ziyuzhou02 commited on
Commit
58612db
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 658a2a8

Update leaderboard results from local eval

Browse files
results/aggregates/live_metadata.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  {
2
- "generated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:06.242677+00:00",
3
  "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
4
  "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
5
  "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
 
1
  {
2
+ "generated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:44.726529+00:00",
3
  "scope": "Canonical metrics-only release history when available; otherwise legacy release history plus latest allowlisted snapshots",
4
  "release_deduplication": "One row per model, dataset, data source timestamp, and prediction length",
5
  "dataset_aggregation": "Arithmetic mean over releases, then equal-weight mean over datasets",
results/aggregates/metadata.json CHANGED
@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
1
  {
2
- "generated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:03.949837+00:00",
3
  "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
  "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
5
  "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",
@@ -10,7 +10,7 @@
10
  "frequency",
11
  "prediction_length"
12
  ],
13
- "num_configs": 13,
14
  "num_models": 12,
15
  "num_rows_missing_prediction_length": 0
16
  }
 
1
  {
2
+ "generated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:42.473009+00:00",
3
  "baseline_model": "Seasonal-Naive",
4
  "normalization": "Per-config metric / Seasonal-Naive metric",
5
  "metric_aggregation": "Geometric mean over dataset configurations",
 
10
  "frequency",
11
  "prediction_length"
12
  ],
13
+ "num_configs": 12,
14
  "num_models": 12,
15
  "num_rows_missing_prediction_length": 0
16
  }
results/aggregates/results_by_domain.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,16 +1,16 @@
1
  domain,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
- Climate,TiRex,4.269961694024012,44.09120866645544,1,5,5,1.0
3
- Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,2,5,5,1.0
4
- Climate,Moirai-2.0,12.196798967277523,60.81261038920086,3,5,5,1.0
5
- Climate,Chronos-2,12.369973678204508,57.26763411964469,4,5,5,1.0
6
- Climate,Toto-1.0,207.95948703046662,81.07507080096238,5,5,5,1.0
7
- Climate,Chronos-Bolt,12.935694459742345,73.30146865625643,6,5,5,1.0
8
- Climate,Sundial,64.94456124914842,84.76487816093582,7,5,5,1.0
9
- Climate,TabPFN-TS,8.145835812253848,46.463390893601975,8,5,5,1.0
10
- Climate,TimesFM-2.5,9.281772321052259,92.48763062500898,9,5,5,1.0
11
- Climate,ARIMA,457.9307575475013,225.2980694766373,10,5,5,1.0
12
- Climate,Moving-Average,317.71943032856046,291.3887373425248,11,5,5,1.0
13
- Climate,ETS,1655.597051653818,703.2819933079703,12,5,5,1.0
14
  Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.22409481207132434,0.487951964417501,1,2,2,1.0
15
  Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.2736790800966687,0.5057014143672646,2,2,2,1.0
16
  Finance,TiRex,0.20014521509059205,0.4804972472127513,3,2,2,1.0
 
