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Nov 9

Harness-Zero: Harness Distillation via Agent-as-Harness

Agent harnesses, the external systems that mediate model-environment interaction, can substantially improve agent performance, but their gains remain tied to the harness at deployment. Because the best harness varies across domains, instances, and models, a general-purpose agent must either settle for a suboptimal shared harness or route among an ever-growing set of specialized ones. We therefore study agent harness distillation: using a domain- or instance-optimized harness as training-time guidance and transferring the behaviors it induces into model weights, so that its gains survive under a single fixed target harness. The challenge is that the two harnesses differ in action space and available information, so guidance from the optimized harness cannot serve directly as supervision for the target one. We introduce Harness-Zero, which enables harness distillation through agent-as-harness. Guided by the optimized harness, a harnessing agent corrects student responses before execution in the target harness's action space, turning harness guidance into training demonstrations. Fine-tuning on the resulting trajectories internalizes harness-induced behavior into the model, so the specialized harness can be removed at deployment. Our experiments spanning knowledge work, tool use, and science domains show that: (1) For frontier LLMs using the same evolved harness, agent-as-harness outperforms code-as-harness. (2) With the specialized harness removed at deployment, Harness-Zero improves the base model's macro-average task success from 23.3% to 44.3%, even exceeding the 41.7% it reaches with that harness still attached. (3) Harness-Zero recovers harness-induced behaviors absent from the base model, with 82.3% average recovery across 28 patterns in the three domains.

No Pain, More Gain: Iterative Merging for Effective Multi-Teacher On-Policy Distillation

Multi-teacher on-policy distillation (MOPD) combines independently developed domain teachers into a single student by distilling their predictions on student-generated samples. We study a setting where teachers share a reference model but undergo different post-training procedures, and find that MOPD can struggle to recover some teacher capabilities. Because distillation occurs on student-generated prefixes, the student initialization can strongly affect subsequent recovery. However, initial benchmark performance is not a reliable predictor of a good MOPD initialization. For example, merge initialization can start below SFT warm-up yet finish higher after MOPD. We further find that effective merging depends on both the relative teacher contributions and the overall merge scale, with some strong configurations lying outside the simplex of convex parameter averaging. Thus, selecting a good merge initialization requires evaluating not only its immediate performance but also the learning it enables under MOPD, making one-shot coefficient search difficult. We propose Iterative Merging for MOPD (IM-MOPD), which starts from a uniform merge and progressively adds task-vector increments for under-recovered domains during distillation. In a 5-domain setting, IM-MOPD achieves higher average normalized recovery than MOPD with either uniform merge initialization or SFT warm-up, showing that effective teacher contributions can be determined progressively during training.

  • 5 authors
·
Sep 27

Feature Recovery for Object Understanding After Irreversible Fire Damage

Objects in post-fire environments often undergo irreversible physical transformations that change their geometry, material state, and visual appearance. Detecting and identifying these remnants is critical for locating hazards, reconstructing pre-incident contents, and inventorying losses. Unlike standard image corruptions, these degradations affect the physical structure of the object itself. To study this setting, we introduce TRACE, a transformation-aware benchmark for post-fire object understanding. TRACE contains 21.4K real-image-grounded synthetic scenes and paired object-level pristine-to-degraded progressions spanning 499 object identities across 189 categories. We define five tasks targeting localization and pre-degradation understanding: degraded-object detection, pristine-state recovery and retrieval, original material recovery, pristine description generation, and functional reasoning. Existing models degrade sharply with severity. From the least to the most severe level, RF-DETR mAP decreases by 71% relative, while InternVL3.5 retrieval R@1 falls from 93.85 to 28.11. To address this, we propose the Feature Recovery Module (FRM), a plug-and-play module that maps degraded encoder features to pristine-aligned representations while keeping the host frozen. Trained only with paired feature supervision, FRM improves scene-level detection, CLIP/SigLIP2 feature recovery, and all four object-level VLM tasks, with larger gains under more severe degradation. Across VLM hosts and severity levels, relative gains average 12.5% for retrieval, 20.1% for material recovery, 13.2% for description generation, and 12.4% for functional reasoning.

When to Intervene? An Empirical Study of Errors and Self-Recovery in LLM Agents

LLM agents interact with Web services to perform tasks on users' behalf. Errors during these interactions can disrupt execution and prevent task completion, motivating external intervention. However, agents may self-recover through continued execution, raising the question of when to intervene and when to wait for self-recovery. We present an empirical study of errors and self-recovery in LLM agents. We construct ReInBench, a dataset containing 1,259 agent traces and 1,403 error events across computer-use and Web tasks. Our study examines how often and how quickly agents self-recover, how self-recovery relates to subsequent execution and task completion, and whether self-recovery can be predicted when an error occurs. We find that 725 error events self-recover, often within a few steps, with self-recovery performance differing across Execution LLMs. Self-recovery can also help agents recover from subsequent errors of the same type and support overall task completion. Intervention should therefore prioritize errors unlikely to self-recover, while allowing agents to continue when self-recovery is likely. Building on these empirical findings, we propose ReCoF, a method that predicts whether an error will self-recover to inform whether additional intervention is needed. ReCoF achieves an average relative improvement of 9.02% in Macro-F1 over the strongest baseline on ReInBench. Our code and data can be found at https://method-notes.github.io/ReCoF/.

  • 6 authors
·
Oct 26

Recoverable Compression: A Multimodal Vision Token Recovery Mechanism Guided by Text Information

With the advancement of large-scale language modeling techniques, large multimodal models combining visual encoders with large language models have demonstrated exceptional performance in various visual tasks. Most of the current large-scale multimodal models achieve this by mapping visual features obtained from the visual encoder into a large language model and using them as inputs alongside text for downstream tasks. Therefore, the number of visual tokens directly affects the training and inference speed of the model. There has been significant work on token pruning for visual transformers, but for large multimodal models, only relying on visual information for token pruning or compression may lead to significant loss of important information. On the other hand, the textual input in the form of a question may contain valuable information that can aid in answering the question, providing additional knowledge to the model. To address the potential oversimplification and excessive pruning that can occur with most purely visual token pruning methods, we propose a text information-guided dynamic visual token recovery mechanism that does not require training. This mechanism leverages the similarity between the question text and visual tokens to recover visually meaningful tokens with important text information while merging other less important tokens. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed method achieves comparable performance to the original approach while compressing the visual tokens to an average of 10% of the original quantity. Our source code will be made publicly available following acceptance.

  • 6 authors
·
Sep 2, 2024

All is Not Lost: LLM Recovery without Checkpoints

Training LLMs on decentralized and wimpy computation nodes, e.g., multiple on-spot instances, lowers the training cost and enables model democratization. The inevitable challenge here is the churn of nodes due to failures and the operator's scheduling policies, leading to losing a stage - a part of the model. The conventional approaches to recover from failures are to either use checkpointing, where periodically a copy of the entire model is sent to an additional storage, or redundant computation. These approaches yield significant communication and/or computation overhead even in non-failure cases and scale poorly in settings with large models. In this paper, we propose, CheckFree, an efficient recovery method where a failing stage is substituted by a weighted average of the closest neighboring stages. In contrast to the state of the art, CheckFree requires no additional computation or storage. However, because of the nature of averaging neighbouring stages, it can only recover failures of intermediate stages. We further extend our method to CheckFree+ with out-of-order pipeline execution to tolerate crashes of the first and last stages. Thanks to out-of-order pipelining, behaviour of those stages is mimicked by their neighboring ones, which allows CheckFree+ to recover them by simply copying the weights from the immediate neighbour. To be able to recover the (de)embedding layers, CheckFree+ copies those layers to the neighboring stages, which requires relatively small storage overhead. We extensively evaluate our method on LLaMa models of model sizes from 124M to 1.5B with varying failure frequencies. In the case of low and medium failure rates (5-10%), CheckFree and CheckFree+ outperform both checkpointing and redundant computation in terms of convergence in wall-clock time by over 12%. Both of our proposals can be run via our code available at: https://github.com/gensyn-ai/CheckFree.

Gensyn Gensyn
·
Jun 18, 2025 3

FailSafe: Reasoning and Recovery from Failures in Vision-Language-Action Models

Recent advances in robotic manipulation have integrated low-level robotic control into Vision-Language Models (VLMs), extending them into Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models. Although state-of-the-art VLAs achieve strong performance in downstream robotic applications, supported by large-scale crowd-sourced robot training data, they still inevitably encounter failures during execution. Enabling robots to reason and recover from unpredictable and abrupt failures remains a critical challenge. Existing robotic manipulation datasets, collected in either simulation or the real world, primarily provide only ground-truth trajectories, leaving robots unable to recover once failures occur. Moreover, the few datasets that address failure detection typically offer only textual explanations, which are difficult to utilize directly in VLA models. To address this gap, we introduce FailSafe, a novel failure generation and recovery system that automatically produces diverse failure cases paired with executable recovery actions. FailSafe can be seamlessly applied to any manipulation task in any simulator, enabling scalable creation of failure action data. To demonstrate its effectiveness, we fine-tune LLaVa-OneVision-7B (LLaVa-OV-7B) to build FailSafe-VLM. Experimental results show that FailSafe-VLM successfully helps robotic arms detect and recover from potential failures, improving the performance of three state-of-the-art VLA models (pi0-FAST, OpenVLA, OpenVLA-OFT) by up to 22.6% on average across several tasks in Maniskill. Furthermore, FailSafe-VLM could generalize across different spatial configurations, camera viewpoints, object and robotic embodiments. We plan to release the FailSafe code to the community.

  • 7 authors
·
Oct 1, 2025

Diagnosis Before Recovery: Turning Agent Failures into Selective Self-Correction

Self-correction is particularly useful when a failure constrains the next repair. Coding agents benefit from this property because compilers, tests, and execution traces turn many failures into typed recovery signals, but broad language-agent tasks often expose only a coarse task failure. This creates a tension for generic recovery playbooks: they broaden the agent's context precisely when the system needs a narrower repair interface, mixing incompatible signals for invalid actions, missing procedures, and strict-format errors. Our insight is that development-set failures can recover part of the missing diagnostic substrate by deciding which recovery interventions are admissible before test-time correction. We propose DARC, a diagnosis-guided recovery harness that profiles task-family failure modes, prunes mismatched interventions from a shared recovery library, and freezes a verifier-selected success-cost policy for deployment. This causal order makes correction selective: the harness first determines what kind of failure can be repaired, then decides how much recovery evidence to spend. In ALFWorld, AppWorld, and XBRL Finance, the same protocol yields an action-validity harness, a procedural-recovery fallback, and a format-precision retrieval policy; in each evaluated setting it improves average task performance over base agents and broad playbooks while reducing environment steps or retrieval budget. Our experiments show that failures need not trigger uniformly more context: DARC turns self-correction from prompt expansion into recovery-interface design. DARC provides a practical route toward more reliable agents in domains where compiler-like feedback is absent: making failures actionable before making contexts larger.

  • 9 authors
·
Aug 11

AgentHeal: Evaluating Goal-Preserving Resource Recovery of Web Agents under Access Barriers

Large language model (LLM) agents have demonstrated strong capabilities in automating complex information-seeking and transactional tasks across the open web. However, their real-world reliability remains limited by access barriers, such as dead links, authentication walls, rate limits, and anti-scraping defenses. These barriers block the primary execution path, causing agents to abort prematurely, loop indefinitely, or quietly compromise the user's original constraints. Existing evaluations either implicitly assume that target resources are freely accessible or focus on transient perturbations that simple retries can resolve, failing to capture scenarios where agents must actively reroute around impassable bottlenecks. To bridge this gap, this paper introduces AgentHeal, a comprehensive benchmark evaluating goal-preserving resource recovery, defined as the ability of web agents to detect non-transient access barriers, pivot to legitimate alternative sources, and fulfill the user's exact original objective. Spanning nine barrier families across a counterfactual sandbox and real-website replay, our experiments on leading LLM backbones show that average task success drops sharply from 89.4% to 43.7% under access barriers. Further analysis reveals that agents frequently fall for deceptive look-alikes, fail to escalate to users when necessary, violate access policies, or waste computation on futile retries, providing actionable diagnostics for developing resilient web agents.

  • 4 authors
·
Oct 28

Price of Quality: Sufficient Conditions for Sparse Recovery using Mixed-Quality Data

We study sparse recovery when observations come from mixed-quality sources: a small collection of high-quality measurements with small noise variance and a larger collection of lower-quality measurements with higher variance. For this heterogeneous-noise setting, we establish sample-size conditions for information-theoretic and algorithmic recovery. On the information-theoretic side, we show that it is sufficient for (n_1, n_2) to satisfy a linear trade-off defining the Price of Quality: the number of low-quality samples needed to replace one high-quality sample. In the agnostic setting, where the decoder is completely agnostic to the quality of the data, it is uniformly bounded, and in particular one high-quality sample is never worth more than two low-quality samples for this sufficient condition to hold. In the informed setting, where the decoder is informed of per-sample variances, the price of quality can grow arbitrarily large. On the algorithmic side, we analyze the LASSO in the agnostic setting and show that the recovery threshold matches the homogeneous-noise case and only depends on the average noise level, revealing a striking robustness of computational recovery to data heterogeneity. Together, these results give the first conditions for sparse recovery with mixed-quality data and expose a fundamental difference between how the information-theoretic and algorithmic thresholds adapt to changes in data quality.

  • 2 authors
·
May 10

A Local Perturbation Theory for Cross-Domain Interference and Recovery in Multi-Domain RL

Reinforcement learning (RL) post-training improves large language models (LLMs) on individual domains such as mathematical reasoning, code generation, question answering, and creative writing (CW), but training on one domain often degrades performance on others. Existing explanations based on catastrophic forgetting or global gradient conflict are incomplete: substantial interference can occur even when full-model gradients are nearly orthogonal. We show that single-domain RL produces sparse, small-magnitude parameter edits with weak overlap among top-changed neurons, while different domains still share substantial active computation routes on which update directions determine whether they act synergistically or conflict. Guided by this observation, we prove under a local perturbation model of multi-domain RL that later-domain training harms an earlier domain mainly through a second-order damage term, which under the observed sparse route structure concentrates in a low-dimensional shared conflict subspace. Moreover, a short domain refresh contracts the harmful component on this subspace, enabling selective recovery with limited collateral damage. Consistent with the theory, a brief Re-Math refresh after Code rightarrow Math rightarrow QA rightarrow CW recovers Math from 57.66 to 66.04 while largely preserving performance on the other domains, yielding the best average score of 66.39. Beyond refresh, a training-free rollback on a sparse proxy conflict coordinate set for the Math-QA pair partially restores Math, providing direct proxy-level evidence for localized damage. These results provide a localized mechanistic account of interference and recovery in multi-domain RL.

  • 3 authors
·
May 31 1

Slow Beats Fast at the Kesten-Stigum Threshold: Minimax, Fisher-Information and Belief-Propagation Characterizations of the Information-Computation Gap in Sparse Stochastic Block Models

We study community recovery in the sparse symmetric stochastic block model with q communities, average degree d and signal strength λ through statistical decision theory and Fisher information, and obtain three characterizations of the Kesten-Stigum threshold dλ^2=1 and of the information-computation gap below it. First, on each community-size profile the minimax risk of any class of rules closed under averaging and vertex relabeling equals its Bayes risk under the uniform prior; the posterior mean is the unique Bayes rule and is admissible, and the Bayes risk of degree-D polynomial rules is the trivial risk times 1-Corr_D^2. Combined with known low-degree and information-theoretic results, this gives the gap as a worst-case statement: for qge 5 there is a window below the threshold in which no low-degree rule beats the trivial risk asymptotically, while an exponential-time rule does on a set of labelings of probability 1-o(1). Second, the Fisher information about λ carried by cycle counts is a series with terms of order k(dλ^2)^k, convergent exactly when dλ^2<1; below the threshold the relative error of every unbiased cycle-based estimator of λ^k stays above an explicit constant, and every cycle-count test has success probability bounded below one. Third, the derivative of belief propagation at its uninformative fixed point multiplies a random perturbation by |λ|d per iteration, and one EM step taken there leaves λ unchanged. A signal-to-noise computation recovers the condition dλ^{1/χ}>1 of Chin et al. for q=n^χ communities and identifies personalized PageRank as a walk count with suboptimal weights. Experiments on networks with up to 3times 10^5 vertices confirm the threshold for q=2, the hard window for q=5, and the many-community scaling.

  • 1 authors
·
Oct 5

RiboDiffusion: Tertiary Structure-based RNA Inverse Folding with Generative Diffusion Models

RNA design shows growing applications in synthetic biology and therapeutics, driven by the crucial role of RNA in various biological processes. A fundamental challenge is to find functional RNA sequences that satisfy given structural constraints, known as the inverse folding problem. Computational approaches have emerged to address this problem based on secondary structures. However, designing RNA sequences directly from 3D structures is still challenging, due to the scarcity of data, the non-unique structure-sequence mapping, and the flexibility of RNA conformation. In this study, we propose RiboDiffusion, a generative diffusion model for RNA inverse folding that can learn the conditional distribution of RNA sequences given 3D backbone structures. Our model consists of a graph neural network-based structure module and a Transformer-based sequence module, which iteratively transforms random sequences into desired sequences. By tuning the sampling weight, our model allows for a trade-off between sequence recovery and diversity to explore more candidates. We split test sets based on RNA clustering with different cut-offs for sequence or structure similarity. Our model outperforms baselines in sequence recovery, with an average relative improvement of 11% for sequence similarity splits and 16% for structure similarity splits. Moreover, RiboDiffusion performs consistently well across various RNA length categories and RNA types. We also apply in-silico folding to validate whether the generated sequences can fold into the given 3D RNA backbones. Our method could be a powerful tool for RNA design that explores the vast sequence space and finds novel solutions to 3D structural constraints.

  • 5 authors
·
Apr 16, 2024

CausGround: Causal Interaction Grounding for Adaptive Embodied Planning

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) show promising reasoning capabilities, but reliable physical interaction requires planning that accounts for when actions are executable and how they change the world. These preconditions and effects are environment-dependent and often not captured by MLLMs, making adaptation challenging. Yet existing approaches either require costly environment-specific training or rely on unstructured interaction experience that is difficult to reuse. Therefore, we introduce CausGround, a non-parametric causal interaction grounding framework that distills interaction experience into reusable action-centered causal knowledge. CausGround identifies action preconditions and effects and organizes them in a factorized world-state representation capturing object attributes and inter-object relations. At planning time, task-relevant causal dependencies are grounded in current observations to support backward reasoning over preconditions and forward reasoning over effects for action selection and multi-step planning. We evaluate CausGround on simulated high-level planning, interaction reasoning, and real-world robot manipulation. On adapted VirtualHome and RoboCasa benchmarks, CausGround improves vision-based high-level planning across MLLM backbones, increasing average task success from 24.9% to 53.3% on VirtualHome and closed-loop planning success from 43.0% to 57.0% on RoboCasa. On SWITCH, average interaction reasoning accuracy increases from 25.8% to 31.9%, indicating improved action selection, recovery, and verification. Moreover, real-world experiments show that CausGround reasons backward from MLLM-interpreted goals to derive executable high-level action sequences for sequential manipulation. These results demonstrate that reusable action preconditions and effects support long-horizon embodied planning across diverse environments without parameter updates.

  • 9 authors
·
Oct 20 2

Recovering Aggressively Pruned Vision-Language-Action Models with Offline Hidden-State Distillation

Vision-language-action (VLA) models let robots follow language instructions, but their language backbones of several billion parameters are the main obstacle to running them on robot hardware. Structured pruning reduces that backbone, and removing 63% of it from OpenVLA-OFT drops LIBERO-Long success from 93.2% to 0.8%. A recent approach restores such a model with supervised fine-tuning followed by reinforcement learning, which needs online rollouts and hundreds of GPU-hours. We recover most of the lost success entirely offline. Width pruning narrows the blocks but keeps the residual stream at its original size, so teacher and student hidden states have the same shape and are matched directly, without a projector. Training against a cache built in one teacher pass lifts the 63%-reduced student to within 3.5 points of the teacher in about 8 GPU-hours. A sweep over nine ratios locates where the recovery objective starts to matter. Up to 45% reduction the two do not differ significantly on OpenVLA-OFT. Hidden-state distillation then adds +2.1 to +4.5 points there between 63% and 87%, and +9.4 to +22.1 points on CogACT from 63% onward. At 81% on CogACT, a tripled recovery budget narrows the distilled student's gap to the teacher to 3.9 points on average, while supervised recovery stays more than 20 points below. At matched compression, width pruning yields higher success and depth pruning lower latency. On a 6-DoF manipulator, the distilled student at 72% reduction reaches 77.5% success against 59.5% for supervised recovery, runs 2.23x faster on-board than the teacher, and uses 62% less memory.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 16

Multi-Agent Inverse Q-Learning from Demonstrations

When reward functions are hand-designed, deep reinforcement learning algorithms often suffer from reward misspecification, causing them to learn suboptimal policies in terms of the intended task objectives. In the single-agent case, inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) techniques attempt to address this issue by inferring the reward function from expert demonstrations. However, in multi-agent problems, misalignment between the learned and true objectives is exacerbated due to increased environment non-stationarity and variance that scales with multiple agents. As such, in multi-agent general-sum games, multi-agent IRL algorithms have difficulty balancing cooperative and competitive objectives. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Agent Marginal Q-Learning from Demonstrations (MAMQL), a novel sample-efficient framework for multi-agent IRL. For each agent, MAMQL learns a critic marginalized over the other agents' policies, allowing for a well-motivated use of Boltzmann policies in the multi-agent context. We identify a connection between optimal marginalized critics and single-agent soft-Q IRL, allowing us to apply a direct, simple optimization criterion from the single-agent domain. Across our experiments on three different simulated domains, MAMQL significantly outperforms previous multi-agent methods in average reward, sample efficiency, and reward recovery by often more than 2-5x. We make our code available at https://sites.google.com/view/mamql .

  • 5 authors
·
Mar 6, 2025

Ask to Distill: Learning to Synthesize Data for On-Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) can succeed with surprisingly few training questions, motivating a view of questions as carriers of distributional knowledge transfer. How can we assess whether a newly generated question is valuable for distillation, and learn to generate better questions---without access to its correct answer? We introduce Ask-to-Distill (\method), a framework that treats synthetic questions as distribution elicitors and optimizes the teacher supervision they expose along student-generated trajectories. A student-initialized synthesizer is optimized using a distributional surrogate for question value, computed from a frozen student--teacher pair without reference answers, correctness rewards, or per-candidate student updates. The reward combines teacher--student disagreement with teacher probability mass on the student's candidate support, together with length and diversity controls. The generated questions are filtered and deduplicated into a prompt-only bank for standard OPD. Across mathematical reasoning, code generation, and agentic tasks, our method improves average performance and teacher-gap recovery over unoptimized student-generated prompts and KL-filtered real questions, while matching or exceeding real-bank OPD in the evaluated settings. Signal analyses further show that optimized questions can elicit denser supervision and more total signal from shorter student responses, supporting elicited distributional supervision as an objective for synthetic distillation data. Our code, data and models are publicly available at https://github.com/GasolSun36/Ask_to_Distill.

DexHoldem: Playing Texas Hold'em with Dexterous Embodied System

Evaluating embodied systems on real dexterous hardware requires more than isolated primitive skills: an agent must perceive a changing tabletop scene, choose a context-appropriate action, execute it with a dexterous hand, and leave the scene usable for later decisions. We introduce DexHoldem, a real-world system-level benchmark built around Texas Hold'em dexterous manipulation with a ShadowHand. DexHoldem provides 1,470 teleoperated demonstrations across 14 Texas Hold'em manipulation primitives, a standardized physical policy benchmark, and an agentic perception benchmark that tests whether agents can recover the structured game state needed for embodied decision making. On primitive execution, π_{0.5} obtains the highest task completion rate (61.2%), while π_{0.5} and π_0 tie on scene-preserving success rate (47.5%). On agentic perception, Opus 4.7 obtains the best strict problem-level accuracy (34.3%), while GPT 5.5 obtains the best average field-wise accuracy (66.8%), exposing a gap between isolated visual sub-capabilities and complete routing-relevant state recovery. Finally, we instantiate the full embodied-agent loop in three case studies, where waiting, recovery dispatches, human-help requests, and repeated primitive execution reveal how perception and policy errors accumulate during closed-loop deployment. DexHoldem therefore evaluates dexterous tabletop execution, agentic perception, and embodied decision routing in a shared physical setting. Project page: https://dexholdem.github.io/Dexholdem/.

The strength of clinical evidence is recoverable from language model representations but not from their stated grades

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly summarize clinical evidence, where a claim's weight depends on how strongly it is supported. Yet these models convey confidence poorly, and properties they never state, such as truth, are often readable from their activations. Whether a clinical model registers evidence strength, distinct from truth, and states it when asked is untested, and any such signal could be lexical. We compiled 45,134 clinical claims from six public sources, harmonized 20,611 into a four-level evidence grade under three independent frameworks, and tested 22 local, open-weight LLMs from several developers (0.6-70 billion parameters; general, medical, and reasoning), with lexical, truth, and cross-framework controls. A linear estimator recovered the grade in every model (median AUROC 71.8), yet decodability did not rise with scale and was weakest in reasoning models. The grade the models stated fell to chance, 25-27 percentage points below the estimator. The recoverable signal was largely lexical and did not transfer across topics or frameworks, yet it was distinct from factual truth and still flagged weakly supported claims (AUROC 69.2). Clinical LLMs thus carry an ordered evidence-strength signal they do not express, so their stated grades fail to convey a claim's support even when it is recoverable from their representations and text.

  • 1 authors
·
Jun 26

Metric-Construction Coupling Inflates Measured Synthetic Dialect Recovery

Korean dialect corpora are available but not redistributable: weights may be released, while reproducing training and evaluation from the underlying data cannot be. We ask how much of that supervision synthetic data recovers, and whether that recovery can be measured independently of the synthesis pipeline. We contribute KoDialectBench, 1,000 items across five regions on three axes, released as identifier hashes and scoring code so users reconstruct the items from their own licensed copy. Recovery is strongly axis-dependent: our best synthetic arm reaches 91.2% of the real-data gain on region identification but 63.7% on comprehension. On generation the answer depends on the metric: the deployed marker lexicon reports 92.3% on dialectness and 119.3% on region match, the latter exceeding the real-data reference, whereas reference-based generation reaches 72.4%. We find the marker metrics' scoring inventory is entirely contained in the inventory our transformation rules can emit. We test the effect of construction access directly with an exact-form construction-disjoint arm that withholds 20% of marker types from the rules. At exactly matched training size (8,600 examples) it reduces dialectness recovery from 91.8% to 8.1% and region-match recovery from 101.9% to 25.6% on the held-out marker inventory, while the three pipeline-independent measurements do not fall at all. A complementary evaluator sweep defines metric-construction coverage (MCC) and finds measured dialectness recovery increasing monotonically as overlap rises from MCC=0 to MCC=1. Shared construction and evaluation inventories can therefore substantially inflate estimates of synthetic-data recovery.

  • 1 authors
·
Sep 13

Compound Estimation for Binomials

Many applications involve estimating the mean of multiple binomial outcomes as a common problem -- assessing intergenerational mobility of census tracts, estimating prevalence of infectious diseases across countries, and measuring click-through rates for different demographic groups. The most standard approach is to report the plain average of each outcome. Despite simplicity, the estimates are noisy when the sample sizes or mean parameters are small. In contrast, the Empirical Bayes (EB) methods are able to boost the average accuracy by borrowing information across tasks. Nevertheless, the EB methods require a Bayesian model where the parameters are sampled from a prior distribution which, unlike the commonly-studied Gaussian case, is unidentified due to discreteness of binomial measurements. Even if the prior distribution is known, the computation is difficult when the sample sizes are heterogeneous as there is no simple joint conjugate prior for the sample size and mean parameter. In this paper, we consider the compound decision framework which treats the sample size and mean parameters as fixed quantities. We develop an approximate Stein's Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE) for the average mean squared error given any class of estimators. For a class of machine learning-assisted linear shrinkage estimators, we establish asymptotic optimality, regret bounds, and valid inference. Unlike existing work, we work with the binomials directly without resorting to Gaussian approximations. This allows us to work with small sample sizes and/or mean parameters in both one-sample and two-sample settings. We demonstrate our approach using three datasets on firm discrimination, education outcomes, and innovation rates.

  • 2 authors
·
Dec 30, 2025

Data-driven Tracking of the Bounce-back Path after Disasters: Critical Milestones of Population Activity Recovery and Their Spatial Inequality

The ability to measure and track the speed and trajectory of a community's post-disaster recovery is essential to inform resource allocation and prioritization. The current survey-based approaches to examining community recovery, however, have significant lags and put the burden of data collection on affected people. Also, the existing literature lacks quantitative measures for important milestones to inform the assessment of recovery trajectory. Recognizing these gaps, this study uses location-based data related to visitation patterns and credit card transactions to specify critical recovery milestones related to population activity recovery. Using data from 2017 Hurricane Harvey in Harris County (Texas), the study specifies four critical post-disaster recovery milestones and calculates quantitative measurements of the length of time between the end of a hazard event and when the spatial areas (census tracts) reached these milestones based on fluctuations in visits to essential and non-essential facilities, and essential and non-essential credit card transactions. Accordingly, an integrated recovery metric is created for an overall measurement of each spatial area's recovery progression. Exploratory statistical analyses were conducted to examine whether variations in community recovery progression in achieving the critical milestones is correlated to its flood status, socioeconomic characteristics, and demographic composition. Finally, the extent of spatial inequality is examined. The results show the presence of moderate spatial inequality in population activity recovery in Hurricane Harvey, based upon which the inequality of recovery is measured. Results of this study can benefit post-disaster recovery resource allocation as well as improve community resilience towards future natural hazards.

  • 6 authors
·
Nov 20, 2022

Measure, Don't Optimize: Forecasting Recovery in LLM Unlearning

Prior white-box studies show that large language models can retain latent traces of target knowledge after unlearning, even when the knowledge is no longer expressed in their outputs. However, existing audits remain limited to one-off diagnostics: it is unclear whether these residual signals can predict future recovery under continued training or serve as reliable optimization targets. Resolving this gap is essential to determine whether internal auditing can move beyond post-hoc evaluation toward proactive risk monitoring and safer unlearning. We propose J-Access, an inference-time audit that uses the Jacobian lens to map intermediate representations into vocabulary space and measures how often target concepts remain accessible along the model's output pathway. We hypothesize that residual accessibility reflects recovery susceptibility: knowledge that remains closer to the output pathway requires less fine-tuning to restore, leading to faster recovery. We audit 398 public unlearned models spanning eight unlearning methods. We find that: (1) most unlearned models retain access above the retain-only gold level; (2) pre-attack accessibility predicts recovery speed and extent at the model level, but cannot identify which specific facts will be recovered; and (3) directly minimizing J-Access does not promote genuine deletion. Instead, the model learns to hide knowledge from the audit, producing lower audit scores but greater post-attack recovery. These findings position J-Access as a model-level diagnostic for assessing residual susceptibility in unlearned models. We argue internal audits should serve as an independent diagnostic dimension in unlearning evaluation, and should not be converted into optimization targets without validation.

  • 11 authors
·
Aug 10

Comparative Validation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Surgical Workflow and Skill Analysis with the HeiChole Benchmark

PURPOSE: Surgical workflow and skill analysis are key technologies for the next generation of cognitive surgical assistance systems. These systems could increase the safety of the operation through context-sensitive warnings and semi-autonomous robotic assistance or improve training of surgeons via data-driven feedback. In surgical workflow analysis up to 91% average precision has been reported for phase recognition on an open data single-center dataset. In this work we investigated the generalizability of phase recognition algorithms in a multi-center setting including more difficult recognition tasks such as surgical action and surgical skill. METHODS: To achieve this goal, a dataset with 33 laparoscopic cholecystectomy videos from three surgical centers with a total operation time of 22 hours was created. Labels included annotation of seven surgical phases with 250 phase transitions, 5514 occurences of four surgical actions, 6980 occurences of 21 surgical instruments from seven instrument categories and 495 skill classifications in five skill dimensions. The dataset was used in the 2019 Endoscopic Vision challenge, sub-challenge for surgical workflow and skill analysis. Here, 12 teams submitted their machine learning algorithms for recognition of phase, action, instrument and/or skill assessment. RESULTS: F1-scores were achieved for phase recognition between 23.9% and 67.7% (n=9 teams), for instrument presence detection between 38.5% and 63.8% (n=8 teams), but for action recognition only between 21.8% and 23.3% (n=5 teams). The average absolute error for skill assessment was 0.78 (n=1 team). CONCLUSION: Surgical workflow and skill analysis are promising technologies to support the surgical team, but are not solved yet, as shown by our comparison of algorithms. This novel benchmark can be used for comparable evaluation and validation of future work.

  • 41 authors
·
Sep 29, 2021

The Structure of Quantization Damage in LLMs: Why the Next Bit Should Be Spent Globally

Post-training quantization (PTQ) is widely used to reduce the cost of serving large language models (LLMs), but its accuracy cost is uneven and is often tuned per model. We study where quantization damage occurs and how to allocate a small additional precision budget. Using causal mixed-precision intervention as ground truth (raise each layer to 8-bit in turn and measure the accuracy it recovers) across 9 open-weight models in 4 architecture families, we test 3 intuitive hypotheses: that quantization damage lives in task circuits, where the model computes, or in weight statistics. None of them predicts which layers benefit from restored precision. Recovery is instead diffuse: for 8 of 9 models, recovering 75% of the gap takes roughly half the layers; the lone exception, Qwen3-8B, is sharply concentrated. At a matched precision budget, spending it globally on finer quantization granularity beats locally repairing the most recoverable layers for all 8 group-128-compatible models (all but OpenLLaMA, whose width rules out group-128), by 21-52 points, including the concentrated Qwen3-8B. We report 2 secondary findings: the residual is budget-limited (8-bit is near-lossless in our evaluation across RTN, GPTQ, and AWQ), and the location of peak recovery correlates with architecture within a family, though not across families. Within this budget setting, global granularity is a better default than selectively protecting critical layers. More broadly, cheap signals that correlate with quantization damage do not necessarily identify where restoring precision improves accuracy; this must be tested with causal intervention.

  • 2 authors
·
Aug 31

The Effect of Quantization on Clinical Benchmarks: Accuracy and Safety Across Model Families

Quantization enables deployment of large language models on resource-constrained clinical edge devices, but its effect on clinical accuracy and safety remains understudied. We evaluate five 7-8B parameter models at FP16, GPTQ-INT8, and GPTQ-INT4 precision across five benchmarks: MedQA, MedMCQA, Med-HALT, a risk-stratified sample of HealthBench, and MedSafetyBench. The study jointly varies quantization bit width, model family, and clinical task type, with explicit risk stratification and safety measures. INT8 GPTQ is universally safe (max. degradation -1.9%-1.9%), while INT4 degradation is substantial and model-dependent: BioMistral-7B, clinically fine-tuned, loses 19.7% on MedMCQA, more than any general-purpose model, showing clinical fine-tuning does not confer compression robustness. MedMCQA degrades more than MedQA under INT4; Med-HALT is largely unaffected. On HealthBench's emergency-risk subgroup, Qwen2.5-7B degrades by 26.8% under INT4, suggesting high-risk scenarios are disproportionately vulnerable to compression. On MedSafetyBench, the model family dominates over precision (refusal rates range 10.2%-74.9% at FP16), though Qwen2.5-7B (-17.8%) and Meditron-7B (-28.3%) show substantial INT4 safety degradation; notably, Qwen2.5-7B is simultaneously the most accuracy-robust model, demonstrating that accuracy and safety robustness are independent properties. We additionally test two recovery methods, clinical calibration substitution and QLoRA fine-tuning, both producing the same trade-off: MedMCQA recovers while MedQA further degrades, indicating recovery strategies require task-specific validation rather than being assumed universally beneficial. These findings indicate INT8 is broadly safe for clinical deployment, while INT4 safety must be assessed per-model and per-task, and that safety alignment is determined primarily by instruction tuning rather than clinical domain adaptation.

  • 2 authors
·
Sep 1

Protection Is (Nearly) All You Need: Structural Protection Dominates Scoring in Globally Capped KV Eviction

We study KV cache eviction under a shared globally capped decode-time harness. Seven policies (LRU, H2O, SnapKV, StreamingLLM, Ada-KV, QUEST, Random) share a prompt-boundary vulnerability: without structural protection, they collapse to near-zero quality on six pure-transformer models (F1leq0.064). Reserving 10\% of cache at each boundary recovers 69--90\% of the C{=}2{,}048 reference-ceiling quality on seven LongBench models at C{=}256 (13\% retention); a ten-model panel spans 68--98\%. An attention-mass pilot (Qwen2.5-3B, N{=}30) suggests why: the position-0 sink holds {sim}75% of prefix mass, while other boundary tokens sit near {sim}0.41{times} uniform expectation, so attention scorers retain the sink but still drop structurally critical tokens. With protection, simplified score-isolation variants are TOST-equivalent to LRU at K{=}32 (Δ{=}0.02); at K{=}8, attention policies pairwise converge yet beat LRU by 0.011--0.021 F1 across C{=}256 and C{=}512. Faithful Ada-KV/QUEST add {sim}0.03--0.04 F1 on Mistral-7B and Phi-3.5 beyond simplified variants. A NIAH-32K regime-transfer pilot on Qwen3-4B (decode vs.\ prefill, C{in}{512,2048}) shows near-identical protection lifts (ratio 0.99--1.00). At 64K, protection helps but recovery is modest; faithful per-head scoring matches full-cache ceiling on Gemma-3-4B at 6.3\% retention only when the model already supports strong 64K retrieval without eviction. Overall: protection dominates; scoring differences are secondary once boundaries are guarded; per-head allocation gives a further modest gain.

  • 1 authors
·
May 17