Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:21.939875+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:43.770704+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27290,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2696,
+  "num_model_releases": 27302,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2697,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2634,
-      "num_unique_releases": 220,
+      "num_model_releases": 2646,
+      "num_unique_releases": 221,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26901,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2636,
+      "num_model_releases": 26913,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2637,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4902
+    "prequential-v1": 4914
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,9.709265945706708,1.3492761675353542,0.2703968117132483,0.9214000147209375,21.27275661922329,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444,34.46455608113562,0.4330407329001142,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,8.998288732417032,1.2632108141598777,0.18175638158781546,0.9182751204677445,27.277348784206087,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444,31.683123652580885,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,9.030408766850597,1.3228053552223695,0.37660184902715294,1.103216636133452,17.340015700943663,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444,31.36577758328137,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,9.325236901163498,1.3859527953668458,0.7484269265369349,1.0096530612788368,12.836432960213669,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443,33.108263510029005,-0.011403711544330305,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,9.598661611008326,1.3408846459666421,0.2780745338566126,1.1344922551748975,15.29819244844201,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443,34.390336368764984,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,8.5290471413197,1.3166411460719816,0.5246237596100198,0.9340638840601463,10.727969722086526,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443,29.676210826346836,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,9.453300894166796,1.293947433970565,0.33899389703265137,1.0429058414917542,10.5610879412586,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443,35.16778086730622,0.19999999999999996,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,9.583708185983754,1.4395064772011554,0.7393067035043038,1.1303958031163934,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,33.99635669614081,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,9.235787388587209,1.346491929630115,0.87141516895218,1.1448237985555496,3.3684226964596005,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,34.19899349380125,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,9.650601285443331,1.5427478314494365,0.8333258586059401,1.1074206269347646,-11.317996547817602,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,33.99409330741408,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,9.077167869321867,1.572005635804495,0.28146320429832106,0.9695540243272083,-23.527647167428572,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443,30.25046512501876,0.04444444444444438,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,8.933748616603223,1.543392243749034,0.9376002457476567,1.2684930325409003,-16.539148967438454,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,29.972137788032807,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,9.709265945706708,1.3492761675353542,0.2703968117132483,0.9214000147209375,21.27275661922329,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444,34.46455608113562,0.4330407329001142,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,8.998288732417032,1.2632108141598777,0.18175638158781546,0.9182751204677445,27.277348784206087,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444,31.683123652580885,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,9.030408766850597,1.3228053552223695,0.37660184902715294,1.103216636133452,17.340015700943663,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444,31.36577758328137,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,9.325236901163498,1.3859527953668458,0.7484269265369349,1.0096530612788368,12.836432960213669,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443,33.108263510029005,-0.011403711544330305,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,9.598661611008326,1.3408846459666421,0.2780745338566126,1.1344922551748975,15.29819244844201,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443,34.390336368764984,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,8.5290471413197,1.3166411460719816,0.5246237596100198,0.9340638840601463,10.727969722086526,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443,29.676210826346836,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,9.453300894166796,1.293947433970565,0.33899389703265137,1.0429058414917542,10.5610879412586,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443,35.16778086730622,0.19999999999999996,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,9.583708185983754,1.4395064772011554,0.7393067035043038,1.1303958031163934,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,33.99635669614081,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,9.235787388587209,1.346491929630115,0.87141516895218,1.1448237985555496,3.3684226964596005,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,34.19899349380125,0.21081851067789192,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,9.650601285443331,1.5427478314494365,0.8333258586059401,1.1074206269347646,-11.317996547817602,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,33.99409330741408,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,9.077167869321867,1.572005635804495,0.28146320429832106,0.9695540243272083,-23.527647167428572,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443,30.25046512501876,0.04444444444444438,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,8.933748616603223,1.543392243749034,0.9376002457476567,1.2684930325409003,-16.539148967438454,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,29.972137788032807,-0.2336259337665525,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T14:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080550820081557,0.8771809950683742,0.15955439190055257,0.640053496696569,23.365430440515112,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444,136.2590494079472,0.04016429784605294,0.23076923076923078,13,2589,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.249349651791734,0.8813703093793682,0.19531470963058994,0.673697993267585,24.55445509135055,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444,138.98341015451342,0.03304790161116969,0.23076923076923078,13,2576,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128717542666022,0.8766678418144461,0.13735818366035576,0.7186393434292924,23.939000932615997,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444,136.51397492293978,0.04190973905362839,0.23076923076923078,13,2570,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1878,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1770,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1865,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.012745787441508,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616727,16.12298768528825,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2118,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.919749219557186,1.2341241549169861,0.364099252586681,0.9620747006327411,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.49898128551453,0.035719255876486,0.3076923076923077,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.66051631320256,1.1407629801712331,0.33954811618495045,0.9168313239945658,3.094672664008195,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.74060488280082,0.07806296414892261,0.15384615384615385,13,2409,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.587654226497024,1.144566005775692,0.34631848090502054,0.9016856202159814,1.8391678181446998,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