1
  domain,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
+ Climate,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,4,4,1.0
3
+ Climate,Chronos-2,36.675848167030246,201.10058492462466,2,4,4,1.0
4
+ Climate,TiRex,11.09851215632723,152.67396458065787,3,4,4,1.0
5
+ Climate,Moirai-2.0,40.425234011545086,223.16454896905506,4,4,4,1.0
6
+ Climate,Sundial,210.12566895586264,313.061564621768,5,4,4,1.0
7
+ Climate,Chronos-Bolt,34.94133299104337,278.6490196554904,6,4,4,1.0
8
+ Climate,Toto-1.0,644.4764142229224,346.0154019891843,7,4,4,1.0
9
+ Climate,TabPFN-TS,19.134535274490723,152.05473959283918,8,4,4,1.0
10
+ Climate,TimesFM-2.5,25.9442647646039,373.1503538067695,9,4,4,1.0
11
+ Climate,Moving-Average,1325.028260031229,1179.4516121615643,10,4,4,1.0
12
+ Climate,ARIMA,3046.8638144933807,1160.9444252316086,11,4,4,1.0
13
+ Climate,ETS,6972.223952753726,2924.4898578319294,12,4,4,1.0
14
  Finance,Moirai-2.0,0.22409481207132434,0.487951964417501,1,2,2,1.0
15
  Finance,Chronos-Bolt,0.2736790800966687,0.5057014143672646,2,2,2,1.0
16
  Finance,TiRex,0.20014521509059205,0.4804972472127513,3,2,2,1.0
results/aggregates/results_by_frequency.csv CHANGED
@@ -35,18 +35,18 @@ frequency,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
35
  1D,Toto-1.0,1.1828445386062165,0.7008146109363338,10,1,1,1.0
36
  1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
37
  1D,TabPFN-TS,0.8629829581417852,1.004036040514957,12,1,1,1.0
38
- 1h,Sundial,0.5928988329170638,0.6264128587757046,1,6,6,1.0
39
- 1h,Chronos-2,0.3851874381586311,0.6861756121812734,2,6,6,1.0
40
- 1h,TiRex,0.24352514311721898,0.6928366288313604,3,6,6,1.0
41
- 1h,Chronos-Bolt,0.3907922347181279,0.7079269789628776,4,6,6,1.0
42
- 1h,Moirai-2.0,0.38477145861249823,0.750980470024963,5,6,6,1.0
43
- 1h,Toto-1.0,1.1056924321415866,0.7372301384501444,6,6,6,1.0
44
- 1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.32663931758123976,0.6946957638474895,7,6,6,1.0
45
- 1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,6,6,1.0
46
- 1h,ARIMA,2.4524522574171916,1.723089196647829,9,6,6,1.0
47
- 1h,TabPFN-TS,0.7050333266293756,0.9229809081768588,10,6,6,1.0
48
- 1h,Moving-Average,2.5683292552588832,1.712355329617519,11,6,6,1.0
49
- 1h,ETS,14.097130523938198,4.119387986968383,12,6,6,1.0
50
  1mo,Moirai-2.0,0.5701893078499076,0.5711658118752873,1,1,1,1.0
51
  1mo,Chronos-Bolt,0.6722527938921684,0.6335328970612374,2,1,1,1.0
52
  1mo,Toto-1.0,0.6317640740160342,0.6385745807295035,3,1,1,1.0
 
