Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:42.558415+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:21.088321+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,33 +13,33 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 26744,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2650,
+  "num_model_releases": 26756,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2651,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
-      "num_model_releases": 192,
-      "num_unique_releases": 16,
+      "num_model_releases": 180,
+      "num_unique_releases": 15,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 24 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2568,
-      "num_unique_releases": 214,
+      "num_model_releases": 2520,
+      "num_unique_releases": 210,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26397,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2599,
+      "num_model_releases": 26409,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2600,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4356
+    "prequential-v1": 4368
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,1548.3053107150604,12.430308222713025,0.17270475075668887,12.24579247074399,-8.47537458539892,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668,3758.6792484572507,-0.26666666666666666,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,1560.4632842046663,12.42341224190344,0.20971688373018527,16.164878749810168,-4.340897878672511,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668,3885.126329630318,-0.3333333333333333,0.14285714285714285,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1548.2583404099084,12.373169093283275,0.12708812262089147,12.246751031685607,-0.49569074416690234,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668,3758.629190509672,-0.08888888888888886,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1548.4587314564262,12.488855781763263,0.24389241252574625,12.263294246392757,-15.73685373266317,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668,3758.7590965889863,-0.0666666666666667,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1548.4433671045538,12.477277796944731,0.21419600571955166,12.334009639773669,-2.9467455436055587,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668,3759.03440533844,0.02222222222222227,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.5197767613206,12.515150256163437,0.24185196186610167,12.314756617536025,-13.983431736545768,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668,3759.1068472451566,0.22222222222222224,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,1548.3873816606447,12.46585589094793,0.24040722987201188,12.268189062777681,-11.220156175767338,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668,3758.6105910503684,-0.19999999999999998,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1548.5023056588357,12.530391940017859,0.1943675624370499,10.826866906397258,0.0,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,3758.687405527608,-0.32192962178900314,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.5280916017607,12.59891584033391,0.22275081794970988,12.408118224967703,-29.243142223982137,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,3758.7152628508334,-0.2444444444444445,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,1549.0766192772694,12.850104293418548,0.3490673899541417,12.60213382838688,-42.77082249865547,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,3759.129881043857,-0.35555555555555546,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,2096.0940264096344,14.892372323551333,0.19463792758266316,10.98139207175706,-30.629587239905472,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668,4455.183159364082,-0.15555555555555553,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,1550.834589337461,13.289548297782265,0.7192766622447467,12.998958041280332,-44.798270617664585,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,3759.8016940721427,-0.35555555555555546,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T06:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,1547.8114652387233,12.24187496286027,0.17156191617042785,12.114526199896677,-16.33867739957458,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,3757.799126993667,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,1559.9705020622773,12.234824395289474,0.2085783809061521,16.05697248827406,-12.22013149991136,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,3884.221949808379,-0.7777777777777778,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,1547.7638606976618,12.184156618600706,0.12594601136139835,12.114578243164718,-8.35408284069931,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,3757.747423198896,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,1547.9005888389117,12.285595526532168,0.24258497384378028,12.150929425879442,-22.932713864103427,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,3758.090970873253,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,1547.9516215690358,12.288907827694315,0.21306035443218352,12.206088398761832,-10.838755893089683,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,3758.142758250566,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,1548.0154067158146,12.324332236151145,0.24068231324510406,12.182607324817672,-21.72735993557544,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,3758.2563194580466,7.401486830834377e-17,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,1547.859184109051,12.274006362838163,0.23921902301312584,12.13866746393325,-18.675663786857964,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,3757.884282797724,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,1547.9867519469572,12.33624237610329,0.19318653447030765,10.794217133395795,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8745587498047,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,1548.0217932793778,12.413095808614711,0.2215421366452098,12.273643945262569,-36.9630771275895,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3757.8665287949293,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,1549.1057942202992,12.820493057695563,0.3501673586976424,12.897143931161017,-50.68642234402186,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3756.5277270371716,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,2095.4562061359616,14.700947904048752,0.19332860128391993,10.902858618077518,-37.36545839905379,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,4454.452034409805,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,1550.4579325910415,13.153957241345418,0.7185856500144377,12.921309785766237,-54.483346552710366,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,3758.5068525408537,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-26T09:36:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.300519225813277,0.8740271945733552,0.15915153952677838,0.6388131632889608,23.594496726854214,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668,137.8453562501937,0.04601607918606417,0.07692307692307693,13,2546,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.481833265103045,0.878991543272076,0.1957466916413232,0.6730698281579647,24.653608149734605,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668,140.6097682104517,0.04623517690964399,0.15384615384615385,13,2533,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.360065010270706,0.8750985562059258,0.1365375709357373,0.7171698501474171,23.90911901518848,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668,138.11085175203598,0.0505799927200259,0.23076923076923078,13,2527,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.016401732140835,0.9263773013429362,0.2383069015682701,0.6713328447785669,22.186011547859856,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668,158.23044234615878,0.08085617864962653,0.15384615384615385,13,1832,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.784813720613155,0.9748341968253758,0.19978599264691327,0.8193658800503064,18.543816558171315,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668,165.95337972467377,0.058085723063450494,0.15384615384615385,13,1725,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.299767915283777,0.97354656347689,0.2729649824440103,0.7205884108499178,11.493013765058075,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668,159.2218255870079,0.04168690991736047,0.15384615384615385,13,1819,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.629424143943314,1.015917609600544,0.222207550246795,0.7671628569978233,15.8083492903629,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668,152.93250505218018,0.019555235938086137,0.3076923076923077,13,2073,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.192955090077366,1.2344069482157742,0.3632179957230655,0.9614638787020723,0.0,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.26239744969956,0.050296746687594866,0.23076923076923078,13,2380,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.939277483482392,1.1426026606706134,0.33813987685632535,0.9183556452874707,2.9205940618126354,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.51887295727585,0.07779805076936784,0.15384615384615385,13,2372,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.855689379414791,1.14226284984453,0.3461960530272208,0.8982213881020263,1.9445781558055786,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.52541875340773,0.049075134375621624,0.15384615384615385,13,2372,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.103004520700836,1.665716919875453,0.2821811685930113,0.7022552459359783,-18.84334313238527,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668,216.06425411994283,-0.0016536461986544006,0.15384615384615385,13,1846,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.650384911685123,1.4023313053979365,0.3127851208314175,1.1115824080164765,-3.54498113272017,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,148.40236078302183,0.056823860364491004,0.15384615384615385,13,2372,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.239545430515209,0.8730378797861691,0.15913774422514265,0.6379241956150887,23.543766066388624,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,137.53710827280568,0.04515179007034079,0.07692307692307693,13,2547,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.419745441780735,0.8780001670491762,0.1956162302579611,0.6722225524292846,24.601526231904106,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,140.29339605802087,0.04534807480796698,0.15384615384615385,13,2534,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.298484000467683,0.8740972840580779,0.1364967427803351,0.7162420171502397,23.857972798723644,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,137.80040900365134,0.04969376693501468,0.23076923076923078,13,2528,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1833,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1726,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1820,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446892564,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117569,15.758390533422869,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2074,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.121757571860453,1.2331127853961372,0.3631780777826849,0.9609363229399305,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,142.91827863143598,0.049335561071610017,0.23076923076923078,13,2381,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.86744419946148,1.1413707255216918,0.33810653045463385,0.9171690280617745,2.8794049755406754,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1720968024429,0.07689375139646268,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.788241340585063,1.1423031610111556,0.3457582971863338,0.8999579367991762,1.9022621697944126,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1781978251569,0.04947662846293954,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96664650751271,1.6639187362285597,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670177587979,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,215.47718371875467,-0.0025000890740827808,0.15384615384615385,13,1847,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.5792306302615,1.4013637651673139,0.3127607534584493,1.1106899880171681,-3.5934221985735713,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,148.05548539480793,0.056364082838235276,0.15384615384615385,13,2373,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-27T18:15:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,121.79402355141075,1.8402802252608843,0.14266564008504018,1.6288849278522575,15.315589867301759,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668,458.66103678018226,-0.12384231041157036,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,122.6316834986725,1.8172881334032283,0.14407085173472997,1.9058919255522488,17.222633430521714,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668,467.55740776191595,-0.19363088114756782,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,121.71111602772142,1.8091923400055867,0.11744795320597771,1.6865492987383792,16.656708086890177,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668,458.44568103734696,-0.12648602714776858,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,121.79732296896123,1.8493305559296322,0.15730026428365837,1.6042316812408075