.74729798487004,0.0583086797482346,0.15384615384615385,13,2409,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474087866481934,1.661085065052845,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173751474278,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443,212.98880681351355,-0.005277428885101804,0.15384615384615385,13,1892,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.352767190919938,1.3998386146566753,0.31490192829217983,1.1105540248985522,-3.526347651985269,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,146.60607294930261,0.07264379604035519,0.15384615384615385,13,2409,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080550820081557,0.8771809950683742,0.15955439190055257,0.640053496696569,23.365430440515112,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444,136.2590494079472,0.04016429784605294,0.23076923076923078,13,2590,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.249349651791734,0.8813703093793682,0.19531470963058994,0.673697993267585,24.55445509135055,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444,138.98341015451342,0.03304790161116969,0.23076923076923078,13,2577,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128717542666022,0.8766678418144461,0.13735818366035576,0.7186393434292924,23.939000932615997,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444,136.51397492293978,0.04190973905362839,0.23076923076923078,13,2571,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1879,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1771,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1866,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.0127457874412111,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616301,16.12298768528825,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2119,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.919749219557186,1.2341241549169861,0.364099252586681,0.9620747006327411,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.49898128551453,0.035719255876486,0.3076923076923077,13,2417,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.66051631320256,1.1407629801712331,0.33954811618495045,0.9168313239945658,3.094672664008195,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.74060488280082,0.07806296414892261,0.15384615384615385,13,2410,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.587654226497024,1.144566005775692,0.34631848090502054,0.9016856202159814,1.8391678181446998,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.74729798487004,0.0583086797482346,0.15384615384615385,13,2410,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.473988766617747,1.6610289044755198,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173728712124,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443,212.98848978298426,-0.005428524942865219,0.15384615384615385,13,1893,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.352767190919938,1.3998386146566753,0.31490192829217983,1.1105540248985522,-3.526347651985269,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,146.60607294930261,0.07264379604035519,0.15384615384615385,13,2410,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T12:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,116.79578254085673,1.7538180367730363,0.1561835947376096,1.5364685549497619,16.616174228200574,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444,449.1138383019073,-0.12373970836431428,0.08333333333333333,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,117.5861986314722,1.7381621351550016,0.1525415424991613,1.8161145630566908,18.48835897380593,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444,457.9848464628414,-0.17531342610925668,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.69394408108825,1.735236603942553,0.13800390901255497,1.6084903229232241,17.03010816693182,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444,449.1402894390246,-0.16684328548722827,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.76508057640534,1.7707907333926196,0.21356313456216008,1.5344416046958074,14.404261062632235,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443,449.24249582067984,-0.08924721777724194,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94585311086946,1.8381915981002492,0.1815177189392226,1.7108942355868075,8.544910534425826,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443,449.25415049656766,-0.11454203624154102,0.08333333333333333,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.76914613805882,1.7890812523009512,0.20349116703601206,1.5809974238031863,5.727717042010958,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443,449.35755351707616,-0.09284820571000575,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,116.89562907492257,1.790091074619208,0.18892994571307078,1.5971367646973194,14.132376549898416,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443,449.32760355112566,-0.18149661125563205,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.27989782303786,1.9696508236824906,0.2643483503271948,1.6109739709345459,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,449.50233340154824,-0.129192024169988,0.08333333333333333,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,117.10341130452441,1.9340232999378746,0.27237406079468196,1.742555274976101,-3.054397333338395,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,449.3988230194227,-0.05830619713898502,0.08333333333333333,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,117.18132605849517,2.0109896695947174,0.26349698604309313,1.7368409291033258,-7.514832990246362,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,449.34540022236087,0.03277228959167561,0.08333333333333333,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.87960133166703,2.3639505064208417,0.17300469100371424,1.4768664244432346,-25.992408667577248,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443,576.4078313107514,-0.1030451294635918,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,118.37661376415402,2.284201180364344,0.3798180519565072,2.016936681759553,-13.173534803364594,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,450.5468515822155,0.03544392874291982,0.0,12,219,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.79578254085673,1.7538180367730363,0.1561835947376096,1.5364685549497619,16.616174228200574,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444,449.1138383019073,-0.12373970836431428,0.08333333333333333,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.5861986314722,1.7381621351550016,0.1525415424991613,1.8161145630566908,18.48835897380593,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444,457.9848464628414,-0.17531342610925668,0.0,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.69394408108825,1.735236603942553,0.13800390901255497,1.6084903229232241,17.03010816693182,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444,449.1402894390246,-0.16684328548722827,0.0,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.76508057640534,1.7707907333926196,0.21356313456216008,1.5344416046958074,14.404261062632235,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443,449.24249582067984,-0.08924721777724194,0.0,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.94585311086946,1.8381915981002492,0.1815177189392226,1.7108942355868075,8.544910534425826,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443,449.25415049656766,-0.11454203624154102,0.08333333333333333,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.76914613805882,1.7890812523009512,0.20349116703601206,1.5809974238031863,5.727717042010958,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443,449.35755351707616,-0.09284820571000575,0.0,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,116.89562907492257,1.7900910746176006,0.18892994571307078,1.5971367646970744,14.132376549898416,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443,449.32760355112566,-0.18149661125563205,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.27989782303786,1.9696508236824906,0.2643483503271948,1.6109739709345459,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,449.50233340154824,-0.129192024169988,0.08333333333333333,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