Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:25:32.844243+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:39.597916+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,33 +13,33 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27158,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2685,
+  "num_model_releases": 27170,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2686,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
-      "num_model_releases": 180,
-      "num_unique_releases": 15,
+      "num_model_releases": 192,
+      "num_unique_releases": 16,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 24 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2550,
-      "num_unique_releases": 213,
+      "num_model_releases": 2562,
+      "num_unique_releases": 214,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 26777,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2627,
+      "num_model_releases": 26789,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2628,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 4770
+    "prequential-v1": 4782
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,8.512340325981382,1.1169180524795583,0.3331681036685062,0.7584891341372985,19.98022781003579,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664,35.84896204825565,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,7.849377543788855,1.0701246512523868,0.2722533987906331,0.7891002564438317,21.9005037844282,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664,33.205086631895504,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,7.828783608364252,1.0883918680770466,0.39971195385102853,0.9042109061412342,15.413815495966132,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664,32.70898371510608,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,8.258518247461542,1.1877478362851888,0.8982808727099679,0.8722689986425731,9.787752302463414,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668,34.497535955743366,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,8.401670741814286,1.1097562243426036,0.34972011617853144,0.9236690665746422,13.989433668993103,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668,35.77084664923236,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,7.469995440181427,1.1385143423726674,0.6650672600064403,0.7823076123233369,4.905330129440893,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668,31.06580311628964,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,8.432493322881909,1.091633168720757,0.43223003458512316,0.8621501797408905,7.874272791577716,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668,36.475509506072065,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,8.61231843569269,1.2532057664921026,0.8912562999196895,1.0394109617581229,0.0,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,35.56627516958364,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,8.290674179557419,1.1664950201377202,1.0251502596517226,0.9850398669138531,-0.2692323704505521,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,35.747667885581166,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,9.210789133037654,1.53077329264352,1.0357529991736019,1.3682937718084056,-19.965048310190905,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,34.565504888241946,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,7.944322991849279,1.3983743489894476,0.4150548213601574,0.8452705329065926,-30.289921896938655,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668,31.416888084082945,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,8.01881668233872,1.4265440908046112,1.1484019687759257,1.1699877214959014,-25.53740577941169,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,31.066837848493517,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,8.512340325981382,1.1169180524795583,0.3331681036685062,0.7584891341372985,19.98022781003579,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,35.84896204825565,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,7.849377543788855,1.0701246512523868,0.2722533987906331,0.7891002564438317,21.9005037844282,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,33.205086631895504,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,7.828783608364252,1.0883918680770466,0.39971195385102853,0.9042109061412342,15.413815495966132,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,32.70898371510608,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,8.258518247461542,1.1877478362851888,0.8982808727099679,0.8722689986425731,9.787752302463414,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,34.497535955743366,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,8.401670741814286,1.1097562243426036,0.34972011617853144,0.9236690665746422,13.989433668993103,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,35.77084664923236,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,7.469995440181427,1.1385143423726674,0.6650672600064403,0.7823076123233369,4.905330129440893,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,31.06580311628964,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,8.432493322881909,1.091633168762654,0.43223003458512316,0.8621501797382342,7.874272791577716,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,36.475509506072065,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,8.61231843569269,1.2532057664921026,0.8912562999196895,1.0394109617581229,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,35.56627516958364,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,8.290674179557419,1.1664950201377202,1.0251502596517226,0.9850398669138531,-0.2692323704505521,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,35.747667885581166,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,9.210789133037654,1.53077329264352,1.0357529991736019,1.3682937718084056,-19.965048310190905,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,34.565504888241946,-0.5555555555555557,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,7.945213305915173,1.401145848045777,0.4150548213601574,0.8452705990664876,-30.289921896938655,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,31.387044827892854,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,8.01881668233872,1.4265440908046112,1.1484019687759257,1.1699877214959014,-25.53740577941169,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,31.066837848493517,-0.11111111111111112,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-27T09:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.130724854552627,0.8758579965635972,0.15964586924135238,0.639259480937585,23.343999141716548,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664,136.5793956125096,0.039314924356924665,0.23076923076923078,13,2579,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.300430907121266,0.8800236354704345,0.19553949408295182,0.6729918239807595,24.534194448627506,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664,139.31186932110703,0.03306889699182632,0.23076923076923078,13,2566,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.179186080958944,0.8751932160685933,0.13738824277205328,0.7173338118959146,23.941327001664035,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664,136.83672565482505,0.04151143048349411,0.23076923076923078,13,2560,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.69231340595149,0.9245152315841323,0.24072719119085173,0.6706747620678658,22.129140589636606,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668,156.3136782409905,0.06894599826987663,0.15384615384615385,13,1867,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.388267630993425,0.9719965465026194,0.20000391943458096,0.8172351329826376,18.62005372322704,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668,163.74057661949922,0.047130724745390276,0.15384615384615385,13,1759,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.957614429050665,0.9711353229973398,0.27361481880343863,0.7187085584873392,11.47522203999817,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668,157.26764961919466,0.02815203134779423,0.15384615384615385,13,1854,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.341980753088585,1.0117979439787956,0.22216093446321353,0.7648116754520398,16.112876451931648,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668,151.2049810220281,0.004735879465716553,0.3076923076923077,13,2107,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.979659884861146,1.232697410411877,0.36451581326755245,0.9610017632059376,0.0,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,141.85477019062802,0.03578744828787388,0.3076923076923077,13,2407,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.721959068686273,1.1396314983200277,0.3399644995786557,0