ziyuzhou02 commited on
Commit
4f5d9fc
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 0c3615b

Update leaderboard results from local eval

Browse files
Files changed (46) hide show
  1. results/aggregates/live_metadata.json +3 -3
  2. results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv +12 -12
  3. results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv +12 -12
  4. results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv +11 -0
  5. results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv +11 -11
  6. results/aggregates/metadata.json +1 -1
  7. results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv +11 -11
  8. results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv +11 -11
  9. results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv +11 -11
  10. results/aggregates/results_overall.csv +11 -11
  11. results/arima/all_results.csv +1 -1
  12. results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  13. results/arima/online_meta.json +2 -14
  14. results/chronos_2/all_results.csv +1 -1
  15. results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  16. results/chronos_2/online_meta.json +2 -14
  17. results/ets/all_results.csv +1 -1
  18. results/ets/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  19. results/ets/online_meta.json +2 -14
  20. results/eval_history.jsonl +1 -0
  21. results/evaluation_metrics.jsonl +11 -0
  22. results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv +1 -1
  23. results/moirai_1_1_large/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +314 -314
  24. results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json +2 -14
  25. results/moving_average/all_results.csv +1 -1
  26. results/moving_average/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  27. results/moving_average/online_meta.json +2 -14
  28. results/online_status.json +26 -160
  29. results/seasonal_naive/all_results.csv +1 -1
  30. results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  31. results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json +2 -14
  32. results/sundial_base_128m/all_results.csv +1 -1
  33. results/sundial_base_128m/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +314 -314
  34. results/sundial_base_128m/online_meta.json +2 -14
  35. results/timer_s1/all_results.csv +1 -1
  36. results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  37. results/timer_s1/online_meta.json +2 -14
  38. results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv +1 -1
  39. results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  40. results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json +2 -14
  41. results/tirex/all_results.csv +1 -1
  42. results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  43. results/tirex/online_meta.json +2 -14
  44. results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv +1 -1
  45. results/toto_2_0_1b/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json +2 -2
  46. results/toto_2_0_1b/online_meta.json +2 -14
results/aggregates/live_metadata.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  {
2
- "generated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.313646+00:00",
3
  "scope": "All deduplicated metrics-only evaluation releases saved up to generation time",
4
  "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
5
  "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
@@ -12,6 +12,6 @@
12
  "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
13
  "num_models": 12,
14
  "num_datasets": 13,
15
- "num_model_releases": 15809,
16
- "num_unique_releases": 1751
17
  }
 
1
  {
2
+ "generated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:21.083732+00:00",
3
  "scope": "All deduplicated metrics-only evaluation releases saved up to generation time",
4
  "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
5
  "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
 
12
  "temporal_metrics": "Per-dataset MSE stability and Kendall tau, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
13
  "num_models": 12,
14
  "num_datasets": 13,
15
+ "num_model_releases": 15820,
16
+ "num_unique_releases": 1752
17
  }
results/aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
1
  Rank,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
2
- 1,Toto-2.0-1B,33348.85323226361,37.46754676834001,0.1709856222120892,0.2761752001693229,25.244168202514544,3.7794387249029966,0.6902653542572836,1161.2954675897865,55821.909930257854,0.2245602661142253,0.08333333333333333,12,1643,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
3
- 2,Chronos-2,32182.578337369458,36.05147811166168,0.1842763181913575,0.2888451177675561,22.89662010188145,4.127539527983803,0.6356401430640732,1154.6301706541838,60435.10285030128,0.258944919859023,0.08333333333333333,12,1646,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
4
- 3,TiRex,32231.37431919035,36.88740346240482,0.19560909919322716,0.282335654513967,22.754129312939778,4.289068297918971,0.6323396073592735,1140.4335529638709,54928.00378856205,0.33690208158074086,0.08333333333333333,12,1628,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
5
- 4,TimesFM-2.5,30993.2248178919,36.28610909520244,0.15050897702180727,0.33956495819050087,25.551722092730444,4.226756308393086,0.6111711297345788,1080.377865700049,51489.97858597973,0.250919339143354,0.08333333333333333,12,1654,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
6
- 5,Moirai-1.1-Large,385056.38319177326,77.63463797311364,0.32083336344502655,0.3007705722589556,2.2705760327952795,5.713021644330755,0.4721388320970066,1073.3775313509893,2944955.072542522,0.23048213412933763,0.25,12,1611,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
7
- 6,Sundial (Base 128M),99616.93218005866,102.35515612586366,0.401650451631966,0.1617159591554483,17.511253922099005,5.654025881464537,0.5259376371829806,1043.0657402326815,51352.16773994043,-0.12621638964545565,0.3076923076923077,13,463,0.8461538461538461,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
8
- 7,Timer-S1,37476.12129146116,40.65878209347151,0.16713724622420462,0.2711069366008451,25.693726103138008,4.479427558264354,0.6187476058964078,1033.036080835502,56296.93117362671,0.2890614948241749,0.16666666666666666,12,1588,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
9
- 8,TabPFN-TS,14899.523759352018,49.715887695136566,0.3441591441523688,0.2205352281523423,22.671425586864277,6.166666666666667,0.5,957.0971048609572,,,0.0,13,13,0.8461538461538461,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
10
- 9,Moving-Average,63603.80602493499,60.2123263451839,0.3953729480548027,0.3736689652888371,2.5597883718273837,6.723646767815698,0.34673795754638614,885.0333453340777,80194.82645950199,0.1846043051062031,0.16666666666666666,12,1389,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
11
- 10,ETS,50554.582182481005,53.3019622197734,0.4087632160471122,0.5217117266808867,-10.237096090656472,7.3138607244761795,0.29278016493466874,868.3308117711568,84628.3337696504,0.18019637658194906,0.16666666666666666,12,1389,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
12
- 11,ARIMA,53425.30622335115,58.14426035882681,0.33667732589685545,0.3807894310455077,-2.9217420267408047,7.011876013042708,0.3223114817178972,864.1077784829043,66129.70025407005,0.16816995544181748,0.16666666666666666,12,1389,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
13
- 12,Seasonal-Naive,70667.14685883364,78.60204567017907,0.4503128648119583,0.49877245883906324,0.0,6.690734093525163,0.35193008620944377,739.2145502238403,80845.89576149607,0.20640420036013904,0.15384615384615385,13,1396,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
 
1
  Rank,model,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,Stability,Improvement,SignificantImprovementRate,n_datasets,n_releases,MAPE_dataset_coverage,first_release,last_release
2
+ 1,Toto-2.0-1B,33376.16027570575,37.52496860148568,0.17098606347483905,0.27614859302434364,25.252719030866114,3.77923649900394,0.6903218763117202,1161.295415595127,55767.842349308055,0.22451355769339768,0.08333333333333333,12,1644,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
3
+ 2,Chronos-2,32292.864460932455,36.15800765037748,0.1842775507989877,0.28881814144823714,22.90033077640167,4.1277005662653075,0.6356559715331708,1154.6299887197652,60422.49373620563,0.2589754275383425,0.08333333333333333,12,1647,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
4
+ 3,TiRex,32329.228858674705,36.9858949380707,0.1956101761172126,0.2823069677213543,22.759980408350103,4.28914923853412,0.6323677220336077,1140.433375339131,54913.98545725663,0.33690856129872376,0.08333333333333333,12,1629,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
5
+ 4,TimesFM-2.5,31142.451009289707,36.408625432561735,0.1505109776222026,0.3395321909310508,25.554156808308857,4.227171824938008,0.6111519290754319,1080.3775970164988,51543.81609456102,0.2509893738648807,0.08333333333333333,12,1655,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
6
+ 5,Moirai-1.1-Large,385031.7026976656,77.65185421411037,0.32083289070163723,0.30073722378061185,2.2850364603802107,5.7123497585026195,0.47225329535671595,1073.3781945429096,2944895.6782749346,0.23036430713259626,0.25,12,1612,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
7
+ 6,Sundial (Base 128M),100099.32798649953,102.5675176825366,0.40165356725507273,0.16171932238975573,17.507011213525313,5.65596241319867,0.5257480978063275,1043.0648656884525,51438.80179739856,-0.12596958322410493,0.3076923076923077,13,464,0.8461538461538461,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
8
+ 7,Timer-S1,37783.32979096405,40.840574425454804,0.16713979000843934,0.2710832568111464,25.69101287957764,4.480296516140916,0.6186208785868905,1033.0349427274311,56641.59795685221,0.2891598086612932,0.16666666666666666,12,1589,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
9
+ 8,TabPFN-TS,14899.523759352018,49.715887695136566,0.3441591441523688,0.2205352281523423,22.671425586864277,6.166666666666667,0.5,957.0955274681176,,,0.0,13,13,0.8461538461538461,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
10
+ 9,Moving-Average,64071.10972159035,60.441281691843066,0.39537681738445907,0.3736391183107791,2.5561865546752425,6.724525348780708,0.34667239404729905,885.0332400281537,80614.29173842391,0.18469440976454576,0.16666666666666666,12,1390,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
11
+ 10,ETS,50470.735783021526,53.2824152229577,0.40876234811510337,0.5216786205522064,-10.225096536224378,7.312993819951871,0.2929074420166329,868.3333156455617,84535.11115016148,0.17994805656321147,0.16666666666666666,12,1390,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
12
+ 11,ARIMA,53420.73904146512,58.17959928092887,0.3366780862343747,0.3807528469547105,-2.909538665074361,7.011439143285714,0.32239854533757534,864.1089478400544,66043.78854307921,0.1680301042575422,0.16666666666666666,12,1390,0.8333333333333334,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
13
+ 12,Seasonal-Naive,71103.38048964148,78.80550346730585,0.45031586953475816,0.4987460968011556,0.0,6.69122564319959,0.3519018478946282,739.2145893887961,81274.33006095105,0.20648153799926472,0.15384615384615385,13,1397,0.8461538461538461,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
results/aggregates/live_rank_up_to_now.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
1
  Rank,model,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,dataset_pair_matches,shared_releases,pairwise_matches
2
- 1,Toto-2.0-1B,3.7794387249029966,0.6902653542572836,1161.2954675897865,123,1643,13848
3
- 2,Chronos-2,4.127539527983803,0.6356401430640732,1154.6301706541838,123,1644,13811
4
- 3,TiRex,4.289068297918971,0.6323396073592735,1140.4335529638709,123,1628,13797
5
- 4,TimesFM-2.5,4.226756308393086,0.6111711297345788,1080.377865700049,123,1650,13848
6
- 5,Moirai-1.1-Large,5.713021644330755,0.4721388320970066,1073.3775313509893,123,1611,13718
7
- 6,Sundial (Base 128M),5.654025881464537,0.5259376371829806,1043.0657402326815,123,452,4523
8
- 7,Timer-S1,4.479427558264354,0.6187476058964078,1033.036080835502,123,1588,13632
9
- 8,TabPFN-TS,6.166666666666667,0.5,957.0971048609572,33,3,33
10
- 9,Moving-Average,6.723646767815698,0.34673795754638614,885.0333453340777,123,1389,12543
11
- 10,ETS,7.3138607244761795,0.29278016493466874,868.3308117711568,123,1389,12543
12
- 11,ARIMA,7.011876013042708,0.3223114817178972,864.1077784829043,123,1389,12543
13
- 12,Seasonal-Naive,6.690734093525163,0.35193008620944377,739.2145502238403,123,1389,12543
 
1
  Rank,model,AverageRank,WinRate,Elo,dataset_pair_matches,shared_releases,pairwise_matches
2
+ 1,Toto-2.0-1B,3.77923649900394,0.6903218763117202,1161.295415595127,123,1644,13858
3
+ 2,Chronos-2,4.1277005662653075,0.6356559715331708,1154.6299887197652,123,1645,13821
4
+ 3,TiRex,4.28914923853412,0.6323677220336077,1140.433375339131,123,1629,13807
5
+ 4,TimesFM-2.5,4.227171824938008,0.6111519290754319,1080.3775970164988,123,1651,13858
6
+ 5,Moirai-1.1-Large,5.7123497585026195,0.47225329535671595,1073.3781945429096,123,1612,13728
7
+ 6,Sundial (Base 128M),5.65596241319867,0.5257480978063275,1043.0648656884525,123,453,4533
8
+ 7,Timer-S1,4.480296516140916,0.6186208785868905,1033.0349427274311,123,1589,13642
9
+ 8,TabPFN-TS,6.166666666666667,0.5,957.0955274681176,33,3,33
10
+ 9,Moving-Average,6.724525348780708,0.34667239404729905,885.0332400281537,123,1390,12553
11
+ 10,ETS,7.312993819951871,0.2929074420166329,868.3333156455617,123,1390,12553
12
+ 11,ARIMA,7.011439143285714,0.32239854533757534,864.1089478400544,123,1390,12553
13
+ 12,Seasonal-Naive,6.69122564319959,0.3519018478946282,739.2145893887961,123,1390,12553
results/aggregates/live_release_metrics.csv CHANGED
@@ -272,6 +272,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
272
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.360522+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,966838.3890904927,983.2794054034147,0.025353742133874712,0.02343114126142712,53.40660111345914,True
273
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.473410+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,612339.8347053152,782.5214595813428,0.015594869518769731,0.013884308474131687,66.51784118911303,True
274
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.302483+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,608418.9418488368,780.0121421162858,0.015547442452537296,0.013836716498198627,66.67918105877189,True
 
275
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.369176+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.369176+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.3169074533967339,0.5629453378408369,0.0085352021500282,0.4356122103113208,2.4821416702079793,True
276
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:30.776110+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:30.776110+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.3737040337380361,0.6113133678712057,0.012305158444961,0.7985186914109059,-15.142472841866445,True
277
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:22.917126+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:22.917126+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.2732656714019672,0.5227481911991348,0.0117912606294595,0.7610992079601563,-2.641083194827792,True
@@ -1650,6 +1651,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
1650
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:56:24.733419+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1830416.5394992828,1352.9288745160563,0.01983684197794973,0.01685983398289124,26.98321480806049,True
1651
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:05:27.265725+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1022660.925898234,1011.2669904126378,0.015261227846105873,0.011930739223195616,49.72204711870971,True
1652
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:14:06.850775+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1016928.1314214071,1008.4285455209045,0.015213785970539288,0.011904502746288218,49.90987756679705,True
 
1653
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:52:59.517094+00:00,2026-06-17T06:52:59.517094+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.1813123535575668,0.4258078833905812,0.0083663181977859,0.2410261424253861,,True
1654
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:19:41.412209+00:00,2026-06-22T01:19:41.412209+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.3026024844282185,0.5500931597722504,0.0063219336945878,0.2735899804256079,4.788475382706393,True
1655
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:29:55.777922+00:00,2026-06-22T07:29:55.777922+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.1135532687832525,0.3369766591075004,0.0030837061496461,0.2504677210622425,41.612619480802856,True
@@ -3307,6 +3309,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
3307
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.532828+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,973510.1085699446,986.6661586220258,0.015167413537133682,0.01348537015616379,53.16038032122154,True
3308
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.625736+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,216039.98400619664,464.80101549609014,0.007112759037649632,0.005563505287164805,86.75173663272122,True
3309
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.404893+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,215519.3029843771,464.24056585393,0.007064655259006451,0.005547686434601223,86.77383909653375,True
 
3310
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.463619+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.463619+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.0407717866337577,0.201920248201506,0.0022009716898305,0.0960955086908494,78.1859319232306,True
3311
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.014985+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.014985+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.0864408961350167,0.2940083266423194,0.0025388064632111,0.1380528538051167,52.223162771726436,True
3312
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.012177+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.012177+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.1569766000828541,0.3962027259911952,0.0040922131316173,0.2100823941511999,24.56300165808982,True
@@ -4683,6 +4686,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
4683
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:58:21.162778+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,808718.2498073578,899.2876346349692,0.013664393940142364,0.011367505926097012,59.48293919838713,True
4684
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:07:46.910403+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,252089.33392206827,502.08498675231095,0.007949573252365796,0.008128127104992097,84.71007929880619,True
4685
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:16:21.791951+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,260026.845079422,509.9282744459479,0.008200265235281725,0.008153199381785905,84.25745854327702,True
 
4686
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:55:52.923423+00:00,2026-06-17T06:55:52.923423+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.4381369625632698,0.6619191510775843,0.0122809197835173,0.3062045609808345,,True
4687
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:21:38.406071+00:00,2026-06-22T01:21:38.406071+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.3065049334316586,0.5536288769849876,0.0051562118826857,0.2613208096822324,4.149065055029456,True
4688
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:32:48.220080+00:00,2026-06-22T07:32:48.220080+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.1143422068302237,0.3381452451687348,0.0034218690302553,0.2704204796842313,41.32596797676891,True
@@ -6307,6 +6311,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
6307
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.596036+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,3131543.421454065,1769.6167442285532,0.02842010030260995,0.02656706955047812,0.8191382411320838,True
6308
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.709120+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,2896610.223042277,1701.9430727971712,0.027328309132757606,0.02538521763077084,2.5035119715082903,True
6309
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.474209+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,2886673.8230832997,1699.0214310253123,0.027281454969735802,0.025338180650491357,2.6439836352288517,True
 
6310
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.488519+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.488519+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1489742184098265,0.3859717844737184,0.0048771123255213,0.2210326747420907,38.18680422959462,True
6311
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.068326+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.068326+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1029916725943077,0.3209231568371278,0.003220088745007,0.1530588119969513,45.56516023795812,True
6312
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.059241+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.059241+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1001716084949669,0.3164989865623062,0.0030892525816164,0.1543325711714026,44.25222081261605,True
@@ -7696,6 +7701,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
7696
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.645920+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3183270.4769522347,1784.172210564954,0.02768739226689842,0.021367275861947383,0.0,True
7697
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.766324+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3045368.3684240975,1745.0983835944887,0.02666823095456349,0.020591343438876527,0.0,True
7698
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.522280+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3043465.742750168,1744.5531642085798,0.026620280754693627,0.020579158585065746,0.0,True
 
7699
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.507250+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.507250+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.3330400717529599,0.5770962413263147,0.0074647926873788,0.3493354391815629,0.0,True
7700
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.096521+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.096521+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.2754118389969035,0.5247969502549568,0.0054985069346336,0.3525814888009477,0.0,True
7701
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.090823+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.090823+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.2592027377306001,0.5091195711525929,0.0051633669136927,0.3473196849970218,0.0,True
@@ -8934,6 +8940,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
8934
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:26.735258+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2277351.664056778,1509.0896805878629,0.022203427088204577,0.021242890833955832,16.590029295234505,True
8935
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:46.382689+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2032894.9361483257,1425.7962463649305,0.02096545940814257,0.019401403255695934,19.937395356482398,True
8936
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:42.004783+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2164744.3839060464,1471.307032507507,0.021276560053805977,0.02005955983784473,16.87184920490679,True
 
