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Oct 19

Particle contact dynamics as the origin for non-integer power expansion rheology in attractive suspension networks

We show that Hertzian particle contacts are the underlying cause of the as-yet-unexplained noninteger power laws in weakly nonlinear rheology. In the medium amplitude oscillatory shear (MAOS) region, the cubic scaling of the leading order nonlinear shear stress (σ_3 sim γ_0^{m_3}, m_3=3) is the standard expectation. Expanding on the work by Natalia et al. [J. Rheol. 64 625-635 (2020)], we report an extensive data set of noncubical, noninteger power law scalings m_3 for particle suspensions in two immiscible fluids with a capillary attractive interaction, known as capillary suspensions. Here, we show that distinct power law exponents are found for the storage and loss moduli and these noninteger scalings occur at every secondary fluid concentration for two different contact angles. These compelling results indicate that the noninteger scalings are related to the underlying microstructure of capillary suspensions. We show that the magnitude of the third harmonic elastic stress scaling m_3,elastic originates from Hertzian-like contacts in combination with the attractive capillary force. The related third harmonic viscous stress scaling m_3,viscous is, found to be associated with adhesive-controlled friction. These observations, conducted for a wide range of compositions, can help explain previous reports of noninteger scaling for materials involving particle contacts and offers a new opportunity using the variable power law exponent of MAOS rheology to reveal the physics of particle bonds and friction in the rheological response under low deformation instead of at very high shear rates.

  • 3 authors
·
Nov 11, 2021

Joint inference of weak lensing convergence map and cosmology with diffusion models

We present a method for joint inference of cosmological parameters and convergence maps from weak lensing observations, targeting the full posterior conditioned on the observed shear field. Our approach uses implicit inference with diffusion models, learning the joint distribution from simulations, without the need to have an explicit and differentiable forward model for gradient-based MCMC sampling. We introduce a transformer-based architecture that operates in pixel space and treats cosmological parameters as additional tokens in a unified sequence, enabling efficient multimodal processing within a single network. At inference time, the trained model generates posterior samples of joint convergence maps and cosmological parameters conditioned on observed noisy shear fields. We demonstrate the method on simulated weak lensing data generated from log-normal fields in a wcdm cosmology. The model accurately reconstructs convergence maps and recovers cosmological posteriors that agree with traditional MCMC, while remaining well calibrated across the prior, with a MIRA calibration score of 0.635 pm 0.017 on the joint posterior (where 0.667 is optimal). The inferred fields reproduce the correct two-point statistics as well as non-Gaussian statistics such as the one-point distribution. This work establishes diffusion-based implicit inference as a viable route toward full field-level cosmological analyses, paving the way for applications to more realistic, non-differentiable simulators.

  • 3 authors
·
Jun 29

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 Results: Cosmology from Cosmic Shear and Robustness to Data Calibration

This work, together with its companion paper, Secco and Samuroff et al. (2021), presents the Dark Energy Survey Year 3 cosmic shear measurements and cosmological constraints based on an analysis of over 100 million source galaxies. With the data spanning 4143 deg^2 on the sky, divided into four redshift bins, we produce the highest significance measurement of cosmic shear to date, with a signal-to-noise of 40. We conduct a blind analysis in the context of the ΛCDM model and find a 3% constraint of the clustering amplitude, S_8equiv σ_8 (Ω_{rm m}/0.3)^{0.5} = 0.759^{+0.025}_{-0.023}. A ΛCDM-Optimized analysis, which safely includes smaller scale information, yields a 2% precision measurement of S_8= 0.772^{+0.018}_{-0.017} that is consistent with the fiducial case. The two low-redshift measurements are statistically consistent with the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background result, however, both recovered S_8 values are lower than the high-redshift prediction by 2.3σ and 2.1σ (p-values of 0.02 and 0.05), respectively. The measurements are shown to be internally consistent across redshift bins, angular scales and correlation functions. The analysis is demonstrated to be robust to calibration systematics, with the S_8 posterior consistent when varying the choice of redshift calibration sample, the modeling of redshift uncertainty and methodology. Similarly, we find that the corrections included to account for the blending of galaxies shifts our best-fit S_8 by 0.5σ without incurring a substantial increase in uncertainty. We examine the limiting factors for the precision of the cosmological constraints and find observational systematics to be subdominant to the modeling of astrophysics. Specifically, we identify the uncertainties in modeling baryonic effects and intrinsic alignments as the limiting systematics.

