Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:17.015825+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:41.825482+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27578,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2720,
+  "num_model_releases": 27590,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2721,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2526,
-      "num_unique_releases": 211,
+      "num_model_releases": 2538,
+      "num_unique_releases": 212,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 27061,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2642,
+      "num_model_releases": 27073,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2643,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 5190
+    "prequential-v1": 5202
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,146.69309185255602,2.9494232248124557,0.11359740604773512,2.7080675212777625,31.387985593091,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778,674.5750319589464,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,146.72762132540592,2.9574696541784493,0.16603515439666802,2.7377272470407044,33.612882772808405,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778,674.7842408621798,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,146.75551984067698,2.903107762992025,0.1136359427133159,2.690017416225292,28.912840693678362,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778,675.1754651776577,0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,147.38816573469944,3.0121565200550515,0.31637687811920323,2.730185050193883,19.47028425933242,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778,677.7302598795377,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,147.08069914033968,3.2156177284479814,0.651456439567124,2.960857802814857,1.2702651018210698,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778,674.7889753711804,0.0,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,148.12776512046597,3.138174272532512,0.787403574713296,2.827028788322765,18.074602649964223,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778,680.7041664631311,-0.11111111111111116,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,148.02251313419197,3.048314831768922,0.7507789106979893,2.71988939754034,12.081685807270429,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778,681.1758828244131,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,150.43730980396737,3.651326129837392,1.3699566576422286,3.1292518004427654,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,686.5802535026893,-0.5159075191683887,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,149.9717592251068,3.5038139874763554,1.3595871038336418,3.188373016968466,-13.594817098841073,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,686.3664965948286,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,146.88527648250718,3.3448255517840244,0.6012191381493612,3.1720934361952415,-7.642970935199632,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,672.6370330342719,-0.11111111111111106,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,149.04063355569082,3.543345830117652,0.7315933977423706,2.81194354558122,-1.8876567060308072,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778,679.923660188579,-0.3333333333333334,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,150.9447334412812,4.001577613625518,0.5485611898755824,3.609374934037292,-28.113199790825167,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,676.837514290899,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,146.69309185255602,2.9494232248124557,0.11359740604773512,2.7080675212777625,31.387985593091,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778,674.5750319589464,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,146.72762132540592,2.9574696541784493,0.16603515439666802,2.7377272470407044,33.612882772808405,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778,674.7842408621798,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,146.75551984067698,2.903107762992025,0.1136359427133159,2.690017416225292,28.912840693678362,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778,675.1754651776577,0.11111111111111105,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,147.38816573469944,3.0121565200550515,0.31637687811920323,2.730185050193883,19.47028425933242,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778,677.7302598795377,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,147.08069914033968,3.2156177284479814,0.651456439567124,2.960857802814857,1.2702651018210698,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778,674.7889753711804,0.0,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,148.12776512046597,3.138174272532512,0.787403574713296,2.827028788322765,18.074602649964223,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778,680.7041664631311,-0.11111111111111116,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,148.02251313419197,3.048314831768922,0.7507789106979893,2.71988939754034,12.081685807270429,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778,681.1758828244131,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,150.43730980396737,3.651326129837392,1.3699566576422286,3.1292518004427654,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,686.5802535026893,-0.5159075191683887,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,149.9717592251068,3.5038139874763554,1.3595871038336418,3.188373016968466,-13.594817098841073,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,686.3664965948286,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,146.88527648250718,3.3448255517840244,0.6012191381493612,3.1720934361952415,-7.642970935199632,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,672.6370330342719,-0.11111111111111106,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,149.04063355569082,3.543345830117652,0.7315933977423706,2.81194354558122,-1.8876567060308072,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778,679.923660188579,-0.3333333333333334,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,150.9447334412812,4.001577613625518,0.5485611898755824,3.609374934037292,-28.113199790825167,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,676.837514290899,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.338272538372799,0.896605588902999,0.1589445167283814,0.6594531620662072,23.46432159367019,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778,136.94251706191093,0.03655625968467358,0.23076923076923078,13,2595,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.507624113208388,0.8997722724876909,0.19442981073512797,0.6922359370340927,24.860834013198414,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778,139.6158163334667,0.029798041090978784,0.23076923076923078,13,2582,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.394063814713661,0.8969264715802121,0.13699620294996107,0.7387716155515934,23.92931749994169,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778,137.19646380695494,0.03400490606658418,0.23076923076923078,13,2576,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.18564311262155,0.9501280495304378,0.23950296501867563,0.6956698996052032,22.240188142797532,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778,156.25410210961408,0.06491272051663116,0.23076923076923078,13,1902,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.979235894144516,1.0007635024593815,0.20205472397328128,0.8449365451960765,18.39789014433973,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778,163.45459324035235,0.04554681894117356,0.23076923076923078,13,1793,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.469706047533016,0.9967278862261151,0.2748589854310848,0.7440441198866318,11.583785274291078,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778,157.1976839407352,0.024304937732538206,0.15384615384615385,13,1889,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.762766933515547,1.0350800872375674,0.22372008401806573,0.7876184515186728,16.19832169312621,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778,151.2920227627791,0.002690377062708881,0.3076923076923077,13,2141,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.280645830891984,1.2570881239823803,0.36753215559566144,0.9830958644778414,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.17092443247304,0.028394250866753602,0.3076923076923077,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,17.02645950683967,1.1634420697637775,0.34310307356831576,0.938568994879163,2.927591370875083,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.4159385020718,0.08016596812650698,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.918713398509198,1.1653907869815672,0.3458488070844953,0.9235356689948602,1.8036577494053356,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.3521874123435,0.06313127438020703,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.904988988783984,1.6817539486032227,0.28141219602432255,0.7259571537494569,-19.01480046252662,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778,212.55378839774613,-0.010518422902436755,0.23076923076923078,13,1916,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.625914825425006,1.4151960500011194,0.3143351237237328,1.126288234420445,-3.397423158516783,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,146.9868313440574,0.07536635910336661,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.338272538372799,0.896605588902999,0.1589445167283814,0.6594531620662072,23.46432159367019,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778,136.94251706191093,0.03655625968467358,0.23076923076923078,13,2596,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.507624113208388,0.8997722724876909,0.19442981073512797,0.6922359370340927,24.860834013198414,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778,139.6158163334667,0.029798041090978784,0.23076923076923078,13,2583,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.394063814713661,0.8969264715802121,0.13699620294996107,0.7387716155515934,23.92931749994169,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778,137.19646380695494,0.03400490606658418,0.23076923076923078,13,2577,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.18564311262155,0.9501280495304378,0.23950296501867563,0.6956698996052032,22.240188142797532,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778,156.25410210961408,0.06491272051663116,0.23076923076923078,13,1903,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.979235894144516,1.0007635024593815,0.20205472397328128,0.8449365451960765,18.39789014433973,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778,163.45459324035235,0.04554681894117356,0.23076923076923078,13,1794,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.469706047533016,0.9967278862261151,0.2748589854310848,0.7440441198866318,11.583785274291078,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778,157.1976839407352,0.024304937732538206,0.15384615384615385,13,1890,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.762766933515547,1.0350800872365302,0.22372008401806573,0.7876184515187817,16.19832169312621,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778,151.2920227627791,0.002690377062708881,0.3076923076923077,13,2142,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.280645830891984,1.2570881239823803,0.36753215559566144,0.9830958644778414,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.17092443247304,0.028394250866753602,0.3076923076923077,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,17.02645950683967,1.1634420697637775,0.34310307356831576,0.938568994879163,2.927591370875083,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.4159385020718,0.08016596812650698,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.918713398509198,1.1653907869815672,0.3458488070844953,0.9235356689948602,1.8036577494053356,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.3521874123435,0.06313127438020703,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.905312626930996,1.6819746535954927,0.28141219602432255,0.7259571546680111,-19.01480046252662,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778,212.55355627326492,-0.010167981106181778,0.23076923076923078,13,1917,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.625914825425006,1.4151960500011194,0.3143351237237328,1.126288234420445,-3.397423158516783,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,146.9868313440574,0.07536635910336661,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T07:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,137.00410733346746,1.9894378720889643,0.15126198267258978,1.7813544933581544,15.274220590136984,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778,442.3325782182608,-0.09665440538545052,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,137.78179895041166,1.9508576903909223,0.15069941140237525,2.0623572764710802,19.846211531198005,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778,450.85807115493657,-0.06069131091870905,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,136.88720797939249,1.9657440583857744,0.13679804957439418,1.8315865186502647,14.565860164542864,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778,442.35021836643756,-0.13371454275476838,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,137.01283792268367,2.0009142561128894,0.23215481010229336,1.7769762643090232,13.322127363709768,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778,442.5400092886819,-0.02958503001965014,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,137.1288935052972,2.067178401197126,0.21917572346433925,1.9308390789358958,7.534899712181778,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778,442.4429010824466,-0.03167454745737162,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,137.04774462643607,2.017722003317962,0.25809094695544227,1.8113435521475751,4.144429647430446,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778,442.60150616883135,-0.05550403484086507,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,137.13151028299276,2.0074812746565454,0.24347729074134022,1.8090212032496418,12.800423629318333,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778,442.43726913615905,-0.12970746031942706,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,137.6475284820944,2.2043717578674804,0.36796363660652986,1.832339003195199,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,442.890928437554,-0.04551516734171084,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,137.51065537240467,2.1951121137530447,0.3863048018975813,1.9970334539552796,-8.272580591994053,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,442.66853109309,-0.028977675410607136,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,137.40272377361083,2.289102901109027,0.3102494678494036,2.0182864747654894,-13.372495881056505,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,442.4537618298929,0.09353246267265347,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,179.90023563755696,2.5823242136369298,0.21969668715126148,1.6974912686955685,-25.531873405018587,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778,565.3595173954722,-0.03897416777166387,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,138.9075166972653,2.619117677296228,0.42607290507590345,2.341807279569038,-21.830942114367314,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,444.25674678420813,0.054012284233394985,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,137.00410733346746,1.9894378720889643,0.15126198267258978,1.7813544933581544,15.274220590136984,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778,442.3325782182608,-0.09665440538545052,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,137.78179895041166,1.9508576903909223,0.15069941140237525,2.0623572764710802,19.846211531198005,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778,450.85807115493657,-0.06069131091870905,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,136.88720797939249,1.9657440583857744,0.13679804957439418,1.8315865186502647,14.565860164542864,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778,442.35021836643756,-0.13371454275476838,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,137.01283792268367,2.0009142561128894,0.23215481010229336,1.7769762643090232,13.322127363709768,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778,442.5400092886819,-0.02958503001965014,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,137.1288935052972,2.067178401197126,0.21917572346433925,1.9308390789358958,7.534899712181778,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778,442.4429010824466,-0.03167454745737162,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,137.04774462643607,2.017722003317962,0.25809094695544227,1.8113435521475751,4.144429647430446,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778,442.60150616883135,-0.05550403484086507,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,137.13151028299276,2.0074812746511155,0.24347729074134022,1.8090212032503998,12.800423629318333,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778,442.43726913615905,-0.12970746031942706,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,137.6475284820944,2.2043717578674804,0.36796363660652986,1.832339003195199,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,442.890928437554,-0.04551516734171084,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,137.51065537240467,2.1951121137530447,0.3863048018975813,1.9970334539552796,-8.272580591994053,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,442.66853109309,-0.028977675410607136,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,137.40272377361083,2.289102901109027,0.3102494678494036,2.0182864747654894,-13.372495881056505,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,442.4537618298929,0.09353246267265347,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,179.9024526104429,2.583662071565098,0.21969668715126148,1.6974912744180466,-25.531873405018587,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778,565.3632603373552,-0.03705480199687641,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,138.9075166972653,2.619117677296228,0.42607290507590345,2.341807279569038,-21.830942114367314,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,444.25674678420813,0.054012284233394985,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T07:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.33415995524849,0.8958353498225322,0.15906593871153613,0.6592144136528783,23.508619337095315,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778,136.93589275118066,0.0328913694582947,0.23076923076923078,13,2665,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.504790802162242,0.8988645016757997,0.19437505112174736,0.6920492270721771,24.816699931818896,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778,139.60876176271063,0.032406439021029625,0.23076923076923078,13,2651,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.388794148083502,0.8956455470894333,0.13695861094509418,0.7372343283884095,23.897463806845682,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778,137.19209478799297,0.033368364914249035,0.23076923076923078,13,2646,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.18564311262155,0.9501280495304378,0.23950296501867563,0.6956698996052032,22.240188142797532,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778,156.25410210961408,0.06491272051663116,0.23076923076923078,13,1902,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.978774106743987,1.0005965419267342,0.20205476707349312,0.8448479236310192,18.500898715478527,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778,163.45391804460164,0.046879275658245664,0.23076923076923078,13,1794,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.469706047533016,0.9967278862261151,0.2748589854310848,0.7440441198866318,11.583785274291078,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778,157.1976839407352,0.024304937732538206,0.15384615384615385,13,1889,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.76311602186717,1.0355592529111297,0.22376431092965668,0.7879852846862186,16.18765514167566,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778,151.29156861978228,0.00143806811809226,0.3076923076923077,13,2142,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.27269877139124,1.2550746932905954,0.3675817442704879,0.9821883079404533,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.1623077722673,0.03696986329387033,0.3076923076923077,13,2500,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,17.026774515367848,1.164459937943119,0.34343357471576386,0.939650230518461,2.8080136212908267,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.4135454178466,0.06776210882072023,0.15384615384615385,13,2491,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.934832606699356,1.1700733251376794,0.3464953022987323,0.9272091177674112,1.5674984685740976,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,142.36301852049567,0.04456474818416267,0.15384615384615385,13,2491,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.904988988783984,1.6817539486032227,0.28141219602432255,0.7259571537494569,-19.01480046252662,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778,212.55378839774613,-0.010518422902436755,0.23076923076923078,13,1916,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.73068528344078,1.4303449396133563,0.3160607823662389,1.1385645603927737,-3.9225632796611647,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778,147.25478087116977,0.05077207394540827,0.15384615384615385,13,2491,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.33415995524849,0.8958353498225322,0.15906593871153613,0.6592144136528783,23.508619337095315,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778,136.93589275118066,0.0328913694582947,0.23076923076923078,13,2666,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.504790802162242,0.8988645016757997,0.19437505112174736,0.6920492270721771,24.816699931818896,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778,139.60876176271063,0.032406439021029625,0.23076923076923078,13,2652,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.388794148083502,0.8956455470894333,0.13695861094509418,0.7372343283884095,23.897463806845682,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778,137.19209478799297,0.033368364914249035,0.23076923076923078,13,2647,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.18564311262155,0.9501280495304378,0.23950296501867563,0.6956698996052032,22.240188142797532,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778,156.25410210961408,0.06491272051663116,0.23076923076923078,13,1903,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.978774106743987,1.0005965419267342,0.20205476707349312,0.8448479236310192,18.500898715478527,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778,163.45391804460164,0.046879275658245664,0.23076923076923078,13,1795,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.469706047533016,0.9967278862261151,0.2748589854310848,0.7440441198866318,11.583785274291078,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778,157.1976839407352,0.024304937732538206,0.15384615384615385,13,1890,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.76311602186717,1.0355592529100925,0.22376431092965668,0.7879852846863276,16.18765514167566,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778,151.29156861978228,0.00143806811809226,0.3076923076923077,13,2143,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.27269877139124,1.2550746932905954,0.3675817442704879,0.9821883079404533,0.0,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.1623077722673,0.03696986329387033,0.3076923076923077,13,2501,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,17.026774515367848,1.164459937943119,0.34343357471576386,0.939650230518461,2.8080136212908267,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.4135454178466,0.06776210882072023,0.15384615384615385,13,2492,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.934832606699356,1.1700733251376794,0.3464953022987323,0.9272091177674112,1.5674984685740976,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,142.36301852049567,0.04456474818416267,0.15384615384615385,13,2492,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.905312626930996,1.6819746535954927,0.28141219602432255,0.7259571546680111,-19.01480046252662,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778,212.55355627326492,-0.010167981106181778,0.23076923076923078,13,1917,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.73068528344078,1.4303449396133563,0.3160607823662389,1.1385645603927737,-3.9225632796611647,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778,147.25478087116977,0.05077207394540827,0.15384615384615385,13,2492,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2660,13,33.68402777777778
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2651,13,33.68402777777778
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2646,13,33.68402777777778
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1902,13,28.34027777777778
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1791,13,30.34027777777778
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1889,13,28.34027777777778
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5127829560460893,11,2140,13,30.34027777777778
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036575785546894,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673502425211,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1916,13,28.34027777777778
-12,Official,ETS,0.3660830251304889,11,2491,13,33.68402777777778
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6688185148387423,11,2661,13,33.68402777777778
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6670559846114715,11,2652,13,33.68402777777778
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6084323009412157,11,2647,13,33.68402777777778
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788268958024733,11,1903,13,28.34027777777778
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5585463602290234,11,1792,13,30.34027777777778
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236347436368728,11,1890,13,28.34027777777778
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5127830516259781,11,2141,13,30.34027777777778
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38680282065264077,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38036572599550594,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.374673470565248,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3739771378303025,11,1917,13,28.34027777777778
+12,Official,ETS,0.3660829932705259,11,2492,13,33.68402777777778

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1167,6 +1167,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.436225
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:42.931392+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5172558847134725,0.7192050366296613,0.16282472898588418,0.6065223106340539,45.05937774785554,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.601036+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0030811547356007,1.415302495841649,0.008070643356983933,0.6801317725091276,-8.766877742782592,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.634558+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.9719052297024513,1.4042454307215855,2.429969271482354,1.0492781966946485,22.858014400150488,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.215524+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.674665+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.156795+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.016996+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3714,6 +3715,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.463228
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:42.979197+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.004080142903196078,0.06387599629904867,0.012453917454995495,0.14263588457461449,99.40426633399089,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.647491+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.2560049558764144,1.5020003182011694,0.013873897978694727,0.9690457209453692,-14.629168221358189,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.744319+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.01071480186692786,0.10351232712545816,0.23046272019907857,0.19549957311745927,99.31995725397667,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.250352+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.679126+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.161328+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.024078+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -6079,6 +6081,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.479501
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.019086+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4954926793067278,0.7039124088313317,0.1419294477459055,0.4740605513337115,46.755572044763824,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.668548+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.231186308620229,2.056984761397184,0.01879295978035576,1.3269289689017092,-43.15438888176877,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.761502+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0638395336732687,0.2526648643426084,0.4158089773940624,0.28808393959516676,96.01543191419543,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.286908+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.686260+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.166347+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.029699+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -8212,6 +8215,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.492814
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.051979+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2562406968339203,0.5062022291870318,0.11398753485540156,0.4145206786231418,68.40334281653269,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.697446+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.349801332225942,1.5329061720229136,0.014065429037619417,1.2696879671247965,-16.61614649477251,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.798280+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.534578495126836,2.129454976074121,3.7620984514919633,1.5948788784422718,-18.16371233532489,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.319046+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.692179+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.171582+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.034777+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10462,6 +10466,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.503661
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.075821+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2255844201353834,0.474957282432203,0.09608045317986208,0.33638371880206974,71.64763733696046,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.721403+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.3093880585159816,1.8191723553627297,0.01678605695070035,1.1081397727013216,-32.65242945318144,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.839925+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.38644746260758966,0.6216489866537142,1.7594885485218525,0.3700068351772631,78.08600609154382,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.354194+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.701127+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.176195+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.039836+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12605,6 +12610,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.510872
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.108577+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.361801211762002,1.1669623866097836,0.27792152273285836,1.0116378242247162,0.14321611632208786,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.753674+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0281982924910245,1.4241482691387946,0.013082371338478815,1.1729113489352476,-9.38480774911903,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.885422+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.6515149017974378,1.6283472915190536,5.016691794339575,1.581342078950712,8.442391401265956,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.398510+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.706773+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.180922+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.045458+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -15098,6 +15104,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.518878
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.153292+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3657074437307475,1.1686348633045085,0.27924734836185083,1.0152165912218374,0.0,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.774753+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6801746236872905,1.2962155004810314,0.01224833109298501,0.8265560831142317,0.0,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.920340+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.140499420940345,1.7721454288348755,5.123566656092396,1.677715542374523,0.0,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.460015+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.711961+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.186873+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.051670+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -17456,6 +17463,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.525558
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.213906+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5017221063451281,0.7083234475471839,0.12431049007284077,0.4397482801122141,46.266020442405164,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.798159+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.8441660902956243,1.6864655615504351,0.015264503024766838,1.3267261152393919,-25.72731675602823,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:27.964402+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4417415506168006,0.6646364048235701,1.6755679595043333,0.4064277316287145,75.33713928659678,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.482745+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.850897572458074e-16,1.6884601187052285e-08,,2.0897535416523022e-08,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.717026+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.044161302986206e-16,2.245921036676536e-08,,1.9987657131872697e-08,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.191534+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.11814538466344e-16,2.0293214098962837e-08,,1.933840987036442e-08,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.058740+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.904079499335362e-16,2.2145156353783918e-08,,2.069589416714629e-08,0.0,False
@@ -19471,6 +19479,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.532133
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.249958+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0566808222414017,1.4341132529341614,0.3070352194979143,1.168668854704019,-20.18980094633942,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.835999+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6740136547343187,1.293836796019621,0.011933554487200813,1.166515310353448,0.18367987845545117,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:28.010363+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0962287964916042,0.31020766671957706,0.95622362961211,0.28535064299775986,94.05394645288118,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.520803+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.722781+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.195960+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.063674+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -21584,6 +21593,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.547883
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.355420+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0012252727651679194,0.03500389642836808,0.007792234925112292,0.10671913573359341,99.82072668970733,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.897447+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4518067071001528,1.2049094186287004,0.011135121256477578,0.6944435209050419,7.291483967106579,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:28.094685+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3250362007675323,0.5701194618389486,0.8923580547811628,0.2608116972532785,81.24179138534731,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.594608+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.732631+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.205458+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.073957+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -24235,6 +24245,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.539481
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.306872+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.20925488180891852,0.45744385645554203,0.10339897290816256,0.3145167429191831,73.42731588995734,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.861457+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.224373829174787,1.4914334813107781,0.012061613174095603,1.340259097269519,-13.937570811513233,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:28.048752+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.027484586563170845,0.16578475974338186,0.12682166464857947,0.11937753797559199,98.26485320013786,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.546675+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.727756+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.200338+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.068625+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -26592,6 +26603,7 @@ future-df50db58a93dae06e098,2026-07-21T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:24:52.565232
 future-dfc69a577a179042c27e,2026-07-24T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-24T03:36:43.396749+00:00,2026-07-23T21:37:52.888722+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.14033775234185628,0.37461680734032243,0.07088689566493114,0.2756458212878524,81.36340759124325,True
 future-dfd43e7f55a5183e4eb0,2026-07-25T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T08:52:16.916886+00:00,2026-07-24T06:20:54.300580+00:00,prequential-v1,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.6645792269334403,1.9143090729904197,0.018154881072786195,1.3158562118322297,-37.12808220374235,True
 future-dfe90c804f6ffa9d0ef5,2026-07-25T14:06:00+00:00,2026-07-25T14:19:28.182059+00:00,2026-07-25T08:18:45.170163+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.110005901706975,2.027314948819491,0.9575089368213464,0.2723455623630086,-13.371571188815317,True
+future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:02.626501+00:00,2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.297057430574554,1.5156046419084872,,0.00028075030292913855,-100.0,False
 future-e1d75b7b9a7cc56bc26a,2026-07-20T21:40:00+00:00,2026-07-21T08:36:35.737646+00:00,2026-07-21T06:57:24.276636+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11401129469037902,0.3376555859013427,,0.00026874031448608513,-100.0,False
 future-e2359490c2f5982f6ecc,2026-07-16T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-17T08:42:01.211143+00:00,2026-07-17T02:13:13.635226+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.010278373428994453,0.10138231319611155,,0.00027350912022046505,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-e2c02df350d60e1c8726,2026-07-21T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-21T19:50:45.080352+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.196916+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.235787995851961e-05,0.007896700574196771,,0.00027676535447190636,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.032704925470051,1.2618173863142206,0.014566524469917437,1.1908214345113508,10.1197687390634,2.126830988763306,0.03403607911323626,0.4577525468924829,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.5261732972351965,0.3754834870884529,,0.15359695424618738,-31.52688406720658,72.99390200364189,0.0653249044971009,0.13958983360691873,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0379265364760504,1.341938783720677,0.0882364325192599,1.0492572016487152,-61.32015971705557,1.2999471724338816,-0.011494252873563218,0.9436180468092228,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2032276387818654,0.9672605886886649,1.3081695884752753,0.7578242567309219,5.522766526245049,1.1806802043376574,0.07202380952380952,0.03483952090787991,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6357628407404974,1.4280528846650502,0.13250859953460778,1.0409768923457305,11.63412344818652,3.381908984187379,-0.1246057524831709,0.0014990864776036534,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6103921393088825,1.070203286080005,0.01005519166446684,0.7737355759657781,28.53003362108346,1.8967145492730757,0.07824267782426779,0.07107048183030118,240,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.287623538311989,0.323442589414922,,0.1425480999248279,-30.78622516846082,71.64082177911321,0.04120574720696438,0.34018013883074594,281,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,1.927654915574392e-34,0.0,1.0,559,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,1.9276518311365254e-34,0.0,1.0,560,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.295371688844987,0.4728719138176587,0.03169250099185042,0.32183935593940316,8.73042977853834,0.361298836217281,-0.3517241379310345,0.005952597596458611,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3272385317388695,0.4769714824116146,0.4788208937255614,0.3136320963934791,50.726502728877655,0.4218687824334833,-0.05432032036950594,0.10295962838807182,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.788602884472852,1.4864751451799758,0.14699017394332234,1.0126987782389438,7.199595831515725,3.4579527511687096,-0.0434097634710779,0.2566136187124871,307,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3590568061890482,0.9903873760658994,0.009904096481494432,0.7224803297054803,22.46278900129055,1.5862759252926775,0.21792674411223262,1.5690299334873387e-05,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.006505490692993,0.4570523112947153,,0.18355558698703064,-24.01314633696131,85.69469160877574,0.04914477335435747,0.3429764073163418,196,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219097247476514e-28,0.0,1.0,417,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219039109450772e-28,0.0,1.0,418,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.33646790118188474,0.46932795303124963,0.03148247055252711,0.3285493541758667,10.269454068402935,0.5551840161623731,-0.2553846153846154,0.07039249318951525,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3302482185097713,1.046731270185687,1.1246870896968297,0.7035200695867654,7.204025559214833,1.0752051753960339,0.0008385041086701326,0.9836790430602367,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0249447637801543,1.56773587703653,0.1413502644052285,1.0756973648149528,-1.2482923455508377,3.74411601779297,-0.06484578223708658,0.16418982938535875,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9749087632969757,1.1589421102324862,0.010345623598231867,0.9027200636186677,24.844477994351482,2.632850870866263,0.10619430558574225,0.020514504061896748,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.544121842471378,0.3705648922463694,,0.14936560264323048,-31.493732619354073,73.04857664804652,0.09325250494549293,0.034953061668902434,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.632064283514427,2.2241017917224624,0.15885787001642346,1.7941800506233858,-79.9671220048645,3.8344178607315382,0.043678160919540236,0.7502215453736768,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9014939719064972,1.2249922723647937,1.471938133496911,0.9312449720761371,-11.539824601073349,1.7065977461552198,0.08292748917748916,0.01511196757028376,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.850466382021172,1.905669463610887,0.18454754316470004,1.5223799358904635,-5.012575815320361,12.001212376798978,-0.18001223932589558,4.5057511326069875e-06,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3255523211137077,0.9454819086177181,0.008962348252692317,0.6918819039958242,31.696846495752407,1.6419744746228764,0.3060071558596447,1.189559507764937e-09,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.96153090612994,0.4547472276097385,,0.18092940627395201,-24.0058217840915,85.48437053436956,0.03220639384708213,0.5334873994054378,197,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,418,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,419,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.32783875148011027,0.4861314501111893,0.032171503433641925,0.3331142593364293,2.7413565787529137,0.5308169063111237,-0.28615384615384615,0.04171775347628058,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7070803619940109,0.7074189572778538,0.8638758547749614,0.46884177465930704,38.699371546805,0.8590373648147133,0.042834156355767636,0.29510689995373873,269,0.9962825278810409,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.875163364543005,1.5140992211116933,0.13656758553561157,1.0197928990223109,3.1650765796073244,3.6692471466171495,-0.020824789245841874,0.6534847125593055,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.595777764036453,1.3562101026246272,0.01271889111785165,1.1329953562029307,13.473002609099206,2.906910608346005,-0.003781786568137362,0.9342444639752822,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.582948492117426,0.3948011658579765,,0.17256378986856932,-32.317923380505434,73.05695508628355,0.08712290324899206,0.04881033086811387,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9224463856199253,0.9010670399481847,0.0645836248358115,0.6869453492193306,-43.08462326691053,0.6586811407632233,-0.04827586206896552,0.7235302654564064,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.42264354848607,1.0357082728341225,2.1101636905165595,0.9060964464105402,5.423199160227445,1.5884697627872626,0.16084956709956708,2.4443662615890713e-06,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.625709717015872,1.4326279936812982,0.14142457855422066,1.1353304944961622,11.474808062907794,3.4887494645182304,-0.0920773901991244,0.018972938508059083,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.108011234510908,1.5183312965350395,0.013715890820135591,1.0301377501059725,0.0,3.1904662194946947,-0.006737665724842427,0.8831373980138193,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.911871392732312,0.4449681429872579,,0.17380057771511165,0.0,72.95897561771629,0.15565800990924059,0.0012756889995869465,271,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,541,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3838835766683514,0.5349065407917174,0.037747810105515,0.3810075120009519,0.0,0.46585943829990095,-0.3701149425287356,0.00369749418816167,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.493484448408534,1.0731310786335102,2.140385258188798,0.943847487359386,0.0,1.6128350797980073,0.17889778615167218,1.534479836969889e-07,386,0.9974093264248705,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.067200332902325,1.5795468811945765,0.1494110944382594,1.2805892643607824,0.0,3.5808657434846873,-0.08864369535742674,0.023667487902626353,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.323207062028143,1.3654090653344653,0.013988832070442029,1.0748757864706302,3.696671623549243,2.076065277609487,-0.1643953769190961,0.0008353031599470442,187,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.573438732040973,0.40885439301261595,,0.15866925271466864,-30.682895918864837,78.60059220901816,0.04143850821370432,0.34633592968762417,233,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.614405595681188e-16,2.323500726311877e-08,,2.0230685188458557e-08,0.0,1.3999830555176684e-15,0.0,1.0,470,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.606415132786872e-16,2.3221524447670645e-08,,2.0232101006352537e-08,0.0,1.3986004310123712e-15,0.0,1.0,471,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2989915504083323,0.4810597675775045,0.031935842024323965,0.32229608362516915,5.478488539646862,0.35359595910756725,-0.41798941798941797,0.001494389653163529,28,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.39034877275117386,0.541210785781026,0.8146985769824857,0.35740164175255706,53.22531858907989,0.38801042807461905,0.0403816199376947,0.2804283390147734,321,0.9968847352024922,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2067627316075837,1.6540913222182396,0.16533223779214337,1.230016170564496,-4.981996850200494,3.5308794959401544,-0.09444614495119545,0.028335790026346237,243,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2924652831141397,0.9664427428421578,0.009427241559342393,0.8290658794304816,24.108108048992317,1.5164992416830831,0.3036698480978626,3.0075171480814273e-09,173,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.244578981787992,0.4709650384252533,,0.18665645315956708,-24.30554527677064,86.8161206650954,0.047085892240013416,0.37211121095850086,191,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,403,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,404,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3499836747388939,0.4967729072984653,0.03265549655192607,0.39498106583018344,3.657192499155621,0.493990451889389,-0.2934472934472935,0.032513093519389046,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9770932993268483,0.8746968622209735,0.9488584990142788,0.7127252923518841,22.565994589357757,0.8977578915554486,-0.004530120481927712,0.9150317425557162,250,0.996,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9042391943615766,1.5145072087650886,0.13559037349535139,1.2801955293924727,3.0233429072092783,3.761396250829972,-0.027659794882419972,0.5638011337705916,197,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5994120921013129,1.071465615789501,0.009887251026591262,0.7750211854507422,30.174673970948685,1.7836721042041281,0.05031468654407369,0.24674833844565747,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.3054584576963695,0.31989066026428237,,0.1421453753854025,-30.78561060362511,71.77235518423728,0.005301238010303918,0.9025525012022702,280,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,3.855316022164954e-34,0.0,1.0,558,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,559,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.29587531469370065,0.45830202303845324,0.030294215858784057,0.314433562506276,15.912214496004603,0.39335092685640916,-0.3241379310344828,0.011605514320066219,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.38840793247623057,0.5197929837901674,0.6146926808060785,0.34744809700349166,45.99431533113485,0.4995765064971538,-0.038645800063877356,0.2459960609780537,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8939286049489046,1.5091067903010746,0.15020409963763806,1.0302151483954005,5.826233871961843,3.5858117429116505,-0.1378977820636451,0.0003209757148745961,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.638967969038197,1.0784007804385085,0.010548357293420808,0.8842110547186213,28.153423628049854,1.895449190085244,0.06279473814842391,0.14915781148875462,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.305398844763249,0.3207381464756472,,0.13155890322939762,-28.530325819204954,71.77117653358577,0.11530533974640567,0.00846090445727199,280,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,558,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,559,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31259224147394643,0.4973346576596029,0.03799042775808872,0.35734743509649297,2.559933492785978,0.33467509116808847,-0.3977011494252874,0.0017234661675702629,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17374832700311554,0.3556124982164652,0.26350353500516405,0.27405249662708403,62.830794772109336,0.20400545751696458,-0.016166052530365627,0.6283258872352641,402,0.9975124378109452,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6974015839669128,1.4708589351716754,0.1326116889151577,1.2309806447795324,7.113635247862645,3.2544648556064195,-0.09332476159862851,0.014898198285029885,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.277551305421047,1.2973832392587585,0.009791821183191307,0.750293883214471,0.04095970959438077,2.856198589746234,0.19619398403928792,8.80580697790275e-05,181,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.514070945556266,1.485178568821057,,0.18444015309765927,-87.00217600025016,85.79839052243692,0.007355226354501191,0.8780127356756016,197,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5257858519617554,0.3076862192128306,,0.00027572305559396223,-100.0,3.4428141406996686,-0.011364927832708262,0.7279021618877949,420,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T20:50:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5299931478729498,0.3105553841123453,,0.00027573499679903397,-100.0,3.439796522443761,-0.006809184481393506,0.8346813534910985,421,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6586340425895975,0.6335735514017304,0.03023697154965001,0.3095297258176916,-11.611604151595333,1.3086718510560469,-0.2676923076923077,0.057446554888585626,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3059144708167518,0.9616918885697481,0.7939065905525052,0.3945322745460505,16.727337529209564,2.4652740517543004,0.016810168101681015,0.6800236312530414,271,0.996309963099631,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.41199529181756,5.088477654601104,0.13015345450660978,1.026655448423758,-64.75336582471606,180.48339980923495,-0.09317714387910223,0.04355497564812599,212,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:14.749005+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:39.609986+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20066.91263321144,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20897.535416523042,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,94346114916.68228,269839906.6073004,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,2297057430574.555,280750302.92910033,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -66,9 +66,9 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,380.68390120897556,45690.33634956956,5,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1565.552346444848,1787022.2357811735,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,64791.44260399208,284372.48341344163,7,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,30619.743111159518,11429071.166645743,8,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,30619.743111159518,11663212.597391674,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,2164.2871329316717,24773431.41265387,9,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,273756101415.0104,614429321.3236533,10,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,1350789647832.797,626727801.6282108,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,94182.51370114152,99106271.41688466,11,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,4442.13523689146,124566309.73853382,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Chronos-2,0.004065646210503269,0.18017789189149058,1,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,125.6823083921641,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,128.25709641100804,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,244140.29967899236,13126.801027891192,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,1204656.947262824,13389.548423402162,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Sundial,0.638593280195957,0.670613667501657,1,7,7,1.0
 24,Toto-1.0,1.0890562982930707,0.7701484207066208,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -2,9 +2,9 @@ overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,Chronos-2,1.22353684168191,6.292242495202032,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TiRex,1.1689162120919134,6.08521001296559,2,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.7017793606796376,10.408496738053778,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,3.5541279308684763,9.184076223730425,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,3.5541279308684763,9.212774515164686,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.1618735561040594,3.841847803108096,5,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,64.16066201841335,18.448350250023783,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,82.01979314816886,18.504684863909027,6,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,2.3493667785713606,14.796532883778605,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,7.7608860943607105,3.111828431450043,9,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.724405+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.477258+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.551131+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.215524+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.625634+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.407324+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.615748+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.250352+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.683266+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.443464+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.634514+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.286908+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.717739+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.464399+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.669465+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.319046+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.669615+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.432368+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.699869+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.354194+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.704016+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.453605+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.732738+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.398510+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
     "status": "ok",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "started_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:08.841469+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:17.030870+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-29T07:59:58.811634+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:41.837605+00:00",
     "data_source": "ts_bench",
     "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
-    "task_count": 3,
-    "issued_tasks": 0,
-    "issued_forecasts": 0,
-    "resolved_forecasts": 0,
+    "task_count": 4,
+    "issued_tasks": 1,
+    "issued_forecasts": 12,
+    "resolved_forecasts": 12,
     "pending_tasks": 13,
     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005498+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.407324+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.250352+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005505+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.408774+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.594608+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005507+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.410063+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.546675+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Toto-1.0": {
             "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005508+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.417095+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.626501+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moirai-2.0": {
             "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005509+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.432368+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.354194+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005510+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.443464+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.286908+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005511+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.448355+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.520803+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
             "model": "Sundial",
@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005512+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.451730+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.482745+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
             "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005513+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.453605+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.398510+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
             "model": "ETS",
@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005514+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.464399+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.319046+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
             "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005515+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.477258+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.215524+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
             "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
             "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:46:13.005516+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.482593+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.460015+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
         "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
     },
-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-29T07:48:32.419491+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-26c16e63028ab3282552.json

@@ -0,0 +1,259 @@
+{
+  "source_task_name": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260729t044500z",
+  "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+  "domain": "Transportation",
+  "frequency": "5min",
+  "prediction_length": 12,
+  "context": [
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0,
+    0.0
+  ],
+  "context_timestamps": [
+    "2026-07-27T12:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T13:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T14:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T15:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T16:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T17:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T18:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T19:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T20:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T21:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T22:45:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-27 12:50",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-27 22:45",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-29T07:59:14.150127Z",
+  "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:02.638896Z",
   "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.645239+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T21:35:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.742559+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.482593+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.777629+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.460015+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,0.3810945163794563,0.28435575175498173
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.0009375686681934455,5.276863565657715e-05,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.03061974311116025,nan,nan,0.00650940531410231,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.2743959791217363e-16,4.89826940481528e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.06746124005306e-08,nan,nan,2.0066912633211453e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,2.850897572458074e-16,5.185463218105978e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.6884601187052285e-08,nan,nan,2.0897535416523022e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.007462810791272632,0.007313073714600876,nan,nan,0.005713939241843377,nan,nan,0.08638756155415334,nan,nan,0.06652789445951113,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.41167044686429183,0.39414456918048246,nan,nan,0.16128704558381826,nan,nan,0.6416154976808867,nan,nan,0.4003823315015585,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,4.505239737688367,4.637293624346774,nan,nan,0.1743866448116889,nan,nan,2.1225550022763526,nan,nan,1.7226098181463187,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.694322+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.451730+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.816460+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.482745+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.687314+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.448355+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.892205+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.520803+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.645834+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.410063+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.922208+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.546675+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.641221+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.408774+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:10.969464+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.594608+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.4785189045689047,0.5257197788860285
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7943348078310142,1.1733243406725785e-07,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.891254625699645,nan,nan,0.0013990643402188511,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.09434611491668234,4.6152039212924586e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.3071581268934331,nan,nan,0.00026983990660735594,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,2.297057430574554,6.833754589575783e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.5156046419084872,nan,nan,0.00028075030292913855,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.017530445854179618,0.01764616520390966,nan,nan,0.008785844686044004,nan,nan,0.13240259005842603,nan,nan,0.11551832043051283,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7889958278678243,0.6436201590202713,nan,nan,0.23605742824392614,nan,nan,0.8882543711504178,nan,nan,0.5227477120569817,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,4.574077069769993,3.52044690649218,nan,nan,0.14953388468013915,nan,nan,2.1387092064537416,nan,nan,1.3958665305023301,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T07:32:55.657183+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:02:37.417095+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-22502ecae11878ad9d46",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T01:17:55.337360+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T07:30:11.000562+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T07:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 24,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-e0cc6d7655670c1e5765",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:46:49.337993+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:02.626501+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]