.9159283521159322,3.079115958122188,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,142.09913067107783,0.07794326940717787,0.15384615384615385,13,2399,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.6491490808608,1.1435612217541982,0.34701881384296746,0.902071268644958,1.807773444898534,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,142.10570155570323,0.05853616758906145,0.15384615384615385,13,2399,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59762557821943,1.660373215842544,0.2808503204391648,0.7008920156229265,-19.16603835135675,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668,213.5932746652705,-0.006729042815494483,0.15384615384615385,13,1881,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.41248789389177,1.3988728410761258,0.3153194740457652,1.1097760635687752,-3.577962500236581,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,146.96332968502088,0.07230158578694158,0.15384615384615385,13,2399,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.128948009899961,0.8757674938165181,0.15964586924135238,0.6392197752866647,23.353098629397195,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,136.56939218289276,0.03899055006564814,0.23076923076923078,13,2580,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.298642451188151,0.8799338025170406,0.19553949408295182,0.6729519627258111,24.54329375311463,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,139.30181088771138,0.03276491671351088,0.23076923076923078,13,2567,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.177397642103758,0.8751031519889251,0.13738824277205328,0.7172967669158626,23.9497514684806,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,136.82666738770283,0.041166096503146656,0.23076923076923078,13,2561,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688650420477227,0.9243312067496312,0.24072719119085173,0.6706013304526169,22.139277567339846,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,156.29650594571675,0.068482845471383,0.15384615384615385,13,1868,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.384364516445928,0.9717996629805362,0.20000391943458096,0.8171568723160298,18.630434149763133,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,163.72257282751158,0.04665904905382123,0.15384615384615385,13,1760,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.953913395059104,0.9709493834741294,0.27361481880343863,0.7186337872876714,11.485362181274029,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,157.25034471723941,0.02768636167368686,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.33938225391288,1.0116591398776889,0.22216093446321353,0.7647576401264418,16.12326173459961,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,151.1916899381498,0.0043335108204911685,0.3076923076923077,13,2108,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.977649499536817,1.2325721540790748,0.36451581326755245,0.9609526825634712,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,141.84420822265054,0.03557864376157965,0.3076923076923077,13,2408,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.720021994399218,1.139517642352308,0.3399644995786557,0.9158791037502674,3.088510954230478,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.08850614701564,0.07758355023663971,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.647227202503956,1.1434520257662555,0.34701881384296746,0.9020265519996887,1.8169529340191635,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.09508502511665,0.05818857530152069,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.593290515482206,1.660154457041576,0.2808503204391648,0.7008172602331312,-19.17114864741645,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,213.57611640597372,-0.006631140464655582,0.15384615384615385,13,1882,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.410560680623878,1.3987648890030875,0.3153194740457652,1.1097323393816378,-3.568792356489207,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,146.95270556006517,0.07193697828084661,0.15384615384615385,13,2400,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,116.73230978252285,1.747243273970008,0.15562470340687856,1.5315576702503793,17.077228464757717,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664,449.1655044373698,-0.14095757447133775,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,117.54548143070421,1.7380306319849979,0.1530281099956268,1.81439053429328,18.489316564715015,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664,458.0644114363002,-0.18902548594650528,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.65254690871767,1.7328159248511301,0.13761572644357634,1.6052674126042064,17.193536188242238,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664,449.2108198442591,-0.18269858444557946,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.74715721715263,1.7716869142714728,0.21392533638017058,1.5331074109399971,14.640545822562403,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668,449.2963161925493,-0.11703497805231534,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.89638169165194,1.8335843495374604,0.18097375838090352,1.7040604737890614,8.990362819472603,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668,449.3055524424137,-0.12822871218845838,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.7470674594292,1.7921256600862483,0.20533613257538336,1.5794194657399838,5.719438302669135,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668,449.41797999847444,-0.10689001119673475,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,116.89580456465303,1.7941811088941897,0.18976286672069792,1.5976367810860947,14.216261973957481,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668,449.37275194689914,-0.2054698152694609,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.2939831595237,1.9782400451818882,0.2679697260024721,1.6186099122450843,0.0,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,449.59641698608596,-0.15853677942621267,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,117.12250101021225,1.9440480769230373,0.27614312757212045,1.749828010705178,-3.2656993243559715,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,449.51280968456723,-0.08247875493581756,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,117.18055643193709,2.0197589617688347,0.2674292028291988,1.7504394037300661,-7.878194243771255,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,449.43511443775066,0.018027339038044224,0.08333333333333333,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.98678567233188,2.377268579471858,0.17403026956450174,1.4792704967222206,-25.9717706725296,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668,576.5753072742281,-0.12601115552947414,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,118.3475590985068,2.2882751725474484,0.3823215515557009,2.0176017651527993,-13.334142087617067,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,450.7014289406079,0.029661661365289405,0.0,12,212,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,116.73110411871369,1.746685862186976,0.15562470340687856,1.5313226637143027,17.148920167653202,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,449.1627406139956,-0.14477718395130884,0.08333333333333333,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,117.5444053203409,1.737588845517563,0.1530281099956268,1.8142015145993693,18.561001417985295,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,458.0616245659337,-0.19292073304228466,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,116.65146504282376,1.7323496601479842,0.13761572644357634,1.6050804166996653,17.265231573780373,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,449.20803555510435,-0.1864425736336173,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,116.74608110228257,1.7712437550263154,0.21392533638017058,1.5329482687368625,14.712236680820277,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,449.2935293103444,-0.12029991168302553,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,116.89528819353234,1.8330946696720691,0.18097375838090352,1.7038859987821156,9.062706024828447,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,449.3027712615754,-0.13240129720886826,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,116.74599074134153,1.7916803809129425,0.20533613257538336,1.579255449044174,5.791240690527588,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,449.4151914283937,-0.11060877052229477,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,116.89471524551647,1.7936092459276338,0.18976286672069792,1.5974481658614996,14.298431062222091,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,449.37001772624734,-0.20940684968480455,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