  • 148 authors
·
May 27, 2021

EWOCS-XI: Anisotropic expansion and shear in the cluster Westerlund 1. A 2D kinematic analysis with Gaia DR3

Westerlund 1 (Wd1) is one of the Milky Way's most massive young clusters, in which heavy extinction and field contamination have historically hampered its kinematic characterization. We aim to assess Wd1's internal kinematics, dynamical state, and formation scenario. Using a robust 5D clustering approach, we identified 559 bona fide members. We modeled their proper motions via a 2D first-order Taylor expansion to derive the velocity gradient tensor, mapping expansion, rotation, and shear. Restricting the kinematic analysis to 524 stars with proper motion uncertainties <0.5~mas,yr^{-1}, we find at least 103 gravitationally unbound members, including 14 walkaway stars. The 2D analysis reveals a statistically significant divergence (>4σ) highlighting preferred expansion along the Galactic latitude (position angle 164^circpm10.1^circ). A detected cross-gradient (partial v_b / partial l = -0.41 pm 0.08 km s^{-1} pc^{-1}) provides a clear signature of shear on the plane of the sky. Wd1 does not behave as a single cohesive population, but comprises two decoupled subsystems: a stable, bound core in dynamical equilibrium and an escaping, unbound envelope. This prominent anisotropic expansion perpendicular to the Galactic plane has a kinematic timescale (Δt_{kin} = 2.08 pm 0.44 Myr) matching the independent orbital mid-plane crossing time (Δt_{orbit} = 2.10 pm 0.05 Myr). This temporal alignment indicates the expansion onset coincided with Wd1's Galactic disk passage, triggered either by internal dynamics (e.g., early supernova feedback) or external tidal perturbations. Finally, the robust unbound population demonstrates that active cluster dissolution is underway, driven by discrete dynamical ejection events rather than long-term stellar evaporation.

  • 17 authors
·
Oct 7

Supercell environments using GridRad-Severe and the HRRR: Addressing discrepancies between prior tornado datasets

Storm-relative helicity (SRH) is an important ingredient in supercell development, as well as mesocyclone intensity, and is linked to tornadogenesis and tornado potential. Derived from the storm-relative wind profile, SRH is composed of both the vertical wind shear and storm-relative flow. Recent studies have come to conflicting findings regarding whether shallower or deeper layers of SRH have more skill in tornado forecasting. Possible causes of this discrepancy include the use of observed versus model-based proximity soundings, as well as whether the storm-relative wind profile is determined via observed versus estimated storm motions. This study uses a new dataset of objectively identified supercells, with observed storm motions, paired with high-resolution model analyses to address the discrepancies among prior studies. Unlike in previous model-based tornado environmental datasets, the present approach reveals substantive differences in storm-relative flow, vertical wind shear, and SRH within the low-to-mid-levels between nontornadic and tornadic supercells. Using observed storm motions for storm-relative variables further magnifies differences in the low-to-mid-level storm-relative winds between nontornadic and tornadic supercells, ultimately leading to deeper layers of SRH having more forecast skill than near-ground SRH. Thus, the combination of a higher-resolution model analysis, which better represents the near-storm environment, with observed storm motions appears to explain why many past tornado climatologies using model-based environmental analyses have failed to find significant differences in the storm-relative wind profile. These results help bridge the gap between previous studies that employed coarser model-based analyses and those that aggregated observed soundings from field projects.