8937
  data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short|source:2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z|h:12,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:26:17.387560+00:00,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,Sundial (Base 128M),26942.28249014914,164.14104450182208,2.360591014522408,0.7305382024738188,,True
8938
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short|source:2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z|h:36,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:26:23.015354+00:00,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial (Base 128M),4.654285094258401e-15,6.8222321085246e-08,,,0.0,False
8939
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short|source:2026-07-01T08:51:02.752670Z|h:36,2026-07-01T08:51:02.752670Z,2026-07-01T08:56:00.935480+00:00,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial (Base 128M),2.988122630401574e-15,5.466372316629717e-08,,,0.0,False
@@ -9557,6 +9564,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
9557
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:57:49.052351+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,1799978.7436402638,1341.6328646989323,0.019726243466982055,0.016452786879198506,27.758831077437065,True
9558
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:07:07.247878+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,948333.5715357462,973.824199502018,0.014857698487122659,0.012803807704157804,52.50854541512021,True
9559
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:15:37.504929+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,942504.2508138021,970.826581225402,0.014810269422123656,0.012777613358633729,52.70891389871793,True
 
9560
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:54:34.213561+00:00,2026-06-17T06:54:34.213561+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.160538580492642,0.4006726600264136,0.0077998502585261,0.2146609791701683,,True
9561
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:54.533078+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:54.533078+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.3253257633711659,0.5703733543663886,0.006509406779106,0.2858020737091157,1.1717358298733047,True
9562
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:31:44.064640+00:00,2026-06-22T07:31:44.064640+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.2663201865137117,0.5160621924862465,0.005269364684183,0.2671874556573511,1.678256417390571,True
@@ -11183,6 +11191,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
11183
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:58:54.448235+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2497040.566403707,1580.2026978852134,0.02364354634697327,0.021458501893023754,12.080850948315348,True
11184
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:13.686725+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2203042.0762844086,1484.2648268703292,0.022063345607079177,0.01932839702067159,16.04916957264518,True
11185
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:04.113491+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2193476.524178187,1481.03900157227,0.02201641239939431,0.019281067758358812,16.230639469518703,True
 
11186
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:58:35.029666+00:00,2026-06-17T06:58:35.029666+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.0565088861879648,0.237715977982055,0.0047191124135397,0.1699283194647917,,True
11187
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:21:57.655072+00:00,2026-06-22T01:21:57.655072+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.094376840947432,0.3072081394550477,0.003290280361809,0.1643725886038777,55.83850889232936,True
11188
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:19.087735+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:19.087735+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.1390943968371703,0.3729536121787405,0.0036446519853812,0.2070857689137401,32.88670480081774,True
@@ -12772,6 +12781,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
12772
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:56:57.417367+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,2021594.1839796703,1421.8277617136578,0.02340478985443133,0.01934201280249206,22.319048979163508,True
12773
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:06:00.414283+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,1238496.2338428497,1112.8774567951539,0.01898769923755026,0.014722868527951651,42.178553767200825,True
12774
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:14:35.594810+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,1231681.910867691,1109.8116555829151,0.018940564938312213,0.014675317018139903,42.379444610509495,True
 
12775
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:53:42.689625+00:00,2026-06-17T06:53:42.689625+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1316480282298061,0.3628333339562478,0.0115041829002529,0.2379950762051307,,True
12776
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:14.323519+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:14.323519+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1876052556822667,0.4331342236331213,0.0035212021999806,0.2825173319955255,27.933567902573127,True
12777
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:30:36.018310+00:00,2026-06-22T07:30:36.018310+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1876660841999844,0.4332044369578691,0.0029553106220395,0.282650315619165,18.948377886633143,True
@@ -14427,6 +14437,7 @@ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:48:44.873790Z|h:24,2026-0
14427
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:57:29.706793+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,1272623.1894620259,1128.1060187154512,0.016628782894552527,0.013362909244800089,42.87910418265752,True
14428
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:06:44.165641+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,553184.1198069254,743.7634837815887,0.011541121877019963,0.010273562129927284,69.25518682214027,True
14429
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:15:17.460955+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,548879.9414952596,740.8643205710879,0.011493490401371978,0.01024724568316086,69.44169688889214,True
 
14430
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:54:06.418915+00:00,2026-06-17T06:54:06.418915+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2538744236056837,0.5038595276519873,0.0096861404413673,0.2595518987896321,,True
14431
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:46.561689+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:46.561689+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1086373133447541,0.3296017496081508,0.0033714615341156,0.2404084905840144,50.80693872487049,True
14432
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:31:22.722969+00:00,2026-06-22T07:31:22.722969+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1424910624386554,0.3774798834887171,0.0034849946383276,0.2479472775316385,31.80661730312123,True
 
272
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.360522+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,966838.3890904927,983.2794054034147,0.025353742133874712,0.02343114126142712,53.40660111345914,True
273
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.473410+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,612339.8347053152,782.5214595813428,0.015594869518769731,0.013884308474131687,66.51784118911303,True
274
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.302483+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,608418.9418488368,780.0121421162858,0.015547442452537296,0.013836716498198627,66.67918105877189,True
275
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:25:20.250694+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,617105.3330348639,785.5605215607923,0.015646575378321908,0.013936313078111773,66.32470998598018,True
276
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.369176+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.369176+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.3169074533967339,0.5629453378408369,0.0085352021500282,0.4356122103113208,2.4821416702079793,True
277
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:30.776110+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:30.776110+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.3737040337380361,0.6113133678712057,0.012305158444961,0.7985186914109059,-15.142472841866445,True
278
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:22.917126+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:22.917126+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ARIMA,0.2732656714019672,0.5227481911991348,0.0117912606294595,0.7610992079601563,-2.641083194827792,True
 
1651
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:56:24.733419+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1830416.5394992828,1352.9288745160563,0.01983684197794973,0.01685983398289124,26.98321480806049,True
1652
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:05:27.265725+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1022660.925898234,1011.2669904126378,0.015261227846105873,0.011930739223195616,49.72204711870971,True
1653
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:14:06.850775+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1016928.1314214071,1008.4285455209045,0.015213785970539288,0.011904502746288218,49.90987756679705,True
1654
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:22:50.638280+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,1029406.5781275431,1014.5967564148542,0.01531294985106641,0.011959407834902734,49.505908241023455,True
1655
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:52:59.517094+00:00,2026-06-17T06:52:59.517094+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.1813123535575668,0.4258078833905812,0.0083663181977859,0.2410261424253861,,True
1656
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:19:41.412209+00:00,2026-06-22T01:19:41.412209+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.3026024844282185,0.5500931597722504,0.0063219336945878,0.2735899804256079,4.788475382706393,True
1657
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:29:55.777922+00:00,2026-06-22T07:29:55.777922+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Chronos-2,0.1135532687832525,0.3369766591075004,0.0030837061496461,0.2504677210622425,41.612619480802856,True
 
3309
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.532828+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,973510.1085699446,986.6661586220258,0.015167413537133682,0.01348537015616379,53.16038032122154,True
3310
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.625736+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,216039.98400619664,464.80101549609014,0.007112759037649632,0.005563505287164805,86.75173663272122,True
3311
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.404893+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,215519.3029843771,464.24056585393,0.007064655259006451,0.005547686434601223,86.77383909653375,True
3312
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:25:20.306679+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,217089.5285285425,465.92867321999245,0.007165202661513347,0.0055937563441210945,86.7020918339075,True
3313
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.463619+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.463619+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.0407717866337577,0.201920248201506,0.0022009716898305,0.0960955086908494,78.1859319232306,True
3314
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.014985+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.014985+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.0864408961350167,0.2940083266423194,0.0025388064632111,0.1380528538051167,52.223162771726436,True
3315
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.012177+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.012177+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,ETS,0.1569766000828541,0.3962027259911952,0.0040922131316173,0.2100823941511999,24.56300165808982,True
 
4686
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:58:21.162778+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,808718.2498073578,899.2876346349692,0.013664393940142364,0.011367505926097012,59.48293919838713,True
4687
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:07:46.910403+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,252089.33392206827,502.08498675231095,0.007949573252365796,0.008128127104992097,84.71007929880619,True
4688
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:16:21.791951+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,260026.845079422,509.9282744459479,0.008200265235281725,0.008153199381785905,84.25745854327702,True
4689
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:24:24.419957+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,280278.05665779114,529.4129358617819,0.008537562995479168,0.008331517785091815,83.15741054688439,True
4690
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:55:52.923423+00:00,2026-06-17T06:55:52.923423+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.4381369625632698,0.6619191510775843,0.0122809197835173,0.3062045609808345,,True
4691
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:21:38.406071+00:00,2026-06-22T01:21:38.406071+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.3065049334316586,0.5536288769849876,0.0051562118826857,0.2613208096822324,4.149065055029456,True
4692
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:32:48.220080+00:00,2026-06-22T07:32:48.220080+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.1143422068302237,0.3381452451687348,0.0034218690302553,0.2704204796842313,41.32596797676891,True
 
6311
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.596036+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,3131543.421454065,1769.6167442285532,0.02842010030260995,0.02656706955047812,0.8191382411320838,True
6312
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.709120+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,2896610.223042277,1701.9430727971712,0.027328309132757606,0.02538521763077084,2.5035119715082903,True
6313
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.474209+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,2886673.8230832997,1699.0214310253123,0.027281454969735802,0.025338180650491357,2.6439836352288517,True
6314
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:25:20.323828+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,2907949.825459087,1705.2711882451679,0.02737939040269675,0.025436614536864993,2.3502556398985464,True
6315
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.488519+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.488519+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1489742184098265,0.3859717844737184,0.0048771123255213,0.2210326747420907,38.18680422959462,True
6316
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.068326+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.068326+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1029916725943077,0.3209231568371278,0.003220088745007,0.1530588119969513,45.56516023795812,True
6317
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.059241+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.059241+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Moving-Average,0.1001716084949669,0.3164989865623062,0.0030892525816164,0.1543325711714026,44.25222081261605,True
 
7701
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:41.645920+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3183270.4769522347,1784.172210564954,0.02768739226689842,0.021367275861947383,0.0,True
7702
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:59.766324+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3045368.3684240975,1745.0983835944887,0.02666823095456349,0.020591343438876527,0.0,True
7703
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:56.522280+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3043465.742750168,1744.5531642085798,0.026620280754693627,0.020579158585065746,0.0,True
7704
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:25:20.340313+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,3047928.1842886605,1745.831659779562,0.02672050714402499,0.02060783482332944,0.0,True
7705
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:22:02.507250+00:00,2026-06-22T01:22:02.507250+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.3330400717529599,0.5770962413263147,0.0074647926873788,0.3493354391815629,0.0,True
7706
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:31.096521+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:31.096521+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.2754118389969035,0.5247969502549568,0.0054985069346336,0.3525814888009477,0.0,True
7707
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:0740b84fb5a867feca5c,2026-06-22T08:13:23.090823+00:00,2026-06-22T08:13:23.090823+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Seasonal-Naive,0.2592027377306001,0.5091195711525929,0.0051633669136927,0.3473196849970218,0.0,True
 
8940
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:59:26.735258+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2277351.664056778,1509.0896805878629,0.022203427088204577,0.021242890833955832,16.590029295234505,True
8941
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:46.382689+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2032894.9361483257,1425.7962463649305,0.02096545940814257,0.019401403255695934,19.937395356482398,True
8942
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:42.004783+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),2164744.3839060464,1471.307032507507,0.021276560053805977,0.02005955983784473,16.87184920490679,True
8943
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:25:19.392503+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Sundial (Base 128M),1993599.817024231,1411.9489427823623,0.020764668124891944,0.019337583630551006,20.9128733786635,True
8944
  data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short|source:2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z|h:12,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:26:17.387560+00:00,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,Sundial (Base 128M),26942.28249014914,164.14104450182208,2.360591014522408,0.7305382024738188,,True
8945
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short|source:2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z|h:36,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:26:23.015354+00:00,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial (Base 128M),4.654285094258401e-15,6.8222321085246e-08,,,0.0,False
8946
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short|source:2026-07-01T08:51:02.752670Z|h:36,2026-07-01T08:51:02.752670Z,2026-07-01T08:56:00.935480+00:00,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,Sundial (Base 128M),2.988122630401574e-15,5.466372316629717e-08,,,0.0,False
 
9564
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:57:49.052351+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,1799978.7436402638,1341.6328646989323,0.019726243466982055,0.016452786879198506,27.758831077437065,True
9565
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:07:07.247878+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,948333.5715357462,973.824199502018,0.014857698487122659,0.012803807704157804,52.50854541512021,True
9566
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:15:37.504929+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,942504.2508138021,970.826581225402,0.014810269422123656,0.012777613358633729,52.70891389871793,True
9567
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:23:54.605653+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,955184.7133890787,977.335517306661,0.014909406525766897,0.0128324301836972,52.27790283190892,True
9568
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:54:34.213561+00:00,2026-06-17T06:54:34.213561+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.160538580492642,0.4006726600264136,0.0077998502585261,0.2146609791701683,,True
9569
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:54.533078+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:54.533078+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.3253257633711659,0.5703733543663886,0.006509406779106,0.2858020737091157,1.1717358298733047,True
9570
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:31:44.064640+00:00,2026-06-22T07:31:44.064640+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TiRex,0.2663201865137117,0.5160621924862465,0.005269364684183,0.2671874556573511,1.678256417390571,True
 
11191
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:58:54.448235+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2497040.566403707,1580.2026978852134,0.02364354634697327,0.021458501893023754,12.080850948315348,True
11192
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:08:13.686725+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2203042.0762844086,1484.2648268703292,0.022063345607079177,0.01932839702067159,16.04916957264518,True
11193
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:17:04.113491+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2193476.524178187,1481.03900157227,0.02201641239939431,0.019281067758358812,16.230639469518703,True
11194
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:24:52.709099+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,2213976.3941020966,1487.9436797480262,0.022114513052963216,0.019380113963819348,15.84885810380109,True
11195
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:58:35.029666+00:00,2026-06-17T06:58:35.029666+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.0565088861879648,0.237715977982055,0.0047191124135397,0.1699283194647917,,True
11196
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:21:57.655072+00:00,2026-06-22T01:21:57.655072+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.094376840947432,0.3072081394550477,0.003290280361809,0.1643725886038777,55.83850889232936,True
11197
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:33:19.087735+00:00,2026-06-22T07:33:19.087735+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Timer-S1,0.1390943968371703,0.3729536121787405,0.0036446519853812,0.2070857689137401,32.88670480081774,True
 
12781
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:56:57.417367+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,2021594.1839796703,1421.8277617136578,0.02340478985443133,0.01934201280249206,22.319048979163508,True
12782
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:06:00.414283+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,1238496.2338428497,1112.8774567951539,0.01898769923755026,0.014722868527951651,42.178553767200825,True
12783
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:14:35.594810+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,1231681.910867691,1109.8116555829151,0.018940564938312213,0.014675317018139903,42.379444610509495,True
12784
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:23:11.628267+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,1246423.8447666168,1116.4335379979486,0.01903908591714264,0.01477482882315884,41.95055103385086,True
12785
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:53:42.689625+00:00,2026-06-17T06:53:42.689625+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1316480282298061,0.3628333339562478,0.0115041829002529,0.2379950762051307,,True
12786
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:14.323519+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:14.323519+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1876052556822667,0.4331342236331213,0.0035212021999806,0.2825173319955255,27.933567902573127,True
12787
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:30:36.018310+00:00,2026-06-22T07:30:36.018310+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,TimesFM-2.5,0.1876660841999844,0.4332044369578691,0.0029553106220395,0.282650315619165,18.948377886633143,True
 
