Daily Papers

We introduce Inference-Time Intervention (ITI), a technique designed to enhance the truthfulness of large language models (LLMs). ITI operates by shifting model activations during inference, following a set of directions across a limited number of attention heads. This intervention significantly improves the performance of LLaMA models on the TruthfulQA benchmark. On an instruction-finetuned LLaMA called Alpaca, ITI improves its truthfulness from 32.5% to 65.1%. We identify a tradeoff between truthfulness and helpfulness and demonstrate how to balance it by tuning the intervention strength. ITI is minimally invasive and computationally inexpensive. Moreover, the technique is data efficient: while approaches like RLHF require extensive annotations, ITI locates truthful directions using only few hundred examples. Our findings suggest that LLMs may have an internal representation of the likelihood of something being true, even as they produce falsehoods on the surface.

We investigate whether independently trained language models converge to geometrically compatible latent representations, and whether this compatibility can be exploited to correct model behavior at inference time without any weight updates. We learn a linear projection matrix that maps activation vectors from a large teacher model into the coordinate system of a smaller student model, then intervene on the student's residual stream during generation by substituting its internal state with the translated teacher representation. Across a fully crossed experimental matrix of 20 heterogeneous teacher-student pairings spanning mixture-of-experts, dense, code-specialized, and synthetically trained architectures, the Ridge projection consistently achieves R^2 = 0.50 on verbal reasoning and R^2 = 0.40 on mathematical reasoning, collapsing to R^2 = -0.22 under permutation control and R^2 = 0.01 under L_1 regularization. Behavioral correction rates range from 14.0% to 50.0% on TruthfulQA (mean 25.2%) and from 8.5% to 43.3% on GSM8K arithmetic reasoning (mean 25.5%), demonstrating that the method generalizes across fundamentally different reasoning domains. We report a near-zero correlation between geometric alignment quality and behavioral correction rate (r = -0.07), revealing a dissociation between representation space fidelity and output space impact. Intervention strength is architecture-specific: student models exhibit characteristic sensitivity profiles that invert across domains, with the most steerable verbal student becoming the least steerable mathematical student. Finally, a double dissociation experiment conducted across all 20 model pairings confirms without exception that projection matrices collapse catastrophically when transferred across reasoning domains (mean R^2 = -3.83 in both transfer directions), establishing domain-specific subspace geometry as a universal property of LMs.

An activation-steering coefficient sets intervention strength, but requesting a particular degree of persona expression requires a behavioral scale. We study persona dosing: controlling a language model through a trait description and a requested mean intensity. PersonaDose specializes a shared, description-conditioned FLAS controller on persona responses, then calibrates its flow time against measured trait expression. Training responses are not paired with requested target intensities. Across Llama-3.1-8B, Qwen3-8B, and Gemma-3-4B, PersonaDose raises core-trait expression at the Persona Vectors coherence floor of 75 by 33.2, 18.3, and 17.8 points over contrastive activation addition. Calibration-selected settings retain an expression advantage on held-out questions, although the coherence floor does not hold for every trait there. Across seven trained traits, calibrated requests yield mean targeting errors of 4.7-6.2 points over 14-22 calibration-reachable targets out of 28 per model. These results separate the behavioral range learned by a controller from the accuracy of requests within that range.

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable performance across many generation tasks. Nevertheless, effectively aligning them with desired behaviors remains a significant challenge. Activation steering is an effective and cost-efficient approach that directly modifies the activations of LLMs during the inference stage, aligning their responses with the desired behaviors and avoiding the high cost of fine-tuning. Existing methods typically indiscriminately intervene to all generations or rely solely on the question to determine intervention, which limits the accurate assessment of the intervention strength. To this end, we propose the Flexible Activation Steering with Backtracking (FASB) framework, which dynamically determines both the necessity and strength of intervention by tracking the internal states of the LLMs during generation, considering both the question and the generated content. Since intervening after detecting a deviation from the desired behavior is often too late, we further propose the backtracking mechanism to correct the deviated tokens and steer the LLMs toward the desired behavior. Extensive experiments on the TruthfulQA dataset and six multiple-choice datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms baselines. Our code will be released at https://github.com/gjw185/FASB.

Language models are instruction-tuned to refuse harmful requests, but the mechanisms underlying this behavior remain poorly understood. Popular steering methods operate on the residual stream and degrade output coherence at high intervention strengths, limiting their practical use. We introduce contrastive neuron attribution (CNA), which identifies the 0.1% of MLP neurons whose activations most distinguish harmful from benign prompts, requiring only forward passes with no gradients or auxiliary training. In instruct models, ablating the discovered circuit reduces refusal rates by over 50% on a standard jailbreak benchmark while preserving fluency and non-degeneracy across all steering strengths. Applying CNA to matched base and instruct models across Llama and Qwen architectures (from 1B to 72B parameters), we find that base models contain similar late-layer discrimination structures but steering these neurons produces only content shifts, not behavioral change. These results demonstrate that neuron-level intervention enables reliable behavioral steering without the quality tradeoffs of residual-stream methods. More broadly, our findings suggest that alignment fine-tuning transforms pre-existing discrimination structure into a sparse, targetable refusal gate.