,14.05437764814122,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668,458.51391963232294,-0.07903753955491886,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,121.99083033727611,1.9294746101736282,0.16825542968758253,1.799085097353163,7.880742081496913,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668,458.69737627319097,-0.10135571751099272,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,121.91161019153078,1.889372832019374,0.16994986881003146,1.6773320371898832,4.525251708973868,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668,458.731210309442,-0.035619519212763455,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,122.05591077700562,1.9060216671627692,0.17173930543483165,1.7012301011919018,11.430349789449524,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668,458.66830477769685,-0.07563918082852163,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,122.36655215462683,2.060532659959938,0.21992736837908536,1.6864626069820725,0.0,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,458.819772299435,-0.1288994089749542,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,122.19707690145945,2.0237214719703,0.21584932515960312,1.829766342516832,-3.0923693786194693,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,458.7561421935601,0.07375109079144743,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,122.1988180159754,2.0744676926781462,0.2084460353495797,1.7950584386037425,-6.636892379165128,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,458.75083456908214,0.05178013013761323,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,164.85131324913755,2.4741181687098823,0.15623694088210113,1.563448138523639,-24.69904755454732,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668,588.3702462578938,-0.0989316696159066,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,123.27276047873146,2.340119921703462,0.3161753484053874,2.068624573728338,-11.661776761985204,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,460.0877922424043,0.04434378544250971,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T06:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.7588105461341,1.7917443475732364,0.14306566745349883,1.5797198928886012,14.62427322764187,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,449.41423005797117,-0.1410498149147991,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.55487338283682,1.7670770343462472,0.14419266464666694,1.8450859099797743,16.676550756786245,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,458.113116031644,-0.2067862239003614,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.67008040322959,1.7583391323382325,0.11763768577491127,1.6344877175261925,16.150943391059034,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,449.2033755614715,-0.14129105016664156,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.75700049591505,1.7992595110096705,0.1575044987535649,1.5551157934541902,13.439497144790122,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,449.270998204635,-0.09993782027871051,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94710594042103,1.8775452424626968,0.1683768144487332,1.7471792110041173,7.475991673698146,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,449.45744065452635,-0.10933493206487149,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.87225341084917,1.8387021886781634,0.17006721129031105,1.6272347254433475,4.031817944690599,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,449.48910033747524,-0.051095319073421644,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,117.00974143198788,1.8544202866825439,0.17185302390969148,1.6498212914689256,10.97870818915886,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,449.43199273720785,-0.08822937999713247,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.31808846401623,2.0083336520617907,0.22006097191746715,1.6454188834756716,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.5835506615631,-0.13862643943387687,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.15008324499688,1.9727778834383056,0.21596765468876936,1.7780732580977283,-3.630041923660151,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.5183418027358,0.062135812963893054,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.19344912570192,2.0350866689400324,0.20868136612412055,1.7731507540523237,-7.1750958885186344,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,449.498026141747,0.04161287009844135,0.08333333333333333,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,158.02290236948036,2.406263776839445,0.15624932897121654,1.5191448564368535,-24.970059673261535,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,576.4709959860721,-0.10269191353072914,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.25076761986845,2.294527868419267,0.31650878774177177,2.022400644912134,-12.408196105833829,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,450.8398260235379,0.025531298306630326,0.0,12,210,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-20T10:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.302308595464511,0.8753858242690844,0.1592738287255013,0.6396536966410316,23.575730597668944,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668,137.84648341213241,0.04257222958836842,0.15384615384615385,13,2595,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.482112848899312,0.8794558460436523,0.1957959842920363,0.6733459668104376,24.72770584313674,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668,140.60921708516042,0.04398102080933405,0.15384615384615385,13,2581,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.362238583439815,0.8766028025043062,0.1366921526087996,0.7181976087500934,23.885393594255113,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668,138.11308424615902,0.04697960450425308,0.23076923076923078,13,2576,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,18.016401732140835,0.9263773013429362,0.2383069015682701,0.6713328447785669,22.186011547859856,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668,158.23044234615878,0.08085617864962653,0.15384615384615385,13,1832,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.784813720613155,0.9748341968253758,0.19978599264691327,0.8193658800503064,18.543816558171315,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668,165.95337972467377,0.058085723063450494,0.15384615384615385,13,1725,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.299767915283777,0.97354656347689,0.2729649824440103,0.7205884108499178,11.493013765058075,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668,159.2218255870079,0.04168690991736047,0.15384615384615385,13,1819,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.629424143943314,1.015917609600544,0.222207550246795,0.7671628569978233,15.8083492903629,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668,152.93250505218018,0.019555235938086137,0.3076923076923077,13,2073,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.194542921129372,1.235620273327926,0.36335017969535677,0.9624893714832365,0.0,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.2627012088532,0.04716597432605328,0.23076923076923078,13,2431,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.942900622397973,1.1442651918350202,0.3383356864450747,0.9197809774655751,2.9233029096917513,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.5215709437958,0.07325843084513253,0.15384615384615385,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.865464586197476,1.145128894789263,0.34647694676363644,0.9004904692891468,1.9132794851200339,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,143.53767074904434,0.04350235957207759,0.15384615384615385,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.103004520700836,1.665716919875453,0.2821811685930113,0.7022552459359783,-18.84334313238527,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668,216.06425411994283,-0.0016536461986544006,0.15384615384615385,13,1846,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.67733762078937,1.4070953038923764,0.313296353075224,1.1156060386918,-3.5714670213341693,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668,148.43265567332665,0.05078146970671572,0.15384615384615385,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.241334800166442,0.8743965094818982,0.15926003342386558,0.6387647289671595,23.52499993720335,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778,137.5382354347444,0.04170794047264504,0.15384615384615385,13,2596,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.420025025577,0.8784644698207524,0.1956655229086742,0.6724986910817575,24.67562392530624,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778,140.29284493272957,0.04309391870765704,0.15384615384615385,13,2582,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.300657573636792,0.8756015303564583,0.1366513244533974,0.7172697757529161,23.83424737779027,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778,137.80264149777437,0.04609337871924186,0.23076923076923078,13,2577,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.9141597483982,0.924871919760215,0.2379722756704117,0.6699964021183801,22.11659148946956,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778,157.7641822123761,0.07961745439322851,0.15384615384615385,13,1833,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.66031721032933,0.9730136844209277,0.199770152162011,0.8176438304438567,18.478041774005842,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778,165.41313501378505,0.05673060897624092,0.15384615384615385,13,1726,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,18.194933740182186,0.9720008580259963,0.2726402882615301,0.7191720104466731,11.423670944487425,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778,158.7467034470456,0.04048897488828039,0.15384615384615385,13,1820,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.536420117955544,1.0144310446892564,0.22205416522321944,0.7658320132117569,15.758390533422869,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778,152.51040995240535,0.018424319541630325,0.3076923076923077,13,2074,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,16.12334540291246,1.2343261105082892,0.36331026175497616,0.9619618157210946,0.0,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,142.91858239058962,0.04620478871006843,0.23076923076923078,13,2432,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.87106733837706,1.1430332566860986,0.3383023400433833,0.918594360239879,2.8821138234197914,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.17479478896283,0.07235413147222736,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.798016547367748,1.1451692059558884,0.34603919092274943,0.9022270179862967,1.870963499108868,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,143.1904498207935,0.0439038536593955,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.96664650751271,1.6639187362285597,0.2816499540874997,0.7012670177587979,-18.89703685288153,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778,215.47718371875467,-0.0025000890740827808,0.15384615384615385,13,1847,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.60618333936575,1.406127763661754,0.31327198570225584,1.1147136186924917,-3.6199080871875706,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778,148.08578028511275,0.05032169218046,0.15384615384615385,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6704419293135593,11,2590,13,31.635416666666668
-2,Official,TiRex,0.668201202799718,11,2581,13,31.635416666666668
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085004537501596,11,2576,13,31.635416666666668
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5801012870899968,11,1832,13,26.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5591423981844946,11,1722,13,28.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232308058979755,11,1819,13,26.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5086327388142119,11,2071,13,28.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3857347740386782,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37739388096328313,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37569185392252163,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37533961953309486,11,1846,13,26.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36758905569230665,11,2422,13,31.635416666666668
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6705262493225335,11,2591,13,31.77777777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6681312111295985,11,2582,13,31.77777777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6085651594666525,11,2577,13,31.77777777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5800631138200966,11,1833,13,26.43402777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593458649579215,11,1723,13,28.43402777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5232165758266814,11,1820,13,26.43402777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5086368969856728,11,2072,13,28.43402777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3858377226708031,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.37752886754623505,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37551008957395166,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37520937357425405,11,1847,13,26.43402777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.36742887512559963,11,2423,13,31.77777777777778