  • 4 authors
·
Apr 16, 2025

TacGooseBumps (TacGB): Retrofitting Normal-Only Tactile Sensors with Shear Encoding for Learning Contact-Rich Manipulation

Contact-rich policies often fail because distinct physical states look alike yet require different actions. Cameras may not reveal whether a connector is aligned or fully seated, while many normal-only tactile sensors can miss the tangential interactions perpendicular to the grasping direction that distinguish these states. We ask whether a learning policy needs calibrated shear measurements, or only a repeatable observation that separates shear-dependent contact states. We introduce TacGooseBumps (TacGB), a passive domed film that mechanically encodes tangential loading as pattern changes in an existing sensor's pressure map. Tangential loading tilts each dome and redistributes pressure across its footprint; an end-to-end policy consumes the resulting maps without added electronics, force reconstruction, or taxel-level dome alignment. Across four imitation-learning tasks and two data-collection pipelines, TacGB improves goal attainment, efficiency, and contact quality: insertion success increases by up to 36 percentage points, and successful insertions are completed faster, while fragile-object placement becomes gentler and drawing becomes more continuous and straight. Signal, stage-wise, failure-mode, and trajectory analyses link these gains to contact regimes in which task-relevant tangential interactions are poorly resolved by vision and normal pressure alone. Together, these results show that shear need not be measured metrically to benefit robot learning; it can instead be mechanically encoded without changing the underlying tactile sensor or the policy's pressure-map input format.

  • 5 authors
·
Sep 27

Interpretable structural model error discovery from sparse assimilation increments using spectral bias-reduced neural networks: A quasi-geostrophic turbulence test case

Earth system models suffer from various structural and parametric errors in their representation of nonlinear, multi-scale processes, leading to uncertainties in their long-term projections. The effects of many of these errors (particularly those due to fast physics) can be quantified in short-term simulations, e.g., as differences between the predicted and observed states (analysis increments). With the increase in the availability of high-quality observations and simulations, learning nudging from these increments to correct model errors has become an active research area. However, most studies focus on using neural networks, which while powerful, are hard to interpret, are data-hungry, and poorly generalize out-of-distribution. Here, we show the capabilities of Model Error Discovery with Interpretability and Data Assimilation (MEDIDA), a general, data-efficient framework that uses sparsity-promoting equation-discovery techniques to learn model errors from analysis increments. Using two-layer quasi-geostrophic turbulence as the test case, MEDIDA is shown to successfully discover various linear and nonlinear structural/parametric errors when full observations are available. Discovery from spatially sparse observations is found to require highly accurate interpolation schemes. While NNs have shown success as interpolators in recent studies, here, they are found inadequate due to their inability to accurately represent small scales, a phenomenon known as spectral bias. We show that a general remedy, adding a random Fourier feature layer to the NN, resolves this issue enabling MEDIDA to successfully discover model errors from sparse observations. These promising results suggest that with further development, MEDIDA could be scaled up to models of the Earth system and real observations.

  • 3 authors
·
Sep 22, 2023

An Exactly Solvable Ekman Layer with a Fractional-Order Stress Closure

The classical theory of the wind-driven surface layer of a rotating ocean closes the momentum balance with a local flux-gradient law, in which the turbulent stress at a given depth is proportional to the shear at that depth. It predicts a surface current deflected forty-five degrees from the wind, which exceeds most direct measurements. This study asks what follows when locality is relaxed. Beginning from the exact integral relation between turbulent stress and mean shear, and requiring the memory kernel to carry no preferred vertical scale, we obtain a power-law kernel and therefore a stress law of fractional order. The resulting equation cannot be posed on the velocity, because the fractional derivative of a bounded profile vanishes at the surface, so the wind stress cannot be applied, while the alternative definition of the derivative leaves the surface current unbounded. Posed on the stress instead, the problem is solvable in closed form in Mittag-Leffler functions at every order between zero and one. The surface deflection then depends on the closure order alone and is smaller than forty-five degrees throughout, whereas the depth-integrated transport stays exactly normal to the wind, because that constraint follows from the momentum balance and not from the closure. The far field decays as a power law rather than exponentially, and its amplitude vanishes in the local limit, so that limit is singular. Under a suddenly applied stress the surface transient decays algebraically. Three independent algorithms agree closely, and no observational or model data are used.