Recent work on activation and latent steering has demonstrated that modifying internal representations can effectively guide large language models (LLMs) toward improved reasoning and efficiency without updating model parameters. However, most existing approaches rely on fixed steering policies and static intervention strengths, which limit their robustness across problem instances and often result in over- or under-steering. We propose Adaptive Test-time Latent Steering (ATLAS), a lightweight framework that dynamically controls steering decisions at inference time using a trained, lightweight verifier over the latent states. Given intermediate hidden states, the verifier predicts the quality of ongoing reasoning and adaptively selects which steering action to apply, enabling per-example and per-step adjustment with minimal overhead. ATLAS provides a unified framework for combining learned latent verification with test-time activation steering, enabling adaptive reasoning control without additional LLM decoding or inference-time process reward model calls. Experiments on multiple mathematical and coding reasoning benchmarks show that ATLAS consistently outperforms both vanilla decoding and fixed steering baselines, achieving higher accuracy while substantially reducing test-time token usage. These results demonstrate that verifier-guided latent adaptation provides an effective and scalable mechanism for controlling reasoning efficiency without sacrificing solution quality. All source code will be publicly available.

Predicting cellular responses to unseen chemical perturbations is challenging due to unknown targets and mechanisms, high-dimensional expression responses, and limited experimental coverage of the large small-molecule design space. We propose PerturbPFN, a PFN-style amortized model for unknown-target perturbation prediction under a hierarchical synthetic structural prior. Instead of directly regressing high-dimensional expression responses, PerturbPFN infers a latent system graph, sparse atomic intervention targets, and intervention strengths, then propagates their effects through an SCM decoder. The model is trained entirely on prior-predictive synthetic episodes generated from biologically motivated graph and expression simulators, enabling structured in-context learning without test-time gradient updates. We evaluate PerturbPFN on both real single-cell perturbation data and synthetic benchmarks, covering effect prediction, target identification, and regulatory structure discovery. Our results show that PerturbPFN offers a complementary trade-off to specialized baselines, achieving competitive perturbation prediction with low inference cost while exposing interpretable intermediate estimates of targets, strengths, and system structure.

Agentic time series forecasting concerns systems whose underlying mechanisms evolve, making the relative effectiveness of numerical models, reasoning strategies, and intervention rules inherently time-varying. Consequently, a time series agent must adapt the forecasts it produces and the orchestration policy that determines which components to trust and how to coordinate them. The deployment process naturally provides supervision for this adaptation as forecast horizons elapse and realized targets reveal the effectiveness of earlier decisions. Committing all numerical expert forecasts and candidate agent paths before target observation allows each realized outcome to evaluate the entire alternative set, providing delayed feedback without additional annotation. However, existing time series agents primarily incorporate prior experience through forecast refinement, reflection, or retrieval, without systematically converting realized outcomes into persistent updates to the joint orchestration policy governing later origins. To exploit this delayed feedback systematically, we introduce TimEvolve, a frozen-backbone time series agent that converts each realized outcome into persistent joint updates of expert trust, agent path selection, and intervention strength. A temporally ordered predict, reveal, and update protocol applies this feedback to subsequent forecasts. Experiments across eight Time-MMD domains show that TimEvolve achieves the best average MSE and MAE ranks among fifteen methods and the lowest errors on both metrics in seven domains. These results demonstrate the value of learning forecasting policies from the futures encountered during deployment.

Representation intervention has emerged as a promising paradigm for aligning large language models toward desired behaviors without modifying model weights. Existing methods typically apply a fixed intervention uniformly across all inputs. However, we find that the appropriate intervention direction and strength vary substantially across samples, and such indiscriminate intervention leads to degradation of general capabilities on benign inputs. To address these challenges, we propose Multi-Adapter Representation Interventions via Energy Calibration (MARI). Specifically, we introduce a competitive multi-adapter mechanism in which specialized experts capture non-linear correction patterns and adaptively determine the appropriate intervention direction and strength for different samples. Furthermore, we design an energy-based gating module that leverages internal propagation dynamics to distinguish inputs that are applicable for intervention. Extensive experiments across diverse model families and parameter scales demonstrate that MARI achieves state-of-the-art alignment performance. Our method significantly improves performance on TruthfulQA, BBQ, and safety benchmarks, while maintaining and even improving general capabilities on tasks such as MMLU and ARC. Our code is available at https://github.com/V1centNevwake/MARI.

