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Nov 2

Social-Implicit: Rethinking Trajectory Prediction Evaluation and The Effectiveness of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Best-of-N (BoN) Average Displacement Error (ADE)/ Final Displacement Error (FDE) is the most used metric for evaluating trajectory prediction models. Yet, the BoN does not quantify the whole generated samples, resulting in an incomplete view of the model's prediction quality and performance. We propose a new metric, Average Mahalanobis Distance (AMD) to tackle this issue. AMD is a metric that quantifies how close the whole generated samples are to the ground truth. We also introduce the Average Maximum Eigenvalue (AMV) metric that quantifies the overall spread of the predictions. Our metrics are validated empirically by showing that the ADE/FDE is not sensitive to distribution shifts, giving a biased sense of accuracy, unlike the AMD/AMV metrics. We introduce the usage of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation (IMLE) as a replacement for traditional generative models to train our model, Social-Implicit. IMLE training mechanism aligns with AMD/AMV objective of predicting trajectories that are close to the ground truth with a tight spread. Social-Implicit is a memory efficient deep model with only 5.8K parameters that runs in real time of about 580Hz and achieves competitive results. Interactive demo of the problem can be seen at https://www.abduallahmohamed.com/social-implicit-amdamv-adefde-demo . Code is available at https://github.com/abduallahmohamed/Social-Implicit .

  • 5 authors
·
Mar 6, 2022

WorldFlow: Joint Video and 3D Motion Prediction via Large-Scale Pretraining

Predicting future physical states stands as a central challenge in embodied intelligence. Existing video world models leave 3D dynamics implicit, action-based formulations remain tied to specific robot configurations, and 3D motion prediction models use flow-only supervision, providing a limited learning signal for physical dynamics. To circumvent these limitations, we introduce , a generative world model that jointly predicts future video and query-based 3D trajectories. By parameterizing 3D motion as continuous displacement tokens aligned with the video grid, a unified Mixture-of-Transformers (MoT) backbone jointly denoises both modalities under a rectified-flow objective. This formulation couples explicit geometric dynamics with visual evolution, effectively unlocking the physical commonsense embedded within pretrained video models. To empirically scale and validate this unified architecture, we train on a heterogeneous mixture of 1.44 million object-level samples spanning simulated and real-world domains. We further introduce WorldFlowBench, comprising 1,678 evaluation samples from 11 data sources across simulated and real-world interactions, including spatial reasoning tasks. Across all three evaluation sets, WorldFlow achieves the lowest average displacement error (ADE) and final displacement error (FDE) among the evaluated learning-based methods. Notably, on the challenging SpatialCog set, WorldFlow achieves an ADE of 0.060 m, a 54.2\% reduction compared with the strongest external baseline. It also reduces ADE and FDE by 55.9\% and 68.5\%, respectively, compared with its flow-only variant. Project page: https://worldflow-rbs.github.io/.

  • 12 authors
·
Oct 28

Joint Metrics Matter: A Better Standard for Trajectory Forecasting

Multi-modal trajectory forecasting methods commonly evaluate using single-agent metrics (marginal metrics), such as minimum Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE), which fail to capture joint performance of multiple interacting agents. Only focusing on marginal metrics can lead to unnatural predictions, such as colliding trajectories or diverging trajectories for people who are clearly walking together as a group. Consequently, methods optimized for marginal metrics lead to overly-optimistic estimations of performance, which is detrimental to progress in trajectory forecasting research. In response to the limitations of marginal metrics, we present the first comprehensive evaluation of state-of-the-art (SOTA) trajectory forecasting methods with respect to multi-agent metrics (joint metrics): JADE, JFDE, and collision rate. We demonstrate the importance of joint metrics as opposed to marginal metrics with quantitative evidence and qualitative examples drawn from the ETH / UCY and Stanford Drone datasets. We introduce a new loss function incorporating joint metrics that, when applied to a SOTA trajectory forecasting method, achieves a 7% improvement in JADE / JFDE on the ETH / UCY datasets with respect to the previous SOTA. Our results also indicate that optimizing for joint metrics naturally leads to an improvement in interaction modeling, as evidenced by a 16% decrease in mean collision rate on the ETH / UCY datasets with respect to the previous SOTA.

  • 4 authors
·
May 10, 2023

Keep the Future, Drop the Rollout: RIFT for World Action Models

World action models (WAMs) condition robot actions on predicted futures, but iterative video rollout increases deployment latency. We ask whether action generation requires the evolving rollout trajectory or only its future representation. Across four WAMs on all 40 LIBERO tasks, paired closed-loop interventions show that masking or reassigning future-cache values changes execution and reduces success, indicating sensitivity to future values and their assigned positions. For Joint and Cosmos-2, however, replaying one fixed final-clean key/value (K/V) cache nearly preserves unmodified execution, with 1.7 to 1.9~cm end-effector average displacement error and 97.9% to 98.2% success. This separates cache consumption from production: these models can reuse a fixed cache but still require iterative rollout to construct it. We therefore propose RIFT (Rollout-free Imagination via Future Tokens), which uses learned anticipation tokens to construct a complete future K/V cache in one backbone pass while retaining the original future-read interface. On LIBERO, RIFT achieves 98.8% success, close to rollout-based Joint, IDM, and LingBot-VA at 98.4% to 98.6%, while reducing action-chunk latency by 68.2% to 89.1%. On RoboTwin~2.0, RIFT reaches 92.9/92.6% on clean/randomized scenes, the highest observed among the evaluated methods. These results support rollout-free future conditioning without iterative video generation at deployment.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 12

Dense 3D Displacement Estimation for Landslide Monitoring via Fusion of TLS Point Clouds and Embedded RGB Images

Landslide monitoring is essential for understanding geohazards and mitigating associated risks. However, existing point cloud-based methods typically rely on either geometric or radiometric information and often yield sparse or non-3D displacement estimates. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical partition-based coarse-to-fine approach that fuses 3D point clouds and co-registered RGB images to estimate dense 3D displacement vector fields. We construct patch-level matches using both 3D geometry and 2D image features. These matches are refined via geometric consistency checks, followed by rigid transformation estimation per match. Experimental results on two real-world landslide datasets demonstrate that our method produces 3D displacement estimates with high spatial coverage (79% and 97%) and high accuracy. Deviations in displacement magnitude with respect to external measurements (total station or GNSS observations) are 0.15 m and 0.25 m on the two datasets, respectively, and only 0.07 m and 0.20 m compared to manually derived references. These values are below the average scan resolutions (0.08 m and 0.30 m). Our method outperforms the state-of-the-art method F2S3 in spatial coverage while maintaining comparable accuracy. Our approach offers a practical and adaptable solution for TLS-based landslide monitoring and is extensible to other types of point clouds and monitoring tasks. Our example data and source code are publicly available at https://github.com/zhaoyiww/fusion4landslide.

  • 5 authors
·
Jun 19, 2025

Observation-Centric SORT: Rethinking SORT for Robust Multi-Object Tracking

Kalman filter (KF) based methods for multi-object tracking (MOT) make an assumption that objects move linearly. While this assumption is acceptable for very short periods of occlusion, linear estimates of motion for prolonged time can be highly inaccurate. Moreover, when there is no measurement available to update Kalman filter parameters, the standard convention is to trust the priori state estimations for posteriori update. This leads to the accumulation of errors during a period of occlusion. The error causes significant motion direction variance in practice. In this work, we show that a basic Kalman filter can still obtain state-of-the-art tracking performance if proper care is taken to fix the noise accumulated during occlusion. Instead of relying only on the linear state estimate (i.e., estimation-centric approach), we use object observations (i.e., the measurements by object detector) to compute a virtual trajectory over the occlusion period to fix the error accumulation of filter parameters during the occlusion period. This allows more time steps to correct errors accumulated during occlusion. We name our method Observation-Centric SORT (OC-SORT). It remains Simple, Online, and Real-Time but improves robustness during occlusion and non-linear motion. Given off-the-shelf detections as input, OC-SORT runs at 700+ FPS on a single CPU. It achieves state-of-the-art on multiple datasets, including MOT17, MOT20, KITTI, head tracking, and especially DanceTrack where the object motion is highly non-linear. The code and models are available at https://github.com/noahcao/OC_SORT.