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1117,6 +1117,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.494008
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.080394+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.200412+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.024566392491974783,0.15673669797458023,,0.06469204257070606,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.407204+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.01346168460760809,0.11602450003170921,,0.017916504152123997,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.777807+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,10.837674801930566,3.2920623933836013,0.023276712521639504,7.227533033157455,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.023703+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7212455712790105,0.849261780182654,0.05768796763461387,0.6762980514190686,-89.24689675667209,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.848364+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333370868693,0.27080128084757454,,0.05555575060921595,1.2341931900956305e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.126154+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3595,6 +3596,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.498862
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.119453+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.259132+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.454467240084457,1.2060129518725977,,0.46349852650642553,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.414675+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.104705490449109e-07,0.0009541858042566505,,0.0009340927153472941,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.811450+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2600998320276883e-06,0.0011225416838708878,2.683003743489584e-06,0.002486851610667671,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.050125+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.09222412860776501,0.3036842580835645,0.017192160108389417,0.15594754416940831,-38.46878121576965,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.853636+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333547636758,0.2708012841113712,,0.055555557778576535,2.895640081579974e-08,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.225711+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5890,6 +5892,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.505607
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.156243+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.289849+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.184704411432646e-07,0.0009046935620105101,,0.0034271464866219557,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.421855+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.54442356754145e-06,0.0018826639550226297,,0.003794998794902784,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.833310+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00017212155506251373,0.01311951047343283,2.742767333984375e-05,0.020430724442796363,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.074907+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06792740463189913,0.26062886377356426,0.017283472026818746,0.1565375417265531,-24.741652290165774,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.857757+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333292009965,0.27080127939154874,,0.055555612229092284,1.7718663348780077e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.256669+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7953,6 +7956,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.512441
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.189863+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.326472+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.006328235712551884,0.07955020875240922,,1.130802816084094e-06,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.427223+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00827197335337581,0.09095038951744962,,0.021214414384544057,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.864350+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1657770060772914,0.40715722525492704,0.0012018028232113585,0.38275270413421114,-100.00000000000001,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.105224+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6311997906830562,1.277184321342482,0.09303878765241104,1.0105639418349788,-95.09843422143179,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.863780+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333370868693,0.27080128084757454,,0.05555575060921595,1.2341931900956305e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.295552+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10134,6 +10138,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.518628
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.209780+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.373583+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.994149634067339e-06,0.0022347594130168328,,0.0014183860831850472,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.432729+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.630822048283167e-06,0.0023729353232406413,,0.0014790848159701466,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.896343+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.636035175550549e-05,0.00750735317908419,1.9827948676215277e-05,0.021469819905359143,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.130567+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.14346511395426198,0.3787678892861194,0.02191025440654512,0.199292999044095,-55.56272311628537,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.869452+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333328472999961,0.27080119041466494,,0.05555579468149098,3.4628763703571765e-05,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.342714+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12207,6 +12212,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.524790
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.249943+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.405620+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.006328213841433667,0.07955007128490625,,0.0,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.438332+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.007311191030251746,0.08550550292379869,,0.0,-99.99999999999999,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.923491+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.010363938492063499,0.10180343064977476,0.0,0.0,-99.99999999999999,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.161814+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2361224620813881,0.48592433781545463,0.037952879210199575,0.3653274036507026,-70.421549750203,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.876958+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333370868693,0.27080128084757454,,0.05555575060921595,1.2341931900956305e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.416685+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14631,6 +14637,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.536971
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.279849+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.430680+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.444292+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.943399+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.4154760636522488,0.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.203836+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.04098153377768823,0.2024389630918125,0.014475235352268115,0.12558140921402774,0.0,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.882736+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333551883697,0.2708012841897855,,0.05555555638339785,0.0,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.473695+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -16920,6 +16927,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.546485
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.321003+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.516265200888106e-16,1.8751707124654293e-08,,2.012292948815207e-08,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.454666+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0049216529971666065,0.07015449377742389,,0.016747057091870285,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.455386+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00011516588341433443,0.010731536861714375,,0.006796924634846487,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:45.972654+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.005412447947287374,0.07356934108232432,0.00010356055365668402,0.04635399488877759,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.227805+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.13031823419067962,0.36099616921884314,0.02128298933713642,0.20484091193187362,-52.15226002494543,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.888018+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.073333346096926,0.27080130372087574,,0.05555560351446595,-7.212332694226907e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.524720+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.029480751355924e-16,1.7405403618864816e-08,,1.900233022291944e-08,0.0,False
@@ -18866,6 +18874,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.552126
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.389831+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.475679+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.900533831029913e-06,0.002213714938972476,,0.0011961837854480126,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.460703+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.123995668127857e-08,0.0002669081427781449,,0.00025003559054713893,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.010198+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.49021842744706e-09,9.741775211657812e-05,2.585517035590278e-07,8.234409321097636e-05,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.268759+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.046570894761107616,0.2158029072118993,0.014284444601298482,0.1707059499702336,-6.384015928173433,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.893836+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333551883697,0.2708012841897855,,0.05555555638339785,0.0,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.574775+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -20910,6 +20919,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.571787
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.549298+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.614292+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.8106647857899567e-07,0.0005301570319999496,,0.0004304359043124255,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.472354+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.08327690403874e-07,0.0008990704590875367,,0.0006599644598755082,-100.0,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.068385+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.3067507166711277e-06,0.0018184473367879334,4.531012641059028e-06,0.513650874280649,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.325762+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.13569053052211655,0.3683619558560799,0.020906692783337382,0.18011770729988502,-53.6072282393844,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.904221+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333282905112,0.2708012792234393,,0.05555555328419192,1.833944878329993e-06,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.681005+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23491,6 +23501,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.557968
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.441697+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.539273+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06586122889607324,0.2566344265605712,,0.2288995719709272,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.466711+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.789217933929779e-07,0.0006155662380223414,,0.0016696332563234735,-99.99999999999999,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.038548+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.3558199566508234e-06,0.0018318897228410949,1.097785101996528e-05,0.002929859832357882,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.294755+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.10439708595586843,0.32310537902651576,0.01964726076888534,0.22437253832341147,-43.62096179920085,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.899328+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07333333551883697,0.2708012841897855,,0.05555555638339785,0.0,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.616122+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -25778,6 +25789,7 @@ future-e8aeabb894407018f973,2026-07-21T14:20:00+00:00,2026-07-22T02:36:09.577998
 future-e8fcf9ad3f75074adde5,2026-07-24T02:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T10:26:14.607581+00:00,2026-07-24T09:03:50.322280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1878658339973376e-05,0.00344654295490037,,0.0002686322140915662,-100.0,False
 future-e956d49743f2c36e6a02,2026-07-23T12:20:00+00:00,2026-07-23T12:48:48.704487+00:00,2026-07-23T09:28:06.663120+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4164173704589212,0.6453040914630258,,0.005546437973890117,-100.0,False
 future-e98152c4b697e7380d5b,2026-07-19T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-19T06:08:47.478830+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.560338+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,12.47720698071212,3.5323090154617165,,0.0031377283899208666,-99.99999999999999,False
+future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.112696+00:00,2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.10854341895029192,0.3294592826895183,0.0008813985188802083,0.6342709918374776,-100.0,True
 future-eacaecef7aebe5660536,2026-07-20T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T05:29:50.372391+00:00,2026-07-22T05:18:36.478909+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.21248496494317037,0.46096091476736983,0.027046455485287602,0.24413939488331854,-67.663155498257,True
 future-ebcbfed083ba771a9fde,2026-07-18T12:40:00+00:00,2026-07-18T14:55:55.910520+00:00,2026-07-18T09:50:04.806752+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1422361655405249,1.0687544926410952,,0.05578294862298096,-87.9343245359599,False
 future-ece5cf88824a40fc93ff,2026-07-24T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.746625+00:00,2026-07-24T12:10:10.729342+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.9556299829406945e-09,5.4365705945390746e-05,,0.0002759880122977376,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ ARIMA,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.224989505012516
