Update leaderboard results from local eval

results/aggregates/live_metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:54.947931+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:28.984486+00:00",
   "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
   "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
   "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -13,8 +13,8 @@
   "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
   "num_models": 12,
   "num_datasets": 13,
-  "num_model_releases": 27602,
-  "num_unique_releases": 2722,
+  "num_model_releases": 27614,
+  "num_unique_releases": 2723,
   "fixed_windows": {
     "1d": {
       "days": 1,
@@ -25,21 +25,21 @@
     },
     "7d": {
       "days": 7,
-      "num_model_releases": 2538,
-      "num_unique_releases": 212,
+      "num_model_releases": 2550,
+      "num_unique_releases": 213,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 168 hours through reference_time"
     },
     "30d": {
       "days": 30,
-      "num_model_releases": 27071,
-      "num_unique_releases": 2642,
+      "num_model_releases": 27083,
+      "num_unique_releases": 2643,
       "ranking_scope": "Cumulative release history through reference_time",
       "metrics_scope": "Trailing 720 hours through reference_time"
     }
   },
   "protocol_counts": {
     "historical-snapshot-recompute": 22388,
-    "prequential-v1": 5214
+    "prequential-v1": 5226
   }
 }

results/aggregates/live_overall_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,146.68695651094518,2.9427632150283927,0.11359740604773512,2.7038645795028535,29.2451336594699,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444,674.5599205790421,-0.37777777777777777,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,146.72148633926622,2.950831674861579,0.16603515439666802,2.7343827719884866,31.470026400422114,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444,674.7691284866819,-0.15555555555555553,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,146.74938373466009,2.896416107179614,0.1136359427133159,2.6880625647529035,26.76999854977964,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444,675.160355690578,0.20000000000000004,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,147.38203062901312,3.005514515460089,0.31637687811920323,2.7282996308993646,17.327429556698707,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443,677.7151478634652,-0.5333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,147.07456423476742,3.2090085551891643,0.651456439567124,2.959003071983722,-0.8725918902663202,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443,674.7738628374913,0.13333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,148.12162991072577,3.1315074430367096,0.787403574713296,2.8247474249704494,15.931747476203892,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443,680.6890547054988,-0.15555555555555553,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,148.01645005932392,3.042600229486271,0.7507789106979893,2.7181550371303964,9.939127425290447,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443,681.1607255331255,-0.24444444444444446,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,150.3161917834447,3.616047927966068,1.3699566576422286,3.1165054682953803,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,686.312504784404,-0.5325381015557323,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,149.9552944803415,3.4893622836857685,1.3595871038336418,3.177927083003621,-15.61948332038916,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,686.3522418683564,-0.6,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,146.8791281717854,3.3387519439807347,0.6012191381493612,3.1698384069239496,-9.782611987524907,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,672.6224345720117,0.02222222222222227,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,148.99563872574055,3.5234251348993935,0.7315933977423706,2.810070934021965,-3.4444232818592773,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443,679.8601606412053,-0.3111111111111111,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,150.93860336269069,3.995223351379223,0.5485611898755824,3.6075098534989647,-30.255605637665415,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,676.8225173694457,-0.22222222222222218,0.14285714285714285,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,146.68695651094518,2.9427632150283927,0.11359740604773512,2.7038645795028535,29.2451336594699,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444,674.5599205790421,-0.37777777777777777,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,146.72148633926622,2.950831674861579,0.16603515439666802,2.7343827719884866,31.470026400422114,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444,674.7691284866819,-0.15555555555555553,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,146.74938373466009,2.896416107179614,0.1136359427133159,2.6880625647529035,26.76999854977964,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444,675.160355690578,0.20000000000000004,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,147.38203062901312,3.005514515460089,0.31637687811920323,2.7282996308993646,17.327429556698707,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443,677.7151478634652,-0.5333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,147.07456423476742,3.2090085551891643,0.651456439567124,2.959003071983722,-0.8725918902663202,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443,674.7738628374913,0.13333333333333333,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,148.12162991072577,3.1315074430367096,0.787403574713296,2.8247474249704494,15.931747476203892,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443,680.6890547054988,-0.15555555555555553,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,148.01645005932392,3.042600229486271,0.7507789106979893,2.7181550371303964,9.939127425290447,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443,681.1607255331255,-0.24444444444444446,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,150.3161917834447,3.616047927966068,1.3699566576422286,3.1165054682953803,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,686.312504784404,-0.5325381015557323,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,149.9552944803415,3.4893622836857685,1.3595871038336418,3.177927083003621,-15.61948332038916,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,686.3522418683564,-0.6,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,146.8791281717854,3.3387519439807347,0.6012191381493612,3.1698384069239496,-9.782611987524907,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,672.6224345720117,0.02222222222222227,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,148.99563872574055,3.5234251348993935,0.7315933977423706,2.810070934021965,-3.4444232818592773,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443,679.8601606412053,-0.3111111111111111,0.0,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,150.93860336269069,3.995223351379223,0.5485611898755824,3.6075098534989647,-30.255605637665415,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,676.8225173694457,-0.22222222222222218,0.14285714285714285,7,16,0.8571428571428571,2026-07-28T09:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.337056767934545,0.8965813711730666,0.15896214318811752,0.6595030089037561,23.42555102077683,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444,136.9336617797464,0.03674254525232591,0.23076923076923078,13,2595,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.505056721881264,0.8993639768835817,0.19440984539271308,0.6921092180753126,24.8445951222483,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444,139.6068107775,0.03040023505842934,0.23076923076923078,13,2582,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.392532335859418,0.8968088888526056,0.13700530733682598,0.7387409723248711,23.89520107718958,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444,137.1875560984275,0.03431744316349562,0.23076923076923078,13,2576,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.182161555078896,0.9499519000280805,0.23950296501867563,0.6956000943786376,22.209093961858123,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443,156.2375741815608,0.06497911232974307,0.23076923076923078,13,1904,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.975532137166496,1.0005753156888537,0.20205472397328128,0.8448622545157023,18.366585572493893,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443,163.4372859073019,0.04613359077737061,0.23076923076923078,13,1795,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.466189255640064,0.9965498905312395,0.2748589854310848,0.7439735562870486,11.552694090304566,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443,157.18103164488963,0.024352070595551032,0.15384615384615385,13,1891,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.760278581498145,1.0349661392289102,0.22372008401806573,0.7875704267395398,16.17553500539408,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443,151.27915421080107,0.0030722831037035036,0.3076923076923077,13,2143,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.277916419404708,1.2566706880608745,0.36750931218361527,0.9827877388203015,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.16154154251637,0.028664392082183132,0.3076923076923077,13,2422,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,17.023920836805353,1.1630576953848797,0.34308660949457753,0.9383293190775869,2.9104903037322907,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.40650479376592,0.08078062377519876,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.916250233272066,1.165049296495887,0.3458347786774442,0.9233335191446533,1.7848453548960241,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.34264142072325,0.06390707398407118,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.90091262165499,1.6815663156761251,0.28141219602432255,0.7258860828198556,-19.020118721118987,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443,212.5370751463715,-0.010548391928942132,0.23076923076923078,13,1918,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.622502244017102,1.4145994066204635,0.31429666173689064,1.1258661059240835,-3.4056934731124975,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,146.97844736964709,0.07599262117085599,0.15384615384615385,13,2415,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.337056767934545,0.8965813711730666,0.15896214318811752,0.6595030089037561,23.42555102077683,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444,136.9336617797464,0.03674254525232591,0.23076923076923078,13,2596,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.505056721881264,0.8993639768835817,0.19440984539271308,0.6921092180753126,24.8445951222483,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444,139.6068107775,0.03040023505842934,0.23076923076923078,13,2583,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.392532335859418,0.8968088888526056,0.13700530733682598,0.7387409723248711,23.89520107718958,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444,137.1875560984275,0.03431744316349562,0.23076923076923078,13,2577,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.182161555078896,0.9499519000280805,0.23950296501867563,0.6956000943786376,22.209093961858123,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443,156.2375741815608,0.06497911232974307,0.23076923076923078,13,1905,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.975532137166496,1.0005753156888537,0.20205472397328128,0.8448622545157023,18.366585572493893,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443,163.4372859073019,0.04613359077737061,0.23076923076923078,13,1796,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T00:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.466189255640064,0.9965498905312395,0.2748589854310848,0.7439735562870486,11.552694090304566,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443,157.18103164488963,0.024352070595551032,0.15384615384615385,13,1892,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.760278581498145,1.0349661392320726,0.22372008401806573,0.7875704267396326,16.17553500539408,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443,151.27915421080107,0.0030722831037035036,0.3076923076923077,13,2144,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.277916419404708,1.2566706880608745,0.36750931218361527,0.9827877388203015,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.16154154251637,0.028664392082183132,0.3076923076923077,13,2423,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,17.023920836805353,1.1630576953848797,0.34308660949457753,0.9383293190775869,2.9104903037322907,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.40650479376592,0.08078062377519876,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.916250233272066,1.165049296495887,0.3458347786774442,0.9233335191446533,1.7848453548960241,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.34264142072325,0.06390707398407118,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.901028532189304,1.6817065276847316,0.28141219602432255,0.7258860820391739,-19