Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:43.104253+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:14.693848+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27518,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2715,
+  "num_model_releases": 27530,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2716,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2514,
-      "num_unique_releases": 210,
+      "num_model_releases": 2526,
+      "num_unique_releases": 211,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 27036,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2642,
+      "num_model_releases": 27027,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2640,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 5130
+    "prequential-v1": 5142
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,2.758721136323215,1.079788935762484,0.1311460965023696,0.830953973793422,26.3093135730164,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375,5.809054230182905,-0.5111111111111111,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,2.662186563182402,1.034400966800333,0.1684408128134741,0.8194019406210116,24.926930990625216,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375,5.677470626529616,-0.7333333333333334,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,2.65627447109667,1.0100566069878847,0.11856762175442033,0.8257582806131454,24.974842372460284,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375,5.75061752023899,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,2.9896268192352378,1.179264418741674,0.3093513457139009,0.8736506947504973,20.44678016643815,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25,5.527871681057307,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,3.1090138901218975,1.2904804316728171,0.6237186134248003,1.1014624204112724,8.18329472904153,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25,5.881239182655082,-0.06666666666666665,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,2.4072549593911785,1.0226131838330978,0.7517134047684645,0.8106334366455126,35.003087520516125,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25,5.76098248957651,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,2.7766163249930904,1.136132178811605,0.7287544654013134,0.8734620598934215,22.740147699404194,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25,4.894085823009051,-0.5111111111111111,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,4.3982032120105705,1.672518809290363,1.371753713884871,1.2410999829794425,0.0,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375,8.071154314309025,-0.26206317586670197,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,3.430996387299691,1.4866067049410707,1.342037210257215,1.2570303828334344,-3.073441889411695,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375,5.7682722918852,-0.2222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,2.8335964682081873,1.2566052796660205,0.5519162938059128,0.9980112150217574,10.887806390998461,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375,4.324277693211696,-0.06666666666666667,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,4.170661686722538,1.6440649891184194,0.7186587351736939,0.9131284174938585,-5.02596234709258,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25,6.129137013497389,-0.4222222222222222,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,4.7208400005902735,1.5628159192108533,0.3925008147353796,1.2791841174668375,0.77484994017286,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375,5.554014036904121,-0.28888888888888886,0.0,7,15,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,2.551795741902547,0.9161509792746633,0.1122814123527148,0.7197100120476919,34.47189946346157,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125,5.790913453483378,-0.6222222222222222,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,2.5252661353093107,0.9087068474449652,0.15633827814289908,0.7454895132172635,27.772266786239,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125,5.711559904221738,-0.39999999999999997,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,2.458834129560811,0.850321589438321,0.1052623519283952,0.7114417571504577,31.345293491805304,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125,5.741389445158941,-0.3333333333333333,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,2.5953173578040976,0.9788058042216452,0.27338023848850795,0.7469458350977081,29.32406087162826,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875,5.503759149305798,-0.6666666666666666,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,2.937357276245079,1.1736324903660433,0.5808332901781094,0.9985023900222818,8.62299271410025,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875,5.9305144133470025,-0.06666666666666665,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,2.712162270782756,1.0503224205022468,0.7098568046542325,0.8136729400449875,28.261800426873634,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875,5.983134280310978,-0.11111111111111105,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,2.4750264503244326,0.9669304246380482,0.6587679570562226,0.7277854840203203,27.740980668614096,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875,4.856392427273316,-0.5111111111111112,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,4.523985000565511,1.621828965063998,1.257026885867608,1.1745764502568008,0.0,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125,8.089947639349587,-0.4842853980889243,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,3.504009853053262,1.4387053548786763,1.2212362487304775,1.2212544044561249,-5.668974199201078,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125,5.788963034247408,-0.4444444444444445,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,3.0270154736051818,1.2588178320574277,0.5188598208599116,0.9978941539136366,3.858471356606256,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125,4.342056657294066,0.04444444444444451,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,4.098072428052485,1.5630164896764158,0.6608448636006615,0.8376160916195717,-6.010623659188074,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875,6.066595600090328,-0.4222222222222222,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,5.385629622360834,1.688253517746073,0.38608531486545716,1.3936069482245876,-12.975388002754203,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125,5.69466954349977,-0.1777777777777777,0.0,6,15,0.8333333333333334,2026-07-28T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,13.963740776645354,0.875818544331367,0.15908810043021557,0.6391003422070545,23.491090464815535,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375,135.6390000683859,0.037098340730751564,0.23076923076923078,13,2595,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.129621419626513,0.8794730643441712,0.19474988860731673,0.6721891890307611,24.842972571758864,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375,138.34724562877344,0.029388736466105028,0.23076923076923078,13,2582,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.012144509778333,0.8759629807476148,0.13705511258819822,0.7184945735776836,23.97501760007342,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375,135.88903170530128,0.03473638460485682,0.23076923076923078,13,2576,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.402130784192803,0.9228408730637429,0.24002341403838046,0.6693574147780862,22.29125127907828,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25,154.8893575518522,0.06636835859054589,0.23076923076923078,13,1897,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.038888498277686,0.9705832553167925,0.20222176217919274,0.8161241507800956,18.500177422162746,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25,162.1075316701664,0.04566252075618005,0.23076923076923078,13,1788,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.65801061212064,0.9687126324001447,0.27543516767326603,0.7170579798325932,11.64089883409932,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25,155.81806431608186,0.024282967443956107,0.15384615384615385,13,1884,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.07928857456264,1.0094079681563353,0.22400609289915988,0.7630056890955115,16.275218639600872,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25,149.92460356965987,0.003491420300453164,0.3076923076923077,13,2136,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.792821528942634,1.2354392872791757,0.3681730123820049,0.9624496002349988,0.0,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375,140.8111800707474,0.028543968941997344,0.3076923076923077,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.525075993501142,1.1410931121935075,0.3436131499966431,0.9171733059078442,2.9973919226133527,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375,141.04398747593288,0.08013863866645644,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.448942454224781,1.1439037022924476,0.3465545395002421,0.9012336377259177,1.84223847143307,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375,141.04591683700454,0.0610833627452836,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.172413806565146,1.6554579121121085,0.28217782292574395,0.7000121860883515,-19.016827282350725,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25,211.7572234916118,-0.010036339929780062,0.23076923076923078,13,1911,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.161172131797066,1.394780271670553,0.314556156759556,1.106319446944559,-3.371010754550658,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375,145.69070286228578,0.07353513703496904,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T05:10:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,13.964256917491756,0.8757754699851608,0.15901435442250073,0.6391563480078643,23.481546266303855,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125,135.640315126312,0.036843653583466224,0.23076923076923078,13,2593,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.128861841042992,0.8791233068008206,0.19464157809080504,0.6721154339453641,24.842366453397663,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125,138.34854188219694,0.030002112802478238,0.23076923076923078,13,2580,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.012609888612209,0.8759622366100541,0.13704691101759336,0.7185622107783084,23.95878947322311,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125,135.89028222440015,0.034474701070666726,0.23076923076923078,13,2574,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.401946257321548,0.9227105447101553,0.23975346807865916,0.6692873821255875,22.30179868497491,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875,154.88930339499694,0.06596527557454693,0.23076923076923078,13,1898,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.039309664961714,0.9707856473314549,0.20204497422617937,0.816285235135488,18.47147189097651,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875,162.10771504963674,0.046161110649251096,0.23076923076923078,13,1789,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.658615279408508,0.9689445649023212,0.2752494942994003,0.7172589555854274,11.61463776160406,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875,155.81850461414658,0.024795866197761512,0.15384615384615385,13,1885,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.07929369996507,1.009432103904388,0.22381988271637313,0.7630160209920857,16.262432406945315,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875,149.92455696568825,0.0035774431507364156,0.3076923076923077,13,2137,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.791901714006352,1.235031949954094,0.36771022140636017,0.9620764361681376,0.0,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125,140.812524178911,0.028828140330143297,0.3076923076923077,13,2420,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.524904718138382,1.140872429853644,0.34317000681862975,0.9170068973505274,2.989206195970061,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125,141.04537267902518,0.08008078064734056,0.15384615384615385,13,2413,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.44679402361163,1.14321981256946,0.3462865816178259,0.9008113969729982,1.853451517522982,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125,141.04642762824236,0.062037891818350316,0.15384615384615385,13,2413,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.172266536296497,1.6554369897424737,0.2819892966796106,0.7000487147030269,-19.031529267296637,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875,211.75688686086653,-0.009978171013327763,0.23076923076923078,13,1912,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.159121655988738,1.3940353997751536,0.3142583859624292,1.1058348987266764,-3.3562667240995174,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125,145.69406337182616,0.07421711982239745,0.15384615384615385,13,2413,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T06:40:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,127.32413892364066,1.8257770101066086,0.15623573415620243,1.6223752136474643,15.827627716554046,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375,449.0961720429574,-0.14789698408805424,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,128.1640532462277,1.7981056365092511,0.1571731152342751,1.9230825297855434,19.409075758276902,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375,457.9280466690661,-0.14263412787845456,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,127.20669848648012,1.805073870332177,0.13908040971024532,1.6784949573732197,15.487152685835373,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375,449.1214019171672,-0.17411116133742957,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,127.27782526841094,1.8446893496620824,0.23587164932651758,1.6222042150902942,13.923352363453743,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25,449.2638785761426,-0.08895277472091764,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,127.4419886706713,1.8969326120774814,0.21954735275718462,1.7705184546898074,9.888440380281962,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25,449.20483116603333,-0.07206095259444276,0.0,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,127.24660955340828,1.8558872918823568,0.26179980466985686,1.6514220512254583,4.817117245882156,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25,449.2807683582428,-0.11942493002540289,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,127.36183058500139,1.8581003418832012,0.24802075035975266,1.6636505982151162,13.301275117536706,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25,449.1711742004069,-0.18549320381131745,0.09090909090909091,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,127.86828251208634,2.0610099866240965,0.3729309387609879,1.6843940503035184,0.0,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375,449.69893104053756,-0.11995797670133991,0.0,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,127.66867598617446,2.047863326740373,0.39167726379886925,1.8597080555889745,-7.573503459584909,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375,449.40651898868197,-0.10055723244187535,0.0,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,127.77983974939758,2.1278492586683457,0.31526449579621213,1.8624757507670777,-11.610745975492764,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375,449.2629602599351,0.048348538993540364,0.09090909090909091,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,171.8834561576395,2.4337125239033885,0.22420140868822566,1.5396927117388832,-25.70327918632191,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25,575.9971597596563,-0.11334594292304923,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,129.2297703851233,2.4515974160245246,0.43744368095715386,2.179247091842666,-19.523070567132866,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375,451.1013132251556,0.04925000728173683,0.0,11,209,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,127.32267509647781,1.8239359062449674,0.15458080526865023,1.621483202602532,16.018683291460004,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125,449.0963888949332,-0.15385218830412803,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,128.1637174363117,1.7983310087196551,0.15628459079306295,1.9232216923540006,19.270954758539464,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125,457.9269837645883,-0.13947207254248617,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,127.20640222021137,1.8047087373718909,0.13805750371842784,1.6781484031606018,15.52830727742504,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125,449.1212906257742,-0.1777738754349263,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,127.2754590666983,1.8430481370781813,0.23145267431510508,1.6213706486192747,14.048168161578092,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875,449.26311670834434,-0.09361680634147101,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,127.44668955127936,1.8992262508502384,0.21746894830442975,1.772363273030596,9.543270809096926,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875,449.20595064011013,-0.0660003465338367,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,127.2546070097708,1.8589775140822657,0.2586835574566072,1.6541335216977524,4.493043968460797,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875,449.28712405901894,-0.11270556243647008,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,127.3618287205416,1.8584218813648095,0.24458180999229695,1.663826640711718,13.095863226467664,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875,449.17037181352777,-0.18512429735545446,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,127.8631808755039,2.058966779299409,0.36397419969206973,1.6824644827338546,0.0,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125,449.69767683496224,-0.12470105970529248,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,127.66390724559373,2.045997669042629,0.38224655184027984,1.8578690515641727,-7.600403699409705,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125,449.40496875647983,-0.10545841821262632,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,127.77717847923228,2.1272039984972575,0.30977567573648424,1.862002628810246,-11.756484959132655,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125,449.2607566009101,0.047768828848612825,0.09090909090909091,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,171.8820142981463,2.4333923163644133,0.22099542224360474,1.5401459930329657,-25.86482149835355,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875,575.995106039381,-0.11107980326560521,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,129.22598452073865,2.4508553798234147,0.4319656644515221,2.17868630440926,-19.671054227022584,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125,451.0981590687733,0.049091904514938396,0.0,11,210,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T06:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,13.959776641300065,0.8748878999581174,0.15923035059685328,0.6389020110594974,23.51385939387371,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375,135.63447217964503,0.03397428426100631,0.23076923076923078,13,2660,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,14.124405246649745,0.877734382873264,0.19465294046096318,0.6717274021777951,24.814797174329044,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375,138.34157996038869,0.03314258368739243,0.23076923076923078,13,2646,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.007034907306993,0.8745316555728672,0.13705246146951022,0.7169477692472372,23.919818021679767,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375,135.8867232426183,0.03425767278157419,0.23076923076923078,13,2641,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.402130784192803,0.9228408730637429,0.24002341403838046,0.6693574147780862,22.29125127907828,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25,154.8893575518522,0.06636835859054589,0.23076923076923078,13,1897,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.038426710877157,0.9704162947841453,0.20222180527940462,0.8160355292150382,18.603185993301544,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25,162.1068564744157,0.04699497747325213,0.23076923076923078,13,1789,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.65801061212064,0.9687126324001447,0.27543516767326603,0.7170579798325932,11.64089883409932,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25,155.81806431608186,0.024282967443956107,0.15384615384615385,13,1884,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,17.079637662914262,1.0098871338298978,0.22405031981075077,0.7633725222630571,16.264552088150317,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25,149.92414942666304,0.002239111355836526,0.3076923076923077,13,2137,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.783490878032913,1.2328370186483515,0.3682004779940964,0.9610244967987511,0.0,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375,140.80490649989062,0.03812313197706658,0.3076923076923077,13,2495,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,15.525140106311522,1.1417858876126623,0.34395075034934347,0.9180625940667597,2.868217949955714,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375,141.0440516780501,0.06829598308634553,0.15384615384615385,13,2486,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,15.461089561566318,1.147333442978349,0.34712878697991495,0.904070479245237,1.6424188377771063,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375,141.05738325228668,0.04414283784061845,0.15384615384615385,13,2486,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.172413806565146,1.6554579121121085,0.28217782292574395,0.7000121860883515,-19.016827282350725,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25,211.7572234916118,-0.010036339929780062,0.23076923076923078,13,1911,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,17.25288432021176,1.4076393592259961,0.31610348074573413,1.1167996104124018,-3.8441338013263926,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375,145.94259191143573,0.05034413102822065,0.15384615384615385,13,2486,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,13.95971450003459,0.8748046821133246,0.15912557944383227,0.6388597252536565,23.52374791877448,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125,135.6344559178672,0.03361616940401518,0.23076923076923078,13,2661,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,14.124381414187273,0.8777331570472163,0.19454790895410115,0.6717265228117193,24.809927436652284,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125,138.34153518227984,0.03322859594090417,0.23076923076923078,13,2647,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,14.007011010823364,0.8745059782335394,0.1370125355262756,0.7169247956394915,23.92306308769758,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125,135.88671096397766,0.03413440651173406,0.23076923076923078,13,2642,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,17.401946257321548,0.9227105447101553,0.23975346807865916,0.6692873821255875,22.30179868497491,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875,154.88930339499694,0.06596527557454693,0.23076923076923078,13,1898,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,19.038847877561185,0.9706186867988076,0.2020450173263912,0.8161966135704308,18.57448046211531,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875,162.10703985388608,0.04749356736632318,0.23076923076923078,13,1790,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,17.658615279408508,0.9689445649023212,0.2752494942994003,0.7172589555854274,11.61463776160406,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875,155.81850461414658,0.024795866197761512,0.15384615384615385,13,1885,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,17.079642788316693,1.0099112695779504,0.22386410962796405,0.7633828541596314,16.25176585549476,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875,149.92410282269145,0.0023251342061197775,0.3076923076923077,13,2138,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,15.783275062386695,1.232751059438508,0.3677428649250425,0.9609380424570738,0.0,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125,140.8048176347972,0.03784853610661579,0.3076923076923077,13,2496,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,15.524936057869516,1.1417057450245822,0.3434952716055496,0.9179781018372939,2.8673593368337906,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125,141.04395796193933,0.06804308107104143,0.15384615384615385,13,2487,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,15.461058842372818,1.1473449363027883,0.34689232209493254,0.9040833584029924,1.6325978012637339,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125,141.05726676635737,0.04419340737552218,0.15384615384615385,13,2487,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,28.172266536296497,1.6554369897424737,0.2819892966796106,0.7000487147030269,-19.031529267296637,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875,211.75688686086653,-0.009978171013327763,0.23076923076923078,13,1912,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,17.2527859573791,1.4076318749393326,0.3158381000980383,1.1167992963096514,-3.8527744452332113,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125,145.94243485033536,0.05030663588628686,0.15384615384615385,13,2487,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25
-12,Official,ETS,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25
-12,Official,ETS,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25
-12,Official,ETS,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.668538103250933,11,2655,13,33.59375
-2,Official,TiRex,0.6668906566500808,11,2646,13,33.59375
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608389859369683,11,2641,13,33.59375
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5788966214525566,11,1897,13,28.25
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558768495646077,11,1786,13,30.25
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5239643057717452,11,1884,13,28.25
-7,Official,Sundial,0.5130570651780931,11,2135,13,30.25
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864294896042262,11,2486,13,33.59375
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803290611470889,11,2486,13,33.59375
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37471426601281094,11,2486,13,33.59375
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37374602299538695,11,1911,13,28.25
-12,Official,ETS,0.36627605292131804,11,2486,13,33.59375
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6685985905762494,11,2656,13,33.63125
+2,Official,TiRex,0.6668974255600406,11,2647,13,33.63125
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.608419421515892,11,2642,13,33.63125
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.5789710779242013,11,1898,13,28.2875
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.558665953739221,11,1787,13,30.2875
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5238575639451158,11,1885,13,28.2875
+7,Official,Sundial,0.5130348550498985,11,2136,13,30.2875
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.3864871562433238,11,2487,13,33.63125
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.3803963254724648,11,2487,13,33.63125
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.37470331652207084,11,2487,13,33.63125
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.37369843366460426,11,1912,13,28.2875
+12,Official,ETS,0.3662698797869173,11,2487,13,33.63125