,117.29196611742442,1.97739785093688,0.2679697260024721,1.6183215456145719,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.5931809265432,-0.1606504885302257,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,117.12126076172387,1.9433909102606008,0.27614312757212045,1.749516446141673,-3.1835587884661183,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.5100442759607,-0.08627315187718593,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,117.17947493046724,2.019190908366011,0.2674292028291988,1.7502256025120362,-7.801336259002557,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,449.43237865094306,0.014258154635278656,0.08333333333333333,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,157.98487687581334,2.3771168797630238,0.17403026956450174,1.479109134852468,-26.018218310235863,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,576.5716163438283,-0.1245954410992992,0.0,12,214,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,118.34645622665846,2.287728689782388,0.3823215515557009,2.017407452776009,-13.25735767169986,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,450.69863024112675,0.025842051885318292,0.0,12,213,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-21T07:18:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,14.130716064840945,0.8756350896189192,0.15959825586671142,0.6393942623869227,23.495945655101824,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664,136.57938708851663,0.03566703476739055,0.23076923076923078,13,2630,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.298801628627883,0.8787614661193548,0.19531230635360758,0.6726026609863894,24.69337714121965,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664,139.31024259684852,0.03563936905831963,0.23076923076923078,13,2616,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.179848779076083,0.8754733414892932,0.13737128013954242,0.7175772499736055,23.919877633458835,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664,136.83783749665847,0.0369577760624657,0.23076923076923078,13,2611,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.69231340595149,0.9245152315841323,0.24072719119085173,0.6706747620678658,22.129140589636606,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668,156.3136782409905,0.06894599826987663,0.15384615384615385,13,1867,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.388267630993425,0.9719965465026194,0.20000391943458096,0.8172351329826376,18.62005372322704,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668,163.74057661949922,0.047130724745390276,0.15384615384615385,13,1759,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.957614429050665,0.9711353229973398,0.27361481880343863,0.7187085584873392,11.47522203999817,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668,157.26764961919466,0.02815203134779423,0.15384615384615385,13,1854,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.341980753088585,1.0117979439787956,0.22216093446321353,0.7648116754520398,16.112876451931648,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668,151.2049810220281,0.004735879465716553,0.3076923076923077,13,2107,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.977691329991,1.2325791121900234,0.36463845567333114,0.9613580596984183,0.0,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,141.85235949315978,0.039048456853922234,0.3076923076923077,13,2465,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.725299520967669,1.1413767091666576,0.34034134898985424,0.9176498028306828,2.9864665781940904,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,142.1002938742662,0.06582531564466178,0.15384615384615385,13,2456,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.661097261265535,1.1472966953633015,0.34754409718243484,0.905065400464176,1.6789257279423686,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,142.1162507942788,0.04221758097869765,0.15384615384615385,13,2456,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.59762557821943,1.660373215842544,0.2808503204391648,0.7008920156229265,-19.16603835135675,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668,213.5932746652705,-0.006729042815494483,0.15384615384615385,13,1881,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.451958009952243,1.4075322544844036,0.3161836296719761,1.116721045581936,-3.8372247482220234,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664,146.99185562719939,0.04965295040621071,0.15384615384615385,13,2456,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,14.128939220188276,0.8755445868718399,0.15959825586671142,0.6393545567360026,23.50504514278248,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114,136.5693836588998,0.03534266047611402,0.23076923076923078,13,2631,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.29701317269477,0.8786716331659606,0.19531230635360758,0.6725627997314412,24.702476445706772,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114,139.3001841634529,0.03533538878000419,0.23076923076923078,13,2617,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.178060340220899,0.8753832774096251,0.13737128013954242,0.7175402049935535,23.928302100275406,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114,136.82777922953625,0.036612442082118245,0.23076923076923078,13,2612,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.688650420477227,0.9243312067496312,0.24072719119085173,0.6706013304526169,22.139277567339846,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111,156.29650594571675,0.068482845471383,0.15384615384615385,13,1868,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.384364516445928,0.9717996629805362,0.20000391943458096,0.8171568723160298,18.630434149763133,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111,163.72257282751158,0.04665904905382123,0.15384615384615385,13,1760,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.953913395059104,0.9709493834741294,0.27361481880343863,0.7186337872876714,11.485362181274029,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111,157.25034471723941,0.02768636167368686,0.15384615384615385,13,1855,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.33938225391288,1.0116591398776889,0.22216093446321353,0.7647576401264418,16.12326173459961,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111,151.1916899381498,0.0043335108204911685,0.3076923076923077,13,2108,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.975680944666673,1.232453855857221,0.36463845567333114,0.9613089790559519,0.0,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,141.8417975251823,0.038839652327627996,0.3076923076923077,13,2466,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.723362446680614,1.1412628531989377,0.34034134898985424,0.917600554465018,2.9958615743023804,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.08966935020402,0.06546559647412363,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.659175382908693,1.1471874993753588,0.34754409718243484,0.9050206838189069,1.6881052170629982,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,142.10563426369225,0.041869988691156886,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.593290515482206,1.660154457041576,0.2808503204391648,0.7008172602331312,-19.17114864741645,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111,213.57611640597372,-0.006631140464655582,0.15384615384615385,13,1882,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.45003079668435,1.407424302411365,0.3161836296719761,1.1166773213947987,-3.828054604474645,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114,146.98123150224367,0.04928834290011574,0.15384615384615385,13,2457,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6693772353013977,11,2625,13,32.635416666666664
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6673630444271482,11,2616,13,32.635416666666664
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609203383046501,11,2611,13,32.635416666666664
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578450512176346,11,1867,13,27.291666666666668
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5596691397052724,11,1756,13,29.291666666666668
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233315557907752,11,1854,13,27.291666666666668
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5120829071356116,11,2105,13,29.291666666666668
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38626071516495575,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3801199335339404,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37453876428350075,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3737707633267615,11,1881,13,27.291666666666668
-12,Official,ETS,0.36583204610778935,11,2456,13,32.635416666666664
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.669404277023006,11,2626,13,32.673611111111114