.10341130452441,1.9340232999378746,0.27237406079468196,1.742555274976101,-3.054397333338395,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,449.3988230194227,-0.05830619713898502,0.08333333333333333,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.18132605849517,2.0109896695947174,0.26349698604309313,1.7368409291033258,-7.514832990246362,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,449.34540022236087,0.03277228959167561,0.08333333333333333,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.87897766909842,2.3636612879402175,0.17300469100371424,1.4768664137280458,-25.992408667577248,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443,576.4056320253386,-0.10404123480752324,0.0,12,221,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.37661376415402,2.284201180364344,0.3798180519565072,2.016936681759553,-13.173534803364594,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,450.5468515822155,0.03544392874291982,0.0,12,220,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T11:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080112792412056,0.8768466305453532,0.15954746053906435,0.6401039735968256,23.49573248061474,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444,136.2587065099782,0.036744662647631245,0.23076923076923078,13,2641,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.24704706322068,0.8798504362219073,0.19507785504704886,0.6731477716233177,24.70774804158473,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444,138.981575316249,0.036180138570671073,0.23076923076923078,13,2627,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128722171704908,0.8766572973677105,0.13732409998937486,0.718629610017136,23.922494826966194,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444,136.51493421646944,0.037908337085504326,0.23076923076923078,13,2622,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1878,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1770,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1865,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.012745787441508,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616727,16.12298768528825,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2118,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.916238199927134,1.2333872817959273,0.36419375647294866,0.961930353567526,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.49623979906673,0.040124411436400345,0.3076923076923077,13,2476,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.663191031609625,1.1422227147197987,0.339908588815799,0.9183271101224462,3.003063021721989,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.74154029286873,0.06652189012150125,0.15384615384615385,13,2467,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.598933213818036,1.1480165131747118,0.34682970928828905,0.9044778431198086,1.711487573849063,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,141.7576439292143,0.042580714782066,0.15384615384615385,13,2467,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.474087866481934,1.661085065052845,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173751474278,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443,212.98880681351355,-0.005277428885101804,0.15384615384615385,13,1892,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.391376231720688,1.4084224127930958,0.3158377870468887,1.117485547205315,-3.8074900336254367,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444,146.63310914549132,0.050010508765892345,0.15384615384615385,13,2467,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.080112792412056,0.8768466305453532,0.15954746053906435,0.6401039735968256,23.49573248061474,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444,136.2587065099782,0.036744662647631245,0.23076923076923078,13,2642,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.24704706322068,0.8798504362219073,0.19507785504704886,0.6731477716233177,24.70774804158473,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444,138.981575316249,0.036180138570671073,0.23076923076923078,13,2628,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.128722171704908,0.8766572973677105,0.13732409998937486,0.718629610017136,23.922494826966194,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444,136.51493421646944,0.037908337085504326,0.23076923076923078,13,2623,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.602349540185493,0.9257778574580227,0.2402433165999742,0.6713745964003215,22.11816806767198,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443,155.8286056463675,0.07020588078291597,0.15384615384615385,13,1879,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.27910023274026,0.9731667486772779,0.19976123874663784,0.8184649261232971,18.623225095950026,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443,163.18415659059318,0.04825163520798669,0.15384615384615385,13,1771,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.865091273936738,0.9721266016176623,0.2729959684665744,0.7194070825910759,11.495308138679151,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443,156.7740143425172,0.028713480064759937,0.15384615384615385,13,1866,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.26033962190114,1.0127457874412111,0.22186566820451595,0.7657625262616301,16.12298768528825,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443,150.76947873125388,0.0057027189020970506,0.3076923076923077,13,2119,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.916238199927134,1.2333872817959273,0.36419375647294866,0.961930353567526,0.0,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.49623979906673,0.040124411436400345,0.3076923076923077,13,2477,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.663191031609625,1.1422227147197987,0.339908588815799,0.9183271101224462,3.003063021721989,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.74154029286873,0.06652189012150125,0.15384615384615385,13,2468,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.598933213818036,1.1480165131747118,0.34682970928828905,0.9044778431198086,1.711487573849063,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,141.7576439292143,0.042580714782066,0.15384615384615385,13,2468,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.473988766617747,1.6610289044755198,0.2801181927352999,0.7016173728712124,-19.1499479355202,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443,212.98848978298426,-0.005428524942865219,0.15384615384615385,13,1893,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.391376231720688,1.4084224127930958,0.3158377870468887,1.117485547205315,-3.8074900336254367,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444,146.63310914549132,0.050010508765892345,0.15384615384615385,13,2468,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T11:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2636,13,32.85069444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2627,13,32.85069444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2622,13,32.85069444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1878,13,27.506944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1767,13,29.506944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1865,13,27.506944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120948831194908,11,2116,13,29.506944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013870652937864,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232714083824,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1892,13,27.506944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.3659161018849712,11,2467,13,32.85069444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693079246871507,11,2637,13,32.85069444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667369816728343,11,2628,13,32.85069444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6090119493092693,11,2623,13,32.85069444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5781841316947822,11,1879,13,27.506944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5593819515932027,11,1768,13,29.506944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5234302043906536,11,1866,13,27.506944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5120949820491378,11,2117,13,29.506944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38640236279498746,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38013867355282954,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3749232384318333,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37383869585938806,11,1893,13,27.506944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.3659160689084221,11,2468,13,32.85069444444444