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) often fail to transfer safety capabilities learned in the text modality to semantically equivalent non-text inputs, revealing a persistent multimodal safety gap. We study this gap from a representation-geometric perspective by analyzing a text-aligned refusal direction and a modality-induced drift direction. We show that multimodal inputs compress the usable separation along the refusal direction, making it no longer reliable for identifying and refusing harmful inputs. We refer to this failure mode as Safety Geometry Collapse. We quantify it through conditional refusal separability and show that stronger modality-induced drift is consistently associated with weaker refusal separability and higher attack success rates. We then validate the causal role of modality-induced drift through a fixed-strength activation intervention: counteracting the estimated drift restores refusal separability and improves multimodal safety. After drift correction, we further observe self-rectification, where the model recovers its ability to recognize and refuse harmful multimodal inputs during forward dynamics. This effect also provides an internal signal of the model's perceived harmfulness of each input. Motivated by this signal, we propose ReGap, a training-free inference-time method that adaptively corrects modality drift using self-rectification. Experiments across multiple multimodal safety benchmarks and utility benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of ReGap, which significantly improves the safety of MLLMs without compromising general capabilities. Our findings highlight representation-level modality alignment as a crucial direction for real-time safety improvement and for building safer, more reliable MLLMs.

In this work we propose a blackbox intervention method for visual dialog models, with the aim of assessing the contribution of individual linguistic or visual components. Concretely, we conduct structured or randomized interventions that aim to impair an individual component of the model, and observe changes in task performance. We reproduce a state-of-the-art visual dialog model and demonstrate that our methodology yields surprising insights, namely that both dialog and image information have minimal contributions to task performance. The intervention method presented here can be applied as a sanity check for the strength and robustness of each component in visual dialog systems.

Ablate a component of a language model, and other components often appear to adjust and compensate. This phenomenon, termed self-repair, has been observed repeatedly, but its mechanism remains unclear. The most systematic study to date concluded that self-repair is noisy and unlikely to have a single explanation. We argue that it has one: a gain already present before any ablation. Any intervention on a causally important component can be viewed as a point on a coordinate axis λ, the signed strength of a counterfactual contrast. Hence, conventional ablation methods are uncalibrated points on this axis. We show that the causal repair response for a fine-grained unit r is governed by an affine law, E_r(λ)=own_r+γ_rλ. The slope γ_r is a fixed coefficient that consistently influences the model, with or without ablation, and its sign determines whether the unit counteracts or reinforces the removed signal. On a factual-verdict task across four models from distinct families (Gemma, Qwen, LLaMA, and Mistral), we identify components including MLP neurons, OV neurons, and singular directions that follow this affine law, 68 of 81 downstream directions in all. Moreover, we can anticipate the magnitude of γ_r from the fixed weights. On the IOI circuit of GPT-2 Small, seven of the ten heads the intervention can reach follow the law, and all seven are counterweights. From this perspective, what may appear as self-repair is a counterweight performing its usual operation when the contrastive signal emerges at the core.

Where inside a language model does refusal live, and does that place change when the architecture does? In a transformer, refusal is governed by a single direction in the residual stream, a finding that safety and interpretability tooling now depend on. State-space models (SSMs) route information through a recurrent update instead of attention, sharing no token-mixing mechanism with a transformer. Does the same safety representation survive this shift, or must it be rediscovered per architecture? It survives. A single rigid rotation, which can only reorient a space and not reshape it, aligns one model's representation space with another's, so the two genuinely share the representation. A harm probe trained on a transformer then flags an SSM's harmful inputs, and removing the aligned direction makes a model answer attacks it would otherwise refuse, while a random direction of the same size does far less. What is architecture-specific is not where the direction is steered but where it must be read. Each layer computes a fresh output that is then added into the residual stream, and harm is cleanly readable at this output, the write site, before the addition. A control that holds the intervention's strength fixed shows that what matters is where the direction is estimated, not where it is applied. Applied through a detector-triggered gate, this direction lowers jailbreak success in all four architecture families we test (SSM, transformer, recurrent, hybrid), and on the SSM it holds against an attacker that tunes its prompt against the defense. The gate only matches a trivial rule that returns a fixed refusal whenever the same detector fires, so what transfers across architectures is the direction itself, not defense strength. Safety tooling built on refusal therefore ports to a new architecture by re-estimating the direction at that architecture's write site, not by rebuilding it.

Fine-tuning a pretrained LLM into a vision-language model (VLM) can erode the backbone's text capability, with the damage concentrated on tasks that require following exact output rules, such as instruction following, chain-of-thought reasoning graded on a strictly parsed final answer, and similar evaluations with strict graders. We trace this gap to attention-sink corruption: VL fine-tuning perturbs the early sink position that anchors a large fraction of attention probability, and how well the base LLM preserves its sink tracks how much of the affected capability survives adaptation. Building on this view, we introduce Sink Strength, a single scalar computed on the base LLM in a few seconds on a single GPU that predicts post-VL degradation without any VL training. It consistently tracks relative degradation across the six VLM-LLM pairs and multiple format-sensitive tasks. Complementing this diagnostic, we find that post-pretraining QK-RMSNorm injection fails to reproduce the protection of native QK-RMSNorm, while several off-the-shelf weight-merging settings fail to recover the lost capability after VL training. These negative results underscore the value of screening backbones with Sink Strength before VL training and narrow the intervention space toward head-selective training-time protection.