14437
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z|h:24,2026-07-03T02:55:57.938430Z,2026-07-03T02:57:29.706793+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,1272623.1894620259,1128.1060187154512,0.016628782894552527,0.013362909244800089,42.87910418265752,True
14438
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z,2026-07-03T03:06:44.165641+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,553184.1198069254,743.7634837815887,0.011541121877019963,0.010273562129927284,69.25518682214027,True
14439
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z,2026-07-03T03:15:17.460955+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,548879.9414952596,740.8643205710879,0.011493490401371978,0.01024724568316086,69.44169688889214,True
14440
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z,2026-07-03T03:23:45.871295+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,558368.4952875773,747.2405872860342,0.011593050587475034,0.010302318305408925,69.03369051970571,True
14441
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:01879e0ba67816eb9c43,2026-06-17T06:54:06.418915+00:00,2026-06-17T06:54:06.418915+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2538744236056837,0.5038595276519873,0.0096861404413673,0.2595518987896321,,True
14442
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:03c799d1e84862203538,2026-06-22T01:20:46.561689+00:00,2026-06-22T01:20:46.561689+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1086373133447541,0.3296017496081508,0.0033714615341156,0.2404084905840144,50.80693872487049,True
14443
  binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|window:04d92c60ece42d8a5afb,2026-06-22T07:31:22.722969+00:00,2026-06-22T07:31:22.722969+00:00,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1424910624386554,0.3774798834887171,0.0034849946383276,0.2479472775316385,31.80661730312123,True
results/aggregates/live_results_by_dataset.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stability,Improvement,Improvement_pvalue,n_releases,MAPE_coverage,first_release,last_release
2
- ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,638096.1009829758,623.142835579731,0.012734482679558541,0.15405338083138986,10.23805976700516,787681.0425086288,0.6145717387420813,6.246978297075131e-72,382,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
3
  ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.6181364466285024e-05,0.003389917995197246,,,-46.78818157185452,7.056786627530392e-05,0.025241256961571267,0.7413552885441035,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
4
  ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
5
  ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,18.01141919185989,3.969142665960787,0.12771530026004982,0.23899822388472075,-64.83004219118956,10.575522853262298,-0.14630761997152988,0.19234772105814313,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:29.867986+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ ARIMA,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,6.9623692
11
  ARIMA,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.962642204862705,2.932819226244539,0.5898789175203627,0.35560750057260193,18.73199805497344,8.413486346674224,0.4856808883693746,5.500768315101017e-08,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.513260+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
12
  ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1279.311102567651,25.663670633078837,0.012867894565702667,0.15831242571060108,-4.329403714695942,3238.3214884130675,0.2723071687784034,1.1005691325584043e-05,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.165483+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
13
  ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1180.3149315930734,23.008458593998338,0.1938224225386649,0.3280648161673207,49.8821374380932,1479.0116524310665,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.582752+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
14
- Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,384894.47202536796,392.03813215976,0.009310150692137392,0.1433340829183569,33.20862574823145,721563.6325723451,0.6721734334563658,1.096965317518205e-108,486,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
15
  Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.9643405868724485e-07,0.00027403088135504676,,,-47.126977195873316,1.0653955518493054e-06,0.03711337798682017,0.631368636229575,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
16
  Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977037e-09,,,0.0,1.933211369013626e-34,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
17
  Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.6376432160494945,1.4511356722913764,0.04896847059824677,0.07962605368868012,18.14347196598,1.993170759139505,-0.01992926591458116,0.8570865772107193,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:11:12.972050+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ Chronos-2,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.170
23
  Chronos-2,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,9.044277093363496,2.48855519701522,0.5863561429687779,0.37433938094616614,23.710868531128757,9.339718883723373,0.5221052631578948,2.4981898633214602e-11,76,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:36.348072+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
24
  Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,927.3761111077906,16.994862244952742,0.008254258653742082,0.19148169248713753,23.693257794922904,2901.6799416941412,0.249155665285551,1.8988451261160948e-05,135,1.0,2026-06-16T12:40:50.960167+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
25
  Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,97.34953388996685,6.557044894923921,0.06344735943916392,0.1427561685379016,92.8677309025419,134.1969041725242,0.7142857142857143,0.03015873015873016,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:43:59.015450+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
26
- ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,602447.5804442771,555.766670584941,0.010489382255347582,0.13239022918974516,31.552139664008514,1002004.662096989,0.7015294554149318,3.742124008236717e-93,382,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
27
  ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.855718388025049e-05,0.0031786109686152276,,,-46.79085869922069,7.974634477818307e-05,0.044657608470472246,0.5592534424908782,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
28
  ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
29
  ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,46.46463747437794,6.412812373669147,0.2237707239322764,0.38208108937413526,-84.0442147773115,26.664272258119944,-0.12308418823001721,0.27275755298491966,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.268230+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ ETS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,69.28218241
35
  ETS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.635937727488471,2.896528924281968,0.6046204409935629,0.36924435310240195,20.158147286752968,7.938611552146151,0.4880187025131501,4.748708799500574e-08,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.797899+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
36
  ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1160.6053962155263,22.41565309181022,0.01026335049738526,0.15071506206160004,8.229729205547999,2874.8899624966384,0.26977800002813956,1.327182985125962e-05,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.324923+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
37
  ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1365.0612722655562,24.098638394988747,0.207773594688997,0.38032333077493174,45.03410483533793,2026.1424879764963,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.836543+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
38
- Moirai-1.1-Large,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,422733.8686478231,430.04079282871464,0.01081145869804054,0.1687376986183649,19.820737724889142,712310.330526403,0.6067153792623521,7.973603158912888e-88,480,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
39
  Moirai-1.1-Large,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4125898.886404852,373.1174459853825,,,-99.96869793601469,34063379.03950849,-0.3825331971399388,1.1042471067849308e-07,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
40
  Moirai-1.1-Large,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,63951.07256673791,61.72393322959096,,,-100.0,532327.7168906349,0.02524955960070464,0.668817552003767,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
41
  Moirai-1.1-Large,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.7794743036231593,1.2019064017496983,0.043102541798647975,0.0726622479905764,31.078857656978926,1.411364693980375,0.004228329809725159,0.9677287487628757,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:16:48.534000+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@ Moirai-1.1-Large,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,2
47
  Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.416173321885893,2.764145155423185,0.6063118476690557,0.38065025707731437,13.53116823028197,9.555411130925357,0.5080745341614907,4.95665625805138e-10,70,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:41.040444+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
48
  Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,7653.905865205462,40.52146001434544,0.010866508003914019,0.23964430016521912,-8.528953495985338,30600.284263207363,0.4263270115587476,2.7293688723312714e-13,134,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:22.358427+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
49
  Moirai-1.1-Large,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,191.44885119857958,9.062351337696985,0.05533980204433791,0.12918452328660904,91.0225532576881,275.7440030189848,0.9047619047619049,0.002777777777777778,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:01.162798+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
50
- Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,760222.0356311148,652.9924149995848,0.012559857818940737,0.13975054049903632,18.904207271142347,956108.984442489,0.6568138406782922,6.83321013899656e-82,382,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
51
  Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.491113360253407e-05,0.003457522144940053,,,-47.03864387120987,0.00019659184063014392,0.044657608470472246,0.5592534424908782,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
52
  Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
53
  Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.189252804575643,2.6776486094706615,0.09618369929379916,0.14458939315771768,-41.81668315101519,4.646154012005168,-0.14398527679737863,0.1995018113266478,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.400278+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -59,7 +59,7 @@ Moving-Average,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,
59
  Moving-Average,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,11.321845245163082,2.967452112996326,0.6513347361049898,0.36546259679158194,18.72344314597639,8.784700726780773,0.472822910578609,1.2201901393604912e-07,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.921461+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
60
  Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1615.5169235805336,24.63821672173749,0.011637357478022999,0.1795076619783363,9.263905303055905,4299.289137876933,0.2312784312741238,0.0001884641261817427,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.359102+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
61
  Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,983.7553293653343,21.11536945508266,0.206471189408788,0.37604182005743236,48.28446220099294,1227.1537528895785,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.956394+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
62
- Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,875920.9364964324,732.8152878851894,0.014061609988408157,0.13167110052805223,0.0,960484.0107540361,0.7123304613101373,5.524431704684639e-96,382,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
63
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,36436.1429036395,190.88253692687422,0.8264244641534466,0.9402466648974208,0.0,,,,1,1.0,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z
64
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,0.00012077295045921772,0.0011457527924963727,,,0.0,0.0011584134459516032,-0.09235375275636414,0.28318953973801886,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
65
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
@@ -72,7 +72,7 @@ Seasonal-Naive,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,
72
  Seasonal-Naive,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,17.049612316969796,3.6317235755170483,0.6631769982865421,0.595793380916583,0.0,13.258831666200814,0.5317886620889003,1.9519926139337445e-09,60,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.024713+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
73
  Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1909.784037657704,28.145435398007656,0.011839593989813843,0.15452383025137167,0.0,4738.748686031435,0.1829438004307874,0.0034226654049052518,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.384303+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
74
  Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,3919.2207784573843,45.08415468042706,0.3563694794592962,0.8299818160666028,0.0,4190.697528842885,0.4000661320993193,0.17023995462900499,8,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.040774+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
75
- Sundial (Base 128M),binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1266146.9409114006,1091.7077153195487,0.016789133040762672,0.01504609665426947,26.81872371324589,614471.4522650775,0.42822273073989325,1.1616773814881687e-11,115,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
76
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,26942.28249014914,164.14104450182208,2.360591014522408,0.7305382024738188,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z
77
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.510279983511485e-07,0.0005685866970962122,,,-60.97560975609756,1.7666600717230575e-06,0.23658536585365852,0.02933196568822758,41,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
78
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,5.262553373091953e-16,2.199955252113676e-08,,,0.0,5.30808904372991e-16,0.0,1.0,58,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
@@ -98,7 +98,7 @@ TabPFN-TS,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.813
98
  TabPFN-TS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,24.539460096471657,4.95373193627508,0.9345384759733598,0.41257727732423877,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
99
  TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,413.2056173359354,20.327459687229375,0.0034925158926689165,0.0034336295795115183,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
100
  TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,459.0989287677221,21.426593960957074,0.06551843551522653,0.060824312418524165,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
101
- TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,385671.29359013087,404.11512893123734,0.009686325196378145,0.15196337435536036,26.509678644846865,656128.8756488062,0.7001522851325224,2.8222731324878237e-117,484,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
102
  TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.833296350935995e-08,0.00013478188762345344,,,-47.12652224168565,2.1585928730611253e-07,0.011015615116855084,0.8875536730176562,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
103
  TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
104
  TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.690177992485807,1.4857820966467117,0.04850742143750037,0.074922881558041,13.79779392535607,1.7905125030677491,0.6963657095096638,4.854438202322938e-10,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:15:19.765080+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -110,7 +110,7 @@ TiRex,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.0107393
110
  TiRex,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,8.866636004281474,2.488089461129538,0.5938771051892088,0.3731621727278513,21.538118367705476,8.651555596750109,0.5228310502283104,6.011531620796288e-11,73,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:44.379149+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
111
  TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,731.4391315439573,14.729661632492634,0.0072726514144261034,0.19071366787844618,27.28476360800545,2263.467498869521,0.2551407213021968,1.1912051481584899e-05,135,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:39.570887+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
112
  TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,127.21965129840893,7.532079169838731,0.05628161235896661,0.1348787861976928,92.79024683063659,162.960282069556,1.0,0.0003968253968253968,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:45:42.165364+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
113
- Timer-S1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,448141.9389595007,443.0013555080339,0.00992978656876044,0.13280630662061907,27.732777298223922,671018.5094808298,0.650500425427401,2.950745014588235e-100,478,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
114
  Timer-S1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,1.901536633412021e-05,0.0008450502364910881,,,-47.12876784537719,0.00017062396895752425,0.04376474113993776,0.574266061360097,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
115
  Timer-S1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.1760797597599717e-16,1.0844721111028957e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
116
  Timer-S1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4775965949171124,1.1449182254997856,0.039271358347028905,0.06682792384525968,27.628595051900437,0.8358584393597693,0.4742690048155518,2.247585322657929e-05,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:17:34.201964+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -122,7 +122,7 @@ Timer-S1,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.1585
122
  Timer-S1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,9.646016845653966,2.6419385220684597,0.6337712599690569,0.39685913046237387,16.925423941661666,9.043723777231738,0.539947322212467,7.470988159152125e-11,68,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:37.448453+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
123
  Timer-S1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1090.523306140705,17.810360107760847,0.009189587078000536,0.20834173672195722,20.653528684468327,3693.912681670415,0.30852129610355733,2.0705610614895309e-07,130,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:54.916074+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
124
  Timer-S1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,215.46529203512617,10.579861537950228,0.0816237989927115,0.13736191271519524,88.39640709928898,236.20511274562008,0.7333333333333333,0.05555555555555555,6,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:15.518954+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
125
- TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,370764.5536443198,397.50767037362544,0.009256149984072102,0.1750067275340475,31.228063626521287,614460.9387396661,0.6510755040899452,1.6614609260563793e-102,488,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
126
  TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4.417533423700669e-08,4.995147698298584e-05,,,-40.229885057471265,3.5422367950657833e-07,0.1390417564163378,0.07764806905949258,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
127
  TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
128
  TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.6656742634121304,1.4686608291640202,0.054778510323778146,0.09470533691167855,10.261299633709687,2.316385591130291,0.004428725758795813,0.968078233939616,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:12:05.733003+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
@@ -134,7 +134,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,0.9
134
  TimesFM-2.5,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,8.56515425356288,2.433832187576634,0.5109358843438109,0.5227091057682246,22.869535530506393,8.5561485418517,0.5201640464798359,2.1682037190670746e-11,77,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:22.668298+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
135
  TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,792.246476855931,14.853591227148915,0.007686030374728405,0.23597278223492502,27.625889741369857,2665.6082452989,0.2903639668078773,5.649552977331333e-07,136,1.0,2026-06-16T12:41:30.056174+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
136
  TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,107.95101181513382,6.9625682483176545,0.0607086404115757,0.1907709756110462,92.39681780457543,140.04283581049745,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:44:33.543452+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
137
- Toto-2.0-1B,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,399113.8179329885,412.35645638047214,0.009448513623262612,0.1396130429047327,31.27323251917822,666987.1052649842,0.645480105648803,3.5778855224193534e-100,485,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
138
  Toto-2.0-1B,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.299131284164298e-08,6.913518978662337e-05,,,-47.12717327153921,3.755165287576949e-07,0.04349223982830489,0.5739339588497385,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
139
  Toto-2.0-1B,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.285839740510159e-20,3.0472675859711035e-10,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
140
  Toto-2.0-1B,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.50211700988663,1.4510014801588467,0.049354926618421904,0.08112915110097252,14.236665152995503,1.5195511126629426,-0.00664308863819372,0.9521333184974923,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:14:00.045696+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
1
  model,dataset,domain,frequency,prediction_lengths,MSE,RMSE,MAPE,CRPS,RTG,Stability,Improvement,Improvement_pvalue,n_releases,MAPE_coverage,first_release,last_release
2
+ ARIMA,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,638041.2948003435,623.5669026449557,0.012742086054751136,0.15368753992341785,10.384500107002484,786650.1019767388,0.6128935245307779,9.856599630686474e-72,383,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.135642+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
3
  ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.6181364466285024e-05,0.003389917995197246,,,-46.78818157185452,7.056786627530392e-05,0.025241256961571267,0.7413552885441035,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
4
  ARIMA,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
5
  ARIMA,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,18.01141919185989,3.969142665960787,0.12771530026004982,0.23899822388472075,-64.83004219118956,10.575522853262298,-0.14630761997152988,0.19234772105814313,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:29.867986+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
11
  ARIMA,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.962642204862705,2.932819226244539,0.5898789175203627,0.35560750057260193,18.73199805497344,8.413486346674224,0.4856808883693746,5.500768315101017e-08,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.513260+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
12
  ARIMA,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1279.311102567651,25.663670633078837,0.012867894565702667,0.15831242571060108,-4.329403714695942,3238.3214884130675,0.2723071687784034,1.1005691325584043e-05,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.165483+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
13
  ARIMA,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1180.3149315930734,23.008458593998338,0.1938224225386649,0.3280648161673207,49.8821374380932,1479.0116524310665,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.582752+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
14
+ Chronos-2,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,386217.9055081239,393.3164866243495,0.009322476768439095,0.14306431972516706,33.25315384247405,721412.3232031973,0.6725395256082001,5.040470719097435e-109,487,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:40.343188+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
15
  Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.9643405868724485e-07,0.00027403088135504676,,,-47.126977195873316,1.0653955518493054e-06,0.03711337798682017,0.631368636229575,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
16
  Chronos-2,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.729686274365332e-18,1.3151753777977037e-09,,,0.0,1.933211369013626e-34,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
17
  Chronos-2,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.6376432160494945,1.4511356722913764,0.04896847059824677,0.07962605368868012,18.14347196598,1.993170759139505,-0.01992926591458116,0.8570865772107193,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:11:12.972050+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
23
  Chronos-2,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,9.044277093363496,2.48855519701522,0.5863561429687779,0.37433938094616614,23.710868531128757,9.339718883723373,0.5221052631578948,2.4981898633214602e-11,76,1.0,2026-06-16T13:12:36.348072+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
24
  Chronos-2,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,927.3761111077906,16.994862244952742,0.008254258653742082,0.19148169248713753,23.693257794922904,2901.6799416941412,0.249155665285551,1.8988451261160948e-05,135,1.0,2026-06-16T12:40:50.960167+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
25
  Chronos-2,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,97.34953388996685,6.557044894923921,0.06344735943916392,0.1427561685379016,92.8677309025419,134.1969041725242,0.7142857142857143,0.03015873015873016,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:43:59.015450+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
26
+ ETS,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,601441.4236507635,555.5321066231527,0.010480702935259241,0.13205916790294198,31.696134317193632,1000885.9906631219,0.698549615190081,1.2810217392166615e-92,383,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.660440+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
27
  ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,3.855718388025049e-05,0.0031786109686152276,,,-46.79085869922069,7.974634477818307e-05,0.044657608470472246,0.5592534424908782,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
28
  ETS,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
29
  ETS,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,46.46463747437794,6.412812373669147,0.2237707239322764,0.38208108937413526,-84.0442147773115,26.664272258119944,-0.12308418823001721,0.27275755298491966,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.268230+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
35
  ETS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.635937727488471,2.896528924281968,0.6046204409935629,0.36924435310240195,20.158147286752968,7.938611552146151,0.4880187025131501,4.748708799500574e-08,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.797899+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
36
  ETS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1160.6053962155263,22.41565309181022,0.01026335049738526,0.15071506206160004,8.229729205547999,2874.8899624966384,0.26977800002813956,1.327182985125962e-05,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.324923+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
37
  ETS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,1365.0612722655562,24.098638394988747,0.207773594688997,0.38032333077493174,45.03410483533793,2026.1424879764963,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.836543+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
38
+ Moirai-1.1-Large,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,422437.7027185299,430.2473877206753,0.010806731264147482,0.1684042138349277,19.994262855908307,711597.5993153558,0.6053014553014554,1.3249065648853174e-87,481,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:48.486125+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
39
  Moirai-1.1-Large,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4125898.886404852,373.1174459853825,,,-99.96869793601469,34063379.03950849,-0.3825331971399388,1.1042471067849308e-07,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
40
  Moirai-1.1-Large,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,63951.07256673791,61.72393322959096,,,-100.0,532327.7168906349,0.02524955960070464,0.668817552003767,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
41
  Moirai-1.1-Large,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.7794743036231593,1.2019064017496983,0.043102541798647975,0.0726622479905764,31.078857656978926,1.411364693980375,0.004228329809725159,0.9677287487628757,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:16:48.534000+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
47
  Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,10.416173321885893,2.764145155423185,0.6063118476690557,0.38065025707731437,13.53116823028197,9.555411130925357,0.5080745341614907,4.95665625805138e-10,70,1.0,2026-06-16T13:15:41.040444+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
48
  Moirai-1.1-Large,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,7653.905865205462,40.52146001434544,0.010866508003914019,0.23964430016521912,-8.528953495985338,30600.284263207363,0.4263270115587476,2.7293688723312714e-13,134,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:22.358427+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
49
  Moirai-1.1-Large,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,191.44885119857958,9.062351337696985,0.05533980204433791,0.12918452328660904,91.0225532576881,275.7440030189848,0.9047619047619049,0.002777777777777778,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:01.162798+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
50
+ Moving-Average,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,765829.6799909791,655.7398791594948,0.01259855111550407,0.13945207071845625,18.86098546531665,961142.5677895522,0.6578950965784042,2.2855380969004608e-82,383,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.847893+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
51
  Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.491113360253407e-05,0.003457522144940053,,,-47.03864387120987,0.00019659184063014392,0.044657608470472246,0.5592534424908782,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
52
  Moving-Average,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.578202015526527e-15,9.786828912128039e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
53
  Moving-Average,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,8.189252804575643,2.6776486094706615,0.09618369929379916,0.14458939315771768,-41.81668315101519,4.646154012005168,-0.14398527679737863,0.1995018113266478,44,1.0,2026-06-18T05:03:30.400278+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
59
  Moving-Average,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,11.321845245163082,2.967452112996326,0.6513347361049898,0.36546259679158194,18.72344314597639,8.784700726780773,0.472822910578609,1.2201901393604912e-07,59,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.921461+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
60
  Moving-Average,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1615.5169235805336,24.63821672173749,0.011637357478022999,0.1795076619783363,9.263905303055905,4299.289137876933,0.2312784312741238,0.0001884641261817427,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.359102+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
61
  Moving-Average,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,983.7553293653343,21.11536945508266,0.206471189408788,0.37604182005743236,48.28446220099294,1227.1537528895785,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.956394+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
62
+ Seasonal-Naive,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,881591.9736969343,735.4602392478378,0.014094661939206112,0.13138111811106865,0.0,965625.222347496,0.7132585129796454,1.7698285777388438e-96,383,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:12.963911+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
63
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,36436.1429036395,190.88253692687422,0.8264244641534466,0.9402466648974208,0.0,,,,1,1.0,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z,2026-06-29T09:42:32.652885Z
64
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,0.00012077295045921772,0.0011457527924963727,,,0.0,0.0011584134459516032,-0.09235375275636414,0.28318953973801886,92,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
65
  Seasonal-Naive,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,137,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
 