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -909,6 +909,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:46.878824
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.108551+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.805291+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.338675+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.699641+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.934066+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.45706129472824225,0.6760630848731812,0.0709042554233114,0.5180426101271601,-46.80476648674755,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.179877+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.074847+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.5533449473995729,1.246332599027873,0.007617779048041608,0.408376850713864,-11.267600289885534,True
@@ -3432,6 +3433,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.011206
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.114647+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.811511+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.403510+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.789204+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.979802+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1615207646193432,0.4018964600731676,0.039306603273815084,0.27376678620415634,1.2523850137506776,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.253888+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.081061+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7451756641357644,0.8632355785854545,0.011992899324124798,0.470808834313843,24.87842749582528,True
@@ -5773,6 +5775,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.063143
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.119503+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.817742+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.431356+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.826170+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:06.994639+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17025615543719397,0.41262107972956735,0.0408125423319906,0.2868495755554309,-1.3809812915106425,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.300883+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.086952+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06862906855050872,0.2619715033176485,0.003397453815703873,0.26403630876796247,89.50122308501588,True
@@ -7882,6 +7885,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.088195
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.124849+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.826226+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.485910+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.873158+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.018191+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,8.36850853025704,2.892837453134386,0.32238085929367655,2.4526931570249015,-96.11869352351204,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.329730+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.099359+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1249375414614005,1.0606307281336895,0.014544243424165,0.8513437997343267,4.814779413233832,True
@@ -10108,6 +10112,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.115486
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.129590+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.831826+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.513270+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.935113+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.046211+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.17643482089144027,0.42004145139669286,0.04038369536654553,0.28537952990688914,-3.1623853464878704,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.370763+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.105422+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.19475792666528904,0.4413138641208647,0.005682141306575585,0.30411435494243944,72.82766335596553,True
@@ -12227,6 +12232,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.141794
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.134249+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.837582+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.537190+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:52.978125+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.068058+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4433921755982233,0.6658769973487771,0.06470880661679483,0.4629350978403084,-45.610809056797954,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.412945+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.111089+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3685648386938727,1.1698567599043366,0.016547297554010756,0.9744052711906073,-4.979129624278005,True
@@ -14696,6 +14702,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.194568
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.140708+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.843580+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.563377+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.040027+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.097805+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16561779896385845,0.40696166768365105,0.04282464219269857,0.30518653333313284,0.0,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.438722+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.125374+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2387435731628236,1.1129885772831738,0.016857532908217426,0.7129797183915976,0.0,True
@@ -17030,6 +17037,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.243475
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.145405+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.763237905488187e-16,2.1824843425528135e-08,,2.0176064304863224e-08,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.849310+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2901537907739342e-15,5.735986219277322e-08,,5.148208780488183e-08,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.592176+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.524252808761388e-16,2.350372908446953e-08,,1.984904148533962e-08,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.119266+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.6101825345273e-16,2.1471335623401027e-08,,1.9980373083199825e-08,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.142677+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1214909556575604,0.3485555273662439,0.036349162023730446,0.24799327488285972,15.36938271509123,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.477980+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.292083076232015e-15,6.551399145397886e-08,,5.4135894464217785e-08,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.134642+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11087755408371491,0.3329828134960045,0.0038939316914854125,0.22052174794609486,83.56908441261223,True
@@ -19021,6 +19029,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.295737
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.149943+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.860139+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.620577+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.163104+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.172797+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.15720314258980053,0.39648851507931543,0.0360371528327544,0.30419367003074066,2.6066017692533245,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.515181+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.140302+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4298863891977236,1.195778570303768,0.0164086142311215,1.0280513919208816,-7.162582251224666,True
