91 Windows-to-Linux and 49 Linux-to-Windows migrations. We evaluate six models with SWE-agent, Claude Code, OpenHands, and Win-agent. The best configurations achieve only 26.4% success on Linux-target tasks and 20.4% on Windows-target tasks while preserving correctness across both systems. These results indicate that cross-OS migration is a challenging and underexplored capability, and OS-Bench is a testbed for improving platform-aware SWE agents.

  • 11 authors
·
Oct 13

PublicAgent: Multi-Agent Design Principles From an LLM-Based Open Data Analysis Framework

Open data repositories hold potential for evidence-based decision-making, yet are inaccessible to non-experts lacking expertise in dataset discovery, schema mapping, and statistical analysis. Large language models show promise for individual tasks, but end-to-end analytical workflows expose fundamental limitations: attention dilutes across growing contexts, specialized reasoning patterns interfere, and errors propagate undetected. We present PublicAgent, a multi-agent framework that addresses these limitations through decomposition into specialized agents for intent clarification, dataset discovery, analysis, and reporting. This architecture maintains focused attention within agent contexts and enables validation at each stage. Evaluation across five models and 50 queries derives five design principles for multi-agent LLM systems. First, specialization provides value independent of model strength--even the strongest model shows 97.5% agent win rates, with benefits orthogonal to model scale. Second, agents divide into universal (discovery, analysis) and conditional (report, intent) categories. Universal agents show consistent effectiveness (std dev 12.4%) while conditional agents vary by model (std dev 20.5%). Third, agents mitigate distinct failure modes--removing discovery or analysis causes catastrophic failures (243-280 instances), while removing report or intent causes quality degradation. Fourth, architectural benefits persist across task complexity with stable win rates (86-92% analysis, 84-94% discovery), indicating workflow management value rather than reasoning enhancement. Fifth, wide variance in agent effectiveness across models (42-96% for analysis) requires model-aware architecture design. These principles guide when and why specialization is necessary for complex analytical workflows while enabling broader access to public data through natural language interfaces.

  • 3 authors
·
Nov 4, 2025

AI Agents for the Dhumbal Card Game: A Comparative Study

This study evaluates Artificial Intelligence (AI) agents for Dhumbal, a culturally significant multiplayer card game with imperfect information, through a systematic comparison of rule-based, search-based, and learning-based strategies. We formalize Dhumbal's mechanics and implement diverse agents, including heuristic approaches (Aggressive, Conservative, Balanced, Opportunistic), search-based methods such as Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) and Information Set Monte Carlo Tree Search (ISMCTS), and reinforcement learning approaches including Deep Q-Network (DQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), and a random baseline. Evaluation involves within-category tournaments followed by a cross-category championship. Performance is measured via win rate, economic outcome, Jhyap success, cards discarded per round, risk assessment, and decision efficiency. Statistical significance is assessed using Welch's t-test with Bonferroni correction, effect sizes via Cohen's d, and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Across 1024 simulated rounds, the rule-based Aggressive agent achieves the highest win rate (88.3%, 95% CI: [86.3, 90.3]), outperforming ISMCTS (9.0%) and PPO (1.5%) through effective exploitation of Jhyap declarations. The study contributes a reproducible AI framework, insights into heuristic efficacy under partial information, and open-source code, thereby advancing AI research and supporting digital preservation of cultural games.

  • 1 authors
·
Oct 10, 2025

Multi-Agent Game Generation and Evaluation via Audio-Visual Recordings

While AI excels at generating text, audio, images, and videos, creating interactive audio-visual content such as video games remains challenging. Current LLMs can generate JavaScript games and animations, but lack automated evaluation metrics and struggle with complex content that normally requires teams of humans working for many months (multi-shot, multi-agents) using assets made by artists. To tackle these issues, we built a new metric and a multi-agent system. We propose AVR-Eval, a relative metric for multimedia content quality using Audio-Visual Recordings (AVRs). An omni-modal model (processing text, video, and audio) compares the AVRs of two contents, with a text model reviewing evaluations to determine superiority. We show that AVR-Eval properly identifies good from broken or mismatched content. We built AVR-Agent, a multi-agent system generating JavaScript code from a bank of multimedia assets (audio, images, 3D models). The coding agent selects relevant assets, generates multiple initial codes, uses AVR-Eval to identify the best version, and iteratively improves it through omni-modal agent feedback from the AVR. We run experiments on games and animations with AVR-Eval (win rate of content A against B). We find that content generated by AVR-Agent has a significantly higher win rate against content made through one-shot generation. However, models struggle to leverage custom assets and AVR feedback effectively, showing no higher win rate. This reveals a critical gap: while humans benefit from high-quality assets and audio-visual feedback, current coding models do not seem to utilize these resources as effectively, highlighting fundamental differences between human and machine content creation approaches.

  • 1 authors
·
Aug 1, 2025 3

What LLM Trading Agents Actually Do in Production: A Six-Month, Population-Scale Record from Two Fleets

We present a continuous, population-scale measurement record of autonomous language-model trading agents operating in production across two systems with one design lineage: DX Terminal Pro (3,505 user-funded vaults trading real ETH in Base memecoin markets for 21 days, February to March 2026) and the DXAP live alpha fleet (500 to 599 user-created agents all-history, 91 to 117 concurrently active, trading Hyperliquid perpetuals, June to August 2026). The record spans roughly six months, 7.5M single-model invocations with about 300K onchain actions, and a further 231,638 multi-tool turns producing 14,596 fills. Four findings carry the paper. First, the operating layer determines behavior more than anything written in strategy text: a risk slider explains leverage (+0.425 per level), agent fixed effects absorb 60% of variance, and a leaderboard render boundary causally routes selection (regression discontinuity 1.75x at the top-3 cut). Second, sizing is volatility-blind: median leverage is 5.0x in every volatility sextile, and one posture-slider cell (11% of the book) holds 62% of liquidations. Third, agents capture almost none of the upside they reach: 43.2% of positions saw at least +300 bps of favorable excursion within 24h, yet 49.3% of those closed with a negative trade return; a mechanical bracket recovers +39.0 bps per position. Fourth, neither fleet shows a directional edge. The DXAP fleet is not profitable and trails a matched Hyperliquid retail benchmark (41% vs. 50% roundtrip win rate). A paired-replay league of frontier models on 416 captured production scenarios finds decision quality statistically indistinguishable at this horizon, while choice stability differs sharply across model families. Every headline survives day-clustered inference, permutation nulls, and a common-fee restatement; the paper closes with a 17-rule methodology canon bought with our own retractions.

The Fellowship of the LLMs: Multi-Agent Workflows for Synthetic Preference Optimization Dataset Generation

This paper presents synthetic Preference Optimization (PO) datasets generated using multi-agent workflows and evaluates the effectiveness and potential of these workflows in the dataset generation process. PO dataset generation requires two modules: (1) response evaluation, and (2) response generation. In the response evaluation module, the responses from Large Language Models (LLMs) are evaluated and ranked - a task typically carried out by human annotators that we automate using LLMs. We assess the response evaluation module in a 2 step process. In step 1, we assess LLMs as evaluators using three distinct prompting strategies. In step 2, we apply the winning prompting strategy to compare the performance of LLM-as-a-Judge, LLMs-as-a-Jury, and LLM Debate. In each step, we use inter-rater agreement using Cohen's Kappa between human annotators and LLMs. For the response generation module, we compare different configurations for the LLM Feedback Loop using the identified LLM evaluator configuration. We use the win rate (the fraction of times a generation framework is selected as the best by an LLM evaluator) to determine the best multi-agent configuration for generation. After identifying the best configurations for both modules, we use models from the GPT, Gemma, and Llama families to generate our PO datasets using the above pipeline. We generate two types of PO datasets, one to improve the generation capabilities of individual LLM and the other to improve the multi-agent workflow. Our evaluation shows that GPT-4o-as-a-Judge is more consistent across datasets when the candidate responses do not include responses from the GPT family. Additionally, we find that the LLM Feedback Loop, with Llama as the generator and Gemma as the reviewer, achieves a notable 71.8% and 73.8% win rate over single-agent Llama and Gemma, respectively.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 16, 2024