72
  Seasonal-Naive,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,17.049612316969796,3.6317235755170483,0.6631769982865421,0.595793380916583,0.0,13.258831666200814,0.5317886620889003,1.9519926139337445e-09,60,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.024713+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
73
  Seasonal-Naive,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1909.784037657704,28.145435398007656,0.011839593989813843,0.15452383025137167,0.0,4738.748686031435,0.1829438004307874,0.0034226654049052518,120,1.0,2026-06-17T12:26:17.384303+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
74
  Seasonal-Naive,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,3919.2207784573843,45.08415468042706,0.3563694794592962,0.8299818160666028,0.0,4190.697528842885,0.4000661320993193,0.17023995462900499,8,1.0,2026-06-17T12:10:13.040774+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
75
+ Sundial (Base 128M),binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,1272418.086395132,1094.468415556297,0.016823404894936198,0.015083092231651206,26.767811210361558,615511.0609545751,0.43118440779610195,6.773548757239338e-12,116,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
76
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Finance,1mo,12,26942.28249014914,164.14104450182208,2.360591014522408,0.7305382024738188,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z
77
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,7.510279983511485e-07,0.0005685866970962122,,,-60.97560975609756,1.7666600717230575e-06,0.23658536585365852,0.02933196568822758,41,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
78
  Sundial (Base 128M),data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,5.262553373091953e-16,2.199955252113676e-08,,,0.0,5.30808904372991e-16,0.0,1.0,58,0.0,2026-07-01T08:20:13.790420Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
 
98
  TabPFN-TS,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,24.539460096471657,4.95373193627508,0.9345384759733598,0.41257727732423877,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
99
  TabPFN-TS,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,413.2056173359354,20.327459687229375,0.0034925158926689165,0.0034336295795115183,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
100
  TabPFN-TS,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,7,459.0989287677221,21.426593960957074,0.06551843551522653,0.060824312418524165,,,,,1,1.0,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z,2026-07-01T13:07:24.792624Z
101
+ TiRex,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,386845.54806394316,405.2970266392279,0.009697094436232557,0.1516765064292332,26.579891789770738,655960.6556731412,0.7002300417483174,1.5310303258872025e-117,485,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:33.925127+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
102
  TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,8.833296350935995e-08,0.00013478188762345344,,,-47.12652224168565,2.1585928730611253e-07,0.011015615116855084,0.8875536730176562,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
103
  TiRex,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.4296981641955703e-09,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
104
  TiRex,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.690177992485807,1.4857820966467117,0.04850742143750037,0.074922881558041,13.79779392535607,1.7905125030677491,0.6963657095096638,4.854438202322938e-10,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:15:19.765080+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
110
  TiRex,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,8.866636004281474,2.488089461129538,0.5938771051892088,0.3731621727278513,21.538118367705476,8.651555596750109,0.5228310502283104,6.011531620796288e-11,73,1.0,2026-06-16T13:14:44.379149+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
111
  TiRex,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,731.4391315439573,14.729661632492634,0.0072726514144261034,0.19071366787844618,27.28476360800545,2263.467498869521,0.2551407213021968,1.1912051481584899e-05,135,1.0,2026-06-16T12:42:39.570887+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
112
  TiRex,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,127.21965129840893,7.532079169838731,0.05628161235896661,0.1348787861976928,92.79024683063659,162.960282069556,1.0,0.0003968253968253968,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:45:42.165364+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
113
+ Timer-S1,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,451828.4409535354,445.1828634918335,0.009955224411107416,0.13256950872363202,27.700218615499473,675154.5108795358,0.651680191472821,8.035948778280087e-101,479,1.0,2026-06-16T12:08:03.698792+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
114
  Timer-S1,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,1.901536633412021e-05,0.0008450502364910881,,,-47.12876784537719,0.00017062396895752425,0.04376474113993776,0.574266061360097,89,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
115
  Timer-S1,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,1.1760797597599717e-16,1.0844721111028957e-08,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,131,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
116
  Timer-S1,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,1.4775965949171124,1.1449182254997856,0.039271358347028905,0.06682792384525968,27.628595051900437,0.8358584393597693,0.4742690048155518,2.247585322657929e-05,44,1.0,2026-06-17T05:17:34.201964+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
122
  Timer-S1,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,9.646016845653966,2.6419385220684597,0.6337712599690569,0.39685913046237387,16.925423941661666,9.043723777231738,0.539947322212467,7.470988159152125e-11,68,1.0,2026-06-16T13:16:37.448453+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
123
  Timer-S1,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,1090.523306140705,17.810360107760847,0.009189587078000536,0.20834173672195722,20.653528684468327,3693.912681670415,0.30852129610355733,2.0705610614895309e-07,130,1.0,2026-06-16T12:43:54.916074+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
124
  Timer-S1,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,215.46529203512617,10.579861537950228,0.0816237989927115,0.13736191271519524,88.39640709928898,236.20511274562008,0.7333333333333333,0.05555555555555555,6,1.0,2026-06-17T09:46:15.518954+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
125
+ TimesFM-2.5,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,372555.2679410935,398.97786642193694,0.009276155988025211,0.17467905493954672,31.25728021346224,615106.9888426417,0.651915920748265,5.657456341099619e-103,489,1.0,2026-06-16T12:06:55.147862+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
126
  TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,4.417533423700669e-08,4.995147698298584e-05,,,-40.229885057471265,3.5422367950657833e-07,0.1390417564163378,0.07764806905949258,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
127
  TimesFM-2.5,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,0.0,0.0,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
128
  TimesFM-2.5,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.6656742634121304,1.4686608291640202,0.054778510323778146,0.09470533691167855,10.261299633709687,2.316385591130291,0.004428725758795813,0.968078233939616,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:12:05.733003+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
 
134
  TimesFM-2.5,usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count/1h/short,Hazards,1h,24,8.56515425356288,2.433832187576634,0.5109358843438109,0.5227091057682246,22.869535530506393,8.5561485418517,0.5201640464798359,2.1682037190670746e-11,77,1.0,2026-06-16T13:13:22.668298+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
135
  TimesFM-2.5,usgs_potomac_iv_usgs_00060/15min/short,Hydrology,15min,24,792.246476855931,14.853591227148915,0.007686030374728405,0.23597278223492502,27.625889741369857,2665.6082452989,0.2903639668078773,5.649552977331333e-07,136,1.0,2026-06-16T12:41:30.056174+00:00,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
136
  TimesFM-2.5,wikimedia_time_series_hourly_pageviews/1D/short,Web,1D,2;7,107.95101181513382,6.9625682483176545,0.0607086404115757,0.1907709756110462,92.39681780457543,140.04283581049745,0.5238095238095238,0.1361111111111111,7,1.0,2026-06-17T09:44:33.543452+00:00,2026-07-02T11:01:40.000947Z
137
+ Toto-2.0-1B,binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Finance,1h,24,399441.50245429424,413.0455183782202,0.00945292625076099,0.13934697145493985,31.37584245939704,666338.2942935866,0.6449196045988713,3.3151771260417506e-100,486,1.0,2026-06-16T12:07:16.543073+00:00,2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z
138
  Toto-2.0-1B,data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Climate,5min,36,5.299131284164298e-08,6.913518978662337e-05,,,-47.12717327153921,3.755165287576949e-07,0.04349223982830489,0.5739339588497385,90,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:05:02.028686Z
139
  Toto-2.0-1B,data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Transportation,5min,12,9.285839740510159e-20,3.0472675859711035e-10,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.0,133,0.0,2026-06-29T07:34:52.372126Z,2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z
140
  Toto-2.0-1B,nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_T2M/1h/short,Weather,1h,24,2.50211700988663,1.4510014801588467,0.049354926618421904,0.08112915110097252,14.236665152995503,1.5195511126629426,-0.00664308863819372,0.9521333184974923,45,1.0,2026-06-17T05:14:00.045696+00:00,2026-07-03T02:35:51.611523Z
results/aggregates/metadata.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  {
2
- "generated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.809571+00:00",
3
  "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
  "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
5
  "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",
 
1
  {
2
+ "generated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.588541+00:00",
3
  "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
  "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
5
  "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",
results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv CHANGED
@@ -11,18 +11,18 @@ Climate,ARIMA,0.7396985019175883,0.8101848671173607,9,5,5,1.0
11
  Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10,5,5,1.0
12
  Climate,ETS,1.525204143343054,1.37965843034908,11,5,5,1.0
13
  Climate,Moving-Average,0.9374617836377072,0.9854593238650124,12,5,5,1.0
14
- Finance,ETS,0.07081377653018278,0.26957790386178165,1,1,2,0.5
15
- Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.21084254744531936,0.505887987449205,2,2,2,1.0
16
- Finance,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.08543774336833963,0.39618720795041046,3,1,2,0.5
17
- Finance,Toto-2.0-1B,0.18034700827592529,0.49794288920039853,4,1,2,0.5
18
- Finance,Chronos-2,0.334134903224664,0.5784737357982799,5,1,2,0.5
19
- Finance,Sundial (Base 128M),0.7252205407159442,0.8702568645401207,6,2,2,1.0
20
- Finance,TiRex,0.30968124187332774,0.6209006702492887,7,1,2,0.5
21
- Finance,ARIMA,0.19990990314188686,0.6723655119816175,8,1,2,0.5
22
  Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
23
- Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.40469714955776237,0.7131155026323467,10,1,2,0.5
24
- Finance,Timer-S1,0.7207166794642791,0.9369220650425947,11,1,2,0.5
25
- Finance,Moving-Average,0.9484824430699239,1.2312544531766825,12,1,2,0.5
26
  Hazards,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.8274880018410181,0.6383187918467391,1,1,1,1.0
27
  Hazards,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8969000791506255,0.6728496038630679,2,1,1,1.0
28
  Hazards,TiRex,0.875987868474999,0.6756923924617413,3,1,1,1.0
 
11
  Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,10,5,5,1.0
12
  Climate,ETS,1.525204143343054,1.37965843034908,11,5,5,1.0
13
  Climate,Moving-Average,0.9374617836377072,0.9854593238650124,12,5,5,1.0
14
+ Finance,ETS,0.07122527677902223,0.2714383336277767,1,1,2,0.5
15
+ Finance,TabPFN-TS,0.21068814466451657,0.5055358879979865,2,2,2,1.0
16
+ Finance,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.09195690964851382,0.40428884725240444,3,1,2,0.5
17
+ Finance,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1831960799358177,0.4999224029952924,4,1,2,0.5
18
+ Finance,Chronos-2,0.337739774655416,0.5803330596072072,5,1,2,0.5
19
+ Finance,Sundial (Base 128M),0.6954527390869247,0.8538576723505974,6,2,2,1.0
20
+ Finance,TiRex,0.31338819540198726,0.6226966730716447,7,1,2,0.5
21
+ Finance,ARIMA,0.20246715005159707,0.6762628484548456,8,1,2,0.5
22
  Finance,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,9,2,2,1.0
23
+ Finance,TimesFM-2.5,0.4089413429068418,0.7169520209096756,10,1,2,0.5
24
+ Finance,Timer-S1,0.7263873228754585,0.9404245584247288,11,1,2,0.5
25
+ Finance,Moving-Average,0.954074259508105,1.2343176638852429,12,1,2,0.5
26
  Hazards,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.8274880018410181,0.6383187918467391,1,1,1,1.0
27
  Hazards,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8969000791506255,0.6728496038630679,2,1,1,1.0
28
  Hazards,TiRex,0.875987868474999,0.6756923924617413,3,1,1,1.0
results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv CHANGED
@@ -35,17 +35,17 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
35
  1D,Moving-Average,0.30064742150340124,0.4103796597538768,10,1,1,1.0
36
  1D,ARIMA,0.3436852081455649,0.4144754563715893,11,1,1,1.0
37
  1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
38
- 1h,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.26683077810014894,0.4460216781019531,1,6,6,1.0
39
- 1h,Toto-2.0-1B,0.31104237708253685,0.4745407213169534,2,6,6,1.0
40
- 1h,TiRex,0.33732824397178535,0.5121708250678664,3,6,6,1.0
41
- 1h,TabPFN-TS,0.12001734649841168,0.3835265275383412,4,6,6,1.0
42
- 1h,Chronos-2,0.45933191813724944,0.5395395576632918,5,6,6,1.0
43
- 1h,Timer-S1,0.40984838284730757,0.5528066739548386,6,6,6,1.0
44
- 1h,Sundial (Base 128M),0.40357970060187354,0.5743118699612826,7,6,6,1.0
45
- 1h,ETS,0.8890093348243716,0.9373021272815655,8,6,6,1.0
46
- 1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.34701876980793106,0.6205727849661804,9,6,6,1.0
47
- 1h,ARIMA,0.5859318048177811,0.768940531493098,10,6,6,1.0
48
- 1h,Moving-Average,0.9491137296377097,0.9819192117070951,11,6,6,1.0
49
  1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,6,6,1.0
50
  1mo,Sundial (Base 128M),0.7394383802204804,0.7769644176866283,1,1,1,1.0
51
  1mo,TabPFN-TS,0.8352213750339312,0.8925810519947165,2,1,1,1.0
 
35
  1D,Moving-Average,0.30064742150340124,0.4103796597538768,10,1,1,1.0
36
  1D,ARIMA,0.3436852081455649,0.4144754563715893,11,1,1,1.0
37
  1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,1,1,1.0
38
+ 1h,Moirai-1.1-Large,0.2701210043182667,0.44752900314987376,1,6,6,1.0
39
+ 1h,Toto-2.0-1B,0.31185599793852903,0.4748546153159947,2,6,6,1.0
40
+ 1h,TiRex,0.3379978941419292,0.5124174435675386,3,6,6,1.0
41
+ 1h,TabPFN-TS,0.11998804258164011,0.3834375283760565,4,6,6,1.0
42
+ 1h,Chronos-2,0.4601541597759407,0.5398282016742225,5,6,6,1.0
43
+ 1h,Timer-S1,0.4103840813824231,0.5531505646558759,6,6,6,1.0
44
+ 1h,Sundial (Base 128M),0.39798052663245165,0.570681509862743,7,6,6,1.0
45
+ 1h,ETS,0.8898682659298017,0.9383771359608718,8,6,6,1.0
46
+ 1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.34762268638622923,0.6211279823865493,9,6,6,1.0
47
+ 1h,ARIMA,0.5871744044611836,0.7696815985593486,10,6,6,1.0
48
+ 1h,Moving-Average,0.950044036675928,0.9823259394701616,11,6,6,1.0
49
  1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,6,6,1.0
50
  1mo,Sundial (Base 128M),0.7394383802204804,0.7769644176866283,1,1,1,1.0
51
  1mo,TabPFN-TS,0.8352213750339312,0.8925810519947165,2,1,1,1.0
results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv CHANGED
@@ -23,17 +23,17 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
23
  12,ETS,1.0,,10,1,2,0.5
24
  12,Moving-Average,1.0,,11,1,2,0.5
25
  12,Moirai-1.1-Large,1574106876335.6409,,12,1,2,0.5
26
- 24,Toto-2.0-1B,2.9399007494020983,0.14862070658665458,1,7,7,1.0
27
- 24,Moirai-1.1-Large,94.05658954033774,0.26372233838872705,2,7,7,1.0
28
- 24,TiRex,4.12418227628186,0.18178251398233752,3,7,7,1.0
29
- 24,Chronos-2,8.115614717513667,0.21930750284511963,4,7,7,1.0
30
- 24,Timer-S1,7.643049373855595,0.22989847547030925,5,7,7,1.0
31
- 24,TabPFN-TS,19.897766693520353,0.4238811057155689,6,7,7,1.0
32
- 24,Sundial (Base 128M),30.69274571328085,0.40509231350747615,7,7,7,1.0
33
- 24,TimesFM-2.5,4.205769475673373,0.2638712938324805,8,7,7,1.0
34
- 24,ETS,47.14351798785175,0.6627116430780204,9,7,7,1.0
35
- 24,Moving-Average,40.31968220789894,0.041204832371027456,10,7,7,1.0
36
- 24,ARIMA,70.30773609601388,0.9006621935340658,11,7,7,1.0
37
  24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,7,7,1.0
38
  36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,,1,1,1,1.0
39
  36,TabPFN-TS,1.0,,2,1,1,1.0
 
23
  12,ETS,1.0,,10,1,2,0.5
24
  12,Moving-Average,1.0,,11,1,2,0.5
25
  12,Moirai-1.1-Large,1574106876335.6409,,12,1,2,0.5
26
+ 24,Toto-2.0-1B,2.946491081778792,0.14870496660402105,1,7,7,1.0
27
+ 24,Moirai-1.1-Large,95.04982308560032,0.2644860798431196,2,7,7,1.0
28
+ 24,TiRex,4.1311988452821,0.18185753815179415,3,7,7,1.0
29
+ 24,Chronos-2,8.128065366130524,0.21940806379495195,4,7,7,1.0
30
+ 24,Timer-S1,7.651611400603248,0.2300210547776989,5,7,7,1.0
31
+ 24,TabPFN-TS,19.89360234785667,0.4237967926309206,6,7,7,1.0
32
+ 24,Sundial (Base 128M),30.32738987257338,0.4028964484575716,7,7,7,1.0
33
+ 24,TimesFM-2.5,4.212042380630305,0.2640736294439411,8,7,7,1.0
34
+ 24,ETS,47.18255685854584,0.6633630833671167,9,7,7,1.0
35
+ 24,Moving-Average,40.353554763591475,0.04121946143622168,10,7,7,1.0
36
+ 24,ARIMA,70.43551958371168,0.9014061542719631,11,7,7,1.0
37
  24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,12,7,7,1.0
38
  36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,,1,1,1,1.0
39
  36,TabPFN-TS,1.0,,2,1,1,1.0
results/aggregates/results_overall.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
1
  overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
- Overall,Toto-2.0-1B,1.2575895194889886,0.20428275293380468,1,12,13,0.9230769230769231
3
- Overall,Chronos-2,2.338491563447555,0.26561928883674507,2,12,13,0.9230769230769231
4
- Overall,TiRex,1.7889177660165518,0.24502472384435728,3,12,13,0.9230769230769231
5
- Overall,TabPFN-TS,4.57816778820734,0.5263124834101874,4,13,13,1.0
6
- Overall,Timer-S1,1.9086615137323704,0.25122238335078384,5,12,13,0.9230769230769231
7
- Overall,Moirai-1.1-Large,3582.107348535938,0.3494829566283038,6,12,13,0.9230769230769231
8
- Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.7799293562085678,0.344083619866603,7,12,13,0.9230769230769231
9
- Overall,Sundial (Base 128M),4.810200199882689,0.43946167492657146,8,13,13,1.0
10
- Overall,ETS,8.621574830092047,0.6813972555463043,9,12,13,0.9230769230769231
11
- Overall,Moving-Average,7.369508226996564,0.0944387845384173,10,12,13,0.9230769230769231
12
  Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,13,13,1.0
13
- Overall,ARIMA,12.074062354628387,0.8946063253288106,12,12,13,0.9230769230769231
 