  • 6 authors
·
Sep 18

A hybrid CNN-adjoint optimization framework for reconstruction of viscoelastic tissue properties in magnetic resonance elastography

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is a noninvasive imaging modality for quantifying the viscoelastic properties of soft tissues from shear wave propagation. Recovering the complex-valued shear modulus from measured displacement fields leads to a severely ill-posed inverse problem, particularly in the presence of noise and limited boundary excitations. We investigate adjoint-based optimization, convolutional neural network (CNN) reconstruction, and a hybrid framework combining both approaches. The forward model is based on a scalar form of the modified stationary Stokes system with a complex shear modulus. We establish well-posedness of the forward problem, existence of minimizers, and first-order optimality conditions for the adjoint-based formulation, and implement a nonlinear conjugate-gradient method with Armijo line search. While PDE-constrained optimization can accurately refine coefficient reconstructions, its performance depends strongly on initialization. We therefore construct a two-dimensional CNN that maps complex-valued displacement measurements to spatially varying complex shear modulus fields and provides rapid, informative initial reconstructions. The proposed hybrid method uses the CNN reconstruction to initialize the adjoint-based optimization, yielding faster convergence and improved accuracy. The CNN is trained on coefficient fields containing individual perturbations and tested on both individual and previously unseen combined configurations. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the CNN generalizes to these more challenging configurations, while subsequent PDE-constrained optimization further refines the reconstructed coefficient. These results demonstrate the potential of combining data-driven initialization with physics-based optimization for efficient and accurate MRE reconstruction.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 1

Astrometric Effects of a Stochastic Gravitational Wave Background

A stochastic gravitational wave background causes the apparent positions of distant sources to fluctuate, with angular deflections of order the characteristic strain amplitude of the gravitational waves. These fluctuations may be detectable with high precision astrometry, as first suggested by Braginsky et al. in 1990. Several researchers have made order of magnitude estimates of the upper limits obtainable on the gravitational wave spectrum \Omega_gw(f), at frequencies of order f ~ 1 yr^-1, both for the future space-based optical interferometry missions GAIA and SIM, and for VLBI interferometry in radio wavelengths with the SKA. For GAIA, tracking N ~ 10^6 quasars over a time of T ~ 1 yr with an angular accuracy of \Delta \theta ~ 10 \mu as would yield a sensitivity level of \Omega_gw ~ (\Delta \theta)^2/(N T^2 H_0^2) ~ 10^-6, which would be comparable with pulsar timing. In this paper we take a first step toward firming up these estimates by computing in detail the statistical properties of the angular deflections caused by a stochastic background. We compute analytically the two point correlation function of the deflections on the sphere, and the spectrum as a function of frequency and angular scale. The fluctuations are concentrated at low frequencies (for a scale invariant stochastic background), and at large angular scales, starting with the quadrupole. The magnetic-type and electric-type pieces of the fluctuations have equal amounts of power.

  • 2 authors
·
Sep 21, 2010

Observer-robust energy condition verification for warp drive spacetimes

We present warpax, an open-source, GPU-accelerated Python toolkit for observer-robust energy-condition verification of warp drive spacetimes, together with a benchmark application to six warp-drive geometries that demonstrates the methodology and produces new quantitative findings. Existing tools evaluate energy conditions for a finite sample of observer directions. warpax replaces discrete sampling with continuous, gradient-based optimization over the full timelike observer manifold, backed by Hawking--Ellis algebraic classification. At Type~I stress-energy points, which dominate all tested metrics, an algebraic eigenvalue check determines energy-condition satisfaction exactly, independent of any observer search. At non-Type~I points, the optimizer provides rapidity-capped diagnostics. Stress-energy tensors are computed from the Arnowitt--Deser--Misner metric via forward-mode automatic differentiation, eliminating finite-difference truncation error. We apply warpax to five warp drive metrics (Alcubierre, Lentz, Van~Den~Broeck, Nat'ario, Rodal) and one warp shell metric. For several metrics, the standard Eulerian-frame analysis misses a significant fraction of violated grid points; even where it identifies the correct violation set, observer optimization reveals violation magnitudes can be orders of magnitude larger. These results demonstrate that single-frame evaluation can systematically underestimate both the spatial extent and severity of energy-condition violations. Throughout, we distinguish the invariant energy density (eigenvalue of T^a{}b) from the observer-dependent T{ab},u^a u^b and the Eulerian projection. All results use subluminal bubble velocities; at superluminal speeds, the Alcubierre-family metrics develop signature changes outside our assumptions. warpax is freely available at https://github.com/anindex/warpax