Action-conditioned world models are increasingly used as learned simulators for policy evaluation and improvement, yet their effectiveness rests on an unverified assumption: generated futures faithfully reflect arbitrary valid actions. Existing benchmarks are typically confined to expert demonstrations, leaving off-expert action following inadequately evaluated. To address this gap, we introduce WorldEcho, which probes action following over a broader action distribution using visual integrity and SE(3) trajectory alignment. Our diagnosis shows that current world models reasonably execute expert actions but struggle with diverse off-expert trajectories, either ignoring the commanded actions or producing visually invalid rollouts. We further propose WorldSync, which strengthens action following along three complementary axes: distributional coverage, representational grounding, and intervention-effect alignment. It broadens the training distribution over action consequences, grounds intermediate video representations in action-induced robot dynamics through an Action-Forcing Expert, and aligns predicted changes under action interventions with the corresponding changes in ground-truth futures. Experiments on RoboTwin benchmarks and real-robot tasks show that WorldSync improves WorldEcho metrics and serves as a more reliable simulator for iterative policy improvement, enabling policies to achieve higher success rates.

Large audio-language models (LALMs) often underperform on fine-grained, non-semantic attributes of speech, such as a speaker's emotion, despite strong performance on speech content. Improving this without the cost of retraining calls for an effective inference-time intervention, yet most existing methods intervene only after the audio encoder and operate at a relatively coarse granularity. The encoder itself, where acoustic information is first extracted from the waveform, remains largely unexplored, especially at the level of individual neurons. We introduce IAAN, Identifying and Amplifying Acoustic Neurons, a training-free and label-free method that scores each feed-forward neuron in the audio encoder by contrasting its activation on the real waveform with that on a noise reference lacking the real audio's acoustic information. IAAN then amplifies a small set of the highest-scoring neurons at inference. Across ten non-semantic speech attributes, IAAN improves average accuracy by 25.7 points on Audio-Flamingo-3, 21.4 on Qwen2.5-Omni, and 9.7 on Kimi-Audio. It also improves a model already explicitly fine-tuned to prioritize acoustic evidence. In controlled comparisons, both the encoder locus and neuron-level selectivity prove necessary for this gain. Intervening after the encoder, at the decoding side or inside the language model, yields little to no improvement, or even deteriorates accuracy. The improvement also depends on which specific neurons are amplified, not merely on their number, confirming that IAAN's acoustic score succeeds in identifying the neurons that matter. These results show that a small, precisely targeted intervention inside the audio encoder is an effective and largely untapped way to strengthen the acoustic understanding of LALMs, opening a new direction for inference-time methods that improve acoustic perception through neuron-level access to the encoder.

Reinforcement learning (RL) for large language models (LLMs) is dominated by the cost of rollout generation, which has motivated the use of low-precision rollouts (e.g., FP8) paired with a BF16 trainer to improve throughput and reduce memory pressure. This introduces a rollout-training mismatch that biases the policy gradient and can cause training to collapse outright on reasoning benchmarks. We show that the mismatch is non-stationary and acts as a double-edged sword: early in training it provides a stochastic exploration bonus, exposing the gradient to trajectories the trainer would otherwise under-sample, but the same perturbation transitions into a destabilizing source of bias as the policy concentrates. To solve this, we propose Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS), a correction framework that adjusts the strength of its intervention on a per-batch basis. AIS combines three real-time diagnostics, namely weight reliability, divergence severity, and variance amplification, into a single mixing coefficient that interpolates between the uncorrected and fully importance-weighted gradients, suppressing the destabilizing component of the mismatch while preserving its exploratory benefit. We integrate AIS into GRPO and evaluate it on the diffusion-based LLaDA-8B-Instruct and the autoregressive Qwen3-8B and Qwen3.5-9B across mathematical reasoning and planning benchmarks. AIS matches the BF16 baseline on most tasks while retaining the 1.5 to 2.76x rollout speedup of FP8.