  • 5 authors
·
Mar 27, 2022

Learning Nonlinear Responses in PET Bottle Buckling with a Hybrid DeepONet-Transolver Framework

Neural surrogates and operator networks for solving partial differential equation (PDE) problems have attracted significant research interest in recent years. However, most existing approaches are limited in their ability to generalize solutions across varying non-parametric geometric domains. In this work, we address this challenge in the context of Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) bottle buckling analysis, a representative packaging design problem conventionally solved using computationally expensive finite element analysis (FEA). We introduce a hybrid DeepONet-Transolver framework that simultaneously predicts nodal displacement fields and the time evolution of reaction forces during top load compression. Our methodology is evaluated on two families of bottle geometries parameterized by two and four design variables. Training data is generated using nonlinear FEA simulations in Abaqus for 254 unique designs per family. The proposed framework achieves mean relative L^{2} errors of 2.5-13% for displacement fields and approximately 2.4% for time-dependent reaction forces for the four-parameter bottle family. Point-wise error analyses further show absolute displacement errors on the order of 10^{-4}-10^{-3}, with the largest discrepancies confined to localized geometric regions. Importantly, the model accurately captures key physical phenomena, such as buckling behavior, across diverse bottle geometries. These results highlight the potential of our framework as a scalable and computationally efficient surrogate, particularly for multi-task predictions in computational mechanics and applications requiring rapid design evaluation.

  • 5 authors
·
Sep 16, 2025

Stable Video Infinity: Infinite-Length Video Generation with Error Recycling

We propose Stable Video Infinity (SVI) that is able to generate infinite-length videos with high temporal consistency, plausible scene transitions, and controllable streaming storylines. While existing long-video methods attempt to mitigate accumulated errors via handcrafted anti-drifting (e.g., modified noise scheduler, frame anchoring), they remain limited to single-prompt extrapolation, producing homogeneous scenes with repetitive motions. We identify that the fundamental challenge extends beyond error accumulation to a critical discrepancy between the training assumption (seeing clean data) and the test-time autoregressive reality (conditioning on self-generated, error-prone outputs). To bridge this hypothesis gap, SVI incorporates Error-Recycling Fine-Tuning, a new type of efficient training that recycles the Diffusion Transformer (DiT)'s self-generated errors into supervisory prompts, thereby encouraging DiT to actively identify and correct its own errors. This is achieved by injecting, collecting, and banking errors through closed-loop recycling, autoregressively learning from error-injected feedback. Specifically, we (i) inject historical errors made by DiT to intervene on clean inputs, simulating error-accumulated trajectories in flow matching; (ii) efficiently approximate predictions with one-step bidirectional integration and calculate errors with residuals; (iii) dynamically bank errors into replay memory across discretized timesteps, which are resampled for new input. SVI is able to scale videos from seconds to infinite durations with no additional inference cost, while remaining compatible with diverse conditions (e.g., audio, skeleton, and text streams). We evaluate SVI on three benchmarks, including consistent, creative, and conditional settings, thoroughly verifying its versatility and state-of-the-art role.

epfl-vita EPFL VITA Lab
·
Oct 10, 2025 5

PDE-constrained optimization for virtual sensing in structural dynamics: Full-field displacement and force recovery from sparse sensors

Virtual sensing -- recovering full-field structural response from sparse sensor measurements -- is a fundamental challenge in structural health monitoring (SHM). Fracture assessment, fatigue evaluation and remaining useful life (RUL) prognosis all take the applied load as their input, and that load frequently acts on surfaces that cannot be instrumented. An improved load estimate is therefore of direct practical value for SHM and for prognostics and health management (PHM). The mode-based approach reconstructs the displacement field accurately from a small number of sensors and has been applied successfully for that purpose. The load inferred from this reconstructed displacement is far less reliable, because the residual displacement error is amplified when it is mapped back through the dynamic stiffness. This study therefore formulates virtual sensing as a PDE-constrained optimization (PDE-CO) problem in which the elastodynamic equation is an equality constraint and the applied load is the optimization variable, so that displacement and load are estimated together rather than in sequence. To manage the computational cost, the framework separates offline finite element model preparation from online reconstruction. The assembled matrices are reused during online optimization, and the forward and gradient evaluations can use GPU-based parallel computation. The numerical comparisons support improved noise robustness of PDE-CO displacement reconstruction relative to the mode-based approach within the tested settings. These results provide a theoretical and computational foundation for the development of virtual sensing for SHM and PHM.

  • 4 authors
·
Sep 7

Low-Precision Rank Compensation for Matrices and Tensor Trains

Lower numerical precision reduces storage and memory traffic but raises the perturbation floor. We study rank compensation: reinvesting saved memory in a larger approximation rank. For matrices, the singular-value error identity yields a directly testable sufficient condition requiring the additional singular component to offset the perturbation from storing the rank-augmented approximation in lower precision. On ten SuiteSparse matrices, all 100 truncation-dominated configurations (50 FP32 and 50 FP16) are certified non-increases and strict accuracy wins, with mean error ratio 0.963 and storage ratios 58.8% and 29.4% relative to the FP64 baseline. FP16 failures occur only in tail-rank stress tests near the perturbation floor. At the largest resident matrix-application batch, compensated FP32 and FP16 achieve geometric-mean A100 speedups of 1.28times and 2.12times; neither accelerates the smallest batch. For Tensor-Train (TT) approximation, we give a conditional a posteriori extension based on the measured truncation gain and rounded-core perturbation. Across three-way and six-way synthetic tests, FP32 and FP16 achieve combined accuracy-memory wins in 10 of 20 and 14 of 20 trials. On public hyperspectral tensors and FROSTT top-active subtensors, the corresponding counts are 44 of 60 and 54 of 60; four FP16 Salinas-A tail-stress cases fail. No certified TT case exceeds the FP64 error beyond numerical tolerance. Reconstruction of six public tensors yields geometric-mean compensated speedups of 1.38times (FP32) and 1.94times (FP16). Timings cover resident downstream kernels, not factorization, transfers, or end-to-end acceleration.

  • 2 authors
·
Jul 13

An RTK-SLAM Dataset for Absolute Accuracy Evaluation in GNSS-Degraded Environments

RTK-SLAM systems integrate simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) with real-time kinematic (RTK) GNSS positioning, promising both relative consistency and globally referenced coordinates for efficient georeferenced surveying. A critical and underappreciated issue is that the standard evaluation metric, Absolute Trajectory Error (ATE), first fits an optimal rigid-body transformation between the estimated trajectory and reference before computing errors. This so-called SE(3) alignment absorbs global drift and systematic errors, making trajectories appear more accurate than they are in practice, and is unsuitable for evaluating the global accuracy of RTK-SLAM. We present a geodetically referenced dataset and evaluation methodology that expose this gap. A key design principle is that the RTK receiver is used solely as a system input, while ground truth is established independently via a geodetic total station. This separation is absent from all existing datasets, where GNSS typically serves as (part of) the ground truth. The dataset is collected with a handheld RTK-SLAM device, comprising two scenes. We evaluate LiDAR-inertial, visual-inertial, and LiDAR-visual-inertial RTK-SLAM systems alongside standalone RTK, reporting direct global accuracy and SE(3)-aligned relative accuracy to make the gap explicit. Results show that SE(3) alignment can underestimate absolute positioning error by up to 76\%. RTK-SLAM achieves centimeter-level absolute accuracy in open-sky conditions and maintains decimeter-level global accuracy indoors, where standalone RTK degrades to tens of meters. The dataset, calibration files, and evaluation scripts are publicly available at https://rtk-slam-dataset.github.io/.

  • 5 authors
·
Apr 7

ERTACache: Error Rectification and Timesteps Adjustment for Efficient Diffusion

Diffusion models suffer from substantial computational overhead due to their inherently iterative inference process. While feature caching offers a promising acceleration strategy by reusing intermediate outputs across timesteps, naive reuse often incurs noticeable quality degradation. In this work, we formally analyze the cumulative error introduced by caching and decompose it into two principal components: feature shift error, caused by inaccuracies in cached outputs, and step amplification error, which arises from error propagation under fixed timestep schedules. To address these issues, we propose ERTACache, a principled caching framework that jointly rectifies both error types. Our method employs an offline residual profiling stage to identify reusable steps, dynamically adjusts integration intervals via a trajectory-aware correction coefficient, and analytically approximates cache-induced errors through a closed-form residual linearization model. Together, these components enable accurate and efficient sampling under aggressive cache reuse. Extensive experiments across standard image and video generation benchmarks show that ERTACache achieves up to 2x inference speedup while consistently preserving or even improving visual quality. Notably, on the state-of-the-art Wan2.1 video diffusion model, ERTACache delivers 2x acceleration with minimal VBench degradation, effectively maintaining baseline fidelity while significantly improving efficiency. The code is available at https://github.com/bytedance/ERTACache.