  • 1 authors
·
Apr 26

Shear Stress Build-up Under Constant Strain Conditions in Soft Glassy Materials

In this work, we investigate the transient rheological behavior of two soft glassy materials: a clay dispersion and a silica gel, emphasizing their unconventional shear stress build-up behavior under conditions of constant imposed strain. For both materials, the elastic modulus and static yield stress undergo time-dependent evolution or aging. In addition, following an intense period of pre-shearing (i.e. shear-melting or destructuration), the material relaxation time is observed to show a stronger than linear dependence on the sample age, suggestive of hyper-aging dynamics. We show that these features are consistent with non-monotonic steady-state shear stress/shear rate flow curves characterized by a local stress minimum. When a steady shear flow is suddenly ceased, and the total imposed sample strain is held constant, both materials show an initial relaxation of the shear stress followed by a period of shear stress buildup, resulting in a local minimum in the evolution of shear stress with time. For the clay dispersion, the intensity of these effects increases with higher pre-shear rates, whereas for the silica gel, the effects are largely independent of the pre-shear rate. We also propose a simple time-dependent linear Maxwell model, which qualitatively predicts the experimentally observed trends in which the shear stress build-up is directly related to a monotonic increase in the elastic modulus, giving keen insight into this peculiar phenomenon.

  • 3 authors
·
Apr 1, 2025

Coherent Structures Governing Transport at Turbulent Interfaces

In an experiment on a turbulent jet, we detect interfacial turbulent layers in a frame that moves, on average, along with the \tnti. This significantly prolongs the observation time of scalar and velocity structures and enables the measurement of two types of Lagrangian coherent structures. One structure, the finite-time Lyapunov field (FTLE), quantifies advective transport barriers of fluid parcels while the other structure highlights barriers of diffusive momentum transport. These two complementary structures depend on large-scale and small-scale motion and are therefore associated with the growth of the turbulent region through engulfment or nibbling, respectively. We detect the \tnti\ from cluster analysis, where we divide the measured scalar field into four clusters. Not only the \tnti\ can be found this way, but also the next, internal, turbulent-turbulent interface. Conditional averages show that these interfaces are correlated with barriers of advective and diffusive transport when the Lagrangian integration time is smaller than the integral time scale. Diffusive structures decorrelate faster since they have a smaller timescale. Conditional averages of these structures at internal turbulent-turbulent interfaces show the same pattern with a more pronounced jump at the interface indicative of a shear layer. This is quite an unexpected outcome, as the internal interface is now defined not by the presence or absence of vorticity, but by conditional vorticity corresponding to two uniform concentration zones. The long-time diffusive momentum flux along Lagrangian paths represents the growth of the turbulent flow into the irrotational domain, a direct demonstration of nibbling. The diffusive flux parallel to the \tnti\ appears to be concentrated in a diffusive superlayer whose width is comparable with the Taylor microscale, which is relatively invariant in time.

  • 5 authors
·
Dec 17, 2024

Hephaestus Minicubes: A Global, Multi-Modal Dataset for Volcanic Unrest Monitoring

Ground deformation is regarded in volcanology as a key precursor signal preceding volcanic eruptions. Satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) enables consistent, global-scale deformation tracking; however, deep learning methods remain largely unexplored in this domain, mainly due to the lack of a curated machine learning dataset. In this work, we build on the existing Hephaestus dataset, and introduce Hephaestus Minicubes, a global collection of 38 spatiotemporal datacubes offering high resolution, multi-source and multi-temporal information, covering 44 of the world's most active volcanoes over a 7-year period. Each spatiotemporal datacube integrates InSAR products, topographic data, as well as atmospheric variables which are known to introduce signal delays that can mimic ground deformation in InSAR imagery. Furthermore, we provide expert annotations detailing the type, intensity and spatial extent of deformation events, along with rich text descriptions of the observed scenes. Finally, we present a comprehensive benchmark, demonstrating Hephaestus Minicubes' ability to support volcanic unrest monitoring as a multi-modal, multi-temporal classification and semantic segmentation task, establishing strong baselines with state-of-the-art architectures. This work aims to advance machine learning research in volcanic monitoring, contributing to the growing integration of data-driven methods within Earth science applications.