1
  overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
+ Overall,Toto-2.0-1B,1.2592332389484064,0.20436381824208846,1,12,13,0.9230769230769231
3
+ Overall,Chronos-2,2.3405836730246103,0.2657045406569487,2,12,13,0.9230769230769231
4
+ Overall,TiRex,1.7906925286807287,0.24509550703865696,3,12,13,0.9230769230769231
5
+ Overall,TabPFN-TS,4.577651835605719,0.526245861718968,4,13,13,1.0
6
+ Overall,Timer-S1,1.9099084788664122,0.2513161401377582,5,12,13,0.9230769230769231
7
+ Overall,Moirai-1.1-Large,3604.1247362600952,0.35019112255148327,6,12,13,0.9230769230769231
8
+ Overall,Sundial (Base 128M),4.779283261990597,0.43794425116500885,7,13,13,1.0
9
+ Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.7814774879983706,0.3442682881361138,8,12,13,0.9230769230769231
10
+ Overall,ETS,8.625738763290052,0.6818660521106191,9,12,13,0.9230769230769231
11
+ Overall,Moving-Average,7.3731190830861495,0.0944622534920647,10,12,13,0.9230769230769231
12
  Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,13,13,1.0
13
+ Overall,ARIMA,12.086858450907199,0.8951235322094236,12,12,13,0.9230769230769231
results/arima/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,608418.9418488368,1093662.8845435826,956.357041312512,1.0782700616565586,0.015547442452537296,0.015692502755510825,23.069598150488314,780.0121421162858,0.0127236485655131,0.015600207022162244,0.013836716498198627,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ARIMA,1541135.6552051408,2418867.790696383,1404.9959218011925,2.0820340358355196,0.023509867939965828,0.023851626705894427,64.03653538702292,1241.4248487947793,0.020879994345237157,0.023631158125093858,0.02228618857464181,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ARIMA,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ARIMA,617105.3330348639,1106374.866609533,962.5490986041787,1.085251460558064,0.015646575378321908,0.01579331336513027,23.34885410654854,785.5605215607923,0.012812858980183982,0.015699625329204037,0.013936313078111773,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ARIMA,1541135.6552051408,2418867.790696383,1404.9959218011925,2.0820340358355196,0.023509867939965828,0.023851626705894427,64.03653538702292,1241.4248487947793,0.020879994345237157,0.023631158125093858,0.02228618857464181,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ARIMA,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ARIMA,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/arima/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "ARIMA",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.290630+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60351.696973527214,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "ARIMA",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.235437+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60351.696973527214,
results/arima/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "ARIMA",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.369652+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "ARIMA",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.257244+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/chronos_2/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,1016928.1314214071,1016928.1314214071,935.060546875,1.0542587652701279,0.015213785970539288,0.015339442903817835,2.797421068847939,1008.4285455209045,0.016449603440566268,0.015252816133906161,0.011904502746288218,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-2,1047487.098203659,1047487.098203659,819.30322265625,1.2141082894057063,0.01366893271924998,0.013814714127786376,10.44496425626024,1023.4681715635612,0.017214098505861357,0.013780170964601867,0.011439704022350464,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.6284716271939715e-18,9.786685842996647e-10,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.2761158361191085e-09,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.0190191815362404e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.3151753777977035e-09,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Chronos-2,1029406.5781275431,1029406.5781275431,941.2526041666666,1.0612401641716336,0.01531294985106641,0.015440253776193342,2.797421068847939,1014.5967564148542,0.01654854693546305,0.015352269559010845,0.011959407834902734,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Chronos-2,1047487.098203659,1047487.098203659,819.30322265625,1.2141082894057063,0.01366893271924998,0.013814714127786376,10.44496425626024,1023.4681715635612,0.017214098505861357,0.013780170964601867,0.011439704022350464,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.6284716271939715e-18,1.6284716271939715e-18,9.786685842996647e-10,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.2761158361191085e-09,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Chronos-2,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.7296862743653321e-18,1.0190191815362404e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.3151753777977035e-09,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/chronos_2/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Chronos-2",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:04.723107+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60891.29296875,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Chronos-2",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:47.428915+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60891.29296875,
results/chronos_2/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Chronos-2",
3
  "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:14.211579+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Chronos-2",
3
  "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:50.657843+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/ets/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,215519.3029843771,232692.8911855917,432.8255225368548,0.48800059257350153,0.007064655259006451,0.0070745227288619835,4.074150159471388,464.24056585393,0.007572745975151427,0.0070603001435360965,0.005547686434601223,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ETS,1556117.9881807761,1569433.9940070417,1003.0477607431425,1.4863954727772741,0.016733873296267597,0.016954216616983653,43.48353332776867,1247.444583210323,0.02098124253652188,0.01687063988823202,0.015785365847337016,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ETS,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,ETS,217089.5285285425,234733.47676986034,439.0175798285215,0.49498199147500727,0.007165202661513347,0.007175340315290359,4.074150159471388,465.92867321999245,0.007599514258851406,0.007160581757581616,0.0055937563441210945,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,ETS,1556117.9881807761,1569433.9940070417,1003.0477607431425,1.4863954727772741,0.016733873296267597,0.016954216616983653,43.48353332776867,1247.444583210323,0.02098124253652188,0.01687063988823202,0.015785365847337016,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,ETS,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,ETS,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/ets/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "ETS",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.398649+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60989.72704574987,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "ETS",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.299755+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60989.72704574987,
results/ets/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "ETS",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/ets",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.459656+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "ETS",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/ets",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.312479+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/eval_history.jsonl CHANGED
@@ -3990,3 +3990,4 @@
3990
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close", "prediction_length": 24}
3991
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count", "prediction_length": 12}
3992
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60}
 