.020118721118987,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443,212.5367714342897,-0.01022464262566991,0.23076923076923078,13,1919,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.622502244017102,1.4145994066204635,0.31429666173689064,1.1258661059240835,-3.4056934731124975,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,146.97844736964709,0.07599262117085599,0.15384615384615385,13,2416,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-29T08:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,142.6745772881147,2.044107306338937,0.15147578150224061,1.8380091183202283,15.176303840127712,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444,450.8993879712593,-0.10139631297119961,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,143.48710443721623,2.0052884129073774,0.15090765485254826,2.131459338968787,19.763323474348407,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444,459.61588106786166,-0.06603667651774242,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,142.56151960227993,2.022159826361122,0.13705119575771407,1.8887080390140574,14.37979437377259,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444,450.916518079358,-0.13838759139242235,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,142.69122548202384,2.058087028602668,0.23239827491152873,1.832678714386243,13.0883005276174,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443,451.1057208189525,-0.037012615555879314,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,142.80404500033956,2.123216048625476,0.21941754033858443,1.987530582467791,7.374294171064568,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443,451.00834557977146,-0.036087958399274804,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,142.726084259789,2.0748619914498154,0.2583307218473703,1.8688707042392003,3.897433650921133,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443,451.16849322843586,-0.0634176925860882,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,142.81664286158704,2.065231375667968,0.24371675035884305,1.8664873138852265,12.556607656086204,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443,451.0011339606606,-0.1347815466528837,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,143.33145511924036,2.2608802282491407,0.3682177851709134,1.8844584598152394,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,451.45236681165676,-0.05587737022806715,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,143.2025106082023,2.2539555474659427,0.3865576371584864,2.055169220360337,-8.614617896447811,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,451.2312738552026,-0.03717423372020521,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,143.08013275160187,2.347212888061631,0.31048265439386,2.0753004575133405,-13.613795828654183,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,451.0177381479005,0.08821842636311358,0.09090909090909091,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,187.32378373352992,2.648644121111471,0.21996170987280456,1.7512557969060878,-25.786132013848214,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443,576.2346764193354,-0.04820364316071007,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,144.58263775222474,2.678786890125937,0.4263491607481718,2.4005784408307793,-22.31081913098429,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,452.8247826737748,0.04605965884819991,0.0,11,211,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,142.6745772881147,2.044107306338937,0.15147578150224061,1.8380091183202283,15.176303840127712,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444,450.8993879712593,-0.10139631297119961,0.09090909090909091,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,143.48710443721623,2.0052884129073774,0.15090765485254826,2.131459338968787,19.763323474348407,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444,459.61588106786166,-0.06603667651774242,0.09090909090909091,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,142.56151960227993,2.022159826361122,0.13705119575771407,1.8887080390140574,14.37979437377259,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444,450.916518079358,-0.13838759139242235,0.09090909090909091,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,142.69122548202384,2.058087028602668,0.23239827491152873,1.832678714386243,13.0883005276174,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443,451.1057208189525,-0.037012615555879314,0.0,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,142.80404500033956,2.123216048625476,0.21941754033858443,1.987530582467791,7.374294171064568,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443,451.00834557977146,-0.036087958399274804,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,142.726084259789,2.0748619914498154,0.2583307218473703,1.8688707042392003,3.897433650921133,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443,451.16849322843586,-0.0634176925860882,0.0,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,142.81664286158704,2.065231375690196,0.24371675035884305,1.8664873138858633,12.556607656086204,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443,451.0011339606606,-0.1347815466528837,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,143.33145511924036,2.2608802282491407,0.3682177851709134,1.8844584598152394,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,451.45236681165676,-0.05587737022806715,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,143.2025106082023,2.2539555474659427,0.3865576371584864,2.055169220360337,-8.614617896447811,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,451.2312738552026,-0.03717423372020521,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,143.08013275160187,2.347212888061631,0.31048265439386,2.0753004575133405,-13.613795828654183,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,451.0177381479005,0.08821842636311358,0.09090909090909091,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,187.32475339933873,2.64949014071723,0.21996170987280456,1.751255792666599,-25.786132013848214,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443,576.2351114949291,-0.04654902782620419,0.09090909090909091,11,213,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,144.58263775222474,2.678786890125937,0.4263491607481718,2.4005784408307793,-22.31081913098429,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,452.8247826737748,0.04605965884819991,0.0,11,212,0.8181818181818182,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
-1,Official,Chronos-2,15.332444837700214,0.8957475625399776,0.15906593871153613,0.6591758783153397,23.488678750857478,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444,136.92615365814254,0.03307352702984308,0.23076923076923078,13,2667,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-2,Official,TiRex,15.50306469807401,0.8987770617561122,0.19437505112174736,0.6920104093669429,24.796759168524055,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444,139.59897006187063,0.03251149235112033,0.23076923076923078,13,2653,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.387068060477446,0.8955579936542413,0.13695861094509418,0.7371990352230541,23.876873292820672,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444,137.18230324899713,0.033646890347347296,0.23076923076923078,13,2648,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.182161555078896,0.9499519000280805,0.23950296501867563,0.6956000943786376,22.209093961858123,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443,156.2375741815608,0.06497911232974307,0.23076923076923078,13,1904,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.975070349765968,1.0004083551562064,0.20205476707349312,0.844773632950645,18.469594143632687,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443,163.43661071155122,0.04746604749444269,0.23076923076923078,13,1796,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.466189255640064,0.9965498905312395,0.2748589854310848,0.7439735562870486,11.552694090304566,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443,157.18103164488963,0.024352070595551032,0.15384615384615385,13,1891,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-7,Official,Sundial,18.760627669849768,1.0354453049024728,0.22376431092965668,0.7879372599070856,16.164868453943534,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443,151.27870006780424,0.0018199741590868652,0.3076923076923077,13,2144,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.27074405663085,1.2549488538836422,0.3675817442704879,0.9821391561933619,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.1520362983401,0.036755702347601275,0.3076923076923077,13,2502,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-9,Official,Moving-Average,17.02490696428975,1.1643648244594336,0.34343357471576386,0.939601248460593,2.78880213204317,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.4032130399488,0.06788989231086429,0.15384615384615385,13,2493,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-10,Official,ARIMA,16.932984016272368,1.1699998336064497,0.3464953022987323,0.9271781800609821,1.5480624436144628,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,142.3526935021306,0.04494209503903264,0.15384615384615385,13,2493,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.90091262165499,1.6815663156761251,0.28141219602432255,0.7258860828198556,-19.020118721118987,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443,212.5370751463715,-0.010548391928942132,0.23076923076923078,13,1918,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-12,Official,ETS,18.7288287532673,1.4302567055651432,0.3160607823662389,1.1385221631457851,-3.942008714625866,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444,147.24444870602034,0.050905548073614755,0.15384615384615385,13,2493,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+1,Official,Chronos-2,15.332444837700214,0.8957475625399776,0.15906593871153613,0.6591758783153397,23.488678750857478,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444,136.92615365814254,0.03307352702984308,0.23076923076923078,13,2668,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+2,Official,TiRex,15.50306469807401,0.8987770617561122,0.19437505112174736,0.6920104093669429,24.796759168524055,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444,139.59897006187063,0.03251149235112033,0.23076923076923078,13,2654,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,15.387068060477446,0.8955579936542413,0.13695861094509418,0.7371990352230541,23.876873292820672,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444,137.18230324899713,0.033646890347347296,0.23076923076923078,13,2649,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,19.182161555078896,0.9499519000280805,0.23950296501867563,0.6956000943786376,22.209093961858123,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443,156.2375741815608,0.06497911232974307,0.23076923076923078,13,1905,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,20.975070349765968,1.0004083551562064,0.20205476707349312,0.844773632950645,18.469594143632687,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443,163.43661071155122,0.04746604749444269,0.23076923076923078,13,1797,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,19.466189255640064,0.9965498905312395,0.2748589854310848,0.7439735562870486,11.552694090304566,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443,157.18103164488963,0.024352070595551032,0.15384615384615385,13,1892,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+7,Official,Sundial,18.760627669849768,1.0354453049056351,0.22376431092965668,0.7879372599071783,16.164868453943534,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443,151.27870006780424,0.0018199741590868652,0.3076923076923077,13,2145,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,17.27074405663085,1.2549488538836422,0.3675817442704879,0.9821391561933619,0.0,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.1520362983401,0.036755702347601275,0.3076923076923077,13,2503,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+9,Official,Moving-Average,17.02490696428975,1.1643648244594336,0.34343357471576386,0.939601248460593,2.78880213204317,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.4032130399488,0.06788989231086429,0.15384615384615385,13,2494,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+10,Official,ARIMA,16.932984016272368,1.1699998336064497,0.3464953022987323,0.9271781800609821,1.5480624436144628,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,142.3526935021306,0.04494209503903264,0.15384615384615385,13,2494,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,29.901028532189304,1.6817065276847316,0.28141219602432255,0.7258860820391739,-19.020118721118987,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443,212.5367714342897,-0.01022464262566991,0.23076923076923078,13,1919,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
+12,Official,ETS,18.7288287532673,1.4302567055651432,0.3160607823662389,1.1385221631457851,-3.942008714625866,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444,147.24444870602034,0.050905548073614755,0.15384615384615385,13,2494,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00