  • 5 authors
·
May 23, 2025

Sycophancy as Material Failure under Pushback Loading: A Multi-Axis Characterization Across Three Loading Cases and up to Seventeen Material Charges

Sycophancy in LLMs is documented across 70+ papers, but expert agreement on construct boundaries remains low (ICC=.184; Ye et al., 2026). The construct fragments because behavioral classification depends on which surface form is privileged. We adopt a materials-science framing: conversation as test specimen under load, LLM-model as material charge, pushback as progressive load, stance-flip as material failure. We characterize this failure across three loading cases (debate n=1000; false-presuppositions n=3400; ethical-setting n=3400; 10-17 material charges per case; 7800 specimens total) using 14 turn-level axis-measurements spanning velocity, damage accumulation, frame-drift, brittleness, and direction stability, plus three speaker-resolved axes from an independent pipeline. The measurements are Hooke-coupled (σ= E cdot varepsilon analog) and reproduce across loading cases with effects up to |r_{rb}| = 0.35 on debate; the sign structure adds a second pattern: the ethical-setting case inverts the velocity and accumulation blocks. Variance composition partitions into two profiles: debate is charge-dominated (brittle-fracture-like: the material grade decides), false-presuppositions and ethical-setting are topic-dominated (creep-like: the load decides); the ratios (2.03 vs 0.13/0.17) are estimator-dependent, for debate even in direction. Cross-judge reliability (GPT-4o vs Haiku 4.5) shows debate scoring is judge-robust (Cohen's κ= 0.88) while false-presupposition scoring is judge-sensitive (κ= 0.36) -- a caveat single-judge benchmarks must report. This is the methodological move Ye et al.'s diagnosis calls for: a multi-axis characterization that does not depend on which surface form of the construct one privileges.

  • 1 authors
·
Jun 14

From Centerlines to Hemodynamics: Anisotropic RBF Decoders for Coronary Arteries

Accurate and rapid estimation of hemodynamic metrics, such as pressure and wall shear stress (WSS), is important for assessing the severity of Coronary Artery Disease (CAD). Existing approaches, including invasive Fractional Flow Reserve (FFR) measurements and computationally expensive Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations, face challenges in invasiveness, cost, and speed. We present a framework for fast, non-invasive coronary hemodynamics prediction. The model encodes 1D vessel centerlines together with inlet flow rate using a transformer-based encoder, and predicts continuous wall-based fields via an anisotropic Radial Basis Function (RBF) decoder aligned with vessel morphology. To support training and evaluation, we introduce two datasets with paired steady-state OpenFOAM simulations: (i) a synthetic benchmark of 4,200 single-vessel geometries with controlled anatomical variations, and (ii) a multi-vessel dataset derived from ImageCAS including 4,800 cases spanning both right and left coronary arteries, generated by randomly introducing stenoses and varying physiologically plausible flow rates. Across both datasets, our method achieves lower pressure and WSS errors than strong neural-operator baselines (GNOT, Transolver, and ONO) at a fraction of the computational cost of CFD. On the multi-vessel dataset, using 1,024 anisotropic RBF centers our model reduces the mean relative L2 error by 52% compared to the best neural-operator baseline, while at 128 centers it requires 13.8x fewer FLOPs than GNOT and still outperforms all baselines. The single-vessel dataset is publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/angioinsight/single-vessel-flow.