35
  1D,Toto-1.0,1.1828445386062165,0.7008146109363338,10,1,1,1.0
36
  1D,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,11,1,1,1.0
37
  1D,TabPFN-TS,0.8629829581417852,1.004036040514957,12,1,1,1.0
38
+ 1h,Sundial,0.5929488275540944,0.6676066531315284,1,5,5,1.0
39
+ 1h,Chronos-2,0.4591365809362409,0.7736486277802658,2,5,5,1.0
40
+ 1h,Chronos-Bolt,0.42975104038033024,0.8145532777511791,3,5,5,1.0
41
+ 1h,TiRex,0.2948766604272711,0.8154869025188662,4,5,5,1.0
42
+ 1h,Moirai-2.0,0.5027123887673739,0.8823906343684956,5,5,5,1.0
43
+ 1h,TimesFM-2.5,0.38061362824285694,0.7972178483041099,6,5,5,1.0
44
+ 1h,Toto-1.0,0.9588442971468709,0.9194173721283935,7,5,5,1.0
45
+ 1h,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,5,5,1.0
46
+ 1h,Moving-Average,3.0712641902052105,1.8757891044035515,9,5,5,1.0
47
+ 1h,TabPFN-TS,0.8557960124642745,1.0882290856758259,10,5,5,1.0
48
+ 1h,ARIMA,3.924671339530071,2.4135760373111195,11,5,5,1.0
49
+ 1h,ETS,17.16719275626505,4.6079720425950095,12,5,5,1.0
50
  1mo,Moirai-2.0,0.5701893078499076,0.5711658118752873,1,1,1,1.0
51
  1mo,Chronos-Bolt,0.6722527938921684,0.6335328970612374,2,1,1,1.0
52
  1mo,Toto-1.0,0.6317640740160342,0.6385745807295035,3,1,1,1.0
results/aggregates/results_by_prediction_length.csv CHANGED
@@ -23,18 +23,18 @@ prediction_length,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
23
  12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
24
  12,Toto-1.0,806035.7257398936,13298.536376002028,11,2,2,1.0
25
  12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
26
- 24,TiRex,0.3023522030656501,0.7017168124598843,1,7,7,1.0
27
- 24,Chronos-2,0.45585288773590166,0.7040457635694182,2,7,7,1.0
28
- 24,Moirai-2.0,0.4117423067590853,0.7258235565939695,3,7,7,1.0
29
- 24,Chronos-Bolt,0.46792775735853204,0.7322334457756188,4,7,7,1.0
30
- 24,Sundial,0.6641166506021149,0.6916030088478965,5,7,7,1.0
31
- 24,Toto-1.0,1.1296912087954079,0.7487466089382137,6,7,7,1.0
32
- 24,TimesFM-2.5,0.39525787501043097,0.7468503987833889,7,7,7,1.0
33
- 24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,7,7,1.0
34
- 24,Moving-Average,2.1664079754014858,1.5825659082997456,9,7,7,1.0
35
- 24,ARIMA,2.2755472241773647,1.6514492973531183,10,7,7,1.0
36
- 24,TabPFN-TS,0.737591776897272,0.9522654826812673,11,7,7,1.0
37
- 24,ETS,9.62723107633685,3.4138997349886884,12,7,7,1.0
38
  36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
39
  36,TabPFN-TS,34657.508680568775,161714991.14220017,2,1,1,1.0
40
  36,TiRex,218854.47576766848,378635726.5998005,3,1,1,1.0
 
23
  12,ETS,0.8706436180201554,439.02846065451104,10,2,2,1.0
24
  12,Toto-1.0,806035.7257398936,13298.536376002028,11,2,2,1.0
25
  12,Moving-Average,0.9617678019724286,471.56119324419365,12,2,2,1.0
26
+ 24,Chronos-2,0.542718917335337,0.7814218649047795,1,6,6,1.0
27
+ 24,Sundial,0.6768392161365542,0.7414346907316497,2,6,6,1.0
28
+ 24,TiRex,0.36763923399077486,0.8055123084386985,3,6,6,1.0
29
+ 24,Moirai-2.0,0.520347192714634,0.8255150607549664,4,6,6,1.0
30
+ 24,Chronos-Bolt,0.5219274414461282,0.8276923447862357,5,6,6,1.0
31
+ 24,Toto-1.0,1.006797460669809,0.9023634996113736,6,6,6,1.0
32
+ 24,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,6,6,1.0
33
+ 24,TimesFM-2.5,0.4634779804622581,0.847797400283842,8,6,6,1.0
34
+ 24,Moving-Average,2.444240306035469,1.6851874822725985,9,6,6,1.0
35
+ 24,TabPFN-TS,0.8734089671598486,1.098057981179467,10,6,6,1.0
36
+ 24,ARIMA,3.325337103982027,2.1714633994742605,11,6,6,1.0
37
+ 24,ETS,10.646421202947378,3.6326039731193625,12,6,6,1.0
38
  36,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,1,1,1,1.0
39
  36,TabPFN-TS,34657.508680568775,161714991.14220017,2,1,1,1.0
40
  36,TiRex,218854.47576766848,378635726.5998005,3,1,1,1.0
results/aggregates/results_overall.csv CHANGED
@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
1
  overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
- Overall,TiRex,1.2061917491554193,5.853517786788216,1,13,13,1.0
3
- Overall,Chronos-2,1.6966720012047767,6.381238222588495,2,13,13,1.0
4
- Overall,Moirai-2.0,1.84560447043948,10.220404798423314,3,13,13,1.0
5
- Overall,Chronos-Bolt,1.824110129870655,12.913251374606384,4,13,13,1.0
6
- Overall,Sundial,3.1745098184082883,9.017299629091994,5,13,13,1.0
7
- Overall,Toto-1.0,68.86515914406186,20.255546481750617,6,13,13,1.0
8
- Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.2951902060009557,4.382314940086532,7,13,13,1.0
9
- Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,8,13,13,1.0
10
- Overall,ARIMA,8.19230172975824,19.139019392321874,9,13,13,1.0
11
- Overall,Moving-Average,7.372438040409571,20.58819828924998,10,13,13,1.0
12
- Overall,TabPFN-TS,1.7729263297509348,4.092649004830513,11,13,13,1.0
13
- Overall,ETS,15.995570951388459,30.547018903527434,12,13,13,1.0
 