 
3990
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close", "prediction_length": 24}
3991
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count", "prediction_length": 12}
3992
  {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.321658+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level", "prediction_length": 60}
3993
+ {"evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:21.100704+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close", "prediction_length": 24}
results/evaluation_metrics.jsonl CHANGED
@@ -16127,3 +16127,14 @@
16127
  {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.522280+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 3043465.742750168, "RMSE": 1744.5531642085798, "MAPE": 0.026620280754693627, "CRPS": 0.020579158585065746, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16128
  {"release_id": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:12", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.533224+00:00", "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short", "domain": "Transportation", "frequency": "5min", "prediction_length": 12, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 0.0, "RMSE": 0.0, "MAPE": NaN, "CRPS": NaN, "MAPE_eligible": false}
16129
  {"release_id": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:60", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.547956+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "domain": "Ocean", "frequency": "6min", "prediction_length": 60, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 0.09482891694728804, "RMSE": 0.3079430417257192, "MAPE": 0.17956081076139296, "CRPS": 0.18067775013197462, "MAPE_eligible": true}
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
16127
  {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.522280+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 3043465.742750168, "RMSE": 1744.5531642085798, "MAPE": 0.026620280754693627, "CRPS": 0.020579158585065746, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16128
  {"release_id": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:12", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.533224+00:00", "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short", "domain": "Transportation", "frequency": "5min", "prediction_length": 12, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 0.0, "RMSE": 0.0, "MAPE": NaN, "CRPS": NaN, "MAPE_eligible": false}
16129
  {"release_id": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short|source:2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z|h:60", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.547956+00:00", "dataset": "noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level/6min/short", "domain": "Ocean", "frequency": "6min", "prediction_length": 60, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 0.09482891694728804, "RMSE": 0.3079430417257192, "MAPE": 0.17956081076139296, "CRPS": 0.18067775013197462, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16130
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:50.638280+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Chronos-2", "MSE": 1029406.5781275431, "RMSE": 1014.5967564148542, "MAPE": 0.01531294985106641, "CRPS": 0.011959407834902734, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16131
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:11.628267+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "TimesFM-2.5", "MSE": 1246423.8447666168, "RMSE": 1116.4335379979486, "MAPE": 0.01903908591714264, "CRPS": 0.01477482882315884, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16132
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:45.871295+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Toto-2.0-1B", "MSE": 558368.4952875773, "RMSE": 747.2405872860342, "MAPE": 0.011593050587475034, "CRPS": 0.010302318305408925, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16133
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:54.605653+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "TiRex", "MSE": 955184.7133890787, "RMSE": 977.335517306661, "MAPE": 0.014909406525766897, "CRPS": 0.0128324301836972, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16134
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:24.419957+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large", "MSE": 280278.05665779114, "RMSE": 529.4129358617819, "MAPE": 0.008537562995479168, "CRPS": 0.008331517785091815, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16135
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:52.709099+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Timer-S1", "MSE": 2213976.3941020966, "RMSE": 1487.9436797480262, "MAPE": 0.022114513052963216, "CRPS": 0.019380113963819348, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16136
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:19.392503+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)", "MSE": 1993599.817024231, "RMSE": 1411.9489427823623, "MAPE": 0.020764668124891944, "CRPS": 0.019337583630551006, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16137
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.250694+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "ARIMA", "MSE": 617105.3330348639, "RMSE": 785.5605215607923, "MAPE": 0.015646575378321908, "CRPS": 0.013936313078111773, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16138
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.306679+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "ETS", "MSE": 217089.5285285425, "RMSE": 465.92867321999245, "MAPE": 0.007165202661513347, "CRPS": 0.0055937563441210945, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16139
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.323828+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Moving-Average", "MSE": 2907949.825459087, "RMSE": 1705.2711882451679, "MAPE": 0.02737939040269675, "CRPS": 0.025436614536864993, "MAPE_eligible": true}
16140
+ {"release_id": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short|source:2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z|h:24", "release_time": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z", "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.340313+00:00", "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short", "domain": "Finance", "frequency": "1h", "prediction_length": 24, "model": "Seasonal-Naive", "MSE": 3047928.1842886605, "RMSE": 1745.831659779562, "MAPE": 0.02672050714402499, "CRPS": 0.02060783482332944, "MAPE_eligible": true}
results/moirai_1_1_large/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,260026.845079422,294868.3941737811,503.1280110677083,0.5672649942228453,0.008200265235281725,0.008225595112948292,2.916977800299033,509.9282744459479,0.008318009178761592,0.008207082493514234,0.008153199381785905,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,431066.6319255829,438026.3967232704,592.166259765625,0.8775187803569343,0.00997280106164517,0.00995863597493575,5.1089635352591865,656.5566479181997,0.011042874733149554,0.009959868426470057,0.007805353832515354,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,36009.13691946099,1.6490396668611273e-18,1.0162144352283502e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,189.76073597944594,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.57410687633564,1.9653617805243057e-18,1.1300106573843467e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.254634160357369,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,280278.05665779114,310519.93500773114,523.9933268229166,0.5907901467903164,0.008537562995479168,0.00856666161530467,2.739215187802946,529.4129358617819,0.008634972231044402,0.008546575876547434,0.008331517785091815,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,431066.6319255829,438026.3967232704,592.166259765625,0.8775187803569343,0.00997280106164517,0.00995863597493575,5.1089635352591865,656.5566479181997,0.011042874733149554,0.009959868426470057,0.007805353832515354,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,36009.13691946099,1.6490396668611273e-18,1.0162144352283502e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,189.76073597944594,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moirai-1.1-Large,1.57410687633564,1.9653617805243057e-18,1.1300106573843467e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.254634160357369,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/moirai_1_1_large/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:16:20.106410+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,346 +127,346 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
- 60895.455078125,
134
- 60872.275390625,
135
- 60856.99609375,
136
- 60897.728515625,
137
- 60903.578125,
138
- 60971.046875,
139
- 60929.7109375,
140
- 60935.96484375,
141
- 60859.470703125,
142
- 60836.576171875,
143
- 61059.125,
144
- 61105.458984375,
145
- 60845.09765625,
146
- 61073.080078125,
147
- 61044.37890625,
148
- 61027.798828125,
149
- 61069.6640625,
150
- 61055.427734375,
151
- 61203.12109375,
152
- 61082.43359375,
153
- 60891.166015625,
154
- 61116.685546875,
155
- 61206.45703125,
156
- 61258.83203125
157
  ],
158
  "p10": [
159
- 60499.462890625,
160
- 60404.728515625,
161
- 60273.107421875,
162
- 60136.15625,
163
- 60206.107421875,
164
- 60162.11328125,
165
- 60003.068359375,
166
- 59825.775390625,
167
- 59813.431640625,
168
- 59799.998046875,
169
- 59987.640625,
170
- 59808.021484375,
171
- 59677.69921875,
172
- 59793.66015625,
173
- 59569.208984375,
174
- 59617.755859375,
175
- 59541.412109375,
176
- 59415.955078125,
177
- 59601.8125,
178
- 59691.248046875,
179
- 59433.23828125,
180
- 59187.390625,
181
- 59426.603515625,
182
- 59199.8671875
183
  ],
184
  "p90": [
185
- 61297.71484375,
186
- 61369.31640625,
187
- 61457.0234375,
188
- 61633.171875,
189
- 61643.6328125,
190
- 61669.35546875,
191
- 61942.947265625,
192
- 61952.939453125,
193
- 61981.810546875,
194
- 62033.75,
195
- 62139.060546875,
196
- 62144.45703125,
197
- 62457.755859375,
198
- 62429.45703125,
199
- 62652.984375,
200
- 62882.615234375,
201
- 62847.27734375,
202
- 62708.3984375,
203
- 62793.296875,
204
- 62909.400390625,
205
- 62577.73828125,
206
- 63272.349609375,
207
- 63304.248046875,
208
- 63335.658203125
209
  ],
210
  "mean": [
211
- 60911.2578125,
212
- 60880.73828125,
213
- 60892.078125,
214
- 60878.0703125,
215
- 60886.0,
216
- 60957.0546875,
217
- 60961.66796875,
218
- 60935.1796875,
219
- 60869.390625,
220
- 60889.15234375,
221
- 61068.48046875,
222
- 61072.2265625,
223
- 61043.484375,
224
- 61088.93359375,
225
- 61049.984375,
226
- 61162.91796875,
227
- 61155.6484375,
228
- 61093.24609375,
229
- 61275.19140625,
230
- 61131.0859375,
231
- 60971.19140625,
232
- 61137.703125,
233
- 61280.265625,
234
- 61214.9453125
235
  ],
236
  "quantiles": {
237
  "0.1": [
238
- 60499.462890625,
239
- 60404.728515625,
240
- 60273.107421875,
241
- 60136.15625,
242
- 60206.107421875,
243
- 60162.11328125,
244
- 60003.068359375,
245
- 59825.775390625,
246
- 59813.431640625,
247
- 59799.998046875,
248
- 59987.640625,
249
- 59808.021484375,
250
- 59677.69921875,
251
- 59793.66015625,
252
- 59569.208984375,
253
- 59617.755859375,
254
- 59541.412109375,
255
- 59415.955078125,
256
- 59601.8125,
257
- 59691.248046875,
258
- 59433.23828125,
259
- 59187.390625,
260
- 59426.603515625,
261
- 59199.8671875
262
  ],
263
  "0.2": [
264
- 60499.462890625,
265
- 60404.728515625,
266
- 60273.107421875,
267
- 60136.15625,
268
- 60206.107421875,
269
- 60162.11328125,
270
- 60003.068359375,
271
- 59825.775390625,
272
- 59813.431640625,
273
- 59799.998046875,
274
- 59987.640625,
275
- 59808.021484375,
276
- 59677.69921875,
277
- 59793.66015625,
278
- 59569.208984375,
279
- 59617.755859375,
280
- 59541.412109375,
281
- 59415.955078125,
282
- 59601.8125,
283
- 59691.248046875,
284
- 59433.23828125,
285
- 59187.390625,
286
- 59426.603515625,
287
- 59199.8671875
288
  ],
289
  "0.3": [
290
- 60499.462890625,
291
- 60404.728515625,
292
- 60273.107421875,
293
- 60136.15625,
294
- 60206.107421875,
295
- 60162.11328125,
296
- 60003.068359375,
297
- 59825.775390625,
298
- 59813.431640625,
299
- 59799.998046875,
300
- 59987.640625,
301
- 59808.021484375,
302
- 59677.69921875,
303
- 59793.66015625,
304
- 59569.208984375,
305
- 59617.755859375,
306
- 59541.412109375,
307
- 59415.955078125,
308
- 59601.8125,
309
- 59691.248046875,
310
- 59433.23828125,
311
- 59187.390625,
312
- 59426.603515625,
313
- 59199.8671875
314
  ],
315
  "0.4": [
316
- 60895.455078125,
317
- 60872.275390625,
318
- 60856.99609375,
319
- 60897.728515625,
320
- 60903.578125,
321
- 60971.046875,
322
- 60929.7109375,
323
- 60935.96484375,
324
- 60859.470703125,
325
- 60836.576171875,
326
- 61059.125,
327
- 61105.458984375,
328
- 60845.09765625,
329
- 61073.080078125,
330
- 61044.37890625,
331
- 61027.798828125,
332
- 61069.6640625,
333
- 61055.427734375,
334
- 61203.12109375,
335
- 61082.43359375,
336
- 60891.166015625,
337
- 61116.685546875,
338
- 61206.45703125,
339
- 61258.83203125
340
  ],
341
  "0.5": [
342
- 60895.455078125,
343
- 60872.275390625,
344
- 60856.99609375,
345
- 60897.728515625,
346
- 60903.578125,
347
- 60971.046875,
348
- 60929.7109375,
349
- 60935.96484375,
350
- 60859.470703125,
351
- 60836.576171875,
352
- 61059.125,
353
- 61105.458984375,
354
- 60845.09765625,
355
- 61073.080078125,
356
- 61044.37890625,
357
- 61027.798828125,
358
- 61069.6640625,
359
- 61055.427734375,
360
- 61203.12109375,
361
- 61082.43359375,
362
- 60891.166015625,
363
- 61116.685546875,
364
- 61206.45703125,
365
- 61258.83203125
366
  ],
367
  "0.6": [
368
- 60895.455078125,
369
- 60872.275390625,
370
- 60856.99609375,
371
- 60897.728515625,
372
- 60903.578125,
373
- 60971.046875,
374
- 60929.7109375,
375
- 60935.96484375,
376
- 60859.470703125,
377
- 60836.576171875,
378
- 61059.125,
379
- 61105.458984375,
380
- 60845.09765625,
381
- 61073.080078125,
382
- 61044.37890625,
383
- 61027.798828125,
384
- 61069.6640625,
385
- 61055.427734375,
386
- 61203.12109375,
387
- 61082.43359375,
388
- 60891.166015625,
389
- 61116.685546875,
390
- 61206.45703125,
391
- 61258.83203125
392
  ],
393
  "0.7": [
394
- 60895.455078125,
395
- 60872.275390625,
396
- 60856.99609375,
397
- 60897.728515625,
398
- 60903.578125,
399
- 60971.046875,
400
- 60929.7109375,
401
- 60935.96484375,
402
- 60859.470703125,
403
- 60836.576171875,
404
- 61059.125,
405
- 61105.458984375,
406
- 60845.09765625,
407
- 61073.080078125,
408
- 61044.37890625,
409
- 61027.798828125,
410
- 61069.6640625,
411
- 61055.427734375,
412
- 61203.12109375,
413
- 61082.43359375,
414
- 60891.166015625,
415
- 61116.685546875,
416
- 61206.45703125,
417
- 61258.83203125
418
  ],
419
  "0.8": [
420
- 61297.71484375,
421
- 61369.31640625,
422
- 61457.0234375,
423
- 61633.171875,
424
- 61643.6328125,
425
- 61669.35546875,
426
- 61942.947265625,
427
- 61952.939453125,
428
- 61981.810546875,
429
- 62033.75,
430
- 62139.060546875,
431
- 62144.45703125,
432
- 62457.755859375,
433
- 62429.45703125,
434
- 62652.984375,
435
- 62882.615234375,
436
- 62847.27734375,
437
- 62708.3984375,
438
- 62793.296875,
439
- 62909.400390625,
440
- 62577.73828125,
441
- 63272.349609375,
442
- 63304.248046875,
443
- 63335.658203125
444
  ],
445
  "0.9": [
446
- 61297.71484375,
447
- 61369.31640625,
448
- 61457.0234375,
449
- 61633.171875,
450
- 61643.6328125,
451
- 61669.35546875,
452
- 61942.947265625,
453
- 61952.939453125,
454
- 61981.810546875,
455
- 62033.75,
456
- 62139.060546875,
457
- 62144.45703125,
458
- 62457.755859375,
459
- 62429.45703125,
460
- 62652.984375,
461
- 62882.615234375,
462
- 62847.27734375,
463
- 62708.3984375,
464
- 62793.296875,
465
- 62909.400390625,
466
- 62577.73828125,
467
- 63272.349609375,
468
- 63304.248046875,
469
- 63335.658203125
470
  ]
471
  },
472
  "timestamps": [
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:21.460898+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
+ 60908.71875,
134
+ 60852.740234375,
135
+ 60907.2265625,
136
+ 60832.54296875,
137
+ 60850.849609375,
138
+ 60864.501953125,
139
+ 60854.9375,
140
+ 60734.705078125,
141
+ 60900.228515625,
142
+ 60998.4140625,
143
+ 60973.39453125,
144
+ 61148.8828125,
145
+ 61027.837890625,
146
+ 60980.29296875,
147
+ 60952.4921875,
148
+ 61013.783203125,
149
+ 61151.26171875,
150
+ 61120.8984375,
151
+ 61035.17578125,
152
+ 60834.998046875,
153
+ 60761.880859375,
154
+ 60929.494140625,
155
+ 61142.369140625,
156
+ 61079.09765625
157
  ],
158
  "p10": [
159
+ 60515.28125,
160
+ 60391.66796875,
161
+ 60216.923828125,
162
+ 60170.861328125,
163
+ 60068.169921875,
164
+ 60169.33203125,
165
+ 59970.0390625,
166
+ 60023.931640625,
167
+ 59831.685546875,
168
+ 59958.609375,
169
+ 59758.9296875,
170
+ 59830.349609375,
171
+ 59824.314453125,
172
+ 59692.455078125,
173
+ 59569.447265625,
174
+ 59554.654296875,
175
+ 59651.662109375,
176
+ 59785.697265625,
177
+ 59619.013671875,
178
+ 59194.6015625,
179
+ 59256.564453125,
180
+ 59318.173828125,
181
+ 59394.9453125,
182
+ 59078.859375
183
  ],
184
  "p90": [
185
+ 61282.091796875,
186
+ 61421.91015625,
187
+ 61482.892578125,
188
+ 61584.58984375,
189
+ 61668.994140625,
190
+ 61711.896484375,
191
+ 61746.65234375,
192
+ 61740.833984375,
193
+ 62003.232421875,
194
+ 62105.884765625,
195
+ 62044.98046875,
196
+ 62305.814453125,
197
+ 62479.34765625,
198
+ 62359.421875,
199
+ 62234.955078125,
200
+ 62423.263671875,
201
+ 62773.5859375,
202
+ 62857.921875,
203
+ 62599.03515625,
204
+ 62711.21875,
205
+ 62644.630859375,
206
+ 62631.759765625,
207
+ 63110.00390625,
208
+ 63427.076171875
209
  ],
210
  "mean": [
211
+ 60895.18359375,
212
+ 60888.3203125,
213
+ 60872.2890625,
214
+ 60882.52734375,
215
+ 60846.921875,
216
+ 60892.19140625,
217
+ 60903.65234375,
218
+ 60804.41015625,
219
+ 60949.19140625,
220
+ 61050.50390625,
221
+ 61004.6953125,
222
+ 61169.4765625,
223
+ 61155.27734375,
224
+ 61004.0234375,
225
+ 60947.95703125,
226
+ 60996.6875,
227
+ 61157.88671875,
228
+ 61229.51171875,
229
+ 61193.13671875,
230
+ 60950.765625,
231
+ 60910.4609375,
232
+ 61018.38671875,
233
+ 61230.22265625,
234
+ 61174.53515625
235
  ],
236
  "quantiles": {
237
  "0.1": [
238
+ 60515.28125,
239
+ 60391.66796875,
240
+ 60216.923828125,
241
+ 60170.861328125,
242
+ 60068.169921875,
243
+ 60169.33203125,
244
+ 59970.0390625,
245
+ 60023.931640625,
246
+ 59831.685546875,
247
+ 59958.609375,
248
+ 59758.9296875,
249
+ 59830.349609375,
250
+ 59824.314453125,
251
+ 59692.455078125,
252
+ 59569.447265625,
253
+ 59554.654296875,
254
+ 59651.662109375,
255
+ 59785.697265625,
256
+ 59619.013671875,
257
+ 59194.6015625,
258
+ 59256.564453125,
259
+ 59318.173828125,
260
+ 59394.9453125,
261
+ 59078.859375
262
  ],
263
  "0.2": [
264
+ 60515.28125,
265
+ 60391.66796875,
266
+ 60216.923828125,
267
+ 60170.861328125,
268
+ 60068.169921875,
269
+ 60169.33203125,
270
+ 59970.0390625,
271
+ 60023.931640625,
272
+ 59831.685546875,
273
+ 59958.609375,
274
+ 59758.9296875,
275
+ 59830.349609375,
276
+ 59824.314453125,
277
+ 59692.455078125,
278
+ 59569.447265625,
279
+ 59554.654296875,
280
+ 59651.662109375,
281
+ 59785.697265625,
282
+ 59619.013671875,
283
+ 59194.6015625,
284
+ 59256.564453125,
285
+ 59318.173828125,
286
+ 59394.9453125,
287
+ 59078.859375
288
  ],
289
  "0.3": [
290
+ 60515.28125,
291
+ 60391.66796875,
292
+ 60216.923828125,
293
+ 60170.861328125,
294
+ 60068.169921875,
295
+ 60169.33203125,
296
+ 59970.0390625,
297
+ 60023.931640625,
298
+ 59831.685546875,
299
+ 59958.609375,
300
+ 59758.9296875,
301
+ 59830.349609375,
302
+ 59824.314453125,
303
+ 59692.455078125,
304
+ 59569.447265625,
305
+ 59554.654296875,
306
+ 59651.662109375,
307
+ 59785.697265625,
308
+ 59619.013671875,
309
+ 59194.6015625,
310
+ 59256.564453125,
311
+ 59318.173828125,
312
+ 59394.9453125,
313
+ 59078.859375
314
  ],
315
  "0.4": [
316
+ 60908.71875,
317
+ 60852.740234375,
318
+ 60907.2265625,
319
+ 60832.54296875,
320
+ 60850.849609375,
321
+ 60864.501953125,
322
+ 60854.9375,
323
+ 60734.705078125,
324
+ 60900.228515625,
325
+ 60998.4140625,
326
+ 60973.39453125,
327
+ 61148.8828125,
328
+ 61027.837890625,
329
+ 60980.29296875,
330
+ 60952.4921875,
331
+ 61013.783203125,
332
+ 61151.26171875,
333
+ 61120.8984375,
334
+ 61035.17578125,
335
+ 60834.998046875,
336
+ 60761.880859375,
337
+ 60929.494140625,
338
+ 61142.369140625,
339
+ 61079.09765625
340
  ],
341
  "0.5": [
342
+ 60908.71875,
343
+ 60852.740234375,
344
+ 60907.2265625,
345
+ 60832.54296875,
346
+ 60850.849609375,
347
+ 60864.501953125,
348
+ 60854.9375,
349
+ 60734.705078125,
350
+ 60900.228515625,
351
+ 60998.4140625,
352
+ 60973.39453125,
353
+ 61148.8828125,
354
+ 61027.837890625,
355
+ 60980.29296875,
356
+ 60952.4921875,
357
+ 61013.783203125,
358
+ 61151.26171875,
359
+ 61120.8984375,
360
+ 61035.17578125,
361
+ 60834.998046875,
362
+ 60761.880859375,
363
+ 60929.494140625,
364
+ 61142.369140625,
365
+ 61079.09765625
366
  ],
367
  "0.6": [
368
+ 60908.71875,
369
+ 60852.740234375,
370
+ 60907.2265625,
371
+ 60832.54296875,
372
+ 60850.849609375,
373
+ 60864.501953125,
374
+ 60854.9375,
375
+ 60734.705078125,
376
+ 60900.228515625,
377
+ 60998.4140625,
378
+ 60973.39453125,
379
+ 61148.8828125,
380
+ 61027.837890625,
381
+ 60980.29296875,
382
+ 60952.4921875,
383
+ 61013.783203125,
384
+ 61151.26171875,
385
+ 61120.8984375,
386
+ 61035.17578125,
387
+ 60834.998046875,
388
+ 60761.880859375,
389
+ 60929.494140625,
390
+ 61142.369140625,
391
+ 61079.09765625
392
  ],
393
  "0.7": [
394
+ 60908.71875,
395
+ 60852.740234375,
396
+ 60907.2265625,
397
+ 60832.54296875,
398
+ 60850.849609375,
399
+ 60864.501953125,
400
+ 60854.9375,
401
+ 60734.705078125,
402
+ 60900.228515625,
403
+ 60998.4140625,
404
+ 60973.39453125,
405
+ 61148.8828125,
406
+ 61027.837890625,
407
+ 60980.29296875,
408
+ 60952.4921875,
409
+ 61013.783203125,
410
+ 61151.26171875,
411
+ 61120.8984375,
412
+ 61035.17578125,
413
+ 60834.998046875,
414
+ 60761.880859375,
415
+ 60929.494140625,
416
+ 61142.369140625,
417
+ 61079.09765625
418
  ],
419
  "0.8": [
420
+ 61282.091796875,
421
+ 61421.91015625,
422
+ 61482.892578125,
423
+ 61584.58984375,
424
+ 61668.994140625,
425
+ 61711.896484375,
426
+ 61746.65234375,
427
+ 61740.833984375,
428
+ 62003.232421875,
429
+ 62105.884765625,
430
+ 62044.98046875,
431
+ 62305.814453125,
432
+ 62479.34765625,
433
+ 62359.421875,
434
+ 62234.955078125,
435
+ 62423.263671875,
436
+ 62773.5859375,
437
+ 62857.921875,
438
+ 62599.03515625,
439
+ 62711.21875,
440
+ 62644.630859375,
441
+ 62631.759765625,
442
+ 63110.00390625,
443
+ 63427.076171875
444
  ],
445
  "0.9": [
446
+ 61282.091796875,
447
+ 61421.91015625,
448
+ 61482.892578125,
449
+ 61584.58984375,
450
+ 61668.994140625,
451
+ 61711.896484375,
452
+ 61746.65234375,
453
+ 61740.833984375,
454
+ 62003.232421875,
455
+ 62105.884765625,
456
+ 62044.98046875,
457
+ 62305.814453125,
458
+ 62479.34765625,
459
+ 62359.421875,
460
+ 62234.955078125,
461
+ 62423.263671875,
462
+ 62773.5859375,
463
+ 62857.921875,
464
+ 62599.03515625,
465
+ 62711.21875,
466
+ 62644.630859375,
467
+ 62631.759765625,
468
+ 63110.00390625,
469
+ 63427.076171875
470
  ]
471
  },
472
  "timestamps": [
results/moirai_1_1_large/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
3
  "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-1.1-R-large",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:16:34.358535+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
3
  "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-1.1-R-large",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:24.432533+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/moving_average/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moving-Average,2886673.8230832997,3039144.5610808306,1676.146428693799,1.8898156597798215,0.027281454969735802,0.027689293874835753,51.157027021496525,1699.0214310253123,0.027714634717081636,0.02734149502490736,0.025338180650491357,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Moving-Average,763747.8792799147,770725.1833900927,703.1501790364564,1.0419835263158121,0.011737086968445143,0.011838641769502792,25.952716117386256,873.9267013199188,0.014698903924331055,0.01182654896620388,0.010766495151387482,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moving-Average,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Moving-Average,2907949.825459087,3060890.9234967246,1682.3384859854657,1.896797058681327,0.02737939040269675,0.027790090439511268,51.43628297755675,1705.2711882451679,0.02781376947831415,0.027439726394397065,0.025436614536864993,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Moving-Average,763747.8792799147,770725.1833900927,703.1501790364564,1.0419835263158121,0.011737086968445143,0.011838641769502792,25.952716117386256,873.9267013199188,0.014698903924331055,0.01182654896620388,0.010766495151387482,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Moving-Average,4.407835548068247e-15,1.12132504091072e-14,8.609260281087649e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,6.639153220154094e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Moving-Average,9.578202015526527e-15,9.143141084502762e-15,9.078851462715541e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,9.786828912128038e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/moving_average/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Moving-Average",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.471425+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  59623.884577165576,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Moving-Average",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.320580+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  59623.884577165576,
results/moving_average/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Moving-Average",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/moving-average",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.514677+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Moving-Average",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/moving-average",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.332709+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/online_status.json CHANGED
@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
1
  {
2
  "status": "partial",
3
- "started_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:38.880530+00:00",
4
- "finished_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:57.318399+00:00",
5
- "task_count": 3,
6
  "data_source": "ts_bench",
7
  "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
8
  "ts_bench_root": "/Users/bytedance/TSFM_Bench/space/vendor/ts_bench",
@@ -10,25 +10,13 @@
10
  "Chronos-2": {
11
  "model": "Chronos-2",
12
  "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
13
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:14.211579+00:00",
14
  "datasets": [
15
  {
16
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
17
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
18
  "context_length": 96,
19
  "prediction_length": 24
20
- },
21
- {
22
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
23
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
24
- "context_length": 120,
25
- "prediction_length": 12
26
- },
27
- {
28
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
29
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
30
- "context_length": 240,
31
- "prediction_length": 60
32
  }
33
  ],
34
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -36,25 +24,13 @@
36
  "TimesFM-2.5": {
37
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
38
  "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
39
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:48.822643+00:00",
40
  "datasets": [
41
  {
42
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
43
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
44
  "context_length": 96,
45
  "prediction_length": 24
46
- },
47
- {
48
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
49
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
50
- "context_length": 120,
51
- "prediction_length": 12
52
- },
53
- {
54
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
55
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
56
- "context_length": 240,
57
- "prediction_length": 60
58
  }
59
  ],
60
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -62,25 +38,13 @@
62
  "Toto-2.0-1B": {
63
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
64
  "api_model_id": "Datadog/Toto-2.0-1B",
65
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:29.451697+00:00",
66
  "datasets": [
67
  {
68
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
69
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
70
  "context_length": 96,
71
  "prediction_length": 24
72
- },
73
- {
74
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
75
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
76
- "context_length": 120,
77
- "prediction_length": 12
78
- },
79
- {
80
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
81
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
82
- "context_length": 240,
83
- "prediction_length": 60
84
  }
85
  ],
86
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -88,25 +52,13 @@
88
  "TiRex": {
89
  "model": "TiRex",
90
  "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval",
91
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:50.490055+00:00",
92
  "datasets": [
93
  {
94
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
95
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
96
  "context_length": 96,
97
  "prediction_length": 24
98
- },
99
- {
100
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
101
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
102
- "context_length": 120,
103
- "prediction_length": 12
104
- },
105
- {
106
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
107
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
108
- "context_length": 240,
109
- "prediction_length": 60
110
  }
111
  ],
112
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -114,25 +66,13 @@
114
  "Moirai-1.1-Large": {
115
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
116
  "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-1.1-R-large",
117
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:16:34.358535+00:00",
118
  "datasets": [
119
  {
120
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
121
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
122
  "context_length": 96,
123
  "prediction_length": 24
124
- },
125
- {
126
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
127
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
128
- "context_length": 120,
129
- "prediction_length": 12
130
- },
131
- {
132
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
133
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
134
- "context_length": 240,
135
- "prediction_length": 60
136
  }
137
  ],
138
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -140,25 +80,13 @@
140
  "Timer-S1": {
141
  "model": "Timer-S1",
142
  "api_model_id": "bytedance-research/Timer-S1",
143
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:13.890210+00:00",
144
  "datasets": [
145
  {
146
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
147
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
148
  "context_length": 96,
149
  "prediction_length": 24
150
- },
151
- {
152
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
153
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
154
- "context_length": 120,
155
- "prediction_length": 12
156
- },
157
- {
158
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
159
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
160
- "context_length": 240,
161
- "prediction_length": 60
162
  }
163
  ],
164
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -166,25 +94,13 @@
166
  "Sundial (Base 128M)": {
167
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
168
  "api_model_id": "thuml/sundial-base-128m",
169
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:55.933088+00:00",
170
  "datasets": [
171
  {
172
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
173
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
174
  "context_length": 96,
175
  "prediction_length": 24
176
- },
177
- {
178
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
179
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
180
- "context_length": 120,
181
- "prediction_length": 12
182
- },
183
- {
184
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
185
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
186
- "context_length": 240,
187
- "prediction_length": 60
188
  }
189
  ],
190
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -192,25 +108,13 @@
192
  "ARIMA": {
193
  "model": "ARIMA",
194
  "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
195
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.369652+00:00",
196
  "datasets": [
197
  {
198
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
199
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
200
  "context_length": 96,
201
  "prediction_length": 24
202
- },
203
- {
204
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
205
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
206
- "context_length": 120,
207
- "prediction_length": 12
208
- },
209
- {
210
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
211
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
212
- "context_length": 240,
213
- "prediction_length": 60
214
  }
215
  ],
216
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -218,25 +122,13 @@
218
  "ETS": {
219
  "model": "ETS",
220
  "api_model_id": "baseline/ets",
221
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.459656+00:00",
222
  "datasets": [
223
  {
224
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
225
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
226
  "context_length": 96,
227
  "prediction_length": 24
228
- },
229
- {
230
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
231
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
232
- "context_length": 120,
233
- "prediction_length": 12
234
- },
235
- {
236
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
237
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
238
- "context_length": 240,
239
- "prediction_length": 60
240
  }
241
  ],
242
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -244,25 +136,13 @@
244
  "Moving-Average": {
245
  "model": "Moving-Average",
246
  "api_model_id": "baseline/moving-average",
247
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.514677+00:00",
248
  "datasets": [
249
  {
250
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
251
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
252
  "context_length": 96,
253
  "prediction_length": 24
254
- },
255
- {
256
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
257
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
258
- "context_length": 120,
259
- "prediction_length": 12
260
- },
261
- {
262
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
263
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
264
- "context_length": 240,
265
- "prediction_length": 60
266
  }
267
  ],
268
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -270,25 +150,13 @@
270
  "Seasonal-Naive": {
271
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
272
  "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive",
273
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.572431+00:00",
274
  "datasets": [
275
  {
276
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
277
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
278
  "context_length": 96,
279
  "prediction_length": 24
280
- },
281
- {
282
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
283
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
284
- "context_length": 120,
285
- "prediction_length": 12
286
- },
287
- {
288
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
289
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
290
- "context_length": 240,
291
- "prediction_length": 60
292
  }
293
  ],
294
  "failed_datasets": []
@@ -312,7 +180,5 @@
312
  "live_overall": "aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv",
313
  "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
314
  },
315
- "push_status": "ok",
316
- "pushed_at": "2026-07-03T03:18:05.969820+00:00",
317
- "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
318
  }
 