results/aggregates/live_rank_1d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_30d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_7d.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444

results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv

@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
 Rank,Status,model,WinRate,eligible_opponents,shared_releases,shared_datasets,covered_span_days
-1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2662,13,33.72569444444444
-2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2653,13,33.72569444444444
-3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2648,13,33.72569444444444
-4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1904,13,28.381944444444443
-5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1793,13,30.381944444444443
-6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1891,13,28.381944444444443
-7,Official,Sundial,0.512695874149925,11,2142,13,30.381944444444443
-8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043550160415296,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-10,Official,ARIMA,0.37459017610326845,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
-11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1918,13,28.381944444444443
-12,Official,ETS,0.36616888228759215,11,2493,13,33.72569444444444
+1,Official,Chronos-2,0.6687540537409663,11,2663,13,33.72569444444444
+2,Official,TiRex,0.667116815241954,11,2654,13,33.72569444444444
+3,Official,TimesFM-2.5,0.6083712547904488,11,2649,13,33.72569444444444
+4,Official,Moirai-2.0,0.578918900844203,11,1905,13,28.381944444444443
+5,Official,TabPFN-TS,0.5584740061695226,11,1794,13,30.381944444444443
+6,Official,Chronos-Bolt,0.5236168138433847,11,1892,13,28.381944444444443
+7,Official,Sundial,0.512695969323091,11,2143,13,30.381944444444443
+8,Official,Seasonal-Naive,0.38684522425505447,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+9,Official,Moving-Average,0.38043546987976434,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+10,Official,ARIMA,0.3745901443788798,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444
+11,Official,Toto-1.0,0.3740124969695274,11,1919,13,28.381944444444443
+12,Official,ETS,0.36616885056320353,11,2494,13,33.72569444444444