@@ -21110,6 +21119,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.398745
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.158510+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.870811+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.692134+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.250140+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.207875+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.15430869339815959,0.3928214523141011,0.03884651743557952,0.2688362946572729,3.5349074977204014,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.597299+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.151492+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8336563801195399,0.913047852042564,0.012851777380109475,0.4925696637105638,19.54676713834546,True
@@ -23737,6 +23747,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.346826
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.154090+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.865432+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.664071+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.190963+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.191349+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16543656206931906,0.4067389360134078,0.04388123414869979,0.3035493851227495,0.05474535782394516,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.569849+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.145745+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0119996646288427,1.005981940508299,0.01216596716815608,0.8493372590813686,10.074179263399781,True
@@ -26070,6 +26081,7 @@ future-4d784e07b7407b7ecea5,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-24T04:46:47.475914
 future-4fe5ea381ecd9adb3a45,2026-07-21T05:50:00+00:00,2026-07-21T18:06:53.164425+00:00,2026-07-21T15:52:44.201693+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.250587232552161,2.291415988543364,,0.000278871728938965,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-51072fc4de1c6ce28a56,2026-07-20T18:25:00+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.876457+00:00,2026-07-20T15:34:22.802139+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0700966078879521,1.0344547394100683,,0.0002773883441705039,-100.0,False
 future-5160832220bb49a6c1a5,2026-07-26T06:50:00+00:00,2026-07-27T13:17:16.720158+00:00,2026-07-27T12:47:09.529272+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,6.0017383593976236e-05,0.007747088717316734,,0.0002882348257079077,-100.00000000000001,False
+future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00,2026-07-28T13:02:53.272789+00:00,2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.6693738415081834e-05,0.007529524448136272,,0.0002635377821846945,-100.0,False
 future-52b687507aa2377d8860,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T03:02:07.251088+00:00,2026-07-22T01:55:04.686479+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.41704085864316737,0.6457870071805156,0.03676252649616849,0.2561231249298517,-43.151003833342365,True
 future-5343e0a7561c92001ba7,2026-07-24T17:05:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.641820+00:00,2026-07-24T14:18:22.635439+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2617752040188335,1.8060385389074158,,0.00027909050587721947,-100.0,False
 future-534dda962f632e15ce02,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.158078+00:00,2026-07-16T15:07:54.368533+00:00,prequential-v1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.9760469416248085,1.4057193680193811,0.015060241658669767,0.6451170222257809,-22.93472514213546,True

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0362152760069723,1.262423873577054,0.014552071672063134,1.1868424577746526,9.843546699249252,2.1311933119335262,0.03426791277258567,0.45576305814672124,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.599290482127929,0.37824235095358666,,0.1544500791188132,-31.504900545250898,73.40107786129059,0.050530265813845114,0.25648544573562637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0372713909008047,1.338757409135639,0.08841225349586862,1.0471920629078773,-60.04842052552159,1.3229518329527603,-0.019704433497536943,0.8964941426465813,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2069314908540048,0.9683597005873055,1.296421741333044,0.7582291070114519,5.258874464344955,1.184210721997817,0.07457641093292658,0.02952535717376509,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.642668390401371,1.4291009307200675,0.13270701076162955,1.0415510999232118,11.598549038427826,3.392521142542207,-0.1264049636081613,0.001329558197059011,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6143995287769621,1.071300987091728,0.010071875487467954,0.7740100183681309,28.269168769570957,1.8996766414901718,0.07963854998066172,0.06675174172264038,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.355475341293883,0.3268894646817857,,0.14289066593732003,-30.757167929547776,72.0247193582162,0.027708607448669223,0.524061189722645,278,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,3.8553599893501454e-34,0.0,1.0,551,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855353639958734e-34,0.0,1.0,552,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3050272072682975,0.4849039749140633,0.03248454496927092,0.32868574233935344,8.695873973865309,0.3637335838792971,-0.31034482758620685,0.018062900791912716,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.329635522526068,0.4799541882107777,0.4810543741945129,0.3150902524855434,50.33679493777386,0.42253082016698157,-0.04154613466334165,0.21404591802754136,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.7878878465279024,1.4852479970989572,0.14705923915976638,1.011446662698795,7.310432629870646,3.4682706268177075,-0.04823123382226057,0.20901726293026146,305,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.362298354965361,0.9909761575747218,0.009923004027311918,0.7225046602720693,22.098942754948517,1.5901846812739464,0.22059578839239857,1.3058414977773687e-05,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.146502745234649,0.4640976066858245,,0.18604790924853376,-23.861185256686266,86.3541339936029,0.03029709936667467,0.5625943134386098,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.2148618499168915e-06,-100.0,2.0219572605062717e-28,0.0,1.0,409,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219512169021495e-28,0.0,1.0,410,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34961672975930663,0.4845803469664631,0.032520078799656196,0.33712340507115973,9.025963259699289,0.562485284793877,-0.19999999999999996,0.16991295403230983,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3238711239886847,1.043890134553759,1.0896861427621487,0.7011390389636161,7.083048395618678,1.0721505210435176,-0.005774728416237851,0.888594311104474,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.03953168262844,1.5710343092675203,0.141761317242231,1.076496996460011,-1.470514477674246,3.759265705643246,-0.05991001657589392,0.2009202188216379,206,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9075679929227745,1.145442111216266,0.010256259035586813,0.8906745144318265,25.146768370353712,2.4464040828135194,0.09780176385415296,0.033282650029523714,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.617600416355447,0.3739731138723638,,0.15104386616672305,-31.472826314209396,73.45602985426834,0.08546965378688869,0.05493922834975637,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.660516480548183,2.225192339732908,0.15960783427971914,1.7959679609048849,-79.30302139698192,3.8990647260009315,0.04926108374384236,0.7239201974279224,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9115180287397153,1.2292916063045047,1.4692498426421519,0.9342177570708378,-11.971992251944604,1.7087566629926263,0.09213835181597065,0.007168384324553285,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.881789957840418,1.9109640170752107,0.18518516691996545,1.5271174639958454,-5.23247461085654,12.036677544706185,-0.17752058226941891,6.56305097443338e-06,