As large language models (LLMs) continue to advance, there is increasing interest in their ability to infer human mental states and demonstrate a human-like Theory of Mind (ToM). Most existing ToM evaluations, however, are centered on text-based inputs, while scenarios relying solely on visual information receive far less attention. This leaves a gap, since real-world human-AI interaction typically requires multimodal understanding. In addition, many current methods regard the model as a black box and rarely probe how its internal attention behaves in multiple-choice question answering (QA). The impact of LLM hallucinations on such tasks is also underexplored from an interpretability perspective. To address these issues, we introduce VisionToM, a vision-oriented intervention framework designed to strengthen task-aware reasoning. The core idea is to compute intervention vectors that align visual representations with the correct semantic targets, thereby steering the model's attention through different layers of visual features. This guidance reduces the model's reliance on spurious linguistic priors, leading to more reliable multimodal language model (MLLM) outputs and better QA performance. Experiments on the EgoToM benchmark-an egocentric, real-world video dataset for ToM with three multiple-choice QA settings-demonstrate that our method substantially improves the ToM abilities of MLLMs. Furthermore, results on an additional open-ended generation task show that VisionToM enables MLLMs to produce free-form explanations that more accurately capture agents' mental states, pushing machine-human collaboration toward greater alignment.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed with layered defenses, yet malicious prompts can still bypass them. Interpretability methods can expose model-internal signals along the generation path that could inform enforcement, but these signals are not security controls by themselves. Deployments that adapt them for safety typically couple each signal to its own calibration, policy logic, and intervention code, so each new artifact creates integration work instead of strengthening a shared defense. We present Language Model Security Modules (LMSM), a security framework that adapts the separation behind Linux Security Modules (LSM) to LLM serving. In LMSM, a selected security backend exposes calibrated evidence, a versioned policy evaluates active rules over trusted per-request context, and a separate gate authorizes buffered output release. This design separates mediation correctness from policy effectiveness, and it allows backend, rule, or schedule changes without rebuilding request handling or enforcement. Our prototype shows the separation working in practice: with Hugging Face Transformers and continuously batched vLLM, the same substrate hosts artifact-backed sparse autoencoder (SAE) and transcoder deployments and task-fitted dense probes, preserves request-specific decisions under scheduler churn, and selectively enforces and composes multiple rules per request. On Qwen3-4B, LMSM-Checkpoint reduces HarmBench attack success rate from 39.20% to 3.32%, with XSTest false refusals rising from 2.40% to 4.40%, while retaining 98.14% of the throughput of a matched serving path that performs no monitoring work at 32 active sequences. LMSM gives advances in interpretability and model-internal analysis a common path to runtime enforcement.

As browser-use agents improve, benchmarks keep pace by collecting new tasks, websites, and applications, often making tasks longer or more novel. This makes difficulty expensive to refresh and difficult to control: when many aspects change at once, it is unclear what actually makes a task challenging. We instead construct challenging instances from tasks agents already solve, turning difficulty into a programmable property of the environment. BreakingWeb pairs every base task with an intervention condition that preserves the user instruction, latent target, and backend success criterion while changing the environment at different web stack layers. Each intervention is deterministic, detectable, and recoverable, and is annotated with the cognitive primitive it primarily loads. The benchmark contains 519 clean/intervention task pairs across seven self-hosted websites and 29 intervention families, all graded against outcomes. We evaluate six strong browser-use agents, three GUI-only agents that see only screenshots, and humans. The construction is effective: interventions cut agent pass rate by 22.9% on average and overturn nearly half of the tasks each agent solves cleanly, whereas humans lose 10.0% on a first attempt and 5.7% after one familiarisation attempt. The dominant failure is belief failure: 75% of the six agents' failures end with a declared success although the required change never happened. Our code, data and environment are publicly available at www.breakingweb.app.

Proactive interventions by LLM critic models are often assumed to improve reliability, yet their effects at deployment time are poorly understood. We show that a binary LLM critic with strong offline accuracy (AUROC 0.94) can nevertheless cause severe performance degradation, inducing a 26 percentage point (pp) collapse on one model while affecting another by near zero pp. This variability demonstrates that LLM critic accuracy alone is insufficient to determine whether intervention is safe. We identify a disruption-recovery tradeoff: interventions may recover failing trajectories but also disrupt trajectories that would have succeeded. Based on this insight, we propose a pre-deployment test that uses a small pilot of 50 tasks to estimate whether intervention is likely to help or harm, without requiring full deployment. Across benchmarks, the test correctly anticipates outcomes: intervention degrades performance on high-success tasks (0 to -26 pp), while yielding a modest improvement on the high-failure ALFWorld benchmark (+2.8 pp, p=0.014). The primary value of our framework is therefore identifying when not to intervene, preventing severe regressions before deployment.

Training data attribution (TDA) aims to identify training examples that shape model behavior, but its intervention value depends on both which examples are selected and how they are modified. Influence functions (IF) estimate behavioral changes under infinitesimal reweighting, yet IF-selected examples often show limited advantages over random selection under conventional weight-based interventions. This raises the question of whether influential examples lack intervention value or whether reweighting fails to realize their behavioral leverage.We introduce influence-guided response rewriting, which uses IF to identify intervention targets and replaces their responses with behavior-aligned or behavior-opposed supervision while keeping instructions fixed. Across four open-weight LLMs, we compare rewriting and reweighting on the same influence-selected examples using epistemic abstention as our primary testbed. Response rewriting produces stronger, more persistent, and bidirectional behavioral shifts, while reweighting the same examples yields weak and inconsistent effects. Further analyses show that influence-selected examples provide greater rewriting leverage than alternative selectors, with changes remaining concentrated on target-relevant behaviors. The same qualitative contrast extends to safety refusal. These results distinguish the local reweighting effects captured by influence estimates from the broader intervention leverage of the examples they identify, motivating intervention-aware evaluation of TDA methods.