results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv

@@ -847,6 +847,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.933719
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:29.929276+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.078874619075636,1.4418303017607987,,1.0594896994767435,-26.800608343290072,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.211799+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0806688946108942,0.2840227008724729,,0.16440618715143734,94.39953064533374,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.330288+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7372611489376792,1.3180520281603756,0.5296364532802267,0.9861603863158886,-17.80243516246091,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:07:59.694927+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.526483+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.049764+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,209.07566606042687,14.459449023404275,0.06879159522499588,9.289625581590649,0.6197753216507358,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.468590+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ARIMA,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8911252048422552,0.9439942822084545,0.06258745033522116,0.7113777877386932,-31.10058835063838,True
@@ -3396,6 +3397,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.940608
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:29.992625+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.045195719393066,0.21259284887565244,,0.18065268548096458,92.7413191941103,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.286133+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0001724939035893995,0.013133693448127967,,0.12871090129948495,99.98768030089941,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.349885+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6519675198282767,0.8074450568480042,0.4053709378697669,0.4708957513108284,30.052219572066658,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:07:59.773183+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.584868+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.123202+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,216.93941562447387,14.72886335140882,0.10072998552215832,10.913368514504393,-1.2262502175423147,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.477623+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-2,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.12252786453930815,0.3500398042213316,0.02591956633833244,0.1913345897260998,58.52525498027186,True
@@ -5763,6 +5765,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.946552
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.018624+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1377604408992613,0.371160936655868,,0.28812083568706126,79.40573000040143,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.318171+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,4.7035626476493734e-06,0.0021687698466295066,,0.0035435866698593824,99.99966404639463,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.366020+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.25049161812903686,0.5004913766779971,0.19320275579256058,0.3594733082179406,65.74893016096411,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:07:59.815885+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.625783+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0941039077622847e-12,1.0459942197556757e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.155200+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,186.40828333765808,13.653141885209356,0.09148517078735681,10.110682387912068,6.349075623540664,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.484404+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Chronos-Bolt,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3590707847934471,0.5992251536721794,0.04420943151042647,0.33659030418921093,13.204844768321857,True
@@ -7898,6 +7901,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.953918
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.101994+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.458939444984127,1.8598224229705713,,1.3724656788326892,-48.483207705821094,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.374171+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1763408099234318,0.419929529711155,,0.38643862994163963,88.15098024329374,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.390038+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.636303090403019,1.9069093031402986,0.7695391044725338,1.4260709410021306,-49.99732574613956,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:07:59.867952+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.652788+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.209324+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,184.12408958299307,13.569233198047451,0.09384486399064147,13.123950889148748,6.962813069458035,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.492362+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,ETS,livehouse-canonical-v1,5.706735822156827,2.3888775234734885,0.18271046123486465,1.978207762292412,-84.83165545513043,True
@@ -10150,6 +10154,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.959540
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.136739+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.045073864022742445,0.2123060621431768,,0.18458293323141683,92.7601813964813,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.432246+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.5634308050419926e-06,0.0016010717676113063,,0.0019670403223230916,99.99981690591925,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.413378+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.35745356490981267,0.597874204920912,0.3636690558791956,0.4276492843660835,54.45410042352318,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.037542+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.684819+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.269287+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,205.68916195378327,14.341867450014425,0.09693611804476399,11.79582748712677,1.436190417626346,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.498798+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moirai-2.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.18556429349036838,0.43077174175004607,0.03186709396223522,0.22470786756294192,43.2431134096493,True
@@ -12295,6 +12300,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.965824
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.165734+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8714195105136755,0.9334985326789087,,0.8223781087608387,15.866300245850356,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.465061+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.25529108463932965,0.505263381454989,,0.4743519478239732,83.28925677846723,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.438220+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.8401500323477412,0.9165969846926953,0.6098694724940291,0.7997657586626628,18.127497931164083,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.133459+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.718810+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128038e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.312341+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,212.35198938369263,14.572302130538354,0.10077994529885766,14.09710440510769,-0.1576666180220555,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.506502+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Moving-Average,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.6510822943606093,0.8068967061282437,0.060552596933777715,0.6098716191556909,-16.32600236721696,True
@@ -14790,6 +14796,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:12.974137
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.208057+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2000916985739656,1.0954869686919901,,0.9304764983887325,0.0,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.492962+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.8001216071238,1.6733563897519859,,0.6282528020068622,0.0,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.462880+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.2121874707650098,1.1009938559161034,0.6648072607771791,0.9144736339380365,0.0,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.167459+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.754776+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.368248+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,211.68342708333333,14.549344558547418,0.09960616643959859,12.92842320706019,0.0,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.513399+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.46832743538369687,0.6843445297390028,0.05020730873319893,0.5241883778917449,0.0,True
@@ -17150,6 +17157,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.029254
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.255944+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.24763265140747376,0.4976270203751739,,0.3079521246904651,65.79008270315428,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.513065+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.007147206038330746,0.08454114997047738,,0.02458260921044976,99.49080715000855,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.487333+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.24711011930233026,0.49710171927114705,0.28499765150728834,0.3329535221180077,66.13300522329688,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.216626+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.8169364486479722e-15,4.262553751740818e-08,,2.0801027190009833e-08,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.787211+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.688129147384088e-16,1.920450246005891e-08,,2.077786700389523e-08,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.415065+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,219.2230827142566,14.806183934905597,0.10078081883035879,13.895787138831942,-1.7497195933440148,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.519303+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Sundial,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1907111634219131,0.43670489283028774,0.03356304229773412,0.2974462812996279,42.12443284276729,True
@@ -19167,6 +19175,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.045525
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.294917+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.1398600556043447,0.3739786833555419,,0.3222922237679388,79.12461323055467,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.568123+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.045809273897739464,0.21403101153276705,,0.051271292606668045,96.78071774664491,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.511728+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.2398188411211213,1.4966024325521863,0.7460891611054284,1.2764170149765786,-29.769104616573753,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.293234+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.824804+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.475194+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,215.97423452420148,14.69606187127019,0.1005468699617923,14.09389485605449,-1.0033276206812967,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.533449+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TabPFN-TS,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.3596131386852559,0.5996775289147126,0.0447817045554714,0.5126872707111061,13.130688373461329,True
@@ -21282,6 +21291,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.057698
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.391769+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.30725821592978647,0.5543087730947315,,0.3225664223329109,59.231998758438024,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.671203+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,3.813444313432775e-06,0.0019528042178960938,,0.027461970163735586,99.99972762332108,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.563602+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.48312810742737106,0.6950741740471812,0.3903727049526837,0.39664634290824613,43.00434519188419,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.387498+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.938899+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955705e-09,,1.39774869271451e-09,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.539176+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,200.2824607966336,14.152118597462133,0.09407191590870852,11.304747665644282,2.767453962115815,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.545708+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TiRex,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.34624730515918306,0.5884278249362305,0.04307420998079662,0.2848273031649328,14.986977148733155,True
@@ -23935,6 +23945,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.051589
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.340815+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.02087174846585703,0.1444705799318914,,0.1385018289016114,96.58110183126945,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.624263+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.00023479842343617592,0.015323133603678325,,0.019669436687074927,99.98323081855074,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.536002+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.11348114890826125,0.3368696319175435,0.14130979090241083,0.2892168657564156,82.87940934496433,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.349356+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.878789+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.512345+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,198.26584805712585,14.080690610091745,0.0925043260339606,13.351824957391457,3.272985181303289,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.539307+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.09315097364023417,0.30520644429669924,0.01182277602777041,0.19657836406005544,66.81939246705247,True
@@ -26294,6 +26305,7 @@ future-24e21bc17fd4e52a4421,2026-07-17T15:00:00+00:00,2026-07-17T16:43:13.063721
 future-2551cf4e2e8df1faa93b,2026-07-26T15:42:00+00:00,2026-07-26T16:27:30.441277+00:00,2026-07-26T09:54:55.023877+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.32189463462005585,0.567357589726317,,0.3317572567124063,57.70071943490691,False
 future-261c1843fbb3c84e4c30,2026-07-25T09:50:00+00:00,2026-07-25T16:33:45.714054+00:00,2026-07-25T07:00:24.624673+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.2937961470398196,0.5420296551295137,,0.0040530362806781815,81.008147573125,False
 future-269e6c871697e68a8b0f,2026-07-22T12:24:00+00:00,2026-07-22T12:34:44.583744+00:00,2026-07-22T06:34:22.864580+00:00,prequential-v1,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.9631520031856592,0.981403078854789,0.5018867952923427,0.6524851596252756,11.44811973310415,True
+future-26c16e63028ab3282552,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00,2026-07-29T09:08:00.429534+00:00,2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.165878339129443,1.0797584633284627,,0.0002714521769424512,-100.0,False
 future-26ce9d02be764961278e,2026-07-25T15:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T02:12:04.966722+00:00,2026-07-27T01:22:40.202176+00:00,prequential-v1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,1.0763234158329422e-06,0.0010374600791514545,,0.0002661493347558361,-100.0,False
 future-2709905645eee7629c18,2026-07-27T15:55:00+00:00,2026-07-27T16:08:52.623294+00:00,2026-07-27T10:07:46.552006+00:00,prequential-v1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,187.13711702999657,13.67980690762836,0.092643638833568,11.7280012153063,6.154725581629418,True
 future-274d9a4e15a0298f1936,2026-07-18T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-21T06:14:07.552186+00:00,2026-07-20T05:20:34.922539+00:00,prequential-v1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,Toto-1.0,livehouse-canonical-v1,0.40037537142685703,0.6327522196143266,0.050189125445087156,0.44066892976651023,7.822245240155967,True