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3295117699164924,0.9463672571957353,0.008979569418290392,0.6916022759067921,31.367009216121886,1.6457491264731656,0.30895702405890946,9.19671354596505e-10,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.100111110781787,0.4617357328719779,,0.18368681787145308,-23.853740960014722,86.13883715818955,0.018059507115598637,0.7294743344364885,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,410,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,2.5274315034513633e-29,0.0,1.0,411,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34076853139363533,0.5028654711604497,0.033287769041700964,0.34285408620963204,0.43057480191444525,0.537567756002475,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7137639106573812,0.7116403793829745,0.8600182435382184,0.471350931760347,38.115967592246065,0.8615465383189976,0.055639097744360905,0.17628942102234724,266,0.9962406015037594,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8688820113851063,1.5111751889082585,0.13646046897449665,1.0171774950623418,3.351648045559635,3.682506707780746,-0.029914529914529916,0.5210370980061367,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.5860092119298526,1.3524317650973139,0.012695978639958229,1.1287234384232716,13.44189853303409,2.9101870458041974,-0.008907024702733534,0.8462843005375524,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.651444394367591,0.3942358553298985,,0.17000338480769658,-32.24454151259877,73.46485498501788,0.07508817098522107,0.09175886015298916,267,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,531,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9273834742740605,0.9016982078707616,0.0646813713439241,0.6859666764987647,-41.28342324098874,0.6697749727682409,-0.05911330049261083,0.668894784416208,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4077582591491242,1.0308604571005533,2.0681274757774957,0.9015068275107776,5.458150940708723,1.571985041159229,0.15688942023608307,4.681405812895527e-06,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.631290839671014,1.4332679737031624,0.1416579623183331,1.136058821099961,11.467976619468008,3.4999974058427137,-0.09375969454719008,0.017282926369031178,290,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.089598510340393,1.5130203684629175,0.01368788348877177,1.0266377342367037,0.0,3.1864761823370666,-0.013119213724715898,0.775230539748514,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.929177288891505,0.43497828753725376,,0.17006187003650167,0.0,73.36311789158563,0.14987256094647441,0.0020535464139517976,268,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,532,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,533,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39647700304925787,0.54863940015927,0.03875276121808834,0.39106434616248387,0.0,0.46887968125286356,-0.33004926108374383,0.011674730549296571,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.478706230789006,1.0684674548323743,2.0989330754451956,0.939329577800972,0.0,1.5963788368636125,0.17542684510546389,2.954514362409001e-07,383,0.9973890339425587,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0722296870151973,1.5799632771322931,0.1496278236622612,1.2811680142484092,0.0,3.592425197906636,-0.08979736935655883,0.02237146474422088,291,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.3336485273273295,1.369431003685908,0.014044892580721374,1.0786778106569637,3.2340679926689107,2.076739478282935,-0.15919790758500432,0.00125367582101177,186,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.67219911042576,0.41365605923879284,,0.1605996742886166,-30.648143148874812,79.1089593562742,0.03125118663375735,0.4804678699598274,230,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.643800417386088e-16,2.3258719306190515e-08,,2.023718579755897e-08,0.0,1.4116828612337039e-15,0.0,1.0,462,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.639408154140172e-16,2.3254858866270882e-08,,2.023663112646964e-08,0.0,1.4101859088994316e-15,0.0,1.0,463,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30978891113489,0.4956772566894806,0.032907023608860275,0.3317689795201935,4.092702437208488,0.35559679062311217,-0.37321937321937326,0.005900024667731748,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.387781854649249,0.5396562605570473,0.7867773914727759,0.35647089830739165,53.23095821098155,0.38422844568853265,0.03708112612344504,0.3239142659462769,318,0.9968553459119497,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2068171045462255,1.6532986732723154,0.1655272503431966,1.2290265733958226,-4.921866333476962,3.5435589077989937,-0.10013831258644537,0.02061141750810736,241,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2930236112584452,0.9657022022428051,0.009435472005290437,0.8282398664622558,23.80957906614156,1.5209091532305468,0.3034135726914185,3.4484971719621384e-09,172,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.392098836959779,0.478461687333304,,0.1896166153561543,-24.156735467553865,87.50177677258473,0.02407922534475048,0.651359253682845,188,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,395,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,396,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3627555185114735,0.5107314929902669,0.03355682757102783,0.40559998873585773,3.718126622914688,0.4992065903079575,-0.23692307692307696,0.09409290644202206,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9678632004653139,0.8695569315673842,0.9208796807236558,0.7082103355250312,22.710379666449732,0.8970525139453738,-0.01787301273822455,0.6756701072586739,247,0.9959514170040485,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9011134846321696,1.5120083014532495,0.13555876677473053,1.2778606486823414,3.1923669104628583,3.778619118493681,-0.03663758921490881,0.4468997368955213,195,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6044818304930752,1.0733341728449766,0.00990931419231941,0.775637081946561,29.88973440242601,1.785704738010647,0.053788604049214615,0.21659803303164127,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.373748585076873,0.32333913287656235,,0.14293217516575366,-30.756548717209284,72.15834119159638,-0.0062267238781133355,0.8864109501814693,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,551,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30586831742315235,0.47141716039930026,0.031164447064971287,0.32074666933005247,14.706159785040878,0.396419029203761,-0.2807881773399014,0.03315447182691332,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3905877560745735,0.5218767380304975,0.6156232299650357,0.3482478007323594,45.77245857499929,0.5007019588202541,-0.031221945137157113,0.3504317430000361,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.895640253536301,1.508523968610139,0.15034840281052772,1.0296021159005146,5.895901483706021,3.5968041503855366,-0.14234844537085287,0.00021426313539021729,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6453848622382907,1.0815005714223864,0.010579608774461076,0.8863769556681769,27.825438502908504,1.8968683448062447,0.06908388757777299,0.1132848151615818,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.373687751904842,0.32416241870393114,,0.132900335476447,-28.4755306770127,72.1571562110114,0.10630055599391303,0.01591796775773983,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,550,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,551,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3226648021472211,0.5095483963504411,0.038763270367779684,0.36433482943848794,2.8079116098780363,0.3359394049576855,-0.3546798029556649,0.006518643400864223,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.1748447505989599,0.3570826426347553,0.2645802184154796,0.2751624521712984,62.59470640040418,0.20437352664173922,-0.007644739990680219,0.8196036509621707,399,0.9974937343358395,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6979168803211935,1.4701912573594818,0.13257353065894328,1.2309706076189924,7.170898002036358,3.2637140341094106,-0.09727288518325516,0.011424178344997619,304,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.28199037431467,1.2978356815478813,0.009816543535913609,0.7495388373219307,-0.37220432904438483,2.