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -948,6 +948,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.684811
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.870569+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.158286+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,43.44135049806184,6.591005272191931,182.66516852182596,6.488432894993372,-82.97646040203055,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.203611+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.82444956142632,4.982414029506813,0.03047399535921373,2.502340387258294,8.047481441417826,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.180854+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0498774248250313,1.0246352642892158,0.3119430280443701,0.8221170122455388,-43.50384774851107,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.304541+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.748144+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6326947318511023,0.795421103473564,0.4027011331080194,0.49412524323772455,36.141760382540475,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.588675+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.479393784785299,2.1164578391230235,3.720516739234823,1.706168453313047,-19.905347353297998,True
@@ -3490,6 +3491,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.728717
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.877949+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.2761158361191085e-09,,1.8284365387902989e-09,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.163826+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.033599168455850564,0.18330075956157565,2.9082345077129887,9.237255233098189,98.35105909470869,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.241791+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.877883412673224,4.783083044718461,0.05392797360530954,4.147438845444999,12.088436144889457,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.379499+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.001680441916739974,0.040993193541610955,0.015522855066665247,0.0920967595929137,99.19016326754175,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.352302+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.799605+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6241530009207975,0.7900335441744214,0.37865383179026696,0.5344382854826438,36.73115490722771,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.670865+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6764766705393601,0.8224820183684018,1.4029538557481118,0.4884797334102632,63.121045100450544,True
@@ -5850,6 +5852,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.751700
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.883864+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.2825236033380433e-15,5.729331202974779e-08,,6.615357107869962e-08,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.166442+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,10.986545959422356,3.3145958968511313,83.5144080311559,3.3384980937904736,-46.21250649698388,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.266850+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.09457338769057,4.908622351300879,0.05524180686003538,4.219976863104225,9.52805008869489,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.443441+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.429048374696801,1.8517689852400059,0.581406797765868,1.4011069076735252,-78.48585399282034,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.380753+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.835282+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6342074004134406,0.7963713960291646,0.4107560557062712,0.5404864313175036,36.03791278131243,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.696615+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.3489095886510687,1.5326152774427992,2.6874723443448696,0.867349830031334,12.043407607876146,True
@@ -7978,6 +7981,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.813870
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.889206+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.170798+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11596394079039131,0.34053478646151747,6.720969980139934,0.23856421112516005,94.42160168643152,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.304089+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,28.25568980212024,5.3156081309780765,0.059656607914079056,4.957116783685796,1.5914967607097361,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.481620+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.4104667112689169,1.187630713340185,0.3538894647545171,0.9296769711463454,-54.67391898390813,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.409678+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.859172+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6442966825156327,0.8026809344413461,0.41660115001036263,0.5278046807947435,35.34929601477004,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.755270+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.771630911865606,2.1844063064973986,3.872967045855693,1.762845953836015,-22.920194596434122,True
@@ -10223,6 +10227,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.831826
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.894618+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,7.853649481634599e-14,2.8024363474724275e-07,,3.428585403043706e-07,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.175162+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,11.018850872856556,3.319465449866372,89.98352566071712,3.0345999429017905,-46.32788121998351,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.321060+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,25.055403790990187,5.005537312915586,0.05628524051347811,3.81441581067769,7.587287513463145,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.529958+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0641887425356193,0.25335497337849777,0.07104457107342975,0.22484801335317506,73.11555698751465,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.562842+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.916886+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6775483579921403,0.8231332565217738,0.4058898284624979,0.5513462092115032,33.128332656502224,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.817348+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.9245088140094326,1.710119532082314,3.0444437773920314,1.1179022239513798,1.143330953259099,True
@@ -12361,6 +12366,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.874789
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.900667+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.407835548068247e-15,6.639153220154094e-08,,2.543803079815313e-07,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.179348+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.16591565915834983,0.4073274593718791,8.621931598311145,0.30615966385235144,92.11344780767342,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.358178+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,28.72980527012926,5.3600191482987505,0.06042782147087481,5.02612403598146,0.7596040988398474,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.579461+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4040337259832807,0.6356364731379727,0.19123174291298922,0.48431123691726313,1.1370024555804585,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.583624+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.934296+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6314010598379337,0.7946074879070381,0.40300369635839317,0.5245736507430545,36.23069931188175,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.886318+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.013441450509535,1.7359266835064016,3.118013535337284,1.353786770123313,-0.35442898665605554,True
@@ -14849,6 +14855,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.938802
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.906708+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.184406+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.041643109546229,2.010383821449583,11.533254132466666,0.4134756750101704,0.0,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.395032+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,29.169611613985364,5.4008898909332865,0.06076517204565985,4.721632138726044,0.0,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.626681+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.4133271390901189,0.6429052333665661,0.20742765450546993,0.5111435072643518,0.0,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.645332+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.971322+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3488654728812461,1.1614066785072514,0.5515058436933437,0.9850109507748086,0.0,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.938270+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.992155872773978,1.7297849209580878,3.0888722814944396,1.3769479213424023,0.0,True
@@ -17202,6 +17209,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:29.984820
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.911766+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.142243672055357e-15,7.170943921169205e-08,,5.574044029327469e-08,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.189194+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.300859415927227,2.3023595322901302,43.933980272016775,1.438959562542937,-13.478361958667858,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.414127+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,22.287745228990303,4.7209898569039845,0.0524359643989404,4.406545986022567,13.37392125677067,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.665471+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.41167044686429183,0.6416154976808867,0.16128704558381826,0.4003823315015585,0.2008117664866286,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.666807+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.399280261673323e-16,2.3236351395331677e-08,,2.0702373899945996e-08,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:15.990237+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7830743518523301,0.8849148839590902,0.4985662540685465,0.5724658842105751,26.538794128470382,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:08.975247+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.1084349749528957,1.0528223852829572,1.9088112694417887,0.7153024006551958,45.937792083433685,True
@@ -19212,6 +19220,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:30.035762
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.918836+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.193522+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.926760292091477e-06,0.0013880779128317966,0.03593035710399454,0.0012784845957834953,99.99990465465054,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.440141+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,30.656945302970986,5.536871436377314,0.061688961856105805,5.418542501333688,-2.486076026487953,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.722798+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.3404098555302943,1.5298398136832152,0.46658096319383174,1.2341553507573086,-69.9806379550714,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.702514+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:16.031189+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6345202825458027,0.796567814153825,0.35935711039138357,0.636297684731099,36.01645259278549,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:09.014386+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8203025475449475,0.9057055523430049,1.5625002961865415,0.7677208459082283,56.96726588948208,True
@@ -21320,6 +21329,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:30.102850
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:08:00.076412+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.906315718058047e-17,7.685255830522526e-09,,4.1680416340218845e-09,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.202753+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,11.935935011878733,3.454842255715698,59.36193063910195,12.413614945711165,-49.40856394090628,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.512406+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,23.58292284753715,4.856225164419083,0.05486133598050225,4.208722490456067,10.59037034613592,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.799807+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2635496615881807,0.5133708811260926,0.15024335746212245,0.3428410981317871,22.127730977313135,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.779690+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:16.096692+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6225732762008576,0.789033127441971,0.3910152673204705,0.5422821988667388,36.84071833418858,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:09.108750+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.9876743519588743,0.9938180678368019,1.7231486839219026,0.5874710200697071,50.36600577477285,True
@@ -23966,6 +23976,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:30.060733
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:07:59.923915+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.198224+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.43241078103256186,0.6575794864748762,15.879436515168939,0.393268718451903,80.67029179317183,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.476200+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.495806258896028,4.94932381835095,0.05366913823329248,4.906020876779273,8.70915673508831,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.761529+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.04917595784361254,0.22175652829987338,0.0878293847727582,0.15429107944871034,78.73486332539795,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.737096+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:16.063457+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6212842048778472,0.788215836479988,0.35701296579345115,0.6141797235456079,36.930253382117215,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:09.059385+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2438408969528248,0.49380248779529734,0.6037193360326559,0.43764817618993246,84.92947216548605,True
@@ -26318,6 +26329,7 @@ future-5f7edf47515cb7657a83,2026-07-24T23:55:00+00:00,2026-07-25T01:37:30.145903
 future-60709966a4394ea2024d,2026-07-21T04:30:00+00:00,2026-07-21T05:08:00.089950+00:00,2026-07-21T01:38:06.915280+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.3855642645390978,1.1770999382121714,,0.00028347943393417847,-100.0,False
 future-60deb21db8df91fdcd43,2026-07-16T21:20:00+00:00,2026-07-16T22:28:14.207908+00:00,2026-07-16T15:31:00.127241+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,533.4931546149337,23.097470740644606,148.99700101269013,6.5304879939485945,-98.49623015043657,True
 future-615af7a2c35060bdcc0e,2026-07-23T08:40:00+00:00,2026-07-23T09:03:39.546127+00:00,2026-07-23T02:51:26.237009+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,24.833944223835342,4.983366755902614,0.056503932206504216,4.246283831197371,8.02848501896905,True
+future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T06:29:17.857525+00:00,2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.7889958278678243,0.8882543711504178,0.23605742824392614,0.5227477120569817,-31.24523934930756,True
 future-635e43387cab8988992e,2026-07-24T06:10:00+00:00,2026-07-24T19:23:24.901449+00:00,2026-07-24T14:32:11.865719+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0008497878669000357,0.029151121194561893,,0.00025931567149191994,-100.0,False
 future-638016e051e71dc2fe4f,2026-07-23T01:00:00+00:00,2026-07-23T02:37:16.141236+00:00,2026-07-22T02:04:36.301659+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7015556911948198,1.3044369249583592,0.3709173825681132,0.5704241388321024,-11.56201715576541,True
 future-64049e3591a2fbc9768e,2026-07-27T11:06:00+00:00,2026-07-27T11:18:09.143309+00:00,2026-07-27T05:15:13.823382+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.11683930835631,1.4549361870392494,2.4720793021414016,0.6552121422909066,17.13285163490832,True