results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stabili
 ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.032704925470051,1.2618173863142206,0.014566524469917437,1.1908214345113508,10.1197687390634,2.126830988763306,0.03403607911323626,0.4577525468924829,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9083101123257313,1.261258169978178,0.011845155708664644,1.1042089583487873,17.948263157190265,1.7646338660449543,-0.19354838709677422,0.12407814866273859,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.502141621684369,0.3745280971824644,,0.1531947640626093,-31.779552391681833,72.8596767648955,0.07023041361041042,0.11139629382856137,271,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,541,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.0379265364760504,1.341938783720677,0.0882364325192599,1.0492572016487152,-61.32015971705557,1.2999471724338816,-0.011494252873563218,0.9436180468092228,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.2032276387818654,0.9672605886886649,1.3081695884752753,0.7578242567309219,5.522766526245049,1.1806802043376574,0.07202380952380952,0.03483952090787991,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ARIMA,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6357628407404974,1.4280528846650502,0.13250859953460778,1.0409768923457305,11.63412344818652,3.381908984187379,-0.1246057524831709,0.0014990864776036534,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.125765698900247
 Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6103921393088825,1.070203286080005,0.01005519166446684,0.7737355759657781,28.53003362108346,1.8967145492730757,0.07824267782426779,0.07107048183030118,240,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5811863431219901,1.070465590173461,0.008323636090464196,0.7421514556711728,36.369387975458395,2.0049073075588306,-0.056818181818181816,0.6556644947844955,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.265327010184374,0.3223013547417128,,0.14204714053682718,-31.045452789552723,71.51421356961774,0.04357379563709339,0.31208305458425845,282,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,1.9276518311365254e-34,0.0,1.0,560,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977035e-09,,2.356162747109682e-09,0.0,1.9276487577096e-34,0.0,1.0,561,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.295371688844987,0.4728719138176587,0.03169250099185042,0.32183935593940316,8.73042977853834,0.361298836217281,-0.3517241379310345,0.005952597596458611,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.3272385317388695,0.4769714824116146,0.4788208937255614,0.3136320963934791,50.726502728877655,0.4218687824334833,-0.05432032036950594,0.10295962838807182,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-2,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.788602884472852,1.4864751451799758,0.14699017394332234,1.0126987782389438,7.199595831515725,3.4579527511687096,-0.0434097634710779,0.2566136187124871,307,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.27994700016
 Chronos-Bolt,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3590568061890482,0.9903873760658994,0.009904096481494432,0.7224803297054803,22.46278900129055,1.5862759252926775,0.21792674411223262,1.5690299334873387e-05,178,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.4539380254510008,1.0171651602630492,0.00866256496836003,0.694295550748422,34.41538763559448,1.694495727681373,0.021645021645021644,0.9112884689584274,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.960787196084585,0.4547383672613343,,0.18263826019244805,-24.41733172878598,85.4782117627835,0.049757500573524155,0.3354561578363128,197,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.045994219755676e-06,,3.214861849916891e-06,-100.0,2.0219039109450772e-28,0.0,1.0,418,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Chronos-Bolt,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.0941039077622845e-12,1.0459942197556761e-06,,3.2148618499168906e-06,-100.0,2.021898124943143e-28,0.0,1.0,419,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.33646790118188474,0.46932795303124963,0.03148247055252711,0.3285493541758667,10.269454068402935,0.5551840161623731,-0.2553846153846154,0.07039249318951525,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3302482185097713,1.046731270185687,1.1246870896968297,0.7035200695867654,7.204025559214833,1.0752051753960339,0.0008385041086701326,0.9836790430602367,268,0.996268656716418,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Chronos-Bolt,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.0249447637801543,1.56773587703653,0.1413502644052285,1.0756973648149528,-1.2482923455508377,3.74411601779297,-0.06484578223708658,0.16418982938535875,208,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -41,7 +41,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.58882279
 ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9749087632969757,1.1589421102324862,0.010345623598231867,0.9027200636186677,24.844477994351482,2.632850870866263,0.10619430558574225,0.020514504061896748,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 ETS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6772698673479125,1.1374607267848178,0.00888958251994685,0.8481888404956763,28.643717831168455,1.8085885112023488,-0.08064516129032259,0.5301288877477086,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.519986950216169,0.3694178496195981,,0.14881443843237996,-31.7465232738952,72.91425850110386,0.09498766861217721,0.03130817352007025,271,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,541,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,5.632064283514427,2.2241017917224624,0.15885787001642346,1.7941800506233858,-79.9671220048645,3.8344178607315382,0.043678160919540236,0.7502215453736768,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.9014939719064972,1.2249922723647937,1.471938133496911,0.9312449720761371,-11.539824601073349,1.7065977461552198,0.08292748917748916,0.01511196757028376,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 ETS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,5.850466382021172,1.905669463610887,0.18454754316470004,1.5223799358904635,-5.012575815320361,12.001212376798978,-0.18001223932589558,4.5057511326069875e-06,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.0833490720100392,
 Moirai-2.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.3255523211137077,0.9454819086177181,0.008962348252692317,0.6918819039958242,31.696846495752407,1.6419744746228764,0.3060071558596447,1.189559507764937e-09,179,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.7617173231646346,1.1324285203842483,0.009484338375650726,0.7276927535003623,29.188919734540207,1.7734024748178494,-0.05627705627705628,0.7380940484479567,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.916270658075433,0.4524572840790915,,0.18002193832859786,-24.410046136303784,85.2695074696769,0.03306948741753694,0.5212580804811706,198,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.100515180343539e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,419,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Moirai-2.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.2167879962794955e-13,3.488248839001449e-07,,4.1005151803435396e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,420,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.32783875148011027,0.4861314501111893,0.032171503433641925,0.3331142593364293,2.7413565787529137,0.5308169063111237,-0.28615384615384615,0.04171775347628058,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.7070803619940109,0.7074189572778538,0.8638758547749614,0.46884177465930704,38.699371546805,0.8590373648147133,0.042834156355767636,0.29510689995373873,269,0.9962825278810409,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moirai-2.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.875163364543005,1.5140992211116933,0.13656758553561157,1.0197928990223109,3.1650765796073244,3.6692471466171495,-0.020824789245841874,0.6534847125593055,210,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -67,7 +67,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3257669497
 Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.595777764036453,1.3562101026246272,0.01271889111785165,1.1329953562029307,13.473002609099206,2.906910608346005,-0.003781786568137362,0.9342444639752822,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.269265685407324,1.5349643437810503,0.012371122286664232,1.296030600804856,16.041236998369264,3.389151169692855,-0.07661290322580645,0.5514777322263826,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.558670328102195,0.39356469057006577,,0.1719270231162868,-32.56767274072497,72.9226341736123,0.08878408862086483,0.044169654068020134,271,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.502171382189061e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,540,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,2.5021713821890616e-07,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,541,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9224463856199253,0.9010670399481847,0.0645836248358115,0.6869453492193306,-43.08462326691053,0.6586811407632233,-0.04827586206896552,0.7235302654564064,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.42264354848607,1.0357082728341225,2.1101636905165595,0.9060964464105402,5.423199160227445,1.5884697627872626,0.16084956709956708,2.4443662615890713e-06,385,0.9974025974025974,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Moving-Average,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.625709717015872,1.4326279936812982,0.14142457855422066,1.1353304944961622,11.474808062907794,3.4887494645182304,-0.0920773901991244,0.018972938508059083,292,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,1.023478
 Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.108011234510908,1.5183312965350395,0.013715890820135591,1.0301377501059725,0.0,3.1904662194946947,-0.006737665724842427,0.8831373980138193,215,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.8803486777886427,1.7234750348172114,0.013600798681791645,1.164368059063642,0.0,3.667874600129973,-0.14919354838709678,0.23861491183733988,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.886460100847267,0.4433322306968635,,0.17316160500292377,0.0,72.82544645666296,0.15287391760774302,0.001528049085403609,272,0.0,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,541,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,542,0.0,2026-06-25T14:25:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3838835766683514,0.5349065407917174,0.037747810105515,0.3810075120009519,0.0,0.46585943829990095,-0.3701149425287356,0.00369749418816167,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.493484448408534,1.0731310786335102,2.140385258188798,0.943847487359386,0.0,1.6128350797980073,0.17889778615167218,1.534479836969889e-07,386,0.9974093264248705,2026-06-29T09:30:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Seasonal-Naive,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.067200332902325,1.5795468811945765,0.1494110944382594,1.2805892643607824,0.0,3.5808657434846873,-0.08864369535742674,0.023667487902626353,293,1.0,2026-06-28T11:00:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -93,7 +93,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,2.865413
 Sundial,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.323207062028143,1.3654090653344653,0.013988832070442029,1.0748757864706302,3.696671623549243,2.076065277609487,-0.1643953769190961,0.0008353031599470442,187,1.0,2026-07-01T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.195593023269829,1.2510649627495094,0.010353811211048837,0.9577149267740791,30.624585259542382,2.167796226333411,-0.18153846153846157,0.20324965345831253,26,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.541090155814728,0.4073730689135572,,0.15804493058452376,-30.97912285938251,78.43330103330355,0.04640328674663438,0.2905834201008256,234,0.0,2026-07-01T00:15:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.606415132786872e-16,2.3221524447670645e-08,,2.0232101006352537e-08,0.0,1.3986004310123712e-15,0.0,1.0,471,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Sundial,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,6.630912906841306e-16,2.326263464485229e-08,,2.0233306358436555e-08,0.0,1.3981283160068644e-15,0.0,1.0,472,0.0,2026-06-29T22:35:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Sundial,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.2989915504083323,0.4810597675775045,0.031935842024323965,0.32229608362516915,5.478488539646862,0.35359595910756725,-0.41798941798941797,0.001494389653163529,28,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.39034877275117386,0.541210785781026,0.8146985769824857,0.35740164175255706,53.22531858907989,0.38801042807461905,0.0403816199376947,0.2804283390147734,321,0.9968847352024922,2026-07-01T07:24:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Sundial,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,3.2067627316075837,1.6540913222182396,0.16533223779214337,1.230016170564496,-4.981996850200494,3.5308794959401544,-0.09444614495119545,0.028335790026346237,243,1.0,2026-06-30T09:40:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -106,7 +106,7 @@ Sundial,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.3116635320842
 TabPFN-TS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.2924652831141397,0.9664427428421578,0.009427241559342393,0.8290658794304816,24.108108048992317,1.5164992416830831,0.3036698480978626,3.0075171480814273e-09,173,1.0,2026-07-01T13:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.6897087292640207,1.09329092186638,0.009593598242124572,0.9474734246730254,30.125180199747636,1.9526605060946605,-0.03896103896103896,0.8236433617484156,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,9.196430141073725,0.4685186104083903,,0.18569067431470268,-24.7125047107665,86.59112533543993,0.054713926110575004,0.2980875958015531,192,0.0,2026-07-01T12:55:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,404,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+TabPFN-TS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,405,0.0,2026-06-30T03:30:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.3499836747388939,0.4967729072984653,0.03265549655192607,0.39498106583018344,3.657192499155621,0.493990451889389,-0.2934472934472935,0.032513093519389046,27,1.0,2026-06-28T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.9770932993268483,0.8746968622209735,0.9488584990142788,0.7127252923518841,22.565994589357757,0.8977578915554486,-0.004530120481927712,0.9150317425557162,250,0.996,2026-07-01T12:54:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TabPFN-TS,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.9042391943615766,1.5145072087650886,0.13559037349535139,1.2801955293924727,3.0233429072092783,3.761396250829972,-0.027659794882419972,0.5638011337705916,197,1.0,2026-06-30T13:20:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.33052701666
 TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.5994120921013129,1.071465615789501,0.009887251026591262,0.7750211854507422,30.174673970948685,1.7836721042041281,0.05031468654407369,0.24674833844565747,239,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.8183701071507006,1.1566950827938647,0.009098519179104744,0.7859114801504872,36.06338252137382,2.012663949949189,-0.12096774193548389,0.34153305448057775,32,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,18;36,6.283019104549345,0.3187539413083434,,0.1416407452173553,-31.04484052645797,71.64506307331739,0.006666931301483188,0.8773553098671903,281,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,559,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041847e-18,1.42969816419557e-09,,1.3977486927145102e-09,0.0,3.855303662273051e-34,0.0,1.0,560,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.29587531469370065,0.45830202303845324,0.030294215858784057,0.314433562506276,15.912214496004603,0.39335092685640916,-0.3241379310344828,0.011605514320066219,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.38840793247623057,0.5197929837901674,0.6146926808060785,0.34744809700349166,45.99431533113485,0.4995765064971538,-0.038645800063877356,0.2459960609780537,404,0.9975247524752475,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TiRex,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.8939286049489046,1.5091067903010746,0.15020409963763806,1.0302151483954005,5.826233871961843,3.5858117429116505,-0.1378977820636451,0.0003209757148745961,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.284495726475147
 TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.638967969038197,1.0784007804385085,0.010548357293420808,0.8842110547186213,28.153423628049854,1.895449190085244,0.06279473814842391,0.14915781148875462,238,1.0,2026-06-29T09:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1.9235807995648218,1.1939238211789782,0.009107697376501547,0.9818204856365835,32.13359881394004,2.2268271082902564,-0.09469696969696971,0.45073160411871227,33,1.0,2026-06-30T08:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,6.282959705884503,0.3195999518181513,,0.1311000920797753,-28.79800250153003,71.64388652663985,0.11892617037668309,0.006489240951270661,281,0.0,2026-06-29T10:05:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,559,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,560,0.0,2026-06-25T14:45:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.31259224147394643,0.4973346576596029,0.03799042775808872,0.35734743509649297,2.559933492785978,0.33467509116808847,-0.3977011494252874,0.0017234661675702629,30,1.0,2026-06-26T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,0.17374832700311554,0.3556124982164652,0.26350353500516405,0.27405249662708403,62.830794772109336,0.20400545751696458,-0.016166052530365627,0.6283258872352641,402,0.9975124378109452,2026-06-29T10:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 TimesFM-2.5,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,2.6974015839669128,1.4708589351716754,0.1326116889151577,1.2309806447795324,7.113635247862645,3.2544648556064195,-0.09332476159862851,0.014898198285029885,306,1.0,2026-06-28T11:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00
@@ -145,7 +145,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,0.262893428
 Toto-1.0,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,2.277551305421047,1.2973832392587585,0.009791821183191307,0.750293883214471,0.04095970959438077,2.856198589746234,0.19619398403928792,8.80580697790275e-05,181,1.0,2026-07-03T07:00:00+00:00,2026-07-29T02:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,3.175086269910645,1.521645487561495,0.010709564244259217,0.8709867168219557,0.5322464158750319,3.5235205419444062,-0.012987012987012986,0.9555771436337516,22,1.0,2026-07-10T05:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T08:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,11.456870876968134,1.479870175869276,,0.1835162190716373,-87.07131336195096,85.58413587282251,0.002409885658616623,0.9597883118934969,198,0.0,2026-07-03T04:20:00+00:00,2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00
-Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5299931478729498,0.3105553841123453,,0.00027573499679903397,-100.0,3.439796522443761,-0.006809184481393506,0.8346813534910985,421,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T22:30:00+00:00
+Toto-1.0,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.5314999848190552,0.3123781402242318,,0.00027572484793681455,-100.0,3.4358482653803626,-0.002600443538854679,0.936397168646495,422,0.0,2026-07-01T21:10:00+00:00,2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.6586340425895975,0.6335735514017304,0.03023697154965001,0.3095297258176916,-11.611604151595333,1.3086718510560469,-0.2676923076923077,0.057446554888585626,26,1.0,2026-06-30T23:00:00+00:00,2026-07-26T23:00:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Ocean,6min,60,1.3059144708167518,0.9616918885697481,0.7939065905525052,0.3945322745460505,16.727337529209564,2.4652740517543004,0.016810168101681015,0.6800236312530414,271,0.996309963099631,2026-07-03T07:42:00+00:00,2026-07-29T05:54:00+00:00
 Toto-1.0,noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Ocean,10min,72,55.41199529181756,5.088477654601104,0.13015345450660978,1.026655448423758,-64.75336582471606,180.48339980923495,-0.09317714387910223,0.04355497564812599,212,1.0,2026-07-02T10:10:00+00:00,2026-07-28T05:40:00+00:00