 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.6887482829826201,0.9540036885514395,0.4566297955053868,0.7461177956329675,3.1470638726462545,3.8237247820144815,-0.28120112605567715,9.057596938929015e-07,139,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.708181502318978,1.213018038814413,0.09454401566012902,0.9460806159180886,-42.96354915049305,1.4475482001763167,-0.015686274509803918,0.7864614601106631,136,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0942820213863107,1.015807694846594,0.5454330592949076,0.6352260256314877,25.681589249539,0.5384460351935494,0.35806783144912646,3.461823119687569e-10,140,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,181.81845323530464,3.1898735859881144,0.9622629912243955,2.8253820858826786,7.271024538305736,1765.6163425436782,0.21275572886063776,1.0566093705063377e-05,194,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,180.94162873051818,3.1903976311542457,0.9574476769746381,2.8479572189456266,6.720916720160578,1761.1024704764172,0.2179751519957706,6.035301433541624e-06,195,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.1257656989002478,1.030157882628527,0.19812277023131533,0.6390464595327553,45.798520099415526,0.6175932364599516,0.3846153846153845,0.07631653936341436,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6117911614426588,1.0695205059362567,0.0100853202752571,0.7741205692557181,28.297622329135265,1.9032512469123888,0.07619756763464879,0.08004919532870981,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6159840041421918,1.0825470904741978,0.008336713219130282,0.7508053857926016,37.704191635511265,2.0268378330384347,-0.04435483870967743,0.7355269048685159,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ Chronos-2,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.77066292070
 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.02785586891715,0.7645296886497267,0.3442084958075155,0.518033025872195,21.88638146494005,2.3488829237605158,-0.3387083770055632,2.6801824527934785e-10,158,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39843412073121276,0.5816743522030585,0.04287278911219057,0.40038261423061633,14.55878920129333,0.31809506761334416,-0.1063576945929887,0.050284842841598065,154,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.042853586857858,0.9910240720175268,0.5354995138301277,0.6365141486693601,28.050192432352233,0.5287165647252547,0.3791895549717379,1.303319405073995e-12,159,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,167.25112176270972,2.7148130029354056,0.03202157810023604,2.440925181041729,25.964229936058683,1697.4486589998032,0.21394395078605602,3.987050941987965e-06,210,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,166.45846242383482,2.7019519107019865,0.031869829782243175,2.4293686012813924,25.30473135000602,1693.4414352937588,0.20270819228165202,1.1845767369719303e-05,211,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016746327,0.4475570508758146,0.08047915672405251,0.3225868987296447,83.37287201644678,0.3794230793437146,0.6703296703296704,0.00045112620881470087,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3584243203182118,0.988483236863085,0.009942212435786146,0.7224566765181408,22.070587855613862,1.5938837288700864,0.21714285714285714,1.881443456264298e-05,176,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.514274095721929,1.045016033103337,0.00882882127302277,0.7080324611428557,34.210414178101914,1.711954252866411,0.08571428571428572,0.6119326072720337,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.76884396
 Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.5283024504079121,0.6226304952000458,0.38224721858727956,0.4164590636262569,13.009778530945106,0.5824227287220827,-0.45487305487305485,1.4744406235679493e-12,111,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4021177413853758,0.5567117199001299,0.04181130974342789,0.4084427067806432,23.163627349829277,0.4328809775144108,-0.20867389491242697,0.001231790341516876,110,1.0,2026-07-03T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.2291072908674983,1.0854493607203002,0.5707363713258984,0.6956696422198485,28.00376263826608,0.5158586191166523,0.18790218790218788,0.0033149873762053595,112,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,215.32956778022464,3.1879985066089995,0.5643459168239082,2.9297171527074743,30.711216775675666,1959.900481610589,0.25575698187163154,1.9952438351457124e-06,157,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,213.96672350390392,3.1679043357473815,0.560774280816626,2.911303947465293,29.809760108257212,1953.7238937910793,0.24018382649359027,7.501234770740942e-06,158,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.5888227944617089,0.6921086990730174,0.14236933700516546,0.5316201479443244,69.39145215325834,0.6217751936303204,0.5454545454545454,0.013770768197851531,12,1.0,2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9062516623742625,1.1438753096316576,0.010268748918062547,0.8908433451688154,25.155142045278517,2.4520911506313183,0.09442820444680665,0.04033071077808843,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7107012982517127,1.1483285083687549,0.008882762360871122,0.8552155797525732,30.22823273347917,1.8284059104472181,-0.07096774193548387,0.5894657747826293,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -49,7 +49,7 @@ ETS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.972878454121812,0
 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.873994336063469,1.0831333111558656,0.5164406254559749,0.8553311523656505,0.13992619226360067,27.30330920863052,-0.2344906683348973,4.216250622389566e-05,139,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,17.45568497649454,3.4795570720867355,0.27957054899169465,2.8758967550564543,-79.50890754411088,29.532172381799775,-0.05860566448801742,0.3114692067466157,136,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 ETS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0648671158583614,0.9960504358443464,0.531880170617662,0.6369026179229422,27.876182135802356,0.5979416116903242,0.39712230215827343,3.375626251359704e-12,140,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,180.5418804149591,2.859871709883472,0.05346981784009555,2.6450374023806007,22.798101938371058,1765.7368708532922,0.13946904545697345,0.003879446740875955,194,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,179.61687475645203,2.8472936868853775,0.05320177673744487,2.6334359423895934,22.168368082276846,1761.2274908065115,0.13349193761564898,0.005583583262066476,195,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,0.9952444213048076,0.2129850550946607,0.6701769428306765,48.5062282411613,0.7673220126829784,0.2051282051282051,0.3674042836022003,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3232765046928578,0.9429012137153884,0.008985526216856703,0.6909521591212189,31.450343129388866,1.6483081134835997,0.30585516178736516,1.5042570947855893e-09,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8354760648986028,1.1643877410331194,0.009684535709908557,0.7442716890088968,29.00418007830918,1.782282812514967,0.0,1.0,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -62,7 +62,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.6702253387
 Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.47965564978060443,0.5956660891730714,0.34848366280670223,0.4013809873615249,15.145933289401857,0.5589006360416241,-0.33848133848133843,1.2200657712154157e-07,112,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4634963953001367,0.6057082262287827,0.0457034865384179,0.44773524192345965,13.348458130041319,0.46607801147843353,-0.15184275184275184,0.018159226394582992,111,1.0,2026-07-03T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.1334394319943253,1.038366565465544,0.509240182334573,0.673833132688211,32.2783831863663,0.5276398337201762,0.22123893805309736,0.00048365880179213446,114,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,212.66338254504015,3.1387010452385007,0.5889614081795168,2.8012705530941275,30.856810065711002,1947.596099071213,0.30085184300613005,1.8189131554344855e-08,159,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,211.33423675638588,3.1191310846631284,0.5852805233030742,2.7838967985116976,29.95434930663713,1941.534717332038,0.28474842767295594,9.080638252455695e-08,160,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.32576694973257325,0.4774421673330105,0.08443561400522327,0.33703281202278523,81.50457626947743,0.4588390803064478,0.7575757575757575,0.00024002425044091711,12,1.0,2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.58996163721899,1.3525809286874553,0.012714891921704255,1.1294004024235538,13.346509924484181,2.916466841762542,-0.010452653025068653,0.8204538033826462,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.373280996608969,1.5776522602429985,0.012692017698245876,1.3334994557395554,13.950577941966152,3.392855649239463,-0.01935483870967742,0.8927741234198122,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -75,7 +75,7 @@ Moving-Average,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.891444
 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.5017748959195862,0.9857132449331892,0.46385084507789925,0.7665371738183044,-1.8741387168037815,2.526677990525922,-0.3404233135230945,2.758241029305279e-09,139,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.8972300393378154,0.905663955821756,0.0656862672956634,0.6428948918829159,-27.54572570625701,0.5286612108990583,0.13398692810457516,0.020667200031528266,136,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0926164068376316,1.0119983326306254,0.5713765326829954,0.6489841223038203,26.299383411206133,0.5762084379282724,0.37142857142857144,7.477998927347418e-11,140,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,182.10773893149727,3.224759033166021,0.07152803162821994,3.0080746671397005,4.414333699418377,1765.590512944841,0.29052935206452646,1.7921294823372373e-09,194,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,181.1739062392254,3.20874387623004,0.07116122120961367,2.9926486432056505,3.8788755778828983,1761.0824229320124,0.2787734602167592,7.151934168364909e-09,195,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0234789580573493,0.981223967552433,0.20267540197053469,0.6344362738751932,49.37921755829025,0.594749234030022,0.4102564102564102,0.05725682817696707,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.0875686328022915,1.5113130029658803,0.013694684671326944,1.0259475715085344,0.0,3.1938439251829718,-0.01621047036938613,0.7248514480489768,213,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.9918747246231088,1.7580898361214292,0.013825662536288684,1.1867655360975984,0.0,3.672936481441398,-0.10537634408602152,0.4177776715741393,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -88,7 +88,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.907553
 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.7655677457950825,1.0513798956631837,0.46749250026515726,0.8685246031221482,0.0,2.6608704543301562,-0.3697841726618705,9.056358287895971e-11,140,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.5257595275603967,0.6783968025240044,0.04968687612655689,0.4852245456137986,0.0,0.38004844223522966,-0.11120652640618289,0.053878796658499574,137,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.918971559566048,1.332990629518431,0.6509919350093941,1.04700718291182,0.0,1.0989020122273105,0.5353596757852076,4.5731372169242245e-21,141,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,181.41127641670238,3.2975268644352225,0.08606307946053925,2.7596881455897977,0.0,1761.058742206888,0.2926071622664737,1.32221672384837e-09,195,1.0,2026-06-30T04:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,180.4857086798825,3.280702747779941,0.08562398211635282,2.7528299206819535,0.0,1756.5851975694613,0.2801117492586708,5.910399348827824e-09,196,1.0,2026-06-30T04:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.8654131840406496,1.6732133427269074,0.3759880599808413,1.451931952818942,0.0,0.8962259101819249,0.4102564102564102,0.05725682817696707,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.336994401217593,1.369755220053674,0.014086341211751853,1.0807232549657544,3.064994291773444,2.0818723983489034,-0.16075205640423032,0.0011583516212729406,185,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.282577534418037,1.295313737711657,0.010674569717621086,0.989769586334373,28.22757281538543,2.165692860705266,-0.11333333333333331,0.4448568614280395,25,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -101,7 +101,7 @@ Sundial,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.8814562785987
 Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.0630461559506057,0.7620902896007227,0.37385369039603655,0.5309431911283826,17.80461534628412,2.4594593887470606,-0.38192656821568893,4.426442662450618e-10,122,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4935316464495441,0.6450704870347259,0.04821520329257284,0.47379551436301814,7.588113899777261,0.4018592296435696,-0.07762427004700186,0.2106635657057584,119,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.255492244447649,1.0979824296912708,0.585980722157873,0.7404488604721113,22.39860385942794,0.5138348088490263,0.2100708103855232,0.0005401912643810933,124,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Sundial,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,206.75336221874724,3.3782031388745226,0.288620789899334,3.004819731313991,11.058316677687126,1885.4834196288962,0.2923076923076923,1.5266177540078867e-08,170,1.0,2026-07-02T03:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Sundial,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,205.54430988090624,3.358877795027785,0.2869335546400025,2.98751876209513,10.40885283746673,1879.9961833318237,0.2776057791537668,7.043932630893138e-08,171,1.0,2026-07-02T03:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.31166353208424874,0.5111701376597275,0.09318070827996433,0.3397871771134533,81.89086047181716,0.306401845448795,0.6969696969696969,0.0009744810873283095,12,1.0,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2897977163308854,0.9634070131740257,0.009453686521010893,0.8285803803384979,23.76185492880625,1.5247855829526096,0.30085999312005507,5.171577126565932e-09,171,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.765817913634766,1.1309547489096634,0.009888979337353616,0.9801839284965714,28.490130166116533,1.967159871775054,0.028571428571428574,0.881507823538253,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -114,7 +114,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.06693070269
 TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.5207593688768749,0.6059324744797115,0.33946578899065166,0.4981886145297968,11.250230807649105,0.7087378179560665,-0.3686662783925451,4.0035572769852415e-08,102,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4424570805013235,0.609237468913479,0.04596361064961649,0.5016786492264811,8.317577513717845,0.42162408715493516,-0.23287128712871294,0.0005592909204218427,101,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.1590832505019304,1.0543538263627152,0.5484316971287074,0.8565975060733048,29.473489067051894,0.49574421716368006,0.1182181610508281,0.07679867794610927,103,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,234.6759218944843,3.4317633001366286,0.02526583197084865,3.2461458522513196,23.985468151920404,2045.9370139515313,0.2771950271950272,8.241986100206802e-07,144,1.0,2026-07-02T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,233.05746726079462,3.4080966388788045,0.02509158663692351,3.2237592073674715,23.130395957769228,2038.9138327099781,0.2595785440613027,3.610183416926511e-06,145,1.0,2026-07-02T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.330527016667658,0.5220646204807641,0.09473347581504885,0.40977797737842825,78.66631528029852,0.3229533174905907,0.7435897435897434,0.00014526497165386054,13,1.0,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6024420656404206,1.071766136199834,0.009922092182442147,0.7756962587154468,29.91063601582313,1.7892061365665708,0.05070442680397625,0.24511763187869207,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.867204911520663,1.1762075955597422,0.009183553445265521,0.7970810087245487,36.72233479048648,2.026569696352826,-0.0881720430107527,0.4997789602585872,31,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@ TiRex,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.468994721394927
 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.9553859737915604,0.7349143048700336,0.32749906333795475,0.5072903190827633,23.278273669160622,2.176305088417372,-0.2878411910669975,9.66939736663388e-08,156,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.40039407274824257,0.5757323686572832,0.04262929269168316,0.4119597574001226,16.841760024091734,0.36109293968121936,-0.07408388520971303,0.1770547176696976,151,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0654063713403248,1.003459779166658,0.5436698809743161,0.6456859226787635,27.09054499858563,0.5183879353621482,0.38314551690347864,1.065644016280355e-12,157,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,169.49976097664765,2.7082755358535255,0.30137032657906176,2.8267136135772195,29.31940197313635,1733.6204387018186,0.2587412587412588,2.6328351483095198e-08,209,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,168.6926192734576,2.695387644955827,0.2999352513620787,2.8156990291043784,28.64233704133982,1729.5076007202176,0.24720893141945774,9.866817797217133e-08,210,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.28449572647514776,0.46295416442262743,0.0840872562984529,0.3356773200795831,82.75970061880996,0.36273456534043697,0.6703296703296704,0.00045112620881470087,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6415734687925971,1.0793235991283914,0.010593342108474227,0.8861496866583475,27.881784803619308,1.89999029967701,0.06512802019473493,0.13629766785971706,236,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9785579687021722,1.2185666465217302,0.009193383581546519,1.0035637754191074,31.749193213903137,2.2395890934282816,-0.040322580645161296,0.759913005591003,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -140,7 +140,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.473458750
 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.0055797219013838,0.7517175499760977,0.3192245281916464,0.5773783063411879,19.355009320160686,2.3567786455997046,-0.31043150397989105,9.896939322329878e-09,155,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4559332200357897,0.612331512201544,0.054318587455278095,0.46862019483793116,11.72485945910723,0.4242874966561998,-0.046004415011037525,0.4018934291528179,151,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,1.0493079870477915,0.9931192448077559,0.4696643698394044,0.7851297887529494,28.397745836898984,0.5385172988133257,0.37105045492142263,6.223096595701873e-12,156,1.0,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,168.1161601180669,2.7353048533479165,0.09432401683006533,2.535913942126491,26.99605548219755,1701.477037327907,0.257545086492455,3.050289978275047e-08,209,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,167.3156069906276,2.7222883154258923,0.09387490712064128,2.5238521131631857,26.331154668154625,1697.4412815989067,0.24602415128730915,1.1352908539827385e-07,210,1.0,2026-06-30T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.2628934288941335,0.4467675878121167,0.07882639118800008,0.348531478510896,84.26849086288598,0.34343778548255705,0.5604395604395604,0.004565983394728434,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.269724042997417,1.2932646570136275,0.009829127666112472,0.7493222343920141,-0.29848063666583374,2.8668257073572234,0.1915134015441592,0.00014113314543141658,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.265937562692351,1.540499852025,0.011156437972542885,0.9013833142116295,2.935846945828291,3.584032706887164,-0.009523809523809525,0.9762195060555436,21,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00
@@ -153,5 +153,5 @@ Toto-1.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.456804836314
 Toto-1.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.8393055244351615,1.1402356119049042,0.3920846653690491,0.4222532284837786,-31.208435602748082,3.1096309153263073,-0.42604298356510745,2.237398035686739e-11,113,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.4651649471910055,0.5977159029216539,0.039658822284072026,0.3819123581356033,13.941038759334198,0.6384989130895222,-0.16855036855036856,0.008734084692102254,111,1.0,2026-07-03T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T06:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,2.40765026996175,1.4459217262784392,0.5356533286608569,0.7185890600968053,3.792466917429815,2.248242343383199,0.1697151424287856,0.0069123572941991295,116,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T04:00:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,287.27851919313423,4.116434043046385,0.9475056473405364,2.7154795329794714,1.212663135454204,2486.664359837997,0.17701863354037267,0.0008594106129815505,161,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:25:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,285.5058650216886,4.093057655636774,0.9416622877799092,2.7026325666761255,0.5146447690027971,2479.032444622551,0.16601487615980373,0.0017148140368907746,162,1.0,2026-07-04T03:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.493430638855567,1.1822810283926517,0.2168787045319125,0.7022572165896811,34.8197182017094,0.749996768684687,0.1515151515151515,0.5452047007776174,12,1.0,2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:40.519948+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:18.818150+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -35,18 +35,18 @@ Hazards,TimesFM-2.5,0.7247978632328378,0.8249918557759415,9,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Sundial,1.0169587977425802,0.9183235752037384,10,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,TabPFN-TS,0.7939141618582515,0.9372016432334698,11,1,1,1.0
 Hazards,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.1811008163011596,2,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,ARIMA,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,3,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,ETS,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,4,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Moving-Average,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,5,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Chronos-2,1.0,1.1811023622047234,6,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.1811023622047234,7,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Sundial,1.0,1.1811023622047234,8,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.1811023622047234,9,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.1811023622047234,10,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,Toto-1.0,1.7839556631798548,1.3622767704574028,11,1,1,1.0
-Hydrology,TiRex,0.9568451217122376,1.4505235406670343,12,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Moving-Average,10363938492.063398,1.000000000000001e-12,1,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,TabPFN-TS,9490.21842744707,5.817413330078503e-05,2,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Chronos-2,1260099.8320276877,0.0017569012112087295,3,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,3355819.9566508257,0.0020698759290906673,4,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Chronos-Bolt,172121555.06250012,0.014433818393283468,5,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Moirai-2.0,56360351.75550558,0.015167914496527839,6,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Sundial,5412447947.287296,0.032747989230685885,7,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,ETS,165777006077.29163,0.2704056352225572,8,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,TiRex,3306750.716671129,0.3628820631239171,9,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Toto-1.0,108543418950.29202,0.44809729258219655,10,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
+Hydrology,ARIMA,10837674801930.557,5.106079303459772,12,1,1,1.0
 Ocean,Moving-Average,0.6885555599162482,0.7882638185220112,1,2,2,1.0
 Ocean,Sundial,1.0100384161323002,0.9753941694223817,2,2,2,1.0
 Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.6685946883150999,0.7997804319007484,3,2,2,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -11,18 +11,18 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 10min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0019529557526288,0.9863010922397192,10,1,1,1.0
 10min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
 10min,Chronos-2,1.4062990275163183,1.0749886941936895,12,1,1,1.0
-15min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
-15min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.1811008163011596,2,1,1,1.0
-15min,ARIMA,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,3,1,1,1.0
-15min,ETS,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,4,1,1,1.0
-15min,Moving-Average,1.000000000936299,1.18110235783726,5,1,1,1.0
-15min,Chronos-2,1.0,1.1811023622047234,6,1,1,1.0
-15min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.1811023622047234,7,1,1,1.0
-15min,Sundial,1.0,1.1811023622047234,8,1,1,1.0
-15min,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.1811023622047234,9,1,1,1.0
-15min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.1811023622047234,10,1,1,1.0
-15min,Toto-1.0,1.7839556631798548,1.3622767704574028,11,1,1,1.0
-15min,TiRex,0.9568451217122376,1.4505235406670343,12,1,1,1.0
+15min,Moving-Average,10363938492.063398,1.000000000000001e-12,1,1,1,1.0
+15min,TabPFN-TS,9490.21842744707,5.817413330078503e-05,2,1,1,1.0
+15min,Chronos-2,1260099.8320276877,0.0017569012112087295,3,1,1,1.0
+15min,TimesFM-2.5,3355819.9566508257,0.0020698759290906673,4,1,1,1.0
+15min,Chronos-Bolt,172121555.06250012,0.014433818393283468,5,1,1,1.0
+15min,Moirai-2.0,56360351.75550558,0.015167914496527839,6,1,1,1.0
+15min,Sundial,5412447947.287296,0.032747989230685885,7,1,1,1.0
+15min,ETS,165777006077.29163,0.2704056352225572,8,1,1,1.0
+15min,TiRex,3306750.716671129,0.3628820631239171,9,1,1,1.0
+15min,Toto-1.0,108543418950.29202,0.44809729258219655,10,1,1,1.0
+15min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
+15min,ARIMA,10837674801930.557,5.106079303459772,12,1,1,1.0
 1D,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 1D,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 1D,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -23,18 +23,18 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
 12,Toto-1.0,296910.5495133771,13406.731654855768,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
-24,TiRex,0.7863964815415329,0.9439695608862385,1,7,7,1.0
-24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,2,7,7,1.0
-24,Moirai-2.0,1.1867884414932584,1.022296617798916,3,7,7,1.0
-24,Toto-1.0,3.37212375775342,0.9086153682008863,4,7,7,1.0
-24,Chronos-2,1.0121992393929897,0.9430509286507205,5,7,7,1.0
-24,TabPFN-TS,0.7876590398010317,0.9589832700406598,6,7,7,1.0
-24,Sundial,1.3062275772015808,0.9867392589565129,7,7,7,1.0
-24,Chronos-Bolt,1.1351348942591646,0.9683758186291227,8,7,7,1.0
-24,TimesFM-2.5,0.9186256070061112,1.0326581173710205,9,7,7,1.0
-24,ARIMA,4.376692834011164,2.3074313100174684,10,7,7,1.0
-24,Moving-Average,2.880330512406768,1.803153320337502,11,7,7,1.0
-24,ETS,14.562789605162186,4.211560817547539,12,7,7,1.0
+24,TiRex,6.756496163289516,0.7744482076348079,1,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-2,7.5292623256725335,0.37204959265128773,2,7,7,1.0
+24,Toto-1.0,117.08635389952524,0.7751671490693114,3,7,7,1.0
+24,TabPFN-TS,2.9142082085464702,0.23251215265324596,4,7,7,1.0
+24,Moirai-2.0,15.193410236369886,0.5487600429428899,5,7,7,1.0
+24,Sundial,32.09989910427459,0.591233639652137,6,7,7,1.0
+24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,7,7,1.0
+24,Chronos-Bolt,17.044935754093814,0.5161448606395037,8,7,7,1.0
+24,TimesFM-2.5,7.859510485853854,0.41705491671244116,9,7,7,1.0
+24,Moving-Average,77.66611580503375,0.03399539961874934,10,7,7,1.0
+24,ARIMA,318.62496343381406,2.8441818163453627,11,7,7,1.0
+24,ETS,583.4904598160068,3.4117380320294015,12,7,7,1.0
 36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
 36,Moving-Average,1208318634.7525988,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 36,ARIMA,1083193423.3268,342.79755336616876,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,TiRex,2.0991582488730605,7.272594589450372,1,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moirai-2.0,3.2557943084109247,12.790585698948476,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-2,2.757971452657122,8.127813702723484,4,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ARIMA,10.006371577164353,5.965546569331156,5,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,5.4243836782106065,11.709954106357802,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,97.80852746293337,20.122322317037032,7,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moving-Average,7.77735013145603,3.2597797515273625,8,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TimesFM-2.5,2.3957050062333347,5.060254160244622,9,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TabPFN-TS,2.810376272659753,5.13691000772867,10,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ETS,20.117996726113848,12.208099157961373,11,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-Bolt,4.1807698383593035,17.633100330024003,12,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TiRex,6.68361336931921,6.537326910664295,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-2,8.125529774927212,4.925730521417474,2,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moirai-2.0,12.849484516226356,9.149579112879032,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,30.413961744514104,8.887467935868365,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,660.590101958102,18.47278958497858,5,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moving-Average,45.84126965856736,0.38419415640227084,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TimesFM-2.5,7.610581693659913,3.1056029369335123,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TabPFN-TS,5.68471627504831,2.3952528832709623,9,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ARIMA,100.68482496768418,6.676639601954813,10,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-Bolt,17.97968375082782,12.565565549049404,11,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ETS,146.7658665973881,10.899243902276273,12,13,13,1.0