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -4,7 +4,7 @@ ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.5261732972351965,0.3754834870884529,,0.15359695424618738,-31.52688406720658,72.99390200364189,0.0653249044971009,0.13958983360691873,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791901419002968e-30,0.0,1.0,538,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0379265364760504,1.341938783720677,0.0882364325192599,1.0492572016487152,-61.32015971705557,1.2999471724338816,-0.011494252873563218,0.9436180468092228,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2036269882973782,0.9671111754709552,1.310770702210082,0.7576568276801025,5.650440000918894,1.1821945214185992,0.07136640557006092,0.03677839204340806,384,0.9973958333333334,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2032276387818654,0.9672605886886649,1.3081695884752753,0.7578242567309219,5.522766526245049,1.1806802043376574,0.07202380952380952,0.03483952090787991,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6357628407404974,1.4280528846650502,0.13250859953460778,1.0409768923457305,11.63412344818652,3.381908984187379,-0.1246057524831709,0.0014990864776036534,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.224989505012516,0.8376872389949994,0.03753078258092905,0.6302451084156856,31.472996936085384,9.894620159763747,0.07644529383659818,0.2804556277713832,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.676857050690692,0.9482953842520914,0.45516115075163893,0.7414801600628518,3.093313252763524,3.8125426268499294,-0.29146968139773893,3.2361181388683506e-07,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.58118634312199
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.287623538311989,0.323442589414922,,0.1425480999248279,-30.78622516846082,71.64082177911321,0.04120574720696438,0.34018013883074594,281,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.3561627471096824e-09,0.0,1.927658011082477e-34,0.0,1.0,558,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.295371688844987,0.4728719138176587,0.03169250099185042,0.32183935593940316,8.73042977853834,0.361298836217281,-0.3517241379310345,0.005952597596458611,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.328046368190041,0.47805331439392224,0.47997337640879245,0.314181811869411,50.59795190516767,0.4220801855451738,-0.04966482722862117,0.13647327518812935,403,0.9975186104218362,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3272385317388695,0.4769714824116146,0.4788208937255614,0.3136320963934791,50.726502728877655,0.4218687824334833,-0.05432032036950594,0.10295962838807182,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.788602884472852,1.4864751451799758,0.14699017394332234,1.0126987782389438,7.199595831515725,3.4579527511687096,-0.0434097634710779,0.2566136187124871,307,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.770662920708487,0.9383375365561323,0.04147426688621382,0.6664343471483456,32.51750738043405,9.969986449028195,0.026208503203261502,0.6962897689185866,102,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.021420096704319,0.7601464052316582,0.34268467491723437,0.5152385850105019,22.20062475012013,2.3428438544951105,-0.3470265106281347,8.456780624602227e-11,159,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.45393802545
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.006505490692993,0.4570523112947153,,0.18355558698703064,-24.01314633696131,85.69469160877574,0.04914477335435747,0.3429764073163418,196,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219155665517135e-28,0.0,1.0,416,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.33646790118188474,0.46932795303124963,0.03148247055252711,0.3285493541758667,10.269454068402935,0.5551840161623731,-0.2553846153846154,0.07039249318951525,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3223875437674981,1.0437161476573937,1.1267294968093524,0.7009073847999235,7.54541950165322,1.0694813005549948,-0.005829179690800034,0.887124567856942,267,0.9962546816479401,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3302482185097713,1.046731270185687,1.1246870896968297,0.7035200695867654,7.204025559214833,1.0752051753960339,0.0008385041086701326,0.9836790430602367,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0249447637801543,1.56773587703653,0.1413502644052285,1.0756973648149528,-1.2482923455508377,3.74411601779297,-0.06484578223708658,0.16418982938535875,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.768843963278756,0.8902673165851895,0.03498639781627768,0.6413761405723531,39.70093271789535,11.382484507106362,0.07441016333938293,0.40932488546762036,58,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.523819771491744,0.6185176791541969,0.3808061056536098,0.4137400558279903,12.795230785816507,0.581730871421917,-0.4636422136422136,4.269587867818866e-13,112,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -43,7 +43,7 @@ ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.544121842471378,0.3705648922463694,,0.14936560264323048,-31.493732619354073,73.04857664804652,0.09325250494549293,0.034953061668902434,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791901419002968e-30,0.0,1.0,538,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.632064283514427,2.2241017917224624,0.15885787001642346,1.7941800506233858,-79.9671220048645,3.8344178607315382,0.043678160919540236,0.7502215453736768,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9027726887310743,1.2250895680914204,1.474857320621565,0.9312490554118918,-11.427496230284715,1.708639540459894,0.08341492602262837,0.014656345661553837,384,0.9973958333333334,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9014939719064972,1.2249922723647937,1.471938133496911,0.9312449720761371,-11.539824601073349,1.7065977461552198,0.08292748917748916,0.01511196757028376,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.850466382021172,1.905669463610887,0.18454754316470004,1.5223799358904635,-5.012575815320361,12.001212376798978,-0.18001223932589558,4.5057511326069875e-06,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 ETS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.972878454121812,0.853143992192325,0.04758814209444523,0.6729960300640387,6.483095468375056,9.382395081066424,0.14811275680840896,0.03651580906292498,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,3.846856252097679,1.0773483913908197,0.5160379131744395,0.8505321852031522,-0.250627635613973,27.20681351812713,-0.24295991778006165,2.0550353213759956e-05,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -56,7 +56,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.96153090612994,0.4547472276097385,,0.18092940627395201,-24.0058217840915,85.48437053436956,0.03220639384708213,0.5334873994054378,197,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.4882488390014493e-07,,4.1005151803435385e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,417,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.32783875148011027,0.4861314501111893,0.032171503433641925,0.3331142593364293,2.7413565787529137,0.5308169063111237,-0.28615384615384615,0.04171775347628058,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7094792113203483,0.709113225874493,0.8668452603318958,0.46975219914179256,38.56225527014879,0.8597414039332593,0.048074235563754265,0.24085534909002693,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7070803619940109,0.7074189572778538,0.8638758547749614,0.46884177465930704,38.699371546805,0.8590373648147133,0.042834156355767636,0.29510689995373873,269,0.9962825278810409,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.875163364543005,1.5140992211116933,0.13656758553561157,1.0197928990223109,3.1650765796073244,3.6692471466171495,-0.020824789245841874,0.6534847125593055,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.670225338703816,0.8791254469903079,0.03496247950075732,0.6108317841224591,37.06055843587799,11.37096795671203,0.09175920514319111,0.30456198913461274,59,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.47547175421648535,0.5911284984685183,0.34657001596175063,0.39862287201840146,15.510384264489803,0.5581746740873943,-0.35018963337547404,3.8282782387080044e-08,113,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -69,7 +69,7 @@ Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.582948492117426,0.3948011658579765,,0.17256378986856932,-32.317923380505434,73.05695508628355,0.08712290324899206,0.04881033086811387,270,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526525e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,1.5791901419002968e-30,0.0,1.0,538,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9224463856199253,0.9010670399481847,0.0645836248358115,0.6869453492193306,-43.08462326691053,0.6586811407632233,-0.04827586206896552,0.7235302654564064,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.425296178232171,1.0367501264791648,2.115173956698292,0.9071948453935956,5.434361130812462,1.5896880722272295,0.16413729329852045,1.565116470622534e-06,384,0.9973958333333334,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.42264354848607,1.0357082728341225,2.1101636905165595,0.9060964464105402,5.423199160227445,1.5884697627872626,0.16084956709956708,2.4443662615890713e-06,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.625709717015872,1.4326279936812982,0.14142457855422066,1.1353304944961622,11.474808062907794,3.4887494645182304,-0.0920773901991244,0.018972938508059083,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.8914444303842557,1.068962110527693,0.06617696620566264,0.8956165091670224,16.219078657811732,9.585776068034434,0.03774486383182035,0.5941010151538975,92,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.4911726518655655,0.9796162863931354,0.4619319383127711,0.7616332272792946,-1.779155228455438,2.520696320441719,-0.3498458376156218,8.655173937908163e-10,140,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.880348677
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.911871392732312,0.4449681429872579,,0.17380057771511165,0.0,72.95897561771629,0.15565800990924059,0.0012756889995869465,271,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,539,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3838835766683514,0.5349065407917174,0.037747810105515,0.3810075120009519,0.0,0.46585943829990095,-0.3701149425287356,0.00369749418816167,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.496290051809361,1.0742485483614763,2.1454190019483903,0.9449713938011912,0.0,1.6139903260126083,0.18246753246753242,8.987015846222526e-08,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.493484448408534,1.0731310786335102,2.140385258188798,0.943847487359386,0.0,1.6128350797980073,0.17889778615167218,1.534479836969889e-07,386,0.9974093264248705,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.067200332902325,1.5795468811945765,0.1494110944382594,1.2805892643607824,0.0,3.5808657434846873,-0.08864369535742674,0.023667487902626353,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.907553326809399,1.1113168709918815,0.06395200154691993,0.8936284979553439,0.0,9.58160211148785,0.053763440860215055,0.4452669441695035,93,1.0,2026-07-03T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.7532017652395215,1.044974394336836,0.46526155408279957,0.8630157021995427,0.0,2.6554133117162233,-0.3775075987841945,3.105581970162213e-11,141,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -95,7 +95,7 @@ Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.573438732040973,0.40885439301261595,,0.15866925271466864,-30.682895918864837,78.60059220901816,0.04143850821370432,0.34633592968762417,233,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.61939495520477e-16,2.3240466527218103e-08,,2.02310343836723e-08,0.0,1.4014361341557205e-15,0.0,1.0,469,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2989915504083323,0.4810597675775045,0.031935842024323965,0.32229608362516915,5.478488539646862,0.35359595910756725,-0.41798941798941797,0.001494389653163529,28,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3902821425195704,0.5408970210563389,0.8167468889931397,0.3572673270970914,53.39153961360213,0.38861627970549556,0.03926332288401254,0.294724772486214,320,0.996875,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.39034877275117386,0.541210785781026,0.8146985769824857,0.35740164175255706,53.22531858907989,0.38801042807461905,0.0403816199376947,0.2804283390147734,321,0.9968847352024922,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2067627316075837,1.6540913222182396,0.16533223779214337,1.230016170564496,-4.981996850200494,3.5308794959401544,-0.09444614495119545,0.028335790026346237,243,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Sundial,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.881456278598701,1.0224167870279186,0.04675885085597254,0.7204555593446484,14.578590822390296,10.258215961261458,0.11796042617960426,0.13985682980676,73,1.0,2026-07-05T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.054992186384303,0.7580821340697509,0.37340606759500905,0.5277248689224906,17.225297718466496,2.450987061549282,-0.3882447021191523,1.9142930214824517e-10,123,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.68970872926402
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.244578981787992,0.4709650384252533,,0.18665645315956708,-24.30554527677064,86.8161206650954,0.047085892240013416,0.37211121095850086,191,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,402,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3499836747388939,0.4967729072984653,0.03265549655192607,0.39498106583018344,3.657192499155621,0.493990451889389,-0.2934472934472935,0.032513093519389046,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.971618132434465,0.8720657660303621,0.9508031664974258,0.7106311957317819,22.939166494778842,0.8953739584408029,-0.011011789091851276,0.7957705250867417,249,0.9959839357429718,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9770932993268483,0.8746968622209735,0.9488584990142788,0.7127252923518841,22.565994589357757,0.8977578915554486,-0.004530120481927712,0.9150317425557162,250,0.996,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9042391943615766,1.5145072087650886,0.13559037349535139,1.2801955293924727,3.0233429072092783,3.761396250829972,-0.027659794882419972,0.5638011337705916,197,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,3.0669307026933486,0.9634836711907595,0.03523961683690969,0.736313878115392,32.539994057587926,11.885777737268304,0.1264849755415793,0.1769092815963943,54,1.0,2026-07-06T02:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.5157516384542906,0.6007336108772311,0.33706225175290916,0.493891344563285,11.758926767559108,0.7070839145137922,-0.3809251856082239,1.1844447764328179e-08,103,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -121,7 +121,7 @@ TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.3054584576963695,0.31989066026428237,,0.1421453753854025,-30.78561060362511,71.77235518423728,0.005301238010303918,0.9025525012022702,280,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,557,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.29587531469370065,0.45830202303845324,0.030294215858784057,0.314433562506276,15.912214496004603,0.39335092685640916,-0.3241379310344828,0.011605514320066219,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.38871775448835977,0.5198089195287878,0.615848027381561,0.34745952876247854,46.05762192093278,0.5001586219123281,-0.0397639593595299,0.23318080691765597,403,0.9975186104218362,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.38840793247623057,0.5197929837901674,0.6146926808060785,0.34744809700349166,45.99431533113485,0.4995765064971538,-0.038645800063877356,0.2459960609780537,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8939286049489046,1.5091067903010746,0.15020409963763806,1.0302151483954005,5.826233871961843,3.5858117429116505,-0.1378977820636451,0.0003209757148745961,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 TiRex,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.468994721394927,0.8596170375096616,0.037194240537534014,0.6036450284928152,41.50715153356337,9.60643761665164,0.0716831683168317,0.28815304090301486,101,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.9493183057139502,0.7305680707486996,0.3259131651348741,0.5045782357558168,23.6695016972218,2.170650391332058,-0.29691327780499754,3.411248991710397e-08,157,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -134,7 +134,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.923580799564
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.305398844763249,0.3207381464756472,,0.13155890322939762,-28.530325819204954,71.77117653358577,0.11530533974640567,0.00846090445727199,280,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,557,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31259224147394643,0.4973346576596029,0.03799042775808872,0.35734743509649297,2.559933492785978,0.33467509116808847,-0.3977011494252874,0.0017234661675702629,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17405898129029634,0.3559463036277285,0.26394272038074507,0.2743511535277782,62.7886089138778,0.20416507984521107,-0.014563591022443893,0.6631617058407491,401,0.9975062344139651,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17374832700311554,0.3556124982164652,0.26350353500516405,0.27405249662708403,62.830794772109336,0.20400545751696458,-0.016166052530365627,0.6283258872352641,402,0.9975124378109452,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6974015839669128,1.4708589351716754,0.1326116889151577,1.2309806447795324,7.113635247862645,3.2544648556064195,-0.09332476159862851,0.014898198285029885,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.473458750158442,0.883920069404717,0.039945153768864705,0.7179661355505145,37.40913646012532,9.426150906207923,0.060606060606060615,0.3716242470071768,100,1.0,2026-07-04T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,0.9991738454172477,0.7474061493814469,0.31779536069647274,0.5743196281090878,19.61594355012348,2.3505259430960734,-0.31927212572373864,3.3157283895297562e-09,156,1.0,2026-06-29T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00
@@ -147,7 +147,7 @@ Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.514070945556266,1.485178568821057,,0.18444015309765927,-87.00217600025016,85.79839052243692,0.007355226354501191,0.8780127356756016,197,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5268155410716483,0.3076874795763614,,0.00027573709652233127,-100.0,3.446865129167965,-0.013303490881684574,0.6841739485653404,419,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T19:50:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6586340425895975,0.6335735514017304,0.03023697154965001,0.3095297258176916,-11.611604151595333,1.3086718510560469,-0.2676923076923077,0.057446554888585626,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3078289843091553,0.961963879375005,0.7959803792599722,0.3940574025552693,16.918463333506445,2.469650251442599,0.016053972187801184,0.6942152123560038,270,0.9962962962962963,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-28T20:36:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3059144708167518,0.9616918885697481,0.7939065905525052,0.3945322745460505,16.727337529209564,2.4652740517543004,0.016810168101681015,0.6800236312530414,271,0.996309963099631,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.41199529181756,5.088477654601104,0.13015345450660978,1.026655448423758,-64.75336582471606,180.48339980923495,-0.09317714387910223,0.04355497564812599,212,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.45680483631431,1.7566451020306872,0.03543346962187676,0.6053896244254073,-21.810618327960736,31.64405952117616,0.15141242937853108,0.0873982232047124,60,1.0,2026-07-07T21:00:00+00:00,2026-07-15T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Air Quality,1h,24,1.8244936372319593,1.1336393860700649,0.3894818079764779,0.4191680516131009,-31.633505933662313,3.099877679411469,-0.4342493401645708,7.410658045370871e-12,114,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:00:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:40.871102+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:12.529166+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -47,18 +47,18 @@ Hydrology,Toto-1.0,1.033309433609247,0.8128151639806623,9,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,ETS,0.8679554287684873,0.9135102558601378,10,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
 Hydrology,ARIMA,2.8471547283782317,3.1754261339537115,12,1,1,1.0
-Ocean,ETS,0.06206633442714702,0.2195272612549506,1,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TiRex,0.03193191491296992,0.30437990737593856,2,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.09590678825255933,0.2810642635117219,3,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-2,0.06464004460925409,0.3033893338596452,4,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,ARIMA,0.2268790440757279,0.458896497484394,5,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,0.2584031581446523,0.4677926724767492,6,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Sundial,0.16624867337999774,0.31858694596719306,7,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Toto-1.0,0.46138511101469387,0.45324679140597063,8,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moving-Average,0.8738405671669187,0.9251953076244509,9,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Moirai-2.0,0.25664552306743366,0.4144209928938979,10,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,2,2,1.0
-Ocean,TabPFN-TS,0.9246294861667157,0.956016736406285,12,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-2,0.07501412876756498,0.44114594529050166,1,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TiRex,0.8911453966828544,0.803792414958183,2,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moving-Average,0.8708420095854966,0.9104023711080581,3,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TimesFM-2.5,0.3998624728680003,0.5786475456177379,4,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ETS,1.1184971796901257,1.006608632559059,5,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,ARIMA,1.2792272250801207,1.1314964099503113,6,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Moirai-2.0,0.5349808934300746,0.7202186365541717,7,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Chronos-Bolt,1.8911055039013083,1.4225017843200154,9,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Toto-1.0,1.7517259894667812,1.0276238080615925,10,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,Sundial,1.255772243598817,0.9990726066446702,11,2,2,1.0
+Ocean,TabPFN-TS,2.964534107417528,1.7918933603456857,12,2,2,1.0
 Transportation,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -71,15 +71,15 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,Toto-1.0,50938464905.405304,624577838.21216,10,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,94182.51370114152,99106271.41688466,11,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,4442.13523689146,124566309.73853382,12,2,2,1.0
-6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.006844414549539283,0.07121656096633769,1,1,1,1.0
-6min,Sundial,0.017456227227830197,0.07965149038128516,2,1,1,1.0
-6min,Chronos-2,0.0030188861826832155,0.08521921598947356,3,1,1,1.0
-6min,ETS,0.010507788586551908,0.0865057234007072,4,1,1,1.0
-6min,TiRex,0.0008186934796132181,0.0961820839848676,5,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moirai-2.0,0.035740102040686485,0.14564681426183942,6,1,1,1.0
-6min,Toto-1.0,0.13242670985436927,0.19895298241384554,7,1,1,1.0
-6min,ARIMA,0.07989839499576953,0.2645537438671968,8,1,1,1.0
-6min,Chronos-Bolt,0.1548972855107468,0.296435092858235,9,1,1,1.0
-6min,TabPFN-TS,0.5508337871884089,0.6872799143985305,10,1,1,1.0
-6min,Moving-Average,0.9842589191038743,0.9785472023112598,11,1,1,1.0
-6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
+6min,Chronos-2,0.004065646210503269,0.18017789189149058,1,1,1,1.0
+6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.11897587453818394,0.30185471840281924,2,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moirai-2.0,0.15529767214638196,0.43989214409973665,3,1,1,1.0
+6min,TiRex,0.6376297045685118,0.6707335479358393,4,1,1,1.0
+6min,Sundial,0.9959918135802209,0.7833070865839833,5,1,1,1.0
+6min,Moving-Average,0.9775155990789853,0.9475054070613252,6,1,1,1.0
+6min,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,1,1,1.0
+6min,Toto-1.0,1.9088894806295245,1.0227024399756848,8,1,1,1.0
+6min,ARIMA,2.540064093386627,1.6083878608681195,9,1,1,1.0
+6min,ETS,3.412470602278523,1.8188179208652995,10,1,1,1.0
+6min,TabPFN-TS,5.662366765178726,2.4144987331689447,11,1,1,1.0
+6min,Chronos-Bolt,8.296209105081665,2.741122381016384,12,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -47,18 +47,18 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 36,Chronos-Bolt,18035366.95448861,4826573036.809504,10,1,1,1.0
 36,Sundial,937568668.1934007,6509405314.10231,11,1,1,1.0
 36,ARIMA,8870345887.065712,39254117859.681656,12,1,1,1.0
-60,TimesFM-2.5,0.006844414549539283,0.07121656096633769,1,1,1,1.0
-60,Sundial,0.017456227227830197,0.07965149038128516,2,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-2,0.0030188861826832155,0.08521921598947356,3,1,1,1.0
-60,ETS,0.010507788586551908,0.0865057234007072,4,1,1,1.0
-60,TiRex,0.0008186934796132181,0.0961820839848676,5,1,1,1.0
-60,Moirai-2.0,0.035740102040686485,0.14564681426183942,6,1,1,1.0
-60,Toto-1.0,0.13242670985436927,0.19895298241384554,7,1,1,1.0
-60,ARIMA,0.07989839499576953,0.2645537438671968,8,1,1,1.0
-60,Chronos-Bolt,0.1548972855107468,0.296435092858235,9,1,1,1.0
-60,TabPFN-TS,0.5508337871884089,0.6872799143985305,10,1,1,1.0
-60,Moving-Average,0.9842589191038743,0.9785472023112598,11,1,1,1.0
-60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-2,0.004065646210503269,0.18017789189149058,1,1,1,1.0
+60,TimesFM-2.5,0.11897587453818394,0.30185471840281924,2,1,1,1.0
+60,Moirai-2.0,0.15529767214638196,0.43989214409973665,3,1,1,1.0
+60,TiRex,0.6376297045685118,0.6707335479358393,4,1,1,1.0
+60,Sundial,0.9959918135802209,0.7833070865839833,5,1,1,1.0
+60,Moving-Average,0.9775155990789853,0.9475054070613252,6,1,1,1.0
+60,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,1,1,1.0
+60,Toto-1.0,1.9088894806295245,1.0227024399756848,8,1,1,1.0
+60,ARIMA,2.540064093386627,1.6083878608681195,9,1,1,1.0
+60,ETS,3.412470602278523,1.8188179208652995,10,1,1,1.0
+60,TabPFN-TS,5.662366765178726,2.4144987331689447,11,1,1,1.0
+60,Chronos-Bolt,8.296209105081665,2.741122381016384,12,1,1,1.0
 72,ETS,0.3666070969635438,0.5570986119712091,1,1,1,1.0
 72,Chronos-Bolt,0.4310739979655584,0.7382053936764865,2,1,1,1.0
 72,ARIMA,0.6442444888090875,0.7960045937174731,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
-Overall,Chronos-2,1.0554450100628299,5.794950697370626,1,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,2.384861689318296,7.388142979672728,2,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TiRex,0.6796081724036377,5.255902077749363,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.2452929172935803,9.00861391781951,4,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Chronos-Bolt,1.6761571048438015,12.111757947669172,5,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TimesFM-2.5,0.8598706305020731,3.309111310404296,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,48.37544802708317,15.96959323828863,7,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Moving-Average,6.987255831183205,2.8938676706496462,8,13,13,1.0
-Overall,TabPFN-TS,1.998529317543837,4.149534360214288,9,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ARIMA,6.119383151688447,18.785971508416196,10,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,13,13,1.0
-Overall,ETS,8.24782385656036,8.427219098607148,12,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-2,1.0798923015805328,6.13850138599413,1,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.3942772640118302,9.808091977070788,2,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TiRex,1.134168572138379,6.102790819707846,3,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,3.2550945737330066,8.80845549891854,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Chronos-Bolt,2.2766805528745215,14.371919755650465,5,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.0710929523348298,3.697931272092179,6,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Moving-Average,6.983561763466352,2.8867005741911806,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,59.39691124932979,18.112820060023044,8,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,13,13,1.0
+Overall,TabPFN-TS,2.390864374898132,4.570626940041292,10,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ARIMA,7.984903908356004,21.583997422611787,11,13,13,1.0
+Overall,ETS,12.868742631895437,10.652066109852175,12,13,13,1.0