1
  overall,model,MSE,CRPS,Rank,n_configs,n_group_configs,coverage
2
+ Overall,Chronos-2,2.065558263872329,8.078349372982936,1,12,12,1.0
3
+ Overall,TiRex,1.4926087353534092,7.484164884076894,2,12,12,1.0
4
+ Overall,Moirai-2.0,2.351068357392339,13.58735183474385,3,12,12,1.0
5
+ Overall,Chronos-Bolt,2.1577745707033182,17.43856711411005,4,12,12,1.0
6
+ Overall,Sundial,3.651040125169862,11.56430357302543,5,12,12,1.0
7
+ Overall,TimesFM-2.5,1.5483254674369333,5.4109308157288885,6,12,12,1.0
8
+ Overall,Seasonal-Naive,1.0,1.0,7,12,12,1.0
9
+ Overall,Toto-1.0,91.56806858441708,29.269684986041874,8,12,12,1.0
10
+ Overall,Moving-Average,8.672324760684338,26.309722235047634,9,12,12,1.0
11
+ Overall,ARIMA,11.018966413107494,26.917487507636114,10,12,12,1.0
12
+ Overall,TabPFN-TS,2.0755396379508495,4.962592941445592,11,12,12,1.0
13
+ Overall,ETS,17.54792352824851,37.823552690782506,12,12,12,1.0
results/dataset_properties.csv CHANGED
@@ -6,7 +6,6 @@ data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count,Transportation,5min
6
  nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_t2m,Weather,1h,1
7
  noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level,Ocean,6min,1
8
  noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height,Ocean,10min,1
9
- nws_ksfo_observations_temperature,Weather,1h,1
10
  open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5,Air Quality,1h,1
11
  open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m,Weather,1h,1
12
  usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count,Hazards,1h,1
 
6
  nasa_power_shanghai_hourly_t2m,Weather,1h,1
7
  noaa_coops_sf_water_level_water_level,Ocean,6min,1
8
  noaa_ndbc_46013_realtime_wave_height,Ocean,10min,1
 