Model-internal features can be studied through both their ability to identify a specified concept and their causal effect when manipulated, e.g., through steering or weight editing. A prominent approach to feature learning is Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs), which learn broad feature dictionaries whose relation to particular concepts is typically identified post hoc. However, many interpretability questions are instead hypothesis-driven and concern a concept specified in advance. We study this setting as targeted feature learning, where a single feature is constructed for such a predefined concept. We present a controlled comparison across three model signals (activation values, activation gradients, and parameter gradients) and two estimators (contrastive mean and a learned one-dimensional encoder-decoder), yielding six targeted methods, with CAA and GRADIEND as existing instances and four new methods covering the remaining combinations. We compare these methods against pretrained SAEs across 15 tasks and three language models, evaluating both detection and causal intervention. Across models, the strongest detection performance is achieved by contrastive activation value methods, whereas the strongest intervention performance is achieved by gradient-based methods. Overall, our results show that targeted feature quality depends jointly on the model signal and estimator, with detection and intervention capturing complementary properties.

Many localized large language model (LLM) unlearning methods select a small parameter subset from a localization signal and keep it fixed during optimization. The parameters most associated with a target, however, need not be the best ones to update, and candidate interventions can change value as optimization proceeds. In a controlled experiment, a storage-localization score reaches an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.981, yet storage identity agrees with the better intervention on only 17/36 targets, while low-rank adaptation (LoRA) wins 35/36. We introduce Intervention Score, which ranks editable groups by the predicted effect of the actual unlearning update while accounting for collateral damage, and use it to form the static intervention-value baseline (Static-IV). We then introduce selective dynamic intervention re-ranking (DIR-R), which revisits that subset only when a calibrated probe justifies the comparison. On the Natural-TOFU dataset, our method has positive descriptive margins in 19/20 comparisons between methods and objectives, although several are near zero. On the LACUNA localization-precision benchmark, our mean terminal utility is higher in all six negative preference optimization (NPO) and SimNPO comparisons: NPO margins range from +0.431 to +0.848, and SimNPO margins range from +0.503 to +0.571. The gradient-difference (GradDiff) objective reveals substantial field dependence. Relative to Static-IV, the primary four-field GradDiff evaluation has six wins, six ties, and no losses, with mean and median paired gains of +0.165 and +0.0025. The evidence supports separating localization, initial intervention selection, and checkpoint-dependent support revision.

Large language models excel at complex instructions yet struggle to deviate from their helpful assistant persona, as post-training instills strong priors that resist conflicting instructions. We introduce system prompt strength, a training-free method that treats prompt adherence as a continuous control. By contrasting logits from target and default system prompts, we isolate and amplify the behavioral signal unique to the target persona by a scalar factor alpha. Across five diverse benchmarks spanning constraint satisfaction, behavioral control, pluralistic alignment, capability modulation, and stylistic control, our method yields substantial improvements: up to +8.5 strict accuracy on IFEval, +45pp refusal rate on OffTopicEval, and +13% steerability on Prompt-Steering. Our approach enables practitioners to modulate system prompt strength, providing dynamic control over model behavior without retraining.

Language models have been adopted faster than evaluation practices that reliably assess their risks, and a growing share of use is affective rather than informational. Within that traffic users disclose suicide and self-harm (SSH) crises. Existing safety benchmarks score models primarily on refusal, but refusal is not the desired behavior here; the conversation requires a substantive supportive response. We introduce DistressBench, 718 English conversations with clinician-authored user turns spanning 23 SSH subcategories, each paired with a task-specific rubric of weighted atomic criteria across seven dimensions of crisis support and a clinician reference response. A model's score is the weighted average over the criteria its reply satisfies, reading directly as the fraction of required care delivered. The best of 25 frontier models satisfies 88.4% of weighted criteria and the median model 71.4%, against 98.7% for clinician references scored on the same criteria. Pooled across all 25 models, in 35.3% of conversations where a model satisfied every criterion for recognizing the crisis, it failed to route the user toward human help. The shortfall concentrates in the dimensions requiring the model to act rather than withhold. Contrasting each dimension's median model against its best separates capability limits from choices: de-escalation reaches 74.6% in the strongest model against a median of 46.0%, and safety disclaimers 84.6% against 8.3%. Multi-turn conversations score below single-turn ones (68.5% against 74.2%). We release the corpus, rubrics, judge calibration labels, and a companion annex of 20 long-horizon red-team transcripts. These results argue for evaluating crisis safety on the care a model delivers rather than on what it declines to say, and for treating de-escalation and resource routing as deployment requirements.