results/arima/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,A
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,0.008870345887065726,0.002850883380785429,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.09418251370114161,nan,nan,0.03925411785968172,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ARIMA,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ARIMA,2.056925758158167,2.1513339170576207,nan,nan,0.08313762419760717,nan,nan,1.4341986466867715,nan,nan,1.1091462251330082,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,0.2754288479681342,0.2779258099402789,nan,nan,0.2469307827424079,nan,nan,0.5248131552925615,nan,nan,0.4540848563056298,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ARIMA,1.0498774248250313,1.0620774733321467,nan,nan,0.3119430280443701,nan,nan,1.0246352642892158,nan,nan,0.8221170122455388,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ARIMA,1.8331695205240952,1.8927528726054481,nan,nan,0.11428118943556183,nan,nan,1.3539459075325333,nan,nan,1.0760698054107196,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ARIMA,0.33228586127163234,0.22104454915678584,0.36362891565490346,0.26312846157942765,0.022250183536134175,0.02191393413024315,2.960766211760618,0.5764424180016876,0.03447450399419848,0.021747057665548703,0.019463503681897795,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ARIMA,0.023975762112696596,0.024774368500219062,nan,nan,0.25101952998068583,nan,nan,0.15484108664271443,nan,nan,0.09684881581675826,Air Quality,1,24