9
  open_meteo_shanghai_air_quality_hourly_pm2_5,Air Quality,1h,1
10
  open_meteo_shanghai_hourly_temperature_2m,Weather,1h,1
11
  usgs_earthquake_all_week_hourly_earthquake_count,Hazards,1h,1
results/online_status.json CHANGED
@@ -2,14 +2,14 @@
2
  "status": "ok",
3
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
4
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
5
- "started_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:21.334192+00:00",
6
- "finished_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:06.254360+00:00",
7
  "data_source": "ts_bench",
8
  "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
9
- "task_count": 4,
10
- "issued_tasks": 1,
11
- "issued_forecasts": 12,
12
- "resolved_forecasts": 12,
13
  "pending_tasks": 13,
14
  "failed_forecasts": [],
15
  "models": {
@@ -19,18 +19,8 @@
19
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
20
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
21
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
22
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:00.938825+00:00",
23
- "resolved_tasks": [
24
- {
25
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
26
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
27
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
28
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.442744+00:00",
29
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
30
- "prediction_length": 12,
31
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
32
- }
33
- ]
34
  },
35
  "TiRex": {
36
  "model": "TiRex",
@@ -38,18 +28,8 @@
38
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
39
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
40
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
41
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:00.952848+00:00",
42
- "resolved_tasks": [
43
- {
44
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
45
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
46
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
47
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.844829+00:00",
48
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
49
- "prediction_length": 12,
50
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
51
- }
52
- ]
53
  },
54
  "TimesFM-2.5": {
55
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
@@ -57,18 +37,8 @@
57
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
58
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
59
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
60
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:00.956090+00:00",
61
- "resolved_tasks": [
62
- {
63
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
64
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
65
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
66
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.774121+00:00",
67
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
68
- "prediction_length": 12,
69
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
70
- }
71
- ]
72
  },
73
  "Toto-1.0": {
74
  "model": "Toto-1.0",
@@ -76,18 +46,8 @@
76
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
77
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
78
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
79
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:00.959099+00:00",
80
- "resolved_tasks": [
81
- {
82
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
83
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
84
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
85
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.887128+00:00",
86
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
87
- "prediction_length": 12,
88
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
89
- }
90
- ]
91
  },
92
  "Moirai-2.0": {
93
  "model": "Moirai-2.0",
@@ -95,18 +55,8 @@
95
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
96
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
97
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
98
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:00.991881+00:00",
99
- "resolved_tasks": [
100
- {
101
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
102
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
103
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
104
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.579151+00:00",
105
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
106
- "prediction_length": 12,
107
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
108
- }
109
- ]
110
  },
111
  "Chronos-Bolt": {
112
  "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
@@ -114,18 +64,8 @@
114
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
115
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
116
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
117
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.003283+00:00",
118
- "resolved_tasks": [
119
- {
120
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
121
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
122
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
123
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.481123+00:00",
124
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
125
- "prediction_length": 12,
126
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
127
- }
128
- ]
129
  },
130
  "TabPFN-TS": {
131
  "model": "TabPFN-TS",
@@ -133,18 +73,8 @@
133
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
134
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
135
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
136
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.029344+00:00",
137
- "resolved_tasks": [
138
- {
139
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
140
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
141
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
142
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.750179+00:00",
143
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
144
- "prediction_length": 12,
145
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
146
- }
147
- ]
148
  },
149
  "Sundial": {
150
  "model": "Sundial",
@@ -152,18 +82,8 @@
152
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
153
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
154
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
155
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.059864+00:00",
156
- "resolved_tasks": [
157
- {
158
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
159
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
160
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
161
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.706156+00:00",
162
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
163
- "prediction_length": 12,
164
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
165
- }
166
- ]
167
  },
168
  "Moving-Average": {
169
  "model": "Moving-Average",
@@ -171,18 +91,8 @@
171
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
172
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
173
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
174
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.069292+00:00",
175
- "resolved_tasks": [
176
- {
177
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
178
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
179
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
180
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.629291+00:00",
181
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
182
- "prediction_length": 12,
183
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
184
- }
185
- ]
186
  },
187
  "ETS": {
188
  "model": "ETS",
@@ -190,18 +100,8 @@
190
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
191
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
192
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
193
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.097843+00:00",
194
- "resolved_tasks": [
195
- {
196
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
197
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
198
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
199
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.534586+00:00",
200
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
201
- "prediction_length": 12,
202
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
203
- }
204
- ]
205
  },
206
  "ARIMA": {
207
  "model": "ARIMA",
@@ -209,18 +109,8 @@
209
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
210
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
211
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
212
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.115376+00:00",
213
- "resolved_tasks": [
214
- {
215
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
216
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
217
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
218
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.378146+00:00",
219
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
220
- "prediction_length": 12,
221
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
222
- }
223
- ]
224
  },
225
  "Seasonal-Naive": {
226
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
@@ -228,18 +118,8 @@
228
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
229
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
230
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
231
- "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T18:10:01.120178+00:00",
232
- "resolved_tasks": [
233
- {
234
- "dataset": "data_gov_sg_singapore_taxi_availability_available_taxi_count/5min/short",
235
- "task_id": "future-bbad8080b63351089494",
236
- "issued_at": "2026-07-29T14:20:28.516607+00:00",
237
- "resolved_at": "2026-07-29T16:56:27.675169+00:00",
238
- "target_end": "2026-07-28T13:05:00+00:00",
239
- "prediction_length": 12,
240
- "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1"
241
- }
242
- ]
243
  }
244
  },
245
  "skipped_models": [],
@@ -262,7 +142,5 @@
262
  "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
263
  "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
264
  },
265
- "push_status": "ok",
266
- "pushed_at": "2026-07-29T18:24:07.639994+00:00",
267
- "push_detail": "HF Hub API"
268
  }
 