Enhancing Human Experience in Human-Agent Collaboration: A Human-Centered Modeling Approach Based on Positive Human Gain

Existing game AI research mainly focuses on enhancing agents' abilities to win games, but this does not inherently make humans have a better experience when collaborating with these agents. For example, agents may dominate the collaboration and exhibit unintended or detrimental behaviors, leading to poor experiences for their human partners. In other words, most game AI agents are modeled in a "self-centered" manner. In this paper, we propose a "human-centered" modeling scheme for collaborative agents that aims to enhance the experience of humans. Specifically, we model the experience of humans as the goals they expect to achieve during the task. We expect that agents should learn to enhance the extent to which humans achieve these goals while maintaining agents' original abilities (e.g., winning games). To achieve this, we propose the Reinforcement Learning from Human Gain (RLHG) approach. The RLHG approach introduces a "baseline", which corresponds to the extent to which humans primitively achieve their goals, and encourages agents to learn behaviors that can effectively enhance humans in achieving their goals better. We evaluate the RLHG agent in the popular Multi-player Online Battle Arena (MOBA) game, Honor of Kings, by conducting real-world human-agent tests. Both objective performance and subjective preference results show that the RLHG agent provides participants better gaming experience.

  • 15 authors
·
Jan 28, 2024

MEMO: Memory-Augmented Model Context Optimization for Robust Multi-Turn Multi-Agent LLM Games

Multi-turn, multi-agent LLM game evaluations often exhibit substantial run-to-run variance. In long-horizon interactions, small early deviations compound across turns and are amplified by multi-agent coupling. This biases win rate estimates and makes rankings unreliable across repeated tournaments. Prompt choice worsens this further by producing different effective policies. We address both instability and underperformance with MEMO (Memory-augmented MOdel context optimization), a self-play framework that optimizes inference-time context by coupling retention and exploration. Retention maintains a persistent memory bank that stores structured insights from self-play trajectories and injects them as priors during later play. Exploration runs tournament-style prompt evolution with uncertainty-aware selection via TrueSkill, and uses prioritized replay to revisit rare and decisive states. Across five text-based games, MEMO raises mean win rate from 25.1% to 49.5% for GPT-4o-mini and from 20.9% to 44.3% for Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, using 2,000 self-play games per task. Run-to-run variance also drops, giving more stable rankings across prompt variations. These results suggest that multi-agent LLM game performance and robustness have substantial room for improvement through context optimization. MEMO achieves the largest gains in negotiation and imperfect-information games, while RL remains more effective in perfect-information settings.

  • 12 authors
·
Mar 9 2

SWE-Duel: Towards a Self-Scaling Arena for Coding Agents

Static coding benchmarks are fixed at release. Over time their tasks leak into training data, and stronger agents eventually saturate them. We argue that a benchmark should instead aim to be self-scaling: its tasks and oracles are created at evaluation time, so no content exists in advance to leak, and its difficulty is set by the participating agents rather than fixed at release. We introduce SWE-Duel, an arena in which two coding agents evaluate each other over mirrored Red-Blue turns. In each turn, the Red agent works on a real repository across three context-isolated sessions. It proposes and implements a new feature with feature tests, then embeds a subtle bug in that feature along with sealed bug-triggering tests. The resulting pull request is admitted only if (1) it passes the feature tests and the repository's existing tests while failing exactly the bug tests, and (2) a fresh session of the same agent can repair the bug blind, which rules out unsolvable tasks. The Blue agent then reviews the pull request without being told a bug exists. It wins only if its revision passes all three test suites, and then the two agents swap roles. We run a tournament among 11 model-harness participants on 15 repositories in five languages for 1,500 turns. The leaders win in different ways. GPT-5.5 with Codex CLI ranks first as the strongest solver, repairing 98.3% of the defects it reviews. Claude Opus 4.8 with mini-swe-agent ranks second as the strongest task author, with a 27.3% Red win rate. Finally, within one model family, tasks written by the newest version defeat a fixed-reference solver far more often than those of older versions (42.9% vs. 4.0%), giving preliminary evidence that task difficulty scales with task authoring capability.

The Control Layer Behind Rule-Following Agents Trading Across Market Conditions

Trading discipline often fails people. Our study tested whether four AI trading agents followed their strategies and risk rules. Offering traders the evidence and an agent evaluation toolkit to separate luck from following the rules, before giving agents meaningful autonomy or capital. Our study analysed 2,627 closed positions from 12 February to 27 August 2026 across the same asset universe and execution conditions. Most positions were simulated against live prices with a 0.09% round-trip fee; 18% involved real Hyperliquid orders. Each position declared a strategy, stop and target, with a limit of five open positions per agent. The fleet finished net positive after fees. Rule adherence was high across all four agents, including the unprofitable one. Profitability tracked how often agents won relative to their break-even win rates. Institutional-style controls ran by default and contained losses through a 29% market drawdown and recovery, with documented exceptions. The discipline held for all four agents. Agents kept 97.5% of gross loss within declared stops, and typical losses closed at declared levels. Declared risk remained stable after losses and broadly stable across calm and volatile months. Twenty-three of 24 runs respected the position limit; logs identify the exception's size and duration. The same live data produced different results across assigned strategies. The trade-log tests can be rerun from the published trade snapshot; regime tests also require the published Bitcoin prices and regime labels. Section 3.5 specifies the stop-breach tolerance. These trade-level results are not account-level returns or proof of a lasting edge. Our study provides an evaluation toolkit to help traders distinguish rule-following from luck before committing capital. For anyone considering allocating capital to agents to trade, discipline should be the entry test, not the only test.

  • 4 authors
·
Oct 18

Toolflation: Seller Agents Distort Tool Markets Through Spontaneous Generative Engine Optimization

Agents are starting to sell to other agents. Seller agents write the listings of tools, services and products, and buyer agents read these listings when they choose what to use. We show that seller agents told only to be selected more often practice generative engine optimization on their own, and that this distorts the market for sellers and for buyers. We build tool markets from real data tools on Amazon and Instagram and run every tool on every question, so we know which tools can answer each question. Under all five production models we test, sellers rewrite their descriptions to claim more and more fields, including fields that their tools return for fewer than half of the targets. We call this process toolflation. Nothing in the market limits it, and how far it goes depends on the model, as the number of claims that contradict the sellers' own evidence differs by an order of magnitude between models. Toolflation shifts the buyers' choices between sellers, and the most capable tool loses share in seven of the ten combinations of seller model and platform. Under four models, the choices stay with capable tools and buyer agents keep their task success. Under the fifth, sellers copy one another until the descriptions no longer tell the tools apart. Buyer agents then pick tools by their position in the list, tools that answer almost nothing win a quarter to two fifths of the choices, and task success falls from 89% to about 30% on Amazon, close to random choice, and from 77% to 40% on Instagram. The sellers did only what their vendors asked, and the cost fell on buyers they never dealt with. We therefore argue that honesty toward third parties under competition is part of safety alignment, and that models should be tested as sellers before they are deployed as sellers.

