Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:39.597916+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:19.692393+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,33 +13,33 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27170,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2686,
+  "num_model_releases": 27182,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2687,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
-      "num_model_releases": 192,
-      "num_unique_releases": 16,
+      "num_model_releases": 204,
+      "num_unique_releases": 17,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 24 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2562,
-      "num_unique_releases": 214,
+      "num_model_releases": 2574,
+      "num_unique_releases": 215,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26789,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2628,
+      "num_model_releases": 26801,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2629,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4782
+    "prequential-v1": 4794
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,8.512340325981382,1.1169180524795583,0.3331681036685062,0.7584891341372985,19.98022781003579,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,35.84896204825565,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,7.849377543788855,1.0701246512523868,0.2722533987906331,0.7891002564438317,21.9005037844282,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,33.205086631895504,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,7.828783608364252,1.0883918680770466,0.39971195385102853,0.9042109061412342,15.413815495966132,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,32.70898371510608,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,8.258518247461542,1.1877478362851888,0.8982808727099679,0.8722689986425731,9.787752302463414,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,34.497535955743366,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,8.401670741814286,1.1097562243426036,0.34972011617853144,0.9236690665746422,13.989433668993103,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,35.77084664923236,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,7.469995440181427,1.1385143423726674,0.6650672600064403,0.7823076123233369,4.905330129440893,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,31.06580311628964,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,8.432493322881909,1.091633168762654,0.43223003458512316,0.8621501797382342,7.874272791577716,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,36.475509506072065,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,8.61231843569269,1.2532057664921026,0.8912562999196895,1.0394109617581229,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,35.56627516958364,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,8.290674179557419,1.1664950201377202,1.0251502596517226,0.9850398669138531,-0.2692323704505521,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,35.747667885581166,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,9.210789133037654,1.53077329264352,1.0357529991736019,1.3682937718084056,-19.965048310190905,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,34.565504888241946,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,7.945213305915173,1.401145848045777,0.4150548213601574,0.8452705990664876,-30.289921896938655,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,31.387044827892854,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,8.01881668233872,1.4265440908046112,1.1484019687759257,1.1699877214959014,-25.53740577941169,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,31.066837848493517,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,8.525309977165183,1.1282350931115148,0.29513674702966425,0.7637226924913189,19.414960995217324,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125,35.84760747782312,0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,7.8373348962617095,1.05907070716818,0.24240772056192753,0.7833926706212283,23.299228738295188,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125,33.183393806608024,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,7.832633595447021,1.0922828220839416,0.3425811668852708,0.905170173987069,15.861033411639038,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125,32.71370506016034,0.0,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,8.233715918512932,1.1814512585332404,0.7237038995503015,0.8632372240687969,10.729872309242994,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375,34.42767997680173,-0.2222222222222223,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,8.413977537731123,1.1193529207351534,0.3075248321401445,0.9318643679454591,13.38515392596277,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375,35.76294713722991,0.0,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,7.428116342489638,1.11547919184541,0.5478926146905664,0.7711690548073514,8.151200783255485,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375,31.07708829574951,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,8.439783091247868,1.1006817312985093,0.38362357882692755,0.8683871108142096,6.909435899458188,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375,36.44285319695473,-0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,8.606631678737758,1.2561233237917264,0.7243202980679336,1.0453643022872092,0.0,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125,35.47361753830906,-0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,8.28755865074869,1.1721287682862458,0.8243321146776955,0.9929088643911415,-0.8974348455760206,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125,35.64976311665695,-0.11111111111111115,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,9.099674632521394,1.4805184783565422,0.8267214077447068,1.328025435745873,-14.930511444300468,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125,34.641592342468286,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,7.9142311862136365,1.3821616863132076,0.3493338823573497,0.8350722098142975,-27.41452095332594,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375,31.36975006364143,-0.2222222222222223,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,7.882803875460785,1.3662502274091115,0.9170590927685464,1.1211478305587073,-20.023420015847517,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125,31.178066512003955,-0.2222222222222223,0.0,7,17,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.128948009899961,0.8757674938165181,0.15964586924135238,0.6392197752866647,23.353098629397195,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,136.56939218289276,0.03899055006564814,0.23076923076923078,13,2580,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.298642451188151,0.8799338025170406,0.19553949408295182,0.6729519627258111,24.54329375311463,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,139.30181088771138,0.03276491671351088,0.23076923076923078,13,2567,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.177397642103758,0.8751031519889251,0.13738824277205328,0.7172967669158626,23.9497514684806,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,136.82666738770283,0.041166096503146656,0.23076923076923078,13,2561,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688650420477227,0.9243312067496312,0.24072719119085173,0.6706013304526169,22.139277567339846,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,156.29650594571675,0.068482845471383,0.15384615384615385,13,1868,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.384364516445928,0.9717996629805362,0.20000391943458096,0.8171568723160298,18.630434149763133,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,163.72257282751158,0.04665904905382123,0.15384615384615385,13,1760,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.953913395059104,0.9709493834741294,0.27361481880343863,0.7186337872876714,11.485362181274029,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,157.25034471723941,0.02768636167368686,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.33938225391288,1.0116591398776889,0.22216093446321353,0.7647576401264418,16.12326173459961,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,151.1916899381498,0.0043335108204911685,0.3076923076923077,13,2108,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.977649499536817,1.2325721540790748,0.36451581326755245,0.9609526825634712,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,141.84420822265054,0.03557864376157965,0.3076923076923077,13,2408,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.720021994399218,1.139517642352308,0.3399644995786557,0.9158791037502674,3.088510954230478,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.08850614701564,0.07758355023663971,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.647227202503956,1.1434520257662555,0.34701881384296746,0.9020265519996887,1.8169529340191635,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.09508502511665,0.05818857530152069,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.593290515482206,1.660154457041576,0.2808503204391648,0.7008172602331312,-19.17114864741645,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,213.57611640597372,-0.006631140464655582,0.15384615384615385,13,1882,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.410560680623878,1.3987648890030875,0.3153194740457652,1.1097323393816378,-3.568792356489207,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,146.95270556006517,0.07193697828084661,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.1290249870722,0.8758394933369894,0.15959153129293727,0.639249913377674,23.346810196175344,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125,136.56938809799132,0.03930732127623744,0.23076923076923078,13,2581,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.298575200943548,0.8798723270031061,0.19541374335557052,0.6729192921019567,24.552959177430644,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125,139.30178623276342,0.03252247289054468,0.23076923076923078,13,2568,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.177424983327477,0.8751428369971392,0.1373637942764365,0.7173176882070719,23.9481891920804,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125,136.82665710147813,0.041435845370050725,0.23076923076923078,13,2562,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688806373068754,0.9244493054251831,0.24054027577502987,0.6706497108310459,22.125314080077604,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375,156.29642946721344,0.06882646081003309,0.15384615384615385,13,1869,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.38431870577667,0.9718111490908469,0.19975214187286416,0.8171672113255917,18.627709114427983,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375,163.72243591010817,0.04676216646427828,0.15384615384615385,13,1761,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.95360050293675,0.9707909147168117,0.2732829077762151,0.7185450043432439,11.502603416153262,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375,157.25034580926115,0.027286467429183964,0.15384615384615385,13,1856,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.33944111430646,1.011720844990651,0.2219925983300484,0.7648003039096756,16.116802457378725,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375,151.19166188248252,0.004578082899621028,0.3076923076923077,13,2109,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.977571119784953,1.232567182367994,0.36409266030348325,0.9609535227823875,0.0,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125,141.84405676888122,0.0355923716996633,0.3076923076923077,13,2409,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.719957159226293,1.139519975249157,0.339546885675302,0.9158860010558032,3.0874353401272043,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125,142.08835379238823,0.0776252316534207,0.15384615384615385,13,2401,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.647000415055398,1.1433149106903833,0.34672836443469773,0.901922199949226,1.8332015758508953,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125,142.0950732917413,0.05780878037386871,0.15384615384615385,13,2401,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59296905746483,1.6600038547720446,0.28060341807556705,0.7007565535599264,-19.1545686248704,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375,213.57583126101557,-0.007048274839441087,0.15384615384615385,13,1883,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.410181579128906,1.3985538316988633,0.3149798604717151,1.1095709897340866,-3.5474014882697347,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125,146.95274200063085,0.0714990674856434,0.15384615384615385,13,2401,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,116.73110411871369,1.746685862186976,0.15562470340687856,1.5313226637143027,17.148920167653202,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,449.1627406139956,-0.14477718395130884,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,117.5444053203409,1.737588845517563,0.1530281099956268,1.8142015145993693,18.561001417985295,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,458.0616245659337,-0.19292073304228466,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.65146504282376,1.7323496601479842,0.13761572644357634,1.6050804166996653,17.265231573780373,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,449.20803555510435,-0.1864425736336173,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.74608110228257,1.7712437550263154,0.21392533638017058,1.5329482687368625,14.712236680820277,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,449.2935293103444,-0.12029991168302553,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.89528819353234,1.8330946696720691,0.18097375838090352,1.7038859987821156,9.062706024828447,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,449.3027712615754,-0.13240129720886826,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.74599074134153,1.7916803809129425,0.20533613257538336,1.579255449044174,5.791240690527588,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,449.4151914283937,-0.11060877052229477,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,116.89471524551647,1.7936092459276338,0.18976286672069792,1.5974481658614996,14.298431062222091,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,449.37001772624734,-0.20940684968480455,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.29196611742442,1.97739785093688,0.2679697260024721,1.6183215456145719,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.5931809265432,-0.1606504885302257,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,117.12126076172387,1.9433909102606008,0.27614312757212045,1.749516446141673,-3.1835587884661183,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.5100442759607,-0.08627315187718593,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,117.17947493046724,2.019190908366011,0.2674292028291988,1.7502256025120362,-7.801336259002557,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.43237865094306,0.014258154635278656,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.98487687581334,2.3771168797630238,0.17403026956450174,1.479109134852468,-26.018218310235863,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,576.5716163438283,-0.1245954410992992,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,118.34645622665846,2.287728689782388,0.3823215515557009,2.017407452776009,-13.25735767169986,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,450.69863024112675,0.025842051885318292,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.73224767917078,1.7477244167745873,0.15515585031263177,1.5318006602211278,17.054469253763504,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125,449.1627589595706,-0.13937533941902955,0.08333333333333333,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.54328202433281,1.7366352398792995,0.15202765560996173,1.8137361718192035,18.683683750293127,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125,458.0609267758813,-0.1973739609737735,0.0,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.65202878725444,1.7331252570363282,0.13699693217787934,1.605493100764712,17.233772874079772,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125,449.20803633339744,-0.18185759339646318,0.0,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.74788483774921,1.7725984775826564,0.2115183779267805,1.5335694551837182,14.566494691215452,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375,449.2925400025975,-0.1159784360572021,0.0,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.89483944068793,1.8333444930656781,0.17976668479480368,1.704127989163324,9.021916123947182,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375,449.3008400038059,-0.13074121815748482,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.74246706178924,1.7898921849220082,0.20258586048038948,1.5783127805994492,5.985420407564533,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375,449.41510019959065,-0.11616871782137249,0.0,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,116.89560604718518,1.7945185104997552,0.18877327531977123,1.5981283246970233,14.197651957693978,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375,449.3697279444619,-0.20553333189824324,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.29010775548151,1.9770518127612984,0.2641369561467918,1.618207042736044,0.0,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125,449.59046299568615,-0.15999172700189895,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.11970543608705,1.9432230308444371,0.2719616249979394,1.74954613096057,-3.211516497424515,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125,449.5071759553357,-0.0842441663699395,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.17321077297258,2.0158524219086735,0.26271545611770397,1.7476163984651494,-7.468946521465434,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125,449.43396075469974,0.006458418139889988,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.98168435651,2.3753527986488243,0.17219821252736453,1.4783927232734202,-25.81347462973797,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375,576.570807620842,-0.13094590223236904,0.0,12,215,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.3379852249271,2.283402671448926,0.37681180601961495,2.013991007837975,-12.863464609814377,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125,450.70057953688433,0.017304502478203664,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.128939220188276,0.8755445868718399,0.15959825586671142,0.6393545567360026,23.50504514278248,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,136.5693836588998,0.03534266047611402,0.23076923076923078,13,2631,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.29701317269477,0.8786716331659606,0.19531230635360758,0.6725627997314412,24.702476445706772,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,139.3001841634529,0.03533538878000419,0.23076923076923078,13,2617,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.178060340220899,0.8753832774096251,0.13737128013954242,0.7175402049935535,23.928302100275406,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,136.82777922953625,0.036612442082118245,0.23076923076923078,13,2612,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688650420477227,0.9243312067496312,0.24072719119085173,0.6706013304526169,22.139277567339846,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,156.29650594571675,0.068482845471383,0.15384615384615385,13,1868,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.384364516445928,0.9717996629805362,0.20000391943458096,0.8171568723160298,18.630434149763133,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,163.72257282751158,0.04665904905382123,0.15384615384615385,13,1760,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.953913395059104,0.9709493834741294,0.27361481880343863,0.7186337872876714,11.485362181274029,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,157.25034471723941,0.02768636167368686,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.33938225391288,1.0116591398776889,0.22216093446321353,0.7647576401264418,16.12326173459961,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,151.1916899381498,0.0043335108204911685,0.3076923076923077,13,2108,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.975680944666673,1.232453855857221,0.36463845567333114,0.9613089790559519,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,141.8417975251823,0.038839652327627996,0.3076923076923077,13,2466,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.723362446680614,1.1412628531989377,0.34034134898985424,0.917600554465018,2.9958615743023804,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.08966935020402,0.06546559647412363,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.659175382908693,1.1471874993753588,0.34754409718243484,0.9050206838189069,1.6881052170629982,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.10563426369225,0.041869988691156886,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.593290515482206,1.660154457041576,0.2808503204391648,0.7008172602331312,-19.17114864741645,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,213.57611640597372,-0.006631140464655582,0.15384615384615385,13,1882,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.45003079668435,1.407424302411365,0.3161836296719761,1.1166773213947987,-3.828054604474645,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,146.98123150224367,0.04928834290011574,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.129016197360517,0.8756165863923114,0.15954391791829628,0.6393846948270117,23.498756709560624,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125,136.56937957399836,0.03565943168670332,0.23076923076923078,13,2632,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.296945922450167,0.8786101576520264,0.19518655562622628,0.6725301291075867,24.712141870022794,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125,139.30015950850492,0.03509294495703799,0.23076923076923078,13,2618,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.178087681444616,0.8754229624178392,0.13734683164392567,0.7175611262847628,23.926739823875202,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125,136.82776894331153,0.03688219094902232,0.23076923076923078,13,2613,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688806373068754,0.9244493054251831,0.24054027577502987,0.6706497108310459,22.125314080077604,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375,156.29642946721344,0.06882646081003309,0.15384615384615385,13,1869,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.38431870577667,0.9718111490908469,0.19975214187286416,0.8171672113255917,18.627709114427983,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375,163.72243591010817,0.04676216646427828,0.15384615384615385,13,1761,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.95360050293675,0.9707909147168117,0.2732829077762151,0.7185450043432439,11.502603416153262,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375,157.25034580926115,0.027286467429183964,0.15384615384615385,13,1856,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.33944111430646,1.011720844990651,0.2219925983300484,0.7648003039096756,16.116802457378725,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375,151.19166188248252,0.004578082899621028,0.3076923076923077,13,2109,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.975602564914807,1.23244888414614,0.3642153027092619,0.9613098192748684,0.0,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125,141.84164607141298,0.03885338026571166,0.3076923076923077,13,2467,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.72329761150769,1.1412651860957868,0.33992373508650053,0.9176074517705538,2.9947859601991067,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125,142.08951699557662,0.06550727789090457,0.15384615384615385,13,2458,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.658948595460133,1.1470503842994864,0.3472536477741651,0.904916331768444,1.7043538588947298,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125,142.10562253031688,0.04149019376350491,0.15384615384615385,13,2458,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59296905746483,1.6600038547720446,0.28060341807556705,0.7007565535599264,-19.1545686248704,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375,213.57583126101557,-0.007048274839441087,0.15384615384615385,13,1883,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.449651695189377,1.4072132451071409,0.31584401609792606,1.1165159717472475,-3.8066637362551727,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125,146.98126794280935,0.04885043210491253,0.15384615384615385,13,2458,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
-12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693296111782446,11,2627,13,32.68125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6674136570387708,11,2618,13,32.68125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6092084684483837,11,2613,13,32.68125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578228382785836,11,1869,13,27.3375
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596472222791085,11,1758,13,29.3375
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234027730385148,11,1856,13,27.3375
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120579182874228,11,2107,13,29.3375
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862276635278201,11,2458,13,32.68125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38003056183823175,11,2458,13,32.68125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3746455947380723,11,2458,13,32.68125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37380591565111404,11,1883,13,27.3375
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660022311884804,11,2458,13,32.68125

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -807,6 +807,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.452023
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:39.893681+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.198838+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.702841+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.064277+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.08365325813714485,0.28922872979208836,0.08234321476566392,0.2413734010689487,85.73839745691282,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.422515+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.836862020515708,1.6842986731918148,0.11023676778217152,1.375034301026321,-99.1608419776957,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.923393+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.284992+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3320,6 +3321,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.458987
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:39.943245+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.203239+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.707900+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.113559+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7299168181718559,0.8543516946620144,0.24256511860047558,0.4718083257332585,19.762432613129842,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.429040+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.013097969187430713,0.1144463594328396,0.008520813908244024,0.14329562724135064,-4.570433136935019,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.931834+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.291688+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5651,6 +5653,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.465935
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:39.967306+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.209288+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.712725+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.133508+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2500253600823875,0.5000253594392864,0.12946754100437496,0.3964359736886557,62.66878964626594,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.434031+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.005908712526295077,0.07686815027236624,0.005115785628260085,0.11709639094167608,33.839461503283644,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.939517+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.296235+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7750,6 +7753,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.471702
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.002449+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.216429+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.719721+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.161708+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.03382832413988263,0.1839247784826249,0.04966510311290932,0.13505295275015758,93.97697803910148,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.439659+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,11.299809576069933,3.3615189388236284,0.23261593913537992,2.805535461643639,-99.78866193651993,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.946278+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.302625+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -9966,6 +9970,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.476784
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.030116+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.221308+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.723941+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.187934+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2510205884611894,1.118490316659554,0.3172158759915464,0.6380213354482588,-6.9023153412142335,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.706203+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.018492837154106212,0.13598837139294748,0.00893517595711364,0.14677075558626804,-21.480114520720317,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.954274+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.308404+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12075,6 +12080,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.482602
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.063133+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.228214+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.727970+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.226650+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0866296476534978,1.0424152951935701,0.32250135975908806,0.9356691818306275,0.13063428719503636,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.723064+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7647493486221936,0.8744994846323202,0.06565773771550999,0.7211576844876886,-96.92210804362327,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.961652+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.312626+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14534,6 +14540,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.489382
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.094237+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.233904+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.732294+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.268712+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0894723830299178,1.0437779376045069,0.3254990030310724,0.9435021049397007,0.0,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.739100+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011953030018585614,0.10932991364940162,0.007312649740910992,0.07690475410172054,0.0,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.969323+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.316893+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -16858,6 +16865,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.494828
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.138350+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.2864607237109844e-16,2.0703769520816697e-08,,2.017481512077372e-08,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.238634+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5514464816776098e-15,3.938840542187015e-08,,2.2559021927036503e-08,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.737151+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.658355097323643e-16,2.1583222876400185e-08,,2.1488729056244964e-08,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.296950+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6303455365915963,0.7939430310743941,0.20164099259077636,0.5322883490144747,26.69624738759339,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.754364+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.05201020829267019,0.22805746708378175,0.013455923137694776,0.1454965749165447,-62.62531311995126,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.976614+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.536372843255164e-16,2.1298762506904397e-08,,1.967027849738814e-08,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.321319+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.681768432788878e-16,2.163739455846955e-08,,2.087364200910581e-08,0.0,False
@@ -18839,6 +18847,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.500132
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.182253+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.247752+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.741406+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.332701+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8213606801785373,0.9062895123405861,0.24233915189692384,0.7412744881037225,14.031142124011485,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.771803+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.019078157389165486,0.13812370321261114,0.009397861522659938,0.11248153035262515,-22.961181848942488,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.983568+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.326476+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -20918,6 +20927,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.511415
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.267120+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.257409+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.749246+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.394762+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.04088648413395527,0.202204065572271,0.0637032874884219,0.17836055668912598,92.76575159948246,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.820858+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.006461776038348338,0.08038517300067431,0.0054656940116773875,0.141114801268009,29.81977634333861,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.995505+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.341021+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23535,6 +23545,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.505561
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.233511+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.252572+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.745165+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.364018+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.31630824211719416,0.562412875134624,0.15781363805703894,0.38340921288838214,54.998918542629205,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.807193+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11535178884947817,0.3396347874548162,0.03434438309199659,0.27010207936549,-81.22140210423065,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:16.989213+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.336436+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -25858,6 +25869,7 @@ future-088f9d2c37390578e7cb,2026-07-18T17:45:00+00:00,2026-07-19T03:10:42.517268
 future-0966d0694d1dce207062,2026-07-24T20:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T09:14:40.306494+00:00,2026-07-26T07:32:44.335995+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0025166769596522754,0.0501664923993324,,0.00027000183579149154,-100.0,False
 future-09b91fd421fe579f0a8f,2026-07-19T17:25:00+00:00,2026-07-20T09:13:56.268528+00:00,2026-07-20T08:58:57.998062+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3375239321172258,0.5809680990529736,,0.0002665769267069763,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-09f5a9921579e8d0abdd,2026-07-14T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-15T12:18:40.753529+00:00,2026-07-15T11:39:45.560940+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.548228210341557e-05,0.009245662880692524,,0.00028109883626173003,-99.99999999999999,False
+future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:51:37.432084+00:00,2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1922552346989179,0.43846919469777795,0.038427529676929355,0.18244261514970586,70.00060979577148,True
 future-0b89c566e28702b08191,2026-07-17T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.834819+00:00,2026-07-19T05:20:59.143714+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.02974511184333478,0.17246771246623172,0.012504831271170592,0.13514627362100484,-42.668764194975466,True
 future-0bfa9f6a146709aba2cf,2026-07-20T22:45:00+00:00,2026-07-21T09:55:17.003010+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.779437+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.306451961157983e-05,0.006562356254546063,,0.00026877912579897787,-100.0,False
 future-0c15576039036796d45b,2026-07-14T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-15T15:48:03.346042+00:00,2026-07-15T14:59:54.424712+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0589746146942922,1.0290649224875428,,0.00027763896448757604,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.620870939325611,0.3761802448539831,,0.15404909733272013,-31.62334002056886,73.53859141943093,0.042801669466867226,0.3376045338179273,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0372713909008047,1.338757409135639,0.08841225349586862,1.0471920629078773,-60.04842052552159,1.3229518329527603,-0.019704433497536943,0.8964941426465813,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2098797276852824,0.9701421965736446,1.2996166848240107,0.7595856836674688,5.0476421205324415,1.1843632558775448,0.07951374499240227,0.020480771285173893,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2069314908540048,0.9683597005873055,1.296421741333044,0.7582291070114519,5.258874464344955,1.184210721997817,0.07457641093292658,0.02952535717376509,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.642668390401371,1.4291009307200675,0.13270701076162955,1.0415510999232118,11.598549038427826,3.392521142542207,-0.1264049636081613,0.001329558197059011,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.224989505012516,0.8376872389949994,0.03753078258092905,0.6302451084156856,31.472996936085384,9.894620159763747,0.07644529383659818,0.2804556277713832,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.676857050690692,0.9482953842520914,0.45516115075163893,0.7414801600628518,3.093313252763524,3.8125426268499294,-0.29146968139773893,3.2361181388683506e-07,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.58118634312199
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.375318613772039,0.3247238577961899,,0.14246387732980104,-30.87456170044859,72.15431966257098,0.02019888477534326,0.643090573964258,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855405089606628e-34,0.0,1.0,544,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3050272072682975,0.4849039749140633,0.03248454496927092,0.32868574233935344,8.695873973865309,0.3637335838792971,-0.31034482758620685,0.018062900791912716,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3286348192869535,0.4790181944446496,0.4816520916270794,0.3146984573024241,50.418544569657946,0.42258392388579624,-0.04566416040100251,0.17258153623157835,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.329635522526068,0.4799541882107777,0.4810543741945129,0.3150902524855434,50.33679493777386,0.42253082016698157,-0.04154613466334165,0.21404591802754136,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7878878465279024,1.4852479970989572,0.14705923915976638,1.011446662698795,7.310432629870646,3.4682706268177075,-0.04823123382226057,0.20901726293026146,305,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.770662920708487,0.9383375365561323,0.04147426688621382,0.6664343471483456,32.51750738043405,9.969986449028195,0.026208503203261502,0.6962897689185866,102,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.021420096704319,0.7601464052316582,0.34268467491723437,0.5152385850105019,22.20062475012013,2.3428438544951105,-0.3470265106281347,8.456780624602227e-11,159,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.45393802545
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.189667401046115,0.46168789342436073,,0.18565695492873266,-23.991574258678753,86.57780925614438,0.01977062646221171,0.7064742972820754,192,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.022000409204833e-28,0.0,1.0,402,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34961672975930663,0.4845803469664631,0.032520078799656196,0.33712340507115973,9.025963259699289,0.562485284793877,-0.19999999999999996,0.16991295403230983,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3279387215792386,1.0459502283988897,1.0933371640616079,0.7022932172411729,6.858912342188647,1.0721363247607556,-0.0005761032377001959,0.9888711885297796,264,0.9962121212121212,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3238711239886847,1.043890134553759,1.0896861427621487,0.7011390389636161,7.083048395618678,1.0721505210435176,-0.005774728416237851,0.888594311104474,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.03953168262844,1.5710343092675203,0.141761317242231,1.076496996460011,-1.470514477674246,3.759265705643246,-0.05991001657589392,0.2009202188216379,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.768843963278756,0.8902673165851895,0.03498639781627768,0.6413761405723531,39.70093271789535,11.382484507106362,0.07441016333938293,0.40932488546762036,58,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.523819771491744,0.6185176791541969,0.3808061056536098,0.4137400558279903,12.795230785816507,0.581730871421917,-0.4636422136422136,4.269587867818866e-13,112,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.639249707892332,0.37189495800929706,,0.15063007906877995,-31.591145209711406,73.59364221433036,0.07805401572551467,0.08034520320890229,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.660516480548183,2.225192339732908,0.15960783427971914,1.7959679609048849,-79.30302139698192,3.8990647260009315,0.04926108374384236,0.7239201974279224,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9164463481743605,1.2320353512594178,1.472985591956702,0.9363153024890022,-12.250073538797745,1.7082829356389155,0.09783119215361238,0.00435433019694368,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9115180287397153,1.2292916063045047,1.4692498426421519,0.9342177570708378,-11.971992251944604,1.7087566629926263,0.09213835181597065,0.007168384324553285,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.881789957840418,1.9109640170752107,0.18518516691996545,1.5271174639958454,-5.23247461085654,12.036677544706185,-0.17752058226941891,6.56305097443338e-06,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 ETS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.972878454121812,0.853143992192325,0.04758814209444523,0.6729960300640387,6.483095468375056,9.382395081066424,0.14811275680840896,0.03651580906292498,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.846856252097679,1.0773483913908197,0.5160379131744395,0.8505321852031522,-0.250627635613973,27.20681351812713,-0.24295991778006165,2.0550353213759956e-05,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -56,7 +56,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.142811743762518,0.4593262671588456,,0.1832856545200033,-23.98408924586793,86.36080710926072,0.007412900831085768,0.8874825399952634,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.488248839001448e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,2.527492691450778e-29,0.0,1.0,403,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34076853139363533,0.5028654711604497,0.033287769041700964,0.34285408620963204,0.43057480191444525,0.537567756002475,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7117365269675556,0.7101050966007989,0.8620743131122589,0.47072198684077,38.29749292665518,0.8625407588622177,0.05117209834190967,0.21448361246753145,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7137639106573812,0.7116403793829745,0.8600182435382184,0.471350931760347,38.115967592246065,0.8615465383189976,0.055639097744360905,0.17628942102234724,266,0.9962406015037594,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8688820113851063,1.5111751889082585,0.13646046897449665,1.0171774950623418,3.351648045559635,3.682506707780746,-0.029914529914529916,0.5210370980061367,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.670225338703816,0.8791254469903079,0.03496247950075732,0.6108317841224591,37.06055843587799,11.37096795671203,0.09175920514319111,0.30456198913461274,59,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.47547175421648535,0.5911284984685183,0.34657001596175063,0.39862287201840146,15.510384264489803,0.5581746740873943,-0.35018963337547404,3.8282782387080044e-08,113,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -69,7 +69,7 @@ Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.67322091890452,0.39223387518659686,,0.16966087409562186,-32.365761593057144,73.6024740237047,0.06791197562181824,0.1281495215202002,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9273834742740605,0.9016982078707616,0.0646813713439241,0.6859666764987647,-41.28342324098874,0.6697749727682409,-0.05911330049261083,0.668894784416208,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4086011163971446,1.0308301294415168,2.072721228714386,0.9014171625388095,5.472133924051279,1.5739656513152704,0.15634756181793066,5.195438253615829e-06,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4077582591491242,1.0308604571005533,2.0681274757774957,0.9015068275107776,5.458150940708723,1.571985041159229,0.15688942023608307,4.681405812895527e-06,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.631290839671014,1.4332679737031624,0.1416579623183331,1.136058821099961,11.467976619468008,3.4999974058427137,-0.09375969454719008,0.017282926369031178,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.8914444303842557,1.068962110527693,0.06617696620566264,0.8956165091670224,16.219078657811732,9.585776068034434,0.03774486383182035,0.5941010151538975,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.4911726518655655,0.9796162863931354,0.4619319383127711,0.7616332272792946,-1.779155228455438,2.520696320441719,-0.3498458376156218,8.655173937908163e-10,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.880348677
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.951912451525394,0.4331363988298185,,0.16972086164854475,0.0,73.49994323608638,0.1393397917627335,0.004264466477995572,267,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,525,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39647700304925787,0.54863940015927,0.03875276121808834,0.39106434616248387,0.0,0.46887968125286356,-0.33004926108374383,0.011674730549296571,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4797251675632443,1.068532087076426,2.1035877580499567,0.9393186549550592,0.0,1.5983477358646545,0.17524838191037637,3.148068962528472e-07,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.478706230789006,1.0684674548323743,2.0989330754451956,0.939329577800972,0.0,1.5963788368636125,0.17542684510546389,2.954514362409001e-07,383,0.9973890339425587,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0722296870151973,1.5799632771322931,0.1496278236622612,1.2811680142484092,0.0,3.592425197906636,-0.08979736935655883,0.02237146474422088,291,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.907553326809399,1.1113168709918815,0.06395200154691993,0.8936284979553439,0.0,9.58160211148785,0.053763440860215055,0.4452669441695035,93,1.0,2026-07-03T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.7532017652395215,1.044974394336836,0.46526155408279957,0.8630157021995427,0.0,2.6554133117162233,-0.3775075987841945,3.105581970162213e-11,141,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -95,7 +95,7 @@ Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.70195155678437,0.41141541937570675,,0.16016075951127776,-30.78197782782841,79.2809644594178,0.02351949743354018,0.5962362167086195,229,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.67941094048611e-16,2.329695799931368e-08,,2.0237534873867625e-08,0.0,1.4222155495092245e-15,0.0,1.0,455,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30978891113489,0.4956772566894806,0.032907023608860275,0.3317689795201935,4.092702437208488,0.35559679062311217,-0.37321937321937326,0.005900024667731748,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3870166695327117,0.5388540940885383,0.7886290889375925,0.35591626912535035,53.314928814853026,0.38459316936346444,0.03390168909475702,0.3678910416373625,317,0.9968454258675079,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.387781854649249,0.5396562605570473,0.7867773914727759,0.35647089830739165,53.23095821098155,0.38422844568853265,0.03708112612344504,0.3239142659462769,318,0.9968553459119497,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2068171045462255,1.6532986732723154,0.1655272503431966,1.2290265733958226,-4.921866333476962,3.5435589077989937,-0.10013831258644537,0.02061141750810736,241,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Sundial,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.881456278598701,1.0224167870279186,0.04675885085597254,0.7204555593446484,14.578590822390296,10.258215961261458,0.11796042617960426,0.13985682980676,73,1.0,2026-07-05T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.054992186384303,0.7580821340697509,0.37340606759500905,0.5277248689224906,17.225297718466496,2.450987061549282,-0.3882447021191523,1.9142930214824517e-10,123,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.68970872926402
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.437730975843825,0.4760643563969984,,0.18923429185741186,-24.29019809444643,87.7344383288711,0.013074853362204385,0.8068163852121859,187,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,388,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3627555185114735,0.5107314929902669,0.03355682757102783,0.40559998873585773,3.718126622914688,0.4992065903079575,-0.23692307692307696,0.09409290644202206,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9684587391656666,0.8694076121333468,0.9236492339025404,0.7080759284007276,22.745805125806623,0.8988324401892442,-0.01921353907416625,0.6535512025390484,246,0.9959349593495935,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9678632004653139,0.8695569315673842,0.9208796807236558,0.7082103355250312,22.710379666449732,0.8970525139453738,-0.01787301273822455,0.6756701072586739,247,0.9959514170040485,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9011134846321696,1.5120083014532495,0.13555876677473053,1.2778606486823414,3.1923669104628583,3.778619118493681,-0.03663758921490881,0.4468997368955213,195,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.0669307026933486,0.9634836711907595,0.03523961683690969,0.736313878115392,32.539994057587926,11.885777737268304,0.1264849755415793,0.1769092815963943,54,1.0,2026-07-06T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.5157516384542906,0.6007336108772311,0.33706225175290916,0.493891344563285,11.758926767559108,0.7070839145137922,-0.3809251856082239,1.1844447764328179e-08,103,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -121,7 +121,7 @@ TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.393729960876424,0.3211528160690418,,0.14250399060849883,-30.873940124802896,72.28865139903493,-0.014122260454274718,0.7465096203015975,276,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,543,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30586831742315235,0.47141716039930026,0.031164447064971287,0.32074666933005247,14.706159785040878,0.396419029203761,-0.2807881773399014,0.03315447182691332,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3914620092544251,0.5226759197116431,0.6170064879662301,0.3486725188424674,45.64680805889104,0.501022473143983,-0.028070175438596495,0.40178591060122304,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3905877560745735,0.5218767380304975,0.6156232299650357,0.3482478007323594,45.77245857499929,0.5007019588202541,-0.031221945137157113,0.3504317430000361,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.895640253536301,1.508523968610139,0.15034840281052772,1.0296021159005146,5.895901483706021,3.5968041503855366,-0.14234844537085287,0.00021426313539021729,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 TiRex,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.468994721394927,0.8596170375096616,0.037194240537534014,0.6036450284928152,41.50715153356337,9.60643761665164,0.0716831683168317,0.28815304090301486,101,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.9493183057139502,0.7305680707486996,0.3259131651348741,0.5045782357558168,23.6695016972218,2.170650391332058,-0.29691327780499754,3.411248991710397e-08,157,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -134,7 +134,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.923580799564
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.393668907289848,0.3219790848136467,,0.1324358036860682,-28.584215908604353,72.28746427022483,0.09912247282550674,0.024910249850401387,276,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,543,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3226648021472211,0.5095483963504411,0.038763270367779684,0.36433482943848794,2.8079116098780363,0.3359394049576855,-0.3546798029556649,0.006518643400864223,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17448931469062262,0.35656673752797174,0.26484915186726404,0.2748904753855771,62.61501599360679,0.2045072475628232,-0.011151475260433147,0.7397038857137405,398,0.9974874371859297,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.1748447505989599,0.3570826426347553,0.2645802184154796,0.2751624521712984,62.59470640040418,0.20437352664173922,-0.007644739990680219,0.8196036509621707,399,0.9974937343358395,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6979168803211935,1.4701912573594818,0.13257353065894328,1.2309706076189924,7.170898002036358,3.2637140341094106,-0.09727288518325516,0.011424178344997619,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.473458750158442,0.883920069404717,0.039945153768864705,0.7179661355505145,37.40913646012532,9.426150906207923,0.060606060606060615,0.3716242470071768,100,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.9991738454172477,0.7474061493814469,0.31779536069647274,0.5743196281090878,19.61594355012348,2.3505259430960734,-0.31927212572373864,3.3157283895297562e-09,156,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -147,7 +147,7 @@ Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.716159951404812,1.492511987926003,,0.18687326258115022,-87.90903952274735,86.67537021048814,0.0034542314335060447,0.9431316744109529,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5371757198782094,0.30797253366658917,,0.00027575839200323453,-100.0,3.504840146413804,-0.018824104632685495,0.5715323755715467,405,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6842781864590141,0.6536203898554627,0.031095016624194248,0.31729018203317877,-12.202435017151721,1.3289735382530592,-0.20666666666666664,0.1556965251316672,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3122149672366819,0.9631675017453174,0.7635797715635193,0.39394466459514893,16.331076814203552,2.481563307623274,0.01878291233702233,0.6474024140869519,267,0.9962546816479401,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3080360130107949,0.9612096722414085,0.760863845563944,0.3931554778434868,16.54661710730222,2.477856423167654,0.013360165464810779,0.7444670098080898,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.893550851653345,5.115976641537143,0.13016770391072469,1.02535087139364,-65.06094840341238,181.27678755574658,-0.08206880838459785,0.07686337263333232,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.45680483631431,1.7566451020306872,0.03543346962187676,0.6053896244254073,-21.810618327960736,31.64405952117616,0.15141242937853108,0.0873982232047124,60,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.8244936372319593,1.1336393860700649,0.3894818079764779,0.4191680516131009,-31.633505933662313,3.099877679411469,-0.4342493401645708,7.410658045370871e-12,114,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:37.524975+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:17.366165+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -47,18 +47,18 @@ Hydrology,TimesFM-2.5,0.9803612181482216,1.233648004890988,9,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,Toto-1.0,1.1451138792621596,1.306230026308965,10,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,Chronos-2,2.457496578202893,1.3091303454283423,11,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,ARIMA,1.5227614333785564,3.981677710914025,12,1,1,1.0
-Ocean,Sundial,0.5749554484519669,0.6168000987906006,1,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moving-Average,0.5706978288447551,0.7670598909081885,2,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TiRex,0.7805865358856795,0.8314218866847364,3,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.9787496545351675,1.0055683084719202,4,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Toto-1.0,3.033669704323067,0.9979391518209572,6,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,ARIMA,2.4189872262162555,1.5085612387528844,7,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,ETS,2.615754430520604,1.6154932608268944,8,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TabPFN-TS,0.9837005584029113,1.1030870452052977,9,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moirai-2.0,1.4823534858411582,1.0809003241283746,10,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-2,1.744902315473,1.154839942158624,11,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,2.353762017878484,1.5843109715239116,12,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ETS,0.16194413594074056,0.35188872315322434,1,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ARIMA,0.2768250461210601,0.47402243071596434,2,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Toto-1.0,0.6148470990252313,0.4309787108206567,3,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.5191871013101739,0.6096842818177143,4,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Sundial,0.7405382807046288,0.693015568502858,5,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TiRex,0.2116669319250284,0.4623016665785226,6,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moving-Average,0.844860103938594,0.8932698408775676,7,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,0.5844577558971957,0.7743175755224928,8,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-2,0.840985372461271,0.7547770791012901,9,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moirai-2.0,1.0479438500475715,0.843986196653969,10,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TabPFN-TS,1.1479041325249393,1.089812654581023,12,2,2,1.0
 Transportation,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -71,15 +71,15 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459942197556757,461166.5554836744,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,374952.8836038598,11,2,2,1.0
 5min,Toto-1.0,9374239806.03884,281096073.06908655,12,2,2,1.0
-6min,Sundial,0.3487673463245832,0.44689652107170585,1,1,1,1.0
-6min,TiRex,0.5103870226749679,0.6114316749197464,2,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moving-Average,0.4551013883720313,0.7312614141590786,3,1,1,1.0
-6min,TabPFN-TS,0.5536461445307892,0.8049187713516509,4,1,1,1.0
-6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5,1,1,1.0
-6min,Toto-1.0,4.2960000740823485,1.0367639865716796,6,1,1,1.0
-6min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0317862540309095,1.1054340272135657,7,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moirai-2.0,2.2976070893813665,1.1091567713023864,8,1,1,1.0
-6min,Chronos-2,2.8841809131258267,1.1706549700842446,9,1,1,1.0
-6min,Chronos-Bolt,3.722088405591699,1.7590282274807272,10,1,1,1.0
-6min,ARIMA,5.863042238156887,2.5910431164173358,11,1,1,1.0
-6min,ETS,8.100796890805249,3.0168992914862858,12,1,1,1.0
+6min,ETS,0.031050189676036656,0.14314006512872457,1,1,1,1.0
+6min,TiRex,0.03752870175584104,0.1890409737883149,2,1,1,1.0
+6min,Toto-1.0,0.1764663682104904,0.19336747018849068,3,1,1,1.0
+6min,ARIMA,0.07678327550120892,0.25582709334217635,4,1,1,1.0
+6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.2903315834748498,0.40636815846095625,5,1,1,1.0
+6min,Chronos-Bolt,0.2294921504912728,0.4201749753531201,6,1,1,1.0
+6min,Chronos-2,0.669972758870577,0.5000607028464571,7,1,1,1.0
+6min,Sundial,0.5785787197639195,0.5641623333193234,8,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moirai-2.0,1.1482811386021479,0.6762267218142929,9,1,1,1.0
+6min,TabPFN-TS,0.753906838734417,0.7856627814848356,10,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moving-Average,0.9973907228666833,0.9916980332443733,11,1,1,1.0
+6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -47,18 +47,18 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 36,Moving-Average,1.0,254380.30798153122,10,1,1,1.0
 36,Moirai-2.0,1.0,342858.54030437075,11,1,1,1.0
 36,Toto-1.0,895843359303.9364,283809651.9856004,12,1,1,1.0
-60,Sundial,0.3487673463245832,0.44689652107170585,1,1,1,1.0
-60,TiRex,0.5103870226749679,0.6114316749197464,2,1,1,1.0
-60,Moving-Average,0.4551013883720313,0.7312614141590786,3,1,1,1.0
-60,TabPFN-TS,0.5536461445307892,0.8049187713516509,4,1,1,1.0
-60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,5,1,1,1.0
-60,Toto-1.0,4.2960000740823485,1.0367639865716796,6,1,1,1.0
-60,TimesFM-2.5,1.0317862540309095,1.1054340272135657,7,1,1,1.0
-60,Moirai-2.0,2.2976070893813665,1.1091567713023864,8,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-2,2.8841809131258267,1.1706549700842446,9,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-Bolt,3.722088405591699,1.7590282274807272,10,1,1,1.0
-60,ARIMA,5.863042238156887,2.5910431164173358,11,1,1,1.0
-60,ETS,8.100796890805249,3.0168992914862858,12,1,1,1.0
+60,ETS,0.031050189676036656,0.14314006512872457,1,1,1,1.0
+60,TiRex,0.03752870175584104,0.1890409737883149,2,1,1,1.0
+60,Toto-1.0,0.1764663682104904,0.19336747018849068,3,1,1,1.0
+60,ARIMA,0.07678327550120892,0.25582709334217635,4,1,1,1.0
+60,TimesFM-2.5,0.2903315834748498,0.40636815846095625,5,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-Bolt,0.2294921504912728,0.4201749753531201,6,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-2,0.669972758870577,0.5000607028464571,7,1,1,1.0
+60,Sundial,0.5785787197639195,0.5641623333193234,8,1,1,1.0
+60,Moirai-2.0,1.1482811386021479,0.6762267218142929,9,1,1,1.0
+60,TabPFN-TS,0.753906838734417,0.7856627814848356,10,1,1,1.0
+60,Moving-Average,0.9973907228666833,0.9916980332443733,11,1,1,1.0
+60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
 72,Moving-Average,0.715655939906452,0.8046108612426879,1,1,1,1.0
 72,Sundial,0.9478346272616678,0.8512985533110731,2,1,1,1.0
 72,ETS,0.8446294028868107,0.8650664883451831,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,Sundial,0.6725063238810834,3.631574538705257,1,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TiRex,0.5489961205384355,2.5528465461310423,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-2,0.6821043032319836,2.644216333250759,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.6241248273685508,5.80404755170115,4,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.728344070575227,0.8530417276634154,5,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moving-Average,1.0350013226930381,6.909993167287181,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.7632998939653152,6.38374324229728,7,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.6320563340097379,0.8575924408042747,8,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,49.94821155166578,16.07791305263868,10,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ARIMA,1.424844430804671,8.535160147766407,11,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ETS,2.0441752692417037,9.804716830226365,12,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TiRex,0.44913219986786024,2.332437103999478,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.699207557896281,3.697254582261175,2,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-2,0.6096551175842112,2.4767440197759525,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.6160512301013396,5.717963292729993,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.5916980123359726,5.587276268330088,5,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.5733167087309148,0.7940524003553794,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ARIMA,1.0207804467348336,7.142715606855938,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,39.07271676498374,14.129602553610553,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TabPFN-TS,0.745848895203579,0.8514543376239411,9,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moving-Average,1.0993930681450523,7.073837249696506,10,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ETS,1.332405213081295,7.755402042191785,11,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,13,13,1.0

results/arima/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,A
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,nan,nan,2.543803079815313e-07,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ARIMA,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ARIMA,2.8566544089870263,2.89473193101524,nan,nan,0.09884040348193625,nan,nan,1.6901640183683435,nan,nan,1.3222000525599702,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.8104779381236882,0.8008339331275771,nan,nan,0.38991744977631015,nan,nan,0.9002654820238796,nan,nan,0.7498835649196879,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.08365325813714485,0.0879354011989482,nan,nan,0.08234321476566392,nan,nan,0.28922872979208836,nan,nan,0.2413734010689487,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ARIMA,1.1903152426799333,1.2324437899100398,nan,nan,0.08811584471045064,nan,nan,1.0910156931409984,nan,nan,0.7549739121557754,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ARIMA,0.33228586127163234,0.22104454915678584,0.36362891565490346,0.26312846157942765,0.022250183536134175,0.02191393413024315,2.960766211760618,0.5764424180016876,0.03447450399419848,0.021747057665548703,0.019463503681897795,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ARIMA,0.023975762112696596,0.024774368500219062,nan,nan,0.25101952998068583,nan,nan,0.15484108664271443,nan,nan,0.09684881581675826,Air Quality,1,24

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.834180+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.238916+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.434361+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.064277+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/all_results.csv

@@ -1,3 +1,15 @@
-dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,253427.98031171164,253427.98031171164,430.1599934895833,0.9318014749305178,0.007149086996462027,0.007183290602900378,3.2641156533937963,503.4163091435474,0.008389478022961463,0.007168654940634957,0.006453564120717358,Finance,1
-coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-2,151474.27375920615,151474.27375920615,331.1985677083333,0.6128762551879093,0.00555338622541073,0.005536958612993723,3.7665332417731356,389.19696011043834,0.006507699932794779,0.005537918117874429,0.004363665891866698,Finance,1
+dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,2.2351909543412476,2.2351909543412476,nan,nan,0.006872015993651753,nan,nan,1.4950555020939014,nan,nan,0.7476989071223547,Finance,1,24
+coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.46766119047554405,0.46766119047554405,nan,nan,0.007905167973149461,nan,nan,0.6838575805498862,nan,nan,0.46522569178545187,Finance,1,24
+data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Chronos-2,25067.461899718543,25067.461899718543,121.96686029434204,1.2859549577545721,0.6608019070822674,0.9393767274480805,18.969076544647905,158.32707254199624,0.9747204171363386,0.7508734105557137,0.605299940786381,Finance,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.6284716271939715e-18,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.2761158361191085e-09,nan,nan,1.8284365387902989e-09,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.7296862743653321e-18,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.3151753777977035e-09,nan,nan,2.356162747109682e-09,Transportation,1,12
+nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.05755404396488803,0.05755404396488803,nan,nan,0.013492256137008982,nan,nan,0.23990423915572653,nan,nan,0.1779255586270698,Weather,1,24
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.7299168181718559,0.7299168181718559,nan,nan,0.24256511860047558,nan,nan,0.8543516946620144,nan,nan,0.4718083257332585,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-2,1.2590344320617552,1.2590344320617552,nan,nan,0.09515380096257456,nan,nan,1.1220670354581117,nan,nan,0.979254046679312,Ocean,1,72
+nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.22763978935275495,0.22763978935275495,0.4551292260487874,0.3293397414624391,0.02734639793034648,0.02740698654518156,1.2449814398684094,0.4771161172636646,0.02853423165374086,0.027219291695583462,0.02293888289302154,Weather,1,24
+open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.004568087077043557,0.004568087077043557,nan,nan,0.1019209742528152,nan,nan,0.0675876251768292,nan,nan,0.07371692886298616,Air Quality,1,24
+open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.03022152236565098,0.03022152236565098,nan,nan,0.01838861164214259,nan,nan,0.1738433845898399,nan,nan,0.17612253472655737,Weather,1,24
+usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.8102304159422345,0.8102304159422345,nan,nan,0.6696798883371339,nan,nan,0.9001279997546097,nan,nan,0.5943882512463644,Hazards,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Chronos-2,2.5415135552354715,2.5415135552354715,nan,nan,0.012275848995344263,nan,nan,1.594212518842915,nan,nan,0.9427722003004525,Hydrology,1,24
+wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Chronos-2,0.5379146607901764,0.5379146607901764,nan,nan,0.17100514688638668,nan,nan,0.7334266567218404,nan,nan,0.48842848142456025,Web,1,7

results/chronos_2/config.json

@@ -3,9 +3,12 @@
     "model_type": "zero-shot",
     "model_dtype": "float32",
     "model_link": "https://tsfm.ai/models/amazon/chronos-2",
-    "code_link": "https://github.com/zhouziyu02/TSFM_Bench/blob/main/scripts/run_online_eval.py",
+    "code_link": "https://github.com/zhouziyu02/TS-Live/blob/main/scripts/run_online_eval.py",
     "org": "Amazon / TSFM.ai",
     "testdata_leakage": "No",
     "replication_code_available": "Yes",
-    "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2"
+    "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
+    "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+    "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
 }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -1,19 +1,19 @@
 {
     "model": "Chronos-2",
     "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-06-30T10:59:48.162083+00:00",
-    "datasets": [
+    "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+    "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.108297+00:00",
+    "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260628t230000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T10:58:37.207440Z",
-            "context_length": 48,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_coingecko_bitcoin_7d_coin_bitcoin_price_usd_20260629t100204z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T10:58:37.207440Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.113559+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]
 }

results/chronos_bolt/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,C
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,3.2825236033380433e-15,3.2825236033380433e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,5.729331202974779e-08,nan,nan,6.615357107869962e-08,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0941039077622847e-12,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.0459942197556757e-06,nan,nan,3.2148618499168906e-06,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.060131400306474146,0.060131400306474146,nan,nan,0.015226941585482342,nan,nan,0.24521704734066543,nan,nan,0.1646158168530065,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.5145230776004729,0.5145230776004729,nan,nan,0.31943982244915026,nan,nan,0.7173026401739178,nan,nan,0.5090869965303763,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.2500253600823875,0.2500253600823875,nan,nan,0.12946754100437496,nan,nan,0.5000253594392864,nan,nan,0.3964359736886557,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.7752367698739588,1.7752367698739588,nan,nan,0.10809368162680827,nan,nan,1.3323801146346934,nan,nan,1.2265598554005743,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.3455539255669464,0.3455539255669464,0.35915493965148926,0.2598910116071078,0.022263105377559073,0.021625170449781378,1.7395006304410234,0.5878383498606963,0.035156044918533885,0.021479488696328264,0.02138024583258913,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.02624241179707966,0.02624241179707966,nan,nan,0.22084257001627458,nan,nan,0.16199509806497128,nan,nan,0.11193019022038148,Air Quality,1,24

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.782446+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.171483+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.521904+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.133508+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/dataset_properties.csv

@@ -1,9 +1,14 @@
 dataset,domain,frequency,num_variates
 binance_btcusdt_1h_close,Finance,1h,1
-coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd,Finance,1h,1
+data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd,Finance,M,1
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total,Climate,5min,1
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count,Transportation,5min,1
+nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_t2m,Weather,1h,1
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level,Ocean,6min,1
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height,Ocean,10min,1
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature,Weather,1h,1
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5,Air Quality,1h,1
 open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m,Weather,1h,1
+usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count,Hazards,1h,1
 usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060,Hydrology,15min,1
 wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews,Web,1D,1

results/ets/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,E
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,nan,nan,2.543803079815313e-07,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ETS,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ETS,6.967350636262137,7.118593467839205,nan,nan,0.1694092319683307,nan,nan,2.6395739497619948,nan,nan,2.155579193216335,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,1.1198140648706234,1.1307116773411454,nan,nan,0.46222989610505666,nan,nan,1.0582126746881382,nan,nan,0.8731322073989862,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.03382832413988263,0.03303680639593998,nan,nan,0.04966510311290932,nan,nan,0.1839247784826249,nan,nan,0.13505295275015758,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ETS,1.0073585195073993,1.0149794666405991,nan,nan,0.09071897656766953,nan,nan,1.00367251606657,nan,nan,0.7435842526628229,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ETS,7.485363061070757,7.069546909402846,2.3835086205114373,1.7247499565509898,0.14388404150048517,0.1583681265446001,69.43260805973387,2.7359391552208825,0.1636245744397495,0.1425472430409996,0.1432604803385527,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ETS,0.0746625808527996,0.07381970536044431,nan,nan,0.46006090604102673,nan,nan,0.27324454404946424,nan,nan,0.18347574961588958,Air Quality,1,24

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.829197+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.235604+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.550922+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.161708+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,M
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,7.853649481634599e-14,7.853649481634599e-14,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.8024363474724275e-07,nan,nan,3.428585403043706e-07,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,1.2167879962794955e-13,1.2167879962794955e-13,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,3.488248839001449e-07,nan,nan,4.100515180343539e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.09574995506572065,0.09574995506572065,nan,nan,0.017967983965798535,nan,nan,0.30943489632832405,nan,nan,0.22571242347560772,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.31760983134338966,0.31760983134338966,nan,nan,0.25041462947181964,nan,nan,0.5635688346097482,nan,nan,0.32100524628439947,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,1.2510205884611894,1.2510205884611894,nan,nan,0.3172158759915464,nan,nan,1.118490316659554,nan,nan,0.6380213354482588,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moirai-2.0,1.140632293812692,1.140632293812692,nan,nan,0.08753899979777531,nan,nan,1.0680038828640521,nan,nan,0.9054387037837347,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.14372890600255536,0.14372890600255536,0.31227461496988934,0.22596756058122644,0.019022853516839414,0.018851775659897613,1.4879776077653897,0.3791159532419539,0.02267326975973139,0.018675781179300244,0.020424282056145146,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.006875451035150713,0.006875451035150713,nan,nan,0.13224156932716488,nan,nan,0.0829183395585724,nan,nan,0.08971395358858661,Air Quality,1,24

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.771394+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.160348+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.577605+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.187934+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,M
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,nan,nan,2.543803079815313e-07,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moving-Average,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.9459504101209099,0.9616574584193138,nan,nan,0.06473533206551767,nan,nan,0.9725998201320571,nan,nan,0.7620807943572839,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.062910963268268,0.06245573372504865,nan,nan,0.10789232060172704,nan,nan,0.2508205798340081,nan,nan,0.2116371250880792,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,1.0866296476534978,1.0758783902500517,nan,nan,0.32250135975908806,nan,nan,1.0424152951935701,nan,nan,0.9356691818306275,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moving-Average,0.8535365991721829,0.8598401837207135,nan,nan,0.08550030851655524,nan,nan,0.9238704450149832,nan,nan,0.6916184755764108,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moving-Average,1.493630847038398,1.7000589878686503,1.2217104150537874,0.8840517576268612,0.07388203163275463,0.07085183080330068,7.145487999616988,1.2221419095335853,0.07309097114634891,0.07306516534562585,0.06611845332434199,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.017460728356688507,0.016887188643017515,nan,nan,0.19520389795995652,nan,nan,0.13213904932565734,nan,nan,0.07998465835693735,Air Quality,1,24

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.813167+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.217919+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.619013+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.226650+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/online_status.json

@@ -1,19 +1,266 @@
 {
-    "status": "partial",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-28T07:53:19.251800+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T07:53:27.336138+00:00",
-    "task_count": 8,
+    "status": "ok",
+    "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:33.786535+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:19.706127+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
-    "ts_bench_root": "/Users/zhouziyu/Desktop/TS-Bench",
-    "models": {},
-    "failed_models": [
-        "Chronos-Bolt-Tiny",
-        "Chronos-Bolt-Mini",
-        "Chronos-Bolt-Base",
-        "Chronos-2",
-        "TimesFM-2.5",
-        "Moirai-1.1-Small"
-    ],
+    "task_count": 4,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
+    "pending_tasks": 13,
+    "failed_forecasts": [],
+    "models": {
+        "Chronos-2": {
+            "model": "Chronos-2",
+            "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.108297+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.113559+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "TiRex": {
+            "model": "TiRex",
+            "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.116804+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.394762+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "TimesFM-2.5": {
+            "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
+            "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.129983+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.364018+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Toto-1.0": {
+            "model": "Toto-1.0",
+            "api_model_id": "Datadog/Toto-Open-Base-1.0",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.132113+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.432084+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Moirai-2.0": {
+            "model": "Moirai-2.0",
+            "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-2.0-R-small",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.160348+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.187934+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Chronos-Bolt": {
+            "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
+            "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-bolt-base",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.171483+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.133508+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "TabPFN-TS": {
+            "model": "TabPFN-TS",
+            "api_model_id": "priorlabs/tabpfn-ts",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.176744+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.332701+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Sundial": {
+            "model": "Sundial",
+            "api_model_id": "thuml/sundial-base-128m",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.205001+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.296950+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Moving-Average": {
+            "model": "Moving-Average",
+            "api_model_id": "baseline/moving-average",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.217919+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.226650+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "ETS": {
+            "model": "ETS",
+            "api_model_id": "baseline/ets",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.235604+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.161708+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "ARIMA": {
+            "model": "ARIMA",
+            "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.238916+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.064277+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        },
+        "Seasonal-Naive": {
+            "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
+            "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive",
+            "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+            "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.245460+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.268712+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 60,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
+        }
+    },
+    "skipped_models": [],
+    "aggregate_status": "ok",
+    "aggregate_files": {
+        "gift_prediction_length": "aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv",
+        "gift_domain": "aggregates/results_by_domain.csv",
+        "gift_frequency": "aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv",
+        "gift_overall": "aggregates/results_overall.csv",
+        "gift_metadata": "aggregates/metadata.json",
+        "live_releases": "aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv",
+        "live_by_dataset": "aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv",
+        "live_rank": "aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv",
+        "live_overall": "aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv",
+        "live_rank_1d": "aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv",
+        "live_overall_1d": "aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv",
+        "live_rank_7d": "aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv",
+        "live_overall_7d": "aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv",
+        "live_rank_30d": "aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv",
+        "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
+        "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
+    },
     "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179.json

@@ -493,7 +493,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:10.183149Z",
   "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.463093+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-28T01:12:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-8c0366116e16bb498905.json

@@ -0,0 +1,499 @@
+{
+  "source_task_name": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260728t014200z",
+  "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+  "domain": "Ocean",
+  "frequency": "6min",
+  "prediction_length": 60,
+  "context": [
+    1.2359999418258667,
+    1.1920000314712524,
+    1.1549999713897705,
+    1.1069999933242798,
+    1.059000015258789,
+    1.0130000114440918,
+    0.9649999737739563,
+    0.921999990940094,
+    0.8799999952316284,
+    0.8349999785423279,
+    0.7850000262260437,
+    0.7440000176429749,
+    0.7049999833106995,
+    0.6700000166893005,
+    0.6230000257492065,
+    0.5830000042915344,
+    0.5440000295639038,
+    0.5009999871253967,
+    0.460999995470047,
+    0.421999990940094,
+    0.3840000033378601,
+    0.3490000069141388,
+    0.32100000977516174,
+    0.28700000047683716,
+    0.2639999985694885,
+    0.24699999392032623,
+    0.2290000021457672,
+    0.2150000035762787,
+    0.18400000035762787,
+    0.1589999943971634,
+    0.11699999868869781,
+    0.09099999815225601,
+    0.07400000095367432,
+    0.04699999839067459,
+    0.03200000151991844,
+    0.004000000189989805,
+    -0.026000000536441803,
+    -0.039000000804662704,
+    -0.05000000074505806,
+    -0.061000000685453415,
+    -0.05900000035762787,
+    -0.0560000017285347,
+    -0.04699999839067459,
+    -0.054999999701976776,
+    -0.06300000101327896,
+    -0.052000001072883606,
+    -0.04600000008940697,
+    -0.04899999871850014,
+    -0.03500000014901161,
+    -0.032999999821186066,
+    -0.02199999988079071,
+    -0.027000000700354576,
+    -0.01600000075995922,
+    -0.0020000000949949026,
+    0.0020000000949949026,
+    0.019999999552965164,
+    0.04399999976158142,
+    0.054999999701976776,
+    0.07999999821186066,
+    0.09300000220537186,
+    0.11599999666213989,
+    0.13500000536441803,
+    0.15399999916553497,
+    0.17800000309944153,
+    0.21199999749660492,
+    0.24699999392032623,
+    0.27799999713897705,
+    0.3050000071525574,
+    0.335999995470047,
+    0.3580000102519989,
+    0.3779999911785126,
+    0.39800000190734863,
+    0.42399999499320984,
+    0.4480000138282776,
+    0.47200000286102295,
+    0.5180000066757202,
+    0.5559999942779541,
+    0.5839999914169312,
+    0.6190000176429749,
+    0.6510000228881836,
+    0.6869999766349792,
+    0.718999981880188,
+    0.7369999885559082,
+    0.7580000162124634,
+    0.7820000052452087,
+    0.8149999976158142,
+    0.8489999771118164,
+    0.8849999904632568,
+    0.9269999861717224,
+    0.9520000219345093,
+    0.9769999980926514,
+    1.0119999647140503,
+    1.0299999713897705,
+    1.0609999895095825,
+    1.0789999961853027,
+    1.1059999465942383,
+    1.1339999437332153,
+    1.1549999713897705,
+    1.187000036239624,
+    1.2089999914169312,
+    1.2300000190734863,
+    1.2510000467300415,
+    1.2589999437332153,
+    1.2690000534057617,
+    1.2910000085830688,
+    1.3170000314712524,
+    1.3380000591278076,
+    1.3450000286102295,
+    1.3609999418258667,
+    1.3799999952316284,
+    1.3899999856948853,
+    1.399999976158142,
+    1.409999966621399,
+    1.4110000133514404,
+    1.4179999828338623,
+    1.4290000200271606,
+    1.4279999732971191,
+    1.430999994277954,
+    1.4320000410079956,
+    1.434000015258789,
+    1.4259999990463257,
+    1.430999994277954,
+    1.437000036239624,
+    1.437999963760376,
+    1.4279999732971191,
+    1.4270000457763672,
+    1.4129999876022339,
+    1.3890000581741333,
+    1.38100004196167,
+    1.3760000467300415,
+    1.3760000467300415,
+    1.3669999837875366,
+    1.343000054359436,
+    1.3279999494552612,
+    1.3009999990463257,
+    1.2970000505447388,
+    1.3020000457763672,
+    1.2890000343322754,
+    1.277999997138977,
+    1.2730000019073486,
+    1.2549999952316284,
+    1.2400000095367432,
+    1.2330000400543213,
+    1.2200000286102295,
+    1.1950000524520874,
+    1.1770000457763672,
+    1.1549999713897705,
+    1.1449999809265137,
+    1.1299999952316284,
+    1.1260000467300415,
+    1.1239999532699585,
+    1.1139999628067017,
+    1.1030000448226929,
+    1.0839999914169312,
+    1.0800000429153442,
+    1.062000036239624,
+    1.0520000457763672,
+    1.059000015258789,
+    1.0570000410079956,
+    1.0640000104904175,
+    1.0640000104904175,
+    1.065999984741211,
+    1.065000057220459,
+    1.0529999732971191,
+    1.0570000410079956,
+    1.065999984741211,
+    1.0579999685287476,
+    1.062000036239624,
+    1.0670000314712524,
+    1.0789999961853027,
+    1.1119999885559082,
+    1.1390000581741333,
+    1.1469999551773071,
+    1.159999966621399,
+    1.1629999876022339,
+    1.1710000038146973,
+    1.184999942779541,
+    1.2059999704360962,
+    1.2200000286102295,
+    1.2350000143051147,
+    1.2619999647140503,
+    1.277999997138977,
+    1.3020000457763672,
+    1.315999984741211,
+    1.3229999542236328,
+    1.3459999561309814,
+    1.3680000305175781,
+    1.3960000276565552,
+    1.4129999876022339,
+    1.444000005722046,
+    1.4709999561309814,
+    1.4930000305175781,
+    1.5130000114440918,
+    1.5240000486373901,
+    1.5470000505447388,
+    1.5609999895095825,
+    1.590999960899353,
+    1.6260000467300415,
+    1.6319999694824219,
+    1.649999976158142,
+    1.6720000505447388,
+    1.6890000104904175,
+    1.7120000123977661,
+    1.7339999675750732,
+    1.7510000467300415,
+    1.7610000371932983,
+    1.7869999408721924,
+    1.7979999780654907,
+    1.8240000009536743,
+    1.8519999980926514,
+    1.8600000143051147,
+    1.8489999771118164,
+    1.8619999885559082,
+    1.871999979019165,
+    1.8819999694824219,
+    1.9019999504089355,
+    1.909999966621399,
+    1.9149999618530273,
+    1.9160000085830688,
+    1.9220000505447388,
+    1.9220000505447388,
+    1.9170000553131104,
+    1.9179999828338623,
+    1.9119999408721924,
+    1.8980000019073486,
+    1.8849999904632568,
+    1.8730000257492065,
+    1.8619999885559082,
+    1.8459999561309814,
+    1.8289999961853027,
+    1.8070000410079956,
+    1.7960000038146973,
+    1.784000039100647,
+    1.7510000467300415,
+    1.715999960899353,
+    1.680999994277954,
+    1.6419999599456787,
+    1.6130000352859497,
+    1.5920000076293945,
+    1.569000005722046
+  ],
+  "context_timestamps": [
+    "2026-07-27T07:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T07:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:54:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:06:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:12:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:18:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:24:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:36:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:42:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:48:00",
+    "2026-07-27T23:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T00:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T01:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T02:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T03:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T04:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T05:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:42:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:48:00",
+    "2026-07-28T06:54:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:00:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:06:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:12:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:18:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:24:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:30:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:36:00",
+    "2026-07-28T07:42:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-27 07:48",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-28 07:42",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T07:50:49.293836Z",
+  "task_id": "future-8c0366116e16bb498905",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.750559+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/seasonal_naive/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,S
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.1220216960389396,0.1220216960389396,nan,nan,0.021531299784153208,nan,nan,0.3493160403401762,nan,nan,0.2254931967218306,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.13823505020125373,0.13823505020125373,nan,nan,0.1419691907248947,nan,nan,0.3717997447568432,nan,nan,0.28941377322835155,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.0894723830299178,1.0894723830299178,nan,nan,0.3254990030310724,nan,nan,1.0437779376045069,nan,nan,0.9435021049397007,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.1926633338413346,1.1926633338413346,nan,nan,0.0974029459646054,nan,nan,1.0920912662599838,nan,nan,0.8595689032934938,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.4220830567678604,1.4220830567678604,1.1374998887379963,0.8231154973782487,0.06849731872919221,0.06598468274623316,18.192842105640498,1.1925112396819832,0.07131889016436462,0.06802890147057772,0.06090870857230404,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.021964487461018273,0.021964487461018273,nan,nan,0.15292908855273898,nan,nan,0.1482042086481294,nan,nan,0.09176957303480657,Air Quality,1,24

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.851454+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.245460+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.652871+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.268712+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,S
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,4.057055560888484e-15,4.285220463801793e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.369501990649256e-08,nan,nan,5.44387176617369e-08,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.6998138473223216e-16,4.6554999771491e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9234900174740503e-08,nan,nan,1.9312927769778423e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.03484559946889979,0.03321369616330838,nan,nan,0.011084302742851744,nan,nan,0.18666976045653402,nan,nan,0.12063016584599584,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.04821187162773686,0.06255171335029873,nan,nan,0.1113706881054695,nan,nan,0.21957201922771685,nan,nan,0.1293380084059859,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.6303455365915963,0.6415315188316835,nan,nan,0.20164099259077636,nan,nan,0.7939430310743941,nan,nan,0.5322883490144747,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,1.1304476064801594,1.1426146677625701,nan,nan,0.09235264505865295,nan,nan,1.0632250968069552,nan,nan,0.731749763844937,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Sundial,0.8427959919452709,0.728805377540842,0.6027306715647379,0.43614681761468477,0.037071160344855525,0.03572165078421854,7.949536290001031,0.9180392104617705,0.05490391657437408,0.03604668965257109,0.027748537362407476,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Sundial,0.07240789929541203,0.034247198292841646,nan,nan,0.3187960858696557,nan,nan,0.26908715929120813,nan,nan,0.1350895598036612,Air Quality,1,24

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.810975+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.205001+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.679092+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.296950+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/all_results.csv

@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ m_dense/H/long,TabPFN-TS,75694.39604938272,75694.39604938272,120.74972222222222,
 m_dense/H/medium,TabPFN-TS,71212.77555555555,71212.77555555555,116.21049045138888,0.993734534883084,0.3077546622676556,0.24954473707411023,8.673153554524918,266.85721941809174,0.4642978479599947,0.20219157174991295,0.160040826351846,Transport,1
 m_dense/H/short,TabPFN-TS,68285.90555555555,68285.90555555555,106.8298410373264,0.906291178560046,0.30428158067341887,0.23916954464382595,10.038621879613546,261.3157200697186,0.46350902522521975,0.18948953959205128,0.15486162614965193,Transport,1
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.09975335471419111,0.09975335471419111,nan,nan,0.017856817712759297,nan,nan,0.3158375448140881,nan,nan,0.23654849373180264,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TabPFN-TS,0.07653330258294426,0.07653330258294426,nan,nan,0.11322722294153197,nan,nan,0.2766465300395873,nan,nan,0.23295457875921002,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TabPFN-TS,0.8213606801785373,0.8213606801785373,nan,nan,0.24233915189692384,nan,nan,0.9062895123405861,nan,nan,0.7412744881037225,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TabPFN-TS,2.0845457148806275,2.0845457148806275,nan,nan,0.1391151814866709,nan,nan,1.4437955931781437,nan,nan,1.2994159951385251,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.3804797499912335,0.3804797499912335,0.41256459554036456,0.2985392048131281,0.02545106702891627,0.02473706497544044,11.941568192525125,0.6168304061824721,0.03688993321379491,0.02467368700264445,0.024673687002644454,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.004963135350699515,0.004963135350699515,nan,nan,0.09190145350317203,nan,nan,0.07044952342421852,nan,nan,0.05556980797908187,Air Quality,1,24

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.795041+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.176744+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.708922+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.332701+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,15 @@
-dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates
-binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,81742.42789522807,124744.15551821391,297.3611653645833,0.4486972705324055,0.004943552533723208,0.0049579917738521604,4.904699820126863,285.90632713395496,0.0047624096472577765,0.004953215610330298,0.003661364469335062,Finance,1
-coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,97952.0961373647,155042.49553426108,344.3505859375,0.494849513065497,0.005734942849078377,0.005753831848928334,4.4515950592935765,312.9729958596503,0.005223298429098694,0.005746968263655385,0.004048322861622117,Finance,1
-nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,11.641811304915336,13.423471256234128,2.7575780550638833,3.5293238475457582,0.10321913729068599,0.11204715871745875,101.69350427694228,3.4120098629569253,0.14059996314044312,0.11363254752226123,0.10196536560973148,Weather,1
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.02908771671812005,0.034046774600905515,0.13568753997484842,0.17312143585760467,0.11185537202482503,0.12463965779787611,2.676967727907387,0.1705512143554541,0.1434961937098364,0.11416304242585044,0.08757558544176978,Ocean,1
-noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.05836318292564613,0.04761165148106272,0.16445205609003702,0.3447029766963658,0.07191232151835235,0.06762886788054125,17.47579260325252,0.24158473239351475,0.09877400134375952,0.06723764141999806,0.08169348159617512,Ocean,1
-nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,5.091922888105425,6.327109473932221,2.2220658461252847,1.3592926513955181,0.10384344306035338,0.11108617811955894,27.998005969855527,2.2565289468795706,0.10885767783941647,0.10719513629549113,0.08603730202253673,Weather,1
-open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,49.47017191748849,82.91626740256955,7.3194271723429365,0.5005687624158839,0.2545421621602366,0.295325743742574,5.8418762834746945,7.033503530779557,0.27381035642937446,0.28494120378950605,0.21288132768520807,Air Quality,1
-open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,1.6484289968751302,1.7882974488526695,1.16057284673055,0.9274277392234174,0.04635277574155072,0.04703534337119358,20.58434769273915,1.2839116001014752,0.04978813570351389,0.045005246764860715,0.03796367653364946,Weather,1
-usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,12.541379031458973,13.808125303080638,3.0202603340148926,0.7396555920036473,0.33108155235761566,0.30808027947552724,19.43875757528811,3.5413809497791924,0.34691078691714533,0.29586223680145884,0.27081315021125635,Hazards,1
-usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,430.1970050111413,571.0872243667642,16.349232991536457,0.15238120069781555,0.006005184220679013,0.0060436006179905065,2.234056811286407,20.741191022001153,0.007664181440000427,0.006041287017657814,0.004361342408824095,Hydrology,1
+dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
+binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,2.544873715422005,2.1763895224570793,nan,nan,0.00733854194735763,nan,nan,1.5952660328051886,nan,nan,0.9400124419879271,Finance,1,24
+coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.16431138716961843,0.2840452984238427,nan,nan,0.006365738815062364,nan,nan,0.40535341021091514,nan,nan,0.28603521259581766,Finance,1,24
+data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,TimesFM-2.5,28434.715767887308,30940.314541637516,136.81071631113687,1.4424608331286375,0.6894371389934627,1.1431172573156296,43.032391046456816,168.6259640977252,1.0381242287022936,0.8422577158188848,0.7508176845882389,Finance,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Transportation,1,12
+nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.07100583795216671,0.11015231373309131,nan,nan,0.017946478614699196,nan,nan,0.2664692063863416,nan,nan,0.19077303156426317,Weather,1,24
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.31630824211719416,0.3983499143915603,nan,nan,0.15781363805703894,nan,nan,0.562412875134624,nan,nan,0.38340921288838214,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TimesFM-2.5,1.1073154863140786,1.4107221533655678,nan,nan,0.0953658327893421,nan,nan,1.0522905902430557,nan,nan,0.786268762633924,Ocean,1,72
+nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.21622905324208355,0.1617179170793861,0.26413559913635254,0.1911332978675114,0.01630353750267156,0.01601217538840988,10.994616695384883,0.4650043583043965,0.027809880236186378,0.015796796840529412,0.021259949519123158,Weather,1,24
+open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.006262990376178233,0.004554783835561518,nan,nan,0.09627439894456198,nan,nan,0.07913905721057228,nan,nan,0.10022450213355703,Air Quality,1,24
+open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.06269121952817955,0.10589695801141052,nan,nan,0.033732113336197196,nan,nan,0.25038214698372474,nan,nan,0.1887512228581642,Weather,1,24
+usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.7736671660082207,0.9192549938039831,nan,nan,0.6858045973238216,nan,nan,0.8795835184951004,nan,nan,0.6374611819871363,Hazards,1,24
+usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,TimesFM-2.5,1.0138778409908962,1.3513171412073017,nan,nan,0.009873107307397877,nan,nan,1.0069150118013417,nan,nan,0.8884134784812392,Hydrology,1,24
+wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.38719216672060525,0.341005570724447,nan,nan,0.12667853599052806,nan,nan,0.6222476731339421,nan,nan,0.5343002043100503,Web,1,7

results/timesfm_2_5/config.json

@@ -3,9 +3,12 @@
     "model_type": "zero-shot",
     "model_dtype": "float32",
     "model_link": "https://tsfm.ai/models/google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
-    "code_link": "https://github.com/zhouziyu02/TSFM_Bench/blob/main/scripts/run_online_eval.py",
+    "code_link": "https://github.com/zhouziyu02/TS-Live/blob/main/scripts/run_online_eval.py",
     "org": "Google / TSFM.ai",
     "testdata_leakage": "No",
     "replication_code_available": "Yes",
-    "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch"
+    "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
+    "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+    "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
 }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -1,67 +1,19 @@
 {
     "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
     "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-06-30T02:19:42.264357+00:00",
-    "datasets": [
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260629t020000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_coingecko_bitcoin_7d_coin_bitcoin_price_usd_20260629t010219z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_point_shanghai_31.2304_121.4737_t2m_20260625t230000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 69,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260629t234200z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_ndbc_station_46013_wave_height_20260629t171000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_nws_ksfo_observations_nws_station_ksfo_temperature_20260630t001000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_grid_shanghai_31.2304_121.4737_pm2_5_20260629t020000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_grid_shanghai_31.2304_121.4737_temperature_2m_20260629t020000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earth_global_earthquake_count_20260629t010000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
-        },
-        {
-            "dataset": "task_usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_site_01646500_usgs_00060_20260629t235000z",
-            "data_fetched_at": "2026-06-30T02:16:24.198018Z",
-            "context_length": 96,
-            "prediction_length": 24
+    "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
+    "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
+    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.129983+00:00",
+    "resolved_tasks": [
+        {
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.364018+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
+            "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]
 }

results/tirex/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,T
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TiRex,5.906315718058047e-17,5.906315718058047e-17,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,7.685255830522526e-09,nan,nan,4.1680416340218845e-09,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TiRex,2.0440368407041843e-18,2.0440368407041843e-18,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.4296981641955705e-09,nan,nan,1.39774869271451e-09,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TiRex,0.05985578794791759,0.05985578794791759,nan,nan,0.0143261346056855,nan,nan,0.24465442556372774,nan,nan,0.1846692716488146,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.07055337570154269,0.07055337570154269,nan,nan,0.11237064199633989,nan,nan,0.2656188541906291,nan,nan,0.17695674810985468,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.04088648413395527,0.04088648413395527,nan,nan,0.0637032874884219,nan,nan,0.202204065572271,nan,nan,0.17836055668912598,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TiRex,1.4238372695361832,1.4238372695361832,nan,nan,0.09482746486687595,nan,nan,1.1932465250467663,nan,nan,0.9717972548612666,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TiRex,0.1330410943866506,0.1330410943866506,0.2665089766184489,0.19285071674902834,0.016340940517305648,0.0161404612437938,1.417522257895925,0.3647479875018512,0.021813984466305555,0.01593873818441926,0.018680112149927236,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TiRex,0.0027620856067215142,0.0027620856067215142,nan,nan,0.0785130454542927,nan,nan,0.05255554782058231,nan,nan,0.08149323675215601,Air Quality,1,24

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.756749+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.116804+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.798038+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.394762+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,T
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.895843359303936,7.0931951580346935e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.946490020710169,nan,nan,0.00028380965198569654,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,9.809345688447446e-05,5.994102245361695e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.009904214097265591,nan,nan,0.0002784084393961502,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.14581109734968253,0.10758165581966579,nan,nan,0.019716449559055497,nan,nan,0.3818521930664829,nan,nan,0.23765672698505458,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.5938577859053631,0.20279020502719616,nan,nan,0.2032631822843151,nan,nan,0.7706216879282357,nan,nan,0.3000537773009777,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.1922552346989179,0.0207485223913015,nan,nan,0.038427529676929355,nan,nan,0.43846919469777795,nan,nan,0.18244261514970586,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,2.554995718742831,1.2207269681748636,nan,nan,0.10368288653439751,nan,nan,1.5984353971126988,nan,nan,0.8256745826761597,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Toto-1.0,3.2061994614582545,0.2026127577197864,0.29392051696777344,0.2126862032329617,0.01814908932063847,0.017779550705114375,1.3101507982416967,1.7905863457142341,0.10708715077088915,0.017578102720665366,0.014884503464531462,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.150750383270116,0.004939613297587732,nan,nan,0.09535892261593037,nan,nan,0.3882658667332425,nan,nan,0.07054306522652543,Air Quality,1,24

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.768867+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:54:15.132113+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.842215+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-0ad15afe5e38fa01c179",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T01:14:59.081445+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:51:37.432084+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]