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667363810701815,11,2617,13,32.673611111111114
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.609255071644121,11,2612,13,32.673611111111114
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5783589068608203,11,1868,13,27.32986111111111
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5597090071840989,11,1757,13,29.32986111111111
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5233319834425507,11,1855,13,27.32986111111111
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5121308543087346,11,2106,13,29.32986111111111
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3862770796101201,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38008135720548725,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745362937867219,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37373348921099203,11,1882,13,27.32986111111111
+12,Official,ETS,0.3658178690215324,11,2457,13,32.673611111111114

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -1026,6 +1026,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.700842
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.675663+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.014901556978105156,0.12207193362155429,,0.03181844690956979,-11.411369654032491,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:36.956742+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.002151633130504276,0.04638569963366162,,5.67289187510566e-05,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.762645+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,452.2404506595346,21.265945797437144,0.20791012204922418,23.104531119898613,0.9616040738644465,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.434361+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.394491+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.016002+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0296741533950675,1.0147286107107987,0.10361296682289167,0.8082927970302988,-89.95279449610356,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:40.980832+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -3538,6 +3539,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.790941
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.680456+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.01183683624744543,0.10879722536648363,,0.029540293240459974,0.05117287789048451,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:36.985495+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.593015268344e-06,0.0021431321163997335,,0.0018483136363086562,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.768725+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.91622646447394,21.468959603680705,0.18977643456201645,20.736235250693333,0.01151890091967229,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.486114+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.398996+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.106935+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.03022152236565098,0.1738433845898399,0.01838861164214259,0.17612253472655737,28.625402231790744,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:40.987848+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
@@ -5868,6 +5870,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.827971
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.687723+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.01202412352786467,0.10965456455553808,,0.030429161364642427,-0.7337409956601579,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.022556+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.764677533110578e-06,0.0013284116580001013,,0.0028415861300113503,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.778680+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.7669760359152,21.465483363668174,0.18974626052700785,20.793384520648004,0.027712146428493685,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.521904+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.403420+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.151881+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.022761806256580336,0.15087016357312116,0.015331804674808422,0.1583952154287786,41.05032606470625,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:40.995072+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
@@ -7966,6 +7969,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.862876
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.694170+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.014173428729056815,0.11905221009732166,,0.025656911169838276,-8.932585229873649,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.056049+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0027616716588954706,0.0525516094795913,,2.2125690751387569e-07,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.783779+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.84750383598043,21.46735903263325,0.19012650569328873,21.273335829498745,0.018974458643674683,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.550922+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.410748+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.180207+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2657424086068179,1.1250521803928997,0.11494288800331992,0.8879355258156113,-91.74935338162415,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.000368+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -10181,6 +10185,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.902869
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.703559+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011815305580344075,0.10869823172593046,,0.02698995030668663,0.142203329129755,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.083343+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.5051457748068067e-07,0.0006712038270754128,,0.0010363047231706714,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.788967+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,455.40304861089794,21.340174521566077,0.1885489553868277,20.834230167521355,0.613184074780725,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.577605+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.414800+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.232409+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.03266933398710628,0.18074660159213585,0.01878769092839144,0.18228414270623136,25.011913249504644,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.005260+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
@@ -12289,6 +12294,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:48.971851
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.710057+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.014173426021126099,0.11905219872445069,,0.025656877948845826,-8.932575753253078,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.111588+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0027616695856132606,0.0525515897534343,,0.0,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.794304+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.8461999439778,21.46732866343593,0.19012621637578953,21.273303795969777,0.019115925591965996,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.619013+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.418811+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.273943+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.47028811563883255,0.6857755577729733,0.06992728321655306,0.5282496082538112,-79.24244210587685,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.011411+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
@@ -14747,6 +14753,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.012839
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.715560+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011848956949475483,0.1088529142902269,,0.025656877948845826,0.0,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.140359+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.800072+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,461.0224236641224,21.471432734312874,0.18980598158590253,20.6609166798919,0.0,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.652871+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.422981+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.321893+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.05446273032547061,0.23337251407453838,0.019720447064865965,0.14723236289593666,0.0,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.016812+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -17070,6 +17077,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.042914