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.514840+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.249242+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.891333+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.180854+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,C
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,2.4509541494589707e-06,2.4509541494589707e-06,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0015655523464448485,nan,nan,0.0013553598855146197,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.7296862743653321e-18,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.3151753777977035e-09,nan,nan,2.356162747109682e-09,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.015361654568983274,0.015361654568983274,nan,nan,0.008723225646655898,nan,nan,0.123942142021926,nan,nan,0.12329415034084243,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.010406821607460197,0.010406821607460197,nan,nan,0.057696898975205545,nan,nan,0.10201383047146204,nan,nan,0.14627181184963278,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-2,0.001680441916739974,0.001680441916739974,nan,nan,0.015522855066665247,nan,nan,0.040993193541610955,nan,nan,0.0920967595929137,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-2,3.9382970578426475,3.9382970578426475,nan,nan,0.16517416792315232,nan,nan,1.9845143128339104,nan,nan,1.4601179956324464,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.22763978935275495,0.22763978935275495,0.4551292260487874,0.3293397414624391,0.02734639793034648,0.02740698654518156,1.2449814398684094,0.4771161172636646,0.02853423165374086,0.027219291695583462,0.02293888289302154,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-2,0.004568087077043557,0.004568087077043557,nan,nan,0.1019209742528152,nan,nan,0.0675876251768292,nan,nan,0.07371692886298616,Air Quality,1,24