2
  "status": "ok",
3
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
4
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
5
+ "started_at": "2026-07-29T20:41:32.511348+00:00",
6
+ "finished_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:44.737784+00:00",
7
  "data_source": "ts_bench",
8
  "data_config": "configs/datasets/ts_bench.yaml",
9
+ "task_count": 3,
10
+ "issued_tasks": 0,
11
+ "issued_forecasts": 6,
12
+ "resolved_forecasts": 0,
13
  "pending_tasks": 13,
14
  "failed_forecasts": [],
15
  "models": {
 
19
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
20
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
21
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
22
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252355+00:00",
23
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
24
  },
25
  "TiRex": {
26
  "model": "TiRex",
 
28
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
29
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
30
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
31
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252393+00:00",
32
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
33
  },
34
  "TimesFM-2.5": {
35
  "model": "TimesFM-2.5",
 
37
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
38
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
39
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
40
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252397+00:00",
41
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42
  },
43
  "Toto-1.0": {
44
  "model": "Toto-1.0",
 
46
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
47
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
48
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
49
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252399+00:00",
50
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
51
  },
52
  "Moirai-2.0": {
53
  "model": "Moirai-2.0",
 
55
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
56
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
57
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
58
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252403+00:00",
59
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
60
  },
61
  "Chronos-Bolt": {
62
  "model": "Chronos-Bolt",
 
64
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
65
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
66
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
67
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252409+00:00",
68
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69
  },
70
  "TabPFN-TS": {
71
  "model": "TabPFN-TS",
 
73
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
74
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
75
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
76
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252412+00:00",
77
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
78
  },
79
  "Sundial": {
80
  "model": "Sundial",
 
82
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
83
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
84
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
85
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252415+00:00",
86
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87
  },
88
  "Moving-Average": {
89
  "model": "Moving-Average",
 
91
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
92
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
93
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
94
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252418+00:00",
95
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
96
  },
97
  "ETS": {
98
  "model": "ETS",
 
100
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
101
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
102
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
103
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252420+00:00",
104
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
105
  },
106
  "ARIMA": {
107
  "model": "ARIMA",
 
109
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
110
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
111
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
112
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252423+00:00",
113
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
114
  },
115
  "Seasonal-Naive": {
116
  "model": "Seasonal-Naive",
 
118
  "admitted_at": "2026-06-01T00:00:00Z",
119
  "evaluation_protocol": "issue-now-score-later",
120
  "metric_version": "livehouse-canonical-v1",
121
+ "evaluated_at": "2026-07-29T21:49:40.252425+00:00",
122
+ "resolved_tasks": []
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
123
  }
124
  },
125
  "skipped_models": [],
 
142
  "live_overall_30d": "aggregates/live_overall_30d.csv",
143
  "live_metadata": "aggregates/live_metadata.json"
144
  },
145
+ "push_status": "pending"
 
 
146
  }