results/arima/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ARIMA,0.33228586127163234,0.221044549
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ARIMA,0.18230749922286849,0.183752748404339,nan,nan,0.7388780687520423,nan,nan,0.42697482270371456,nan,nan,0.3354118428799675,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,ARIMA,2.7311828083012557,2.6264865820946706,nan,nan,0.1724078621252385,nan,nan,1.6526290594992137,nan,nan,1.40979110551692,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,ARIMA,0.6266602589381393,0.660893910468025,nan,nan,0.3980590192837615,nan,nan,0.7916187585815152,nan,nan,0.4602942888548813,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ARIMA,10000.000009362993,10000.00002093095,nan,nan,0.041666666710272804,nan,nan,100.00000004681496,nan,nan,99.99999963022142,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ARIMA,10.837674801930566,54.95601549313926,nan,nan,0.023276712521639504,nan,nan,3.2920623933836013,nan,nan,7.227533033157455,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,ARIMA,0.41946174479404164,0.3887520067886783,nan,nan,0.12900699451842257,nan,nan,0.6476586637991046,nan,nan,0.4079750467727446,Web,1,7

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.613334+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.942018+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:48.775574+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.777807+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.22763978935275495,0.22763
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.03526190188175566,0.03526190188175566,nan,nan,0.2142754133607554,nan,nan,0.1877815269981466,nan,nan,0.1128105078936095,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.16410673128769995,0.16410673128769995,nan,nan,0.03774184875099514,nan,nan,0.4051008902578467,nan,nan,0.20244880321228498,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.6326804740446184,0.6326804740446184,nan,nan,0.4433038595658039,nan,nan,0.7954121409964889,nan,nan,0.49632226407417623,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-2,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,100.0,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-2,1.2600998320276883e-06,1.2600998320276883e-06,nan,nan,2.683003743489584e-06,nan,nan,0.0011225416838708878,nan,nan,0.002486851610667671,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Chronos-2,0.5379146607901764,0.5379146607901764,nan,nan,0.17100514688638668,nan,nan,0.7334266567218404,nan,nan,0.48842848142456025,Web,1,7