8635395035234312,0.19739292364990688,8.348137639666252e-05,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.682607758878929,1.4965809610154772,,0.18725679989482535,-87.82084644535625,86.45179411298851,0.011270765450563538,0.8154749882228374,194,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5321238645772428,0.30905566410756813,,0.000275758783282491,-100.0,3.4752798466818198,-0.011858361089457398,0.7192060406965104,412,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5308355663427663,0.3083255766023395,,0.0002757291924808014,-100.0,3.471158449801364,-0.013822609840381769,0.6747890190012967,413,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6842781864590141,0.6536203898554627,0.031095016624194248,0.31729018203317877,-12.202435017151721,1.3289735382530592,-0.20666666666666664,0.1556965251316672,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3080360130107949,0.9612096722414085,0.760863845563944,0.3931554778434868,16.54661710730222,2.477856423167654,0.013360165464810779,0.7444670098080898,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:06:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.893550851653345,5.115976641537143,0.13016770391072469,1.02535087139364,-65.06094840341238,181.27678755574658,-0.08206880838459785,0.07686337263333232,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T05:20:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:19.740943+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:41.533046+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20093.372478637284,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,19980.37308319982,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,56644802573.60047,270918477.96659964,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,56693738.41508186,263537782.18460026,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,0.9999999992768215,37.386477644085666,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,0.9999999995353399,48.54032089423749,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,141.75110660798737,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.000000016685016,141.35196075076342,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0000000011067427,500.21721043865716,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459941977067664,1793.003683022749,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0000000464887806,640.3529395628324,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,586012.3641288782,16464.907974199203,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,18539.34102494038,16239.080607305477,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,ETS,0.031050189676036656,0.14314006512872457,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.03752870175584104,0.1890409737883149,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Toto-1.0,0.1764663682104904,0.19336747018849068,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,125.76514223385358,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,125.41101000372825,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,189172.27927403056,13153.009293671033,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,5984.736180677599,12972.606860801507,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Chronos-2,0.44339020476480734,0.7317235055481944,1,7,7,1.0
 24,TiRex,0.4145108564513675,0.7448889973096526,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,0.45013556406182037,1.2302079956988832,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,0.574193754403255,1.3623863537716332,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,0.7163584983911029,1.6390921400644622,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.7163584983911029,1.6383812324802158,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,0.9863758157442558,2.2908591784015755,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.6064018327666338,2.0886252191004973,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.617431836617034,2.4314437573546845,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,8.772314476341883,3.1018289656441853,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,5.156723075841523,3.0952454792199227,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.5796655895945683,0.7951208817963624,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,1.1078311296961936,2.7770391876762908,10,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.267990+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.565090+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.455146+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.699641+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.163834+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.425389+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.537982+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.789204+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.224737+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.501840+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.562834+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.826170+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.265949+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.547029+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.618875+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.873158+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.215484+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.485188+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.647830+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.935113+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.263355+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.540260+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.690818+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
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+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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results/online_status.json

@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
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-    "started_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:14.195676+00:00",
-    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:21.952312+00:00",
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+    "finished_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:43.782204+00:00",
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     "failed_forecasts": [],
     "models": {
@@ -19,8 +19,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:18.065773+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.425389+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.789204+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TiRex": {
             "model": "TiRex",
@@ -28,8 +38,18 @@
             "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.446195+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.250140+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TimesFM-2.5": {
             "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -37,8 +57,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+                {
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+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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         "Toto-1.0": {
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@@ -46,8 +76,18 @@
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
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@@ -55,8 +95,18 @@
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+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
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+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Chronos-Bolt": {
             "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -64,8 +114,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.501840+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.826170+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "TabPFN-TS": {
             "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -73,8 +133,18 @@