Counterfactual prompting (i.e., perturbing a single factor and measuring output change) is widely used to evaluate things like LLM bias and CoT faithfulness. But in this work we argue that observed effects cannot be attributed to the targeted factor without accounting for baseline ``meaning-preserving'' modifications to text that establish general model sensitivity. This is because every counterfactual edit is a compound treatment that bundles the variable of interest with incidental surface-form variation; this violates treatment variation irrelevance. We observe prediction flip rates on MedQA of 14.9% when we surgically change patient gender. However, this is statistically indistinguishable from the flip rates induced by simply paraphrasing inputs (14.1%). In this case, it would therefore be unwarranted to conclude that the LLM is especially sensitive to patient gender. To account for this and robustly measure the effects of targeted interventions, we propose a framework in which we compare (via statistical testing) differences observed under target interventions to those induced by paraphrasing inputs. We then use this framework to revisit a analysis done on the MedPerturb dataset, which reported evidence of model sensitivity to patient demographics and stylistic cues. We find that these effects largely dissipate when we account for general model sensitivity, with only 5 of 120 tests reaching statistical significance. Applying the same framework to occupational biography classification, we detect clearly significant directional gender bias, showing that the framework identifies real directional effects even when they are small. We evaluate a range of metrics -- aggregate, per-sample distributional, and regression -- and find that per-sample metrics are dramatically more powerful than aggregate metrics and regression powerfully and uniquely characterizes effect direction and magnitude.

Multimodal rumor detectors increasingly rely on retrieved evidence, yet relevant evidence is not necessarily sufficient for verification. Missing provenance, duplicated reports, and unresolved contradictions can produce confident predictions without adequate support. We introduce SAFE-MR, a framework that separates claim veracity from evidence sufficiency. The method decomposes image-text posts into verifiable claims, constructs a relation-aware claim-evidence graph, and aggregates evidence using provenance and contextual compatibility. Separate veracity and sufficiency heads support selective prediction, while evidence interventions encourage stability under irrelevant additions and sensitivity to evidence removal. On NewsCLIPpings, VERITE, and XFacta, SAFE-MR achieves macro-F1 scores of 91.2%, 75.8%, and 85.2%, respectively. Against the matched backbone with evidence, its macro-F1 gains are 2.2, 4.9, and 4.8 percentage points. On the diagnostic selection set, SAFE-MR reduces AURC from 0.105 for maximum-probability rejection to 0.075 and lowers error at 80% coverage from 13.8% to 8.5%. Evidence-perturbation and ablation results support the role of sufficiency learning and intervention training in improving selective verification.

Subnational studies of aid effectiveness often rely on repeated cross-sections or nighttime lights, making it difficult to separate local treatment effects from baseline differences and potentially favoring infrastructure-heavy projects. We address these limitations by studying World Bank and Chinese development projects in Africa with a balanced panel of 2,166 DHS clusters across 35 countries from 2002 to 2013. Geocoded AidData projects are linked to satellite-imputed International Wealth Index estimates, a household-centered measure of material living standards. We compare a conventional two-way fixed effects (TWFE) event-study with the switcher--stayer estimator of de Chaisemartin and D'Haultfoeuille (dCdH), which avoids contaminated comparisons under staggered treatment timing. Pre-treatment diagnostics show that project placement is frequently selective: clusters that later receive projects often begin from weaker relative positions before treatment onset. Consequently, TWFE often implies larger post-treatment gains than the preferred staggered-treatment design supports. Under dCdH, the evidence becomes more selective and sector-specific. For the World Bank, positive evidence is strongest in Health, while Education shows positive but less cleanly identified gains. For China, Water Supply and Sanitation and Other Social Infrastructure and Services show positive associations with local wealth, although residual selection concerns remain. By contrast, Chinese Energy Generation and Supply appears strongly positive under TWFE but falls close to zero under dCdH. Overall, the results do not support a donor-wide claim that either the World Bank or China uniformly improves local wealth. Instead, estimated effects are concentrated in a limited set of donor--sector panels and depend strongly on how treatment timing, selection, and outcome measurement are handled.

Evaluations should do more than measure a models current performance. They should tell us what to fix for the next model iteration and provide a way to generate targeted post training data. Most evaluation pipelines identify weak examples, topics, or categories, but they leave the underlying capability failure implicit: they say where a model fails, not why. We introduce CRAFT, a method that converts any rubric based evaluation dataset into a model specific diagnosis of weak capabilities. CRAFT treats each grading criterion as a capability probe: it extracts a capability description from every prompt rubric pair, clusters these descriptions into a hierarchical capability tree, scores the target model at every node, and selects low performing nodes dynamically across tree levels, at the granularity where each failure is clearest. The selected weak capabilities then direct the generation of targeted supervised finetuning data. Holding the data generation, finetuning, and evaluation setup fixed, we compare CRAFT against prompt level EvalTree clustering and untargeted random generation on four open source models, two professional domains (finance and legal), and 13 held out benchmarks disjoint from the diagnostic data. CRAFT achieves the strongest finance domain average for all four models under repeated temperature decoding; on legal domain, it is strongest for three of four models and remains within the decoding variance bands of the best baseline on the fourth. Diagnosing weaknesses at the level of rubric criteria, rather than prompts or categories, thus yields both a sharper picture of what a model cannot do and measurably better models after finetuning on that diagnosis.