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.473222+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.790570+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:48.855197+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.811450+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.3455539255669464,0.345
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.0315256687512563,0.0315256687512563,nan,nan,0.22687084756933662,nan,nan,0.17755469228172005,nan,nan,0.11324269104945375,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.1450432602667658,0.1450432602667658,nan,nan,0.035637463604013306,nan,nan,0.3808454545701784,nan,nan,0.20019480474159065,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.6491029389821512,0.6491029389821512,nan,nan,0.49437286959453,nan,nan,0.805669249122834,nan,nan,0.502569937738113,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-Bolt,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,100.0,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.00017212155506251373,0.00017212155506251373,nan,nan,2.742767333984375e-05,nan,nan,0.01311951047343283,nan,nan,0.020430724442796363,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.4719500001866968,0.4719500001866968,nan,nan,0.16251649824562261,nan,nan,0.6869861717579887,nan,nan,0.5467640302159011,Web,1,7

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.536576+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.861605+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:48.931036+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.833310+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/dataset_eval_intervals.json

@@ -10,5 +10,6 @@
     "open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m": 3600,
     "usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count": 3600,
+    "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060": 900,
     "wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews": 86400
 }

results/ets/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ETS,7.485363061070757,7.0695469094028
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ETS,2.5428888835315244,2.530076537593773,nan,nan,2.5997353215947006,nan,nan,1.5946438108654624,nan,nan,1.342557334959072,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,ETS,12.452798370269898,12.34115277861862,nan,nan,0.3773771852016556,nan,nan,3.528852273795249,nan,nan,3.208539109591422,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,ETS,0.6799966149411162,0.7128696062257945,nan,nan,0.4503123163113331,nan,nan,0.8246190726275473,nan,nan,0.4953801311597622,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ETS,10000.000009362993,10000.00002093095,nan,nan,0.041666666710272804,nan,nan,100.00000004681496,nan,nan,99.99999963022142,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,ETS,0.1657770060772914,0.15881468792388154,nan,nan,0.0012018028232113585,nan,nan,0.40715722525492704,nan,nan,0.38275270413421114,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,ETS,0.5074210195682924,0.45386653897851287,nan,nan,0.15015696096508702,nan,nan,0.7123349068860043,nan,nan,0.46371001820340635,Web,1,7

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.603213+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.928167+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:48.996024+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.864350+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.14372890600255536,0.1437
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.10564495280678117,0.10564495280678117,nan,nan,0.5133721685666653,nan,nan,0.3250306951762882,nan,nan,0.18316449274985008,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.0734721900284958,0.0734721900284958,nan,nan,0.02275719324431839,nan,nan,0.2710575400694395,nan,nan,0.17434889344453325,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.611491934598256,0.611491934598256,nan,nan,0.4355642370089461,nan,nan,0.7819794975562058,nan,nan,0.4905433373163214,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Moirai-2.0,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,99.99986911349826,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Moirai-2.0,5.636035175550549e-05,5.636035175550549e-05,nan,nan,1.9827948676215277e-05,nan,nan,0.00750735317908419,nan,nan,0.021469819905359143,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Moirai-2.0,0.48766161312112155,0.48766161312112155,nan,nan,0.162052999946506,nan,nan,0.6983277261580851,nan,nan,0.4355676130387057,Web,1,7

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.514654+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.858243+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.042964+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.896343+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moving-Average,1.493630847038398,1.70
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.041860988151372104,0.04105282324310995,nan,nan,0.2848457047844908,nan,nan,0.20459958003713521,nan,nan,0.13257482543254462,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.46389363365167996,0.46328472542874694,nan,nan,0.06932678004397415,nan,nan,0.6810973745740618,nan,nan,0.5319686690368313,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.6687017666206255,0.7008452839613178,nan,nan,0.43836901278883134,nan,nan,0.8177418704093765,nan,nan,0.49139037712891187,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Moving-Average,10000.000009362993,10000.00002093095,nan,nan,0.041666666710272804,nan,nan,100.00000004681496,nan,nan,99.99999963022142,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Moving-Average,0.010363938492063499,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.10180343064977476,nan,nan,0.0,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Moving-Average,0.5225479238151219,0.4638223057159223,nan,nan,0.15401827526707126,nan,nan,0.7228747635760443,nan,nan,0.46633423707628346,Web,1,7