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.370124+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.190200+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.905047+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.379499+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,C
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.8035366954488628e-05,1.8035366954488628e-05,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.00424680667731516,nan,nan,0.0048265730368095665,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0941039077622847e-12,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.0459942197556757e-06,nan,nan,3.2148618499168906e-06,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.007747186746338719,0.007747186746338719,nan,nan,0.005542264374300185,nan,nan,0.08801810465091099,nan,nan,0.11419808179354105,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.5339679339475478,0.5339679339475478,nan,nan,0.35371192401287294,nan,nan,0.7307310955115759,nan,nan,0.5088065834065414,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Chronos-Bolt,3.429048374696801,3.429048374696801,nan,nan,0.581406797765868,nan,nan,1.8517689852400059,nan,nan,1.4011069076735252,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Chronos-Bolt,1.2266022106323384,1.2266022106323384,nan,nan,0.09281710452401554,nan,nan,1.10752074952677,nan,nan,0.9979346106745509,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.3455539255669464,0.3455539255669464,0.35915493965148926,0.2598910116071078,0.022263105377559073,0.021625170449781378,1.7395006304410234,0.5878383498606963,0.035156044918533885,0.021479488696328264,0.02138024583258913,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Chronos-Bolt,0.02624241179707966,0.02624241179707966,nan,nan,0.22084257001627458,nan,nan,0.16199509806497128,nan,nan,0.11193019022038148,Air Quality,1,24