  • 6 authors
·
Oct 19

Exploring Expert Failures Improves LLM Agent Tuning

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown tremendous potential as agents, excelling at tasks that require multiple rounds of reasoning and interactions. Rejection Sampling Fine-Tuning (RFT) has emerged as an effective method for finetuning LLMs as agents: it first imitates expert-generated successful trajectories and further improves agentic skills through iterative fine-tuning on successful, self-generated trajectories. However, since the expert (e.g., GPT-4) succeeds primarily on simpler subtasks and RFT inherently favors simpler scenarios, many complex subtasks remain unsolved and persistently out-of-distribution (OOD). Upon investigating these challenging subtasks, we discovered that previously failed expert trajectories can often provide valuable guidance, e.g., plans and key actions, that can significantly improve agent exploration efficiency and acquisition of critical skills. Motivated by these observations, we propose Exploring Expert Failures (EEF), which identifies beneficial actions from failed expert trajectories and integrates them into the training dataset. Potentially harmful actions are meticulously excluded to prevent contamination of the model learning process. By leveraging the beneficial actions in expert failures, EEF successfully solves some previously unsolvable subtasks and improves agent tuning performance. Remarkably, our approach achieved a 62\% win rate in WebShop, outperforming RFT (53. 6\%) and GPT-4 (35. 6\%), and to the best of our knowledge, setting a new state-of-the-art as the first method to surpass a score of 0.81 in WebShop and exceed 81 in SciWorld.

  • 5 authors
·
Apr 17, 2025 4

Feedback-Based Self-Learning in Large-Scale Conversational AI Agents

Today, most large-scale conversational AI agents (e.g. Alexa, Siri, or Google Assistant) are built using manually annotated data to train the different components of the system. Typically, the accuracy of the ML models in these components are improved by manually transcribing and annotating data. As the scope of these systems increase to cover more scenarios and domains, manual annotation to improve the accuracy of these components becomes prohibitively costly and time consuming. In this paper, we propose a system that leverages user-system interaction feedback signals to automate learning without any manual annotation. Users here tend to modify a previous query in hopes of fixing an error in the previous turn to get the right results. These reformulations, which are often preceded by defective experiences caused by errors in ASR, NLU, ER or the application. In some cases, users may not properly formulate their requests (e.g. providing partial title of a song), but gleaning across a wider pool of users and sessions reveals the underlying recurrent patterns. Our proposed self-learning system automatically detects the errors, generate reformulations and deploys fixes to the runtime system to correct different types of errors occurring in different components of the system. In particular, we propose leveraging an absorbing Markov Chain model as a collaborative filtering mechanism in a novel attempt to mine these patterns. We show that our approach is highly scalable, and able to learn reformulations that reduce Alexa-user errors by pooling anonymized data across millions of customers. The proposed self-learning system achieves a win/loss ratio of 11.8 and effectively reduces the defect rate by more than 30% on utterance level reformulations in our production A/B tests. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first self-learning large-scale conversational AI system in production.

  • 4 authors
·
Nov 6, 2019

Paying for Honesty Without Knowing the Truth: Reputation-Penalty Design for LLM Marketplace Agents

LLM agents increasingly act as autonomous merchants that write their own product listings, and under competitive pressure, they fabricate attributes to win sales. Even under instructions to be honest, they fabricate attributes in a majority of listings across models. A platform's obvious remedy---verifying each claim against the truth---is unavailable, because it observes only a noisy, biased complaint signal, never the ground truth. We design CARP, a reputation-penalty mechanism with a deadband that forgives complaint noise and a state-dependent severity that counters reputation-driven detection erosion. CARP requires no product-level ground truth and is robust to strategic gaming. CARP protects consumers by suppressing the sales volume of low-rated liars while sparing honest sellers. Paired with SPARC, it closes most of the consumer-welfare gap relative to a perfect-information oracle, without ever accessing the truth. It also achieves the best welfare of the policies we compare. We further show that this felt penalty becomes behaviorally binding through SPARC, a byte-clean code-gated reflection mechanism: LLM merchants fabricate when lying is free but restrain themselves when fabrication costs them sales, a self-interested response rather than compliance. We trace this distinction to penalty-gated self-correction reasoning, and observe the binding across models, with supporting confidence intervals.

  • 8 authors
·
Jul 29

PokéChamp: an Expert-level Minimax Language Agent

We introduce Pok\'eChamp, a minimax agent powered by Large Language Models (LLMs) for Pok\'emon battles. Built on a general framework for two-player competitive games, Pok\'eChamp leverages the generalist capabilities of LLMs to enhance minimax tree search. Specifically, LLMs replace three key modules: (1) player action sampling, (2) opponent modeling, and (3) value function estimation, enabling the agent to effectively utilize gameplay history and human knowledge to reduce the search space and address partial observability. Notably, our framework requires no additional LLM training. We evaluate Pok\'eChamp in the popular Gen 9 OU format. When powered by GPT-4o, it achieves a win rate of 76% against the best existing LLM-based bot and 84% against the strongest rule-based bot, demonstrating its superior performance. Even with an open-source 8-billion-parameter Llama 3.1 model, Pok\'eChamp consistently outperforms the previous best LLM-based bot, Pok\'ellmon powered by GPT-4o, with a 64% win rate. Pok\'eChamp attains a projected Elo of 1300-1500 on the Pok\'emon Showdown online ladder, placing it among the top 30%-10% of human players. In addition, this work compiles the largest real-player Pok\'emon battle dataset, featuring over 3 million games, including more than 500k high-Elo matches. Based on this dataset, we establish a series of battle benchmarks and puzzles to evaluate specific battling skills. We further provide key updates to the local game engine. We hope this work fosters further research that leverage Pok\'emon battle as benchmark to integrate LLM technologies with game-theoretic algorithms addressing general multiagent problems. Videos, code, and dataset available at https://sites.google.com/view/pokechamp-llm.

  • 3 authors
·
Mar 6, 2025 2

Cooperative Multi-Agent Planning with Adaptive Skill Synthesis

Despite much progress in training distributed artificial intelligence (AI), building cooperative multi-agent systems with multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) faces challenges in sample efficiency, interpretability, and transferability. Unlike traditional learning-based methods that require extensive interaction with the environment, large language models (LLMs) demonstrate remarkable capabilities in zero-shot planning and complex reasoning. However, existing LLM-based approaches heavily rely on text-based observations and struggle with the non-Markovian nature of multi-agent interactions under partial observability. We present COMPASS, a novel multi-agent architecture that integrates vision-language models (VLMs) with a dynamic skill library and structured communication for decentralized closed-loop decision-making. The skill library, bootstrapped from demonstrations, evolves via planner-guided tasks to enable adaptive strategies. COMPASS propagates entity information through multi-hop communication under partial observability. Evaluations on the improved StarCraft Multi-Agent Challenge (SMACv2) demonstrate COMPASS's strong performance against state-of-the-art MARL baselines across both symmetric and asymmetric scenarios. Notably, in the symmetric Protoss 5v5 task, COMPASS achieved a 57\% win rate, representing a 30 percentage point advantage over QMIX (27\%). Project page can be found at https://stellar-entremet-1720bb.netlify.app/.

  • 3 authors
·
Feb 14, 2025

DRG-MAPPO: Hierarchical Dynamic Role-Graph Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Cooperative Air Combat

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) has emerged as a pivotal paradigm for complex decision-making in autonomous systems and air combat. While MARL has demonstrated significant potential in air combat, achieving sophisticated tactical coordination remains a non-trivial challenge. This difficulty is largely attributed to two primary limitations: (1) the absence of structured relational modeling hinders agents from capturing complex, time-varying interactions among battlefield entities; and (2) conventional flat architectures often lack the capability to explicitly model tactical roles, leading to ambiguous task allocation in highly dynamic environments. To address these challenges, we propose Hierarchical Dynamic Role-Graph Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization (DRG-MAPPO), a novel MARL framework that integrates graph-based relational modeling with dynamic role assignment. Specifically, DRG-MAPPO constructs a graph-based representation of battlefield interactions and leverages graph attention mechanisms to extract critical relational features among allies, enemies, and threats. Subsequently, a high-level policy employs a dynamic role assignment mechanism to determine tactical responsibilities (e.g., ``leader'' and ``supporter''). Conditioned on these roles and encoded graph-relational features, a low-level policy executes discrete maneuver actions, facilitating the joint optimization of tactical strategy and collaborative execution. Furthermore, a target-priority auxiliary task is designed to foster the emergence of behaviors such as focus-fire. Experimental results demonstrate that DRG-MAPPO achieves a state-of-the-art win rate of 87%, suggesting that our framework effectively balances relational modeling, interpretability, and optimization stability for cooperative air combat.

AgenticSTS: A Bounded-Memory Testbed for Long-Horizon LLM Agents

Memory for a long-horizon LLM agent is a contract about what each future decision is allowed to see. The simplest contract appends past observations, tool calls, and reflections to every prompt, which makes prior context easy to access but also turns it into a jumbled mixture in which the effect of any single memory component is hard to isolate. We introduce and instrument an alternative bounded contract: every decision is made from a fresh user message assembled by typed retrieval, with no raw cross-decision transcript appended. The prompt thus stays bounded across runs of any length, and any single layer can be ablated in isolation. We instantiate the contract in Slay the Spire 2, a closed-rule stochastic deck-building game whose runs require hundreds of tactical and strategic decisions. A public online benchmark of frontier LLMs on the same game reports zero wins at the lowest difficulty across five configurations, and the developer-reported human win rate at the same difficulty is 16%; the task is hard but not saturated. Within our harness, a fixed-A0 ablation shows the largest observed difference when triggered strategic skills are enabled: the no-store baseline wins 3/10 games and adding the skill layer 6/10. At this sample size the comparison is directional rather than statistically decisive (Fisher exact p\approx0.37); a cross-backbone probe and public accumulating-context baselines are reported as operational comparisons rather than controlled tests of the contract variable itself. We release a reproducible testbed: 298 completed trajectories with condition tags, frozen memory/skill snapshots, prompt records, and analysis scripts -- an agent design and a validated, reusable methodology for studying how explicit memory layers shape long-horizon LLM-agent decisions.

AlayaLab Alaya Lab
·
Jul 1 3

Towards Robust Reinforcement Learning for Small-Scale Language Model Agents

The alignment of Small Language Models (SLMs) in the 70--500M parameter range using reinforcement learning is often considered unstable, though the underlying failure mechanisms have not been systematically investigated. In the State-of-the-Art (SOTA) research, fifteen (model, corpus) configurations were trained using Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO). The experiments included Pythia-70M, 160M, 410M and SmolLM2-135M, 360M on the TinyStories, CNN/DailyMail, and Wikitext-103 corpora. Three reproducible failure modes were identified in small-scale language models: silent LoRA parameter freezing in standard PEFT/TRL pipelines, numerical overflow in importance ratios when using bfloat16, and catastrophic policy collapse due to reward-model error. These issues were addressed using a merge-and-reinitialize adapter technique, float32 precision during PPO updates, and a three-layer safety mechanism comprising reward whitening, importance-ratio guarding, and weight rollback. In this paper, a capacity-headroom hypothesis is proposed, which states that PPO performance at the SLM scale depends on both a fluent supervised model (PPL<20) and a discriminative reward signal, rather than on the number of model parameters. The proposed system converged stably in all experiments and improved preference win rate over the SFT baseline in configurations with a fluent prior and an informative reward signal. Furthermore, it outperformed instruction-tuned baselines while requiring significantly less training data. All checkpoints, preference datasets, and training scripts are publicly released^§.

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 26 2

ACE: A Self-Correcting Agentic Canvas Editor for Multi-Slide Presentation Automation

Commercial design platforms increasingly edit documents through large language model (LLM) agents, but two practical problems block reliable deployment: legacy document formats expose only flat, absolutely positioned elements, so agents must recompute coordinates and routinely break layouts; and design has no unique ground truth, so diff-against-reference metrics penalize valid-but-different outputs. We present ACE, an agentic canvas editor over a hierarchical scene-graph with a presentation-specialized action space (98 tools), paired with CARE, a content-aware router that feeds the agent only the relevant slice of each deck (avg.\ sim89\% input-token reduction), and a self-correction loop driven by a ground-truth-free instruction-following (IF) judge whose natural-language critique is fed back as the next-turn instruction. With a fixed backbone, a scene-graph editor in a single turn already matches a same-backbone agentic HTML pipeline that iterates internally; adding self-correction lifts ACE significantly above it on instruction following (IF 4.23 vs.\ 3.81 on the full 94-task benchmark, paired p{=}.010, replicated by an out-of-loop judge) at 1.75times the speed and sim44\% lower cost. VQ means are statistically indistinguishable, but 26 blind raters prefer ACE overall (58.7\% decisive win-rate) and prefer the self-corrected output 81\% of the time; the ranking is invariant across three judge families, and out-of-loop judges retain two-thirds of the self-correction gain, bounding circularity. 66\% of cases halt after one pass, and a strict-peak rollback removes every observed regression.

  • 4 authors
·
Aug 24

MASTER: A Multi-Agent System with LLM Specialized MCTS

Large Language Models (LLM) are increasingly being explored for problem-solving tasks. However, their strategic planning capability is often viewed with skepticism. Recent studies have incorporated the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to augment the planning capacity of LLM. Despite its potential, MCTS relies on extensive sampling simulations to approximate the true reward distribution, which leads to two primary issues. Firstly, MCTS is effective for tasks like the Game of Go, where simulation results can yield objective rewards (e.g., 1 for a win and 0 for a loss). However, for tasks such as question answering, the result of a simulation is the answer to the question, which cannot yield an objective reward without the ground truth. Secondly, obtaining statistically significant reward estimations typically requires a sample size exceeding 30 simulations, resulting in excessive token usage and time consumption. To address these challenges, we present the Multi-Agent System with Tactical Execution and Reasoning using LLM Specialized MCTS (MASTER), a novel framework that coordinates agent recruitment and communication through LLM specialized MCTS. This system autonomously adjusts the number of agents based on task complexity and ensures focused communication among them. Comprehensive experiments across various tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed framework. It achieves 76% accuracy on HotpotQA and 80% on WebShop, setting new state-of-the-art performance on these datasets.

  • 8 authors
·
Jan 24, 2025 2

Cooperate to Compete: Strategic Coordination in Multi-Agent Conquest

Language Model (LM)-based agents remain largely untested in mixed-motive settings where agents must leverage short-term cooperation for long-term competitive goals (e.g., multi-party politics). We introduce Cooperate to Compete (C2C), a multi-agent environment where players can engage in private negotiations while competing to be the first to achieve their secret objective. Players have asymmetric objectives and negotiations are non-binding, allowing alliances to form and break as players' short-term interests align and diverge. We run AI only games and conduct a user study pitting human players against AI opponents. We identify significant differences between human and AI negotiation behaviors, finding that humans favor lower-complexity deals and are significantly less reliable partners compared to LM-based agents. We also find that humans are more aggressive negotiators, accepting deals without a counteroffer only 56.3% of the time compared to 67.6% for LM-based agents. Through targeted prompting inspired by these findings, we modify agents' negotiation behavior and improve win rates from 22.2% to 32.7%. We run over 1,100 games with over 16,000 private conversations totaling 15.2 million tokens and over 150,000 player actions. Our results establish C2C as a testbed for studying and building LM-based agents that can navigate the sophisticated coordination required for real-world deployments. The game, code, and dataset may be found at https://negotiationgame.io/c2c.

  • 5 authors
·
Apr 27

CAMEO: A Conditional and Quality-Aware Multi-Agent Image Editing Orchestrator

Conditional image editing aims to modify a source image according to textual prompts and optional reference guidance. Such editing is crucial in scenarios requiring strict structural control (i.e., anomaly insertion in driving scenes and complex human pose transformation). Despite recent advances in large-scale editing models (i.e., Seedream, Nano Banana, etc), most approaches rely on single-step generation. This paradigm often lacks explicit quality control, may introduce excessive deviation from the original image, and frequently produces structural artifacts or environment-inconsistent modifications, typically requiring manual prompt tuning to achieve acceptable results. We propose CAMEO, a structured multi-agent framework that reformulates conditional editing as a quality-aware, feedback-driven process rather than a one-shot generation task. CAMEO decomposes editing into coordinated stages of planning, structured prompting, hypothesis generation, and adaptive reference grounding, where external guidance is invoked only when task complexity requires it. To overcome the lack of intrinsic quality control in existing methods, evaluation is embedded directly within the editing loop. Intermediate results are iteratively refined through structured feedback, forming a closed-loop process that progressively corrects structural and contextual inconsistencies. We evaluate CAMEO on anomaly insertion and human pose switching tasks. Across multiple strong editing backbones and independent evaluation models, CAMEO consistently achieves 20\% more win rate on average compared to multiple state-of-the-art models, demonstrating improved robustness, controllability, and structural reliability in conditional image editing.

  • 7 authors
·
Apr 2

LiveFigure: Generating Editable Scientific Illustration with VLM Agents

Scientific illustrations are essential for depicting conceptual designs, methodologies, and experimental workflows in research, playing a pivotal role in communicating complex academic insights. However, creating high-quality scientific illustrations remains a labor-intensive task for human scientists. While recent generative image models have advanced prompt-based editing, the synthesis of fully editable figures remains a fundamental challenge. Valid editability involves structured transformations of graphical elements, scales, attributes, and text, rather than simple pixel-level changes. Existing models generate raster outputs that do not support manual correction or layout adjustment, limiting their utility in scientific publishing, where editable vector figures are typically required for submission. To address this challenge, we introduce LiveFigure, an agentic framework driven by VLM agents that imitates the multi-step drawing workflow of human researchers. It first plans figure blueprints by drawing inspiration from high-quality references in previous works, then generates executable scripts that produce figures via the PowerPoint interface based on skills and experience, and finally refines the outputs with targeted visual diagnostics, producing fully vectorized, editable figures that meet publication standards. Extensive experiments demonstrate that LiveFigure generates inherently editable figures, achieving 80% publication-readiness in only 17 manual edits, far surpassing the 24% rate of the strongest baseline, NanoBanana. Human preference studies further validate this advantage, with LiveFigure securing a 60% win rate against NanoBanana. Our code is available at https://github.com/tsinghua-fib-lab/LiveFigure.git.

  • 4 authors
·
May 21

Fidelity Is Not Safety: Gently-Compressed LLMs Pass Every Data-Free Quality Guard Yet Invent Procedure Steps in Agentic Execution

Practitioners accept a compressed language model once it clears a stack of data-cheap quality guards: perplexity within a small factor of the original, downstream accuracy (for example MMLU) inside a confidence interval, and data-free output-fidelity signals that compare the compressed and original network's internal representations under random probe inputs. This stack has a blind spot. Across three model families, gently-compressed models clear every guard and then invent procedure steps that were never in the instructions when they run a standard operating procedure (SOP) as an agent. The effect is operator-specific: coherent low-rank (SVD) truncation induces it, and magnitude pruning matched to the same perplexity does not. One dissociation isolates the cause. The same compressed weights that CI-win a paired output-fidelity test CI-fail the invented-step canary. The governing axis is the coherence of the compression error times its rate; the magnitude of the damage does not predict it. The data-free fidelity probe is a fidelity oracle by construction, so it cannot see this axis. We characterize the blindspot and dissociation with paired confidence intervals on a pre-registered, powered canary across three architectures. Operator-specificity replicates on all three, and the perplexity-guard evasion appears where the model admits in-guard low-rank headroom. We then give a data-free screen: a two-axis statistic of the compression error (coherent-fraction and error-rate) that flags the failing builds with fixed thresholds across architectures and matches the coherence-times-rate mechanism. Perplexity, MMLU, and fidelity acceptance do not certify agent safety. Screen gently-compressed low-rank builds before agentic deployment

  • 2 authors
·
Jul 29

ArchEval: Measuring AI Agents as Computer Architects

Computer architecture has long used benchmarks to make progress measurable. LLM agents create a different measurement problem: success is not merely writing code or tuning parameters. The agent must interpret workloads, choose mechanisms, use simulators, predict performance, satisfy hard constraints, and decide which feasible design is worth evaluating. This paper introduces ArchEval, a benchmark and platform for evaluating LLM agents on computer architecture design and optimization. It contains 20 challenges across CPU core mechanisms, system architecture, memory systems, accelerators, and compute-in-memory, backed by eight simulators. Each challenge is posed under three settings: L1 full harness, with repeated simulator feedback; L2 simulator-code container, where simulator source is available but the agent must assemble its own workflow; and L3 agent-only, with no runnable feedback before submission. Each run reports baseline-normalized verifier performance and records the full trajectory, connecting results to workload analysis, simulator-tool use, prediction, constraint handling, and artifact integrity. Initial results show a sharp boundary in current agents. With L1 support, all four evaluated agents reach or exceed baseline and improve real designs across diverse simulators. Removing support exposes weaknesses: many agents fail to turn simulator source into useful experiments, and L3 predictions often disagree with verifier results. In L3, only GPT-5.5 + Codex remains above baseline, reaching 1.21x geomean performance and a 65% win rate; the other three fall below baseline. Even GPT-5.5 + Codex has only a 15% performance-modeling pass rate. ArchEval frames today's agents as useful optimization assistants rather than autonomous architects, and identifies capabilities needed next: simulator-tool use, calibrated prediction, pre-feedback judgment, and useful mechanism discovery.

  • 11 authors
·
Jul 2

Training Language Models for Social Deduction with Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

Communicating in natural language is a powerful tool in multi-agent settings, as it enables independent agents to share information in partially observable settings and allows zero-shot coordination with humans. However, most prior works are limited as they either rely on training with large amounts of human demonstrations or lack the ability to generate natural and useful communication strategies. In this work, we train language models to have productive discussions about their environment in natural language without any human demonstrations. We decompose the communication problem into listening and speaking. Our key idea is to leverage the agent's goal to predict useful information about the world as a dense reward signal that guides communication. Specifically, we improve a model's listening skills by training them to predict information about the environment based on discussions, and we simultaneously improve a model's speaking skills with multi-agent reinforcement learning by rewarding messages based on their influence on other agents. To investigate the role and necessity of communication in complex social settings, we study an embodied social deduction game based on Among Us, where the key question to answer is the identity of an adversarial imposter. We analyze emergent behaviors due to our technique, such as accusing suspects and providing evidence, and find that it enables strong discussions, doubling the win rates compared to standard RL. We release our code and models at https://socialdeductionllm.github.io/

  • 4 authors
·
Feb 9, 2025 3

Beyond Quantity: Trajectory Diversity Scaling for Code Agents

As code large language models (LLMs) evolve into tool-interactive agents via the Model Context Protocol (MCP), their generalization is increasingly limited by low-quality synthetic data and the diminishing returns of quantity scaling. Moreover, quantity-centric scaling exhibits an early bottleneck that underutilizes trajectory data. We propose TDScaling, a Trajectory Diversity Scaling-based data synthesis framework for code agents that scales performance through diversity rather than raw volume. Under a fixed training budget, increasing trajectory diversity yields larger gains than adding more trajectories, improving the performance-cost trade-off for agent training. TDScaling integrates four innovations: (1) a Business Cluster mechanism that captures real-service logical dependencies; (2) a blueprint-driven multi-agent paradigm that enforces trajectory coherence; (3) an adaptive evolution mechanism that steers synthesis toward long-tail scenarios using Domain Entropy, Reasoning Mode Entropy, and Cumulative Action Complexity to prevent mode collapse; and (4) a sandboxed code tool that mitigates catastrophic forgetting of intrinsic coding capabilities. Experiments on general tool-use benchmarks (BFCL, tau^2-Bench) and code agent tasks (RebenchT, CodeCI, BIRD) demonstrate a win-win outcome: TDScaling improves both tool-use generalization and inherent coding proficiency. We plan to release the full codebase and the synthesized dataset (including 30,000+ tool clusters) upon publication.