Fluent guidance is not the same as useful intervention. LLM tutors are typically trained to generate the next teacher utterance, implicitly assuming that every student turn warrants a response. However, our experiments indicate that this conflates tutoring capability (what to say) with intervention necessity (whether to say it). We introduce DICE, a framework that decouples intervention decisions from response generation by first selecting an explicit pedagogical action. To calibrate this action selection policy, we define Intervention Value (IV), a rollout-grounded counterfactual metric that compares each action against non-intervention. IV shows that many prescribed interventions provide little or no marginal benefit. We further introduce DICE-Bench, a multi-variant math tutoring benchmark with skill-preserving problem variants for session-level evaluation. Using IV-weighted and KL-regularized policy optimization, DICE learns to intervene selectively while preserving tutoring effectiveness. In simulated tutoring sessions, DICE reduces the over-intervention rate to near zero while guiding students to correct solutions in approximately 3-4 fewer turns on average than existing Socratic tutoring baselines.

In medicine, claims remain valid when supported by empirical evidence grounded in stable biological reality. In law, by contrast, truth is contingent, defined by jurisdiction, temporal validity, and the hierarchy of authoritative sources. The recent success of large language models (LLMs) on medical licensing examinations has encouraged an expectation of comparable legal competence. This analogy, however, obscures a critical distinction between domains. Unlike in medicine, legal performance often depends less on inference than on determining when external authority is applicable, valid, and non-contradictory. We introduce a comparative diagnostic framework evaluating legal reasoning against medical baselines along four axes (knowledge recall, grounding, confidence, and robustness), uncovering a sharp domain asymmetry when applied to a new benchmark that encodes temporal validity and normative relationships. While medical LLMs reliably benefit from verified sources, legal LLMs struggle to assess when retrieved citations are useful or misleading, exhibiting overconfidence in perturbed contexts and sensitivity to superficial formatting cues. Increased model scale amplifies this tendency, revealing that stronger instruction following can coincide with weaker resistance to authoritative perturbations. These findings show that LLMs treat law as unstructured text rather than binding precedent, while revealing a tendency to over-trust authoritative but false information when external references conflict with a model's internal knowledge.

On-policy distillation (OPD), which aligns a student with the teacher's token-level distribution on the student's own rollouts, is an effective paradigm for transferring capabilities across LLMs. Prevailing approaches assume a teacher at least as capable as the student: they either distill a larger model into a smaller one, which fails at the frontier where no larger teacher exists, or consolidate multiple domain experts trained from a shared base, which requires costly training at the student's scale. We introduce Weak-to-Strong On-Policy Distillation (W2S-OPD), a simple yet effective OPD framework that improves the strong student by distilling from multiple weak models. W2S-OPD constructs a proxy teacher in logit space from a contrast pair of a positive and a negative model, both smaller than the student and cheap to obtain. Their logit difference isolates the capability direction, which is added to the student's own base model, yielding a proxy teacher that couples this direction while staying distributionally adjacent to the student. The student then distills it by minimizing the per-token reverse KL on its own rollouts. We instantiate the contrast pair as i) a post-RL expert against its pre-RL initialization, isolating the skill RL instills, ii) a larger against a smaller base model, isolating the capability from scale, and iii) a small base model with correct versus wrong hints, isolating the instance-level direction toward the solution. Across four math and three code benchmarks, W2S-OPD outperforms OPD, enables the student to surpass the domain teacher, and keeps improving the student even when every supervision source is weaker. Analysis shows different contrasts yield distinct signals: the post-RL and hint contrasts emphasize reasoning frameworks, while the scale contrast emphasizes the solving procedure. Our code will be available at https://github.com/Yu-Fangxu/W2S-OPD.

Large language models (LLMs) show promise in clinical decision support yet risk acquiescing to patient pressure for inappropriate care. We introduce SycoEval-EM, a multi-agent simulation framework evaluating LLM robustness through adversarial patient persuasion in emergency medicine. Across 20 LLMs and 1,875 encounters spanning three Choosing Wisely scenarios, acquiescence rates ranged from 0-100\%. Models showed higher vulnerability to imaging requests (38.8\%) than opioid prescriptions (25.0\%), with model capability poorly predicting robustness. All persuasion tactics proved equally effective (30.0-36.0\%), indicating general susceptibility rather than tactic-specific weakness. Our findings demonstrate that static benchmarks inadequately predict safety under social pressure, necessitating multi-turn adversarial testing for clinical AI certification.

We propose an algorithm for change point monitoring in linear causal models that accounts for interventions. Through a special centralization technique, we can concentrate the changes arising from causal propagation across nodes into a single dimension. Additionally, by selecting appropriate intervention nodes based on Kullback-Leibler divergence, we can amplify the change magnitude. We also present an algorithm for selecting the intervention values, which aids in the identification of the most effective intervention nodes. Two monitoring methods are proposed, each with an adaptive intervention policy to make a balance between exploration and exploitation. We theoretically demonstrate the first-order optimality of the proposed methods and validate their properties using simulation datasets and two real-world case studies.