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.424943+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.218943+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.917491+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.443441+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/ets/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,E
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,0.0041979310347064315,1.3738713092824673e-13,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.06479144260399232,nan,nan,3.2319012957449715e-07,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ETS,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,ETS,4.8069505695355,4.947085739068471,nan,nan,0.13710890638084808,nan,nan,2.1924758994195352,nan,nan,1.7423306524599145,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,0.036222856607319116,0.03473289526702414,nan,nan,0.09796604056929731,nan,nan,0.19032303225652727,nan,nan,0.1484799965626013,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,ETS,1.4104667112689169,1.3993828725602484,nan,nan,0.3538894647545171,nan,nan,1.187630713340185,nan,nan,0.9296769711463454,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,ETS,1.0431644629257253,1.0394351749222903,nan,nan,0.08506494239758518,nan,nan,1.0213542298956446,nan,nan,0.7531074565522093,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,ETS,7.485363061070757,7.069546909402846,2.3835086205114373,1.7247499565509898,0.14388404150048517,0.1583681265446001,69.43260805973387,2.7359391552208825,0.1636245744397495,0.1425472430409996,0.1432604803385527,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,ETS,0.0746625808527996,0.07381970536044431,nan,nan,0.46006090604102673,nan,nan,0.27324454404946424,nan,nan,0.18347574961588958,Air Quality,1,24

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.501538+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.240755+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.929242+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.481620+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,M
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,4.684138793773598e-06,4.684138793773598e-06,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.002164287132931672,nan,nan,0.0014966970660161224,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moirai-2.0,1.2167879962794955e-13,1.2167879962794955e-13,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,3.488248839001449e-07,nan,nan,4.100515180343539e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.0045942536419829915,0.0045942536419829915,nan,nan,0.00426486323216604,nan,nan,0.06778092387968013,nan,nan,0.08961858750636059,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.12320466677523444,0.12320466677523444,nan,nan,0.16149538120314608,nan,nan,0.35100522328768047,nan,nan,0.2499908402682053,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moirai-2.0,0.0641887425356193,0.0641887425356193,nan,nan,0.07104457107342975,nan,nan,0.25335497337849777,nan,nan,0.22484801335317506,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moirai-2.0,5.244010024501726,5.244010024501726,nan,nan,0.1852958706942355,nan,nan,2.2899803546104334,nan,nan,1.59406995123916,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.14372890600255536,0.14372890600255536,0.31227461496988934,0.22596756058122644,0.019022853516839414,0.018851775659897613,1.4879776077653897,0.3791159532419539,0.02267326975973139,0.018675781179300244,0.020424282056145146,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moirai-2.0,0.006875451035150713,0.006875451035150713,nan,nan,0.13224156932716488,nan,nan,0.0829183395585724,nan,nan,0.08971395358858661,Air Quality,1,24

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.415563+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.210668+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.959656+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.529958+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,M
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,0.004197928397087028,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.06479142224929954,nan,nan,0.0,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moving-Average,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,nan,nan,2.502171382189061e-07,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.779270814650002,0.781195833839493,nan,nan,0.06174897610054578,nan,nan,0.8827631701934568,nan,nan,0.7153268581157453,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,3.392975543569993,3.3714588906301417,nan,nan,1.0214556596954574,nan,nan,1.8420031334311007,nan,nan,1.6795962107905007,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Moving-Average,0.4040337259832807,0.3995522808398009,nan,nan,0.19123174291298922,nan,nan,0.6356364731379727,nan,nan,0.48431123691726313,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Moving-Average,2.2075317664539464,2.219534778769391,nan,nan,0.12072007828755447,nan,nan,1.4857764860348095,nan,nan,1.1825239203387459,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Moving-Average,1.493630847038398,1.7000589878686503,1.2217104150537874,0.8840517576268612,0.07388203163275463,0.07085183080330068,7.145487999616988,1.2221419095335853,0.07309097114634891,0.07306516534562585,0.06611845332434199,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Moving-Average,0.017460728356688507,0.016887188643017515,nan,nan,0.19520389795995652,nan,nan,0.13213904932565734,nan,nan,0.07998465835693735,Air Quality,1,24

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.474535+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.235151+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.979387+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
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results/online_status.json

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@@ -76,15 +76,15 @@
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-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-29T06:17:15.717775+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-24d0491a0f81cdf6a9c1.json

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+  ],
+  "context_start": "2026-07-28 06:24",
+  "context_end": "2026-07-29 06:18",
+  "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-29T06:28:28.295579Z",
+  "task_id": "future-24d0491a0f81cdf6a9c1",
+  "issued_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:18.442439+00:00",
+  "status": "open",
+  "scored_models": [],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+}

results/prequential/tasks/future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65.json