  • 3 authors
·
May 25

ForcingDAS: Unified and Robust Data Assimilation via Diffusion Forcing

Data assimilation (DA) estimates the state of an evolving dynamical system from noisy, partial observations, and is widely used in scientific simulation as well as weather and climate science. In practice, filtering methods rely on frame-to-frame transition models. However, these models are fragile when observations are non-Markovian (when they form only a partial slice of a higher-dimensional latent state as in real-world weather data): they tend to accumulate errors over long horizons. At the same time, learned DA methods typically commit to a single regime, either filtering (nowcasting, real-time forecasting) or smoothing (retrospective reanalysis), which splits what should be a shared prior across application-specific pipelines. To address both issues, we introduce ForcingDAS, a unified and robust DA framework. Built on Diffusion Forcing with an independent noise level assigned to each frame, ForcingDAS learns a joint-trajectory prior instead of frame-to-frame transitions. This allows it to capture long-horizon temporal dependencies and reduce error accumulation. In addition, the same trained model spans the full filtering to smoothing spectrum at inference time. Specifically, nowcasting, fixed-lag smoothing, and batch reanalysis are selected through the inference schedule alone, without retraining. We evaluate ForcingDAS on 2D Navier-Stokes vorticity, precipitation nowcasting, and global atmospheric state estimation. Across all settings, a single model is competitive with or outperforms both learned and classical baselines that are specialized for individual regimes, with the largest gains observed on real-world weather benchmarks.

  • 12 authors
·
Jun 4

Analyzing black-hole ringdowns II: data conditioning

Time series data from observations of black hole ringdown gravitational waves are often analyzed in the time domain by using damped sinusoid models with acyclic boundary conditions. Data conditioning operations, including downsampling, filtering, and the choice of data segment duration, reduce the computational cost of such analyses and can improve numerical stability. Here we analyze simulated damped sinsuoid signals to illustrate how data conditioning operations, if not carefully applied, can undesirably alter the analysis' posterior distributions. We discuss how currently implemented downsampling and filtering methods, if applied too aggressively, can introduce systematic errors and skew tests of general relativity. These issues arise because current downsampling and filtering methods do not operate identically on the data and model. Alternative downsampling and filtering methods which identically operate on the data and model may be achievable, but we argue that the current operations can still be implemented safely. We also show that our preferred anti-alias filtering technique, which has an instantaneous frequency-domain response at its roll-off frequency, preserves the structure of posterior distributions better than other commonly used filters with transient frequency-domain responses. Lastly, we highlight that exceptionally long data segments may need to be analyzed in cases where thin lines in the noise power spectral density overlap with central signal frequencies. Our findings may be broadly applicable to any analysis of truncated time domain data with acyclic boundary conditions.

  • 3 authors
·
Oct 3, 2024

Cosmic Evolution Early Release Science (CEERS) survey: The colour evolution of galaxies in the distant Universe

The wavelength-coverage and sensitivity of JWST now enables us to probe the rest-frame UV - optical spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of galaxies at high-redshift (z>4). From these SEDs it is, in principle, through SED fitting possible to infer key physical properties, including stellar masses, star formation rates, and dust attenuation. These in turn can be compared with the predictions of galaxy formation simulations allowing us to validate and refine the incorporated physics. However, the inference of physical properties, particularly from photometry alone, can lead to large uncertainties and potential biases. Instead, it is now possible, and common, for simulations to be forward-modelled to yield synthetic observations that can be compared directly to real observations. In this work, we measure the JWST broadband fluxes and colours of a robust sample of 5<z<10 galaxies using the Cosmic Evolution Early Release Science (CEERS) Survey. We then analyse predictions from a variety of models using the same methodology and compare the NIRCam/F277W magnitude distribution and NIRCam colours with observations. We find that the predicted and observed magnitude distributions are similar, at least at 5<z<8. At z>8 the distributions differ somewhat, though our observed sample size is small and thus susceptible to statistical fluctuations. Likewise, the predicted and observed colour evolution show broad agreement, at least at 5<z<8. There is however some disagreement between the observed and modelled strength of the strong line contribution. In particular all the models fails to reproduce the F410M-F444W colour at z>8, though, again, the sample size is small here.