1
  {
2
  "status": "partial",
3
+ "started_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:28.294144+00:00",
4
+ "finished_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:21.087921+00:00",
5
+ "task_count": 1,
6
  "data_source": "ts_bench",
7
  "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
8
  "ts_bench_root": "/Users/bytedance/TSFM_Bench/space/vendor/ts_bench",
 
10
  "Chronos-2": {
11
  "model": "Chronos-2",
12
  "api_model_id": "amazon/chronos-2",
13
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:50.657843+00:00",
14
  "datasets": [
15
  {
16
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
17
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
18
  "context_length": 96,
19
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
20
  }
21
  ],
22
  "failed_datasets": []
 
24
  "TimesFM-2.5": {
25
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
26
  "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
27
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:11.636335+00:00",
28
  "datasets": [
29
  {
30
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
31
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
32
  "context_length": 96,
33
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34
  }
35
  ],
36
  "failed_datasets": []
 
38
  "Toto-2.0-1B": {
39
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
40
  "api_model_id": "Datadog/Toto-2.0-1B",
41
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:45.885625+00:00",
42
  "datasets": [
43
  {
44
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
45
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
46
  "context_length": 96,
47
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
48
  }
49
  ],
50
  "failed_datasets": []
 
52
  "TiRex": {
53
  "model": "TiRex",
54
  "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval",
55
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:54.620335+00:00",
56
  "datasets": [
57
  {
58
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
59
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
60
  "context_length": 96,
61
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62
  }
63
  ],
64
  "failed_datasets": []
 
66
  "Moirai-1.1-Large": {
67
  "model": "Moirai-1.1-Large",
68
  "api_model_id": "Salesforce/moirai-1.1-R-large",
69
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:24.432533+00:00",
70
  "datasets": [
71
  {
72
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
73
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
74
  "context_length": 96,
75
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
76
  }
77
  ],
78
  "failed_datasets": []
 
80
  "Timer-S1": {
81
  "model": "Timer-S1",
82
  "api_model_id": "bytedance-research/Timer-S1",
83
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:52.732480+00:00",
84
  "datasets": [
85
  {
86
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
87
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
88
  "context_length": 96,
89
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
90
  }
91
  ],
92
  "failed_datasets": []
 
94
  "Sundial (Base 128M)": {
95
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
96
  "api_model_id": "thuml/sundial-base-128m",
97
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:19.407261+00:00",
98
  "datasets": [
99
  {
100
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
101
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
102
  "context_length": 96,
103
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
104
  }
105
  ],
106
  "failed_datasets": []
 
108
  "ARIMA": {
109
  "model": "ARIMA",
110
  "api_model_id": "baseline/arima",
111
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.257244+00:00",
112
  "datasets": [
113
  {
114
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
115
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
116
  "context_length": 96,
117
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
118
  }
119
  ],
120
  "failed_datasets": []
 
122
  "ETS": {
123
  "model": "ETS",
124
  "api_model_id": "baseline/ets",
125
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.312479+00:00",
126
  "datasets": [
127
  {
128
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
129
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
130
  "context_length": 96,
131
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
132
  }
133
  ],
134
  "failed_datasets": []
 
136
  "Moving-Average": {
137
  "model": "Moving-Average",
138
  "api_model_id": "baseline/moving-average",
139
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.332709+00:00",
140
  "datasets": [
141
  {
142
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
143
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
144
  "context_length": 96,
145
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146
  }
147
  ],
148
  "failed_datasets": []
 
150
  "Seasonal-Naive": {
151
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
152
  "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive",
153
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.345683+00:00",
154
  "datasets": [
155
  {
156
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
157
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
158
  "context_length": 96,
159
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
160
  }
161
  ],
162
  "failed_datasets": []
 
180
  "live_overall": "aggregates/live_overall_up_to_now.csv",
181
  "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
182
  },
183
+ "push_status": "pending"
 