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.721626+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.012229276240194846,0.11058605807331612,,0.03310982704241202,-1.579514940832623,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.181368+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.002854526117364735,0.0534277654161648,,0.013656373202630752,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.810926+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,456.72436875784024,21.371110611239658,0.18941545784952227,21.118262465009476,0.46832687858700905,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.679092+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.057055560888484e-15,6.369501990649256e-08,,5.44387176617369e-08,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.427858+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.465601986920691e-16,2.1131971008215704e-08,,2.148879615894696e-08,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.369860+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.04147564649132133,0.20365570576667213,0.02001445950916341,0.15088829003761098,13.536901774927854,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.027444+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.118532485826672e-16,2.0294167846518547e-08,,2.100961607814716e-08,0.0,False
@@ -19050,6 +19058,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.090936
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.728143+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011909241944358016,0.1091294733074343,,0.026592035866247553,-0.2537439607771787,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.224512+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.326452245618314e-08,0.00020800125590049483,,0.0001779100334472198,-100.00000000000001,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.815955+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.7404896855698,21.464866402695588,0.18974060938878554,21.25658137839959,0.03058638772176953,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.708922+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.436270+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.396908+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.09358453463385215,0.30591589470613023,0.021581953985619958,0.20003154677072185,-26.42521246112219,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.032371+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -21128,6 +21137,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.159892
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.747305+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011813808065941182,0.10869134310487281,,0.02982035952706116,0.14854089752994504,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.359704+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.726697360939475e-07,0.0006875098079983642,,0.0005265184539512166,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.827034+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,461.16966372987207,21.47486120397224,0.18983230329885173,20.733889890700897,-0.01596631198232674,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.798038+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.444850+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.510054+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06152528541441301,0.2480429104296533,0.025145317063173283,0.21547322137758032,-6.089038633767981,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.042308+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
@@ -23744,6 +23754,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.126181
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.741109+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.011848957413590943,0.1088529164220736,,0.02740207459306066,-1.9584654265149864e-06,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.297459+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.747767155272251e-07,0.0008802140168886343,,0.0037711085741447517,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.821393+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,460.9082541889043,21.468773933061577,0.18989425101690371,21.21965183728322,0.012383737515272471,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.737491+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.439979+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.423967+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.06269121952817955,0.25038214698372474,0.033732113336197196,0.1887512228581642,-7.023654954005432,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.037369+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
@@ -26066,6 +26077,7 @@ future-99ed71da79a924ff6450,2026-07-26T20:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.197912
 future-9a621992e09fe0af76dd,2026-07-22T13:35:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.754455+00:00,2026-07-22T10:47:51.670729+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0761355780314325,0.275926762079057,,0.02676892379435728,-73.06581900547268,False
 future-9b8af5aeccb86bb71124,2026-07-26T15:20:00+00:00,2026-07-26T15:29:37.401596+00:00,2026-07-26T12:29:45.419348+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.02776161961007213,0.16661818511216633,,0.001061482384437455,-100.0,False
 future-9c1cfa8d202d44df5de3,2026-07-22T13:55:00+00:00,2026-07-22T14:07:49.832981+00:00,2026-07-22T07:58:31.600424+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,455.35226386657433,21.338984602519734,0.18863141290590937,20.766976890192755,0.6187599760996391,True
+future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T07:37:09.842215+00:00,2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.895843359303936,0.946490020710169,,0.00028380965198569654,-99.99999999999999,False
 future-9c7e503936f8475f5d68,2026-07-18T15:30:00+00:00,2026-07-20T04:18:57.448904+00:00,2026-07-20T03:53:10.763284+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0017585822073328565,0.04193545286905647,,0.00027004905818170367,-100.0,False
 future-9d7348afd70fb47bdf55,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:32:39.572890+00:00,2026-07-27T07:01:00.553762+00:00,prequential-v1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.07401720791630814,0.27206103711540197,0.02153606086089947,0.18626719621804055,-15.219868454512426,True
 future-9dbac58a74e55536ef09,2026-07-16T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-18T03:37:41.047926+00:00,2026-07-17T17:44:31.746794+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.5938635983362707,0.7706254591799253,,0.00026672188425301877,-100.0,False

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stability,Improvement,Improvement_pvalue,n_releases,MAPE_coverage,first_release,last_release
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.0362152760069723,1.262423873577054,0.014552071672063134,1.1868424577746526,9.843546699249252,2.1311933119335262,0.03426791277258567,0.45576305814672124,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.645855357964576,0.37759979269723765,,0.1546304137212198,-31.742673379137045,73.6766063170563,0.04732036920489715,0.2897896778477299,265,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.620870939325611,0.3761802448539831,,0.15404909733272013,-31.62334002056886,73.53859141943093,0.042801669466867226,0.3376045338179273,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0372713909008047,1.338757409135639,0.08841225349586862,1.0471920629078773,-60.04842052552159,1.3229518329527603,-0.019704433497536943,0.8964941426465813,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2098797276852824,0.9701421965736446,1.2996166848240107,0.7595856836674688,5.0476421205324415,1.1843632558775448,0.07951374499240227,0.020480771285173893,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,179.291572669869
 ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.1257656989002478,1.030157882628527,0.19812277023131533,0.6390464595327553,45.798520099415526,0.6175932364599516,0.3846153846153845,0.07631653936341436,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6143995287769621,1.071300987091728,0.010071875487467954,0.7740100183681309,28.269168769570957,1.8996766414901718,0.07963854998066172,0.06675174172264038,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.3984175942567205,0.32590039350821914,,0.14298005079176251,-30.992855040297055,72.2843642475897,0.024415750561938065,0.5759335560731229,276,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.375318613772039,0.3247238577961899,,0.14246387732980104,-30.87456170044859,72.15431966257098,0.02019888477534326,0.643090573964258,277,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.7296862743653318e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,3.855405089606628e-34,0.0,1.0,544,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3050272072682975,0.4849039749140633,0.03248454496927092,0.32868574233935344,8.695873973865309,0.3637335838792971,-0.31034482758620685,0.018062900791912716,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3286348192869535,0.4790181944446496,0.4816520916270794,0.3146984573024241,50.418544569657946,0.42258392388579624,-0.04566416040100251,0.17258153623157835,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -27,7 +27,7 @@ Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,165.17426723
 Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016746327,0.4475570508758146,0.08047915672405251,0.3225868987296447,83.37287201644678,0.3794230793437146,0.6703296703296704,0.00045112620881470087,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.362298354965361,0.9909761575747218,0.009923004027311918,0.7225046602720693,22.098942754948517,1.5901846812739464,0.22059578839239857,1.3058414977773687e-05,177,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.23778084293641,0.4641051072260941,,0.18662898052441418,-24.123396095264898,86.80277298156264,0.025824332225607597,0.6234950094120787,191,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.189667401046115,0.46168789342436073,,0.18565695492873266,-23.991574258678753,86.57780925614438,0.01977062646221171,0.7064742972820754,192,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.022000409204833e-28,0.0,1.0,402,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34961672975930663,0.4845803469664631,0.032520078799656196,0.33712340507115973,9.025963259699289,0.562485284793877,-0.19999999999999996,0.16991295403230983,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3279387215792386,1.0459502283988897,1.0933371640616079,0.7022932172411729,6.858912342188647,1.0721363247607556,-0.0005761032377001959,0.9888711885297796,264,0.9962121212121212,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -40,7 +40,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,211.17278
 Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.5888227944617089,0.6921086990730174,0.14236933700516546,0.5316201479443244,69.39145215325834,0.6217751936303204,0.5454545454545454,0.013770768197851531,12,1.0,2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9075679929227745,1.145442111216266,0.010256259035586813,0.8906745144318265,25.146768370353712,2.4464040828135194,0.09780176385415296,0.033282650029523714,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.664303480374945,0.37329833495879805,,0.1511984935015667,-31.7103570784273,73.73175583875448,0.08279391330474933,0.06400484082158506,265,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.639249707892332,0.37189495800929706,,0.15063007906877995,-31.591145209711406,73.59364221433036,0.07805401572551467,0.08034520320890229,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.660516480548183,2.225192339732908,0.15960783427971914,1.7959679609048849,-79.30302139698192,3.8990647260009315,0.04926108374384236,0.7239201974279224,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9164463481743605,1.2320353512594178,1.472985591956702,0.9363153024890022,-12.250073538797745,1.7082829356389155,0.09783119215361238,0.00435433019694368,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -53,7 +53,7 @@ ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,177.8642451660633,
 ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,0.9952444213048076,0.2129850550946607,0.6701769428306765,48.5062282411613,0.7673220126829784,0.2051282051282051,0.3674042836022003,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3295117699164924,0.9463672571957353,0.008979569418290392,0.6916022759067921,31.367009216121886,1.6457491264731656,0.30895702405890946,9.19671354596505e-10,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.190430554927948,0.4617185900073623,,0.18424026551824013,-24.115869956010062,86.58404694781929,0.013433887211502828,0.7980344214011474,192,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.142811743762518,0.4593262671588456,,0.1832856545200033,-23.98408924586793,86.36080710926072,0.007412900831085768,0.8874825399952634,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794953e-13,3.488248839001448e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,2.527492691450778e-29,0.0,1.0,403,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.34076853139363533,0.5028654711604497,0.033287769041700964,0.34285408620963204,0.43057480191444525,0.537567756002475,-0.22666666666666663,0.11834341824544657,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7117365269675556,0.7101050966007989,0.8620743131122589,0.47072198684077,38.29749292665518,0.8625407588622177,0.05117209834190967,0.21448361246753145,265,0.9962264150943396,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -66,7 +66,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,208.7354490
 Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.32576694973257325,0.4774421673330105,0.08443561400522327,0.33703281202278523,81.50457626947743,0.4588390803064478,0.7575757575757575,0.00024002425044091711,12,1.0,2026-07-01T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.5860092119298526,1.3524317650973139,0.012695978639958229,1.1287234384232716,13.44189853303409,2.9101870458041974,-0.008907024702733534,0.8462843005375524,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.698402884636236,0.3937140027669556,,0.17030110284926456,-32.48789654246491,73.74059283651317,0.07258832483881413,0.10441635153810179,265,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.67322091890452,0.39223387518659686,,0.16966087409562186,-32.365761593057144,73.6024740237047,0.06791197562181824,0.1281495215202002,266,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128036e-08,,2.502171382189062e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,524,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9273834742740605,0.9016982078707616,0.0646813713439241,0.6859666764987647,-41.28342324098874,0.6697749727682409,-0.05911330049261083,0.668894784416208,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4086011163971446,1.0308301294415168,2.072721228714386,0.9014171625388095,5.472133924051279,1.5739656513152704,0.15634756181793066,5.195438253615829e-06,381,0.9973753280839895,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,179.517
 Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0234789580573493,0.981223967552433,0.20267540197053469,0.6344362738751932,49.37921755829025,0.594749234030022,0.4102564102564102,0.05725682817696707,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.089598510340393,1.5130203684629175,0.01368788348877177,1.0266377342367037,0.0,3.1864761823370666,-0.013119213724715898,0.775230539748514,214,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.978047460741655,0.4347647311562464,,0.17035891000060693,0.0,73.63724881979373,0.1420542506045585,0.003632974420670664,266,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.951912451525394,0.4331363988298185,,0.16972086164854475,0.0,73.49994323608638,0.1393397917627335,0.004264466477995572,267,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,525,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.39647700304925787,0.54863940015927,0.03875276121808834,0.39106434616248387,0.0,0.46887968125286356,-0.33004926108374383,0.011674730549296571,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.4797251675632443,1.068532087076426,2.1035877580499567,0.9393186549550592,0.0,1.5983477358646545,0.17524838191037637,3.148068962528472e-07,382,0.9973821989528796,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -92,7 +92,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,178.849
 Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.8654131840406496,1.6732133427269074,0.3759880599808413,1.451931952818942,0.0,0.8962259101819249,0.4102564102564102,0.05725682817696707,13,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.3336485273273295,1.369431003685908,0.014044892580721374,1.0786778106569637,3.2340679926689107,2.076739478282935,-0.15919790758500432,0.00125367582101177,186,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.735732046068512,0.4132198726900958,,0.16086321874405216,-30.91698650251186,79.45374854983554,0.02875028982146997,0.5181388367558106,228,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.70195155678437,0.41141541937570675,,0.16016075951127776,-30.78197782782841,79.2809644594178,0.02351949743354018,0.5962362167086195,229,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.67941094048611e-16,2.329695799931368e-08,,2.0237534873867625e-08,0.0,1.4222155495092245e-15,0.0,1.0,455,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30978891113489,0.4956772566894806,0.032907023608860275,0.3317689795201935,4.092702437208488,0.35559679062311217,-0.37321937321937326,0.005900024667731748,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3870166695327117,0.5388540940885383,0.7886290889375925,0.35591626912535035,53.314928814853026,0.38459316936346444,0.03390168909475702,0.3678910416373625,317,0.9968454258675079,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -105,7 +105,7 @@ Sundial,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,203.2875830223
 Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.31166353208424874,0.5111701376597275,0.09318070827996433,0.3397871771134533,81.89086047181716,0.306401845448795,0.6969696969696969,0.0009744810873283095,12,1.0,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2930236112584452,0.9657022022428051,0.009435472005290437,0.8282398664622558,23.80957906614156,1.5209091532305468,0.3034135726914185,3.4484971719621384e-09,172,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.488471464961265,0.47862384218407905,,0.19025168052331193,-24.425143639415577,87.96848762471043,0.01920663735260189,0.7200028290014815,186,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.437730975843825,0.4760643563969984,,0.18923429185741186,-24.29019809444643,87.7344383288711,0.013074853362204385,0.8068163852121859,187,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,388,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3627555185114735,0.5107314929902669,0.03355682757102783,0.40559998873585773,3.718126622914688,0.4992065903079575,-0.23692307692307696,0.09409290644202206,26,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9684587391656666,0.8694076121333468,0.9236492339025404,0.7080759284007276,22.745805125806623,0.8988324401892442,-0.01921353907416625,0.6535512025390484,246,0.9959349593495935,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -118,7 +118,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,229.83621598
 TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.330527016667658,0.5220646204807641,0.09473347581504885,0.40977797737842825,78.66631528029852,0.3229533174905907,0.7435897435897434,0.00014526497165386054,13,1.0,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6044818304930752,1.0733341728449766,0.00990931419231941,0.775637081946561,29.88973440242601,1.785704738010647,0.053788604049214615,0.21659803303164127,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.416979888006884,0.3223206444631647,,0.14302218692282778,-30.992231083135476,72.41941103317795,-0.010170516836173961,0.8161768313478145,275,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.393729960876424,0.3211528160690418,,0.14250399060849883,-30.873940124802896,72.28865139903493,-0.014122260454274718,0.7465096203015975,276,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,543,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.30586831742315235,0.47141716039930026,0.031164447064971287,0.32074666933005247,14.706159785040878,0.396419029203761,-0.2807881773399014,0.03315447182691332,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3914620092544251,0.5226759197116431,0.6170064879662301,0.3486725188424674,45.64680805889104,0.501022473143983,-0.028070175438596495,0.40178591060122304,400,0.9975,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,167.287401275905
 TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.28449572647514776,0.46295416442262743,0.0840872562984529,0.3356773200795831,82.75970061880996,0.36273456534043697,0.6703296703296704,0.00045112620881470087,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6453848622382907,1.0815005714223864,0.010579608774461076,0.8863769556681769,27.825438502908504,1.8968683448062447,0.06908388757777299,0.1132848151615818,237,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.416918612407265,0.32314991784933267,,0.1329173884267448,-28.69373397721969,72.41822174281357,0.10361181457002351,0.019232861173099587,275,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.393668907289848,0.3219790848136467,,0.1324358036860682,-28.584215908604353,72.28746427022483,0.09912247282550674,0.024910249850401387,276,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,543,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3226648021472211,0.5095483963504411,0.038763270367779684,0.36433482943848794,2.8079116098780363,0.3359394049576855,-0.3546798029556649,0.006518643400864223,29,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17448931469062262,0.35656673752797174,0.26484915186726404,0.2748904753855771,62.61501599360679,0.2045072475628232,-0.011151475260433147,0.7397038857137405,398,0.9974874371859297,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00
@@ -144,7 +144,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,165.920654
 TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.2628934288941335,0.4467675878121167,0.07882639118800008,0.348531478510896,84.26849086288598,0.34343778548255705,0.5604395604395604,0.004565983394728434,14,1.0,2026-06-28T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-22T00:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.28199037431467,1.2978356815478813,0.009816543535913609,0.7495388373219307,-0.37220432904438483,2.8635395035234312,0.19739292364990688,8.348137639666252e-05,180,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.77251576698867,1.4953558523385855,,0.18784508264848965,-87.84260567397124,86.89842758134664,0.002181500872600349,0.964161642636905,192,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T03:55:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.716159951404812,1.492511987926003,,0.18687326258115022,-87.90903952274735,86.67537021048814,0.0034542314335060447,0.9431316744109529,193,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5371757198782094,0.30797253366658917,,0.00027575839200323453,-100.0,3.504840146413804,-0.018824104632685495,0.5715323755715467,405,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6842781864590141,0.6536203898554627,0.031095016624194248,0.31729018203317877,-12.202435017151721,1.3289735382530592,-0.20666666666666664,0.1556965251316672,25,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3122149672366819,0.9631675017453174,0.7635797715635193,0.39394466459514893,16.331076814203552,2.481563307623274,0.01878291233702233,0.6474024140869519,267,0.9962546816479401,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T01:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:25:30.654733+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:37.524975+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -5,8 +5,8 @@ Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,3,5,5,1.0
 Climate,TabPFN-TS,0.6106710780139792,0.8104297215620095,4,5,5,1.0
 Climate,TimesFM-2.5,0.4927229744123496,0.8380802624013084,5,5,5,1.0
 Climate,Chronos-Bolt,0.5692840590249699,7.403590753230785,6,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Sundial,0.8426619855485536,7.222200927269676,7,5,5,1.0
-Climate,Toto-1.0,513.2100208966078,37.1854593906985,8,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Sundial,0.8426619855485536,7.248919562061478,7,5,5,1.0
+Climate,Toto-1.0,468.25709125097205,37.18411932838781,8,5,5,1.0
 Climate,Moirai-2.0,0.43111023556833794,10.685190235674595,9,5,5,1.0
 Climate,ARIMA,2.573545549016448,19.41913921594471,10,5,5,1.0
 Climate,Moving-Average,2.2359964017964824,19.634852730970465,11,5,5,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1.0,2075.594868502009,4,2,2,1.0
 5min,TiRex,1.0,2413.6848893618544,5,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,1.0,32126.892237945118,6,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,1.0,32424.85192071793,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,1.0,252290.1359197037,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,ETS,1.0,252290.1359197037,8,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moving-Average,1.0,252290.1359197037,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1.0459942197556757,461166.5554836744,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1.0,374952.8836038598,11,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,11788620065.678411,281121399.5015463,12,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,9374239806.03884,281096073.06908655,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Sundial,0.3487673463245832,0.44689652107170585,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TiRex,0.5103870226749679,0.6114316749197464,2,1,1,1.0
 6min,Moving-Average,0.4551013883720313,0.7312614141590786,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -40,13 +40,13 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 36,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 36,Chronos-2,1.0,1828.4365387902994,4,1,1,1.0