  • 23 authors
·
Nov 14, 2023

On the transmission of floating-point perturbations in flow-dependent filter-width formulations in Large-Eddy Simulation

Heterogeneous high--performance computing architectures expose numerical algorithms to perturbations arising from the non--associativity of floating--point arithmetic. In Large--Eddy Simulation (LES), similar numerical effects may become relevant when they affect the filter--width entering the subgrid scale (SGS) model. This work investigates this mechanism for the least--squares (LSQ) based filter--width formulation, focusing on how floating--point effects are generated, transmitted, and coupled with the resolved flow. We show that, for fixed resolved kinematics, the LSQ filter--width is logarithmically non-expansive but not strictly contractive with respect to perturbations of the mesh metrics. Consequently, small disturbances may be transmitted with little attenuation through strongly directional filter-width responses. To mitigate this sensitivity, we introduce a scalar max--min compression of the directional mesh scales together with a bounded modulation based on the resolved velocity gradient. The resulting formulation reroutes floating--point perturbations through the filter-width operator, improving robustness while preserving the flow--dependent character of the original LSQ construction. The framework is assessed on heterogeneous CPU and GPU architectures for flow past a circular cylinder at Re=3900 and the Taylor--Green vortex at Re=1600. In the former, nearly one--to--one transmission of relative metric disturbances can become relevant when the transmitted perturbations interact with shear-layer transition. By contrast, on orthogonal Taylor--Green vortex grids, the accumulation pathway is structurally absent and no comparable macroscopic response develops. These results suggest floating--point sensitivity matters for LES filter--width formulations in heterogeneous computing environments.

  • 4 authors
·
Sep 30

Observational signatures of mixing-induced cooling in the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability

Cool (approx 10^4K), dense material permeates the hot (approx 10^6K), tenuous solar corona in form of coronal condensations, for example prominences and coronal rain. As the solar atmosphere evolves, turbulence can drive mixing between the condensations and the surrounding corona, with the mixing layer exhibiting an enhancement in emission from intermediate temperature (approx10^5K) spectral lines, which is often attributed to turbulent heating within the mixing layer. However, radiative cooling is highly efficient at intermediate temperatures and numerical simulations have shown that radiative cooling can far exceed turbulent heating in prominence-corona mixing scenarios. As such the mixing layer can have a net loss of thermal energy, i.e., the mixing layer is cooling rather than heating. Here, we investigate the observational signatures of cooling processes in Kelvin-Helmholtz mixing between a prominence thread and the surrounding solar corona through 2D numerical simulations. Optically thin emission is synthesised for Si IV, along with optically thick emission for Halpha, Ca II K and Mg II h using Lightweaver The Mg II h probes the turbulent mixing layer, whereas Halpha and Ca II K form within the thread and along its boundary respectively. As the mixing evolves, intermediate temperatures form leading to an increase in Si IV emission, which coincides with increased radiative losses. The simulation is dominated by cooling in the mixing layer, rather than turbulent heating, and yet enhanced emission in warm lines is produced. As such, an observational signature of decreased emission in cooler lines and increased emission in hotter lines may be a signature of mixing, rather than an implication of heating.

  • 3 authors
·
Jan 20, 2025

PhaseNet: A Deep-Neural-Network-Based Seismic Arrival Time Picking Method

As the number of seismic sensors grows, it is becoming increasingly difficult for analysts to pick seismic phases manually and comprehensively, yet such efforts are fundamental to earthquake monitoring. Despite years of improvements in automatic phase picking, it is difficult to match the performance of experienced analysts. A more subtle issue is that different seismic analysts may pick phases differently, which can introduce bias into earthquake locations. We present a deep-neural-network-based arrival-time picking method called "PhaseNet" that picks the arrival times of both P and S waves. Deep neural networks have recently made rapid progress in feature learning, and with sufficient training, have achieved super-human performance in many applications. PhaseNet uses three-component seismic waveforms as input and generates probability distributions of P arrivals, S arrivals, and noise as output. We engineer PhaseNet such that peaks in probability provide accurate arrival times for both P and S waves, and have the potential to increase the number of S-wave observations dramatically over what is currently available. This will enable both improved locations and improved shear wave velocity models. PhaseNet is trained on the prodigious available data set provided by analyst-labeled P and S arrival times from the Northern California Earthquake Data Center. The dataset we use contains more than seven million waveform samples extracted from over thirty years of earthquake recordings. We demonstrate that PhaseNet achieves much higher picking accuracy and recall rate than existing methods.

  • 2 authors
·
Mar 8, 2018