  • 19 authors
·
Feb 3

SpecMind: Enabling Spectrum Intelligence via Multi-Agent Hybrid Retrieval-Augmented Generation

The exponential growth of wireless devices is driving unprecedented spectrum demand, pushing spectrum management toward more fine-grained decisions across space, time, and device constraints. As a result, spectrum policymakers and engineers must process large volumes of data that come from diverse sources and take many different forms, such as text and tables. These data sources are often disaggregated and require significant time and effort to integrate, search, and interpret. Furthermore, most of this information is formatted for human understanding and is not readily accessible to automated systems. To address this challenge, we propose SpecMind, a novel Multi-Agent Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) system for spectrum intelligence that performs reasoning over heterogeneous data sources. This system enables autonomous agents to coordinate specialized sub-agents that retrieve and synthesize knowledge across policy proceedings, legal regulations, and license databases. We develop SpecBench, a question and answer (Q&A) dataset based on real-world license records and policy proceedings, addressing the lack of evaluation resources for RAG systems in the spectrum domain. Experimental results demonstrate that SpecMind outperforms traditional, general-purpose RAG systems across spectrum-related tasks, achieving over 80% win rate against strong baselines. The agent-based design enables more accurate retrieval, better contextual reasoning, and improved task completion across diverse query types.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 30

MARL-BattleGrounds: A Novel JAX-native Benchmark for Heterogeneous and Competitive Multi-agent RL

We present MARL-BattleGrounds (MARL-BGs), an easy-to-use JAX-native benchmark for heterogeneous and competitive multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), designed to be sample-efficient, computationally efficient, and researcher-centric. MARL benchmarks are typically simple and efficient, like SMAX, where winning reduces to unit micromanagement, or rich and costly, like Dota 2. MARL-BGs fills this missing middle. Its first mode, Team Deathmatch, is a simultaneous turn-based game between two teams of five heterogeneous agents. The five classes have distinct basic, passive, and ultimate abilities designed to synergize with allies and counter enemies. Our 52 hand-designed maps with diverse obstacles include a 12-map curriculum and ten held-out validation and test maps. MARL-BGs provides two canonical evaluation modes. First, eight endgame scenarios form a hard generalization challenge: each asks a team to win an unseen, nearly lost position against a strong reactive controller within 5-10 ticks. Second, a monthly round-robin tournament retrains each submission on equal compute, plays it against every member of the current "Big Nine" field, and publishes the Elo results on the official leaderboard. All entrants are publicly released as downloadable opponents. MARL-BGs records 11,192 metrics per game in 28 topics. We also include three strong scripted opponents, an analytical replay viewer, and off-the-shelf tools for self-play, cross-play, curriculum learning, and zero-shot coordination evaluation. We even provide an API for LLM-based agents and use it to evaluate Qwen3.5-9B against our strongest policy. In our BattleClient, humans can play alongside or against any mix of policies, enabling human-AI evaluation. We benchmark MARL-BGs with six additional deep MARL baselines, which we release. On one RTX 5090 with 1,024 parallel games, the simulator runs 50,000 5v5 game steps per second.

  • 4 authors
·
Oct 9

SMACv2: An Improved Benchmark for Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning

The availability of challenging benchmarks has played a key role in the recent progress of machine learning. In cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning, the StarCraft Multi-Agent Challenge (SMAC) has become a popular testbed for centralised training with decentralised execution. However, after years of sustained improvement on SMAC, algorithms now achieve near-perfect performance. In this work, we conduct new analysis demonstrating that SMAC lacks the stochasticity and partial observability to require complex *closed-loop* policies. In particular, we show that an *open-loop* policy conditioned only on the timestep can achieve non-trivial win rates for many SMAC scenarios. To address this limitation, we introduce SMACv2, a new version of the benchmark where scenarios are procedurally generated and require agents to generalise to previously unseen settings (from the same distribution) during evaluation. We also introduce the extended partial observability challenge (EPO), which augments SMACv2 to ensure meaningful partial observability. We show that these changes ensure the benchmark requires the use of *closed-loop* policies. We evaluate state-of-the-art algorithms on SMACv2 and show that it presents significant challenges not present in the original benchmark. Our analysis illustrates that SMACv2 addresses the discovered deficiencies of SMAC and can help benchmark the next generation of MARL methods. Videos of training are available at https://sites.google.com/view/smacv2.

  • 8 authors
·
Oct 16, 2023

IHBench: Evaluating Post-Interruption Recovery in Voice Agents with Structured Workflows

Voice agents deployed in structured workflows (customer service, healthcare scheduling, account management) must handle frequent user interruptions while maintaining progress through multi-step procedures. Existing benchmarks for speech-capable models focus on the timing of interruptions: barge-in detection, endpointing, and turn-taking dynamics. They leave unmeasured what happens after the interruption: does the agent resume the workflow at the correct step? Does it address the user's interjection? Does it avoid re-delivering content the user already heard? We introduce IHBench (Interruption Handling Benchmark), a benchmark that evaluates post-interruption recovery in voice agents executing state-machine-driven workflows across 10 enterprise domains. Six interruption types are injected at controlled points mid-utterance, with per-interruption evaluation rubrics generated alongside the data. Each interruption is scored on two axes: task fulfillment and recovery quality. We evaluate 27 audio-language model configurations from OpenAI, Google, and the open-weight community. Models vary widely, and recovery quality depends strongly on the interruption type. Across our experiments, closed-weight models are consistently more robust to interruptions than open-weight ones: they win far more often on task fulfillment, degrade roughly 3.3x more slowly as conversations grow longer, and show no audio-versus-text modality gap, whereas the open-weight models lose ground on all three. A human study validates the LLM judge against human annotators, and a cross-benchmark analysis against AudioMultiChallenge indicates that recovery quality is a largely distinct capability axis.

  • 6 authors
·
Jun 16

EvoTest: Evolutionary Test-Time Learning for Self-Improving Agentic Systems

A fundamental limitation of current AI agents is their inability to learn complex skills on the fly at test time, often behaving like "clever but clueless interns" in novel environments. This severely limits their practical utility. To systematically measure and drive progress on this challenge, we first introduce the Jericho Test-Time Learning (J-TTL) benchmark. J-TTL is a new evaluation setup where an agent must play the same game for several consecutive episodes, attempting to improve its performance from one episode to the next. On J-TTL, we find that existing adaptation methods like reflection, memory, or reinforcement learning struggle. To address the challenges posed by our benchmark, we present EvoTest, an evolutionary test-time learning framework that improves an agent without any fine-tuning or gradients-by evolving the entire agentic system after every episode. EvoTest has two roles: the Actor Agent, which plays the game, and the Evolver Agent, which analyzes the episode transcript to propose a revised configuration for the next run. This configuration rewrites the prompt, updates memory by logging effective state-action choices, tunes hyperparameters, and learns the tool-use routines. On our J-TTL benchmark, EvoTest consistently increases performance, outperforming not only reflection and memory-only baselines but also more complex online fine-tuning methods. Notably, our method is the only one capable of winning two games (Detective and Library), while all baselines fail to win any.