 36,TiRex,1.0,4168.041634021886,5,1,1,1.0
-36,Sundial,1.0,53442.813910569515,6,1,1,1.0
+36,Sundial,1.0,54438.71766173689,6,1,1,1.0
 36,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,66153.5710786996,7,1,1,1.0
 36,ARIMA,1.0,254380.30798153122,8,1,1,1.0
 36,ETS,1.0,254380.30798153122,9,1,1,1.0
 36,Moving-Average,1.0,254380.30798153122,10,1,1,1.0
 36,Moirai-2.0,1.0,342858.54030437075,11,1,1,1.0
-36,Toto-1.0,1416726124929.8594,283860796.1351002,12,1,1,1.0
+36,Toto-1.0,895843359303.9364,283809651.9856004,12,1,1,1.0
 60,Sundial,0.3487673463245832,0.44689652107170585,1,1,1,1.0
 60,TiRex,0.5103870226749679,0.6114316749197464,2,1,1,1.0
 60,Moving-Average,0.4551013883720313,0.7312614141590786,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,Sundial,0.6725063238810834,3.6264204031320615,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,0.6725063238810834,3.631574538705257,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TiRex,0.5489961205384355,2.5528465461310423,2,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,0.6821043032319836,2.644216333250759,3,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,0.6241248273685508,5.80404755170115,4,13,13,1.0
@@ -8,6 +8,6 @@ Overall,Moving-Average,1.0350013226930381,6.909993167287181,6,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,0.7632998939653152,6.38374324229728,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.6320563340097379,0.8575924408042747,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,51.74063746236559,16.078135905905473,10,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,49.94821155166578,16.07791305263868,10,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,1.424844430804671,8.535160147766407,11,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ETS,2.0441752692417037,9.804716830226365,12,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.429853+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.834180+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.456116+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.434361+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.331666+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.727325+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.510951+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.486114+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.365464+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.782446+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.532995+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.521904+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.410294+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.829197+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.602881+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.550922+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.358402+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.771394+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.635978+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.577605+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.402293+00:00",
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-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
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+  ],
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+  "context_end": "2026-07-28 06:55",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T07:36:29.326055Z",
+  "task_id": "future-3c40e2b7bc25e042c001",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:10.465093+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944.json

@@ -589,7 +589,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:08.646724Z",
   "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.864237+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-28T04:00:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.437580+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.851454+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
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-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.755065+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.652871+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5]
 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,1.7146618576285901,1.7036796647957921,nan,nan,0.006376895840082282,nan,nan,1.3094509756491803,nan,nan,0.7002706135306771,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,3.8597592120744734e-15,4.070110165539987e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.212696042842006e-08,nan,nan,5.3442813910569505e-08,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,4.057055560888484e-15,4.285220463801793e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,6.369501990649256e-08,nan,nan,5.44387176617369e-08,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,3.6998138473223216e-16,4.6554999771491e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.9234900174740503e-08,nan,nan,1.9312927769778423e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.03484559946889979,0.03321369616330838,nan,nan,0.011084302742851744,nan,nan,0.18666976045653402,nan,nan,0.12063016584599584,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.04821187162773686,0.06255171335029873,nan,nan,0.1113706881054695,nan,nan,0.21957201922771685,nan,nan,0.1293380084059859,Ocean,1,60

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
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     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
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+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.810975+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
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-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.783732+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.679092+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.371424+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.795041+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.844880+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.708922+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.343714+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.764977+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.874374+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.737491+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.341025+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.756749+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.912269+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.798038+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5]
 binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,4.477663680103048,2.0890328378534413,nan,nan,0.007563984230316922,nan,nan,2.1160490731793176,nan,nan,0.7883107617770067,Finance,1,24
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
-data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,1.41672612492986,6.629220576377907e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.1902630486282686,nan,nan,0.00028386079613516846,Climate,1,36
+data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.895843359303936,7.0931951580346935e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.946490020710169,nan,nan,0.00028380965198569654,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,9.809345688447446e-05,5.994102245361695e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.009904214097265591,nan,nan,0.0002784084393961502,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.14581109734968253,0.10758165581966579,nan,nan,0.019716449559055497,nan,nan,0.3818521930664829,nan,nan,0.23765672698505458,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.5938577859053631,0.20279020502719616,nan,nan,0.2032631822843151,nan,nan,0.7706216879282357,nan,nan,0.3000537773009777,Ocean,1,60

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:14:10.349334+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-28T07:39:35.768867+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-74d6212c9576c1e92191",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T06:17:57.409061+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:11:41.967883+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-26T22:50:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 12,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-9c654a71c7a71b8a0944",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T05:05:49.987501+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-28T07:37:09.842215+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-28T06:55:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 36,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]