results/aggregates/metadata.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:52.804379+00:00",
+  "generated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:26.903148+00:00",
   "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
   "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
   "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",

results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv

@@ -64,13 +64,13 @@ Transportation,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,2,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,3,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,TiRex,1.0,1397.7486927145103,4,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-2,1.0,2356.162747109683,5,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20897.535416523042,6,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Sundial,1.0,20801.027190009838,6,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ARIMA,1.0,250217.138218906,7,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,ETS,1.0,250217.138218906,8,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moving-Average,1.0,250217.138218906,9,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Moirai-2.0,1.0,410051.5180343537,10,1,1,1.0
 Transportation,Chronos-Bolt,1.094103907762285,3214861.8499168884,11,1,1,1.0
-Transportation,Toto-1.0,2297057430574.555,280750302.92910033,12,1,1,1.0
+Transportation,Toto-1.0,1165878339129.444,271452176.9423998,12,1,1,1.0
 Web,ARIMA,0.35081770342317864,0.47944164778388026,1,1,1,1.0
 Web,Moirai-2.0,0.40785680526551005,0.5118677129116019,2,1,1,1.0
 Web,Sundial,0.303769640015456,0.5282879649026628,3,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv

@@ -67,9 +67,9 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 5min,ETS,59716.34039135104,159366.63726751538,6,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-2,1614.4115699305446,1734970.2096287454,7,2,2,1.0
 5min,Moirai-2.0,1338.4085416204632,22646704.060636513,8,2,2,1.0
-5min,Sundial,62224.5538328673,16212543.687803589,9,2,2,1.0
+5min,Sundial,62224.5538328673,16175064.280883934,9,2,2,1.0
 5min,ARIMA,116572.82256555247,105643450.95703557,10,2,2,1.0
-5min,Toto-1.0,657949383206.9916,649204768.4721614,11,2,2,1.0
+5min,Toto-1.0,468741250399.5135,638363796.2903932,11,2,2,1.0
 5min,Chronos-Bolt,1260.7752405723352,95589264.71698034,12,2,2,1.0
 6min,Chronos-2,0.004065646210503269,0.18017789189149058,1,1,1,1.0
 6min,TimesFM-2.5,0.11897587453818394,0.30185471840281924,2,1,1,1.0

results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 12,TimesFM-2.5,0.883401733927733,0.8936065549864372,4,2,2,1.0
 12,Chronos-Bolt,0.8576213668056174,1427.1372538860771,5,2,2,1.0
 12,TabPFN-TS,0.9139044671265871,0.9447650776752475,6,2,2,1.0
-12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,128.25709641100804,7,2,2,1.0
+12,Sundial,0.8615789003568101,127.9605976012415,7,2,2,1.0
 12,ARIMA,0.8639722620545719,438.7361038019728,8,2,2,1.0
 12,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
 12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
-12,Toto-1.0,1204656.947262824,13389.548423402162,11,2,2,1.0
+12,Toto-1.0,858230.7669476001,13165.958380577691,11,2,2,1.0
 12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
 24,Sundial,0.638593280195957,0.670613667501657,1,7,7,1.0
 24,Toto-1.0,1.0890562982930707,0.7701484207066208,2,7,7,1.0

results/aggregates/results_overall.csv

@@ -2,10 +2,10 @@ overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
 Overall,TiRex,1.2113284721406123,6.016156696239033,1,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-2,1.2293353903736841,6.263691860096941,2,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.5804892000269217,10.265755319238059,3,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Sundial,3.9637983810733783,9.69160072460909,4,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Sundial,3.9637983810733783,9.688150488100982,4,13,13,1.0
 Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.3275503480796378,3.9110537920860953,5,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,6,13,13,1.0
-Overall,Toto-1.0,73.42735149359608,18.605269328838215,7,13,13,1.0
+Overall,Toto-1.0,69.69515449590861,18.557130194499962,7,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Chronos-Bolt,1.9355484100650757,14.205906995698399,8,13,13,1.0
 Overall,Moving-Average,7.664104854888189,3.111828431450043,9,13,13,1.0
 Overall,ARIMA,8.520755958253261,20.912708710495963,10,13,13,1.0

results/arima/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.162802+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.562209+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:52:01.586346+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.694927+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_2/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.019144+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.429034+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:52:01.636883+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.773183+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/chronos_bolt/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.067751+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.474567+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:52:01.706584+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.815885+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/dataset_eval_intervals.json