  • 9 authors
·
Aug 27, 2025

Intervention anchors and scientific verification in synthetic vascular predictive representations

Complete orthogonal predictive coordinates do not by themselves bind a latent direction to a named intervention. We present a mathematical and synthetic audit motivated by vascular device-vessel suitcordance. Capacity-matched least-squares predictors were exactly equivalent under complete fixed output transforms, whereas an anchor-only observer recovered interpretations only within the span of known perturbation signatures. Six three-dimensional configurations across 64 seeds gave a maximum paired prediction discrepancy of 6.7e-15 but a median untransported edit error of 1.513. Coordinate transport removed that error. Noisy and weak anchors constrained calibration stability, and changing the representation basis required recalibration or verified transport. Across 256 additional fits in dimensions 3-24, prediction equivalence persisted within 4.0e-15. We then evaluated nine deliberate runnable fault classes across 64 seeds. All 576 faulty executions completed, but each violated at least one reconstruction, prediction, delivered-edit or scope contract; all 320 valid control records passed. Repeating a faulty implementation gave exact self-agreement despite error against the separately computed simulator expectation. For one omitted-direction defect, probe coverage followed its analytic law, and rank-aware abstention protected unsupported interpretations. Scalar-noise experiments exposed both missed weak faults and excessive rejection under narrow relative tolerances. These controls provide an executable separation of prediction, semantic support and scientific acceptance. They are synthetic numerical audits, not clinical validation, neural JEPA-Anything replication, agent learning or patient treatment-effect estimation.

  • 7 authors
·
Oct 7

TACD: Distilling Efficient Text-to-Motion Models via Terminal Amplification Control

Recent text-to-motion models have improved motion quality and instruction following, yet many-step denoising and large model components make deployment slow and memory-intensive. We present Terminal-Amplification-Controlled Distillation (TACD), an on-policy approach for training efficient motion generators from text prompts and pretrained teachers, without real-motion training data. Building on segmented on-policy flow distillation, we supervise clean-motion predictions along student-generated trajectories. We identify a failure mode in which velocity matching on a fixed supervision grid repeatedly overweights errors near the denoising endpoint, degrading few-step generation. TACD ties the latest teacher query to the student's step size, bounding the effective loss weights in clean-motion space without changing inference. Experiments on HumanML3D and KIT-ML demonstrate improved few-step generation, including a 58% reduction in eight-step HY-Motion student FID relative to distillation without this bound. For diffusion teachers, the endpoint-matching form of TACD yields four-step students with lower FID and matched or improved text-motion retrieval relative to their 50-step teachers on HumanML3D. On HY-Motion and Kimodo, eight-step students with compact components achieve 7.7-11.9x end-to-end speedups and reduce peak GPU memory by 3.8-6.7x relative to their teachers. Project page: https://vkgo.github.io/TACD/

  • 11 authors
·
Oct 1

Round-Trip Consistency: Bidirectional Diffusion Models Can Predict Their Own Rollout Errors

Autoregressive models accumulate error over long rollouts, yet at deployment there is no ground truth to measure it against. We train a single conditional latent diffusion model that steps a dynamical system forward or backward in time via a direction flag, and show that this bidirectionality supplies a measurement-free test-time error signal: rolling forward i steps and then backward i steps must return the model to its start, so the round-trip discrepancy C_i is a self-supervised proxy for the unobservable rollout error: no ensembles, no held-out data, no governing equations, for one extra rollout. We validate on compressible magnetohydrodynamics (MHD), an astrophysical turbulent radiative mixing layer, and natural face videos (CelebV-HQ). On held-out MHD trajectories, C_i ranks rollout error (Spearman 0.91-0.98 at fixed depth; 0.69 pm 0.16 within trajectories), and a simple calibrator fit on training rollouts predicts its magnitude to within 1.14times (68%) and 1.29times (95%) with near-nominal coverage - one nat beyond a depth-only predictor, transferring to all six decoded physical fields. The same signal flags the out-of-distribution Orszag-Tang vortex (AUROC 0.98; 1.0 by depth 10) exactly where sampling-dispersion baselines invert, and it cuts incurred error by 15% at 80% coverage - three times the depth-only baseline. Bidirectional training comes at negative cost, beating direction specialists in both directions, and the backward direction doubles as a fast inverse solver. On LE-PDE-UQ's turbulent Navier-Stokes benchmark, a single bidirectional model reaches accuracy within 1.3times of their ten-model ensemble at a tenth of the training cost, with the best training-free pixel-level calibration. Round-trip consistency turns reversibility into a practical trust signal for generative models.

  • 1 authors
·
Aug 1 3

Analyzing Data Quality and Decay in Mega-Constellations: A Physics-Informed Machine Learning Approach

In the era of mega-constellations, the need for accurate and publicly available information has become fundamental for satellite operators to guarantee the safety of spacecrafts and the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) space environment. This study critically evaluates the accuracy and reliability of publicly available ephemeris data for a LEO mega-constellation - Starlink. The goal of this work is twofold: (i) compare and analyze the quality of the data against high-precision numerical propagation. (ii) Leverage Physics-Informed Machine Learning to extract relevant satellite quantities, such as non-conservative forces, during the decay process. By analyzing two months of real orbital data for approximately 1500 Starlink satellites, we identify discrepancies between high precision numerical algorithms and the published ephemerides, recognizing the use of simplified dynamics at fixed thresholds, planned maneuvers, and limitations in uncertainty propagations. Furthermore, we compare data obtained from multiple sources to track and analyze deorbiting satellites over the same period. Empirically, we extract the acceleration profile of satellites during deorbiting and provide insights relating to the effects of non-conservative forces during reentry. For non-deorbiting satellites, the position Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was approximately 300 m, while for deorbiting satellites it increased to about 600 m. Through this in-depth analysis, we highlight potential limitations in publicly available data for accurate and robust Space Situational Awareness (SSA), and importantly, we propose a data-driven model of satellite decay in mega-constellations.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 13, 2025

Robust Tool Use via Fission-GRPO: Learning to Recover from Execution Errors

Large language models (LLMs) can call tools effectively, yet they remain brittle in multi-turn execution: following a tool call error, smaller models often degenerate into repetitive invalid re-invocations, failing to interpret error feedback and self-correct. This brittleness hinders reliable real-world deployment, where the execution errors are inherently inevitable during tool interaction procedures. We identify a key limitation of current approaches: standard reinforcement learning (RL) treats errors as sparse negative rewards, providing no guidance on how to recover, while pre-collected synthetic error-correction datasets suffer from distribution mismatch with the model's on-policy error modes. To bridge this gap, we propose Fission-GRPO, a framework that converts execution errors into corrective supervision within the RL training loop. Our core mechanism fissions each failed trajectory into a new training instance by augmenting it with diagnostic feedback from a finetuned Error Simulator, then resampling recovery rollouts on-policy. This enables the model to learn from the precise errors it makes during exploration, rather than from static, pre-collected error cases. On the BFCL v4 Multi-Turn, Fission-GRPO improves the error recovery rate of Qwen3-8B by 5.7% absolute, crucially, yielding a 4% overall accuracy gain (42.75% to 46.75%) over GRPO and outperforming specialized tool-use agents.

  • 9 authors
·
Jan 21 2

Disparity Has a Sign: Stereo Matching Beyond the Zero-Disparity Plane

Modern stereo matching models fail when disparity crosses zero, with end-point error (EPE) rising by 4.6-37times. Yet stereoscopic content, from cinema 3D to VR, routinely contains objects behind the zero-disparity plane (ZDP), corresponding to negative disparities. The blind spot cascades through datasets, architectures, and evaluation protocols, all of which inherit the non-negative geometry. Rectified parallel cameras place ZDP at infinity, so every finite depth yields d=fB/z ge 0 by construction, and nothing within the standard pipeline can violate, or even measure, a negative disparity. To measure it, we propose ZDPShift, a benchmark of 21{,}495 stereo pairs from seven cinematographer-authored open movies, each frame rendered at five zero-disparity-plane positions with dense signed ground truth. Six state-of-the-art image and video stereo matching models collapse once the plane moves. On identical scene content, FoundationStereo goes from 2.24 px EPE to 75.33px, with every backbone leaving roughly half of all pixels exceeding a three-pixel disparity error. What is missing, however, is not the underlying matching capability. % The capability itself, however, is already present. Training on supervision synthesized from SceneFlow, which adds no new data or parameters, keeps the error flat across the signed range. Training only the decoder, with the pretrained matching features frozen, performs comparably across all six backbones, with EPE jittering within 0.2px. Thus, the pretrained features already extend to the negative regime they were never trained on, and only the output convention discarded it. Meanwhile, positive-regime accuracy on KITTI, Middlebury, ETH3D, and Sintel is largely preserved.

  • 5 authors
·
Sep 5

CORRECT: COndensed eRror RECognition via knowledge Transfer in multi-agent systems

Multi-agent systems (MAS) are increasingly capable of tackling complex real-world tasks, yet their reliance on inter-agent coordination, tool use, and long-horizon reasoning makes error recognition particularly challenging. Minor errors can propagate across agents, escalating into task failures while producing long, intertwined execution trajectories that impose significant costs for both human developers and automated systems to debug and analyze. Our key insight is that, despite surface differences in failure trajectories (e.g., logs), MAS errors often recur with similar structural patterns. This paper presents CORRECT, the first lightweight, training-free framework that leverages an online cache of distilled error schemata to recognize and transfer knowledge of failure structures across new requests. This cache-based reuse allows LLMs to perform targeted error localization at inference time, avoiding the need for expensive retraining while adapting to dynamic MAS deployments in subseconds. To support rigorous study in this domain, we also introduce CORRECT-Error, a large-scale dataset of over 2,000 annotated trajectories collected through a novel error-injection pipeline guided by real-world distributions, and further validated through human evaluation to ensure alignment with natural failure patterns. Experiments across seven diverse MAS applications show that CORRECT improves step-level error localization up to 19.8% over existing advances while at near-zero overhead, substantially narrowing the gap between automated and human-level error recognition.

