License: Apache-2.0 for the leaderboard application
Browse files- index.html +2 -2
index.html
CHANGED
|
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
|
|
| 3 |
<meta name="description" content="Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook.">
|
| 4 |
<meta property="og:title" content="Global Weather Model Leaderboard"><meta property="og:description" content="Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook."><meta property="og:type" content="website"><meta property="og:url" content="https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard">
|
| 5 |
<link rel="canonical" href="https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard">
|
| 6 |
-
<script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebApplication","name":"Global Weather Model Leaderboard","url":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard","applicationCategory":"Weather","description":"Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook.","creator":{"@type":"Organization","name":"VIDRAFT","email":"vidraft@mail.vidraft.net"},"license":"https://
|
| 7 |
<style>
|
| 8 |
:root{--bg:#061226;--panel:#0d2247;--panel2:#11305f;--line:#1d3f78;--ink:#f2f7ff;--mut:#9db4d8;--cy:#35d0ff;--gold:#ffc83d;--red:#ff4d5e;--ai:#35d0ff;--ph:#b9c7e0}
|
| 9 |
*{box-sizing:border-box}html{background:var(--bg)}
|
|
@@ -100,7 +100,7 @@ svg{width:100%;height:auto;display:block}.lg{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:6px
|
|
| 100 |
<h3 class="h3" style="margin-top:16px">By city and forecast day, 2026 year to date</h3><div class="tw"><table class="wt" id="wcity"></table></div><div class="lg" id="lg3"></div></div>
|
| 101 |
<div class="pn" style="margin-top:14px"><h2>How it is scored</h2>
|
| 102 |
<p class="note">Every day each model's forecast is recorded for up to 10 days ahead. When the observed value for a day is published, every forecast made for that day is scored and the cumulative record is updated, once a day. A forecast issued N days earlier is compared with the ERA5 value for the same UTC day at each city. Each element has its own tab and its own ranking: daily maximum temperature, daily minimum temperature, daily maximum wind speed and daily precipitation total. Lower RMSE ranks higher. Models are compared on the same cases: days and cities where every listed model issued a forecast. Type shows how a model works: <b>AI</b> models learn the forecast from data, <b>Physics (Supercomputer)</b> models solve the equations of the atmosphere on supercomputers. ERA5 is published about five days after the fact, so the latest verification date trails today. Forecasts 1 to 7 days ahead are scored from 2026-01-01; forecasts 8 to 10 days ahead are archived from 2026-11-13 and enter the ranking as their target days are verified. <b>Darwin-Prediction-Weather</b> is VIDRAFT's fusion engine: local bias correction plus skill-weighted fusion of the public models, fitted only on days before the one being scored. It is ranked on exactly the same cases as the public models. In the 10-day outlook the fusion for days beyond the longest scored lead uses that lead's calibration.</p></div>
|
| 103 |
-
<footer>Full daily record since 2026-01-01 (every model forecast and the ERA5 value): <a href="https://huggingface.co/datasets/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Forecast-Archive">Weather-Model-Forecast-Archive</a>. Weather data by <a href="https://open-meteo.com/">Open-Meteo.com</a> (CC BY 4.0). Verification: ERA5, Copernicus Climate Change Service. Model sources: ECMWF, NOAA NCEP, DWD, JMA, ECCC, MET Norway. Engine: <a href="https://huggingface.co/FINAL-Bench/Darwin-Prediction-Weather">Darwin-Prediction-Weather</a>. Leaderboard
|
| 104 |
</main><script>
|
| 105 |
const CITIES={"Seoul":[37.57,126.98],"Busan":[35.18,129.08],"Tokyo":[35.68,139.69],"Beijing":[39.90,116.40],"Singapore":[1.35,103.82],"Delhi":[28.61,77.21],"Dubai":[25.20,55.27],"Moscow":[55.76,37.62],"Berlin":[52.52,13.40],"London":[51.51,-0.13],"Paris":[48.86,2.35],"Madrid":[40.42,-3.70],"Cairo":[30.04,31.24],"Nairobi":[-1.29,36.82],"Johannesburg":[-26.20,28.05],"New York":[40.71,-74.01],"Chicago":[41.88,-87.63],"Los Angeles":[34.05,-118.24],"Mexico City":[19.43,-99.13],"Sao Paulo":[-23.55,-46.63],"Buenos Aires":[-34.60,-58.38],"Sydney":[-33.87,151.21],"Anchorage":[61.22,-149.90],"Reykjavik":[64.15,-21.94]};
|
| 106 |
const DW=["Darwin-Prediction-Weather","VIDRAFT","AI","kr","South Korea","#ffc83d"];
|
|
|
|
| 3 |
<meta name="description" content="Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook.">
|
| 4 |
<meta property="og:title" content="Global Weather Model Leaderboard"><meta property="og:description" content="Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook."><meta property="og:type" content="website"><meta property="og:url" content="https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard">
|
| 5 |
<link rel="canonical" href="https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard">
|
| 6 |
+
<script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebApplication","name":"Global Weather Model Leaderboard","url":"https://huggingface.co/spaces/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Leaderboard","applicationCategory":"Weather","description":"Daily accuracy ranking of global weather forecast models, AI and physics: Darwin-Prediction-Weather, ECMWF AIFS, ECMWF IFS, GFS, AIGFS, ICON, JMA, GEM and MET Norway, scored against ERA5 for 24 world cities since 2026-01-01, with a 10-day outlook.","creator":{"@type":"Organization","name":"VIDRAFT","email":"vidraft@mail.vidraft.net"},"license":"https://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0"},{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Weather Model Forecast Archive 2026","url":"https://huggingface.co/datasets/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Forecast-Archive","description":"Daily forecasts of global weather models and ERA5 observed daily maximum temperature for 24 cities since 2026-01-01.","creator":{"@type":"Organization","name":"VIDRAFT"},"license":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/"},{"@type":"FAQPage","mainEntity":[{"@type":"Question","name":"Which weather model is the most accurate in 2026?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"For daily maximum temperature across 24 world cities, Darwin-Prediction-Weather has the lowest error at every lead from 1 to 7 days. Among weather-centre models, ECMWF AIFS ranks first."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"Are AI weather models more accurate than physics models?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"In this record ECMWF AIFS (AI) has lower error than ECMWF IFS (physics) at every lead, and NOAA AIGFS (AI) has lower error than NOAA GFS (physics) at every lead."}},{"@type":"Question","name":"How often is the leaderboard updated?","acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Once a day: new forecasts are archived, newly published observations are scored, and the cumulative record and the 10-day outlook are refreshed."}}]}]}</script>
|
| 7 |
<style>
|
| 8 |
:root{--bg:#061226;--panel:#0d2247;--panel2:#11305f;--line:#1d3f78;--ink:#f2f7ff;--mut:#9db4d8;--cy:#35d0ff;--gold:#ffc83d;--red:#ff4d5e;--ai:#35d0ff;--ph:#b9c7e0}
|
| 9 |
*{box-sizing:border-box}html{background:var(--bg)}
|
|
|
|
| 100 |
<h3 class="h3" style="margin-top:16px">By city and forecast day, 2026 year to date</h3><div class="tw"><table class="wt" id="wcity"></table></div><div class="lg" id="lg3"></div></div>
|
| 101 |
<div class="pn" style="margin-top:14px"><h2>How it is scored</h2>
|
| 102 |
<p class="note">Every day each model's forecast is recorded for up to 10 days ahead. When the observed value for a day is published, every forecast made for that day is scored and the cumulative record is updated, once a day. A forecast issued N days earlier is compared with the ERA5 value for the same UTC day at each city. Each element has its own tab and its own ranking: daily maximum temperature, daily minimum temperature, daily maximum wind speed and daily precipitation total. Lower RMSE ranks higher. Models are compared on the same cases: days and cities where every listed model issued a forecast. Type shows how a model works: <b>AI</b> models learn the forecast from data, <b>Physics (Supercomputer)</b> models solve the equations of the atmosphere on supercomputers. ERA5 is published about five days after the fact, so the latest verification date trails today. Forecasts 1 to 7 days ahead are scored from 2026-01-01; forecasts 8 to 10 days ahead are archived from 2026-11-13 and enter the ranking as their target days are verified. <b>Darwin-Prediction-Weather</b> is VIDRAFT's fusion engine: local bias correction plus skill-weighted fusion of the public models, fitted only on days before the one being scored. It is ranked on exactly the same cases as the public models. In the 10-day outlook the fusion for days beyond the longest scored lead uses that lead's calibration.</p></div>
|
| 103 |
+
<footer>Full daily record since 2026-01-01 (every model forecast and the ERA5 value): <a href="https://huggingface.co/datasets/FINAL-Bench/Weather-Model-Forecast-Archive">Weather-Model-Forecast-Archive</a>. Weather data by <a href="https://open-meteo.com/">Open-Meteo.com</a> (CC BY 4.0). Verification: ERA5, Copernicus Climate Change Service. Model sources: ECMWF, NOAA NCEP, DWD, JMA, ECCC, MET Norway. Engine: <a href="https://huggingface.co/FINAL-Bench/Darwin-Prediction-Weather">Darwin-Prediction-Weather</a>. Leaderboard application: Apache License 2.0. Compiled record and model: CC BY-NC 4.0. Contact: <a href="mailto:vidraft@mail.vidraft.net">vidraft@mail.vidraft.net</a></footer>
|
| 104 |
</main><script>
|
| 105 |
const CITIES={"Seoul":[37.57,126.98],"Busan":[35.18,129.08],"Tokyo":[35.68,139.69],"Beijing":[39.90,116.40],"Singapore":[1.35,103.82],"Delhi":[28.61,77.21],"Dubai":[25.20,55.27],"Moscow":[55.76,37.62],"Berlin":[52.52,13.40],"London":[51.51,-0.13],"Paris":[48.86,2.35],"Madrid":[40.42,-3.70],"Cairo":[30.04,31.24],"Nairobi":[-1.29,36.82],"Johannesburg":[-26.20,28.05],"New York":[40.71,-74.01],"Chicago":[41.88,-87.63],"Los Angeles":[34.05,-118.24],"Mexico City":[19.43,-99.13],"Sao Paulo":[-23.55,-46.63],"Buenos Aires":[-34.60,-58.38],"Sydney":[-33.87,151.21],"Anchorage":[61.22,-149.90],"Reykjavik":[64.15,-21.94]};
|
| 106 |
const DW=["Darwin-Prediction-Weather","VIDRAFT","AI","kr","South Korea","#ffc83d"];
|