Upload batch 1 to staging for candidate 5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0 (crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual)

staging/5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0-crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual/_run_context.json

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+        "start_year": 2026
+      },
+      {
+        "age_bucket_size": 5,
+        "end_year": 2078,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 0.5,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 0.5,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2075
+      },
+      {
+        "age_bucket_size": 5,
+        "end_year": 2085,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 10.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 10.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2079
+      },
+      {
+        "age_bucket_size": 5,
+        "end_year": 2095,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 20.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 20.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2086
+      },
+      {
+        "age_bucket_size": 5,
+        "end_year": null,
+        "max_age_error_pct": 35.0,
+        "max_constraint_error_pct": 35.0,
+        "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+        "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+        "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+        "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+        "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+        "start_year": 2096
+      }
+    ],
+    "benchmark_tob": false,
+    "calibration_method": "entropy",
+    "description": "Age, Social Security, taxable payroll, and TOB using positive entropy calibration under the long-run core-threshold tax assumption.",
+    "max_age_error_pct": 0.1,
+    "max_constraint_error_pct": 0.1,
+    "max_negative_weight_pct": 0.0,
+    "max_top_100_weight_share_pct": 95.0,
+    "max_top_10_weight_share_pct": 25.0,
+    "min_effective_sample_size": 75.0,
+    "min_positive_household_count": 1000,
+    "name": "ss-payroll-tob",
+    "use_greg": false,
+    "use_h6_reform": false,
+    "use_payroll": true,
+    "use_ss": true,
+    "use_tob": true
+  },
+  "run_id": "crfb-longrun-20260520-5a35713-annual",
+  "source_sha": "5a357137e2fd33975745603915e98a51b7be81d0",
+  "target_source": {
+    "baseline_kind": "current_law_comparator",
+    "description": "2025 Trustees current-law baseline used by the legacy long-term calibration stack.",
+    "file": "trustees_2025_current_law.csv",
+    "name": "trustees_2025_current_law",
+    "not_law": false,
+    "notes": [
+      "Generated from social_security_aux.csv for explicit source selection."
+    ],
+    "sha256": "e059aa9fba806b260a399b8a6a18b892a6363ba12ee00fe21ab109d09dff0ec4",
+    "source_urls": [
+      "https://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2025/lrIndex.html",
+      "https://www.ssa.gov/oact/solvency/provisions/tables/table_run133.html"
+    ],
+    "type": "trustees_current_law"
+  },
+  "tax_assumption": {
+    "description": "Best-public Trustees tax-side approximation: keep Social Security benefit-tax thresholds fixed, but wage-index all federal income tax parameters that otherwise use IRS CPI uprating after 2034 using the active NAWI path.",
+    "end_year": 2100,
+    "name": "trustees-2025-core-thresholds-v1",
+    "not_default_current_law": true,
+    "parameter_groups": [
+      "all_gov_irs_uprating_parameters"
+    ],
+    "projection_base_year": 2026,
+    "source": "SSA 2025 Trustees Report V.C.7 and OACT email clarification, May 6, 2026",
+    "start_year": 2035,
+    "uprating_parameter": "gov.irs.uprating",
+    "wage_index": "gov.ssa.nawi"
+  },
+  "year": 2049
+}

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