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.593675+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.899722+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.063161+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.923491+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:35.563556+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:42.569509+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:42.210188+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:21.103959+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
-    "task_count": 1,
-    "issued_tasks": 0,
-    "issued_forecasts": 0,
-    "resolved_forecasts": 0,
+    "task_count": 4,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
     "pending_tasks": 13,
     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634259+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.790570+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.811450+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634266+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.808279+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.068385+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634268+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.813349+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.038548+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
             "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634269+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.817370+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.112696+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634270+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.858243+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.896343+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634271+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.861605+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.833310+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634272+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.866756+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.010198+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634273+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.877617+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.972654+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
             "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634274+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.899722+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.923491+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634275+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.928167+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.864350+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634276+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.942018+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.777807+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:56:38.634277+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.951692+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.943399+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 24,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
         "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-27T09:57:36.244057+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-2709905645eee7629c18.json

@@ -0,0 +1,101 @@
+{
+  "source_task_name": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260727t075000z",
+  "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+  "domain": "Hydrology",
+  "frequency": "15min",
+  "prediction_length": 24,
+  "context": [
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+    2350.0
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+    "2026-07-26T23:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T00:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T00:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T00:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T00:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T01:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T01:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T01:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T01:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T02:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T02:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T02:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T02:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T03:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T03:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T03:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T03:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T04:10:00",
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+    "2026-07-27T04:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T05:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T05:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T05:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T05:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T06:25:00",
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+    "2026-07-27T06:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:55:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-26 23:55",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-27 09:55",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:03.327310Z",
+  "task_id": "future-2709905645eee7629c18",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f.json

@@ -99,7 +99,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-27T03:36:21.463791Z",
   "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.128240+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T03:40:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.4220830567678604,1.4
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.012839820821143285,0.012839820821143285,nan,nan,0.12573229372802033,nan,nan,0.11331293315920864,nan,nan,0.08558102887643954,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.048492726544822805,0.048492726544822805,nan,nan,0.016264737771392934,nan,nan,0.22021064130696047,nan,nan,0.12620355450175305,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.8397338871484389,0.8397338871484389,nan,nan,0.4702298246415893,nan,nan,0.9163699510287528,nan,nan,0.6971631378099782,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Seasonal-Naive,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,84.66666666666674,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,1.4154760636522488,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.1956686926031785,1.1956686926031785,nan,nan,0.24653455434324129,nan,nan,1.0934663655564256,nan,nan,0.8509378537691182,Web,1,7

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.618325+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.951692+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.085103+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.943399+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Sundial,0.8427959919452709,0.72880537
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Sundial,0.0998453487697832,0.059222242613951814,nan,nan,0.40525379318442406,nan,nan,0.3159831463381919,nan,nan,0.16637762231625383,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Sundial,0.08005927082392682,0.08839528147546753,nan,nan,0.02753852375541584,nan,nan,0.2829474700786823,nan,nan,0.15517308543499334,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Sundial,0.85397476429818,0.8089495661511584,nan,nan,0.6288718576933934,nan,nan,0.9241075501791878,nan,nan,0.6402213452139157,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Sundial,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,100.0,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Sundial,0.005412447947287374,0.0011945969886959559,nan,nan,0.00010356055365668402,nan,nan,0.07356934108232432,nan,nan,0.04635399488877759,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Sundial,0.3632078483298184,0.3563015156678547,nan,nan,0.1391300563020866,nan,nan,0.602667278296921,nan,nan,0.44954022702632723,Web,1,7

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.579967+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.877617+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.113043+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:45.972654+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/all_results.csv

@@ -108,5 +108,5 @@ us_births/D/short,TabPFN-TS,112759.78666666668,112759.78666666668,215.285703125,
 us_births/M/short,TabPFN-TS,59338602.666666664,59338602.666666664,6332.360677083333,0.7153333155562595,0.019422224412361785,0.019690368324518204,4.7156280861706295,7703.155370798817,0.0239259480622513,0.01966826908953116,0.015286944232309424,Healthcare,1
 us_births/W/short,TabPFN-TS,1737954.0,1737954.0,983.3291015625,0.8942316441355983,0.013318025640078954,0.013351580926350184,6.532085345899004,1318.3148334142345,0.0178959945969944,0.01334859613394065,0.010610700543554966,Healthcare,1
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.6666766251994244,0.6666766251994244,nan,nan,0.5080896746125784,nan,nan,0.8165026792359131,nan,nan,0.6533824383573135,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TabPFN-TS,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,100.0,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TabPFN-TS,9.49021842744706e-09,9.49021842744706e-09,nan,nan,2.585517035590278e-07,nan,nan,9.741775211657812e-05,nan,nan,8.234409321097636e-05,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TabPFN-TS,1.0318417053002116,1.0318417053002116,nan,nan,0.21346065016808555,nan,nan,1.0157960943517215,nan,nan,0.8543722734226411,Web,1,7

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.553902+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.866756+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.161563+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.010198+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.21622905324208355,0.161
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.03785281024197016,0.017934866424511135,nan,nan,0.21483569476265685,nan,nan,0.19455798683675302,nan,nan,0.19205918049403484,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.06591225974664346,0.03575909793348882,nan,nan,0.01791180333102477,nan,nan,0.2567338305456518,nan,nan,0.19379445942016174,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.6086373270893934,0.641798892026256,nan,nan,0.34810479649554643,nan,nan,0.7801521179163673,nan,nan,0.5751539108404323,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,10000.0,10000.0,nan,nan,0.041666666666666664,nan,nan,100.0,nan,nan,100.0,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,3.3558199566508234e-06,1.597313095652873e-05,nan,nan,1.097785101996528e-05,nan,nan,0.0018318897228410949,nan,nan,0.002929859832357882,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.38719216672060525,0.341005570724447,nan,nan,0.12667853599052806,nan,nan,0.6222476731339421,nan,nan,0.5343002043100503,Web,1,7

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.491048+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.813349+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.213115+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.038548+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TiRex,0.1330410943866506,0.1330410943
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TiRex,0.054159833785722145,0.054159833785722145,nan,nan,0.3703851807315448,nan,nan,0.23272265421682123,nan,nan,0.16469205232297768,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TiRex,0.050978502304613114,0.050978502304613114,nan,nan,0.01897836106835057,nan,nan,0.2257841940982874,nan,nan,0.145504435828122,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TiRex,0.6307491869497449,0.6307491869497449,nan,nan,0.46094357720472107,nan,nan,0.7941971965134005,nan,nan,0.49562625162646984,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TiRex,9568.451217122376,9568.451217122376,nan,nan,0.04075175391303169,nan,nan,97.81846051294396,nan,nan,122.810993109809,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TiRex,3.3067507166711277e-06,3.3067507166711277e-06,nan,nan,4.531012641059028e-06,nan,nan,0.0018184473367879334,nan,nan,0.513650874280649,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TiRex,0.5500816371095917,0.5500816371095917,nan,nan,0.16152377391214015,nan,nan,0.7416748863953745,nan,nan,0.5062535723576331,Web,1,7

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.487692+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.808279+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.269283+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.068385+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -11,5 +11,5 @@ nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Toto-1.0,3.2061994614582545,0.2026127
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.3828962962540734,0.01469619627481291,nan,nan,0.17991828117972739,nan,nan,0.618786147432272,nan,nan,0.10713310781079002,Air Quality,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.06799423538503908,0.053116427317535554,nan,nan,0.020841131477064834,nan,nan,0.26075704282921885,nan,nan,0.14851172111139277,Weather,1,24
 usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Toto-1.0,2.6073259934411883,0.6788292400503413,nan,nan,0.4993245712545904,nan,nan,1.6147216458080904,nan,nan,0.5317841880215085,Hazards,1,24
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Toto-1.0,17839.556631798547,17975.586489168305,nan,nan,0.048356200324164496,nan,nan,133.56480311743266,nan,nan,115.3394332320602,Hydrology,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Toto-1.0,0.10854341895029192,0.08736899137123243,nan,nan,0.0008813985188802083,nan,nan,0.3294592826895183,nan,nan,0.6342709918374776,Hydrology,1,24
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Toto-1.0,1.4142901830281045,0.7431608109672617,nan,nan,0.20031694349088386,nan,nan,1.1892393295834547,nan,nan,0.5963496809202035,Web,1,7

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T09:45:16.493075+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-27T10:16:16.817370+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-8f0dd89c2daa53783fa6",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T08:34:30.317021+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:42:49.324286+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T00:05:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-ea5c4c3c3e711514748f",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-27T03:37:01.672222+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:07:46.112696+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 24,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]