  • 8 authors
·
Apr 16

Designer-RSI: Evolving Procedural Memory from User Traffic for Agentic Graphic Design

Professional graphic design is a long-horizon agentic task in which structured, editable artifacts emerge from many interdependent actions, yet outcomes admit no reliable programmatic oracle. We introduce a continual adaptation framework in which a frozen frontier model operates professional design software through more than 230 tools, while an external procedural memory of natural-language skills accumulates and refines reusable design procedures from experience. The memory widens by acquiring procedures for recurring uncovered subtasks and deepens by revising existing procedures against their own successful and failed executions, while a matched replay gate admits only changes that repair failures without regressing observed successes. Five rounds over 1,406 real user briefs and 1,869 automatically graded trajectories, with no weight updates and no human labels, grow the bank from 76 documentation-derived skills to 139 and raise GenEval2 execution success on Claude-Sonnet-4 from 72.7% to 99.3% (+11.99 points in generation quality), with 61.8% and 67.6% win rates against the no-skill agent across four specialized design benchmarks on Claude-Sonnet-4 and Claude-Opus-4.6. We further show the two mechanisms are effective in combination: on 200 held-out briefs from user-traffic benchmark, widening or deepening alone reaches a 49.4% / 48.6% win rate over the no-skill agent, while their combination reaches 58.5% (p = 0.025). Procedural memory offers a practical route to continual adaptation of agents under noisy, unverifiable feedback.

adobe Adobe
·
Sep 17 3

Multimodal DeepResearcher: Generating Text-Chart Interleaved Reports From Scratch with Agentic Framework

Visualizations play a crucial part in effective communication of concepts and information. Recent advances in reasoning and retrieval augmented generation have enabled Large Language Models (LLMs) to perform deep research and generate comprehensive reports. Despite its progress, existing deep research frameworks primarily focus on generating text-only content, leaving the automated generation of interleaved texts and visualizations underexplored. This novel task poses key challenges in designing informative visualizations and effectively integrating them with text reports. To address these challenges, we propose Formal Description of Visualization (FDV), a structured textual representation of charts that enables LLMs to learn from and generate diverse, high-quality visualizations. Building on this representation, we introduce Multimodal DeepResearcher, an agentic framework that decomposes the task into four stages: (1) researching, (2) exemplar report textualization, (3) planning, and (4) multimodal report generation. For the evaluation of generated multimodal reports, we develop MultimodalReportBench, which contains 100 diverse topics served as inputs along with 5 dedicated metrics. Extensive experiments across models and evaluation methods demonstrate the effectiveness of Multimodal DeepResearcher. Notably, utilizing the same Claude 3.7 Sonnet model, Multimodal DeepResearcher achieves an 82\% overall win rate over the baseline method.

  • 8 authors
·
Jun 3, 2025 2

When Two LLMs Debate, Both Think They'll Win

Can LLMs accurately adjust their confidence when facing opposition? Building on previous studies measuring calibration on static fact-based question-answering tasks, we evaluate Large Language Models (LLMs) in a dynamic, adversarial debate setting, uniquely combining two realistic factors: (a) a multi-turn format requiring models to update beliefs as new information emerges, and (b) a zero-sum structure to control for task-related uncertainty, since mutual high-confidence claims imply systematic overconfidence. We organized 60 three-round policy debates among ten state-of-the-art LLMs, with models privately rating their confidence (0-100) in winning after each round. We observed five concerning patterns: (1) Systematic overconfidence: models began debates with average initial confidence of 72.9% vs. a rational 50% baseline. (2) Confidence escalation: rather than reducing confidence as debates progressed, debaters increased their win probabilities, averaging 83% by the final round. (3) Mutual overestimation: in 61.7% of debates, both sides simultaneously claimed >=75% probability of victory, a logical impossibility. (4) Persistent self-debate bias: models debating identical copies increased confidence from 64.1% to 75.2%; even when explicitly informed their chance of winning was exactly 50%, confidence still rose (from 50.0% to 57.1%). (5) Misaligned private reasoning: models' private scratchpad thoughts sometimes differed from their public confidence ratings, raising concerns about faithfulness of chain-of-thought reasoning. These results suggest LLMs lack the ability to accurately self-assess or update their beliefs in dynamic, multi-turn tasks; a major concern as LLMs are now increasingly deployed without careful review in assistant and agentic roles. Code for our experiments is available at https://github.com/pradyuprasad/llms_overconfidence

  • 2 authors
·
May 25, 2025

FIFA World Cup 2026 as a Contamination-Free Benchmark for LLM Forecasting Agents: Four Models, a Bookmaker, and 104 Matches

We introduce WC2026-Agents, a benchmark and dataset for evaluating large language models (LLMs) as autonomous forecasting agents on real, future events. For every one of the 104 matches of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, four frontier models -- Claude Opus 4.8, ChatGPT (GPT-5.5, high reasoning), Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok (Expert Mode) -- ran an identical search-act-reflect loop: gather evidence with a web tool, commit to a 1X2 (team-A win / draw / team-B win) distribution and a virtual 100-USD bet, and, after the match, reflect given only the final score. Because every match kicked off after the models' training cutoffs, the benchmark is contamination-free by construction. Crucially, we pair the four agents with a fifth competitor drawn from the same information environment -- the pre-match betting market -- collected as per-match 1X2 odds, giving an economically grounded baseline and letting us score not just what an agent predicts but what it does with money. The release contains 416 forecasts and 414 reflections with verbatim reasoning, ground truth (including penalty shootouts), odds, and a reproducible evaluation suite. A reference evaluation surfaces findings that raw accuracy hides: the four agents issue an identical top pick in 92% of matches and none beats the market's Brier score; indeed, a naive flat stake on the market favorite out-earns all four agents. Yet the agents diverge sharply as decision-makers: betting return-on-investment ranges from -18% to +10%, fading the market is unprofitable for all four, the share of forecasts that cite the market ranges from 12% to 100%, and self-reported error rates on wrong picks range from 36% to 86%. The benchmark thus measures calibration, decision quality, and self-knowledge -- axes on which frontier models differ even when their predictions do not. Data and code: https://github.com/graphuofm/FIFA2026LLM

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 19 1

QUACK: Questioning, Understanding, and Auditing Communicated Knowledge in Multimodal Social Deduction Agents

Social deduction games have become a popular testbed for probing reasoning, deception, coordination, and belief modeling in Large Language Model (LLM) agents. However, most environments are scored only by game outcomes such as win rates and largely remain to text-only interaction, making it difficult to tell whether an agent's language is actually grounded in what it perceived and did, or to identify the failure modes underlying its behavior. To address this gap, we introduce QUACK, an open-source environment and evaluation framework for auditing the grounding of agent language in multimodal social reasoning. QUACK evaluates agents at three levels: game outcomes, behavioral trajectories, and utterance-level consistency. Its core Statement Verification Pipeline reconstructs each agent's ground-truth trajectory from engine logs and checks every discussion claim against it, automatically flagging spatial hallucination, unsupported accusation, deception collapse, and language-action inconsistency. Evaluating three frontier VLMs in both homogeneous and cross-model adversarial settings, we find that even the strongest agent hallucinates 15.1% of its verifiable spatial claims and makes over half of its accusations without grounded evidence. We release the full engine, evaluation framework, toolkit, and logs at https://github.com/AAAAA-Academia-Attractions/QUACK.

5a-community New Ground AI
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May 25 2

Thought-Retriever: Don't Just Retrieve Raw Data, Retrieve Thoughts for Memory-Augmented Agentic Systems

Large language models (LLMs) have transformed AI research thanks to their powerful internal capabilities and knowledge. However, existing LLMs still fail to effectively incorporate the massive external knowledge when interacting with the world. Although retrieval-augmented LLMs are proposed to mitigate the issue, they are still fundamentally constrained by the context length of LLMs, as they can only retrieve top-K raw data chunks from the external knowledge base which often consists of millions of data chunks. Here we propose Thought-Retriever, a novel model-agnostic algorithm that helps LLMs generate output conditioned on arbitrarily long external data, without being constrained by the context length or number of retrieved data chunks. Our key insight is to let an LLM fully leverage its intermediate responses generated when solving past user queries (thoughts), filtering meaningless and redundant thoughts, organizing them in thought memory, and retrieving the relevant thoughts when addressing new queries. This effectively equips LLM-based agents with a self-evolving long-term memory that grows more capable through continuous interaction. Besides algorithmic innovation, we further meticulously prepare a novel benchmark, AcademicEval, which requires an LLM to faithfully leverage ultra-long context to answer queries based on real-world academic papers. Extensive experiments on AcademicEval and two other public datasets validate that Thought-Retriever remarkably outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving an average increase of at least 7.6% in F1 score and 16% in win rate across various tasks. More importantly, we further demonstrate two exciting findings: (1) Thought-Retriever can indeed help LLM self-evolve after solving more user queries; (2) Thought-Retriever learns to leverage deeper thoughts to answer more abstract user queries.