  • 7 authors
·
Sep 28, 2025 2

Invalidation Contracts for Cross-Episode Agent Memory

LLM agents that cache recovery suggestions from API errors can skip re-derivation in later episodes, spending fewer tokens and fewer model calls on constraints they have already learned. Server-side data drift turns those cached fixes into silent failures, and the usual remedy, re-deriving on every episode, gives the savings back. We introduce invalidation contracts, a protocol layer that attaches version stamps and cacheability hints to every recovery suggestion so the client can evict stale entries without trial and error, and keep the rest. The contract decomposes realized savings into two independent factors: validity, the fraction of cached suggestions that remain correct after a drift event, and compliance, the fraction the planner applies on the first attempt. Validity depends only on the protocol and is vendor-independent. Compliance depends on the planner model: identical wire bytes yield 100% first-try compliance on Claude Haiku 4.5 and 11% or below on Claude Sonnet 5, which exhibits input-schema conservatism, refusing fixes that add fields the original request did not contain. We evaluate across seven models, three serving paths, two domains, and approximately 9,400 episodes. Row-level invalidation raises compliance by 0 to 66.7 percentage points across the seven models, 55.6 to 66.7 on three, and recovers 29-33% of baseline token cost on four of seven models, while table-level invalidation destroys co-located entries and drops post-drift first-try rates to 0% on five of seven. Eviction precision is 1.00 at row granularity on every model under the row-level oracle of Section 4.1. The contract adds 15% to response payload. Version-stamp validity is deterministic by construction and produced identical results across every model and serving path, with zero contract failures in the entire evaluation.

  • 2 authors
·
Aug 30

Global displacement induced by rigid motion simulation during MRI acquisition

Purpose: Simulation of motion in the frequency domain during the MRI acquisition process is an important tool to study the effect of object motion. It is natural in this context to rely on a voxel-to-voxel difference metric between the original image and its motion-simulated version to quantify the alteration. These metrics are very sensitive to any mis-coregistration between the two images. As we observed global displacements of the corrupted image for specific simulated motions, we focused this work on the critical choice of a reference position of the object for the motion simulation that avoids any global displacement. Methods: We used the motion simulation framework and we studied the different proposed solutions. Classically, the position around the k-space center is considered as a reference with two analytical solutions to correct for global image shifts: demeaning the image in the Fourier domain either using the exact position at k-space center or using a weighted average around the center. Results: We demonstrated with motion simulated examples that these analytical solutions did not yield the same results as a direct co-registration method. Indeed, short transitions around the k-space center did not induce any global displacement, in contrast with what both analytical solutions assumed. We also observed a dependence of the global shift to both the motion amplitude and the translation direction. Conclusion: In the absence of a theoretical solution, we concluded that an extra co-registration step after motion simulation was needed in order to compare the simulation with its reference image.

  • 4 authors
·
Apr 6, 2022

EFT Validity and Truncation Uncertainty from few Nuisance Parameters

An observable in an Effective Field Theory (EFT) is an expansion in a set of small parameters, no different than any other perturbation series. Truncating such a series expansion leaves the leading dropped term as the dominant source of error, and that term itself contains a calculable portion. We explore the partial calculation of this next-order error, available at dim-6^2 in SMEFT with no additional tools needed to simulate it, and explore how to efficiently use that partial calculation to model the next-order uncertainty in full using a minimal number of nuisance parameters. This estimate of the uncertainty of the EFT signal rate naturally imposes EFT validity by ensuring that bounds are driven by kinematic regions where truncation uncertainties are parametrically smaller than the signal. We incorporate the calculable dim-6^2 piece into the signal and cover the remaining higher-dimension uncertainty with a small set of nuisance parameters derived from a scan over Wilson-coefficient values. Our algorithm to determine the relevant nuisance parameters and distributions is automation-friendly and applies to arbitrary truncation choices. We then provide multiple examples of its implementation in high-energy collider processes focused on SMEFT truncated at O(Λ^{-2}), where the dim-6^2 piece is used to estimate the full mathcal O(Λ^{-4}) dependence. In the examples considered here the reduction of nuisance parameters is appreciable, generically reducing the nuisance parameter count by an order of magnitude compared to naïve estimates.

  • 3 authors
·
Jul 1

Direct Factorization of the Karhunen-Loève Transform of AR(1) Sources

The Karhunen--Loève transform (KLT) of the stationary AR(1) source is the classical optimality benchmark of transform coding. Its frequencies are roots of the transcendental equations of Ray and Driver, and the transform has therefore long been treated as an unstructured dense matrix. Rather than compute the exact KLT, the field turned to fast approximations of it, most famously the discrete cosine transform (DCT). This paper shows that the retreat was premature. The exact AR(1) KLT admits direct recursive factorizations, at every order Nge2 and every correlation coefficient ρin(0,1): at even orders, the transform reduces to a butterfly stage, two half-order copies of itself, and orthogonal corrections generated by rank-one boundary perturbations of the covariance; at odd orders, to two copies of the KLT of the one-sided prediction residual and an arrowhead stage absorbing the center sample. The residual KLT recurses through half order as well. All correction stages are Cauchy-structured, and applying them by the fast multipole method yields exact-KLT algorithms of O(Nlog N) complexity---the same order as the FFT and the fast sinusoidal transforms. The factorizations follow from the covariance matrix by the Sherman--Morrison identity and the classical secular eigenvalue updates, and degenerate, as ρto1, to the known parity splittings of the DCT-II. As secondary results, the factorization constants are shown to be algebraic functions of ρ---in radicals for all Nle8---and complete exact KLT modules for N=2,dots,8 are given.

  • 1 authors
·
Aug 5

Error Feedback Reloaded: From Quadratic to Arithmetic Mean of Smoothness Constants

Error Feedback (EF) is a highly popular and immensely effective mechanism for fixing convergence issues which arise in distributed training methods (such as distributed GD or SGD) when these are enhanced with greedy communication compression techniques such as TopK. While EF was proposed almost a decade ago (Seide et al., 2014), and despite concentrated effort by the community to advance the theoretical understanding of this mechanism, there is still a lot to explore. In this work we study a modern form of error feedback called EF21 (Richtarik et al., 2021) which offers the currently best-known theoretical guarantees, under the weakest assumptions, and also works well in practice. In particular, while the theoretical communication complexity of EF21 depends on the quadratic mean of certain smoothness parameters, we improve this dependence to their arithmetic mean, which is always smaller, and can be substantially smaller, especially in heterogeneous data regimes. We take the reader on a journey of our discovery process. Starting with the idea of applying EF21 to an equivalent reformulation of the underlying problem which (unfortunately) requires (often impractical) machine cloning, we continue to the discovery of a new weighted version of EF21 which can (fortunately) be executed without any cloning, and finally circle back to an improved analysis of the original EF21 method. While this development applies to the simplest form of EF21, our approach naturally extends to more elaborate variants involving stochastic gradients and partial participation. Further, our technique improves the best-known theory of EF21 in the rare features regime (Richtarik et al., 2023). Finally, we validate our theoretical findings with suitable experiments.

  • 3 authors
·
Feb 16, 2024

BLADE: Single-view Body Mesh Learning through Accurate Depth Estimation

Single-image human mesh recovery is a challenging task due to the ill-posed nature of simultaneous body shape, pose, and camera estimation. Existing estimators work well on images taken from afar, but they break down as the person moves close to the camera. Moreover, current methods fail to achieve both accurate 3D pose and 2D alignment at the same time. Error is mainly introduced by inaccurate perspective projection heuristically derived from orthographic parameters. To resolve this long-standing challenge, we present our method BLADE which accurately recovers perspective parameters from a single image without heuristic assumptions. We start from the inverse relationship between perspective distortion and the person's Z-translation Tz, and we show that Tz can be reliably estimated from the image. We then discuss the important role of Tz for accurate human mesh recovery estimated from close-range images. Finally, we show that, once Tz and the 3D human mesh are estimated, one can accurately recover the focal length and full 3D translation. Extensive experiments on standard benchmarks and real-world close-range images show that our method is the first to accurately recover projection parameters from a single image, and consequently attain state-of-the-art accuracy on 3D pose estimation and 2D alignment for a wide range of images. https://research.nvidia.com/labs/amri/projects/blade/

  • 8 authors
·
Dec 11, 2024

AgentForesight: Online Auditing for Early Failure Prediction in Multi-Agent Systems

LLM-based multi-agent systems are increasingly deployed on long-horizon tasks, but a single decisive error is often accepted by downstream agents and cascades into trajectory-level failure. Existing work frames this as post-hoc failure attribution, diagnosing the responsible agent and step after the trajectory has ended. However, this paradigm forfeits any opportunity to intervene while trajectory is still unfolding. In this work, we introduce AgentForesight, a framework that reframes this problem as online auditing: at each step of an unfolding trajectory, an auditor observes only the current prefix and must either continue the run or alarm at the earliest decisive error, without access to future steps. To this end, we curate AFTraj-2K, a corpus of agentic trajectories across Coding, Math, and Agentic domains, in which safe trajectories are retained under a strict curation pipeline and unsafe trajectories are annotated at the step of their decisive error via consensus among multiple LLM judges. Built on that, we develop AgentForesight-7B, a compact online auditor trained with a coarse-to-fine reinforcement learning recipe that first equips it with a risk-anticipation prior at the failure boundary on adjacent safe/unsafe prefix pairs, then sharpens this prior into precise step-level localization under a three-axis reward jointly targeting the what, where, and who of an audit verdict. Across AFTraj-2K and an external Who\&When benchmark, AgentForesight-7B outperforms leading proprietary models, including GPT-4.1 and DeepSeek-V4-Pro, achieving up to +19.9% performance gain and 3times lower step localization error, opening the loop from post-hoc failures detection to enabling deployment-time intervention. Project page: https://zbox1005.github.io/agent-foresight/

Component Type, Not Reconstruction Error, Predicts Attention Quantization Sensitivity

Many post-training quantization (PTQ) methods use layer-wise reconstruction, second-order proxy objectives, or activation-aware transformations to reduce quantization-induced error. Whether that error signal predicts the downstream functional impact of quantizing an individual attention projection has not been directly characterized. We sweep nine open-weight language models (1.3B--8B parameters; OPT, GPT-J, LLaMA-1/2/3, Mistral, Qwen 2.5) and quantize one attention projection at a time under round-to-nearest (RTN) and, for seven models, GPTQ at 3 and 4 bits, recording reconstruction error, perplexity change, and per-projection activation-weighted quantization error for 3,808 distinct measurements. We find: (1) within a given component type (Q, K, V, or O), reconstruction error explains less than 10% of the variance in perplexity sensitivity in 27 of 36 cases under RTN, with median R^2 = 0.044; (2) both component type and layer identity explain more variance than reconstruction error in all 9 models, with layer identity the strongest predictor in 7 of 9 models and component type strongest in the remaining 2; (3) value (V) projections are the most commonly dominant component, accounting for 38--51% of total positive Delta PPL in seven of nine models; (4) the dominant component is broadly preserved between RTN and GPTQ (5 of 7 cases); and (5) activation-weighted quantization error is a moderately better within-component predictor than reconstruction error for V projections specifically (median R^2 of 0.20 vs. 0.06). These findings indicate that relative weight reconstruction error alone is insufficient for sensitivity-aware bit allocation, and that V projections merit dedicated consideration in mixed-precision schemes.

  • 3 authors
·
Aug 8

HiP3R: Hierarchical Pose Graphs for Long-Horizon 3D Reconstruction

Feed-forward models accurately estimate camera motion and 3D geometry from short video windows. However, computational and memory costs prevent direct inference on sequences containing thousands of frames. Long videos must therefore be processed as overlapping chunks. This division produces independent local reconstructions with inconsistent coordinate frames and duplicate estimates of shared cameras. Achieving global consistency requires propagating constraints from adjacent overlaps and distant revisits across the sequence. This requirement naturally motivates pose graph optimization. However, the choice of graph level creates a trade-off. Chunk-level graphs efficiently resolve scale drift and close large loops. Yet, their rigid transformations cannot correct internal errors or conflicting frame predictions. Conversely, frame-level optimization offers local flexibility, but scaling it globally is computationally expensive and can break metric scale. HiP3R resolves this trade-off using a hierarchical pose graph. HiP3R first optimizes a robust chunk-level Sim(3) graph to establish the global layout and scale. It then holds this layout fixed and estimates one shared SE(3) camera per frame, turning overlapping window predictions into a single trajectory. Experiments across multiple benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of HiP3R in improving camera trajectories and 3D reconstruction. Our method applies to both chunk-based and streaming backends without additional training or fine-tuning. The codes are available at https://kkakkkka.github.io/HiP3R.

Quantization Meets Reasoning: Exploring and Mitigating Degradation of Low-Bit LLMs in Mathematical Reasoning

Low-bit post-training quantization (PTQ) is a practical route to deploy reasoning-capable LLMs under tight memory and latency budgets, yet it can markedly impair mathematical reasoning (drops up to 69.81% in our harder settings). We address two deployment-critical questions with process-level precision: Where along a step-structured solution does degradation first arise? How to mitigate it while staying in the low-bit regime? Across widely used PTQ methods (AWQ, GPTQ, SmoothQuant), open-source model families (Qwen, LLaMA; 0.5--7B), and math reasoning benchmarks (GSM8K, MATH, AIME), we perform format-aligned chain-of-thought with step-aligned attribution and uncover two robust regularities: (i) PTQ disproportionately elevates method and execution errors relative to high-level conceptual mistakes; and (ii) failures emerge early, with the first vulnerable step flipping and cascading to the final answer. These regularities suggest a general intervention principle: restore local token-level margins exactly at the earliest failure frontier. We instantiate this principle as a lightweight measurerightarrowlocaterightarrowrestore loop that operates directly on the quantized model: detect the first faulty step, construct our "Silver Bullet" datasets, and apply small-scale supervised/preference tuning. In our settings, as few as 332 curated examples and 3--5 minutes of compute on a single GPU recover 4-bit weight math reasoning toward the full-precision baseline while preserving PTQ efficiency. Our framework is quantizer- and architecture-agnostic within the evaluated regimes, and turns low-bit degradation from a global accuracy problem into a local, reproducible process intervention.

  • 11 authors
·
Jan 19

Interpretable structural model error discovery from sparse assimilation increments using spectral bias-reduced neural networks: A quasi-geostrophic turbulence test case

Earth system models suffer from various structural and parametric errors in their representation of nonlinear, multi-scale processes, leading to uncertainties in their long-term projections. The effects of many of these errors (particularly those due to fast physics) can be quantified in short-term simulations, e.g., as differences between the predicted and observed states (analysis increments). With the increase in the availability of high-quality observations and simulations, learning nudging from these increments to correct model errors has become an active research area. However, most studies focus on using neural networks, which while powerful, are hard to interpret, are data-hungry, and poorly generalize out-of-distribution. Here, we show the capabilities of Model Error Discovery with Interpretability and Data Assimilation (MEDIDA), a general, data-efficient framework that uses sparsity-promoting equation-discovery techniques to learn model errors from analysis increments. Using two-layer quasi-geostrophic turbulence as the test case, MEDIDA is shown to successfully discover various linear and nonlinear structural/parametric errors when full observations are available. Discovery from spatially sparse observations is found to require highly accurate interpolation schemes. While NNs have shown success as interpolators in recent studies, here, they are found inadequate due to their inability to accurately represent small scales, a phenomenon known as spectral bias. We show that a general remedy, adding a random Fourier feature layer to the NN, resolves this issue enabling MEDIDA to successfully discover model errors from sparse observations. These promising results suggest that with further development, MEDIDA could be scaled up to models of the Earth system and real observations.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 22, 2023

CURE: Local Uncertainty Repair for Block-Parallel Speculative Decoding

Speculative decoding mitigates the latency of sequential generation in autoregressive Large Language Models (LLMs) by interleaving draft generation with target verification. However, existing parallel drafting backends often suffer from rapid accuracy degradation over long horizons, leading to high rejection rates during verification and suboptimal wall-clock speedups. We observe that drafting errors are not uniformly distributed but typically stem from localized high-uncertainty tokens that destabilize downstream generation trajectories. Motivated by this token error pattern, we propose CURE, a budget-aware dynamic repair tree designed to repair errors at uncertainty focal points without incurring prohibitive tree-verification overheads. Specifically, our method uses predictive confidence margins to dynamically locate candidate error tokens within a block-parallel draft, expands bounded repair paths only at these fragile nodes, and employs a novel repair resynchronization mechanism to realign draft states post-verification. Evaluations on code-generation benchmarks (HumanEval, MBPP, and LiveCodeBench-lite) and mathematical reasoning benchmark (GSM8K) demonstrate that CURE increases the average accepted length by 4.2-7.5% over parallel baselines without repair, translating to an end-to-end speedup of 2.66-3.49times over target-only decoding. Furthermore, we provide a plug-and-play repair module compatible with standard parallel drafting frameworks. We also characterize the trade-off between draft compute and verification efficiency.

  • 4 authors
·
Jul 31

Minimizing the Accumulated Trajectory Error to Improve Dataset Distillation

Model-based deep learning has achieved astounding successes due in part to the availability of large-scale real-world data. However, processing such massive amounts of data comes at a considerable cost in terms of computations, storage, training and the search for good neural architectures. Dataset distillation has thus recently come to the fore. This paradigm involves distilling information from large real-world datasets into tiny and compact synthetic datasets such that processing the latter ideally yields similar performances as the former. State-of-the-art methods primarily rely on learning the synthetic dataset by matching the gradients obtained during training between the real and synthetic data. However, these gradient-matching methods suffer from the so-called accumulated trajectory error caused by the discrepancy between the distillation and subsequent evaluation. To mitigate the adverse impact of this accumulated trajectory error, we propose a novel approach that encourages the optimization algorithm to seek a flat trajectory. We show that the weights trained on synthetic data are robust against the accumulated errors perturbations with the regularization towards the flat trajectory. Our method, called Flat Trajectory Distillation (FTD), is shown to boost the performance of gradient-matching methods by up to 4.7% on a subset of images of the ImageNet dataset with higher resolution images. We also validate the effectiveness and generalizability of our method with datasets of different resolutions and demonstrate its applicability to neural architecture search. Code is available at https://github.com/AngusDujw/FTD-distillation.

  • 5 authors
·
Nov 20, 2022

Position: Early-Stage Quality Assurance in Annotation Pipelines Is More Cost-Effective Than Late-Stage Validation

This position paper argues that the machine learning community should prioritize early-stage quality assurance in annotation pipelines over the prevailing practice of late-stage validation. Data quality bottlenecks increasingly limit foundation model improvement, yet quality assurance research focuses almost exclusively on validation methods rather than validation timing. When validation occurs, not merely what methods are employed, fundamentally determines both error rates and annotation costs. This temporal neglect is puzzling given the well-established "shift-left" principle from software engineering, where empirical studies demonstrate 4--100x cost multipliers for defects detected in later stages (Boehm, 1981; Shull et al., 2002). Annotation pipelines exhibit analogous dynamics: errors caught before annotation begins cost a fraction of those discovered after review cycles complete. We propose a taxonomy of three QA trigger points, namely pre-annotation (T0), post-annotation (T1), and post-review (T2), that decompose annotation workflows into discrete validation opportunities. A parametric error-propagation model formalizes when timing affects final error rates versus only economics, making timing a measurable design variable rather than a configuration afterthought. A survey of 47 recent papers reveals that only 4% report when validation occurs, a striking gap given timing's demonstrated impact in adjacent fields. Without explicit attention to QA timing, the community risks optimizing validation methods while ignoring the structural variable that may matter most. Acting on this position requires three steps: researchers should report QA timing configurations alongside validation methods; annotation platforms should expose timing as a first-class parameter; and the community should run controlled experiments that measure stage-specific detection rates directly.

Fundamental physics with ESPRESSO: Precise limit on variations in the fine-structure constant towards the bright quasar HE 0515-4414

The strong intervening absorption system at redshift 1.15 towards the very bright quasar HE 0515-4414 is the most studied absorber for measuring possible cosmological variations in the fine-structure constant, α. We observed HE 0515-4414 for 16.1,h with the Very Large Telescope and present here the first constraint on relative variations in α with parts-per-million (ppm) precision from the new ESPRESSO spectrograph: Δα/α= 1.3 pm 1.3_{rm stat} pm 0.4_{rm sys},{rm ppm}. The statistical uncertainty (1σ) is similar to the ensemble precision of previous large samples of absorbers, and derives from the high S/N achieved (approx105 per 0.4,km,s^{-1} pixel). ESPRESSO's design, and calibration of our observations with its laser frequency comb, effectively removed wavelength calibration errors from our measurement. The high resolving power of our ESPRESSO spectrum (R=145000) enabled the identification of very narrow components within the absorption profile, allowing a more robust analysis of Δα/α. The evidence for the narrow components is corroborated by their correspondence with previously detected molecular hydrogen and neutral carbon. The main remaining systematic errors arise from ambiguities in the absorption profile modelling, effects from redispersing the individual quasar exposures, and convergence of the parameter estimation algorithm. All analyses of the spectrum, including systematic error estimates, were initially blinded to avoid human biases. We make our reduced ESPRESSO spectrum of HE 0515-4414 publicly available for further analysis. Combining our ESPRESSO result with 28 measurements, from other spectrographs, in which wavelength calibration errors have been mitigated, yields a weighted mean Δα/α= -0.5 pm 0.5_{rm stat} pm 0.4_{rm sys},ppm at redshifts 0.6-2.4.

  • 43 authors
·
Dec 9, 2021

Athena-WBC: Capability-Aligned Policy Experts for Long-Tail Humanoid Whole-Body Control

Large-scale humanoid motion-tracking controllers are commonly improved by reallocating training effort: difficult motions are sampled more often, isolated into smaller subsets, or assigned to specialized experts. We show that this view is incomplete. In strong whole-body-control baselines, a residual set of feasible training clips remains unsolved even under targeted training, especially for high-dynamic transitions and balance-critical motions. These failures arise not only from insufficient exposure, but from a mismatch between the motion demands and the effective capability induced by the default training recipe. We propose Athena-WBC, a compact teacher-student pipeline with capability-aligned policy experts for long-tail humanoid whole-body control. Dynamic experts use a tracking-focused, constraint-aware objective that removes conservative effort and temporal-control penalties while preserving physical feasibility constraints; balance experts use a gravity curriculum to improve early-training survivability. The resulting privileged teachers are motion-routed for DAgger distillation and then compressed into a single controller with deployable observations followed by RL fine-tuning. Experiments on a full-size humanoid show improved recovery of training-set long-tail motions and better held-out tracking than a strong SONIC-recipe baseline, using only a small number of experts.

  • 5 authors
·
Aug 23

When to Intervene? An Empirical Study of Errors and Self-Recovery in LLM Agents

LLM agents interact with Web services to perform tasks on users' behalf. Errors during these interactions can disrupt execution and prevent task completion, motivating external intervention. However, agents may self-recover through continued execution, raising the question of when to intervene and when to wait for self-recovery. We present an empirical study of errors and self-recovery in LLM agents. We construct ReInBench, a dataset containing 1,259 agent traces and 1,403 error events across computer-use and Web tasks. Our study examines how often and how quickly agents self-recover, how self-recovery relates to subsequent execution and task completion, and whether self-recovery can be predicted when an error occurs. We find that 725 error events self-recover, often within a few steps, with self-recovery performance differing across Execution LLMs. Self-recovery can also help agents recover from subsequent errors of the same type and support overall task completion. Intervention should therefore prioritize errors unlikely to self-recover, while allowing agents to continue when self-recovery is likely. Building on these empirical findings, we propose ReCoF, a method that predicts whether an error will self-recover to inform whether additional intervention is needed. ReCoF achieves an average relative improvement of 9.02% in Macro-F1 over the strongest baseline on ReInBench. Our code and data can be found at https://method-notes.github.io/ReCoF/.

  • 6 authors
·
Oct 26

Physics-Audited Agentic Discovery in Scientific Machine Learning

In agentic scientific machine learning (SciML), large language model (LLM) agents can discover surrogate models and select one by an automated score, typically an error metric. A low error, however, does not establish that the predicted fields satisfy the physics that matter for mechanics, such as boundary conditions, superposition, stiffness scaling, or causality. We introduce Physics-Audited Agentic SciML (PA-SciML), a verification-first workflow for agentic SciML discovery. The workflow fixes a scoring evaluator before search, derives reviewable machine-checkable physics requirements, checks each trained candidate on its outputs, and separately searches prescribed input ranges or measured load-history spans for high-violation cases without reference solution fields. A surrogate is reported as verified only under the stated checks. When enabled, the workflow also adds advisory numerical probes before training and tests one modeling change at a time to record which isolated edits are associated with score gains before reuse. In the reported computational-solid-mechanics numerical examples, the static elasticity run selects a surrogate with lower validation error than the error-only baseline while both selected models pass the common linear-elastic checks. In the transient elastodynamics run, an error-only baseline with similar mean error fails a stricter causality check by responding to future parts of the loading history, while the selected surrogate passes the stated checks. The main distinction is per-candidate physics evidence on predicted fields, not a richer aggregate score.

  • 4 authors
·
Jul 7

Beyond Perturbation Magnitude: Direction-Dependent Responses in Multimodal Geometric Representations

Geometric alignment scores based on Gram determinants provide a compact way to model higher-order consistency among modalities, yet how such scores respond to modality degradation is poorly understood. This paper asks whether the response of a multimodal geometric score is determined primarily by the magnitude of the perturbation-induced displacement. Using frozen cohorts from MSR-VTT (N=878) and DiDeMo (N=980), we apply controlled video blur and audio noise and analyze the response in the relational geometry on which the score is defined. Displacement magnitude explains at most 15% of the out-of-sample variance in the absolute response, and magnitude-matched pairs respond systematically differently, so scalar magnitude does not organize the response. The closed-form first-order expansion of the Gramian volume yields the Directional Geometric Response (DGR): the projection of the displacement onto the local volume gradient, which jointly captures the clean operating point, displacement magnitude, and displacement direction. The absolute first-order DGR term explains the observed response with out-of-sample R^2 of 0.838-0.969, matched-magnitude ranking accuracies of 0.864-0.963, and response-sign accuracies of 0.909-0.989, whereas the tested direction-free alternatives remain weak or unstable under the corresponding evaluation protocols. A pre-specified gain-normalization candidate, V/(g_V+eps), fails its predictability and clean-order gates. DGR uses the observed degraded-state displacement and is therefore an explanatory quantity, not a deployment-time predictor: geometric response depends on where the representation operates, how far degradation moves the relational geometry, and in which direction it moves.

  • 5 authors
·
Oct 5

Real-Time Prediction of Gas Flow Dynamics in Diesel Engines using a Deep Neural Operator Framework

We develop a data-driven deep neural operator framework to approximate multiple output states for a diesel engine and generate real-time predictions with reasonable accuracy. As emission norms become more stringent, the need for fast and accurate models that enable analysis of system behavior have become an essential requirement for system development. The fast transient processes involved in the operation of a combustion engine make it difficult to develop accurate physics-based models for such systems. As an alternative to physics based models, we develop an operator-based regression model (DeepONet) to learn the relevant output states for a mean-value gas flow engine model using the engine operating conditions as input variables. We have adopted a mean-value model as a benchmark for comparison, simulated using Simulink. The developed approach necessitates using the initial conditions of the output states to predict the accurate sequence over the temporal domain. To this end, a sequence-to-sequence approach is embedded into the proposed framework. The accuracy of the model is evaluated by comparing the prediction output to ground truth generated from Simulink model. The maximum mathcal L_2 relative error observed was approximately 6.5%. The sensitivity of the DeepONet model is evaluated under simulated noise conditions and the model shows relatively low sensitivity to noise. The uncertainty in model prediction is further assessed by using a mean ensemble approach. The worst-case error at the (mu + 2sigma) boundary was found to be 12%. The proposed framework provides the ability to predict output states in real-time and enables data-driven learning of complex input-output operator mapping. As a result, this model can be applied during initial development stages, where accurate models may not be available.

  • 4 authors
·
Apr 2, 2023

EvoPress: Towards Optimal Dynamic Model Compression via Evolutionary Search

The high computational costs of large language models (LLMs) have led to a flurry of research on LLM compression, via methods such as quantization, sparsification, or structured pruning. A new frontier in this area is given by dynamic, non-uniform compression methods, which adjust the compression levels (e.g., sparsity) per-block or even per-layer in order to minimize accuracy loss, while guaranteeing a global compression threshold. Yet, current methods rely on heuristics for identifying the "importance" of a given layer towards the loss, based on assumptions such as error monotonicity, i.e. that the end-to-end model compression error is proportional to the sum of layer-wise errors. In this paper, we revisit this area, and propose a new and general approach for dynamic compression that is provably optimal in a given input range. We begin from the motivating observation that, in general, error monotonicity does not hold for LLMs: compressed models with lower sum of per-layer errors can perform worse than models with higher error sums. To address this, we propose a new general evolutionary framework for dynamic LLM compression called EvoPress, which has provable convergence, and low sample and evaluation complexity. We show that these theoretical guarantees lead to highly competitive practical performance for dynamic compression of Llama, Mistral and Phi models. Via EvoPress, we set new state-of-the-art results across all compression approaches: structural pruning (block/layer dropping), unstructured sparsity, as well as quantization with dynamic bitwidths. Our code is available at https://github.com/IST-DASLab/EvoPress.

  • 4 authors
·
Oct 18, 2024 2

SURE-Map: Self-Correcting Streaming Geometric Foundation Model

Streaming geometric foundation models are emerging as a compelling alternative to SLAM systems. Yet this streaming nature introduces a fundamental issue: each prediction is made from limited context, which is vulnerable to dynamic objects and weak textures. Small local errors accumulate into severe geometric distortion and long-horizon scale drift. We argue that reliable streaming reconstruction requires geometric foundation models to be not only predictive, but also self-correcting. We introduce SURE-Map, a self-correcting framework built upon two complementary principles. First, we explicitly model cross-view geometric uncertainty. Unlike conventional depth or point confidence, which primarily reflects the reliability of individual-view prediction, our uncertainty directly measures whether the jointly predicted pose and depth induce geometrically consistent cross-view pixel correspondences. Second, because local correction alone cannot eliminate slowly accumulating scale errors, we introduce multi-timescale self-correction: fast consecutive-frame inference preserves streaming efficiency, while sparse keyframe-window inference provides longer-range geometric evidence to periodically recalibrate the scale of recent trajectories. SURE-Map establishes new state-of-the-art performance for online feed-forward reconstruction across long-horizon benchmarks, reducing ATE-RMSE from 24.00 to 17.24 m on KITTI, 5.11 to 4.74 m on Oxford Spires, and 31.37 to 28.58 m on VBR, with further improvements to 15.17, 4.63, and 22.12 m when incorporating loop-closure refinement. Project page: https://mingkai-liu.github.io/projects/sure-map/.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 13

Disentangling Representation Evolution in Transformers through Directional Decomposition

Transformer representations evolve through learned additive transformations that either preserve their current direction or redirect it. We study this evolution as a functional geometry, decomposing learned updates into parallel and perpendicular components. Across pretrained models, we find substantial parallel components beyond the residual identity path. We then apply the decomposition in two spaces: to attention and MLP updates relative to the hidden state, and to attention value aggregation relative to the current token's value. Targeted edits reveal a strongly space-dependent asymmetry: exclude-self value-space parallel manipulation is markedly more robust than residual-space and perpendicular counterparts, preserving the direct self message while scaling only the non-self aggregate. The same decomposition gives a component-resolved description of compression-induced update error: perpendicular error separates compression methods more clearly than parallel error. Extensive experiments further demonstrate that full-aggregate parallel suppression during from-scratch pretraining lowers validation-loss trajectories and improves downstream averages, with the value-space variant strongest. Together, these results connect representation geometry to editing robustness, compression diagnosis, and training-time intervention. Code is available in the https://github.com/Shwai-He/Transformer-Geometry{project repository}.

ByteDance ByteDance
·
Sep 13 2

A Quantitative Evaluation of Dense 3D Reconstruction of Sinus Anatomy from Monocular Endoscopic Video

Generating accurate 3D reconstructions from endoscopic video is a promising avenue for longitudinal radiation-free analysis of sinus anatomy and surgical outcomes. Several methods for monocular reconstruction have been proposed, yielding visually pleasant 3D anatomical structures by retrieving relative camera poses with structure-from-motion-type algorithms and fusion of monocular depth estimates. However, due to the complex properties of the underlying algorithms and endoscopic scenes, the reconstruction pipeline may perform poorly or fail unexpectedly. Further, acquiring medical data conveys additional challenges, presenting difficulties in quantitatively benchmarking these models, understanding failure cases, and identifying critical components that contribute to their precision. In this work, we perform a quantitative analysis of a self-supervised approach for sinus reconstruction using endoscopic sequences paired with optical tracking and high-resolution computed tomography acquired from nine ex-vivo specimens. Our results show that the generated reconstructions are in high agreement with the anatomy, yielding an average point-to-mesh error of 0.91 mm between reconstructions and CT segmentations. However, in a point-to-point matching scenario, relevant for endoscope tracking and navigation, we found average target registration errors of 6.58 mm. We identified that pose and depth estimation inaccuracies contribute equally to this error and that locally consistent sequences with shorter trajectories generate more accurate reconstructions. These results suggest that achieving global consistency between relative camera poses and estimated depths with the anatomy is essential. In doing so, we can ensure proper synergy between all components of the pipeline for improved reconstructions that will facilitate clinical application of this innovative technology.