 
184
  }
results/seasonal_naive/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,3043465.742750168,3043465.742750168,1632.5584309895833,1.84067121796392,0.026620280754693627,0.02703132424668322,12.615154619839878,1744.5531642085798,0.028457353631726735,0.026630482548924455,0.020579158585065746,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1384823.3416538239,1384823.3416538239,1027.81396484375,1.5230959920284686,0.01719350624208572,0.017345573573671336,6.8090144931664085,1176.7851722612006,0.019792795162935146,0.01728719204769275,0.01291801157818565,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Seasonal-Naive,36436.1429036395,36436.1429036395,152.79166432221731,1.6109556133900285,0.8264244641534466,1.5187046461435552,64.32233589831223,190.88253692687422,1.1751439790441005,0.9406423828344558,0.9402466648974208,Finance,1,12
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Climate,1,36
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,3047928.1842886605,3047928.1842886605,1638.75048828125,1.8476526168654257,0.02672050714402499,0.027132141142461652,12.615154619839878,1745.831659779562,0.028475329711645885,0.02672878579531621,0.02060783482332944,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Seasonal-Naive,1384823.3416538239,1384823.3416538239,1027.81396484375,1.5230959920284686,0.01719350624208572,0.017345573573671336,6.8090144931664085,1176.7851722612006,0.019792795162935146,0.01728719204769275,0.01291801157818565,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_sgx_equities_turnover_monthly_turnover_value_million_sgd/1mo/short,Seasonal-Naive,36436.1429036395,36436.1429036395,152.79166432221731,1.6109556133900285,0.8264244641534466,1.5187046461435552,64.32233589831223,190.88253692687422,1.1751439790441005,0.9406423828344558,0.9402466648974208,Finance,1,12
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Seasonal-Naive,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Climate,1,36
results/seasonal_naive/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.520364+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  59339.98828125,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.338346+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  59339.98828125,
results/seasonal_naive/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:56.572431+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
3
  "api_model_id": "baseline/seasonal-naive",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:20.345683+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/sundial_base_128m/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial (Base 128M),2164744.3839060464,2111304.507801056,1308.970703125,1.4758336685932412,0.021276560053805977,0.021557295013514183,44.382968131968084,1471.307032507507,0.024000131027194452,0.021352081986734172,0.02005955983784473,Finance,1,24
3
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/long,Sundial (Base 128M),3992984.656532448,4074699.162123445,402.3351208491215,1.0110702542831842,5.992031531062318,0.8165969330820964,18.612015056705424,1998.2453944729732,5.280765984355254,1.0632516038160884,0.8112800068833039,Web/CloudOps,2
4
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/medium,Sundial (Base 128M),2907838.320472667,2877131.708869361,312.31870573567153,1.107871728301013,5.429366768086938,0.8071652781288694,23.570398005670967,1705.238493722408,5.1809858111874965,0.94891054180505,0.7275862010337261,Web/CloudOps,2
5
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/short,Sundial (Base 128M),1667311.4097309958,1711803.8958942452,181.00176684311495,0.7400817080132996,2.7738987359024674,0.7436391409035517,15.030792252691077,1291.2441325059317,4.054187281222474,0.5683007903315925,0.4616509497480503,Web/CloudOps,2
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Sundial (Base 128M),1993599.817024231,1997880.6432933807,1277.5242513020833,1.4403785340762818,0.020764668124891944,0.02102934030679704,42.01692168950441,1411.9489427823623,0.023029546667067653,0.02083701716982475,0.019337583630551006,Finance,1,24
3
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/long,Sundial (Base 128M),3992984.656532448,4074699.162123445,402.3351208491215,1.0110702542831842,5.992031531062318,0.8165969330820964,18.612015056705424,1998.2453944729732,5.280765984355254,1.0632516038160884,0.8112800068833039,Web/CloudOps,2
4
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/medium,Sundial (Base 128M),2907838.320472667,2877131.708869361,312.31870573567153,1.107871728301013,5.429366768086938,0.8071652781288694,23.570398005670967,1705.238493722408,5.1809858111874965,0.94891054180505,0.7275862010337261,Web/CloudOps,2
5
  bitbrains_fast_storage/5T/short,Sundial (Base 128M),1667311.4097309958,1711803.8958942452,181.00176684311495,0.7400817080132996,2.7738987359024674,0.7436391409035517,15.030792252691077,1291.2441325059317,4.054187281222474,0.5683007903315925,0.4616509497480503,Web/CloudOps,2
results/sundial_base_128m/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:39.279198+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,346 +127,346 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
- 60829.4375,
134
- 60700.203125,
135
- 60548.21875,
136
- 60464.40625,
137
- 60339.69140625,
138
- 60288.45703125,
139
- 60196.984375,
140
- 60147.84375,
141
- 60066.19140625,
142
- 60074.1953125,
143
- 60036.9375,
144
- 60005.8125,
145
- 59961.7890625,
146
- 59960.1484375,
147
- 59892.0390625,
148
- 59914.66796875,
149
- 59881.26953125,
150
- 59868.109375,
151
- 59839.03125,
152
- 59831.8671875,
153
- 59837.53125,
154
- 59830.765625,
155
- 59854.30859375,
156
- 59875.9140625
157
  ],
158
  "p10": [
159
- 60618.1796875,
160
- 60404.8984375,
161
- 60247.58203125,
162
- 60138.04296875,
163
- 60021.1875,
164
- 59900.4921875,
165
- 59784.625,
166
- 59738.1171875,
167
- 59658.4765625,
168
- 59606.63671875,
169
- 59551.21875,
170
- 59499.953125,
171
- 59467.96484375,
172
- 59483.73046875,
173
- 59433.36328125,
174
- 59423.75,
175
- 59380.515625,
176
- 59374.7578125,
177
- 59378.2734375,
178
- 59393.8515625,
179
- 59417.1171875,
180
- 59432.6015625,
181
- 59437.33203125,
182
- 59459.8359375
183
  ],
184
  "p90": [
185
- 61023.75,
186
- 60944.640625,
187
- 60848.16796875,
188
- 60780.453125,
189
- 60716.6484375,
190
- 60695.34375,
191
- 60637.390625,
192
- 60588.6640625,
193
- 60530.5859375,
194
- 60477.33203125,
195
- 60440.3515625,
196
- 60412.6796875,
197
- 60374.8203125,
198
- 60378.390625,
199
- 60313.8984375,
200
- 60326.41015625,
201
- 60303.25,
202
- 60275.375,
203
- 60270.74609375,
204
- 60264.03125,
205
- 60272.8984375,
206
- 60254.59375,
207
- 60274.07421875,
208
- 60303.6953125
209
  ],
210
  "mean": [
211
- 60829.4921875,
212
- 60689.17578125,
213
- 60546.921875,
214
- 60459.18359375,
215
- 60353.33984375,
216
- 60295.5625,
217
- 60211.84375,
218
- 60152.5703125,
219
- 60087.78515625,
220
- 60064.078125,
221
- 60023.01953125,
222
- 59994.8203125,
223
- 59944.921875,
224
- 59924.41796875,
225
- 59884.41796875,
226
- 59880.30859375,
227
- 59852.1640625,
228
- 59848.9921875,
229
- 59820.71484375,
230
- 59821.1015625,
231
- 59820.62890625,
232
- 59839.22265625,
233
- 59858.81640625,
234
- 59882.328125
235
  ],
236
  "quantiles": {
237
  "0.1": [
238
- 60618.1796875,
239
- 60404.8984375,
240
- 60247.58203125,
241
- 60138.04296875,
242
- 60021.1875,
243
- 59900.4921875,
244
- 59784.625,
245
- 59738.1171875,
246
- 59658.4765625,
247
- 59606.63671875,
248
- 59551.21875,
249
- 59499.953125,
250
- 59467.96484375,
251
- 59483.73046875,
252
- 59433.36328125,
253
- 59423.75,
254
- 59380.515625,
255
- 59374.7578125,
256
- 59378.2734375,
257
- 59393.8515625,
258
- 59417.1171875,
259
- 59432.6015625,
260
- 59437.33203125,
261
- 59459.8359375
262
  ],
263
  "0.2": [
264
- 60618.1796875,
265
- 60404.8984375,
266
- 60247.58203125,
267
- 60138.04296875,
268
- 60021.1875,
269
- 59900.4921875,
270
- 59784.625,
271
- 59738.1171875,
272
- 59658.4765625,
273
- 59606.63671875,
274
- 59551.21875,
275
- 59499.953125,
276
- 59467.96484375,
277
- 59483.73046875,
278
- 59433.36328125,
279
- 59423.75,
280
- 59380.515625,
281
- 59374.7578125,
282
- 59378.2734375,
283
- 59393.8515625,
284
- 59417.1171875,
285
- 59432.6015625,
286
- 59437.33203125,
287
- 59459.8359375
288
  ],
289
  "0.3": [
290
- 60618.1796875,
291
- 60404.8984375,
292
- 60247.58203125,
293
- 60138.04296875,
294
- 60021.1875,
295
- 59900.4921875,
296
- 59784.625,
297
- 59738.1171875,
298
- 59658.4765625,
299
- 59606.63671875,
300
- 59551.21875,
301
- 59499.953125,
302
- 59467.96484375,
303
- 59483.73046875,
304
- 59433.36328125,
305
- 59423.75,
306
- 59380.515625,
307
- 59374.7578125,
308
- 59378.2734375,
309
- 59393.8515625,
310
- 59417.1171875,
311
- 59432.6015625,
312
- 59437.33203125,
313
- 59459.8359375
314
  ],
315
  "0.4": [
316
- 60829.4375,
317
- 60700.203125,
318
- 60548.21875,
319
- 60464.40625,
320
- 60339.69140625,
321
- 60288.45703125,
322
- 60196.984375,
323
- 60147.84375,
324
- 60066.19140625,
325
- 60074.1953125,
326
- 60036.9375,
327
- 60005.8125,
328
- 59961.7890625,
329
- 59960.1484375,
330
- 59892.0390625,
331
- 59914.66796875,
332
- 59881.26953125,
333
- 59868.109375,
334
- 59839.03125,
335
- 59831.8671875,
336
- 59837.53125,
337
- 59830.765625,
338
- 59854.30859375,
339
- 59875.9140625
340
  ],
341
  "0.5": [
342
- 60829.4375,
343
- 60700.203125,
344
- 60548.21875,
345
- 60464.40625,
346
- 60339.69140625,
347
- 60288.45703125,
348
- 60196.984375,
349
- 60147.84375,
350
- 60066.19140625,
351
- 60074.1953125,
352
- 60036.9375,
353
- 60005.8125,
354
- 59961.7890625,
355
- 59960.1484375,
356
- 59892.0390625,
357
- 59914.66796875,
358
- 59881.26953125,
359
- 59868.109375,
360
- 59839.03125,
361
- 59831.8671875,
362
- 59837.53125,
363
- 59830.765625,
364
- 59854.30859375,
365
- 59875.9140625
366
  ],
367
  "0.6": [
368
- 60829.4375,
369
- 60700.203125,
370
- 60548.21875,
371
- 60464.40625,
372
- 60339.69140625,
373
- 60288.45703125,
374
- 60196.984375,
375
- 60147.84375,
376
- 60066.19140625,
377
- 60074.1953125,
378
- 60036.9375,
379
- 60005.8125,
380
- 59961.7890625,
381
- 59960.1484375,
382
- 59892.0390625,
383
- 59914.66796875,
384
- 59881.26953125,
385
- 59868.109375,
386
- 59839.03125,
387
- 59831.8671875,
388
- 59837.53125,
389
- 59830.765625,
390
- 59854.30859375,
391
- 59875.9140625
392
  ],
393
  "0.7": [
394
- 60829.4375,
395
- 60700.203125,
396
- 60548.21875,
397
- 60464.40625,
398
- 60339.69140625,
399
- 60288.45703125,
400
- 60196.984375,
401
- 60147.84375,
402
- 60066.19140625,
403
- 60074.1953125,
404
- 60036.9375,
405
- 60005.8125,
406
- 59961.7890625,
407
- 59960.1484375,
408
- 59892.0390625,
409
- 59914.66796875,
410
- 59881.26953125,
411
- 59868.109375,
412
- 59839.03125,
413
- 59831.8671875,
414
- 59837.53125,
415
- 59830.765625,
416
- 59854.30859375,
417
- 59875.9140625
418
  ],
419
  "0.8": [
420
- 61023.75,
421
- 60944.640625,
422
- 60848.16796875,
423
- 60780.453125,
424
- 60716.6484375,
425
- 60695.34375,
426
- 60637.390625,
427
- 60588.6640625,
428
- 60530.5859375,
429
- 60477.33203125,
430
- 60440.3515625,
431
- 60412.6796875,
432
- 60374.8203125,
433
- 60378.390625,
434
- 60313.8984375,
435
- 60326.41015625,
436
- 60303.25,
437
- 60275.375,
438
- 60270.74609375,
439
- 60264.03125,
440
- 60272.8984375,
441
- 60254.59375,
442
- 60274.07421875,
443
- 60303.6953125
444
  ],
445
  "0.9": [
446
- 61023.75,
447
- 60944.640625,
448
- 60848.16796875,
449
- 60780.453125,
450
- 60716.6484375,
451
- 60695.34375,
452
- 60637.390625,
453
- 60588.6640625,
454
- 60530.5859375,
455
- 60477.33203125,
456
- 60440.3515625,
457
- 60412.6796875,
458
- 60374.8203125,
459
- 60378.390625,
460
- 60313.8984375,
461
- 60326.41015625,
462
- 60303.25,
463
- 60275.375,
464
- 60270.74609375,
465
- 60264.03125,
466
- 60272.8984375,
467
- 60254.59375,
468
- 60274.07421875,
469
- 60303.6953125
470
  ]
471
  },
472
  "timestamps": [
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:15.343284+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
+ 60819.6484375,
134
+ 60660.046875,
135
+ 60492.90625,
136
+ 60407.1953125,
137
+ 60307.515625,
138
+ 60255.91796875,
139
+ 60173.3359375,
140
+ 60124.078125,
141
+ 60076.1875,
142
+ 60070.91015625,
143
+ 60007.4609375,
144
+ 59972.44921875,
145
+ 59945.6015625,
146
+ 59932.4375,
147
+ 59877.51171875,
148
+ 59882.6015625,
149
+ 59831.671875,
150
+ 59862.796875,
151
+ 59846.12109375,
152
+ 59838.2421875,
153
+ 59816.7734375,
154
+ 59857.54296875,
155
+ 59879.7734375,
156
+ 59917.53515625
157
  ],
158
  "p10": [
159
+ 60642.9375,
160
+ 60394.9765625,
161
+ 60160.546875,
162
+ 60095.11328125,
163
+ 59978.55859375,
164
+ 59906.61328125,
165
+ 59795.6875,
166
+ 59762.32421875,
167
+ 59649.5234375,
168
+ 59672.5859375,
169
+ 59617.96875,
170
+ 59596.1484375,
171
+ 59557.1953125,
172
+ 59537.7578125,
173
+ 59540.89453125,
174
+ 59525.93359375,
175
+ 59494.828125,
176
+ 59485.08203125,
177
+ 59465.375,
178
+ 59433.02734375,
179
+ 59411.1171875,
180
+ 59476.71875,
181
+ 59476.90234375,
182
+ 59470.59375
183
  ],
184
  "p90": [
185
+ 61011.39453125,
186
+ 60948.76171875,
187
+ 60823.484375,
188
+ 60767.21484375,
189
+ 60664.515625,
190
+ 60592.40234375,
191
+ 60501.2890625,
192
+ 60489.2265625,
193
+ 60441.5625,
194
+ 60451.671875,
195
+ 60419.171875,
196
+ 60373.3515625,
197
+ 60335.25,
198
+ 60325.578125,
199
+ 60282.359375,
200
+ 60272.2265625,
201
+ 60235.359375,
202
+ 60246.59765625,
203
+ 60246.41796875,
204
+ 60262.73046875,
205
+ 60227.9453125,
206
+ 60252.80078125,
207
+ 60289.53125,
208
+ 60297.10546875
209
  ],
210
  "mean": [
211
+ 60818.5859375,
212
+ 60658.265625,
213
+ 60501.8984375,
214
+ 60413.4296875,
215
+ 60309.25390625,
216
+ 60249.4453125,
217
+ 60175.8203125,
218
+ 60127.859375,
219
+ 60072.2265625,
220
+ 60047.3984375,
221
+ 60010.97265625,
222
+ 59987.72265625,
223
+ 59947.06640625,
224
+ 59932.1484375,
225
+ 59902.13671875,
226
+ 59895.8046875,
227
+ 59859.96484375,
228
+ 59856.08984375,
229
+ 59826.41796875,
230
+ 59827.41796875,
231
+ 59823.16015625,
232
+ 59848.4765625,
233
+ 59870.9765625,
234
+ 59890.22265625
235
  ],
236
  "quantiles": {
237
  "0.1": [
238
+ 60642.9375,
239
+ 60394.9765625,
240
+ 60160.546875,
241
+ 60095.11328125,
242
+ 59978.55859375,
243
+ 59906.61328125,
244
+ 59795.6875,
245
+ 59762.32421875,
246
+ 59649.5234375,
247
+ 59672.5859375,
248
+ 59617.96875,
249
+ 59596.1484375,
250
+ 59557.1953125,
251
+ 59537.7578125,
252
+ 59540.89453125,
253
+ 59525.93359375,
254
+ 59494.828125,
255
+ 59485.08203125,
256
+ 59465.375,
257
+ 59433.02734375,
258
+ 59411.1171875,
259
+ 59476.71875,
260
+ 59476.90234375,
261
+ 59470.59375
262
  ],
263
  "0.2": [
264
+ 60642.9375,
265
+ 60394.9765625,
266
+ 60160.546875,
267
+ 60095.11328125,
268
+ 59978.55859375,
269
+ 59906.61328125,
270
+ 59795.6875,
271
+ 59762.32421875,
272
+ 59649.5234375,
273
+ 59672.5859375,
274
+ 59617.96875,
275
+ 59596.1484375,
276
+ 59557.1953125,
277
+ 59537.7578125,
278
+ 59540.89453125,
279
+ 59525.93359375,
280
+ 59494.828125,
281
+ 59485.08203125,
282
+ 59465.375,
283
+ 59433.02734375,
284
+ 59411.1171875,
285
+ 59476.71875,
286
+ 59476.90234375,
287
+ 59470.59375
288
  ],
289
  "0.3": [
290
+ 60642.9375,
291
+ 60394.9765625,
292
+ 60160.546875,
293
+ 60095.11328125,
294
+ 59978.55859375,
295
+ 59906.61328125,
296
+ 59795.6875,
297
+ 59762.32421875,
298
+ 59649.5234375,
299
+ 59672.5859375,
300
+ 59617.96875,
301
+ 59596.1484375,
302
+ 59557.1953125,
303
+ 59537.7578125,
304
+ 59540.89453125,
305
+ 59525.93359375,
306
+ 59494.828125,
307
+ 59485.08203125,
308
+ 59465.375,
309
+ 59433.02734375,
310
+ 59411.1171875,
311
+ 59476.71875,
312
+ 59476.90234375,
313
+ 59470.59375
314
  ],
315
  "0.4": [
316
+ 60819.6484375,
317
+ 60660.046875,
318
+ 60492.90625,
319
+ 60407.1953125,
320
+ 60307.515625,
321
+ 60255.91796875,
322
+ 60173.3359375,
323
+ 60124.078125,
324
+ 60076.1875,
325
+ 60070.91015625,
326
+ 60007.4609375,
327
+ 59972.44921875,
328
+ 59945.6015625,
329
+ 59932.4375,
330
+ 59877.51171875,
331
+ 59882.6015625,
332
+ 59831.671875,
333
+ 59862.796875,
334
+ 59846.12109375,
335
+ 59838.2421875,
336
+ 59816.7734375,
337
+ 59857.54296875,
338
+ 59879.7734375,
339
+ 59917.53515625
340
  ],
341
  "0.5": [
342
+ 60819.6484375,
343
+ 60660.046875,
344
+ 60492.90625,
345
+ 60407.1953125,
346
+ 60307.515625,
347
+ 60255.91796875,
348
+ 60173.3359375,
349
+ 60124.078125,
350
+ 60076.1875,
351
+ 60070.91015625,
352
+ 60007.4609375,
353
+ 59972.44921875,
354
+ 59945.6015625,
355
+ 59932.4375,
356
+ 59877.51171875,
357
+ 59882.6015625,
358
+ 59831.671875,
359
+ 59862.796875,
360
+ 59846.12109375,
361
+ 59838.2421875,
362
+ 59816.7734375,
363
+ 59857.54296875,
364
+ 59879.7734375,
365
+ 59917.53515625
366
  ],
367
  "0.6": [
368
+ 60819.6484375,
369
+ 60660.046875,
370
+ 60492.90625,
371
+ 60407.1953125,
372
+ 60307.515625,
373
+ 60255.91796875,
374
+ 60173.3359375,
375
+ 60124.078125,
376
+ 60076.1875,
377
+ 60070.91015625,
378
+ 60007.4609375,
379
+ 59972.44921875,
380
+ 59945.6015625,
381
+ 59932.4375,
382
+ 59877.51171875,
383
+ 59882.6015625,
384
+ 59831.671875,
385
+ 59862.796875,
386
+ 59846.12109375,
387
+ 59838.2421875,
388
+ 59816.7734375,
389
+ 59857.54296875,
390
+ 59879.7734375,
391
+ 59917.53515625
392
  ],
393
  "0.7": [
394
+ 60819.6484375,
395
+ 60660.046875,
396
+ 60492.90625,
397
+ 60407.1953125,
398
+ 60307.515625,
399
+ 60255.91796875,
400
+ 60173.3359375,
401
+ 60124.078125,
402
+ 60076.1875,
403
+ 60070.91015625,
404
+ 60007.4609375,
405
+ 59972.44921875,
406
+ 59945.6015625,
407
+ 59932.4375,
408
+ 59877.51171875,
409
+ 59882.6015625,
410
+ 59831.671875,
411
+ 59862.796875,
412
+ 59846.12109375,
413
+ 59838.2421875,
414
+ 59816.7734375,
415
+ 59857.54296875,
416
+ 59879.7734375,
417
+ 59917.53515625
418
  ],
419
  "0.8": [
420
+ 61011.39453125,
421
+ 60948.76171875,
422
+ 60823.484375,
423
+ 60767.21484375,
424
+ 60664.515625,
425
+ 60592.40234375,
426
+ 60501.2890625,
427
+ 60489.2265625,
428
+ 60441.5625,
429
+ 60451.671875,
430
+ 60419.171875,
431
+ 60373.3515625,
432
+ 60335.25,
433
+ 60325.578125,
434
+ 60282.359375,
435
+ 60272.2265625,
436
+ 60235.359375,
437
+ 60246.59765625,
438
+ 60246.41796875,
439
+ 60262.73046875,
440
+ 60227.9453125,
441
+ 60252.80078125,
442
+ 60289.53125,
443
+ 60297.10546875
444
  ],
445
  "0.9": [
446
+ 61011.39453125,
447
+ 60948.76171875,
448
+ 60823.484375,
449
+ 60767.21484375,
450
+ 60664.515625,
451
+ 60592.40234375,
452
+ 60501.2890625,
453
+ 60489.2265625,
454
+ 60441.5625,
455
+ 60451.671875,
456
+ 60419.171875,
457
+ 60373.3515625,
458
+ 60335.25,
459
+ 60325.578125,
460
+ 60282.359375,
461
+ 60272.2265625,
462
+ 60235.359375,
463
+ 60246.59765625,
464
+ 60246.41796875,
465
+ 60262.73046875,
466
+ 60227.9453125,
467
+ 60252.80078125,
468
+ 60289.53125,
469
+ 60297.10546875
470
  ]
471
  },
472
  "timestamps": [
results/sundial_base_128m/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
3
  "api_model_id": "thuml/sundial-base-128m",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:55.933088+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Sundial (Base 128M)",
3
  "api_model_id": "thuml/sundial-base-128m",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:25:19.407261+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/timer_s1/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Timer-S1,2193476.524178187,2193476.524178187,1354.1378580729167,1.5267585730449322,0.02201641239939431,0.022306046809748195,28.8826220042766,1481.03900157227,0.024158880035760565,0.022088853858902916,0.019281067758358812,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Timer-S1,567259.7815119425,567259.7815119425,630.3899739583334,0.9341617020127089,0.01053561875202081,0.010606214370632252,7.570174836323596,753.1665031797036,0.012667792450490854,0.010602767541122503,0.008639769292829622,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Timer-S1,8.874856741867843e-16,8.874856741867843e-16,2.050398961728206e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,2.9790697779454317e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Timer-S1,1.1760797597599717e-16,1.1760797597599717e-16,9.226596375810914e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.0844721111028959e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Timer-S1,2213976.3941020966,2213976.3941020966,1360.3299153645833,1.5337399719464375,0.022114513052963216,0.022406845766862703,29.161877960336835,1487.9436797480262,0.024269056318141524,0.02218761622269632,0.019380113963819348,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Timer-S1,567259.7815119425,567259.7815119425,630.3899739583334,0.9341617020127089,0.01053561875202081,0.010606214370632252,7.570174836323596,753.1665031797036,0.012667792450490854,0.010602767541122503,0.008639769292829622,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Timer-S1,8.874856741867843e-16,8.874856741867843e-16,2.050398961728206e-08,nan,nan,2.0,nan,2.9790697779454317e-08,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Timer-S1,1.1760797597599717e-16,1.1760797597599717e-16,9.226596375810914e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.0844721111028959e-08,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/timer_s1/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Timer-S1",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:01.045474+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  61038.0,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Timer-S1",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:50.597922+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  61038.0,
results/timer_s1/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Timer-S1",
3
  "api_model_id": "bytedance-research/Timer-S1",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:17:13.890210+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Timer-S1",
3
  "api_model_id": "bytedance-research/Timer-S1",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:24:52.732480+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/timesfm_2_5/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,1231681.910867691,1651150.8314539592,1165.109375,1.3136334060903914,0.018940564938312213,0.019158807629046086,22.052325686308176,1109.8116555829151,0.018103376495185522,0.019005399310405294,0.014675317018139903,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,587981.2842750549,798190.9533653259,731.4443359375,1.0839120449464725,0.012211151877744015,0.01232053543272651,17.36189429037594,766.7993768092505,0.01289708891138466,0.012302439098957865,0.009368686649684545,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,1246423.8447666168,1668479.5940373738,1171.3014322916667,1.3206148049918969,0.01903908591714264,0.019259612012542872,22.331581642368402,1116.4335379979486,0.01820955240303352,0.01910447338344158,0.01477482882315884,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TimesFM-2.5,587981.2842750549,798190.9533653259,731.4443359375,1.0839120449464725,0.012211151877744015,0.01232053543272651,17.36189429037594,766.7993768092505,0.01289708891138466,0.012302439098957865,0.009368686649684545,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,nan,nan,nan,nan,0.0,nan,nan,nan,Transportation,1,12
results/timesfm_2_5/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:33.437430+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60667.93359375,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:09.123461+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60667.93359375,
results/timesfm_2_5/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
3
  "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:14:48.822643+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
3
  "api_model_id": "google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:11.636335+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/tirex/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TiRex,942504.2508138021,942504.2508138021,910.0537109375,1.026064146144244,0.014810269422123656,0.014923819810586748,3.4344542667050733,970.826581225402,0.01583623583609426,0.014844901724598467,0.012777613358633729,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TiRex,1077557.2074457805,1077557.2074457805,832.3111979166666,1.2333845355564952,0.013885876614701522,0.014036580509867108,10.6337029240902,1038.0545300926058,0.0174594319901232,0.013998957023334434,0.011665160587687773,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TiRex,5.906315718058047e-17,5.906315718058047e-17,4.2397065989136564e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,7.685255830522526e-09,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TiRex,2.0440368407041843e-18,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.2956792120692266e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.4296981641955705e-09,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,TiRex,955184.7133890787,955184.7133890787,916.2457682291666,1.0330455450457494,0.014909406525766897,0.015024630455961072,3.4344542667050733,977.335517306661,0.0159407987238146,0.01494439638614419,0.0128324301836972,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,TiRex,1077557.2074457805,1077557.2074457805,832.3111979166666,1.2333845355564952,0.013885876614701522,0.014036580509867108,10.6337029240902,1038.0545300926058,0.0174594319901232,0.013998957023334434,0.011665160587687773,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,TiRex,5.906315718058047e-17,5.906315718058047e-17,4.2397065989136564e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,7.685255830522526e-09,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,TiRex,2.0440368407041843e-18,2.0440368407041843e-18,1.2956792120692266e-09,nan,nan,2.0,nan,1.4296981641955705e-09,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/tirex/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "TiRex",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:34.577196+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60938.953125,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "TiRex",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:52.671936+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60938.953125,
results/tirex/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "TiRex",
3
  "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:50.490055+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "TiRex",
3
  "api_model_id": "NX-AI/TiRex-1.1-gifteval",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:54.620335+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []
results/toto_2_0_1b/all_results.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
- binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,548879.9414952596,548879.9414952596,705.427734375,0.7953531722784902,0.011493490401371978,0.011547143006233935,3.0114645125373953,740.8643205710879,0.012085064758221211,0.01150701905255152,0.01024724568316086,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,839244.0979696909,839244.0979696909,743.0740559895834,1.1011458835647618,0.012402295116024184,0.012517357553043585,9.036073287409447,916.1026678105958,0.015408277466100578,0.012498043761745094,0.010429598571369002,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,7.92033974581673e-22,7.92033974581673e-22,2.228279148683914e-11,nan,nan,2.0,nan,2.8143098169563228e-11,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,9.285839740510159e-20,9.285839740510159e-20,2.8203846723362513e-10,nan,nan,2.0,nan,3.047267585971104e-10,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
 
1
  dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates,prediction_length
2
+ binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,558368.4952875773,558368.4952875773,711.6197916666666,0.802334571179996,0.011593050587475034,0.011647956803138867,3.0114645125373953,747.2405872860342,0.012187842955935621,0.011606851143712035,0.010302318305408925,Finance,1,24
3
  coingecko_bitcoin_7d_price_usd/1h/short,Toto-2.0-1B,839244.0979696909,839244.0979696909,743.0740559895834,1.1011458835647618,0.012402295116024184,0.012517357553043585,9.036073287409447,916.1026678105958,0.015408277466100578,0.012498043761745094,0.010429598571369002,Finance,1,24
4
  data_gov_sg_singapore_rainfall_5min_rainfall_5min_total/5min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,7.92033974581673e-22,7.92033974581673e-22,2.228279148683914e-11,nan,nan,2.0,nan,2.8143098169563228e-11,inf,inf,inf,Climate,1,36
5
  data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short,Toto-2.0-1B,9.285839740510159e-20,9.285839740510159e-20,2.8203846723362513e-10,nan,nan,2.0,nan,3.047267585971104e-10,inf,inf,inf,Transportation,1,12
results/toto_2_0_1b/forecasts/binance_btcusdt_1h_close__1h__short.json CHANGED
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:15.338536+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
@@ -127,7 +127,7 @@
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
- 61344.03125
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60999.33203125,
 
1
  {
2
  "dataset": "binance_btcusdt_1h_close/1h/short",
3
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:33.200527+00:00",
5
  "freq": "1h",
6
  "context_length": 96,
7
  "prediction_length": 24,
 
127
  61308.75,
128
  61588.0,
129
  61440.01171875,
130
+ 61492.640625
131
  ],
132
  "p50": [
133
  60999.33203125,
results/toto_2_0_1b/online_meta.json CHANGED
@@ -1,25 +1,13 @@
1
  {
2
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
3
  "api_model_id": "Datadog/Toto-2.0-1B",
4
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:15:29.451697+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
11
- },
12
- {
13
- "dataset": "task_data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_singapore_taxi_fleet_available_taxi_count_20260702t173500z",
14
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
15
- "context_length": 120,
16
- "prediction_length": 12
17
- },
18
- {
19
- "dataset": "task_noaa_coops_sf_water_level_coops_station_9414290_water_level_20260702t210600z",
20
- "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:13:35.343929Z",
21
- "context_length": 240,
22
- "prediction_length": 60
23
  }
24
  ],
25
  "failed_datasets": []
 
1
  {
2
  "model": "Toto-2.0-1B",
3
  "api_model_id": "Datadog/Toto-2.0-1B",
4
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-03T03:23:45.885625+00:00",
5
  "datasets": [
6
  {
7
  "dataset": "task_binance_btcusdt_1h_crypto_btcusdt_close_20260702t030000z",
8
+ "data_fetched_at": "2026-07-03T03:22:25.323476Z",
9
  "context_length": 96,
10
  "prediction_length": 24
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11
  }
12
  ],
13
  "failed_datasets": []