  • 5 authors
·
Apr 13

Learning in Dreams, Winning in Reality: A Continuous Dyna Loop for a Ten-Hero MOBA

World models are usually judged from the inside: by prediction loss, by the return a policy earns in imagination, or by how convincing their frames look. We judge one from the outside. We learn a structured, multi-agent world model of a complete ten-hero MOBA (206 units, every hero acting every tick, games of up to 6,000 ticks), train a policy only inside it with 1,400-tick free-running imagined episodes, and measure that policy in the real game against the opponent the game ships with. The real game never provides a gradient; it provides the policy's own games as training data for the world model, and an online evaluation that selects and anchors the policy. Run as a continuous asynchronous Dyna loop, the policy wins 70.2% of real games as radiant (421 of 600; 95% CI 66.4-73.7) on seeds never used for any decision, up from 0% for dream training alone and 33.7% before the loop. It wins none as dire, and neither does the shipped opponent when it plays itself. Four findings explain the result. Model exploitation is invisible from inside the dream: every unanchored run collapsed within a few updates while no in-dream metric tracked the collapse. A world model that is accurate on its training corpus is badly wrong on the policy's own games, and Dyna repairs it there, which is worth +9.2 points of real win rate with the policy recipe held fixed. Finally, the policy inherits its world model's fidelity profile mechanic by mechanic: the model represents the macro game but not crowd control, cast timing or lethality, and the policy wins by map-wide pressure with almost no coordinated fighting. We release the world model, the dream-PPO harness, a world-model debugger, the evaluation protocol, and every policy and log.

  • 1 authors
·
Oct 5

A Benchmark for Generalizing Across Diverse Team Strategies in Competitive Pokémon

Developing AI agents that can robustly adapt to dramatically different strategic landscapes without retraining is a central challenge for multi-agent learning. Pok\'emon Video Game Championships (VGC) is a domain with an extraordinarily large space of possible team configurations of approximately 10^{139} - far larger than those of Dota or Starcraft. The highly discrete, combinatorial nature of team building in Pok\'emon VGC causes optimal strategies to shift dramatically depending on both the team being piloted and the opponent's team, making generalization uniquely challenging. To advance research on this problem, we introduce VGC-Bench: a benchmark that provides critical infrastructure, standardizes evaluation protocols, and supplies human-play datasets and a range of baselines - from large-language-model agents and behavior cloning to reinforcement learning and empirical game-theoretic methods such as self-play, fictitious play, and double oracle. In the restricted setting where an agent is trained and evaluated on a single-team configuration, our methods are able to win against a professional VGC competitor. We extensively evaluated all baseline methods over progressively larger team sets and find that even the best-performing algorithm in the single-team setting struggles at scaling up as team size grows. Thus, policy generalization across diverse team strategies remains an open challenge for the community. Our code is open sourced at https://github.com/cameronangliss/VGC-Bench.

  • 5 authors
·
Jun 11, 2025

DocReward: A Document Reward Model for Structuring and Stylizing

Recent advances in agentic workflows have enabled the automation of tasks such as professional document generation. However, they primarily focus on textual quality, neglecting visual structure and style, which are crucial for readability and engagement. This gap arises mainly from the absence of suitable reward models to guide agentic workflows toward producing documents with stronger structural and stylistic quality. To address this, we propose DocReward, a document reward model that evaluates documents based on their structure and style. We construct a multi-domain dataset DocPair of 117K paired documents, covering 32 domains and 267 document types, each including a high- and low-professionalism document with identical content but different structure and style. This enables the model to evaluate professionalism comprehensively, and in a textual-quality-agnostic way. DocReward is trained using the Bradley-Terry loss to score documents, penalizing predictions that contradict the annotated ranking. To assess the performance of reward models, we create a test dataset containing document bundles ranked by well-educated human evaluators. Notably, DocReward outperforms GPT-4o and GPT-5 in accuracy by 30.6 and 19.4 percentage points, respectively, demonstrating its superiority over baselines. In an extrinsic evaluation of document generation, DocReward achieves a significantly higher win rate of 60.8%, compared to GPT-5's 37.7% win rate, demonstrating its utility in guiding generation agents toward producing human-preferred documents.

MicrosoftResearch Microsoft Research
·
Oct 13, 2025 3

Large Language Models Play StarCraft II: Benchmarks and A Chain of Summarization Approach

StarCraft II is a challenging benchmark for AI agents due to the necessity of both precise micro level operations and strategic macro awareness. Previous works, such as Alphastar and SCC, achieve impressive performance on tackling StarCraft II , however, still exhibit deficiencies in long term strategic planning and strategy interpretability. Emerging large language model (LLM) agents, such as Voyage and MetaGPT, presents the immense potential in solving intricate tasks. Motivated by this, we aim to validate the capabilities of LLMs on StarCraft II, a highly complex RTS game.To conveniently take full advantage of LLMs` reasoning abilities, we first develop textual StratCraft II environment, called TextStarCraft II, which LLM agent can interact. Secondly, we propose a Chain of Summarization method, including single frame summarization for processing raw observations and multi frame summarization for analyzing game information, providing command recommendations, and generating strategic decisions. Our experiment consists of two parts: first, an evaluation by human experts, which includes assessing the LLMs`s mastery of StarCraft II knowledge and the performance of LLM agents in the game; second, the in game performance of LLM agents, encompassing aspects like win rate and the impact of Chain of Summarization.Experiment results demonstrate that: 1. LLMs possess the relevant knowledge and complex planning abilities needed to address StarCraft II scenarios; 2. Human experts consider the performance of LLM agents to be close to that of an average player who has played StarCraft II for eight years; 3. LLM agents are capable of defeating the built in AI at the Harder(Lv5) difficulty level. We have open sourced the code and released demo videos of LLM agent playing StarCraft II.

  • 7 authors
·
Dec 19, 2023

UNSEEN: A Cross-Stack LLM Unlearning Defense against AR-LLM Social Engineering Attacks

Emerging AR-LLM-based Social Engineering attack (e.g., SEAR) is at the edge of posing great threats to real-world social life. In such AR-LLM-SE attack, the attacker can leverage AR (Augmented Reality) glass to capture the image and vocal information of the target, using the LLM to identify the target and generate the social profile, using the LLM agents to apply social engineering strategies for conversation suggestion to win the target trust and perform phishing afterwards. Current defensive approaches, such as role-based access control or data flow tracking, are not directly applicable to the convergent AR-LLM ecosystem (considering embedded AR device and opaque LLM inference), leaving an emerging and potent social engineering threat that existing privacy paradigms are ill-equipped to address. This necessitates a shift beyond solely human-centric measures like legislation and user education toward enforceable vendor policies and platform-level restrictions. Realizing this vision, however, faces significant technical challenges: securing resource-constrained AR-embedded devices, implementing fine-grained access control within opaque LLM inferences, and governing adaptive interactive agents. To address these challenges, we present UNSEEN, a coordinated cross-stack defense that combines an AR ACL (Access Control Layer) for identity-gated sensing, F-RMU-based LLM unlearning for sensitive profile suppression, and runtime agent guardrails for adaptive interaction control. We evaluate UNSEEN in an IRB-approved user study with 60 participants and a dataset of 360 annotated conversations across realistic social scenarios.

  • 9 authors
·
Apr 24