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@
     "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count": 300,
     "nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M": 3600,
     "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level": 360,
+    "noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height": 600,
     "nws_ksfo_observations_temperature": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5": 3600,
     "open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m": 3600,

results/ets/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.148405+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.538153+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:52:01.751555+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.867952+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moirai_2_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.064757+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.468070+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
         {
-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
-            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T08:52:01.792922+00:00",
-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-            "prediction_length": 36,
+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.037542+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/moving_average/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
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results/online_status.json

@@ -2,11 +2,11 @@
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-    "finished_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:54.959210+00:00",
+    "started_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:54.654612+00:00",
+    "finished_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:28.995086+00:00",
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@@ -19,15 +19,15 @@
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
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@@ -38,15 +38,15 @@
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.349356+00:00",
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@@ -76,15 +76,15 @@
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
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+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.429534+00:00",
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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@@ -133,15 +133,15 @@
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.293234+00:00",
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@@ -152,15 +152,15 @@
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-                    "prediction_length": 36,
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.216626+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
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@@ -171,15 +171,15 @@
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+            "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.529087+00:00",
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-                    "prediction_length": 36,
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.133459+00:00",
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@@ -190,15 +190,15 @@
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+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.867952+00:00",
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@@ -209,15 +209,15 @@
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-                    "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-                    "prediction_length": 36,
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:07:59.694927+00:00",
+                    "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+                    "prediction_length": 12,
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@@ -228,15 +228,15 @@
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-                    "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
-                    "prediction_length": 36,
+                    "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+                    "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+                    "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+                    "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.167459+00:00",
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+                    "prediction_length": 12,
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             ]
@@ -262,7 +262,5 @@
         "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
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-    "push_status": "ok",
-    "pushed_at": "2026-07-29T08:56:11.338562+00:00",
-    "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
+    "push_status": "pending"
 }

results/prequential/tasks/future-26c16e63028ab3282552.json

@@ -253,7 +253,23 @@
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-  "status": "open",
-  "scored_models": [],
-  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
+  "status": "resolved",
+  "scored_models": [
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+    "Chronos-2",
+    "Chronos-Bolt",
+    "ETS",
+    "Moirai-2.0",
+    "Moving-Average",
+    "Seasonal-Naive",
+    "Sundial",
+    "TabPFN-TS",
+    "TiRex",
+    "TimesFM-2.5",
+    "Toto-1.0"
+  ],
+  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
+  "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.457020+00:00",
+  "target_start": "2026-07-27T22:50:00",
+  "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00"
 }

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+}

results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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results/sundial/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial,0.3810945163794563,0.28435575175498173
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Sundial,0.020980244564637807,0.0447908708599997,nan,nan,0.0023348485467426807,nan,nan,0.14484558869581707,nan,nan,0.15634843776673438,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Sundial,27047.212071285932,27202.68214463723,143.1162110964457,1.5089426812363538,2.4254864254221506,0.8536544624552972,36.2452386153836,164.4603662627745,1.0124792572257424,0.881076689786568,0.7401326095810744,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Sundial,0.003871895099699495,0.0004305928274200916,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.06222455383286806,nan,nan,0.012577874260766482,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,2.850897572458074e-16,5.185463218105978e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.6884601187052285e-08,nan,nan,2.0897535416523022e-08,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Sundial,1.8169364486479722e-15,5.555337376460215e-16,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,4.262553751740818e-08,nan,nan,2.0801027190009833e-08,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Sundial,0.007462810791272632,0.007313073714600876,nan,nan,0.005713939241843377,nan,nan,0.08638756155415334,nan,nan,0.06652789445951113,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Sundial,0.41167044686429183,0.39414456918048246,nan,nan,0.16128704558381826,nan,nan,0.6416154976808867,nan,nan,0.4003823315015585,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Sundial,4.505239737688367,4.637293624346774,nan,nan,0.1743866448116889,nan,nan,2.1225550022763526,nan,nan,1.7226098181463187,Ocean,1,72

results/sundial/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
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     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.126125+00:00",
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
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+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.216626+00:00",
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+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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results/tabpfn_ts/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
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     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.084118+00:00",
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
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+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
     ]

results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.036184+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.448369+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
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-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
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-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
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-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.349356+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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results/tirex/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
     "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.026302+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.436541+00:00",
     "resolved_tasks": [
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-            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short",
-            "task_id": "future-6b5d8f9f61f0986b218a",
-            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T05:20:34.999901+00:00",
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-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.387498+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
         }
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results/toto_1_0/all_results.csv

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.4785189045689047,0.5257197788860285
 coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-1.0,1.2672091214948127,0.013642740360327242,nan,nan,0.0013252159503021489,nan,nan,1.1257038338278913,nan,nan,0.23265817163880909,Finance,1,24
 data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Toto-1.0,23019.0460822337,26241.382774419122,124.61535914738973,1.313879348219856,0.6257435399486769,0.9697879270582787,13.780075922721792,151.7202889604212,0.9340465971435247,0.767178555755332,0.6004176198191844,Finance,1,12
 data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-1.0,0.18845736510566113,2.580118221967009e-07,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.434116764368368,nan,nan,0.001501215945307207,Climate,1,36
-data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,2.297057430574554,6.833754589575783e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.5156046419084872,nan,nan,0.00028075030292913855,Transportation,1,12
+data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-1.0,1.165878339129443,5.7567744490359e-09,nan,nan,nan,nan,nan,1.0797584633284627,nan,nan,0.0002714521769424512,Transportation,1,12
 nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Toto-1.0,0.017530445854179618,0.01764616520390966,nan,nan,0.008785844686044004,nan,nan,0.13240259005842603,nan,nan,0.11551832043051283,Weather,1,24
 noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short,Toto-1.0,0.7889958278678243,0.6436201590202713,nan,nan,0.23605742824392614,nan,nan,0.8882543711504178,nan,nan,0.5227477120569817,Ocean,1,60
 noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height/10min/short,Toto-1.0,4.574077069769993,3.52044690649218,nan,nan,0.14953388468013915,nan,nan,2.1387092064537416,nan,nan,1.3958665305023301,Ocean,1,72

results/toto_1_0/online_meta.json

@@ -4,15 +4,15 @@
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     "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
     "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
-    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T08:54:46.047016+00:00",
+    "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T09:10:24.457774+00:00",
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-            "target_end": "2026-07-29T08:10:00+00:00",
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+            "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
+            "task_id": "future-26c16e63028ab3282552",
+            "issued_at": "2026-07-29T08:00:03.206267+00:00",
+            "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T09:08:00.429534+00:00",
+            "target_end": "2026-07-27T23:45:00+00:00",
+            "prediction_length": 12,
             "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
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