@@ -493,7 +493,23 @@
   "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-29T00:29:33.454381Z",
   "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
   "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
+    "ARIMA",
+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.884750+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-29T00:00:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00"
 }

results/seasonal_naive/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,S
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0186742116220626,0.0186742116220626,nan,nan,0.00860422784088782,nan,nan,0.1366536191326911,nan,nan,0.08935932131652284,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,3.447238808523221,3.447238808523221,nan,nan,1.0572035924594645,nan,nan,1.8566741255597927,nan,nan,1.7164181828157214,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.4133271390901189,0.4133271390901189,nan,nan,0.20742765450546993,nan,nan,0.6429052333665661,nan,nan,0.5111435072643518,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Seasonal-Naive,2.8454562706664124,2.8454562706664124,nan,nan,0.1327480233352066,nan,nan,1.6868480283257328,nan,nan,1.351838687745878,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1.4220830567678604,1.4220830567678604,1.1374998887379963,0.8231154973782487,0.06849731872919221,0.06598468274623316,18.192842105640498,1.1925112396819832,0.07131889016436462,0.06802890147057772,0.06090870857230404,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.021964487461018273,0.021964487461018273,nan,nan,0.15292908855273898,nan,nan,0.1482042086481294,nan,nan,0.09176957303480657,Air Quality,1,24

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.521114+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.253221+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.988648+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.626681+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,S
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.0009375686681934455,5.276863565657715e-05,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.03061974311116025,nan,nan,0.00650940531410231,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,4.023358660208636e-16,5.027980722516016e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,2.0058311644324993e-08,nan,nan,1.9666989774493304e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.007462810791272632,0.007313073714600876,nan,nan,0.005713939241843377,nan,nan,0.08638756155415334,nan,nan,0.06652789445951113,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.060175783950176094,0.05609237919407214,nan,nan,0.07412757609967024,nan,nan,0.24530752933853475,nan,nan,0.13671526637880943,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.41167044686429183,0.39414456918048246,nan,nan,0.16128704558381826,nan,nan,0.6416154976808867,nan,nan,0.4003823315015585,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,4.505239737688367,4.637293624346774,nan,nan,0.1743866448116889,nan,nan,2.1225550022763526,nan,nan,1.7226098181463187,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Sundial,0.8427959919452709,0.728805377540842,0.6027306715647379,0.43614681761468477,0.037071160344855525,0.03572165078421854,7.949536290001031,0.9180392104617705,0.05490391657437408,0.03604668965257109,0.027748537362407476,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Sundial,0.07240789929541203,0.034247198292841646,nan,nan,0.3187960858696557,nan,nan,0.26908715929120813,nan,nan,0.1350895598036612,Air Quality,1,24

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.453567+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.231647+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:38.997133+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.665471+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tabpfn_ts/all_results.csv

@@ -82,7 +82,7 @@ m_dense/H/long,TabPFN-TS,75694.39604938272,75694.39604938272,120.74972222222222,
 m_dense/H/medium,TabPFN-TS,71212.77555555555,71212.77555555555,116.21049045138888,0.993734534883084,0.3077546622676556,0.24954473707411023,8.673153554524918,266.85721941809174,0.4642978479599947,0.20219157174991295,0.160040826351846,Transport,1
 m_dense/H/short,TabPFN-TS,68285.90555555555,68285.90555555555,106.8298410373264,0.906291178560046,0.30428158067341887,0.23916954464382595,10.038621879613546,261.3157200697186,0.46350902522521975,0.18948953959205128,0.15486162614965193,Transport,1
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.0179157366518244,0.0179157366518244,nan,nan,0.009220890055280472,nan,nan,0.1338496793116233,nan,nan,0.11888907028265007,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TabPFN-TS,1.8988556082417043,1.8988556082417043,nan,nan,0.6136240228259947,nan,nan,1.3779896981624007,nan,nan,1.1796597417576704,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TabPFN-TS,2.3404098555302943,2.3404098555302943,nan,nan,0.46658096319383174,nan,nan,1.5298398136832152,nan,nan,1.2341553507573086,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TabPFN-TS,4.416383942146404,4.416383942146404,nan,nan,0.162696888353448,nan,nan,2.1015194365378598,nan,nan,1.7977206612149834,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.3804797499912335,0.3804797499912335,0.41256459554036456,0.2985392048131281,0.02545106702891627,0.02473706497544044,11.941568192525125,0.6168304061824721,0.03688993321379491,0.02467368700264445,0.024673687002644454,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TabPFN-TS,0.004963135350699515,0.004963135350699515,nan,nan,0.09190145350317203,nan,nan,0.07044952342421852,nan,nan,0.05556980797908187,Air Quality,1,24

results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.427679+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.226213+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:39.006779+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.722798+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,T
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,1.44920232639685e-07,3.5841123443997174e-08,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0003806839012089755,nan,nan,0.002087606835736884,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,0.0,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.020487981948980976,0.06239748119636928,nan,nan,0.01557799207705079,nan,nan,0.1431362356252985,nan,nan,0.15471299917863682,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.02359433145679282,0.012315545569750067,nan,nan,0.06254322407963417,nan,nan,0.1536044643127042,nan,nan,0.12223740016022647,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.04917595784361254,0.07981936448665891,nan,nan,0.0878293847727582,nan,nan,0.22175652829987338,nan,nan,0.15429107944871034,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TimesFM-2.5,3.8239684888943106,4.933216839668605,nan,nan,0.1710534119948838,nan,nan,1.95549699281137,nan,nan,1.4995299111531657,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.21622905324208355,0.1617179170793861,0.26413559913635254,0.1911332978675114,0.01630353750267156,0.01601217538840988,10.994616695384883,0.4650043583043965,0.027809880236186378,0.015796796840529412,0.021259949519123158,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.006262990376178233,0.004554783835561518,nan,nan,0.09627439894456198,nan,nan,0.07913905721057228,nan,nan,0.10022450213355703,Air Quality,1,24

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.389833+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.202263+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:39.016307+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.761529+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/tirex/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,T
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TiRex,1.4054914427398836e-07,1.4054914427398836e-07,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0003748988453889774,nan,nan,0.0003993634555769383,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TiRex,2.0440368407041843e-18,2.0440368407041843e-18,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.4296981641955705e-09,nan,nan,1.39774869271451e-09,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,TiRex,0.0060782355395996865,0.0060782355395996865,nan,nan,0.005057510879354289,nan,nan,0.07796303957388838,nan,nan,0.13135346461675806,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.002822231935207679,0.002822231935207679,nan,nan,0.03226110467096989,nan,nan,0.053124682918655415,nan,nan,0.1650886778127356,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,TiRex,0.2635496615881807,0.2635496615881807,nan,nan,0.15024335746212245,nan,nan,0.5133708811260926,nan,nan,0.3428410981317871,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,TiRex,3.543892266064754,3.543892266064754,nan,nan,0.1510711331267367,nan,nan,1.8825228460937078,nan,nan,1.3021549000521222,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,TiRex,0.1330410943866506,0.1330410943866506,0.2665089766184489,0.19285071674902834,0.016340940517305648,0.0161404612437938,1.417522257895925,0.3647479875018512,0.021813984466305555,0.01593873818441926,0.018680112149927236,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,TiRex,0.0027620856067215142,0.0027620856067215142,nan,nan,0.0785130454542927,nan,nan,0.05255554782058231,nan,nan,0.08149323675215601,Air Quality,1,24

results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.384501+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.198332+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:39.038056+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.799807+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,T
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7943348078310142,1.1733243406725785e-07,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.891254625699645,nan,nan,0.0013990643402188511,Climate,1,36
 data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.003266540986670743,5.370465547842736e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.05715366118343376,nan,nan,0.00027882740255167677,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.017530445854179618,0.01764616520390966,nan,nan,0.008785844686044004,nan,nan,0.13240259005842603,nan,nan,0.11551832043051283,Weather,1,24
-noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.4565064934950263,0.24164430266344564,nan,nan,0.16545136653121734,nan,nan,0.6756526426315717,nan,nan,0.34148651654054096,Ocean,1,60
+noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7889958278678243,0.6436201590202713,nan,nan,0.23605742824392614,nan,nan,0.8882543711504178,nan,nan,0.5227477120569817,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,4.574077069769993,3.52044690649218,nan,nan,0.14953388468013915,nan,nan,2.1387092064537416,nan,nan,1.3958665305023301,Ocean,1,72
 nws_ksfo_observations_temperature/1h/short,Toto-1.0,3.2061994614582545,0.2026127577197864,0.29392051696777344,0.2126862032329617,0.01814908932063847,0.017779550705114375,1.3101507982416967,1.7905863457142341,0.10708715077088915,0.017578102720665366,0.014884503464531462,Weather,1,24
 open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.150750383270116,0.004939613297587732,nan,nan,0.09535892261593037,nan,nan,0.3882658667332425,nan,nan,0.07054306522652543,Air Quality,1,24

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:15:38.397773+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T06:34:11.204805+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-05538e8a30a7a08dfbe3",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-28T16:57:18.017936+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:12:39.046341+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 72,
+            "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-6280b3957f7fbce74b65",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T00:30:24.825880+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T06:29:17.857525+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 60,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]