  • 12 authors
·
Oct 22, 2023

Contact-Anchored Proprioceptive Odometry for Quadruped Robots

Reliable odometry for legged robots without cameras or LiDAR remains challenging due to IMU drift and noisy joint velocity sensing. This paper presents a purely proprioceptive state estimator that uses only IMU and motor measurements to jointly estimate body pose and velocity, with a unified formulation applicable to biped, quadruped, and wheel-legged robots. The key idea is to treat each contacting leg as a kinematic anchor: joint-torque--based foot wrench estimation selects reliable contacts, and the corresponding footfall positions provide intermittent world-frame constraints that suppress long-term drift. To prevent elevation drift during extended traversal, we introduce a lightweight height clustering and time-decay correction that snaps newly recorded footfall heights to previously observed support planes. To improve foot velocity observations under encoder quantization, we apply an inverse-kinematics cubature Kalman filter that directly filters foot-end velocities from joint angles and velocities. The implementation further mitigates yaw drift through multi-contact geometric consistency and degrades gracefully to a kinematics-derived heading reference when IMU yaw constraints are unavailable or unreliable. We evaluate the method on four quadruped platforms (three Astrall robots and a Unitree Go2 EDU) using closed-loop trajectories. On Astrall point-foot robot~A, a sim200\,m horizontal loop and a sim15\,m vertical loop return with 0.1638\,m and 0.219\,m error, respectively; on wheel-legged robot~B, the corresponding errors are 0.2264\,m and 0.199\,m. On wheel-legged robot~C, a sim700\,m horizontal loop yields 7.68\,m error and a sim20\,m vertical loop yields 0.540\,m error. Unitree Go2 EDU closes a sim120\,m horizontal loop with 2.2138\,m error and a sim8\,m vertical loop with less than 0.1\,m vertical error. github.com/ShineMinxing/Ros2Go2Estimator.git

UCAS ucas
·
Feb 19 2

An error indicator-based adaptive reduced order model for nonlinear structural mechanics -- application to high-pressure turbine blades

The industrial application motivating this work is the fatigue computation of aircraft engines' high-pressure turbine blades. The material model involves nonlinear elastoviscoplastic behavior laws, for which the parameters depend on the temperature. For this application, the temperature loading is not accurately known and can reach values relatively close to the creep temperature: important nonlinear effects occur and the solution strongly depends on the used thermal loading. We consider a nonlinear reduced order model able to compute, in the exploitation phase, the behavior of the blade for a new temperature field loading. The sensitivity of the solution to the temperature makes {the classical unenriched proper orthogonal decomposition method} fail. In this work, we propose a new error indicator, quantifying the error made by the reduced order model in computational complexity independent of the size of the high-fidelity reference model. In our framework, when the {error indicator} becomes larger than a given tolerance, the reduced order model is updated using one time step solution of the high-fidelity reference model. The approach is illustrated on a series of academic test cases and applied on a setting of industrial complexity involving 5 million degrees of freedom, where the whole procedure is computed in parallel with distributed memory.

  • 2 authors
·
Apr 19, 2019

Excess Separability: Nuisance-Controlled Residual-Stream Probing for Benchmark Contamination Detection

Benchmark contamination is diagnosed with n-gram overlap, likelihood-based membership inference, or canary strings, and each needs something usually unavailable: the training corpus, a well-chosen test statistic, or foresight at release. A recent alternative reads it off a linear probe on internal activations. We show the natural way to do this does not work, specify one that survives measurement, then find that the correction making it work carries more variance than the null it is tested against. The protocol reports a zero-sum contrast on the depth profile of probe accuracy, recentred on a level-matched placebo baseline, tested against a label-permutation null, with the reference set twice the size of the suspect set. Each choice replaces a simpler alternative we rejected on measurement. Reporting the level of excess separability rather than its shape makes the false positive rate track the size of the analyst's own control set, 0.03 to 0.99 under a true null. Contrasting against a flat depth profile rejects a true null 0.72 of the time when surface decodability rises with depth, and loses all power when it falls. On real transformers the protocol fails a test the simulations did not pose. The recentring subtracts an estimate, and the permutation null holds it fixed. Re-estimated across split seeds on four audits of contaminated checkpoints, its standard deviation is 1.30 to 1.56 times the null's own in every arm: what is subtracted to remove a bias is more variable than what it corrects. The one nominally significant result, p = 0.0075, becomes 0.0745 once that variance is propagated, and no verdict is issued. The simulations missed this because their surface key is the covariate driving item variation; on real text it is a proxy, and degrading key quality in simulation reproduces it. We add a companion measurement and a widened null. No arm shows contamination.

  • 1 authors
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Aug 15

Mitigating Error Accumulation in Co-Speech Motion Generation via Global Rotation Diffusion and Multi-Level Constraints

Reliable co-speech motion generation requires precise motion representation and consistent structural priors across all joints. Existing generative methods typically operate on local joint rotations, which are defined hierarchically based on the skeleton structure. This leads to cumulative errors during generation, manifesting as unstable and implausible motions at end-effectors. In this work, we propose GlobalDiff, a diffusion-based framework that operates directly in the space of global joint rotations for the first time, fundamentally decoupling each joint's prediction from upstream dependencies and alleviating hierarchical error accumulation. To compensate for the absence of structural priors in global rotation space, we introduce a multi-level constraint scheme. Specifically, a joint structure constraint introduces virtual anchor points around each joint to better capture fine-grained orientation. A skeleton structure constraint enforces angular consistency across bones to maintain structural integrity. A temporal structure constraint utilizes a multi-scale variational encoder to align the generated motion with ground-truth temporal patterns. These constraints jointly regularize the global diffusion process and reinforce structural awareness. Extensive evaluations on standard co-speech benchmarks show that GlobalDiff generates smooth and accurate motions, improving the performance by 46.0 % compared to the current SOTA under multiple speaker identities.

  • 4 authors
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Jan 5

Agent Mesh: Reliability Primitives for Non-Idempotent Agent Delegation - Identity Adequacy and Evidence Adequacy

Autonomous agents increasingly perform bounded software tasks under an orchestrator that retries, resumes, and budgets them. The machinery such orchestrators reach for is the service mesh's: retry, timeout, and error-rate circuit breaking. We report a failure study of a production agentic software-delivery platform over 147 numbered incidents spanning 81 runs, each with a measured cost and, in most cases, a mutation proof reproducing the failure. All three assumptions those primitives rest on are violated in practice, and we quantify the consequences: a loop of fifty-four consecutive successful tool calls no error-rate breaker could see; a progress signal constant by construction, guaranteeing a false trip on the third repair round and driving one run from six of six components to three; twenty-one events accumulated across six invocations of one delegation, making a correct, idempotent component unwinnable; a misrouted failure that woke five components for a two-component fault, leaving three bystanders regressing working code; and twelve incidents in which the enforcement layer blocked correct work, the most expensive costing 107 agent turns and zero accepted writes. We find one cross-cutting cause and its dual. Identity adequacy: in five separate subsystems an identity that failed to discriminate produced a confident wrong answer, and two of them derived the corrective rule independently. Evidence adequacy: a reliability decision may be taken only on evidence capable of moving, attributable to what it measures, and deterministic under identical conditions. From the findings we derive seven reliability primitives whose enforcement unit is the delegation rather than the message, and specify the controlled evaluation the study motivates but does not constitute.

  • 3 authors
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Aug 25

The Geometric Nature and a Free Proxy for Flow-Matching Uncertainty

Flow matching (FM) has become a popular action head paradigm for modern embodied models. However, as a conditional generative model, it does not explicitly expose its inherent uncertainty, producing faulty action chunks even when it misinterprets the scene or encounters out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. Therefore, determining when an FM-generated action can be trusted is essential for safe deployment, yet existing uncertainty estimation methods on real-time control suffer from several issues: extra training budget, high computational overhead, and low generalization ability. In this work, we provide a geometric interpretation of FM uncertainty in the velocity field, showing that uncertainty manifests as deviation from an ideal affine-isotropic contraction field. Building on this observation, we introduce denoising acceleration (accel), a highly-generalizable and cost-free uncertainty proxy that measures the bending of the denoising trajectory from a single forward pass, without additional model evaluations, training, or resampling. We theoretically and empirically demonstrate that accel is a faithful proxy for FM uncertainty and further test its utility in online failure detection. Results show that accel identifies failing rollouts well before termination, matching or even outperforming costly resampling- and training-based baselines across settings under realistic deployment budget. Code and demos available at: https://github.com/rrrrrrzy/fm-geometry.

  • 6 authors
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Jul 29

SE(3)-LIO: Smooth IMU Propagation With Jointly Distributed Poses on SE(3) Manifold for Accurate and Robust LiDAR-Inertial Odometry

In estimating odometry accurately, an inertial measurement unit (IMU) is widely used owing to its high-rate measurements, which can be utilized to obtain motion information through IMU propagation. In this paper, we address the limitations of existing IMU propagation methods in terms of motion prediction and motion compensation. In motion prediction, the existing methods typically represent a 6-DoF pose by separating rotation and translation and propagate them on their respective manifold, so that the rotational variation is not effectively incorporated into translation propagation. During motion compensation, the relative transformation between predicted poses is used to compensate motion-induced distortion in other measurements, while inherent errors in the predicted poses introduce uncertainty in the relative transformation. To tackle these challenges, we represent and propagate the pose on SE(3) manifold, where propagated translation properly accounts for rotational variation. Furthermore, we precisely characterize the relative transformation uncertainty by considering the correlation between predicted poses, and incorporate this uncertainty into the measurement noise during motion compensation. To this end, we propose a LiDAR-inertial odometry (LIO), referred to as SE(3)-LIO, that integrates the proposed IMU propagation and uncertainty-aware motion compensation (UAMC). We validate the effectiveness of SE(3)-LIO on diverse datasets. Our source code and additional material are available at: https://se3-lio.github.io/.

  • 5 authors
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Mar 16