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             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:18.065784+00:00",
-            "resolved_tasks": []
+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.504059+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.163104+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Sundial": {
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@@ -82,8 +152,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.516520+00:00",
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.119266+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Moving-Average": {
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@@ -91,8 +171,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.540260+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
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+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.978125+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ETS": {
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@@ -100,8 +190,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.547029+00:00",
+            "resolved_tasks": [
+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:52.873158+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "ARIMA": {
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@@ -109,8 +209,18 @@
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-            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:51:18.065788+00:00",
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.565090+00:00",
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+                {
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         },
         "Seasonal-Naive": {
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@@ -118,8 +228,18 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.578531+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
+                    "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+                }
+            ]
         }
     },
     "skipped_models": [],
@@ -142,7 +262,5 @@
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-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-28T12:52:12.528536+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6.json

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+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.326072+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T09:55:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00"
 }

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+    "2026-07-27T08:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T08:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T09:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T10:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:10:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:15:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:20:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:25:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:30:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:35:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:40:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:45:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:50:00",
+    "2026-07-27T11:55:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:00:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:05:00",
+    "2026-07-27T12:10:00"
+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-27 02:15",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-27 12:10",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:11.714674Z",
+  "task_id": "future-b3b9c8c2cf1d20efcf96",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.599643+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.269866+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.578531+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.743842+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.040027+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,1.7146618576285901,1.7036796647957921,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.858888894304227,0.8588889156033064,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.9267625878854988,nan,nan,0.26111115829921516,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.810364256651604e-16,4.850652127733738e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9520154345321156e-08,nan,nan,2.0093372478637274e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.6101825345273e-16,5.062767486648986e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.1471335623401027e-08,nan,nan,1.9980373083199825e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.03484559946889979,0.03321369616330838,nan,nan,0.011084302742851744,nan,nan,0.18666976045653402,nan,nan,0.12063016584599584,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.6303455365915963,0.6415315188316835,nan,nan,0.20164099259077636,nan,nan,0.7939430310743941,nan,nan,0.5322883490144747,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,1.1304476064801594,1.1426146677625701,nan,nan,0.09235264505865295,nan,nan,1.0632250968069552,nan,nan,0.731749763844937,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.252370+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.516520+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.809922+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.119266+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.232581+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.504059+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.841833+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.163104+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.206125+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.453995+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.872515+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.190963+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.189225+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.446195+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:51.966847+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.250140+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,4.477663680103048,2.0890328378534413,
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,5.2070346013833895,0.8589046526404256,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.2818927672840785,nan,nan,0.2612795014341266,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.05664480257360054,9.193819561788989e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.23800168607302039,nan,nan,0.0002709184779666463,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,5.6693738415081834e-05,2.4794807142746873e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.007529524448136272,nan,nan,0.0002635377821846945,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.14581109734968253,0.10758165581966579,nan,nan,0.019716449559055497,nan,nan,0.3818521930664829,nan,nan,0.23765672698505458,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.1922552346989179,0.0207485223913015,nan,nan,0.038427529676929355,nan,nan,0.43846919469777795,nan,nan,0.18244261514970586,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,2.554995718742831,1.2207269681748636,nan,nan,0.10368288653439751,nan,nan,1.5984353971126988,nan,nan,0.8256745826761597,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,14 +4,14 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T12:25:35.208881+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T13:05:39.464515+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
             "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-915c3cd2da3f0a7f5bda",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T11:48:19.276268+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.008060+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-27T09:05:00+00:00",
+            "task_id": "future-5216a66c2c0ec7b6bde6",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T12:22:52.423566+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T13:02:53.272789+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T10:50:00+00:00",
             "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }