Daily Papers

Compression reports summarize how far a compressed language model moved from the dense one, usually by a KL divergence; a deployment that relies on the dense model's outputs needs to know how many of its decisions changed. We show that total variation, not KL, answers this directly. Across 802 compressed and perturbed copies of 19 open models on five corpora and nine mechanically unrelated perturbation families, the rate at which the arg-max token changes (the flip rate) tracks total variation at a ratio with median 1.05, with no fitted constant. KL converts into flips only through its square root and a factor that varies fourfold across models and corpora, because KL averages over tokens before the root is taken; first-order statistics averaged per token, such as Hellinger distance, avoid this, but reports rarely give them. As a result, of two compressors reported on different models and corpora whose flip rates differ by at least 10%, KL assigns the smaller divergence to the one that changes more decisions in 11% of cases, total variation in 1%. Two pre-registered tests mark the limits: on a held-out code corpus the ratio held for all eight models while three predictions about KL each failed for half of them or more, and on three new models with real kernels it stayed in its band for 37 of 38 checkpoints but fell below one on code for two models. In vLLM speculative decoding, total variation measured under teacher forcing predicts greedy draft acceptance with a mean relative error of 1.1--2.4%, without the task-specific calibration that KL needs.

Speculative decoding accelerates language model inference by using a fast drafter to propose candidate tokens that are then verified by a larger target model. Existing theory largely studies the stochastic, distribution-preserving setting, where the goal is to exactly sample from the target distribution. In contrast, many practical systems use greedy decoding, relaxed acceptance rules, or tree-based candidate sets, where success is governed by local ranking and threshold events rather than exact distributional equality. We develop a theory for these regimes. We identify that many common acceptance criteria have rejection regions that can be characterized as lower level sets of the target distribution. For these, we characterize the exact KL divergence required for rejection yielding exact certificates and sharp margin-based bounds for strict greedy decoding, additive and multiplicative relaxed acceptance, top-(m) relaxed criteria, and entropy-thresholded acceptance. We then extend the framework to greedy tree decoding, deriving exact and margin-only certificates for when the target greedy token remains covered by the drafter's top-(m) candidates. Finally, we evaluate the resulting certificates on Qwen3 models, showing that relaxed and tree-based criteria substantially enlarge the region of certified acceptance, especially on decoding steps with low target model distribution margin. These results complement existing distribution-preserving analyses of speculative decoding by characterizing the deterministic local acceptance events common in practical inference systems.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive LLMs by having a lightweight drafter propose tokens that the target model verifies in parallel. Diffusion-based drafters further reduce drafting latency by proposing multiple tokens at once. However, these tokens are predicted independently, so a single early error causes prefix verification to discard the rest of the draft, even when it contains useful downstream predictions. We introduce DEdit, a diffusion-based drafter that can not only draft by conventional parallel unmasking but also iteratively edit its draft through token-to-token predictions. Through editing, later predictions can serve as bidirectional context for repairing earlier errors and extending the accepted prefix. To teach the model to repair errors while preserving correct predictions, we propose ProposalMix, a training scheme that mixes draft predictions with ground-truth tokens based on first-pass confidence during training. Across seven benchmarks on Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B, DEdit achieves the highest macro-average token acceptance and speedup among the evaluated drafters, reaching macro-average speedups of 5.72times and 5.97times over autoregressive generation under greedy decoding, respectively. Further analysis shows that acceptance improves with more editing passes and wider drafting windows, and that ProposalMix halves harmful edits that shorten the accepted prefix. Moreover, restricting the editor to causal attention lowers acceptance, especially on highly predictable outputs, indicating that future context is a key source of these gains.

We propose self-speculative decoding for speech-aware LLMs by using the CTC encoder as a draft model to accelerate auto-regressive (AR) inference and improve ASR accuracy. Our three-step procedure works as follows: (1) if the frame entropies of the CTC output distributions are below a threshold, the greedy CTC hypothesis is accepted as final; (2) otherwise, the CTC hypothesis is verified in a single LLM forward pass using a relaxed acceptance criterion based on token likelihoods; (3) if verification fails, AR decoding resumes from the accepted CTC prefix. Experiments on nine corpora and five languages show that this approach can simultaneously accelerate decoding and reduce WER. On the HuggingFace Open ASR benchmark with a 1B parameter LLM and 440M parameter CTC encoder, we achieve a record 5.58% WER and improve the inverse real time factor by a factor of 4.4 with only a 12% relative WER increase over AR search. Code and model weights are publicly available under a permissive license.

We consider multi-draft speculative sampling, where the proposal sequences are sampled independently from different draft models. At each step, a token-level draft selection scheme takes a list of valid tokens as input and produces an output token whose distribution matches that of the target model. Previous works have demonstrated that the optimal scheme (which maximizes the probability of accepting one of the input tokens) can be cast as a solution to a linear program. In this work we show that the optimal scheme can be decomposed into a two-step solution: in the first step an importance sampling (IS) type scheme is used to select one intermediate token; in the second step (single-draft) speculative sampling is applied to generate the output token. For the case of two identical draft models we further 1) establish a necessary and sufficient condition on the distributions of the target and draft models for the acceptance probability to equal one and 2) provide an explicit expression for the optimal acceptance probability. Our theoretical analysis also motives a new class of token-level selection scheme based on weighted importance sampling. Our experimental results demonstrate consistent improvements in the achievable block efficiency and token rates over baseline schemes in a number of scenarios.

Self-improving LLM systems propose changes to themselves and keep those that score better on a small evaluation set. We treat this keep-if-better step as selection under measurement noise, model the correlated errors of the candidates in a single decision, and study empirically what happens when the evaluation set is reused. In runs where Qwen models rewrite their own instructions and every candidate is also scored on 600 held-out items, most proposals after the first are harmful, and the model gives the size of the winner's curse of a generation's best candidate. With a prior from a separate pilot, it matches the average overstatement of first-generation commits in native loops, though not setting by setting. In a pre-registered study, the final selection-set score of greedy loops exceeded held-out accuracy by 13 to 20 points with 16 selection items and by 1 to 5 points with 256. Held-out gains grew with the selection set on TREC but not on GSM8K, and the tested acceptance rules did not beat greedy acceptance over whole runs. Gains measured on the selection set also exceeded held-out gains when a current model refined a competent instruction, and in the validation scores of GEPA and MIPROv2. Scoring the starting and the current instruction on 64 items never used for selection removes the average bias of a loop's reported gain, but single estimates remain off by about 6 points. Self-improvement studies should report held-out gains with their uncertainty.

Block-diffusion drafters like dFlash generate an entire block of draft tokens in a single forward pass, drastically reducing the overhead of multiple-token drafting in speculative decoding. The crucial final step of the single-pass discrete denoising process involves using the logit distribution at each position to sample conditionally independent tokens. The resulting draft is thus a set of per-position marginals, rather than a joint distribution: no draft token is guaranteed to depend on its predecessors. Such independently sampled marginals tend to produce sequences with tokens that are individually likely, but jointly improbable under the target model's distribution, which verifies each token conditionally. This can cause early rejection and limits acceptance length. To address this, we propose xPress as a means to restore the missing causality in diffusion drafters. xPress is a lightweight causal refiner that reconciles the whole diffusion block at once through parallel refinement, restoring and propagating causal dependencies across the draft without a token-by-token loop. On Qwen3-8B, across seven math, code, and chat benchmarks, xPress raises acceptance length by about 30% on average (up to +56%) and its end-to-end decoding throughput by about 1.3 on average (up to 1.7) compared to the original dFlash diffusion drafter.

Speculative decoding is widely used in accelerating large language model (LLM) inference. In this work, we focus on the online draft model selection problem in speculative decoding. We design an algorithm that provably competes with the best draft model in hindsight for each query in terms of either the token acceptance probability or expected acceptance length. In particular, we show that we can accurately evaluate all draft models, instead of only the chosen model without incurring additional queries to the target model, which allows us to improve exponentially over the existing bandit-based approach as the number of draft models increases. Our approach is generically applicable with any speculative decoding methods (single draft, multi-drafts and draft-trees). Moreover, we design system-efficient versions of online learners and demonstrate that the overhead in computation and latency can be substantially reduced. We conduct extensive experiments on open-source LLMs and diverse datasets, demonstrating that our methods substantially outperform the state-of-the-art EAGLE3 and the BanditSpec baseline in a variety of domains where specialized domain-expert drafters are available, especially when long reasoning chains are required.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by verifying a draft block with a target model in parallel. Under standard greedy verification, decoding stops at the first draft token that differs from the target argmax, discarding the remaining target-scored suffix. Although accepting such a mismatch changes the decoding trajectory, it can make a contiguous suffix reusable when its tokens remain target-greedy under the realized prefix. In this paper, we introduce Approximate Speculative Decoding (ASD), a training-free verifier that replaces binary first-mismatch truncation with budgeted longest-prefix selection. ASD accepts selected mismatches subject to a local target-logit regret gate, a per-block exception cap, and a persistent request-level regret budget, then reuses the contiguous target-greedy suffix without additional approximate decisions or target-model forward passes. ASD requires neither a new draft model nor fine-tuning, and exactly reduces to standard greedy verification when the budget is zero. Experiments show that ASD improves fixed-workload throughput by 3.05%--15.26% over matched strict verification and averages a 7.78% gain across seven Qwen3-14B + DSpark-14B tasks. On DeepSeek-V4-Flash (284B) with DSpark it also raises verifier-side acceptance by roughly 10%--16% on GSM8K and MATH-500 in an FP4-to-FP8 compatibility setting. The source code is publicly available at: https://github.com/Kissmetothemoon/ASD

Using a diffusion model for parallel drafting is a promising approach for speculative decoding. By predicting tokens at multiple future positions in a single forward pass, diffusion drafters substantially reduce drafting latency. However, this shifts the bottleneck to verification: verifying a single sequence limits acceptance length, while verifying large draft trees incurs excessive target-model latency. We identify a key mismatch in existing draft-tree methods: existing diffusion-tree methods rank nodes by the marginal probability, ignoring that verification is prefix-conditioned. As a result, they may verify unreachable descendants of rejected prefixes, increasing latency with limited acceptance gains. To address this, we propose TAPS, a target-aware prefix selection method that turns diffusion marginals into path-conditioned acceptance estimates. TAPS then selects a compact prefix-closed subtree under a fixed verification budget, improving the acceptance-cost tradeoff rather than simply expanding the draft tree. Experiments across diverse datasets and model families demonstrate that TAPS achieves up to 7.9x lossless end-to-end speedup over vanilla autoregressive decoding, outperforming state-of-the-art DFlash and DDTree by 1.36x and 1.74x respectively. Our work is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/TAPS-EMNLP2026-53DD

Large Language Models (LLMs) have become an indispensable part of natural language processing tasks. However, autoregressive sampling has become an efficiency bottleneck. Multi-Draft Speculative Decoding (MDSD) is a recent approach where, when generating each token, a small draft model generates multiple drafts, and the target LLM verifies them in parallel, ensuring that the final output conforms to the target model distribution. The two main design choices in MDSD are the draft sampling method and the verification algorithm. For a fixed draft sampling method, the optimal acceptance rate is a solution to an optimal transport problem, but the complexity of this problem makes it difficult to solve for the optimal acceptance rate and measure the gap between existing verification algorithms and the theoretical upper bound. This paper discusses the dual of the optimal transport problem, providing a way to efficiently compute the optimal acceptance rate. For the first time, we measure the theoretical upper bound of MDSD efficiency for vocabulary sizes in the thousands and quantify the gap between existing verification algorithms and this bound. We also compare different draft sampling methods based on their optimal acceptance rates. Our results show that the draft sampling method strongly influences the optimal acceptance rate, with sampling without replacement outperforming sampling with replacement. Additionally, existing verification algorithms do not reach the theoretical upper bound for both without replacement and with replacement sampling. Our findings suggest that carefully designed draft sampling methods can potentially improve the optimal acceptance rate and enable the development of verification algorithms that closely match the theoretical upper bound.

We propose an acceleration scheme for large language models (LLMs) through Speculative Decoding with Semantic Adaptive Tokens (SDSAT). The primary objective of this design is to enhance the LLM model's ability to generate draft tokens more accurately without compromising the model's accuracy. The core strategies involve: 1) Fine-tune the model by incorporating semantic adaptive tokens that possess flexible decoding capabilities without changing its structure, allowing them to generate high-quality draft tokens. 2) By employing a training method that does not affect the standard tokens, the model can acquire parallel decoding abilities atop its original framework with minimal training overhead. 3) We have designed the "two-step-draft-then-verify" generation strategies using both greedy search and nucleus sampling. Experiments conducted on the CodeLlama-13B and 7B models have yielded speed increases of over 3.5X and 3.0X, respectively. Please refer to https://github.com/hasuoshenyun/SDSAT.

Autoregressive sampling from large language models has led to state-of-the-art results in several natural language tasks. However, autoregressive sampling generates tokens one at a time making it slow, and even prohibitive in certain tasks. One way to speed up sampling is speculative decoding: use a small model to sample a draft (block or sequence of tokens), and then score all tokens in the draft by the large language model in parallel. A subset of the tokens in the draft are accepted (and the rest rejected) based on a statistical method to guarantee that the final output follows the distribution of the large model. In this work, we provide a principled understanding of speculative decoding through the lens of optimal transport (OT) with membership cost. This framework can be viewed as an extension of the well-known maximal-coupling problem. This new formulation enables us to generalize the speculative decoding method to allow for a set of k candidates at the token-level, which leads to an improved optimal membership cost. We show that the optimal draft selection algorithm (transport plan) can be computed via linear programming, whose best-known runtime is exponential in k. We then propose a valid draft selection algorithm whose acceptance probability is (1-1/e)-optimal multiplicatively. Moreover, it can be computed in time almost linear with size of domain of a single token. Using this new draft selection algorithm, we develop a new autoregressive sampling algorithm called SpecTr, which provides speedup in decoding while ensuring that there is no quality degradation in the decoded output. We experimentally demonstrate that for state-of-the-art large language models, the proposed approach achieves a wall clock speedup of 2.13X, a further 1.37X speedup over speculative decoding on standard benchmarks.

Speculative decoding (SD) accelerates large language model inference by leveraging a draft-then-verify paradigm. To maximize the acceptance rate, recent methods construct expansive draft trees, which unfortunately incur severe VRAM bandwidth and computational overheads that bottleneck end-to-end speedups. While dynamic-depth pruning can reduce this latency by removing marginal branches, it also discards potentially valid candidates, preventing the acceptance rate from reaching the upper bound of dense trees. In this paper, we identify a critical opportunity in resource allocation: the transition from dense to pruned drafting frees up significant computational budget. To break this Pareto tradeoff, we introduce Graft, a compensation framework that couples pruning and retrieval as mutually reinforcing operations. Pruning supplies sufficient budget for retrieval, while retrieval compensates for pruning-induced coverage loss and recovers accepted length. By employing a sequential `prune-then-graft' mechanism, Graft attaches highly predictive retrieved tokens into positions opened by pruning, filling the topological gaps with near-zero overhead. Graft is entirely training-free and lossless. Comprehensive evaluations show that Graft establishes a new Pareto frontier across practical deployment settings, including short-context generation, long-context generation, and large-scale models. On short-context benchmarks, it achieves up to 5.41times speedup and improves average speedup over EAGLE-3 by up to 21.8% on the large-scale Qwen3-235B. We also provide a preliminary exploration of applying Graft to the DFlash-style block drafting paradigm, offering initial evidence and insights for extending grafting beyond autoregressive draft trees.

Drafting, i.e., the selection of a subset of items from a larger candidate set, is a key element of many games and related problems. It encompasses team formation in sports or e-sports, as well as deck selection in many modern card games. The key difficulty of drafting is that it is typically not sufficient to simply evaluate each item in a vacuum and to select the best items. The evaluation of an item depends on the context of the set of items that were already selected earlier, as the value of a set is not just the sum of the values of its members - it must include a notion of how well items go together. In this paper, we study drafting in the context of the card game Magic: The Gathering. We propose the use of a contextual preference network, which learns to compare two possible extensions of a given deck of cards. We demonstrate that the resulting network is better able to evaluate card decks in this game than previous attempts.

Drafting a new Magic: The Gathering expansion begins before any pick from it has been observed: the complete card list is public, but the draft logs that supervised pick models train on do not yet exist. We study this day-zero regime directly. DraftFM is a discrete-choice policy that scores exactly the cards available in the current pack, conditioned on the drafted pool and the state of the draft. Every card enters as a frozen 775-dimensional function of its public card record, structured features and a fixed text embedding, with no card identities, set identities, or usage statistics anywhere in the model, so an unseen card is scored by the same machinery as a familiar one. A 1.6-million-parameter network fitted on 149 million human picks from 29 expansions predicts held-out picks in three expansions withheld in their entirety, reaching 50.8%, 60.4%, and 56.7% top-1 agreement, where uniform chance at the opening pick is about 7%. Refitted on all 32 observed expansions, the same architecture produced a card ranking for the then-unreleased set The Hobbit, sealed with its complete cryptographic provenance and published roughly 36 hours before the set became draftable on MTG Arena. The sealed ranking agrees with six independent expert reviewers roughly as much as those reviewers agree with one another. Evaluation against realized outcomes is committed to a follow-on note, whatever it shows.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by having a cheap draft propose tokens that a target verifies in parallel. Frontier models increasingly ship a built-in Multi-Token-Prediction (MTP/NEXTN) draft head under the assumption that the draft is negligibly cheap. At million-token context this breaks: an MTP draft head typically runs full attention over the entire KV cache at every draft step, so its read grows linearly with context and comes to dominate the draft cost -- precisely where speculation is most valuable. The effect compounds with draft length (a deep native draft can turn net-negative, slower than no speculation) and sharpens under hybrid/linear-attention targets, where cheaper verification leaves the draft's full-attention read exposed. We apply a StreamingLLM-style sliding window plus attention sink to the draft's attention only (Windowed-MTP), leaving full-attention verification intact. It is training-free, drop-in, and lossless by construction: the full-attention target still decides every accepted token, so windowing changes only which tokens are proposed, never which are accepted. It bounds the draft's KV working set to a constant, dropping ~99% of KV entries at 1M. Across three architecture families (Qwen GDN-MoE 35B/122B and a Mamba2-hybrid NoPE 120B) at 1M context on a single GPU in SGLang, windowing cuts the per-decode-step cost over the shipping native MTP draft by +28% to +44%, an input-invariant margin that widens with context. Since per-token latency is this cost divided by acceptance length, at matched acceptance end-to-end decode latency improves by the same amount, and more where windowing also lifts acceptance, while preserving the target's verified output distribution. Finally, the unread draft KV -- 7.7-11% of total KV at 1M -- is reclaimed via a compact ring buffer at no acceptance or quality cost.

Using language models to scalably approximate human preferences on text quality (LLM-as-a-judge) has become a standard practice applicable to many tasks. A judgment is often extracted from the judge's textual output alone, typically with greedy decoding. However, LLM judges naturally provide distributions over judgment tokens, inviting a breadth of inference methods for extracting fine-grained preferences. We find that taking the mean of the judgment distribution consistently outperforms taking the mode (i.e. greedy decoding) in all evaluation settings (i.e. pointwise, pairwise, and listwise). We further explore novel methods of deriving preferences from judgment distributions, and find that methods incorporating risk aversion often improve performance. Lastly, we analyze LLM-as-a-judge paired with chain-of-thought (CoT) prompting, showing that CoT can collapse the spread of the judgment distribution, often harming performance. Our findings show that leveraging distributional output improves LLM-as-a-judge, as opposed to using the text interface alone.

Speculative decoding reduces the inference latency of a target large language model via utilizing a smaller and faster draft model. Its performance depends on a hyperparameter K -- the candidate length, i.e., the number of candidate tokens for the target model to verify in each round. However, previous methods often use simple heuristics to choose K, which may result in sub-optimal performance. We study the choice of the candidate length K and formulate it as a Markov Decision Process. We theoretically show that the optimal policy of this Markov decision process takes the form of a threshold policy, i.e., the current speculation should stop and be verified when the probability of getting a rejection exceeds a threshold value. Motivated by this theory, we propose SpecDec++, an enhanced version of speculative decoding that adaptively determines the candidate length on the fly. We augment the draft model with a trained acceptance prediction head to predict the conditional acceptance probability of the candidate tokens. SpecDec++ will stop the current speculation when the predicted probability that at least one token gets rejected exceeds a threshold. We implement SpecDec++ and apply it to the llama-2-chat 7B & 70B model pair. Our adaptive method achieves a 2.04x speedup on the Alpaca dataset (an additional 7.2% improvement over the baseline speculative decoding). On the GSM8K and HumanEval datasets, our method achieves a 2.26x speedup (9.4% improvement) and 2.23x speedup (11.1% improvement), respectively.

Speculative decoding accelerates large language model (LLM) inference by letting a lightweight draft model propose multiple tokens that the target model verifies in parallel. Yet existing training objectives optimize only a single greedy draft path, while decoding follows a tree policy that re-ranks and verifies multiple branches. This draft policy misalignment limits achievable speedups. We introduce Group Tree Optimization (GTO), which aligns training with the decoding-time tree policy through two components: (i) Draft Tree Reward, a sampling-free objective equal to the expected acceptance length of the draft tree under the target model, directly measuring decoding performance; (ii) Group-based Draft Policy Training, a stable optimization scheme that contrasts trees from the current and a frozen reference draft model, forming debiased group-standardized advantages and applying a PPO-style surrogate along the longest accepted sequence for robust updates. We further prove that increasing our Draft Tree Reward provably improves acceptance length and speedup. Across dialogue (MT-Bench), code (HumanEval), and math (GSM8K), and multiple LLMs (e.g., LLaMA-3.1-8B, LLaMA-3.3-70B, Vicuna-1.3-13B, DeepSeek-R1-Distill-LLaMA-8B, Qwen3-8B), GTO increases acceptance length by (7.4%) and yields an additional (7.7%) speedup over prior state-of-the-art EAGLE-3. By bridging draft policy misalignment, GTO offers a practical, general solution for efficient LLM inference. Code and draft models are available at https://github.com/hsj576/GTO.

We consider whether off-policy experience from a smaller, weaker model can elicit capability in a stronger learner that on-policy RL fine-tuning (e.g., GRPO) does not reach. We find that injecting mathematically wrong drafts from a smaller but more domain-trained model -- mismatched to the current problem -- into a stronger learner's GRPO context consistently outperforms standard on-policy GRPO on held-out MATH-500 and out-of-distribution AIME 2025/2026. Concretely, we use Mathstral-7B as the learner, Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B as the draft model, 8.8K Level 3--5 MATH problems (with MATH-500 held out), and train with Dr. GRPO. Mismatch is an active ingredient: shuffling drafts to mismatched problems while holding everything else constant yields +1.62pp on MATH-500 (greedy pass@1) over the matched-wrong variant (n=10 seeds, p=0.0015, Welch's t). In fact, the mismatched-wrong variant leads all other variants we tested on MATH-500 across both greedy pass@1 and sampling pass@k. On out-of-distribution AIME 2025 and 2026, the mismatched-wrong variant uniquely lifts pass@k above both Mathstral-7B (in its native [INST] format) and the Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B draft model at every sample budget from k=1 to k=1024 across 2 seeds (+14.2pp on 2025 and +9.0pp on 2026 at pass@1024 over Mathstral-7B), and at pass@1024 also leads no-draft, matched-wrong, and mismatched-correct variants on both years. All variants use the same prompt with no draft injection at test time. The recipe -- trained on a single GPU with no SFT, no reward models, no synthesized data, and no produce-critique-revise inner loop -- reaches 71.98% MATH-500 on Mathstral-7B-v0.1, the highest published result on this model to our knowledge, surpassing the heavier WizardMath pipeline at 70.9% on full MATH (SFT + PPO with process/instruction reward models).

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive inference by verifying multiple draft tokens in a single target forward pass. However, as the context grows, existing state-of-the-art drafters become increasingly expensive, eroding the very efficiency advantage they are designed to provide. We argue that this scaling is unnecessary. A standalone language model must grow with its prefix because it is solely responsible for every token it produces. A drafter, by contrast, only proposes candidates; the target catches and corrects every error before any token is committed. The drafter's decoding cost can therefore be made entirely independent of the prefix length. We introduce LongSpark, a block-diffusion drafter that achieves this by extracting fixed-size, multiscale views from the target's verification pass, thereby eliminating the need for a growing persistent state. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that LongSpark achieves state-of-the-art end-to-end efficiency across multiple model scales and realistic serving conditions. Notably, it delivers the lowest time-per-output-token on long-context tasks while reducing the drafter's context state by several orders of magnitude.

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by drafting a tree of candidate continuations and verifying it in one target forward. Existing drafters fall into two camps with opposite weaknesses. Autoregressive drafters such as EAGLE-3 preserve dependence along each draft path but call the drafter once per tree depth, making drafting a non-trivial share of per-iteration latency. Parallel drafters cut drafter calls by predicting multiple future positions in one forward, but each position is predicted without seeing the others, producing paths the verifier rejects. In this paper, we propose SpecBlock, a block-iterative drafter that combines path dependence with cheap drafting. Each drafter forward produces K dependent positions and we call this a block. The draft tree grows through repeated block expansions. Two mechanisms explicitly carry path dependence to keep later draft positions accurate. Within each block, a layer-wise shift carries the previous position's hidden state into every decoder layer. Across blocks, each new block can start from any position of the previous block, inheriting its hidden state to extend the path. To spend verifier budget where acceptance is likely, a co-trained rank head replaces the fixed top-k tree by allocating per-position branching during drafting. To avoid training the drafter on prefixes it never produces at inference, a valid-prefix mask drops the loss at later positions once an earlier one is wrong. Beyond static drafting, a cost-aware bandit at deployment uses free verifier feedback to update the drafter selectively, only when the expected throughput gain exceeds the update cost. Experiments show that SpecBlock improves mean speedup by 8-13% over EAGLE-3 at 44-52% of its drafting cost, and cost-aware adaptation extends this lead to 11-19%.

Many real-world games do not admit a fixed, compact rule set: instead, their dynamics are defined by interactions among a large and often evolving collection of game pieces, making general-purpose policy learning impractical. Magic: the Gathering (MTG) exemplifies this setting, where the cards themselves define and alter gameplay rules, strategic constraints, and long-term outcomes, while the pool of available cards is ever-changing. We study Draft, a constrained deck-building format of MTG in which eight players make 39-45 sequential selections from semi-random packs to construct a 40-card deck under partial information. By isolating the card selection process from gameplay, Draft provides a tractable yet non-trivial setting for studying decision-making driven by combinatorial card synergies. We propose an encoder-based model that produces set-contextualized card embeddings to encode the draft decision sequence, with a consistent improvement over linear baselines on large-scale real-world data, establishing a first learned benchmark for outcome prediction in MTG Draft. Our code is available at github.com/akulen/MtGDraftEncoder.

Deployment of autoregressive large language models (LLMs) is costly, and as these models increase in size, the associated costs will become even more considerable. Consequently, different methods have been proposed to accelerate the token generation process and reduce costs. Speculative decoding (SD) is among the most promising approaches to speed up the LLM decoding process by verifying multiple tokens in parallel and using an auxiliary smaller draft model to generate the possible tokens. In SD, usually, one draft model is used to serve a specific target model; however, in practice, LLMs are diverse, and we might need to deal with many target models or more than one target model simultaneously. In this scenario, it is not clear which draft model should be used for which target model, and searching among different draft models or training customized draft models can further increase deployment costs. In this paper, we first introduce a novel multi-target scenario for the deployment of draft models for faster inference. Then, we present a novel, more efficient sorted speculative decoding mechanism that outperforms regular baselines in multi-target settings. We evaluated our method on Spec-Bench in different settings, including base models such as Vicuna 7B, 13B, and LLama Chat 70B. Our results suggest that our draft models perform better than baselines for multiple target models at the same time.

Speculative Decoding (SD) is a technique to accelerate the inference of Large Language Models (LLMs) by using a lower complexity draft model to propose candidate tokens verified by a larger target model. To further improve efficiency, Multi-Candidate Speculative Decoding (MCSD) improves upon this by sampling multiple candidate tokens from the draft model at each step and verifying them in parallel, thus increasing the chances of accepting a token and reducing generation time. Existing MCSD methods rely on the draft model to initialize the multi-candidate sequences and use static length and tree attention structure for draft generation. However, such an approach suffers from the draft and target model's output distribution differences, especially in dynamic generation context. In this work, we introduce an improved version of MCSD that includes a target model initialized multi-candidate process, dynamic sliced topology-aware causal mask for dynamic length adjustment, and decision models to optimize early stopping. Our framework improves the acceptance rate, defined as the ratio of the longest draft sequence length accepted by the target model over the maximum draft sequence length, by a maximum of 164% and gains a maximum of 75% generation speed up over the MCSD baseline. We also conduct an ablation study to evaluate the impact of the decision model.

Block drafters for speculative decoding are commonly trained on corpora written by external models, where a single off-policy token invalidates supervision for all subsequent slots in a block. Existing approaches discard these divergent slots, resulting in severe supervision loss. To resolve this problem while preserving the training corpus, we propose a rollout-based training framework that recovers full supervision through two complementary components. The first component, Anchor-Label Relabelling (ALR), replaces corpus labels with distributions from greedy target rollouts, restoring valid supervision across all predicted slots. The second component, In-Rollout Anchors (IRA), places draft blocks directly inside these rollouts to expose the drafter to target-generated context, reusing precomputed rollout features at no additional target cost. Across fixed vision-language and text corpora, our framework increases greedy accepted length by up to 36.5% over DFlash and consistently outperforms erasing baselines. Notably, a single epoch of our method surpasses the best erase schedules. After three epochs, it matches the acceptance length of training on target-regenerated responses. These results show that our framework provides an effective and compute-efficient approach for training speculative drafters on fixed corpora without modifying the original text. Code is available at https://github.com/js-lee-AI/ALR-IRA.

Parallel Speculative Decoding (PSD) accelerates traditional Speculative Decoding (SD) by overlapping draft generation with verification. However, it remains hampered by two fundamental challenges: (1) a theoretical speedup ceiling dictated by the speed ratio between the draft and target models, and (2) high computational waste and pipeline stall due to mid-sequence token rejections of early errors. To address these limitations, we introduce Double (Double Retrieval Speculative Parallelism). By bridging the gap between SD and PSD, our framework resolves the Retrieval Precision-Efficiency Dilemma through a novel synchronous mechanism. Specifically, we enable the draft model to execute iterative retrieval speculations to break the theoretical speedup limits; to alleviate rejections without rollback, the target model performs authoritative retrieval to generate multi-token guidance. Double is entirely training-free and lossless. Extensive experiments demonstrate state-of-the-art speedup of 5.3times on LLaMA3.3-70B and 2.8times on Qwen3-32B, significantly outperforming the advanced method EAGLE-3 that requires extensive model training.

Speculative decoding generally dictates having a small, efficient draft model that is either pretrained or distilled offline to a particular target model series, for instance, Llama or Qwen models. However, within online deployment settings, there are two major challenges: 1) usage of a target model that is incompatible with the draft model; 2) expectation of latency improvements over usage and time. In this work, we propose OmniDraft, a unified framework that enables a single draft model to operate with any target model and adapt dynamically to user data. We introduce an online n-gram cache with hybrid distillation fine-tuning to address the cross-vocabulary mismatch across draft and target models; and further improve decoding speed by leveraging adaptive drafting techniques. OmniDraft is particularly suitable for on-device LLM applications where model cost, efficiency and user customization are the major points of contention. This further highlights the need to tackle the above challenges and motivates the ``one drafter for all'' paradigm. We showcase the proficiency of the OmniDraft framework by performing online learning on math reasoning, coding and text generation tasks. Notably, OmniDraft enables a single Llama-68M model to pair with various target models including Vicuna-7B, Qwen2-7B and Llama3-8B models for speculative decoding; and additionally provides up to 1.5-2x speedup.

Speculative decoding accelerates large language model inference by pairing a target model with a lightweight draft model whose proposed tokens are verified in parallel. A common way to build draft models, like EAGLE3 or DFlash is supervised fine-tuning (SFT) on target-generated trajectories. However, we observe that SFT quickly plateaus: the draft model's acceptance length on test data stops improving. The reason is an offline-to-inference mismatch: In SFT, the drafter learns from fixed target-generated trajectories, whereas during speculative decoding it is evaluated on blocks proposed under its own policy. This motivates on-policy distillation (OPD), where the target model supervises the drafter on draft-induced states. Yet OPD remains difficult for draft models, as they cannot reliably roll out complete sequences independently, whereas target-assisted generation makes the collected sequences follow the target distribution and thus eliminates the on-policy signal. We therefore propose Draft-OPD, which uses target-assisted rollout for stable continuations and replays drafting from the verification-exposed error positions. This allows the drafter to learn from target feedback on both accepted and rejected proposals, focusing training on the draft-induced errors that limit speculative acceptance. Experiments show that Draft-OPD achieves over 5times lossless acceleration for thinking models across diverse tasks, improving over EAGLE-3 and DFlash by 23\% and 13\%.

Speculative decoding accelerates generation without changing its output, but on vision-language models (VLMs) a self-reinforcing cycle holds it back. Because an autoregressive drafter pays a sequential pass for each drafted token, it must stay small and can ill afford to attend to the image at each pass. Prior work therefore compresses or hides the image, leaving the drafter weakest on the text the image determines. We present GLANCE, a one-pass block drafter that breaks this cycle on an unmodified VLM target. Its block-diffusion head drafts a whole block in one forward pass over the target's already fused vision-language states, reading the multimodal context once, however deep the draft. The target verifies a wide candidate tree in one pass and commits exactly its greedy output. In one production engine at a fixed round budget, GLANCE decodes up to 3.05 times faster than autoregressive decoding and outpaces the production EAGLE3-VL head on average and by about 11% on grounded tasks. An entropy law explains when drafting pays, predicting the longest accepted blocks on grounded tasks, where the target's next-token entropy is lowest. Our code is available at https://github.com/js-lee-AI/GLANCE.

Block drafters propose several tokens in one forward pass, before earlier target tokens are realised. Their rejection mixes two losses: missing within-block path information and imperfect modelling of observable information. Accepted length cannot distinguish them. We separate the two with an information floor, the minimum expected rejection at a specified conditioning order; rejection above this floor is the model gap. Estimating both from target rollouts across four domains, four open-weight targets, and a frontier API target yields three findings. First, the all-parallel floor reaches 0.286 at the final slot on Qwen3-4B, limiting even the best proposal to 71% per-slot acceptance. Second, one realised token removes 86--100% of this floor, a locality also recovered by an independent mutual-information analysis. Third, current drafters remain far above their floors: the final-slot model gap accounts for 43--64% of DFlash rejection and 85--92% of DSpark's oracle-conditioned rejection. These findings separate the value of short-range conditioning from proposal quality. Guided by this distinction, we replace a context-independent predecessor correction with a prefix-attention head that reads committed context conditional on the predecessor. With supporting backbone components, the resulting Qwen3-4B drafter improves mean serving accepted length by 3.83% over the released DSpark checkpoint across nine tasks, without increasing the conditioning order.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation in large language models. In each drafting stage, a lightweight draft model proposes tokens that the target model subsequently verifies. With increasingly capable draft models, we find that the target model frequently accepts all tokens produced in a drafting stage. A verification nevertheless follows each drafting stage, resulting in unnecessary target-model forward passes even when drafting could have continued. Adaptive draft length methods decide during decoding how many draft tokens precede a verification, but they raise the speedup only for autoregressive draft models. For a parallel draft model, drafting further requires target-model hidden states for draft tokens that have not been verified. We propose DLoop, a looped form of speculative decoding that adaptively performs multiple drafting stages before verification. DLoop continues drafting while the draft model remains confident and verifies all accumulated draft tokens together. Loop-aware training keeps the draft model reliable in the additional drafting stages by exposing it to its own hidden states for unverified draft tokens. By spending additional draft-model forward passes, DLoop reduces the number of target-model forward passes required for verification. Across diverse speculative decoding methods including EAGLE-3, DFlash, Domino, DSpark, and multi-token prediction modules, DLoop improves the wall-clock speedup by 5 to 41 percent while preserving lossless decoding. Code will be available at https://github.com/naver-ai/DLoop.

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by having a small drafter propose tokens that a larger target model verifies in parallel. Recent diffusion-based parallel drafters such as DFlash predict the full B-token block in one forward pass, enabling deeper drafters and longer accepted blocks. However, existing multi-token drafter objectives often use fixed position-dependent weighting schedules, such as head-dependent weights or block-position decays, which do not adapt as the positions limiting acceptance change during training. To address this, we derive per-position training weights from a differentiable surrogate of expected accepted draft length, matching the weight of each position to its log-probability gradient contribution. The resulting loss, D-PACE (Dynamic Position-Aware Cross-Entropy), shifts training signal toward positions that currently limit acceptance as the drafter improves. Across six benchmarks, two Qwen3-4B draft depths, two decoding temperatures, and two additional target models, D-PACE consistently improves both wall-clock speedup and average emitted length, with 2.3\% measured training-time overhead and no changes to the drafter architecture or inference procedure.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a representative post-training paradigm for LLMs, enabling strong reasoning and agentic capabilities. However, rollout generation remains a dominant latency bottleneck because autoregressive sampling decodes responses sequentially and a small number of long-tailed generations often determine completion time. Speculative decoding (SD) offers a natural way to address this bottleneck, as it is a well-established technique for serving fixed LLMs that reduces latency by rapidly drafting tokens and accepting them through parallel verification while preserving the target-model distribution. However, its practical speedups do not directly carry over to RL rollouts: (i) the evolving target policy makes any fixed drafter increasingly mismatched with the policy's output distribution; and (ii) active batch sizes shrink throughout rollout decoding, shifting decoding from compute-bound to memory-bound regimes where parallel verification can exploit underutilized compute. Therefore, accelerating RL rollouts requires both a drafter that remains effective under long, high-temperature generations from an evolving policy and system-aware use of SD that avoids compute-bound regimes. We present EfficientRollout, a system-aware self-SD framework designed to address this gap for RL rollouts. EfficientRollout induces a quantized drafter from the target model (i.e. self-speculative decoding), keeping it coupled to the evolving policy without separate drafter pretraining or online adaptation. It further coordinates a system-aware SD toggle policy with acceptance-aware draft-length adaptation, enabling speculation only in beneficial regimes while matching the drafting budget to evolving drafter quality. EfficientRollout reduces rollout and end-to-end latency by up to 19.6% and 12.7%, respectively, over an accelerated AR rollout baseline, while preserving final model quality.

Inference with modern Large Language Models (LLMs) is expensive and time-consuming, and speculative sampling has proven to be an effective solution. Most speculative sampling methods such as EAGLE use a static draft tree, implicitly assuming that the acceptance rate of draft tokens depends only on their position. Interestingly, we found that the acceptance rate of draft tokens is also context-dependent. In this paper, building upon EAGLE, we propose EAGLE-2, which introduces a new technique of context-aware dynamic draft tree into drafting modeling. This improvement leverages the fact that the draft model of EAGLE is well-calibrated: the confidence scores from the draft model approximate acceptance rates with small errors. We conducted extensive evaluations on three series of LLMs and six tasks, with EAGLE-2 achieving speedup ratios 3.05x-4.26x, which is 20%-40% faster than EAGLE-1. EAGLE-2 also ensures that the distribution of the generated text remains unchanged, making it a lossless acceleration algorithm.

Autoregressive language models demonstrate excellent performance in various scenarios. However, the inference efficiency is limited by its one-step-one-word generation mode, which has become a pressing problem recently as the models become increasingly larger. Speculative decoding employs a "draft and then verify" mechanism to allow multiple tokens to be generated in one step, realizing lossless acceleration. Existing methods mainly adopt fixed heuristic draft structures, which fail to adapt to different situations to maximize the acceptance length during verification. To alleviate this dilemma, we proposed OPT-Tree, an algorithm to construct adaptive and scalable draft trees. It searches the optimal tree structure that maximizes the mathematical expectation of the acceptance length in each decoding step. Experimental results reveal that OPT-Tree outperforms the existing draft structures and achieves a speed-up ratio of up to 3.2 compared with autoregressive decoding. If the draft model is powerful enough and the node budget is sufficient, it can generate more than ten tokens in a single step. Our code is available at https://github.com/Jikai0Wang/OPT-Tree.

Block diffusion accelerates speculative decoding by drafting multiple tokens in one forward pass. However, each position predicts a marginal distribution without observing earlier proposed tokens, limiting draft quality and acceptance length. We identify a concrete failure, the repetition trap, in which neighboring positions produce redundant copies of the same token. We explain this tendency theoretically and empirically examine its association with shorter accepted drafts. Recent methods refine marginal predictions with an additional causal head or a separately trained drafter, increasing parameter storage and introducing separate training objectives. We instead propose D-Loop, which introduces intra-block causal conditioning within the original diffusion drafter without additional model components. Inspired by semi-autoregressive generation and parameter sharing, D-Loop reuses the same backbone across looped passes. The first pass proposes a block, and the second conditions on a selected prefix to regenerate the suffix in parallel. A complementary prefix--suffix objective trains the shared drafter for both anchor-only prefix prediction and prefix-conditioned suffix prediction. Across eight math, code, and chat benchmarks, D-Loop can beat DFlash and DSpark on Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B with obvious gains.

Drafting in Magic the Gathering is a sub-game within a larger trading card game, where several players progressively build decks by picking cards from a common pool. Drafting poses an interesting problem for game and AI research due to its large search space, mechanical complexity, multiplayer nature, and hidden information. Despite this, drafting remains understudied, in part due to a lack of high-quality, public datasets. To rectify this problem, we present a dataset of over 100,000 simulated, anonymized human drafts collected from Draftsim.com. We also propose four diverse strategies for drafting agents, including a primitive heuristic agent, an expert-tuned complex heuristic agent, a Naive Bayes agent, and a deep neural network agent. We benchmark their ability to emulate human drafting, and show that the deep neural network agent outperforms other agents, while the Naive Bayes and expert-tuned agents outperform simple heuristics. We analyze the accuracy of AI agents across the timeline of a draft, and describe unique strengths and weaknesses for each approach. This work helps to identify next steps in the creation of humanlike drafting agents, and can serve as a benchmark for the next generation of drafting bots.

Speculative decoding accelerates Large Language Model (LLM) inference by using a small draft model to predict multiple tokens, and a large target model to verify these tokens in parallel. Recent studies leverage the hidden state of the target model to enhance draft model prediction accuracy. However, existing methods suffer from the degrading quality of draft token predictions at later positions, due to error accumulation in draft model generated features. In this paper, we propose Position Specialists (PosS), which consist of multiple position-specialized draft layers to generate tokens at assigned position(s). Position specialists greatly improve token acceptance rate at later positions per drafting round, as each specialist only needs to focus on handling a certain level of draft model feature deviation. Experiment results on Llama-3-8B-Instruct and Llama-2-13B-chat across six datasets demonstrate that PosS effectively improves over baselines on average acceptance length and speed-up ratio. Our codebase is available at https://github.com/shrango/PosS.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by letting a lightweight draft model propose future tokens that a larger target model then verifies in parallel. In practice, however, draft models are usually trained on broad generic corpora, which leaves it unclear how much speculative decoding quality depends on the draft training distribution. We study this question with lightweight HASS and EAGLE-2 drafters trained on MathInstruct, ShareGPT, and mixed-data variants, evaluated on MT-Bench, GSM8K, MATH-500, and SVAMP. Measured by acceptance length, task-specific training yields clear specialization: MathInstruct-trained drafts are strongest on reasoning benchmarks, while ShareGPT-trained drafts are strongest on MT-Bench. Mixed-data training improves robustness, but larger mixtures do not dominate across decoding temperatures. We also study how to combine specialized drafters at inference time. Naive checkpoint averaging performs poorly, whereas confidence-based routing improves over single-domain drafts and merged-tree verification yields the highest acceptance length overall for both backbones. Finally, confidence is a more useful routing signal than entropy: rejected tokens tend to have higher entropy, but confidence produces much clearer benchmark-level routing decisions. These results show that speculative decoding quality depends not only on draft architecture, but also on the match between draft training data and downstream workload, and that specialized drafters are better combined at inference time than in weight space.

We demonstrate that from an algorithm guaranteeing an approximation factor for the ratio of submodular (RS) optimization problem, we can build another algorithm having a different kind of approximation guarantee -- weaker than the classical one -- for the difference of submodular (DS) optimization problem, and vice versa. We also illustrate the link between these two problems by analyzing a Greedy algorithm which approximately maximizes objective functions of the form Ψ(f,g), where f,g are two non-negative, monotone, submodular functions and Ψ is a {quasiconvex} 2-variables function, which is non decreasing with respect to the first variable. For the choice Ψ(f,g)triangleq f/g, we recover RS, and for the choice Ψ(f,g)triangleq f-g, we recover DS. To the best of our knowledge, this greedy approach is new for DS optimization. For RS optimization, it reduces to the standard GreedRatio algorithm that has already been analyzed previously. However, our analysis is novel for this case.

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by using a draft model to look ahead, but gains are capped by the cost of autoregressive draft generation: increasing draft size elevates acceptance rates but introduces additional latency overhead exacerbating the speed-accuracy tradeoff. Prior methods (Medusa, Hydra, EAGLE) partially reduce draft cost but either degrade acceptance or introduce overheads that limit scaling. We present Mirror Speculative Decoding (Mirror-SD), an inference algorithm that breaks the latency-acceptance tradeoff. Mirror-SD launches branch-complete rollouts from early-exit signals in parallel with the target model's suffix and explicitly maps computation across heterogeneous accelerators (GPU and NPU) to exploit cross-device parallelism. The draft speculates forward continuations for the target to verify, while the target simultaneously speculates correction paths for the draft, converting speculation into two complementary execution pipelines. To further cut draft latency without weakening acceptance semantics, we add speculative streaming so the draft emits multiple tokens per step. This dual strategy of parallel heterogeneous execution plus multi-token speculative streaming pushes speculative decoding toward its ideal regime of high acceptance with low overhead. On SpecBench with server-scale models from 14B to 66B parameters, Mirror-SD delivers consistent end-to-end gains, achieving 2.8x-5.8x wall-time speedups across diverse tasks and a 30% average relative improvement over the strongest baseline, EAGLE3.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a key component in modern large language models, yet the rollout stage remains the key bottleneck in RL training pipelines. Although Multi-Token Prediction (MTP) offers a natural solution to accelerate rollouts through speculative decoding, many studies have observed that MTP acceptance rates degrade significantly during RL training, leading to limited speedup performance. To address this bottleneck, we present Bebop, a systematic study of MTP in LLM post-training, and offer practical recipes to integrate MTP into large-scale RL pipelines. First, we reveal that the MTP acceptance rate is fundamentally bounded by the fluctuation of model entropy, which demonstrates a clear negative linear relationship with the rise of entropy in the RL stage. Second, we show that probabilistic rejection sampling largely alleviates the disturbance introduced by entropy in RL compared to greedy draft sampling. We further identify that the conventional MTP training objectives (cross-entropy or KL) are suboptimal in such settings, and therefore we propose a novel end-to-end TV loss that directly optimizes multi-step rejection sampling acceptance rate, yielding ~10% acceptance rate improvements, achieving up to 95% acceptance rates and up to 25% extra inference throughput gains across mathematical reasoning, code generation, and agentic tasks. Third, we test various online MTP training strategies during RL and show that pre-RL MTP training with e2e TV loss and rejection sampling achieves a consistent acceptance rate and speedup throughout the entire RL, eliminating the need for costly online MTP updating. We provide extensive experiments and analysis that validate our findings. Experimental results show our method achieves up to 1.8x end-to-end acceleration in async RL training of Qwen3.5, Qwen3.6, and Qwen3.7 models.

Speculative decoding (SD), where an extra draft model is employed to provide multiple draft tokens first and then the original target model verifies these tokens in parallel, has shown great power for LLM inference acceleration. However, existing SD methods suffer from the mutual waiting problem, i.e., the target model gets stuck when the draft model is guessing tokens, and vice versa. This problem is directly incurred by the asynchronous execution of the draft model and the target model, and is exacerbated due to the fixed draft length in speculative decoding. To address these challenges, we propose a conceptually simple, flexible, and general framework to boost speculative decoding, namely Parallel spEculative decoding with Adaptive dRaft Length (PEARL). Specifically, PEARL proposes pre-verify to verify the first draft token in advance during the drafting phase, and post-verify to generate more draft tokens during the verification phase. PEARL parallels the drafting phase and the verification phase via applying the two strategies, and achieves adaptive draft length for different scenarios, which effectively alleviates the mutual waiting problem. Moreover, we theoretically demonstrate that the mean accepted tokens of PEARL is more than existing draft-then-verify works. Experiments on various text generation benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our \name, leading to a superior speedup performance up to 3.79times and 1.52times, compared to auto-regressive decoding and vanilla speculative decoding, respectively.

We present Direct Reward Fine-Tuning (DRaFT), a simple and effective method for fine-tuning diffusion models to maximize differentiable reward functions, such as scores from human preference models. We first show that it is possible to backpropagate the reward function gradient through the full sampling procedure, and that doing so achieves strong performance on a variety of rewards, outperforming reinforcement learning-based approaches. We then propose more efficient variants of DRaFT: DRaFT-K, which truncates backpropagation to only the last K steps of sampling, and DRaFT-LV, which obtains lower-variance gradient estimates for the case when K=1. We show that our methods work well for a variety of reward functions and can be used to substantially improve the aesthetic quality of images generated by Stable Diffusion 1.4. Finally, we draw connections between our approach and prior work, providing a unifying perspective on the design space of gradient-based fine-tuning algorithms.

Speculative decoding accelerates memory-bound LLM inference without quality degradation by using a fast drafter to propose multiple candidate tokens and the target model to verify them in parallel. However, conventional sequential speculative decoding suffers from mutual waiting between drafting and verification, and repeated exchange of intermediate states further increases memory access overhead. Parallel speculative decoding addresses this limitation by performing drafting and verification within a single target forward pass, allowing future drafts to be prepared while current candidates are being verified. Although effective at small batch sizes, existing parallel speculative decoding methods either require costly continual pretraining with quality degradation or suffer from low acceptance rates. More importantly, this paradigm inherently suffers from uncertainty in both the bonus token and the accepted length, leading to draft verification mismatch and causing throughput gains to collapse at large batch sizes. To address these limitations, we introduce FlexDraft, a lossless speculative decoding framework that flexibly adapts to varying batch sizes through three key designs. (1) Attention Tuning enables block diffusion drafting by tuning only the attention projectors of the final few layers on mask tokens, while keeping the autoregressive path frozen to preserve the target distribution and produce high quality drafts with minimal trainable parameters. (2) Bonus-guided Calibration uses a lightweight MLP conditioned on the resolved bonus token to calibrate draft logits, mitigating draft verification mismatch caused by bonus token uncertainty. (3) Flex Decoding dynamically switches between parallel draft and verify at small batch sizes and sequential draft then verify at large batch sizes, and adjusts verification length based on draft confidence to eliminate redundant computation.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive large language model (LLM) inference by using a lightweight draft model to propose candidate tokens that are then verified in parallel by the target model. The speedup is significantly determined by the acceptance rate, yet standard training minimizes Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as a proxy objective. While KL divergence and acceptance rate share the same global optimum, small draft models, having limited capacity, typically converge to suboptimal solutions where minimizing KL does not guarantee maximizing acceptance rate. To address this issue, we propose LK losses, special training objectives that directly target acceptance rate. Comprehensive experiments across four draft architectures and six target models, ranging from 8B to 685B parameters, demonstrate consistent improvements in acceptance metrics across all configurations compared to the standard KL-based training. We evaluate our approach on general, coding and math domains and report gains of up to 8-10% in average acceptance length. LK losses are easy to implement, introduce no computational overhead and can be directly integrated into any existing speculator training framework, making them a compelling alternative to the existing draft training objectives.

Sequence models are a critical component of modern NLP systems, but their predictions are difficult to explain. We consider model explanations though rationales, subsets of context that can explain individual model predictions. We find sequential rationales by solving a combinatorial optimization: the best rationale is the smallest subset of input tokens that would predict the same output as the full sequence. Enumerating all subsets is intractable, so we propose an efficient greedy algorithm to approximate this objective. The algorithm, which is called greedy rationalization, applies to any model. For this approach to be effective, the model should form compatible conditional distributions when making predictions on incomplete subsets of the context. This condition can be enforced with a short fine-tuning step. We study greedy rationalization on language modeling and machine translation. Compared to existing baselines, greedy rationalization is best at optimizing the combinatorial objective and provides the most faithful rationales. On a new dataset of annotated sequential rationales, greedy rationales are most similar to human rationales.

Speculative decoding has demonstrated its effectiveness in accelerating the inference of large language models while maintaining a consistent sampling distribution. However, the conventional approach of training a separate draft model to achieve a satisfactory token acceptance rate can be costly. Drawing inspiration from early exiting, we propose a novel self-speculative decoding framework Kangaroo, which uses a fixed shallow sub-network as a self-draft model, with the remaining layers serving as the larger target model. We train a lightweight and efficient adapter module on top of the sub-network to bridge the gap between the sub-network and the full model's representation ability. It is noteworthy that the inference latency of the self-draft model may no longer be negligible compared to the large model, necessitating strategies to increase the token acceptance rate while minimizing the drafting steps of the small model. To address this challenge, we introduce an additional early exiting mechanism for generating draft tokens. Specifically, we halt the small model's subsequent prediction during the drafting phase once the confidence level for the current token falls below a certain threshold. Extensive experiments on the Spec-Bench demonstrate the effectiveness of Kangaroo. Under single-sequence verification, Kangaroo achieves speedups up to 1.68times on Spec-Bench, outperforming Medusa-1 with 88.7\% fewer additional parameters (67M compared to 591M). The code for Kangaroo is available at https://github.com/Equationliu/Kangaroo.

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by verifying multiple drafted tokens in parallel, allowing a single target forward pass to accept several tokens. By construction, verification computes representations for both accepted and rejected tokens. Yet, conventional drafters retain only the representations of accepted tokens, leaving the substantial verifier computation spent on rejected tokens effectively wasted. We find that these discarded hidden states generated during target forward retain useful information about future tokens that can improve subsequent drafts. However, realizing this opportunity poses two distinct challenges. At inference, recycling overhead can increase drafting latency, diminishing the speedup gained from increased acceptance length. During training, standard parallel drafter training does not produce inference-aligned rejected states, while obtaining them through sequential rollouts would sacrifice parallelism across training positions. We introduce Carryover Drafting, which addresses both challenges. Carryover recycles rejected target hidden states as temporary KV context, allowing the drafter to selectively attend to them. It reuses the drafter's existing interface and adds only a single learned embedding to distinguish rejected states from committed context. The additional KV context is replaced each drafting round, keeping its length bounded by one proposal block. We introduce parallel draft--verify--draft training that exposes the drafter to inference-aligned rejected states while preserving parallelism across training positions. Experiments with DFlash and a DSpark-derived semi-autoregressive drafter across two target models show that this simple Carryover mechanism improves average acceptance length by 6.5--14.7% and end-to-end vLLM speedup by 7.9--14.4% over the corresponding baselines, with speedup gains reaching 28.8% on translation.

Influence maximization (IM) aims to identify a small number of influential individuals to maximize the information spread and finds applications in various fields. It was first introduced in the context of viral marketing, where a company pays a few influencers to promote the product. However, apart from the cost factor, the capacity of individuals to consume content poses challenges for implementing IM in real-world scenarios. For example, players on online gaming platforms can only interact with a limited number of friends. In addition, we observe that in these scenarios, (i) the initial adopters of promotion are likely to be the friends of influencers rather than the influencers themselves, and (ii) existing IM solutions produce sub-par results with high computational demands. Motivated by these observations, we propose a new IM variant called capacity constrained influence maximization (CIM), which aims to select a limited number of influential friends for each initial adopter such that the promotion can reach more users. To solve CIM effectively, we design two greedy algorithms, MG-Greedy and RR-Greedy, ensuring the 1/2-approximation ratio. To improve the efficiency, we devise the scalable implementation named RR-OPIM+ with (1/2-epsilon)-approximation and near-linear running time. We extensively evaluate the performance of 9 approaches on 6 real-world networks, and our solutions outperform all competitors in terms of result quality and running time. Additionally, we deploy RR-OPIM+ to online game scenarios, which improves the baseline considerably.

In the context of multi-step reasoning, language models (LMs) probabilities are often miscalibrated -- solutions with high probabilities are not always correct. Therefore, greedy decoding, which is the standard decoding method for reasoning tasks, often yields incorrect solutions. In addition, methods such as self-consistency and verifiers rely on sampling from the LM distribution and do not tackle the underlying issue. To address this, we introduce Guiding Multi-step ReAsoning with a CorrectnEss Discriminator (GRACE), a stepwise decoding approach that nudges the model towards producing correct reasoning steps. GRACE employs a discriminator model, which is trained to differentiate correct steps from invalid ones, to adjust decoding preferences based on the correctness of each reasoning step. Importantly, GRACE does not require fine-tuning or re-training the LMs. When compared with conventional decoding strategies over four popular math reasoning benchmarks, GRACE exhibits significant improvements in both final answer accuracy and step correctness, outperforming both greedy decoding and self-consistency.Our code can be found at \url{https://github.com/mukhal/grace.}

Speculative decoding (SD) addresses the high inference costs of LLMs by having lightweight drafters generate candidates for large verifiers to validate in parallel. Existing draft-verify methods use binary decisions: accept or fully recompute. Yet we find that many rejected tokens can be verified correctly by a slim submodel derived from the full verifier via intra-model routing, instead of the full verifier. This motivates our slim-verifier to handle tokens requiring moderate verification resources, reducing expensive large-model calls. We propose Verification via Intra-Model Routing for Speculative Decoding (VIA-SD), a multi-tier framework using a routed slim-verifier. Draft tokens are processed hierarchically: direct acceptance for high-confidence cases, slim-verifier regeneration for medium-confidence cases, and full-model verification for uncertain cases. Across four representative tasks and multiple model families, VIA-SD reduces rejection rates by 0.10-0.22 and delivers 10-20% speedups over strong SD baselines, while achieving 2.5-3x acceleration over non-drafting decoding. Moreover, VIA-SD is compatible with existing SD frameworks without modifying their training procedures. Our results suggest multi-tier SD as a general paradigm for scalable and efficient LLM inference. Project page: https://zju-xyc.github.io/VIA-SD-Project-Page/

Speculative Decoding (SD) is a popular lossless technique for accelerating the inference of Large Language Models (LLMs). We show that the decoding speed of SD frameworks with static draft structures can be significantly improved by incorporating context-aware adaptive draft structures. However, current studies on adaptive draft structures are limited by their performance, modeling approaches, and applicability. In this paper, we introduce AdaEAGLE, the first SD framework that explicitly models adaptive draft structures. AdaEAGLE leverages the Lightweight Draft Length Predictor (LDLP) module to explicitly predict the optimal number of draft tokens during inference to guide the draft model. It achieves comparable speedup results without manual thresholds and allows for deeper, more specialized optimizations. Moreover, together with threshold-based strategies, AdaEAGLE achieves a 1.62times speedup over the vanilla AR decoding and outperforms fixed-length SotA baseline while maintaining output quality.

Efficiency, as a critical practical challenge for LLM-driven agentic and reasoning systems, is increasingly constrained by the inherent latency of autoregressive (AR) decoding. Speculative decoding mitigates this cost through a draft-verify scheme, yet existing approaches rely on AR draft models (a.k.a., drafters), which introduce two fundamental issues: (1) step-wise uncertainty accumulation leads to a progressive collapse of trust between the target model and the drafter, and (2) inherently sequential decoding of AR drafters. Together, these factors cause limited speedups. In this paper, we show that a diffusion large language model (dLLM) drafters can naturally overcome these issues through its fundamentally different probabilistic modeling and efficient parallel decoding strategy. Building on this insight, we introduce DEER, an efficient speculative decoding framework that drafts with diffusion and verifies with AR models. To enable high-quality drafting, DEER employs a two-stage training pipeline to align the dLLM-based drafters with the target AR model, and further adopts single-step decoding to generate long draft segments. Experiments show DEER reaches draft acceptance lengths of up to 32 tokens, far surpassing the 10 tokens achieved by EAGLE-3. Moreover, on HumanEval with Qwen3-30B-A3B, DEER attains a 5.54x speedup, while EAGLE-3 achieves only 2.41x. Code, model, demo, etc, will be available at https://czc726.github.io/DEER/

In this paper, we introduce a simple training-free technique to improve the performance of drafter-based speculative decoding (SpD) methods that incorporates language modeling head (LM head) during drafting process. A drafter-based speculative decoding leverages one or more smaller language models, a.k.a. drafters or draft models, to sample a draft sequence or tree consisting of multiple tokens, followed by verification by a base LLM, a target model, accepting a subset as its valid generation. As it is usually considered that the speculative decoding requires one-to-one mapping between vocabularies of the target model and the draft model, it has been natural to share the vocabulary between them, or even share the LM head as in EAGLE or Medusa. We first identify that this draft token sampling scheme inherently contains an unnecessary inference overhead in drafting, especially for some target LLMs with very large vocabularies. Then, we propose a simple technique, VocabTrim, to mitigate the drafting overhead to improve the generation speed in memory-bound environment. VocabTrim reconstructs the drafter LM head to contain only a limited set of tokens, selected by the most frequently sampled from the vocabulary of the target model. While limiting the vocabulary in drafting slightly degrades the acceptance rate, it significantly reduces the drafting latency in memory-bound process which is often the case on edge devices, resulting in higher memory-bound speed up (MBSU). We show that our method can boost the memory-bound speed-up for Llama-3 models on Spec-Bench, specifically by 16% for Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct.

Speculative decoding accelerates Large Language Models (LLMs) inference by using a lightweight draft model to propose candidate tokens that are verified in parallel by the target model. However, existing draft model training objectives are not directly aligned with the inference-time goal of maximizing consecutive token acceptance. To address this issue, we reformulate the draft model optimization objective, shifting the focus from token prediction accuracy to the overall acceptance length. In this paper, we build upon PARD to propose PARD-2, a dual-mode speculative decoding framework with Confidence-Adaptive Token (CAT) optimization. This approach adaptively reweights each token to better align with the verification process. Notably, PARD-2 enables a single draft model to support both target-dependent and target-independent modes. Experiments across diverse models and tasks demonstrate that PARD-2 achieves up to 6.94times lossless acceleration, surpassing EAGLE-3 by 1.9times and PARD by 1.3times on Llama3.1-8B. Our code is available at https://github.com/AMD-AGI/PARD.

Selecting high-quality and diverse training samples from extensive datasets plays a crucial role in reducing training overhead and enhancing the performance of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, existing studies fall short in assessing the overall value of selected data, focusing primarily on individual quality, and struggle to strike an effective balance between ensuring diversity and minimizing data point traversals. Therefore, this paper introduces a novel choice-based sample selection framework that shifts the focus from evaluating individual sample quality to comparing the contribution value of different samples when incorporated into the subset. Thanks to the advanced language understanding capabilities of LLMs, we utilize LLMs to evaluate the value of each option during the selection process. Furthermore, we design a greedy sampling process where samples are incrementally added to the subset, thereby improving efficiency by eliminating the need for exhaustive traversal of the entire dataset with the limited budget. Extensive experiments demonstrate that selected data from our method not only surpass the performance of the full dataset but also achieves competitive results with state-of-the-art (SOTA) studies, while requiring fewer selections. Moreover, we validate our approach on a larger medical dataset, highlighting its practical applicability in real-world applications.

Speculative decoding accelerates large language model (LLM) inference by using a small draft model to propose candidate tokens that a larger target model verifies. A critical hyperparameter in this process is the speculation length γ, which determines how many tokens the draft model proposes per step. Nearly all existing systems use a fixed γ (typically 4), yet empirical evidence suggests that the optimal value varies across task types and, crucially, depends on the compression level applied to the target model. In this paper, we present SpecKV, a lightweight adaptive controller that selects γ per speculation step using signals extracted from the draft model itself. We profile speculative decoding across 4 task categories, 4 speculation lengths, and 3 compression levels (FP16, INT8, NF4), collecting 5,112 step-level records with per-step acceptance rates, draft entropy, and draft confidence. We demonstrate that the optimal γ shifts across compression regimes and that draft model confidence and entropy are strong predictors of acceptance rate (correlation approx 0.56). SpecKV uses a small MLP trained on these signals to maximize expected tokens per speculation step, achieving a 56.0% improvement over the fixed-γ=4 baseline with only 0.34 ms overhead per decision (<0.5% of step time). The improvement is statistically significant (p < 0.001, paired bootstrap test). We release all profiling data, trained models, and notebooks as open-source artifacts.

We introduce AutoJudge, a framework that accelerates large language model (LLM) inference with task-specific lossy speculative decoding. Instead of matching the original model output distribution token-by-token, we identify which of the generated tokens affect the downstream quality of the generated response, relaxing the guarantee so that the "unimportant" tokens can be generated faster. Our approach relies on a semi-greedy search algorithm to test which of the mismatches between target and draft model should be corrected to preserve quality, and which ones may be skipped. We then train a lightweight classifier based on existing LLM embeddings to predict, at inference time, which mismatching tokens can be safely accepted without compromising the final answer quality. We test our approach with Llama 3.2 1B (draft) and Llama 3.1 8B (target) models on zero-shot GSM8K reasoning, where it achieves up to 1.5x more accepted tokens per verification cycle with under 1% degradation in answer accuracy compared to standard speculative decoding and over 2x with small loss in accuracy. When applied to the LiveCodeBench benchmark, our approach automatically detects other, programming-specific important tokens and shows similar speedups, demonstrating its ability to generalize across tasks.

This paper proposes a novel reinforcement learning (RL) framework for credit underwriting that tackles ungeneralizable contextual challenges. We adapt RL principles for credit scoring, incorporating action space renewal and multi-choice actions. Our work demonstrates that the traditional underwriting approach aligns with the RL greedy strategy. We introduce two new RL-based credit underwriting algorithms to enable more informed decision-making. Simulations show these new approaches outperform the traditional method in scenarios where the data aligns with the model. However, complex situations highlight model limitations, emphasizing the importance of powerful machine learning models for optimal performance. Future research directions include exploring more sophisticated models alongside efficient exploration mechanisms.

Market valuations for professional athletes is a difficult problem, given the amount of variability in performance and location from year to year. In the National Basketball Association (NBA), a straightforward way to address this problem is to build a tabular data set and use supervised machine learning to predict a player's salary based on the player's performance in the previous year. For younger players, whose contracts are mostly built on draft position, this approach works well, however it can fail for veterans or those whose salaries are on the high tail of the distribution. In this paper, we show that building a knowledge graph with on and off court data, embedding that graph in a vector space, and including that vector in the tabular data allows the supervised learning to better understand the landscape of factors that affect salary. We compare several graph embedding algorithms and show that such a process is vital to NBA salary prediction.

Sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models have become an important approach for scaling Large Language Models (LLMs), but their inference efficiency depends strongly on expert activation patterns. Speculative decoding (SD) accelerates autoregressive generation by verifying multiple draft tokens in parallel, yet existing draft selection strategies primarily optimize acceptance likelihood. In large-scale MoE models, however, selecting draft tokens also determines the union of experts activated during verification. We observe that confidence-driven SD can introduce expert scattering: high-probability draft tokens may route to disjoint experts, increasing expert-weight memory traffic and reducing the speedup from speculation. Motivated by this observation, we revisit draft-tree selection under the non-uniform memory-cost structure of MoE inference. We propose EcoSpec, a cost-aware speculative decoding framework that incorporates predicted marginal expert activation cost into draft selection. With a lightweight expert predictor and a dynamic expert buffer, EcoSpec favors draft paths that preserve high acceptance likelihood while reusing experts already covered by the current verification set, without modifying the target-model verification rule. We evaluate EcoSpec on three large-scale MoE models, including DeepSeek-V3.1 (671B), Qwen3-235B-A22B, and GPT-OSS-120B, across reasoning, coding, question-answering, and dialogue benchmarks. EcoSpec consistently reduces active expert footprints and improves end-to-end decoding speed, achieving up to 1.62times speedup. These results show that accounting for expert activation cost is important for efficient speculative decoding in large-scale MoE models.

Speculative decoding (SD) is a powerful technique for accelerating the inference process of large language models (LLMs) without sacrificing accuracy. Typically, SD employs a small draft model to generate a fixed number of draft tokens, which are then verified in parallel by the target model. However, our experiments reveal that the optimal draft length varies significantly across different decoding steps. This variation suggests that using a fixed draft length limits the potential for further improvements in decoding speed. To address this challenge, we propose Pacer, a novel approach that dynamically controls draft length using a lightweight, trainable pre-verification layer. This layer pre-verifies draft tokens blockwise before they are sent to the target model, allowing the draft model to stop token generation if the blockwise pre-verification fails. We implement Pacer on multiple SD model pairs and evaluate its performance across various benchmarks. Our results demonstrate that Pacer achieves up to 2.66x Speedup over autoregressive decoding and consistently outperforms standard speculative decoding. Furthermore, when integrated with Ouroboros, Pacer attains up to 3.09x Speedup.

Speculative decoding accelerates autoregressive generation by drafting a block of tokens that the target model verifies left-to-right, committing only the longest accepted prefix. Block (DLM-style) drafters predict the whole block in parallel, which is fast but trained with a full-block cross-entropy that supervises every position against the gold continuation -- even though inference discards every token after the first rejection. Recent acceptance-aware objectives patch this by reweighting the full-block loss; we instead use teacher-forced learning as a motivation for how supervision should concentrate on the accepted prefix. A mask-only block drafter has no input-side channel for gold-prefix conditioning, so AUF approximates that prefix-sensitive supervision on the loss side by keeping the cross-entropy support only through the drafter's first predicted failure. AUF is a single, detached change to the CE support -- no auxiliary objective, no verifier rollouts, and no change to the inference pipeline or the exactness contract. Within fixed drafter backbones and serving settings on Qwen3-8B, AUF raises the DFlash drafter's average emitted length τ, averaged over six benchmarks, from 2.40 to 2.61, with a gain on every benchmark, and transfers to Domino's two-branch head (2.56 to 2.68). Two findings sharpen the picture: the decay-only baseline reaches higher token accuracy on the shared block mask yet decodes worse, and on DFlash, once AUF truncates the support, the standard exponential position-decay weighting becomes empirically inert.

Speculative decoding accelerates inference for Large Language Models by using a lightweight draft model to propose candidate tokens that are verified in parallel by a larger target model. Prior work shows that the draft model often dominates speculative decoding latency, since it generates tokens sequentially and incurs high cost from its language modeling head as vocabulary size grows. This exposes a fundamental trade-off in draft model design: larger vocabularies improve token coverage and agreement with the target model, but incur higher draft latency, while smaller vocabularies reduce latency at the risk of missing tokens required for accurate draft generation. We address this trade-off through vocabulary trimming for draft models, motivated by the observation that domain-specific workloads use only a small fraction of the full vocabulary. We cast draft vocabulary selection as a constrained optimization problem that balances token coverage and draft latency. Coverage is computed over assistant responses in the training data, while latency is estimated using architecture-aware FLOPs that capture the cost of the language modeling head as a function of vocabulary size. We optimize a utility function with a Tree-structured Parzen Estimator to efficiently explore the coverage-latency Pareto frontier under a minimum coverage constraint. Experiments show improved speculative decoding throughput while reducing draft vocabularies by up to 97% with high coverage. On domain-specific tasks, we achieve up to 16% latency reduction and 20% throughput improvement, and up to 6.7% throughput gains on diverse out-of-distribution tasks.

This paper measures hour-of-day effects, filter precision, fragility, and realised yield in a 15-day paper-traded deployment of an autonomous memecoin trading system on Solana decentralised exchanges. The 190-trade sample (March 29 to April 12, 2026) shows a 40.5 percent win rate, mean per-trade return of +0.62 percent, cumulative +117.7 percent (net SOL +0.039), skewness -1.21, excess kurtosis 6.61. A Mann-Whitney U test of three poorest-performing UTC hours (2, 13, 23) against the others yields U = 1,274, p = 0.22; directional but not significant at n = 190. The three hours were selected in-sample, so the comparison is exploratory, not confirmatory. A parallel counterfactual rejection-tracking system collected 4,874 forward-sample observations across 184 distinct rejection events. Of those events, 17.9 percent reached a 50 percent drawdown from reference within 24 hours; 26.0 percent of forward samples recorded the rejected token below half-reference. The filter stack avoided these realised drawdowns: evidence that the rejection criteria are net-positive against forward-market outcomes. Fragility is the principal caveat. Removing the top three trades (1.6 percent of sample) flips cumulative return unprofitable. Profitability rests on a small number of large winners and is structurally fragile. The dataset and audit script are deposited under CC-BY-4.0 (Zenodo DOI 10.5281/zenodo.20043302).

Pruning is a standard technique for reducing the computational cost of deep networks. Many advances in pruning leverage concepts from the Lottery Ticket Hypothesis (LTH). LTH reveals that inside a trained dense network exists sparse subnetworks (tickets) able to achieve similar accuracy (i.e., win the lottery - winning tickets). Pruning at initialization focuses on finding winning tickets without training a dense network. Studies on these concepts share the trend that subnetworks come from weight or filter pruning. In this work, we investigate LTH and pruning at initialization from the lens of layer pruning. First, we confirm the existence of winning tickets when the pruning process removes layers. Leveraged by this observation, we propose to discover these winning tickets at initialization, eliminating the requirement of heavy computational resources for training the initial (over-parameterized) dense network. Extensive experiments show that our winning tickets notably speed up the training phase and reduce up to 51% of carbon emission, an important step towards democratization and green Artificial Intelligence. Beyond computational benefits, our winning tickets exhibit robustness against adversarial and out-of-distribution examples. Finally, we show that our subnetworks easily win the lottery at initialization while tickets from filter removal (the standard structured LTH) hardly become winning tickets.

Network pruning is an effective approach to reduce network complexity with acceptable performance compromise. Existing studies achieve the sparsity of neural networks via time-consuming weight training or complex searching on networks with expanded width, which greatly limits the applications of network pruning. In this paper, we show that high-performing and sparse sub-networks without the involvement of weight training, termed "lottery jackpots", exist in pre-trained models with unexpanded width. Furthermore, we improve the efficiency for searching lottery jackpots from two perspectives. Firstly, we observe that the sparse masks derived from many existing pruning criteria have a high overlap with the searched mask of our lottery jackpot, among which, the magnitude-based pruning results in the most similar mask with ours. Consequently, our searched lottery jackpot removes 90% weights in ResNet-50, while it easily obtains more than 70% top-1 accuracy using only 5 searching epochs on ImageNet. In compliance with this insight, we initialize our sparse mask using the magnitude-based pruning, resulting in at least 3x cost reduction on the lottery jackpot searching while achieving comparable or even better performance. Secondly, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the searching process for lottery jackpots. Our theoretical result suggests that the decrease in training loss during weight searching can be disturbed by the dependency between weights in modern networks. To mitigate this, we propose a novel short restriction method to restrict change of masks that may have potential negative impacts on the training loss. Our code is available at https://github.com/zyxxmu/lottery-jackpots.

Speculative decoding is critical for accelerating LLM inference. However, the speedup is fragile: drafters are typically trained against a narrow distribution for a single target model, and their acceptance rate collapses under workload shifts. This is a striking inversion of modern LLM development, where target models are valued precisely for the broad generalization they acquire through large-scale pretraining. We argue that the natural remedy, pretraining, has been hard to apply to drafters because existing recipes are target-specific: the drafter consumes the target's hidden states and is distilled on the target's logits, so pretraining must be repeated for each target. We introduce Osprey, which instead bootstraps drafters from off-the-shelf pretrained small language models, treating broad pretraining as a reusable, target-agnostic asset and reducing per-target work to a lightweight adaptation step. Realizing this requires overcoming two challenges: small LMs are far deeper than a latency-bound drafter can afford, and their pretrained computation must remain intact while the drafter learns to ingest target hidden states and emit tokens in the target's vocabulary. Osprey addresses both by pruning to a shallow backbone, restoring its language-modeling capability with target-agnostic next-token pretraining, and adapting it to each target through vocabulary alignment, zero-initialized QKV expansion, and distillation from the target model's output distribution. Empirically, a single pretrained Osprey backbone transfers across targets and improves mean acceptance length by 16.1% for Qwen3-8B, 21.2% for Llama-3.3-70B-Instruct, and 22.7% for the 229B MiniMax-M2.5 (with 17.5% higher tokens per second), with the largest gains on out-of-domain and multilingual data. Our code is available at https://github.com/LeanModels/Osprey.